TRIGGERnometry - Labour's Landslide Shows Britain is Moving Right. Yes, Really. - Konstantin Kisin

Episode Date: July 9, 2024

Last Friday, British voters turned sharply against the Tories. Left-wing parties now control the overwhelming majority of Parliament, collectively holding nearly 500 of the 650 seats in Westminster. Labour secured a stunning 421 seats and Keir Starmer is our new prime minister. Meantime, the Tories secured just 121 seats—their worst result since 1761.  But what if I told you all of this represents Britain moving further to the right? Konstantin's Substack: https://konstantinkisin.substack.com/ Join the TRIGGERnometry community on Locals! https://triggernometry.locals.com/ OR Support TRIGGERnometry with Bitcoin: bc1qm6vvhduc6s3rvy8u76sllmrfpynfv94qw8p8d5 Advertise on TRIGGERnometry: [e-mail] Join the Mailing List: https://www.triggerpod.co.uk/sign-up/ Find TRIGGERnometry on Social Media: @triggerpod Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Last night, you spent two hours deciding what to wear to the party. This morning, it'll take you two minutes to list it on Deepop and make your money back. Just grab your phone, snap a few photos, and we'll take care of the rest. The sheer dress and platform heels you'll never wear again, there's a birthday girl searching for them right now. Your one-and-done look is about to pay for your next night out, or at least the right home. Your style can make you cash.

Start selling on Deepop, where Taste recognizes taste. Labor's landslide shows Britain is moving right. Yes, really. Last Friday, British voters turned sharply against the Tories. Left-wing parties now control the overwhelming majority of Parliament, collectively holding nearly 500 of the 650 seats in Westminster. Labor secured a stunning 421 seats and Sarkia Stama is now a new Prime Minister. Meanwhile, the Conservative secured just 121 seats, the worst results in 1761. But what if I told you? you, all of this represents Britain moving further to the right. Given the statistics I've just quoted, you might rightly ask what exactly I'm smoking and where you can get some. But given that the UK is here to legalise the substances you'd need to smoke to endure what the next five years have in

store, I assure you that my conclusion is the product of a very sober reality. To understand why what I'm saying is not just copium for the masses, bear with me as I explain. First, the chronology of the last 14 years of Tory government is best summed up in the words of a now former cabinet minister I spoke to a few months ago. Here's how he lamented the never-ending stream of challenges that led to this result. We were elected in 2010, he said, and we couldn't do what we wanted because we had to form a coalition with the Lib Dems. We won an outright majority in 2015, but by the following year, Brexit happened. We had another election in 2017 and then another in 2019 to sort that mess out. We finally put Brexit to bed with Boris Johnson winning in 2019, and within months, COVID happened.

We made it through that, just, and the moment we were out of it, Putin invaded Ukraine. And now we're out of time. This might sound like excuse-making, on a certain level it is. After all, the Tories failed to deliver on most of their key election promises, like dealing with illegal immigration, cutting legal immigration to the tens of thousands. It was $685,000 net in 2023, building more homes and so on. But the minister nonetheless had a point. Yanked from event to event, they simply lacked the bandwidth to transform or even significantly improve the country.

This long-running disaster would explain the popularity of the incoming Labour Party, right? Kirstama must now be seen as the exciting alternative, poised to take Britain forward into a bright future, right? The British public are surely now lining the streets of London, singing things can only get better as they did in 1997, the last time the Labour Party threw out the Tories, securing a landslide victory under Tony Blair. If any of these thoughts entered your head, I'm afraid it's now my turn to ask what you are smoking. The newly minted Labour government is one of the least popular new governments in British history, having secured just 33.7% of the vote on what was the second lowest turnout in a century. Total turnout in this election was just 60%.

Of the 46.5 million Brits registered to vote, less than 10 million voted for Labor. What's more, Labor actually lost voters from the last election to this one. Yes, you heard me right. The Labour Party's total votes declined by around half a million from 2019. And remember, they've been in the doldrums for years. Their vote share was already extremely low. In 2017, the Labour Party, led by Jeremy Corbyn, lost that election with 40% of the vote.

So how did the Labour Party secure a stonking majority with just 33.7% of the vote a few days ago? The simple fact is, this was not an election they won. It was an election that Conservatives lost. And a big reason why was that millions of the Conservatives lost. And a big reason why was that millions of the conservative supporters either did not vote or voted for Reform UK, Nigel Farage's right-wing populist party. Reform secured a total of five seats, a significant achievement for a new party in Britain's winner-take-all electoral system. Farage's reform secured 4.1 million votes, the overwhelming majority of which came from the Conservatives.

Combined with millions of conservative voters staying home, reform's strong showing led to the Conservative vote share dropping from 43.6. in 2019 to just 23.7% a few days ago. Reform's modest number of seats conceals a monumental swing away from the Tories, whose voters decided that the center-right party was simply not conservative enough. How did reform attract these former Tory voters? By being genuinely right-wing. Farage's party called for a freeze on non-essential immigration, immediate action on illegal immigration, pro-business policies, tax cuts to get the economy

moving, and an end to the suicidal idea. we call net zero, whereby we outsource our carbon emissions to other countries so we can pretend to be green while destroying our manufacturing and energy independence. The country has not moved to the left. Britain now has more of what it has had for over a decade, a government and a parliament that are both significantly to the left of the public. He will now be governed by a milktoe centrist PM as it was before the election. Sir Keistama is not Prime Minister because the British people wanted more illegal immigration, crime and trans women and women sports. He's Prime Minister, because that's exactly what voters got from the Tories,

and they wanted to punish them for it. The country Stama's Labour Party has inherited is a mess. We have the highest taxes since World War II. Our debt is as big as our GDP. Tens of thousands of job creators are leaving. We have illegal immigration running at tens of thousands of people and an economic system based on importing hundreds of thousands of low-skilled, badly paid immigrants,

so we can pretend our economy is growing. It's only growing by 0.7% despite these valiant efforts at cooking the book. Up to 40% of day-to-day government spending goes on our National Health Service, but people are waiting longer and longer to see a doctor. We have a housing crisis that locks out several generations from ever buying their own home, starting a family or outrunning inflation, infrastructure that is completely inadequate for our rapidly growing population and crumbling as we speak. I wrote the Substack article on which this video is based on a train that was delayed by an hour

due to sheep on the tracks. Seriously, it was a cow yesterday. conductor informed me with an unapologetic laugh. So things are not good, but they can get worse, and they will. The Labour Party are about to discover that many of the most pressing problems Britain faces are structural in nature. We have an aging population which not only puts huge pressure on a healthcare system, but also creates the lethal combination of an economy entirely dependent on immigrant labor and a population fed up with mass migration. We've got a civil service that refuses to implement the orders of elected ministers, as recent trigonometry episodes with

Steve Hilton, Liz Truss and Rory Stewart have shown. We've got ourselves into an economic straitjacket in which investment in infrastructure, house building and public services is essential, but both taxes and debt are already too high. This is precisely why Stama followed the Ming Vars strategy during the election. He said little and promised even less. It may be the British voters will continue to switch from one ineffectual centrist party to another for decades, as they oversee our country's decline. Or maybe the conservatives will get the message eventually and move rightwards to win back the vote as they lost to reform. But there is another possibility. If my predictions are correct and Stama fails to turn the Titanic around in the next five years,

this will present one last chance for reform. Why do I say last? Nigel Farage is a very young 60-year-old to be sure, but by the end of the next parliament, he'll be 70 and there is nobody in his party or in the broader movement with a name recognition or mass appeal to replace him. I appreciate this makes little sense to the American reader, given the candidates your major parties have gone with, but we're still going with a non-dementia policy on this side of the pond. Having decimated the Conservative Party,

Farage now has an opportunity to convert current public sentiment into a lasting political movement. They could even replace the conservatives as Britain's main right of center party by 2029. To seize it, he must first peel off as many genuinely conservative MPs as he can. If you can persuade people like Suella Braverman and others to jump ship,

he will be able to make the credible claim that reform is now the home of the patriotic, pro-business, anti-woke right. Remember, over 70 conservative MPs fell on their swords before the election, some of them could be enticed back into politics under the right brand too. Secondly, he must become the leading voice of opposition to the country's leftward drift under labor. Given that Stama and his team have been saddled with the same major structural problems their predecessors were unable to overcome, discontent with the establishment is guaranteed to go through the roof over the next five years. If reform can position themselves as the credible alternative, they may be able to become the official opposition by the time the country votes again in

29. Meanwhile, this election offers another glimpse of Britain's bright future. This is the first time in my lifetime when sectarianism has reared its ugly head in mainland Britain. Five Labour MPs were unseated by independent candidates in constituencies with significant Muslim populations who ran on explicitly pro-Gaza platforms. Other Labour MPs were unseated by independent candidates. Other Labour Like Jess Phillips were heckled by anti-Israel protesters when giving their victory speeches, while Jonathan Ashworth, one of the MPs who lost his seat in this way, was harassed in the street during the course of the campaign. Given the demographic and immigration trends and the aforementioned benefit of geographical concentration, by 2029, we're likely to see a number of seats where only Muslim candidates have any chance of winning.

A Muslim Party of Britain may be a not-so-distant reality for the Labour Party and the rest of us to contend with very soon. If you enjoyed these videos, you should know that they're available first on my substack, sometimes weeks or even months ahead of time. Click the link in the description, head on over there now, and subscribe.