Up First from NPR - Jobs Report, White House Crypto Summit, Gaza Ceasefire Uncertainty
Episode Date: March 7, 2025The Labor Department is expected to show a modest uptick in hiring as part of its monthly jobs report card, but layoffs could cast a chill over the job market in coming months. The White House meets w...ith founders and investors in the crypto industry to discuss how to grow the sector. And, rival ceasefire plans create uncertainty in Gaza, the Trump administration is demanding Hamas release hostages immediately, while holding secret talks with the group.Want more comprehensive analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.Today's episode of Up First was edited by Rafael Nam, Roberta Rampton, Russell Lewis, Alice Woelfle and Mohamad ElBardicy.It was produced by Ziad Buchh, Nia Dumas and Chris Thomas.We get engineering support from Neisha Heinis, our technical director is Stacey Abbott.And our Executive Producer is Jay Shaylor.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
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We get a picture today of employment, a snapshot slightly out of date. Future job reports will reflect federal job cuts and employers who paused as U.S. trade policy keeps changing.
Where's the economy heading?
I'm Ian Martinez, that's Steve Inskeep, and this is Up First from NPR News.
The president takes an opportunity today to promote cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin has set multiple all-time record highs because everyone knows that I'm committed
to making America the crypto capital we want to see.
Trump himself has invested in crypto, so how does he plan for the government to promote
it?
Also, why did Israel change its terms for extending a ceasefire in Gaza?
With U.S. help, Israelis are pressing Hamas to accept a different deal and withholding food and fuel.
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Today we get a picture of how the job market looked just before the economic chaos of recent
weeks.
Yeah, the Labor Department will give a report on employment. It's expected to show relatively
solid growth, though it will not include many firings in the federal government or the economic
disruptions of recent days.
Over tariffs, that is.
NPR's Scott Horsley is here.
Scott, good morning.
Good morning, Steve.
Why would we not see those developments in this latest employment report?
Well, it's all about timing.
A lot of the federal job cuts began around February 14th, the Friday, which some have
referred to as St. Valentine's Day massacre.
But the jobs report is based on a survey that was done during the week leading up to that.
So if you got your walking papers that Friday, you're still counted as employed in this
February jobs report.
And the report's actually expected to show somewhat more jobs added in February than
in January when cold, snowy weather was blanketing much of the country, keeping a lot of outdoor
work in limbo.
Even if the report does look good on the surface
though, there are some warning signs on the horizon. Well, let's talk that through. I mean,
I've been following the stock market, but it's been gyrating and you're watching
employment. What's going on there? Well, the outplacement firm Challenger Gray and
Christmas keeps a running tally of layoff announcements and its February tally shows
the biggest job cut since 2020 in the early months of the
pandemic. Andrew Challenger says there were 172,000 layoffs announced last month, including
more than 62,000 in the federal government.
This is a really big number in terms of what we've ever recorded. The fact that we've
reached that level so quickly this year is surprising to us and
certainly something worth taking note of.
Now, most of the federal workers who've been laid off so far were new hires who don't have
a lot of job protection.
But we know the Trump administration has plans for more widespread layoffs as it seeks to
radically downsize the federal workforce.
Okay, what would that radical downsizing look like?
Well, just for an example, the Trump administration reportedly wants to cut tens of thousands
of jobs from both the Veterans Administration and the IRS.
The tax collection agencies already cut more than 6,000 workers in February.
Eddie Walker represents about 1,500 unionized IRS workers in Austin, Texas.
Of course, there's a lot of crying.
I'm looking at some of the emails and stuff I've got,
like they are ripping apart my work family.
I left a job of 13 years to come here, and what do I get?
How am I going to survive?
I'm a single mom.
Obviously, this is very painful for the affected workers.
For some context, though, the federal government
is a fairly small part of the overall job
market.
There are about 2.4 million federal workers, not counting the military and the post office.
That's about one and a half percent of the country's overall workforce.
Well, what's happening among the many, many more millions who work in the private sector
then?
Yeah, here again, there are some signs of weakness.
There's been a lot of whiplash around trade policy.
Just this week, we've seen tariffs imposed, then relaxed, then mostly suspended on imports from Mexico
and Canada. Andy Challenger says a lot of private sector businesses are considering
their own job cuts.
There's just been this extra uncertainty that's entered into some industries around tariffs,
around potential trade wars. We're seeing big announcements from
very large Fortune 500 companies this month that are tuning down their growth forecasts
for the next three or four years. It's just not an environment that's conducive to a lot of robust
hiring. Scott, thanks so much for the update. Really appreciate it. You're welcome. NPR Scott Horsley. When he was campaigning for office,
the president promised to make the United States
the crypto capital of the planet.
And he's taken major steps this week
when it comes to digital assets.
Yeah, last night, the president signed an executive order
creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve. He's expected to speak about it at a summit the White House is hosting today
on cryptocurrency. NPR White House correspondent Deepa Shivram has more on this. Good morning.
Good morning. Would you just explain for me, I mean, I can understand why the U.S. needs a strategic
petroleum reserve. If there's a shortage of petroleum, you let some out. Supply and demand keeps the price down.
But why would Americans need a crypto reserve?
Yeah, the argument the White House is making is that the US is losing money by selling
the Bitcoin they already have seized from court proceedings.
So Trump's cryptos are David Sacks said on social media last night that the government
has about 200,000 in Bitcoin, which is worth
about $17 billion.
And the idea is that the reserve will be a, quote, digital Fort Knox.
All of that Bitcoin just stays there.
And that was a campaign promise from President Trump.
But the idea of having a crypto reserve is pretty controversial, even among those in
the crypto space, coming down to details like which cryptocurrencies do you keep in the
reserve and why is the president picking some over others? So there's a lot of lingering questions. those in the crypto space, coming down to details like, which cryptocurrencies do you keep in the reserve?
And why is the president picking some over others?
So there's a lot of lingering questions.
Yeah, and of course it's an industry in which he's invested.
So this is just one move the president is making.
There's this summit coming today.
What's going on?
Yeah, the White House hasn't shared a lot of details
about who's attending today, who's gonna be speaking,
though we do expect the president to make remarks.
But I will say the big overarching thing that people are expecting from this summit is a
pretty wide open question, which is what are the rules when it comes to cryptocurrency?
This is a space that involves trillions of dollars, so many players and a lot of opportunity,
but also a lot of volatility and risk and bad actors.
So there's a desire here to build a regulatory framework.
And a lot of folks in the crypto space see this summit
as an opportunity to get the ball rolling
on those discussions, especially because there are
a lot of conversations like this that they feel
weren't happening under the Biden administration.
Oh, well, what was Biden doing then?
The Biden administration focused on enforcement
in trying to crack down on cryptocurrency
rather than coming up with the new rules of the road to help the industry and help consumers.
Trump's approach so far has been to undo that. In the last few weeks, his administration has
backed away from a lot of the lawsuits and investigations that the SEC, which is the
Securities and Exchange Commission, had been doing on crypto businesses. I talked to Campbell Harvey,
he's a finance professor at Duke University
about the change in approach to crypto.
Over the past four years, at least,
the regulatory complex has been very combative,
almost in a warlike situation
against the innovators in the space.
So it's time to step back
and to look at the possible benefits
of this new technology and weigh them against the costs.
And he says the summit happening today
is important because it's a first step in making
a framework for cryptocurrency that balances that innovation
with protection for consumers.
I'm just thinking, though, when the government changes the rules,
there are winners, there are losers, you may be picking winners and losers,
and doesn't the president himself have a financial stake here?
Correct. That's very important to point out.
Trump was seen as a very crypto-friendly presidential candidate.
He received a lot of financial support from people in the crypto industry
who also invested in down-ballot races.
And during the campaign, Trump also rolled out his own crypto venture called World Liberty
Financial.
That's run by Trump's kids, but he has a sizable financial stake in it.
And right before inauguration, Trump and First Lady Melania Trump rolled out their own meme
coins.
That's a kind of cryptocurrency that the SEC recently said is not subject to oversight,
which has raised questions about conflicts of interest. And here's Deepa Shivram, who so far as we know has not yet released the Dipa coin,
but we'll look forward to that.
Stay tuned.
All right. Thanks so much. Thank you very much.
Thank you.
President Trump says his own threats forced
a ceasefire in the war in Gaza.
Steve Sinclair But that was six weeks ago and that phase
of the ceasefire deal ended with no agreement between Israel and Hamas on what comes next.
Now this week, the president issued what he called the last warning to Hamas after meeting
with former Israeli hostages.
Pete Slauson NPR International correspondent, Eba Trawe joins us now from Dubai to explain, hi there.
Hey Steve.
I'm just trying to think this through.
There was a ceasefire that lasted six weeks.
Hamas released some hostages in exchange for Israel
freeing some Palestinians, but why haven't they agreed
the second phase yet?
Well, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,
he never actually sent negotiators to hammer out
the details of a second phase.
And he wants a different deal now that does not permanently end the war, but frees more
hostages taken in the Hamas attack on Israel in 2023.
So instead of proceeding with the original deal, Trump's Mideast envoy, Steve Witkoff,
came up with a different plan in recent days that gives Netanyahu what he wants.
And to pressure Hamas into this new deal, Israel's blocked all food, fuel, and aid into Gaza for six days now.
Now countries around the world, aid organizations, and several Israeli rights groups say this violates international humanitarian law.
So how again is this plan, this proposal from the Israelis and from the United States different from what was expected?
So the main difference is the original deal agreed to would have ended the war now.
So, the main difference is the original deal agreed to would have ended the war now. Basically an agreement to lasting truce.
And then all remaining Israeli hostages still alive would be freed over the next six weeks.
And Israeli troops would withdraw from Gaza and more Palestinian prisoners would be freed.
In contrast, the Witkoff plan would have Hamas release half the remaining hostages still
held in Gaza now, with only the promise to negotiate a lasting end to the war after six
weeks. Hamas has not agreed to that and Netanyahu may decide not to end the war because of pressure
from his far-right coalition. He's in a bind because he has vowed to return all the hostages
and eliminate James but a return to war doesn't guarantee either.
Okay so we're maybe at this moment not getting closer to a permanent end to the war but people
still talk about what that's supposed to look like.
What are some of the visions on the table?
Okay, so you may have heard Trump's idea that everyone in Gaza is going to be displaced
to other countries like Egypt and Jordan, and then the US takes over the Gaza Strip
somehow, turning it into a world-class real estate development without Palestinians who
live there now.
Now, Israel's government has embraced this plan and is drafting up ways to implement
it, but Egypt has been clear it will not be a part of Trump's plan to
permanently expel Palestinians off the land and Egypt says the plan is
destabilizing to the region and would unravel its decades-old peace treaty
with Israel. So instead Egypt drew up a detailed reconstruction plan for Gaza of
its own and it got the backing of all Arab states at a summit in Cairo this
week. They also all rejected any displacement of Palestinians.
So Israel and the US immediately criticized this lengthy Egyptian plan.
But then Steve Witkoff said this yesterday.
I just finished reading it.
There's a lot of compelling features to it.
We need more discussion about it.
But it's a good faith first step from the Egyptians.
So Steve, the plan doesn't address every single concern that Israel or Gulf Arab states like Saudi Arabia
and the United Arab Emirates have
about what would come next.
And they'll be needed to help fund the reconstruction,
but it would exclude Hamas from any governance
and Hamas says they agree to that.
Oh, interesting.
Aya, thanks so much.
Thank you, Steve.
That's NPR correspondent Aya Batraoui in Dubai.
And that's it first for this Friday, March 7th.
I'm Stephen Skeep.
And I'm Amy Martinez.
Now one of the impending legal battles for the Trump administration is over birthright
citizenship for people born in the U.S. whose parents are here without legal status.
Now at the center is a question that's centuries old.
Who is truly American and who gets to decide?
This weekend on the Sunday story from Up First,
we hear the origins of this question
through an 1898 court case that would transform the life
of one Chinese immigrant and generations to follow.
That's this Sunday right here in the Up First podcast feed.
Today's Up First was edited by Rafael Nam,
Roberta Rampton, Russell Lewis,
Alice Wolfley, and Mohammed El-Bardisi. It was
produced by Ziad Butch, Nia Dumas, and Christopher Thomas. We get engineering support from Nisha
Hines. Our technical director is Carly Strange. And let me give you one more name. Jay Shaler
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