Up First from NPR - Who Will Win at the Oscars

Episode Date: March 2, 2025

Tonight, big blockbuster films Dune: Part Two and Wicked are competing against critic favorites like The Brutalist, Nickel Boys and The Substance at the Academy Awards. With so many films out there it...'s hard to keep up, but the team at Pop Culture Happy Hour has seen them all and they are joining us today to share their predictions for who will be the big winners at this evening's ceremony.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

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Starting point is 00:00:00 I'm Ayesha Roscoe and this is the Sunday Story from Up First, where we go beyond the news of the day to bring you one big story. Tonight, Hollywood's biggest stars gather for the Academy Awards, the annual celebration of all things movies. If you've been listening to the Sunday Story for a while, you know I love horror movies, so I was happy to see the horror genre getting some love this year. The film The Substance was about the terrifying outcome of an age-reversing drug, and it's been nominated in five categories, including
Starting point is 00:00:38 Best Picture and Best Actress. And I also saw Conclave. It's a visually stunning film. Acting is amazing. It's about the selection of a new pope. I really love that one and of course I had to watch Wicked with my kids. We had a lot of fun. If you haven't seen it, you don't have to look to the western sky. That's in the movie. It's kind of a prequel to The Wizard of Oz, and it's got a whopping 10 nominations this year. Beyond that, I haven't been able to see many of the movies this year,
Starting point is 00:01:16 because I'm always working. But our friends over at Pop Culture Happy Hour have seen them all. It's their job. And we're going to hear their predictions coming up right after the break. This message comes from Wyse, the app for doing things in other currencies, sending or spending money abroad. Hidden fees may be taking a cut. With Wyse, you can convert between up to 40 currencies at the mid-market exchange rate. Visit wise.com, TNCs apply.
Starting point is 00:01:48 We're back with the Sunday story from Up First, and today we're sharing an excerpt of an episode from our friends at Pop Culture Happy Hour. It features all of their predictions of who will be the big winners at tonight's ceremony. A misunderstood witch, an unknowable singer-songwriter, a dejected TV personality, and the Dean of Cardinals will all walk into the Dolby Theatre on Sunday night. Because it's that time of year again.
Starting point is 00:02:16 Yes, it's the Oscars. It's an interesting crop of Best Picture, Director, and Acting nominees, and we're talking about who we think will win and who we think should take home those shiny gold statues. I'm Stephen Thompson. And I'm Ayesha Harris, and on this episode of NPR's Pop Culture Happy Hour, we're offering up a guide to this year's Oscars. Joining us today are our fellow Pop Culture Happy Hour hosts
Starting point is 00:02:40 Linda Holmes. Hey, Linda. Hello. And Glenn Weldon. Hey, Glenn. Hey, Ayesha. It Glenn Weldon. Hey, Glenn. Hey, Aisha. It's great to be here with all of you to talk about the Oscars for our big Oscar show. We are going to obviously spend some time on Best Picture first since that's the big ticket award of the night.
Starting point is 00:02:59 And a couple big blockbusters earned nominations. Stephen, do you want to set those up for us? Sure. We've got Wicked set before the events of The Wizard of Oz. This musical is the origin story of The Wicked Witch of the West. It stars Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo. Ah!
Starting point is 00:03:17 Ah! What a good clip, perfect clip. I knew that was gonna be the moment that we chose. Never let it be said that that movie does not end on a strong note. The other big, big, big blockbuster, you've got Dune Part II. Timothy Chalamet returns as Paul Atreides, who must now contend with a group called the Harkonnens who have seized control of the planet. May thy knife chip and shatter.
Starting point is 00:03:42 I was definitely thankful for those recaps for Dune Part One before I watched this one. Did you try to read the Wikipedia page about Dune Part One before going into Dune Part Two? Because I was more lost than I was going in. Try the books. If you think it's daunting, try the books. Yes, yes.
Starting point is 00:04:00 Well, okay, there's also a handful of smaller, but no less ambitious movies that were nominated. And to some degree, I think this crop, we all really liked and admired quite a few of these. So, Linda, can you give us the rundown on these films? Absolutely. Conclave is a fun and twisty look at the secretive process by which a pope is replaced.
Starting point is 00:04:21 Ralph Fiennes plays the cardinal leading the process. If you want to defeat the Deskwood... This is a conclave, Aldo. It's not a war. It is a war! And world's most smooth segue. In The Substance, Demi Moore plays an aerobics instructor who wants to stay in the spotlight, so she turns to a strange black market drug.
Starting point is 00:04:45 Remember, there is no she and you. You are one. Respect the balance and you won't have any more inconveniences. Yeah, exactly like picking a pope. It's basically the same thing. It's pretty much the same thing. Nickel Boys is the story of two black boys who form an unshakable bond
Starting point is 00:04:59 at a segregated reform school in the Jim Crow South. There are four ways out of nickel. Serve your time or age out. Quart, Mata, Naveen, if you believe in miracles. You could die. They could kill you. You could run. Those are all very different, but like I said,
Starting point is 00:05:18 very ambitious in their own ways. So it's nice to see them in the mix here, for sure. And then, of course, we've got the more traditional best picture nominees here. Glenn, tell us about this group. Yeah, we've got one of those biopics. A Complete Unknown, Timothy Shalomay playing a young Bob Dylan. The movie follows his rise in the music world. How many roads must a man walk down before you call him a man? Six.
Starting point is 00:05:50 Six is the answer. We've got the brutalist. Adrian Brody plays a fictional Jewish-Hungarian architect who relocates to the United States after World War II. I would like to draw something and present it to you. You'd like to win the commission. Yeah. And, you know, for the past several years,
Starting point is 00:06:11 we've seen international features nominating the best picture category. And so this year, I'm Still Here actually earned a nomination. It's set in 1970s Brazil, when it was under a military dictatorship. And it tells the story of a mother dealing with the disappearance of her politician husband. Where's my husband? Go away.
Starting point is 00:06:30 Get out of here. Go away. And finally, we've got two movies that have been making lots of waves. Waves. We're calling them waves now. OK. We'll talk a little bit more about that in a second.
Starting point is 00:06:42 But they've been on the scene since way back at Cannes, the Cannes Film Festival last spring. Stephen, what have we got here? Well, we've got Anora, Sean Baker's movie about an enterprising sex worker who marries the immature son of Russian oligarchs. So you want to get married to me, Vanya? You want me to be your little wifey? Yeah? Pfft.
Starting point is 00:07:04 Yes. Giz. This accent. Yes! And then there's Emilia Perez. It is about a trans-Mexican cartel boss who disappears from the criminal underworld and eventually reunites with her family after creating a new life as a woman. Changing the body changes society. Changing society changes the soul. Changing the soul changes society, changing society changes it all.
Starting point is 00:07:30 Ufta. Okay. Okay. Well, before we truly dig into who we think will and should win here, it's important for us to sort of briefly touch on the controversies that have arisen during award season. There's the big one. Very soon after the nominations were announced in January,
Starting point is 00:07:49 some old racist and Islamophobic tweets made by Amelia Paris star, Carla Sofia Gascon, resurfaced by journalist Sarah Hoggy. Now in those tweets, the actress used slurs and other disparaging language to refer to a wide range of demographics and people, including Muslims, Chinese people, and George Floyd. Gascon apologized via an official Netflix statement, but continued to discuss it in interviews, and she suggested there was some kind of larger
Starting point is 00:08:16 conspiracy at work against her. Now, to a lesser degree, the Amelia Perez team has also faced some flak for using AI cloning to widen Gascon's singing range. Amelia Perez led the Oscars race this year with 13 nominations. But I'm actually curious if you all think that these controversies have impacted this film's chance of taking home Best Picture. Linda, let's start with you and what you think will win. Well, I do think that these controversies are going to affect Amelia Perez,
Starting point is 00:08:45 and that's partly because I think there are a lot of people who had a lot of misgivings about this movie anyway, and these controversies have sort of given them an opportunity to say, okay, cool, I'm gonna rule that one out then. I think if people were more excited about the movie, it probably would have less of an effect, but I do think that is likely to have an effect,
Starting point is 00:09:03 and that left me predicting that the brutalist would win best picture. It is kind of the most traditional Oscar Z movie remaining. It is a heavy historical drama. It has a really strong lead performance from Adrian Brody, who's kind of a very beloved awards Z type of actor. You know, the director, Brady Corbet has been widely praised for making it on a relatively small budget compared to its sweep.
Starting point is 00:09:30 And despite the fact that there have been a couple of questions raised about use of AI, I think those things are gonna fall away and I think the brutalist will win. Just to back up a little bit, in case you haven't heard about the AI controversy around the Brutalists, leads Adrian Brody and Felicity Jones were reportedly their voices were fed into some AI software.
Starting point is 00:09:53 And director Brady Corbett said in a statement that only their Hungarian dialogue was enhanced by the AI. But also the film's editor said that generative AI was used as inspiration for some of the architectural drawings that are done by Adrian Brody's character. So Stephen, what are your thoughts on what will win? I feel almost word-for-word the same way Linda does. I feel that The Brutalist is gonna wind up reaping a lot of the benefit of some of the blowback against Emilia Petis. It's a great man, historical epic,
Starting point is 00:10:25 running more than three and a half hours in length. What could be more Oscars than that? Yeah, yeah. I mean, one thing I will note is that it's also important to remember that the Oscars are ultimately decided through rank choice voting. And so it doesn't have to be everyone's favorite film. It just has to be enough people's,
Starting point is 00:10:43 maybe even second favorite film. And, it just has to be enough people's, maybe even second favorite film. And I think that is maybe what hurts Emilia Pettis the most. There may be a passionate contingent putting it first, but there are going to be a lot of people who rank it 10th. Uh, not just me, and I'm not even an Oscar voter. Yeah. But see, I think the ranked choice voting is gonna help Enora. I think a lot of people feel very favorably disposed
Starting point is 00:11:05 toward that film. If they don't rank it first, they're gonna rank it second or third. I think the buzz around Enora has been growing. I think this is a real chance for a scrappy little movie like Enora to take it home. Yeah, and that's where you and I align, Glenn. I also think Enora is going to win.
Starting point is 00:11:20 It won the Producers Guild of America Awards, and since 2010, every winner of the PGA award has also won Best Picture with three exceptions. And then there was also one year where there was a tie between Gravity and 12 Years a Slave. 12 Years a Slave wound up winning the Oscars. So, like, I feel like the odds are kind of in Enora's favor, but we shall see.
Starting point is 00:11:42 So, we all said who we think will win, but like, who do we think should win? For me, I think a Nora should win. I think it is, to me, the correct choice, in part because it subverts expectations around genre. You think it's gonna be some sort of like, sort of crime movie, but it's also a family comedy and a screwball comedy and a drama.
Starting point is 00:12:04 And it just feels like a movie that's of the moment sort of crime movie, but it's also a family comedy and a screwball comedy and a drama. And it just feels like a movie that's of the moment in a way that most of the other films in this pack do not land for me. It normalizes this depiction of sex work. It also has this very matter of fact take on capitalism that I don't think is either subtle, but it's not preachy either. It's just very resonant. You've just got me piggybacking off people who share my opinions. Yay.
Starting point is 00:12:28 I agree. Now, there are several other films in this field that I really dearly love. And I could make a case for Conclave. I could strangely make a case for The Substance. In spite of some plot issues that I had with it, a movie that has really stuck with me and I suspect will continue to stick with me,
Starting point is 00:12:42 but Anora to me is made with such verve. For me, it just felt like such a victory lap for Sean Baker, who's been making great movies for a long time now, without necessarily a ton of major awards consideration. For me, this is a film that I really dug. Again, I'm going to keep harping on this point, it's not a typical Oscar movie. Mm, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:13:08 Well, Linda, I know you were not a huge fan of this, and we don't have to get into why. And also, like, I love that we have different opinions on this show. So I am curious as to what you think should win. I ultimately went with Nickel Boys. It's the one that I thought was the most emotionally rich and satisfying. It's also the one that I thought was the most emotionally rich
Starting point is 00:13:25 and satisfying. It's also the one that I think was the most innovative in terms of filmmaking. People have talked a lot about the first person point of view, camera work here from the director, Rommel Ross. I think that's really interesting. I think there are some very interesting decisions about what to give away and what to withhold.
Starting point is 00:13:45 I think he got some really wonderful work out of the actors in this film. If we're gonna have a big party where we honor people making movies, I want it to be something like this. Um, you know, for me, everything else, there was some reason not to pick it, whether it was, you know, controversy or, you know,
Starting point is 00:14:02 for me, the Enora thing of sex workers who sort of turn out to just want to be hugged, to me, is not that interesting and actually is a pretty familiar trope from film. This is what I picked, I picked Nickel Boys. As did I, I thought I was gonna be out here all alone, but I join you, Linda. I think, I'd like to see the Academy rewarding
Starting point is 00:14:21 any innovation, any tweaking of the format. And it's not just that it's told from, you know, through the character's eyes, the use of that could have easily been just a distracting gimmick, right? But it's used so smartly to serve the story and to serve the emotions of the story. And not for nothing, this film has a closing montage that's like five, 10 minutes long
Starting point is 00:14:42 that also could have been confusing, disorienting, but the director, Rommel Ross, is going back to his experimental film roots. That montage took you by the hand. It guided you along in such a confident and assured way. You knew exactly what was happening, which is yet another reason the fact that we didn't get a nomination for directing or cinematography or editing.
Starting point is 00:15:00 Cinematography. Yeah. How did this not get nominated for cinematography? You know, what are we awarding here? Outstanding achievement of these 10 films. This is the outstanding achievement. or editing cinematography. Yeah. How did this not get nominated for cinematography? What are we awarding here, outstanding achievement of these 10 films? This is the outstanding achievement. I would be so happy to see this
Starting point is 00:15:11 when it has stayed with me months later and I think it's just such a beautiful film that I need to rewatch. I definitely need to rewatch and I think it rewards a rewatch. So, and we should also note that Nickel Boys is actually released by Amazon MGM Studios and Amazon supports NPR and Pace distributes some of our content.
Starting point is 00:15:33 You're listening to The Sunday Story. More Oscar predictions when we come back. We're back with The Sunday Story from Up First as we hear more Oscar predictions from the team over at Pop Culture Happy Hour. So another note I want to make is that we are going to be making these next predictions before the Screen Actor Guild Awards have come out at the time of this recording. So ordinarily, as I did with the best picture, I would have kind of like dug into my, my back and looked, Oh, who won SAG awards?
Starting point is 00:16:10 And that would have helped inform my opinions here. We're just out here being brave. That's all. We're being brave. We're out here naked, just sheets of the wind. We're doing that. How would we ever make an accurate prediction from this field? I have no idea.
Starting point is 00:16:24 So let's move on to the acting categories, and let's start with the lead actress category. Steven, who is nominated here? Cynthia Erivo for Wicked. Erivo plays Elphaba in this origin story about the wicked witch of the West. Ah, sorry. You just gotta, every time, every time.
Starting point is 00:16:42 Fernanda Torres for I'm Still Here. Torres plays Torres plays a mother and activist whose life is upturned when her politician husband goes missing during the military dictatorship in Brazil. Mikey Madison for Anora. Madison plays a New York sex worker who marries the son of Russian oligarchs. Carla Sofia Gascon for Amelia Perez. Gascon plays the titular Amelia Perez,
Starting point is 00:17:04 a trans cartel leader who leaves the criminal underworld to begin a new life. She's the first openly trans actress or actor of any gender nominated in an acting category. And then we've got the presumed front runner, Aisha, I don't think you need the SAG awards to predict this one, Demi Moore for the substance. Moore plays a TV aerobics instructor
Starting point is 00:17:24 who turns to a mysterious black market drug to stay young. I need you because I hate myself. You got to get ready. It's our big night. Come on, they're going to love you so much. All right. I'm pretty sure that we all think Demi Moore is going to walk away with this award.
Starting point is 00:17:48 Linda, why do you think she'll win? Well, I mean, some of it is just forecasting based on, you know, awards already won and sort of critical reaction already received. But also, I think she has exactly the kind of story that often does well at the Oscars. Demi Moore has been around for a really long time. She talked about this at the Golden Globes. She was originally kind of pigeonholed as a like a pop movie actress as she put it a popcorn actress and
Starting point is 00:18:15 I think she's been really good in a number of different things for a long time but not the kinds of things that necessarily got her awards recognition. You know, first of all people tend to think it's very brave when you go through some sort of body transformation and do something that looks ugly and gross, especially if you are a woman who came up as a kind of conventionally beautiful woman. So that tends to weigh in her favor. I also think she's just one of those people who's worked with a gazillion people over the course of her career who all seem to have a reasonable amount of
Starting point is 00:18:47 affection for her. She doesn't seem to be somebody who has for some reason made enemies in her long time in Hollywood. And sometimes that really helps just to have been around forever, acting with a ton of people, working in a ton of projects. I think that's gonna do it. I think she will win. Yeah. If you're looking for any kind of dark horse in this race, in terms of somebody who has the potential to win, I wouldn't 100% rule out Fernanda Torres, who gives a pretty magnificent performance in I'm Still Here,
Starting point is 00:19:15 who really carries that film, and who is a very, again, a veteran actress who has done a ton of great work. I don't think she will win against Demi Moore, but this is definitely one of the most heralded performances of the year and one that I could see slipping through. Well, and I do want to add, you know, it's easy now to look at this and be like, oh yeah, it's
Starting point is 00:19:37 going to be Demi Moore, obviously ho hum, but like go back to reading this script, right? Absolutely. Go back to the moment when this script shows up and you look at it and it's like, I mean, now it feels like she's just, Demi Moore is gonna cakewalk to the best actress Oscar for this horror movie in which she winds up
Starting point is 00:19:55 as a blob of tissue by the end of the, I mean. So Catherine Hepburn did it. The unlikelihood of getting recognized for horror, the unlikelihood of getting recognized for horror, the unlikelihood of getting recognized for something as strange as this movie is, this is not something you would take thinking, like, I'm gonna cakewalk to an Oscar for playing this part. Now, Glenn, who do you think should win the award?
Starting point is 00:20:16 I think I have a sense of who you're thinking here. Yeah, it's to me. It's Will and should. I mean, for all the reasons we've talked about. Plus, it's the only shot this very weird movie has at a major award, one of the big five. So, yeah, let's to me, it's will and should. I mean, for all the reasons we've talked about. Plus, it's the only shot this very weird movie has at a major award, one of the big five. So yeah, let's give it. I absolutely think she's deserving, and I will be thrilled if she wins.
Starting point is 00:20:33 However, in this category, I decided to go with Cynthia Erivo, and I'll tell you why. Yeah, I get that. Wicked has sort of fallen out of most of the major Oscar conversations at this point in its life. And I think that's a shame because I don't think it's a perfect movie. I think a lot of its charm comes from the source material and the performances. But to me, the last 15 to 20 minutes of that film,
Starting point is 00:20:59 which include obviously Defying Gravity, which obviously became immediately a meme and a TikTok sound, and, you know, there were things of like a dog on a broomstick going up into the sky with, -"It's me!" -♪ It's me! -♪ It's me! -♪ I think that sequence is good enough that that is what a movie star who is a good actor is supposed to do, and when you put on top of it the fact that I think it is a hell of a performance of a really good song,
Starting point is 00:21:30 like, what am I asking for, right? Like, what am I asking people for if not this? What am I rewarding if not this? I pick Cynthia Revo. I have no regrets. None at all. I love it. I love that. Solid pick. Steven, who do you think should win? I went with Mikey Madison for Enora.
Starting point is 00:21:45 I think the movie falls apart if she doesn't give a great performance. I think she manages to bring just huge amounts of charisma and energy. This performance could so easily have dipped into caricature and maybe Linda thinks it did dip into caricature. I don't know. But I really found this to be just like a very vibrant and committed performance from somebody I can't wait to see in more movies.
Starting point is 00:22:10 No, I think she's wonderful. I think she is absolutely wonderful. I think the charisma that you talk about is 100% real. My issue is with the ending. I think the ending sells out the character and sells out what the movie was doing at the beginning, but it's only the ending that irritated me. I get that. Yeah. I get that.
Starting point is 00:22:25 Yeah, I get that. I mean, Stephen, you and I are aligned. I also would really love to see Mikey Madison take this home. I've been a huge fan of hers ever since she was in Better Things, the great Pamela Adlon show as one of her daughters. I've seen some criticisms of the film as being, like, a movie where we don't learn much about the Mikey Madison character and that she's just this one-note, you know, sex worker. And I disagree with that hard.
Starting point is 00:22:51 I think that just because we don't learn every single detail about her backstory, that doesn't mean that she's not a fully realized character. I think that there are just these so many great moments and interactions that hint at both her social class, her status in life. And I think the ending actually is one of the great endings. But look, we're not here to deliberate that. I'm just here to say that I loved Mikey Madison and look,
Starting point is 00:23:18 I'd be happy if Cynthia Erivo won. I'd also be happy if Demi Moore won. I probably had my Anora expectations raised too high. That's probably part of what happened. So that's also possible. All right, well, let's move on to the nominations for actor in a leading role. Glenn, why don't you set that up for us? Sure.
Starting point is 00:23:35 We've got Coleman Domingo for Sing Sing. Domingo plays an incarcerated man who finds purpose by acting in a theater troupe. We've got Ray Fiennes for Conclave. Fiennes plays the Cardinal, who is managing the process of finding a new pope. We've got Sebastian Staniennes for Conclave. Fiennes plays the Cardinal, who is managing the process of finding a new pope. We've got Sebastian Stan for The Apprentice. Stan plays a young Donald Trump, establishing his career
Starting point is 00:23:50 in real estate and his relationship with the attorney Roy Cohn. And then we have the two presumed front runners, Adrian Brody, as we've talked about for The Brutalist. Brody plays a visionary Hungarian architect who moves to America to rebuild his life after World War II. And Timothy Chalamet for A Complete Unknown. He plays Bob Dylan.
Starting point is 00:24:06 All right, so I'm gonna go first here because I guess I'm the only one who is convinced that Timothee is probably gonna pull off a Rami Malek here. I was looking at sort of this entire crop of nominees, and unlike with the best actress category, there's not really any that are like transformative in like the traditional way. Yes, like in the Gary Oldman as Winston Churchill, or, you know, the whale, Brendan Fraser, like that kind of thing, Dicaprio and the Revenant,
Starting point is 00:24:38 like that's not happening here. And so I think for me, we can never underestimate the enthusiasm of the Academy's boomer and rockist membership. As well as its tendency to love actors who play real people. Again, Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody, Will Smith in King Richard, Gary Oldman, Killian Murphy, Daniel Day-Lewis, Colin Firth, on and on and on. Like, over the last 15, 20 years, a lot of the winners in this category have been playing real people.
Starting point is 00:25:08 And I don't know if the Dylan Cosplay on SNL hurt or helped Xiao Wei's chances. I think maybe it's possible they just kind of neutralized them. I feel as though Timothy has a very good shot, and I would not be surprised to see him lined up with the Oscar. I think one thing I would add to that is that he has been campaigning his rear end off for months and months and that does come into play.
Starting point is 00:25:36 I mean you talked about SNL where he appeared on SNL as the host and the musical guest performing Dylan songs. Like he is really trying to win this award, and that does factor in. But for him to win, he would have to escape the gravity well of Adrian Brody in The Brutalist, which is the uber-traditional choice. You watch that movie, and his performance
Starting point is 00:25:59 is a series of Oscar clips. You keep waiting for them to cut away to him sitting in the audience and people clapping around. It's impressive, but it's the default choice. Listen, I like little Timmy. I think if little Timmy is going to win an Oscar this year for either of the two snotty little megalomaniacs that he played in movies this year,
Starting point is 00:26:15 it's obviously it will be this one. Sunsets and seagulls, smell of buttercups. Your signs are like an oil painting at the dentist's office. -♪ METAL MUSIC PLAYING ON RADIO PLAYS, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, BEEPING, with Glenn that the Brody performance is more, you know, traditionally Oscar-y. I think the Academy loves him. That's the direction I think they're going to go. I'm the only one here. I'm standing alone here on my Club Chalamet boat. Look, I think Timothee Chalamet is going to win an Oscar at some point.
Starting point is 00:26:58 I'm not sure if it's for this film. I'm a little higher on this film than Linda is. I really love really all three of the central performances in this film, I'm a little higher on this film than Linda is. I really love really all three of the central performances in this film. For me, I mean, Adrian Brody, it is a great Oscar-winning performance. He's terrific in it. Even if I think that film kind of careened off the rails in that second half, his performance is so solid at the center of it that it never crashes into the ditch. Steven, we are going to have to have a beer sometime and discuss how you are anti-traditional Oscar movies
Starting point is 00:27:27 and pro a complete unknown. Thank you. I have been trying to make these things connect for ever since I found out how much he likes this very boring movie. But we're gonna have a beer. It's not for today. Not for today. We're gonna have a beer and have it out. There's not as much contradiction there as you think.
Starting point is 00:27:41 Mystified. I think Brody will and should, but I do wanna put in a word for that Coleman Domingo performance, which I think is magnificent in Sing Sing. A movie I would have loved to have seen in the Best Picture field. I think it's a terrific performance and a very, very good movie. Well, Stephen, you're happy because I picked
Starting point is 00:27:57 Coleman Domingo for Should Win. I think he makes that film a hell of a lot more compelling than it could have been. On paper, after all, it is, let's face it, a feel-good movie about the carceral state. I just get itchy whenever there's any kind of narrative, any kind of marginalized group, and the narrative is, well, at least they have Shakespeare.
Starting point is 00:28:15 You know, I just, that rubs me the wrong way. I don't think that's what that movie does. No, not at all. He is the reason that a film that could have been about, you know, this very tidy kind of neoliberal uplift has any real grit in the gears at all. He is the reason that a film that could have been about, you know, this very tidy kind of neoliberal uplift has any real grit in the gears at all. He's the thing that makes it work. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:28:31 I just wanna point out they're not staging Hamlet. Yeah, they're not. They're staging their own weirdo show that has like a little tiny smidgen. There's mummies, there's time traveling. Yeah. You're missing the point. Hamlet is a small thing.
Starting point is 00:28:41 It's not that they're staging Hamlet. Hamlet is just a tiny part of that bonkers production. It also has Freddy Krueger. Yeah. Yes. I also chose Colman Domingo. I think this is a spectacular performance. First of all, I think he's possibly our most charismatic and reliable actor working right now for me.
Starting point is 00:28:56 I would not disagree with that. He is perhaps the actor most able to elevate literally anything, but I don't actually think he has to here because I think this is a wonderful film. And I will also say we talk a lot about sort of what I would consider to be like side factors that affect not wanting to vote for things, whether it's AI or it's controversy or something like that.
Starting point is 00:29:17 I will freely admit there are some side factors here that make me root for this film, including a lot of the actors in it are, in fact, formerly incarcerated people who were part of this program, some of whom worked on the story. They also had a really interesting, and I encourage you to read about this, I won't explain the whole thing, but a really interesting compensation scheme
Starting point is 00:29:39 in which everybody sort of got paid the same to work on the film, no matter who they were. So I love this movie. It should have been nominated for Best Picture. I rate that it wasn't. which everybody sort of got paid the same to work on the film, no matter who they were. So I love this movie. It should have been nominated for Best Picture. I rate that it wasn't. And Coleman Domingo rules and is king forever, so... Yeah. Look, in a just world, Clarence Macklin,
Starting point is 00:29:56 who is one of the other performers in this movie, and a formerly incarcerated person who contributed to the storytelling of this film, would have also been up here in this category because he, to me, gives just as good of a performance. But I am glad that Coleman Domingo is here, and I am with you both, Glenn and Linda, that I think he should win. So it sounds like Glenn, Linda, and I are for...
Starting point is 00:30:20 Coleman Domingo. Say it. We're right. You've actually fully talked me into this. I was on the fence. Unanimous, pro-Coleman Domingo, bullying for the win. No, you know what? If you're gonna bully me in any direction, bully me in the direction of Coleman Domingo,
Starting point is 00:30:34 who's genuinely one of the best actors in the world. A late stage change in the numbers. Four for Coleman Domingo. A deathbed conversion, yes. That brings us to the end of this big Oscars extravaganza show. Four for Coleman Domingo. A deathbed conversion, yes. That brings us to the end of this big Oscars extravaganza show. Glenn Weldon, Stephen Thompson, and Linda Holmes,
Starting point is 00:30:52 thanks so much for being here. We all owe each other beers at this point. Oh, absolutely. We'll make it happen. Absolutely. Thank you, Ayesha. Thank you. Beers and fights.
Starting point is 00:31:00 Thank you, friend. If you'd like to hear more discussion about this year's Oscars, check out the full episode on the Pop Culture Happy Hour podcast, available wherever you get your podcast. This episode was produced by Liz Metzger and Andrew Mambo. It was edited by Jessica Reedy and Jenny Schmidt. The Sunday Story team includes Justine Yan and Liana Simstrom. Irene Noguchi is our executive producer. Up first, we'll be back tomorrow with all the news you need to start your week.
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