We Can Do Hard Things with Glennon Doyle - 100 Days of Trump: What to Know, What to Do & What’s Coming Next | Jessica Yellin
Episode Date: May 1, 2025407. 100 Days of Trump: What to Know, What to Do & What’s Coming Next | Jessica Yellin Amanda and Webby Award Winning Journalist, Jessica Yellin, dive deep into the first 100 days of Trump's seco...nd term in office, discussing the implications of his administration's actions and policies. -The importance of the first 100 days in a presidency—and what Trump’s actions during that time reveal. -How proposed Medicaid cuts are tied to tax breaks for the wealthy.-The dire consequences of RFK Jr. and DOGE on our healthcare system-Why denying due process to anyone endangers due process for everyone.-What actions you can take now to drive change—and why waiting on Congress isn't an option. Jessica Yellin is the founder of News Not Noise, a pioneering Webby award-winning independent news brand -- dedicated to helping you manage your “information overload.” She is the former chief White House correspondent for CNN and an Emmy, Peabody and Gracie Award-winning political correspondent. You can follow her on Instagram at Jessica Yellin. And also, to get real time, clear and brilliant reporting, go to substack.com and search for her page newsnotnoise and subscribe there. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome back to We Can Do Hard Things and Jessica Yelin and I are here to say you did
it.
Congratulations.
You did the hard thing of surviving the first 100 days of the Trump administration.
This is the landmark occasion that we are talking about today, both why is everyone
talking about the first 100 days, what does it mean, and what we can extrapolate from
that to expect
of the next 1600 days. It's okay, it's okay, just chunk it day by day.
So Jessica.
Hi.
Thank you for always being here
and telling us what we need to know
and not telling us what we don't need to know.
So we don't have to crowd our heads
with unnecessary anxiety that we can just know what we need to know
and what is useful and helpful to the world.
So thank you.
I don't know how to say,
I don't wanna say happy first hundred days.
I wanna say I'm happy to see you.
I'm happy to be alive at the same time as you
as we endure and persevere.
That is a very sweet sentiment.
Thank you.
I'm happy to have this time when we can digest together because sometimes it gets a little
intense doing all this work out here.
Yeah.
So yeah, you're in it every, every day in the weeds of it.
And then we appreciate you coming to synthesize with us what it means in context.
So okay. appreciate you coming to synthesize with us what it means in context. So, okay, I would like to start with,
it seems like everyone in the world is saying,
first hundred days, first hundred days.
And so can you talk to us about why
it seems a little bit of an arbitrary marker of time?
So tell us why hundred days matters,
why do we care, Why is it everywhere? So just going back, the idea of a first 100 days benchmark
came about from Franklin D. Roosevelt's presidency.
In 1933, he gave, I think it was in a radio address
where he talked about the first 100 days.
He was referring to Congress,
but it's come to refer to the president's first hundred days. He was referring to Congress, but it's come to refer to the
president's first hundred days to see how much they can get done in a 100-day period. In other
words, like, this is the period in which we're going to sign bills, issue executive orders,
launch our major programs, and have a real impact. And it's because Roosevelt did actually succeed
in doing all those things to a very different end.
He, it was all meant to address the Great Depression and he launched the New Deal,
which is what Trump's still taking apart. It's kind of become this idea other politicians have used
and other presidents to say, this is a period in time when you're going to measure how effectively I do my job and
understand what are the key aspects of my agenda, am I hitting my promised goals, and
how will the public react to what I've given them.
So everybody kind of looks at a president's first hundred days as this honeymoon period
where even in different kinds of presidencies, members of Congress are less likely to push back,
outsiders are less likely to be critical.
It's sort of this time when you give the president space
to enact his agenda and will.
Okay, so it's like, all right, you got elected,
let's see what you'll do.
Let's see what your plan is.
We'll kind of observe in a way, which if the purpose of Congress during
this period is passive observance, they are nailing it.
This is our shot to kind of say, who are you?
This is like the Tinder profile.
Right.
It's your trial period on the job.
Okay.
Now, there's nothing legal about this.
And traditionally, it would not mean that Congress should not step in if the president is, say,
violating the law.
So I'm not trying to suggest that.
It's just this way we in politics make sense
of how to evaluate and assess and measure a president's
success with his agenda and with the public.
And effectiveness effectiveness really.
Like when it comes down to it,
it's interesting what you said about Congress
because it's become this benchmark for presidencies.
But when FDR was talking about it,
he wasn't even talking about it as his presidency.
It was the first hundred days after Congress gets here
in my presidency, this is everything we're gonna do together
for the American people.
And then they passed and he signed dozens
of pieces of legislation during that period.
Which is a crucial distinction, like we can emphasize.
One thing we've seen after a hundred days
is Trump has enacted most of his agenda using force,
i.e. executive orders, not the actual system.
He's barely passed legislation.
This is so interesting.
Okay, let's just take a beat on the legislation piece
because it seems like if you were just measuring
your nervous system, you'd be like,
Trump is doing so much, so much has happened.
But when we look at the actual legislation
in Trump 1.0, in his first administration,
in the first 100 days, he signed 28 laws.
The low record before him of the least number of laws was Bush, right?
Bush signed seven in 2001.
My read is that Trump has signed five pieces of legislation, including one that was passed
before he took office.
Is that right?
You know, I actually don't know the real number,
but what matters in my view is you can sign
a lot of pieces of legislation that are like,
you know, rename this post office,
but are you getting the big stuff done?
You know, in Obama's first 100 days,
he focused on a stimulus package
that was meant to save the economy
from falling into a great depression.
So even if you get one, and Trump's comparable piece of legislation is this tax plan and
budget bill, which is a hard thing to pass because his margins are tiny and there's a
lot of controversial stuff in there.
And that's the kind of thing you want to get done in the first hundred days when you're
at the max of your power as president. So what I'm really assessing is how much meaningful legislation has
he passed? Has he done the big thing he came here to do? And it's part way there but still floundering.
Got it. So this is like Biden passes the $1.9 trillion
Corona relief package.
Obama does a stimulus package.
This is the time where you're gonna wanna put
your best foot forward on the legislation you want.
Why hasn't he gotten his past?
Yes, this is the piece of legislation that,
if you look at Trump's donor base,
this is what they want.
His Wall Street donors, his small business donors, his big
business donors, farmers, they all have something in this bill that sort of is the reason they put
him in office and the thing that his team can say back to them, we delivered. We also, you know,
immigration and all these other pieces are part of what he promised. But this tax and budget plan
is what his biggest donors wanted him to do, because it's meant to cut taxes to business
and offer all sorts of protections to big business, as well as individuals, wealthy individuals,
and change our system in a lot of ways that benefit that donor base.
It also is because it really benefits the wealthy at the expense of everyone else,
it's a hard piece of legislation to pass.
And so Trump has to pass it just with Republican votes in order to do that
because of the elaborate way Congress works.
He has to pay for some of the revenue that will be lost. And there's
this huge hole. How are they going to pay for it? They're not talking about it. But
one of the reasons everyone's saying is Medicaid will be cut is because there's this huge hole
that has to be funded. And the most obvious way to fund that at this point is by cutting
Medicaid. And it's going to be hard to find enough members of Congress who want to cut Medicaid because it quite literally means rural voters, many people throughout the country
will go without healthcare. I can't emphasize this enough. The governor of Kentucky just said,
if they cut Medicaid, rural hospitals will close, rural healthcare will end. And that's just part of
the picture. Because that's not something a member of Congress should do,
many of them don't want to, and so it's hard to pass.
There are other aspects of it
that are equally difficult pills to swallow,
but that's the most clear one,
and that's why Trump's having a hard time getting the votes.
So instead of spending the last hundred days
either finding more reasonable pay-fors,
figuring out how to adjust this package, take down some of the tax cuts, whatever,
he's expended all this political capital doing things like tariffs and immigration raids that
are frankly wildly unpopular. And so it makes it even harder for Congress to pass this big package.
So I say all this because it looks like Trump's been extremely busy and he has, but it's a
little bit like there's been a lot of chaos doing a lot of executive orders that have
undermined his popularity while he's failed to deliver the main thing he said he would,
you know, these people put in office to do.
And he comes out of a hundred days with a big question mark, you know, how does he get
the rest done and where do we go from here?
Got it.
Okay.
So I was wondering why everyone is talking about Medicaid, et cetera.
And that's because if I'm understanding what you're saying, Trump swears to God, he's going
to give the rich people tax cuts.
This is what he wants to do. In order to do that,
Congress, the way it works, won't let you just pass tax cuts without making up the revenue on
the other side. The revenue he needs to make up is like 800 billion. It's a gigantic amount.
And so people are deducing from that either Trump doesn't get his tax cuts or
something gigantic needs to be cut, which is why the conversation about Medicaid.
Correct. And some say in private, Medicaid.
And the fact that some people are saying it. Okay, got it. All right. Well, we like to not
take Trump at his word. We like to say he's joking until he does every single thing he says he's going to do.
Okay, so if he has not achieved the legislation that he promised, it has seemed very chaotic
and busy.
And so that is a result of the unprecedented level of executive orders. Like this is where the chaos,
the feeling that everything is changing
without any actual legislation happening
is a result of the executive orders.
I would like to just, I didn't know this,
so I just wanna make sure folks understand
the historical context of executive orders
versus prior administrations.
So Trump, in his first hundred days, signed 142 executive orders.
In his first hundred days of his first administration, he signed 33.
That is more than four times.
To compare this to other Republican presidents, the number he has signed
in his first hundred days of this administration is 12 times more than the number signed by
Bush and eight times more than Reagan. This is significant. What does this say to you?
It's a couple of things. One is he's trying to be an imperial president. I'll explain
what that means. And two is he doesn't want to work with others. And three is he's trying to be an imperial president. I'll explain what that means. And two is he doesn't wanna work with others.
And three is he's doing unpopular things
that he can't get done by working with others.
So stepping back, presidents did not use
to use executive orders in this way.
They were infrequent and much more tame.
That's because you're meant to work
with the other branch of government
to pass things
through legislation for a lot of reasons. But two main ones are it's durable once you pass a law
that lasts. When you sign an executive order, the minute the next president's in, they can cancel
that executive order, which is exactly what each of the last two presidents have done.
Right, exactly. Biden did it to first Trump. Trump just, I think he rescinded 78 of Biden's
on the first day or something.
And the other piece is, I said that he doesn't want to work with others. We have a Congress,
because the Congress is the voice of the people. You know, it's meant to represent
in the Senate, the states, and in the House, much more individual, like local level voices.
And that's supposed to be a check on a king-like persona running the government,
so that yes, the president can propose things, but he sends it over to Congress,
and the voice of the people decides ultimately do the people want this or not.
And by circumventing that, Trump is basically overruling, not letting the people's representatives
have a say. This has nothing to do with like whether Congress is,
you know, Congress can do its own thing
and they're failing to, right?
We get that.
But at the same time, Trump is just steamrolling.
And one of the things that I think as an observation,
as we step back and look at the first hundred days
and what does all this mean,
one of the pieces of information I've gained
through reporting is that even inside the White House and Trump circles,
they've been surprised by how much they've been able to do and how far they've been able to go,
both in, I'm going to use the word, invading the agencies through data and servers, which we can talk about,
and also doing these executive orders with limited congressional pushback.
They basically had a dream wish list
of stuff they'd love to be able to enact,
hoping they'd get some of it.
And they've gone a lot of the way through.
And so there's a lot of reasons behind that,
but I think it's an important thing to note and understand.
And we're gonna have to look
in the next hundred days beyond this, you know,
after this point, how much will Congress start to look in the next 100 days beyond this, you know, after this point,
how much will Congress start to push back the courts and also importantly, the people?
One of the most surprising things is we're not seeing, yes, we're seeing protests.
I don't mean to diminish who is going out or what is happening, but we are not seeing mass, mass,
like protests in the streets like you see in Europe, where hundreds of thousands
of people are marching all the time saying, we will not take this.
Yeah.
One of the things I wanted to talk about today in terms of just like stepping back and saying
if you try to place yourself not as you know a frog that is slowly boiling in water but
if you just acted like you were seeing this for the first time what would be your big
takeaway your biggest shock, your biggest concern.
And mine has a lot to do with what you talked about
with the king-like manner of things here.
But I wanna hear what you,
there's myriad assessments you can have here.
But when you think about this 100 days,
like what is your key concern, key hope, whatever it is?
Like what did you wake up thinking about?
That's a great question.
There's two levels of things.
One is the actual stuff he's doing,
and then what this tells us about who's in charge,
where we're going, and what's possible next.
In terms of stuff he's doing, you know, for me,
it's the way we're treating human beings in
these camps. You know, today Reuters had an image of some of the undocumented people who are in a
detention camp in the US, not folks in El Salvador, but in Texas, who in their exercise break are
outdoors and they have red uniforms, I guess, and they formed the word SOS in the
sky so the drones can see it. And I, as a person who grew up studying, you know, concentration
camps and camps and internment and always wondered how do people let this happen knowing
it's happened and they don't make it stop. I have a hard time sleeping understanding
that we're doing this to people. To be clear, I have Republicans in my audience,
I have people who want our immigration system enforced.
That's fine.
I understand we can enforce our laws.
Doesn't mean you treat people subhuman.
So to me, I find that no matter how you wanna deal
with the immigration issue more broadly,
that part keeps me up at night.
Can I stop you right there for a second?
Because I think what you just said is so crucial,
not only the humanity of it, but you said,
that's fine, we can enforce our laws.
But what's happening is not that.
I mean, what I find most concerning,
most, what feels most divergent to me
about this administration from our collective history
which has been deeply problematic
and I'm not idealizing it in the least,
is this incredible departure from
and blatant desire to disregard our laws.
I mean, the whole idea, like what feels so interesting
to me and it feels, they feel very dovetailed
is this complete agenda of retribution.
I mean, he did not hide the ball about this.
He said in 2023 when he was running, he said to his people, I am your warrior.
I am your justice.
I am your retribution.
That was his goal coming in.
And the way that that has manifested is the seizing of power through these executive orders of orders and punishing using the office, using the power to punish anyone who has an
ideal or value or sense of conscience beyond unquestioning loyalty to him.
And the reason I think this is significant besides the massive impact it has on people,
and we should talk about those things,
those actual targeted campaigns of using the full power
of the American system against an individual
whose only crime was disloyalty to Trump.
Beyond that, it becomes very difficult
because if your only law,
your only standard is retribution and loyalty,
you have to break the rule of law. You have to replace the rule of law with the rule of loyalty
in order to make that happen. And that is my big concern is that, you know, among these executive
orders, we have Miles Taylor, He served in the first administration.
The only thing he did was write an op-ed calling Trump an amoral agent of chaos.
There was an executive order directly about Miles Taylor recommending the Department of
Defense to investigate him.
Trump said he was guilty of treason.
Chris Krebs, who everyone remember, remember when everything was going on with the 2020
election where Trump said it was all rigged.
Chris Krebs was his head of cybersecurity.
He came out, did his job for the American people and said, these elections were free
and fair.
And there was an executive order directly about Chris Krebs investigating him. Now he,
he's a person who lives just down the street from me, is being investigated because he was doing his
job for the American people. I mean, the list goes on and on. It's terrifying. And that is the new
rule. The rule is don't defy me. And that is the prevailing rule, which then trickles into all
of these other areas, which is I want these people out. We don't have to follow the rule of law.
I said, this is what I want. It's really scary. And there's a piece in all this that has echoes
of, you know, past eras that's really terrifying. And it's the targeting of the people you talked about,
the law firms, all of that.
When it comes to targeting immigrants, you know,
there was a woman who was just raided by ICE,
who was a US citizen.
And because the wrong person was targeted
and she's a US citizen,
she was able to be free and tell her story.
And the degree of dehumanization
and the brutality that our
ICE agents used is something that we're going to have shame around for centuries to come,
I think. And it's happening now. So all of this is, you know, we talk about this and
people say, what can I do? I think part of what we need to do is never get okay with it, keep talking about it, and
keep sharing these stories so people are aware.
And the goal is for enough people to be aware that we do start pushing back so much that
members of Congress can't stomach this either and make it stop.
Two other things that I think are worth really clarifying is, one is the attacks on our healthcare system
and our medical system.
We haven't talked much about that.
We should probably do a whole conversation about it,
but we all haven't started to feel this yet,
but soon the consequences of what RFK has done,
the programs he's ripped out,
the funding that Doge ripped away, the medical
research they shut down is going to hit us like thunder.
It's cancer, longitudinal cancer studies that have been going on so long, they just stopped
it so you cannot recreate that without just starting again.
Programs that are providing essential care to children and others.
I asked a doctor who does, Jeremy Faust, who's a great person on all this, if you want to
get knowledgeable inside medicine as his newsletter, what's going to happen soon?
And if they rip out Medicaid, are we just going to have people in long lines at the
ER to get health care all the time?
And he's basically like, yes,
unless something changes fast.
So that's one thing.
And you're gonna have Dr. Jeremy Faust
who you just mentioned, he's gonna be on an event
on your Substack.
So y'all should tune into that and listen to it.
Jessica has him on her News Not Noise Substack
and all of the interviews are so helpful to me
to listen to.
So tune in there, everyone. Thank you are so helpful to me to listen to. So tune
in there, everyone.
Thank you for shouting that out. I forgot to. I love that you do. So Jeremy, he's great
and he really makes it clear and he keeps me calm. Another thing, and I know we're moving
through these things like each one of these could be an era defining change, but another
important thing to mark is the tech bros and what Elon Musk has done with
the data, both ripping out our federal bureaucracy and pulling apart, you know, he's kind of
essentially gone behind closed doors and ripped out some of the plumbing.
So we don't know what's not going to work soon.
That's one thing.
And the other is we don't know what he's done with the data and what's going to happen there.
And that's a big open question mark for me that I track. I'll say on that they're trying to
roll out Doge in the States. So this isn't over. What do you mean? They're like taking the federal
infrastructure and want to do the same to the states. So a lot of this is being sort of advised
by outside groups. I bet it is.
And some of these outside groups that are kind of giving the Trump world direction and ideas about
what to attack inside the government are now using the same playbook and going to states with
Republican-dominated legislatures or Republican governors where they have some freedom to move
politically. And they're trying to deploy a Doge entity in each state.
So it's not from Trump, it's from these outside groups.
And so certain red states are going to see this too,
or efforts at it.
So the puppet masters of Trump are
starting to puppet master the state executives.
Yes, and then in the federal level,
there's this misconception that because Elon Musk is stepping back
from Doge, that's going to kind of ramp down.
And I heard one person doing a video saying,
so that just dissolved and went away
like everything else Trump's done.
Not true.
Basically, what happened is that Elon Musk used servers,
used tech to burrow into agencies
and give officials more visibility deeper
into the bureaucracy than anyone's had before.
And now basically Project 2025 guys are at the laptops looking for what they want to
target.
And so that is still playing out and it kind of leaves, you know, while Trump's out front
doing his crazy
stuff and talking about tariffs or whatever else.
And talking and distracting him and saying he wants to be the Pope and Lindsey Graham
saying, yeah, sounds like a good idea.
I mean, these are the things that they're doing.
He literally, y'all, said he was his own number one choice for the Pope. And Lindsey Graham wrote with a straight face
that he strongly endorses this idea
and wants it to be considered.
So yes, these are the kinds of circus acts they perform
to prevent us from focusing on the actual nefarious deeds.
Yes, while Trump is doing his show,
behind the scenes there are other interests that
are hard at work, quietly making profound changes inside the system.
And this is some of what they say they've been surprised by their ability to get so
much done.
When we say that, I'm talking about a lot of this Project 2025 stuff behind the scenes.
Okay.
So this is all very bad.
We're living in an environment where I'm just
thought about trying to paint a different way, but this is all very bad. And in the
meantime, you have judges being arrested at calling for the impeachment of judges, all
of these things happening. What is working and what has held? So I guess the courts have held, you know, they have not caved.
At the beginning, before Trump took office, there were all these people warning the courts
are going to collapse, it's going to be over.
That has not happened.
The constitutional clash remains, we're on the cusp of it still.
There are ways that the Trump administration
has defied the courts, but we've also
seen that when the Supreme Court speaks, they back off.
So that's promising that they don't want
to have that direct conflict.
They don't want to openly defy the Supreme Court
and declare themselves kings openly.
Did you see last night the interview
that this is going to be two nights ago for folks
listening?
But what was so interesting is that that interviewer, Terry Moran, who Trump said was being very
mean, he was able to appeal to Trump's ego and get him to basically trick him into his
ego conceding that what they said about Abrego Garcia was not true because
how the court said, you have to facilitate this return. Trump sits in the office with
the president of El Salvador and says, oh shucks, you know, nothing I can do because
he says he won't do it. And then he admits that he didn't actually ask him to do it.
And the reporter says, there's a phone right there.
You could call the president of the Salvador right now
and have a Brego Garcia return.
And he said, I would do that if he was a good guy,
but he's not.
And I'm just wondering if that kind of thing
can be used in a court to be like,
wait, now you're admitting you haven't asked him
even though you were directly told by the court
to facilitate the return?
It's a great point.
And courts have used Trump's tweets and interviews
in the past to success, you know, Jack Smith used it.
So good on Terry.
He used to be a reporter for,
I can't remember if it was court TV or legal TV,
but he knows the law.
Oh, it was hilarious. The way that Trump was reporter for, I can't remember if it was court TV or legal TV, but he knows the law. Oh, it was hilarious.
The way that Trump was saying that, I mean, if it wasn't so horrifying, it would be hilarious.
Oh, there was so much in that interview that was, wow.
I mean, really, wow.
It's, yeah, partially entertaining, also quite upsetting. setting.
On the front of what else is working, you know, this is a kind of unfortunate thing
to say that it's working, but you know, Trump's tariffs have so been received with such a thud and
his economic policy is such a disaster that the market is reacting negatively and business
leaders are showing that they are unhappy.
So I caveat this because it's shocking they're not speaking out publicly and criticizing
Trump and saying, you've got to reverse this.
But we understand why because they're afraid that he'll use what you've talked about, which
is his capricious use of the power of government to attack individuals and individual businesses.
So behind closed doors, they're using quiet pressure and the public is getting it.
The public confidence in our economy is falling,
consumer confidence, and voters are giving Trump
a failing score in polls on the economy.
And overall, I should note, you know,
NPR did a poll and found 45% of the American public
said Trump deserves an F for his first 100 days.
45% said that he...
F.
Failing.
F for failing.
That includes half of all independents.
So that's meaningful.
It's not just liberal Democrats.
Only 23% gave him an A. And before people say, oh my gosh, who are these 23%?
His base is about 28%, 29%, 30%.
So even some of his base is not giving him an A,
and only a tiny percent of regular Republicans
give him an A.
And that includes people who aren't paying much attention
or who like something he's done a lot, right?
Or just like him.
And specifically, when you look at other polls,
Fox did a poll and found that the vast majority
of Americans are unhappy with his performance on the economy, foreign policy, and tariffs.
We're going to see in the next couple of months, unless he reverses his terrorist program quickly,
there are going to be empty shelves. We're going to have supply chain shocks that will make the
pandemic look mild, right?
Meaning you go to the store
and the things you need aren't there.
And that ripples to the economy in all sorts of ways.
So I say this is not something that's working
because the policy is bad.
Right, it's just obvious it's not working,
which is helpful.
And it goes to something you said earlier,
I wanna point out, which was you said,
if we're not frogs boiling in the hot water,
and we step back and we really look at what's happening,
it's important that when other governments have come in
in other countries and tried to take
a democratic society in an anti-democratic direction,
something like Viktor Orbán in Hungary, who
is a hero of Trump's in a model.
They did it over eight years or more.
Trump has tried to do this in 100 days.
And what's good about that is we all see it.
It is not a frog boiling in water.
It's not like we don't notice.
We're constantly shrieking and pointing it out
and we still have the freedom of speech to do it. So that also is bad for his goals and good for the goals of people
who want to push back. And I do think it's having the effect of making the American people,
you know, kind of embrace themselves and have a second look. And we could get to the place where they say,
this is so not what I voted for.
More of us are going to town halls.
More of us are gonna march in the streets
or let our members of Congress know you gotta act.
Yeah, it's so interesting to me because it is the,
although markets are clearly like a structure,
they're a made up thing,
markets are clearly like a structure. They're a made up thing.
It's the unique way in which Americans care about money
and the unique way in which markets don't give a shit
about your propaganda.
You can't say this is working and have it stick
the same way he seems to be able to say,
everything's perfect.
Everything's working in the market setting.
So it's, it's this interesting, you know,
I heard someone talking recently and they said,
you can scare the law firms. You can scare the universities.
You can scare the government workers. Although those government workers are bad.
S you can scare a lot of things.
You can't scare the market. The market is going to just show you what you've done.
I think that the stock market being down 7% since he took office, which is considerable,
and him saying that he was going to fix inflation on day one, you know, he's going to fix the war in Russia on day one,
he's going to do all these things in day one,
people are really forced to look and say,
he wasn't able to do it.
It's not effective what he's doing.
And so with these tariffs,
I think what we're seeing is just,
it's whatever he was trying to do is not effective. He's now in
a game of chicken with China and we are the chicken. We blinked.
It's also important to remember we do have 10% tariffs on the entire globe and he has
threatened to reinstitute these extremely high tariffs on our trading allies. And 10% tariffs is having a profound impact already.
I mean, there's all sorts of crazy trade deficit record, hiring slows, the housing market demand
is falling, West Coast ports, there are ports with, you know, docks empty, there are trucks
driving empty, there are ships sailing empty already.
This is not only China.
So we are in an economic contraction
and we don't know what the ripple effects of this are
because it's so untested in such a globalized economy.
So the push pull on this is what's working is,
everyone said something catastrophic is going to happen
and Americans are gonna have to feel real pain
in order for Congress to act.
Unless Trump pulls back,
we're seemingly on track for something like that.
I mean, it is what it is.
I feel bad saying it.
I also feel irresponsible to not point out
that unless something changes, and it could,
we need to prepare.
When you say need to prepare, what do you mean?
I don't know how to prepare really really because if we're looking at a scenario where there
are people in line for ERs to get health care and the shelves are empty, you know, we're
all in this boat.
If it's something more short term, you know, there's things like what do you rely on that
is clearly from overseas?
Coffee. rely on that is clearly from overseas. Coffee, you know, this sounds frivolous,
but there's certain makeup I use every day and I like it. And that's imported.
I thought about what I, I literally sat down and made a list of what do I rely
on every day and what in here might be from overseas. But then there's other
stuff that, you know, who expected toilet paper to be in short supply because of a pandemic?
There's other stuff that's just going to hit and you don't know.
So what I'd say to get prepared is, you know, know your neighbors.
Set up a chat group with people around you who are close so that you can, you know, trade the proverbial cup of sugar if you need to.
I don't know that we'll end up there when we need it, but we're pointed
in that direction. So it seems wise to be aware of it.
It seems like a wise way to live regardless. I mean, if we knew our neighbors and talk
to our neighbors about our needs, we might not be in this political environment to begin
with. So it's not a bad way to live. I have a question about clearly Congress has abdicated its role to work on behalf of the
American people and instead capitulated to the era of the oath being loyalty to Trump.
And I don't honestly know what the hell Democrats are doing.
And maybe we could talk about that at some point.
But what do you see these poll numbers that came out that of course Trump
said are rigged that are historically bad for a first a hundred days.
Does that give you any hope that the Republican Congresspeople who should
have been moved by their loyalty and fidelity to the country and the Constitution.
So I'm not giving them any points for it whenever they do it.
Might be moved just out of sheer politics to be like,
ooh, I might be on a sinking ship. I'm getting the hell out.
Yes, the reason so many Republicans have sort of rubber stamped or not stood in the
way of some of Trump's more radical policies that they object to is because he's so popular,
they're afraid of getting attacked by his fans or losing office. I think the part where they're
afraid, physically afraid of being targeted, that remains. But with poll numbers like this,
they also have to worry about their own political viability.
Before they were worried, well, if I don't go along,
I'll get primaried and lose my job.
If these poll numbers continue to stay here and get worse,
they're gonna be in a place where if I don't do something
to block some of these policies, I will lose my job.
So yes, those are meaningful.
That's also why it
matters when you go to town halls, what matters when you march in the streets peacefully. I'd
also add as another layer, something we talked about in the early days of the administration was
how he has these different factions around him, different interest groups that are right now at
that point working together so well. Those interest groups are starting to fray, right?
Where do you see that happening?
Specifically, one very obvious case
is what Wall Street and big business want
is at odds with Trump's tariff policy, right?
This is terrible for business, it's awful for Wall Street,
so they're not happy.
It's also the case that Elon Musk was in there
running things and he was aligned with Project 2025
because they both wanted to get into the system
to do different things.
Musk got a lot of favors, or Musk gave himself
a lot of favors, how do you say that?
Basically-
Yeah, self-dealing, I think is the term.
Self-dealing, thank you.
Cut deals that benefit him financially.
But the tech pros have a certain goal and the Project 2025 people have different goal.
So we're going to see if that starts to fray a little bit as well.
At one point, Trump's people said, because we have this hole in the big budget we're
trying to pass, maybe what we should do is roll back some of the tax cuts.
Well, it is a reasonable suggestion.
Right?
And one of the big people in the tax,
you know, lower tax base, one of the top Republicans
who's raised money for this forever, Grover Norquist,
he's, you know, reduced tax guy, his brain exploded, right?
He couldn't believe that the guy he got in office
was talking about this.
So you're starting to see some of these things fracture.
So we are a hundred days in, which means not that I've checked, but a four year
administration is 1,460 days.
We have 1360 days left.
We are 6.8% through this term. We have 1360 days left.
We are 6.8% through this term. Okay, that's not a lot, but it's not nothing.
Do you think like in your assessment of things,
if we're going to have concerted movement
away from these policies,
as opposed to just maybe people not getting a spine,
but saying, ooh, Trump isn't so popular,
I'm gonna back away from my active support of his policies.
Do you think we are realistically, that's a midterm thing?
Because in midterms, my understanding,
and tell me where I'm wrong,
but we don't have a ton of hope for Democrats taking the Senate.
But there is a feasible possibility of the House.
Do you see that as kind of, if we're holding our breath,
waiting for something, which none of us should be doing,
because we need to be fighting, as you've said,
is that a moment of change for us? And is there, are there any kind of moments you can point to
that are coming besides the natural consequences of his actions, which are, you know, clearly there
will be a response if the economy totally tanks. Where is the relief? Where's the reprieve? What are
we waiting for? Or are we the ones
we're waiting for?
We're the ones we're waiting for.
Which is always so inconvenient.
I know. So to your specific question about midterms, yes. Historically, the party that's
out of power wins in the next midterm after a new president in the House. And even though
the races seem close right now, I think Democrats have a good shot of winning the House. I also think historically, presidents who have imposed tariffs have seen devastating political losses
at the next election. I mean, 40 seat margins. And I think in the reality, we're moving into
Democrats. This typical political analysis does not hold. We don't know what we're going
to be facing soon. We're waiting for the shoe
to drop. And I mean, for the impact of tariffs to hit, for the impact of all these policies
to hit, for people to really understand what they're living through. You know, I can't
tell you how many conversations I have with people who are like, I'm just not ready to
really process what you're saying. And I'm like, okay, we're not gonna have that luxury soon.
If you're a person with brown skin right now,
you already know.
Right.
So I'd say, I think that the Democrats could have a chance
to win both the House and the Senate
if what I fear is coming happens.
And then they have the ability to push back
in all manner of ways by blocking legislation,
by passing new legislation that is meant to block him
through investigations, hearings, et cetera.
But I also think it's, you know, that saying it's later than you think.
We can't wait for Congress.
No, that's a losing proposition.
The president signed an executive order this week that said police departments should have
the power to take more gear from military and even personnel.
You know, that'll get blocked by the courts. There'll be all sorts of action. But given what I've been saying around how they're interacting already with people they deem subhuman immigrants,
right? This is a terrifying prospect. It starts there. Things grow. We're talking about targeting
law firms, individuals, the press. We haven't about targeting law firms, individuals, the press.
We haven't even talked about how they've targeted the press. It's important for people to take
action now.
Yeah. We need to get fired up and get activated and act like this is as serious as it is. So
really find your local groups. I mean, this is all local stuff. Find your local groups, find people who are as concerned as you are, show up, make calls
and be loud.
I mean, this is the way we've been a little bit privileged in America to have this muscle
unexercised for the vast majority of privileged people in this country.
And that's a muscle we have to start working.
And it's important to start now.
You're exactly right.
Even if we lived in a fantasy where Congress switching was a panacea, that's more than
555 days from now.
One other thing people can do is part of this is an information war and they can share information
they trust.
Yes.
Share information they trust.
May I recommend News Not Noise?
Perfect.
Okay.
The good news is, look, we're still here.
We did this.
Some of us are not.
Some of us are in disappeared in prisons.
We need to both remember
that we are still here, remember that many of us are not.
And I also just think it's a really,
as I think about this rule of law thing
and think about it as kind of the overarching protection
for all of us, yes, it is inconvenient,
yes, it is slow, and that is the point. But I saw
something, it was just a person's meme. And it said, I need people to understand the importance
of the rule of law. And it said, let's do a little conversation. Hey, do you care that
alleged gang members
have the protection of due process?
The person says no, and they say, that doesn't affect me.
And then they say, okay, that's fine.
You're an alleged gang member.
See how that affects you?
If there is no protection of due process,
and if anything the government says is true by definition,
then the ability for them to do that makes everyone lose their protection of rule of law.
Because then whatever they say is untested, is uninterrogated, and they can do what they want. It's just a very basic concept that every person
who is just exclusively self-interested
should be fighting as hard as they can to maintain.
At least as much as you're fighting for your 401k
to be back on track.
Any parting words, Jessica?
I think that he was at the apex of his power
in the first hundred days,
and things will start to fray a bit.
Factions will go against each other,
Congress will push back in some ways,
and that's what gives me sense of hope
and optimism right now.
And that so many people are engaged and paying attention.
It really does
make a difference. Well, thank you. Thank you for being engaged and paying attention with us. Thank
you for being by our side, Pod Squad, as we try to dissect and understand just what the hell is
going on in these crazy times. We are still here. We are still here with you. Let us persevere. We can.
And we will and we have to do hard things.
If this podcast means something to you, it would mean so much to us if you'd be willing to take 30 seconds to do these three
things. First, can you please follow or subscribe to We Can Do Hard Things? Following the pod helps
you because you'll never miss an episode and it helps us because you'll never miss an episode.
To do this just go to the We Can Do Hard Things show page on Apple podcasts, Spotify, Odyssey,
or wherever you listen to podcasts.
And then just tap the plus sign
in the upper right-hand corner or click on follow.
This is the most important thing for the pod.
While you're there, if you'd be willing
to give us a five-star rating and review
and share an episode you loved with a friend,
we would be so grateful.
We appreciate you very much.
We Can Do Hard Things is created and hosted by Glennon Doyle,
Abby Wambach, and Amanda Doyle in partnership with Odyssey.
Our executive producer is Jenna Wise-Burman,
and the show is produced by Lauren Legrasso,
Alison Schott, and Bill Schultz. You