We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network - TIP679: Quality Shareholders by Lawrence Cunningham w/ Clay Finck
Episode Date: November 29, 2024Anyone can buy a stock in a public company, but not all shareholders are equally committed to a company’s long-term succes. Today’s companies need quality shareholders, or shareholders who buy lar...ge stakes and hold for long periods. Lawrence Cunningham explains why in his book — Quality Shareholders: How the Best Managers Attract and Keep Them. When it comes to corporate governance, there is no one better to learn from than Lawrence. He’s the Director of the John Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Deleware. He’s also the vice chairman of the board of Constellation Software and a Director at Markel and Kelly Partners Group. Cunningham has also written a number of other excellent books, including Quality Investing, Berkshire Beyond Buffett, Margin of Trust, and The Essays of Warren Buffett. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 02:33 - What constitutes a quality shareholder versus other types of shareholders? 17:18 - The edge that quality shareholders bring in terms of their investment approach. 24:37 - How quality shareholders impact the share prices of public companies. 43:02 - What managers can do to attract and retain such shareholders. 43:02 - How quality shareholders view executive compensation. 54:52 - The number one job of the board in delivering value to shareholders. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Cunningham’s books: Quality Shareholders, Berkshire Beyond Buffett, Dear Shareholder, Margin of Trust, Quality Investing, and The Essays of Warren Buffett. Email Shawn at shawn@theinvestorspodcast.com to attend our free events in Omaha or visit this page. Related Episode: Listen to MI305: Exploring the DNA of Quality Businesses w/ Lawrence Cunningham, or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to TIP330: Warren Buffett w/ Lawrence Cunningham, or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to RWH013: Move Slow, Win Big w/ Thomas Russo, or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to TIP626: Intelligent & Rational Long-term Investing w/ François Rochon, or watch the video. YouTube Interview with Brett Kelly. Alex Morris’s new book: Buffett & Munger Unscripted. Follow Clay on Twitter. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Bluehost Fintool PrizePicks Vanta Onramp SimpleMining Fundrise TurboTax HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Spotify! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
Transcript
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You're listening to TIP.
Hey, everybody, welcome to The Investors Podcast.
I'm your host, Clay Fink.
I'm absolutely thrilled to bring you today's episode,
as I'm going to be chatting about this wonderful book
titled Quality Shareholders by Lawrence Cunningham.
Lawrence has an impressive and diverse resume.
He's the director of the John Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University
of Delaware.
He's also the vice chairman of the board at Constellation Software and a director at
Markell and Kelly Partners Group. When it comes to corporate governance, there is no one better
to learn from than Lawrence. Cunningham's also written a number of other excellent books,
including Quality Investing, Berkshire Beyond Buffett, Margin of Trust, and the Essays of Warren
Buffett. When I first discovered the book Quality Shareholders, I thought it had somewhat of a cheesy
title. I mean, why would a company or its managers really care who their shareholders are?
Then once I started digging in, I discovered that the shareholder base is actually incredibly important.
And good managers should work to attract quality shareholders.
As Cunningham puts it, anyone can buy a stock in a public company, but not all shareholders
are equally committed to a company's long-term success.
Today's companies need quality shareholders, as Warren Buffett called those who load up
and stick around or buy large stakes and hold for long periods.
During this episode, I'll cover what constitutes a quality shareholder versus other shareholder types,
the edge that quality shareholders bring in terms of their investment approach,
how quality shareholders impact the share prices of public companies,
what managers can do to attract and retain such shareholders,
how quality shareholders view executive compensation,
the number one job of the board in delivering value to shareholders, and so much more.
This book was an extremely fascinating read,
and it really resonated with me on so many levels as a quality-oriented shareholder myself.
So with that, I bring you today's discussion on quality shareholders by Lawrence Cunningham.
Celebrating 10 years and more than 150 million downloads.
You are listening to the Investors Podcast Network.
Since 2014, we studied the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most.
We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.
Now, for your host, Clay, Fee.
I wanted to kick off today's episode with a quote from John Ruskin.
Quality is never an accident.
It is always the result of intelligent effort.
So what does it mean for a company to be high quality?
And how can shareholders be high quality themselves?
This term quality can be hard to define, but oftentimes we know it when we see it.
And this concept of quality is what led me to want to do a thorough review of this book
by Cunningham titled Quality Shareholders.
For those in the audience who may own and operate their own private businesses, they may have
full control of that business and have full control of who can buy and who can't buy an
ownership stake in that business.
But for public companies, they don't really have that luxury.
Essentially, anyone can buy share in a public company.
However, this doesn't prevent managers from trying to attract certain types of shareholders
and repel other types of shareholders.
Cunningham believes that overall, the quality shareholder population has been shrinking, and the
goal of the book is to grow the cohort of quality shareholders and to add to the elite group
of companies and leaders who can attract them. While being a quality shareholder is not strenuous,
it does require patience and diligence. One of my favorite sayings from the book that Cunningham
shared was a quote from Buffett in his 1979 shareholder letter. Eventually, managers get the
shareholders they deserve. And I think this ties into just so many things in life. Of course,
there are some things in life we can't necessarily control, like the country or city we're born into,
the family we're born into, et cetera. But there's something to be said about, you know,
we get the friends we deserve, or we get the job we deserve, or we get the spouse we deserve.
And I'm also a big believer that TIP gets the podcast listeners that we deserve. It also ties into the
saying that from Munger, in order to get what you want, you have to deserve what you want.
Managers have a way of attracting certain types of shareholders, and this book gets into just how
that process works.
So we broke up this book into three different parts.
Part one covers the importance of quality shareholders and the edge that quality shareholders
have.
Part two covers quality engagement and how managers can attract a quality shareholder base, and
part three covers the features of corporate governance, which includes director selection,
executive pay and shareholder voting.
So to get this episode kicked off, let's discuss why quality shareholders are just so important.
For many managers of public companies, short-term-oriented shareholders remain a major concern.
In the mid-1990s, shares of Berkshire Hathaway started to get quite expensive when looking at the
dollars per share value.
In 1995, it was valued at over $24,000 per share.
And then when you look at the median household income in the U.S., it was around $34,000.
So one share was quite pricey for sure.
A few shareholders decided that they were going to pool their Berkshire shares together into
a trust and then issue fractional interests at vastly lower prices.
So Buffett believed that this was going to attract short-term traders and undercut everything
that Buffett was trying to accomplish with Berkshire's cultivation of long-term committed
shareholders.
So as a result, in 1996, Berkshire elected a dual-class share.
structure of the A shares and the B shares that we all know of today. Originally, 30 B shares would be
equal to one A share, and then in 2010, they did a 50 to one split, so now it's 1,500 B shares
are equivalent to one A share. Another challenge for many managers is that the dominant shareholder
cohort overall are index investors. These investors might passively buy and hold something like
an S&P 500 to just participate in the overall market. But the vast majority of investors
simply aren't going to know 500 companies well and be able to share an informed opinion
should a shareholder vote take place. So in the book, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits,
Phil Fisher likened to companies to restaurants. Just as each restaurant has a different menu
that caters to different tastes, companies cater to different shareholder preferences.
Cunningham explains that in 1979, Buffett took this another step further. Companies draw particular
shareholders by communicating a specific corporate message. Backed by action, the message produces
a self-selected shareholder base to match along dimensions like time horizon, ownership levels,
and engagement. While all companies have some mix of index investors, short-term-oriented investors,
or traders, value investors, or potentially even activists, Buffett has tried to attract only what he
calls high-quality shareholders. Cunningham describes these shareholders as those who
buy large stakes and hold them for long time periods. High quality shareholders view themselves
as part owners of a business. They try to understand the businesses they own and focus on the
long-term results, not the short-term market prices. Shares at Berkshire Hathaway have declined by over
50% on three different occasions under the leadership of Warren Buffett. And had the quality
shareholders continue to focus on the long-term results that Berkshire provided, I'm sure that the
vast majority of them were just unfazed by the declining share prices and potentially even bought
more shares when the market offered the business far below its intrinsic value. Back in the 1980s,
Buffett was able to almost exclusively attract high-quality shareholders. He was able to do this
in the way he managed Berkshire and the way he communicated to his shareholder base. He shared in
one of his letters in the 1980s, if you looked at a one-year period, 98% of shareholders at the
end of the year were shareholders at the start of the year. So there was just so little turnover in
the shares and who was going into and out of the stock. When you looked at a five-year time period,
over 90% of shareholders remained shareholders at the start of year one through year five.
In almost all Berkshire shareholders were held by concentrated investors with Berkshire
being the largest stake in their portfolio, more than twice the size of any other stock they had.
Buffett's quality shareholders helped contribute to Berkshire's success.
They gave Buffett a long-term runway, they promoted a rational stock price, and they deterred
shareholder activists from wanting to break up the conglomerate as it continued to grow
larger and larger.
But today, other shareholder cohorts have come to take a larger stake in companies like Berkshire,
and of course, we've seen the rise of index investing, as much as 40% of public companies
are owned by index investors or closet index investors, which are investors who essentially own
hundreds of stocks and aren't likely to vary too much from the index in terms of performance.
And each shareholder segment brings something to the table, but they don't come without
drawbacks. So activists, they can promote management accountability, but they may not necessarily
think long term and they could even become overzealous. Index funds enable anybody to
achieve market returns at a low cost, but they can't understand the specific details of every
company they own. Traders offer liquidity to the market, which is simply pretty amazing to think
because any of us can just go buy and sell any security with a few clicks thanks to this
liquidity. But traders have a short-term focus and might not even care about the underlying
fundamentals of the business they're buying or selling at all. Cunningham writes that a substantial
cohort of quality shareholders balances the shareholder mix and calculates.
counteracts these liabilities. Quality shareholders can help managers repel activists who are taking
things to the extreme and want to take the business in a direction that is undesirable for the
managers and the quality shareholders. For example, in 2019, Ashland Global Holdings received calls
for a quote-unquote strategic review from an activist. The company then reached out to its
quality shareholders who formed a united defensive front and the activists proceeded to back off
and withdraw. Unlike the index investors,
quality shareholders know their companies well, and unlike the traders, quality shareholders
think long term, which is a fairly rare trait in today's short-term-oriented world.
In recent decades, there's also been three rising trends among institutions.
First is the rise of index investing, of course, so in 1997, less than 8% of mutual funds
were indexed, and today more than 40% are.
Second is the substantial shortening of the average holding period indicative of increased
trading for arbitrage, momentum strategies, and other short-term drivers.
And then the third trend that we've seen in recent years is the rise of activism.
So many managers face the constant threat to corporate control from rival firms,
takeover artists, and colorful raiders.
So it wasn't until the past two decades or so that specialty firms developed that were
essentially dedicated to the practice of shareholder activism.
So there are many repeat players like Bill Ackman, Dan Loeb, and Paul Singer.
Another challenge for managers is that with the increased diversity of shareholders,
come different demands from each of them.
So some shareholders might not even be focused on the potential for an economic gain in their investments.
So when you look at some shareholders, they might push for something like a labor agenda
or others might push an ESG agenda that managers don't necessarily agree with.
Cunningham highlights three traits that distinguish quality shareholders from other cohorts of shareholders.
So the first trait here is conviction. Quality shareholders view themselves as part owners of a business,
and true ownership of a business requires conviction that is developed through thorough research
and disciplined decisions. Investors who enjoy studying businesses or microanalysis will likely
enjoy such an approach to investing. Others might view stock investing as buying a security that has
the stock chart, they can see that's updated minute by minute, or perhaps they simply view it
as a stream of future cash flows or political instrument.
The second key trait for quality shareholders is patience.
Cunningham writes here, quality shareholders are generally risk-averse.
Sustained patience reduces both reinvestment risk and expense risk.
On reinvestment risk, selling shares results in capital needing to be reinvested,
and finding new outstanding investments is time-consuming and difficult.
On expense risk, trading and taxes are immediate costs of selling, disguising the stated nominal
returns that draw attention.
Owning outstanding companies for very long time periods not only limits expense risk,
but reaps the benefits of compounding.
Quality shareholders are not motivated to beat the market in any given year, but to generate
returns over long periods of time.
Stealed with patience and discipline, quality shareholders sleep well.
at night, untethered from slavished attendance to the index and unburdened by urgent trading needs.
They favor low volatility portfolios that can mostly tend themselves, end quote.
I just loved that passage there from Cunningham.
So many great points to ponder on.
I just really resonated with it as well, and I really desire to be that type of shareholder
myself in the businesses that I own.
The third key trait is engagement.
Quality shareholders help grow and develop.
the businesses they own through the supply of patient capital. They want to promote the best long-term
interests of the business and its shareholders and aren't interested in promoting matters that are
outside the scope of the company's mission or managerial skill set. They're happy to engage with
management, but usually prefer to do so in a private and not public manner like the activists.
That's not to say that activists can't be quality shareholders as well and that their voices
shouldn't be heard. However, managers typically prefer to have quality shareholders who aren't
activists trying to shake things up. This also brings to question whether an individual investor
is better off investing in index funds or investing in great businesses for the long run.
On the one hand, there's an argument that most professional investors underperform the index.
So what chance does this give, you know, an individual investor like myself? But on the other hand,
you can clearly see that when you look at many of the managers who do outperform that we've interviewed
here on the show, having conviction and having patience when holding these great businesses
can bring handsome rewards to shareholders. So you can refer back to the interviews I've done with
managers who have outperformed the market. This includes Dev Contasaria, which is coming up here in
December, Francois-R-Voshaun, Joseph Sheposchnik, Derek Pellecki, Richard Lawrence, Pierre
Langevin, and John Huber.
all of which are proponents of buying and holding wonderful businesses at fair prices.
With the increasing share of index fund investors, this may also provide opportunities for stock pickers.
For example, it might lead to market distortions where some great businesses that aren't included in the index
aren't getting these massive passive flows and are thus mispriced or underappreciated by the market.
Or great businesses outside of the U.S. are naturally overlooked because they aren't included in the S&P 5.
Now, that's not to say it applies to, of course, all types of companies that aren't in these segments, but it's maybe a good place to go fishing.
Pivoting the discussion here slightly, one way in which shareholders can make a difference is the shareholder vote.
So while most shareholder votes are decided by a wide margin, there are at least a few hundred annually that are close calls in terms of which way would they go.
With companies like BlackRock and Vanguard owning sizable stakes in thousands of companies through
these ETFs, there's no way that their stewardship staff of just a couple dozens of people
will be able to make an informed decision on each vote.
So many index funds are essentially outsourcing their decision-making regarding shareholder
votes to two large proxy advisory firms.
So that's institutional shareholder services or ISS and Glass-Lewis.
which combined control 97% of the market, and these advisory firms, they share voting recommendations
based on best practices to optimize for a portfolio of companies rather than looking at each
particular situation. And research shows that institutional investors are substantially more inclined
to vote for proposals that advisors support rather than oppose. And Cunningham shares that
while proxy advisor recommendations tailored to particular cases, they often add value to shareholders,
but those based on general guidance without specific research do not.
And this is really where quality shareholders can play a key role of countering ill-advised
proxy advisor recommendations.
In one case in 2005, ISS recommended that shareholders withhold votes for Warren Buffett
to become the director of Coca-Cola.
So, Buffett had been a large shareholder of Coca-Cola since 1988, and despite the clear alignment
of interest with fellow shareholders, ISS believed that there was a conflict of interest with
Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries, including Dairy Queen, who was a customer of Coca-Cola.
In Cunningham referred to this as the all-time loser for blind adherence to proxy advisor general
guidelines.
As I mentioned earlier, quality shareholders can be a deterrent to activists seeking short-term
gains. If there are large stakes owned by quality shareholders, then it may be more difficult for an
activist to influence the management team. So in 2018, activists at Elliott Management, they signaled
impatience with managers of Pernode Ricard, which is a spirits firm with 16% of the shares owned by
the family. One of its quality shareholders, Tom Russo, had an $850 million stake in the company,
and Tom Russo was actually interviewed by my colleague William Green on the Rich.
or Wiser, Happier Podcasts, that was episode 13.
Russo is well known for partnering with management teams that have the capacity to suffer
and sacrifice short-term gains for long-term value creation.
In the case of the activism taking place at Bernard Ricard, he stated,
you have a classic case of a business that could show a lot more today if they choose to.
I still think our best course of action is to invest meaningfully at the expense of operating
margin today for more wealth tomorrow, end quote.
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unconventional, it certainly helps to have shareholders who understand and appreciate the
unconventional approach or have that capacity to suffer. Cunningham even takes it as far to say
that having a large base of quality shareholders can help serve as a competitive advantage
for the company because it helps managers keep in long-term outlook. So another example is
Markell, who's led by CEO Tom Gaynor. In Markell's 2016 letter to shareholders, it writes,
We believe that Markell remains unique among most publicly traded companies in emphasizing
the forever time horizon as much as we do. That is an immense competitive advantage that very
few organizations enjoy. The only reason we remain free to do so is that you, our shareholders,
have placed an immense amount of trust in us." And Cunningham also adds that having a quality
shareholder base that puts trust in management generally puts less pressure on
on the management team to produce short-term results so that they can put more focus on the long-term.
I think with some businesses, if you have a lot of shareholders who want results now,
whenever the company disappoints, the shares are just going to sell off a lot with shareholders
bailing, and you might have a lot of volatility in the stock, both to the upside and the
downside with all these momentum traders going in and out of the stock. For a quality
management team that attracts a quality shareholder base, I think it's the opposite. There's
lower volatility in the stock because it doesn't attract as many investors looking for a quick
buck. And when the company disappoints, you don't have as many shareholders bailing because they
believe in management's ability to execute over the long run. This generally keeps the share price
trading in a range close to the intrinsic value most of the time, which also means that you won't
get a ton of opportunities to buy at bargain prices. Gainer also expanded more on this competitive
advantage. He writes, having the right owners with a suitable long-term time horizon provides us with an
immense competitive advantage. In today's world, short-term and artificial time pressures permeate too
many decisions. Our dual time horizon of forever and right now allows us to make necessary right-now
decisions on a day-to-day basis, but we always get to make those decisions with the forever
mindset guiding us while we do so. That is an incredibly rare advantage.
in today's world."
Another benefit of quality shareholders is that they can actually help serve the company
in some form as well.
For example, in 2005, Berkshire Hathaway appointed Sandy Goddessman of First Manhattan
to the board, and he was the company's second largest shareholder behind Warren Buffett
since 1966.
Constellation Software has benefited from the board service of Steve Scotchmer, a distinguished
Canadian investor and a substantial shareholder for decades.
Cunningham doesn't disclose this in the book, but he himself is also a quality shareholder,
and he serves on the board of Markell, Constellation Software, and Kelly Partners Group.
Most are probably familiar with Markell and Constellation Software, but Kelly Partners Group is a small
accounting firm that is quite an interesting business model. They've compounded rapidly,
and I interviewed the founder and CEO Brett Kelly on our YouTube channel, which I'll be sure to get
linked in the show notes as well. We also had Brett Kelly join our TIP Mastermind community for
Q&A earlier this year. And Lawrence Cunningham will also be joining the community for a Q&A on Zoom in
late December, 2024. So tying back to Cunningham's point on the company's stock price,
trading close to the intrinsic value, I had a few questions with regards to this that I just
wanted to share here with the audience. So the first question with regards to this is,
who's to really say what a high-quality company is really worth? And second, how can this one
segment of shareholders really dampen the volatility and keep it within a somewhat reasonable range.
So you have these short-term traders that prefer to get the highest share price possible so they
can get the most out of their position for a quick buck. And quality shareholders are generally
uninterested in the immediate sale and they're generally attuned to stock market volatility more
broadly. So they prefer a share price that bears the most rational relationship possible to the
company's intrinsic business value. So for managers, having a stock that is overpriced can actually
be an issue for a few reasons. The first reason being that if you want to pay employees with
stock, they may come to find out at a later date that they were given a bad deal. So they might
have been given shares at $100 a share, but they would probably be upset if those shares are
actually worth around $50 and the stock ends up reverting back to that $50 range at a later date.
The second reason that an overvalued stock is not necessarily favorable is that if shares are
used to make an acquisition, then the seller may come to find out that they were given a bad
deal.
And the final reason is that an overpriced stock can actually attract short sellers, which
usually aren't a lot of fun to deal with, as Elon Musk can attest to.
Cunningham claims that there's evidence that suggests that companies with ownership
dominated by quality shareholders tend to enjoy stock prices that are less volatile and more
irrationally tied to business value. And then I love the way he puts it here. Ben Graham famously called
the stock market in the short run of voting machine and the long run a weighing machine. To update that
insight, voting today is principally done by indexers and transients or short-term traders, while weighing
is the contribution of the quality shareholders, end quote. And when you think about it, it really
makes a lot of sense. You know, these index fund buyers are simply just buying regardless of the
fundamentals. It's just passive flows. While quality shareholders, they may be buying more shares
when the stock is undervalued and just hanging on or not buying more shares when the stock's too
high or it's less rationally priced. So part two of the book covers quality engagement,
which outlines the strategies that managers can use to attract and retain quality shareholders.
In the intro here, Cunningham explains that managers can do some basic things that are likely
to be overlooked by indexers and transients. A lot of these things don't really cost much.
they include corporate mission statements, annual shareholder letters, and annual shareholder meetings.
He explains further that quality managers encapsulate the corporate personality in a mission statement.
They share insights on challenges with a thoughtful annual letter, and they reflect on both
the mission and challenges together at an engaging annual meeting.
They can also do things like not given to Wall Street and make quarterly earnings guidance
and opt for a longer-term focus.
Above all, they could make a cautious commitment to what quality shareholders value most,
which is effective capital allocation.
This refers to a simple but elusive idea that treats every corporate dollar as an investment
put to its best use.
Next year, Cunningham gets into the corporate message.
He says that the corporate message a company sends should actually suit the company
and is distinctive.
It needs to be honest and true.
So one thing that Berkshire Hathaway did was publish an owner's manual,
explained in simple terms, their business, the goals, philosophy, and limitations.
Here are a few items that were included in that owner's manual.
Although our form is corporate, our attitude is partnership.
In line with Berkshire's owner orientation, most of our directors have a major portion
of their net worth invested in the company.
Our long-term economic goal is to maximize Berkshire's average annual rate of gain and
intrinsic business value on a per share basis.
consequences do not influence our operating or capital allocation decisions, and we will be candid
in our reporting to you, emphasizing the pluses and minuses important to impraising business value.
Prim Watsa from Fairfax Financial is another great example of someone who had these solid
principles internally within the business, and then eventually he started sharing them publicly
as well.
He emphasized their focus on growing long-term book value per share and not quarterly earnings.
They're always looking at opportunities, but they put a particular emphasis on downside protection
and look for ways to minimize loss of capital.
They encourage calculated risk-taking and look to learn from their mistakes.
Cunningham also shares a few examples of weak versus strong mission statements.
So a weak mission statement uses clever rhetoric or empty slogans.
So, for example, one weak mission statement he shares here is to be the best in the eyes
of customers, employees, and shareholders, end quote.
And then we can contrast this with a strong mission statement.
He shares one from Walt Disney, creating happiness through magical experiences.
So you look at employees, you look at shareholders, they're both going to love this,
and generally they're going to believe it to be true.
Now, when I do read some of these mission statements like one from Nike and Sony,
it's hard for me to really differentiate between a strong versus a weak one, but maybe
it's an area you can look to sort of sift out some of the phonies in these management
teams and try and differentiate the strong versus the weak one. So next, we turn our attention here
to the annual letter. Cunningham explains that an artfully drafted shareholder letter provides
insights into the company's values, culture, and outlook. He has one sample here from Tom Gainer
that explains that in order to be a successful company, Markell needs to be aggressive and be willing
to make mistakes to win. And unhealthy fear of mistakes can lead to being too passive or too fearful.
It is important to be willing to act positively and accept reasonable mistakes so that the organization can learn and grow and deal with a rapidly changing world.
So since the annual letter is both optional and regulated, it allows the CEO to convey both the personal and corporate personality, and it is an excellent tool in attracting quality shareholders.
Many CEOs simply don't bother with writing an annual letter.
And those who do, most of them don't necessarily write letters that are actually worth reading.
If one were to search for the best written shareholder letters by CEOs, you would likely
see the same ones coming up over and over again.
Luckily for us, Cunningham also wrote the book, Dear Shareholder, which shares the best executive
letters from a number of great CEOs including Buffett, Watsa, Mark Leonard, Jeff Bezos, Robert
Goisetta of Coca-Cola, Weston Hicks of Allegheny, Brett Roberts of Credit Acceptance, among
others. Most great letters are easy to read and easy to understand and score high in clarity
and candor. They're upfront about the challenges facing the company. In fact, it might even be a
good sign that the challenges are highlighted much more than the triumphs because it helps build
trust and shows that the CEO doesn't have a big ego. The way one executive put it in relation to
his subordinates is that he was much more interested in hearing the bad news than the good news,
because it's the good news that tends to take care of itself.
Another common theme is the CEO growing into the letters, producing great work that gets better
and better over time.
Amazon shareholders were one of the lucky few where Bezos, he wrote an exceptional shareholder
letter the first year they went public, which attracted many quality shareholders.
It was so good that he even appended it to the ensuing shareholder letters in the future.
As a host here at TIP, I've reviewed countless letters written by Fundman
and vetting guests who come on the show, and for the vast majority of them, they almost all
read the same. We look for a competitively advantaged business with high returns on capital,
and we look to pay what we deem to be a fair price for such a company. You want to look for
someone who has some authenticity, and they're a bit original. It doesn't just straight up copy
what Buffett and these other super investors have said. I just revisited Francois-Franchaun's
fund letter from 2023, and I had Francois-Hua on that.
the show earlier this year on episode 626. He shared the story of meeting Charlie Munger. He displayed
a picture of them from 2002. And then he also shared a story from McDonald's from the 1960s where
there was this dispute between Ray Kroc and Harry Sondoborne. Sondoborne believed that the economy
was about to enter a recession, while Kroc believed that they should just ignore any recession
and just focus on expanding the business. And then over the next five years, of course, sales for
McDonald's grew from $51 million to $385 million.
It just makes trying to time the market or time the economy just look straight up silly
with the benefit of hindsight, of course.
But I think that still carries through to today, which is why Francois shared that example.
And then there's what Cunningham refers to as the Golden Rule.
Buffett says he writes to provide shareholders information he would want to have if their
positions were reversed.
So if some CEOs try and explain things and it's just really complicated, that's going to turn away a lot of quality shareholders that might not be super familiar with all these technical terminology and it just is really difficult for a lot of people to understand.
Next year, we turn to the annual meeting.
The annual meeting is another opportunity for a company to share their culture and their vision for the business.
Prior to the 1930s, annual meetings were something that nobody really wanted to attend.
They achieved very little and probably weren't that interesting.
As individual share ownership increased, the popularity of annual meetings started to increase as well.
So by the early 1960s, there were 10 meetings that would attract 1,000 shareholders or more.
In 1975, Buffett hosted his first ever annual meeting for Berkshire Hathaway.
It attracted around a dozen attendees in the Omaha office cafeteria.
By 1985, he would attract hundreds of people, 1995.
thousands, 2005, tens of thousands, and then nowadays we of course have 40,000 plus heading to Omaha for
the Berkshire meeting. As for the 2025 meeting that's coming up, that'll be the first week in
of May, TIP will be hosting a number of live events for our TIP Mastermind community, which is
our vetted community of private investors, portfolio managers, and high net worth individuals.
We'll be having two dinners and socials and then a bus tour to see much of what Omaha has
to offer and then really just give members the opportunity to network in person.
I'll have the link to join the waitlist to apply for the community and the show notes for
those interested.
And then also, TIP is going to be hosting a couple of free events for our audience members.
Those are going to be on Friday and Saturday evening.
And Sean O'Malley, my colleague, will be organizing these.
You can reach out to Sean at the Investorspodcast.com.
That's S-H-A-W-N.
And I'll also have a link in the show notes for more information.
on how you can attend the meeting and more information regarding the trip to Omaha.
If you do plan on going to Omaha, I would highly recommend getting your flights and hotels
booked as soon as possible, as they tend to get quite expensive as we get closer and closer
to the event. And it's, of course, one of the biggest events of the year for Omaha, so it attracts
a lot of people from out of town. The Berkshire meeting features the six-hour Q&A session with Warren
Buffett and a whole weekend of events. So while I do enjoy attending the Berkshire meeting at the
CHI Center, my favorite part really is just connecting in person with like-minded people that I
typically only get to see around once a year. And some of which are members of our mastermind community
and others might be a guest we have on the show here or people I work with at TIP. So that reminds me
one of my friends Alex Morris, who writes the popular blog, The Science of Hitting. He also has a book
coming out in January 2025. It's titled Buffett and Munger unscripted, and it covers three decades
of investment and business insights from the Berkshire shareholder meetings. And I know that there's also
a podcast out there that has most of the meetings recorded and published online for free,
which is really a great way to take in all of Buffett and Munger's wisdom in an audio format that
they've released over the years. One of my favorite things that Munger said when the tribute was
played in the 2024 meeting last year, he referred to the Burk's,
annual meeting as a celebration.
He said that celebration is part of making a group of people work well together.
It's a celebration.
And you can just see it and feel it at the meeting where all these shareholders there,
they feel like they're part of this community.
Out of any company in the world,
it's very likely that Berkshire has the most quality shareholders.
And I think that community feel that a business can generate can almost be like a positive
reinforcing cycle that helps keep quality shareholders in, and that attracts new quality shareholders
each year. So this strong quality shareholder base can help attract and retain new quality shareholders.
And Cunningham argues that while many companies have transitioned to a digital format for the
annual meeting, executives who practice the live in-person meetings can have a competitive
advantage in attracting quality shareholders. This brings us to the discussion on quarterly
contact with shareholders. So there's some debate on forecasting and whether they're a good thing or not.
There's no legal requirement for companies to publicly forecast their upcoming performance.
And this is a practice that has started to spread in the 1980s and 1990s. And I think it's safe to say
that analysts just love forecasts since it helps them put together their own forecasts.
Cunningham, however, believes that the drawbacks of quarterly forecasts far outweigh the
benefits. The first reason is that forecasts are not information, their predictions and guesses. Given
the vicissitudes of business, no one can be highly confident in them, no matter how carefully
they're developed. The second reason Cunningham doesn't like forecasts is that they take
enormous time and effort to develop, which could be used for more important tasks. And then
the third reason is that forecasts can turn into goals, or really a test for the business. And this
This can also create these perverse incentives and potentially lead managers to optimize for the
short term to the detriment of the long term.
For example, management might decide to cut their R&D expenses to boost EPS, which might look
good for that quarter, but if R&D has a high return over time, then that would be a decision
that actually destroys shareholder value.
Because of these reasons, Cunningham states that quality shareholders oppose quarterly
guidance since they're more interested in maximizing long-term shareholder value.
Quarterly conference calls pose a similar challenge to quarterly guidance.
The quarterly calls also aren't required, but they might be useful in a sense of updating
shareholders on recent trends and answer questions that they might have.
While there may be some good information provided on the quarterly call, much of it might
prove to not be very useful.
Maybe some of the questions from analysts aren't really that helpful.
They might be interested in selling securities instead of asking more strategic questions
that you'd hear from quality shareholders.
And I've heard some quality shareholders speak in the past about how a lot of businesses
just don't require a quarterly update.
Like an annual is just fine for a lot of businesses that don't see a lot of change quarter to
quarter.
So turning to the useful metrics for shareholders,
While much of assessing a great business is qualitative, Professor Peter Drecker said,
If you can't measure it, you can't improve it.
This brings us to the question, which metrics should managers and investors use to measure
business performance?
Quality shareholders want to know which metrics management uses in assessing the business's
performance, and they want managers to be consistent in the metrics they're using and not
switching and using just what happens to be best during that specific time period. And they want to
know why that metric is chosen. What's the rationale and the reasoning behind it? Economic profit is one
example. This is a metric that's been used by credit acceptance. In their 2017 annual letter,
CEO Brett Roberts stated, we use a financial metric called economic profit to evaluate our
financial results and determine incentive compensation. Economic profit differs from gap netting
by subtracting a cost for equity capital.
Economic profit is a function of three variables.
The adjusted average amount of capital invested,
the adjusted return on capital,
and the adjusted weighted average cost of capital, end quote.
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All right.
Back to the show.
So in the case of credit acceptance, they're sharing this measure to assess their performance
and then help give quality shareholders a sense of how the business is actually performing
over year to year or long time periods.
Investors need to be careful, though, because sometimes these non-gap measures can be an opportunity
for management to try and paint a rosy picture when reality really isn't so bright.
Munger, he used to call adjusted EBITDA BS earnings.
I think that especially for more novice investors or maybe newer investors, should probably
be careful about trusting these other measures provided by management that might overlook
key expense items like amortization, depreciation, or even stock-based compensation.
So the gap or the IFRS numbers, they offer a lot of value to investors because it allows them to
easily compare businesses using a common system.
But every company is unique and it requires a tailored metric to show how it's performing.
Investors should probably utilize both the accounting numbers and the metrics that are provided
by the managers to assess the businesses' performance.
I think this also ties in well with one of the realities of investing, which is that
great companies usually don't grow in a smooth straight line. Buffett would often say that he doesn't
smooth quarterly or smooth annual results. He would actually prefer a lumpy 20% return over a smooth
10% return. So I think if you're holding a great business, we should expect some earnings
misses that don't meet the transients or the short-term investors' expectations and understand
that if you're expecting a 15% return on average, some years are probably going to be below that
and some years are probably going to be above that. And transients hate the uncertainty of such
results, which I think can give even quality shareholders an advantage if they're patient
in letting the management team perform over time rather than expecting great results every single
quarter. Tom Gaynor wrote in his 2013 letter. At many organizations, volatility causes people
to go nuts. Experience has shown they're tempted to tamp down and pretend that the world is a smooth
place. We do not share this delusion. We think that unnaturally attempting to minimize reported
volatility would diminish long-term profitability of the company and work against the interests
of long-term owners of the firm, end quote. I think oftentimes it can be those plateaus in the
business that can actually sow the seeds for the company's next leg of growth. So I'll use an example
here of a company I own. It's a company called Dino Polska, which is a convenience store or
grocer out of Poland. In 2024, they've been facing a number of headwinds that has led to slower
growth for their business. So Poland, they just issued a 30% increase in the minimum wage,
and that directly increases Dino's expenses. With Poland's economy slowing down significantly,
it's actually teetered on deflation. So Dino's competitors have started to drastically cut prices
and run these marketing campaigns. And this is likely to be pretty short-term pressure on Dino,
as it really isn't a sustainable practice by them. And then the Polish consumer is just financially
strained. A couple of years ago, they had nearly 20% inflation, and that's now come down and
normalized. And then Dino is also working on building out these new distribution centers, which
are going to be used for the future stores that are going to be built, and that depresses
2024 earnings. So I think some of these headwinds will soon dissipate or potentially even turn
into tailwinds. For example, with the minimum wage increase, in theory, I would expect consumers
to now have more purchasing power, and over time, this is going to boost Dino's top line and bottom line.
And once their distribution centers are built, they're going to be able to use those to help fuel future
growth. And this really ties back into Tom Russo's point of management focusing on the long term
and having that capacity to suffer. And despite these headwinds, Dino is still in an excellent
financial position relative to their competitors and they continue to reinvest all of their
cash flows into future growth at a high rate of return. And they've also seen their store growth
slow down in 2024. So management expects 270 new stores in 24 and then they're looking at around
350 stores in 25. I think if they're able to continue to have a high return on invested capital
on these new builds and the recent stores start to hit maturity, you'll see revenue and earnings
growth start to normalize and pick back up, but we shall see. Cunningham has a chapter on capital
allocation, which, of course, we discussed extensively on the podcast here. I like how he thinks about
capital allocation and sort of the order of operations of how capital should be allocated. So first,
he explains that excess cash should be reinvested back into the business when the return
on invested capital exceeds the business's cost of capital. And then you take what's left over
and you either allocate that to buybacks or acquisitions. And this should be utilized if they are
value accretive to shareholders. So for buybacks, you want to purchase when the shares are trading
below the intrinsic value. And if neither of those are a great option, then excess cash should be
return to shareholders in the form of dividends. And it's really that simple. If you look at Berkshire
Hathaway, they've never paid a dividend because they're always either reinvesting, going and
making acquisitions, putting this even excess cash on the balance sheet, or doing repurchases when
the price makes sense to the management team. Cunningham made a couple of interesting points with
regards to share issuance and share buybacks. Disciplined managers rarely or don't ever use shares
to fund an acquisition.
He writes that using stock can inflate the price of the purchase, and it almost feels like
play money or it feels like poker chips, and it feels like actual cash, which can be a bit dangerous
for many managers, I think.
One of Buffett's biggest mistakes was issuing stock to purchase Dexter's shoe, and that ended up
being a flop.
He used shares in the early 90s, and that compounded his mistake.
And then with regards to buybacks, buybacks are essentially purchasing shares.
from the more short-term-oriented shareholders, which actually increases the company's proportion
of quality shareholders, which I thought was a super interesting point there.
And then since quality shareholders are attuned to good capital allocation practices,
they tend to shy away from managers who overpay during buyback periods, and ideally the company's
more opportunistic with buybacks.
It goes to Buffett's line of being greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others
are greedy.
Next, we have part three of the book here, and this is a section titled Pivot Points.
This highlights three salient features of corporate governance, which includes director selection,
executive pay, and shareholder voting.
So starting here with director selection.
Cunningham discusses one board that scored the highest marks for outstanding corporate governance.
They had 15 distinguished members independent of management and numerous committees,
which all composed of independent directors who were diverse in gender, race, and skill set,
and they were all displayed on the company's website.
So the role of the chairperson and the CEO was also held by different individuals.
So a noted scorer of governance quote-unquote best practices, they voted this company
one of the best five boards in corporate America.
And under this board's oversight, the company it led collapsed in a multi-billion,
and dollar flameout. The company he was describing here was actually Enron. Ever since the collapse of
Enron over two decades ago, corporate players have debated the board's role and boards continue
to struggle with their oversight. So in the 1970s, corporate directors were typically chosen by the CEO,
and then from the 1980s to the early 2000s, institutional shareholders started to play a bigger
role in selecting directors and emphasized that the director should have greater independence so that
there's less conflict of interest. Quality shareholders seek directors with a shareholder orientation,
their business savvy, and they have a true interest in the particular company and its stewardship
rather than simply following perceived best practices. Cunningham writes here, the number one question
quality shareholders have about any director candidates is whether they are shareholder oriented.
That is, all directors should act as if they're a single absentee owner and do everything
reasonably possible to advance that owner's long-term interest. So as a result, it would make sense
that the director held a sizable personal stake in the companies that they serve, so they
themselves are owners. And the board's most important job is to select an outstanding CEO.
And all CEOs must be measured according to a set of performance standards. If the CEO doesn't
live up to the board's standard in terms of performance of the business over, we can call it a reasonable
time period, whatever reasonable means, then it's the board's job to just replace them if they
aren't upholding those standards. And above all, quality shareholders care most about substance
when it comes to corporate governance. They want really sound reasoning behind particular policies,
and they aren't interested in checklists that prescribe good governance. Indexers, on the other hand,
are concerned about their performance of their overall portfolio rather than the performance of a
particular company. So they might prescribe policies that might benefit the whole, but might not
even really apply to one specific business. Because the indexer isn't particularly interested in the
individual company, you start to see why an engaged quality shareholder can be so powerful. So
think of someone like Tom Russo who might have great connections, great insights, or questions
about a business that can be helpful to the board or helpful to the management team.
And when you have a long list of engaged quality shareholders, it can really help create that
competitive advantage for the business that we've discussed.
Next year, I want to discuss management compensation and performance.
It seems that excessive compensation for your typical CEO is just what you expect with many
of these large Fortune 500 companies.
And the audience is likely familiar with the statistics that show that executive compensation
has risen much faster than the compensation of your typical employee at a firm.
And when you look at the shareholder base, the short-term investors are transient and activists.
They rarely consider executive compensation.
Index investors, of course, are extremely passive in this arena, leaving it to the quality
shareholders to help hold the board accountable on how much executives are paid and what
incentives are in place with regards to compensation.
There's also a history of corruption with regards to executive compensation.
So in 2005, a number of companies were discovered to be manipulating stock option grants.
They were backdating some of them to make them profitable and issuing others on the eve of
the news, which was calculated to drive the stock price up.
Professor Eric Lee from the University of Iowa, he uncovered some statistical anomalies
which led to investigations on more than 100 companies, and many had to read.
state their financials and many executives were fired as a result of the investigation.
And it's no secret to most boards that in order to get the outcome they desire,
they need to incentivize the outcome they desire.
One problem with some compensation packages is that they aren't necessarily symmetrical.
So it might represent a great pay on the upside if the company performs,
but the managers might not feel the pain if their efforts don't pan out favorably.
So this is much of what's that play during the 2008 great financial crisis.
Many people on Wall Street were taking extraordinary risks to the detriment of others.
And they didn't feel much of the pain, if any of the pain.
Cunningham writes, credit markets failed in part because managers took huge gambols
as there was huge possibility for upside and limited downside to their pay, end quote.
So stock options are quite prevalent, of course, in pay packages, which can also lead to poor incentives
because they could get a huge payoff if the stock goes up, but it's just like something like a slap on the wrist if it doesn't pay out.
And Cunningham believes that to recruit quality shareholders, the best companies actually avoid stock options,
or they actually report their costs faithfully to shareholders.
So this led to more regulations on the case of executive compensation.
So there's three points here.
So first, stock exchange rules require independent.
board compensation committees to set pay and disclose related policy.
The second point here, companies must disclose the ratio of top executive pay to that of the
median employee.
And then the third regulation is that every three years, companies must hold formal
shareholder votes on pay and asks shareholders every six years whether to make those votes
more or less frequent.
Many companies that are popular among quality shareholders make it a point to have the
executives receive a moderate salary relative to their peers. So here are a few extreme examples
that helps set an example of how shareholder-friendly just some managers can be. So Warren Buffett,
of course, he has a salary of $100,000 and it's remained at that for 25 years, and he receives
no bonus. So, you know, $100,000 to Buffett is practically nothing. So the only way he really
benefits financially from the success of Berkshire is through the increase in the value of the
shares he owns in Berkshire.
And then Mark Leonard from Constellation Software, he's actually waived his entitlement to a
salary and a bonus.
And then he's also made it a point to keep the number of shares outstanding in Constellation
Software at 21 million shares.
And it's remained at that since the IPO in 2006.
So no executives are just being handed out shares.
And if you'd like to learn more about Constellation, I've reviewed Mark Leonard's letters back on
episode 531, and Chris Mayer and I chatted about this company in depth on episode 608 and full
disclosure.
I do own shares in Constellation and Dino Polska, which I'll be tying it here as well.
So for Dino Polska, another one of my holdings, the founder and chairman, Tomas Bionoski,
he owns 51% of the shares, and he also receives zero compensation.
And then as of the time of writing, Cunningham found 250 top executives who received a very small salary.
It was typically around $1 for at least one year over the past decade.
And then if you extend that out over at least five years when looking at the past decade, you'd find around 35 executives.
So it's pretty rare to have CEOs or executives that get very little compensation.
He mentions that companies like Expedia, national instruments.
and post holdings. Now, these are obviously extreme examples. I think exceptional CEOs should
be paid, a reasonable salary at least. A CEO might earn $5 million, $10 million, or even north
of $100 million at a large Fortune 500 company and also add significant value to the business.
But I think it's something to keep an eye on because if a CEO is way overcompensated and
they aren't really performing well, then one has to consider just how shareholder-friendly
they really are. It's also worth mentioning that taking no salary isn't always a great sign. There's
a few examples of CEOs who have taken this approach to try and send a signal of a selfless commitment
to a company's recovery. So Cunningham points out Chrysler in 1978 or Citigroup in 2007.
We should also keep an eye on options packages and see if there's a big payout that's really
coming for some of these types of executives. And then the last chapter in the book here is on
shareholder voting, which I'll briefly touch on here before we wrap up the episode. Now,
the traditional share structure was simply one class of shares where each share represented
a proportional equal voting right. In over the past 10 to 20 years, dual class share structure
has actually become more common. So one class of shares has more voting rights, and this allows
someone like a founder to raise equity capital without giving up total control of the business. So
Mark Zuckerberg, for example, he owns 14% of the shares in META, but he actually has over 50% voting
rights. This can, of course, be beneficial, assuming that the majority owner for the voting
rights has a long-term mindset with the business. It's worked out well for META, of course,
and you don't want someone like Zuckerberg simply doing this to try and enrich themselves
in the short term to the detriment of the broader shareholder base. And I can certainly
resonate with the dual-class structure because oftentimes with these good businesses, they can raise
equity capital, the founder gets diluted, and the new shareholders just want to take the company
in a direction that doesn't align with the founder or with the founder's original vision,
and the founder just loses control of their life's work. Phil Knight from Nike, he stated that
he wouldn't have taken Nike public without the dual-class structure. To help improve the outcomes of
the voting process, Cunningham walked through a few different types of alternatives and proposals
that have been considered over time. He mentioned time-weighted voting. This considers how long
the individual has been a shareholder. The longer you've been a shareholder, the more weight your
vote would have. And then other ideas he shared is removing index funds from the voting process
altogether. And then Cunningham wraps up the book by stating, no shareholder group can deny
the essential functions quality shareholders play. They're a sounding board, constructive critic,
champion of the long term, and ultimate arbiter of capital allocation and business value.
The bottom line is that the quality shareholder cohort brings enormous value to companies and
shareholders alike, as well as the markets generally. Corporate managers are likely to
continue to get shareholders they deserve, and most deserve a high density of quality
shareholders, end quote. And then there's some interesting points in the appendix here that I wanted to share.
So he includes a list of the top 20 quality shareholders. This includes firms like Berkshire Hathaway,
Bow Post Group with Seth Claremont, fiduciary management, Scopia Capital, Kinsico Capital,
Viking Group, and Matrix Capital. And then he looked at the portfolios of these quality shareholders
in which stocks were most commonly held. So from top to bottom here, I'll share a few. So Alphabet was
owned by 9 of the 20. Facebook or Meta and Microsoft, it was owned by 6. And then we have names like
Amazon, Visa, Alibaba, Thermo Fisher, United Health, among others. Now, one reason I've really enjoyed
going through this book is because I truly believe that TIP has such a high quality listener
base. When we host these live events, I just get to meet some wonderful people. And ever since we
launched our TIP Mastermind community, I continue to just be so impressed by the caliber of the people
were able to attract. Members operate their own businesses or they recently sold their business
to dedicate much of their life to investing. And some members even work for large,
multi-billion dollar asset management firm. So if you're considering going to Omaha,
I would really encourage you to make the trip. I think a lot of people they envision almost
going to Omaha, they've envisioned it just being a lonely experience. They're sitting a
at the meeting. They're not the type to go and introduce themselves to people. But one of the things
I really love about TIP is that we're able to connect these quality listeners and quality people
together at events like the Berkshire meeting. So that's why we're hosting events for our TIP
Mastermind community. And then Sean O'Malley will be hosting free events for our listeners as well.
So if you're on the edge about going, I would definitely encourage you to go while Buffett's still
around. I've been to, I believe, five meetings, and I've been going the past three years, and then I went
to a couple before COVID shut down the annual meetings. So if you have any questions, feel free to
reach out to Sean or I. Sean's email is S-H-A-W-N at theinvestorspodcast.com. And then mine is
Clay at the investorspodcast.com, CLAY. With that, thank you so much for tuning in to today's
episode. And I hope to see you again next week. Thank you for listening to TIP.
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