We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network - TIP687: The Art of Thoughtful Wealth Creation w/ William Green

Episode Date: December 29, 2024

In today's episode, Kyle Grieve is joined by co-host William Green, who explores topics like the art of cloning and the nuances required to do it effectively, whether or not contrarianism is a trait t...hat can be learned, the inner workings of Charlie Munger’s incredible mind, and what we can learn from him, how to improve focus while reducing noise in a complex world, the power of simplicity, why quality is so impactful, where successful investors fall on the optimism spectrum, why close-knit communities are so helpful, and much more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 02:53 - The most important investing concepts to adopt to tilt the odds in your favour in an uncertain world. 10:56 - The keys to becoming an expert cloner to improve your investing and life. 24:46 - Why you should search out win-win relationships. 32:34 - The importance of managing emotions. 32:34 - The three emotions that you should be aware of so you can eliminate them as fast as possible to live a better life. 48:27 - The difficulties of being a contrarian and if contrarianism can be taught. 01:06:41 - Why simplicity is so vital to a winning investing strategy. 01:15:30 - The importance of living with quality in all aspects of life. 01:34:56 - How to navigate the spectrum of optimism and pessimism. 01:43:14 - William’s vital takeaways away from being a part of close-knit communities. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Buy Richer, Wiser, Happier here. Buy Letting Go by David Hawkins here. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: SimpleMining AnchorWatch Human Rights Foundation Onramp Superhero Leadership Unchained Vanta Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Spotify! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

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Starting point is 00:00:00 You're listening to TIP. Many listeners of the show, myself included, have gained a wealth of knowledge from William Green. I've learned just so much from his excellent book, Rich or Wiser, happier, and from listening to his exceptional interviews on TIP. But I never had the opportunity to chat with him. So I invited him on to the show to discuss some of the primary lessons from his book and share some of the knowledge that he's accumulated over his years of journalism. After this episode ended, I got a chance to talk with William about the art of podcasting.
Starting point is 00:00:27 He said something incredibly profound to me. Whenever he interviews people, he's intentional about getting to the essence of what they're trying to say. So even though he'll over-prepared for an episode, he's also done just so much research and understands his guests at such a deep level that if an interesting point comes up that he thinks requires more depth, he's willing to explore those ideas even further. My first question in today's episode deals with the essence of what William was chasing when he wrote richer, wise, or happier. As you'll hear, his primary focus was trying to make the best sense possible out of just an uncertain way. world. Now, while there's no definitive blueprint for achieving this, his years of interviewing extraordinary investors have taught him that success often comes down to tipping the odds in your favor. The essence of his excellent book was to learn strategies, principles, processes, insights,
Starting point is 00:01:15 habits, and personality traits that outperformers have utilized to improve their odds of success, an absolutely invaluable approach in navigating life's uncertainties. Our conversation explored topics like the art of cloning and the nuances that are required to do it effectively. We dove into contrarianism and if it's a trait that can be learned. We discussed Charlie Munger in a lot of detail as well as some of the inner workings of his mind from which I think everyone can draw incredible insights from. We also addressed focus and noise and how investors can guide their thinking to improve awareness and also make better decisions. Then we spoke about simplicity, we spoke about quality, we spoke about optimism spectrums,
Starting point is 00:01:55 and the importance of being part of a close-knit community. If you're looking to sharpen your ability to thrive in an unpredictable world, this episode is just packed with value. Now, let's dive into this week's conversation with William Green. Since 2014 and through more than 180 million downloads, we've studied the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most. We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected. Now for your hosts, Kyle Greve and William Green.
Starting point is 00:02:30 Welcome to the Investors podcast. I'm your host, Kyle Greve. And today we welcome a very special guest, my co-host, William, welcome to the show. William, welcome to the podcast. Hey, Carl, thanks so much for having me. This is a particular treat for me. It's the first time we've ever officially talked on air, although we talk a lot privately. That's right. It should be a blast. So I've had the pleasure here of getting to work with you now since the summertime. So I feel like I've gotten a lot more knowledgeable about, you know, just who you are from those experiences and not just from, you know, reading your book. religiously. But William has some great news here. So his book, Rich or Wise or Happier is going to be
Starting point is 00:03:12 released here in paperback form. And I thought it would be just good to get him on here, ask him a few questions that are related to the book, and maybe chat a little bit about some of the learnings that he's gotten from being part of these smaller communities over the year. So let's kick things off, William. So in the opening chapter of your book, you mentioned that investing kind of became your outlet to create wealth by just simply outthinking others, which I love. You also share that writing the book was a way to kind of uncover these principles. processes, insights, habits, and personality traits that help just these legendary investors that you studied achieve these incredibly impressive long-term outperformances. So to start things off,
Starting point is 00:03:49 if you had to choose just one overarching theme from that book that's had kind of the biggest impact on your own journey to get richer, wiser, and happier, what do you think it would be and why? It changes the whole time. I think I keep coming back and thinking, like Howard Marks kept saying, this is the most important thing until he finally wrote a book where there were, what's on like, 15 or 20 most important things. So it does keep changing. But I wrote the book in a strange way where actually the final part that I wrote was the introduction. And so I'd written all of the chapters over almost five years. And then I came back to the introduction. Then I had to say, okay, so here's what it all adds up to. Here's what it all means. And so what I figured out is
Starting point is 00:04:30 really the overarching theme that I kind of uncovered through this very painful process of reporting and writing this thing over many years. I figured out the most important theme really is this idea that, okay, we live in a very uncertain world where we have no idea what the future holds. We really have no idea. I mean, we can pretend, we can listen to all of these soothsayers on Wall Street and beyond and in the news who claim to know, but either they're deluding themselves or they're trying to delude us. But the reality is, despite that, we're not powerless. that we can do to stack the odds in our favor. And the reason you want to study the great investors is because they're extraordinarily pragmatic about probabilities, about thinking through
Starting point is 00:05:12 this question of what choices can we make that will very subtly tilt the odds in our favor? And I think in some ways, the person who embodied this best for me was Ed Thorpe, who I wrote about in the introduction, who is just this extraordinary genius who, I mean, he was sort of the ultimate game player, right? Early in his life, he most famously figured out how to count cards and beat the casino at Blackjack. Then he figures out how to beat the casino at roulette, which is outrageous, right? So he and this legendary partner of his, Claude Shannon, who was a famous scientist at Bell Labs and at MIT, made the first wearable computer. And Ed went to the casino and he would actually activate this thing with the big toe in his shoe.
Starting point is 00:06:02 And he could tell how fast the rotor wheel and the ball was spinning. And so it takes this game of chance. And he adds a little bit of knowledge, a little bit of information that gives him an edge. And that's such a sort of emblematic way to approach life, right? It's saying, I'm not going to play this game that's just random. But if I can give myself a slight advantage so that I can keep playing the game and over time, the odds of success are going to work in my favor, then I'll do it. And so one of the things that I found curious was that you could find these approaches,
Starting point is 00:06:39 these principles that worked in investing in markets, but they would also work in business and they would also work in life. And so when you start asking someone like Ed Thorpe, as I did over this three-hour breakfast in a beautiful hotel in New York, when you start asking him, okay, so if you approach life as a game and you think about how do you stack the odds in your favor in life, Ed actually is incredibly thoughtful about that as well. And so over this amazing breakfast, he starts saying, well, okay, so your health, for example, is a really good emblem of what we're talking about here, of this approach to life. He said, you're dealt certain cards, right? Genetically,
Starting point is 00:07:16 you're dealt certain cards. That's the hand you're given. But then you influence the outcome, by the decisions you make about how to play that hand. So, for example, if you decide that you're going to exercise or you decide that you're going to eat well, or you decide that you're going to get your annual checkup from your doctor, or you decide that you're going to make sure your vaccinations are up to date, you're increasing the odds of a happy outcome. Now, you still actually don't know whether the outcome could be good. You know, my wife right before I came on the interview called me,
Starting point is 00:07:48 and she was walking down the street with our dog, and this woman turned into her in a car and stopped literally like a couple of inches ahead of her as she was walking across the street. She didn't have control over that. That was in the hands of the driver who somehow turned recklessly and didn't look at her. But you increase your odds if you look carefully, if you are not crossing the street when you're drunk or when you're – luckily, my wife doesn't really drink more than about half a glass of wine a month. But you know what I mean? These decisions about our own behavior, they don't mean that everything is going to turn out well. But over time, if you behave stupidly, if you behave recklessly,
Starting point is 00:08:30 it's going to come back and bite you in the butt. And if you behave sensibly, it's more likely to turn out well. And I think what I found really interesting was that you could see this way of playing the odds really in every area of the investor's life, right? You could see it in the type of information they digested. You could see it in their approach to being continuous learning machines, to use Charlie Munger's phrase, to describe Buffett. You could see it in the way they would set up this kind of quiet, thoughtful, long-term lifestyle that enabled them to think more peacefully and more dispassionately about markets and odds. You could see it in their investment style in the way that many of the great investors would just sit back very calmly and wait for moments
Starting point is 00:09:16 of disruption when everyone else was very emotional and they could pounce with what Charlie would call gumption and take advantage of these rare mispriced bets. And so you'd see it in their habit formation, right? I mean, you'd see them decide, okay, so I don't just want to compound money. I'm going to benefit from compounding with good habits. So if I meditate, it's not going to make a huge difference on the day, perhaps, but over for five years, 10 years, 20 years, if I meditate, or if I exercise, or if I'm kind to people, it's going to start compounding.
Starting point is 00:09:53 So I think in a way, that's the master principle. That's the overarching principle. And I guess I spelled it out a little bit in the introduction. But I think it's easy to miss. I mean, you know, I did a lot of cloning of other people's books, right? And I studied very carefully books by people like Malcolm Gladwell and Attle Gawande and Oliver sacks. And I could see, okay, so here's someone like Gladwell who would have one great idea, like the tipping point or blink or outliers. He would have one major theme and then he would
Starting point is 00:10:22 have all these variations on a theme. And my book was similar in a sense, except that there were so many themes. I mean, in a way, it's almost like nine books. It was like crazily ambitious. But I think the overarching theme, the thing that brings them all together is the fact that if you behave in the way that's outlined in each of these chapters, you're subtly stacking the odds in your favor. And you still might be screwed because we live in such an uncertain world where terrible things happen to great people who are incredibly rational. But you're much more likely to succeed if you operate this way than if you don't. Speaking of cloning, those great authors you just spoke to, I want to talk about cloning because cloning is just one of my favorite metal models.
Starting point is 00:11:08 and I really enjoyed how you put that specifically at the very beginning of your book. And I know you did that kind of intentionally. So there's a couple of things I want to mention, though. I've heard Monich Pabri on numerous times in his interviews say how he feels that humans have this kind of natural aversion to cloning. And so from my observations, when I look specifically at a lot of the value investors that you outline in the book or just people that even aren't outlined in the book, it seems like a lot of them have succeeded specifically by cloning specific traits or strategies
Starting point is 00:11:37 from people like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger and all those types. So I love to get your opinion. You know, what do you think the average person thinks about cloning and is everyone capable of it? Or do you think there's just a small subset of people who are kind of, you know, have that survivorship bias and we see them cloning people, but maybe make up a very, very small minority of the population? I think cloning's an absolute superpower, but you have to understand how powerful it is. And so I think part of what happened to me is that because I'm old friends with Guy Speer, who's possibly Monish's closest friend, I got to know Monish pretty well over the years.
Starting point is 00:12:16 And I would go to Omaha with him for the Buckch-Hathaway annual meeting. And when I wrote an earlier book called The Great Minds Investing, I went out to Irvine, California, to his office there and spent a lot of time with him there. And then one time we flew back on a private plane that Guy had rented from net jets. So we were chatting about cloning and things like that on the flight back from Amar to New York. And so then when I came to write this book, I knew that Monash was just extraordinarily thoughtful. He has this brilliant mind and he thought very deeply about this stuff that I think nobody else had really thought about. And so I decided right at the start, literally actually, before I even got a book deal, I went to India with Monash and spent five days with him crossing India.
Starting point is 00:13:00 I mean, we did crazy stuff. We went to all of these, not to all, but a lot of schools that his foundation, his charitable foundation, Daxana was funding. And we even shared a bunk bed in a train one night on an all-night train ride from, I think it was Mumbai, Dakota or the other way around. And the reason I wanted to do all this and spend all this time with Monash is that I realized he had figured out this one unbelievably powerful idea that I needed to focus on in the the first chapter of the book, which is that you don't really need to be original. What you really
Starting point is 00:13:36 need to do, I mean, it's great if you are original. It's fabulous. But if you're like most of us and you're just pretty smart, pretty talented, pretty diligent, it's much wiser to say, let me look at people who are smarter, more knowledgeable, older, more experience, wiser, more successful, have figured out already. And let me reverse engineer it really carefully. and then replicate what works for me in their approach. And Monashire's point is that almost nobody bothers to do that. Partly, I think, because they don't get that this is an important approach, but partly I think because, as he would put it,
Starting point is 00:14:15 there is this kind of natural resistance, almost this sense that it's tawdry and vulgar and unoriginal, you know, to just say, oh, that works really well. Let me rip that off. And so I think that gives a tremendous advantage to anyone who actually understands both the power of the principle, but also as Charlie would say, you know, Charlie, one of my favorite lines from Charlie was take a simple idea and take it seriously, take a good idea, take it seriously. And so when you encounter something like cloning,
Starting point is 00:14:45 the key is actually the degree of fanaticism involved in the application. And so for me, this has become really a central principle in my life because I've seen it work so well. And so I'm applying it the whole time. And I use it in very small ways, right, where something like my website, which I just updated this week after about three and a half years of meaning to updated and never doing it, I wanted to have Williamgreen.com, but it wasn't available. So I looked at Michael Lewis's website and various others and I see, oh, Michael Lewis writes.com. And so I just clone that immediately.
Starting point is 00:15:20 So I have Williamgreen rights.com. Or when you and I were trying to figure out what time to have the masterclass, I'm like, Oh, well, one of my guests on the podcast, Michael Burke, he teaches this amazing monthly class for an international audience over Zoom. And he does it at 1pm, Eastern Standard Time. And I'm like, I'll clone that. It'll probably work for people in London. It'll work for people in Toronto.
Starting point is 00:15:41 So these very simple decisions I clone, but then you can do it with investing, right? So you can say, okay, as Monich did, what are the underlying principles behind Warren and Charlie's success. So one of the things that Charlie said to me on a Zoom call that I had with him once is he said, look, all successful investing involves buying more than you're paying for, getting more prospects than you're paying for. And he said, look, there are different ways of doing that, right? He said, you could do it by buying Amazon, as Bill Miller did many, many years ago when everyone thought in the value investing community that Amazon was vastly overpriced and was going to go bankrupt. And Bill was like, no, this has an advantage that people aren't seeing and it'll become
Starting point is 00:16:28 apparent one day. And so he found value that other people didn't see there. So there are different ways of doing it. But they're all reflections, the variations of that fundamental theme of buying, you know, as Joe Greenblatt said to me, value an asset and buy it for less, buy it for much less and it's worth. And that's the whole essence of investing. So I think you want to study what these people have figured out and then reverse engineer it. But then you want to do it in so many ways, right? You can model yourself on these people. So you can literally do things like what Lee Lou,
Starting point is 00:17:06 this great investor who managed part of Charlie's fortune did, where when I went to visit Lee Lou in Pasadena once he had in his office a bust of Charlie as a physical remorse. minder, I guess, to behave more rationally in the way that Charlie would. Guy Speer has the same bust in his office in Zurich and in his home in Zurich in the library in his home. I have the same thing in my house, which Guy bought for me many years ago and sent to me. It was made in India, cast in India. And I discovered recently that I think Monash told me that he auctioned one recently for $26,000 for Daxana. So my wife was less enthusiastic about getting rid of my statue of Charlie Munger, when she heard that it might be worth $26,000.
Starting point is 00:17:54 But, you know, these are physical reminders of certain characteristics that we want to emulate. So it's not just emulating their investing principles. It's looking at that sculpture and thinking, okay, at this bust, at this bronze bust of a balding, bespectical, non-agenarian guy who, you know, passed away a year ago at 99. It's a way of, it's a kind of physical cue to remind myself to try to emulate the characteristics that Charlie embodied, like integrity, a sense of honor, a sense of decency, sense of rationality, you know, a huge emphasis on the power of positive some relationships where nobody, you know, where he made sure that his suppliers got treated well, that his partners were treated well, that everyone was treated decently. You know, he didn't believe in life as a zero-sum game. And so, you know, once you start to actually think really seriously about cloning in all of these these different ways, it radiates out in such a beautiful way. And you start to see, oh, wait a second. So Amazon, in a sense, was cloning Costco. And, you know, this is one of the things that Nick Sleep in case
Starting point is 00:19:04 Zakaria figured out when they saw the prime membership thing for Amazon. They were like, oh, it's like the Costco membership card. And Nick Sleep said to me, it's like Costco on steroids. And so I think this, in a way, it's like a muscle that you're trying to build. It starts with an understanding of the power of this actual practice of cloning, understanding that it's something that we're resistant to, and understanding that it's been very beneficial in the past, whether it's to, I mean, look, Warren clearly cloned things from Ben Graham. I mean, he cloned things like the fee structure that Ben Graham had when Warren set up his limited partnerships in the 50s. He mimicked the fee structure that Ben Graham had. But then also, he ended up diversifying much less than Ben Graham,
Starting point is 00:19:51 right? So I think this is a really key point. It's not about, it's not about slavishly following what someone else does. I think to clone in an intelligent way, you want to take the principle, take the spirit of what the person has figured out or the company has figured out, and then you adapt it to suit your own temperament and your own talents and your own situation and circumstances. And so one of the things I ended up writing about in the conclusion to my chapter on Monish, which I was thinking about just this morning is Monish became obsessed with truthfulness. And that's clearly really important. But he drew it from David Hawkins' book, Power versus Force. And I started to think, well, yeah, so the idea of focusing relentlessly on one virtue is really important.
Starting point is 00:20:39 But why should it be truthfulness? Why shouldn't it be kindness? Why shouldn't it be compassion? And so for me, kindness is probably more important than truthfulness. I'm pretty important. But I mean, when I interviewed Monash on my podcast and I pointed out that maybe he'd got the wrong principle from David Hawkins, he said something along the lines of, well, it's easier for me to be truthful and for me to be kind, which is an incredibly candid and interesting insight. For me, maybe it's easier to be kind than truthful.
Starting point is 00:21:11 I don't know. So maybe I tilt towards that. I don't know. I'm not self-aware enough to tell. But I think that's a really good example of something where you take the idea, the spirit of cloning, this principle of focusing intensely on one virtue. But then you adapt it. You ask yourself, well, am I Monash? Or do I have a different approach? I mean, for me, to clone Monish's unbelievable concentration on two, three, four, five stocks would be suicidal because I'm not as unemotional as Monish. I mean, I remember once I'll see Monish about how he felt when, how he dealt with the stress when his fund was down something like 67% in 2008. And he said, I don't feel stress. And I said, really? you're serious? And he said, yeah, he said, my wife at the time didn't even know that we were going
Starting point is 00:22:07 through this kind of crisis. She wasn't aware that there was any pressure. And he just told the truth to his shareholders. He said, it's not because of the market that we screwed up this much. It's because I made this dumb mistake and this dumb mistake and this dumb mistake. And almost nobody redeemed from the fund. And then he bounced back unbelievably. And it was all fine. So, I mean, that's great if you're totally unemotional and you can make these dispassionate bets on really cheap stuff. I am not totally unemotional. And so for me to clone that would be really dumb. So yeah, I mean, just to wrap up this idea, it's a superpower to clone.
Starting point is 00:22:45 It's an unbelievable muscle to build. But you've got to make it true to who you are. You've got to make it suit your talents and your temperament. And you also, you don't need to clone everything from the person you're cloning. So you could say, well, you know, this great investor or that great investor is unbelievably honest, an unbelievably smart, an unbelievably thoughtful, but they don't play nicely with the other kids. And I work in a team. And so I want to clone somebody else when it comes to figuring out how to manage a team. I mean, Monash doesn't give a damn about, you know, team dynamics. He's just, you know, he's just not interested in working with a team. Neither is Warren. really. And so, you know, whereas I have a guest who I interviewed recently on an upcoming episode of the podcast, which a famous investigator called Bill Priest, who is one of the Barron's roundtable members. And he just operates brilliantly in a team. He's just really amazing at
Starting point is 00:23:44 operating in a team. So I would very carefully clone what he's figured out about teamwork and how to get the best out of people and how to how to use the people in his team to challenge his own views. Monage feels like he doesn't want a team because then you have investing by committee and you can't think independently. So there are so many nuances to this, but this goes really deep. I mean, if you really study cloning, it just becomes something that you want to make a central tool in your life. Yeah, absolutely. I know in the master class, you know, it gave me a lot of time to really think about stuff that I wanted to clone. So I went and went through and looked at like different characteristic traits that I want to clone from other people that I'm currently working on or
Starting point is 00:24:28 maybe want to add in the future. I think it's a really, really helpful thing for anyone to do because you'll find that there's some people that you high respect already doing things that you want to do. And you know, like Charlie Munger said, if you want to live a good life, deserve it. And I think just doing things that other people are already doing who have lived a good life, there you go. That's kind of your blueprint to live a good life. So did anything come out of out of that specifically? Who did you decide to clone and what did you decide to clone? Are there any actual real breakthroughs in what you're doing? I think for me, it was a lot of just seeing what I'm already doing and maybe being a little bit more intentional about the specific things.
Starting point is 00:25:07 You know, looking at people like Warren Buffett and, I mean, him and Charlie, honestly, there's a lot of things that you can just kind of lump together. And like just like their ability to treat people kindly and like you said, like the win-win thing. That's just, that's, that's been a huge kind of thing for me, that a big learning and just showing that there's a different way to do business that I think a lot of people just, either they don't want to do it or they don't care about these win-win relationships. But like, just to your point there, you were talking about Charlie and how he always had these win-win type relationships. There was a little, it made me think of this point from damn right where so he had this initial partner in his partnership and things didn't end up going the way they both wanted and they ended up separating. ways. And basically in order to make this guy, I guess, say, face, they gave him a portion of the fees that they would make from the, from the partnership. And, you know, he could have just said, no, you're out. But he did that because he knew that was going to be a win-win for both him, the partnership and for his friend that they parted a ways with. So it's just little things like that. That was a really big insight for me. And that's something that I'm trying to kind of melt,
Starting point is 00:26:14 weld into my, into my life as as as much as possible. I actually think it goes back to that idea from Charlie of take a simple idea and take it seriously, if you just take that one idea and it becomes a guiding principle, it has a very profound effect because it's such a simplifying filter in so much of what you do because, I mean, I've talked about this before in my dealings with Stick, our partner at the Investors Podcast Network. We don't really seem to do anything in writing in contracts. There's just this sort of assumption that we're going to take care of each other. and he has exactly the same policy with Preston. I'm sure he has the same thing with you.
Starting point is 00:26:56 And that radiates out. Once you start to decide, oh, well, I'm actually not going to try to screw these people and get the best deal. I'm actually going to very consciously make sure they're okay and that the person on the other side of this deal would be happy. That's very powerful because the thing that I think Charlie figured out, because he was so rational, he was not sentimental about these things. He said to me at one point, he said, look, Monish is so mathematical and so logical that he said, he knows that he's going to
Starting point is 00:27:30 be richer and more successful if he treats people decently and honorably, if he's really ethical. And he said, people like me and Monish, we don't deserve much congratulations for being so ethical. We know that we're going to be richer and more successful because we're ethical. And so once you understand that, it has a very profound impact and it gives you permission to behave in a certain way. I was very struck. A few months ago, when I was in England, I met with Nick Sleep at an event. And I asked him about something that he had learned from Charlie, where Charlie had said to him,
Starting point is 00:28:05 I can only teach people what they already almost know. And I thought it was a beautiful insight. I'd never heard this before. And so I think we already almost know that we should behave in this honorable win-win fashion. But there's a part of us that thinks, yeah, but maybe that's just woefully naive and I'm going to get screwed in this way and taking advantage of in this way. And what if I'm the naive one who acts that way and I get my head handed to me? And then you watch TV and you see succession and billions and the like and you see all of these
Starting point is 00:28:41 rapacious businessman doing unbelievably well. I mean, there are so many examples, right? And so it takes a act of faith in a way to say, I'm not going to operate that way. I could operate that way and I'm not. And what happens somewhat miraculously, in my experience from observing Charlie and Warren and Tom Gaynor and Tom Russo, all Monash, all of Geyspia, all of these people who operate that way, they draw incredible people into their lives. And these people also have that same mentality of win-win. So when you surround yourself with people who operate that way, your life becomes kind of magical because you're not always watching over your shoulder for someone to screw you. And it just becomes much easier. So I think this is one of the reasons
Starting point is 00:29:36 why I love studying the great investors is because they're not sentimentalists, right? I mean, I have a tendency to be sort of sentimental and mystical about all of these things. And they're like deeply pragmatic, right? So when you say to, when I think about Monash and I think about the amazing things that he's done for charity to live tens of thousands of people out of poverty in India, you know, it's very easy for me to become sentimental about it. And, you know, I think of these beautiful sayings like the saying from the Talmud about, you know, he who saves one life saves the world.
Starting point is 00:30:11 And I sort of think that's true. And Monish is like, nah, he's like, the world's kind of meaningless. And, you know, if you can just leave it a better place and do a good job with your kids and help people and, you know, that's good. The rest of it's just a game. And I don't know if he truly believes that. I think it's somewhat true to what he believes. Maybe it's totally true. But he's not being sentimental about it.
Starting point is 00:30:35 He's like, no, life will be better if I help a lot of people. And it's just a game and let me figure out how to do it. So there's something just so deeply pragmatic about it. And then, you know, as Charlie would say, I observe what works and doesn't work and why. And so you observe what works in these people's lives and you try it in your own life. And then you say, huh, that's weird. I behaved honorably. and it had this beneficial effect.
Starting point is 00:31:03 I had this one time with Monash. I don't know if I ever told you this story, where early on when my book came out, Monash was going to buy a huge number of copies as gifts. He's always incredibly generous about giving gifts of books every year. I got my first copy of Paul Charles Almanac from Monash maybe 20 something years ago. And he decides he's going to buy lots of copies of my book. And so I put him in charge with this bulk seller.
Starting point is 00:31:26 I had a publicist at the time who was trying to arrange for me to say, sell lots of copies by bulk. And Monish writes me and he says, is that the best price? And I look at it and I'm like, no, it's a crap price. Like, wait, why is this more expensive than it should be? And it turns out that it was going through a different bulk seller because they would be counted for the best seller list or something like that. I mean, there is all sorts of machinations of a best seller list. And so I wrote back to him and I said, no, no, you would do better to buy it through this other seller and you'd get it for like, you know, a dollar or two less per copy. And it didn't occur to me, you know, to lie about it.
Starting point is 00:32:05 I'm like, well, you know, I've written a whole chapter about Monition about power versus force and telling the truth. I'm going to tell him the truth. And he writes back and he's like, oh, okay, that's absolutely fine. I'll buy it through the seller they want to sell it through. So he knowingly goes and buys it more expensively because the publicist had said that that would help me. And it was just a really interesting experiment to see like this little microcosm of, wait a second.
Starting point is 00:32:31 So if I take this principle from David Hawkins of trying to be more truthful, it actually doesn't hurt me. It ends up weirdly with this honorable guy helping me. And so I think you just test these things out and you see, huh, these principles are pretty powerful. Let me do more of that. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors. All right. I want you guys to imagine spending three days in office. Oslo at the height of the summer. You've got long days of daylight, incredible food, floating
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Starting point is 00:36:48 Go to Shopify.com slash WSB. That's Shopify. dot com slash WSB. All right. Back to the show. Let's continue riffing here on Charlie Munger here, seeing as we're going pretty hard on that. So your chapter that you had on avoiding foolishness,
Starting point is 00:37:07 I think tied in really well with a lot of the lessons I learned from reading his book damn right, which I'm sure you've read as well. And, you know, I just found it so fascinating that Charlie Munger approach of just reducing standard stupidities was such a powerful edge for him in the market. I mean, it's such a, like you just said, you know, it's a simple idea, but he took it very seriously. And I think he executed on that at such a high level. But, you know, one of the most interesting parts, I think, is his emphasis on avoiding self-defeating emotions that you pointed out in your book. There was, you know, anger, resentment, self-pity. And, you know, he famously just said
Starting point is 00:37:43 he doesn't do them. But, you know, for us mere mortals who have emotions that are, maybe harder to control. I'm interested in learning more about how you would suggest investors or just, you know, everyday people work on maybe defeating these more easily triggered emotions that kind of sabotage them from making optimal decisions. Yeah, I don't think you ever defeat them. I think part of what, as I understand, I've worked on this a lot and I've talked to people like Daniel Goldman who wrote this book on emotional intelligence and has become a friend. I've had I'm on the podcast, I think probably three times now. And he's an expert on meditation, but also on the brain. And he was a science writer for the New York Times many years. He was a very remarkable
Starting point is 00:38:25 guy. And he explained to me that it's not really about overcoming and defeating this stuff. He's like, you're still going to get anger. You're still going to get envy. You're still going to get anxiety. But be aware of it. And so I had this actually just on my way to the office here, where where we're recording this, I was stuck behind a whole array of trucks and cars as they were sort of chopping down trees and stuff. And I was late as I always am. And so I was getting kind of frustrated. And so I very consciously started to focus on how I felt. And I literally, I mean, I don't usually do this, but I literally found myself talking aloud in the car and saying, okay, so where are you feeling the anger? Where are you feeling the frustration? And I was like,
Starting point is 00:39:12 oh, okay, there's a little bit in the forehead. Like, I feel my forehead tightening. And, oh, there's a little bit of pressure in my chest. Oh, what's happening in the back of my head? Oh, that's interesting. There's actually pressure in the back of my head. And then I'm like, what's happening with the breathing? And I start to realize, oh, yeah, my breathing's getting a little constrained.
Starting point is 00:39:32 And then I wasn't trying to change it. I relaxed a little bit, but I was actually really just focusing on observing it. And then a couple of minutes later, I'm like, okay, so has it subsided? Is it gone? Or is there a little bit of a residue there? I mean, yeah, maybe there's a little bit of a residue, but actually it's kind of gone. It's kind of gone. And then I see there's a car double parked. I'm having to go on the opposite side of the road to get around. And I'm like, oh, no, there's annoyance still. And so, sorry to be so granular and self-referential about it, but it's Literally, it's observing this stuff in your body. So it's not that it's not happening.
Starting point is 00:40:10 It's that you're observing it and then you're saying, because you're aware of it, maybe you can make more skillful decisions about what to do with it. And so one of my favorite examples in the investment world of this is from my friend Ken Schubenstein, who after being a very successful venture capitalist and private equity guy, quit the investment business to become a neurologist. And I had sat in on Ken's class at Columbia Business School where he taught the Advanced Investment Research class, which is an amazing class. And I ordered it one year, a few years ago while I was working on the book.
Starting point is 00:40:45 And because Ken is such an expert on the brain, he's really thought through these questions of how you deal with emotion, how you prevent the emotion torpedoing your judgment. And so Ken would very consciously not make decisions when he was in various suboptimal states, right? So he would talk about when you're hungry, angry, lonely, tired, in pain, or stressed. These are great preconditions for making lousy decisions. I remember telling someone this once and he said, what else is that? That's all of my states. But so one of the things that Ken would do is as he found himself getting into those states, he would very consciously slow things down because in the same way as I was saying in the car where I was asking myself, okay, has
Starting point is 00:41:31 it subsided yet? There's this sort of peak of the emotion where you feel the anger or, you know, and sometimes when you're angry, you're really just like possessed. It feels like you're almost demonically possessed and you just kind of, you're like, I'm not going to say this to my wife. And then 10 seconds later, you're like, oh God, there I go again. I've just blown up this thing and now I'm going to be in the doghouse for two days. days because I couldn't control myself. I've got better at that over the years. But I still lost
Starting point is 00:42:00 my temper the other day when I was struggling, getting into New York City, and I was driving terribly. I parked terribly. And my wife's like, do you want to get out? And I'll park for you. And just my poor little male ego just kind of, you know, it's so ridiculous because it's like literally my wife taught me to drive when I was 25. So there's no reason why I should particularly 32 years later or 31 years later have any pride about this. But I just was so. I just was so irritated. So there are times where you're kind of taken over by it. But I think you're more likely to get back to normal if you're aware of what's going on. And sometimes in the moment where you're feeling kind of overtaken by anger, just to walk away, just to know nothing good
Starting point is 00:42:45 is going to come of this. Let me just take myself out of this situation is very helpful. But when it's less fiery emotions, like anxiety, which I have plenty of. I mean, I think that's why a lot of people, it's much less than it used to be, but I think that's why a lot of people end up meditating is initially because we have anxiety and then you get in the deep end and you start to be like, no, no, this is way, way, way more profound and the applications there's a way deeper. But, you know, for anxiety, when it's sort of lower key, it's just kind of a, you know, you know that you're not going to make great decisions because you're just worried,
Starting point is 00:43:19 you're a little jumpy, you're a little angsty. Just to get back to a few key habits that you know are helpful is a really practical thing to do. And so what Ken Schuvenstein said to me is, look, we know that there are four things that promote brain health and brain function. There are four habits that have been scientifically proven to help. So we know that meditation helps. We know that a good diet helps. we know that good sleep helps and we know that exercise helps.
Starting point is 00:43:52 And so when he was under a lot of stress during something like the 2008 period where his fund was getting killed and because he didn't have a gate, lots of his shareholders were cashing out at the worst possible time when stocks were incredibly cheap and were using the money so they didn't have to redeem from other funds that had erected a gate that stopped and getting out. And so it was just a terrible time for Kemp. And so he very consciously got back to these basic habits. So even something as small as saying that he started to make a point of eating more fish and more vegetables, more salad, and he stopped mashing up chocolate chip cookies in vanilla ice cream, which was a particular temptation for him. So just knowing that
Starting point is 00:44:37 you want to simplify your lifestyle and get back to these basic positive habits that promote good decision making is very helpful. And what I've found that I really cloned from Ken over the years is when I find that I'm getting overwhelmed because I just have too many things going on, I'm juggling too many projects. I really try to radically simplify my life. And sometimes in a kind of antisocial way, I literally didn't go with my family to Thanksgiving because they were going to Massachusetts. And I'm in New York and I had so many deadlines. And I'm like, it's just going to push me over the edge. And in some ways, that contradicts everything that I always say about the importance of having a balanced life and, you know, emphasizing the value of relationships and
Starting point is 00:45:22 stuff. But yesterday, as I was driving my daughter into New York City, she said to me, you were totally right not to come on Thanksgiving. And she had sort of overwhelmed herself by overloading her system with too many things. And so knowing what an appropriate speed limit for yourself is in terms of the amount of complexity you take into your life is really, really important. And so those are a few very practical ways to deal with your emotions. The other thing I would say is look at this book that David Hawkins wrote called Letting Go and look at Chapter 2 of that because it's just got this very powerful technique for dealing with emotions where you're watching the emotion and you're seeing where it's showing up somatically, where it is in your
Starting point is 00:46:07 body, but you're not trying to change it. And so there's, I guess, as well, what I was trying to do in the car. And Hawkins' point is that the thing that keeps the emotion going, these negative emotions, is resistance. And when you have kind of radical non-resistance to them, they sort of dissipate on their own. Because as we know from studying, you know, Buddhism and the like, everything is impermanent. Everything changes. And so, you know, or in Christianity, this two shall pass, right? Like, it's going to pass. And so you want to just, you want to just try to avoid doing anything incredibly stupid while under the influence of dumb emotions. And Charlie had, I think, an emotional advantage, a wiring advantage that he didn't really feel these emotions. But when I said to him,
Starting point is 00:46:54 how do you resist these emotions, he said, well, I just don't let them run. I don't even let them start. And he said, because I know they're stupid. And he said, I'm trying all day, every day to be less stupid. And so the knowledge itself is helpful. So even knowing that something like self-pity is actually self-defeating and stupid, that it's going to hurt you is very powerful. Or knowing that anger or a desire for vengeance is stupid is very helpful. And Charlie was very consciously looking at other people he could clone to feel. figure this out. So I remember one sort of daily journal meeting when he was chairman of the
Starting point is 00:47:37 Daily Journal, I think this is back in about 2016, 2017, during the time after the meeting where a few of us sort of superfan disciples were milling around and asking him additional questions, someone said to him, what would you ask Ben Franklin if you had dinner with Ben? And he said, I've had all my conversations with Ben. And so in his own head, he'd already been sort of talking to Ben about how to live. And he starts talking about how Ben Franklin never managed to overcome his resentment towards his son, who had very starkly different political views to him. And it really tore apart the relationship. And he said, so I've done a better job than Ben of letting go of resentment. I thought that was such a revealing comment that for someone like Charlie who couldn't benchmark
Starting point is 00:48:28 himself against many living people. He was benchmarking himself against the eminent dead. And he was very consciously saying, this giant Ben Franklin, who I absolutely revere, screwed up on this one front and he wrecked his relationship with his beloved son. And let me not do that because I know that resentment is stupid. What an amazing example that is. I wanted to move this, we were talking about cloning. I wanted to move this to an area that maybe is harder to clone, and that's contrarianism. So I really liked your book because you, in your kind of chapter on contrarians, you talked about Sir John Templeton, who I think, you know, he's probably one of the best examples of a contrarian that you could possibly get at in the
Starting point is 00:49:13 world of investing. And so, you know, he kind of made, he started his, his quest, you know, buying stocks that no one wanted during the Second World War or buying stocks overseas when Americans were just not going to do that. And so then you also ask, added a really interesting point that Francois Rochon made, which was that he felt that some of the best investors are missing what he called the tribal gene. So, you know, you know, genes, some of them are turned off, some of them are turned off. And I guess in some people, hopefully this tribal gene is turned off and that offers some unique advantages. But, you know, I'm interested in learning from you since you've spoken with so many of these incredible investors over the years, you know,
Starting point is 00:49:52 do you think contrarianism in these investors is a trait that they're able to learn over time? Are they able to mold their way into that? Or do you think that you're kind of born with it? And if that's the way you are, that's the way you are. And that's how you express it in various aspects of your life. I suspect like most things, it's a mix of nature and nurture. I remember Templeton saying to me that during his childhood, his parents never told him what to do. And he had once gone on this trip, I guess it was a road trip.
Starting point is 00:50:25 And he takes his family, he's given the map, I guess, and he's told that he's navigating. And he takes his family massively in the wrong direction. And his parents just never said anything. And then finally he figures out, oh, God, I'd taken us in the wrong direction. And he said, that was such an amazing education to have to learn from your own mistakes. Similarly, I think Nick Sleep said to me once that he went to this posh boarding school in England, but all of the other kids were boarders and didn't leave. And he actually was a dayboy because he lived nearby.
Starting point is 00:51:01 And so he wasn't sleeping there at night. So he even had a job in a local pub the weekends. And so he said, I became very comfortable with not being part of the crowd. And it's possible that we're just creating narratives that, you know, prove our point. I always remember Howard Mark's beginning a sentence when I interviewed him once saying, in my myth of myself. And I loved that phrase, right? Like, there's a, so I have this myth of myself, right, that I think of myself as, you know,
Starting point is 00:51:33 one of 10 Jews who went to Eaton, this very posh English school. And a Jew with a birthmark at a school of 1,300 really posh. English boys. And so that's an amazing kind of circumstance in which you would become extremely independent minded. And I am extremely independent minded. I mean, I think that's one reason why I'm so drawn to the investors I write about is because like me, there's some deeply subversive, independent, smart aleck aspect of them where they're figuring out how do I crack the code of the markets, It's how do I crack the code of how to live so that I don't have to take any orders from anybody and can just live the way I want to live.
Starting point is 00:52:18 So in my myth of myself, that's become part of my identity. But is that really who I am or is it just, I mean, how much of it is in my DNA as a descendant of people, you know, my great-grandfather literally had to flee as a 14-year-old from Ukraine and Russia, speaking no English, speaking only Yiddish, and going as a bristle merchant to Cincinnati and almost starving to death and ending up in Glasgow, you know, and having a son there who became an eye surgeon, who was my grandfather, who then sent my father to really good schools, and my father ends up becoming a judge, then my dad sends me to really good schools. So in my myth of myself and my family, that sort of made me who I am. But I don't really know. I mean, some of it may just be
Starting point is 00:53:06 wiring. Some of it may be emotional. I mean, you look at a lot of the great investors and they're just emotionally wired, independent of their conditioning to be not team players, to be very independent spirited, to be very contrarian. I remember Chris Davis, who's an incredibly thoughtful observer of this and was very close to Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett and Tom Gaynor and Bill Miller. I mean, and his father and his grandfather were both great investors as well. So, I mean, nobody has observed great investors more closely and talks about them more eloquently than Chris. And Chris, I remember talking to me about his father, Shelby Davis, who was a really great investor.
Starting point is 00:53:51 And he said, yeah, he was such a loner. He said he would just sort of sit in our house in Tuxedo, in Tuxedo Park with like a stack of annual reports and the phone. And he just, you know, it just was digging up information all day long. And he said it was a very lonely existence. And he said that for a lot of the great investors, he said, it was clear that when they were at school or university, they didn't really like team sports. They tended to like sports where it was just them.
Starting point is 00:54:21 You know, maybe they were playing tennis or squash or something like that. You know, they weren't in the lacrosse team or the football team or something like that. They weren't president of their class. They were loners. I think that's a very interesting observation. And so I think if there's a takeaway here, part of it is that we want to be self-aware, right? We want to know how we're wired, how, what we're comfortable doing. I remember when Monish asked Warren early in his career, if he could go work free for Warren
Starting point is 00:54:53 and Warren wrote back this very polite note saying, sorry, I just know that I operate best on my own. And you think of Ray Dalio, who I had on the podcast a couple of times, and Ray said to me, look, life is just about finding suitable paths, as he pronounced it. I would pronounce it, paths, suitable paths based on a knowledge of your own character, your own nature, and your own values. And I think, again, it's a very simple idea that's very profound. So you have to know how you're wired and then set yourself up to play games, that suit your particular wiring.
Starting point is 00:55:31 And so for someone like Monish, he's bizarrely well suited for this game where you just sit quietly in a room and you look through masses and masses of companies and you make very, very quick decisions about, well, this one looks rubbish, this one looks rubbish, this doesn't get through this filter. And then you get to a few that seem really interesting. And then you get maniacally focused on doing deep dives. And once in a while, you find something extraordinary. I remember him once writing to Guy Speer and he said, look, if I do 50 deep dives a year,
Starting point is 00:56:08 every four years, a company like RAS, which is this Turkish stock that you bought will drop, I'll find one RAS every four years, an extraordinary multi-bagger. And so that's a very systematic way of thinking, right? If I do 200 deep dives really intensely with my big brain sitting quietly in my room and taking a nap in the afternoons as Monish does and going to play racquetball and going cycling and stuff and having no appointments and not really ever being prepared to meet with a prospective investor, eventually I'm going to find a few really great mispriced bets. And so Monish has just managed to set himself up in this really sort of slightly antisocial way
Starting point is 00:56:52 which suits a guy who's slightly misanthropic. I mean, I love Monich. Monash is an amazing company and funny and brilliant, but he's aware enough of his own nature to say, you know, I remember many years ago when he talked to me about his early career managing a tech consulting company. And he's like, I'm just not interested in having all these weepis coming to me complaining about their problems.
Starting point is 00:57:18 And so that just doesn't play to his strengths. He's figured out how to operate in a way that plays his strength. I think for all of us really understand whether you should be part of a team, whether you should be operating on your own, whether you're good with systems and practices or whether you're non-linear. And then I talked to Ray Dalio about this at some length, this idea of just surrounding yourself with people who also complement you, who make up for where you're weak. So it all is basically built on self-awareness, I think. sticking with the theme here of self-awareness, I wanted to talk a little bit about Howard Marks,
Starting point is 00:57:57 who has been one of my biggest influences. He's obviously a person who's super aware. And his book, excellent book, two of his books are, you know, he mentions this whole point about cycles and kind of not necessarily knowing where you're going to go, but being aware of where you are in that cycle. Who knows if it's going to go up or down, but just being aware of where you are in that cycle. And I think to me, a lot of the things that I've learned about Howard Marks is the fact that you've already alluded to this, that we can't predict the future, right? I mean, he talks about that basically in his whole book as well. But there's always going to be people out there talking about predictions, whether that's, you know, the next quarter, a month from now or a year for a year from now, five years from now. So, but the fact is, if you look at some of the best investors, most of them, they're not really focused on that.
Starting point is 00:58:46 And I think that's a really big insight. So from your experience with talking with a lot of them, I'd love to know, you know, how can the average person who unfortunately tends to be very focused on things that they shouldn't be, such as predictions and, you know, noise and macro environments and interest rates, you know, how can you best kind of develop a level of awareness that helps you really focus on the things that are going to truly matter? Yeah. I think some of it is just educating ourselves so we know that Wall Street is full of people who are trying to sell us on a dream that works well for them, but probably doesn't work well for us. And so to go into it, not, I was going to say not cynically, but skeptically, you can go into it pretty cynically. Go into it cynically and say, was it Charles' phrase where he said, with advisors especially mistrust, advice that's especially profitable for them. I'm slightly gobbling it, but you get the point. And so look at people's incentives. I mean, Charlie taught beautifully about incentive-caused bias. If you look in his essays on the 24 or 25 causes of human misjudgment, this whole idea of incentive-caused bias. It's incredibly powerful. So I think you have to look at all of these soothsayers who are trying to sell you on the idea
Starting point is 01:00:20 that they know, that they can tell where the market is going, or they can tell what short-term moves in the market mean, or they can tell what's going to happen geopolitically or politically. And just look in your own life, look at the news and ask yourself, if you're going to If I look with my own eyes, does this make sense? Does it make sense that it's predictable when I look at the fact that we had no idea that Syria was going to lose its leader after 70 years? I mean, none of the experts predicted that, right? There are so many complex interactions going on that everything is just wildly unpredictable.
Starting point is 01:01:05 And so I think this is very liberating. you start to look and you start to see just how much is unpredictable, whether it's the market. I mean, think of Howard saying to me, I think this is in the chapter called Everything Changes that I wrote about Howard. When I went back and fact checked with him during the COVID pandemic, he said, look, this has become the biggest thing in our lives, COVID. And most people were not even aware that it could happen, let alone that it would happen, right? And so for him, it was a reminder of the importance of humility, a reminder of the fact that we can't know the future. And yet, there's this miraculous paradoxical thing, which is once you actually accept that
Starting point is 01:01:50 you don't know the future and that nobody does and that the people selling on this nonsense are lying to you or themselves or both, it's very liberating because then you can focus on what you can control. And so then you can start to say, okay, let me prepare for an uncertain future. And so What does that mean to be prepared? As Howard would say, it's really critical not to overreach, right? So you need to make sure that you don't have too much debt, you don't have too much leverage, but whatever happens in this uncertain world where nothing is knowable, where the future is unknown, but nothing is going to just absolutely tear apart your life. And so you don't want to have all of your assets in one country. All of you.
Starting point is 01:02:36 all of your assets in one asset class, all of your assets in one bank, all of your assets within one brokerage firm. I think then you're really playing with a loaded gun. So you just want to say there are so many things that can happen in this strange world, and in markets eventually they will happen. And so think of, for example, home bias, which is one of these famous biases where people in their home country, bet much more on stocks from that country. What would have happened if your country was Cuba? What happened to my mother-in-law's family? I mean, my wife's grandfather
Starting point is 01:03:13 was a successful, very smart doctor in Vienna. And then the Nazis invaded, and he had to flee. And he ends up in Cuba, which also was not a place you particularly wanted to build your fortune over the next decade. But luckily, he then moved to New York City eventually, and it was okay. And so what if the market you're in now is Germany and the government is collapsing in Germany? And you know, you look at the UK where I'm from. And, you know, I'm, I've been invested in Guy Spears Aquare's Aquarene Fund for many, many years, probably 24 or maybe nearly 25 years, probably. And so I look at his returns over 26 or 27 years since the start of the fund. And it'll always have the UK market and the S&P 500 and the MSCI and, you know, these different things
Starting point is 01:04:06 that he can benchmark himself against the Dow Jones Industrial average. It's stunning to see just how little the UK market has done over 26, 27 years. I mean, I think last time I checked it had averaged something like 3% a year, something like that. So if you, if you, you know, If you were someone like me or like my father or like my uncle or like my grandfather who was inclined to invest in your home country and your home country was England, you were in deep trouble. And so just knowing that we live in an uncertain world where we have no idea whether the US is quote unquote permanently advantaged, which I would say in a world where everything is impermanent seems very unlikely, or whether this is just another pendulum that will eventually
Starting point is 01:04:50 swing back. I think you'd be wise to hedge against the possibility that it's just another cycle, that it's just another pendulum. I think I spoke to Laura Garrett's a great international investor about this when I had her on the podcast. And there was some statistics we shared on that episode about just the periods in which emerging markets massively outperformed the US for many years. And then the pendulum would swing, right? Because something gets really cheap and the opportunity to become so compelling that it sort of turns and eventually it becomes attractive enough that prices rise, just when everyone has kind of capitulated and given up on it forever. And so I think you're just instead of, this is maybe one of the great insights from Howard,
Starting point is 01:05:38 I think, is this idea of just preparing, preparing for uncertainty, never overreaching, and being aware that even though history doesn't tell us what's going to happen, it's kind of a pretty good guide to what could happen. The fact that cycles tend to be temporary and sooner or later the pendulum will swing. And yet at the same time, Howard's very humble about this. And I remember a couple of times I interviewed him, he would talk about the fang stocks, right? And he would say, well, I just, I'm very skeptical because I know that, you know, nothing, the trees don't grow to the sky. And so as a result,
Starting point is 01:06:25 he was deeply ambivalent about things like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google, and the like. And as a result, didn't benefit nearly as much as people who were much more reckless or saw something that he didn't see. And it's complicated. It reminds me of, this comment Howard once told me he had lunch with Charlie and at the end of lunch, Charlie stood up and said anyone who thinks this is easy as stupid. It's not easy, right? I mean, Howard was hopelessly wrong in being so skeptical. Well, maybe he was right to be skeptical, but the outcome was totally different than he expected. And so it just gives you a sense of why we should be humble. If Howard, who's way smarter than I am, was so hopelessly wrong about the fangs, what do I know?
Starting point is 01:07:17 And so I need to hedge against my own stupidity. So let's shift this and talk a little bit about simplicity. So you had a chapter in your book that was called Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication, which is wonderful. And there was one lesson from Joel Greenblatt that really stuck out to me. It was this key insight that a strategy should be simple, logical, and deeply believed in. I think that just, it just really stuck with me. And, you know, it just, it makes so much sense because you have to have this kind of conviction because the market is going to punish you at some point in time.
Starting point is 01:07:49 You have no idea when it's going to be, but it's going to be at some point. And you're, you're going to have times where you think that your strategy just, it doesn't work, right? You're going to be challenged. But, you know, what a lot of people end up doing is a drastically change of strategy. And there's a lot of downsides to that because you're essentially going, from something that you know and maybe has some track record of actually, you know, providing value in the past to going to something that you don't know. It's unknown. So I just kind of wanted
Starting point is 01:08:19 to pose this question because let's say there's newer investors here that maybe invest started investing after the great financial crisis. You know, they haven't really been punished too much other than, you know, maybe the post-COVID issues that we had. But even those types of people who maybe haven't experienced these gut-wrenching moments when their conviction is tested, How do you think these people, to your point about Howard Marks and preparation, how do you think these people can prepare themselves to kind of handle these times and hopefully stick with their strategy that'll eventually work but might not work for multiple years out?
Starting point is 01:08:49 It's such a good question. It's such a difficult one actually to deal with in practical terms because you don't really know how you're going to respond when everything goes haywire. And one thing I can see from having been through multiple periods where things went haywire is I've never sold in those periods. So I can see that I'm wired enough not to panic. I can see that I'm in, I think in every case I've bought more when I could, probably not enough, but I bought more. So I sort of know myself enough that I understand the principles enough that even when I'm paralyzed by fear and uncertainty during these very intense periods, I don't panic into bailing out.
Starting point is 01:09:43 So I think that self-awareness looking back at what you've done in the past is very helpful, but if you've never been through anything like that, I mean, if you're relatively new, it's very hard to know. And so I think you have to kind of assume that like most humans, you're going to be subject to these really intense emotions and ask yourself, if I were down 50%, would I really be able to add to my portfolio? Would I really be able to buy? Would I really understand well enough not to liquidate what I own? And it's very valuable to study history. history and to know what can happen, right? So Munga, I think, had four drawdowns of 50% in the course of his investing lifetime. And once he said, look, he said, if you don't have a 50% draw
Starting point is 01:10:40 down, it may be that you're not being aggressive enough. Munga was more aggressive than most of us and less emotional. I had a, you know, I mean, I've had things be down. I had one fund that was down 46% in 2008. It was pretty painful because I lost. my job at the same time. And so one of the things that really helped me was that I didn't have any debt. And so I was very conscious, because I'd been a journalist for many years, I knew that the magazine business was always in this kind of slow disintegration that then suddenly turned into a collapse. And so I was like, well, let me at least not be the one who's caught swimming naked where lots of debt. And so I literally, I didn't own my own home. I rented a home, plenty of
Starting point is 01:11:25 cash and I have money in the stock market, I never really had much in the way of bonds because I thought bonds were really boring all out. I think that's probably, you know, Howard Marks would argue that now the returns are attractive enough that you should definitely be thinking about owning some bonds. Maybe I own a little bit, but not much. And so the fact that I was not overexposed was hugely important because then my stock portfolio got really slammed during the financial crisis, but what I hadn't realized is, oh, I'm going to lose my job at the same time as my stock portfolio gets really slammed. And so I think one of the things you want to ask yourself is if there were a perfect storm and two or three or four things would happen, what would I do?
Starting point is 01:12:11 And I mean, I think of someone like Bill Miller, who I've interviewed an enormous amount over the last 25 years, Bill during the financial crisis really had a perfect storm where, you know, he got divorced, so he lost half his money in the divorce. He was on margin, and he made an analytical mistake, and it was amplified by the fact that he always loves debt. And, you know, Bill is genius, and it's an amazing investor, and it worked out fine. And he has a tolerance for risk that is significantly higher than the average humanoid. So he was fine and is now back to being a multibillionaire. So good, good luck to him. But I, you know, he even he said to me, look, I'm glad that I didn't have so much leverage that it ruined me. And then I'm glad that I was
Starting point is 01:13:01 able to keep the emotional strength that I didn't curl up like a tortoise in its shell, but actually continued to buy stocks in the midst of that mayhem. And he sold his yacht during that time to buy stocks. I mean, he didn't sell his plane, but he did sell his yacht. So I don't know, this is a slightly long-winded way of saying, I think you have to really consider how emotionally vulnerable you might be and how bad things could get if multiple things happen. And you want to be aware, the times of great profit tend to make us complacent. And so understanding that things are cyclical means that during the good times, you should very consciously shore up your position.
Starting point is 01:13:51 And so one of the things that I did in the decade or so after the global financial crisis is, I, you know, thank God, it was a good decade in the end for me, though it felt pretty rough at the time, but I bought a home with not a huge amount of debt, and I bought a car with a tiny amount of debt, and now I have no debt on either of my cars. So I very consciously, I have a fair amount of cash, and I very consciously reduced my risk during the good times. I still think I'm probably over-exposed to the stock market, probably over-exposed to the U.S. But I think if there were a 50% drawdown, I wouldn't be a forced seller.
Starting point is 01:14:37 So you want to make sure that you're never going to be a forced seller. And so one of the things that Howard said to me that I think I wrote about in that chapter, everything changes is he said, you need to be aware of your own emotional vulnerability so that you're not going to panic out of the market. And so you're sort of looking at all of these forms of fragility. your recurring financial obligations, right? You don't want to get a really expensive office during the good times that's then going to be a recurring expense.
Starting point is 01:15:11 You don't want to load yourself up with debt on your cars and your homes and your holiday home during the good times on the assumption that it's always going to be good because we live in a cyclical world where it can really go wrong. And so this is quite hard, it's quite hard if you're temperamentally just a sort of bullish optimist. I happen to be temperamentally more pessimistic and more bearish. I think there's probably one reason why I became a writer and not a hedge run manager or venture capitalist or something. But I think it also is probably a product of that long history of being Jewish and being from a family that had to flee. There was always a sense of very viscerally in my DNA.
Starting point is 01:15:55 There's a sense things can go badly wrong. Let me prepare for it. And so I don't know. I think you don't want to be so pessimistic that you don't invest. I mean, I still love the stock market. I'm still heavily invested in the stock market. But you just want to prepare yourself for turmoil. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors.
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Starting point is 01:20:00 case of Karia. So I wanted to go just a little bit off that though and just talk a little bit about Zen and the Heart of Motorcycle Maintenance, which is this book that I know heavily influenced them. So I've read it once and honestly, I found it a slog to get through. You know, I think I actually found the ideas that I think they took from that book to be way more illuminating, both from their letters, which I highly recommend people read. And just from reading your book, I think that you know, you can probably skip that book and still get some of the insights. It's a strange book. But clearly, you know, there are people that have taken a lot from it, but it's not
Starting point is 01:20:39 everyone's cup of tea. The overarching theme of quality, I understood that, you know, going into the book, that's kind of the type of insights that I was looking for. And there are a couple of interesting things I found. But like I said, you know, I think that you and them covered it already. So I'd love to know, you know, what are some of the key qualities in terms of the partnership structure that Nick and Zach created that you think that they took from understanding quality from reading that book?
Starting point is 01:21:06 Yeah, in a way, it's flattering what you just said that you got this kind of essential view from my book of what they got from Persig because I also did the same with David Hawkins. I probably did the same with the Stoics where I would look at the source material that it inspired these great investors. And then I would think, what's the essence of what they got from this thinker? And then I would write about that in an incredibly condensed way that I hope sort of distilled a really powerful lesson from it.
Starting point is 01:21:41 And so I've read personally a couple of times that novel. And I agree, it's funny. My editor, Rick Corgan, at Scribner, who's famous editor who's had like 100 bestsellers, it's his favorite book. But he's very, you know, Rick is very philosophically oriented. So I sort of understand that. I don't think it's a wonderful piece of writing, but I think it's a very, very interesting book.
Starting point is 01:22:05 And the ideas are powerful. And it's worth getting a small book called On Quality, which Josh Tarasoff, a well-known hedge fund manager, a friend of mine gave me. And I actually a couple of, I think about two years ago, I organized a Zoom call where Josh and Brian Lawrence and Nick Sleep and Matt McClannon and very, I guess other friends of mine got together over Zoom and chatted about that book on quality, because it's a sort of, it not only has Persig's views from Zen and the Auto Motorcycle Maintenance, but also from this other famous novel of his Lila and from some of his letters
Starting point is 01:22:41 and from writings and his wife. So it's a sort of condensed way of getting at these ideas. But for me, I think in the paragraphs that I wrote about Zen and the Art of Maintenance, I pointed out that what Persig said in that novel is there's a beautiful way and an ugly way to do everything, right? So whether it's sewing a dress or mending a chair, there's a beautiful way and an ugly way of doing it. And so he talked about the metaphysics of quality and he capitalized the word quality, right? And so it becomes this big sort of philosophical exploration. But really, it's kind of this vague, nebulous term, right, where you're just saying you sense that there's a high quality way to do things. Just as you can sense when I'll sometimes go on a
Starting point is 01:23:27 podcast and I can just tell because I have this BS meter for this sort of thing. I can tell where they stopped reading my book or whether they never read the book or whether they, you know, and you just know they're not prepared. And sometimes they're so charming that they can kind of get away with it. And then when you go on a podcast and someone has really read it and thought about it. You're like, oh, and you pay a different type of attention. And I remember Nick Sleep read that chapter of the book and he said, I started reading the whole book and he said, oh, this book is very different that I thought it was. Now I have to pay a whole different sort of attention to this book because I see what it is you're doing. And that was great, that was great
Starting point is 01:24:13 praise, right? Like he saw, oh, this isn't just another book. This is something where you're really aiming for quality, whether you hit it or not. And so I think, I think the first idea that we really need to draw from them and from Persig is just this sense of like, do I want to live a life of quality? Do I want to actually think about the high quality way to do everything that I do? Do I want to be the person who does a crappy job preparing for podcasts? Do I want to be the person who does a crappy analyst report for my boss? Do I want to be the person who, you know, half-a-fusses it when I, you know, write a chapter of a book. And so for me, I just decided at a certain point in a slightly bloody-minded, stubborn, obstinate way
Starting point is 01:25:03 that I was going to optimize for quality in everything that I did. And when I say everything that I did, I don't do it with things like exercise or nutrition. So I'm selectively optimizing for quality. But with my book at a certain point, I just decided I am going to make this as beautiful and deeply reported and thoughtful as I possibly can. And if it fails, it will not be for want of me trying. And I'm not saying that in a self-aggrandizing way. It's like I really decided that I was playing for keeps and I was going to try to write something that would be read in 10, 20, 30, 40, 50 years.
Starting point is 01:25:43 That's totally different than when I was a magazine journalist. And I was at Time Magazine and sometimes, you know, I would be editing the Asian edition of time and then the European Middle East African edition of time. And sometimes, you know, the magazine would go to bed on a Saturday night, late at night, and you'd get articles in and there would be breaking news. And someone would file a story late on a Saturday afternoon or Saturday evening. And if it came in as a mess, you had to roll your sleeves up and just get it across the finish line. Just make it okay. That was a different game. And we played that game beautifully. We did it. I mean, it was an amazing magazine in so many ways, incredibly talented people there to do that high wire act. But I think that simple decision of deciding in a world that's so full of shallow, ephemeral, useless nonsense, do I want to be contributing shallow ephemeral, useless nonsense? Or do I want to bet on the side of quality. That's a very powerful and important filter. And that's something all of us, I think, should be thinking about. And there's more and more of a push to do, Charlie would put it,
Starting point is 01:26:56 asinine stuff, you know, really like moronic stuff that just adds no value. And so one of the things that Nick and Zach did is they just very consciously said, if we're running a fund that is a metaphysical and almost spiritual experiment, as Nick put it in, the nomad letters. What would it look like if everything were guided by this notion of quality? What does that mean in terms of the companies we bet on? What does that mean in terms of the way we ingest information? What does that mean in the way we structure our fees?
Starting point is 01:27:33 What does it mean in the way that we treat each other? And what does it mean in the way that we treat our shareholders? And so they structured their life in this very countercultural, ornery way where they were just getting rid of all of what Nick called the sin and folly of Wall Street. And so one of the things I loved, I had this amazing interview where after spending a lot of time talking to Nick, who's unbelievably enigmatic, I mean, Nick never talks publicly. Then finally, we'd kind of become friendly, if not friends. Since then, I'd say we've become friends.
Starting point is 01:28:10 And finally, I'd want enough trust that Zach, who's even more enigmatic and private, if anything, than Nick. He came and spent the afternoon with me as well in their office on the King's Road in London. And so they started talking about their lifestyle and the way they work together. And we're sort of sitting there in this office and he's literally, Zach doesn't even have a desk. I mean, he's so non-tribal. He literally doesn't have a desk in this big, beautiful office that's full of light. He just has like a lazy boy chair. And then they've got this, I'm sitting there with them next to these two beekeeper suits
Starting point is 01:28:50 that are hanging on the wall that are like their matching beekeeper suits. I mean, these are profoundly idiosyncratic individuals. And they're really charming and funny and nice and they're finishing each other's sentences because they like each other so much. And so you start to think, okay, so how has their relationship been built on this notion of quality? And you realize, oh, well, okay, when they structured the company, Nick had been this super successful investor who'd worked at this big hedge fund marathon, and Zach had been absolutely
Starting point is 01:29:21 tortured as this analyst, really a broker, a Deutsche Bank, which he hated, was totally unsuited to because he was like the least salesman-like salesman. And so, you know, you could easily, when they formed the company Nomad, you could easily have said, well, you know, Nick is the alpha male. He would be the dominant, the dominant one. And so Nick immediately says, well, so let's just own it 50-50, the two of us. We'll just split it all 50-50. And Zach says, no, I want to have 49%.
Starting point is 01:29:54 I want you to have 51%. And that way, anytime we disagree about anything, which they never ended up doing, you'll have the deciding vote. And so Nick said to me, you know, when someone hands you a loaded revolver like that and says, here, shoot me if you want, what are you going to do? You know, if you're modeling yourselves on Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett and you don't view life as a zero-sum game, you don't take the gun and shoot, shoot your partner. You treat him really honorably. And so the whole relationship was built on kindness. And I saw this because when I was interviewing them, the fund had been closed for several years. They'd return $3.5 billion to their shareholders.
Starting point is 01:30:37 And there they are still sharing the same office. It was an amazing thing. And they didn't come into work that often, but they still wanted to share the same office. And when I saw Nick a few months ago in London and then also in this beautiful estate, the Goodwood estate and the English countryside, I was asking him how Zach is doing. And he just beams as he's talking about Zach. And he starts talking about the philanthropy that Zach is doing. And you see he's so proud of his friend.
Starting point is 01:31:04 There's something just so beautiful about that. And so one of the things that Nick said to me is good behavior has a longer shelf life. It's a really profound observation to say, okay, so let me build my business relationships and my personal relationships as much as I can, despite all of my flaws and foibles. and God knows we all have a lot of them. Let me build them on good behavior as much as I can, rather than trying to shoot the guy with the revolver. And then they did exactly the same thing with their fee structure,
Starting point is 01:31:35 where they just kept making the fee structure worse for themselves and better for their shareholders. So they got to a point where they would put their incentive fee in a bucket where they couldn't get the money for years. And so if they subsequently lost money, they would just never get that money. And so at a certain point during the financial crisis, I think they knew that they would have to work for free for year after year after year. And Nick said, we kind of liked that.
Starting point is 01:32:03 We kind of liked the fact that we were working for free. And they sort of enjoyed wearing a hair shirt and the sense that in a world where most people were self-seeking and behaving in a slightly tordry, self-interested incentive-buyers way, they were going to do the opposite. And so I think then you apply this notion of quality in so many different areas. And it ceases to be a really vague, useless, nebulous notion and actually becomes really, really very practical. So you say to yourself, in any situation, I'm sure I did this when I was thinking about
Starting point is 01:32:44 what to tell Monash about those books that he was buying, you think, all right, what's the quality move here? The low quality move, if you're inverting, like Charlie, was basically to lie to Monash and say, no, no, no, you're getting a great deal. Just go for it, dude. I think it's fair. And, you know, it's clearly 20% lower than the normal retail price. So you're doing just fine. The high quality move is to say, oh, I'm so sorry, the reason they're doing this is because they figured out it's going to benefit me in this way. And so it just becomes this really useful filter. And so, One of the things that Nick and Zach did that was so countercultural, they started to close
Starting point is 01:33:26 the fund for the first time when it reached something like $100 million in assets under management. That's crazy. If what you're trying to do is build a profitable business, that's kind of suicidal. But they didn't really care about it being a profitable business. What they cared about was getting great returns. And they thought, if we're maximizing odds of getting great returns, the assets are will follow. It doesn't really matter. And so I think part of it, it goes back to what you were saying before about Francois Rochon being non-tribal and talking about the non-tribal gene. I think part of it's that
Starting point is 01:34:03 Nick and Zach just was so non-Wall Street to their core. I mean, Nick, you know, really wanted to design gardens and just it never worked out. His landscape architecture career never really worked had and Zach really wanted to be a meteorologist. So they weren't like born to make money. They actually just happened to be really, really smart. And when they encountered the problem, the intellectual problem of how you find a business that's going to do well over many years, intellectually it really interested in them. And so they were able to come up with, you know, this beautiful insight that there was one business model that was better than all of the rest, where they focused on what they called scale economies shared.
Starting point is 01:34:49 But when I saw Nick in England, it was pretty clear, they found it really hard to find more companies like that. There aren't many like that, but it led them to a portfolio where they owned enormous amounts of Berkshire, Amazon and Costco. So it was really, it's really a beautiful example of a lifestyle constructed around a principle that's really powerful, this principle of quality. I want to talk about a more recent interview you did with Brad Stahlberg, where he kind of described this spectrum between two things.
Starting point is 01:35:25 One was this toxic positivity where everything is portrayed as being perfect. I think you see this pretty often on social media where, you know, someone's life, if you know them really well, could be unraveling, but you go look at their pictures and it looks like their life is a 10 out of 10. And then on the other side of that spectrum is, you know, Nilely. or despair where everything feels broken and hopeless. I think it's, you know, it's just such a fascinating framework and I think it really applies really well to investing as well. And I love this point because, you know, I think that there's probably a specific area where I think a lot of
Starting point is 01:35:56 the best investors sit on this continuum. And you kind of just admitted yourself there that you tend to be more on the pessimistic end, although I don't know if that counts as nihilism or despair. But I just want to get your insights and see where you feel most of the great investors sit on that spectrum. Yeah, I remember one's interviewing Chuck Acray, a great investor where I wrote about a not great length, probably a couple of pages of the book, but he's a remarkable investor, had an incredible long-time record. And I said to him that I'm pretty pessimistic by nature. And actually, I think I'm less pessimistic than I used to be.
Starting point is 01:36:27 And he said, well, good luck with that. And I'm like, what do you mean? And he said, it's not a great characteristic for an investor to be pessimistic. And I think it's a balance. Howard Marx, who we talked about before, said to me once that he would have been terribly suited to being, say, a venture capitalist because he's not a dreamer. He's not into blue sky dreams of untold growth. I mean, it was really hard for him to take advantage of the fangs, as we said before. He was also very skeptical about things like Bitcoin. But on the other hand, one of the things he said to me is, look, I'm not being paid to be chicken. And, you know, my, so he's like, I have to be aware that I'm wired in a way, I'm wired in a way where there's going to be, things are going to go through this filter and I'm going to see them in a more worried way than certain investors, right? So how it is pretty conscious.
Starting point is 01:37:26 And it's interesting how it comes from a similar background to mine. And so it's interesting, I think in his, in his DNA too is probably the sense of things can fall apart. You know, we live in a deeply uncertain and impermanent world. And so he's aware of the fact that his natural wiring is going to color his analysis of anything. And so again, it comes back to this really important point about self-awareness. So to accept the fact that you're wired a certain way and that that lens is going to distort
Starting point is 01:38:00 reality, if there's such a thing, in some way, either to make it look. gloomier and scarier than it might be or to make it look sunnier than it might be. And so once you're aware of your own temperamental bias, you can start to hedge against it and create workarounds. And so one of the best workarounds you can have, obviously, is to have a sparring partner. And this is one of the reasons why it was so helpful for Howard to have Bruce cash as a partner. So during the financial crisis, they could really talk things through and say, well, look, there's a limit to how bad things can get. And at least at a certain point, he said, it was kind of, it wasn't, you know, usually how it would look at any situation as improbabilistic
Starting point is 01:38:56 terms. And we'd just say, well, there are an array of different probabilities for this outcome, this outcome and this outcome. And here are the odds. assigned to them. And it was so dire, potentially, during the financial crisis that he said, either it's like, it's the end of the financial system or it's not. And if it's not, then the mistake would be that I failed to buy during this incredible crisis. And so he kind of, he and Bruce made this incredibly bold bet and ended up making, I think, about $9 billion, something like that by betting on toxic bonds and the like that nobody else would touch and sandwich makers and companies like that, you know, that were absolutely detested. And they were buying stuff
Starting point is 01:39:40 at, you know, a fifth of the price that private equity firms had been previously buying. So they were buying so cheap that all of the pessimism was priced into them and that there were these asymmetric bets that if they were right were going to be incredibly lucrative. And so I think understanding, understanding your own biases, your own temperamental inclinations, very important, partnering with somebody who can talk to you, not only discuss these things, but actually expose the ways in which you're probably blinded and prejudiced and biased is very, very powerful. And so you think of, say, someone like Annie Duke, who is a guest on my podcast. who told me that she was friends with Richard Thaler, the famous Nobel Prize winning economist, but she was also friends with the late Danny Kahneman, another Nobel Prize winning economist. And I was very struck when she told me that Daniel Kahneman had literally appointed Richard Thaler
Starting point is 01:40:41 to point out his own blind spots and biases to tell him when he was being stupid. So I think that's a very powerful thing to say, okay, if I'm wired this way, I'm likely to skew my judgment in all sorts of unhelpful ways. So let me surround myself with people who can challenge my view and point out where I'm blind. But then also I think it helps to be a little bit pessimistic and a little bit skeptical because the first thing is you've got to survive. And so it may be that my pessimism and skepticism seems pretty dumb after a really great
Starting point is 01:41:24 period basically since World War II. I mean, we've gone through, what is it, 79 years that with a few pretty brutal hiccups and also depending on what country you actually lived in. It's been a pretty golden era for much of the world, at least for countries like the US. But I'm looking back a lot longer. I mean, you know, I'm thinking about times 3,000 years ago when everything fell apart. And so if you're trying to, you're trying to, you know, I'm thinking about times 3,000 years ago, when everything fell apart. And so if you're trying to, it's like it depends what game you're playing,
Starting point is 01:41:57 I want to survive and get to the finish line. And so I'm really happy to have Berkshire Hathaway as part of my portfolio because I like the fact that he's sitting on hundreds of billions of dollars in cash. And does it bother me that I don't own Bitcoin and that it's gone up so much? No, really.
Starting point is 01:42:15 I mean, it would have been nice to own it. But I still, there's still a part of me that's sort of waiting for it to collapse. And maybe I'm entirely wrong, but I won't be at all surprised if it collapses. And I know people will now berate me for saying this. But I just think we live in a strange world. And maybe it'll win out. I think there's obviously a much, you know, and I'm talking about so I don't really understand as people will no doubt point out in their responses to this.
Starting point is 01:42:43 Maybe it'll win out. But we live in an uncertain world. and we don't really know. And I think it would be perfectly sensible for me to have had, you know, two, three, four, five percent exposure to cryptocurrency. So it would be perfectly sensible to do that. But for me, I'm optimizing for getting happily to the finish line. And so I don't need to be that speculative.
Starting point is 01:43:07 I need to make sure that I do well enough that I don't ever have to work for anyone I dislike or do anything that I really dislike, or, you know, be tempted to behave in a, you know, in a tawtery, unethical, self-serving way, you know, for financial reasons. And so, I don't know. Maybe the virtues of pessimism and skepticism have become undervalued in this bullish period and will be reminded of their benefits by subsequent periods. So I want to shift this over to talking a little bit about your experience, just being part of kind of these close-knit groups.
Starting point is 01:43:52 So I personally have been helping run the TIP Mastermind community with my co-host Clay. And then I've also been helping set up the richer, wiser, happier master class with you. And basically, I'm actually a member of the master class. I'm not really running it. You are, which has been pretty awesome. So, you know, I feel like that's kind of been my first real entrance into working
Starting point is 01:44:13 with close-knit group of people who are all. trying to improve themselves at a really, really deep level and, you know, not just the superficial level kind of like you were just referring to there. So I know you, though, personally are not really new to being parts of groups that are trying to help each other improve. I know you were once part of a group that, you know, Charlie Munger was a part of it for a short period of time. So can you maybe discuss a little bit about how being part of these groups has helped improve your life? Yeah. I think the most powerful realization came to me from, I guess I started to have these meetings every Friday morning with
Starting point is 01:44:53 three friends who were all really remarkable people. And they're very successful investors and they're brilliant guys. They're really evolved, really thoughtful, really interesting, really soulful people. And we're all studying the teachings of a particular Tibetan Buddhist teacher who's amazing. And so we would meet every Friday, typically at 8 a.m., sometimes earlier, and we'd call in even if we were traveling, basically. I mean, so sometimes you'd call it ridiculous times. Sometimes you'd have to reschedule it to 7 a.m. once in a while, we'd miss it. It's been going on for probably a year and a half, something like that. And, you know, I resisted the idea, at least in my mind initially because I thought, you know, God, this is such a big time commitment.
Starting point is 01:45:42 And then one of the friends is this guy, Yen Liao, who's a very well-known hedge fund manager, who's just a brilliant, beautiful human being. And Yen said at a certain point, this time is sacred. And, you know, he hadn't, I don't think he had ever done anything in his career that wasn't in some way directed, right? Like, he knew what every hour was going to yield. I mean, he's such a driven, intense and processed. driven, process oriented, systematic person. And here were these sort of slightly aimless, unstructured times where we're just talking about,
Starting point is 01:46:24 you know, we would start by talking, by having a kind of check-in where we talk about what was going on. And then maybe we'd discuss particular principles or things we'd learned or stuff we'd learned from the teacher. And then recently this great teacher has been calling in from Kathmandu and teaching us. So like last week, I probably spent like two. and half hours and then Dan Goldman will join, which is kind of amazing because he's unbelievable as well. And his wife, who's incredible, Tara, who's also a great psychologist and author.
Starting point is 01:46:54 And so I think what I saw in this very visceral way is that setting aside time to be in a group that discusses stuff in a very personal, intimate way is so powerful. And so we would just do it over Zoom. But, you know, one of my friends who's in the group is this guy, Matt Ludma, and whose office I'm sharing as well. So he's become a very close friend. He's a money manager as well. And he's been studying Buddhism for probably 45 years or something very seriously. And he used this phrase, friends along the path, which I guess he had taken from Tibetan Buddhism, I think. I may be misquoting. And that idea is really stuck with me. And that's, That's what we've used in talking about and structuring the masterclass is to say, well, I want a small group of friends along the path who are going to help each other and support each other and be candid and learning together.
Starting point is 01:47:56 And so we ended up, we decided to have maximum of 20 people. And so we structured the richer, wise, happier master class basically where it's 20 people meeting monthly over Zoom and then a few meetings. things in person. And because of this idea of friends along the park, what's beautiful and liberating about it for me is, I don't feel like I have to be the wise man who knows everything, who's teaching everyone, you know, all of these investors. Because a lot of these people are really, really successful investors. I mean, there are people who manage like $25 billion in the group and, you know, really terrific investors, really smart people, people who run 20 companies, It's a very impressive group of people.
Starting point is 01:48:38 If I were trying to pretend that, you know, I was smarter and wiser about investing, I would be in deep trouble. I'd have even more imposter syndrome than I have already. I mean, one of the people literally at one point, as you know, his previous job was head of the physics department at Stanford before he went into being a quant hedge fund manager. You know, I mean, it's like, what am I going to teach someone who's still an emeritus professor of theoretical physics at Stanford. I mean, the guy's so smart.
Starting point is 01:49:07 And so the idea of being friends along the path is kind of beautiful because then it's just like, we're all learning together. And so I think if there's a takeaway here, it's the idea of creating space in your life for meetings with people you really like or who you could really like. You know, they don't necessarily have to be people you know really well, but a small group of people who are really serious about learning and improving themselves and sharing ideas and making it a real time commitment so that it's not, so that it's actually structured in there because we're all so busy.
Starting point is 01:49:49 I mean, there are so many reasons why we shouldn't do this, right? Because we have such busy lives. But it's, I think, as Yen said, it's really become like this kind of sacred space. It's been, it's been a huge life enhancer for me. And I think part of it, part of it for me grew out of the realization that the secret source for Charlie was not just that he was brilliant. It's that he had this ecosystem of incredible friendships and relationships. And so he's set up various things in his life where, for example, he had this weekly Zoom breakfast with really smart people. So Rick Garen used to call in.
Starting point is 01:50:28 And so I guess that they had to go remote during COVID. And, you know, Lou Simpson, who was the legendary investor at GEICO, would call in this great investor in Australia in Sydney called Mark Nelson, who would call in, and Ron Sugar, who is a CEO. And, you know, and they would invite guests sometimes. And so they invited me one time. And I knew like the week before, I think, or a couple weeks before, they had invited Howard marks. And anyone would, you know, die for the opportunity to be on a, you know, two-hour
Starting point is 01:51:01 Zoom breakfast with Charlie and all of these people just discussing, discussing ideas. But I thought it was really interesting that he had structured this into his life. And then similarly, according to Monash, he had a, Charlie had a regular Friday afternoon bridge game at the LA country club. And so Monish would get invited at the last minute when one of these old codgers was feeling too sick or something and he would just drop everything and go and play. And I think they had lunch there as well. And then Monich told me that Charlie also had structured things. So I think every week he would have a Zoom call where his 20 or so grandchildren or great
Starting point is 01:51:42 grandchildren or whatever it was would be invited on the Zoom call. And so I think what's interesting is the recognition that you need to invest in relationships, not, you know, in terms of building a rich life, you need to invest in relationships, but it's so important that you actually have to structure it in. And so I think you and I are on this journey where we're kind of exploring where this can go. So we're probably about three months into the ritualized happier mask class. And I'm really loving it. I didn't know how it would be, but I think it's kind of a beautiful thing and they're amazing people. And so you and I are discussing maybe we'll do it again next year and we'll do a new cohort of 20 people. But
Starting point is 01:52:22 There's also a part of me that's thinking about how to make it a more kind of permanent, kind of infinite community where you have a small group of people, of friends along the path because I want more of this. I did it with a book group. I set up a book group several years ago where it was just a whole array of writers. Everyone was a writer. I think we'd written more than 20 books between us. And we would just meet to discuss classic literature, like really great fiction.
Starting point is 01:52:49 So we would read Nabokov and Flobert and Tolstoy and, you know, really Proust, great, great stuff, Melville, Jane Austen, things like that. And we would meet over dinner. And so we would have good food, good wine, chat about great literature with great friends. It was people like Jason's Wyke, who's great columnist at the Wall Street Journal, or Nina Monk, who's a wonderful writer who's now moved to France, John Gertner, who wrote the Idea Factory, and a friend of mine, Ramin Baran. who's a great filmmaker who made a wonderful film called The White Tiger, which you can see on Netflix well worth watching. And so just to sit around chatting with people like that about great fiction while eating was one of the great delights of my life.
Starting point is 01:53:34 And it became too complicated and too difficult to keep going. But I think that kind of, that gave me a sense that part of what you want to do in life is create these containers that bring together people you care about. Yeah, and then we, yeah, it was also great editors. I mean, we had a former editor-in-chief of Barron's and a former editor of Worth. I mean, really wonderful people, really thoughtful. And I remember once a friend of mine briefly was a member of that group who had been the editor-in-chief of Sports Illustrated and we were reading Anna Karenina.
Starting point is 01:54:08 And he sort of paused at one point, we're making all of these great sort of, you know, literary analyses. And he's like, is anyone aware this horse race? racing scene is like one of the, probably the greatest horse racing scene in the history of literature. Just the fact that you're sitting there with like the former editor-in-chief of Sports Illustrated and he's talking to you about that or that you can discuss like, you know, the brain and economic biases with Jason's Yke is also there with you, you know.
Starting point is 01:54:38 It's just an amazing thing. So this is a very long-winded way of saying like, if you're trying to construct a really rich and abundant life, for me, this has to be a part of it. Like to structure communities where you're learning together and you're supporting each other. It's just a really beautiful thing. It's been hugely life enhancing. Well, I think that's a good place to end this conversation. So I just want to say, William, you know, thank you for so much for coming on the show and sharing your profound insights with me in our audience.
Starting point is 01:55:07 And also, you know, I'm eternally grateful you're in my orb of people that I get to learn from because I've already learned so much from you. And I look forward to learning a lot more here in the future. Thank you so much. It's great to be a friend along the path with you, Carl. I really enjoy chatting with you. Thank you for listening to TIP. Make sure to follow We Study Billionaires on your favorite podcast app and never miss out on episodes. To access our show notes, transcripts or courses, go to theinvestorspodcast.com. This show is for entertainment purposes only before making any decision consult a professional. This show is copyrighted by the Investors Podcast Network. Written permission must be granted before syndication or rebroadcasting.

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