We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network - TIP695: The Story of Tencent: China's Tech Behemoth w/ Clay Finck
Episode Date: January 31, 2025While the mainstream headlines often focus on the Magnificent Seven, we’re diving into a global powerhouse that often flies under the radar — Tencent. Based in Shenzhen, China, Tencent is a giant ...in gaming, social media, and cloud services. From the creation of WeChat—a super-app with over a billion monthly users—to investments in companies like Tesla, Spotify, and Snapchat, Tencent’s story is one of relentless innovation and strategic dominance. Since its IPO in 2004, shares of Tencent have increased by nearly 500 times, producing an average annual return of 35% per year. To help cover the story of Tencent, Clay will be sharing what he learned from the book Influence Empire by Lulu Chen. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:54 - Tencent’s journey from IPO to becoming a global tech powerhouse. 05:28 - Lessons from Pony Ma’s leadership and Tencent’s strategic vision. 18:33 - How Tencent’s investments shaped global tech innovation and growth. 31:12 - The evolution and impact of WeChat as a transformative super-app. 49:11 - Insights into Tencent’s dominance in the gaming industry. 57:15 - Challenges of navigating Chinese regulations and political risks. 01:08:47 - Tencent’s role in AI, cloud services, and strategic share buybacks. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Chen’s book: Influence Empire. Email Shawn at shawn@theinvestorspodcast.com to attend our free events in Omaha or visit this page. Related Episode: Listen to TIP661: Betting Big on China & Lessons from Bear Markets w/ Richard Lawrence. Related Episode: Listen to TIP636: Billionaire Investing Legend Li Lu w/ Clay Finck. Related Episode: Listen to TIP682: Buffett's Early Investments. Follow Clay on Twitter. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: SimpleMining AnchorWatch Human Rights Foundation Onramp Superhero Leadership Unchained Vanta Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Spotify! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
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You're listening to TIP.
Hey everyone, welcome to the Investors Podcast.
I'm your host, Clay Fink.
While the mainstream headlines often focus on the magnificent seven in the big tech giants,
we're diving into the global powerhouse that often flies under the radar, Tencent.
Since its IPO in 2004, shares of Tencent have increased by nearly 500 times,
producing an average annual return of 35% per year.
Based in Shenzhen, China, Tencent is a giant in gaming, social,
social media and cloud services.
From the creation of WeChat, a super app with over 1 billion users, to investments in companies
like Tesla, Spotify, and Snapchat, Tencent's story is one of relentless innovation and strategic
dominance.
But what's truly fascinating is its founder, Pony Ma, whose low-profile leadership starkly contrasts
his rival, Jack Ma, from Alibaba.
Today, we'll explore Tencent's meteoric rise, its cultural and political challenges, and
how it managed to shape China's digital landscape.
To help me do so, I'll be sharing the lessons I learned from the book, Influence Empire by
Lu Lu Chen, in discussing the risks and opportunities of investing in a company so intertwined
with the Chinese government.
And just a quick disclaimer, I wanted to mention that there's plenty of commentary in the book
about the CCP and the geopolitics between the U.S. and China.
The purpose of what's shared here in the episode isn't to push any political agenda,
but to try and shed light on what's most important in this regard for us as investors.
With that, let's get right to it.
It's 2014 and through more than 180 million downloads, we've studied the financial markets
and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most.
We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.
Now for your host, Playfink.
While the Magnificent Seven dominates the headlines, I want to take a leap across the Pacific
to dive into a Chinese tech giant that seemingly flies under the radar, Tencent.
Tansent is one of the world's largest technology companies headquartered in Shenzhen, China,
and known for its dominance in digital ecosystems, particularly gaming, social media, and cloud services.
The company owns WeChat, a super app combining messaging, social media, payment services, and many programs,
which has over 1 billion monthly active users.
They're also a global leader in video gaming with ownership or stakes in companies like Riot Games,
creator of League of Legends, Epic Games, creator of Fortnite, and Supercell, creator of Clash
of Clans. Additionally, the company offers a suite of online services, including QQ, a popular
instant messaging platform, and Tencent Video, one of China's largest video streaming platforms.
Tencent is also a significant investor holding stakes in numerous tech companies worldwide, such
as Tesla, Reddit, Spotify, and Snapchat. Over the past decade, Tencent has grown its revenues
by 24% per annum, and earnings per share by 22% per annum. While they've seen their growth slow
over the past couple of years, their price to free cash flow is 15, which is around the lowest
it's ever been, and half its historical average. But these valuation levels don't totally
go unnoticed by investors, as many are wary of the CCP's involvement in their business
affairs. So during this episode, I wanted to uncover the story of Tencent and why it's largely
flown under most investors' radar. To help me do so, I'll be covering a book called
Influence Empire by Lulu Chen. Chen performed a number of insider interviews going into intense
detail to accurately highlight the Tencent story. Tencent has largely flown under the radar by design.
The billionaire founder Ma Huatang, who goes by the English name, Pony, intentionally
shies away from media attention while historically his arch-nemesis, Alibaba founder Jack Ma,
is known for his high-profile personality.
For simplicity's sake, I'll refer to this 10-cent founder as Pony or Pony Ma during this episode,
as Chen does in the book.
The book also serves as a way for me to learn more about China and how the people there
operate and think about business.
I was recently chatting with a fund manager who had just visited China, and he explained to me
that the country is likely much different and more capitalistic than most Americans would believe
it to be.
So I'd like to approach the subject with an open mind and a curiosity to learn more.
And if you don't think it's possible to achieve good returns in China, I would encourage you
to also check out episode number 661 with Richard Lawrence, whose compounded capital at 14.3%
over 30 years investing in Asia, and over the past 10 years, he's been heavily allocated
to Chinese stocks.
The book highlights that China, in a sense, operates in a parallel universe, as one out of three
web users aren't able to view sites like Facebook, Twitter, or X, Snapchat, Instagram,
the New York Times in YouTube. China essentially has their own version of the tech names we know of
here in the Western world. Even when a Chinese person travels outside of the country,
if they're using a Chinese SIM card, they can't use a site like Google. Chen refers to
WeChat as the Swiss Army knife of a super app that combines many functions all into one app.
Two-thirds of Chinese people use a Tencent app for all sorts of services, from texting to shopping,
watching videos, playing games, and ordering food and a taxi, making it also the ideal tool
for mass surveillance.
The way Chen puts it, the Communist Party finds the idea of Tencent both appealing and daunting.
Pony Ma transformed from a carp leaping over the Dragon's Gate.
Initially, he needed to avoid the CCP's immense powers they held over him, and over time,
he inevitably became shackled to become part of the system that he wanted to change himself.
Pony Ma was born in 1971 on China's southern island of Hinen, and when he was 13, his family
would relocate to Shenzhen, which today is China's fourth largest city.
In middle school, Pony Ma would meet three of his co-founders, and all four of them were
really sharp students and had an obsession with STEM classes.
When Pony Ma was at university, thousands of students took over the streets of Beijing,
occupying the capital's iconic Tiananmen Square, demanding democracy in the first of the first place.
freedom to write their own destinies.
Many of our listeners might know that Lee Lou participated in this protest before escaping
the country.
Not only is Lee Lou an amazing investor, but he also has quite an amazing story, which I touched
on back on episode 636.
Due to Lee Lou's involvement in the protests, he was put on the CCP's 21 most-wanted
student leaders, so just the fact that he was able to escape the country and do what he's
done here in the U.S. is quite remarkable.
His protests led to the government rolling out tanks to put a stop to the movement.
Pony Maugh would major in computer science and rapidly earned a reputation as a computer
maven.
For his undergrad thesis, he created a software program to predict share price movements,
and at the age of 22, he managed to sell the program to the company he was interning
at for 50,000 won, which was about three-year salary for a fresh graduate.
Pony Ma would work for a pagemaker company in his first job at a school.
A pagemaker can really be thought of as an early version of a smartphone that would beep or vibrate
letting someone know that they wanted to call you.
In the five years he worked there, his salary increased by eightfold and he became dissatisfied
with being one of the many middle managers at the firm.
During the 90s, he became infatuated with the internet and its potential.
He set up four phones and eight computers in his home, costing him essentially all of the money
he had made from selling that stock market program, which highlighted his tendency to go all in
on the things he was most passionate about.
In 1998, Pony Ma reconnected with his old friend, Tony Zhang, expressing interest in starting
a company.
The rough idea was to combine the product of a pager and that of the nascent internet.
These two and three others would go on to start Tencent with seed capital of 500,000 won.
A lot was happening in the startup world in 1999.
Ma started Alibaba, Steve Jobs introduced the iMac, Microsoft bundled its software and its Windows
operating system, and Yahoo's Jerry Yang made it onto the cover of Time Magazine just before
declining an offer to buy Google's search technology for $1 million.
The early days of Tencent were not easy, and they were just really scraping by.
Two of the founders still worked a full-time job to help them pay the bills.
Pony would then stumble on a service that would save the company, ICQ.
which was an online chat system created by five Israelis in 1996.
ICQ became the first widely adopted instant messaging platform,
and a Chinese telecom company was making bids for someone to develop a similar product in China.
Thus began the story of Tencent's controversial origins, being a copycat.
Just as many of China's largest internet companies started out by imitating their Western counterparts,
So Who from Yahoo, Baidu from Google,
Wibow from Twitter, Alibaba from eBay, and Tencent's first hit came from ICQ.
In 1998, less than 1% of the population had a computer in China, and most people who did use a computer did not own one.
Tencent was successful in developing a chat software, and they understood their users, leading them to early success.
While rivals took a half hour to get the software downloaded, Tencent's would take just five minutes.
and their software included features like the ability to send messages to friends offline
and strangers who were online.
And for whatever reason, they ended up naming the software, OICQ.
AOL would end up buying ICQ, the original instant messaging platform, and they would sue
Tencent for violating intellectual property rights.
Tencent would lose the case and have to shut down OICQ's website, and they ended up renaming
the chat service to QQ.
One year in, Tencent wasn't making any reverend.
So the co-founders were also working various jobs to keep the lights on still.
This would lead to a last-ditch effort to make an appeal for IDG capital to invest in
Tencent.
IDG was one of the earliest VC firms to step foot in China.
IDG would join PCW, who was backed by Asia's richest man at the time, to invest $2.2 million
for 40% of Tencent in April of 2000.
This capital wouldn't really last long though for Tencent.
they would quickly need more. As we know, 2000 is a year that the tech bubble burst in the U.S.,
and this of course spilled over into other parts of the world, including China, causing trouble
there as well. Despite having nearly 100 million users, Tencent still was not able to figure out
a viable business model. As tech stocks were plummeting, who would want to finance an operation
that didn't make any revenue and only had eyeballs and clicks to point to? In their bleakest moments
facing rejection after rejection, they received a visit from David Wallerstein.
David represented the largest telecon company in South Africa, M-IH, otherwise known as NASPERS.
David kept an eye out for potential investments, and he noticed almost all of the internet
cafes with computers lined up in them had OICQ downloaded on them.
This piqued his interest, so he would invest $32 million to become the company's largest external
shareholder in 2001.
IDG would end up selling their stake down to 7.2%, and PCCW sold all of their stake.
To this day, NASPERS remains 10 cents largest shareholder 24 years later, and the value of the
shares as of the time of recording is $100 billion as they hold nearly 25% of the shares
outstanding.
That is a 3,100x return over that time period, which is honestly just mind-blowing.
As a part of the investment, Wallerstein decided to move to the U.S. to scout for opportunities
that could benefit Tencent.
And every other week, he would go back to Shenzhen to catch up with the founders.
The model really worked for them, so Wallerstein would end up joining Tencent in 2001 when
the company would only have 45 people at the time.
Tencent's revenue stream would come from text messages.
They were quite expensive in the U.S., and they were actually much cheaper in China.
The number of texts sent in one day in China in 2001 was about the same number of texts
that was sent in the U.S. for the entire year.
They partnered with a telecom firm, and users would pay 60 cents per month to get alerts
on their mobile phones for messages received on their QQ desktops.
So the monetization came through the mobile phone users, which were only a subset of the desktop
users.
Their early efforts to monetize on desktop proved unsuccessful, while QQQU's users.
was becoming a popular social media network where most users really refuse to pay for anything.
While Pony Ma was trying to figure out a way to get his users to pay, he was upsetting his
user base and a flood of new competition came in to the market, offering a free alternative,
leading them to pivot back to a free model. Then they launched avatars, allowing users to pay
for unique features online to differentiate themselves or display their online status of having a
unique avatar. This model was cloned from a South Korean company called SayClub.com. Pony Ma continued
to brainstorm ways to keep users on the platform. The massive success of Yahoo encouraged him to
launch a news portal, which was already a very competitive pawn to fish in. Tenson would manage to purchase
the QQ.com domain and launched their own news portal, pulling in content from various media outlets.
Tencent's strategy of building an interactive web experience is what differentiated them from their competitors.
A user might be on the instant messaging platform and get an alert of the newest breaking news,
keeping their users informed with what's happening day to day.
Tencent's management team would have bi-weekly meetings that would start at 10 a.m.,
and they would often go well beyond 2 a.m. with pony leading and moderating the discussions.
Chen described how some of Tencent's most important decisions were made past midnight.
Ideas were constantly being run by the group.
They would debate and discuss and the proposals that received a majority vote when they ended up passing through to implementation.
Then Pony Ma got connected with Martin Lau from Goldman Sachs who became his right-hand man and helped him take Tencent public.
Pony decided to list the company on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which was a rare occurrence for a tech company at the time.
Most companies would list on the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange.
Tencent would go public in June of 2004, raising $1.4 billion Hong Kong dollars, which was equivalent
to $180 million.
And they ended up hiring Martin Lau and bringing him on board.
He would bring on standard U.S. corporate practices such as setting revenue goals and developing
a five-year plan to enter new businesses like social networking and digital media.
After going public, Tencent's core business in the mobile text messaging.
space, continue to see a lot of pressure from regulators, the telecom companies wanting a larger
cut, and facing pressure from their competition fiercely trying to steal market share.
And then they ran into their toughest competitor yet, which was Microsoft-backed MSN.
Now, MSN was an instant messaging tool that I used probably when I was 11 or 12 years old
to connect with friends outside of school.
This would have been around 2006.
It's pretty funny because it was one of my first personal experience.
with online social networking, and I thought it was just the coolest thing ever getting to chat
with friends online on your computer at home.
So that's just a fun little antidote to get to read about MSN here.
MSN had a significant user base in China in 2004, even without the local presence that
Tencent had.
MSN also had a more elegant and streamlined interface, which appealed to the urban population
of office workers and students, while QQ was more grassroots and not as elegant, which appealed
to a different demographic.
There was a joke around the industry that QQ did all of the hard work of educating users
and cultivating the habits, and then a well-funded MSN, they swoop in, enter the market
with a better product.
Of the 20 million instant messaging users, MSN was estimated to have a slight lead over
Tencent in terms of users, but now that Tencent had gone public, they also had a fresh infusion
of capital and they weren't going to go down without a fight.
So they made investments into the product to try and attract that white-collar
user, and by June of 2005, QQ had 440 million users.
At the end of the day, Tencent was able to move quicker within the Chinese market,
which enabled them to get ahead of MSN.
Another challenge for MSN was that they kept all of their data on servers in the U.S.
because China did not allow a foreign company to have their own data centers in China,
and this led to a slower service overall for users.
So Tencent ended up toppling MSN, for instant messaging, and this was a lot of,
ever a big deal to Microsoft, of course, because instant messaging in China was never one of their
top priorities. They were too busy wrestling with Google over in the United States. At this point,
Tencent really had transitioned from having a startup culture to becoming more of a legitimate
organization with legs to become a big tech company. They ramped up the size of their organization
and empowered their people with the freedom to pursue new projects that could attract tens of millions
of new users. This fostered the notion that people in the
company had to create a product to prove their worth and move up the ranks. By 2009, shares of
Tencent had increased by 40x, and it was still really just getting started with its growth.
But still, I think there's something about the Chinese culture where the competition there can
just be ruthless. With Tencent's tremendous success, they got branded as a ruthless copycat.
They were now the big dog in town, and Zhao Hong Yi from Ki-hoo, which was a mobile browser with 100 million users, this guy attacked Tencent's instant messaging service, claiming that they were monitoring users and accessing data. They had no rights to. This sent Tencent into a bit of a public crisis because it led to users leaving QQ, and management ended up making the difficult decision of not allowing people to use QQ on that browser that Z.
Zhao was managing.
One of the key initiatives that Tencent pursued in the early 2010s was an investment they
made in 2013 in Sogo.
This was China's third largest search engine.
So they invested $448 million for 36% of the company.
Pony Ma figured that he shouldn't be trying to do everything himself.
And if he wasn't able to hire the world's best entrepreneurs, the next best thing would be
to simply invest alongside them.
Tencent would then start to become a very important investment for mutual funds and retail investors
as well. So most figured that Tencent would know the tech industry as well as anyone, and they were
as well positioned as anybody to continue to grow with the tech scene. Shortly after that investment,
they announced that they would be selling their e-commerce segment to JD.com, and they ended up investing
$214 million in exchange for 15% of the company.
E-commerce certainly wasn't 10 cents core competency.
They were really good at generating traffic.
So they figured that the e-commerce business was in better hands under jad.com,
and then they simply invested alongside them.
The way Chin puts it here is that these two investments would become the roadmap for
over 800 investments that were to come in the years that followed.
So their other core competency was really capital allocation in identifying attractive
opportunities to invest in talented entrepreneurs. Of those 800-plus investments, over 120 of them
have become unicorns and 63 have gone public. This is how Tencent got involved and invested with
companies like Spotify and Snapchat, and they also took a 5% stake in Tesla in 2014.
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In 2014, Tencent's market capitalization exceeded $150 billion,
making them China's largest internet company.
According to Chin here,
there were only three major technology giants in China at this time.
You had Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent.
Chen also has a chapter here on the rivalry with Alibaba.
Alibaba pulled off the world's largest IPO in 2014 when they went public, and over the past
decade, Tencent and Alibaba have really battled it out and continued to expand their big
conglomerates.
Port Erisman stated, if Steve Jobs created the operating system for the smartphone,
Jack Ma and his team created the operating system for Commerce and China in the future.
During its peak days, Alibaba processes.
is more than half a million transactions per second across its site and delivers a billion
packages in a day."
Jack Ma landed himself in hot water when in October of 2020, he infamously railed against
the inefficiencies of China's traditional finance industry and its regulatory overseers
during a prominent business forum in Shanghai.
The next month, the country's stock market watchdog pulled the plug on the 35-basket.
billion dollar IPO of AliPay Parent, Ant Group, which was the company created by Jack Ma.
In the months that followed, Jack Ma vanished from the public view as regulators pursued
a relentless campaign against both Ant and Alibaba, launching an antitrust investigation against
the latter e-commerce giant that ended with a $2.8 billion fine.
Ali Pay was what allowed Jack Ma to really dominate the e-commerce space in China, and he was
walking a fine line in facilitating transactions and starting Alley Pay in 2003, since private companies
weren't allowed to venture into finance and the payments, Jack Maugh had told his team that
if anyone had to go to jail, he would go himself. In the early 2010s, the world started to shift
from PCs to mobile, and Tencent foresaw the transition they would need to make in creating a mobile app
and transitioning through that shift. Mobile payments were especially a competitive arena as
WeChat competed directly with AliPay.
One leg up that WeChat had was that they started with the social features and expanded
to payments, whereas AliPay started with payments and they tried to add on these social
features, but it really didn't work the same way because users didn't have that real-life
connection established with those in their network.
Pony Ma was, of course, a big believer in the internet and its power in connecting people
and transforming industries.
Using a similar strategy to Facebook, Tencent wanted to get as many people as possible on their platforms and get them to stay for as long as possible.
This brings us to one of Tencent's most important investments, Maytwan.
It was my surprise to read that in Beijing and Shanghai, it's often cheaper to have food delivered than to go get the food yourself.
So back in 2019, you could order a roast duck from a local diner for $2.000.
and 99 cents via the delivery app, Maytwan, which was about 80% less than what you pay at the
register, which to me just makes absolutely no sense. Across the country, millions of people
order two or three meals a day, as well as groceries, office supplies, haircuts, and massages.
The $100 billion delivery market is dominated by Alibaba and Maytwan. More broadly, Alibaba has a
good grip on the retail market for physical goods, while Maytwan has a stranglehold on the services
market. Maytuan has 9.5 million delivery people serving nearly 700 million customers in more than
2,800 cities. What's interesting about the story of Maytuan is that as a startup, they received
an investment from Alibaba. But the founder did not appreciate how they were being treated by
Alibaba, so he secretly met with Tencent to receive a second investment from them to make
Tencent then a significant shareholder.
This was a big win for Tencent and a pretty big setback for Alibaba, who wanted their
hands in all of online commerce.
After receiving word of the Tencent investment, Alibaba would sell their stake at a significant
discount to the market value when they were doing some fundraising at the time.
Now, typically to be a successful tech startup in China, you would need an investment from either
one company or the other, Alibaba or Tencent, in order to get that traffic from the internet and get
those resources necessary to grow and establish your business. And if you didn't partner with one of
these two, then it's likely that one of your competitors would partner with them and you just
wouldn't stand a chance. Maytwan's founder, Wang Zing, had big ambitions from an early age. So he was
in university in the early 2000s, and he realized early on that social networks were going to be a
really big deal. So he launched one similar to Facebook, but was soon forced to sell it because he ran out
of cash. Then he launched a platform similar to Twitter, and it was halted within two years
due to government censorship. The CCP ruled that they didn't want information to be able to spread
so fast without control of such platforms. So Wang decided that he wanted to build a tech company
that just totally avoided controversy as much as possible. So he set out to make a platform that
makes getting food easier. But he's not easily off the hook as the company sits on a tremendous
amount of data. They have location-based consumption patterns of 690 million active users,
which is double the U.S. population. In 2015, a key merger took place between Maytwan and
D.N. Ping, Maytuan providing group buying and food delivery services, and then the other company
was a rating and review platform similar to Yelp.
Maytwan would then take a big lead over their major competitor that was
LA.Me, which would eventually get bought out by Alibaba at a $9.5 billion dollar valuation.
Wang would take a page from Jeff Bezos's playbook and having no rush in becoming profitable
from an accounting standpoint.
And he was very happy to reinvest as much cash flows as possible to generate new growth,
reach a bigger scale and provide more value to customers.
The way Chen puts it here is that 10 cents investment in May-Twan in 2015
encapsulates the social media giant's favorite approach over the years,
backing the right horses, then taking a hands-off approach, end quote.
This brings us to the discussion on WeChat.
According to ChatGBT,
WeChat is the sixth largest social media platform in the world with 1.6 billion users.
The top five platforms include Facebook, YouTube,
Instagram, WhatsApp, and TikTok. But as we'll be getting into, WeChat is much more than a social
media platform. Chen describes WeChat as a platform that weaves together the fabric of society
today in China, from gaming and shopping to getting a ride and booking a doctor's appointment.
It's like having the functions of PayPal, Citibank, Facebook, Instagram, Spotify, Expedia,
Yelp, Uber, TikTok, and Amazon all on one platform. If we could go back to 2010, the
The world was awaiting the release of Apple's iPhone 4, and telecom operators around the world
were preparing for the switch from 2G to 3G, which promised faster mobile internet connections.
Tencent controlled a large swath of social media and messaging via its QQ desktop app, but Pony Ma feared
that his empire could be disrupted overnight.
So he decided to come up with a product that had the potential to disrupt themselves
before somebody else did.
On a very late night towards the end of 2010, a programmer named Alan Zhang messaged Pony
asking for permission to develop a social network tailored for smartphones.
Pony, who usually doesn't go to bed until 4 a.m., agreed to that request.
Then Zang created the first version of WeChat, and even Tencent could not have imagined
how successful it would have become.
Hiring Alan Zang was probably one of the best decisions that Pony Ma would ever make.
Zhang had a passion for building great products and rejected the ideas of working a cushy job with the corporation.
And this seems to be a common theme throughout the book.
So despite Tencent today being this massive organization, they're still able to bet on these extremely talented and passionate entrepreneurs and just let them work their magic.
In his 20s, Zhang created an email service called Foxmail in 1997, and he was most interested in just creating the best product possible.
Rather than trying to commercialize it and build a tremendous fortune just for himself.
He quit his corporate job to go all in on that project, and he ended up selling it for 12 million
yuan, which is about $160,000.
And almost immediately, he just regretted selling his passion project he poured his heart
and soul into.
The email service went end up getting acquired by Tencent in 2005, and Tencent then brought
Zhang on board so he could continue working on it.
So, Zeng created WeChat, which by definition was a direct competitor to QQ.
And this helps illustrate sort of 10 cents culture of having this competition amongst their
own team members who, you know, they're working on different social media or social networking apps.
Initially, WeChat was not a big success as it just garnered a million users in the first six months.
By 10 cents standards, this was really a dud.
Then they watched another startup burst onto the scene called a Talkbox.
They made it easy for people to send voice notes to each other because typing in Chinese was more difficult on these small screens than it wasn't English, and text messages were also expensive to send.
WeChat quickly developed their own push-to-talk feature and imitated the key breakthroughs that Talkbox created to send voice messages quicker and cheaper than everyone else.
Here are some of Chen's reflections in building a successful startup.
Herein lies an important lesson that startup founders would swear by.
Timing is everything.
Come up with an idea too late and you miss the wave.
Yet roll out something too early and people will deem your product useless.
In a market where copyright infringement is rampant, product design and execution trumps
original ideas.
Some would argue that plagiarism throttles innovation and deters creators.
Yet others argue it forces companies to come up with the best product.
products based on micro-innovation, in any case, TalkBox never bothered to sue WeChat
or Tencent, which would have been an extremely arduous endeavor with little prospect of success
under China's legal system back then."
So already, by 2012, WeChat would reach 100 million users and tripled that number one
year later.
It not only overtook TalkBox, but even Tencent's very own QQ, whose team largely dismissed
the transition to mobile.
One of Ponie Ma's mantras was,
you either wait for someone else to kill you,
or you will kill yourself first.
WeChat went on to build their moments feature,
which you can think of as a social media feed
like the Facebook feed that made them so successful.
So WeChat evolved from a tool to send messages
to a social media platform
that attracted writers, journalists,
and government agencies to build a following online.
Once WeChat crossed from being a platform
focused on private messages and ventured into posts that would be featured publicly, the government
stepped in and prompted Tencent to censor the platform and suspend certain accounts. And the CCP
would soon start tracking private conversations. So if the CCP deemed that users were working
against their best interests, then users would potentially be permanently banned from having a
WeChat account. Due to the CCP's involvement with the company, WeChat is now a government
monitoring tool that's used to surveil its users as artificial intelligence can almost instantly
detect bandwords, images, and voice messages, and on top of that, have a great firewall that can
prevent certain information from entering the country from an international user.
This is part of the reason why WeChat has largely been a platform mainly for Chinese users
despite their attempts to grow internationally.
Since international expansion wasn't going to be a big primary driver of growth, the alternative
solution was to expand the app itself and add more functionality.
So in 2016, they started to go down the path of essentially having different apps within the
WeChat app, and this is referred to as many programs.
WeChat has seen strong growth and payments especially, so AliPay once accounted for the vast
majority of online payments in China, but by the third quarter of 2020, its market share had fallen
to 54% with 10% on the rise. Momentum further accelerated on WeChat with the release of the QR
scanning function. For example, one could sit down for dinner, scan a code on the table, and start
ordering food directly from the restaurant's own mini app on WeChat. After the meal, you would
then pay on the same interface using your WeChat digital wallet. The same applies to both
booking movie tickets, streaming music, hailing a taxi, or unlocking a bike parked on the side of
the road.
All of a sudden, it didn't seem so necessary to use a separate app for every activity in your life.
It also meant that Tencent had the ability to gain a tremendous amount of personal information,
far more than what Facebook or Instagram could ever get.
Despite the concerns around privacy, many users experienced how Wech has designed and how your
social life relies on the app.
continues to just pull people back in and benefit from the value that it offers.
So it's just a tool that's so valuable to its users.
Alan, the creator of WeChat, he sort of mocks Facebook due to their focus on serving so
many ads to its users.
He put more of its focus on maintaining a clear and clean interface and put much less focus
on ads and alerts.
He has a set of rules that he closely adheres to when it comes to designing WeChat.
So his rules for a good product here include, the product needs to be creative and have innovation,
it needs to be useful and beautiful, it must be easy to use, it should be reserved, not flamboyant,
it's honest, it needs to be long lasting and withstand the test of time, it doesn't leave out
any details and it must have a minimalist design. Less is more. Despite the success of WeChat,
it initially was not a huge revenue driver for Tencent. In 2014, WeChat accounted for just 10%
of their revenues, and more than half of Tencent's money came from desktop games.
In 2015, WeChat reluctantly gave into pressures from Tencent to start monetizing their platform
with ads.
So today, the business generates $16 billion in revenue per year, with a relatively small portion
of that coming from advertising.
Transitioning here to another major investment for Tencent, in 2013, Tencent tracked down the founder
of a scrappy ride-hailing company called Didi.
Richard Peng did everything he could to get a meeting with the founder, Chang Wei,
and he told him that he knows that he doesn't want their investment,
but he absolutely has to invest with them.
Before ride-hailing, commuting in a massive city like Beijing
just could be a total nightmare,
which led to the rise of illegal taxis that operated without a government license.
But ride-sharing apps changed everything,
and Tinson believed that it was going to be big in the near future at that point.
That same year in 2013, Google Ventures had invested $250 million into Uber, its largest investment
ever, and hundreds of ride-sharing apps were emerging in China.
There are some fun stories in the book related to Chang Wei and his journey.
When trying to find his way in the world, he showed up uninvited to Alibaba's office,
and he told the front desk that he was looking for a job, and he ended up landing a job in sales,
making $225 per month.
So this sales experience would prove to be valuable to Wei because he would need to figure
out how to convince taxi drivers to sign up for D.D.
When there are hundreds of other apps for them to sign up for.
In 2012, Chang Wei started D-Dash, also known as Hong Kong taxi.
And D-D., they were really a scrappy company in getting off the ground.
They had a small team that would go to the railway stations and speak to drivers and try
and get them on the app. And by doing so, they actually brought on 10,000 drivers from that approach.
Another tough part is only a certain number of drivers would have a smartphone at the time. So
instead of just handing out phones, which would be quite expensive, they targeted the younger
drivers with phones who wanted a new opportunity and then might spread the word to their friends.
So Tencent had met with Chang Wei, and they offered to invest at a $60 million valuation,
double what the company was looking to get to ensure that no one else would snatch up a stake.
Meanwhile, Alibaba invested in one of their rivals, which influenced Chang to side with Tencent.
And once Tencent really bet big on the adoption of mobile payments, this put rocket fuel behind
the growth of DD. WeChat placed DD on its services landing page, channeling an enormous army
of users to the ride-hailing app. And in return, D.D. adopted WeChat's then-Nacent payment system
in an attempt to transform driver's habits of only accepting cash.
And DD also subsidized users, accelerating the growth flywheel and building out those consumer
habits.
Now, with the way things were heading, the two ride-sharing apps were losing a ton of money
trying to gain market share, and it got to the point where one company would have to dial
back the spend and inevitably let the other company pull ahead, or the two companies would
merge, and then they could finally turn into a profitable enterprise.
So in 2015, the two would end up merging forming China's biggest internet merger.
And there was word that Uber was also setting their sites on rolling out in China, which
the two companies wanted to be well prepared for as well.
In 2015, Uber seemed to have a pretty big advantage.
They had a better app.
It was powered by more stable technology.
And they were valued at $42 billion, 10 times that of DEDY's valuation at the time just
prior to that merger.
So Uber entered the Chinese market head-on, and both D.D.D. and Uber spent $1 billion
yuan or $100 million on subsidies.
So to try and impose an attack on Uber, DEDY invested $100 million in Lyft, their primary American
rival.
The unprofitability of D.D. and Uber would really continue as Apple would make a $1 billion
investment in May of 2016.
that would go into Uber.
One month later, Uber raised another $3.5 billion from Saudi Arabia's public investment fund.
After this, DEDE realized that Uber had a lot of legs to go on profitable for a number of years ahead.
So they went to the bargaining table to try and work with Uber and figure out a path forward to profitability.
Ultimately, Uber would agree to actually withdraw from China and sell that segment of their business to DED in exchange.
for equity. Thus, Didi joined the select club of Chinese corporations that succeeded against better-funded
American rivals. It seems like an incredible milestone to kick out such a behemoth, especially since
D.D. had invested in their major competitor in the U.S. In the end, Tencent stood as the ultimate
beneficiary as it held a significant stake in China's go-to app for all things ride-hailing,
and it used Didi to boost market share for mobile payments on WeChat.
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All right. Back to the show. Next year, I want to talk about another one of Tencent's major business
segments, which is gaming. In 2021, the gaming industry was estimated to have generated
$176 billion in revenue, almost five times that of the box office of the movie industry.
In estimated, 2.9 billion people play games on some form of digital device, which is nearly
one out of every three people in the world.
Tencent is at the center
of the global gaming industry
as they have studios that have created
the biggest global titles,
including Fortnite,
League of Legends,
World of Warcraft,
and Clash of Clans.
They also generate
around a third of their revenue
from their gaming segment.
Tencent launched their initiatives
in gaming in 2004.
Users could simply log onto the platform
using their QQ accounts on desktop,
and users could see
what games their friends were playing.
In those early years, Tencent continued to be accused of copying what their competitors were doing,
which led to Nexon suing Tencent in 2006 for copyright infringement and improper competition in Beijing,
making it the first lawsuit that involved an international corporation suing a Chinese internet company.
The case lasted six months in the court ruled that Tencent had not violated copyright and not competed improperly.
Tencent had a pretty large legal team that specialized in copyright and M&A, which helped them license the rights to their own games.
One investment in the gaming space that Tencent would make was in Riot games.
Riot wanted to create games in the multiplayer online battle arena space.
So this is MLBA.
You can think of this as having a vast number of players working together or in teams on a map in the game.
This led to them releasing League of Legends in 2008.
Part of the appeal in a game like this is the Freemium model, so players could play for free,
but to get the exclusive upgrades and perks, then you needed to pay for it.
So the free version sort of sucks users in, and once they love the game,
many are bound to pay in some form or fashion down the road if they have the means to do so.
Soon after the launch of that game, Tencent managers, they were avid players of the game,
and this was part of their due diligence on the company itself before they ended.
ended up investing. So Tencent would end up purchasing 94% of Riot gaming for $400 million,
and Riot would end up being one of Tencent's best bets in gaming as it generated a lot of cash
and it opened up offices in more than 20 countries. Another interesting aspect of the deal was
that Riot would operate like a separate company and Tencent employees would not have access
to the source code for League of Legends. So Riot in a sense was owned by Tencent, but it had some
protections from Tencent's other business units to prevent them from cannibalizing themselves to some extent.
Facebook would take a similar approach when they acquired Instagram.
They would own Instagram, but Facebook employees wouldn't have access to a lot of what's going on there.
In 2020, League of Legends would generate $1.75 billion in revenue, making it one of the most lucrative
games in the world.
Tencent and Riot would rub shoulders over the years.
So, Tencent being the distributor of the game in China, they would keep at least 70% of the revenue
for the region, creating a source of frustration for managers at Riot who felt that they were
really being taken advantage of.
Another investment Tencent made was in Epic Games.
In 2013, they paid $330 million for 40% of the company.
Epic Games created the mega-popular Fortnite Battle Royale, which gained a whopping 350 million
players globally. The game captured the attention of so many entertainment seekers that Netflix
and their 2019 investor letter said, we compete with and lose to Fortnite more than HBO for
screen time. Despite Fortnite being free to play, it still generated $5.1 billion in revenue in 2020.
To make money, players could pay for items in the game, some of which would give players a leg
up over their competition. These items would go for anywhere from a few dollars to $20 each,
and it's reported that 69% of players spent money on in-game purchases on Fortnite.
Epic also developed a technology referred to as Unreal Engine, which was a 3D graphics
technology behind the game that helped render images, adding shading, color, and illumination
to a 2D image. The Unreal Engine helped the company create a number of big hits, and they offered
the technology to other gaming companies in exchange for a fee. The technology would also end up
getting adopted in other fields such as architecture, vehicle design, and film creation. Epic Games
was one of those key investments for Tencent that helped make their gaming division a global powerhouse.
Their founder, Tim Sweeney, reminded them very much of Elon Musk, and the business economics
were attractive as the industry was shifting from box sales to the software-as-a-service model.
Interestingly, part of what won over Sweeney in choosing to raise capital from Tencent was that they promised freedom and independence.
So Tencent was shifting to buying minority stakes and granting the company's full autonomy instead of working on everything itself and competing with everybody else.
Similar to what I discussed with the movie industry and Buffett's Investment in Disney back in Episode 682,
the gaming industry was very much reliant on one-hit wonders, making it difficult to build a
sustainable and reliable business model. To help create more reliable recurring revenue,
companies have shifted towards in-app purchases, leading companies to buttheads with Apple,
who on their devices takes as much as 30% of the revenue that games generate on the devices.
In 2020, users of Apple devices spent $72 billion on the app store, and Apple kept
22 billion of that. Epic games and Apple would go head to head as Epic tried to release their own
payment system, and Apple and Google both removed Fortnite from their platforms, which took them
to court where the U.S. district judge would mostly side with the U.S. counterparts. And in addition to
needing to make the shift from desktop to mobile in the social media space, they also needed to
make that transition in gaming as well, as the technology and internet speeds would inevitably
improve and mobile phone adoption would continue to increase as well. One big mobile game that
Tencent got a hold of was Clash of Clans. That game was released in 2012 and in 2016, Tencent led the
$8 billion takeover of Supercell. Supercell is an interesting business because they operated on
the basis that they would work in these really small teams to ensure high efficiency and just
zero bureaucracy. And this ties into the approach that Warren Buffett and Mark Leonard have taken of letting
their business operate independently and try to keep bureaucracy from creeping in.
Supercell felt that Clash of Clans would be a really big success, and then when they launched
it, they wanted to make the game as accessible to the widest audience possible, and
they wanted to make it as social as possible.
So by the third month of its release, it became the top grossing game in the US.
After Tencent caught word that SoftBank was planning to offload their stake in SuperSell, Martin
Lau flew to their office to try and grab a stake for
Tencent. Soon after, Tencent acquired a controlling interest in the Finnish studio. And we haven't even
got to e-sports yet. The U.S. has the largest e-sports market in the world, with China being in second.
Tenson even has aspirations to use all of their various brands and games to leverage them into
creating a Marvel-like universe where they convert their intellectual property to books, movies,
games, and vice versa. And finally, we have the music streaming business as well. Tencent has
created a music streaming service similar to Spotify, which lies in a division that was spun off
and listed separately in Hong Kong under Tencent Music Entertainment. Today, this business generates
around $3.8 billion in revenue, and they struggled in the past few years in terms of growth,
like many Chinese businesses have. Tencent does not have to battle with Spotify and China,
but they do face some competition from Netis and Baidu music. Oddly enough, Tencent and Spotify
would actually collaborate on an investment, though. In December of 2017, a share swap took place
in which both companies would take a minority stake in each other. Spotify would hold 8.9%
of the Chinese music streaming service, while Tencent would hold 9% of the Swedish firm.
This opened the door for further collaboration, including sharing music content in respective markets.
This brings us to Chapter 11, titled The State versus Goliath.
Around April of 2018, Tencent caught word of a policy change that would suspend approval of new gaming
licenses. This meant that Tencent wouldn't be able to generate money from its most popular games in the market.
From the government's perspective, they were concerned about the prevalence of violence and games
and how it was fostering addiction among the nation's youth. Officials even criticized Tencent for the growing
incidence of myopia among children. When times are good, it's easy to invest in some people.
like Tencent to get broad exposure to the Chinese economy, and invest in the big player
that can hopefully navigate the challenging and sudden policy changes.
This event proved that the policy risks work significant investing in Tencent.
In April of 2018, shares of the company traded around $380 Hong Kong, after a magnificent
run since the IPO in 2004, and as of the time we're recording here in January 2020,
shares still trade around $380 Hong Kong. So over a six-year time period, the shares have really
gotten nowhere. In June of 2018, Tencent's profits would fall for the first time in over a decade,
partially due to their inability to profit from their most popular games. Tencent was now forced
to start limiting the amount of time that children could spend on their games and verify the
ages and the identities of each player. Next, Tencent began to scrub their games
of violence, swapping green liquid for blood, promoting peace, and inserting banners that proclaimed
nationalistic slogans. After such changes, a flood of negative reviews came in from the gaming
community, veteran gamers felt like the excitement of the game had been taken away from them.
These changes helped relieve Chinese government's concerns and allow Tencent to monetize their
games as well. In the rise of China's tech industry also caught the attention of U.S. politicians.
U.S. Senator Marco Rubio questioned MSCI Inc. on why they added hundreds of Chinese stocks
to its benchmark, emerging markets index, which led to billions of passive investment dollars
being invested in these companies. Rubio stated, we can no longer allow China's authoritarian
government to reap the rewards of American and international capital markets.
Firms like MSCI have an obligation to make sure investors know whether their investment dollars
are unwittingly aiding Chinese state-owned and state-directed companies linked to Chinese
efforts to steal American innovation, undermine fair competition, increased threats to U.S.
national security, and economic security, et cetera, end quote.
MSCI simply countered by stating that no U.S. law or regulation prohibits them from adding
Chinese companies to their indexes.
In some ways, China had the U.S. to thank for its unprecedented digital evolution as a large
chunk of the capital behind its tech giant's success can in fact be traced back to funds
that manage money for Texas teachers, San Francisco firefighters, Minnesota policemen, and Louisiana
judges. Pension funds and endowments pour money into venture capital and private equity,
and their funds search all over the world to find the best investment opportunities. The way
Chen puts it is that in China, they struck gold. Amidst all the tension between the U.S. and
China, Tencent tried to keep a low profile, and Pony Ma all but vanished from public events.
But given the size of their business and the number of markets they had a foothold in,
it made them an easy target.
For example, after Tencent signed a $1.5 billion deal with the NBA to stream games online
in China, an NBA executive expressed his support for Hong Kong pro-democracy protesters,
which prompted Tencent to suspend game broadcasts.
Over time, tensions only increased as in May of 2020, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly approved
legislation that could lead to Chinese companies getting barred from listing on U.S. stock exchanges.
It required companies to certify that they are not under the control of a foreign government.
Another major issue was China's refusal to let inspectors from the public company accounting
oversight board review audits of mainland companies like Alibaba and Baidu that trade on American
markets. In September of 2020, President Trump announced that WeChat would essentially be shut
down in the U.S. because it was deemed a national security threat. But the plan was vetoed by a
magistrate judge that argued that this would violate the free speech rights of Americans who rely on the app.
Around this time, Jack Maugh saw the perfect opportunity to demonstrate his value to China.
Ma's crown jewel and group was expected to go public and the Fintech giant was expected to be the
biggest IPO in the world at around $35 billion. Ma was very public that now was the most
critical time in the development of finance and spoke out against anachronistic government regulation.
The Chinese government did not respond so kindly as shortly after, they suspended the world's
largest IPO just days before listing and delivered the message that ants' days of relaxed
government oversight and minimal capital requirements were over. The antitrust authority then
issued 22 pages of proposed Anse Monopoly rules, which many read as a veiled warning to
Jack Maugh and fellow entrepreneurs to tone down their swagger. Investors watched in awe as China
torpedoed the ambitions of its national champion. And the bigger question was whether the
crackdown on Ant was an isolated incident or whether it signaled more trouble to come for the wider
industry. Ant was at the forefront of scrutiny from regulators due to being the leader in Fintech.
But Tencent and other smaller competitors would also need to overhaul their business to appease
regulators. China's new generation of fintech companies made financial services more convenient
and more accessible to hundreds of millions of users. But at the same time, they also
destabilized the country's financial infrastructure and took business from the state-owned banks.
In April 2021, regulators also levied a $2.8 billion fine against Alibaba, accusing them of
of monopolistic conduct.
These moves by the CCP sent chills down the spine of Chinese tech billionaires, which began fading
into the background as some stepped down from the role of CEO or chairman, and many began donating
significant amounts to charity.
May Twan's Wang Zing donated $2.7 billion worth of stock to a personal charity promoting scientific
research in education.
In Pinduoduo's Colin Huang gave $1.8 billion to an educational fund.
fund. The Tencent-Backed ride-hailing company, D.D., would go public in the U.S. market in June of
of 2021, at a $68 billion valuation. On the surface, it looked like a huge success, and one of
D.D.'s co-founders was now a billionaire. But two days after D.D.'s debut, Chinese regulators
banned the riot hailing service from the App Store. In preparing to go public,
the Chinese government expressed concerns about the disclosures that D.D. would provide to
investors and the security of the data they held.
They didn't disprove of a U.S. listing, so they went ahead with the IPO.
The company told the investment bankers that they wanted to keep a low profile and all the company
would do would announce the listing on their internal forum.
On July 1st, shares were up 16 percent and management felt vindicated in their decision.
And then that evening, the cybersecurity watchdog posted a notice on its website.
The agency is launching an investigation into DD to safeguard national security and protect
the public interest.
D.D. share price then tanked, falling by nearly 50% in one month.
Just five months after going public, D.D. announced that they would start preparing to withdraw
from U.S. exchanges.
So this example of D.D. would crystallize investors' worst fears about the nature of working
alongside the Chinese government.
In the summer of 2021, many investment professionals believed that the industry.
that China's clamp down on their largest tech businesses was nearing an end.
Soon after, the Chinese government went after the online education sector,
which at the time was expected to generate $76 billion in revenue in 2024
and had backing from Sequoia, Alibaba, and Tencent.
Suddenly, companies in this space were ordered to go to nonprofits,
and that companies that teach school subjects can no longer accept overseas investment.
Tencent also received further scrutiny from regulators.
Chinese citizens aged 18 and under were banned from gaming more than three hours a week,
which hurt shares of Tencent.
In 2021, shares of Tencent were down 19% while the NASDAQ rose by 21%.
Various initiatives and relationships with specific people within the government caused suspicion
towards Tencent even though they were largely compliant and cooperative with regulators.
Tencent had to revamp various departments across the company, and in November of 2021,
regulators ordered the company to stop rolling out new apps or updates, declaring that its
products violated data protection rules.
Tencent then embarked on a number of divestments and asset sales as they sold $16 billion worth
of stock in JD.com and reduced its stake in Southeast Asia's largest gaming company, C. Limited.
Tenson is now fully embracing what company executives have acknowledged as a paradigm shift in the industry.
Gone are the years of reckless expansion, aggressive marketing, and zero-sum competition,
which partly defined the golden era of Chinese tech.
That chapter of the story has now come to an end.
Chin shares here that the lesson for Pony Ma is that he and his company have no bargaining power with the Chinese government.
As authorities move to rein in these tech giants,
Tencent is expected to hand over key data and add its extreme ownership to the government,
so the party can maintain an even firmer grasp on the nation.
These types of moves make investors question if the government is going after the concept
of capitalism itself.
These types of actions by the government have led me personally to simply avoid investing
in any Chinese company.
Investing is already hard enough, so I ask myself, why would I make it even more difficult
by investing in a communist country.
Perhaps some investors can do quite well investing in China.
I prefer to play a different game myself
that suits me better personally
that I also understand better.
Shifting gears and getting to the end of the book here,
Chen also touches on Tencent's cloud business,
which powers about everything that Tencent does.
Initially, they built out the cloud segment
to support the growth of WeChat,
and they then decided to offer the same services to other businesses.
I don't believe Tencent discloses,
their cloud revenue and their financials. They do rank third in China in cloud revenue, I believe,
with Alibaba being first with about double the market share. In Tencent is really always on the
lookout for emerging trends. So they're always looking for that asymmetric payout in different
industries, whether it be driverless cars, AI. One thing that's interesting about Tencent's stock
today is that they've significantly ramped up their share buyback program. When I look at the chart
for the Hong Kong listing. It peaked at around 700 Hong Kong dollars in early 2021. And at the time
of recording here, we're at $380 Hong Kong per share. In the trailing 12 months, the company generated
$35 billion U.S. dollars in operating cash flow, and they repurchased $13 billion worth of shares.
That's nearly triple the amount they repurchased back in 2022, which was another example of when
they ramped up their buybacks. In the most recent quarter, the company had 8% growth in revenue and
19% growth in operating profit, which seems quite good given the current macro environment in China.
None of the major business segments really stood out to me in terms of the growth, but they
are seeing some strong margin expansion, especially in their fintech and business services segment.
And there's also the argument that players like Alibaba and Tencent are going to be leaders
in the AI race because of all the data they're able to collect from these massive platforms.
The CCP has also made AI a national priority investing billions of dollars into
research and development. Another challenge that China faces is getting access to advanced chips
since U.S. sanctions have restricted the supply of high-end semiconductors, which includes the advanced
chips from Nvidia and AMD, which are essential for running complex AI models and advanced chip
manufacturing. As a result, China is investing heavily into domestic chip design and manufacturing
in order to reduce reliance on foreigners. But I think that Tensen is going to be a big player
globally with regards to AI, and it's a segment worth monitoring for investors.
With all of that said, there's so much to think about here for investors in China. You have China
being a major player in competing with the U.S. globally. You have the political risk and geopolitical
concerns, but many Chinese companies also trade at a discount on a relative basis to their U.S.
peers, meaning that much of this is potentially already priced into the shares of these Chinese
companies. It's going to be fun to watch how this plays out in the later 2020s, and it's up to each
investor to determine whether they're comfortable with the political risk and if they can get a
good sense of the business before investing in China because of just cultural differences, really.
I feel like it can take quite a bit of time to really get to know a business there and understand
those cultural differences as well. All right, that's all I had for today's episode.
Thank you so much for tuning in, and I hope to see you again next week.
Thank you for listening to TIP.
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