We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network - TIP698: Best Quality Stock Idea Q1 2025 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve
Episode Date: February 14, 2025On today’s episode, Clay and Kyle give an overview of their best quality stock idea for Q1 2025. This quarter, they discuss AppFolio. AppFolio is a high-growth software company revolutionizing prop...erty management. Clay and Kyle explore its impressive revenue growth, competitive advantages, and how AI-driven innovations like Realm-X are helping AppFolio capture market share. The conversation also covers key risks, the competitive landscape, and the company's valuation, providing listeners with a comprehensive analysis of whether AppFolio is a compelling investment opportunity. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:49 - A business overview of AppFolio. 13:04 - The five parties that AppFolio supports with their software services. 22:10 - How AppFolio is utilizing AI to create a moat around their business. 25:35 - Why AppFolio is a payments business disguised as a SAAS business. 30:16 - An overview of the competitive environment for AppFolio. 39:19 - Why we would consider adding back R&D expenses to determine a proper valuation for the business. 44:03 - An assessment of AppFolio’s management team, incentives, and valuation. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Research stocks and SEC filings with Fintool. Mentioned Episode TIP465: Value Investing in the Digital Age w/ Adam Seessel. Related Episode: TIP604: Best Quality Idea Q1 2024 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve. Related Episode: TIP627: Best Quality Idea Q2 2024 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve. Related Episode: TIP652: Best Quality Idea Q3 2024 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve. Related Episode: TIP675: Best Quality Idea Q4 2024 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve. Email Shawn at shawn@theinvestorspodcast.com to attend our free events in Omaha or visit this page. Follow Kyle on Twitter. Follow Clay on Twitter. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Hardblock Found DeleteMe Fundrise CFI Education Vanta Shopify Onramp TurboTax HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Spotify! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
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You're listening to TIP.
On today's episode, my co-host Kyle Greve and I give an overview of our best quality stock idea
for Q1, 2025.
This quarter, we're discussing AppFOLio.
AppFolio is a high-growth software company revolutionizing property management.
Since its IPO in 2015, the stock has compounded at around 35% per year.
As you'll hear during this episode, the more Kyle and I dug into this business, the more
we came to like it. During this conversation, we discuss AppFOLio's business model, the five parties
that AppFOLio supports with their software services, how they're utilizing AI to create a moat around
their business, why they just might be a payments business disguised as a SaaS business,
in overview of the competitive environment, and why we would consider adding back R&D expenses
to determine a proper valuation for the stock. At the end of the episode, we also touch on the
events we're hosting for our TIP Mastermind community in Omaha during the Berkshire weekend in May
2025. We'll be temporarily closing the community to new members at the end of March,
so be sure to stick around until the end of the episode to learn more. We're also hosting a couple
of free events in Omaha, which will be organized by my colleague, Sean O'Malley. You can find
more information on those events in the show notes. With that, I bring you today's episode on AppFOLio.
Since 2014 and through more than 180 million downloads, we've studied the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most.
We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.
Now for your hosts, Clay Fink and Kyle Greve.
Welcome to the Investors podcast.
I'm your host, Clay Fink.
And today, Kyle and I present our Best Quality Idea series where each quarter we dive into a quality stock.
share more about the business, its competitive advantages, potential risks, and what we think of
the valuation. So, Kyle, after speaking with Adam Ziesel here on the podcast, he's author of
where the money is, I've really wanted to cover a tech business here in our series because tech
is just a trend that has brought some of the best and most profitable businesses the world has ever
seen. Everyone's familiar with The Magnificent Seven, but I really didn't want to cover a two or
three trillion dollar company here on the show that everyone already knows about. So we, we've
sifted through a number of names to find one that we felt fit into our investment style
as well as our circle of competence. And I've personally found it a bit of a problem to do this
because so many tech businesses pay a high amount of stock-based compensation, which is a bit
unfortunate, but it's just a reality of how these businesses are attracting top talent.
And that was the primary reason actually I passed on Airbnb, for example. I think it's a great
company. And it was one I was pretty close to selecting for our series here. And I think Sean O'Malley,
our colleague, might be covering that on the Intrinsic Value podcast sometime in the future. So this journey
of sifting through a number of names brought us to AppFolio. AppFolio was one for me where the more
I uncovered and the more I researched this business, the more I really came to like it. So for those
not familiar. AppFOLio provides software services to property managers in the United States,
and they streamline many of the tasks that property managers just need to do, whether it be
tenant screening, online rent payments, maintenance tracking, and accounting. And on the surface,
one would probably think this just can't be an amazing business, but then you look at the
numbers and it's just unbelievable how well they've executed over the years. Over the past decade,
at Folio has compounded revenue growth of 37% per year. In each of the past three years, they've grown
revenues at over 30% a year. And this level of growth has also been quite profitable as they've
significantly reinvested back into their business and back into future growth. Since the IPO in
2015, the stocks compounded at north of 35% per year. And today, it's a sizable company, of course,
given how much they've grown, but the market caps around $9 billion. And this also happens
to be a vertical market software company, which is really a fancy way of saying that they create software
for a very specific niche or vertical to best serve the customers in that vertical. Kyle and I have also
studied the work of Mark Leonard at Constellation Software for quite some time. And Leonard has talked
about how each quarter Constellation will profile a vertical market software company, look at
how they approach business, how they penetrate markets, what the economics are. And Leonard actually
mentioned AppFOLio by name as an example of a high-quality VMS company that they've been
studying personally. So he described AppFolio as a stunningly attractive property management
software company that penetrated a relatively mature market and did so in a very economic
fashion. So it's pretty neat to me that Leonard, after being in this VMS space for 20 plus years,
he's just publicly showing how he's continuing to study these types of businesses and learning
new things and how he called out App folio I thought was quite interesting and made me want to learn
more about it. So I'm super excited to dive into this name with you today. Yeah, so am I Clay.
And I echo pretty much all of your sentiments there. You know, App folio looks like just an exceptionally
run vertical market software business. And one thing that really stood out to me while researching
the business was just how focused they are on their customers. They constantly mention that they
talk with their customers and they communicate with them to basically continue improving their
products. And you can tell they place a lot of emphasis on this side of the business and they see it as
just a key generator for growth into the future as well. And I think given their growth that they've
gone through, it's pretty obvious that they have the history to back up this ability to continue
scaling their products by building things specifically for their customers and not necessarily
just through acquiring other VMS businesses as add-ons. And there's another area that you mentioned
there, Clay, that I think I'd like to highlight, which is just to do with tech businesses in general,
just not necessarily being the most attractive businesses for value investors who don't want to get diluted.
Unfortunately, with a lot of tech, that's what they have to do. A lot of times, these businesses
don't have profits. And so if they want to bring in talented people, they can't pay it out out of
their profits that are non-existent. They have to end up issuing lots of shares. And I think sometimes
that can be really, really dilutive and a big negative for a lot of potential investors.
But look at the numbers from Affolio and it's actually really impressive. So from 2015 until
today, the total share is outstanding have grown by 0.8% compound annual growth rate, which is really
good. I mean, even if you look at a non-tech business, that's still really, really good.
And so, you know, I think both Clay and I love seeing really high quality businesses that can
grow mostly through self-funding. Yes, they do have this a little bit of stock-based compensation,
but they're doing it in a way that hasn't been dilutive and isn't harming other shareholders.
Yeah, that's right. And there just definitely seems to be this strong culture around creating
the best possible product and better serving their customers and building that long-term
win-win relationship.
And to piggyback a bit on your comments on dilution, they don't do excessive stock-based
comp like mini-tech businesses, even the Airbnbs of the world.
They're pretty profitable businesses, but they're still issuing a lot of shares.
So at Folio, there's definitely the minimal share dilution in the first place.
And what some of these businesses do is they'll do buybacks to offset that level of dilution.
and with Appfolio, there's just not a ton of dilution happening in the first place so they can take
those profits and just reinvest it or maybe even return it back to shareholders if they get to
that level of maturity in their cycle. So I'll get this episode kicked off by diving a bit deeper
into the business here. So the company was started in 2006 by Klaus Schauser and John Walker,
both of which had extensive startup experience and tech prior to starting AppFolio.
So they started the business and given the name at Folio, they wanted to create this sort of
ecosystem of software products that they felt would serve different verticals.
And they ended up creating this property management software product and it ended up being a
huge success.
So instead of building these other software products, they just doubled down on what worked
really well.
And this is really just the core of what they do to this day.
The two co-founders today, they're no longer around in terms of being inside the business.
but the management team that filled in for them has delivered just exceptional business results.
And we would prefer to have the founders still in the business,
but it's still nice to see that they do have sizable ownership stakes in the business,
and they seem to trust the current management team.
Schazer, he owns 8.8% in the company, around $800 million,
and then Walker owns 2%.
That's around $180 million of stock.
Since the company started, they've substantially expanded their offerings to address the various needs,
within the property management industry.
So they initially started with managing single family residential units for smaller property
management companies.
And then they moved really just upmarket to these companies that just have more complex
needs and necessities within their operations.
They have multiple different offerings just based on the size of the property manager,
the complexities in managing all these units.
Initially, I guess they started trying to go like really small, like, you know, managing
five, 10 units, but they came to find out that a lot of these smaller property managers,
they weren't as serious. It was tougher to build long-term relationships with them. So they decided
to focus on 50-plus units. And they've really have just grown tremendously in that arena.
And today they're focusing more on a thousand-plus units, which is a, you know, requires a more
complex, comprehensive solution. And over time, they've built that up and have been able to
compete in that arena. And I should probably also take a step back and mention that oftentimes
the owner of a property is separate from the property management company. In many cases, the owner,
of course, they own the property, but they likely want nothing to do with managing the tenants,
collecting rents, dealing with maintenance requests, etc. All of that is the job of the property
manager who charges the owner a fee to manage and take care of the property for them.
In the United States, there's around 300,000 property managers and 20,000 of them work with
Appfolio. They break their pricing down into three primary tiers. They refer to as core plus and
max. The core product, they charge $1.49 per unit per month, plus is $3.20 and max is $5 per unit per
month. And these prices are just for residential units and for the other customers, the pricing
might vary a little bit. They also have a value-added services segment, which allows Afffolio to
deliver additional offerings to their customers, which is also where they generate a lot of their
revenue. And at first glance, there are just a number of things that I wanted to highlight that are
appealing to me about this business. The first thing I want to mention is that America is trending
more and more towards a nation of renters. So unfortunately, homeownership is becoming more and more
difficult for the younger generations. And with affordability decreasing, the rental market isn't going
anywhere. So today it's, you know, it's a slow growing and pretty mature market, of course.
The second thing I'd like to mention here that stands out to me is that at Fulio not only
benefits from the rental housing market growing, but also from their customers themselves growing.
So as a property manager goes from 200 to 500 to 1,000 to 2,000 units under management,
that's more and more revenue going to at Fulio, assuming the property manager doesn't churn and
convert everything over to a competitor software. And AppFOLio has shown the value of their product to their
customers. So as their customers use their products, see the value in it. Oftentimes, they're going to
be upgrading their service over time. And the average revenue per customer continues to take up at a
healthy clip year after year. And the final thing I'll mention is that these types of software services
are absolutely essential like many VMS businesses. So if you manage five rental units and you want to
update your pricing, your schedule showings. You could probably do that just fine and use Microsoft
Excel. But if you have a thousand units, working with someone like AppFolio is just a part of doing
business. So if we put ourselves in the shoes of a property manager, you got into business to
manage properties, not to create software. So they're going to outsource a lot of this work to someone
like AppFolio, which will help them be more profitable and run more efficiently. And related to this
is that, like many VMS businesses, the product is very sticky. A customer,
has to be pretty upset or see a ton of value in another software offering to churn out.
And I would expect AppFolio's retention rates to be very good, but I don't think it's
something that they disclose publicly.
Yeah, great points there, Clay.
And I really like your third point about how essential this software is specifically for
property managers managing many more significant amounts of units.
With just how seamless and useful the software like AppFOLio is, I think that businesses that don't
utilize some sort of software, whether that's at FOLio or one of their competitors, is just
going to be left for dead.
We're living in a time now where you pretty much are forced to use some of these tools that
really help you optimize your business and also cut costs.
I think AppFOLio is doing just a wonderful job of accomplishing both those tasks.
Now, the AppFOLio platform here supports five kind of primary parties in relation to real estate.
So that's the investors, people who just invest in property.
They might not necessarily actually consider themselves the owner.
I have owners who have different investors out there.
Then there's the owners, then there's property managers, vendors who are people who take
care of a variety of maintenance tasks.
And you have to also remember, those can be insourced and outsourced.
And there's also the residents who are the people that are paying bills.
So a lot of time, these parties all have to talk to each other.
But you know, the property manager isn't going to relay the same information to the renter
as they're going to relate to the owner.
And so at Folio kind of allows these different parties to talk with each other with a lot more
efficiency and it allows you to scale it up at a very high degree again, comparing that to something
like Clay just mentioned using Excel, which is obviously going to be very, very time consuming
or require additional people to just fill out those forms. So let's go over just a few examples
here that help show you kind of how communication is so important in property management.
Let's say that there is a resident who needs maintenance done on their property. They're going to
have to either contact the maintenance vendor or the property manager. So using Atfolio, they can
actually just contact the property manager who then creates a ticket and then sends that ticket
out to the vendor so that they can go and work on this person's problem, whatever that is,
you know, a leaky faucet or maybe there's a loose bolt or their heat's not working. So on top of
that, then, the property manager can also send reports for the entire buildings to the owner. So,
you know, a lot of these property managers might have multiple buildings with hundreds of units in
each single one. And obviously the owners of that building want to know how are the economics
of their business. Is it doing well? Is it doing bad? How much are they spending? How much are they making?
And so they can kind of create these pretty comprehensive reports for the owners to help them
understand the economics of their units better. And then once the owner has that data,
they can share that data with potential investors if, you know, maybe they're looking for more
money or to expand. And they have these accurate data points to help show what kind of returns
potential investors could get on an investment. And then on top of all this, the payments need to be
tracked. So vendors obviously need to get paid for the work that they do. The property managers
need to collect rent from renters and they need a vehicle to accept these payments, which also
Affolio offers as well. Putting it all together, let's just look at some of the tasks that are
involved with managing, let's say, a thousand units. So you're going to have to hire a few accountants.
You're going to have to collect rent from each unit. You're going to have to handle monthly
maintenance requests, which can run into the hundreds. You're going to have to manage a bunch
of different maintenance workers. Again, that's insourced and outsourced. You're going to have to manage
move-ins, you're going to have to manage move-outs, you have to screen new tenants, you have to
manage leasing agents, and then you have to report back to the owners. So there's just a ton of recurring
tasks that need to be fulfilled each and every single month. I found a stat here that said that
about 76% of property managers find that operational efficiency is actually their number one
challenge. I think that's exactly what AppFOLio is going after. When you think about this entire
process, the property managers owners and investors need to know if the process can be repeated
at scale. You know, obviously, if you're doing really good job with 50 units, well, that's great,
but can you do a really good job with 500 units or 1,000 units? And I think Appfolio really helps facilitate
and show an accurate view of how you can scale that business going forward.
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Back to the show.
Yeah.
For AppFolio's 2023 Investor Day, they brought in some of their larger customers and interviewed them and talked about the value they were getting and using AppFolio.
So one of these customers had mentioned that they would take about a week to update their pricing, which, you know, you think about pricing and it can get incredibly complex, incredibly quickly.
You just think about you have all these different types of units in a complex.
You have the moveouts versus the lease renewals.
Those are going to have different price increases.
You look at the market rates, which are constantly changing, and it gets incredibly complex.
So they share that with AppFOLio's system.
They were able to bring down that task from taking one week down to one hour.
And we'll be getting into the competition a little bit later.
But to see that given how sticky VMS businesses can be, I've been quite impressed about
their ability to just capture share from their competitors, which I think goes to show
sort of the value proposition, they're able to offer to customers and actually be able to market
that to them. If you're using a software product and someone's given you a call trying to sell
you on their product, it can be a pretty difficult task. And that fully has shown that they've been
able to do it for many years. Also, when you look at the business, they have a couple key performance
indicators that I think also kind of back up the fact that they're going in this right direction.
So the two primary KPIs that I want to discuss here are the first one is just customers, right? So
customers are the people that are paying Appfolio for access to their software. And typically we can
think of the customers as being the property managers. And then the second one is just the units.
So the property managers like Clay has already mentioned, they obviously have a specific
amount of units that they're managing. So if you're seeing the customer count growing and you're
seeing units growing, that's obviously going to be very, very good. So let's go over some of those
numbers here. So around their IPO date, back in 2015, they had about 7,500 customers. As of Q3
of 2024, they have 20,400 customers. So that's been growing at a steady, you know, 10% compound
annual growth rate. And then looking at units, they've gone from about 1.9 million units in
2015 to about 8.5 million units today, which comes out to a 19% compound annual growth rate.
So this means that the units per customer is scaling up as their customers also scale up.
And the average units per customer has actually gone from about 262 in 2015 to 416 today.
And I think that this is really, really good evidence that their customers are seeing a lot of value in their product because they're continuing to use Atfolio on more and more of their units as they grow together.
Now, another interesting part about Atfolio's product is their approach to AI.
So, yeah, they have an AI angle.
And so they have this product they call Realm X, which is their AI engine that has many, many highly attractive features for Atfolio's customers.
and I want to dive into a couple of the examples here now.
So as I just discussed, a property manager must contact a lot of people.
So they can do this manually, which was how it would have been done kind of in the legacy
model before AI tools have now come along.
But this is tedious and definitely time consuming.
So let's say a manager wants to have specific answers to a question and then delegate a specific
response once they have the answer to that question.
So an actual use case would be something like, show me unrenewed leases that are expiring in
the next three months. So the AI can then gather all the renters who meet these specifications,
and then the property manager can prompt Realm X to draft an email to all those people to
renew their leases at a given rate. And Realm X will do all this for you rather than having to do it
manually. Another case study would be, let's say there's a renter that needs to fix a leaky faucet
and they need to create a work order. So they'll communicate with the property manager using
Realm X who then communicates with the maintenance team. So Realm X will create a work order and
contact the maintenance team to fix the problem. And then once the issues resolve, the maintenance
team notifies the property manager, and then the renters automatically notified that their work
is completed. So it's just a really easy way to simplify some of these processes. And then just
another one here is concerning workflow. So let's say that a property manager wants to automate
contact with people based on different outcomes. So for instance, let's say a property manager is
looking for a new tenant to fill a vacant unit. They create this.
workflow, let's say the first trigger is that a new application to become a tenant is received.
Realm X will then organize a workflow that runs a screen on that tenant to make sure if they're a good fit or not,
review that application, and then it'll send an approval or denial email to the applicant.
If the application is approved, an additional workflow for moving in is then sent out.
And if the application is denied, it reposts the opening to get more applications in the future.
Yeah, the AI side of the business is definitely interesting.
What was sort of intriguing to me was how customizable this is going to be with the development of LLMs.
So there's going to be an LLM where a property manager can say, hey, give me this data, set up this workflow,
and it'll just automatically do it.
As a renter myself, the communications from the property manager almost feels constant
like every week or every other week.
There's always this communication.
So the more they can automate, the more efficiently the property manager is going to be able to run.
And what I also found really interesting about AppFOLio was also digging more into their payments
business. So I think this is actually an area that might be easy for investors to underestimate or
overlook. So in a way, AppFolio is actually a payments business disguised as a SaaS or an AI
play. So they have a payment processor that property managers can use to collect rents from tenants.
And it turns out that payments is really a core part of their business, at least from
a revenue standpoint. And when you look at the most recent annual report from
2023, it shows that about three quarters of their revenue are from their value-added
services, and the remainder comes from their core offerings. And the AI tool you just outlined
is included in the value-added services, but most of that revenue is actually generated
from facilitating payments. And we don't know the exact numbers, but it's estimated to be
somewhere around 60 to 65% of AppFOLio's total revenue just from payments. So this really makes it a
key part to understand, at least for the investment thesis. And it's also worth noting that in
2003, AppFolios started charging a $2.50 cents ACH fee, and that goes to the tenants for each payment
they make every month. So for those unfamiliar with what an ACH fee is, essentially you can just think of it
as a fee you get charged when you link your bank account for paying rents. And this is an option many
people use instead of writing a check or paying with cash or paying with a credit card. And since
ACH fees tend to be much lower than a credit card fee, this is how a lot of people are going to be
paying. And I was a bit surprised that Affolia was able to implement this fee because it feels
a bit like skimming their customers or skimming the tenants with these unnecessary fees.
And it's largely just pure profit for AppFolio. But when you look at the number,
So far, it's just been business as usual. They're continuing to grow 30% plus. For the most part,
I think property managers are not going to switch just because of this fee. And based on some of the
people I've spoke with in the industry, I don't think Yardy charges a fee in a similar manner.
I believe they do charge a $1 fee per unit to the property manager instead of the tenant. So it's a bit
different in that aspect. Another important aspect of the payment segment is that a small
portion of the tenants, it might be around 5%, they pay with a credit card. And AppFOLio charges a
2.99% fee on credit card payments, which is also a very high margin. And if you run the numbers,
this actually tends to work out to be quite a substantial part of the revenue mix as well.
Say someone's paying a rent of $2,000 a month, that would equate to a fee of around $59
for at folio. So fees on the credit cards also is another piece of this business to understand,
and it makes me, you know, a little bit uneasy because the fees are just so much higher
than what they're getting for the ACH.
Yeah, that's a fascinating part of the business, Clay.
I think some renters are going to prefer maybe paying with their credit card due to specific
cash flow issues they might have.
I don't think you or I are at a point where we can speculate on where that's likely
to go in the future, but it's definitely worth noting.
I do agree with you, you know, it does seem to me a little bit awe that they're collecting
such a large percentage of their revenue from these fees.
They kind of come off as this business that truly cares.
about giving their customers the best possible experience. And it seems a little off brand to charge
these excessive fees, especially when it's so much higher than Yardi. I realize it's a little bit
different with Yardi charging the customer than the unit holder, but still, it's a little interesting.
But, you know, perhaps it just speaks, like you said, to the superiority of their products that
customers are willing to pay for Affolios products. But I think it's definitely something if you
decide to invest in this that you should probably pay very, very close attention to. Because
if something were to happen, if for whatever reason as they scale up, if more and more customers are
deciding to go with Yardy because they don't like paying the fee, well, then that would be pretty
material to the business case of investing into Atfolio. But, you know, if you understand that
folio at a deep level, maybe there's other segments of the business that you're going to think
are going to grow faster than the payment facilitation, and that could offset this area of concern.
I'll transition here to talk about the competitive environment. So the big question that all
investors are going to have, especially with a company like Appfolio is what's their moat and do they have
a moat and can competitors chip away at that moat? So all of Appfolio's major competitors are private,
so it can be a little bit difficult to find all of the information we would typically want. RealPage is
one close competitor. They were founded in 1998 and they served the upmarket segment. They used to be
public before they got bought out by private equity back in 2020, so you're able to see some of their
filings from years past. Based on the numbers we can see, Real Page appears to be a pretty good business.
We also have Entrata. Entrata raised $500 million in financing in 2021, which goes to show how well-funded
some of the other players in the industry are and the level of opportunity they see going forward.
And I have a close family friend who's worked in the apartment space for decades, and I asked him
what property management software they used. And the CFO let me know that they use Yardy as their
software. And Yardy is the number one player in the market by a number of units. And he also mentioned
that these types of software providers are checking in with him from time to time, seeing if he wants
to switch software that he's using. And it's no surprise as, you know, it's a very competitive industry,
high margins. Yardy was founded in 1984 by Anant Yardy. He's still the CEO of the business today,
which is quite impressive 40 years later. And they have a comprehensive solution that caters to the largest
property managers. So since Yardy is the incumbent, it's definitely not easy to displace them and steal
market share, but what AppFOLio has going for them is that they're largely considered to be
the most seamless and the most vertically integrated solution. So someone like Yardy or one of these
other players might be really good in some of these segments of property management, but at Follio is
really going for this comprehensive, vertically integrated solution. Yardy is, of course, pretty well
entrenched, and they are more established in the upmarket, and that's where at Folio, much of
their growth is coming from today, the thousand plus units. At Folio also seems to be a bit more
customer-centric than competitors. I think it's a bit tricky to assess because a lot of
companies are going to tell you they're customer-centric, but we read up on feedback from
customers, see the market share gains, and just try and make the best assessment we can,
given the data we have. So providing a good experience, they want to make the platform,
to use, which is, of course, it helps keep customers around long-term. In Real Page, on the other hand,
I've heard that they make it very difficult for customers to switch from their platform because
their contracts are tied to the individual properties. I've been doing a little bit of apartment
shopping myself, looking through different options in my area. And when I look at reviews for
apartments, so many apartments just have very negative reviews. And a lot of those are related to
the staff and the experience and the support that residents are getting. And I thought it was interesting
also from their Investor Day. One of AppFolio's customers talked about how their business went from
1.4 stars on Google to 4.4 stars. And that was partially with the help of AppFolio because it offers
this technology solution that helps provide a good customer experience and it makes the property
management employees, it makes their jobs easier as well. It's important to remember that I guess
the property manager isn't the only user of the product. The tenants, vendors, investors,
and owners are also using it as well. And one more point on the competitive landscape before I throw
it back over to you. Yardy, they were founded in 1984. Real Page was founded in 1998. And when you
look at the core users for each of these competitors, AppFolio has more customers than RealPage.
in roughly the same number of customers as Yardy, despite both of these companies having a massive
head start.
You know, AppFolia was started in 2006.
So that, you know, is another signal to me that they've just penetrated this market exceptionally
well over the past 18 years.
I totally agree there, Clay.
I think the competitive environment is definitely an area of concern while looking at this
business just because the industry, like you've already mentioned, is incredibly, incredibly competitive.
But, you know, quantitatively, I think this business is really doing all the right things to
continue increasing its market share.
And the proof is just in their numbers.
According to their numbers, they went from a 4% market share in 2015 to 16% market share in
2024.
So, you know, they're making life very, very difficult on their competitors.
Now, getting back to Yardy, it's a private business, so it's a little harder, of course,
to come by public information.
But there were two sources that I found.
There was Get Latka and Zipia, which have them at 2024 revenues of approximately 1.3
million dollars. Again, not sure how accurate that is. I'm just going on base off of their numbers. But
AFFOLio's revenues are about half of that. So they're not the leader yet, but it looks like
they're gun for them pretty hard. A few other metrics to see how AFOLio is doing would be to just
look at their margins. So, you know, gross margins, for instance, are something that I like to
look at. So they've gone from about 55% in 2015 to 65% today, which is pretty incredible.
Sales general administrative as a percentage of revenues have gone from 54% in 2015 and actually
dropped by more than half to 24% in the last 12 months, which shows that as they scale,
they're not having to require to continue spending more and more money on sales and marketing
just to continue growing. And I think this probably has a lot to do with their average unit growth
per customer, which I mentioned is almost doubled. So that growth in their current customer base
isn't as expensive because they don't have to spend more finding new customers. They could just
scale the customers that they already have. But, you know, I will say Affolio is definitely not
the type of business where management can get complacent. It's not like a rent-seeking business
where you're just there. You can provide a horrible service and people are forced to pay you. That's not
the way this industry is. But, you know, Affolio seems to be a business that is definitely benefiting
their customers and also owners of Affolio's equity. Yeah, the growth in market share is especially
impressive given how sticky this software can be and how much of a headache it can be to replace.
you think about a lot of these types of businesses where the software is just, it feels like
it's impossible to rip out. It's just kind of entrenched and they're just going to be able to
continue to take up prices and it's just going to be too much to switch over. So that property
manager from Omaha spoke with, they have 8,000 units. They use Yardie. And of course I asked
if there's ever a chance they're going to switch. He straight up told me that at Folio likely
has a much better product, but it's just not worth the headache for them to
switch. All their current processes and systems are linked to Yardy, and it works for them. They've probably
used it for decades at this point. And another comedy made that was kind of interesting to me was that
he would lose a lot of the data he finds necessary if he were to switch software providers.
And I can see that potentially increasing the switching costs substantially, especially if a
company's been with them for decades. So that's one of the parts of this business that's just
like really fascinating to me. Like, what is it that gets some of these property,
managers to switch because, of course, AppFOLio is getting some of these customers, but there's
also going to be other customers where it's like not even really an option unless it's just
totally obvious. Like the cost savings are totally there. The efficiency gains are totally there.
So as I mentioned, AppFolio is wanting to try and target that market customer, which of course
generate a lot of revenue because they have so many units under management. They want to provide
this comprehensive solution, and AppFolio is pretty vocal that they're leaning pretty heavily
into AI to try and capture more of that market share.
So, for example, if AI can make it so a property manager only has to have, say, two
instead of three full-time employees or however many the number is, then that can bring
significant cost savings, even if they have to spend more for Afffolio.
And with that said, there's just little doubt that continuing to steal share, especially for a number
of years into the future, is going to be difficult, which is both good and bad depending on how you view
it if you're viewing it through the lens of the defensibility of the business or if you're viewing
it of what's their future growth potential. And thus far, Affoli has shown that they're able to
convince customers to switch over and get more value through them. And they are heavily reinvesting
back into the business and developing these AI solutions. So it makes me more optimistic that
they're going to be able to continue to this at least for the next few years. And I think many people
are led to believe that AI is going to disrupt many companies, especially many VMS or software-type
companies, but so far, App Follio has been at the forefront of investing in AI to win over more
customers, offer the best possible product. And given how entrenched these solutions are in the
property managers business, it's hard for me to envision how just a low-cost competitor can
enter and just totally disrupt all these entrenched players. Yeah, I agree with you, Clay, especially
about how good of a job AppFOLio is doing at decreasing the costs of its customer base.
Many software providers will have this AI tailwind, and I think it's probably going to last
quite a long time. And it's not so good for people searching for lower level jobs that can
be easily replicated by AI. You already mentioned there that maybe using something like Appfolio
could reduce someone from using three employees and take them down to two or one or whatever.
And as AppFolio gets better and better, it's probably going to take more and more jobs.
But it's obviously a good thing for the business case of Atfolio. You know, hopefully they can
continue utilizing these tools, improve their margins.
And then on top of that, they might be able to pass along their savings to their customers
eventually, which could hopefully improve their experience using the product.
But since AppFolia was already utilizing AI at a pretty high level here, I don't see them
being disrupted by it too much.
If they were living in the Stone Age, you know, not investing in research and development,
resting on their laurels, I definitely would be more concerned about their future.
But they do spend money on AI and clearly they're using it.
And it's not just a buzzword for them.
They're actually utilizing it.
So I wanted to transition here to discuss one of my favorite topics, Clay, which is capital allocation.
So earlier, you mentioned your conversation with Adam Cecil as part of the reason why we chose
a tech business for this quarterly Best Ideas segment.
And that leads into why we think this business has a lot of hidden value that doesn't actually
show up on the income statement.
And this was an area that Adam covered pretty extensively in his book where the money is.
As of January 24th, 2025, At Folio is trading for 73 times earnings, which clearly seems
incredibly overvalued. But like Adam said, some tech businesses require some adjustments to
properly understand their true value. So for instance, research and development makes up a substantial
portion of Atfolio's operating expenses, 20% in the last 12 months. So Gap accounting actually punishes
R&D, essentially treating it like it provides zero value to the business. But since 2021,
AppFolios grown their gap EPS from zero to $3.60. So during this time, Affolios only made one
acquisition for about $80 million.
This was called Live Easy.
So almost all this EPS growth is from organic sources and from reinvesting into its
business.
And obviously R&D probably makes up a big reason for that value driving growth.
So you can think of Appfolio's gap numbers versus an adjusted net income by adding back
R&D as kind of being a very valid adjustment.
Obviously, some of these tech businesses come up with their own KPIs.
And I think a lot of them are mostly nonsensical.
just need to do it so that they can find other people who hopefully want to invest in them in
the future. But I don't think in at Folio's case that it's just a nonsense number. I think that R&D
is really delivering value to the business. So I do think that it's necessary probably to remove it
from the equation to get a better idea of the value that you're getting. And you can kind of think of
this in Buffett terms as it's similar to removing growth cap X from the free cash flow equation
to get Buffett's owner's earnings metric. And so the evaluation
of a business like Appfolio becomes much more palatable if you make this adjustment.
And then there's another metric that I want to discuss here in relation to capital allocation,
which is a rule of one. And for those who need a refresher, this was Buffett's capital allocation
tool. And basically what it does is it just states that for each dollar that a business retains
or reinvest in itself, it should add at least a dollar of market value. For Atfolio,
their CEO has only been the CEO since 2023. So it's not as valuable, but he's actually been with a
company since 2020 at a pretty high level. So I think it's still somewhat valid tool to use. So
if we look again, since 2020 at Folios retained about $193 million. And in that same time period,
the market cap has gone up about $3 billion. So pretty incredible value creation there. So
what that essentially means is that for each dollar that's reinvested into the company,
they've created about $15 of shareholder value. So I think we definitely need probably three to four
years of Shane Trigg, their CEO, retaining that job as CEO to get a better picture of his
capital allocation skills. But, you know, it appears the business is already in good hands.
And Shane obviously clearly understands the business already at a very high level. So
turning to returns on invested capital, they've been really, really lumpy for this business.
If you add back R&D, the company has definitely been profitable for the last few years.
But if you look at the gap earnings, the business looks very volatile. Just, you know, it was
profitable in 2022, unprofitable in 233. And then now it's being back.
to profitable in 2024. But as I discussed, you know, gross margins are continuing to improve
and things like sales and marketing margins are going down, which is clearly a very good thing
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All right.
Back to the show.
My take is that for a business like this, gap earnings just aren't really that useful.
They can be a good starting point, though.
and each individual person can make their own adjustments they deem are appropriate to better reflect
economic reality. My opinion is it is a very profitable business and they can make operating
income really look however they like, but management behaves really how I would prefer they did,
which is when they see high return opportunities to reinvest back into the business and grow market share,
they're going after those. So right now a lot of that's going up market, investing in AI,
paying their sales team to go out and push up market.
And it reminds me of a quote from a Jeff Bezos's 1997 shareholder letter.
He stated,
When forced to choose between optimizing the appearance of our gap accounting
and maximizing the present value of future cash flows,
we'll take the cash flows.
And I hear some similar things from AppFOLio CEO Shane Trigg
when he speaks about the business.
So he's talking a lot about putting a big focus on delivering value to customers,
their focus on being the very best in this one vertical and growing free cash flow over the long term.
And the company is really starting to reach economies of scale.
So these traditional metrics are going to become more and more useful, I think.
I wouldn't be surprised if their R&D as a percent of revenue declines over time as the business
continues to scale.
And maybe we'll see more dividend and share repurchases in the future.
They're rock solid balance sheet.
So any excess cash could easily be returned back to shareholders once they start to get to that point.
Management's also discussed how they see operating margins continue to grow as they scale up.
Operating margins were actually negative in 2022.
So from a gap standpoint, they weren't making money.
Today, they're around 18 percent, and they expect that to continue to grow over time.
So it does, although in the past they have shown to be unprofitable from a gap standpoint,
they are communicating to investors that they are putting a bigger emphasis on showing profitability
in the future. I wanted to transition here to talk management. So the company brought in a new set
of managers with a lot of experience in SaaS. So the CEO Shane Trigg, he joined the business in 2020.
He has previous experience at Intuit and Salesforce. And then the other managers also joined fairly
recently, most of which joined in 21 and some in 22. So some of these other managers have experience
at Salesforce, Oracle, Intuit. And this management team that in these past few years have just done
really well. Like I mentioned earlier, I would prefer for the founders to be involved, but,
you know, it gives me a bit more confidence that they still have sizable stakes in the business.
What's also interesting, super interesting to learn about this investor named Maurice Duka.
So it was hard to find much information about this guy, but his investment firm investment group
of Santa Barbara, he bought into Appfolio's Series B funding ground all the way back in 2008,
just two years after the company started.
And at Folio, when they IPOed in 2015, he looked at the business.
He said, I understand this business top to bottom.
I understand where it's likely heading.
And instead of doing what probably a lot of investors were thinking at that time, which
cash out their shares, he ended up doubling down at the IPO and buying more shares than the
years that followed.
So Maurice Duka today owns around 18% of the shares outstanding.
That's valued at $1.7 million.
So he alone owns almost double what the founders own, which I thought was quite interesting.
And he also holds three of the eight board seats, his investment firm does.
And based on the information I've gathered, I think that Maurice and the management team overall
take a pretty long-term view with this business. They're willing to sacrifice short-term profitability
to invest in the product, expand up market, capture market share. And I think they're quite
shareholder friendly as shareholder dilutions less than 1%. And by the way, before I forget,
one of the tools I've been using and preparing for this episode that's been pretty useful
for me in doing equity research. It's actually a partner of the podcast. It's called FinTool.
So if any listeners or portfolio managers, equity analysts, I would recommend checking it out.
Fentool is an AI tool that you can essentially ask any question you could find in the company's
filings.
So it'll go out and scrape the filings for you and just provide you an answer right there.
And it saved me a ton of time in finding some of this information.
So for example, I asked Fentool, who are at Follio's major competitors?
And when it mentioned Real Page as a competitor, it actually added a note that Real Page is
currently going through litigation since they were doing some illegal price fixing. And that was interesting
to me because that might actually be a catalyst for growth for Appfolio that I might not have
initially discovered without having read through all of Atfolio's filing. So I thought that was
quite useful as well. The Maurice Ducca involvement is very desirable for the business. Obviously,
it's nice to having this big outside shareholder who's doubled down and is clearly doing really good
job and not selling his shares. But, you know, that's actually just a small part of the attractiveness
of the insider ownership of this business. There's other areas that I think are attractive as well.
So one thing that I like to look at when researching a business is to know how much money
are the executives being paid to run the business? Are they treating it like their baby and, you know,
not just using it as their personal piggy bank? That's obviously a great thing. You don't want to see people
that are just using a business to pad their own pockets, especially when it's at the expense of shareholders.
When looking at named executive officers, including the CEO, Shane Trigg, they're all making
base salaries around 4 to 500K, which seems very reasonable given how large the business is and how
much success they've had.
And it's also worth noting that only two of the four named executive officers received an
increase in their base salary in 2024.
And they were only for 2% and 16% respectively.
So it would be great if some of their competitors were public so we could compare.
But as they're private, we don't know what the other executives in the industry are making.
However, the executives on top of their base pay are making some pretty significant bonuses.
So the CEO, Shane Trigg, made a total of about 17.7 million in 2023.
Their CFO made about 4.5 million in 2023.
And their chief legal officer made about 2.2 million in 2023.
Now, it's important to note here that a large part of Shane's reported remuneration comes from
stock and options rewards.
These awards were estimates of fair value at the time that they were granted.
So they don't necessarily represent exactly what Shane received.
And so this means that his actual remuneration was likely quite a bit less,
which makes me feel a little bit better about their incentive plan.
Now, the performance-based bonus that they have is based on a few key performance indicators.
So I like looking for incentive plans that hopefully align management with creating shareholder value.
And I think that folios is a pretty decent plan.
It reminds me a little bit of Old Dominion Freight Line, which Clay and I have covered in a previous episode.
So they have three primary KPI's.
The first one is just revenue or how they're growing revenue or whatever their revenue
target is for that given year.
The second is residential property units.
We've gone over that, I think, in quite a bit of length here.
And the third one is non-gap operating margins.
So this is defined as gap operating margins, less stock-based compensation expense,
amortization of purchase intangibles, and one-time or non-recurring transactions.
So one-third of bonuses are connected to each of these three KPI.
So just to give you an idea of how they've done on these KPIs, the last recorded date that they have is in 2023.
So booked residential units achievement received about 87% of their target.
Revenue achievement was 103% of the target.
And then finally, non-gap operating margin achievements of 1097% of target, which is obviously very impressive.
So these were all paid out in cash.
And I think these are pretty well aligned with creating shareholder value.
I don't see any glaring red flags in their incentive plan.
and I like how they've created a degree of alignment between managers and shareholders.
Now, I'd like to make an additional point here, which is that they have an extra incentive
program that pays out performance share units, which tends to be, this is where more dilution
is going to happen.
So these units are based on the same KPIs as a cash incentive program that I just outlined.
They paid out about $5.8 million in PSUs in 2023.
Given how much value they've created, this program looks pretty good, and I think we'll
probably continue providing value for shareholders of the long term.
Last thing I want to mention here is just the business's strong insider ownership.
Clay already mentioned that the insider ownership of the founders in Maurice Dicaa is very,
very high, which is obviously excellent.
And then looking at their 2024 proxy directors and named executive officers on about 10% of the voting rights to the business.
And this is pretty good.
Generally, a business this size, I'm looking to see hopefully at least 10% insider ownership.
Yeah, aligning incentives is a bit more of an art than a science.
So it's interesting to see that the managers are incentivized on three different KPIs.
Some sort of return on invested capital would probably be ideal.
But since they're incentivized based on both revenue and unit growth as well as operating
margin, I could see that also working quite well for them.
So I'll turn to the valuation here.
If you're looking for a company that trades at a cheap PE and it's fully mature, then
at folia is probably not the bet you're looking for.
But if you're looking for a company that has a best in class product, it's consistent.
consistently grown at well above average rates over time and thinks about trying to maximize the
long-term value for shareholders and managing the business, then I think this is a company worth
taking a closer look at. So the company currently trades at a price-to-free cash flow of around
50 times, but this is a bit deceiving since they're heavily reinvesting in R&D. So as the company
matures and they have less opportunity to gain market share, I would expect them to see higher
margins and less of a need to reinvest.
So with that help of Adam Ziesel's book, where the money is, you know, walks through
these similar exercises on companies where he makes his adjustments to make this sort of
multiple better reflect economic reality.
And in the book, he uses examples of Amazon and Google that are super helpful and have
really helped shape my thinking and looking at a business like AppFOLio.
For anyone interested in learning more about this subject, I would point you to Adam's
book.
it's a wonderful resource and does a really good job explaining it better than I can.
And you can also tune in to our previous episodes with Adam Ziesel on the podcast.
We've had them on a couple of times.
So if we pencil in gross margins expanding from 65 to 70 percent, and if they're able to
convert half of that to earnings before interest in taxes or operating income, the normalized
multiple is around 33.
And I use air quotes there for those watching on video because it's up to each person to
make their own assumptions on what's normal. When I predict the business out five years, I would
assume revenue growth of around 17 percent and operating margins around 37 percent. When I run just a
quick DCF five years out, I'm getting an IRA of around 12 percent. If you're wondering how that
17 percent revenue growth is going to come to fruition, I think it'll be a mix of growth in customers,
growth in the average revenue per customer, and that second part's going to be a mix of a number
of things. So you're looking at price increases, additional value added services, growth in units
for each customer, and then just more payment revenue to use a number of examples there.
And another thing I like to do with each business I invest in is try and gauge sort of the
temperature of the market is what we can call it or what Howard Marks would call it.
Or just try and assess, is the market being overly optimistic or pessimistic about the business
in its future. So for at Folio, I thought some good metrics to look at would be just price to sales or
price to gross profit to be a useful measure. It's not a valuation tool. It's just a tool to
gauge the temperature of the stock as of today. So the price to sales is around 18, which is actually
around its historical average. It's one that's varied quite a bit. And I don't think today's
price to sales metrics signals bubble territory for me, but it's also around 40% higher than what we
saw in 2022. So the stock, of course, with the benefit of hindsight, was a bit depressed at that time.
And relative to 2021, we're actually seeing lower levels. And then a price to gross profit also
shows a similar picture that it seems to be in a sort of normal territory. So today,
I wouldn't say the stock is by any means of bargain, but it seems fairly reasonably priced
given how high quality the business is and its potential growth runway going forward,
given the market shares in the mid-teens. So if you're an investor who prefer,
to wait for things to go on sale. This is a stock that has gone through long periods of underperformance
in the past. It might be one to put on the watch list. So given that, it can be really difficult for them
to move up market. I could see the case for sitting on the sidelines and waiting to see if the market
offers you a better entry price. So the stock hit a local top in February 2021. It declined by 50 percent,
and it took over two years for the stock to hit a new high. And then in 2018, that was another point where
the stock fell by 30%. So the market does present some opportunities from time to time.
And for those in the audience who might be skeptical of Afolio's ability to continue their above
average growth, I thought it was interesting. The CEO has pretty big ambitions. I wanted to share
a quote here from their investor day. I quote, with our focus on real estate, we are not
opportunity constrained, and we are positioning ourselves and our platform to go take advantage
of this vast opportunity ahead where the entire industry can come to do business with AppFOLio.
Now, what I just shared is our long-term vision, and we're not quite there yet.
And so in the near term over the next three years, we are relentlessly focused on growing
units, revenue and margin while building the foundations of the AppFolio platform.
Growing units, revenue, and margin is achieved by delivering exceptional value to our customers
by being a healthy business ourselves and cultivating a high performance culture.
To succeed, we're really going to align on three areas.
And then the three areas he highlights are differentiate themselves to win,
focus on efficient value delivery, and three, their focus on people and culture.
Yeah, so Clay, I think your evaluation is very reasonable and conservative.
If you think that this business can continue growing at historic rates,
obviously your internal rates return are going to rise significantly.
but Clay and I will leave that up for you to decide.
It's interesting kind of piggybacking on your point there about some of the drawdowns
because, you know, high quality businesses like this, like at Folio that have these
very, very impressive revenue growth numbers as well as operating margin expansion.
They usually aren't trading at depressed levels.
But as you mentioned there, you had a couple big drawdowns of 30 and 50 percent,
but I actually went and looked at more of their drawdowns on this drawdown chart that Finchat
has actually been six times since its IPO that has had drawdowns of.
20% or greater. So if you like this business and you're a patient investor, you can definitely
have opportunities to load up on shares when they're trading for a much cheaper evaluation at
some point in the future. If you think that you do want to decide to invest in this business,
I think there's a couple of key areas to look at in your modeling. At least this is what I would
be looking at. So the first one is regarding payment facilitation. Do you think that payment
facilitation is going to continue at its current rate and it's just going to scale up from here,
or is it going to have to decrease at some point in time? How is that going to fit into your
future growth numbers? Second question here is, do you think that there's other business areas
inside of the business that can continue increasing revenue growth or decrease revenue growth
or how is that can impact margins? Obviously, the payments processing business is probably going to
have very, very high margins. So if you think that there's other areas, core areas of the business
that are going to take more and more market share, that could theoretically drop margins.
So obviously, like I just went over, management is incentivized to improve these margins.
So hopefully they would figure some way around that.
But it's definitely an important question to ask going forward.
If I know that I want to invest in this business or am getting close to hitting that
buy button, I think I would definitely want to focus on these two questions to make sure
that I understand that the growth rates in the future are going to continue at the numbers
that I'm expecting.
Definitely.
And we've talked a lot about how good the business is. But before investing myself, I would probably
want to get more comfortable with their ability to continue to move up market because there's just
so much nuance with the thousands of property managers. There's going to be some where the existing
software just is not going to get ripped out. And there's going to be others that use this old,
clunky, outdated software where it's just totally obvious that they need to switch over. So if there's
strong evidence that they're able to continue to capture more share, I think the investment case is
quite strong for AppFOLio. But also just want to get a better sense of the competitive landscape.
I've heard Intrada is a pretty strong competitor, Real Page, and how likely are they going to be
able to put together a similar offering, especially with some of the funding they've received?
Yeah, I think that pretty much wraps up the discussion on AppFolio. Before we let the listeners go,
I also wanted to make a quick announcement related to our TIP Mastermind community.
We launched the TIP Mastermind community in April of 2023, and honestly, it's been nothing short of
amazing for me in terms of the people I've had the pleasure of connecting with. The mini-Zoom events
we've hosted, 100 plus calls and presentations, and then the live in-person events we've hosted
as well in New York City and Omaha. For those not familiar, our mastermind community is the community
that we built here at TIP that caters to private investors, portfolio managers, and high net worth
individuals. It's a place to really network with like-minded value investors, meet interesting people,
share stock ideas and continue on this journey of lifelong learning. And I just continued to be amazed
by the quality of members that have been joining us over the past couple of years. Some of the
Zoom calls we have coming up that I wanted to highlight for the community. We have a social hour with
Stig on what he would teach or tell his 20-year-old self. Very excited for that discussion.
We have a social hour with Kyle here on Scuttlebutt Investment Research, which he just did an episode
on. We have a stock presentation by a community member on BYD, a couple of
a couple of portfolio reviews with community members, and then I'm bringing in Leonjuro from Best Anchor Stocks to do a stock presentation on Adobe.
And Kyle, you recently did a presentation on your portfolio and your performance for 2024.
That's right, Clay.
So I recently shared my portfolio update for the full year of 2024 with the community.
And I love these updates.
There's so much fun because I get a lot of really, really great engagement from the community.
And I get really, really interesting, introspective questions as well from them.
So during one of my portfolio updates, I usually speak about things like my investing strategy,
some of my current wins, some of my current losses.
I talk about specific areas of investing that I'm spending some time thinking about and journaling
in.
I talk about businesses that I looked at in the previous quarter, maybe some that are I like
more than others and I share that with everyone.
And then, you know, I touch on my results as well, which I enjoy doing.
So these events, at least the one that I did was pretty well attended and I've had
really good feedback as well from these types of calls.
And as Clay mentioned, we now have our members doing pretty similar presentations as well.
It's so nice to share these slots with people who are just other really high-level investors.
And they asked incredibly insightful questions that have truly made me and I think everyone else around as well, better investors.
I'm just constantly impressed with the quality of people in this group.
And it also allows members to connect with other investors who share similar strategies.
I've had a chance to take some ideas from other members just by talking with them, getting on one-on-one,
calls and having them explain their thesis in a lot more detail. And it's just been incredibly impactful
for my own investing. Yeah, investing can just be quite a lonely experience. And members, I know they
enjoy following along with you and your journey, Kyle, and also just getting together with us in
person. We're getting together in Omaha and May during the Berkshire weekend. We'll be in New York
City in the fall. Yes, to touch on Omaha a bit, we're hosting a couple of dinners and socials
during the Berkshire weekend, as well as a bus tour, to really give the full Omaha experience.
It should make for an amazing time.
As of today, we have around 25 of our members registered to attend.
We have 120-ish in the group, and we're capping the community at 150 members.
And I'll also highlight that we really want to focus on providing value to our members.
So we're actually going to be temporarily closing the community to new members.
We'll be closing it at the end of March 2025.
So if you're interested in joining the community, I'd encourage you to apply before then.
So you can join our waitlist to apply by clicking the link in the show notes or going to
Theinvestor's podcast.com slash mastermind.
And then from there, you'll hear back from us shortly with more details on what's all included
with the group.
So that's Theinvestorspodcast.com slash mastermind.
And I think that wraps up our discussion.
So thanks so much everyone for tuning in and hope to see you all again next time.
Thank you for listening to TIP.
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