What A Day - Can Trump Broker Peace With Putin?

Episode Date: August 14, 2025

President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday in Anchorage, Alaska, to discuss the future of the war in Ukraine (which Putin started). While Trump insiste...d Wednesday there would be “very severe consequences” if Putin doesn’t agree to some kind of ceasefire, the Russian president has given no indication he plans to give up his goal of eventually taking over all of Ukraine. And Ukraine continues to insist it will not cede any of its territory to Russia. In short: The war is still at a stalemate, and the president of the United States wants to move the needle by hosting the aggressor — an international pariah who faces an arrest warrant on war crimes from the Hague – right here on American soil. Julia Ioffe, a founding member of Puck News and a long-time Russian politics expert, joins us to talk about the Alaska summit and what could come out of it.And in headlines: Trump suggested he may extend federal control of the Washington D.C. Metropolitan Police Department beyond the 30-day limit, a panel of appeals court judges opened the door for the White House to suspend or terminate billions in foreign aid funding, and fewer Americans say they’re drinking alcohol.Show Notes:Pre-order Julia's book – https://tinyurl.com/2btnv3pkCall Congress – 202-224-3121Subscribe to the What A Day Newsletter – https://tinyurl.com/3kk4nyz8What A Day – YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@whatadaypodcastFollow us on Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/crookedmedia/For a transcript of this episode, please visit crooked.com/whataday

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 It's Thursday, August 14th. I'm Jane Koston, and this is Wadaday, a show that is standing with the good people of India who are reacting with outrage to a government advisory stating that samosas, the delicious fried treat stuffed with spicy potato, might not be very good for your health. Stand tall, India, stand with tasty, tasty samoses. On today's show, the chairman of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, I mean, President Donald Trump, announces he's going to host this year's Kennedy Center honors because ruining things is his favorite pastime, also musicals.
Starting point is 00:00:42 And a federal appeals court panel clears the path for the Trump administration to terminate foreign aid spending. But let's start with the war on Ukraine. Trump is scheduled to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday in Anchorage, Alaska. Ahead of his big meeting, he spoke with European leaders and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky Wednesday to come up with a collective game plan. Later that morning, during a press conference of the Kennedy Center, Trump reiterated his desire for Russia to agree to some kind of ceasefire. Any side of Putin didn't agree to end the war,
Starting point is 00:01:11 there would be, quote, very severe consequences, of some kind. Do Russia face any consequences if Vladimir Putin does not agree to stop the war after your meeting on Friday? Yes, they will. What will the consequences be? sanctions, tariffs? There will be, I don't have to say, there will be very severe consequences. Sure.
Starting point is 00:01:35 As we've mentioned on the show, this is a high-stakes meeting at every level. Russia continues to bombard Ukraine three years into the war, and Moscow was demanding more Ukrainian territory in exchange for peace, to which the Ukrainian government has said, no dice. In short, the Russia-Ukraine war is still at a stalemate, and our president is trying to figure out how to get them to agree by hosting Putin, the aggressor, and an international pariah who faces an arrest warrant on war crimes from the Hague, right here on U.S. soil.
Starting point is 00:02:04 Fantastic. So to talk more about the Alaska Summit, I spoke with Julia Iafi. She's the co-founder of Puck News and a longtime Russian politics expert. Julia, welcome back to Waday. Ah, thanks for having me, Jane. So to start, can you lay out the stakes
Starting point is 00:02:21 for this meeting between Putin and Trump? Well, on one hand, the stakes are really high because this is the first meeting that Vladimir Putin will have with an American president since he launched the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, at which point the West united against him and put him into deep isolation. And this meeting could be the end of that isolation, and that's what a lot of people in Moscow are hoping. On the other hand, I have a feeling that not much of anything will come of this meeting at all.
Starting point is 00:03:04 So what do you look at as the point of this meeting then? Well, I think one of the problems is that the two presidents have two different goals for this meeting. President Trump wants this meeting so that he can finally say that he ended the war in Ukraine. He's been touting, resolving these kind of smaller conflicts like Armenia and Azerbaijan, DRC, and Rwanda. And he really wants the Nobel Peace Prize to mix metaphors. He wants the feather in his cap. He wants the points on the board. He just wants this deal done.
Starting point is 00:03:48 The Russian leader, on the other hand, wants a way out of the isolation. He wants to be back at the table with the big boys at the West and not just on his terms, but to be recognized as the victor. And a kind of like, you know, Vladim, we're so sorry, you were right all along. How is this meeting being portrayed in Russia and by Russian media? Because Russian media has had this weird relationship with Trump for a long time, a relationship that has been shifting over the last couple of months
Starting point is 00:04:23 as Trump has become more outwardly opposed to Putin. So what have people been saying in Moscow? So first of all, they are noting correctly that Trump wants this more than Putin does. That Trump needs this meeting, wants this meeting so badly, whereas Putin doesn't necessarily need it. He's winning on the battlefield as far as they see it,
Starting point is 00:04:48 but we'll go if Trump really wants it, right? which is already kind of posturing from a position of strength. Like, they basically see it as the West coming back and groveling. I'm curious as to how that conflicts or doesn't conflict with the Russian experience of the war, because so many Russians have died in this conflict. You know, there's the metaphorical meat grinder. So you have, on the one hand, this idea that the West should come to Russia and gravel,
Starting point is 00:05:19 but also so many people have died in this war. Does that conflict? Is it confusing for people? You are shaking your head. I'm shaking my head because it doesn't conflict, if anything, one reinforces the other. The fact that Russians don't really care about the lives and the people they throw into the meat grinder, which is at this point not really metaphorical. It's quite literal. And, like, that is a point of pride for them.
Starting point is 00:05:48 and that is seen as a strength that, you know, you defeat cowardly soft Westerners have these grand aims, but you will never sacrifice. You are not ready to sacrifice to actually achieve them, whereas we will. We will out-suffer you. We will out-die you. And we will get what we want in the end and still be the most powerful country in the world that you'll fear because we are just so ruthless. and so unafraid of death.
Starting point is 00:06:22 Trump seems so committed to the idea of a land swap between Russia and Ukraine. Putting aside that Ukraine doesn't really have that much land to swap in exchange for their own, what would the trickle-down effects be of the president unilaterally sidelining Ukraine and handing over a swath of the country's land to Putin? Well, I don't think it'll actually happen is I think what I keep coming back to. I think what's going to happen is more of the same, that they'll have a crazy meeting, some crazy details will come out of it, Putin will keep fighting in Ukraine. I mean, the Russians are also making no secret of the fact that they don't intend to end
Starting point is 00:07:05 this war at this conference, at this meeting in Anchorage, that they might agree to a ceasefire for maybe a few weeks or a few months, but that that won't be the end of the end. the war. They're very clear about that, that they won't stop until all of Ukraine is theirs. So I think all this will do is postpone what Trump doesn't want to do anyway, which is impose a penalty on Russia for not giving him this win. To your point, Trump said Wednesday, Russia will face, quote, severe consequences if Putin doesn't agree to stop the war after Friday's summit. He didn't elaborate. But realistically, what options does the Trump administration? have to actually hurt Russia.
Starting point is 00:07:50 Like, we don't do that much trade with Russia anyway. What do we have? That's kind of the problem with sanctions when you're no longer the only game in town. And the more that Trump sees that territory and says, you know, we need to turn inwards more, the less things like sanctions, which were not super effective when we were the only game in town, the less effective they become. because Russia can turn to China, to India. Trump slapped sanctions on India for buying Russian oil,
Starting point is 00:08:23 but India is not going to do that. It's, if anything, it's just driving India further into the arms of the Chinese. I think what the sanctions do is they just make things harder and slow things down because the Russian economy isn't doing great. Like, inflation's out of control, interest rates are above 20%. And despite all the money that the Kremlin is spending on this war, the economy is only growing at like 1.4, 1.8%. But look, Trump gave Putin a meeting, a bilateral meeting on U.S. soil. Putin didn't even have to promise anything. And that's already a big win. So even if he slapped sanctions on him later, he already got a big win from this. Now, I don't mean to tell you how you're feeling,
Starting point is 00:09:16 but you seem a little skeptical of this whole meeting and its potential to change anything. Yeah. And I think critics have warned that this meeting has the potential to turn into a 1938 Munich moment. You know, that's a reference to the Munich Agreement, one of the stupider moments in foreign policy
Starting point is 00:09:34 in which the British and the French essentially just agreed to hand over the rump of Czechoslovakia to the Nazis to stop a wider war, which didn't work. before we leave, I wonder if you could reflect on the parallels you see to that historic error on the part of Western leaders and the buildup to World War II. And what's happening now with someone who all Trump wants is to come out with a deal that does something, even if it doesn't do anything at all. Right. And it's funny that you mentioned Munich because I was watching Russian propaganda TV and they were talking about the Molotov-Ribbent Trump pact. Oh, you mean the pact that the Nazis broke and then invaded the Soviet Union? and here we are?
Starting point is 00:10:12 Yeah, right. It was all these short-term deals with a fundamentally bad actor who wasn't going to stop. And Trump is kind of the king of short-term thinking, right? He wants to juice the American economy by lowering interest rates. And if that fucks things up down the road, then whatever.
Starting point is 00:10:29 But at least you'll get this short-term boost and everyone will love him. And we'll get there when we get there. In some ways, Putin is like that as well. Yes, he wants to seize all of Ukraine, but then in the short term, he just knows that he has to get through this day or this month or this year, and then something else will shake out and he'll figure it out. Like, he just has to outlast other people and something, some kind of force majeure will
Starting point is 00:10:55 happen and get him through to the next level of this game. And I think that's what you're seeing here, right? In the spring of 2022, it looked like he had made a terror. terrible error and his government was an economy were going to collapse. They didn't. Then it looked like in the fall of 22 that they were going to lose all this territory and they were on the verge of losing the war. And he just held on a little longer. And now look, he is the president of the United States is inviting him for a bilateral one-on-one meeting, not just on U.S. soil, but on U.S. soil that was once Russian soil, which again, Russian media has not tired of pointing out. Julia, as always, thank you so much for joining me. My pleasure. Thanks for having
Starting point is 00:11:45 me, Jane. That was my conversation with Julia Iafi, a founding member of the online news site Puck News and a longtime Russian politics expert. And hey, Julia has a new book coming out. It's called Motherland, a feminist history of modern Russia from revolution to autocracy. We'll link to it in our show notes. We'll get to more than news in the moment. But if you like the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a five-star review on Apple Podcasts, watch us on YouTube, and share with your friends. More to come after some ads. This is an ad for better help.
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Starting point is 00:13:34 We're going to be asking for extensions on that, long-term extensions, because you can't have 30 days. 30 days is that's by the time you do it. We're going to have this in good shape. It's only been a few days since President Trump put the Washington, D.C., Metropolitan Police Department under federal control. And already, he's floating the idea of extending his reign. The president's remarks came at a press conference during a visit at the Kennedy Center Wednesday. In order to put D.C.'s police under federal control, Trump had to invoke something called the city's Home Rule Act. That's why he can do it in the nation's capital, but not other U.S. cities.
Starting point is 00:14:08 However, if he wants to extend that control to combat record low crime, beyond 30 days, he'll need a joint resolution from Congress. At least, that's what the law says. Trump said he's in talks with congressional Republicans about passing an extension, but also suggested he won't be bothered by the fine print of laws. Well, if it's a national emergency, we can do it without Congress, but we expect to be to Congress before Congress very quickly. And again, we think the Democrats will not do anything to stop crime,
Starting point is 00:14:39 but we think the Republicans will do it almost unanimously. Trump said he doesn't want to call a national emergency in D.C., but said, quote, if I have to, I will. Because, of course, he will. He loves national emergencies. Trump has also called in hundreds of National Guard troops to the city on top of federalizing the police force. The White House says federal officers will be out on the streets around the clock.
Starting point is 00:15:01 A divided panel of appeals court judges Wednesday opened the door for the Trump administration to suspend or terminate billions of dollars of congressionally appropriated funding for foreign aid, as in money that has already been budgeted. The money included nearly $4 billion for the U.S. agency for international development to spend on global health programs and more than $6 billion for HIV and AIDS programs, but I guess saving lives isn't in line with President Trump's policy goals. Let's recall. In January, on day one of the return to this hell called the 47th presidency, Trump issued an executive order to pause foreign aid spending. Groups of grant recipients sued to challenge that directive. A judge then ordered the administration to release foreign assistance Congress had appropriated for the 2024 budget year. The appeals court's majority Wednesday partially vacated that order.
Starting point is 00:15:54 Attorney General Pam Bondi said in a Twitter post, the victory means Trump won't have to, quote, spend hard-earned taxpayer dollars on wasteful foreign aid projects. You know, like saving babies from death. I've been asked to host. I said, I'm the president of the United States. Are you fools asking me to do that? Sir, you'll get much higher ratings.
Starting point is 00:16:19 I said, I don't care. I'm president of the United States. I won't do it. They said, please. And then Susie Welles said, to be sorry, like you're a horse. I said, okay, Susie, I'll do it. I don't think that's what Susie Wiles sounds like. In yet another unprecedented move,
Starting point is 00:16:36 President and Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts Chairman, remember how he did that earlier this year? Trump announced that he'll host the Kennedy Center honors and present awards because his chief of staff told him to. Trump made his hosting gig announcement on Wednesday, along with the list of honorees, something that is typically reserved for a press release, but nothing is too flashy for this made for TV president.
Starting point is 00:16:58 Trump will present his virtually hand-picked awards to actor Sylvester Stallone, rock band Kiss, singer Gloria Gaynor, country music star George Strait, and actor-singer Michael Crawford. I wanted one. I was never able to get one. This year, it's true, actually. I would have taken it if they would have called me. I waited and waited and waited. And I said, hell with it, I'll become chairman. I'll give myself an honor. Maybe I'm going to honor. Next year we'll honor Trump, okay? The way as Trump continues to desecrate the Kennedy Center will never cease to amaze and horrify.
Starting point is 00:17:33 And finally, fewer Americans are reporting that they drink alcohol, and those who do drink are drinking less. That's according to a Gallup poll released Wednesday. One reason is the growing belief that even moderate alcohol consumption is a health risk. The survey was conducted in July and finds that 54% of U.S. adults say they drink alcohol. That's the lowest in Gallup's nearly 90-year run. nearly 90 years. A record high, 53% of adults say moderate drinking is bad for their health. That's up from 28% in 2018. And it's mostly young adults we're driving up those concerns, though older adults appear to be coming around to the same conclusions. We've all heard that a glass of red wine with dinner is good for your heart. But in recent years, health professionals have pointed to overwhelming evidence that alcohol can result in negative health outcomes and is a leading cause of cancer. And that's the news. Before we go, in case you missed it, the crooked store's big summer sale is here and everything is 20% off.
Starting point is 00:18:47 So if you want a new friend of the pod tea or the redesigned call Congress merch, it's all on sale for a limited time. merch is a great way to show you support the pod without having to buy a meme coin or a golden phone with our faces etched on it and right now it's all on sale. Today is the last day. Shop 20% off everything now at crooked.com slash store.
Starting point is 00:19:11 That's all for today. If you like the show, make sure you subscribe, leave a review, contemplate how we now face a new threat. Rabbits with horns. And tell your friends to listen. And if you're into reading, and not just about how cottontail rabbits with, quote, horn-like growths on their heads
Starting point is 00:19:28 are showing up in Colorado as the result of a skin virus, like me, what a day is also a nightly newsletter. Check it out and subscribe at crooked.com slash subscribe. I'm Jane Koston. And according to experts, the growths pose no risks to the rabbits, but a lot of risks to people who see a rabbit with horns and run away and tear, because yeah. What Today is a production of Crooked Media. It's recorded and mixed by Desmond Taylor. Our associate producer is Emily Four. Our producer is Michelle Alloy.
Starting point is 00:20:02 Our video editor is Joseph Dutra. Our video producer is Johanna Case. We had production help today from Greg Walters, Matt Berg, Gina Pollock, and Laura Newcomb. Our senior producer is Erica Morrison. And our senior vice president of news and politics is Adrian Hill. We had help with the headlines from the Associated Press. Our theme music is by Colin Gilliard and Kishol. Chaka. Our production staff is proudly unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.

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