What A Day - The Price of Care: Fixing The ACA
Episode Date: October 28, 2025The main issue keeping the government closed is healthcare — specifically, the enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies that have been in place since 2021 and further lowered premium costs for America...ns. Democrats want the enhanced subsidies extended, Republicans don’t. Without them, folks who rely on healthcare plans they bought on the exchange will see their premiums skyrocket. But there are other countries with private insurance options where healthcare doesn’t cost so much that people risk going without it. To find out what’s going on here and what America could do about it, we spoke to Mark Shepard. He’s an associate professor of public policy at the Harvard University Kennedy School of Government.And in headlines, the U.S. extends its trade deal with Mexico for several weeks, USDA confirms food stamps will not go out November 1, and a rag-tag group of former USAID workers band together to fund some of the shuttered agency’s most critical programs.Show Notes:Check out Mark's article – https://tinyurl.com/mt2avcmaCall Congress – 202-224-3121Subscribe to the What A Day Newsletter – https://tinyurl.com/3kk4nyz8What A Day – YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@whatadaypodcastFollow us on Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/crookedmedia/For a transcript of this episode, please visit crooked.com/whataday Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
It's Tuesday, October 28th. I'm Jane Koston, and this is what a day, the show asking,
why did President Donald Trump get an MRI at his last physical at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center?
I did. I got an MRI. It was perfect. You know, typically, one does not get an MRI at a physical.
But maybe I'm just not achieving the same levels of stupendous health as our 79-year-old president.
On today's show, like many of us, the president gets mad at a Canadian ad he saw during
the World Series. Not like many of us, it's informing his statecraft. And a rag-tag group of
former USAID workers banned together to fund some of the shuttered agency's most critical programs.
But let's start with health care. Because the main issue keeping the government closed is
health care. Specifically, the enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies that have been in place since
2021 and further lowered premium costs. Democrats want the enhanced subsidies extended. Republicans
don't. Without them, folks who rely on health care plans they bought on the exchange will see their
premium skyrocket. For example, the Chicago Tribune reported on Monday that Illinois residents
could see their ACA plan costs increased by about 80% of the subsidies expire. And in New Jersey,
health care costs on the exchange could rise by 175%. Some Republicans are starting to worry that
doing absolutely nothing while millions of Americans either pay more for health care or lose it
entirely may make it tougher to hold on to Congress in 2026. But what to do about it? Of course,
Republicans could negotiate with Democrats to extend the subsidies and end the shutdown,
but obviously they won't do that. House Speaker Mike Johnson tried one tested tactic to handle
the issue on Monday. Lying. What we're doing right now, what we have been doing, what we were
already doing, because we knew we were coming up to the end of the year, and we know that
health care is a major burden for the American people. We've been working on it since day one of
this Congress. We worked on it in the years prior. Apparently, cutting Medicaid by 15 percent
now constitutes working on health care since day one of this Congress. And let's not even get
into the in the years prior thing before I get too mad online. But health care really is a major
burden for millions of Americans, especially the ever-rising cost. There are other countries
with private insurance options where health care doesn't cost so much that people risk going
without it. So what's going on here, and what could America be doing about it? To find out,
I spoke to Mark Shepard. He's an associate professor of public policy at the Harvard University
Kennedy School of Government. Mark, welcome to what today. Thanks for having me. So from the
very beginning of the shutdown, many moons ago, we have been hearing a lot about these in-house
enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies that expire at the end of the year. So to start, what are
these subsidies and who gets them? It's a great question. And to answer that, you have to realize
that America doesn't just have one form of health insurance. We have a complex system,
and these subsidies are for people who we might call the missing middle of the American health
insurance system. So they're not low enough income to get Medicaid. They're not seniors, so they
can't get Medicare, but they don't work in jobs that provide health insurance coverage.
And so if they want health insurance, Obamacare, health insurance exchanges are what they need.
That's the only form of coverage that's really viable.
And what the subsidies are trying to do is they're trying to make sure that that coverage is
affordable. So American health care are very expensive. That's not unique to Obamacare's
health insurance exchanges. It's true everywhere. But because health care is so expensive,
that coverage isn't going to be affordable unless the government steps in to provide some help
to lower and middle-income households.
So, in short, the enhanced subsidies keep more of Americans in that missing middle that you referred to insured.
But why would that matter to individual people who don't need to get their health insurance through the ACA?
What would happen if the subsidies expired?
So I think the first answer is that there's no direct effect on people who get coverage, say, through Medicaid,
or through employers. The main effect of this policy is on the 25 million people who get coverage
in the ACA health insurance markets. There is, though, some indirect effects. When people are
uninsured, as more people will be if the enhanced subsidies expire, they don't stop getting sick.
They still show up at hospitals, at emergency rooms, and someone has to pay the cost. And if they
can't afford it. It's often hospitals, local governments, state governments who bear that
cost, and ultimately that gets passed on in different forms to taxpayers and to others in the
community. So it's not free. Subsidies for health insurance are designed to make sure people can
afford access to health care. If you don't do it directly, you're going to end up providing
some assistance for health care through indirect mechanisms. So it seems like the main issue here is
just how expensive it is to pay for health insurance in the U.S.
Why is it so expensive?
I think there's no one simple answer.
You can certainly look internationally.
You can look at our health care costs compared to European countries,
which tend to spend 50% or less compared to us.
And when you do those types of comparisons,
what you find is that America is expensive
because we pay higher prices for similar amounts of health care.
because ultimately there is less desire to keep costs low.
So if you look at a place like England, England has a national health insurance program,
they have government budgets that set how much funding there will be for the National Health Service,
and ultimately that keeps the cost constrained because hospitals know that their budget is fixed.
In America, we don't have fixed budgets.
There are many different health insurers.
None of them really has the power to be able to constrain health care quality.
nor is there necessarily appetite to do so. I think in America there's a greater emphasis
on free competition, on innovation, and a concern that any type of cost control will ultimately
result in lower quality of care. So what do other countries that have private health
insurance systems do differently that make those systems less expensive than ours, and could
those things work in the U.S.? So this is a great question. And what's important to first note
in the question is that there are countries that have universal health insurance, universal access to
health care through private health insurance systems. A great example is Switzerland, which is a system
in which it's been described as Obamacare for all. Everyone in the country gets access to health
insurance. They can choose among a set of competing health insurance plans. There are subsidies
to ensure it's affordable, but ultimately there's choice in competition in the way it works. But
there's really two important details for why what you would call private health insurance in
Switzerland looks so much different and so much more affordable than in America. I think one detail
is that it's mandatory and universal. We're not talking about a type of coverage that you can opt
out, not talking about a coverage that needs to be free. It's financed by taxes. And so people
ultimately have to be enrolled. That ensures that both healthy and sick people enroll, which
keeps the overall average cost down. If you don't have healthy people participating, and only the
sick participate, costs tend to be higher. Difference number two is that even though it's private
health insurance, behind the scenes, the government still does a lot to regulate that health
insurance, including regulating the prices that health insurers pay hospitals, doctors, drugs.
So, for instance, in Switzerland, there's a central program to negotiate the price of drugs. That helps
keep the costs low because the one national government can negotiate low prices with pharmaceutical
companies, we don't do that in America. We ask each individual insurer to negotiate their own
prices. And because no one has the bargaining power that a central government has, you're not going to get
the same deals. And as a result, prices will be higher. Now, there's a lot of differences
between the United States and Switzerland.
But what are the reasons why that kind of negotiation
between the government and private insurers
or any of these other factors that we see in Switzerland
or in other countries that have that mix of private public health care?
Are there reasons why those would not work in the United States?
I think they really rely on having an effective government that's centralized.
In America, we have a federalist system,
50 state governments, each has their own power.
Medicare is a federal program, but Medicaid, the second largest program by spending, is a state-run program.
The states regulate some health insurance.
The federal government regulates other types of health insurance.
It would be very challenging unless there were major reforms in our regulatory structure to implement that type of program in America.
So I think ultimately we're kind of stuck with what we have.
and the question is, how do you make it work as well as possible?
So, to your point, what we have right now is the Affordable Care Act.
Is it possible to lower health insurance premiums within our current system?
You know, I think there's two policies that come to my mind.
One is to introduce more public option-type plans into exchanges.
So imagine that you took a plan whose parameters were designed not by a private health insurance company,
but designed by the state government.
Those plans are still operated by private health insurers,
but their parameters, including some of the prices
that they might pay hospitals and doctors,
are set by the government.
That's why we call it a public option plan.
It's a public plan, but it's just another option
that you could choose and that could compete
against private plans potentially driving down
the costs of health care.
So Washington State has tried out a public option plan
with some success.
Colorado has had versions of this.
And you mentioned that there was another potential reform that could work.
What was that?
So if public option plans are more associated with the left, you might think about pro-competition
subsidies that would be associated more with reforms proposed on the right.
And this is an area where Republicans, I think, have a point that subsidies today are designed
in a way that doesn't promote maximum competition among insurers.
today, health insurance subsidies in the ACA are set up in order to cover the full difference
between the total cost of health endurance, what insurers set, and whatever amount is deemed
affordable for households to pay.
So, for example, say, the full cost of health care is $6,000 a year.
That's a typical number.
If it's affordable for a household to pay $1,000, then the government covers the full
difference.
Well, what happens if insurers raise their price?
Still, the government covers the full difference.
What does that mean?
It means that insurers, when they raise their price, they get bigger subsidies from the
government.
And that weakens competition.
So if you were thinking about reforming that, what you'd want to do is to shift more towards
types of subsidies that encourage insurers to keep prices low.
That don't have this link between subsidies and prices.
You might think about fixed subsidies.
You might think about shared savings schemes that encourage insurers and states to keep costs.
States to keep costs low. The ultimate goal is to make subsidies structured in a way that encourages
competition, as opposed to weakening competition. In the meantime, open enrollment starts this
Saturday, November 1st, and unless there is a miraculous deal coming our way, Americans are going to
see much higher prices in the ACA marketplace. As someone who thinks about this all the time,
do you have any advice for them? I think the first advice would be that health insurance is really
important. The costs are going to hurt if enhanced subsidies are not expanded, but the cost of going
uninsured could be even higher. So it tends to be worth it to find money to continue your health
insurance coverage if you can possibly do so. Maybe step two would be encourage your representatives
to vote for enhanced subsidies. These really have done a tremendous amount to protect lower
and middle-income households to keep the cost of coverage more affordable, to ensure that
younger and healthier people participate in the marketplaces, all of these things have gone
up dramatically since enhanced subsidies were passed in 2021. And, you know, Republicans often
argue that the subsidies were meant to be temporary and just a COVID-era protection. I don't
think that's really correct. The enhanced subsidies are a way of ensuring that the coverage
is truly affordable given what households feel that they can pay. And if they go away,
households are going to face more pain, many of them will drop out of coverage, even though I would advise them not to, and ultimately, we're all going to pay the costs.
Mark, thank you so much for joining me.
You're welcome. Thanks for having me.
That was my conversation with Mark Shepard, Associate Professor of Public Policy at the Harvard University Kennedy School of Government.
We'll get to more of the news in a moment, but if you like the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a five-star review on a podcast, watch us on YouTube, and share with your friends. More to come after some ads.
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Here's what else we're following today.
Head of lines.
People are going to be lined up out here to get food,
and we're talking about a damn ballroom.
Don't lose the plot.
Don't lose the plot of what's going on here.
Minnesota Democratic Governor Tim Walls spoke at a food bank in the city of Egan Monday,
announcing $4 million in emergency funding for participants in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program,
or SNAP, amid the government shutdown.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture posted a notice on its website saying SNAP or food stamps
will not go out to the roughly 42 million Americans who rely on the program on November 1st,
and recipients may soon have to find other ways to feed themselves and their families.
In case you're wondering, isn't there a contingency plan for this?
The USDA issued a memo Friday that the $5 to $6 billion in SNAP contingency funds
can only be used for unforeseen disasters like hurricanes,
contradicting a since-delated September 30th shutdown plan that claimed Congress intended
those funds to sustain SNAP benefits during a shutdown.
Because, of course.
Virginia Republican Governor Glenn Yonkin declared a state of emergency.
in anticipation of the cutoff, and California Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom announced
plans to call up the National Guard to support food banks.
The U.S. extended its trade deal deadline with Mexico by several weeks.
The deal covers a range of imports, including aluminum, the key ingredient in the can Trump's
been kicking down the road most of this year. Trump said a November 1st deadline to boost tariffs
on some Mexican goods from 25 to 30 percent, targeting products not covered by the U.S., Mexico
Canada trade deal. But Mexican president, Claudia Scheinbaum, said that she and Trump agreed that
talks between the U.S. and Mexico were going, quote, very well, even on Trump's sensitive topics like
security and migration. Things were much frostier to the north, where President Trump said on
Saturday that he plans to hike tariffs on imports of Canadian goods by an extra 10% because grandpa
is yelling at the TV again. An anti-tariff television ad aired by the province of Ontario during
the World Series sparked Trump's ire. The ad used the words of,
former president Ronald Reagan to criticize U.S.
Teriffs. Trump spouted off
about it on Air Force One on Monday.
They shouldn't have done it. They've
apologized and they said, we're going to
take the ad down. Well, they did it, but
they did it very late. They let it play for another
two nights. And now they took
that ad down. So I
don't know what it's going to kick in.
Again, this is about an ad
using the words of Ronald Reagan.
Trump has reportedly terminated
all trade negotiations with Canada
because the mean ad hurt the president
feelings. On Monday, the Canadian premier of Ontario, Doug Ford, spoke of the debacle on CNN.
It was an ad to inform the people in the U.S. and mission accomplished.
Mission accomplished indeed.
The Red Cross is joining members of Hamas in the search for the bodies of the roughly
12 remaining Israeli hostages in Gaza. Hamas officials say the remains have been difficult to find
due to the mass destruction caused by nearly two years of Israeli.
a mass burial was held in Gaza Monday for more than 40 of the 195 deceased Palestinians
that Israel has returned to Gaza. The Gaza Health Ministry has opened an office to help identify the
bodies, but doctors and aid workers say doing so is difficult. Many of the bodies reportedly
show signs of torture, execution, possible organ theft, and being run over by tanks. Israel said the bodies
belonged to combatants, though they provided no evidence to support that claim. The fragile ceasefire
between Israel and Hamasca to use to hold for now.
But Trump posted on true social over the weekend, demanding that Hamas moved faster to
recover the bodies of the remaining Israeli hostages, and implying he'd allow Israel to
restart the war if they don't.
Despite President Trump gutting USAID earlier this year, a network of former officials,
nonprofits, and private donors found ways to keep critical foreign aid programs alive.
Folks, there is no bad news after the sentence.
That's the headline.
The Associated Press reports that after the Trump administration froze roughly $64 billion in U.S. assistance overnight,
former USAID staff worked off the clock to identify about 80 high-impact programs that could still be saved.
Within eight months, their ad hoc initiative, project resource optimization, helped mobilize more than $125 million in emergency donations from major philanthropies and new donors alike.
They fully funded all 80 programs.
The efforts backers say the funding won't fully replace what was lost,
but it's preserved programs in nutrition, disease prevention, and anti-poverty work across the world.
That is what good news feels like.
Sit in it. Breathe it in.
And that's the news.
That's all for today.
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I'm Jane Koston.
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