WSJ What’s News - Cocaine Trade Hits Record High as Smugglers Go Global
Episode Date: May 5, 2025A.M. Edition for May 5. Warren Buffet marks the calendar for his departure from Berkshire Hathaway, announcing his handpicked successor will take the reins next year. Plus, the ‘Trump factor’ prop...els another left-leaning leader to a surprise election victory, this time in Australia. And WSJ South America bureau chief Juan Forero explains how production advances and long-distance smuggling vessels are transforming the global cocaine trade. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ’s free What’s News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Warren Buffett marks the calendar for his departure from Berkshire Hathaway.
Plus, the Trump factor propels another left-leaning leader to a surprise election victory, this
time in Australia.
And we'll hear from our South America bureau chief in Colombia as global cocaine production
hits an all-time high.
We're seeing semi-submersibles in the last few years
heading to Spain and Portugal and to the South Pacific.
So we're talking about 9,000 miles.
These are dangerous trips,
but that's how much money is to be made
by selling cocaine in some of these countries.
It's Monday, May 5th.
I'm Luke Vargas for The Wall Street Journal,
and here is the AM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories moving your world today.
Berkshire Hathaway Chief Executive Warren Buffett plans to step down at the end of the
year with a 94-year-old handing over the reins to his handpicked successor, Greg Abel.
Abel's selection wasn't a surprise, though the timing of the announcement was, silencing
a cavernous arena of investors in Omaha, Nebraska on Saturday and triggering a wave of tributes
from Wall Street Titans.
While Buffett said that Abel would have final say at Berkshire starting next year, he said
he didn't plan to disappear from the scene and used his remarks at the company's
annual meeting, heard here courtesy of CNBC, to defend the global trade system, criticizing
the antagonistic approach being taken in Washington toward America's economic partners.
It's a big mistake in my view when you have seven and a half billion people that don't like you
very well and you got 300 million that are crowing in some way about how well they've
done."
Meanwhile, President Trump is downplaying concerns about the economy, emphasizing that
he believes his policies will trigger a historic boom.
That forecast, made on NBC's Meet the Press, comes as we report that Trump and his advisors
are feeling more confident following a streak of stock market gains in a better-than-expected
jobs report on Friday.
There are many people on Wall Street who say this is going to be the greatest windfall
ever happened.
And that's my question.
Remember this.
Long term.
Is it OK in the short term to have a recession?
Look, yeah, everything's okay.
What we are, I said, this is a transition period.
I think we're going to do fantastically.
Are you worried about a recession?
No.
While the White House is signaling that it expects some progress to cool trade tensions
this week, including by announcing at least one deal with a country seeking to escape higher tariffs, President
Trump said yesterday he'd authorized a new 100 percent tariff on films produced overseas.
That sent Hollywood executives scrambling to determine how they'd be affected, having
received no prior warning about the plan, and because movies aren't physical goods
like most items
subject to tariffs.
The White House didn't immediately respond to a request for comment.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has returned to power in a surprising landslide
election victory for his Labour Party.
That comes as just last week, Canadians gave the left-leaning Liberal Party there a fourth
term in office, as voters shied away from a Conservative candidate viewed as being too
similar to President Trump.
And Sydney-based reporter Mike Czerny says a similar dynamic played out in Australia.
Albanese successfully sold an argument to voters that he was a pair of stable hands
and best suited to deal with some of this Trump-related disruption.
His conservative opponent, Peter Dutton, to many voters,
perhaps came off as a little bit too Trump-like.
Dutton did support some Trump-like policies
like slashing the government workforce
and ending working from home for some government employees.
And I think in the end, that did put off some centrist voters. slashing the government workforce and ending working from home for some government employees.
And I think in the end, that did put off some centrist voters.
And with Trump proving to be a divisive figure for many Australians, Mike explains how Albanese
will be looking to manage the country's future alliance with the U.S.
Albanese did have to walk a fine line with Trump during the campaign because he's now
going to have to work with Trump on trade talks to try to reduce Australia's tariff rate to zero.
Australia also plans to buy nuclear-powered submarines from the U.S. and there are some
concerns about whether the U.S. has the shipbuilding capacity to make that happen.
So Albanese is going to have to figure out a way to make sure that the Trump administration
continues to support that plan.
To Europe now, where Ukraine has set it down to Russian jet fighters using sea drones equipped
with modified U.S. made missiles in what military officials in Kiev say is the first such attack
in the history of warfare.
Russia's military hasn't commented on the attack, which the Wall Street Journal wasn't
able to verify. With Russia grinding slowly forward on the battlefield and Ukraine struggling with a
deficit of arms and manpower, the shootdowns demonstrate how Ukraine is finding ever more
enterprising means of weakening Russia's much larger military. In other news driving the agenda this week, oil futures are slipping after the OPEC Plus
group of producers agreed to raise output for June, marking a second consecutive month
of production hikes.
In response, Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecast, with the firm now expecting Brent and West Texas Intermediate
Crude to average $56 and $52 a barrel next year, respectively.
There is no end in sight for the headaches plaguing travelers to and from Newark Liberty
International Airport after its leading operator, United, canceled 35 daily round-trip flights
after a group of air traffic controllers took leave amid issues
with their radar and radios. Several controllers took trauma-related leave after a similar outage
last fall, and the Federal Aviation Administration has at times slowed traffic to Newark as a result
of controller staffing issues. Danish drugmaker Novo Nordisk says the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has accepted
a new drug application for an oral formulation of its blockbuster obesity treatment, Wigovie.
If approved, it would mark the first so-called GLP-1 drug to be available in pill form amid
competition from the likes of Eli Lilly and others.
Novo Nordisk said the FDA's deadline to decide on the
application will be in the fourth quarter.
And it is shaping up to be a busy week in markets, with
services PMIs for April due out this morning and earnings
from Ford expected this afternoon.
Though the biggest set piece will be the Fed's interest
rate decision on Wednesday, with the central bank facing
pressure from President Trump to lower rates sooner than the current June forecast.
Coming up, potent powder and narco subs are driving a global surge in cocaine smuggling.
We'll get the latest from Columbia on the exploding coca trade alarming American officials
after the break.
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Global cocaine supply has hit an all-time high,
and while production has been steadily
climbing for the past decade, drug officials are growing increasingly alarmed over the
sheer speed of coca growth and new undersea modes of transport as the potent powder reaches
new and faraway markets.
Our South America Bureau Chief Juan Ferreiro has been tracking cocaine production in Colombia.
Juan, bring us up to speed here. What has shifted in the past few years?
What's happened lately is that coca, the leaf used to make cocaine, and cocaine itself has just
shot up dramatically to record highs. In Columbia now, the UN says that, and this is in a report
from late last year, said that there's 625,000 acres of coca.
Now that's about the size of Rhode Island and that is 55% more than in 2000.
And there was so much cocaine that year in 2000 that this drug was funding armed groups
that were threatening the very Colombian state.
And these American officials say we were really worried that the state would be toppled.
Now that was in 2000.
Now there's 55% more coca in the country.
And that produces, you know,
the estimate that the UN gives is about 3,000 tons of cocaine.
That cocaine is now not just going to the United States,
not just going to Brazil and States, not just going to Brazil
and Western Europe, which have for a long time been sort of the big main consumers,
but it's going to places like Argentina, like the Balkans. It goes to Australia, New Zealand.
There's always new markets because in a lot of these markets, the amount that is being
spent on cocaine just makes it very worthwhile from a business standpoint
for drug traffickers.
You talk about a lot of this coca cultivation while happening in very remote areas and yet
reaching markets around the world.
What is the supply chain for this drug like now?
It's not being carried on foot.
Some of the supply chain, the way that they're getting the cocaine to some of these markets is the same old, same
old cargo vessels, go fast boats, which leave from Columbia and go to Central America and
so forth.
But I think one of the new trends we're seeing are the semi-submersibles.
Now these are submarine-like vessels.
They have been around for a long time, you know, but they're far better now.
They have better propulsion, they're bigger,
they can carry more cocaine, and they can go a lot farther. So we're seeing semi-submersibles
in the last few years heading to Spain and Portugal and so forth. But now we're seeing
semi-submersibles in route to the South Pacific. So we're talking about 9,000 miles. It's very far. And of course,
these are dangerous trips. But increasingly, we're seeing these semi submersibles head
in that direction. That's how much money is to be made by selling cocaine in some of these
countries.
What does the Colombian government make of all this? If there really is territory the
size of Rhode Island being used to cultivate a drug like this, that they can't be unaware of what's going on.
Columbia's government has taken the approach that it wants to steer clear of penalizing
farmers and so they are very much opposed to aerial fumigation.
They call themselves a progressive government and they have been trying to enter into peace
talks with some of these narco trafficking outfits, but that has not worked. And there are many studies and many people who believe that these groups
have actually grown far more powerful. So the de facto state in some of these places
is an armed group. So this policy hasn't really gone anywhere.
And how is this going over in the United States? Obviously, President Trump has made a big
deal about the flow of drugs over the southern border.
You know, they're very focused on methamphetamines and fentanyl and so forth.
The main focus has been Mexico and has been the border.
And so we haven't seen them talk about cocaine.
But of course, a big thing with the administration is to stop the flow of drugs into the United
States.
And cocaine remains a very important drug in the United States.
I mean, cocaine is laced with fentanyl in as many as a quarter of the cases of cocaine
that has been seized by the DEA and tested shows that it has fentanyl in it, which is
of course an extremely dangerous drug that causes a lot of overdoses and fatalities.
That was Wall Street Journal South America bureau chief Juan Ferraro in Bogota,
Colombia. Juan, thank you so much for bringing us this story.
Thank you.
And that's it for what's news for this Monday morning. Today's show was produced by Kate
Bulevent. Our supervising producer is Sandra Kilhoff. And I'm Luke Vargas for the Wall Street
Journal. We will be back tonight with a new show. Until then, thanks for listening.