WSJ What’s News - What’s News in Earnings: Airlines Feel the Pain of an Oil Shock
Episode Date: April 30, 2026Bonus Episode for Apr. 30. A surge in oil prices is weighing on profits from airlines. Financial results from American Airlines, JetBlue, United and Delta give insight into how the industry is passing... on those higher fuel costs to consumers. Wall Street Journal airlines reporter Alison Sider discusses whether demand for travel is changing and the divide between budget airlines and the rest of the industry. WSJ travel reporter Jacob Passy hosts this special bonus episode of What's News in Earnings, where we dig into companies’ earnings reports and analyst calls to find out what’s going on under the hood of the American economy. Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Hey listeners, it's Thursday, April 30th.
I'm Jacob Passy for the Wall Street Journal.
And this is What's News and Earnings,
our look at some of the biggest themes standing out this earnings season.
It's been a turbulent quarter for airlines.
The war with Iran has caused jet fuel prices to soar, and that's putting a damper on airlines' profits.
While demand for travel is holding up, airlines are driving fares and fees higher and higher.
And that's raising concerns that Americans may change their travel plans for this summer.
JetBlue CEO, Joanna Garrity, told Wall Street analysts this week that it was the most difficult period in years.
Given the sharp increase in the price of fuel and the expectation for us,
elevated prices throughout this year, we are suspending our prior full-year guidance as we
aggressively adjust to the evolving macro backdrop.
And some airlines are having an even more difficult time than JetBlue, and they're asking
the Trump administration for help.
We're joined now by Wall Street Journal airline reporter Alison Sider, who's been monitoring
the state of play.
Allison, higher oil prices are weighing on airlines.
How big a deal is that for the bottom line and what are airlines trying to do to
offset those costs. It's turning out to be a pretty big deal. Jet fuel prices have basically doubled
since the start of the war in Iran. And it's adding a lot of expense. Delta expects its fuel expense
for this quarter to be $2 billion more than a year ago. American is saying it's going to pay an
extra $4 billion in fuel this year. So it's really going to squeeze their profit margins for the rest
of the year. In terms of what they're doing about it, you already probably have started seeing it in fares.
They're going to be a lot higher, and we're starting to see airlines change their schedules and cut back on flying.
We're especially seeing that airlines are cutting back on flights that maybe would have been profitable with jet fuel prices of $2 per gallon, but now are not going to make money with jet fuel prices around $4 per gallon.
So that is probably going to most impact Tuesdays and Wednesdays, Saturday afternoons, times when flights already kind of fly a little bit emptier.
And the other thing we're seeing airlines do is increase fees.
We've already seen bag prices increased by around $10.
It's been pretty uniform across all the airlines.
Now a first check bag is going to cost you probably around $45.
And bag fees really rarely come down.
And if and when fuel prices get back to more normal levels,
probably shouldn't expect to see those bag prices come down.
How are consumers responding to the fair increases we've already seen?
Do they still want to travel?
It seems like consumers are still clamoring for travel,
and they're still booking trips.
Airlines are saying demand is holding up really well.
So so far, all the airlines seem almost pleasantly surprised
that they're able to charge so much more
without scaring customers away.
And United Chief Commercial Officer Andrew Nisela
said on United's earning call
that the airline is kind of waiting for that inflection point.
There should be some level of demand reduction
related to a 20% bear increase.
We haven't seen it yet.
And if we don't, you know, it really,
outcome, but we're planning for that. If it doesn't turn out to be the case, we'll appropriately
adjust our plans. So we have mainstream carriers like Delta and United, and then there are the
budget carriers like Spirit. How are budget carriers doing compared with their mainstream
competitors? This is turning out to be a bigger problem for some of the budget carriers.
Your average fare was, you know, $100 and $120 and you have to tack on $30, $40, $50 for fuel.
That's really noticeable. But if you're customer,
buying a $6,000 business class ticket, the extra that they might be paying in fuel is something
that they may not even notice or they're just willing to put up with it. So, you know, the budget
carriers seem to be the ones that are in the most trouble. We're seeing that most acutely with
spirit. The sudden run-up in fuel prices really threatened its plan to emerge from Chapter
11, which it was hoping to do in the next couple of months. And now it's on the precipice of
liquidation, and it's in negotiations with the Trump administration for a loan of around $500 million.
In exchange, it would give the Trump administration warrants to buy a really significant stake in the
company. And it's really kind of day by day at this point, whether they're going to get that
worked out before they run out of cash. But the other budget carriers are struggling as well.
And we've seen in the last couple of days that they've also gone to the Trump administration to ask
for $2.5 billion, and that's a group of carriers that includes Frontier and Avello.
They would also have to give up warrants to the administration if they ended up taking the money.
So I guess we will see what happens.
It would be sort of unusual to have the government intervene in the market in this way.
That was Wall Street Journal Airline reporter Alison Sider.
Thanks for joining us.
Thanks for having me.
And that was What's News and Earnings.
Today's show was produced by Danny Lewis with Supervisor.
producer Tali Arbell. Additional sound courtesy of S&P Global Market Intelligence. Later today, we'll
have the PM edition of What's News out for you as usual, and we'll be back later this earning season,
diving into another industry. Until then, I'm Jacob Passy. Have a great day.
