Young and Profiting with Hala Taha - YAPClassic: Safi Bahcall on Shooting Your Loon Shot
Episode Date: November 19, 2021Shoot your loonshot and nurture your next crazy big idea! In #33, Hala yaps with Safi Bahcall, a trained physicist who has transformed his career every 5 years or so. He’s done everything from busi...ness consulting to co-founding a pharmaceutical company to now becoming a best-selling author. In this episode we’ll find out how Safi is able to reinvent himself so often and his tips for getting into a new field. In addition, we’ll cover his super fascinating concept and book, "Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform," which has been noted as one of the top business books for 2019. If you liked this episode, please write us a review! Get a copy or download Safi’s ‘Shoot Your Loonshots’: https://amzn.to/2Pnl8mL Social Media: Follow YAP on IG: www.instagram.com/youngandprofiting Follow Hala on Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/htaha/ Follow Hala on Instagram: www.instagram.com/yapwithhala Reach out to Hala directly at Hala@YoungandProfiting.com Check out our website to meet the team, view show notes and transcripts: www.youngandprofiting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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You're listening to YAP, Young and Profiting Podcast, a place where you can listen, learn, and profit.
Welcome to the show.
I'm your host, Halla Taha, and on Young and Profiting Podcast,
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Hey, Young & Profitors, welcome to this episode of YAP Classic,
a series where we dig up episodes from the archive
and replace some of the YAP team's favorite interviews.
Before we jump into this episode,
I want you to take a second to think about
your best and biggest idea.
What dream product or innovation has been sitting on your backburner for years?
More often than not, we don't bring our ideas to life.
They're widely dismissed or written off as crazy, but that's just because they are big
ideas.
Facing rejection just might be a sign that your idea is actually headed in the right direction. Today, I want to share with you episode number 33, Shoot Your Leanshot with
Safi Bakal, a trained physicist who transformed his careers every five years or so.
He's done everything from business consulting to co-founding a pharmaceutical
company to now becoming a best-selling author. We chatted about how he was able to reinvent himself so
often and then about his really popular book, Loon Shots, had a nurture the crazy ideas that win wars,
cure diseases, and transform industries. For those Sophie, welcome to Young and Profiting Podcast.
Thanks for being here.
So before we get rolling, I just want to mention that I noticed you were from New Jersey.
You grew up in Princeton?
That's right.
My parents were working at the university.
Cool.
Well, I'm a proud Jersey girl.
I grew up in Central Jersey in Watchung.
So happy to have a fellow Jersey in on the show.
I think you make number two.
Glad to meet a fellow country person.
So Safi, just to introduce you to my listeners,
you are someone who is continually evolving.
You have in your own words, change careers,
roughly every five years of your adult life.
You started out as a serious academic scientist.
You switched fields into particle physics, I believe.
Then you did a total 360 and moved into business consulting. And then after that,
you co-founded a pharmaceutical company. And finally, today, you were known as a best-selling author.
So that's a super diverse career. Could you just walk us through your professional past at a high level,
maybe mention some of the big and proudest
moments that you have leading up till today. Sure, and can you do that in five seconds? Sure, no problem,
let's go. No, no, five minutes is okay. I grew up as the son of two scientists, so it was pretty
natural to start a career in science, and so I didn't set foot off of the University until I was about 28 or 29,
and I really enjoyed it.
But I did find, as you say, that my curiosity started waning.
Once I kind of learned a subject really well, I started looking for the next big challenge.
And that's a theme that kind of stayed with me for a lot of these changes over the course
of my life, which is people talk
about follow your passion.
For me, it's been a lot more about follow my curiosity.
So I started off in one area of science called particle physics, where you study the science
of the very small, what happens inside an atom, inside a proton, inside a neutron, very
small distances, or very high energies.
And after a while,
after you start,
you're at the bottom of this big hill,
and you have no idea what people are talking about,
and then you march up the hill,
and it's kind of a big challenge,
and then you reach sort of like,
oh, you're kind of one of the tribe,
and you know what you're talking about.
After that, I looked for kind of the next big hill to climb,
and so I switched fields into another area of science,
where, again, I started at the bottom of the hill, it's called hill to climb. And so I switch fields into another area of science where, again, I started at the bottom
of the hill, it's called condensed matter physics.
It's the study of the many, what happens to large systems of interacting particles.
The weird quantum effects that happen when you cool metals down, for example, to very
low temperatures and all of a sudden, friction just sort of completely disappears and current
start traveling forever
or you get superconductors, things like that, these crazy quantum effects appear.
So I did that again for about five years. I started kind of at the bottom of the hill
and felt like a total imposter. And it was just really curious about all the ideas and science and techniques and tools.
And then I sort of worked my way up and then kind of got curious
again because I'd been so long in the university and academic world. I sort of realized that,
well, you know, actually 99 plus percent of the people in the world aren't theoretical physicists.
They do these things called jobs. They work in these things called offices and I'd never
seen one. And I was sort of curious about like, well, how does that work?
So I joined this consulting firm that likes to hire people who are outside the mainstream of MBAs or business schools and that was an incredible learning experience. It's like drinking from a
fire hose and it was super, super fun for that. It's like learning a whole new world, people with
jobs and offices and how they solve problems in the business world
that is kind of fascinating.
And then once I understood that, I don't think for me a career of just sort of advising
people was what I wanted to do.
I wanted to build something and I wanted to see if I could bridge the world that I come
from, the science world with the business world and do something kind of bigger than myself,
something kind of more meaningful than making big companies more successful.
So that's when I started a biotech company developing drugs for cancer.
Everybody knows someone with cancer or some other severe disease.
And for me, it was just enormously motivating not only to get to learn something new again,
start at the bottom of the hill and march my way up,
but also to know that when I wake up every morning, if I do really well, and if I can bring people along and motivate them,
and we can build something great together, we might just give
families more time on earth with their loved ones. And that's a super motivating kind of bigger purpose that transcends yourself, and that was
super exciting. So the thread that goes through all of those things is, for me, it's like follow my curiosity.
What am I really excited about learning?
Yeah.
And then how did you get into becoming an author?
Well, that was another kind of odd thing.
Just for fun one time time I gave a talk
I was asked to give a talk on one of these sort of idea gatherings everybody was supposed to talk about something that is not their work
and I've always sort of had a passion for
history for looking back and and also for teasing out patterns sort of if you're a scientist, especially a physicist
What you try to do is tease out patterns from nature.
So I was interested in applying that to history.
So I gave a talk one time, 3,000 years of physics in 45 minutes, the eight biggest ideas.
So I went back 3,000 years and I said, can we figure out what were the eight biggest
jumps in human knowledge?
And I found that to be just enormously fun.
And I read a lot more than I usually read
because normally when you're running a business,
or at least for me, when I was running a business
I'd blinders on.
I really actually didn't read books very much
because I was so focused on, you know,
the usual stuff when you're running a business
which is putting out fires and raising money
and hiring people and so on.
It was enormously fun to learn and then enormously fun to figure out how to communicate that
to people in a way that was kind of fun and entertaining.
Both of those were really interesting, exciting, fun challenges things that I hadn't done
before.
Both of those were sort of like starting at the bottom
of the hill, I'd never really looked back at history
and tried to tease out patterns.
I'd never really thought about how do you describe
this stuff to people in a way that's sort of fun
and entertaining and excites them.
Yeah.
And I thought, you know, that was super fun.
It was like, I took two weeks off
and you know, around Christmas time one year
and I thought, God, that was the most fun I've had
on a long time.
I was like, if I ever get the opportunity,
maybe I should write that up,
because so many people came up to me
and said, wow, that was awesome.
You tell these stories in a way that we can actually get
and understand it, and it's funny, and people like,
and they was like, you should write a book,
and I was like, a book?
Are you kidding?
I'm like, writing a business.
But that's sort of stuck with me and I thought,
that'd be kind of fun.
I really enjoyed that couple weeks of thinking
and I did it again.
So, every year I would sort of take two weeks off
and try to write some news, short essay
or historical thinking.
And eventually I got the opportunity
after I left my company and I said,
well, a lot of people in my field especially after you've run a company for quite a while and we were public
There just a lot of opportunities
Presented to you once you have all the scar tissue of having done it for quite a while
You know, we want to run this want to run that and I was like, you know what? I could always do that
Let me just try something totally new. Yeah, and this might be something that I think you guys talk about a lot,
I literally just talked about this with my wife this morning,
which is when given two choices,
so to repeat something you've done before,
whether it's you did the same restaurant or stay in the same place
or visit the same town for, let's say, a vacation,
or try something a little different.
I kind of tend to go for, try something new.
Yeah.
Because all other things are equal trying something new broadens your experience. It gives
you new data that you could then learn from. So after I left my company, I said, well,
I could go do this again. I've kind of done it. I sort of know a little bit what that's
like. But this writing thing has been kind of in the back of my mind, and I've always admired
really interesting writers and I had a bunch of writer friends.
I said, why don't I just take six months and see what it's like?
I have absolutely no idea.
I don't even know what it means to sit down and write because normally I go into an office
and you have certain goals and you have a team and I know exactly what to do there.
I don't know what it means to write. You're looking at a blank piece of paper. How do you structure that? So I found myself at the bottom of a hill again and that was awesome because that
meant there was going to be a hard track and pretty soon you'd get to the top and have developed a
new skill and then I found God, this is enormously fun. So that's how I kind of transition.
You know, that's amazing.
And just to reiterate to my listeners,
according to my research and listening to other podcasts
and shows you're on, you were never a big writer.
You were an English guy.
It wasn't something that you really cared for
before you made this transition.
So it's astonishing how many times you've actually
evolved and the fact that you've really over-achieved for everybody tuning in. You are a best-selling
author now. You released a book in 2019, your first book, and it's a bestseller with all these
accolades, which is amazing, you know, and you had a pharmaceutical company and you not only just
co-founded a pharmaceutical company
You guys went public and it got like very successful
So it's amazing how you've done this and reinvented yourself over and over again
Some people think that they're too old to change or switch careers
And so you must have a certain mindset about having the strength to burn everything down and then rebuild every five or
so years. So what do you think makes you different from other people who get scared and kind of, you
know, they might slightly evolve their career like for me, I went from B2B to like B2C, which was
like actually a big jump. But, you know, you totally do 360s. So what's really your secret sauce
and mindset on that?
Embracing the joy of learning, embracing the personal delta. So here's what I
mean by that. And by the way, I want to ask you because you started a podcast
that's totally new. So I'll answer your question and you answer my question. So I
think absolutely everybody can do this. Every single person can do this. They
have it inside them.
And it's absolutely comes down to kind of one simple thing.
It's looking at the hill.
Let's say you're thinking of, well, I'm doing this thing.
I've been doing it for a while.
Especially if your curiosity is sort of waned.
You know, you've kind of figured it out.
There's another thing that maybe is like a little glimmer of a baby thought in your head.
And that's cool.
Grow that little thought.
Follow that little thought and say, well, what if?
How might I explore that little thought?
And then when you look at that, there's a plus and a minus.
There is a hill.
To learn to become good at some new thing, you will be starting at the bottom of that hill.
Now, there's two ways to look at that hill.
And this is the key.
You could look at that hill as man, that's going to be a long slog clone.
That's tough.
Or you can look at that hill, that is going to be awesome when I make it up the top of that
hill. I will have
grown so much. Let's go do it. So it's absolutely the two ways of looking at that hill. And
what you want to do is follow those little thoughts, little baby ideas and change them
from I canter. It's impossible to how might? And what if questions? Stop asking yourself,
why shouldn't I do this? Because then you'll just create a lot of reasons. And start asking
yourselves, how might I? Or what if? And just keep asking how might I and what if and how
might I and what if and how might I and what if. Don't worry about all the why not stuff.
Just identify those little baby thoughts
of things that you might be doing differently,
and just keep asking yourself those two questions,
how might I blank?
What if blank?
And then whenever you see a hill,
don't worry about the climb up, embrace the climb up.
That climb up every single step is growing you.
Every single step, like for me, when I started
off at zero, never having written a page, every single step, it was awesome because you
grow the most at the beginning. Like at the beginning of the hill, you're using these
muscles you've never used, and they grow really fast. Once you've gotten really good at something,
you know, you're learning curve platoes, And this is why it's even better when you're older. And it's better the older you get. Why?
Because when you're a young kid, you have these amazing growths, learning growth. So you go from
every year in elementary school, in high school, in college, as a young adult,
you grow from a one out of ten on something, a two out of ten on something, a three out
of ten on something, to like a five out of ten, or a seven out of ten, you go from knowing
nothing about finance to sort of being in control, to getting it, but pretty quickly.
And as you get older, you've mastered sort of a core set of skills,
and that experience happens less and less.
And so, going up the hill, marching up the hill,
is actually an incredible gift to find a new hill that you want to climb,
and then experiencing that learning curve again.
So when I was in my 40s and I took a blank piece of paper,
I was like, wow, how do we do this?
I have no idea.
That's a gift.
It's like every week, I feel growth.
Whereas if you've been doing something for five years or 10 years,
how often can you say, oh, every week I've really grown in this job?
Now, if you've done something five or 10 years,
you're probably already at eight out of 10.
And maybe next week you'll be an 8.1 out of ten.
But if you start with a blank piece of paper, you start as something new, well, week one
you might be a zero out of ten, a week two you might be a two out of ten.
That's the percentage growth from zero to two is infinity.
Right?
And then from two to four, you know, it's 100% growth.
So what you do is you embrace the delta, you accept, understand, and relish the fact that
that March Up the Hill is actually a gift.
It's an incredibly rapid growth rate.
And the older you get, the rarer that is.
Yeah.
I was just going to mention, let's say you're at a level two.
You landed a new job.
You're in this new experience.
You're at a level two.
Everybody else is at an 8, 9, 10.
You have imposter syndrome, right?
It's something that a lot of us face.
How did you deal with that when you were at McKinsey's,
probably the best example of like those people were probably in
that kind of a role for a long time or something similar and you're coming out of academia
Like how did you deal with that?
You know, that's funny as it's exactly right every single transition. I felt like an imposter
I would say that feeling lasts about two years
So when I jumped from academia into the business world I was like
jumped from academia into the business world, I was like, even wearing a suit felt crazy to me because I'd been in jeans and a t-shirt and sneakers for 10 years.
I was like, this is just not me, but everyone around me is wearing this.
Let me put that on and I'm like, I'm an imposter here.
But once you realize that it's just Addictionary
Nothing anybody says has really all that complicated or hard to figure out
They're just using a shorthand because those guys who are seven or eight out of ten
They have a common language when they say you know balance sheet. I had no idea what that was or when they say you know assets
Or when they say you know strategic uncertainty
or when they say assets or when they say strategic uncertainty. Acronams or the worst.
All these acronyms, when you come in,
you have no idea what they're talking about.
So you feel like an imposter,
just like when you land in a foreign country
and they're talking all this stuff that you don't understand.
So you're like, well, I'm definitely traveling in a foreign land.
And you realize that imposter feeling
is just associated with a dictionary.
And it's not a very complicated dictionary.
Once you understand the words, the shorthand, none of the ideas are rocket science, or as a friend of mine likes to say,
none of those ideas are rocket surgery.
They're just a shorthand, and when you know what they mean, you got it, and then you're part of the club.
Once you speak the language, you're like, oh, when you said this word or this phrase,
that's what you mentioned, you said this.
And then you sort of like, okay, now I get it.
Then I jumped into starting a company, and again,
I was like, I had no idea.
I didn't even know the words.
I didn't know what venture capital was.
I didn't know how you interacted with these people.
I didn't know stock options.
I didn't know what that was.
Employment, agreement, all this stuff.
But you know what?
You know, just six months or a year you got it and none of those things are rocket science.
So you start to realize that imposter syndrome is kind of a dictionary problem.
Yeah.
And it's kind of a small dictionary problem.
It's not like you need to memorize Maryam Webster.
It's like 50 or 100 ideas or concepts or phrases.
And once you've got those under your belt,
okay, it's not really that mysterious.
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You know, that is so, so true.
Like I'm thinking about all my situations
and life where I felt like an
imposter syndrome and it's really just
all about like the words that people use
because when you're having conversations with people
and you start to get lost
because they said this acronym or word
that you're not familiar with,
then you just start feeling like,
oh, I don't belong here.
I don't even know what I'm doing.
But what I found is helpful
and I do this all the time is if I ever
am in a situation where I don't know a word,
I always write it down
and I always take time to go look it up and learn right away, you know, and that really helps you get up to speed like super quickly.
But you mentioned that you wanted to ask me something. So let me turn the tables back to you.
Well, you talk about reinvention and you talk about how hard it is. So I'm curious how did you decide to do a podcast? Yeah, well, that's a long story,
but I've been doing online radio shows
and I used to work at a radio station
since I was like 22, the past eight or so years.
I've been just doing radio on the side.
There was maybe like a four year break
when I went to go get my MBA and things like that,
but I always did it on the side
and I'm still doing it on the side.
I work at Disney streaming services right now. So it's always been like a side thing.
Which brings me to another question for you. Is like, do you recommend having side hustles
free projects that you're curious about? And I want to talk about curiosity in a bit. But do you
recommend having side hustles or kind of dropping whatever you're doing cold turkey and going
like all in? Millennials are so interested in side hustles. So of dropping whatever you're doing, cool turkey and going all in.
Millennials are so interested in side hustles,
so that's why I bring it up.
Yeah, absolutely not dropping it and going all in.
What you want to do, whenever you have a situation
that there's some fair amount of uncertainty
and you don't really know, for example,
should I do X or should I do Y or should I do Z with my life?
Absolutely in those situations what you want to do is plant a bunch of small seeds.
Spread your bets, make a bunch of little bets. So do a little bit of X,
find ways where you can do a little of X, a little of Y, a little of Z.
You plant those seeds, you don't plant one seed and then dump a ton of water
on it and hope it grows. You plant a bunch of little seeds, water them all equally, and
it will become clear to you over time and probably quite quickly which one works for you.
Like if I think I tried, let's say when I left my company, I planted a bunch of seeds while
I was talking a couple companies about this sort of advising thing, talking about some investors about this sort of investing thing,
and then doing a little bit of writing.
And I planted a bunch of seeds.
And then within months it became clear to me, I just enjoyed this one particular seed.
That flower was growing faster and bigger and more beautiful than all the other ones.
And that's when you know, like, oh, I got it.
So you absolutely want to get your feet wet.
You want to get a little bit of experience
in a few things because they won't all work out
and nothing is exactly the same.
You just don't have any data points.
You don't know what it's going to be like
until you try it.
And what you want to do is gather those data points
so that you can make a better decision in a few months or whenever it is.
Yeah. Previously, you mentioned that curiosity is really key to all this. And it reminds
me of a quote I had David Meltzer on a couple weeks ago. And he mentioned that you really
need to be more interested than interesting if you want to succeed and something new. So when it comes
to curiosity, how can we better develop that skill and why is it really so important to hone when learning
something new? Because it's a motivator. So when you are curious, you're open to new ideas. You are
enjoying asking questions and you're enjoying learning. And curiosity is really what drives learning.
If someone is lecturing at you, broadcasting it,
you dumping information on you, you're not really
learning very well.
But when you're curious and try to figure stuff out
on your own, that's when you learn the best.
And so anyone who's thinking about making a transition,
the number one thing you want
to get good at is learning.
Because you're going to have some new skills that you need to master.
So curiosity matters because learning and learning well is what will make you succeed at whatever
new thing you're trying.
So how do you hone that?
That's a really good question.
How do you hone that? That's a really good question. How do you encourage that? You have to notice the thoughts that are going on in your head. And you have to notice,
step back, and recognize whenever a tiny little bubble pops up like, wait, what? Or how did this
happen? You've got to rather than shut that down and say, let me just keep doing my regular
thing, you got to lean into that. So you've got to notice, develop the skill of noticing.
Like, for example, artists have that incredibly well I've found. And really great writers do
this incredibly well. They just go around life looking very carefully. You know, if there's
a pianist playing, what are his fingers doing?
What do they look like?
What is their texture?
How would I describe it?
What adjectives might I use?
What is his hair like?
Is it parted?
Is it not parted?
Why?
What kind of impression does that take?
What's an analogy with how he's striking the keys?
How might I describe that?
What does it remind me?
And just notice these tiny little questions and rather than redirecting, let me just be quiet and listen to the music, lean into the questions.
So if you want to hone your curiosity, lean into asking questions.
That's really good. And speaking of learning something new, let's talk about really quick how you
of learning something new. Let's talk about really quick how you learned how to write.
I was listening to that interview you had,
that's very popular with Tim Ferris,
and you were talking about how you
kind of use a scientific method to break down
the way that authors wrote,
and I thought that was really interesting,
and I was hoping you could share that with our listeners.
Yeah, I realized that I admired certain writers.
I didn't really have much experience with literature.
I came from a much more science background, a much more technical background, and people
with science and technical backgrounds are not usually known for their writing skills.
A friend sent me a book, a book of sorts of stories, or recommended the book, and I got
it, and I opened it up, and I remember reading a paragraph in my jaw-dropped.
I was like, oh my God, I didn't know the English language could do this. What is he doing?
And I started to think, well, is there a pattern? Of course, he wasn't the only one. I read just
a couple more. A handful of authors that had similar, perfect pitch, just the words, the rhythm,
the cadence just created this music that was unbelievable.
And I started to try to understand, is there a pattern to it?
What are they doing? And in the beginning, you're completely at the bottom of a hill,
0 out of 10 or 1 out of 10. And so what I would do is every night for about two hours,
I would just study one or two paragraphs, that's it.
And I would read that paragraph of a
very small handful of writers. Typically, in the book, if I mentioned on Tim's show, another one
Donald Hall, who is a poet laureate, and it's just another beautiful writer in a very different
way, almost the opposite way of in the book. And I would try to figure out what they're doing by changing the paragraph.
Like, let me change a word.
Wow, that sounds so much worse.
Why?
Why does that sound so much worse?
And then I would look at what is he doing?
You know, you can read some of the excellent guidebooks, like, you know, Strunk and White
or Aziznor is writing well or a couple of those types of things and there's sort of guidelines and
Occasionally they would just absolutely violate those guidelines. They would write in the passive voice instead of the active voice
They use very strange transitions and I'd say well, let me make it more like the guidelines
Let me rewrite that to be an active voice. Whoa, that sounds so much worse. Why?
And so slowly I started to like tease out my own little
principles like, oh, here's a principle.
Here's a principle.
And then I would copy and paste like examples of other writing.
And so I developed kind of a short list of principles.
Here's what they do.
Here's like a pacing beat.
Here's a certain kind of transition.
Here's another kind of transition. When I would read, I didn't read for plot or for story. I would just
read to see these kind of writing principles that really great writers that I admired were
using. And then it was very difficult in the beginning because I had no eye for it, no
ear for it. I didn't really understand.
But it's like going on a basketball court and shooting baskets, the first time you go
there, you might even miss the rim completely.
But if you just keep doing it and keep doing it all of a sudden, you'll get the hang of
it.
You watch what other people do, then it starts to go in a few times and it started to sort
of make sense. So it was kind of this tunneling into very
small doses of writing and trying to vary them a little bit and trying to tease out what
is it that they're doing and not giving up that made the difference.
That's amazing. And I think like whether you want to get into writing or whatever you're
trying to get into, just take cues from what
he did for writing, like study the experts, like for me, I like to listen to podcasts hosts
and look at like how do they transition, how do they open up their show, like what are the
little things that you can take from everyone? Because at the end of the day, everyone's basically
just copying each other and learning from each other and you can put together your own style by taking tidbits from everyone else.
So I think that's wonderful advice.
We are about halfway through and I think that we should move on to your wildly fascinating concept,
Loon Shots. This past year you wrote a book called Loon Shots,
how to nurture the crazy ideas that win mores, tear diseases and transform.
This book has been selected for the Washington
Posts 10 leadership books to watch for in 2019. Inks 10 business books you need to read in 2019
and business insiders 14 books everyone will be reading in 2019. So basically everyone saying
to read your book and that's super impressive and I want ask, how does it feel to be a brand new author
with a hit right out of the gate?
And did you expect this much success right away?
I feel like a total imposter.
It's very hard for me even to get the words out of my mouth
that I'm a writer or an author.
It just sounds incredibly strange to me
because that was not my life at all, even remotely,
for 20 years. So it's a very...
yeah, I just feel like an imposter. I'm still in that beginning phase.
Yeah, for sure. To answer your question, I had absolutely no idea. I was writing this stuff. A lot of it
was, you know, things that made me laugh, things that were funny for me, things that I was really curious about, histories that I'd grown up being told, and all we thought were true, and then as I dug in,
and I just really enjoy digging in to find the real story beneath the surface or fake story,
I discovered holy cow, what really happened was almost exactly the opposite. I found that fascinating.
And I found how do I structure all this stuff? How do I tell the story of how the allies
one world were two or the rise and fall of pain am or Edwin Land and Polaroid and his secret
clandestine activities advising the federal government or Steve Jobs and Pixar or the rise
and fall of the British Empire and how
they're all connected by this one idea, how could I possibly connect these stories? That was such an
interesting puzzle for me to solve that I just enjoyed doing and I had absolutely no idea whether
anybody else would share my sense of humor or share my curiosity about it. So I just did the best I
could to make it interesting.
Somewhere in the middle there actually, I got some great advice which was, don't worry about
what anybody else thinks. Just make something beautiful.
That's good.
And that was from Richard Preston who was the best selling author of a book called The Hot
Zone and as a great writer, a very experienced writer. He said, just make something beautiful.
So anytime
I kind of mind straight to, hey, what might happen in the future? I just said, you know what?
Eh, it doesn't matter. Just make something beautiful. And I would go back to the manuscript
and back to the book and back to the stories and just try to make them better.
Yeah, well, it's clear that you did a good job. So congratulations. Digging into Loon Chats,
we actually interviewed billionaire
and entrepreneur Naveen Jane a couple months back and he wrote the book Moon Shots creating
a world of abundance and it was a great conversation if anyone's interested to go tune into that
it's episode 22. Moon Shots has become somewhat of a buzzword and most people know what that is.
A moon shot is an astronomically
ambitious project. It's usually pretty expensive. It radically changes the world, like going to the
moon or carrying cancer. And from my research, I learned that you actually made up the word
moonshot. So why did you feel like you needed to create an entirely new word? And how is a moonshot
different than moonshot?
Or are you saying it's the same thing,
but we got moonshots wrong?
A moonshot, as you said, is a big goal.
It's a destination.
Moon shots is how we get there.
Nurturing moonshots is how we get there.
And the reason I made up the term is because,
although a moonshot is a big goal,
it's something that's generally widely recognized
as being important.
For example, when Kennedy declared in 1961, we should put a man on the moon by the end of
the decade, that was the original moonshot and he was widely applauded.
But moonshots are ideas that are often widely dismissed or neglected and their champions are written off as crazy.
And that's because the big ideas, the ones that change the course of science, business,
or history rarely arrive with blaring trumpets and red carpets dazzling everybody with their brilliance.
They're much more likely to go through these long dark tunnels of being rejected for years. For example, when Kennedy suggested
his idea in 61, he was absolutely applauded for that. But not many people know that 40 years
earlier, Robert Goddard suggested the ideas that would get us to the moon, which is liquid-fueled
jet propulsion. In other words, rockets. And when Goddard suggested his ideas, he was widely ridiculed.
The New York Times wrote a piece saying, well, this man Goddard doesn't understand the basic
principles of physics that we teach our children in high school every year, namely that Newton's
laws of action and reaction make rocket flight in space in a vacuum impossible. There's
nothing to push against. And 14 years after Goddard's death in July 1969, one day
after the successful Apollo 11 rocket launch to the moon, the Times issued a
retraction. Apparently rocket flight does not violate 17th century physics and
quote, the Times regrets the error.
So Goddard's idea was a classic loonshot.
Loonshots are how we get to those great big goals.
And they matter because if you are running a business or if you are directing a military
and you ignore those loonshots, you are taking a big risk that your competitor
or your enemy nurtures them first.
For example, the US had dismissed Goddard's ideas, this loonshots of rocket flight, but
not Nazi Germany.
Scientists in Germany read Goddard's papers that this could work, and they built the first
jet aircraft and the first long-range missiles,
the first jet-powered missiles, which the allies had no answer to. That's why declaring moon
shots is a good thing, it's fine, but nurturing moon shots is even more important.
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That's so interesting.
So, why do you think it is that the most important breakthroughs in any field are usually the ones
that get shot down at first?
Because if they're not, if everybody said, hey, yeah, let's go do it, then everybody
would have done it.
So, the really big breakthroughs are the ones that get shot down that are very easy to dismiss.
I'll give you an example.
You're probably too young to take a stat and drag, and you're probably very healthy, but
tens of millions of Americans take statins.
Those are cholesterol-lowering drugs.
And when the guy who discovered the statins, who created that statin category, as Japanese
scientist named
Kuro Endo.
It started that project.
It seemed like lowering cholesterol would be a good thing.
But then very rapidly, a bunch of data came in that cholesterol-loving diets didn't really
work and some other drugs that claimed to lower cholesterol didn't really work and almost
everybody gave up.
But he kept going and people told him he was kind of crazy to continue
because not only did all these trials not work in this cholesterol-loving stuff, but people said,
well, wait a minute, every cell in your body contains cholesterol. So what you're doing just sounds
completely nuts, completely stupid. Don't even try. But he persisted and then he tried again and
then he came up, we found this drug, which turned out to be the persisted and then he tried again and then he came up, we found this drug
which turned out to be the first stat
and then he tried it in mice,
which is what you do in drug discovery.
And it didn't work.
Nothing happened.
And that point almost everyone would give up.
They said, look, if you can't make it work
in the laboratory, then you don't have anything.
But he kept going because he said,
well, you know, maybe there's a species difference
and he had some reason to believe that the drug and the cholesterol work differently in different species.
It turns out he was exactly right now.
We know that rats only have the one kind of cholesterol, the good cholesterol,
whereas humans and apes and chickens and others have both.
So he kept going.
And he discovered, oh, look, wow, it works really well in chickens and they
ran it in trials.
And after they started in the early trials, again, there was some negative data and everybody
abandoned the field, but he kept going.
He kept going and in the end, we got this drug that has now saved millions of lives. So that's a story of what I call the three deaths
of the Loonshot, the really good ideas are not the ones
that are like, oh, let me try it for a week.
I think it's working awesome.
Let's go do it.
Because if you tried it for a week,
chances are lots of people tried it for a week.
I thought your principal of three deaths
or three massive failures was so interesting.
And you say that every Loge out really needs to go through this
before they're worthy of deeper consideration.
So what do you exactly mean by that?
That was a lesson that a very famous drug discoverer,
a guy named Sir James Black, who passed away a few years ago,
but we're very lucky to be able to work with him
in the last few years of his life.
And he won the Nobel Prize for developing
two of the biggest medical breakthroughs
of the latter part of the 20th century.
And I remember one day I was feeling kind of depressed,
kind of dejected, some experiment
hadn't worked in the lab.
And we sort of late at night,
we're having a couple whiskeys together
and he leaned over and he said to me,
oh my boy, it's not a good drug
unless it's been killed three times.
And what he was telling me is like,
don't worry about these project failures.
He said, all of the really good projects
have failed several times before they succeeded.
And the more I looked, it wasn't just true in my field
and medical research.
It was true broadly.
Like Facebook was the 25th social network. There'd been a couple dozen
before Facebook. Google was maybe 18th search engine, I think. There'd been many before. None of
them had made any money. None of them had succeeded in business. And there were all sorts of
reasons that they previous ones had failed. And that comes down to another principle, which is the false fail, which is sometimes you
will get a failure that's not because your idea is bad, but because there's a flaw in
the experiment.
So the example I told you of the statin drugs, which have now saved millions of lives
undertaken by tens of millions of American, it is a good idea.
It really does work.
But when they gave it to the mice, when they started it in mouse studies, it failed, which
is when so many people gave up.
But that was a false fail, because trying to treat mice with a drug that lowers bad cholesterol
and mice don't have that, that's a flaw in the experiment.
So Facebook was another good story of a false fail because what happened was when Zuckerberg
was taking this idea around in 2004, I think, it was right around the time of Friendster,
Friendster had risen as a social network and then was starting to fail.
Like people were abandoning Friendster for the next sexy social network, which at the
time was my space. And so all of these investors passed and they said, well, social networks
are just like jeans. They're a fad. You know, someone wears this gene and this season
and then switches to this other brand and this other season and so forth. And everybody
just switches social networks. So there's no money, no money and all these investors passed.
Well that was a false fail.
It was the false fail of Friendster and Peter Teal as an example when he had some friends
who worked at Friendster and he got the data and he looked at the retention data and he
said, holy cow, people are staying on this site for hours.
That's kind of amazing.
And that's despite the fact when you use Forenster,
as he knew, the site wasn't very stable,
it kept crashing.
And he realized people were leaving Forenster not
because it was a bad business model.
Any site that can get users to stay for hours
is probably going to be a pretty good business model.
They were leaving because of a software glitch.
It was a false fail.
That was a false fail of Friendster.
Tio wrote a check for $500,000 and he sold it eight years later for a billion.
That's incredible.
It just goes to show how you really need to dig into the actual failure and not just write
it off as, oh yeah, this failed.
Next, you call it, listen to the suck with curiosity.
Right. Exactly.
Right.
And I add the curiosity thing there because you get this advice,
to read this advice all the time of active listening.
So I got those lectures and workshops all the time, active listening,
repeat back what you've heard.
But just repeating back what you've heard is not good enough.
If you've poured your soul into a project, you're a young entrepreneur and you know, an investor
walks away or someone rejects your pitch or a partner walks away, a customer doesn't
like your product, just saying, okay, yeah, I got it.
And moving on is not very helpful.
Your temptation when someone rejects your pissed
or a customer walks away is, oh, they just don't get it
or are idiots, it's just to dismiss them,
especially if someone tells you, oh, your baby's ugly,
you're like, what, and you just want to hit them.
But what you really want to do is take off that defensiveness hat
and probe like a detective, like a Sherlock Holmes.
Set aside all that rejection stuff
and give yourself time to get over it.
And then probe, like Sherlock Holmes,
oh, could you help me understand?
What was it about my picture?
What was it about the market?
And only by getting really curious,
and that's a gift. You have to be very
polite. You have to ask people very nicely because there's no upside to them. And walking
you through why they said no. They're busy. And those are difficult conversations. And they
could end friendships if they don't go well. So you really have to probe and use the best hands and people skills you've got
to tease out why they rejected whatever you are offering.
Because only when you pull on that thread, if you pull on that thread enough, there will
be a little gold nugget at the end, which is something you overlooked.
They may know something about competitors or about the market that you just don't know,
but a lot of people who are looking do know.
We're going to choose product X because it has this feature and that's why we like it.
And you had no idea, you're a little blind to it because you've been working with blinders
on on your thing.
Only by listening to the suck with curiosity, LSC, you can pull on that thread and get that
little gold nugget that can save you.
Yeah.
At what point would you suggest that people give up on an idea?
For me, actually, that LSC is a signal.
It's sort of like a thermometer or a reality check.
If I'm getting rejection after rejection and I find myself just getting really, really
defensive and my curiosity has stopped, then it might
be time.
If however, I'm still really curious, I'm like, oh, help me understand.
Then it may be a sign that I am onto something because if I'm really curious, I've understood that there's a cord there,
and I will keep probing until I can keep pulling on that thread and find out why it's not working.
Once I find out why it's not working and I have that data, I will probably have enough data on my own to make a decision.
If I really set aside the defensiveness and the dismissing and the urge to call your
mother and get support that you're on the right track and all that stuff, and really listen
with curiosity, genuine curiosity, not sort of lip surface curiosity.
Help me understand why you're not interested.
That would be a super valuable thing you could do if you just take five minutes and walk
me through.
Once you've done that enough, you will probably know.
If they're missing it because a competitor is offering X and that's better than what
you have for some reason, then you can go back and say, look, can I match that competitor?
Can I do something better than them in which case you'll go work on it?
Or you'll know like, wow, I just cannot think of a single way. I can make my thing better than I can better. I'm going to give it like a week, but I just can't think of a single way I can
make it better than that competitor. And then you know, you have your answer. So for me, when my LSC flag has gone down, and I'm not asking
with curiosity anymore, I know kind of the emotions have taken
over that I'm not really rational about it.
Very cool.
Flipping back to Lune Shots and kind of getting more detail
into that.
For my understanding, there's really two types.
There's P type and S type. Could
you describe the different store listeners and maybe give an example of each one? Sure. So this
is important because most people have blinders to one or the other. They're very good at one and
not the other. And by missing that, they are putting themselves at great risk. It's somebody will very quickly figure out something better
and take them over.
And if you learn how to do that,
you can be a far, far stronger entrepreneur
and manager leader.
So here's what I mean.
P-type is a product,
lunchotter, product innovation,
something that makes your product better.
For example, discovery of the telephone,
or the discovery of the transistor,
the personal computer, or a jet engines. Those are all new products.
S-type is a small change in strategy.
For example, when Sam Walton had this idea, he wanted to open a retail store, and his wife said, dream, but I just don't want to live in a big city. So he found a town he liked being
married and he liked quail hunting. So he found a town in northwest Arkansas that was
right on the border of four states. You could do quail hunting all year round. And he put
his store there. He didn't create any new product. Selling stuff is not a new product,
selling it a little bit cheaper is not a new
product.
He just moved somewhere different.
And there was a huge demand as he later found out out in rural America for larger stores
that sold stuff a little bit more cheaply.
So that's an example of an S-type strategy.
So if you're, let's say, an artist, you can create a new product or you're a scientist,
you can create a new product, you're an engineer, you can create a new product that other people
don't have.
But strategy might be a new way to market it, a new person you can partner with, a new
channel you can use to get the word out.
None of those have to do with inventing a new product.
Those are all small changes in strategy, a new way to price it, a new way
to bundle it with something that no one has thought about bundling it before. So the
reason it matters of understanding these two different things is most people just say,
let me make my product better and then sit back and see what happens. Well, usually
nothing. The ones who really do great are the ones who can do both, who can make their
product better and come up with a new strategy, a new way of bundling it with somebody, a new
person to work with, a new kind of partnership, a new kind of collaboration, a new kind of
pricing model. Then they can reach kind of incredible heights.
Another concept that I think is related to this that you talk about in your book and
it deals with specifically leadership is the Moses trap.
Would you unpack this for our listeners?
Yeah, the Moses trap is this kind of myth of leadership that you will get if you read
sort of Glossy magazine articles and so on, that the great leader is one who stands on the
top of a mountain and raises his or her staff and anoints the chosen project.
This is what we will work on the iPod and parts the seas and everybody gets out of the
way and does that.
So that's a myth and that's actually a trap.
That might work once or twice, but if that's how you lead, it's going to inevitably end
in disaster because you will raise your staff and anoint the wrong thing.
As happened for Steve Jobs early in his career
when he did lead like that.
And that was a disaster many times,
a nearly bankrupted several of his companies.
The first Apple, Stintit next, and Pixar when he took it over,
all three nearly failed and went bankrupt when he led
in that way
What the truly great leaders do who build these organizations that can earn relentlessly can stay ahead of the competition
They lead much more like careful gardeners
They have the delicate hand of a gardener where they can balance
One of the soldiers who are taking care of the
core business, who are delivering and manufacturing products on time, on budget, on spec, and
getting them to customers with quality consistently.
And the radical idea is that those people or groups or projects that are easily dismissed
and seem a little nutty, the loon shots.
And those two sets of projects are two sets of people, a very different the artist and the soldiers.
And I'll come back to what that means to small companies where you don't have the resource that have two separate types of people.
But in general, you have these two kinds of minds mindset, the artist mindset, where you're really
trying to maximize risk.
You want to try a lot of things that seem a little bit crazy, most of which will fail,
and that's good.
And then the soldier mindset, where you're trying to minimize risk, and those are opposite
objectives, and a lot of companies fail because they mash them together.
One is like solid, one is like liquid, and if you try to do both at the same time,
all you get is mush.
What you really need to do is separate those mindsets
and say, look, for this part of the year,
or with this group of the people, this is our job,
and it's awesome.
It's a great thing to do.
You gotta love your artist and soldiers equally,
and that's the key.
You gotta love both sides equally. You gotta appreciate both sides equally artist and soldiers equally and that's the key. You've got to love both sides equally. You've got to appreciate both sides equally. You
can't favor one or the other. That's what a gardener does. It nurtures the tiny little
baby stage ideas. Make sure it transfers them to the field where they can grow into big
mature plants. And then he brings back those ideas. He creates the ecosystem for ideas
and projects to travel between the artists and
soldiers equally.
That needs the delicate hand of a gardener because those two mindsets are so different.
The failure point in most innovation is the transfer between those two things, is getting
that balance right.
So leading like a Moses tends to be a disaster because you just point to one group and say you do this and
you miss that delicate balance and the transfer back and forth that you need to succeed.
Some I related, I know that you believe that structure is more important than culture.
There's a common saying most of us have probably heard culture eat strategy for breakfast,
meaning that bad culture destroys companies, no matter
how good their strategies may be.
But you challenge that status quo with your own saying that structure eats culture for lunch.
So can you tell us a little bit about what you mean by this and why structure is so important
for organizational success?
Sure.
So you can think of culture as the patterns of behavior that you see on the surface.
You have a political culture, you have an innovative culture, and the problem with this notion of
you got to address culture and change culture, is that fixing culture is very hard and often impossible.
No amount of forcing employees to watch two-hour videos or sink in by our hold hands is going to change culture very much.
But if you look at structure, which is for example what do you reward?
Those are the small changes that can actually transform behavior.
So for example, if you're at a group or company that rewards rank, that's what's celebrated,
you're going to get a very political culture because everyone's going to be sort of elbowing their neighbor to get promoted.
On the other hand, if you're at a company that rewards ideas and intelligent risk-taking, for example,
promotions, you only get 1% bump in salary. I'm just going to take an extreme.
Let's say in the first case, by rewarding Wank, let's say promotions get to the extreme like 100% bump in cell or you get a very political culture.
If you reward intelligent ideas and risk-taking and forget about what your rank is or what your hierarchy is,
you're going to get a very innovative culture. That's what I mean by structure can drive
culture, can drive patterns of behavior. The analogy I use is with a glass of water. So
of behavior. The analogy I use is with a glass of water. So, pattern of behavior is, for example, are the molecules sloshing around. It's a liquid, or the molecules rigidly in place that's a solid.
It's the same exact molecule. Those are just two very different patterns of behavior. Now,
I'll tell you what, no amount of yelling at a block of ice, no amount of a CEO yelling at a
block of ice. Hey, molecules, why don't you guys loosen
up a little bit?
It's going to melt that block of ice.
They're going to just be rigidly in place.
But a small change in temperature can get the job done.
Small change in temperature can melt steel.
So underlying the patterns of behavior that you see are these small elements of structure
that can have dramatic effects on those patterns
of behavior.
And that's what I mean by structure can eat culture for lunch.
Awesome.
So we're running up on time.
Before we go, I thought a really fun way to close out this episode would be to ask you
some fun questions that you have on your website that kind of sum up some of the key themes in your
book. So I'll trigger you one by one with each of them. What do James Bond and Lipitor have in common?
They were both initially Loon Chots that became wildly successful franchises. The first James
Bond was rejected by every major film studio. It went through the three deaths of a Loon Chot,
every studio killed. It said, oh, deaths of a Loonshot, every studio killed it.
It said, oh, there's no way anyone will take seriously
a metro-sexual British spy who saves the world.
And then it grew into the longest-running,
most successful film franchise in history.
Lipitor, is a cholesterol-lowing drug,
went through the three deaths of the Loonshot
no way it'll ever work,
and it became the most successful
drug franchise in history. Why do traffic jams appear out of nowhere on highways? Traffic jams appear
out of nowhere, that's an example of a phase transition. We were just talking about liquid to
solid as a sudden change in pattern of behavior that's triggered by a small change in structure.
Well, traffic jams suddenly appear on highways because it's also a phase transition between
two states.
One is called smooth flow and one is called jammed flow and you get the sudden transition
between those two as you cross a critical density of cars on the highway.
As soon as a separation gets closer than a certain amount, people's urge to slam
on their brakes when something small happens overrides their desire to target cruise speed
and little things grow into massive jams.
How does that relate to moon shots?
Well, the idea in the book is a new way of thinking about the behavior of groups and the patterns
people have in teams and companies. Why they suddenly change from embracing wild new ideas to rigidly rejecting them like a
glass of water will suddenly change from liquid to solid or a traffic flow will suddenly
change from smooth flow to jammed flow.
And so it's actually no one has really thought about groups or behavior of groups in this
way in 200 years.
So it's a new way of thinking about that.
And once you understand that,
once you understand this idea of a transition
in the behavior of group
and their small changes in structure,
and you can tease out what the small changes in structure are,
you can begin to manage it.
You can begin to control it.
You can design more innovative teams and companies
and it gives you a handful of rules you can use to innovate faster and better.
Awesome. Well, this was an incredible interview. I really, really, really enjoyed this conversation. It was so nice to talk to you.
You are such a smart, brilliant guy. It was so much experience, so much to share with us. So I wish you the best.
I hope you continue to write because you clearly have a talent for it. Where can our listeners go to learn more about you and everything that you do?
The account of my website, loonshots.com or follow me on Twitter or LinkedIn. The tag is just my
full name, Safi Bakal. Cool. Well, thank you so much Safi with such a pleasure. Thank you. It's
a enormously fun and and thank you for all the kind words.
I should do this every morning, really boost me up.
And anytime.
Thank you.
Thank you very much.
You have it, a Yap Classic with Safi,
but call one of my favorites, straight from the young
and profiting vault.
Remember, Yap episodes are evergreen.
So go on and flip through all of our past content,
because I bet there's a gem out there that you've missed.
What episode would you like to hear next on our YAP Classic series?
Be sure to let me know on your favorite podcast platform by leaving us a review or you can connect with me on social media.
You can find me on Instagram at YAP with Hala or LinkedIn. Just search for my name. It's Hala Taha.
Big thanks to the amazing Yap team as always. This is Hala signing off.
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