Your Undivided Attention - Changing Our Climate of Denial — with Anthony Leiserowitz
Episode Date: April 22, 2020We agree more than we think we do, but tech platforms distort our perceptions by amplifying the loudest, angriest and most dismissive voices online. In reality, they’re just a noisy faction. This Ea...rth Day we ask Anthony Leiserowitz, Director of the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, how he shifts public opinion on climate change. We’ll see how tech platforms could amplify voices of solidarity within our own communities. More importantly, we’ll see how they could empower 2 billion people to act in the face of global threats.
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Hey, everybody. Welcome to your undivided attention.
Aiz and I are trying something a little bit different this time because we're living in a new world with the coronavirus, and it's moving very quickly, and it's also Earth Day.
And we wanted to have a specific conversation about climate change, and especially how it relates to the coronavirus.
There's a lot of parallels and similarities. And many people don't know this, but one of the reasons we started the Center for Humane Technology was our concern that you can't actually address a problem like climate change without fixing the way to be.
technology platforms organize our reality and our sense of agency and action.
So today we're going to have Tony Lyserowitz from the Yale Center for Climate Communications
on to talk about what lessons we can learn in how we design technology to support
positive, optimistic, empowering, coordinated action on the problem.
I'm Tristan Harris.
I'm Azaraskin, and this is your undivided attention.
So my basic pathway is that I started as a major in international relations, and I studied Cold War politics.
I really thought I had a long career ahead of me trying to keep the world from blowing itself up with nuclear weapons.
So I did a lot of studying of the Soviet Union and China and U.S. nuclear policy.
Six months before I graduated, however, the Berlin Wall came down, and my international relations degree turned into a
a history degree overnight. And so I wasn't really sure what I was going to do at that point. And so
I ended up following a friend of out to of all places, Aspen, Colorado. I thought I was going to just
be a ski bum, travel around the world, you know, enjoy my 20s. And instead I ended up getting a real job
at a little place called the Aspen Global Change Institute, which is a world class institute that brings
together many of the world's top climate change and global environmental scientists. And it was,
I spent four years there, ultimately became the education coordinator, and it was an incredible
experience working with some of the most brilliant minds in climate change. And this was in the
1990, so relatively early in at least the public phase of the issue. And it was just this incredible
education. I mean, just what we knew even back then was very clear. I mean, really the broad
outlines have not changed that much in the intervening 30 years. We knew that the world was warming.
we knew that it was going to have all kinds of dire consequences.
We knew that we needed to bend the curve on carbon pollution starting as soon as possible.
But anyway, by the end of that experience, I found myself getting a little frustrated because
not because of the people, the people are fantastic, but I felt like on the end, because we were
talking about the consequences of climate change mostly as well as the causes, I ultimately
felt like we were talking about symptoms and not the underlying reasons why we have this problem
in the first place.
because, you know, the reason we have climate change is human beings.
Same with biodiversity extinctions and the ozone hole and all the other issues we were looking at.
It's human perceptions.
It's human decisions.
It's human choices.
It's human behavior that's created each of these problems.
So I really felt like the key question was, what do we need to know about human beings that got us into these problems in the first place?
And likewise, if we really want to solve them, the answer is going to lie in the social sciences and in the humanities.
probably not in the natural sciences. So that just basically led me on a search back into graduate school
where I had just a great fortune to work with lots of different scholars from lots of different
fields to really try to understand those deep, deep questions. And I'm still in pursuit of those
questions today. One of the things human beings are very bad at are visualizing exponentials.
It's just something we cannot do. And behind the flattening the curve we're all familiar with now for
COVID, there's an even bigger flat the curve for climate change. I'm curious from that understanding
of human behavior at how human beings perceive the world, what's blocking us as human beings
and what do communications need to solve so that we can make those far off things close,
tangible, feelable, touchable. Yeah, great question. Let's see, you got about three months because this is
a full class. So look, this is taking place at multiple levels. So let's start,
just with core human psychology, the way the brain works. So we know that broadly speaking,
the human brain has two very different processing systems. You know, what is what we call
the analytic system? It codes reality and words and numbers and abstract symbols. It's very
slow and deliberate. It's rational. It's logical. I mean, science itself is one of the preeminent
expressions of that. And it's an incredibly powerful way of thinking. It's given us our entire modern
civilization. It's a lot of us to send, you know, a spaceship beyond the solar system. It's an
incredibly powerful tool, but it takes a lot of discipline. I mean, you literally have to be
disciplined, and that's why we call them disciplines in academia, how to think that way. Okay,
it's not something that we're born with. But we also have this other parallel processing
system that we loosely call the experiential system. And it's the realm of images and feelings
and associations. It's very quick. It's intuitive. It's basically the system that we share with
many other animal species on the planet. And it's the system that, frankly, has allowed us to
survive for millions of years. It's the system that you know when you're walking in the woods and
you suddenly hear a crack of a stick behind you, your body immediately goes into essentially
fight or flight mode, right? And that's long before your conscious brain catches up and says,
oh, where did that come from? Because, you know, from a Stone Age perspective, that might be a
saber-tooth tiger about to jump on you. So you've got to be ready to react. Those two systems are
constantly at play at the same time in us. So the deeper cultural issue is that here in the
West, we've tended to see them as polar opposites and that we've tended to privilege one over
the other, reason good, feeling, and emotion bad. That's actually a completely bonkers way
of thinking about it because in terms of neuroscience, those different parts of the brain are
absolutely interconnected by bazillions, and that's a scientific term, of interconnections. So the fact is that
even when you're trying to be as rational as possible, you're still getting the influence of those
emotion centers. It's actually been found you can't make a good decision because what's good.
Good is something that you learn from that experiential system, not from the analytics.
So anyway, that's just background to say that these things are also playing out in the issue of climate change.
And it's frankly similar in COVID. This has basically been like an x-ray of the fact that some of us
tend to rely more on analytic thinking, and some of us tend to rely more in that experiential
thinking. You know, look, the scientists were clear back in December that this epidemic was
moving fast. I mean, those models had been built for years of what a global pandemic would
look like. There were warnings all over the place, including at the very highest levels,
like the World Health Organization. This was how it's going to play out across the world. It was
invisible to most people. I mean, many people here in the United States looked around and said,
Well, that's only happening in China.
There's nobody here that has it, or even when a few people had it, just a few people in a country of over 300 million.
I don't know anybody that has it.
That's an incredibly dangerous way to make decisions if you're just basing them on your own direct experience.
Because by the time you've directly experienced COVID, it's in yourself or in your friends or family networks, it's too late.
I mean, it's now gotten way beyond what's controllable.
So there's a kind of an X-ray example in our lived experience right now of these two different systems and that they lead people to make decisions in very different ways.
That same thing is, of course, happening with climate change.
As you just said, look, the core cause of climate change is just one important example is CO2.
And if your listeners are near a window, you can look out the window right now and there's CO2 pouring out of tailpipes, assuming there's cars going by, it's coming out of smoke stacks, it's coming out of your house, it's coming out of your mouth and nose is very second.
But until I said it, you weren't conscious of it because it's invisible.
If CO2 was black or pink or some bright color and we saw it everywhere around us belching out of all of those different sources, we would have taken action on this a long time ago.
Likewise, the impacts have been largely invisible to most people.
They don't realize that, in fact, climate change is here and now.
And that I would just end with saying that's been one of our main findings for over a decade,
is that many Americans continue to think of climate change is distant, distant in time,
but the impacts won't be felt for a generation or more, and distant in space.
This is about polar bears or some developing countries, but not the United States,
not my state, not my community, not my family, not my friends, not me.
And as a result, it's psychologically distant.
It's just one of a dozen other issues that's out there.
I kind of wish somebody might do something about it,
but I don't see why it's urgent.
I don't see why it should be a high priority.
And again, you can see there's the similarity with COVID.
It was happening somewhere over on the other side of the planet.
It didn't seem like that was going to ever be a problem here until it was.
Yeah, totally.
And when I think about also the psychology of human denial,
even Aza and I remember we were talking back in January,
and we had friends who were actually shutting me along,
arm bells about this, but it was hard, I will admit myself, to sort of fully say, wow, you know,
I should treat this as the global rerouting emergency that's going to change everything because
that's an uncomfortable thing. It's better to sort of say, well, I already had those things
booked on my calendar. I already had those plans. I'm going to keep going there. And, you know,
I once spent a whole year basically studying the psychology of denial because I was so fascinated
by how you can simultaneously know something and not know it at the same time. Again, it's not
like I wasn't aware of epidemiology or didn't, you know, understand what my friends were saying
when they were, you know, who were more dialed into this.
And so I think that's another aspect here.
It's sort of like if you're so smart, why aren't you rich?
Like if you're so right that this is, you know, the apocalypse,
then why isn't everyone running around?
And I think the dependence on social psychology that we depend on other people
noticing and responding and acting as if something is wrong.
And that's the importance of those top-down government actions
where it's say, okay, let's all shelter in place.
Until that happens, your perception is flipped.
The people who are doing the quote-unquote the wrong thing,
who are just walking around acting like everything is normal.
that's what your eyeballs see.
So your eyeballs are seeing the people
who are doing the quote unquote the wrong thing
and the people who are doing the right thing
sheltering in place at home are not visible.
And I think it's very similar in just the same sense
of what got us here won't get us there.
The brain evolutionary hardware
that got us to this point that helped us survive
is exactly the opposite of what we need to get us
to the next phase.
And that's true in general
about most of the beliefs that we carry
and we have to be in a process of conscious evolution.
That's kind of where my mind goes
in hearing you.
But when I want to riff with you is I know that you have done some very deep work on where
the psychology on climate change has been over the last, I think it's a few decades now at
the Sixth America's study.
What is the current state of the art about climate psychology in?
Let's go to the United States because I think it is a country that matters so much for shaping
what the Paris Agreement gets continued or not or how we vote, et cetera.
Sure.
So we already talked about kind of like the individual level psychology, right?
Like how the brain works.
Well, of course, the brain exists within a body, and that body exists within a social context.
And so there's a social psychology. And then beyond that, especially in the United States, there's a political psychology. So let's put a pin there because that's important too.
So the social psychology is exactly right. I mean, what you were just saying, that this is the realm of what we call social norms, that there are these kind of unwritten cultural rules that guide so much of our daily lives. And I'll use the concrete example from my life. When I grew up, there was smoking everywhere. It was in bars,
it was in restaurants.
If you flew across the country, you'd be strapped to your seat with 50 other people in a metal tube all puffing away.
You couldn't get away from it.
You know, if we were all sitting around a table together right now and I pulled out a cigarette, you'd probably recoil in horror.
Okay?
That's not because of a law.
That's not because of regulation.
That's because the social norm, the expectation of what proper behavior is has so shifted in our society.
Well, it turns out those social norms are hugely important in how people think about and respond to climate change.
as well as COVID.
So let me just go to COVID for a moment
because we've just done a big national study
and we've got a paper and prep.
So this is not peer reviewed yet,
but it basically is very consistent
with everything else we know
about human communication patterns.
Is that, yes, there's top-down communication, right?
There's what you're hearing from President Trump.
There's what you're hearing from the governors.
There's what you're hearing from the CDC
and Anthony Fauci, you know,
top-down vertical communication.
But it's also incredibly important
to pay attention to the horizontal communication.
In other words, the communication that we're having with our friends and our family,
and that includes not just the emails that we send or the social media post that we post
or the conversations we're having, but it's also the role modeling we're doing, right?
If everybody else around you is sheltering in place that you, in your friend and family
network is all sheltering in place, that's a clear signal that something's really important
to all of the people around you.
And in fact, if they expect you to do the same, there are social,
costs, right? If you refuse to do that, because they will look at you weird. Like, what's wrong
with you, dude? So those social norms turn out to play a really important role in how we respond,
not just to COVID, but also to climate change. And again, there's lots of interesting things here
for both good and bad. If nobody else is seemingly taking it seriously, then many people think,
well, then it's not a big issue. But on the flip side, we also know that, in fact, a good colleague of
mine here at Yale did a neat study where he found that when a homeowner puts solar panels on
their roof, it greatly increases the odds that somebody else in that neighborhood is going to put
solar panels on their roof because it's a form of role modeling. It's a form of social
signaling and display. So yes, as Aristotle said, we are social animals. We are absolutely
influenced by what the people that we care about are doing around us. One of the thoughts that
hits me as you say those things is because we are all now stuck at home, the way we
we see the world is through the sort of the telescope of our technology, which is to say that
technology has become our social fabric, their kind of social habitat design. And the way those
systems are designed deeply affects how we perceive, how we see the people around us, those
horizontal connections, as well as the vertical connections. And so, you know, I think about
the immense power that the social platforms wield, to give one example from 2010, Facebook,
put up one message, one time that use social proof to get people to go vote. And it just showed
six of your friends that had already gone to vote, said, these people vote, so should you. You click one
button. And that got 340,000 people, like their butts out of their chairs to a pull in place that
would not have gone and voted before. And that's like the smallest, most atomized version of this.
One major question I have for you is, you know, we live in this discontinuous time with COVID.
I look around and I see a whole bunch of climate positive norms potentially being set.
Things like, why fly across the country for a meeting when you could just zoom in?
I had a Seder with my family in New York.
What are the social norms we should be pushing and cementing now?
And especially if we can pull the levers of the social habitat design, what are the opportunities here?
Well, they're incredible.
I don't think we all know the answer to that.
Yeah, because we're making it up as we go.
There's just a ton of stuff.
I mean, look at what it's doing to online commerce.
Suddenly, people are discovering, I don't have to go to the grocery store anymore.
I don't have to go clothes shopping anymore.
I can do much of that virtually.
But this is also happening against the backdrop of an economic crisis.
And that, too, is already affecting things.
And, I mean, we don't know how that's going to work out yet.
But if we look back to the Great Depression, and this seems to be getting into that same territory,
we don't know that it's going to last as long.
But, I mean, there are long breadlines already.
I mean, not people standing in lines, but people in cars for miles waiting to get food boxes.
What we know from the Great Depression era is that many people came out of that changed forever.
I mean, it affected their worldview.
They became more of savers than they were consumers, more than spenders.
So we don't know in many ways how humanity writ large, because that's the other thing,
it's happening globally, more or less at the same time, how this is going to,
to affect social norms, social expectations, what proper behavior is, how you're going to spend
your money, what you're going to value in life. One of the big responses people seem to be having
to COVID right now is a real sense of solidarity. The number one emotional reaction people seem to be
having is compassion, not fear, not anger, but compassion, because this is a crisis that is obviously
having just horrific effects on the people who are stricken with the disease, as well as the impacts
on most notably the first responders, right? We hear their stories. We see their tears. We see
how frightened they are and how frustrated they are and so on. Those stories are shaping our
collective perception and interpretation of this event as well. So to go back to where you started,
yes, the social media platforms are immensely powerful. They do structure the way that we learn about
the world, the way we now increasingly come to know what other people think for good and for ill.
Do you want to talk a little bit about the different
psychologies of climate change for the six different America
just because I think that's some good quick foundational stuff
before we get into how do we meet those psychology?
Because part of this is we have a lot of people listening
to this podcast who are designers at technology companies
and they're designing for the user's psychology.
And I think when it comes to climate change,
we're designing for the psychology of people where they're coming from
and you've done some foundational work on that.
Yeah, so one of the first things that we learned, of course,
is that Americans don't have a single view.
point on climate change or frankly any important issue. And so then there's this tendency,
though, to divide the world into believers and deniers. And that actually does real violence to
the truth. It's actually not that useful of a way of understanding the public. And so over a
decade ago, we did a big study and basically identified what we call global warming six
Americas that we've been tracking and trying to come to better understanding with or of ever
since. And in brief, they're kind of arranged along a spectrum. So at one end is a group that
we call the alarmed. These are people who think that climate change is happening. It's human
caused. They're very worried about it. They're very supportive of action. But the main question
in their mind is what can we do about it? And this is an indictment of the climate community,
frankly, is that many of these people are absolutely deeply, deeply worried about this issue and
want to get involved. But we have not done a very good job explaining what they can do as individuals,
what we can do as communities, as states, as the nation, and the world. And so they're really hungry to know what can we do. The next group is a group that we call the concerned. These are people who also think it's happening in human caused and serious, but again, they think of it as distant in time and space. So yes, they do support action, but they don't see why it's urgent. It doesn't seem like it needs to be the absolute top priority. Then comes a group that we call the cautious, and you can think of them as fence sitters, kind of figuring out what is this all about. Is it real?
Is it not? Is it human? Is it natural? Is it a serious problem? Is it kind of overblown? They're paying
attention, but still kind of confused. Then a group that's smaller, but I think important, that we call
the disengaged. And basically they tell us, you know, I think I once heard that term global warming,
but I don't know what that is. I don't know anything about it. I don't know what the causes are.
I don't know what the consequences. I don't know what the solutions are. So for them, it's not ideology
or anything like that. It's just lack of awareness. Then comes a group that we call the doubtful.
These are people who say, you know, I don't think it's real. But if it is, it's just natural cycles. Nothing humans have anything to do with, nothing we can do anything about. So they don't see it as much of a risk. And then last but not least is a group we call the dismissive. And these are people who are firmly convinced that it's not real. It's not human cause. It's not serious. And moreover, I mean, they quite literally tell us overwhelmingly that they're conspiracy theorists. It's a hoax. It's scientists making up data. It's a UN plot to take away American sovereignty. It's a get rich scheme by all.
Al Gore and his friends and many, many other such conspiracy-minded narratives.
The last thing to just say there, because this is all in the context of one of the first
cardinal rules of effective communication is know your audience.
Who are they?
What do they know or think they know?
What are their values?
Who do they trust?
Where do they get their information?
And so on.
Because only once you understand who that audience is, can you then tailor your engagement
strategy in such a way that meets them where they are, not where you are.
This is like user-focused design, but in communication side.
That's why understanding that there are these six different audiences, and they're all coming
from completely different starting points on this issue, and you've got to know that if you're
trying to reach out to them.
Last thing I'll just say about the dismissive in particular, they're only about 10% of the
country.
They're only 10%, but there are really loud 10%.
They're a really vocal 10%, and they're more than adequately represented in Congress and in the White House.
And they've so dominated the public square and, frankly, our social media platforms, that they've made themselves look like they're more than half of the country.
And I'll just use one tiny example that we've had colleagues that looked at this.
You take an article about climate change in, say, USA Today, good article, providing good facts, everything.
Then you look at the comments.
And if you start looking through the comments, half or more of those comments can be from the
dismisses, basically claiming that this is a hoax or bogus or whatever. So it's really easy, again,
back to social norms to come away with the false impression as a member of the public, as a
journalist, as an editor, as a policymaker, with the perception that is half or more of the country.
It's not. They're just loud. And increasingly, not just well-funded, but increasingly sophisticated
through bots and other type of technologies, to amplify, to make themselves look like they're so
much bigger than they actually are. I mean, this is such an important point because in an attention
ranked environment sorting for, you know, what gets the most attention, the people who are dismissive
get such a, it's almost like you're subsidizing the vast scaling up of the people with, let's say,
the least epistemology guiding the choices. And as you made that list of the alarm, the concerned,
the cautious, the disengaged, I thought you could make a very similar list of people's reactions
to the coronavirus, right? And the ways that public communication have moved each of
those groups towards taking it more realistically. I know many people who
completely doubted it and thought it was a hoax. There's many who still do, probably those who
are in communities who, you know, don't know anyone who's had it, at least in their physical
community. But you've also, just to give people some hope instead of drowning in the despair,
each group or the groups that are alarmed, concerned, and cautious have grown a lot in the last
few years, have they not? Yeah, so over the, so again, we've been tracking this for about a dozen
years now, but in just the past five years, the alarmed, and let's just compare the two ends of
the spectrum, the alarm versus the dismissive. They were both, five years ago, they were both around
14 percentage points of the American public, okay? The alarm and concerned? No, the alarmed
and the dismissive. Oh, the alarm and the dismissive, we're each 14%. Five years later, the alarmed
have grown to 31% of the country, and the dismissive had dropped to about 11%. So basically,
the alarmed have tripled in size and are now basically three times larger in numbers than
the dismissive. That's a remarkable shift, and that has played out in all kinds of ways,
including our politics. And that's the one thing that hasn't been said here. It's not just
individual psychology, and it's not just social psychology, it's political psychology. Because what you
find is that what's really driving much of the quote-unquote debate, which is frankly a false
debate about the reality and seriousness of climate change is a really it's a conflict over deeper
values, political values. So what we find is that the people who are the most concerned about
climate change have what we call egalitarian values. They care deeply about discrimination in
society and that the government should be trying to eradicate poverty and that inequities of wealth
within and across nations is a major source of conflict, none of which have anything directly
to do with climate change, but people with that worldview are by far the most concerned about
climate change. They're the most alarmed. By contrast, there's a different value system that we call
radical individualism. And that's what you find among, particularly among the dismissive. For them,
the one value that Trump's, sorry, no pun intended there, all others, is individual liberty,
individual freedom, individual autonomy, and that's usually framed as anti-government.
Government's too big, it's too intrusive, there's too much taxation, too much regulation.
You know this discourse very well because it's been very well promulgated for the past
generation. Those people are deeply motivated, and this is what's called motivated reasoning in
psychology. They're deeply motivated because they have such a strong adherence to their worldview
to be very hostile to the issue of climate change. Because climate change is like the mother of
all collective action problems. There's no way that you and I and everyone in America,
if we just do good individual behavior change, can solve this problem. I mean, I've got colleagues
that have tried to calculate that out.
And, you know, if Americans did all the good stuff of, you know, changing your diet a bit,
flying less, you know, buying a more fuel-efficient vehicle, insulating your attic, please, insulate
your attic, et cetera, we could reduce national emissions by about 9 or 10%.
And that would be actually an amazing contribution.
There's no silver bullet here.
It's going to take a portfolio approach.
But it's only 9 or 10%.
The other 90% has to come from structural change.
This is about changing the way we generate and produce and distribute energy.
Okay, going from a 19th century energy system of digging stuff out of the ground and setting it on fire,
which is what we're doing, to moving to a 21st energy system, which is harnessing the flow of energy that's all
around us, coming from the sun, coming from the wind, in the tides, and so on.
That's really what this is about, and that's not something that you can do as an individual.
And these are social choices.
I as an individual would love to build myself my own private bullet train from New York City to L.A.
I can't do that.
I can only do that as a member of a society that decides to do that.
If I lived in China, that's a possibility.
If I lived in Japan, it's been done in South Korea, in France.
Those are all societies that have said, yes, these are the kinds of things we're going to invest in collectively.
But that's not been possible here in the United States.
And in part, it's because of this deep animosity to the issue by people who,
who are committed to this particular radical individualistic worldview.
And of course, this relates 100% to the response to coronavirus,
because if the response was just based on the individual choices that we make,
like, well, if I want to be safe, I'll just put on a mask,
but then everyone else is just coughing and sneezing and going to work
and getting everybody sick and people overloading the health care system.
And then now when I get a broken leg, I don't actually have anyone to care for me.
And I, you know, if I have, you know, parents with prescription medicines
and then they run into some complication,
health dies because of the irresponsibility of a very small number of people that start to
overload the health care system and infect everyone else.
And so this moment with coronavirus is a, like you've said, sort of a UV light or a,
you know, tracer bullet for finding all the interdependent pockets of society that then
reveal what do we have to do as a collective?
And so all the things that we're doing from a government response perspective as a public
communications perspective and all the lessons that you just said, you know, we learned
those lessons in the Great Depression to move towards a savings-oriented relationship to
to say finance, how would we most leverage those lessons now? And then what particularly, because
the whole point of this, you know, podcast is to think about how the technology platforms are in a
role to coordinate that effective communication and those lessons that we're learning now.
Because, you know, even though you said, I think you said it was at 9%, we'd make a 9% dentin
climate if every American did the right thing by switching to the right kind of diet and a Tesla and
all that kind of stuff. But we also, the tech platforms reach three billion people, three
billion people. And in the case of coronavirus, we've written a piece saying the tech platforms can reach
three billion people before irresponsible governments can't and before the virus can. So if you were in
charge of Facebook with all the lessons that you know from what is ineffective communication to what is
really effective communication and then leveraging this lesson that is being for better or worse
given to everyone who's going to be affected by this, I don't know. It's a big prompt, but I think
that's why I think this conversation was so interesting for us to have with you.
Well, you're right. So it is absolutely immense. I think there's so much they can do. I mean,
so look, there's the way they structured their platforms to promote good information versus promoting disinformation and misinformation, right?
So unfortunately, Facebook and Google and YouTube have become major sources of miss and disinformation.
So misinformation being, you know, not unintendedly bad information. You know, people had good intentions. It just was wrong, for example.
I think Geraldo Rivera was pushing this idea that if you just drank water, you could flush
the coronavirus into your stomach where the acid would kill it, right?
I heard that 5G towers actually kill the coronavirus.
Well, but see, now there's a whole new conspiracy theory that 5G is causing the coronavirus.
Wait, what?
That goes completely against the knowledge of the country.
I'm sorry.
See, these things cut lots of different ways.
And we could get into a whole separate conversation about what drives conspiracy theorizing.
But the point is that there's a lot of just bad information or misinformation.
There's also, of course, evildoers who are doing what they can to disrupt society is through disinformation to try to achieve their often political goals.
So, unfortunately, these platforms have gotten hijacked.
So there's been a real backlash, and they're beginning to respond.
There's certainly a lot more that they could do.
But one is just trying to filter out that bad information.
There are also things that could be done, and this is research.
that we've done to help inoculate people.
So it's funny.
We're talking about this in the context of, you know, a potential vaccine.
But that's an approach that's actually been used very successfully to defend good
information.
So we did a study with this on climate change where we know that one of the key things
most people don't understand is that there's just this overwhelming scientific
consensus about the reality and the human causation of climate change.
You know, over 97% of climate scientists have been convinced by the evidence.
that human-called global warming is happening.
Most people have no idea, okay?
Only 22% of Americans know that there's that kind of consensus.
And so when you just expose people to that very simple fact, they change.
They update their priors.
They say, oh, gosh, I didn't know that.
And what we find is that the more they then accept that the experts have reached this conclusion,
the more they then update their own beliefs.
They say, well, look, that's what the experts think.
So, you know, I think climate change is real, and I think it's human cause.
And I become more worried about it, and I become more supportive of policy action.
The problem is that the denial community has understood this for, you know, about 20 years.
And that has been one of the primary ways of essentially propaganda to try to undercut the whole issue.
This is a chapter and verse strategy taken right out of the tobacco wars.
Okay, the tobacco industry realized they didn't have to convince Americans that smoking was good for you.
They just had to convince you that the experts were still arguing about whether it was good or bad.
And in that state of uncertainty, many, many people continue to smoke,
and the tobacco companies literally raked in billions of dollars over many years
because of doubt is our product, was actually discovered in their files.
That exact same strategy, including some of the exact same, quote-unquote,
scientists who were making that argument are some of the exact same people
who are arguing that climate change isn't real, or it's not human caused,
or it's not a serious problem.
So what we found is that when you just expose people to the truth,
they update their priors. They change their views. But if you expose them to the counter
argument, it tends to freeze them. But if you can inoculate, if you can help people know just like
a vaccine, you get exposed to a little bit of the harmful agent, say the flu virus, your body
develops its own antibodies that can protect against it. The same kind of thing actually happens
in terms of communication and messaging. If you can give people a message like you may hear
that there's not a scientific consensus, but you need to know that it's the fossil fuel industry with a
huge profit motive that's mostly pushing that claim. That basically inoculates people against
the influence of that argument when they come across it in the wild. So that's another example of
a concept that the tech companies could use as part of their platforms. It strikes me that at the
very root, our information ecology now being controlled so much by these platforms, these platforms
incentive is in fact to create a kind of systemic doubt where the most salacious piece of news,
the thing that gets the most clicks, essentially whatever piece of content competing against
all their pieces of content are the best at capturing attention is the one that it amplifies
the most.
Thinking about our friend Renee DeResta's work, she has a term for this thing called conspiracy
correlation matrix, which is a fancy way of saying that the best predictor to know if somebody
is going to believe a conspiracy theory is whether they already believe in one conspiracy theory.
Then the faithful groups, as just one example, tries to recommend itself to the person that is
most likely to accept an invitation to come in. And so what does it do? It's using all of its
AB testing data about you to choose the perfect conspiracy that exactly matches your potentials
because it turns of conspiracy theories also are very good at grabbing attention. So I wonder at the
base level that are the designs of our systems sort of tilting the floor against this higher
ground. Oh, boy. Well, this is definitely much more your area of expertise than mine. But I guess I would
go back to fundamentals, right? What are the values that underlie each of these decisions that
ultimately end up being the structures of these platforms? Okay. Because that's, there's always a value
judgment being made. And if your value is, we need attention more than anything else,
and I understand because attention is monetizable, right? That's why they do it. But if that
becomes the end-all-be-all, then you're going to end up with ridiculous situations where a platform
is going to, you know, basically turn a blind eye to at best and actively promote misinformation just
simply because it's going to get more clicks and more eyeballs. That's a value choice. And that's where
these companies are part of larger societies that can ultimately rebel against that and say,
wait a second, we don't approve of that. It's degrading the underlying society in which you operate
and we all operate as part of together and you can lose your social license and maybe even lose
your actual license. I mean, again, you guys are much better experts at this than I am, but it's the
difference between, you know, the media companies. The media companies aren't allowed to just say whatever
they want. There are very strict rules that guide how ABC, NBC, you know, the traditional
networks, et cetera, what they can and cannot do because they also serve in the public
interest, though that is, of course, an interest that's been degraded a lot over the,
over the years. But still. In part due to the technology companies as well. Of course, this is
really complex. But, you know, my understanding is that the social media companies do not operate
under those same rules and restrictions. So that's changing because of things like the EU. So
anyway, these are huge structural questions about what are the responsibilities of these platforms
to help support the functioning of the societies in which they depend, in which they exist.
Yeah, I mean, one thing that just comes to mind, you know, we don't really talk about this very
much, but my own personal reasons for working on this is that I actually think we can't solve
climate change unless we change the technology platforms. And the reason is that if you view them
as making up more and more of our media ecosystem over time, not less and less. Obviously, people
will still do TV and radio, et cetera, but people are going to be moving as they already are,
especially in a quarantine world and possibly a post-quarantine world where people are spending
more time on social platforms. They are the dedicated social habitats. They are our reality
constructing infrastructure. They're going to be reliant more and more on that. And not just if
climate misinformation makes its way through, but even in the case where climate information
makes its way through, you know, I'm someone who's highly climate interested. So my newsfeed
at least up until the coronavirus
is actually post after post
of climate related news.
But what kind of news is it?
It's basically learned helplessness.
It's basically this is,
it's worse than you thought,
and there's nothing you can do.
And each article is subtext,
the subtext is,
it's worse than you thought,
and there's nothing you can do,
which again goes to the kind of fundamental
misalignment between technology and humanity,
that just giving people, quote, unquote,
the truth,
or the truth framed in a sort of hands-off way
can actually be,
counterproductive and then feed into more anxiety and more addictive loops because I need
that hit again because I have to run away from that anxiety I just got from that climate news
article. And so, you know, I think our whole kind of collective project here is while I, you know,
the technology platforms might inhibit our three billion person reality constituting infrastructure's
capacity to respond to the climate crisis, if we were to change technology in a deep way,
not just the information way, but in a deep way, based on what we understand about human
psychology, it could be one of the few things that might enable mass collective action consensus
agreement. So instead of getting just infinite clickbait on climate news, you also get
invitations to start your own climate action group and invite five friends. And here's the
friends who are already posting about climate change. And boom, here's the first action you can take,
go to a local bank and switch to a local credit union where they don't invest in fossil fuels and
divest from fossil fuels. Facebook and other companies could be,
instrumenting the kind of mass collective action that's been missing from this. And to do that
would take a very different relationship to designing for the kind of optimistic and empowering and
hopeful and kind of vivid action that we really need. I mean, we're talking about very short timelines
here. And I'm just curious when you think about that, I mean, if you were put in charge of
Facebook or just had an audience of all the technology company executives, you know, what would you
want them to know to take actions that were commensurate to the size of the problem, just like we've
been wanting Facebook and another company to take action commensurate to the size of lives
that we don't have to lose if we do effective communication to people around coronavirus.
Well, so that's not a small question.
But here's how I actually recently published a chapter called Building Public and Political
Will for Climate Action, where you see over and over again the failure to take big, big
steps are always chalked up to a lack of political will.
And while there are a number of different influences on political will, I argue in this chapter that one of the big ones that we've frankly walked away from from the original Earth Day is people power, is that what the climate community, what the environmental community, what many other progressively minded communities have largely done is walk away from their primary source of power, which is the public. And not just any public. It's fine to have a majority of the public on your side. Don't get me wrong. That's important for any political leader doesn't want to get cross.
with their constituents. But more important is what we call in political science terms in
issue public. This is a small set, a relatively small set of citizens who are deeply, deeply,
passionately engaged with a particular issue. And you know what issue publics are. It's like
the pro or is the pro-choice or anti-abortion movement. It's the pro- or anti-immigration movement.
It's the gun control movement or the NRA. Let's take the NRA. The NRA has had a tremendous influence
over our gun policies in this country. There's like over nine,
90% of American support background checks.
We don't have background checks.
Why?
Because there's this thing called the NRA and their allies.
And do you know how big the NRA is in a society of over 300 million people?
They're about 4 million people.
Four million.
And yet they punch way above their weight.
Why?
Because they're passionate and they're organized.
They're organized for power.
And that's one of the big things that's still missing in the climate movement.
And just to put that into context, the alarmed are about,
71 million Americans. And of the alarmed, we've actually asked them, would you be willing to
join a campaign if you were asked? About 21 million say, yes, they definitely would. I'm not even
including those that said that they probably would. In other words, the alarmed as a potential,
as a latent issue public, outnumber the NRA five to one. But the difference is that the NRA is
organized and the climate community is not yet organized for power. So here's back to your question
about what could the tech companies do.
I think there's a need for a climate activism dating service.
And I say that and my activist friends say, oh, yeah, we definitely need a dating service.
And I'm like, no, no, no, that's not what I mean.
That's not about getting you to date.
What I mean is that there are millions of Americans out there who want to get involved.
They want to get engaged, but they don't know where to go.
And they don't know what they can do.
What I'm talking about is just like the dating services are, there needs to be some sort of
way that, you know, you could go, you ask, you get asked a few, you know, basic survey questions that
kind of get a sense of what is it that you're willing to do? Is it donate money? Fine. Is it change
your light bulbs? Okay. Is it chain yourself to a bulldozer? Okay. There are so many different
kinds of actions, but then the goal is to get them engaged with a local community. So it's part of a
social group, not something that you just do by clicking on your computer. That's not what I'm talking
about. It's about engaging with actual people in your community and learning from each other,
growing together, learning how to become an active citizen together. And what you find is that
people very quickly start to advance. They might start with changing their light bulbs,
but before you know it, they're actually, you know, going in meeting with their elected officials
and saying, God damn it, you're going to take action on this, or we're going to organize against you,
or we're going to organize for you because you're a champion on this issue. So I'm just saying that
that's just like an example is we're lacking the what's the thing they always say about like cable
or high speed fiber optics it's the last mile last mile well it's not even the last mile it's already
in the street it just needs to get from the street into the house okay we're just missing that last
connection people millions of people want to get involved they just don't know where to turn yeah it also
strikes me if for those who want to get involved and do something there's this feeling
learned helplessness because even if you want to get involved there's a
this background doubt that even if we all do the right thing, is it really enough? You know, I got my
Tesla, I got my sunroof, I got my whatever, I turn off the light bulbs and I'm eating a vegan diet,
is it actually enough? And even if everybody else does the same thing, is it enough? And I think
that's actually one area where I think the tech companies can actually help because they can show
us how our actions are linked together. Sort of like, you know, when Wikipedia sends you that
notice once a year, it says if everybody who saw this donated just $5, we would end this
fundraiser right now. It's like if everybody who saw this did exactly X and invited one other
person into a sequence of steps, we actually know that we could, you know, address the climate
crisis on time. I think a lot of people doubt that that's even possible. And of course, because
it's a complex system, it's almost impossible to sort of say if everybody just did X, then the
solution is solved. But I do think that there's techniques like that that close the kind of hardware
loop, that our brains are not good at feeling confident about things that are so massive. It's a
hyper object. It's beyond the scale of the human mind to consider. But this is exactly where tech can
kind of show us where collective action could make a difference. Yeah. So look, this is absolutely
vitally important that you build in some kind of feedback mechanism that helps people understand
that they're part of something bigger than themselves. That's like one of the core human drives
is that we actually don't want to be an isolated, lonely individual that only succeeds on our own.
people want to be want their lives to have meaning like you get this brief flicker candle flicker
of life in the grand scheme of things what did it add up to what was the value of your life
people want to know that they're contributing to something much bigger than themselves and you know
for many people it's their family but for many people it's beyond that and so this is i'll
just use a very great historical example we need what are called cathedral projects
Okay. If you go back into medieval times, you know, communities back in, say, medieval Europe would start these grand projects to build these glorious cathedrals to glorify and honor the divine. And they knew when they started these giant projects that they were never going to live to see the outcome. These were projects that were going to take 100 plus years to actually build. But they believed in the vision. And more importantly, they could see what they had done. I laid that set of stones.
right there as you're watching this building starting to emerge from nothing, okay?
And you could take enormous pride as part of your community that you were helping to build
the something that was going to outlive you and, you know, everyone in that community.
It would be standing there for generations to come.
That was true in the medieval period.
I think we still are driven for those kinds of projects today.
And there is such a rare opportunity because the entire world is experiencing this
all together.
Hence, we're all feeling this kind of solidarity altogether, and if, you know, the prime directive is know your audience, the entire world is feeling solidarity.
This is the audience for the time to build something really great.
Yeah, this is one of the very rare once in a hundred year type occasions where the psychology of the world is ready for something.
That's why I think, you know, having this conversation right now, you know, for Earth Day about what we can do for climate change.
And to your point, Tony, a couple of years ago, I think it was five years ago, Facebook did take a
unilateral action for all of humanity one time in terms of social signaling. And that was for
when gay marriage passed in the United States. And they built this little, I think it was an intern,
it was just one engineer said, well, wouldn't it be cool if I made a little thing where with one
click, you could set your profile photo to have a rainbow overlay to say, you know, I support
love, basically, between people. Now, the interesting thing about that is that was just one intern and
somehow that got through the decision-making pipeline, and basically as a result of that,
if you checked your news feed that day, it was just photo after photo after photo after photo,
of rainbow profile photos, of people basically expressing solidarity with this thing, where, you know,
the world, because the Supreme Court had ruled in that direction, the world had kind of moved
in that direction, but Facebook kind of put its hands behind everyone else in the line and kind of
nudge them all across the line. As an example, you know, I'm someone who definitely supported
gay marriage, but it wasn't something I was vocal about. There would be very few things.
things that would cause me to post about it every day or write a big text post or post an image
about it. But by providing kind of a one-click social signaling mechanism, are, am I willing to
sort of participate in that? Absolutely. And when I see the kind of inspiring flood of people's
stories and everyone's posting, that's amazing. And that happened all around the world all at the
same time in a synchronous moment. And, you know, you ask, well, would I have preferred Facebook to
take an action like that, you know, then versus now to save basically civilization and life from
extinction. I would also want them to take the action now with bold actions like that,
that take a point of view that say that life's survival and the survival of consciousness
itself is worth preserving. And anyway, I just, you know, there's so many things that they
could be doing just like this. Yeah. Well, those are all wonderful examples of the power of social
signaling, right? I mean, the fact is, and again, this is one of the great glories of social media,
is that it allows people to find each other and form community that's beyond the bounds of
space and time. You can suddenly find yourself united to and inspired by people all over the
world who you didn't know, you didn't even know within your own social circles, believe what you did
until that event happened, right? So you could take your example of the support for freedom to marry
or of the gay community.
That was a revelation to many, many people.
They didn't realize how many people they even knew,
let alone all the other people out there around the world
who supported that.
And that begins to create a totally different consciousness
in the human mind, in the human psyche.
And I think there's something to say for how wise are the choices
that are being put on life's menu in a Facebook news feed?
Because you can imagine a desire to act for the positive good,
which resulted in Facebook just adding little fundraisers
for microclimate projects in every area.
But if none of those added up to the systemic change
and you have a systemic environment
that just incentivizes extraction and oil over the alternative,
that's not enough.
So imagine the difference between a news feed
that's the acute climate actions news feed
where it's like donate $10 to blah, blah, blah,
or change your light bulbs, blah, blah, blah,
versus a systemic action news feed
that's like join the environmental voting project
to base, which is a per your point,
environmental voter project is bidding a voting block
and issue voting block for pro-environmental policies to sort of aggregate political change.
You know, there could be a systemic actions news feed that have to do with things that would
change the overall incentives and system dynamics for everyone, as opposed to tiny things
that make each of us feel good if are donating five bucks, but don't add up to the systemic change.
And this is where, again, that decision about what goes on the menu is in the designer at Facebook's
hands. They are really choosing. And, you know, one last project that I think was worth mentioning,
LinkedIn is in an enormous position
to make a huge amount of impact
because much like with drawdown
where we know the top 100 actions
that would basically make the biggest difference
on climate change, we know that
what is it, 76% of emissions
come from the top 100 companies
and business basically is generating
so much of the emissions, not so much the individual
behavior. Well, LinkedIn owns the reputation
of essentially all of the world's business
and instead of saying here's how much
revenue they made and here's how many employees,
they have, they could say, here's where they are on their drawdown to carbon neutral. And they could
have the actions right there that they would need to take, just like they have the progress bars that
say your profile is only 70% complete, please fill in your graduate degree in the languages
you speak. They could add the progress bar that says, here's the actions that, let's say, this
shoe company needs to make to go to being net positive for the environment. And they could do that
for every category and help coordinate the mass transition of all of business to being a climate
neutral thing, using the exact same persuasive strategies that they already used for each of us
as individuals. And you just imagine the amount of power that any company has like that to take
massive action. Google Maps could show 10-year sea level rise. By default, visible across all
products. Zillow could show you the flood scores for all places you could rent or buy homes to
actually say, here's the climate risk and get us to reframe where we want to live, not just by how
attracted the photos are, but essentially in terms of climate risk. So across the board, I just get
inspired by how much tech could do if they weren't just thinking about rearranging the,
you know, clickbait deck chairs in the Titanic, but actually genuinely asking how do we
create the mass cathedral like powerful actions that, you know, our ancestor, you know, the next
generations will thank us for. There's something that makes me think of is, you know,
shifts in perspective really can change everything. I think I see that sort of strain in your work,
Tony. Another way of saying it is the Joan Didian line of we tell herself stories in order to live.
And the follow-up to that, therefore, is if we change the stories, we tell ourselves, we change
the way we live. Technology is like a pair of glasses that we put on that shifts our perspective
of the world. And Tristan, you just gave a whole set of examples of the kinds of perspective
shift of seeing the world differently through a different set of lenses that makes the things
that are distance and time and space immediately proximal, feelable, touchable, and real.
Yeah. And the coronavirus, that was one of the most inspiring things was seeing the way that
I think her name is Sue.
I can't remember her last name,
but she posted on Twitter this animated gif
of how an exponential spreads.
And then she has a replay
of the same exponential spreading,
but then instead of all the little dots
lighting up and turning red to get infected,
she says, well, this one dot turns gray
because it has a little quote box,
it says, this person stayed home,
this person sheltered in place,
this person stops, you know,
blah, blah, blah.
And it basically shows you
how the exponential doesn't spread the same way.
And if our information environment
sort it for what was effective at helping us see the invisible.
In Asa's words, you know, making the invisible more visceral.
How our long-term actions for the long-term good can be brought up into the mirror
so that instead of the objects in mirror being further away than they are,
they can be brought, you know, closer, the positive goods.
And just see that as kind of an optician making a correction to your glasses,
giving you kind of a correction to your inner spirit,
like you sort of identity and belief in civilizational survival glasses,
so you can actually see the good that we're collectively doing.
So this is something that we've tried to incorporate in some of our own work. So among the other things that we do, not just the research, but also then public engagement based on that research. For the past decade, we've run a program called Yale Climate Connections. And that's really that critical second word, connections, helping people connect the dots between this seemingly distant, abstract problem, climate change, and our daily lives and our values. And we do that through telling stories. So this is a national radio program.
so old school, but we also do it on social media, so we're not too old school.
But it's a brand new 90-second story every day, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,
that plays usually twice a day on about 550 radio stations across the country.
And what we do is we tell two different kinds of stories.
First-person narratives of individuals from every walk of life who are talking about how
climate change is affecting them right here, right now, to help people understand that this is not
distant in time and space. This is already harming Americans everywhere. You just need to know what that
looks like and what it feels like to be impacted in that way. But even more importantly, are the
stories and the first person stories of people from every walk of life across the country who are
rolling up their sleeves and taking action, who are saying, I'm not going to stand on the
sidelines and just watch the world burn. I want to do what I can to get involved and to try to
make a difference in my domain or my sphere of influence.
And I got to just say, as somebody who's been working in this space for 30 years,
I had no idea how much just unbelievably gritty, innovative, creative,
just brilliant things people are doing all over the country.
I mean, of every type, you know, big company, small company, kids, grandparents,
minority communities, people in rich communities, I mean, on and on and on.
every kind of a diversity across the country, taking action to address this issue and to help
solve it. And it's incredibly inspirational. It literally helps charging my batteries and keeps me
going. But that's the kind of storytelling that I think social media platforms are also, again,
incredibly powerfully set up to provide. Let's just take two other social phenomenon that have
happened in recent years. And I'm thinking of Black Lives Matter and the Me Too movement. Does anybody
think that discrimination against minorities is something that only has happened in the past few years
or that sexual harassment and violence against women is some kind of new phenomenon? No, of course not.
These go back generations, hundreds of years. But with a hashtag, suddenly there's a way for
a community to be built where the stories can be shared, where experiences can be shared,
and suddenly so many people become exposed to and become aware of just how big these
problems are in a way that they just never saw before because they didn't live in those communities.
They didn't live in those bodies. They didn't live in those homes. That's the kind of power that
social media also has. You're making me think that just like on Facebook, you can post, you know,
text, a post or an image or a video or an event. What if you could post a systemic solution?
And a systemic solution is something that you post, that's something that can be replicated by
others in their community. That's actually a positive thing. It could be building a community garden.
It could be, you know, buying solar panels for your entire community.
It could be, you know, things like that that are sort of more systemic.
And just because of the point of your news feed of like, you know, you've got this daily communication of a minute and a half of people that are taking action in ways that people would be surprised by.
Because, again, it's not highlighted or visible.
So when people are taking action, it's not like that reaches the top of the attentional stack on any radio, TV, news, social media, et cetera.
But you can imagine systemic solutions being replicated and then getting to invite other people, like almost like,
challenging them like the ice bucket challenge into, hey, well, you do this systemic solution with
me? Do you want to do this one or another one? You can click through and see the feed of inspiring
things that people are doing. I just think we have a dearth of imagination where there's so much that
can be done, but we're so used to thinking inside of the existing frames about which clickbait do
you post and how should we rank the clickbait. It's not the right question. We need a deeper question
of what will actually meet the solutions, what solutions will meet the problems in their surface
and timelines? And what are the actions that are sufficient to have us all, you know, be able to
thrive and live, you know, have our grandchildren live on a planet that works? So let me give you a
concrete example of a story because this, this again, the other power of social media is that it's
not just broadcast to everybody, but it's broadcast to the specific audience that could best
take advantage of that idea. So this is an older story, but there was a conservative mayor of
Indianapolis. He had served in the first Gulf War. He was actually,
in Kuwait when Saddam Hussein sent all the, set all the Kuwait oil fields on fire. So he literally
lived through hell on earth, okay, an absolutely horrific landscape. If you'd remember those
video images, just giant plumes of burning oil all across the landscape. And he was so
scarred by that experience. He said, I never, when he came back, he said, I never want another
American boy or girl to have to go overseas to fight for oil. And so you fast forward to when he
became mayor of Indianapolis, he decided to convert his entire city's vehicle fleet to electric
cars. He was one of the first adopters of electric cars, which he called the freedom fleet.
Not wamby, pambi, progressive, liberal stuff. This is about a conservative saying this is about
freedom. This is about energy independence. This is about not having to fight for oil anymore.
That's an idea that, of course, has begun to spread across government. It's spreading across city government,
state governments and for a while even across the federal government.
That's just an example of an innovation that when people are connected, when they hear those
similar stories and learn about all the benefits that you get from that kind of behavior change
can suddenly scale very quickly.
Yeah, imagine ballot initiatives that you can make viral in your own hometown so you can say,
I want to freedom fleet.
So when you're posting those systemic actions, you can say this is how we got that policy
passed in our town or in our state.
And then having those things spread more easily that are about the kind of
changes that we need.
Exactly.
That's a great example.
Following up on that, there's the reason why gay marriage as a movement works well
is because it turns out we all know someone that that would affect materially, that is gay,
that wants to get married.
One of the most powerful things that tech platforms could do is scale up the work that you're
doing, Tony.
And just like now Facebook lets you mark yourself, I'm in a disaster, but mark myself as
safe.
Imagine a Facebook and Twitter and TikTok.
all had sort of prompts that if you're in a climate-related disaster,
then you record a video saying,
I am safe and here's how my life was affected
or what I'm doing about it.
And then it goes to not the general public,
but all the people in your network,
especially those that are in places that are not immediately affected.
Yep.
So all the times that there's those crop failures in Iowa
or there's a tornado and such and such that's like once in a hundred year type thing
and people don't even know about it because they don't have media,
you log into Twitter or Facebook from one of the,
of those zip codes that's affected and it actually would actively invite you to share your personal
story because then you're doing what we've done with all other movements, which is, it doesn't
change by just public sentiment. It changes because we all know someone that has been personally
affected because if I'm using abstract moral reasoning about gay marriage, I might believe, well, no,
marriage is between a man and a woman, but if I'm using relational reasoning of like, well,
how do I feel about my friend Joe, you know, in the person that he loves? Like, I'm happy for him.
I want that. And so it just changes the kind of framework of decision making in our
moral reasoning as well. So that brings us back to where we started. And look, we get very fixated
on the shiny new object of social media, which isn't so shiny or new anymore. But the point is
we tend to get fixated on the tech. And I'd just like to point out, though, that the tech itself is
still operating on a, is a terrible metaphor, I apologize, but it's still operating on the wetware
of the human mind and psyche. Okay. And the fact is, is that for all of the innovative,
we've come up from writing all the way up to, you know, TikTok, if you could put those
in the same sentence, that one of the most powerful forms of communication that humans have
ever created is storytelling. It's what we did. It's what helped us survive from the very
earliest days, long before writing, right? It was the story that helped you survive because
someone in your community could say, don't eat that berry over there. Someone in our community
once eight one and they died. You didn't need to experience it directly. You could experience the
world vicariously through those stories and it would tell you what was safe and what wasn't. And then
of course building from there giving our lives meaning and purpose and everything else that has
turned into many of the drivers of human civilization itself. So yes, we have all these fancy new things
and virtual reality and augmented reality and so on. It still comes down to how do you tell a good
story and especially if you can hear the story told in the voices of in first person of the person
I was I experienced this I was harmed this way or here's what I did to solve this big
scary problem and now it's not so scary anymore because I'm doing it not just by myself and I'm
doing it collectively with the other people in my life and it's empowering that's an incredibly
viral kind of story and piece of content that people are just hungry hungry for
strikes me. Some of the most hopeful things that I hear you say are, one, we all agree more than we actually think. And two, it's we're under this spell that we think we don't agree and these sort of first person narratives. There are these narrative tools that we can have that can let us wake up and realize the political will needed to change our system. That's right. So let's come back to COVID. You would look at the news right now and we see all these, you know, kind of conservative right protests.
same exact kinds of worldview protests against climate change, by the way, saying liberate our state, right?
And you look at that coverage, you're like, oh, my God, this is like a sizable proportion of the country.
It's not. It really isn't.
We've actually asked Americans in just in the past couple days, you know, which would you prefer to protect people's health, even if it means that the economy continues to decline or protect the economy, even it means some people get infected?
And overwhelmingly, 84% of Americans, by a five to one margin, say that they would prefer to protect people's health over the economy.
And that includes people who've just lost their job, who are looking for work, who are the most vulnerable in so many ways.
And yet they understand that the first thing is your health.
That's always the first thing.
You got to have your health.
So, again, this is where our media system, and it's not new to social media.
television's been doing this forever too, right? If it bleeds, it leads. It tells us stories that
really distort our perception of reality. And so how can these platforms be used to help properly
calibrate our sense of reality? I love that. And I think it's a lesson that not to trust
any media whose success is directly coupled with how much attention it gets from us. Because that
fundamentally makes you a reality distortor. Tony, I want to be respectful of your time. And it's been a real
pleasure having you in this conversation. I really hope everyone in the tech industry takes
these lessons to heart, follows your work at the Yale. What is it called Yale? The Yale program
on climate change communication, and then our radio program and podcast is called Yale Climate
Connections. Awesome. Well, thank you so much for coming. It was an honor. Oh, well, thank you. It's
great conversation. Your undivided attention is produced by the Center for Humane Technology.
Our executive producer is Dan Kedmi and our associate producer is Natalie Jones.
Nor al-Samurai helped with the fact-checking,
original music and sound design by Ryan and Hayes Holiday.
And a special thanks to the whole Center for Humane Technology team
for making this podcast possible.
A very special thanks to the generous lead supporters of our work at the Center for Humane Technology,
including the Omidiar Network, the Gerald Schwartz and Heather Reisman Foundation,
the Patrick J. McGovern Foundation,
Evolve Foundation, Craig Newmark Philanthropies,
and Knight Foundation, among many others.
Huge thanks from all of us.