Your Undivided Attention - The Stubborn Optimist's Guide Revisited — with Christiana Figueres (Rerun)
Episode Date: April 22, 2021[This episode originally aired May 21, 2020] Internationally-recognized global leader on climate change Christiana Figueres argues that the battle against global threats like climate change begins in ...our own heads. She became the United Nations’ top climate official, after she had watched the 2009 Copenhagen climate summit collapse “in blood, in screams, in tears.” In the wake of that debacle, Christiana began performing an act of emotional Aikido on herself, her team, and eventually delegates from 196 nations. She called it “stubborn optimism.” It requires a clear and alluring vision of a future that can supplant the dystopian and discouraging vision of what will happen if the world fails to act. It was stubborn optimism, she says, that convinced those nations to sign the first global climate framework, the Paris Agreement. In this episode, we explore how a similar shift in Silicon Valley’s vision could lead 3 billion people to take action for the planet.
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Today on Your Undivided Attention, we are re-releasing an episode in honor of Earth Day, April 22nd, that we did last year with Christiana Figueras, who helped orchestrate the 2015 Paris Climate Accords.
One of the reasons I became personally so interested in how technology was deranging our attention economy and changing our mental health is I saw that it would make it really hard to focus our attention and energy on these long-term systemic problems, like climate.
climate change. The second is related to this E.O. Wilson quote, that our Paleolithic brains
don't know what to do with godlike problems and situations of having affected the entire Earth
system. Even without technology or Facebook or social media or an attention economy,
it would be hard enough to keep climate change in our minds in a way that was productive
and empowering and uplifting. If I told you that right now, five of the six biggest fires in
California's recent history happened in 2020, more than the last three years combined,
that the nation's corn belt lost a third of its top soil, that 40% of insect species are
declining and a third are endangered, and the rate of extinction is eight times faster for
insects than that of mammals, birds, and reptiles. If I tell you these facts, notice what does
your mind think to do about it? Our minds are not equipped to deal with problems of this magnitude.
Philosopher Timothy Morton actually calls problems of this kind hyperobjects.
because they exceed the scope of human cognition.
So then our Paleolithic brains comes up with the next emotion,
which is denial or repression.
And even if we care deeply about climate change,
it doesn't change the fact that it quickly leaves our psyche
when you get overwhelmed with the next email or browser tab
or request to change your password that shows up in your inbox.
So if we're going to get the relationship right
between 3 billion brains that are jacked into this digital infrastructure
and massive overwhelming problems like climate change,
we're going to need to know more, not about climate change, but about ourselves and how we can
relate to something as big as this in an empowering way.
Right now, social media isn't helping very much.
According to Avaz, YouTube is actively promoting climate misinformation to millions of users.
If you search for the phrase global warming, 16% of the top 100 related videos included
in the up-next feature will have disinformation about climate change.
collectively, the climate misinformation videos that Avaz reviewed had 21 million views.
Another group, called Influence Map, found 51 climate disinformation ads running in the United States
during their first half of 2020 on Facebook's platforms, and in total, 51 of those ads gained
8 million impressions over the six-month period.
In addition to that, even a good faith effort by social media to say raise awareness about
climate change, which includes Facebook's recent Climate Information Center,
where they actually highlight news about climate change will tend to show you infinite evidence
of why it's worse than you thought and there's nothing you can do.
What if instead of not being aware, Facebook could show us when our friends and friends
of friends were impacted by climate events happening all over the world, the record-breaking
fires that were in Portugal, the Direcho that hit the Midwest in the United States, that devastated
farmland and farmers in Iowa with the force of hurricanes and tornadoes, or the wildfires
that hit California, where just this past year, my own family home in Sonoma County, two weeks
after the social dilemma, was wiped out overnight. I don't say this for sympathy, but because
this is a genuine existential threat that we are not internalizing. In recent surveys, 50 to 60%
of Californians who were actually affected by wildfires don't think climate change will affect
them in their lifetime. In Florida, in another survey, only 20% of coastal property owners
could identify climate change as the cause of their own flooding.
We're not connecting the dots.
One of the problems with climate change is it's actually not a matter of just individual behavior,
but there's a famous Guardian article from 2017 that 70% of emissions come from the top 100 companies.
And businesses are one of the largest drivers of emissions.
Well, what if we lived in a world where every business website you visited in a web browser,
Chrome, Safari, Firefox, put a little icon that,
that showed what that business was doing
towards its 2030 climate goals
and actually had a way to message the head of sustainability
at that company, maybe even through LinkedIn,
to directly put pressure on them
for any company that was not fulfilling its 2030 goals
and making progress on them.
I highly recommend the recent Kim Stanley Robinson book,
The Ministry for the Future,
which actually details a realistic timeline
of how bad it gets before humanity turns around
and how many years it takes for emissions
to start going down instead of up.
in the book, he mentions that there are 11 policies that actually can make a difference if every
country were to adopt them. Things like carbon pricing, industry efficiency standards, land use
policies, and fuel economy standards. There's a handful of policies that Facebook could show for
every city and have marked which ones are adopting which policies. And the faster the world adopts
these same policies, the faster will get to a world that drops emissions. It really is a matter
of coordination. Facebook could show us this global dashboard of all of us making progress
together in a collaborative way instead of it feeling like no one's doing anything. We need a
world in which Silicon Valley gets together to ask how can we create an empowering relationship
to this hyper-object scale problem. Facebook and Google and YouTube are in this incredible position
to create that relationship by focusing on the bright spots theory of human psychology, showing the
progress that we're making and what more needs to be done, it's easy to retreat and to think
that someone else is going to solve this problem, that some room of adults somewhere has this
problem handled, and they'll take care of it. I really want that to be true. In my own experiences
of dealing with world leaders and actually being in the room with people who are now leading
this topic around the world, I was astonished at how little is being done. Silicon Valley
doesn't even have teams that focus on how their products and how their influence could directly
accelerate climate action. They focus on things like greening their data centers. They're funding
all these external solutions while their own daily influence is not accelerating in empowering
relationship to this global problem. We know people at the companies really care about this,
but so far action has not really happened. The policies have to get ridden. The emissions have to
come back down into the ground. Silicon Valley has their hands on the dials of where this goes,
and our episode with Christiana is one of the most inspiring and hopeful episodes I think.
think, of what it will take to practically get there.
I also recommend groups like climate action.tech who are organizing tech workers who all want
to accelerate progress on climate change.
There was so much hope that this would be the moment when countries would actually agree on a
global framework to address climate change.
Today on the show, we have Christiana Figueras, who's intimately familiar with the high
stakes of climate change negotiation. She became the United Nations top climate official after the
failed Copenhagen climate summit in 2009. That session ended up in blood, in screams, in tears,
and heads of state leaving ahead of time. It was just total, total disaster. Little did I know
that I would then six months later be called upon to pick up the pieces from the garbage can
and say, right, you figure out what to do with this, man.
As one of the main architects of the Paris Agreement,
she helped bring more than 195 countries on board
to meet the climate change goals.
How do you negotiate something that is a global problem
in harness and jiu-jitsu, the emotions and injustices
and the feelings of being burnt from all of these different countries
to take a common action for a common purpose, for a common future?
Christiana is author of the new book, The Future We Choose,
surviving the climate crisis, co-written with Tom Rivett Karnak to outline how a radical
shift in mindset can and must lead to a shift in action. Now, you might be wondering, why would a
podcast that's normally about how technology's impacting society interview a global climate
change expert who negotiated the Paris Accords? It's because whether we act on climate or not,
or on the timescales that we have, depends on what three billion people believe about it. Is it
real or is it urgent? Or is it just an exaggeration by the media? Is there a way to
do it without breaking economic growth. Democracies depend on the public opinion and consensus
of their population, and right now technology is controlling what we believe. In a study of 200
of the top climate videos on YouTube, almost half promoted conspiracy theories about climate change
and climate engineering. And even when news feeds try to inform us, we get kind of infinite fear
porn of apathy and learn helplessness and eco-anxiety. So we can't solve climate change without
fixing the attention economy. The second
reason we wanted to talk to Christiana is about how do you change an industry against their
own business and economic interests? How do you negotiate against the self-interest of different
nations? It seems impossible. Because in this case, individual behavior change isn't enough.
You think that with coronavirus, with the entire economy just turned off completely, that we
would have met the Paris Accords for this year. But so far, we've only reduced emissions by
5.5%, which is less than the reductions targets for one year. So if we're going to solve climate
change, we're going to need a miracle way in which all of us, every one of us and all business
and all technology companies in each one of our behaviors add up to tackling this global
problem. And that's why Christiana's story is so important.
I'm Tristan Harris, and I'm Isaraskan. This is your undivided attention.
I was at my very first press conference.
I was literally speaking the mood of the world
when some newspaper person asked me,
Misty Geras, do you think a global agreement is ever going to be possible?
To which I immediately retorted it, not in my lifetime.
And that not in my lifetime is probably the most important sentence
I have ever uttered in my lifetime.
Because it made me listen to myself.
I verbalized something that was being felt by everyone, including myself.
But once I heard me verbalize it, I realized that I couldn't accept that as a reality
because the consequences of not having a global structure to address climate change
were so, so destructive and such a huge threat to human existence,
let alone to the balance of nature and all ecosystems.
then I just decided, well, no way, not on my watch, are we going to continue with that attitude?
And that's when I started to change my attitude, which was a huge piece, right,
just to change my own attitude and then started injecting what I came to call stubborn optimism
into the whole negotiating system and gradually pulling more and more and more stakeholders into that space
to move from a concept of impossible to the concept of possible and probable, that likely,
delivered, checkmark. Not an easy process, but one that had to be done. I think it was
absolutely clear that it had to be done. It was necessary. It is not sufficient. Having a structure
and a framework, or you could call it a business plan, right? If the whole convention were
appropriation, we would call it right. So we have our business plan. Okay, but a business plan
that remains in written form on the shelf does no one any good. And so it's necessary to have the
business plan. But it's got to be implemented, which is where we are now. We often say that the
business model of the tech companies is ads. It's grabbing our attention. But that's, I think,
still slightly misleading. It's the monetization of small changes to our behaviors, our beliefs,
and our biases. And both climate and the tech companies and tech platforms need behavior to
change in order for them to keep going as business and for us to keep going as a species. And it strikes me
the tech companies are pushing, well, whatever grabs the most attention, not about what's good
for us is humanity. And it seems like another just fundamental tension we're going to have to
solve. Yes, I accept that point. And at the same time, I have been fascinated by the dramatic
changes in individual behavior that we've seen over the past month or two. We have seen
systemic changes in government policy, but also behavior changes that none of us
would have thought would be possible for each of us individually, let alone for half of humanity.
So now the coronavirus is tragic. We're losing thousands of lives, millions of livelihoods,
millions of livelihoods and incomes and jobs. So I don't want to underestimate that. And at the same
time, it does seem to me that it's a very important exercise, if you will, human exercise.
it's almost like humanity has gone to the gym of behavioral changes.
We're doing this weightlifting in that gym.
The difference between this dramatic change in behavior that we've seen
and the dramatic change of behavior that we have to see for climate change,
the difference is that there is a very clear association of imminent threat in the coronavirus.
That's one type of risk, right?
If you look at the quadrant of risk, they are up there in that quadrant of high.
probability and high impact, but it wasn't until people started dying on our daily basis
that we actually understood that there was an imminent threat. That is the challenge with climate
change. Climate change is also a high probability, in fact, the highest probability, the highest
impact. It is like the mother of all risks because of the probability and the impact. But it's
not an imminent threat. It is a threat that takes months, years, decades to be felt by everyone.
And it is not experienced coterminously at the same time by everyone. It is experienced by Australia
and then by the Amazon and then by, you know, Siberia and then by the small island state.
So it's not a coterminous threat and impact. And that is what makes this.
is so dangerous, so frustrating, because the threat is orders of magnitude worse than what we're
dealing with now. So this is almost a bitter foretaste of what we could have with climate change
if we don't aggressive properly. But despite the fact that we are going to have orders of magnitude
more suffering and more destruction and more lives lost and more jobs lost, it's not an imminent
threat. And so it's that sense of immediacy is the piece that I am frankly sitting here chewing on
because it is understandable from a human perspective, from a human psychology perspective. We are
definitely wired to react to imminent threats. That we have done, you know, ever since we climbed
down off the trees, right? But imminent threat is exactly what we are so well trained to react to.
However, we also have a frontal brain, not just our limbic brain.
And, you know, what happens in the frontal brain, the more developed brain, that we are not able to bring about the depth and scope of behavioral change that we know we must have when the threat is there confirmed by science?
We already have ramping up evidence, exponential evidence every year, and yet the threat is not imminent.
So I'm really chewing on that one.
I'm really chewing on that one because I think that is the biggest difference there between those two.
The problem of climate change, as you just said, is our brains are perfectly equipped to not see it,
meaning the geometry of how we feel and see exponential curves.
We were not evolved to see exponential curves to look at chronic and diffuse.
impact as opposed to concrete and immediate impact. If I try to wrap my brain around it, we've got
species lost in the Amazon, we've got coral reefs, we've got nitrogen runoff, we've got ocean acidification.
If I actually dig into it, my brain just starts to get overwhelmed. And yet we need to kind
of find a relationship, a psychological relationship to it. And I think what's fascinating in your work
is, like you said, it's not just about having the business plan. It's about psychology,
getting the psychology of the 195 members and the Paris Accords.
So if you take us back a little bit, you were there in Paris and it looks like there's no way
to get people to agree, how did you wrangle the emotions and the brains and the thinking
and the sense of solidarity among people who theoretically were not having it?
I think that our responsibility when we know that we need to affect change is not to turn away from
the threat, to see it, understand the threat that is there, the risks that are there, and
not stop there.
There is another side to the coin, especially on climate.
And the other side of the coin is everything that we can co-create that is so much better
than what we have now.
The fact that we can have cities that don't have air pollution, the fact that we can
avoid the 7 million deaths of people who die from.
air pollution. The fact that we can have much better transport, the fact that we can have much
better energy generation and not just more dependable and cheaper and cleaner, but actually we can
bring energy generation to the almost one billion people around the world who don't have
any electricity and hens are still under the poverty line because energy is so basic to any kind
of well-being. The fact that we can regenerate soils, the fact that we can not just protect
standing forests, but that we can reforest as opposed to deforesting, right? The fact that we can
bring so much more human health and planetary health, human resilience and planetary resilience,
all of that whole package we can do through acting in a timely fashion on climate change.
And that is why I think it is so important to hold both of these realities at the same level, at the same time.
One reality is the fear of the dystopian world that we will all have, tastes of which we're already having right now.
But we can also, just barely, just barely, if we move quickly enough, and that actually will be decided over the next 18 months so we can talk about that.
but we can set the conditions for a world that is so much better than what we have right now.
And technology is a part of that.
I should say well-managed technology is a part of that.
But we have to be able to open our minds to that possibility and manage technology properly
so that we can get to that world.
So it's entirely possible, entirely possible.
And we have to wrap not just our imagination, but our visualization, which is stronger than imagination, right?
Our visualization, we have to be able to visualize what these cities will look like, green, clean, you know, efficient cities.
What are they going to look like?
What are the rural areas going to look like when we have a planet that is green again?
What are the oceans going to look like?
We have to be able to visualize that and then figure out how do we use everything that we have, technology, finance,
and behavioral changes to get us to that world that is entirely possible.
And that's the process that we used to get to the Paris Agreement.
Honestly, I knew that we were going to get an agreement a year before
because I had already spoken to everybody.
I knew what they were looking at.
And we knew we had enough common round.
The last year was spent just in increasing the ambition.
But we are today, with respect to the world that we could create,
we're basically at the Copenhagen stage, right?
We're basically at the breakdown stage in which we are feeling so desperate and so helpless
and so hopeless that it's very difficult to think ourselves out of this box.
But it is entirely important to do so.
We have to be able to visualize what it is that we can do and then get our act together to do it.
To combine one of the least hopeful things I know and then immediately follow it up,
what I hope is going to be one of the most hopeful things I know.
I like this, okay.
So least hopeful is when we as human beings are confronted with an existential risk as an individual,
there is a JAMA study, a journal of American Medical Association of 150,000 Americans
have a stroke or cardiac event.
And what they need to do to get better are exercise.
stop smoking, eat a little healthier. Less than 50% of people do any one of those three things,
and only 4.3% of people do all three. That seems deeply unhopeful to me. And yet...
Well, hold on, Aza. Hold on. You've given me the two extremes. Can you also give me data in between?
How many people do two things? 30%. That's not bad. It's not bad. And I've heard you describe,
visualize, make tangible and feelable what that new world.
could feel like, it's hard to really feel what it would be like to be on the other side of your
health state. It takes a lot of work to get there. And if you could touch it, feel it, experience it,
I think many more people would be able to do it. Very true. Very true. It's very difficult to sort of
catapult ourselves out of the perceived reality that we're in right now into a different reality
that we first have to create in our minds before we can create in physicality.
right but that's the magic just think of the most evident example right john kennedy said in 10 years
we're going to put a man in the moon he had no idea how that was going to happen neither did any of the
NASA engineers but they just said right you know we are going to head for a man in moon in 10 years so
that was not an experience reality for them that was a reality that they visualized that they
first corrected in their brain what they did
seemed to be possible.
And then they just work like hell to remove all of the obstacles.
But that is, to me, the process of where we as humans can break through ceilings and self-imposed
barriers of what is possible and what is impossible, because we tend to think that the
only thing that is possible is the currently experienced and well-known and most,
traveled and most trodden. Well, yeah, of course, we agree that that's possible because all of us
are experiencing it. That is not the limitation of what is possible. That is just the limitation of
the experienced. That is where we already are. So to take ourselves first in our head into the
future and for me to first decide how am I going to feel when I'm healthy, how am I going to live in
this world when it's a healthy world, you first have to put that in your head and then work toward
it. The fantastic thing about that, A, so the fantastic thing is that I don't know if you guys
have had this experience, but for me, every time that I do that and I do it with little things
and I do it with bigger things, what is mind-blown is that once you get to the other side,
the reality that you've created is more than usual.
better than what you imagine.
That is amazing.
And the only way that I explain it to myself
is that, you know, our Olympic brain
continues to restrict us,
even though we make a very conscious choice
of, you know, I'm going to move away from that,
I'm going to use the other part of my brain,
I'm going to kind of poke myself into the future.
There's still that limping brain that's going,
really, are you sure?
Are you really sure we're going to get there?
And it just pulls us back, right?
But once we climb out of that box and we envision it and then we create it, then the fantastic thing
is that there is a systemic reaction that occurs, that especially if several people or even
better, if many people are doing that same exercise, then there is a co-creation of that
better world, that better situation, that better, you know, whatever, that better experience that
because several people or hopefully many people are moving toward that energetically, then one
plus one plus one actually turns out to be six and three. And that's, you know, that's the
incredible power. That is the incredible power of this retraining of our brains and refusing to
accept limits that are the result of our limits now, or refusing to accept limits that are the
result of our current experience as opposed to the possibilities that are the result of us
thinking ourselves into a better world. And is that what happened at the Paris Accords? Like how did
that transformation happen? I think taking people into that mental, spiritual transformation, I think,
would be very helpful.
Well, honestly, Tristan, it's not terribly easy to explain, but I'm going to try.
I'm going to try.
So I personally first decided at that press conference, I personally decided, right, I have to
change my thinking about this.
I have to let go of the limiting thought that a global structure is never going to be
possible.
Why?
Because I knew that from a moral point of view, that is unacceptable.
There's no way that I wanted under my watch to commit future generations to that destruction.
So just because it was morally unacceptable, right, take the high road here and first of all
change my own perception of this.
So I had to do a lot of internal work, to be honest with you, a lot of internal work to change
my perception.
Then work with the 10 to 12 people who were closest to me, the management team at the convention,
to do all kinds of work with them
to begin to re-motivated them
because they have worked very, very hard
for the disaster in Copenhagen
and they were in the trash bin, right?
Completely demotivated.
So take them out out.
And this is psychological work between all of you?
Honestly, it even starts with structure.
It starts with figuring out
what the working conditions are.
What do the kitchens look like?
What do the bathrooms look like?
What do the offices look like?
You know, what kind of food is being served in the cafeteria?
It starts with everything.
even physical, but then also a lot of team building and a lot of working about,
let's, you know, where, where's the limitation?
Who will help identify a limitation that you want to break through and just get into that
set of mind of breaking through limitations.
But it goes all the way, as I say, from your physical environment, all the way to even
that and everything in between.
And then working.
Do you have examples of that of like the ways you would like bring a team through these limiting
beliefs, identifying them making a safe space in which people can talk about them.
I think it would be really helpful to hear some of those specifics.
One thing that I can share is that the secretariat that I was leading has the responsibility
of devising strategy for negotiation of every year.
And so when we were devising the first and the second and third, and each strategy is obviously
under constant revision, there was one person in that very close management team.
that was always negative and just didn't believe that anything was going to be possible.
You know, here's the big strategy.
This is what we're going to be.
Oh, no, that's not going to be possible.
And at first it irked me terribly.
And then I decided, wow, this is the most important person on the team.
So I pulled him aside and I said, would you be willing to be the permanent Cassandra on the team?
Please, even if you agree with what we're saying, please do not verbalize that.
please exercise, discipline in trying to really figure out what are all the weaknesses
of anything that we suggest, anything that we put on the whiteboard, anything that we're
thinking, please just puncture that constantly, constantly, constantly.
Because we need to be challenged to move toward higher and better ways of thinking and
acting and strategizing. And unless there's someone constantly pushing that, then you're
sort of fall into the known of the known and true. And we knew that the known was not going to be
enough. So honestly, he became such a valuable part of the team. Now, I told the team, right?
He is going to do this for us. And let us understand that as a positive contribution. Yes,
it can seem irky. Yes, it can be frustrating. But I have given him this task. And let us all
understand that it is a very important task. And honestly, I am so grateful to him because he really
did point out early on what the weaknesses could have been. And then the rest of the group was
called upon not to dismiss what you were saying, but to figure out how do we mitigate that risk
and how do we think of related risks and mitigate those ahead of time. So you can see that the
group is given the task of collectively examining everything for its strengths and weaknesses
and being into a constant improvement process that we then expanded beyond the management team
to the whole team of 500 people that work at the secretariat.
And then we brought the government negotiators in, right?
Once I slowly invited all of the country representatives into that kind of thinking,
you know, we're going to make this possible.
There are many problems on the way, but we're going to figure out how to address each of these barriers.
And over time, it was evident to me that we were moving as a system, which is both the
UN people, 500 UN employees, plus all of the government representatives, of which there
are thousands, it's 195 countries, but some of them have thousands on their team, some of them
only have two or three. And then just to make things a little bit more complicated, then I
invited other stakeholders, you know, representatives of private sector, corporations, finance
sector, the tech sector, the science, the spiritual communities, the women's groups, the youth
groups, all of them, the insurance companies, all of them, because they're all going to be
affected, an expanding circle.
And where did this happen?
Where was this exactly?
So the headquarters of the convention is in Bonn, Germany.
But what I'm describing was a five-year process, all the process toward Paris.
What I hear you doing with this sort of the naysayer is we all have internally in our minds,
that voice of doubt, like that thing that's tapping us.
on the shoulder. Is this really going to work? It's not going to work. And it's important
not to dismiss it and push it away. It's important to turn to face it, listen to it and
incorporate it. You're designing the relationship you are having with the voice of doubt. And instead
of making it you more fragile by ignoring it, making you anti-fragile by incorporating it. That's so
inspiring. Yeah. Whatever comes out is definitely stronger because someone is pointing out
weaknesses, and there's collective wisdom as to how to address that weakness.
The psychology of negotiation and getting everybody, you know, especially around the historical
responsibility that you've talked about, that people have different views of what they're
historically responsible for, kind of aligning all of that together. There's a parallel in the tech
industry where, let's say you started, you know, your company with the advertising business model
that we now know to be corrosive to societies, but you've sort of been an early polluter which
got you into this sort of big billion-dollar, trillion-dollar sort of market cap.
And now we're saying you can't use that business model, but now the newcomers have to somehow
get to be as big, but they can't use the same polluting methods.
And so there's this sort of similarity about how we walk that path.
Wow.
This is so many aspects of this that I would love to dive into.
We have a situation where we profit from the problem in the tech industry, where the business
model is the problem.
And so it's sort of like, well, our economic growth seems to be the problem with climate change
because it's so directly tied to emissions and you're shaking your finger at me.
So what is the truth of the matter there, Christiana?
So I, in my mind, I play around with one sentence summaries of the Paris Agreement and there
are many, but one is precisely this, that not only can we, but we must decouple economic
growth and especially well-being, which is a better definition than economic growth,
must be a couple well-being from the growth of greenhouse gases. So when you look at the curve of
GDP over the past 50, 100 years, you see that that curve has been going in parallel with the growth
of GHG. So basically GDP has been equivalent to GHG. And that has been so mostly because of the
burning of fossil fuels, which is at the basis of power generation, heating and cooling, and all
of that. Now, that was fine for the past century because we didn't know that we were causing as much
damage as we are, but that is no longer fine. And in fact, it is no longer necessary. It perhaps
was necessary last century because we didn't have an alternative. But today we have the
alternatives, right? We have all of the renewable energies that are coming down in cost. Solar
has come down 85% in cost, wind a little bit less, but also on track. And when you have as cheap,
or cheaper alternatives that do not cause greenhouse gas emissions,
then you know that you have to delink.
You have to decouple because not doing so is actually going to cause a drop in GDP.
If we get to the point where we have exceeded the absorptive capacity of the atmosphere in GHG
in greenhouse gases, and we're almost there, then pushing further
on GDP that is based on greenhouse gases is actually going to cause a dramatic drop in GDP.
So in order to continue and to still have space for economic growth,
for developing countries, and I underline that in red three times,
because we are still bringing people out of extreme poverty in most developing countries.
So for developing countries, it is particularly important that they are able to
continue their economic growth and prosperity, bringing well-being to all of their people
without the attendant greenhouse gas emissions. And we have the technologies and we know what the
policies are. So not only can we pursue more economic growth in developing countries,
but we must. What that actually means is that developing countries have to be supported
in their access to all of these alternative energies. One of the things I was thinking about when
you're talking earlier about how we as humans find it difficult to course correct until
or right on top of the pain that we need to feel. And I think one of the roles technology can play
is like a pair of glasses that we put on. Because it's through technology that we make sense of
the world. And especially now in COVID times, it's through technology that we see all of the
rest of the world. So if those glasses then can help us individually and collectively see the world
that we're moving into, the sort of dystopian one, right? If on Google Maps you could see
every time you looked at it, the floodlines in 10 years, that brings the future into the here
and now. And the other thing it could do is paint that picture of what the better world would
be like. And something I really wanted to hear from you is that visualization of the better
world. Like, what should we as technologists be helping build towards? Wow, you've just,
you've just painted a fantastic task for Google. Can you imagine if you could do what you just said
going to Google Maps and see your town 10, 20 years from now, under two scenarios. I'm
right under two scenarios under the irresponsible scenario and under the responsible scenario and under the
responsible scenario and the point of our work is really that technology is the
sense-making apparatus for the world and everybody relies on Google Maps every single
day to make sense of how they think about their own geography everyone relies on
Google to think about search and imagine this sort of two paths approach that you just
said was embedded across all products that you use every single day so you know
Facebook, instead of showing you basically nothing about climate or climate denial or in some
cases, climate fear, imagine that each time climate shows up in a news feed, it's sort of the
if we do nothing versus if we do something, and that it actually has the kind of actions that
are visible for us to take, where it shows me everyone else who's doing work on climate change,
joining the extinction rebellion groups, taking action, LinkedIn in controlling the sensemaking
of how we see every business in the world could actually be the mass coordination infrastructure
for drawing down emissions.
So next to every business profile, you could go to all bird's shoes and you could say,
well, what is the climate footprint for the entire fashion or shoe industry and say,
well, here's the progress bar, just like they say, you know, fill out your profile at 70% complete.
If you add in your education status will go to 80% complete, they could do that for companies
and say, hey, for this company is actually 20% on their drawdown sort of pathway to 0 to 2050.
This is what they would need to do.
and by the way, here's the button to actually message the head of sustainability at that
company right now because LinkedIn knows exactly who that person is. LinkedIn could be the mass
coordination infrastructure for all business to get to zero emissions. Amazon could show you a
circular economy. Here's neighbors who have that same product instead of buying it on Amazon.
You could actually use the tech industry to be the mass recirculation of essentially a closed
loop of materials economy and a zero emissions economy. And I'm just curious what you think of that kind of
vision. I want to know who's signing up to do this. I have my paper ready to sign whose signature
is going to go on that. That is so exciting. So let's do this. It's so funny because when we were talking
about this interview, I was saying, you know, we want to organize the San Francisco Accords,
where the San Francisco Accords are getting the entire tech industry together in a room and say,
look, if you're taking these actions on the coronavirus, because you're starting to say,
and this misinformation is deadly, and so we're going to actually take a more curated stance on how
to give people life-saving communications, why aren't they doing that with climate change?
If we're putting $2 trillion into the economy to try to keep it afloat because of coronavirus,
why aren't we doing that to fund all the transition to climate change?
We could get the tech industry together at a table and say,
here's a vision for what we could do collectively to be the sense-making and choice-making
apparatus that all of us, that 3 billion people put over our eyes and our brains every day
to see reality through and see a reality that's optimistic instead of pessimistic,
that's action-oriented instead of passive learned helplessness.
So we get learned hopefulness instead of learned helplessness.
Exactly.
Exactly.
Okay, I totally love this.
When are we starting this?
I'm in.
I'm in.
I am so in.
So here's one of the fundamental problems for making the sort of San Francisco Accords work
is it takes values for Amazon or LinkedIn or Google to say climate change is real
and we have a joystick for human behavior.
We want to steer people.
And Google's not going to do it until Amazon does it.
Amazon's going to do it until Apple does it.
It's a multipolar trap.
But here's the question back to you.
Would they be willing to accept and admit in public
that they do have their hands on the lever of human behavior?
Well, that's actually the interesting thing about the coronavirus
is that they've been forced to recognize
that the consequences of misinformation are life and death.
With climate change, the consequences are also life and death.
It's just on a longer time horizon.
Right.
And so this is the opportunity to say, look, if they're doing it with coronavirus,
let's do it again now with climate change.
Because if you thought flattening this curve was the problem,
we have a much bigger curve.
Exactly.
And what coronavirus has done for climate change is it's put it sort of on a time warp, right?
You see the real timeline and the real impact.
But this is a huge exercise, a huge global exercise in how we're going to deal with
these high impact, high probability.
global risks that we're facing.
And I do think that it is, from a human evolution point of view,
this crisis has to be the learning ground for climate,
if not for other things as well.
Okay, so what are we doing?
When are we doing it?
What's the next step?
I am so in for this.
It seems like you were putting down a playing card.
You were saying the first playing card is have companies admit or sign up to
say that they have their hands on the steering wheel? How do we do that? What's the first step? How do we go about
making that happen? I mean, we could get a climate pledge, right, from the tech companies. You know, we have
Microsoft already making a commitment to spend billions of dollars to draw down their legacy emissions.
We have Amazon saying that they're going to meet the Paris Accords on a faster timeline themselves through
their own actions. There's small little actions happening tiny little places, but what we need is
a coalition of instead of the 195 countries,
basically 15 or so major tech companies
go from being a thing that kind of dismantled democracy
all around the world to redeeming yourselves.
You know, you are in a position to save us
if we can get a pledge from all the companies
about what they can do.
In a way, they're already walking in that direction
during this recent crisis.
They're already in the gym, in the gym of responsibility.
And they're lifting up baby weights,
but I think our invitation is,
it's time to move up to the adult weights.
And they know, just as you said, they've been lifting the weights.
So, for example, they've all set up these coronavirus task forces across their company saying,
hey, let's get the Facebook events team.
So when you create an event on Facebook, it recommends, hey, you should think twice before going out
and organizing an event because that's not safe right now in the time of coronavirus.
These cross-setting teams for coronavirus could be cross-setting for climate change.
And so each company, they already have a coronavirus task force.
Let's build the climate task force and saying, what are the agreements,
rest of ways we can move the world towards mitigation, resilience, better preparedness using their
platform. Facebook could help coordinate social change in communities, joining and starting Facebook
groups, getting five friends to switch to a credit union to divest from banks that support fossil fuels.
You could have so much action being coordinated from tech companies if they took a powerful
positive stance. I think we just heard Christiana volunteered herself to be the lead negotiator
for the San Francisco Accords. Come fly to San Francisco once we get off quarantine.
Well, yeah, we can't fly right now.
But no, guys, I think that this idea that you're putting on the table is so critical
and has such potential, huge impact that we really shouldn't just let it go.
So, Tristan, this is very clear for you in your mind.
Would you be willing to write a one-page description of what this is?
And then you can get it to Google, I'm sure.
I can get it to Amazon.
Who can get it to Facebook?
we we can get it to the relevant to the relevant places yeah okay so who's doing what by when i'm i am
so in i can't tell you i'm so excited um we will we will literally follow up with you i'm sure
the next 48 hours about how to do this but i have to say we have to move quickly on this
because all of these companies just like governments are you know putting together their recovery
packages all of which have to be clean and green but companies are also already designing how
they are going to lift out of the coronavirus prices that has hit them.
And this should be part of the lift out.
This is the green strings attached.
Yeah.
Exactly.
Yeah.
Okay.
Do you want to bring us to our future home?
That is, I'm feeling very inspired.
There's like this moment of agency.
What is the payoff?
What world do we get to live in?
Yeah.
So that's really, it's so exciting, Aza, because, you know, in the book that we wrote
the future we choose. We literally devote two chapters to the two options of the worlds. One is
the world of disaster and destruction. The other, which was actually pretty easy to write,
by the way, because there's a lot of literature and a lot of scientific evidence or scientific
projection rather for what that world would be like. It was a little bit more difficult to write
the other world because we humans haven't put that much thought into what would it be like to
create a better world. So that was a little bit more difficult, but it is so much of a better world.
So picture this, Aiz. Picture that you walk out of your door and what you feel is that you're
walking into a forest because the air is so clean and so beautifully moist and the temperature
is perfect. And you walk down the street and you walk in an almost silence.
city because you don't have all of that noise pollution from internal combustion engines.
You have vehicles that silently drift from one destination to another.
And you have few of these vehicles because they're all shared.
They're smart.
They're interconnected.
And hence, they are absolutely efficient in transporting you.
Should you have to transport yourself?
because what we have learned in the past few months is that we don't necessarily have to transport
our bodies to work. We can actually work from other areas from home or from shared offices,
but there will be less transport needs and so much better transport. So first of all,
you don't have to drive your own stupid car. You probably don't own your stupid car. You just
get transport as a service as opposed to as a good. And you are serviced in your
transport needs so you can sit there, you can get your work done, you can meditate, you can chat
with the other people in the vehicle. But the result of this for urban planning is that there is
much less need for roads, parking area, and therefore much of the area of previous roads is actually
now devoted to greenery. So you have so much more green in the cities. Many of the parking
places are now devoted to growing vegetables or growing flowers because you don't need all that
parking. Obviously, roofs of buildings are either covered with solar panels or also producing
the food that is necessary for the building. Picture that every building is actually almost going to
be a self-sufficient unit because they will be able to grow substantial parts of the food
that they need either on the roof or hanging from their windows.
They will, of course, be able to produce all the energy that they use
because we will have this paint that you can cover any surface with
and that will produce solar energy.
So without taking up any more space, you can produce the energy that you need.
And, of course, we're going to have very efficient water recycling.
So for food, energy, and water, all of these buildings are going to be
practically self-sufficient buildings, clean buildings, where people don't get respiratory diseases
from, you know, recircling dirty air in and out, and so much more silent living in cities.
You know, in the 1800s, there was something called the Great Stink in London because that city
and many other cities of that period were so incredibly stinky because the rivers on the sewage
system were just complete disasters.
And, of course, we brought the engineers, and now we don't have stinky cities anymore.
Well, we have a few, but not most.
Well, we don't tend to think of cities as being noisy cities, but they are.
Cities are incredibly noisy because of the internal combustion engine.
And dirty, yeah.
And dirty, right?
The air pollution that is created, right?
Seven million people still dying of air pollution, mostly in cities, mostly because of the burning of fossil fuels.
So picture, efficient, clean, silent transport.
and only the necessary transport and provide it as a service.
Picture, you know, cities that have so much more green cover in them.
And picture cities that are actually sub-organized into small communities
that are joining together to produce their own food.
And picture, of course, for the rural areas, much more efficient agriculture,
none of the sprawling agriculture, inefficient agriculture,
but picture really, really efficient, concentrated agriculture
that is producing top quality of food.
And here are the two pieces that for me are the most important.
Picture, Aza, if you will, a world in which every human being has access to energy,
no matter where they live, no matter in what isolated part of Africa,
or Latin America. Every human being has clean, cheap, if not completely costless energy.
Picture if all of them have access to clean water. Picture if all of these people have access
to food. And all of them have access to health services because the tiny little clinics
way out there now have renewable energy powering them. And therefore, you can have clinics
that you have refrigerated medicines that have air-conditioned rooms for women to be able to
have their children, et cetera. Can you imagine how the quality of life, in particular, the one
billion people who are today still in poverty, how much their quality of life will improve?
That to me is even more exciting than the beautiful silent.
clean cities that we're going to have.
I may just want to add to that.
I think that vision is beautiful.
Imagine a tech industry that is entirely signed up to helping to make that transition
happen for the whole world.
And just for listeners to be clear, not because of techno-utopianism and tech's going
to build it and solve it, just that as they shape our sense-making and choice-making,
that instead of showing us infinite feeds of clickbait that feed that helplessness,
they actually help us be with each other and connect in ways that help us produce that reality.
So the agency lives in us, but the technology makes it possible for that agency to move
much faster than it could have ever moved without the tech industry's help.
Christian, I know we're probably out of time.
This has been such an amazing conversation.
I'm so glad we are going to make this happen.
We have to make this happen.
It's an honor to meet you finally, and I'm really looking forward to our next very soon conversation
to make this happen.
Wonderful.
It's such a pleasure.
We're always thinking now about how changes in perspective really do.
change everything. Like when there was the man on the moon, those years, when we were all
dosed with the overview effect, that's when the EPA came into existence, Noah came into
existence, the environmental protection movement. And so the question we're asking at this
fundamental level is, yes, it's technology, but it's a much deeper question of, what does it
take to have another one of those moments? Well, and just to push a little bit farther there,
I mean, we could ask, what does it take for humanity to have one of those moments, or we can
decide this is the moment that we've been waiting for. Coronavirus has actually pulled the rug from
so much, right? I mean, there is nothing that is standing today the way that it was standing just a
month ago. So instead of asking ourselves, you know, what is it going to take? I think we just
decide this is what it takes and this is it. And now is now. I agree. We have what we need right
here with the coronavirus to make it happen. Well said.
Each tech company now has a coronavirus task force that has now been implementing changes across their products to deliver life-saving communication, avoiding misinformation, helping people take actions in their community.
That was a coordinated effort. And imagine that we had all the tech companies at this moment say, you know what? Coronavirus was just a warning sign. It was just the flexing the muscles.
What we really need to do is flex our muscles to flatten the much bigger.
curve of climate change.
Let's say we got them together in a Zoom call
that was later referred to as the San Francisco records.
And we got them to sign a pledge saying,
we have the power to mitigate climate change.
And then we are making collective commitments
as an industry to take the vast resources,
ingenuity, engineering talent, and product impact
directly on how people see the world
to basically enable mass-coordinated action.
What could that look like?
We have companies like Microsoft that are already donating more than a billion dollars
to basically drawing down all of the emissions of their company since they're founding.
Imagine we got the top 10 tech companies to match what Microsoft is doing.
Imagine we got the social media companies.
So when you log in to say, if you are in a zip code where we know there's been a climate event
or climate disaster, that people were invited to share a video of how that disaster affected them.
because we know that if that spreads,
people can't deny it when they see their own friends and family
who are affected by it.
We could imagine a world where LinkedIn,
which controls the reputation of all businesses on Earth,
where people work for where they don't,
that they started framing the business pages
in terms of their progress to hit to zero emissions by 2050.
And by the way, if you want them to take an action on that progress bar
to take them from 20% of drawdown to 25%.
LinkedIn can put the button that says,
here's how to message the head of sustainability at that company right now and help you organize
petitions and actions. You could have Facebook show climate policies that basically were effective
in other places and let you copy and organize climate policies for your own city right now.
We could have actions that don't just let you put a band-aid on the problem. So acute solutions
to acute problems. We can have instead systemic actions, actions that deal with the incentives
that are really at play that perpetuate a extractive and polluting
kind of economy.
The tech industry is better placed in the world
on the timelines that we have to make this change.
This is what shapes the sense-making and choice-making
of three billion people.
And instead of having it be this fictitiously neutral platform
that when it pretends to be neutral,
actually leads to far worse outcomes,
we can have it consciously say our job
is to come up with sense-making and choice-making
that create a surviving and thriving civilizational model.
What I think is fascinating about talking with
Christiana is, you know, in 2009, Copenhagen 15, the climate conversation, it failed.
And her job given to her six months later was to put it back together.
And she was able to succeed with the Paris Climate Accords.
And she turns to us and says, the way to begin is with a pledge where the tech companies take
responsibility, admit that they are constructing our social world.
And hence, just that admission that their hand is on the street.
steering wheel is enough to get started. It's the way to start overcoming the game theory of
we can't do it as Amazon until you move as Google, which won't move until Apple moves,
which isn't going to move until Amazon moves. We actually saw the same thing with the tech
company's actions on coronavirus. No tech company wants to be the first mover to take down
certain kind of misinformation or conspiracy theories. The companies didn't want to act by
themselves on contact tracing. And much like with climate change, where you can't have one country
say, we're going to do the green energy thing and then it's going to take an economic hit of 10%
to our GDP and the other countries don't. That's the multipolar trap. They need to all agree to
move together. And so if you have one company say, hey, we're not neutral. And the other companies
say, no, no, where it's the neutral platform? Anyone can post anything its likes and shares. That doesn't
work. So we need a world where all the tech companies move together with the climate pledge. And that's
what we need to do next.
Your undivided attention is produced by the Center for Humane Technology.
Our executive producer is Dan Kedmi and our associate producer is Natalie Jones.
Nor al-Samurai helped with a fact-checking, original music and sound design by Ryan and Hayes Holiday.
And a special thanks to the whole Center for Humane Technology team,
for making this podcast possible.
A very special thanks goes to our generous lead supporters
at the Center for Humane Technology,
including the Omidyar Network, Craig Newmark Philanthropies,
VALV Foundation, and the Patrick J. McGovern Foundation,
among many others.