Your Undivided Attention - The Stubborn Optimist’s Guide to Saving the Planet — with Christiana Figueres
Episode Date: May 21, 2020How can we feel empowered to take on global threats? The battle begins in our heads, argues Christiana Figueres. She became the United Nation’s top climate official, after she had watched the 2009 C...openhagen climate summit collapse “in blood, in screams, in tears.” In the wake of that debacle, she began performing an act of emotional Aikido on herself, her team and eventually delegates from 196 nations. She called it “stubborn optimism." It requires a clear and alluring vision of a future that can supplant the dystopian and discouraging vision of what will happen if the world fails to act. It was stubborn optimism, she says, that convinced those nations to sign the first global climate framework, the Paris Agreement. We explore how a similar shift in Silicon Valley's vision could lead 3 billion people to take action.
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There was so much hope that this would be the moment when countries would actually agree on a global framework to address climate change.
Today on the show, we have Cristiana Figueres, who's intimately familiar with the high stakes of climate change negotiation.
She became the United Nations top climate official after the failed Copenhagen Climate Summit in 2009.
That session ended up in blood, in screams, in tears, and heads of state leaving ahead of time.
it was just a total, total disaster.
Little did I know that I would then six months later
be called upon to pick up the pieces from the garbage can
and say, right, you figure out what to do with this.
As one of the main architects of the Paris Agreement,
she helped bring more than 195 countries on board
to meet the climate change goals.
How do you negotiate something that is a global problem
in harness and jiu-jitsu,
the emotions and injustices and the feelings of being
burnt from all of these different countries to take a common action for a common purpose,
for a common future.
Christiana is author of the new book, The Future We Choose, Surviving the Climate Crisis,
co-written with Tom Rivett Karnak to outline how a radical shift in mindset can and must lead
to a shift in action.
Now, you might be wondering, why would a podcast that's normally about how technology's
impacting society interview a global climate change expert who negotiated the Paris Accords?
It's because whether we act on climate or not or on the timescales that we have
depends on what 3 billion people believe about it.
Is it real or is it urgent or is it just an exaggeration by the media?
Is there a way to do it without breaking economic growth?
Democracies depend on the public opinion and consensus of their population.
And right now technology is controlling what we believe.
In a study of 200 of the top climate videos on YouTube,
almost half promoted conspiracy theories about climate change and climate engineering.
And even when newsfeeds try to inform us, we get kind of infinite fear porn of apathy and learn helplessness and eco-anxiety.
So we can't solve climate change without fixing the attention economy.
The second reason we wanted to talk to Christiana is about how do you change an industry against their own business and economic interests?
How do you negotiate against the self-interest of different nations?
It seems impossible.
Because in this case, individual behavior change isn't enough.
You think that with coronavirus, with the entire economy,
just turned off completely, that we would have met the Paris Records for this year.
But so far, we've only reduced emissions by 5.5%, which is less than the reductions targets
for one year. So if we're going to solve climate change, we're going to need a miracle way
in which all of us, every one of us and all business and all technology companies in each one
of our behaviors add up to tackling this global problem. And that's why Christiana's story
is so important.
I'm Tristan Harris.
I'm Aza Raskin, and this is your undivided attention.
I was at my very first press conference.
I was literally speaking the mood of the world
when some newspaper person asked me,
Mr. Garris, do you think a global agreement is ever going to be possible?
To which I immediately retort it, not in my lifetime.
And that not in my lifetime is probably the...
most important sentence I have ever uttered in my lifetime because it made me listen to myself.
I verbalized something that was being felt by everyone, including myself, but once I heard me
verbalize it, I realized that I couldn't accept that as a reality because the consequences
of not having a global structure to address climate change were so, so destructive and such a huge
threat to human existence, let alone to the balance of nature and all ecosystems, that I just
decided, well, no way, not on my watch, are we going to continue with that attitude? And that's when
I started to change my attitude, which was a huge piece, right, just to change my own
attitude and then started injecting what I came to call stubborn optimism into the whole negotiating
system and gradually pulling more and more and more stakeholders into that space to move from a
concept of impossible to the concept of possible, then probable, then likely, and then
delivered. Checkmark. Not an easy process, but one that had to be done. I think it was absolutely
clear that it had to be done. It was necessary. It is not sufficient. Having a structure and a framework,
or you could call it a business plan, right, if the whole
convention, we would call it right. So we have our business plan. Okay, but a business plan
that remains in written form on the shelf does no one any good. And so it's necessary to have the
business plan, but it's got to be implemented, which is where we are now. We often say that the
business model of the tech companies is ads, it's grabbing our attention, but that's, I think,
still slightly misleading. It's the monetization of small changes to our behaviors.
our beliefs, and our biases.
And both climate and the tech companies and tech platforms need behavior to change
in order for them to keep going as business and for us to keep going as a species.
And it strikes me that tech companies are pushing, well, whatever grabs the most attention,
not about what's good for us is humanity.
And it seems like another just fundamental tension we're going to have to solve.
Yes, I accept that point.
And at the same time, I have been fascinated by the dramatic change.
in individual behavior that we've seen over the past month or two.
We have seen systemic changes through government policy,
but also behavior changes that none of us would have thought would be possible
for each of us individually, let alone for half of humanity.
So now the coronavirus is tragic.
We are losing thousands of lives, millions of livelihoods, millions of livelihoods,
and incomes and jobs.
so I don't want to underestimate that and at the same time it does seem to me that it's a
very important exercise if you will human exercise it's almost like humanity has gone to the gym
of behavioral changes we're doing this weightlifting in that gym the difference between this
dramatic change in behavior that we've seen and the dramatic change in behavior that we have to see for a
climate change, the difference is that there is a very clear association of imminent threat in the
coronavirus. That's one type of risk, right? If you look at the quadrant of risk, they are up there
in that quadrant of high probability and high impact. But it wasn't until people started dying
on a daily basis that we actually understood that there was an imminent threat. That is the challenge
with climate change. Climate change is also a high probability, in fact, the highest probability,
the highest impact. It is like the mother of all risks because of the probability and the
impact. But it's not an imminent threat. It is a threat that takes months, years, years, decades, to be
felt by everyone. And it is not experienced coterminously at the same time by everyone. It is
experienced by Australia and then by the Amazon and then by, you know, Siberia and then by the
small island state. So it's not a coterminous threat and impact. And that is what makes this so
dangerous, so frustrating, because the threat is orders of magnitude worse than what we're dealing
with now. So this is almost a bitter foretaste of what we could have with climate change if we
don't address it properly. But despite the fact that we are going to have orders of magnitude more
suffering and more destruction and more lives lost and more jobs lost, it's not an imminent threat.
And so it's that sense of immediacy is the piece that I am frankly sitting here chewing on
because it is understandable from a human perspective, from a human psychology perspective.
We are definitely wired to react to imminent threats.
That we have done, you know, ever since we climbed down off the trees, right?
that imminent threat is exactly what we are so well trained to react to.
However, we also have a frontal brain, not just our limbic brain.
And, you know, what happens in the frontal brain, the more developed brain,
that we are not able to bring about the depth and scope of behavioral change
that we know we must have when the threat is there confirmed by science?
We already have ramping up evidence, exponential evidence every year, and yet the threat is not imminent.
So I'm really chewing on that one. I'm really chewing on that one because I think that is the biggest difference there between those two.
The problem of climate change, as you just said, is our brains are perfectly equipped to not see it, meaning the geometry of how we feel and see exponential curves, we were not evolved to see exponential curves to look at chronic and diffuse.
impact as opposed to concrete and immediate impact. If I try to wrap my brain around it, we've got
species lost in the Amazon, we've got coral reefs, we've got nitrogen runoff, we've got ocean acidification.
If I actually dig into it, my brain just starts to get overwhelmed. And yet we need to kind of find
a relationship, a psychological relationship to it. And I think what's fascinating in your work is,
like you said, it's not just about having the business plan. It's about psychology, getting the
psychology of the 195 members and the Paris Accords. So if you take us back a little bit,
you were there in Paris and it looks like there's no way to get people to agree. How did you
wrangle the emotions and the brains and the thinking and the sense of solidarity among people
who theoretically were not having it? I think that our responsibility when we know that we need
to affect change is not to turn away from the threat to.
see it, understand the threat that is there, the risks that are there, and not stop there.
There is another side to the coin, especially on climate.
And the other side of the coin is everything that we can co-create that is so much better
than what we have now.
The fact that we can have cities that don't have air pollution, the fact that we can
avoid the 7 million deaths of people who die from air pollution.
The fact that we can have much better transport, the fact that we can have much better energy generation
and not just more dependable and cheaper and cleaner, but actually we can bring energy generation
to the almost one billion people around the world who don't have any electricity.
And hens are still under the poverty line because energy is so basic to any kind of well-being.
The fact that we can regenerate soils, the fact that we cannot just protect standing forests,
but that we can reforest as opposed to deforesting, right?
The fact that we can bring so much more human health and planetary health,
human resilience and planetary resilience, all of that whole package we can do
through acting in a timely fashion on climate change.
And that is why I think it is so important to hold both of these realities at the same level, at the same time.
One reality is the fear of the dystopian world that we will all have, tastes of which we're already having right now.
But we can also, just barely, just barely, if we move quickly enough, and that actually will be decided over the next 18 months so we can talk about that.
but we can set the conditions for a world that is so much better than what we have right now.
And technology is a part of that.
I should say well-managed technology is a part of that.
But we have to be able to open our minds to that possibility and manage technology properly
so that we can get to that world.
So it's entirely possible, entirely possible.
And we have to wrap not just our imagination, but our visualization, which is stronger than imagination, right?
Our visualization, we have to be able to visualize what these cities will look like, green, clean, efficient cities.
What are they going to look like?
What are the rural areas going to look like when we have a planet that is green again?
What are the oceans going to look like?
We have to be able to visualize that and then figure out how do we use everything that we have, technology, finance,
and behavioral changes to get us to that world that is entirely possible.
And that's the process that we used to get to the Paris Agreement.
Honestly, I knew that we were going to get an agreement a year before
because I had already spoken to everybody.
I knew what they were looking at.
And we knew we had enough common ground.
The last year was spent just in increasing the ambition.
But we are today, with respect to the world that we could create,
we're basically at the Copenhagen stage, right?
We're basically at the breakdown stage in which we are feeling so desperate and so helpless
and so hopeless that it's very difficult to think ourselves out of this box.
But it is entirely important to do so.
We have to be able to visualize what it is that we can do and then get our act together to do it.
To combine one of the least hopeful things I know and then immediately follow it up
what I hope is going to be one of the most hopeful things I know.
I like this, okay?
So least hopeful is when we as human beings are confronted with an existential risk as an
individual, there is a JAMA study, a journal of American Medical Association of 150,000
Americans have a stroke or cardiac event.
And what they need to do to get better are exercise, stop smoking, eat a little healthier.
Less than 50% of people do any one of them.
those three things, and only 4.3% of people do all three. That seems deeply unhopeful to me.
And yet... Well, hold on, Aza. Hold on. You've given me the two extremes. Can you also give me
data in between? How many people do two things? 30%. That's not bad. It's not bad. And I've
heard you describe, visualize, make tangible and feelable what that new world could feel like.
it's hard to really feel what it would be like to be on the other side of your health state.
It takes a lot of work to get there. And if you could touch it, feel it, experience it,
I think many more people would be able to do it. Very true. Very true. It's very difficult
to sort of catapult ourselves out of the perceived reality that we're in right now
into a different reality that we first have to create in our minds before we can create
in physicality right but that's the magic just think of the most evident example right
john kennedy said in 10 years we're going to put a man in the moon he had no idea how that was
going to happen neither did any of the NASA engineers but they just said right you know we are going
to head for a man under a moon in 10 years so that was not an experienced reality for them
That was a reality that they visualized, that they first corrected in their brain what they deemed to be possible.
And then they just worked like hell to remove all of the obstacles.
But that is, to me, the process of where we as humans can break through ceilings and self-imposed barriers of what is possible.
and what is impossible, because we tend to think that the only thing that is possible
is the currently experienced and well-known and most traveled and most trodden.
Well, yeah, of course, we agree that that's possible because all of us are experiencing it.
That is not the limitation of what is possible.
That is just the limitation of the experienced.
That is where we already are.
So to take ourselves first in our head into the future,
and for me to first decide how am I going to feel when I'm healthy,
how am I going to live in this world when it's a healthy world,
you first have to put that in your head and then work toward it.
The fantastic thing about that, A, so the fantastic thing is that I don't know if you guys
have had this experience, but for me, every time that I do that and I do it with little
things and I do it with bigger things, what is,
mind-blowing is that once you get to that other side, the reality that you've created is more than
usual, better than what you imagine. That is amazing. And the only way that I explain it to myself
is that, you know, our limbic brain continues to restrict us, even though we make a very conscious
choice of, you know, I'm going to move away from that, I'm going to use the other part of my brain,
I'm going to catapult myself into the future. There's still that limiting brain.
that is going like, really? Are you sure? Are you really sure we're going to get there? And it just
pulls us back, right? But once we climb out of that box and we envision it, and then we create it,
then the fantastic thing is that there is a systemic reaction that occurs, that especially if several
people or even better, if many people are doing that same exercise, then there is a co-creation.
of that better world, that better situation, that better, you know, whatever, that better
experience that because several people or hopefully many people are moving toward that
energetically, then one plus one plus one actually turns out to be six and three.
And that's, you know, that's the incredible power.
That is the incredible power of this retraining of our brains and refusing.
to accept limits that are the result of our limits now
or refusing to accept limits that are the result of our current experience
as opposed to the possibilities that are the result of us
thinking ourselves into a better world.
And is that what happened at the Paris Accords?
Like how did that transformation happen?
I think taking people into that mental spiritual transformation,
I think would be very helpful.
Well, honestly, Tristan, it's not terribly easy to explain, but I'm going to try.
I'm going to try.
So I personally first decided at that press conference, I personally decided, right, I have to change my thinking about this.
I have to let go of the limiting thought that a global structure is never going to be possible.
Why?
Because I knew that from a moral point of view, that is unacceptable.
There's no way that I wanted under my watch to commit future generations to that
destruction.
So just because it was morally unacceptable, I said, right, take the high road here and
first of all change my own perception of this.
So I had to do a lot of internal work, to be honest with you, a lot of internal work
to change my perception.
Then work with the 10 to 12 people who were closest to me, the management team at the
convention, to do all kinds of work with them to.
begin to re-motivated them because they have worked very, very hard for the disaster in Copenhagen.
And they were in the trash bin, right? Completely demotivated. So take them out. And this is psychological work
between all kinds of things. Honestly, it even starts with structure. It starts with figuring out
what the working conditions are. What do the kitchens look like? What do the bathrooms look like?
What do the offices look like? And, you know, what kind of food is being served in the cafeteria?
It starts with everything even physical, but then also a lot of team buildings.
and a lot of working about, let's, you know, where, where is the limitation?
Who will identify a limitation that you want to break through and just get into that set of mind
of breaking through limitations.
But it goes all the way, as I say, from your physical environment all the way to even that
and everything in between.
And then working.
Do you have examples of that of like the ways you would like bring a team through these
limiting beliefs, identifying them making a safe space in which people can talk about
them. I think it would be really helpful to hear some of those specifics.
One thing that I can share is that the secretariat that I was leading has the responsibility
of devising strategy for negotiation of every year. And so when we were devising the first
and the second and the third, and each strategy is obviously under constant revision, there was
one person in that very close management team that was always negative and just didn't
believe that anything was going to be possible, you know, here's the big strategy. This is what we're
going to do. Oh, no, that's not going to be possible. And at first, it irked me terribly. And then I
decided, wow, this is the most important person on the team. So I pulled him aside and I said,
would you be willing to be the permanent Cassandra on the team? Please, even if you agree with what
we're saying, please do not verbalize that. Please exercise, discipline, and trying to really figure
out. What are all the weaknesses of anything that we suggest, anything that we put on the white
board, anything that we're thinking, please just puncture that constantly, constantly, constantly.
Because we need to be challenged to move toward higher and better ways of thinking and acting
and strategizing. And unless there's someone constantly pushing that, then you sort of fall into
the known and the known and truth. And we knew that the known was not going to be enough.
So, honestly, he became such a valuable part of the team.
Now, I told the team, right, he is going to do this for us.
And let us understand that as a positive contribution.
Yes, it can seem irky.
Yes, it can be frustrating.
But I have given him this task.
And let us all understand that it is a very important task.
And honestly, I am so grateful to him because he really did point out early on
what the weaknesses could have been.
and then the rest of the group was called upon not to dismiss what you were saying,
but to figure out how do we mitigate that risk and how do we think of related risks
and mitigate those ahead of time.
So you can see that the group is given the task of collectively examining everything
for its strengths and weaknesses and being into a constant improvement process
that we then expanded beyond the management team to the whole team of
500 people that work at the secretariat. And then we brought the government negotiators in,
right? Once I slowly invited all of the country representatives into that kind of thinking,
you know, we're going to make this possible. There are many problems on the way, but we're going to
figure out how to address each of these barriers. And over time, it was evident to me that we
were moving as a system, which is both the UN people, 500 UN employees, plus all of
of the government representatives, of which there are thousands. It's 195 countries, but some of them
have thousands on their team. Some of them only have two or three. And then just to make things
a little bit more complicated, then I invited other stakeholders, you know, representatives of private
sector, corporations, finance sector, the tax sector, the science, the spiritual communities, the women's
groups, the youth groups, all of them, the insurance companies, all of them, because they're all going to be
affected. An expanding circle. And where did this happen? Where was this exactly? So the headquarters of
the convention is in Bonn, Germany. But what I'm describing was a five-year process, all the process
toward Paris. What I hear you doing with this sort of the naysayer is we all have internally in our
minds, that voice of doubt, like that thing that's tapping us on the shoulder, like, is this really
going to work? It's not going to work. And it's important not to dismiss it and push it away. It's
important to turn, to face it, listen to it, and incorporate it. You're designing the
relationship you are having with the voice of doubt. And instead of making it you more fragile
by ignoring it, making you anti-fragile by incorporating it. That's so inspiring. Yeah. Whatever comes
out is definitely stronger because someone is pointing out weaknesses and there's collective
wisdom as to how to address that weakness. The psychology of negotiation
and getting everybody, you know, especially around the historical responsibility that you've
talked about, that people have different views of what they're historically responsible for,
kind of aligning all of that together. There's a parallel in the tech industry where, let's say
you started, you know, your company with the advertising business model that we now know to be corrosive
to societies. But you've sort of been an early polluter, which got you into this sort of big
billion dollar, trillion dollar sort of market cap. And now we're saying you can't use that
business model, but now the newcomers have to somehow get to be.
be as big, but they can't use the same polluting methods. And so there's this sort of similarity about
how we walk that path. Wow. This is so many aspects of this that I would love to dive into.
We have a situation where we profit from the problem in the tech industry where the business model
is the problem. And so it's sort of like, well, our economic growth seems to be the problem with
climate change because it's so directly tied to emissions and you're shaking your finger at me. So what
is what is the truth of the matter there, Christian? So I in my mind, I play around.
with one-sentence summaries of the Paris Agreement, and there are many, but one is precisely
this. That not only can we, but we must decouple economic growth and especially well-being,
which is a better definition than economic growth, must decouple well-being from the growth
of greenhouse gases. So when you look at the curve of GDP over the past 50, 100 years, you see that
that curve has been going in parallel with the growth of GHG. So basically, GDP has been
equivalent to GHG. And that has been so mostly because of the burning of fossil fuels,
which is at the basis of power generation, heating and cooling, and all of that. Now, that was
fine for the past century because we didn't know that we were causing as much damage as we are,
but that is no longer fine. And in fact, it is no longer necessary. It perhaps was necessary.
century because we didn't have an alternative. But today we have the alternatives, right?
We have all of the renewable energies that are coming down in cost. Solar has come down 85% in
cost, wind a little bit less, but also on track. And when you have as cheap or cheaper alternatives
that do not cause greenhouse gas emissions, then you know that you have to delink. You have to decouple
because not doing so is actually going to cause a drop in GDP.
If we get to the point where we have exceeded the absorptive capacity of the atmosphere
in GHG in greenhouse gases, and we're almost there, then pushing further on GDP that is
based on greenhouse gases is actually going to cause a dramatic drop in GDP.
So in order to continue and to still have space for economic growth, for developing countries,
and I underline that in red three times, because we are still bringing people out of extreme
poverty in most developing countries.
So for developing countries, it is particularly important that they are able to continue
their economic growth and prosperity, bringing well-being to all of their people without
the attendant greenhouse gas emissions.
And we have the technologies and we know what the policies are.
So not only can we pursue more economic growth in developing countries, but we must.
What that actually means is that developing countries have to be supported in their access
to all of these alternative energies.
One of the things I was thinking about when you were talking earlier about how we as humans
find it difficult to course correct until, or right on top of the,
pain that we need to feel. And I think one of the roles technology can play is like a pair of
glasses that we put on. Because it's through technology that we make sense of the world,
and especially now in COVID times, it's through technology that we see all of the rest of the
world. So if those glasses then can help us individually and collectively see the world
that we're moving into, the sort of dystopian one, right? If on Google Maps, you could see
every time you looked at it, the floodlines in 10 years. That brings the future into the here
and now. And the other thing it could do is paint that picture of what the better world would
be like. And something I really wanted to hear from you is that visualization of the better world.
Like what should we as technologists be helping build towards?
Wow, you've just painted a fantastic task for Google.
Can you imagine if you could do what you just said,
going to Google Maps and see your town 10, 20 years from now,
under two scenarios, Aza, right?
Under two scenarios, under the irresponsible scenario
and under the responsible scenario.
And the point of our work is really that technology is the sense-making apparatus,
for the world. And everybody relies on Google Maps every single day to make sense of how they think
about their own geography. Everyone relies on Google to think about search. And imagine this sort
of two paths approach that you just said was embedded across all products that you use every single
day. So, you know, Facebook, instead of showing you basically nothing about climate or climate denial
or in some cases climate fear, imagine that each time climate shows up in a news feed, it's sort of the
if we do nothing versus if we do something,
and that it actually has the kind of actions
that are visible for us to take,
where it shows me everyone else who's doing work on climate change,
joining the Extinction Rebellion groups,
taking action, LinkedIn in controlling the sensemaking
of how we see every business in the world
could actually be the mass coordination infrastructure
for drawing down emissions.
So next to every business profile,
you could go to AllBird's Shoes and you could say,
well, what is the climate footprint
for the entire fashion or shoe industry?
and say, well, here's the progress bar, just like they say, you know, fill out your profile at 70% complete.
If you add in your education status will go to 80% complete, they could do that for companies and say, hey, for this company is actually 20% on their drawdown sort of pathway to zero to 2050.
This is what they would need to do.
And by the way, here's the button to actually message the head of sustainability at that company right now because LinkedIn knows exactly who that person is.
LinkedIn could be the mass coordination infrastructure for all business to get to zero.
emissions. Amazon could show you a circular economy. Here's neighbors who have that same product
instead of buying it on Amazon. You could actually use the tech industry to be the mass recirculation
of essentially a closed loop of materials economy and a zero emissions economy. And I'm just curious
what you think of that kind of vision. I want to know who's signing up to do this. I have my paper
ready to sign whose signature is going to go on that. That is so exciting. So let's do this.
It's so funny because when we were talking about this interview, I was saying, you know, we want to organize the San Francisco Accords, where the San Francisco Accords are getting the entire tech industry together in a room and say, look, if you're taking these actions on the coronavirus because you're starting to say, and this misinformation is deadly, and so we're going to actually take a more curated stance on how to give people life-saving communications, why aren't they doing that with climate change? If we're putting $2 trillion into the economy to try to keep it afloat because of coronavirus, why aren't we doing that to fund all the transition to climate change?
we could get the tech industry together at a table and say here's a vision for what we could do collectively to be the sense making and choice making apparatus that all of us that three billion people put over our eyes and our brains every day to see reality through and see a reality that's optimistic instead of pessimistic that's action oriented instead of passive learned helplessness so we get learned hopefulness instead of learned helplessness exactly exactly okay I totally love this when are we starting this I'm in I
I'm in. I am so in.
So here's one of the fundamental problems for making the sort of San Francisco Accords work is it takes
values for Amazon or LinkedIn or Google to say climate change is real and we have a joystick
for human behavior. We want to steer people. And Google's not going to do it until Amazon does it.
Amazon is not going to do it until Apple does it. It's a multipolar trap.
But here's the question about to you. Would they be willing to
accept and admit in public that they do have their hands on the lever of human behavior?
Well, that's actually the interesting thing about the coronavirus, is that they've been forced
to recognize that the consequences of misinformation are life and death. With climate change,
the consequences are also life and death. It's just on a longer time horizon. Right.
And so this is the opportunity to say, look, if they're doing it with coronavirus, let's do it again
now with climate change, because if you thought flattening this curve was the problem, we have a much
Just wait. Exactly. And what coronavirus has done for climate change is it's put it sort of on a time warp, right? You see the real
timeline and the real impact. But this is a huge exercise, a huge global exercise in how we're going to
deal with these high impact, high probability global risks that we're facing. And I do think that it is
from a human evolution point of view, this crisis has to be the learning ground.
for climate, if not for other things as well.
Okay, so what are we doing?
When are we doing it?
What's the next step?
I am so in for this.
It seems like you were putting down a playing card.
You were saying the first playing card is
have companies admit or sign up to say
that they have their hands on the steering wheel.
How do we do that?
What's the first step?
How do we go about making that happen?
I mean, we could get a climate pledge, right,
from the tech companies.
You know, we have Microsoft already making a commitment
to spend billions of dollars to draw down their legacy emissions.
We have Amazon saying that they're going to meet the Paris Accords
on a faster timeline themselves through their own actions.
There's small little actions happening in tiny little places,
but what we need is a coalition of, instead of the 195 countries,
basically 15 or so major tech companies go from being a thing
that kind of dismantled democracy all around the world to redeeming yourselves.
You know, you are in a position to save us
if we can get a pledge from all the companies, but what they can do.
In a way, they're already walking in that direction during this recent crisis.
They're already in the gym, in the gym of responsibility.
And they're lifting up baby weights.
But I think our invitation is it's time to move up to the adult weights.
And they know, just as you said, they've been lifting the weights.
So, for example, they've all set up these coronavirus task forces across their company saying,
hey, let's get the Facebook events team.
So when you create an event on Facebook, it recommends, hey, you should think twice before going out and organizing an event.
because that's not safe right now in the time of coronavirus.
These cross-sutting teams for coronavirus could be cross-setting for climate change.
And so each company, they already have a coronavirus task force.
Let's build the climate task course and saying,
what are the aggressive ways we can move the world towards mitigation,
resilience, better preparedness using their platform.
Facebook could help coordinate social change in communities,
joining and starting Facebook groups,
getting five friends to switch to a credit union to divest from banks that support fossil fuels.
You could have so much action being coordinated from tech companies
if they took a powerful positive stance.
I think we just heard Christiana volunteered herself
to be the lead negotiator for the San Francisco Accords.
Come fly to San Francisco once we get off quarantine.
Well, yeah, we can't fly right now.
But no, guys, I think that this idea
that you're putting on the table is so critical
and has such potential, huge impact
that we really shouldn't just let it go.
So, Tristan, this is very,
clear for you in your mind. Would you be willing to write a one-page description of what this is?
And then you can get it to Google, I'm sure. I can get it to Amazon. Who can get it to Facebook?
We can get it to the relevant places, yeah. Okay. So who's doing what by when? I am so in.
I can't tell you. I'm so excited. We will literally follow up with you, I'm sure, the next 48 hours about how to do this.
But I have to say, we have to move quickly on this because all of these companies,
just like governments are putting together their recovery packages, all of which have to be
clean and green.
But companies are also already designing how they are going to lift out of the coronavirus
crisis that has hit them.
And this should be part of the lift out.
This is the green strings attached.
Yeah.
Exactly.
Yeah.
Okay.
We want to bring us to our future home.
That is, I'm feeling very inspirational.
there's like this this moment of agency what is the payoff what world do we get to live in yeah so
that's really um it's it's so exciting aza because you know in the book that we wrote the future we
choose we literally devote two chapters to the two options of the worlds one is the world of
disaster and destruction the other which was actually pretty easy to write by the way because
there's a lot of literature and a lot of scientific evidence uh or scientific
projection rather, for what that world would be like.
It was a little bit more difficult to write the other world
because we humans haven't put that much thought
into what would it be like to create a better world.
So that was a little bit more difficult,
but it is so much of a better world.
So picture this, Aes.
Picture that you walk out of your door
and what you feel is that you're walking into a forest.
because the air is so clean and so beautifully moist and the temperature is perfect.
And you walk down the street and you walk in an almost silent city
because you don't have all of that noise pollution from internal combustion engines.
You have vehicles that silently drift from one destination to another.
And you have few of these vehicles because they're all shared.
They're smart, they're interconnected, and hence they are absolutely efficient in transporting you should you have to transport yourself because what we have learned in the past few months is that we don't necessarily have to transport our bodies to work.
We can actually work from other areas from home or from shared offices, but there will be less transport needs and so much better transport.
So first of all, you don't have to drive your own stupid car.
You probably don't own your stupid car.
You just get transport as a service as opposed to as a good.
And you are serviced in your transport needs.
So you can sit there, you can get your work done, you can meditate,
you can chat with the other people in the vehicle.
But the result of this for urban planning is that there is much less need for roads, parking,
area and therefore much of the area of previous roads is actually now devoted to greenery so you have
so much more green in the cities many of the parking places are now devoted to growing vegetables
or growing flowers because you don't need all that parking obviously roofs of buildings are
either covered with solar panels or also producing the food that is necessary for the building.
Picture that every building is actually almost going to be a self-sufficient unit
because they will be able to grow substantial parts of the food that they need either on the roof
or hanging from their windows.
They will, of course, be able to produce all the energy that they use because we will have
this paint that you can cover any surface with, and that will produce solar energy. So without
taking up any more space, you can produce the energy that you need. And of course, we're going to
have very efficient water recycling. So for food, energy, and water, all of these buildings
are going to be practically self-sufficient buildings, clean buildings where people don't get
respiratory diseases from, you know, recircling dirty air in and out, and so much more silent
living in cities, you know, in the 1800s, there was something called the Great Stink in London
because that city and many other cities of that period were so incredibly stinky
because the rivers and the sewage system were just complete disasters.
And then, of course, we brought the engineers and now we don't have stinky cities anymore.
Well, we have a few, but not most.
Well, we don't tend to think of cities as being noisy cities, but they are.
cities are incredibly noisy because of the internal combustion engine and dirty yeah and dirty right the air pollution that is created right seven million people still dying of air pollution mostly in cities mostly because of the burning of fossil fuels so picture efficient clean silent transport and only the necessary transport and provide it as a as a service picture you know cities that have so much more green cover in them and picture cities
that are actually sub-organized into small communities that are joining together to produce their
own food. And picture, of course, for the rural areas, much more efficient agriculture,
none of the sprawling agriculture, inefficient agriculture, but picture really, really efficient
concentrated agriculture that is producing top quality of food. And here are the two pieces that for me
are the most important. Picture Aza, if you will, a world in which every human being has access
to energy, no matter where they live, no matter in what isolated part of Africa, Asia, or Latin
America. Every human being has clean, cheap, if not completely costless energy. Picture if all of them
have access to clean water. Picture if all of these.
people have access to food and all of them have access to health services because the tiny little
clinics way out there now have renewable energy powering them and therefore you can have clinics
that you have refrigerated medicines that have air-conditioned rooms for women to be able to
have their children etc. Can you imagine how the quality of life
of in particular the one billion people who are today still in poverty,
how much their quality of life will improve.
That to me is even more exciting than the beautiful, silent, clean cities that we're going to have.
I may just want to add to that.
I think that vision is beautiful.
Imagine a tech industry that is entirely signed up to helping to make that transition happen for the whole world.
Yay.
And just for listeners to be clear, not.
not because of techno-utopianism and tech's going to build it and solve it,
just that as they shape our sense-making and choice-making,
that instead of showing us infinite feeds of clickbait that feed that helplessness,
they actually help us be with each other and connect in ways that help us produce that reality.
So the agency lives in us, but the technology makes it possible for that agency
to move much faster than it could have ever moved without the tech industry's help.
Christian, I know we're probably out of time.
This has been such an amazing conversation.
I'm so glad we are going to make this.
happen. We have to make this happen. It's an honor to meet you finally, and I'm really looking
forward to our next very soon conversation to make this happen. Wonderful. It's such a pleasure.
We're always thinking now about how changes in perspective really do change everything. Like when there
is the man on the moon, those years when we were all dosed with the overview effect, that's when
the EPA came into existence, Noah came into existence, the environmental protection movement. And so
the question we're asking at this fundamental level is, yes, it's technology, but it's,
much deeper question of what does it take to have another one of those moments?
Well, and just to push a little bit farther there, I mean, we could ask what does it take
for humanity to have one of those moments, or we can decide this is the moment that we've been
waiting for. Coronavirus has actually pulled the rug from so much, right? I mean, there is
nothing that is standing today the way that it was standing just a month ago. So instead of
asking ourselves, you know, what is it going to take? I think we just decide this is what it takes
and this is it. And now is now. I agree. We have what we need right here with the coronavirus
to make it happen. Well said. Each tech company now has a coronavirus task force that has now
been implementing changes across their products to deliver life-saving communication,
avoiding misinformation, helping people take actions in their community.
That was a coordinated effort.
And imagine that we had all the tech companies at this moment say,
you know what?
Coronavirus was just a warning sign.
It was just the flexing the muscles.
What we really need to do is flex our muscles to flatten the much bigger curve of climate change.
Let's say we got them together in a Zoom call that was later referred to as the San Francisco
records.
And we got them to sign a pledge saying,
We have the power to mitigate climate change and that we are making collective commitments as an industry
to take the vast resources, ingenuity, engineering talent, and product impact directly on how people see the world
to basically enable mass coordinated action. What could that look like? We have companies like Microsoft
that are already donating more than a billion dollars to basically drawing down all of the emissions of their company since their founding.
Imagine we got the top 10 tech companies to match what Microsoft is doing.
Imagine we got the social media companies.
So when you log in to say, if you are in a zip code where we know there's been a climate event or climate disaster,
that people were invited to share a video of how that disaster affected them.
Because we know that if that spreads, people can't deny it when they see their own friends and family who were affected by it.
You know, we could imagine a world where LinkedIn, which controls the reputation,
of all businesses on earth, where people work for, where they don't,
that they started framing the business pages in terms of their progress
to hit to zero emissions by 2050.
And by the way, if you want them to take an action on that progress bar
to take them from 20% of drawdown to 25%,
LinkedIn can put the button that says,
here's how to message the head of sustainability at that company right now
and help you organize petitions and actions.
You could have Facebook show climate policies
that basically were effective in other places
and let you copy and organize climate policies for your,
own city right now. We could have actions that don't just let you put a band-aid on the problem,
so acute solutions to acute problems. We can have instead systemic actions, actions that deal
with the incentives that are really at play that perpetuate an extractive and polluting kind of
economy. The tech industry is better placed in the world on the timelines that we have to make
this change. This is what shapes the sense-making and choice-making of three billion people.
And instead of having it be this fictitiously neutral platform that when it pretends to be neutral
actually leads to far worse outcomes, we can have it consciously say our job is to come up with
sense-making and choice-making that created a surviving and thriving civilizational model.
What I think is fascinating about talking with Christiana is, you know, in 2009, Copenhagen 15,
the climate conversation, it failed. And her job given to her six months later was,
to put it back together, and she was able to succeed with the Paris Climate Accords.
And she turns to us and says, the way to begin is with a pledge where the tech companies take
responsibility, admit that they are constructing our social world. And hence, just that admission
that their hand is on the steering wheel is enough to get started. It's the way to start overcoming
the game theory of, we can't do it as Amazon until you move as Google,
which won't move until Apple moves, which isn't going to move until Amazon moves.
We actually saw the same thing with the tech company's actions on coronavirus.
No tech company wants to be the first mover to take down certain kind of misinformation or conspiracy theories.
The companies didn't want to act by themselves on contact tracing.
And much like with climate change, where you can't have one country, say,
we're going to do the green energy thing and then it's going to take an economic hit of 10% to our GDP
and the other countries don't.
That's the multipolar trap.
They need to all agree to move together.
And so if you have one company say, hey, we're not neutral.
And the other companies say, no, no, where it's the neutral platform?
Anyone can post anything its likes and shares.
That doesn't work.
So we need a world where all the tech companies move together with the climate pledge.
And that's what we need to do next.
So if you want to be part of what's next, go to humanetech.com slash climate to learn more.
Your undivided attention is produced by the Center for Humane Technology.
producer is Dan Kedmi and our associate producer Natalie Jones. Nor al-Samurai helped with the fact-checking,
original music and sound design by Ryan and Hayes Holiday, and a special thanks to the whole Center
for Humane Technology team for making this podcast possible. A very special thanks to the generous
lead supporters of our work at the Center for Humane Technology, including the Omidiar Network,
the Gerald Schwartz and Heather Reisman Foundation, the Patrick J. McGovern Foundation,
Evolve Foundation, Craig Newmark Philanthropies, and Knight Foundation, among many others.
Huge thanks from all of us.