Your Undivided Attention - The Tech We Need for 21st Century Democracy with Divya Siddarth
Episode Date: May 25, 2023Democracy in action has looked the same for generations. Constituents might go to a library or school every one or two years and cast their vote for people who don't actually represent everything that... they care about. Our technology is rapidly increasing in sophistication, yet our forms of democracy have largely remained unchanged. What would an upgrade look like - not just for democracy, but for all the different places that democratic decision-making happens?On this episode of Your Undivided Attention, we’re joined by political economist and social technologist Divya Siddarth, one of the world's leading experts in collective intelligence. Together we explore how new kinds of governance can be supported through better technology, and how collective decision-making is key to unlocking everything from more effective elections to better ways of responding to global problems like climate change.Correction:Tristan mentions Elon Musk’s attempt to manufacture ventilators early on in the COVID-19 pandemic. Musk ended up buying over 1,200 ventilators that were delivered to California.RECOMMENDED MEDIAAgainst Democracy by Jason BrennanA provocative challenge to one of our most cherished institutionsLedger of HarmsTechnology platforms have created a race for human attention that’s unleashed invisible harms to society. Here are some of the costs that aren't showing up on their balance sheetsThe Wisdom GapThis blog post from the Center for Humane Technology describes the gap between the rising interconnected complexity of our problems and our ability to make sense of themDemocracyNextDemocracyNext is working to design and establish new institutions for government and transform the governance of organizations that influence public lifeCIP.orgAn incubator for new governance models for transformative technologyEtheloTransform community engagement through consensusKazm’s Living Room ConversationsLiving Room Conversations works to heal society by connecting people across divides through guided conversations proven to build understanding and transform communitiesThe Citizens DialogueA model for citizen participation in Ostbelgien, which was brought to life by the parliament of the German-speaking communityAsamblea Ciudadana Para El ClimaSpain’s national citizens’ assembly on climate changeClimate Assembly UKThe UK’s national citizens’ assembly on climate changeCitizens’ Convention for the ClimateFrance’s national citizens’ assembly on climate changePolisPolis is a real-time system for gathering, analyzing and understanding what large groups of people think in their own words, enabled by advanced statistics and machine learningRECOMMENDED YUA EPISODESDigital Democracy is Within Reach with Audrey Tang They Don’t Represent Us with Larry LessigA Renegade Solution to Extractive Economics with Kate RaworthYour Undivided Attention is produced by the Center for Humane Technology. Follow us on Twitter: @HumaneTech_
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All those in favor say I.
This is what democracy in action sounds like right now.
All those opposed say no.
And pretty much what it sounded like for generations.
Outside of Congress, constituents go to a building once a year or so
and put little black dots on a piece of paper where we vote for people
who more often than not don't even represent some of the things that we actually want.
While our technology gets more sophisticated, our forms of democracy have stayed much the same.
And so what would an upgrade look like?
I'm not just talking about voting booths and the floors of Congress.
I'm talking about all the different places the democratic decision-making actually happens
in ways that affect us, on school boards, and within companies, on city councils,
and even governance of the online platforms many of us use every day.
Today on your invited attention, we're going to give listeners a bit of a tour of some of the new tools that are emerging
that could rapidly help us upgrade democratic decision-making with collective intelligence.
I'm joined by political economist and social technologist Divya Siddharth,
founder of the Collective Intelligence Project,
and one of the world's leading experts in this area.
And together we're going to explore how new kinds of governance
or collective decision-making can be supported through better technology
and how that's the key to unlocking everything,
from more effective elections to globally better ways
of responding to problems like the climate crisis.
And for those who've listened to our episode with Digital Minister Audrey Tang of Taiwan,
this is a continuity of the conversation on how we upgrade democracy for the 21st century.
Welcome to your undivided attention.
I am very excited to have here as our guest, Divya Sidarth,
who's co-founder of the Collective Intelligence Project,
which is advancing collective intelligence capabilities for transformative technology governance.
She's also a research associate at the Ethics and AI Institute at Oxford.
Divya, how would you actually define collective intelligence?
intelligence, self-determination, and agency?
Collective intelligence is a pretty umbrella term, because it includes both the way that we
aggregate decisions and the way that we might make these decisions.
So I think we think about collective intelligence as technologies, processes, and institutions
through which we basically make and execute on collective decisions.
And the major examples of these processes can include democracies, markets, different forms
of institution.
And if you look at the field of collective intelligence, it's extremely wide-ranging.
We've created all of these different ways to be more collectively intelligent as a group.
We've created ways to come together and build cities, right?
We've created ways to come together and build corporations, to build bridges, to enable education and schools.
And these are always to upgrade our collective intelligence that we're trying to build.
And trying to take some of those to the next level, in particular with regards to our governance of technology,
is sort of what this whole project is based on.
And, you know, the way democracy fits into that to me is how do we, A, have agency and input over that, and B, gather all the information that people have to make decisions that are good for them.
And while it can feel like democracy is often relegated to just voting, you are actually participating in our collective systems of intelligence, right?
By writing the subway, you're participating in a system of collective intelligence, by buying certain products, you're participating in that, by working at a certain place.
you're participating in the collective intelligence of that organization.
And so upgrading our collective intelligence looks like changing many of those things for the better
because you're not just saying let's look at it from the lens of the individual and trying to aggregate preferences.
You're saying by being in a society, I do have a stake in what's happening with my neighbor.
I have a stake in what's happening with the road, right?
And that collective kind of piece of it is, I think, a really crucial part of what we are aiming for.
and then we have a huge suite of tools
that we can get there with.
Yeah, I mean, I think that links with words that we use
just for listeners to draw the link on our podcast
and we talk about the quality of our sense-making
informing the quality of our choice-making
and that our collective ability to make sense of the world
is an input into the quality and the intelligence
of our decision-making.
And how much do our decisions cause outcomes
that are not just, quote-unquote, good,
but incorporating what externalities do they cause?
So, you know, fossil fuels are actually really good
from the perspective of creating the most efficient way
to move energy around in human history
and we are living through the most abundant age of energy
that we've ever lived in
and they are really good from the perspective
of being cheap, transportable and all of that
but they create externalities.
How do we have a more broad definition
of good choices that actually minimize externalities
to all the stakeholders, including nature?
And this is kind of breaking people's sense
of self-determination.
I think one of the overall things
is that as we're hitting multiple crisis points,
environmental crisis, inequality crisis, social justice-level crises, runaway technology crises.
And people don't feel that even when there actually is agreement in legitimacy, anything is
getting done, it feels like the gears of democracy have kind of broken down. Because even when
we can sort of aggregate our preferences, it doesn't, people don't feel that self-determination.
They don't feel that agency. They don't feel like their decisions have a voice. And there's
different ways that that's manifesting today, whether it's the MAGA movement, Make America Great
again on the right, or the Bernie Sanders movement, or populism, you know, around.
the world, which is in a way kind of reflecting just the fact that these systems of governance
are not aggregating the preferences and then making decisions based on those preferences of people.
And so maybe if we just continue diagnosing a little bit why this is happening, why is it
struggling? Because I think we need to get a more complete picture before we get on into
solutions.
I mean, I think there are multiple reasons why this is happening.
One is that we've built institutions that aren't very good at surfacing that information.
and acting on it. The second important problem to discuss is we've built institutions that don't
have incentives to act on what people want because there is quite a significant incentive to act
on various much more self-interested sort of directions. Politicians at least have short-term
incentives to act on things that will get them reelected and likely seems evident by many
of the campaign funding law issues that we're having. If you look at sort of the stock purchases
of different Congress people, at least in the U.S., massive corruption and democracies across the
world. And I think that is an issue when we talk about any of these things as separate from the
economic systems that allow all of this to happen. And part of that is on, if we are building a
system where economic power translates into political power, which is the system that we
currently have in many different ways, then we will end up with these kinds of issues.
And that is a really important tie to break. And I think there are many different ways that you
can go about breaking that tie. And some of them are through enabling access to technology.
Some of them are through changing those economic systems from the ground up. Some of them are
through regulation and a bunch of financing laws. But you have to break that link.
And pointing to the economic conditions here, the more runaway power that corporations have,
the more money that they can spend on regulatory capture, persuading politicians,
helping them with their next election.
And so part of what we're diagnosing here is the interlocking both incentives and the lock-in
of what has power.
And when that power is economic, this is where the conversations around campaign finance reform
and things like that become relevant.
I think this is also just the uneasy relationship in many ways between capitalism and democracy,
where you want one space in which everyone has equal power in an ideal sense.
And you want another space where everyone can.
cannot have equal power, right? A lot of how we have tried to structure society is various ways
to try to keep them separate, campaign finance being one of them, but also this just uneasy
medium between these two different systems that are built with fundamentally underlying
different precepts. And they also do share some precepts. I mean, there's some sense of the
self-determination that is core to both of them. But there is these real significant tensions,
and I think that's something to contend with. And if we think of both,
capitalism and democracy as forms of collective intelligence, which I do, then I think it gives
you a sense of how you can upgrade both into a system that actually does not have to have all of
those tensions. Although then you must ask yourself, do you have the power to do that upgrade,
which is a separate question. But I think this is one of the ways in which that collective
intelligence frame helps, is that we try to see, okay, capitalism is this resource allocation,
decision-making mechanism, and in some ways so is democracy. And they are at odds with each other.
So when is each making a good decision and when are each making bad decisions?
And, you know, how do we then think about how to make good decisions for the short and long term in a collectively intelligent way?
It seems like what one would do is outline the failure modes of market-based decision-making processes.
Markets can't see externalities, don't account for the long-term, don't deal with market failures.
And so they're really good at aggregating certain information and driving, say, you know, the mass production of masks in a pandemic.
because suddenly people can see there's a market signal
where alcohol companies get pivoted
to producing more hand sanitizer,
and that's great, but then they don't do long-term planning.
And then there's the failure modes of democratic decision-making
that maybe you don't have an informed population,
or maybe people are just tribalized
and they have confirmation bias and disconfirmation bias.
Maybe just to ground this for listeners,
I mean, I recently had to vote in my local elections here in California,
and for a person who is on this podcast talking about
why we need to upgrade democracy and upgrade technology,
it was kind of embarrassing that I got this ballot in the mail
and I had all these people to vote on supervisors
and education boards and propositions,
local propositions in the city that I live.
And I really had no information
that I would not want to trust my votes on those topics
because I spent all my time thinking about these big global issues
of how to fix technology and deal with existential crises.
And it was actually kind of this big moment of reckoning.
Like here we are sort of promoting that this is,
the method of governance that we want. And here I am with this ballot right in front of me,
which embodies the thing that supposedly I'm advocating for. And I have to reckon with
how little I really feel informed about those issues. And I'm curious, just when you think about
your own felt sense of this and what got you into these topics, do you have a moment of reckoning
like that, too, where you sort of ask yourself, is this system working the way that I sort of
speak about it in an idealized ways? Yeah, one experience that this reminds me of, it's not quite the
same, but kind of seeing policymaking in some sense from the top and realizing that
those democratic accountability structures aren't in place is I worked on COVID policy for
several months and, you know, would talk to these organizations, would talk to governors' offices
and state offices about in particular testing and tracing allocation, but also how much they
were procuring masks and how much they were providing support for people who had to
isolate. And it just felt so clear in that process to me in a lot of cases, and not all
cases, but in a lot of cases that they were not worried about or thinking about, A, what people
might want, B, there was no reaching out for participation. C, there was no desire to build trust
with communities. A bunch of our work was trying to say, okay, it's great that we've spent
a lot of money on vaccines, but people aren't going to take them if they don't have trust in
that process, which ended up being true. Can we work with community health workers? Can we work
with other trusted organizations that people already go to for trusted advice and try to get
them sort of bringing this into communities, all of those different kinds of things.
And it just seemed like it was this process that was completely from the top down.
Not only was it inefficient and problematic in a lot of different ways that we've seen,
it just didn't have that democratic component of we're making decisions that affect millions
of people's lives and we'd like to do that in those people's interest.
I think that just wasn't the prevailing kind of sense that I got.
And that's not to say that I didn't meet a bunch of really incredible public servants.
I absolutely did, and there were people who embodied this,
but it wasn't the major feeling that I got from that experience.
So in a sense, these are institutions that are supposed to be acting in the public interest,
but don't have, I mean, was it that they didn't have a mechanism to go after the opinions of what the public also thought?
Because they were sort of in a rapid-fire decision-making mode,
people are just on phone calls at the beginning of COVID
and it's an urgent crisis, or there wasn't the technologies available to do that
or the time. Just interesting to keep diagnosing what was going on there.
I think it's an information and incentives problem, again,
where they did not, in some sense, have that information.
They didn't have a good sense.
If you look at Taiwan's COVID response,
a lot of it is about gathering information.
It's about understanding where people are at,
but it's also about that, do people trust you enough to get that information
and do you care enough to get that information, right?
and I think both of those were lacking at different points
and in some cases it was more one
and in some cases it was more the other
and then the incentives to act on what people may want
and so for example there were decisions being made about supply chains
or should we stop the production of X to increase the production of Y
and people may have preferred us to overproduce PPE
and underproduce the various other things that were happening in factories
but that's just not the decision that the government took at that time
and we could have done that.
And I think there's also then this comes in
to you many of the questions about polarization and misinformation that are discussed here, because
obviously this is related to vaccine misinformation eventually, a lot of anger about masks, anger about
lockdowns. And so it wasn't always the case that, say, you had had a directly Democratic
sort of mandate over COVID that everyone would have said, you know, people would have pulled
in the same direction necessarily. But I do think that acting in the public interest would have
looked different, both from an information gathering and sort of an incentive standpoint of these
institutions.
Yeah, you're making me think back to those days of COVID when for a brief moment in time,
everybody thought we just needed ventilators and we just needed to give more ventilators to more
and more hospitals.
And then later it was like, that wasn't really the thing, but that was what sort of
surged on social media.
And so I think Elon Musk was like, well, I'll make some ventilators for the U.S.
and repurpose some of his factories or something like that.
And as you said, it goes back to the issues of social media and information because whether
it's the top of the institutions or it's what people think about those, you know, what
the right answer is, that's going to be mediated by.
social media and especially during a crisis like the pandemic where people are trying to get
the news as fast as possible and really care on the kind of minute to minute by basis what's going
on more people sort of rely on social media to figure out what's true and when those algorithms
were rewarding the most divisive and outrageous memes it meant that people saw both sides of
masks absolutely work and we need to get way more masks to way more people and then I was following
people on both sides of the pandemic and I remember you know so many people posting these graphs of
Florida and which didn't have masks and was totally outside and how well
they performed. I do think there's a really interesting collective intelligence example of this
information ecosystem during the pandemic, which is that researchers have studied what the Wikipedia
page for COVID-19, what the edits to that looked like over time. Because Wikipedia isn't
set up to be a news organization, right? But because it is a trusted source for a lot of people,
people would be checking that Wikipedia article instead of reading the news. And they have these
long and really interesting collective processes for determining when an edit is real, especially
if it's a controversial one. People have to sign off on it. There's a bunch of ways to determine
what is quote-unquote fact. And it's fascinating, first of all, that those really sensitive
questions, I mean, if you look at some of the more complicated issues of our time, how do those
Wikipedia articles get written on the Israel-Palestine conflict? Or how does the Wikipedia article
get written on the 2020 election or whatever it is? But COVID was a particularly interesting case because
it was being updated day by day, hour by hour, if you look at the edit history.
And I think it is really incredible that that system of collective editing of people,
if not perfectly representative all around the world, who were all around the world,
did arrive at a collective process of adjudicating truth that created information for millions.
Those are the kinds of examples that make me think, okay, collective intelligence of that form.
It is possible to solve those really thorny questions in an impersonation.
but deeply valuable way.
How would we have done something more like what Wikipedia was doing
than to replace the elite policymaking process that you were a part of?
I mean, I think the Taiwan example is instructive here
where they did have a bunch of volunteer fact checkers sort of go out,
created a network of volunteers enabled by different forms of actually social networks
that put out corrections to misinformation as they came up within a few hours.
And so I think that's one way.
But that's not the only way, right?
you can imagine different ways in which you could work with editors, quote-unquote, like in Wikipedia
to make sure that the information going out from governments was from fellow citizens.
And maybe that would help how people would feel about that, which some studies have shown,
you know, it's better to get information from fellow citizens.
You could take more of a sortician or deliberative democracy approach.
So sortition is when people are chosen randomly from a group to represent that group.
It's a different way of doing representation than elections.
And, you know, it's been shown that many people have more trust in sortition than in representation
because they feel that they're actually being more represented by someone like them than by someone they've elected.
And information is one avenue for this.
But if we look at the incentive side, you could imagine, you know, people being able to have more of an input on where their tax dollars were going to combat COVID, right?
You could imagine something more on the participatory budgeting side or a lot more expanded notions of collective financing
because a lot of the COVID questions were about resource allocation,
should we get tests or should we not get tests?
And there are ways to weigh in on that.
And, you know, if you did weigh in, perhaps you would feel a lot more interested
in going to get those tests yourself.
And another big part of COVID was contact tracing.
And I think that's one thing in which the U.S. massively failed.
And by the time we wanted to do it, it was a bit too late,
because there's no point doing contact tracing when millions of people have a disease.
But at the early stages, it was trust.
There was this fear that people would find in a massive privacy invasion
all of these kinds of things.
And if you learn from successful contract tracing
that happened in, for example, the AIDS epidemic,
it came from community workers
that would understand where people were coming from
and would go to them personally
and it would be private
because it was that one-on-one conversation.
And could you scale that with technology?
Not exactly, but there are ways
that you could enable community organizations
to go to people to call them,
to keep track of information in a much more systematic way,
all of those different kinds of things.
So I think that Wikipedia-esque model
is partly specifically for the information sphere,
but it allows all of these different kinds of inputs
across the different sort of verticals of dealing with a problem.
I want to step away from my conversation with Divya for just one moment
to talk about a great book by Jason Brennan called Against Democracy
in which he makes a strong case that all these ideals that we hold up
about voters being interested citizens who read up on all the issues
and then they develop independent opinions
about what they prefer, about those different policy positions,
and they definitely know about each of the policies
across every single domain, whether it's environment or taxes or inflation
or roads or schools, or who should be on different supervisory boards.
What he says is that the research shows that people are really not informed.
In fact, they're worse than informed.
They're systematically misinformed.
People hate to say, I don't know, and so they'll say one opinion,
but if you ask them two weeks later, they'll give a completely different response
and not be aware that they gave a different response.
And Jason Brennan says that it's about 50% of the population
are basically answering kind of at random.
He says that if you look at, I think it's American National Election Studies,
and they ask a battery of basic questions like who's the president,
who's the vice president, who controls Congress,
can you identify the unemployment rate,
that you typically find that roughly the top 25% of voters
get an A-minus on the test.
And then the next 50% or so do equivalent to chance.
And the bottom 25% do worse than chance.
So it means that they're actually doing worse than just randomly guessing they're systematically mistaken.
And so when you consider how uninformed voters are about most things most of the time,
how much is this ideal of citizens developing opinions and researching that and even catching up?
So we're becoming simultaneously less informed while the world's issues are getting more complex.
We've called this the complexity gap.
We also have this problem that there's no skin in the game.
So people vote on things where they actually don't have any real accountability of whether they were right
or whether that decision will affect them
and so people have lots of opinions on things
where they don't actually have something at stake.
Okay, back to my conversation with Divya Siddharth.
Now we want to pivot to the conversation of
what kind of new collective intelligence system
would deal with those problems.
We've talked about some of the generator functions
for why people don't trust these systems and institutions
that are making decisions.
We also talked about some of the ideals
that we want decisions to have some amount of legitimacy.
We'd like the decisions that we're collectively coming to to be legitimate.
We'd also like the decisions to be good,
which means minimizing externalities.
That when you make a choice,
it's not causing harm on some invisible balance sheet
that we'll discover later.
So your whole work at the Collective Intelligence Project
is about articulating new mechanisms,
new technologies, and new systems
that we can use to upgrade democracy.
So let's explore a couple tools of collective intelligence
that people may not be familiar with.
And let's start maybe simple.
Do you want to talk about ranked choice voting?
Yeah, absolutely.
So first past the post voting basically means that whoever has the most votes,
at the end, direct majority voting will win an election,
whereas ranked choice voting allows for more granular expression of preferences
by basically taking into account second and third choices.
So even if my preferred candidate doesn't win,
it still matters that I ranked someone second,
as opposed to the fact that if my preferred candidate doesn't win,
my vote doesn't matter at all. So that's a slightly more granular way of expressing my preferences
that actually can meaningfully change who ends up winning an election and in some sense can
mediate against extreme candidates sometimes because of trying to get this more median
sort of vote input. One of the major issues with voting is that it's a very binary choice, right?
I mean, we've talked about how much complexity there is in the world and there's very little
of that you can express on the ballot, even if you do have a sense of it. You can't directly express
what is bothering you or what problems you see in the world directly. You can basically just
vote for a candidate who has a bundle of, you know, preferences that you may or may not agree
with. And in the U.S., at least, it's probably the case that you're voting against the other
candidate rather than for your candidate based on, you know, where people's approval ratings
are. So rank choice voting allows for different candidates to come up and sort of a just broader
field of options for people.
And has people feel more legitimacy
because they can feel like their views
actually were captured by the system
rather than I don't want to participate at all
because I don't like either
or I only left with the bad guy choice.
Yeah, exactly.
I mean, it's hard to feel very good about democracy
when you're basically just voting against candidates.
Okay, so we have ranked choice voting.
What are some other sort of upgrades to democracy
we would add to the tool set?
Yeah, I mean, I think there are a bunch of really interesting
what I think of as democracy primitives almost that we could bring to this, right? So you can think
about sortition or mini-publics where you select a random group of citizens from some other broader
group and have them as representative. There's a lot of interesting evidence. For example, if you
look at the climate assemblies that, you know, people really do after a week or so of discussion
and deliberation with experts, have pretty strong opinions that can come to consensus. And
often that consensus actually does match in a lot of senses what experts have put forward
as well. There are systems of liquid democracy, which basically means delegating your vote to
someone, some person, or institution that you think knows more about, you know, the problem than you do.
And liquid democracy is basically a more liquid form of representative democracy, where
you do this every four years already to a representative, but you don't have a huge amount of
choice over who that representative is. They're probably put forward by your party. And you can't
change that. So liquid democracy allows for a lot more choice there. But you don't have to exercise
that choice. That gets in this question of, you know, is democracy going to be a huge amount
of work, which I think a lot of people have. So these systems are flexible to figure out how much
input people are going to give. So let's just pause on liquid democracy for a moment.
So this point about liquid democracy is really important. We just talked about the complexity
of the world's issues. You know, people don't want to research the complexity of everything.
But if they sort of have listened to, say, you or me, talk about social media issues for a long
time, you could say, well, actually, I would really value, you know, whatever Christawn
or divvia things should happen on how to fix social media. And if a lot of people suddenly said,
you know, those two really know how to fix that, then suddenly we would be these sort of mini
representatives. So instead of a California state senator, you have people that you trust, that you
listen to for a while. And that deals with that problem. So now when I got my little sort of city
ballot and I don't really think about who should be on the school board, but I know that someone
in my community has really been paying attention to who should be in that school board, I can now
outsource my vote rather than not vote at all. Yeah, exactly. And it's pretty interesting.
to think about liquid democracy in the context of not just these national elections, but
even in the governance of, say, some of the social media platforms where what would it look
like to have content moderation, for example, which is a really confusing issue, but you may
not trust the moderation policies of the platform itself or you may want something a little
bit different. Could you delegate any of that to someone you trust or to some organization that
you trust? Yeah, so we're not just talking about, you know, there you are in the
Philippines and you get a paper ballot and you're voting for
years, but we could actually be sort of saying
if we want to improve Twitter, you know, everyone's got
an opinion about Elon Musk and Twitter right now.
But there is actually a way to have
organizations effectively
have input in changing the
overall dynamics of Twitter so that let's say
we changed the ranking system
so that it didn't just rank for engagement
but ranked for unlikely consensus
where there was an, the more unlikely
the positive sentiment was from two different
political tribes that agreeing with a
kind of political tweet,
that would be the basis of what we would reward.
And we could actually have some governance into that
rather than being up to Elon Musk
and the guys that are up until one in the morning
coding the changes on the algorithm.
Are there any large states or cities
or municipalities that are actually deploying liquid democracy
for something other than...
When I was at a Radical Exchange Conference once,
I think they used it to order pizzas
and figure out which pizzas to order.
And it was like, well, let's talk about something more complex.
There was an example in Argentina
that allowed users to sort of propose
and vote on different topics.
using deliberative democracy.
There was an example in Stockholm
in a smaller town where people tried
to use liquid democracy for this.
The pirate parties, which I'm not sure
that's sort of a topic that's been covered here yet,
but they were parties in Europe,
I think like Germany and Italy and Austria
that really tried to embody the ethos of open source
in elections there.
And they used a lot of liquid democracy
for internal feedback structures.
I also think liquid democracy,
I mean, it sounds kind of
cutting edge, and it is, and we should incorporate it in more forward-thinking ways.
There's also something quite deeply human about liquid democracy, right?
I mean, in a sense, where we get our information from is already a form of liquid democracy.
Me asking, like, my mom, what she thinks about something as a child, I am delegating in some
sense my decision-making to other people all the time.
I'm asking people in my social group.
I'm asking people in my workplace.
And so a lot of these procedures work because they take something that is instinctive to
us, and then they think about how we can use it now that we have scaled problems. I mean, when you
think about sortition, the idea is from ancient Greece. When you think about choosing a representative
group, like it intuitively makes a lot of sense, right? When you think about these bridging-based
ranking things that we have talked about, it's basically just saying, like, hey, if two really
different people agree on something, that idea is probably pretty compelling. Like, that's not
very complicated for people to think about. Even if you think about some of the use cases that
we're excited about, like AI governance or data governance, it's just
saying, like, look, you know, we're having a really important technological change. Like,
how do we allow people to understand that enough to comment on it because it's going to affect them?
And so I think, you know, we talked earlier about does democracy need to be upgraded? And I think
it does, obviously. But I also think those democratic impulses are actually really deep within
people. Like, these are all senses in which we're pushing towards better collective intelligence
all the time. But, you know, sometimes it's not fast enough with a bunch of the changes that
are happening. And sometimes the incentives and information aren't aligned for people to actually
get what they are asking for and what they need out of systems. And so, yes, there's work to do.
But I think what I love is that work is built on so much human instinct and ingenuity.
So we have all these tools, rank choice voting, liquid democracy, sortition where you take a
random representative sample of stakeholders and have them make deliberative decisions together.
So if democracy was a sort of dusty tool that was not kind of fit to the task of
21st century complexity, and we've just outlined a bunch of more fine-grained, higher
precision tools that do match collectively, using them built to purpose for 21st century
complexity, what's stopping us from utilizing these tools around the world right now?
Yeah, I think that's a great question. And at CIP, we try to work on pilots to sort of prove out
that these tools do work and lead to better outcomes, right? Because if we're grading ourselves
on these questions of legitimacy and good outcomes, well, we should be able to show that these
tools allow us to create more legitimate decisions and have better outcomes. And you do have some
of that. Like a lot of people who participate in deliberative processes will find them much more
legitimate than other forms of governance. You'll have, you know, surveys of different kinds
of voting structures. And people will say, okay, I'm glad I was able to express those kinds of
preferences. But we also need way more pilots of a lot of these things. We need a lot more
examples of how this works. And I think that's kind of where governing technology comes in,
or at least governing smaller-scale institutions, governing cooperatives, governing neighborhood
groups, right, governing corporations. Because we need a plurality of pilots in a lot of different
places, and it's pretty hard to convince the U.S. government to switch all of its procedures.
But it's a lot easier to do that in Colorado. And so you can take something like sortition,
and, you know, there are a bunch of groups, particularly in Europe, actually advocating for a
sortition-based decision-making. Democracy Next is one of them. Osbelgian is another one, so you can
participate in those assemblies. There are climate citizens assemblies that are running at a
global level fairly consistently now that you can participate in, or you can advocate for those
kinds of things to be tried out in your community. So there are a bunch of really interesting
things like that. For example, it's really hard to convince a massive corporation to change what
it's doing, but it's possible to get Twitter to try and implement something like bridging-based
ranking, which they are trying to do. Or what if you're in?
you know, some other digital kind of organization that could be run in this way.
And so I think you can think about a lot of the different parts of your life that could benefit
from these tools and also some of the advocacy that can be done to improve our democracy
at all of the different stages that it exists in from the local to the workplace.
It's really hard to say, okay, we should run this entire, you know, state on deliberative democracy,
but it's possible and CIP is piloting a deliberative democracy platform called Narwhal
in partnership with the Emerson Collective and the Atlantic,
because let's try out and see if we can answer some questions with that
before we suggest that it replaces a lot of large-scale decision-making.
So I think it's enabling those pilots that is one big part of it.
And then the second part of it, I would say,
is we are an inflection point with some of the technologies we have available.
It wasn't super easy to tabulate liquid democracy even 20 years ago.
Like, how are you going to have paper ballots combined with liquid democracy?
It's hard to imagine, right?
Sortition is something that's been possible for thousands of years,
but it's very difficult to sort of create a quote-unquote representative sample
from a large group in some statistically significant way until recently.
And so I think a lot of these are helped by technological advances.
So that's one thing as well.
So we have pilots and we have technologies.
But there's also a big chunk of it that is you need to build power
to change how power is distributed.
And so some of this is just how do you enable
different distributions of power.
How do you advocate for this?
How do you build coalitions around it?
All of those difficult ways that you have to work
to change how power is distributed in a society.
What I'm really hearing from you
is that so much more funding needs to go into pilots.
We have these experiments.
We have some tools.
We have tools like Polis.
We have tools like Ethel.
Larry Lessig has a deliberation platform called Kazim
that invites groups of citizens to debate on issues
and then has an AI facilitator
that kind of moves them along
through the conversation, we have decentralized autonomous organizations on Ethereum that are
actually implementing liquid democracy. But what we need is actually more pilots, more funding
going to pilots, and the completion of those pilots so that people have more faith that this is
not just spewing hot air about an idea of what would make things better, but actually that these
are proven ways to get better results, higher legitimacy, more participation, less cognitive labor
for those who don't want to be participating, and better collective outcomes that actually
represent more of the stakeholders. And that, to get,
really does paint a picture of, I think, a more optimistic future where we're not just
upgrading technology, but upgrading democracy to be commensurate with the kinds of challenges
that we face in the 21st century. So imagine over the next 10 years that we took everything
we've been talking about and all these different tools. Can you give us a little vision of
what would we do over the next 10 years to move towards utilizing all these tools and upgrading
democracy? Do you have a rough idea of kind of what a timeline could look like? Yeah, definitely.
I have a dream, certainly, of what a timeline could look like.
I think that, you know, we would start out with some of these smaller scale interventions,
things that we've talked about, like different voting processes, right?
Like slightly more deliberative mechanisms, deliberation at slightly larger scales and all of that.
And we'd build up the practice of democracy in our societies that we don't currently have.
I think we're quite underpracticed in participation in a lot of different ways.
We would enable more organizations to run in a slightly more cooperative
manner. And then we might move into, okay, let's think about where our infrastructure is coming from.
Maybe we can have some voice on exactly how our taxes are being spent or participatory budgeting
and a little bit more understanding of what we should be funding based on where our needs are, right?
We could imagine building things like community currencies, which can allow for communities to build
sort of internal wealth as well as exchange with other communities. We can imagine more global
mechanisms of deliberative democracy that can build in ways that people from different countries
might make different kinds of decisions and try to triangulate those and build consensus on big
global problems. We can imagine different forms of public funding for science or public funding
for a bunch of the kind of foundational infrastructure that is required to build a 21st,
22nd century democracy. And we can imagine a lot more input on just basic local decisions.
If we're going back to you looking at your ballot,
what would it feel like to be empowered in that moment
instead of feeling sort of like confused or far away
from the decisions that you're making?
Well, maybe it would look like having a better sense
of who you might want to delegate your vote to.
Maybe it would look like having more sortition-based mechanisms
where you don't think about those things much of the year,
but once in a while you are selected to do that.
And in those times, you care a lot about the questions.
And so I think in a sense it looks like combining
that local and the global ways of participating
through a bunch of these mechanisms
that can bridge that gap.
And a lot of them are about strengthening ties
and interdependent decision-making
where we're making decisions together,
whether that's technology-mediated or not,
rather than in this very individual way
where like, yeah, we're all confused about the world
when we think about it individually, right?
And that's where that collective piece comes from.
And as technology allows us to do a little bit more of that bridging,
we can really take advantage
that to exponentiate that process.
Awesome.
Divya, thank you for coming on your undivided attention.
I really think that you've offered a tour of real solutions that we're not just upgrading
technology, but we can upgrade democracy and meet the problems of the 21st century.
Thank you so much for coming on.
Thank you so much for having me.
Divya Sadarth is the co-founder of the Collective Intelligence Project,
an organization that advances collective intelligence capabilities for transforming
technology governance. She's also a research associate at the Ethics and AI Institute at Oxford.
Divya and I spent a lot of time talking about places in which collective democracy is already
happening online and in the world. And if you want to learn more, get involved, or maybe even
bring some of these tools to your community, we're going to have a lot of those links in
the show notes. Your undivided attention is produced by the Center for Humane Technology,
a nonprofit organization working to catalyze a humane future. Our senior producer is Julia Scott.
Kirsten McMurray and Sarah McRae are our associate producers.
Mia Loe Bell is our consulting producer, and Sasha Fegan is our managing editor.
Mixing on this episode by Jeff Sudakin.
Original music and sound design by Ryan and Hayes Holiday,
and a special thanks to the whole Center for Humane Technology team
for making this podcast possible.
A very special thanks to our generous lead supporters,
including the Omidiar Network, Craig Newmark Philanthropies,
and the Evolve Foundation, among many others.
You can find show notes, transcripts, and much more at Hummedia.
If you want to go deeper into the themes that we've been exploring in this episode
and all the themes that we've been exploring on this podcast about how do we create more
humane technology.
I'd like to invite you to check out our free course, Foundations of Humane Technology at
HumaneTech.com slash course.
And if you made it all the way here, let me give one more thank you to you for giving us
your invited attention.
