ZOE Science & Nutrition - Three ways to prevent diabetes with Professor Naveed Sattar

Episode Date: March 21, 2024

In today’s episode, we’re talking about a disease so widespread that it touches nearly every family in some way: type 2 diabetes. It’s not just a health issue, it's a rapidly expanding crisis. A...nd many people don’t know that they have it.  In the U.S. alone, 100 million people have prediabetes, and more than 37 million have type 2 diabetes, a chronic condition with life-altering effects. Prof. Naveed Sattar joins us to shed light on preventing, treating, and potentially reversing type 2 diabetes.  Naveed is a medical doctor and Professor of Metabolic Medicine at the Institute of Cardiovascular & Medical Sciences at the University of Glasgow. He’s one of the world’s top 1% most cited clinical scientists, and he’s worked on many clinical trials of lifestyle changes and drugs to prevent and manage diabetes.  Learn your diabetes risk score: If you’re in the U.K. click here.  If you’re in the U.S. click here. 🌱 Try our new plant based wholefood supplement - Daily 30 *Naturally high in copper which contributes to normal energy yielding metabolism and the normal function of the immune system Learn how your body responds to food 👉 zoe.com/podcast for 10% off Timecodes: 00:00 Introduction 01:00 Topic introduction 02:28 Quick fire questions 05:33 What is blood sugar and why does it matter? 07:15 What is insulin and what is its relation to blood sugar and diabetes? 08:48 Why doesn't the body allow sugar to increase in the blood? 10:45 What happens when somebody gets pre-diabetes or type 2? 14:34 What is HBA1C? 17:08 Why has there been such an increase in diabetes? 23:05 How does muscle mass have any impact on diabetes? 24:54 Are risks different between men and women? 27:08 How does ethnicity come into this? 31:04 What other personal risk factors are there? 32:29 What are the symptoms of diabetes? 33:53 When do these symptoms begin? 35:09 What should you do if you have concerns? 36:33 How to find out your own likelihood of risk 38:34 How can we avoid getting diabetes? 42:10 How can we combat genetic risk factors? 44:26 Is it possible to lower blood sugar and reverse the effects of diabetes? 47:18 What is the science behind the new drugs coming on the market? 49:20 Summary 53:39 Outro Mentioned in today’s episode:  Primary care-led weight management for remission of type 2 diabetes (DiRECT): An open-label, cluster-randomised trial in The Lancet Have feedback or a topic you'd like us to cover? Let us know here. Episode transcripts are available here.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to ZOE Science and Nutrition, where world-leading scientists explain how their research can improve your health. Today, we're tackling a silent killer that's claiming more of us every year. It's a disease so widespread that it touches nearly every family in some way. Type 2 diabetes. It's a disease so widespread that it touches nearly every family in some way. Type 2 diabetes. This is not just a health issue. It's a rapidly expanding crisis. And many people don't even know they have it.
Starting point is 00:00:39 In the US alone, 100 million people have prediabetes. And over 37 million grapple with type 2 diabetes. Globally, the last 30 years have seen a fourfold increase in the number of people living with this condition. And this isn't just about high blood sugar. This is a serious chronic disease that can rob you of your vision, your limbs, and even your life. But there is hope. Professor Naveed Sattar joins us today to tell us how to prevent,
Starting point is 00:01:07 treat and even reverse type 2 diabetes. Naveed is a medical doctor and professor of metabolic medicine at the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences at the University of Glasgow in Scotland. He's one of the world's top 1% most cited clinical scientists and has worked on many clinical trials of lifestyle changes and drugs to prevent and manage diabetes. Naveed has also been a member of Zoe's Scientific Advisory Board and an important contributor to Zoe's science in this area. Naveed, really lovely to see you again. Thank you for joining me today. Pleasure, Jonathan.
Starting point is 00:01:43 So we have this tradition on the show that we always start with a quick fire round of questions from our listeners. And the rules are really simple. You can say yes or no, or if you absolutely have to, you can have a one sentence to answer it. It's specially designed to be really hard for professors. Are you willing to give it a go? Cool for it. Yeah, absolutely. Yeah. All right. Are there millions of people around the world who don't know they are living with type 2 diabetes? Yes. Does type 2 diabetes significantly increase my risk of other diseases like heart disease and cancer? Yes. Is it true that almost 100 million Americans have pre-diabetes? That seems a high
Starting point is 00:02:28 number. It's possible. I think it's probably slightly overestimated in my opinion. Okay, let's go and dig into that. That is a quote from the CDC, so I'm intrigued to go into that. If the food I eat leads to big blood sugar spikes day after day after day, can this significantly increase my risk of type 2 diabetes? Probably yes, but it would generally tend to do so through weight gain. Are women better at controlling their blood sugar than men? Women have a lower risk of type 2 diabetes than men for reasons linked to where they store body fat.
Starting point is 00:03:08 I think we definitely want to talk about that. And then finally, last question, and you definitely can have a sentence or two for this one, Naveed. What's the biggest myth about type 2 diabetes that you come across as an expert in this area? Certainly my patient's biggest myth, often when I tell them that they may have type 2 or at risk, is that they don't eat much sugar. Type 2 diabetes predominantly is a disease of excess. In most people, excess weight to a level in themselves that leads to too much fat in the wrong places, including within the liver. Got it. And so they're saying, hey, but I don't eat loads of sugar, so how can I have type 2 diabetes? And the answer is they still do. They still do. And it's predominantly people can put on excess weight for a number of reasons, not necessarily just high sugar, but also
Starting point is 00:03:52 obviously lots of fat. Well, look, let's start to dive into all of this. And, you know, just to start with, I think many listeners to this podcast know I have a personal interest in blood sugar because my own blood sugar control is actually really quite poor. But I actually didn't know this was happening inside me at all until I wore a continuous glucose monitor when I took part in the very first Zoe Predict clinical trial, which is about five or six years ago. And it was a complete eye-opener for me, understanding that my blood sugar would often be very high for hours after I ate certain foods and was quite high, you know, even when I woke up in the morning fasting,
Starting point is 00:04:30 because I didn't feel anything. I had no idea about this. So, you know, I'm really fascinated in this topic. Now, before I get carried away though and jump to all the things that I'd love to discuss about what I could do to improve my blood sugar control, can we just start right at the beginning and maybe just start with like, what is blood sugar control. Can we just start right at the beginning? And maybe just start with like, what is blood sugar and why does it matter? Well, sugar is one of the fuels, one of the key fuels that many body cells require for making energy and for conducting their normal function.
Starting point is 00:04:59 So particularly, of course, the brain, dependent upon fuel for it to function. And it's the source of fuel for it to work for the cells to work as well as requiring oxygen it's also when we are sick the body is very good at preserving trying to preserve sugar for your immune cells the cells that fight off infection or help repair tissues and again again, they require lots of fuel for those mechanisms to fight off infection or repair tissues. And therefore, when you are sick, it makes sense the body tries to preserve sugar more for those cells. But it's required, sugar is required for all body
Starting point is 00:05:38 cells, basically for them to function normally. And one of the things I think that often gets, people often mention when they talk about diabetes, you often hear this word insulin. What is insulin and why does it ever come up in the discussion around blood sugar and diabetes? So insulin is a hormone. So if I was to, and I've just eaten a banana and my body is breaking down that banana putting its breakdown products one of which is sugar into my blood but i don't want it to be my blood for very long i want to be able to store that energy in various tissues insulin is a bit like a key that opens up some of my cells to take in that sugar and store it when i don't need it this also stops my own body making sugar when i
Starting point is 00:06:24 don't need it so i've just had a lot of sugar hopefully my insulin starts to go up put the sugar in the right places and it's also probably signaling to my liver stop you don't need to make any more sugar because there's already lots coming in so it's like a master regulator of keeping sugar levels within the right levels in the blood putting it in the places where you need it to store for future needs, and also helping you liberate it when you need it. And that actually happens when the insulin levels go right down. So that perhaps when you're sleeping and you're not having sugar in your body, your sugar levels, your insulin is low down and the liver keeps
Starting point is 00:07:01 making sugar sufficient to feed all the cells in your brain, et cetera, for normal bodily function. So insulin is a master regulator in all of us for our sugar levels. And thank you, Naveed, that's really, really clear, I think. So you've got this sort of insulin keeping his level. I guess the obvious question is, why doesn't our body just let all the sugar hang around in our blood? You know, like the fridge, you just keep putting more stuff in it. And then, you know, my brain or whatever else could take the sugar out when they want it. Why is it, why can't I just let it get higher and higher? Yeah, I know that's a brilliant question.
Starting point is 00:07:35 So when, if you think about sugar, if you spill sugar, particularly in the context of water, it becomes very sticky. When sugar becomes, levels become very high in the context of water, it becomes very sticky. When sugar levels become very high in the blood, it starts to stick to lots of our bodily proteins and changes their function, makes them abnormal. So for example, some of the damage that happens in the eye is because the sugar at very high levels starts to stick. So lots of proteins are relevant to aspects of our eye function and disrupts it and you lead to what's known as retinopathy, a damage to the eyes.
Starting point is 00:08:06 The same thing happens in the kidneys. The same thing happens to some of the bodily parts, proteins that are relevant to nerve function. So sugar levels, when they're high, effectively disrupts lots of raw materials and proteins in our body and disrupts, therefore, lots of normal function and causes damage. I think that's both very clear and very, it's quite scary, this analogy with like the sugar on the table sticky. I can see that that's not what you want sort of coursing through your blood.
Starting point is 00:08:35 It's a process partly called glycation and effectively changes the structure of your molecules from what's normal to abnormal and then that means it's almost if i think about it is you know if you're building a house and you start to make bricks and the wrong shape that building is going to be disrupted and will potentially not have the same level of integrity and will be disrupted and fall apart that's effectively what's happening inside your eyes your kidneys kidneys, your nerve cells. If your sugar levels are high, you're changing the structure of proteins so they no longer do what's healthy and you're building up tissues in an abnormal way that leads to disease. At this point, we usually remind you about getting 10% off Zoe membership with the coupon code you
Starting point is 00:09:22 can find in the show notes. Though I would love for you to do that, I'm actually here to tell you about a common request we receive from people like you. It goes something like this. I've just discovered the show and now I listen each week, but I don't have time to go back and listen to all the previous episodes. Could you share some of the key things I need to know how to improve my health? The team has gone back through hours of recordings to find 10 of the most impactful tips led by science and put them into a free guide that you can download right now. To get yours, simply go to zoe.com slash free guide. Thank you so much, Naveed. I think that's both a bit scary, but also really clear.
Starting point is 00:10:06 Could you explain then what happens when someone gets pre-diabetes or type 2 diabetes? What does that actually mean? Yeah, this is a question that's often happened. People living with pre-diabetes do have a higher risk of obviously developing diabetes. They don't inevitably develop diabetes. So the term pre-diabetes doesn't mean that it's always inevitable. People who have pre-diabetes, some stay in that level for years. Others can actually go back to normal levels of sugar if they improve their lifestyle. But if you do have pre-diabetes, your risk of developing diabetes is clearly higher. Equally, your risk of heart disease is about double compared to people of normal sugar levels don't have prediabetes or healthy levels of glucose. I just want to make sure I got that.
Starting point is 00:10:53 You're saying that if you have prediabetes, your risk of heart disease is actually double the level if you don't have prediabetes. Roughly speaking. But here's the rub. The level of prediabetes, that risk is not necessarily caused by sugar levels because they're rub at the level of pre-diabetes that risk is not necessarily caused by sugar levels because they're not at the level of diabetes what what is caused by is the processes that have led you to develop pre-diabetes in the first place so for example for me to develop pre-diabetes i would probably need to put another four or five kilograms of weight on that excess weight will also mean my blood pressure on that excess weight will also mean my
Starting point is 00:11:25 blood pressure will go up it will also mean my blood fats and my cholesterol levels will be disrupted so then i will have higher weight higher blood pressure more abnormal toxic levels of lipids and possibly also other changes and those are the things that cause my higher risk of heart disease they will also in a sense they're they're they're stressing my sugar levels i'm able to keep them still within the non-diabetes range but they're being stressed because i put fat in the wrong places in my body and navid just i just want to make sure because you that we all understand what pre-diabetes and diabetes is and And then I'd love to understand more the way these are linked. So what does it mean for someone to have prediabetes
Starting point is 00:12:11 or type 2 diabetes? And how is that linked to their blood sugar that we were talking about a minute ago? So let me explain it in the terms of a hemoglobin A1c level, which is a common test that we use that gives us an average sugar level for an individual over three months so our normal hemoglobin A1c in the UK it doesn't really matter about the units is you know 41 millimoles per mole or under hopefully you and I sitting here have got levels of you know I don't know somewhere between 32 and 41 okay Pre-diabetes within UK and Europe is between 42 and 47. Diabetes is when you get to 48 and above. In America, pre-diabetes criteria is a bit wider than we use in the UK.
Starting point is 00:13:01 It's from 39 to 47, which is probably why the category perhaps of 100 million, I don't think it's quite as high as that. There's always some interpretation based on CDC data that they have to extrapolate and base, you know, just a few caveats. But nevertheless, that's what it is. In older hemoglobin A1 terms, the levels we had in our mind was diabetes is at 6.5 percent we use the percentage pre-diabetes is from 6 to 6.4 in the UK or from 5.7 to 6.4 in the US and effectively that's hemoglobin A1c and it's capturing your average sugar levels your average exposure to sugar levels for three months so it's a very good stable measure that we measure in the clinic all the time, increasingly is used to diagnose diabetes or diagnose prediabetes.
Starting point is 00:13:49 And I've heard doctors often refer to this as HbA1c, is that right? HbA1c, hemoglobin A1c. And so the way I understand, I just want to make sure I'm playing it back right, the way I understand it is, you know, your blood sugar is changing all the time. So you ate that banana right now and your blood sugar is probably starting to like shoot up. Then you'll put in the insulin you described and it'll come back down. And this HbA1c is sort of like this average measure of your blood sugar, like a sort of like something on the tank on the car that's just telling you like what the average is over like months rather than this thing that's changing all the time. Is that? That's perfectly correct. So, you know, if I'm able to, after my banana,
Starting point is 00:14:27 keep my sugar levels from going too high and keep them within the normal range, and every time I eat food, if I keep it relatively within the normal range, my HbA1c will stay within the normal range because on average, my sugar levels are being kept normal. Amazing. And so to make sure that I, I just want to make sure that I've got this, you're sort of
Starting point is 00:14:47 saying we all have like a level of sugar that we would normally have in our blood. We can measure it with this HbA1c. And if somebody has been diagnosed as listening to this with pre-diabetes or type two diabetes, this is higher than it should be. And this is the concern. And we'll then talk a bit more about what it means and what you might be able to do about it. That's broadly correct. I mean, and the reason I think I'm, you know, clearly, we can measure sugar levels, they can also give us an indication, you know, particularly when you're fasting, that we think the sugar level
Starting point is 00:15:27 should be below 7 millimoles per litre, so we can do it fasting. But the move, certainly in the UK and also in the US and many other countries in the world to diagnose diabetes, they've increasingly started using HbA1c because of its stability,
Starting point is 00:15:42 because it doesn't need to be done fasting, because it can also be measured when people have infections or admitted to hospital because none of those things are going to change an average for three months so it's a very good aggregated marker now it's not perfect all the time there are some circumstances like people who have very severe anemia or they have a certain different type of hemoglobin, so-called hemoglobinopathy, you know, we have to be slightly careful, but that's a very, very small percentage of the population. So therefore, the vast majority of circumstances, HbA1c is a very good aggregated measure of sugar exposure that your body has been exposed to and gives us an indication of whether
Starting point is 00:16:20 you have pre-diabetes, diabetes, or an abnormal range. So I think the obvious follow-on question is, why has there been this enormous explosion in people with diabetes and pre-diabetes? The team was sharing, again, some of these stats, and apparently there's a sort of four-fold increase in the number of people with diabetes around the world, like hundreds and hundreds of millions of people. And I know that when we look at our own data of people doing the ZOE study of who's those hundreds of thousands, you just see this, you see there's lots of people whose levels are far, far lower than the levels you're describing of people with diabetes. So clearly, you know, there's a big shift, I guess, from where I think about like my children. I don't know their HbA1c is, but I'm pretty confident it's a long way below these levels, right? They aren't there. So what's going on? What is causing what I
Starting point is 00:17:13 think we could sort of describe as an epidemic of type 2 diabetes with all the scary implications you're describing? And why is it so much more common now like even when i was a child growing up okay so i think that's you know it's obviously a brilliant question i'm sure many of the listeners can work out some of the major causes and one of them of course is rising levels of weight and and waist girths in society because as you put on more weight as people put on more weight and as as average body mass index levels or whatever waist circumference levels have risen in the communities that means more people have got to the point where they cannot no longer store fat peripherally and that fat excess fat gets deposited into some of the key organs in the body that are
Starting point is 00:18:02 exquisitely sensitive to too much fat and are relevant to how well you either make or store sugar. And if you put too much fat in some of these organs, you will disrupt their ability to control sugar levels. So, for example, too much fat in the liver means that it will continue to make excess sugar in excess of the body's needs when you don't need it. Too much fat and muscles means that your body will not take up the sugar in response to insulin as well as it normally would do if your fat levels and the muscles were less. That's a simple example. So weight gain is one of them. Another key factor is actually linked to success in part. Another risk factor for diabetes is actually living longer, older. So as life expectancies have gone up and more and more people are living longer,
Starting point is 00:18:51 we get more diabetes. And part of that reason happens is that in my simple mind, there's three things that determine diabetes risk. The weight you reach and how much fat you put in your organs, your muscle mass, because that's your engine to burn up sugar and how well your pancreas works now two of those three things probably all three things change with age as we age our muscle mass goes down our pancreas becomes less which is the organ that makes insulin becomes less plastic as it were i.e. its capacity to make more insulin to keep the sugar levels down becomes less over time. And also, with age, we tend to put on more weight in our stomachs, and we tend to lose fat from our peripheries and our arms and legs and peripheral reasons.
Starting point is 00:19:38 So with people living longer, we're also increasing the likelihood of diabetes. And that's not just in high-income countries. If you think about all the millions of people, billions in fact, in low-income countries, as they've improved their hygiene gradually and industrialization, people are no longer dying in their 30s and 40s. They're living to the 40s and 50s. So they're able to develop diabetes in their 50s and 60s when they didn't because they died with infection or something else. So there's multiple reasons, but to weight gain, increased life expectancy are probably the two major ones. And so Naveed, I just want to unpack that and make sure that
Starting point is 00:20:15 I've understood it and our listeners have understood it fully. So maybe to start with the first one, I think you said something really interesting, which is it's about rising levels of weight in particular places. So it's not just generically whether someone has put on weight, you're saying it's about the fact that that weight is actually being stored. And so that fat is actually being stored inside crucial organs in our body. And that that is really what starts to trigger the diabetes. Did I understand that right? Yes. That's so-called ectopic fat, fat where it normally isn't supposed to be in any sort of high level. So as an example, all of our liver fat levels should be below 5%. Ideally, usually, if you look at the normal range, under two percent but when the liver accumulates more fat
Starting point is 00:21:06 because your your body has been unable to store the fat in other areas because your weight's got to such a level the body's looking for other places so that excess fat one of which then tends to be the liver as the liver fat levels go up that disrupts the liver's ability to regulate sugar levels normally and the liver actually starts to make excess sugar beyond the liver's ability to regulate sugar levels normally and the liver actually starts to make excess sugar beyond the body's needs which then keeps the sugar levels high so that's one of the examples uh so ectopic fat it's not the only cause some people also have shall we say pancreases which make insulin which are unable to make as much insulin as perhaps a healthy individual so that for even when they're not very overweight their pancreas pancreas's ability to make insulin
Starting point is 00:21:52 becomes diminished with age very quickly and then it's a pancreatic driven type 2 diabetes but even there if you know genetically if you can't make as much insulin as the other person it's still usually weight gain that's the trigger for diabetes. And people then tend to have to put on less weight to get that diabetes. So there's an interaction between how well your pancreas can make insulin, how much fat you put in their own organs, and how good is your muscle mass. Sorry, Naveed, can I just, just before we jump on, because I think the weight in your organs affecting the way that they work, that makes sense. And you're describing the pancreas as one of those examples. It's so important. It's making the insulin. Could you just explain the muscle mass for a minute?
Starting point is 00:22:33 Why does the muscle mass have any impact on diabetes? Muscle mass is often a measure of how active you are. So activity plus, you know, as an example, you know, my muscle mass used to be not so good. It's actually probably a bit better and I've got a dog and a psycho and so on. Congratulations. Yeah, well, you know, and my HDL has gone up and I can see it.
Starting point is 00:22:58 I can see it as a biomarker. It's gone up, you know, really almost doubled. Which is a good thing. Which is a very good thing because I do have a i have a family history so i think my pancreas probably genetically being south asian a family history is it's got a it's got a lower reserve to keep making insulin to the levels i need to overcome you know this any resistance in my tissues as it were So by building up muscle and being more active, I have an engine that burns sugar
Starting point is 00:23:26 more. So that means I've got an engine that can burn sugar. That means that sugar is not going to stay as high, if that makes sense. Also will burn fat as well. So by having more muscles, it's actually going to pull the sugar out of my blood, it's going to burn it up. So that's like, it's improving everything. And if I don't have that, I'm more likely to store it in my liver and my pancreas. It's a bit like a car. Exactly. It's like having a very efficient engine and a bigger engine for the amount of fuel. If you overpack the car with fuel, you know, too much oil, the oil will disrupt the engine, you know, and if you've got, if you keep the engine clean and bigger, it may be easier to cope with more oil. It's that, you know,
Starting point is 00:24:07 it's that kind of simple analogy. And can I, can I follow up on the point about the differences between people? Because I'm really interested in that. And you were just talking about being, you know, South Asian heritage, and I'd love to understand a bit more about that. But I, the other thing I was interested in is sort of difference between men and women, because I know that when we've had other conversations to do with other risk factors, we've had this conversation about women, particularly before menopause, sort of storing fat in different places. And is there a difference between men and women in terms of their risks of diabetes as well? So I'm really curious about, for people listening how
Starting point is 00:24:45 these things might be different paternity on who they are yeah well let's explain all those risks in the prism of where you store the fat so women generally have a much greater subcutaneous you know so they're able to store fat peripherally thighs legs and obviously you know the shape of women is such that you know they have other stores of fat shall we say so women generally in a sense have a greater storage capacity for fat in the peripheral area that means they have to put on more weight overall before that fat starts to seep into the liver and peripheral just to make sure basically because for anybody who's not seen the video where navid is helping to indicate you're basically saying everywhere that's not sort of in my torso
Starting point is 00:25:29 and around my exactly my belly that women can store a lot more fat there part of the reason women have to store more fat is partly because women have children they have to feed the children they have to breastfeed they have to supply nutrients to the child. One of the things that happens in pregnancy is the placenta can suck lots of nutrients from mum. And if mum doesn't have enough fat storage, they can't often get pregnant. You see that in athletes. So you need... your body is like... we're talking about evolution over millions of years, it doesn't mean you as a person listening to this have to get pregnant but the point is that's how our bodies have evolved yeah that's exactly right so if you compare men and women in terms of how much fat they have in their
Starting point is 00:26:13 liver even in healthy levels men tend to have higher levels of fat within their liver compared to women and also men when they generally put on weight it usually is accompanied by their waist circumference going up straight away because they tend to store it you know they're all they're all closer already to the threshold of fat going into the wrong places so with a little weight gain men's fat usually goes into the wrong places women however generally can put more fat in peripheral regions into the thighs and other areas before it goes into the more harmful places like the liver and muscle, as it were. So that explains why men in every ethnic group are at a higher risk of diabetes than women for type 2 diabetes.
Starting point is 00:26:57 It probably also explains, in part, why men are at higher risk of heart disease than women in all ethnicities, by and large. And with that same prism, if you compare you and I, Jonathan, you're sitting there, you're Caucasian or white, I'm South Asian. We know that South Asians on average have 10% on average lower muscle mass and carry more fat mass already. And we also have higher levels of liver fat even when we're healthy so me compared to you I've got higher liver fat so I'm closer to where I'm going to put too much fat in my liver sufficient to develop diabetes than you are you are closer than the average you know say an age comparable woman so that explains the men versus women risk it also completely explains the whites versus non-whites
Starting point is 00:27:45 and every non-white individual compared to whites are at higher diabetes risk one of the reasons is where people put their fat it's not the only other reason blacks i think there's another mechanism we don't fully understand it's maybe to do with how well your pancreas can make insulin but certainly for south asians we're in a, our body makeup is such that we are for less weight gain, we will start putting fat into the wrong places. And therefore, we will develop diabetes at lower average weight gains than whites. And these are quite big differences you're describing, aren't they, Navi? Because I feel like in general, when you talk to a lot of scientists, then it feels like often they've ended up coming to the
Starting point is 00:28:26 conclusion that even genetics in general, never mind ethnic differences, are sort of ending up being quite small versus environment. But here you're talking about quite important differences, it sounds like, in terms of risk factors based on sort of your ethnicity. Did I understand that right? Yeah, no, you're correct. So roughly speaking, South Asians risk for diabetes. So, you know, comparing age by age and, you know, sex by sex, somewhere between two to four-fold higher risk of type 2 diabetes. Two to four times higher. So that is an enormous difference in risk. And even within the South Asian groups, there is a gradient of risk so the highest groups in the big countries
Starting point is 00:29:06 is actually in bangladesh then it's pakistan then it's india and a nice re you know a potential explanation for why bangladesh is compared to pakistan is is height and and early growth because height is a proxy for how much muscle you have so Bangladeshis tend to be shorter than Pakistanis, who tend to be shorter than Indian, on average. It's fascinating. The one thing I would say is, of course, these are just averages, and so you can have this huge, because, I mean, and listeners will have heard this, I don't want to bore them,
Starting point is 00:29:39 but I actually have quite a lot of fat stored around my belly in terrible places and very little anywhere else, which I had no idea of until as part of that first Zoe clinical study, I actually had a DEXA scan. And I remember the face, I remember the look on the nurse doing it, who was like really surprised. And the answer was, I'm apparently what's, I think it's called like a toffee or something like this. And it turns out that I have fat nicely stored around my liver and elsewhere. And I remember Tim explaining to me that this was really bad news. And so, of course, you know, there are these ethnic differences, but there's obviously
Starting point is 00:30:18 also very big personal variation, which is why, you know, some person, I guess, is much more at risk of diabetes than something else. I mean, and there may be various genes at play as well. And, you know, the question I would ask if you were my, you know, if you were one of my patients, Jonathan, is do you have a family history of type 2 diabetes? Your BMI is obviously not high, it's pretty good. And, you know, it may not be that actually this is a BMI factor, clearly, because you're not, you know, you're clearly not heavy. It may be that you've got a specific gene that doesn't allow you to export liver fat out of your liver into your circulation. I don't know. But that's something for you to interrogate.
Starting point is 00:30:55 But by and large- I'm going to be following this up in detail after this call, Naveed. We can follow up. I'm conscious that I need to, I want to move on because I don't want to, I know you had limited time before you had to be back in clinic. I'd love to talk for a minute before we talk about what we do. What are the symptoms? So let's say that somebody is listening to this and they're like, oh, I wonder if I do have diabetes. What are the symptoms that I'm going to be experiencing that are going to answer that question for me so most patients most individuals who have type 2 diabetes who move into their sugar levels going high generally have very
Starting point is 00:31:32 vague symptoms and some lots are completely asymptomatic as or because that change has been so gradual that they haven't so asymptomatic means they're not aware of any symptoms at all yeah the symptoms come generally when the sugar levels go really high. At that point, when the sugar goes very high, the kidney's ability to reabsorb that sugar, it gets diminished and you push more sugar out into your urine. Sugar cannot go out on its own. It has to carry water with it. So you tend to pee a lot pee more during the day pee more during the night so-called polyuria you may then get more infections because you've got higher sugar levels as well you tend to feel tired and fatigued partly because if you're starting to pee out sugar
Starting point is 00:32:17 your body's efficiency and how it uses the sugar for optimal function is diminished. So you're fatigued. So fatigue, more infections, passing out more urine, other kind of major, you know, kind of symptoms. And it sounds like those symptoms you're describing, they aren't when you first, it's not like when you get a cold or something, you don't get these symptoms when you first get pre-diabetes or even diabetes. This is like when it's already lived with it. Yeah, exactly. You know, the sugar levels are going up already lived with it yeah exactly you know the sugar levels are going up relatively slowly and it's you know and so most people generally don't you know maybe they have some vague feeling of i don't have as much energy as i used to i'm sleeping a
Starting point is 00:32:57 bit more erratically i'm just you know some vague symptoms and and some may not it depends how how fast that sugar level is rising. It depends over what period it's rising. It depends what age you are. We know that younger people develop diabetes and sugar levels rise faster than older people. Also, excess weight is a much bigger factor in younger people develop diabetes than older people. So there's lots of different dimensions.
Starting point is 00:33:19 The thing I would say, we did a study of 100 Asian men and white men. Of those 100 Asians, 13 had diabetes and didn't know about it. Okay? Didn't know they had diabetes. So you had 100 Asians that you studied. None of them thought they had diabetes. None of them knew they had. And 13, one in seven. 13 turned out. Yeah. So that's huge. 13% had this and they had no idea that they had this serious disease. Exactly. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:33:48 So that's, I think everybody listening to this is now going to be a little bit scared if they haven't like spoken to somebody. Is it all right if you think you have some concerns? So maybe I think you're describing some of the reasons, like you think maybe you have put on more weight around your tummy and. Well, it's more than that, Jonathan. Yeah. So the things you should do, there are simple scores you can look up. What is my risk for diabetes, high, low or medium?
Starting point is 00:34:09 And you can do that. There's the Diabetes UK risk score, which you can get online. There's the Leicester diabetes score. There's what's known as QDiabetes online. And the risk scores capture your age, your family history of diabetes, your ethnicity, whether you're a male or female, and generally your weight, and a few other things, and they will give you an idea. And it may be when you put that risk score, it comes up, for the vast majority, it's going to
Starting point is 00:34:35 be actually low, in which case, don't worry about it. It's very unlikely you have diabetes. If it comes up medium or high, then at that point, you might want to reach out to your gp and say look i've done this score could you potentially do my hba1c test i would like to know and and just get an mot as it were and that's what we just just to make sure that makes sense to everybody not in the uk listening who may not know what an mot is what you're saying is i think if i if i play that back right is firstly there's a there's a score and we will put a link in the show notes for anyone listening to this who can find the right way to score this for their country, which basically gives you an indication of your likelihood of risk. And what you're saying, I think, is if that risk is medium or high, then don't feel bad about going and speaking to your
Starting point is 00:35:21 doctor, your physician, and that there is this very, is it a very difficult test to do to then find out this HbA1c? No, it's effectively, it's a blood test that the GP, you know, or the healthcare professional or can take, or a phlebotomist can take any time of the day. And it gets costs about, in British terms, one to two pounds. You know, it's not very expensive, probably a bit more expensive in the US and some other places. So it's not very cheap. It's not very expensive.
Starting point is 00:35:50 The tests are always a lot more expensive in the US, yes. But we won't go and discuss that right now. That's a completely different. But anyway, it's relatively easy. You get the result within a day and it comes up with the hemoglobin A1 test. And you wouldn't be, because I think sometimes people say, oh, you know, if you're not really sick, you shouldn't, you know, are you just like creating all these people worrying for no reason?
Starting point is 00:36:10 Well, no, you know, the vast majority of listeners, when they do this test, the risk will come up as low, okay, the vast majority, and then they're reassured. It doesn't mean to say they can, you know, they still have to, everyone has to try and live the best life they can and an enjoyable life in a way as well and but as an example it's be somebody like myself i have a family history of diabetes so i've number i have a risk factor i'm also getting older you know that in itself isn't a risk factor but because i have a family history and i'm south asian
Starting point is 00:36:41 you know then i probably you know motivate If I do my diabetes risk score, it comes up as something like 15% chance over the next 10 years. So it's a one in six or seven chance that I would, and I have had a hemoglobin A1 test done and it came back as it's actually okay, but it's getting in, you know, it's getting close to the pre-diabetes range, which fits with my family history. The reason I've kept it down is because I've kept my muscle mass up. You know, my father and my mother both developed diabetes in their 40s and 50s. Hi, I have a small favor to ask. We want this podcast to reach as many people as possible as we continue our mission to improve the health of millions. And watching this show
Starting point is 00:37:22 grow is what motivates the whole team at Zoe to keep up the really hard work of creating new episodes each week. So right now, if you could share a link to the show with one friend who would benefit from today's information, it would mean a great deal to me.
Starting point is 00:37:36 Thank you. You know what? That is a brilliant transition point because I'd love to talk about like, so what do you do, you know, to avoid getting hopefully diabetes, pre-diabetes in the first place? And it sounds Naveed that you're literally living this yourself. So I'm fascinated.
Starting point is 00:37:57 And you mentioned, I wasn't sure was getting the dog part of this solution, but tell me, like, I think you've painted a pretty clear picture that you would really like to avoid this because of all the serious implications. So if someone's listening to this and they're saying they want to make the right actions, could you talk through, I think, based on your own research, but also I think fascinating to hear what you're doing yourself as an expert? I mean, it's not even my research. I think it's based on the kind of global evidence that we know from all the randomized trials all the various studies and around the world you know the evidence base is the following is that if if you want to reduce your risk of diabetes the key aspects are
Starting point is 00:38:36 keeping as a healthy way as you possibly can so you know diet makes a big sense and you know you and you probably all the listeners here are well tuned to that and keeping relatively physically active. And those are the two major things. We cannot stop aging. The one thing I would also say, and I think I've hinted at this, Jonathan, I'm now 56. If I can delay developing diabetes till I'm 75 I'm far less worried because if I if my sugar level start to escape high level I then I don't have many more years for that sugar to cause damage high sugars immediately do not cause damage it takes about you know 5 to 10 to 15 years and also the older
Starting point is 00:39:17 you become to get diabetes the slower your sugar will elevate because it's less linked to weight gain the younger you develop diabetes it's more toxic it's a more toxic disease because sugar levels rise faster you tend to have to need more weight the reason you tend to need to have more weight to trigger diabetes because when you're young you tend to have a bigger muscle because you're young and your pancreas is healthier because you're young so in other words to, you know, your better buffering capacity because you're younger, you need to put on,
Starting point is 00:39:48 you need to stress the system more by putting more fat in the wrong places. But that comes with it, all the other risk factors, that means your risk is much higher. So you're saying, if I can hold it off till I'm 75, then at that point,
Starting point is 00:40:01 maybe you could start to eat the, you could eat chocolate croissant all day is that way there's other reasons but but but i know that the diabetes then is is you know you're less worried about the diabetes it's it's not going to it's not going to massively impair my life expectancy if at all it's not going to lead me to have raging eye or kidney disease or nerve disease if at all you know whereas so if you're in your 40s and 50s and you're in pre-diabetes some small sustainable life child changes that means that you either stay the same way put on a bit of muscle mass or else lose three or four kilograms and sustain that and able to keep healthy with a little bit
Starting point is 00:40:47 of activity to stop you putting on weight means that you will probably delay developing diabetes for five you know three four or five or ten years you know up to 10 years and some people can delay this for a long time or even revert back to normal sugar levels so it's it's effectively improving your muscle mass cutting your weight ect fat, sufficient to de-stress your glucose control mechanisms. And Naveed, could we talk a little bit about, I'd love to talk about what you've done yourself and you touched on it maybe briefly, but I'd love to understand. It sounds like this is a real live risk for you. You described the fact that like both your parents developed it when they were very young. And it sounds like this is really on your... And it just reminds me a little bit of
Starting point is 00:41:29 Tim when he's making his own changes for his health. It sounds like this is live for you. What have you... How does it affect what you do? You know, I'm obviously fortunate to live in an area where there's an ability to do more physical activity. I think the dog wasn't an effort necessarily to keep my diabetes away, but the side product of the dog is that I've increased my walking much more than I ever did before, and I enjoy it. I've now cycled to work for the last 10 years, and I love it. So I've almost changed my own identity and who I am
Starting point is 00:42:04 by becoming more physically active. And in finding things that I really enjoy, the side product of that is my muscle mass. I can feel it has gone up. I probably reduced a little bit of excess fat within my liver. 25 years ago, I was a bit heavier. And one of my signals for diabetes was incredibly high. And it's come right down because effectively it built more muscle got rid of some of that fat mass and some of those changes have been very gradual equally i've also
Starting point is 00:42:30 made some dietary changes as well you know cutting out some of the refined sugars increasing the variety of the foods i eat more fiber rich you know retrain my palate to have different tastes which takes a bit of time to get used to you know would you believe i even enjoy shredded wheat now you know i love shredded wheat but that's taking me a few weeks to get used to that taste and texture but i love it okay add two or three grapes on it for a little bit of sweetness but that's fine again so in a sense i've been on this gradual step by step by step journey to eating a better quality fuel having a better quality activity that's in a sense stop me putting fat in the wrong places keep my engine better to stop me pushing into diabetes in my 40s or 50s and hopefully i can keep doing that by staying active
Starting point is 00:43:18 till you know even if i get diabetes in my late 60s i'm not worried about it because we now have better i could undergo a weight loss intervention i could could go undergo this, you know, metformin. There's some better drugs coming forward as well. For someone who's listening to this, who already has, you know, type two diabetes, or maybe they've been told they have pre-diabetes, is it possible to actually reverse some of this? Can you actually lower the blood sugars that you were were talking about yeah absolutely it's so in every individual we all have a different slope between weight gain and the hemoglobin the hba1c level so in a sense there's almost a straight line between each of us and my line is steeper than yours, Jonathan,
Starting point is 00:44:05 because of my family history. So for a smaller amount of weight gain, my HbA1c will elevate because I'll put fat in the wrong places. So we've shown in the direct trial that if you have a person who's developed diabetes in the last three to four years, if they lose 10 kilograms,
Starting point is 00:44:22 about 46% after one year or 33 after two years no longer have diabetes because they've got rid of fat the liver fat comes right down it then the liver responds far better to insulin the liver makes less sugar your sugar normalizes and lots of so so there's a straight line between how much weight people lose and how much well their hba1c improves by and large and it works the other way as well there's a straight line between how much weight people lose and how well their HbA1c improves, by and large. And it works the other way as well. There's a straight line between how much weight you put on and how much. Just that slope of that line is different for different individuals
Starting point is 00:44:53 based on whether you're male or female, South Asian or white, and whatever age you're at, and so on and so on. And so that does mean, you know, wherever you are, there is something you can do, and it's not just about taking drugs so i had a patient this morning in the clinic who has diabetes who'd undergone surgery for weight loss they'd lost a lot of weight that sugar levels had plummeted you know they're still within the diabetes range and the thing i discussed with them was and they were starting to worry about mobility was can you actually now increase your muscle mass?
Starting point is 00:45:27 You've done, you've lost and they had lost seven stone because of surgery but clearly they could but they could do some resistance exercise a bit more physical activity to improve their mobility to improve the engine side of it. So everyone listening can do something but what they need to do is find something
Starting point is 00:45:42 that they can sustain or enjoy to reinvent a new version of themselves that they enjoy and they can sustain for better health as well whether that's dietary physical better sleep all the things that you've discussed in zoe in various you know podcasts you know better sleep gives you better appetite allows you to control your appetite better more you know de--stress, maybe more physical activity, all those things. And trying to do it in a way that are either small steps that you can get to slightly better health
Starting point is 00:46:14 to keep some of these diseases away and also to increase the life expectancy of a healthy life, as it were, and contract unhealthy life for later years. Which I think everyone listening to this podcast is interested in. Can I ask one final question before we then get to the summary? There are some new drugs that have been in the news, like a Zempik, and there's been a lot of discussion. We're really lucky to speak to somebody who's one of the world's experts on diabetes. What's your view about this?
Starting point is 00:46:50 So now, you know, in some respects, I wish we didn't need to have those tools, you know, because I wish we could change the environment, make it easier for people to live easier lives, because it's not easy changing your diet. It's not easy becoming more physically active. You know, we talked about it and we have to overcome weight stigma. We have to talk about helping people navigate the environment that they live in. If you're surrounded by awful foods. It's very hard. Yeah. It's almost impossible.
Starting point is 00:47:12 So, you know, I don't want people to think that I think it's easy. It's not easy. You know, some of the changes that we've all had to make, we've had to work at them. But even then, for a lot of people, willpower is not enough. The environment they live in is not enough. So I wish we did. Having said all of that that there's millions of people living with obesity and chronic diseases these drugs are good powerful tools that help people control their appetite lose quite considerable amount of weight and therefore reduce and improve and reduce the risk of a number of
Starting point is 00:47:41 chronic diseases not only diabetes but more recently you reduce the risk of a number of chronic diseases, not only diabetes, but more recently, you reduce the risk of heart attacks or strokes, improve symptoms and heart failure, reduce the risk of kidney disease, improve the quality of life. So I'm glad they're there. They're expensive. We don't have great availability. So we need to work out in all health care systems, how do we get them to the people who need them the most to get the maximum benefit from those individuals and society? And that's a big ask. And hopefully over the next 10 years, we'll have more of those tools. The prices will come down.
Starting point is 00:48:11 They'll be proven to be long-term safe and the benefits outweigh any potential risks. But it sounds like you are expecting to be prescribing these to some people. I've already prescribed them to some people because we have to. But we need to do both prevention and treatment. We can't do just one. And that is a whole other podcast that I would like to get you back for. Indeed it is. Naveed, I would love to do a wrap-up and for you to make sure whether I've got this right
Starting point is 00:48:36 before you shoot off to see another patient, if that's all right. Sure. So I think we started by talking about why would you worry about blood sugar at all? And you gave this brilliant analogy of spilling sugar on the table and getting it wet and that that's this sticky mess. And you do not want that in your blood vessels. And what happens is if you lose this control over your blood sugar, because for example, you're starting to get all this fat in your liver and your pancreas and all the rest of it, actually you're getting this stickiness in these like little blood vessels, and this is damaging your eyes and your nerves. And it doesn't sound good. So it's very clear
Starting point is 00:49:16 that we don't want that. And then the question is, well, why is this happening? Because it's now happening where, you know, there's 100 million people with prediabetes, according to CDC in the US, and you know, this big increase. And you're saying like, the biggest reason is we're starting to get number one, that we're getting fat stored in our organs in a way that is really bad for them and didn't really happen in the past. And you particularly talked about it being in your liver and in your pancreas. And that interestingly, one of the reasons why we see so much variation between the risks of diabetes is that different people have very different
Starting point is 00:49:50 likelihood to store excess weight in those places. And so you described that, for example, women before menopause are much lower risk for diabetes because they tend to store their weight in almost anywhere other than the liver. But interestingly, as a man, you're saying almost the first place that I'm going to store this excess weight, and in my case in particular, that's obviously very true, is like right in the liver, and then it starts to cause all of these problems. But interestingly, there are big ethnic differences. And I think you described that sort of anyone who isn't Caucasian, I think you said, actually has significantly higher risk, and then there's further differences between ethnicity, that there's some online tools to look at this, and we will share those links
Starting point is 00:50:30 in the show notes so you can understand your own risk, which are averages, because I think what we always see with Zoe is there's a lot of personal variation, but this is a free first step. And then if it looks high, you should go to your doctor and check. And then I think we talked about the fact that I think one of the things that's quite scary about this is that many people feel no symptoms. And so you can have diabetes for a long time and this damage is starting to happen and you just don't even realize, which is, again, a reason to really believe in preventive health care. And then we talked about what to do.
Starting point is 00:51:01 And I think the main answer is we, you know, for many people listening to this is do what navid has done so firstly get a dog um secondly cycle to work so basically find ways to be more physically active you're saying because it increases your muscles compared to just this very uh you know non-moving way we tend to be and try and figure out how to control your weight which you know is a topic we talk about a lot on other podcasts and we know is hard. But fundamentally, if your weight is just going up year after year after year, then you've got this problem. So physically active, healthy weight, so the right healthy diet. And a lot of people need support in that, obviously.
Starting point is 00:51:38 Yeah, carry on, Jonathan, sorry. Absolutely. And part of what we talk, obviously, a lot on the podcast is about this. And, of course, we want people ultimately to decide they'd like to try the personalized program that's really focused for them, which we talk about. And I thought one thing you said that was really interesting is, in your minds, actually, what you want to do is delay diabetes. In your perspective, if you got diabetes when you're 75, you're actually not too stressed about it, because it takes quite a long time for there to be damage to you. So it's not like having a heart attack when you get diabetes, it's more like a risk. And so you're saying you want to push that out because actually if, you know, maybe you're quite high risk, if you could push it out till 75, you're going to be okay. And then the final thing you said, which I thought was really positive is you can reverse diabetes, right? It's not like having cancer or a heart attack. Like it's not a one-way street.
Starting point is 00:52:31 Actually, by removing this fat out of your liver, you can actually get to the point where you don't have diabetes or prediabetes. And I thought that was a beautiful, positive way to wrap it up. Perfect. That's a fantastic summary, Jonathan. Yeah. Naveed, thank you so much. I know that we like jumped over a lot of this very big topic.
Starting point is 00:52:50 And I know you're doing a lot of research in these areas. I hope that I can tempt you back in the future and we can continue. We're delighted. Yeah, absolutely. Particularly whatever the feedback to try and unpick some of the other, you know, because obviously it's hard to go into very specifics. There are some variations in various things, but I've given you the broad picture for the vast majority of people in terms of type two. We would love to do that. And we'll talk a lot more about the diet side of it as well. Of course, there's been Zoe. Navid, thank you so,
Starting point is 00:53:18 so much for taking the time. Pleasure. Thank you, Navid, for joining me on Zoe, Science and Nutrition today. It's been fascinating to learn so much about blood sugar, how type 2 diabetes impacts our health, and how we can prevent and even reverse it. If you want to hear more insights from the podcast, you can download our free guide with our 10 most impactful findings by going to zoe.com slash podcast. And if after this conversation, you want to understand your own blood sugar levels in more detail and how they respond to the food that you eat,
Starting point is 00:53:51 as I have done myself, then you can learn more about becoming a Zoe member and getting personalized advice about how to eat the best foods to reduce your blood sugar spikes. You can also get 10% off your membership again by going to zoe.com slash podcast. As always, I'm your host, Jonathan Wolfe. Zoe Science and Nutrition is produced by Yellow Hewins Martin, Richard Willan, and Tilly Fulford. See you next time.

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