Ancient Mysteries - NASA Reached the Edge of Our Solar System — What It Found Changed Everything

Episode Date: September 24, 2026

What happens when we travel as far as science can possibly see — and reach the boundaries beyond which observation becomes impossible?There is no single “edge” of everything. There are several.O...ne boundary has already been crossed by a spacecraft built in the 1970s. Another marks the point beyond which light can never bring us information. And farther still are cosmic horizons created by the expansion of the universe itself — regions moving beyond anything humanity could ever observe or reach.In this documentary, we travel through these boundaries one by one, beginning with Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 and their historic journey beyond the Sun’s heliosphere. Voyager 1 crossed the heliopause in 2012, entering interstellar space after more than three decades of travel. But even that extraordinary distance represents only the beginning of the story. The deeper we look into space, the further back in time we see. Using redshift, spectroscopy and gravitational lensing, astronomers can reconstruct objects whose light began traveling toward us billions of years ago — even when those objects are now vastly farther away because the universe continued expanding while their light was in transit.Modern observatories have pushed that frontier dramatically farther. Hubble revealed thousands of galaxies in patches of sky that appeared completely empty, while the James Webb Space Telescope has begun detecting unexpectedly bright and developed galaxies from some of the earliest eras of cosmic history.But eventually astronomy encounters a boundary that better telescopes cannot overcome.About 380,000 years after the beginning of the universe, space became transparent enough for light to travel freely. The radiation released from that era still surrounds us today as the cosmic microwave background. Beyond this surface, the early universe was opaque to electromagnetic radiation — meaning no conventional telescope, regardless of its size or power, can simply photograph what came before.And even that is not the final limit.Because the universe is expanding, there are regions whose present-day separation from us is increasing so rapidly that signals emitted there now may never reach Earth. Galaxies can disappear beyond our observable future without locally breaking the speed of light.This documentary explores what scientists actually know about these cosmic boundaries, how those measurements are made, where uncertainty remains, and why some parts of reality may be permanently inaccessible to observation.The strangest thing about the edge of everything may be that there isn’t just one edge — and humanity has already crossed the first.Watch to the end as we travel from the boundary of the Solar System to the deepest limits of the observable universe.💬 What do you think lies beyond the part of the universe we can observe?🔔 Subscribe for more documentaries exploring space, NASA, astronomy, cosmology, unexplained discoveries, and the deepest mysteries of the universe.

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Starting point is 00:00:55 Hey there, space fans. Today we're heading to the edge of everything, and here's the catch. There isn't one edge. There are four. can actually touch, and a spacecraft with less computing power than your phone punched through it in 2012. No sign out there saying you're now leaving the solar system drive safely, one where light itself gives up, and no telescope ever built will get past it, one where cause and effect stop working, and the mean one, running away from us faster than we can chase it, taking
Starting point is 00:01:25 whole galaxies with it, forever. So this is a climb, wall by wall, and stick around because that last wall might not be empty. Hit like if you want more deep dives like this, and drop a comment telling me what city you're watching from. Let's roll. Let's start with the only wall on this list that a machine built by human hands has ever physically shoved its way through. It's the closest one, the smallest one, and it still took 35 years and a spacecraft running on technology, older than most of the people watching this. Here's the setup. The sun is not a tidy object with a clean surface and a polite ending, it leaks, constantly. It throws off a stream of charge particles, mostly protons and electrons,
Starting point is 00:02:07 and that stream comes screaming outward in every direction at somewhere between 300 and 800 kilometres per second. That's roughly a million miles an hour, which sounds impressive until you remember it's also being emitted by a giant ball of plasma that has absolutely no plan and no supervisor. This is the solar wind, and it's been blowing for four and a half billion years without a single day off. That wind inflates a bubble. Not a metaphorical bubble, an actual physical one, a region of space where the sun's particles and the sun's magnetic field win the argument against whatever the rest of the galaxy is doing. We call it the heliosphere, and it's the real border of the solar system in the only sense that a physicist finds satisfying. Not the last planet,
Starting point is 00:02:50 not the last rock, the last place where the sun is still in charge. Everything inside that bubble is the sun's neighbourhood. Everything outside is interstellar. space, which is a fancy way of saying somebody else's problem, and the galaxy pushes back. The space between stars isn't empty, no matter what your third-grade textbook implied. It's full of thin, cold gas, dust, magnetic fields, and cosmic rays flying around at ridiculous energies. That material presses inward. The solar wind presses outward. Somewhere out there, the two pressures balance, and that balance point is the heliopause. It is, in the most literal way possible, of the Sun's influence, cross it, and you're in the galaxy proper for the first time in your life.
Starting point is 00:03:33 Now, nobody built the voyagers to do this. That's the part that gets me. The mission that punched through the boundary of the solar system was not designed to punch through the boundary of the solar system. It was designed to look at planets, and it only existed because of a scheduling coincidence. In the late 1970s, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune all lined up on the same side of the Sun in an arrangement that happens roughly once every 176 years. That alignment meant a spacecraft could slingshot from one planet to the next, stealing a little orbital energy each time and cross the outer solar system in about 12 years instead of 30.
Starting point is 00:04:13 Miss the window and the next bus leaves in the 2150s, so Nusser scrambled, got the budget approved for a stripped-down version of the original plan and launched two probes in the summer of 1977. Voyager 2 went first on August 20th. Voyager 1 launched second on September 5th and still got there first, because it took the faster route, which has been confusing people ever since. Yes, the naming makes no sense. No, nobody's going to fix it now. Consider what these things actually are. Each Voyager carries about 70 kilobytes of total memory across its computers. Your phone uses more than that, deciding which shade of gray to render a notification bubble. The onboard data storage is an eight-track digital tape recorder, a physical spool of magnetic tape
Starting point is 00:04:59 that has to physically wind and unwind in the vacuum of space. The transmitter puts out about 23 watts, comparable to a decent refrigerator bulb, and that signal has to travel for the better part of a day before a giant dish on Earth catches whatever's left of it, which by then is one of the faintest signals humanity routinely detects. These spacecraft were assembled by people using slide rules and physical blueprints, and they have now outlived several entire categories of consumer electronics, the Cold War, and a fair number of their own engineers. The planetary tour went spectacularly. Then the planets ran out, and the mission quietly turned into something else entirely. Two very fast, very old instruments falling outward forever, measuring the environment
Starting point is 00:05:42 around them and waiting to see when it stopped belonging to the sun. The first sign that something was changing came at the termination shock. This is the inner structure of the boundary, the place where the supersonic solar winds slams into the pile-up of interstellar material ahead of it, and abruptly slows down, heats up, and gets deflected sideways. Think of the ring of stationary water you get around a faucet stream hitting the bottom of a sink. Same physics, considerably larger sink. Voyager 1 crossed it in December 2004 at about 94 astronomical units, where one astronomical unit is the Earth to Sun distance. Voyager 2 crossed in August 2007 at about 84 astronomical units, 10 units closer in. That difference is not a rounding error, and it delivered
Starting point is 00:06:28 the first real lesson of this chapter. The bubble isn't a sphere, it's dented. The southern side where Voyager 2 was traveling is pushed in compared to the northern side, most likely because the interstellar magnetic field is leaning on the heliosphere from an angle and squashing it. Voyager 2 actually crossed the termination shock five separate times because the boundary was sloshing back and forth over the spacecraft like surf over a swimmer's ankles. The first wall we ever reached turned out to be less of a wall and more of a shoreline that couldn't decide where it wanted to be. Past the shock came the helio sheath,
Starting point is 00:07:02 a thick zone of slowed, hot, turbulent solar wind piling up against the outside world. Voyager 1 spent about eight years grinding through it. Toward the end of that stretch, the readings got genuinely strange. The outward speed of the solar wind dropped to zero and stayed there. Then, over about a month in 2012, three things happened almost simultaneously. The count of low-energy particles from the sun collapsed by a factor of more than a thousand. The count of high-energy cosmic rays from the galaxy jumped by about 9% to the highest levels ever recorded, and the readings flattened out into something completely new.
Starting point is 00:07:40 On August 25th, 2012, at roughly 121 astronomical units from the sun, Voyager 1 stopped being inside, and Nasser said nothing for a year. This is where the story gets almost comedic, in a way that only a 35-year-old spacecraft can manage. The instrument that would have settled the question instantly, the plasma science detector that directly measures the density and temperature of the surrounding gas had failed on Voyager 1 back in 1980. had been dead for three decades. So the team had a spacecraft that had almost certainly crossed the most significant boundary in the history of exploration, and no working way to prove it. The other clue, the magnetic field, actively made things worse. Every model said that when you leave the sun's bubble, the direction of the magnetic field should swing around to match the galaxy's field, which points a noticeably different way. Voyager 1 measured the field getting stronger than just
Starting point is 00:08:36 sitting there in roughly the same orientation it always had. No swing, no rotation, nothing. For a while, a genuinely respectable chunk of the scientific community argued that Voyager 1 was still inside the solar system and had merely wandered into some weird transitional pocket. Papers were published. Names were attached to competing regions with competing labels. The argument was not settled by better theory. It was settled because the sun burped. Voyager 1 does carry a working plasma wave instrument, and it was. built by a team at the University of Iowa under Don Gernet. It can't measure the gas directly, but it can listen.
Starting point is 00:09:13 When a large eruption from the sun eventually sweeps past the spacecraft, the shock wave hits the surrounding plasma and makes it oscillate, and the frequency of that oscillation depends entirely on how dense the plasma is. It's a cosmic version of tapping a glass to hear how full it is. So the plan, if you can call it a plan, was to wait for the sun to throw a tantrum, wait roughly 13 months for that tantrum to travel out to the spacecraft and then listen for a ring. It happened in April 2013. The instrument picked up a rising tone and the frequency said the plasma
Starting point is 00:09:46 out there was about 40 times denser than anything the sun's bubble contains. Denser and colder, which is exactly what interstellar gas is supposed to be. The team went back through the archives, found a fainter ring from a 2012 event, worked the timing backward and landed on the previous August as the crossing date. NASA announced it in September 2013, more than a year after it actually happened. Humanity crossed the edge of the solar system and found out about it retroactively, from a recording, like discovering you'd walked across an international border by checking your phone's photo timestamps a year later. The magnetic field puzzle never fully went away, and that's an honest thing to sit with. The best current explanation is that the field
Starting point is 00:10:30 just outside the heliopause has been draped and combed by the bubble itself, over an enormous distance, so it ends up lying roughly parallel to the sun's field rather than at the sharp angle everyone expected, which means the boundary isn't a line where one regime stops and another starts. It's a smeared, layered, mutually contaminated mess, and by the time you actually cross it, both sides have already rearranged each other. Voyager 2 got to check the work six years later, and this time the equipment cooperated. Its plasma instrument was still alive, and on November 5th, 2018, at about 119 astronomical units, it recorded the density jump directly instead of by inference. Same wall, different door, and the second crossing came with details the
Starting point is 00:11:17 first one couldn't provide. Voyager 2 went through faster and more sharply, taking days where Voyager 1's transition was drawn out. It also found thin layers on both sides where material was leaking across in both directions, solar particles trickling out and interstellar particles trickling in, which is not how a wall is supposed to behave and is very much how a border town behaves. There's also the fact that the whole structure breathes. The sun runs on an 11-year activity cycle, and when it's more active, it pushes harder, inflating the bubble outward. When it quiets down, the bubble sags back inward. The two voyagers crossed at different points in that cycle,
Starting point is 00:11:53 and the two distances they measured, 121 and 119 astronomical units, aren't fixed properties of the universe. They're two snapshots of a boundary that is constantly moving in and out by billions of kilometers, like a lung that takes a breath once a decade. Anyone hoping for a nice and grave number to memorize is going to be disappointed. The edge of the solar system is a range, and it depends on what the sun was doing when you asked. Meanwhile, a much smaller spacecraft was mapping the same boundary from home.
Starting point is 00:12:23 The interstellar boundary explorer, launched in 2008, doesn't fly anywhere interesting. It sits near Earth and detects energetic neutral atoms, particles that get created out at the boundary and then fly back inward in straight lines because they've lost their electric charge and stopped caring about magnetic fields. It's essentially building a picture of the edge from the echoes bouncing back off it, which is a wonderfully clever way to map a place you have no intention of visiting. In 2009, it found something nobody predicted, a narrow ribbon of enhanced emission stretching in a huge arc across the sky, two to three times brighter than the surrounding regions. It doesn't line up with anything inside the solar system. It appears to line up with the direction of the interstellar magnetic field,
Starting point is 00:13:07 and the leading explanation involves particles escaping the bubble, getting turned around by that outside field and coming back in. Even better, the ribbon changes over time in step with the solar cycle, which means we're watching a structure the size of the solar system flicker in response to the sun. Nothing about that was in the models before we look. looked. The same is true of the overall shape. For decades the standard picture had the heliosphere as a comet, a rounded nose plowing forward with a long tail streaming behind. Some newer modelling suggests something closer to a croissant, with two lobes and no proper tail at all. Others still favour the long tail. The current honest answer is that we don't know the shape of the object we live
Starting point is 00:13:49 inside, because we've only ever poked two needle-thin holes in one small patch of it, both in roughly the same forward direction, and we're extrapolating an entire structure from two data points. Imagine trying to draw a wail from two pinpricks in its shoulder. So the takeaway from the first wall is not the crossing. It's what the crossing revealed about walls in general. We assumed a boundary. We got a turbulent, breathing, leaking, asymmetric region of unknown shape, whose exact position depends on the calendar, which two of our probes disagreed about by two astrospers. astronomical units, and which we only confirmed by waiting for a solar storm to make it hum. And here's the part that really recalibrates the scale of this whole video.
Starting point is 00:14:29 Crossing the heliopause does not mean leaving the solar system, not by the gravitational definition. The sun still holds onto material vastly farther out, in the aught cloud, a spherical shell of icy debris that acts as the source of long-period comets. Its inner boundary is somewhere around a couple of thousand astronomical units, and estimates for the outer boundary run to 100,000 astronomical units or more, a decent fraction of the way to the nearest star. At current speeds, roughly 17 kilometers per second for Voyager 1, the spacecraft will need about 300 years to reach the inner edge of that cloud and something on the order of 30,000 years to pass beyond the outer one. Take a second with those numbers. The fastest thing we've
Starting point is 00:15:11 ever thrown at the sky, launched during the Carter administration, moving at more than 60,000 kilometers per hour without ever slowing down, needs three centuries just to reach the beginning of the sun's outer attic. The heliopause is not the edge of the sun's reach. It's the edge of the sun's weather. The voyagers will not be around to see any of it. Their power comes from radioisotope thermoelectric generators, which convert the heat of decaying plutonium into electricity, and that supply drops by around 4 watts every year. The engineering team has spent decades running the most patient triage operation in history, switching off instruments one at time, turning off heaters in compartments that then get colder than the temperatures the hardware was ever tested for,
Starting point is 00:15:54 and watching in mild disbelief as the frozen equipment keeps working anyway. New from Nespresso. Blend wellness into your coffee routine with a coffee plus range, infused with functional benefits. Choose the coffee you love with added B vitamins, like coffee plus B12 to help support immune function, and coffee plus B6 to keep your day moving. Or go with the flow and choose ginseng delight. Our new double espresso with ginseng extract. Whatever lies ahead, don't change your morning. Let your morning change you.
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Starting point is 00:16:52 Raffle number RAF 157-3916. Please play responsibly. Cameras went dark in 1990. Various systems have been retired since. Every few years, another sensor goes quiet so the remaining ones can keep reporting a little longer. And the current expectation is that both spacecraft fall silent sometime in the 2030s, after which they simply keep falling outward as inert metal for the rest of time. They also keep breaking in ways that require a very specific kind of heroism. In late 2023, Voyager 1 started transmitting perfect, healthy, completely meaningless data, an unbroken pattern of alternating bits that carried no information whatsoever.
Starting point is 00:17:35 The spacecraft was alive, receiving commands and responding, but everything it said was gibberish. It took months of work to trace the fault to a failed chip. holding part of the flight data system's memory. The fix was to rewrite the affected code and relocate it into working sections of memory, then upload it to a machine 24 billion kilometers away, where every command takes around 22.5 hours to arrive, and every answer takes another 22 and a half hours to come back.
Starting point is 00:18:03 That's a 45-hour round trip to find out whether you made things better or permanently worse, using documentation written before the personal computer existed, on hardware that no one alive. has ever physically touched in its current condition. It worked. In April 2024, the data started making sense again. Neither spacecraft is aimed at anything. They're not on a course to a star because nobody planned an interstellar mission. They planned a planetary tour that kept going. In about 40,000 years, Voyager 1 will pass within roughly 1.6 light years of a small red dwarf
Starting point is 00:18:37 in Camelopardelis, which counts as a near-miss only on a scale where a near-miss can be 10,000 times the width of the solar system. Voyager 2 makes a comparable approach to a different dim star around the same era. Both carry a gold-plated record with music, greetings and images from a planet that will, by then, be almost unrecognizable, on a format that was already becoming obsolete when it launched. It's the most optimistic message in a bottle ever assembled, aimed at an ocean where we have no evidence anyone is swimming. That's the first wall. It's real, it's physical, we crossed it, and the only reason we could is that it happens to sit at a distance a chemical rocket plus a lucky planetary alignment can reach within a single human career.
Starting point is 00:19:19 Everything else in this video is different. Everything else has to be measured from a chair, which brings up an uncomfortable question that the rest of this story depends on. How do we know any of these distances? A number like 13 billion light years is thrown around so casually that it stops meaning anything, and it deserves to be interrogated because nobody has ever gone there, sent anything there, bounced to signal off anything there, or checked it against a second opinion.
Starting point is 00:19:44 The only thing arriving from those places is light. That's it. A faint dribble of photons that has been travelling since before Earth existed. Everything we claim about the deep universe is reconstructed from the properties of that light, and if the reconstruction is wrong, everything downstream is wrong with it. Luckily, light is far more informative than it looks. Every atom of a given element absorbs and emits at a fixed set of wavelengths that never changes, set by the structure of the atom itself. Hydrogen has its pattern, helium has a different one, oxygen, iron, calcium, each has its own, and those patterns show up as sharp, dark, or bright lines when you spread starlight into a spectrum. Astronomers noticed these lines in sunlight in the early
Starting point is 00:20:29 1800s, long before anyone knew what atoms were, and it took another century to understand what they meant. Now they function as a universal barcode. Split the light, read the pattern, and you know what the object is made of without going anywhere near it. Here's the crucial property. The pattern is rigid. The spacing between hydrogen's lines is not a matter of local opinion. Hydrogen in a distant galaxy produces exactly the same arrangement as hydrogen in a lab in Ohio. So when you point a spectrograph at something far away and find hydrogen's unmistakable pattern sitting way over toward the red end of the spectrum. Stretched to longer wavelengths, but with all the spacing intact, there's only one thing that can have happened. The pattern didn't change. The light did. It got
Starting point is 00:21:14 stretched on the way here. That stretching is redshift, and it's the single most important measurement in observational cosmology. Here's the part that trips people up, so let's be precise, because getting it wrong will make later chapters incoherent. Cosmological redshift is not primarily a Doppler effect. It's not the sound of an ambulance dropping in pitch as it drives past. Distant galaxies are not mostly speeding away through space like cars on a highway. Space itself is expanding and the light waves traveling through it gets stretched along with it. Draw a wave on a rubber sheet with a marker, then pull the sheet. The marker didn't move along the sheet. The wave got longer anyway, because the thing it was drawn on got bigger. Light emitted 13 billion years ago has been
Starting point is 00:21:59 riding an expanding sheet for 13 billion years, and it arrives visibly, measurably longer than it left. The number astronomers use is Z, defined by how much the wavelength grew. A redshift of one means the wavelength doubled while the light was in transit, and the universe has expanded by a factor of two since that light departed. A redshift of six means everything stretched by a factor of seven. A redshift of 14, which will matter enormously in a few chapters, means the light arrived 15 times longer than it started, and the universe was 15 times more compact when it left. That's not an interpretation layered on top of the data. That is the data, once you accept that hydrogen behaves the same way everywhere. Redshift immediately explains
Starting point is 00:22:46 why the most distant objects have to be hunted in infrared, which in turn explains a great deal about the design of modern telescopes. An early galaxy might be blazing away in ultraviolet and visible light, the wavelengths a young hot star naturally produces. Stretch that light by a factor of 15 on the trip over, and the ultraviolet arrives as infrared, not faint visible light, infrared, which means an instrument optimized for the visible spectrum literally cannot see it,
Starting point is 00:23:12 no matter how long you stare, in the same way that a radio tuned to one frequency will never pick up a station broadcasting on another, no matter how high you crank the volume. This is the entire reason the James Webb Space Telescope looks and behaves the way it does. It's an infrared instrument. An infrared is heat, which means the telescope's own warmth would drown out everything it's trying to detect, so it has to be cold, not chilly, cold enough that its instruments sit at around 40 degrees above absolute zero,
Starting point is 00:23:41 achieved with a five-layer sun-shield roughly the size of a tennis court that blocks the sun, earth and moon simultaneously, which is why the whole observatory had to be flown to a spot about 1.5 million kilometres out, where all three stay conveniently on the same side. The Sun Shield keeps one face near boiling and the other face colder than Pluto, permanently, with no moving parts. Everything strange about that telescope, the gold segments, the origami folding, the location, follows from one stubborn fact about stretched light. Now for a complication, because measuring redshift properly is slow and expensive. Full spectroscopy means splitting an object's light into hundreds of separate wavelength bins, and if the object is a smudge at the very limit of detection,
Starting point is 00:24:26 dividing its already pitiful photon budget into hundreds of pieces means each piece is close to nothing. So the standard first pass uses a shortcut, photometric redshift, and specifically the dropout technique. It works because of neutral hydrogen. The young universe is full of it, and hydrogen gas is ferociously good at absorbing light shorter than a specific ultraviolet wavelength. Any light from a distant galaxy bluer than that cut-off gets eaten en route by the gas between here and there. The result is a galaxy that appears normally in redder filters, then abruptly vanishes when you look at it in bluer ones. Find where in the filter sequence an object drops out, and you know roughly how much its light has been stretched. It's fast. It works on many objects simultaneously,
Starting point is 00:25:11 and it produces the record-breaking candidates that get press releases. It is also, and this is important, an estimate. A cold, dusty, relatively nearby galaxy can produce a similar colour signature and impersonate an extreme distance perfectly well. Photometry gives you a suspect. Spectroscopy gives you the conviction. The gap between those two states is where a lot of records live and die, and we'll watch one die specifically in a couple of chapters. There's one more thing Redshift forces us to be careful about, and it's the source of most of the confusion in this entire subject. Redshift tells you how much the universe expanded during the trip. It does not directly tell you where the object is now.
Starting point is 00:25:53 Those are different questions with wildly different answers. Suppose a galaxy's light took 12.9 billion years to reach us. That's the look-back time, and it's a genuine fact about the photons. But the galaxy did not politely wait at the mailing address the whole time. The space between us and it kept expanding for the entire 12.9 billion years, so by now it sits vastly farther away than the distance the light covered. This is not a paradox and nothing is moving faster than light through space. The space in between is simply getting longer while the light crosses it,
Starting point is 00:26:25 like walking down a hallway that's being extended behind and ahead of you. You cover ground. The hallway grows anyway. This is why you'll hear two completely different numbers for the same object and both are correct. The light travelled 12.9 billion years. The object is now roughly 28 billion light. years away. The first number is about the journey. The second is about the current layout of the universe. Mix them up and you end up with the classic objection that the universe can't be 13.8 billion
Starting point is 00:26:55 years old if we can see things farther than that, which dissolves the moment you separate the two ideas. None of this floats free of everything else, by the way. Redshift converts to distance only through a model of how fast the universe has been expanding at different eras, and that model is calibrated by a chain of nearer measurements, often called the distance ladder. The bottom rung is geometry, parallax, watching a nearby star shift slightly against the background, as Earth swings from one side of its orbit to the other. That's pure trigonometry with no assumptions, and the Gaia mission applied it to well over a billion stars. The next rung uses those stars to calibrate sephoid variables, pulsating stars whose blink rate reveals their true brightness,
Starting point is 00:27:38 a relationship discovered by Henrietta Levitt in 1912, while she was employed to catalogue photographic plates and paid a fraction of what the men analysing her results earned. Compare true brightness to apparent brightness and you get distance. The rung above that uses a specific type of exploding white dwarf, bright enough to be seen across billions of light years and consistent enough to serve as a standard to reach cosmological scales. Each rung is calibrated on the one below it,
Starting point is 00:28:06 which means every uncertainty propagates upward, and the whole structure is only as sound as its foundation. This is not a hypothetical worry. Right now there is a genuine, unresolved conflict in cosmology, where measurements of the expansion rate taken from the nearby ladder come out around 73 kilometres per second per megaparsec, while measurements derive from the early universe come out around 67. Both camps have spent years hunting for the mistake. Neither has found one. It's a roughly 9% disagreement about how fast the universe is expanding, which for a field that routinely quotes results to three decimal places is the equivalent of two surveyors measuring the same field and disagreeing by an entire hedge.
Starting point is 00:28:47 So that's the ruler. Now for the magnifying glass, because Redshift tells you how far away something is but doesn't help you see it if it's simply too faint. And there is a hard limit here. A telescope's ability to resolve detail is set by the size of its mirror and the wavelength of light, and no amount of clever processing gets you past it. To photograph an individual star billions of light years away, you would need a mirror wider than a city. That should be the end of the discussion. It isn't, because gravity bends light, and the universe is generous with gravity.
Starting point is 00:29:21 Einstein worked out that mass curves space, and that light follows that curvature, which was confirmed during a solar eclipse in 1919, when starlight was seen shifting position near the sun. He also, in a short paper in 1936 calculated what would happen if one star lined up behind another, produced a lovely result, and then added a note to the effect that there was no hope of ever observing the phenomenon, because the alignments would be far too rare. He was correct about single stars and spectacularly wrong about the universe as a whole, which turns out to be absolutely littered with things massive enough to act as lenses. The first confirmed case arrived in 1979, a distant quasar that appeared as two identical objects side by side, because a galaxy in front had split its image
Starting point is 00:30:07 in two. Scale that up, and you get the tool that made the rest of this chapter possible. A cluster of galaxies contains hundreds or thousands of galaxies, plus an enormous quantity of dark matter, all of it warping the space around it. Light from anything unlucky enough to sit behind that cluster, gets bent as it passes, and the effect is a genuine lens. Distorted, smeared, frequently producing multiple images of the same background object in different spots, but a lens nonetheless, one that gathers light and concentrates it toward us. Point a telescope at a big cluster, and the background galaxies show up as elongated arcs, curved streaks stretched around the cluster's centre, like reflections in a funhouse mirror. Typical magnification runs from a few times
Starting point is 00:30:52 to a few dozen, but there are specific curves in the lens called critical curves, where the magnification spikes enormously. An object that happens to drift across one of these lines can be amplified by a factor of hundreds or thousands for a while. And because the foreground cluster's own stars are individually moving, the fine structure of the lens keeps shifting, which means these extreme alignments switch on and off over weeks and months. The universe is running a slot machine, and occasionally it pays out. In 2018, a team led by Patrick Kelly at the University of Minnesota collected. They had been monitoring a cluster called MACSJ-1149 for an entirely different reason. A supernova behind it had been split into multiple images by the lens, and models predicted one
Starting point is 00:31:39 more image would appear years later at a different position, which it obligingly did. While watching that patch of sky, they noticed a point of light brightening dramatically where nothing had been before. It wasn't an explosion. It was a single star, a blue super-giant, sitting about 9 billion light years away and briefly boosted in brightness by something like a factor of 2000 as a lens feature drifted across it. They nicknamed it Icarus. Before that detection, the record for the most distant individual star was roughly 100 times closer. That's not an incremental improvement.
Starting point is 00:32:14 That's someone quietly redefining what the category means. Then, in 2022, a team led by Brian Welch pushed it much further in a cluster called W.H.L.0137-08, they found a point source sitting almost exactly on a critical curve of a lensed arc, in a position that only makes sense for a single star or a very tight pair. Its light had been travelling for about 12.9 billion years, from a time when the universe was under a billion years old. They named it Erindel, from an old English word for morning star, and follow-up observations with infrared instruments have since indicated a massive, extremely hot star. likely with a cooler companion, which fits everything we expect of stars from that era. Because of expansion, as we established, that star's current position is around 28 billion light years away, and the star itself has been dead for essentially the entire history of the earth. We are looking at a photograph of something that stopped existing before the sun formed. There is a price for all this, and it's worth being honest about it.
Starting point is 00:33:17 A lens doesn't come with a manual. To convert what you observe into what's actually there, you have to build a detailed model of the mass distribution in the foreground cluster, including all the dark matter you can't see, and different modelling teams applying different assumptions to the same cluster, routinely produce magnification estimates that differ by large factors. That uncertainty flows directly into every claim about the brightness and size of the object behind it. Lensing gives you a free telescope of enormous power,
Starting point is 00:33:45 and in exchange it hands you a distorted image through an optical system nobody designed, whose prescription you have to reverse engineer from the pattern of the distortion itself. So that's the toolkit. A barcode that reveals what things are made of and how much the universe stretched while their light was in transit, a stack of calibrated measurements that turns that stretch into a distance, and a set of gravitational lenses scattered across the sky that occasionally amplify a single star into visibility. Everything from here forward rests on those three things, and every number in the rest of this video comes with the quiet caveat that it depends on models we're still arguing.
Starting point is 00:34:20 about, which makes it the right moment to talk about what happened when somebody decided to aim the most valuable telescope in existence at a patch of sky that everyone agreed was completely utterly empty. The answer, and the reason we have any of these deep sky records at all, starts with a decision that a lot of professional astronomers thought was an act of career vandalism, set the scene properly because the context makes it much better. By the mid-1990s, the Hubble Space telescope had a reputation problem of legendary proportions. It launched in 1990 with a primary mirror ground to the wrong shape, off by about two micrometers at the edge, which is roughly one-fifieth the width of a human hair, and, in the world of optics, an absolute catastrophe.
Starting point is 00:35:05 The most expensive telescope ever built delivered blurry photographs to a public that had been promised the sharpest images in history, and it spent three years as the world's favorite punchline about government spending. A servicing mission, in 1993 installed corrective optics and fixed it, which was a spectacular piece of work, but the institutional mood afterward was not exactly relaxed. Every hour of that telescope's time was now under a microscope, oversubscribed by a factor of five or six,
Starting point is 00:35:34 with astronomers fighting each other for a handful of orbits to observe things they could point to on a chart and justify in a proposal. Into that atmosphere walked Robert Williams, the director of the Space Telescope Science Institute, who had a resource nobody else had. The director gets a block of discretionary time, roughly 10% of the schedule, to be spent at his own judgment
Starting point is 00:35:56 without going through the proposal committee. It exists for emergencies, for sudden opportunities, for the supernova that appears on a Tuesday. Williams decided to spend a huge chunk of his on something that had no target, no object, no catalogue entry, and no obvious scientific justification.
Starting point is 00:36:14 He wanted to point the telescope at nothing and keep it there for ten days. The reaction was about what you'd expect. Colleagues warned him it would produce an expensive picture of an empty rectangle. Several told him bluntly that it would damage his reputation and possibly the institutes. The advisory committee was, to put it charitably, unenthusiastic. Ten days of Hubble is around 150 orbits of the most contested observing time on or off the planet, and he was proposing to spend it staring at a patch of sky specifically selected for containing absolutely nothing worth looking at. In grant terms, this is like asking for a research budget and announcing that the plan is to leave the lab door open and see what wanders in. But the selection
Starting point is 00:36:55 of that nothing was, in fact, an enormous amount of work. And this is the part people skip. The field had to avoid bright stars, which would bloom across the detector and ruin everything. It had to sit far from the plane of our own galaxy, where dust and foreground stars clutter the view like fingerprints on a window. It had to avoid no nearby galaxies and clusters, so nothing in the foreground would distort what was behind. It had to be clear of infrared Cirrus, the wispy dust in our own galaxy that glows faintly and fogs long exposures, and critically it had to sit in Hubble's continuous viewing zone near one of the orbital poles, so the telescope could stare almost without interruption, instead of having Earth swing into the way every 45 minutes. After all those constraints,
Starting point is 00:37:40 the winner was a small patch in Ursa Major, just above the handle of the Big Dipper. How small? About 2.5 arc minutes across, which is roughly 1.24 millionth of the sky. The usual comparison is a grain of sand held at arm's length. That's the target. That's the whole target. From December 18th to December 28, 1995, Hubble collected 342 separate exposures of that grain of sand across four filters, not one long shot because cosmic rays would have shredded a single frame, but hundreds of exposures stacked together, with the telescope nudge slightly between them, so the software could later reconstruct finer detail than any single frame contained. The team stayed through the holidays processing the data, and the picture came back with something
Starting point is 00:38:26 like 3,000 galaxies in it, 3,000, in a piece of sky officially classified as empty, spirals, ellipticals, chaotic blobs that don't fit any classification because they hadn't finished assembling yet, red ones, blue ones, some so small and faint there are a handful of pixels. There is no version of this result that isn't staggering. If that grain of sand holds 3,000 galaxies and the sky contains 24 million such grains, then a straightforward multiplication gives you tens of billions of galaxies, each with its own hundreds of billions of stars, and that estimate has only gone up since. Empty sky doesn't exist. There is no dark patch anywhere overhead that isn't crowded with entire galaxies too faint for your eyes,
Starting point is 00:39:11 which have a light gathering area of about half a square centimetre, and an exposure time of roughly a tenth of a second. Your eyes are not deep-field instruments. They are excellent at not walking into furniture. Williams did one more thing that mattered as much as the observation, and it's the part that rarely makes it into the montage. He released the data publicly and immediately, with no proprietary period at all.
Starting point is 00:39:34 The convention at the time gave the observing team exclusive access to their data for about a year so they could publish first, which is a perfectly reasonable rule for people whose careers depend on publications. Williams threw it out. Anyone in the world could download those images the moment they existed, and within a matter of months, dozens of teams across multiple countries had published results from them. It set a norm for major surveys that the field still runs on, and it turned a single image into a decade of science, conducted by people who had never touched the proposal.
Starting point is 00:40:06 The technique, once proven, got repeated with escalating obsession. A Southern Hemisphere version followed in 1998, checking whether the northern result was a fluke, which it wasn't, because of course it wasn't. In 2003 and 2004, a newer camera produced a substantially deeper version in the Constellation Farnax, gathering around 10,000 galaxies over about a million seconds of exposure. In 2012, astronomers combined a decade of accumulated observations of that same patch into an even deeper image totaling around 2 million seconds, roughly 23 days of staring from more than 2,000 separate exposures.
Starting point is 00:40:46 In 2019 came the assembled monster, 16 years of data covering a wider area, about 7,500 exposures containing on the order of 200,000,000. 165,000 galaxies in a single frame. Why does staring longer work at all? Because a telescope is fundamentally a bucket and light is fundamentally rain. Photons arrive at a fixed average rate, and if that rate is low enough, a short exposure catches so few that they're indistinguishable from the random electronic noise in the detector. Keep the shutter open and the real signal accumulates steadily, while the noise accumulates only as the square root of the time, so the ratio between
Starting point is 00:41:25 them improves the longer you wait. There's no cleverness involved. It's patience converted directly into sensitivity, which makes deep field astronomy the only competitive field in science, where the winning strategy is aggressively doing nothing for weeks. Then came the sequel, 27 years later, and the numbers involved deserve to be stared at. On July 12, 2022, the first full-color science image from the James Webb Space Telescope was released to the public, and the flagship of that release was a deep field centered on a galaxy cluster called SMACS-0723. Same fundamental trick, pointed a small patch, integrate for a long time, count what shows up. The image is dense with galaxies, but the immediately obvious feature is the lensing. As covered earlier, a cluster warps space and
Starting point is 00:42:15 stretches the light of whatever sits behind it, and here that effect is impossible to miss. Background galaxies appear as long-curved arcs sweeping around the cluster centre, some of them clearly duplicated, the same object showing up in two or three places at different angles, because the light took different paths around the same mass and arrived at different times. There are galaxies in that image being observed at multiple points in their own history simultaneously, which is not something the human visual system was designed to accommodate. Here's the number that matters, and it's the actual point of this chapter. That image took 12.5 hours of exposure.
Starting point is 00:42:52 12 and a half hours compared to 10 days for the original. Sit with that ratio. The 1995 field required about 240 hours to reach its depth. The 2022 field went deeper in a fraction of the time in a completely different part of the spectrum, revealing objects the earlier instrument could not have detected with any exposure length at all. Part of that gain is raw aperture. A 6.5 metre segmented mirror versus a 2.4 metre 1 gives you something like six and a half times
Starting point is 00:43:21 the light collecting area, and light gathering is about area, not diameter, which is why the mirror got so much bigger while the spacecraft got so much more awkward to launch. Part of it is detector technology that has improved by an almost embarrassing margin in three decades, and part of it, as established earlier, is simply looking in infrared, where the most distant objects actually emit by the time their light gets here. But the reason the exposure time is the real headline is what it implies about the ceiling. Twelve and a half hours is not a serious effort.
Starting point is 00:43:52 It's a demonstration, a first day photograph produced during commissioning to show the public that the mirror segments were aligned and the thing worked. Modern deep programs on this telescope run for hundreds of hours. The instrument's floor has not been located. Nobody has yet asked it to stare at one spot for a full month and reported back on what's down there.
Starting point is 00:44:13 An astronomers say the limit hasn't been found, they are being literal. We know how deep the previous generation could go because it went there, repeatedly, and eventually stopped finding new things. We do not know that about the current one, because the equivalent experiment has not been run. There's a subtlety worth flagging before the record chasing starts, and it's a genuine limitation rather than a rhetorical caveat. Anyone deep field covers an absurdly small slice of sky, which means it might not be representative. Cosmic structure is, lumpy at large scales, and if your one tiny window happens to look through a slightly over-dense or under-dense region, every statistic you derive from it is skewed. Astronomers call this
Starting point is 00:44:54 cosmic variance, and it's why the response to the first deep field was not to frame it and stop working, but to launch survey after survey covering many separate patches in different directions, cross-checking whether the universe looks statistically similar wherever you point. It does, which is reassuring for cosmology, and mildly deflating for anyone hoping, our particular neighbourhood was special. What all this staring produced, apart from beautiful desktop wallpaper, is a ranked stack of eras. Since light takes time to arrive, a deep image isn't a snapshot of the present, it's a cross-section through history, with the nearby galaxies at one stage of development and the faint red smudges showing what things looked like when the universe
Starting point is 00:45:35 was a small fraction of its current age. You can see galaxies getting messier, smaller, and more chaotic as you look further back, which is exactly what a theory of gradual assembly from smaller pieces predicts. Deep fields aren't just an inventory. They're the only way to watch galaxy evolution without waiting a billion years for a single object to do something, which naturally created a competition, because once you can rank objects by how far back you're seeing them, someone is going to want the record and the last few years have turned that record into a revolving door. The reigning champion for a long stretch was a galaxy called GNZ-11, found in the northern deep field region, and confirmed in 2016 through an inventive use of Hubble's instruments that
Starting point is 00:46:17 pushed the old telescope well past what anyone expected it to manage. Its redshift came in around 11, placing it about 400 million years after the beginning. At the time, this was treated as approximately the end of the line, the deepest that generation of hardware would ever reach, and the general assumption was that the next serious step required the next telescope. That assumption was correct, and the next telescope did not take. long to make the point emphatically. Espresso.com. From morning hockey with a cup of coffee to Timbits and road trips,
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Starting point is 00:47:36 teams working on infrared surveys began reporting candidates well beyond that mark. The flagship program here is a large collaboration that combines deep imaging with follow-up spectroscopy, and the sequence of results it produced reads like a leaderboard being updated in real time. A galaxy at Redshift 13.2 confirmed spectroscopically, pushing the boundary to around 320 million years after the start. Then, in 2024, the object that currently anchors most of the conversation, a galaxy confirmed at Redshift 14.32, seen as it was roughly 290 million years after the beginning. beginning of everything. Translate that. The universe is about 13.8 billion years old. This galaxy is being observed at an age equivalent to about 2% of that, which if you scaled the whole history of the cosmos
Starting point is 00:48:23 into a single year would put it in the first week of January. And it is not a marginal detection scraped out of noise. It was confirmed by spectroscopy, the expensive gold standard rather than the fast color estimate, meaning the telltale spectral break was pinned down rather than inferred from filter colours. That record has kept moving even since, with new candidates and confirmations arriving at a pace that makes any specific number in a video like this a snapshot rather than a fact. If you're watching this a year after it went up, assume the leader has changed. That's not a weakness of the field. It's what a healthy frontier looks like when a new instrument has been opened for barely a few years. But before we celebrate the leaderboard, we owe you the story of one that fell off it,
Starting point is 00:49:06 because a record race that only reports winners is advertising, not science. In 2022, a team announced a candidate galaxy called HD1, identified from more than 1,200 hours of ground-based observations, with a photometric estimate suggesting a redshift above 13. It generated exactly the coverage you'd expect, along with speculation about whether the light came from an extraordinary population of early stars or an already enormous black hole. There was a tentative supporting signal from a millimeter observatory that looked encouraging.
Starting point is 00:49:40 Then came the follow-up work, the deeper spectroscopy, the re-analysis, and the tentative signal did not hold up. The consensus moved toward a D-1 being a considerably closer, dustyer galaxy, whose colors happened to mimic the signature of an extreme distance. An even sharper example came from the very first weeks of the new telescope's operations, when one candidate was reported with a photometric redshift above 16, which would have been a colossal result. Careful spectroscopic follow-up eventually placed it at redshift 4.9, not a small correction. That galaxy is being seen roughly 1.2 billion years after the beginning
Starting point is 00:50:17 rather than 240 million, and the reason for the confusion is genuinely interesting. A dusty galaxy at that intermediate distance, with strong emission from heated gas landing in exactly the right filters, can reproduce the colour pattern of an ultra-distant object almost perfectly. It's the astronomical equivalent of a very convincing forgery that only fails under a proper spectral examination. There was also a delightfully mundane contributor to the early chaos.
Starting point is 00:50:44 In its first months, the new telescopes detectors had not yet been fully calibrated, and the zero points, the reference values converting raw counts into actual brightness, were still being refined. Small shifts in those numbers move photometric redshift, estimates around, which meant a wave of early candidates had to be revised as the calibration settled. For a few glorious weeks, the most advanced observatory ever built was producing world record measurements, with a ruler it was still in the process of marking. Naturally, this did not stop anyone from publishing. None of this is embarrassing. It's the process functioning exactly as designed.
Starting point is 00:51:21 Photometry proposes, spectroscopy disposes, and the ones that survive that filter are the ones you can build on. The only genuine failure would be quietly leaving the retracted candidates in the record and hoping nobody checks. Now for the part that is actually causing trouble, because the record chasing turns out to be the least interesting result of the last few years. The problem is not how far back the galaxies are. The problem is what they look like when we get there. They are too bright, they are too big, there are too many of them, and every one of those statements is a headache for a model that has been working beautifully for decades. Here's the expectation. In the standard picture, structure builds from the bottom up.
Starting point is 00:52:00 Small over densities in dark matter collapse first, pull in gas, form the first small clumps of stars, and then merge repeatedly over hundreds of millions of years into progressively larger objects. Big, luminous, massive galaxies are the end product of a long assembly process. Consequently, the very early universe should contain only small, faint, low mass, hard to detect things, and the count of bright galaxies at those distances should fall off cliff. Every simulation said the same thing. Finding anything at all up there was supposed to be difficult, and finding a lot of bright ones was supposed to be effectively impossible. Instead, the early
Starting point is 00:52:38 surveys came back with a substantially larger population of luminous galaxies at extreme distances than the models predicted, by factors that in some redshift ranges reach an order of magnitude. The record holder mentioned above isn't a faint smudge. It's luminous. It's measurably extended across something like 1,600 light years rather than being a single unresolved point, and its estimated stellar content runs to hundreds of millions of times the mass of the sun. Being extended matters enormously, incidentally, because a single bright point could be explained away as a black hole feeding furiously. Light spread across a genuine physical size means stars, lots of them, already assembled, at an age when they were supposed to still be getting organised. The situation got its
Starting point is 00:53:23 most dramatic framing in 2023, when a team published a set of candidate galaxies from the first months of survey data with inferred masses in the range of tens of billions of solar masses at an era only 500 to 700 million years in. Those masses, if correct, essentially require converting nearly all-available gas into stars with an efficiency that has never been observed anywhere, which is why the coverage promptly declared cosmology broken. Subsequent work brought the drama down considerably, because at least some of those objects turned out to contain actively feeding black holes contributing much of the light, which pushes the stellar mass estimates down substantially. But down is not a way. Even after the corrections, the population
Starting point is 00:54:06 arrives earlier and brighter than the models comfortably allow. So what's actually going on? There are several candidate explanations, none of them confirmed, and the honest position is that the answer is probably a mixture. The first possibility is that star formation in the earliest galaxies was simply far more efficient than it is today. In a modern galaxy, star formation is a self-limiting mess. Massive stars produce fierce radiation and stellar winds, then explode, and those explosions blow gas out of the region, shutting down further star formation before most of the available material gets used. It's a system with a built-in break. If the earliest galaxies were dense enough and compact enough that gravity overwhelmed those winds, the brake would fail,
Starting point is 00:54:49 and gas would convert into stars at rates that look impossible from a present-day perspective. Some models suggest early star formation was also intensely bursty, with galaxies flickering between violent starburst episodes and quiet periods, which would bias any survey toward catching them mid-burst and overestimating the typical population. The second possibility involves the stars themselves. All those mass estimates depend on assuming a distribution of stellar sizes, and that assumption is calibrated on nearby star-forming regions. If the earliest galaxies produced a substantially larger proportion of very massive stars,
Starting point is 00:55:26 they would put out far more light per unit of mass, because a massive star's brightness scales viciously with its mass. In that case, the galaxies aren't unexpectedly massive at all. They're normal galaxies with an abnormal population, and we've been reading the bathroom scale wrong. Convenient, but not unreasonable, and it connects directly to what the first generation of stars is expected. expected to have looked like. The third possibility is black holes, and this one has been gaining
Starting point is 00:55:52 ground fast. Detailed follow-up of the earliest galaxies keeps turning up signatures of accreting material, meaning supermassive black holes were already present and feeding at an era when they should have barely begun forming. Even the old champion GNZ 11, when examined with proper spectroscopy, showed strong hints of a black hole in its centre, along with a chemical composition that nobody predicted, including an unusual nitrogen-on-esquetry. abundance that has spawned its own small literature. More striking, an X-ray observatory detected an object behind a foreground cluster at Redshift, around 10 whose black hole appears to weigh somewhere in the tens of millions of solar masses, which is comparable to the entire stellar mass
Starting point is 00:56:34 of the galaxy hosting it. That ratio is roughly a thousand times higher than the typical relationship in the present universe, and it strongly favours the idea that some black holes did not grow gradually from stellar remnants, but formed massive right out of the gate, from clouds of gas collapsing directly. There's also a whole new category of object that nobody was expecting and everybody now argues about extremely compact, very red sources that turn up in surprising numbers at early epochs. They're small, they're red, and their spectra show a confusing mixture of features suggesting both fast-moving gas around a black hole and a substantial population of stars in combinations that don't match anything in the local universe.
Starting point is 00:57:15 The current state of the field is roughly a dozen competing explanations and no consensus, which after a few years of intense scrutiny is an unusually stubborn situation for a class of object that appears to be common, now for the necessary correction to the coverage, because this deserves an honest treatment. None of this breaks the Big Bang, and anyone telling you otherwise is selling something. The core cosmological framework rests on multiple independent pillars will get to shortly, and none of them are threatened by galaxies being brighter than expected. What is under real strain is the part of the model describing how gas cools, collapses,
Starting point is 00:57:51 and turns into stars inside the dark matter scaffolding, and how black holes get started. Those are the messiest, most parameter-laden, least fundamental parts of the whole enterprise. The parts every honest theorist would admit are calibrated on the nearby universe and extrapolated backward with fingers crossed. The universe is not violating physics. It is violating our simulations, which is a different and much more common event. Still, take a moment to appreciate the situation from a working scientist's perspective. For decades, the complaint in cosmology was that the model fit almost everything, and no new data was surprising anyone. Now a single instrument has produced a population of objects that the standard formation picture struggles to accommodate,
Starting point is 00:58:36 and the field has actual unexplained observations to fight over. That's not a crisis. That's the first genuinely interesting thing to happen to galaxy formation in a generation, and it is precisely what you build a telescope hoping for. Confirming the existing model with better error bars is worthy work. Breaking a small piece of it is how the field moves, and there's an obvious next question hiding underneath all of it. If galaxies were already this developed at 290 million years,
Starting point is 00:59:04 then whatever started the process happened earlier still. Something had to make the first stars, something had to light the first fire in a universe that had been completely, absolutely dark, push the record back much further and you stop looking for galaxies entirely because you arrive at an era where there weren't any and where nothing shone at all.
Starting point is 00:59:24 To understand why, you have to appreciate that the universe was not always in the business of producing light. There was a stretch of time, and not a short one, when the entire cosmos contained precisely zero stars, zero galaxies, zero quasars, and nothing at all that glowed. Astronomers call it the Dark Ages, which sounds like a period drama but is in this case an entirely literal description, with no metaphor involved whatsoever. The setup goes like this.
Starting point is 00:59:54 Early on the universe was a hot, dense, ionized soup, and once it cooled below a certain threshold, the light trapped inside it was released all at once. We'll get to that release in a moment because it's the main event of the next stretch of this story. What matters right now is what happened afterward, because afterward the lights went out and stayed out for hundreds of millions of years. That released light didn't vanish. It just kept getting stretched by expansion, the same process covered earlier, sliding steadily down the spectrum.
Starting point is 01:00:24 For a while the whole universe glowed a dull orange, then a deep red, then dimmed into infrared, and out of visibility entirely, like the inside of an oven that somebody unplugged. There's a small and delightful footnote here that gets less attention than it deserves. Somewhere in the range of roughly 10 to 17 million years after the start, the temperature of that ambient radiation passed through the range between about 0 and 100 degrees Celsius. For a few million years, the entire universe, everywhere, was room temperature.
Starting point is 01:00:55 Every cubic meter of space sat at a comfortable spring afternoon. There was nothing to enjoy it, no planets, no chemistry worth mentioning, no surfaces of any kind, just uniformly pleasant nothing extending in all directions. The most hospitable the cosmos would ever be on average, and absolutely nobody was home. Then it cooled below that, kept cooling, and the darkness settled in properly. What existed at that point was a nearly featureless fog of neutral hydrogen and helium, plus dark matter, plus a fading background glow nobody could have seen. That's the entire inventory. no sources, no structure worth the name, just gas and gravity and an enormous amount of patience.
Starting point is 01:01:37 Gravity at least was working. Dark matter doesn't emit light and doesn't interact with radiation, which means it had a head start. While ordinary matter was still being pushed around by pressure, dark matter had already begun clumping into a web of dense regions and filaments. As the fog cooled, gas began falling into those dark matter concentrations piling up in the deepest wells. The web that would eventually hold every galaxy in existence was being laid down in total darkness, like scaffolding assembled at night by workers who never turn on a light. But turning that in falling gas into an actual star required solving a problem that sounds trivial and absolutely is not. To collapse into a star, a gas cloud has to shed heat. Compress gas and it heats up, and hot gas
Starting point is 01:02:22 pushes back, so unless the cloud can radiate that energy away, the collapse stalls before anything ignites. In the modern universe, this is easy. Gas clouds are laced with carbon, oxygen, nitrogen and dust grains, all of which are superb at absorbing energy and re-radiating it into space, so the cloud cools efficiently and fragments into many small pieces, which is why most stars are considerably less massive than the sun. The early universe had none of that. Its entire chemical inventory was hydrogen, helium, and a trace of lithium, because those are the only elements produced in the first minutes of the cosmos. Every carbon atom in your body, Every oxygen atom in the air, every iron atom in your blood, was manufactured later inside stars, and at this point in the story stars had not been invented yet. The first gas clouds had to cool using the only tool available, which was molecular hydrogen, two hydrogen atoms stuck together, and molecular hydrogen is a genuinely terrible coolant. It's inefficient, it's fragile, and ultraviolet radiation destroys it easily,
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Starting point is 01:04:22 slash hisa to learn more. Scotia Bank. You're richer than you think. The consequence is that early gas clouds stayed much hotter during collapse, which meant they didn't fragment into small pieces. They stayed enormous. The stars that came out the other end were monsters. These are the population three stars, and yes, the numbering makes no sense, because the categories were named in the order they were discovered rather than the order they existed. Population 1 is the young, metal-enriched group that includes the sun.
Starting point is 01:04:56 Population 2 is the older, metal-poor group found in the halo of our galaxy. Population 3, the first generation with essentially no heavy elements at all, was named last despite coming first, which continues the proud tradition established earlier in this video by two spacecraft numbered in reverse order of arrival. Astronomy is a field where the labelling is done by whoever gets there first, and is then defended forever out of sheer stubbornness. The properties of these stars are, by any standard, ridiculous. Current modelling puts them at tens to hundreds of times the mass of the sun, with some estimates running to a thousand. Their surfaces were vastly hotter than anything today, pouring out radiation overwhelmingly in the ultraviolet
Starting point is 01:05:38 rather than the visible, and because a star's fuel consumption scales brutally with its mass, they burn through their entire supply in a couple of million years, which on a cosmic scale is the equivalent of a mayfly. The first stars in the universe lit up, blazed with the fury of millions of suns and were dead before anything in the neighbourhood had time to notice. Their deaths were the interesting part, because that's how everything else got its raw materials. Ordinary massive stars collapse and explode seeding their surroundings with the elements they forged. But in a specific mass window, somewhere around 140 to 260 solar masses, something far stranger happens. The core gets so hot that its radiation starts spontaneously converting into pairs of particles, which removes
Starting point is 01:06:24 pressure support and triggers a runaway collapse and then a thermonuclear detonation that unbinds the entire star. Nothing is left. No neutron star, no black hole, no remnant of any kind. The star is comprehensively deleted and its entire mass is thrown into space. This process leaves a specific chemical fingerprint, an odd pattern in the relative abundances of elements that shouldn't be produced by any other mechanism. Here's the thing though, and it's the honest centre of this chapter. Not one population three star has ever been directly observed. Not one. Every property described above comes from simulations and from indirect evidence, and the field has revised its picture repeatedly. 20 years ago, the consensus was that each
Starting point is 01:07:09 early gas cloud produced one gigantic isolated star. Better simulations later suggested the clouds often fragmented into a few pieces after all, producing small clusters or binaries rather than lone titans. The mass estimates have wandered around by an order of magnitude depending on whose code you trust. This is not a solved subject with a missing photograph. It's a sketch with a lot of confident shading. The hunt continues on two fronts. The first is stellar archaeology, which involves looking not for the first stars but for their immediate children. If a population three star exploded and its debris formed a second generation star of low enough mass, that star could still be burning today, and its atmosphere would carry the chemical signature of exactly one ancestor.
Starting point is 01:07:53 Surveys have found extraordinarily metal-poor stars in our own galactic halo, including objects with iron content less than a 10 millionth of the suns, which is about as close to a pure sample of the early universe as anything reachable. A handful of candidates have been reported whose abundance patterns look like they were enriched by one of those total annihilation explosions, which would be strong indirect confirmation. The results are suggestive. rather than settled, which by now you'll recognize as the default state of this entire subject. The second front is direct detection in the early universe, with the current generation of infrared instruments, usually with the help of a foreground cluster acting as a lens. There have been a few
Starting point is 01:08:33 tantalizing reports of clumps inside heavily magnified early arcs showing the specific signature you'd expect from stars with no heavy elements, including strong helium features and an absence of everything else. None of them has been nailed down conclusively, and everyone has attracted alternative explanations. If a confirmed detection lands, it will be a genuine milestone, and it will almost certainly arrive as a smudge inside a distorted arc, rather than the glorious portrait the artwork always shows. Whatever they were, their arrival ended the Dark Ages and started what's called cosmic dawn. Their ultraviolet output began carving ionized bubbles into the surrounding neutral fog, and as more sources switched on, those bubbles grew, overlapped, and eventually merged
Starting point is 01:09:17 until the fog was almost entirely stripped apart. That process, reanization, took several hundred million years and was largely finished by about a billion years in. We know it happened because of what it did to the light of distant quasars. Light bluer than a certain wavelength gets absorbed by neutral hydrogen along the path, so quasars from before the transition show a characteristic gap in their spectra, where that light was eaten, while later Quasers don't. The fog left a receipt, but the dark ages themselves, the long stretch before any of this, remain fundamentally unfotographable, because there was nothing to photograph. No optical instrument of any conceivable design will ever image an era containing no light
Starting point is 01:10:00 sources. You cannot take a picture of an empty room with the lights off and call it a portrait of the room, which is why the only realistic plan for studying that period doesn't. involve light in the usual sense at all. It involves listening to hydrogen. Neutral hydrogen has a property that turns out to be one of the most useful accidents in physics. The electron and the proton each behave like tiny magnets with a spin, and they can be aligned either in the same direction or in opposite directions. Those two configurations have very slightly different energies, and when an atom flips from the higher one to the lower one, it emits a photon carrying that minuscule energy difference. The wavelength of that photon is 21 centimeters,
Starting point is 01:10:38 sitting comfortably in the radio range. It's called the hyperfine transition, and it was predicted in 1944 by a Dutch student named Hendrik van der Hulst, working under German occupation with essentially no resources, then detected in 1951. The transition is absurdly rare. A given hydrogen atom left alone will flip on average once every 10 million years or so, which makes it one of the least enthusiastic processes in all of physics. It's only detectable because the universe contains a truly obscene amount of hydrogen, and when you have enough atoms, even a process with a 10 million-year waiting period produces a steady signal. Radio astronomy has been mapping our galaxy with this line for over 70 years. Here's how it becomes a probe of the dark ages. That fog of
Starting point is 01:11:24 neutral hydrogen sat in front of the background radiation left over from the beginning. Depending on conditions, the gas either absorbs a little of that background at the 21-centimeter wavelength or adds to it, and the balance depends on how the temperature of the gas compares to the temperature of the radiation behind it. During the dark ages, the gas cooled faster than the radiation did, so it should have been absorbing, producing a shallow dip. Then, when the first stars switched on, their ultraviolet light would have coupled the atoms to the gas temperature more strongly, deepening the absorption sharply. Later, as those same stars heated the gas, the dip should have vanished and reversed. That means the 21-centimeter signal encodes the entire timeline. Not an image,
Starting point is 01:12:07 timeline, a curve showing when the first stars turned on how quickly they heated their surroundings and when the fog was finally cleared. It is the only known observable that reaches into the era before there was anything to see. The catch is the same one that governs everything in this video, expansion. That 21-centimeter wavelength has been stretched by the same factor as everything else. Light from cosmic dawn arrives not at 21 centimeters, but at wavelengths of several meters, corresponding to frequencies in the neighbourhood of 50 to 100 megahertz. If those numbers feel familiar, they should. That's the FM radio band. The single most important signal from the birth of the first stars in the universe arrives on Earth at frequencies currently occupied
Starting point is 01:12:51 by traffic reports and classic rock stations, which is either a cosmic joke or a compelling argument for building things on the moon. And the interference problem is far worse than the FM band alone. Our own galaxy pours out radio emission at those frequencies that is roughly 10,000 to 100,000 times brighter than the signal being hunted. Not 10,000 times fainter, brighter. The target is a faint dip buried under a foreground that dwarfs it by four or five orders of magnitude, and separating them relies on the fact that the foreground varies smoothly with frequency, while the cosmological signal has structure. That's the entire strategy. Subtract something enormous and smooth, and trust that what's left over is real rather than an artifact of your own subtraction.
Starting point is 01:13:36 If that makes you nervous, congratulations, you've correctly identified the central controversy of this field. Which brings us to 2018, and one of the most exciting and most contested announcements in modern cosmology. An experiment run by a team led by Jud Bowman at Arizona State reported a detection. The hardware was almost comically modest by the standards of everything else in this video, essentially a metal panel roughly the size of a dining table, mounted low to the ground in a radio quiet zone in the Western Australian outback, chosen because it's one of the emptiest places on the planet with legally enforced restrictions on transmitters.
Starting point is 01:14:13 No giant dish, no space launch, no billion dollar budget, a table in the desert. They reported an absorption dip centered near 78 megahertz, corresponding to an era around 180 million years after the beginning, which would place the ignition of the first stars right where theory expected. That part was thrilling. The problem was the shape and the depth. The dip was roughly twice as deep as any standard model allowed,
Starting point is 01:14:40 and its profile was oddly flat-bottomed with unusually sharp sides, more like a bathtub than the gentle curve everyone anticipated. A dip that deep requires either gas much colder than standard cosmology permits or a background radiation source considerably brighter than the known one. Both possibilities are exciting in the way that a strange noise in your engine is exciting. The leading exotic explanation, proposed almost immediately, involved dark matter particles interacting weakly with ordinary matter and draining heat out of the gas,
Starting point is 01:15:10 which would be the first non-gravitational evidence for dark matter in history and would rewrite a substantial chunk of physics. Papers appeared within weeks. Enthusiasm was high. Then came the follow-up, because in this field, enthusiasm is always followed by somebody with a differently designed instrument and a skeptical expression. An Indian experiment took a fundamentally different approach to the same measurement. One major concern about the original result was that the ground beneath the antenna reflects radio waves in complicated ways
Starting point is 01:15:40 and errors in modelling that reflection could easily manufacture a false feature in the data. So the second team mounted their antenna on a raft and floated it on a lake in southern India, on the reasoning that a large body of fresh water provides a far more uniform and better understood reflecting surface than dirt does. It is one of the few experiments in modern cosmology whose primary design consideration was that the ground was insufficiently flat. In 2022, they reported that they did not see the signal. Their analysis found the reported profile inconsistent with their data at high confidence, and suggested the original detection was more likely an unmodeled instrumental effect or an imperfect foreground subtraction, than a genuine cosmological signal.
Starting point is 01:16:25 So where does that leave us? Exactly where a life frontier always leaves you, at a genuine, unresolved disagreement between two competent teams about whether we have heard the first stars or heard our own equipment. Neither result has been withdrawn. The original team has defended their analysis and pointed out differences in methodology. Other experiments have set limits without settling the question. Several large interferometer arrays are working on the related problem of
Starting point is 01:16:49 detecting spatial fluctuations in the signal rather than the sky-average curve, which is a harder measurement but far more robust against exactly this kind of ambiguity. And the next generation of radio arrays is designed with this specifically in mind. The most ambitious proposal removes the problem entirely by leaving the planet. The far side of the moon is the only radio-quiet location in the inner solar system, permanently shielded from Earth's transmissions by 3,500 kilometres of rock, with no ionosphere to distort low-frequency waves. concept missions to place a low-frequency antenna there have been developed,
Starting point is 01:17:24 and the appeal is obvious. It's the only place in the neighbourhood where you can listen to the birth of the first stars without also picking up a phone tower. It's a spectacular idea, and it also perfectly captures the state of the field, because the current best plan for observing the dark ages is to first go to the moon. That's the honest picture of a knowledge boundary from the inside. Not a dramatic wall, just two experiments, one claim, one non-confirmation,
Starting point is 01:17:49 and a lot of very careful people arguing about ground reflections. But there is a hard wall underneath all of this, and it's a completely different kind of limit. The dark ages are unobservable in visible light because nothing was shining. Go back further, past the fog, and you hit something that is unobservable no matter how bright things are, because the universe itself refused to let light travel at all. For the first 380,000 years the cosmos was opaque,
Starting point is 01:18:15 not dark, opaque. Those are very different problems. The reason is free electrons. In that early period, everything was hot enough that atoms couldn't hold together, so matter existed as a plasma of bare nuclei and unattached electrons swimming freely. Free electrons are extremely effective at scattering photons, bouncing them off in random directions almost immediately. A photon in that environment couldn't travel any meaningful distance before being deflected,
Starting point is 01:18:41 then deflected again, then again, staggering through the plasma in a random walk that made straight-line travel impossible. Light existed in enormous quantities. It just couldn't get anywhere. The intuitive comparison is dense fog, but fog doesn't do it justice because fog eventually thins out. A better comparison is the interior of the sun, which is exactly the same physics. A photon generated in the solar core takes something like tens of thousands of years to reach the surface, ricocheting the entire way, despite the distance being about 700,000 kilometres and the speed of light being what it is. The early universe was that, everywhere, with no surface to escape from. Then the expansion cooled things below a threshold around 3,000 degrees,
Starting point is 01:19:26 and electrons could finally attach to nuclei and stay attached. Neutral atoms don't scatter light nearly as aggressively, so the fog cleared, and every photon that happened to be bouncing around at that moment suddenly found itself free to travel in a straight line, which most of them have been doing continuously ever since. The event has the deeply unhelpful name recombinatory. which is incorrect on its face because the electrons and nuclei had never been combined before. They were combining for the first time.
Starting point is 01:19:54 Physics went with recombination anyway and has declined to revisit the decision, which is entirely in keeping with a discipline that named the first stars population three. Those liberated photons are still arriving. Stretched by a factor of about 1,100 during their journey, they've dropped from the visible glow of a hot object down to microwave wavelengths, and they arrive from every direction at once as a nearly uniform bath of radiation at 2.725 degrees above absolute zero. This is the cosmic microwave background, and it is the single most important data set in cosmology. It is also, functionally, a wall.
Starting point is 01:20:31 When you look at it, you're seeing the last place each of those photons scattered before the fog lifted, which is why it's called the surface of last scattering. It surrounds us completely in every direction, at a fixed distance corresponding, corresponding to that moment in time. And it is not a wall because our instruments are inadequate. It's a wall because the universe was physically opaque behind it. Build a mirror the size of Jupiter out of any material you like. Cool it to any temperature. Park it anywhere you want. It will not see one meter past that surface in visible light or infrared or radio or any other form of electromagnetic radiation because there is no electromagnetic radiation from behind it that could ever have reached
Starting point is 01:21:11 here. That is not an engineering challenge waiting for funding. It is a closed door. The discovery of this thing is one of the all-time great accidents in science. In 1964, two researchers at Bell Labs in New Jersey, Arno Penzius and Robert Wilson were working with a large horn-shaped antenna originally built for satellite communication experiments, and they kept picking up a persistent background hiss they couldn't eliminate. It came from every direction equally, didn't vary with the time of day or the season and refused to go away. They checked the electronics, they checked the connections. They discovered pigeons had been roosting inside the antenna
Starting point is 01:21:49 and had left a coating of what the resulting paper delicately described as white dielectric material. So they evicted the pigeons and cleaned the interior thoroughly, an act which, in a well-known detail of the story, did not solve the problem and did not go well for the pigeons either. The hiss remained. Meanwhile, about 60 kilometres away at Princeton, a team led by Robert Dick was actively building an instrument to search for exactly the kind of leftover radiation
Starting point is 01:22:15 that theory predicted a hot early universe should have left behind. Word reached them of the mysterious noise in New Jersey. Dick reportedly hung up the phone and told his colleagues they had been scooped. Two papers appeared side by side, one reporting an unexplained excess antenna temperature, and the other explaining precisely what it was. Penzias and Wilson received the Nobel Prize in 1978 for finding, essentially by accident, the oldest light in existence while trying to get rid of it. The prediction had actually been published back in 1948 by Ralph Alpha and Robert Herman,
Starting point is 01:22:50 whose work was largely ignored at the time and who did not share in the prize, which is one of the more quietly unfair episodes in 20th century physics. What turned this from a curiosity into the foundation of modern cosmology was measuring it precisely, and that took spacecraft. A satellite launched in 1989 measured the spectrum of the background and found it matched the theoretical curve for a perfect thermal emitter, more exactly than any such measurement had ever matched anything. When the result was presented at a conference, the plotted error bars were smaller than
Starting point is 01:23:22 the thickness of the line drawn through the data, and the room gave it a standing ovation, which is an unusual response to a graph. That same mission then detected the tiny variations in the background, temperature differences of about one part in 100,000 from place to place, which are the seeds from which all structure grew. Everything you have ever seen or touched traces back to those wrinkles. Successive missions mapped those variations at progressively finer resolution, and this is where the background stops being a pretty picture and becomes a measuring instrument. The pattern of hot and cold spots contains a characteristic scale, produced by sound waves that were sloshing through
Starting point is 01:24:00 the plasma before it went transparent. Yes, sound waves. The early universe was dense enough to carry acoustic oscillations, and the wall we're looking at is a snapshot of those waves frozen at the instant the medium stopped being able to carry them. The angular size of those features on the sky depends on the geometry of space and the composition of the universe, so measuring them precisely yields the age, the density, the proportions of ordinary matter and dark matter and dark energy,
Starting point is 01:24:30 and the overall curvature. That's where the well-known figures come from. They aren't guesses. They're read off the pattern in that light. One more detail that gets flattened in most explanations. The wall has thickness. Recombination wasn't instantaneous. It took on the order of 100,000 years for the transition to complete, so the surface of last scattering is a shell with real depth rather than a hard mirror, slightly blurred by that duration, and the shell itself is not fixed. As time passes, light from progressively slightly later moments arrives, so the
Starting point is 01:25:03 surface we observe is technically creeping outward, very slowly. On a human time scale you will not notice. There's also a subtle point about position that trips people up. Every observer anywhere in the universe sees their own version of this wall centred on themselves at their own distance. We're not at the center of the universe. We're at the center of our own observable region, which is a completely different claim and about as profound as noting that you're always at the center of your own horizon when standing in a field. Someone in a galaxy 10 billion light years away sees a background wall centered on themselves, and a portion of what they see is space we cannot observe at all. So if visible light is out, is there anything at all
Starting point is 01:25:44 behind that surface that could reach us? Two things, in principle, and both are currently out of reach. The first is neutrinos. These particles barely interact with anything, which means they stopped being scattered by the surrounding material about one second after the beginning, long before photons did. There should therefore be a background of relic neutrinos from that first second permeating everything, cooled by expansion to under two degrees above absolute zero, at a density of a few hundred per cubic centimetre. That means roughly a hundred million of them are passing through your body as you watch this, carrying direct information from a moment when the universe was one second old and doing absolutely nothing on the
Starting point is 01:26:25 way through. Detecting them is the problem. Neutrinos are already notoriously difficult to catch at high energies, requiring enormous tanks buried under mountains, and these are the lowest energy neutrinos in existence. There are experimental concepts, most involving watching for the incredibly rare capture of one of these particles by a radioactive isotope, but nothing close to a working detector. The most abundant relic in the universe is also, by a wide margin, the hardest to notice. The second route is gravitational waves. Ripples in spacetime itself pass through matter without being absorbed, which means primordial ones would carry information from the very first fraction of a second, far earlier than any particle background. The theory of inflation, which proposes an extremely
Starting point is 01:27:11 brief burst of exponential expansion at the beginning, predicts these waves should exist. We can't detect them directly, but they would leave a distinctive twisting pattern in the polarization of the microwave background, a swirl that nothing else produces. In 2014, a team operating an instrument at the South Pole announced they had found exactly that pattern, and the reaction was immediate and enormous, because it would have been direct observational evidence about the first fraction of a second of existence. Then other researchers pointed out that dust in our own galaxy, aligned by magnetic fields, produces a polarised signal that can mimic the effect, and a joint analysis using better dust maps showed that the observed signal was consistent with foreground
Starting point is 01:27:55 dust rather than the early universe. The claim was withdrawn. It is a genuinely painful story, and also a completely honest one. Nobody faked anything. A real signal was measured and correctly reported, and the interpretation turned out to be wrong because the foreground was worse than the available data indicated. The search continues with substantially improved instruments. Several new observatories are being built or commissioned specifically to hunt for this pattern, and a dedicated space mission is in development for the same purpose. If anyone finds it, it will be the deepest observational reach in the history history of the species, a direct measurement of physics from the first sliver of a second.
Starting point is 01:28:34 Until then, the wall of light holds. Every photograph you have ever seen of the deep universe was taken on this side of it, and the physics says that will remain true forever regardless of budget or ambition, which makes it genuinely strange that a handful of astronomers looked at the maps of that wall and claimed to see something pulling on us from the far side of it. The claim goes by the name Dark Flow, and to understand why it caused so much trouble, you first need one more property of that ancient light. Described so far, the background radiation is nearly uniform in every direction, nearly. There's one enormous exception that has to be removed before any of the fine structure becomes visible, and it's a straightforward consequence of motion.
Starting point is 01:29:15 If you're moving through that bath of radiation, the light coming from ahead of you gets slightly compressed and appears a touch hotter, while the light behind you gets stretched and appears a touch cooler. The sky develops a warm side and a cool side, a pattern called the dipole, and it's about a hundred times stronger than any of the intrinsic wrinkles. That depole gives us something remarkable, an absolute speedometer. The background radiation defines a frame of reference in which the universe looks the same in all directions, and by measuring the hot and cold sides we can determine precisely how fast we're moving with respect to it. The answer comes out to roughly 370 kilometres per second for the Sun,
Starting point is 01:29:54 and once you account for the Sun's orbit within the Galaxy and the Galaxy's motion within its local neighbourhood, the whole local group of galaxies turns out to be barreling along at around 620 kilometres per second in a specific direction, not drifting, not being carried by the general expansion, which doesn't count as motion in this sense, actually moving relative to the oldest light there is. That motion is called peculiar velocity,
Starting point is 01:30:17 and it exists because expansion isn't the only thing acting on galaxies. Gravity is pulling them around too, and every lump of matter tugs its neighbours slightly off the smooth expansion pattern. Peculiar velocities are therefore a direct map of where the mass is, including mass you cannot see, which makes them one of the most useful tools in cosmology and also the source of the argument in this chapter.
Starting point is 01:30:40 Now, measuring the speed of our own galaxy is comparatively easy because we're sitting in it. Measuring the peculiar velocity of a galaxy cluster a billion light years away is a nightmare, because the redshift of a distant object is overwhelmingly dominated by expansion, and picking out a few hundred kilometres per second of extra motion, from underneath tens of thousands of kilometres per second of expansion, requires knowing the distance independently and extremely precisely, which, as covered earlier, involves a ladder of calibrations that starts wobbling at exactly these distances,
Starting point is 01:31:12 so a team took an entirely different route, using a phenomenon that turns clusters into their own speedometers. When that ancient background light passes through a galaxy cluster, it doesn't pass through empty space. Clusters are filled with an enormous quantity of extremely hot gas, tens of millions of degrees, stripped into a plasma of free electrons. Photons crossing that gas occasionally scatter off those electrons
Starting point is 01:31:36 and pick up a bit of energy in the process, which subtly distorts the spectrum of the light coming through, Removing photons from the low frequency end and adding them at the high end, clusters therefore appear as small cool patches at some frequencies and slightly warm patches at others, which is a phenomenal way to find clusters without seeing a single galaxy. There's a second, much fainter version of the same effect. If the cluster as a whole is moving relative to the background radiation frame,
Starting point is 01:32:04 the scattering imprints a small additional shift on the light passing through, and the size of that shift is directly proportional to the cluster's velocity along the line of sight. It's essentially a Doppler shift picked up by proxy, using the cluster's own gas as the mirror. That gives you a way to measure the bulk motion of a distant cluster, without knowing its distance at all, which sidesteps the entire distance ladder problem in one move. The catch is that this second effect is genuinely tiny. We're talking about temperature differences in the range of a few millionths of a degree, buried inside a map that has its own intrinsic fluctuations more than 10 times larger, plus instrument noise, plus foreground emission
Starting point is 01:32:45 from our own galaxy. For any individual cluster, the signal is completely hopeless. So the strategy is stacking. Take a large catalogue of clusters, apply a filter designed to suppress the intrinsic fluctuations of the background, and average the residual signal across all of them. Random noise averages towards zero as you add more objects. A genuine coherent motion shared by all the clusters on the other hand adds up. It's the statistical equivalent of listening for a whisper in a stadium by recording a thousand seats and averaging the tracks. In 2008, a team led by Alexander Kashlinski at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center ran exactly that analysis, using the all-sky maps from a microwave satellite together with a catalogue of several hundred X-ray selected clusters. Later versions
Starting point is 01:33:32 of the work expanded to around a thousand clusters, extending out to roughly 2.5 billion light years, and the result they reported was not what anyone was expecting. The clusters weren't moving randomly. Across that entire enormous volume, they appeared to be drifting coherently in the same direction, toward a region of sky in the general vicinity of the constellation Centaurus and Hydra, at speeds somewhere in the range of 600 to 1,000 kilometers per second. Not a local eddy,
Starting point is 01:34:01 a single organized motion spanning a chunk of the observable universe. To see why that's a problem, you need to know what the standard model predicts. Bulk flows are entirely expected on small scales because matter is lumpy and lumps pull on each other. But the lumpiness decreases as you average over larger volumes, so the predicted bulk flow should shrink steadily as your survey gets deeper.
Starting point is 01:34:23 Sample a region a few hundred million light years across and you expect a few hundred kilometres per second. Sample a couple of billion light years and the expected coherent motion drops to something like 100 kilometres per second or less. Because within a volume that big the pulls from different directions should mostly cancel, what the analysis reported was a flow that didn't decay with depth. It stayed roughly constant no matter how large the volume surveyed,
Starting point is 01:34:49 which has an uncomfortable implication baked directly into it. If a flow doesn't diminish as you include more and more matter, then whatever's causing it isn't in the region you're measuring. The pull is coming from outside the surveyed volume, and here's where the interpretation went from surprising to genuinely radical. The team proposed that the source might lie beyond the observable universe entirely. That sounds like nonsense until you remember what inflation does. The prevailing model of the early universe includes an extremely brief period of exponential expansion
Starting point is 01:35:19 in the first fraction of a second, during which a region far smaller than a proton was blown up to macroscopic scale. One consequence is that regions which are now separated by distances, light could never have crossed, were before that expansion, indirect contact. They were causally connected. They could influence each other. Then inflation pushed them apart faster than light could follow, and the connection was severed permanently,
Starting point is 01:35:44 leaving behind whatever imprint had already been established. So the proposal is this. Some enormous concentration of matter, currently sitting far beyond anything we can ever observe, was once close enough to exert an influence on our patch. That early contact gave our entire region a slight tilt, a preferred direction, an initial nudge that survived inflation
Starting point is 01:36:05 and has been quietly steering everything in our vicinity ever since. We wouldn't be able to see the thing, we would only see its effect, like feeling a slope underfoot in total darkness. This idea has a theoretical pedigree, incidentally. Cosmologists had proposed tilted universe scenarios well before there was any observation to justify them,
Starting point is 01:36:26 precisely because inflation makes them possible. What the dark flow claim added was the suggestion that we'd actually detected one. The reason this is such a big deal is that it attacks a foundational assumption. Modern cosmology rests on the cosmological principle, the idea that on sufficiently large scales the universe is homogeneous and isotropic, the same everywhere and in every direction. That principle isn't decorative, it's what makes the equation solvable. Nearly every number quoted in this entire video depends on it.
Starting point is 01:36:55 A confirmed, coherent, externally imposed flow across billions of light years would mean the observable universe is a small tilted point. hatch of something much larger and lumpier, and that our cosmology is a local approximation rather than a description of everything. Naturally, other people check the work. Naturally, they disagreed. The first objections were statistical rather than philosophical. Several independent groups reanalyzed the same data with different filtering choices, and argued that the uncertainties had been underestimated, largely because the noise in the maps is correlated in complicated ways that make errors difficult to estimate honestly.
Starting point is 01:37:34 Their conclusion was not that the flow was absent, but that the data couldn't distinguish it from zero. That's a less satisfying headline, and it rarely gets the same coverage as a mysterious pull from beyond the universe. The heavier blow came from the next generation of background mapping. In 2013 and 2014, the team operating a more sensitive European satellite
Starting point is 01:37:55 ran their own version of the analysis with better data, more clusters and their own methodology, and reported no detection. They placed an upper limit on any coherent bulk flow of roughly 250 kilometres per second, comfortably below the disputed values. For a large part of the community that closed the case, Kashlinski did not agree, and this is where the story becomes a genuine methodological brawl
Starting point is 01:38:19 rather than a simple correction. His objections centred on the analysis choices, the specific cluster catalogue used, the way the maps were filtered before stacking, and whether that filtering removed the very signal it was supposed to isolate. He published follow-up work arguing that when the newer data is processed with his approach, the signal is still there. The two camps are not merely reading the same numbers differently.
Starting point is 01:38:42 They disagree about which procedure is capable of detecting the effect at all, which is a much harder disagreement to resolve because there's no neutral ground to stand on. More than 15 years after the original claim, it remains unsettled, and honestly, that's a more interesting outcome than either. side winning quickly. Measuring a few millionths of a degree across a thousand stacked clusters, while correcting for gas properties nobody has measured directly, using catalogues with selection effects nobody fully characterized, is precisely the regime where two competent teams can reach opposite conclusions without either being incompetent. It's also worth noting that dark flow
Starting point is 01:39:20 isn't the only current measurement poking at the assumption of a smooth uniform cosmos, which is why the topic hasn't quietly died. Analyses of large-scale motions using entirely different techniques, based on catalogs of galaxy distances, have periodically reported flows on the high side of predictions. And there's a separate, sharper anomaly involving distant quasasers.
Starting point is 01:39:41 If the universe is isotropic and our motion is what the depole says it is, then the counts of distant sources should show a matching asymmetry of a specific size, purely from our motion. Several analyses have found that the asymmetry in quasar counts, is roughly twice as large as predicted, which is a mismatch that shouldn't happen, and which nobody has convincingly explained away. None of these results individually forces a revolution.
Starting point is 01:40:06 Collectively, they form a small pile of measurements sitting in the corner refusing to behave. But before assigning any of this to invisible mass outside the universe, there's an obvious methodological rule to apply. Check the monsters on this side of the wall first, and there are monsters on this side, very large ones. One of them is hiding behind our own galaxy. Start with that motion of the local group established at the beginning of this chapter. It's a real number that demands a real explanation, and the search for that explanation is one of the better detective stories in observational astronomy. New from Nespresso.
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Starting point is 01:41:23 Visit Scotiabank.com slash hisa to learn more. Scotia Bank, you're richer than you think. The investigation got serious in the 1970s and 1980s when a group of astronomers set out to map how galaxies move by measuring their distances independently of Redshift. The method they refined relates the internal properties of an elliptical galaxy to its true size, letting you estimate distance from observable features, and then subtract the expected expansion to reveal the leftover motion. The collaboration became known informally as the Seven Samurai, which remains the coolest nickname any astronomy team has ever received and sets a bar the rest of the field has not come close to clearing.
Starting point is 01:42:07 What they found in the mid-1980s was that our galaxy and everything around it, out to considerable distances, was not simply expanding away from everything else. A huge population of galaxies was streaming coherently in the same direction toward a region in the constellation Centaurus. Something enormous was pulling. In 1987 the culprit got a name that is somehow both scientifically accurate and completely over the top, the greater tractor. The current estimate puts it somewhere between roughly 150 and 250 million light years away, with a mass in the region of 10,000 trillion suns, a concentration of thousands of galaxies and vastly more dark matter, sitting at the heart of the local flow pattern. And here is the delightfully stupid problem. We can barely see it.
Starting point is 01:42:54 because our own galaxy is in the way. The Milky Way is a flat disk and we live inside it, roughly two-thirds of the way out from the centre. When we look toward the plane of that disk, we're looking through the maximum possible thickness of stars, gas and dust, and dust is extremely effective at blocking visible light. The result is a band across the sky, about 20% of the total,
Starting point is 01:43:16 where optical astronomy is essentially blind. It's called the Zone of Avoidance, a name that sounds like a warning sign but simply means that survey astronomers historically avoided it because there was nothing to see. The greater tractor sits behind it, naturally, the single most gravitationally important structure in our cosmic neighbourhood. The thing dragging our entire galaxy along at hundreds of kilometres per second is positioned precisely behind the one obstacle we cannot move, cannot see around, and happen to be living inside. It's the astronomical equivalent of trying
Starting point is 01:43:49 to identify the loudest instrument in an orchestra, while sitting diverted. directly behind a pillar, permanently, with no option to change seats. Getting around it took decades and required abandoning visible light altogether. Infrared penetrates dust far more effectively, and infrared surveys of the whole sky in the 1990s and 2000s began revealing galaxies in the obscured band for the first time. Radio surveys using the hydrogen line described earlier work even better, because dust is completely transparent at those wavelengths, and gas-rich galaxies announced themselves regardless of what's in front of them. X-ray observations helped too, since the hot gas in clusters glows brightly in x-rays and shines
Starting point is 01:44:30 straight through the obscuration. Piece by piece, the region got mapped, and a massive cluster was identified sitting close to the centre of the action, an object rich enough to be considered a plausible core for the whole structure, but which had gone essentially uncatalogued for most of the 20th century because of where it happens to sit. We have detailed maps of galaxies billions of light years away, and spent decades struggling to inventory something in our own backgarden, because the garden has a fence. Then the story got more complicated because the greater tractor turned out to be insufficient.
Starting point is 01:45:02 As surveys pushed deeper, it became clear that the flow doesn't stop there. Further along, roughly the same line of sight, at around 650 million light years, sits the most massive concentration of matter known in the nearby universe, a supercluster containing tens of thousands of galaxies and multiple rich clusters packed into one region. Analyses of the flow field suggest that a substantial fraction of our motion is generated not by the nearer a tractor, but by this far larger structure behind it. Estimates of the split vary depending on the survey and the method, but the general picture is that the greater tractor is less a final destination and more a prominent bump on a slope that continues well past it.
Starting point is 01:45:45 So our galaxy is falling toward a massive region, which is itself falling toward a more massive region further out, and the whole assembly is participating in a flow whose ultimate source depends on how deep your survey goes, which, you'll notice, is uncomfortably similar in structure to the dark flow argument, and is exactly why the debate is hard. Deeper surveys keep finding more mass in roughly the same direction, and each time they do, the amount of unexplained motion shrinks. There's an elegant twist that arrived in 2017, and genuinely changed how people picture this. A team analysing the local velocity field found that our motion isn't driven purely by attraction. On the opposite side of the sky from the direction of flow, there's a large region
Starting point is 01:46:27 that is significantly underdense, an enormous relative void with far less matter than average. In a universe where gravity pulls everything, an underdense region acts effectively as a repeller, because everything around it gets pulled away more strongly than it does. The result is that we are being pushed away from an emptiness on one side, while being pulled to a concentration on the other, and the two contributions are comparable in size. That's a genuinely lovely piece of physics. The thing shoving our galaxy across the universe is, in part, an absence. Nothing is pushing us, literally nothing, in the sense of a region containing less than the usual amount of something. All of this mapping produced something bigger than an explanation for our velocity.
Starting point is 01:47:10 It produced a new way of defining structure entirely, and this is the real payoff of the chapter. In 2014, a team led by Brent Tully published a study that took the measured peculiar velocities of about 8,000 galaxies, subtracted the expansion component and reconstructed the underlying flow field, not where galaxies are, but where they're going. Then they applied a definition borrowed directly from geography. On Earth, a watershed is the area within which all rainfall drains to the same basin, and the boundary between two watersheds isn't marked by any visible feature. it's defined purely by which way the water goes. A ridge line is invisible in a photograph and completely real in behaviour.
Starting point is 01:47:50 Apply the same logic to galaxies. Trace the flow lines. Every galaxy whose motion converges toward a common basin belongs to the same structure, and the boundary sits where the flow lines diverge and start heading somewhere else instead. The result was the identification of our home supercluster, named Laniakia, from Hawaiian words meaning immeasurable heaven, a name chosen with the help of a language expert rather than a committee, which explains why it's actually good. It spans roughly 520 million light years, contains on the order of 100,000 large galaxies,
Starting point is 01:48:24 and has a total mass in the neighbourhood of 100,000 trillion suns. Everything in it, including our galaxy, the local group, the Virgo cluster, and a great many others, is flowing toward the same basin in the direction discussed above, and notice what just happened to the concept of an edge. This boundary is not defined by light. It's not where things stop being visible, or where a telescope gives up, or where objects run out. There's no gap at the border, no visible line, nothing that would show up in a photograph. The edge of Lanikir is defined entirely by dynamics, the surface where matter stops falling toward us, and starts falling toward a neighboring basin instead.
Starting point is 01:49:04 You could stand exactly on that boundary and see nothing whatsoever to indicate it. The only way to detect it is to measure where everything around you is heading. That's a genuinely different answer to the question this whole video is asking. Edges don't have to be visual. They can be defined by allegiance. Two honest caveats, because this definition has limits and they matter. First, Lanierkeir is not gravitationally bound. Everything within it is currently flowing toward a common basin,
Starting point is 01:49:31 but the accelerating expansion covered in a moment will eventually overwhelm that flow and the outer parts will never actually arrive. It's a watershed whose water is being carried away faster than it can drain. Calling it a structure is accurate for now, and we'll stop being accurate later. Second, the boundaries depend on how deep the survey goes. Later work using more extensive distance catalogs has suggested that Lanakir may itself be part of a larger basin, centered on the more distant supercluster mentioned earlier, meaning what we identified as our supercluster might be a lobe of something bigger.
Starting point is 01:50:05 Each time the maps improve, the watershed lines get redrawn a little further out. The edge moves, because our data moves, which is a recurring theme by now and probably the most reliable lesson in this entire subject, which puts the dark flow debate in its proper context. The nearby universe contains a great deal of mass arranged unevenly, some of it hidden behind our own galaxy, plus at least one enormous void doing the opposite job, and every improvement in mapping has explained more of the motion that previously looked mysterious. The reasonable position is that most of what we measure has a boring local explanation and the argument is entirely about the residual,
Starting point is 01:50:42 about whether there's anything left over once the known monsters are accounted for. One team says yes, and the leftover points beyond the horizon. Another says the leftover is consistent with zero, and the analysis is fooling itself. That argument can't be settled without knowing something more basic, though, and it's a question this entire video has been quietly stepping around. All these discussions of what lies beyond the observable region assume there is a beyond and that it's arranged in some particular way.
Starting point is 01:51:12 Before asking what sits past the edge, it's worth asking whether the thing we're standing in has an edge at all or a shape or an outside, because asking what sits at the edge of the universe is putting the cart several kilometers ahead of the horse. Before you can look for a boundary, you have to know the shape of the object you're searching, and shape here does not mean what it means in everyday speech. It doesn't mean whether the universe is round like a ball or oblong like an egg. It means curvature, whether the rules of geometry inside it match the ones you were taught in school.
Starting point is 01:51:42 Start with what those rules actually are, because most people learn them once at 14, and never learn that they're optional. In the geometry, you know, the angles of a triangle add up to 180 degrees, parallel lines stay parallel forever, and the circumference of a circle is exactly its diameter times pie. Those aren't universal truths handed down from the heavens. They're the properties of one specific kind of space called flat, and space is not obligated to be flat. If space has positive curvature, triangles bulge. Their angles add up to more than 180 degrees,
Starting point is 01:52:17 lines that start out parallel eventually converge and cross, and circles have less circumference than pie times their diameter. You've seen this on the surface of a globe, where two people walking due north from different points on the equator, both start out heading in exactly parallel directions and inevitably collide at the pole. Neither one turned. The surface did the turning for them. If space has negative curvature, everything runs the other way. Triangles come out pinched, angles add to less than 180. Initially parallel lines diverge and race away from each other, and circles have far more circumference
Starting point is 01:52:51 than they ought to. The standard picture is a saddle, or the frilly edge of certain lettuces, though every visual comparison is a compromise because no ordinary surface has that curvature everywhere. Now the crucial warning, because this is where nearly every explanation goes wrong and where most confusion is manufactured. When we talk about the curvature of space, we're talking about intrinsic curvature, meaning properties measurable entirely from inside without any reference to an outside. The globe example is a helpful crutch and also a trap, because it makes you picture a sphere sitting in a room viewed from outside with an inside and an outside and a surface in between.
Starting point is 01:53:29 Space doesn't require any of that. There is no larger room. Curvature is not a statement about how space is bent within some higher dimensional container. It's a statement about what happens when you draw a triangle. Consider an insect confined to the surface of an enormous sphere, unable to perceive up or down, with no concept of the third dimension.
Starting point is 01:53:49 It can still discover the curvature of its world without ever leaving the surface, purely by walking a large triangle and measuring the angles, or by pacing out a big circle and comparing its circumference to its radius. It never needs an outside view. It never needs the sphere to be embedded in anything. It just needs a decent ruler and some patience. That's our position exactly, one dimension up.
Starting point is 01:54:12 This immediately dissolves the most common question about the whole subject, which is what the universe is expanding into. The answer is nothing, and not in a mystical way. Expansion is not an object growing outward through surrounding space. It's the internal scale changing, every distance getting larger relative to the objects sitting in it, with no requirement for anywhere to expand into. Asking what it's expanding into is like asking which direction north of the north pole is. The question is grammatically flawless and geometrically meaningless. So what do the three possibilities mean for the search for an edge?
Starting point is 01:54:46 Flat geometry is the case where school geometry applies at cosmic scale, and space simply continues in every direction without limit. travel in a straight line and you keep going. Forever. No wall, no boundary, no return. In that scenario, the universe would be infinite in extent and would contain an infinite number of galaxies, of which we can see a tiny local sample. Positive curvature is the finite case, and it's the one that most people find genuinely mind-bending, because it delivers a finite universe with no edge whatsoever. Fly in a perfectly straight line for long enough, and you eventually arrive back where you started, having never turned, never hit anything, and never crossed a border because there is no border to cross. It's the same property the surface of a globe has,
Starting point is 01:55:33 finite area, no edges anywhere on it, and no location you could stand and declare to be the end. If the universe works this way, the entire question of what's at the edge is not merely unanswered, but structurally void. In the same way that asking for the edge of a circle's circumference is void. Negative curvature is the most extravagant option. Space would be infinite like the flat case, but with the additional property that it opens up faster than you can traverse it, volume increases with distance more aggressively than in flat space, so the amount of stuff within a given radius grows explosively. Infinity, but somehow with more elbow room. There's a fourth possibility that gets left out of most treatments, and deserves inclusion, because it breaks the tidy mapping
Starting point is 01:56:17 between curvature and size. Geometry and topology are separate things. Space could be perfectly flat and still be finite if it connects back to itself. The clearest example is any older video game where walking off the right edge of the screen puts you on the left. That world is geometrically flat, with normal triangles and normal parallel lines, and also finite with no boundary at all. Extend the same logic to three dimensions and you get a universe, where flying far enough in a straight line returns you to your starting point without any curvature involved anywhere. Flatness tells you about local geometry. It does not tell you whether the thing is infinite and anyone claiming otherwise has skipped a step. So which one is it? This is where the light discussed earlier becomes a measuring
Starting point is 01:57:03 instrument rather than a picture and the technique is one of the more elegant things in observational science. We know from physics rather than observation the actual physical size of the largest sound waves that could have been sloshing through the early plasma. There's a hard limit set by how far a pressure wave could travel before the medium went transparent, and that limit is calculable. So we have an object of known real size sitting at a known distance, imprinted across the sky as a characteristic scale in the pattern of hot and cold patches. What remains is to measure how large that scale appears from here. That comparison is the entire experiment. Draw a triangle with the known scale as its far side and our position as the near vertex. In flat space, the angle at our
Starting point is 01:57:47 end is fixed by simple trigonometry. In positively curved space, the light paths converge on the way here, which magnifies the pattern and makes the spots appear larger than they should. In negatively curved space, the paths spread and the pattern appears smaller. So the measured size of the blotches on the sky is a direct readout of the curvature of the universe, using the largest triangle it is possible to construct. The answer, from progressively more precise mapping over three decades, is flat. Not approximately flat in a hand-waving sense. Flat to within a fraction of a percent,
Starting point is 01:58:22 with every improvement in the data pushing the allowed deviation closer to zero. There is one honest wrinkle. When you're a mid-sized business, you need every competitive advantage you can get, like an AI solution that works for you, not against you. SAP Grow is built with AI embedded at its core, working across every system. And it's ready to go from day one so you can hit the ground running. Bring it with SAP Grow. AI Cloud ERP for any size business.
Starting point is 01:58:52 Where some see heroes and others see egos. Bloomberg sees the era of billionaire athletes. While others follow the noise, we follow the money. Learn more at Bloomberg.com. Around 2019 and 2020, a subset of the analysis produced a mild statistical preference for a slightly closed universe, driven by a particular feature of how the light appeared to be gravitationally distorted along the way. It caused a genuine flurry, several papers, and a moderately spirited argument about whether the standard picture had a hidden problem. Combining that data with independent measurements of large-scale structure pulled the result back toward
Starting point is 01:59:35 flat, and the current consensus treats it as a statistical fluctuation plus a modelling subtlety rather than a discovery. But it's a good reminder that even the flagship measurement in cosmology has soft edges when you look closely. And now the part that matters most, which nearly every popular treatment gets backwards, measuring flat does not prove infinite. It cannot. It never could. The reason is that flatness is exactly what an enormous sphere looks like from up close. Stand in an open field with a spirit level and measure the curvature of the ground. You will measure zero, not because the planet is flat, but because you're sampling a patch so small relative to the hole that the curvature falls below your instrument's precision.
Starting point is 02:00:19 Our situation is identical, one scale up. We can only measure curvature across the region we can observe, and if the universe curves on a scale vastly larger than that region, our result will come back flat no matter how good the equipment gets. What the measurement actually delivers is a lower bound on size. Since we've constrained any curvature to a fraction of a percent, we can invert that constraint into a minimum radius, and the answer is that if the universe is positively curved and finite, the scale of that curvature has to be at least on the order of hundreds of times the radius of the region we can see. In terms of volume, that means the whole thing is at least millions of times bigger than everything we will
Starting point is 02:00:58 ever observe and quite possibly infinitely bigger. The measurement doesn't tell us. us, the universe is infinite. It tells us the universe is, at minimum, so absurdly larger than our observable patch that the difference is not going to affect anyone's plans. There's a second, entirely independent test that's worth appreciating, because it's such a clean idea. If space wraps around on a scale smaller than our observable region, then light from a single object could reach us by more than one route, and we would see the same thing in two different places on the sky at two different apparent distances viewed from different angles. On the background wall specifically, a wrapped universe would produce matched pairs of circles, patches of sky in
Starting point is 02:01:40 different directions containing the same pattern of hot and cold spots, because those circles would be the same physical region viewed along two different paths. Astronomers have searched for exactly that. Multiple teams have combed the maps for matching circles for repeated patterns, for any evidence that the universe hands us the same view twice. Nothing has turned up. That doesn't rule out a rapt universe, but it does push the wraparound scale out beyond our observable horizon, meaning if the cosmos does connect back to itself,
Starting point is 02:02:10 it does so at a size larger than anything we can survey. The universe has been checked for duplicate content and appears to be original. Inflation, incidentally, predicts almost exactly this outcome, which is part of why it's the leading model. Take any surface, curved however you like, and expand it by an enormous factor, and any patch of it becomes indistinguishable from flat. Blow a balloon up to the size of the earth and the piece in front of you looks like a wall. The theory says the universe underwent a version of that in its first fraction of a second, which would make the observed flatness not a coincidence requiring fine tuning but an automatic consequence.
Starting point is 02:02:49 Flatness was one of the problems inflation was invented to solve, and it solved it, which is either strong support for the theory, or a reminder that models constructed to explain a fact tend to explain that fact. Here's the uncomfortable summary. We can measure the geometry of the region we can see with spectacular precision. We cannot measure the geometry of anything else, ever, by any method, because information from beyond that region cannot arrive. Everything we say about the universe as a whole is an extrapolation resting on the assumption
Starting point is 02:03:19 raised in the previous chapter that our patch is representative. That assumption is reasonable. It's supported by everything we can check, and it is not verifiable in principle. The honest answer to whether the universe has an edge is that in every geometry we consider viable, it doesn't, and that we can't examine the majority of it to be sure. Which brings us to the last wall, and it's the only one on this list that gets worse over time. Everything discussed so far has been about limits we bump into. This one moves. It's actively taking things away from us, permanently right now, while you watch. this. The region we can observe has a radius of roughly 46.5 billion light years, despite the universe being only 13.8 billion years old, for reasons already covered, space kept stretching while the light was in transit, so the material that emitted the oldest light we receive
Starting point is 02:04:09 has been carried far past the distance that light travelled. That defines the particle horizon, the boundary of everything that could possibly have sent us a signal by now. It is genuinely enormous, and it's also generous in one specific way. As time passes, light from progressively more distant material has had time to arrive, so this horizon has been growing throughout cosmic history. But there's a second boundary, much closer in, and it is not generous at all. Around 1998, two competing teams of astronomers were working on what everyone expected to be a slightly tedious measurement. Using exploding stars as distance markers, they set out to determine how much the expansion of the universe
Starting point is 02:04:50 had slowed down under the influence of all the matter in it, since gravity pulls things together, an expansion should therefore be decelerating. The only real question was how much? One team was led by Saul Pearl Mutter, the other by Brian Schmidt and Adam Rees, and their rivalry was, by all accounts, spirited. Both teams found the same thing, and it was not on the menu.
Starting point is 02:05:13 The distant explosions were fainter than they should have been, which meant they were further away than a decelerating universe would place them. The expansion is not slowing down, it sped up roughly 5 billion years ago and continues accelerating today. Two groups set out to measure a deceleration and independently discovered the opposite sign, which is the scientific equivalent of two rival teams racing to weigh an object and both finding it floats. The Nobel Prize followed in 2011 and the cause of the acceleration got the placeholder named Dark Energy, which is a formal way of saying we can measure it precisely and have essentially no idea. what it is. It constitutes roughly 68% of the energy content of the universe, making the single
Starting point is 02:05:56 most abundant thing in existence also the least understood, which is a solid metaphor for a lot of things. Accelerating expansion creates a horizon that a coasting universe wouldn't have. If the expansion rate keeps growing, then beyond a certain distance the space between us, and a given galaxy, is being added faster than light can cross it. A photon emitted from there toward us is genuinely travelling at light speed in our direction and still losing ground, like walking the wrong way on an accelerating travellator. That boundary is the cosmological event horizon, and it currently sits at roughly 16 billion light years in the relevant units. The distinction between that and the observable region is subtle and worth getting right, because it's the crux of the whole chapter.
Starting point is 02:06:42 We can still see galaxies far beyond 16 billion light years. Their old light is already in transit and arriving. What we cannot do is receive anything they emit from this point onward, or send anything to them, or in any way influence or be influenced by them ever again. We are watching a recording of a place that has permanently left our reachable universe. The image continues. The connection is severed. Estimates suggest that the overwhelming majority of galaxies currently visible have already crossed that line, on the order of 94% of them. Point a telescope at almost any distant galaxy, and you're looking at something that is, causally speaking, already gone. A signal sent from Earth today, travelling at light
Starting point is 02:07:23 speed, with no obstacles and infinite time will never arrive. The number of galaxies we could theoretically ever visit or contact was fixed long ago, and it only shrinks, and it does shrink continuously. As the acceleration continues, more galaxies cross the horizon, and as they do, their light stretches toward longer and longer wavelengths until it becomes undetectably faint. They don't wink out abruptly. They redden, dim, and fade below the noise, one after another, forever. Follow that process to its conclusion, and you arrive at one of the strangest results in modern cosmology. Our own local group is gravitationally bound, which means it's exempt from all of this. Our galaxy and its large neighbour are approaching each other, and will merge in a few billion years,
Starting point is 02:08:10 dragging the rest of the group along, and the resulting object will hold together indefinitely. But everything outside that bound region is receding, and eventually every one of those galaxies will pass beyond the horizon and fade out. Current estimates put the time scale at somewhere in the range of 100 to 150 billion years for the observable universe to be reduced to a single merged island, with nothing else visible from it. That's a long time, but not compared to the lifespans of the stars that will still be burning. Now consider an astronomer living in that era, in that merged galaxy with excellent instruments and no shortage of intelligence. What do they see, a single galaxy surrounded by an apparently empty and unchanging void,
Starting point is 02:08:55 extending in all directions with nothing in it? No other galaxies to measure redshifts from, so no evidence of expansion. The ancient background light stretched beyond all recognition, its wavelength eventually exceeding any size scale their instruments could work with, so no evidence of a hot beginning. No large-scale structure to map, nothing but their own stars. They would conclude, entirely reasonably, that the universe consists of one galaxy floating in a static and eternal emptiness. They would build a rigorous, self-consistent cosmology on excellent data and careful reasoning, and it would be completely wrong,
Starting point is 02:09:35 not because they made a mistake, because the evidence would have physically left. That's the genuinely unsettling implication of an accelerating universe, and it was laid out in detail in a paper by Lawrence Krauss and Robert Scherer that deserves more attention than it gets. Cosmological information is not permanent. It's being deleted steadily right now, and the only reason we know anything about the origin of the universe is that we happen to be alive during the window when the evidence is still in the sky. Arrive too early and there's nothing form to observe. Arrive too late and the record has been erased. We are living in the era with the best possible view, and it will never be this good again. There's a
Starting point is 02:10:14 argument that we've already lost pieces of the picture the same way, that there were once observable phenomena that have already passed beyond reach and left no trace, and that our own cosmology has gaps we cannot know about because the evidence departed before anyone existed to record it. That's not a comfortable thought, and it's not a paranoid one either. It follows directly from the physics, which is why the next generation of instruments matters, and why the closing note of this whole story is not despair, but something closer to urgency. Nies's next major survey instrument is designed almost precisely for this problem. It carries a mirror comparable in size to the one that produced the deep fields discussed earlier,
Starting point is 02:10:53 but with a field of view around 100 times larger, meaning it can capture in a single image what the older telescope would need dozens of pointings to cover. That combination, deep sensitivity plus enormous coverage, is exactly what's needed to survey hundreds of millions of galaxies, catch thousands of the distant explosions used as distance markers and measure the history of the expansion rate with far greater precision than anything so far. It is, in effect, a machine built to interrogate dark energy directly,
Starting point is 02:11:23 to determine whether its strength has been constant over cosmic history or has changed, which is currently one of the most consequential open questions in physics. If it has changed, the entire future described above changes with it. As a side project, it will also run a microlensing survey, of finding thousands of planets around other stars, because apparently mapping the fate of the universe alone wasn't a full workload. Behind that sits the concept for a future flagship observatory aimed at a very different target, directly imaging Earth-sized planets around sun-like stars and analyzing their atmospheres for signs of biology. It's an enormously difficult problem, requiring the suppression of starlight by factors of 10 billion,
Starting point is 02:12:04 to see a faint dot next to a blazing star, and it's the natural continuous, of everything the current generation started. One instrument to map how everything ends, another to check whether anyone else is out here watching it happen. Neither one removes a single wall described in this video. The nearest boundary will still be a turbulent breathing region that two aging spacecraft crossed on their way to a silence that arrives in the 2030s. The optical limit will still be an opaque surface no mirror can penetrate, with a first second of history hidden behind it that only neutrinos or ripples in spacetime could ever reveal. The debates about what pulls on us and what shape everything is will still rest on measurements
Starting point is 02:12:45 taken from inside a patch we can't step out of, and the last boundary will still be accelerating away, taking galaxies with it, every single day, whether or not anyone builds anything. What the new instruments do is more modest and more valuable than removing walls. They push the darkness back one step. That's what every telescope in this story has done. from a horn antenna full of pigeons to a folded gold mirror a million and a half kilometres away. Nobody has ever found the edge of anything. What they found each time was that the wall was further out than expected, and stranger, and that something unexpected was standing just this side of it. The universe does not appear to have an edge in any direction. What it has is a limit on how much of
Starting point is 02:13:28 itself it will let us see, and that limit is closing, which makes the fact that we figured out this much from one planet in about a century, using light that left before the Earth existed, a genuinely absurd achievement by a species that has been doing this for roughly four generations. We got here at the right moment, with the light still on, and there is a great deal left to look at.

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