Bulwark Takes - Even Crypto Bros Can’t Believe How Corrupt Trump’s Reserve Plan Is

Episode Date: March 3, 2025

Sam Stein is joined by business and finance journalist Ben Walsh to discuss Donald Trump’s bleat announcing his plans for a federal crypto reserve that has enraged crypto traders for obvious corrupt...ion.

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Starting point is 00:00:53 Sign up for your $1 per month trial period at shopify.com slash audioboom, all lowercase. Go to shopify.com slash audioboom to upgrade your selling today. shopify.com slash Audioboom to upgrade your selling today. Shopify.com slash Audioboom. Hey, guys, it's me, Sam Stein, back again. Made it through the weekend here on Monday. I'm joined by Ben Walsh, business and finance journalist extraordinaire, old colleague of mine. We're going to be talking about crypto, which I know very little of, which is why we have Ben here. Mainly, we're going to be talking about Trump's weekend announcement about a crypto reserve,
Starting point is 00:01:28 which is going over like a old turd in some corners of the crypto universe. All right, Ben. Yes. So we were talking a bit about this. We're not totally sure if this is official US policy, because it was presented in the form of a truth social post. But over the weekend, I'm going to just read what Trump wrote and then you can react to it and give me your summarization of what's going on here. He writes, quote, A U.S. crypto reserve will elevate this critical industry after years of corrupt attacks by the Biden administration, which is why my executive order on digital assets directed the presidential working group to move forward on a crypto strategic reserve that includes XRP, SOL, and ADA. I will make sure the U.S. is the crypto capital of the world, blah, blah, blah.
Starting point is 00:02:16 And obviously he adds BTC, ETH, and other valuable cryptocurrencies will be the heart of the reserve. I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum. I don't know. Ethereum, I guess. Ethereum. Ethereum. Okay. So long story short, Trump's creating a reserve. There are five tokens, two are well-established ones. That would be Bitcoin and Ether. And then there's a three newer ones. That's XRP, Solana and Cardano. Um, what do you make of this? Like what, what is,
Starting point is 00:02:47 is this complete corruption? Is this like smart savvy? What is the deal? Um, well, I guess if you're the one doing the corruption, it's savvy. Um,
Starting point is 00:02:56 which I mean, you know, this is, this is when people talk about the significant shift in Silicon Valley elites to Trump in the 2024 election. You know, there are lots of things that get brought up in terms of issues that the big tech companies have with their workforces, regulation, antitrust, etc. But really, you know, when you look at the people specifically, who are very wealthy, who shifted their support, you know, maybe from kind of on
Starting point is 00:03:22 the fence or being kind of Romney Republicans to just being full on hardcore MAGA guys. It's a crypto thing. It's a crypto thing. And what they need, the two kind of things you need to understand about crypto is that it operates on two fundamental principles. One is money laundering. And the second one, and the second one is the greater fool theory. They always need to find someone else to sell this stuff to. So everyone always
Starting point is 00:03:56 talks about, oh, what's the use case for crypto? The use cases are money laundering and it goes up in price. That's the two. That sounds like Bernie Madoff to me. Well, it is a... You need return on investments consistent to get new investors. Yeah. I mean, you need other people to sell it to. And the people who are using it for money laundering, that's not really an expanding market per se. The crypto's already tapped that out. All the criminals who want to use Bitcoin and other crypto coins are doing it. And I think that that's a story that is bigger than people realize and is more important than people realize.
Starting point is 00:04:46 You know, North Korea is a huge crypto user, for instance. It's a real problem. The greater fool thing is a real problem if you're an American consumer and you're just like seeing a crypto ad and you're like, yeah, I'll download the app and do that. Sure. All right. So, Ben, what was just back up a second. Trump kind of becomes a crypto evangelist during the course of the campaign, largely because he was getting an incredible amount of financial support from crypto advocates into his campaign and his election bid. And because he launched his own
Starting point is 00:05:20 coin and it was successful. Well, that came later. That came before the presidency. But tell us a little bit about the idea behind having a strategic reserve. What is the point of a strategic reserve for crypto? Well, I mean, let's back up. And what's the point of a strategic reserve for any currency? And the point is, is that the U.S. Treasury, which has strategic reserves of foreign currency and gold, may at times need to buy either U.S. dollars or U.S. debt in order to influence markets and to back the currency of the United States. So if there's a legitimate reason to hold currency reserves. What's the legitimate reason to hold a cryptocurrency reserve? Basically none, because there's no policy reason why the US should at some point have to sell crypto to buy dollars. It makes no logical sense and it makes no financial market sense. Now, what Trump and his people will say is, well, this is a burgeoning currency. We want to make
Starting point is 00:06:35 sure there's some stability behind it in case things go completely bonkers and sideways. We will be able to inject some currency into the marketplace if needed. And beyond that, frankly, we can make some money here for the United States by owning these reserves. Is that legit? Well, the U.S. government having sort of a vested interest in a specific asset class that isn't, you know, kind of the broad economic prosperity of the United States is a fairly dangerous road to go down. We've seen in the past, you know, specific asset classes that the U.S. government has gotten very deeply involved in propping up, and that doesn't end well.
Starting point is 00:07:12 Like what? Well, you know, the U.S. mortgage bubble is a huge ball of wax, but, you know, one of the things that was going on there was that the U.S. government through Fannie and Freddie was participating in the market to a massive degree. And the U.S. government still participates massively in the mortgage market. But there was a basically a policy incentive from all branches of government minus the judiciary to push mortgages in terms of origination. So that was one version. But what's very problematic about this specific one is that to acquire a crypto reserve, you
Starting point is 00:08:00 have to buy the crypto from someone. And so what is effectively happening is that the biggest holders of crypto are looking to unload it onto someone. And they've fully saturated basically the market for consumer investors, retail investors effectively, who want to buy crypto for obvious reasons, because it rises and it crashes and FTX blows up and where's your money and who knows. It's not a safer kind of normal thing to invest in, although it's become normalized. And so they're looking for who to sell it to next. And the US government is a big buyer. Right. Well, you got to the next question, which is how much of this is just people pumping and dumping, right? So you talked about the Trump meme coin.
Starting point is 00:08:52 That came out right before he took office. People were shocked to see it. It rose dramatically in value. People jumped in early and got some wealth from it and since has dissipated in wealth. First of all, are there any rules to prevent this stuff? And secondarily is how much do you, I mean, the accusation for this reserve is that at least the three more volatile currencies are essentially pump and dump schemes in that someone could have gotten a heads up that this announcement was was coming and it looks like this one investor made a significant amount of money and then just bought it rode the wave right yeah um well one is that there no there are no regulations that was something that you know the biden administration was pushing to do
Starting point is 00:09:39 um gary genser at the sec got a huge amount of heat and hate from the crypto industry for his efforts to regulate crypto like a security, which is what it is. Although they're called currencies, they don't function like a currency. You don't wake up and tomorrow the US dollar is worth 45% more, and then the next day it's worth 35% less. That's not how... Imagine buying and selling things. People are playing this like it's a like it's a gambling game like it's a market and they're trying to buy dips and they're trying to get out on top and that's basically it it's a casino yeah and and and hearing that the casino is going to go around and hoover up a bunch of chips at an inflated price is a really good thing to
Starting point is 00:10:25 know. And so to your point, if you know, if this, if this, if you know that this policy is coming down the pike and specifically that Trump's Trump's buy, and you know, the other thing that I think is interesting is that, um, he specifically named the currencies. And that I think is sort of the tell that this is all about pumping and dumping. So he could have in theory, he could have in theory just said, look, we're going to create a reserve.
Starting point is 00:10:55 I will name a number of different currencies at a later date, or I won't even say it, or we will look and create a commission to make sure that it's all above board. And, you know, we're going to buy, but he didn't,
Starting point is 00:11:04 he went with five very specific names, five very specific names. And the only reason to include those five specific names is so that the market knows that those are what they're looking at and that there's going to be, you know, yesterday through, you know, for the couple of hours after the announcement that those currencies spike. And so that people who know can offload. Now tell me, because again, I'm totally new to this. I was reading online, but you can tell who's making trades on these currencies, but that identity can be anonymous. So for instance, someone made something like 20 million off of these trades early yesterday, but we only know the username. We don't know the identity of the user in that
Starting point is 00:11:49 we may never know who this person is ever. Correct. Yeah, correct. I mean, you know, the, uh, and, and the company with that, that user has made the account with their various ways. They may never know. I mean, you can run a fully, if you want to, you can run a fully anonymized crypto wallet. And we will never know. But yes, we do know that someone is making money, but we don't know who. So the big person who's taking it on the chin this morning is David Sachs. He is the crypto czar, for lack of a better title, for Trump.
Starting point is 00:12:29 He's a Silicon Valley guy who obviously was on the All In podcast crew, big bro, fast finance dudes. And he joined the administration, kind of served as their emissary to Trump and then joined the Trump administration specifically to help prop up the crypto industry through executive policy. Right. And he had holdings on some of these cryptocurrencies. Now, David says he sold all this stuff before he went into the administration, so he doesn't have a conflict, but he does have ties to investment firms that probably still have holdings here. And some of his all-in brethren um are not happy honestly they think this is
Starting point is 00:13:08 wildly corrupt um what do you make of all this like i didn't i didn't expect the all-in crew to go at each other like this so this is kind of curious to me yeah no i mean um uh well you know they are correct that it is wildly corrupt um i'd also make a minor point, which is that if David Sachs did sell the entirety of his crypto holdings pre inauguration, post Trump victory, that actually would have been a savvy move because Bitcoin has actually been taking it on the chin post post Trump inauguration. It went up the last three days, but it's back down a little bit. But it's, but it's instructive that, that it's gone down and they're issuing these statements that are not actual, you know, policy that can be implemented right now. They're just saying it is going to happen.
Starting point is 00:13:58 And that again, gets back to the greater fool thing is that they need the line, as they say in crypto world, the line to go up. And if the line is not going up, they need to figure out what to do to make it go up. And so they add an incremental bit of news that says, oh, remember this strategic reserve? It's happening. And it's not just happening. Here are the five names that it's happening to. And that can help push things up for a day or two or a week or whatever it is. This all falls apart when people basically are like, or two or this all falls this all falls apart when people basically like i've heard this all before this is the boy who the reverse of the
Starting point is 00:14:30 boy who cried wolf i've heard this all before this is you just you know trying to juice the numbers i'm not gonna buy it fuck you i'm selling that's when it falls apart well and or maybe it all falls apart when there's some uh actual policy that needs to get included in some, you know, massive appropriations bill in the House or who knows what. And it doesn't get through or it's in and then it gets stripped out because someone's mad and they need one vote. You know, who knows? But yeah, they're going to I think that the end game here is that you either establish the crypto reserve and then it goes up and then it crashes after that. And hopefully you get out then or they don't establish a crypto reserve and things go sideways. And so now let's since you brought us to the legislative element here, I do have a couple of questions. One is, and you might not know the answer to this because it's not clear to me either, but like, where do we get the money to buy the reserves? And how much are we buying? And I'm assuming the
Starting point is 00:15:35 taxpayers are obviously on the hook for this, right? And it's our money, the funds of government, we're going to buy the reserves. Right. Yeah. I mean, there's economic technicalities there, but yes, it's U.S. government funds. I don't see how you can do this absent a bit of legislation that says we can do this. You know, you mentioned before we came on about, well, maybe they can just put it in the Federal Reserve and the Federal Reserve will do it. I mean, there's two problems with that. One is that the Federal Reserve would then have to do it and actually take Trump's instruction, which I think they would be very loathe to do. The other kind of option, I mean, related to that, though, is that it's not clear that they're authorized. I mean, the Federal Reserve is an independent central bank created by the u.s congress um and it's not clear to me that they can just do something that's outside of their mandate um or legislative or their the authority
Starting point is 00:16:32 that's been granted to them by legislation the other option would be the u.s treasury which is where foreign foreign currency reserves sit um again same problem not obvious to me that they have the authority to do it they couldn't just simply transfer reserves already on tap in our currency or foreign currency and just swap them in as Bitcoin and just make it an even transaction? I don't think that just pointing at something and calling it a currency means that you can include it in foreign currency reserves. I mean, we're in uncharted territory. I mean, what if, I mean, let's go to the fully absurd example. Right. What if you point at Mar-a-Lago and you say that's a currency and the U.S. government is going to buy it from Trump for. We own real estate. The government owns tons of real estate.
Starting point is 00:17:17 Yeah, but it's not it's not administered by the U.S. Treasury foreign currency reserves. Yes. I mean, I guess the better analogy would be oil reserves in a way, right? Like we have- But also, again, also created by very specific legislation. And there's very specific mechanisms through which oil is purchased and released. Ben, I don't know if I, are you sitting down? I want to make sure you're sitting down at this point. But I've noticed that the Trump administration has not been particularly,
Starting point is 00:17:46 you know, adherent to the strict letter of the law. So it might be that they just decide to fucking do it. And we, they might decide to just do it again. And, and, and, yeah, I mean, it's, it's a lawsuit situation. And, and then, you know yeah i mean it's it's a lawsuit situation um and and then you know there you go but uh the only thing i will say all this stuff i will say this like look that they've they don't give a shit about some of the stuff so it is what it is but um boy like to me on as a political matter doing this to enrich your billionaire crypto pals at the same time that you're cutting NIH research in foreign aid, that seems like a tough one to stomach politically. But again, they have an immaculate ability to spin this stuff into something that their base loves.
Starting point is 00:18:42 Although in this case, the crypto base is not really in love in this one. Yeah. I mean, the thing that's pretty ridiculous about this is that it's not, you know, there's been a lot of speculation of like, well, if crypto goes sideways,
Starting point is 00:18:54 does the US government have to bail it out? Right. Like an FDIC. Right. Which is, you know, again, the one of the ironies,
Starting point is 00:19:03 this whole thing is, this is exactly the whole series of mechanisms that crypto was invented to sidestep, right. Was like government intervention, cronyism, et cetera, et cetera. But like the thing that I find kind of shocking about the whole thing, to the extent that you can find anything that they do shocking is that it's a, it's not even a bailout. It's like a, it's a pre bailout, right? It's a, it's, it's just in case they're doing, you know, people who invested in crypto are doing fine, especially the big guys who got in early and, you know, know when to buy and sell based on inside information. Because again, there's no, in this market, there's no regulation, no insider trading,
Starting point is 00:19:41 all that. So it's, it's, it's really just a, uh, you know, well, there is insider trading, but it's not regulated is what you're trying to say. Well, I'll say insider trading is not illegal. Yes. So it's a pretty shocking bit of, um, you know, corruption and, um, and kind of quid pro quo, um, for electoral support. And it's, um, you know, it's, it's remarkable that it's, it's happening and it's just kind of all out there. And I guess part of what makes it quote unquote, not a scandal is that it's all in public view.
Starting point is 00:20:17 Except it's not because we don't know who the hell the traders are, but yeah, I get your point. No, we don't. I'm still waiting for my Hawk to a coin to materialize here, but it's taking a long time. All right, Ben Walsh, thank you so much, man. I appreciate it. I really do like this stuff. I woke up, I was like, this is, I think I understand it, but I probably don't.
Starting point is 00:20:35 And I'm glad to have you here explaining it to us. We'll have you back. As always, thanks for tuning in to you guys. Appreciate it. Subscribe to the feed where you can get all your free crypto advice, among other things. Take care. Thank you, Sam. When you think about businesses that are selling through the roof, all birds or skims, sure,
Starting point is 00:20:56 you think about a great product, a cool brand and brilliant marketing. But an often overlooked secret is actually the businesses behind the business, making selling and for the shoppers buying, simple. For millions of businesses, that business is Shopify. Nobody does selling better than Shopify, home of the number one checkout on the planet. And the not-so-secret secret, with ShopPay, that boosts conversions up to 50%, meaning way less carts going abandoned and way more sales going... So if you're into growing your business, your commerce platform better be ready to sell wherever your customers are scrolling or strolling on the web, in your store, in their feed, and everywhere in between.
Starting point is 00:21:38 Businesses that sell more sell on Shopify. Upgrade your business and get the same checkout Skims uses. Sign up for your $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com slash Audioboom. All lowercase. Go to Shopify.com slash Audioboom to upgrade your selling today. Shopify.com slash Audioboom.

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