Bulwark Takes - The Crisis They Wanted

Episode Date: June 9, 2025

Bill Kristol and JVL discuss Trump’s latest moves to expand executive power, including deploying the National Guard, staging a military parade, and laying the groundwork for mass deportations. ...

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Rural communities are being squeezed from every side. From rising health care costs to crumbling hospitals, from attacks on public schools to the fight for paid family and medical leave, farmers and small businesses are reeling from the trade war. And now, Project 2025 is back with a plan to finish what Elon Musk started. Trump and the Republicans won rural votes, then turned their backs on us. Join the One Country Project for the Rural Progress Summit, July 8th through the 10th.
Starting point is 00:00:36 This free virtual event brings together leaders like Senator Heidi Heitkamp, Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Governor Andy Beshear, and others for real talk and real solutions. Together we'll tackle the most urgent issues facing rural America. Register today or learn more at ruralprogress.com. Hello everyone, I'm JVL here with Bill Kristol,
Starting point is 00:01:04 my colleague at the Bulwark. We are recording on a Sunday evening, June 8th, after a pretty bad weekend in America. And what is shaping up Bill, I think, to be one of the most dangerous weeks in American history? Is that overstating things? I mean, we have a president who is shipping tanks into the nation's capital while taking over the National Guard in California against the wishes of the state's governor and deploying it against the wishes of the state's governor and who is going to stage a military parade
Starting point is 00:01:46 in the nation's capital while he seems to simultaneously be seeking a confrontation between American citizens, civilians and the US military. Am I overstating things? No, you put it well, I didn't really focus on the parade. I think it's kind of horrifying and grotesque, but how much it fits... I think maybe it's a coincidence the two are coinciding, but the thing is stuff in LA, it's not just the National Guard. When you read that presidential memorandum, it authorizes the Secretary of Defense, of course, to at least
Starting point is 00:02:26 that, what is it they say? Yeah. To deploy at least 2000 of the National Guard under his command. 60 days, I believe. Yeah. What's that? Yeah. Most orders like this.
Starting point is 00:02:38 I believe. Yeah. For at least 60 days, I think it is. So most orders like this are, you know, don't know more than, this is the opposite, at least 2000,000. But it's totally open-ended. He could do as many more as he wants and as many active duties as he wants. It's really remarkable.
Starting point is 00:02:51 People haven't really focused quite as much maybe as they might have on that aspect of the order. Basically, we're now in a situation where the Secretary of Defense and working with the Secretary of Homeland Security, i.e. Trump and his wonderful team, can decide to use both Guard troops and active duty troops at their discretion. Someone else pointed this out to me. Actually, I shouldn't say who it was. Maybe it was a private conversation, but it was someone who's very concerned about what's
Starting point is 00:03:18 happening. This order, unlike I gather previous orders, don't say we're going to deploy the National Guard in Los Angeles to deal with this particular problem, like Bush in 92 with the riots in LA or in California. The name Los Angeles is not in the presidential memorandum. California is not in it. It's national. Wherever there are riots or reports, wherever there was a disturbances or reasonable belief,
Starting point is 00:03:42 reasonable credible belief that there might be disturbances, something like that. So you can check on the presidential memorandum. So basically it's the people, as I say, people I struck, we didn't quite notice in the midst of the headlines mobilizing 2000 members of the National Guard that this is a memo giving authority, you know, laying an open, it's an open door. If there are riots in Wichita three days from now, hey, let's deploy the Kansas National Guard.
Starting point is 00:04:07 If they're not quite enough of them, let's get someone from one of the army bases. I mean, maybe you could say, I guess, in response that, well, he's always in a sense, that's what he's claiming, had that authority. But to have that memo out there, to have everyone on alert, I very much agree this could really be a hinge point.
Starting point is 00:04:23 I mean, this is really the moment where people have talked about the military, US military in the streets, domestically of American cities, being used at the president's discretion. And here we are, I think, no. Yeah. I mean, okay, a couple of things. First off, language matters and in the same way that it was important that he and Republicans started describing immigration as an invasion in order for them to then go and invoke the Alien Enemies Act, the extent to which he is purposely describing all of these things happening in America as
Starting point is 00:05:00 insurrections, I think is a pretty clear telegraph that he is trying to socialize the idea of invoking the insurrection act. Would you would you agree? Yeah, I mean, we're what we're crazy and alarmist. No, no, totally. And Nilla used the word very purposefully in a tweet. I think Thursday or Friday, I think I even noted at the time. And yeah, we're one step short of the insurrection act. But we're also he's also totally in the groundwork. Hey, what he's doing doesn't differ that much, actually.
Starting point is 00:05:26 He's found a way to work around it, you might say, if I had to work around it. And B, he's laying the groundwork for some court says, well, you can't do this. You don't have the authority to say, well, I'm going to have to invoke the Interaction Act. The court's making me do it. So yes, it is very... I mean, go ahead. You were making a point.
Starting point is 00:05:41 I don't care. Go ahead. You were making a point out. Okay. Well the the second the second point I was gonna to make was that That Donald Trump has clearly had a thirst to do this Since he first came to office the idea of being able to use the power of state To commit violence against citizens he doesn't like has been sometimes an undercurrent, sometimes the actual waves that you see on top of the water. And especially after the second election, I think it was, I mean, God knows, I've been writing about this since, you know, October and August before the election, and we were always going to end up here. I think we were always going to end up at a moment where Trump was going to push to use the military against Americans
Starting point is 00:06:33 because he wants to and has wanted to for a long time. But this is a thing that you and I and everybody on our side talked about in the run-up to the election. Whereas in the first administration, there were people in the military who wouldn't do that. All of those guardrails are gone, right? Pete Hegseth is not going to say, Mr. President, you can't do that. Kristi Noem is not going to say that. And now that we've had a purging of the general staff and
Starting point is 00:07:03 in the joint chiefs and a bunch of flag officers, none of us know what the military will do, right? And this is, you know, we're at the the great unknown of, huh, are people gonna refuse illegal orders or not? Yeah, I would say, I mean, he's fired some general officers, there's still an awful lot left over, so to speak, so there may be some sort of older guardrails hanging on for dear life, especially in the military, I suspect there are, and maybe somewhere in the ranks of DOJ and DHS. But you're right. I mean, the combination of Hexeth, Kristi Noem, Cash Patel, and Pam Bondi and Cash Patel,
Starting point is 00:07:40 Steve Miller in the White House, unchecked basically. I mean, that really is unlike the first term. It's unlike anything we've had in American history, honestly. And not only are they not checking him, they're encouraging him. Certainly Miller is very much so when the others seem to relish it and enjoy it. I mean, I guess I'm, it's two points, just following up on what you've been saying. I think we've all expected to get to this point four and a half months in is pretty fast, right? I mean, that all this, that's really worth noting.
Starting point is 00:08:08 I mean, and it's not as if you get to the point and then he do something and then, okay, now we go back to normal. Once he's done it once, he'll do it a second time, a third time, a fourth time. And this is where I get to the, he doesn't have to have broken the entire military now. What he has to do now, it is now frogs in boiling water, is start normalizing the idea of using the military. The first two or three times, I don't know how cunning he's going to be, a lot of it will depend on... A huge amount will depend on random events. He doesn't know what happens on the ground, so to speak. But the first two or three times, maybe the best actually thing for him is a couple of 2000 National Guard get deployed here.
Starting point is 00:08:45 There's not a lot that much violence. They guard some federal buildings. They actually try hard not to get too involved in actually beating up, you know, American citizens certainly, but even maybe undocumented immigrants. And then they kind of, you know, things calm down and they leave it. Everyone's okay. Well, it wasn't so terrible. And as I say, two months, you know, a month from now,
Starting point is 00:09:05 there's another case where ICE is provoking things and there was this resistance in Wichita and say, okay, well, we're doing it again. I think this, I think we have to think of this as a four-year thing, not as a, you know, one-off inflection point, you know, moment. And that's, I think, the unbelievable, we're starting so early at normalizing something
Starting point is 00:09:24 that's, I think, the unbelievable. We're starting so early at normalizing something that's so dangerous. And that really, I just, I am unnerved by that. And I'm sort of unnerved. I don't know, where, what do you think about the react? Well, one other, one point I want to ask you about, you know, I hadn't, and then I want to ask what you think about the reaction. But I really, I guess I would have expected immigration to be the flashpoint, did you? I mean, presumably that makes sense, right?
Starting point is 00:09:51 But the mass deportation thing, I was appalled by it. It's kind of horrifying on eight different levels. Its policies, quilting, and so forth. It didn't actually occur to me that once you go, it occurred to me, I didn't really clearly see this. Once you go down the road of mass deportation seriously, not that once you go, it occurred to me, I didn't really clearly see this. Once you go down the road of mass deportation seriously, not just talking about it, really rounding up people who are just, that is, that gets you to this, right? I mean, there's no way to do mass deportation to go hire people who are trying to get, you
Starting point is 00:10:20 know, waiting for their job pickups at Home Depot or checking in at a courthouse to do what they're supposed to be doing. In that respect, and again, he's only just begun the mass deportation. I come back to that. How many more instances are there going to be? What happens when the Haitians in Springfield, Ohio? He decides we've got to get to deport them, all the Venezuelans. Somehow one thinks he can't just do this over and over and over.
Starting point is 00:10:44 The key is this isn't going to happen in Ohio, I think. So I was very skeptical of mass deportations for precisely the reasons you say. I just thought like to create economic catastrophe, like is he going to hobble this, the Texas economy? Is Donald Trump going to be willing to make it prohibitively expensive to build housing in Texas and hurt Republicans there? And it wasn't until, I want to say, it was after the election, it was November, maybe early December, I had one of these light bulbs when I realized, oh shit, he can just target blue states. Right? You can do mass deportations and just go after New York City, Boston, Los Angeles.
Starting point is 00:11:29 And that's basically where we are. I mean, it is telling that we are not doing mass deportations in Amarillo, Texas, right? And the idea is we're gonna have, like in everything else, there are two separate sets of laws and rules. There are those for the people who are part of Trump's Uma, and then there are those for the part of America, which is Haram. And the extent to which again, you maybe I'm wrong, but I will be shocked if we get things like mass deportations in Republican-led cities like Springfield, Ohio.
Starting point is 00:12:05 I think the ones we've had in Texas maybe have been in the more democratic cities now to think about it in Texas. But California has, I think, a million undocumented immigrants out of the 11 million or so. And so, yes, you can do a lot of this in California. I just thought the mass deportation thing, I think a lot of people thought this, it was a slogan. It was a distasteful and bad, terrible slogan. And it would legitimize a lot of bad actions. And then they removed the temporary protected status from 350,000 Venezuelans and they suddenly became undocumented. So the mass of people who could be mass deported was larger than before. And I still could, it just seems so crazy, but maybe you're right. Maybe you leave the, that would be a very interesting test.
Starting point is 00:12:50 If he does not go after the Venezuelans in Florida and only goes after the, um, Mexican presumably in Central American, uh, migrants and immigrants in California, that would really be the, that would be the next step along the path of a kind of, let's call it, red state authoritarianism at the expense of obviously the blue states. But the mass deportation thing, the slogans at the convention, we were all repulsed by it obviously. But I guess I didn't quite, I didn't internally come to grips with what that meant as part of the authoritarian project and how central it is actually as the excuse for having to deploy
Starting point is 00:13:31 the troops and having to deploy ICE and having to get $150 billion. This is something else we should mention. I think it's $150 billion in the reconciliation bill for prisons and they basically DHS and ICE and some immigration judges too, but it's part of the deportation agenda. So the whole thing, yeah, it's unnerving. It's unnerving. Well, and again, we are normalizing the idea of police grabbing people, police without badges, identification, or even the ability to see their faces, grabbing people off the streets
Starting point is 00:14:12 on their say-so. Right? And it starts with, well, they're ICE, and they're like, well, says who? Right? And all these things. I want to say another thing before we move on, two other things. First is the extent to which other Republicans, who I think four years ago would have been very, very squirrely about all of this, have also gotten a taste for it.
Starting point is 00:14:36 I think, and part of this is just turnover, that like those other Republicans who would have been squirrely are gone to a large degree. And they've been replaced by people who are true believers. But even, I mean, I, I don't know. Do you, do you get that sense too that there is not a lot of hand wringing in like non Trump Republican circles about, geez, can we do this? Is that, you know, is this what we want? Do we want to be, what are the economic ramifications gonna be from this, right?
Starting point is 00:15:05 Or is this gonna drive up housing costs and construction costs? What's gonna happen to demand? When you start getting rid of all these people who are consumers, I don't get the sense there's any of that coming from the Wall Street Journal type wing of the Republican Party. Is that right or wrong?
Starting point is 00:15:20 I, we don't know, I don't know yet, because I'm not talking to enough of those people these days, having sort of lost touch with a lot of those Trump acquiescence and adjacent Republicans But let's see what the Wall Street Journal editorial page says. Maybe we already know tomorrow morning. I haven't looked Not a regular reader, but what should look I agree and it's important being a good indicator The Republicans on the shows this morning. My impression is we're not objecting And I mean Mike Johnson know he was never objected, I suppose, four years ago either. But you know, it's a piece.
Starting point is 00:15:52 I'm not troubled by the thought of using greens to help police the streets of LA or nominally protect federal buildings and federal processes. What's the word they use? It's a very vague word there in LA. But it was peace through strength is what I believe in. And it works, I believe in foreign policy, domestic, and both abroad and at home, which is really, when you think about it for three seconds,
Starting point is 00:16:20 is an amazing thing to say, right? That the way in which we deter the Soviet Union Union is the way which we deal with people, Americans, but immigrants and including undocumented immigrants living here in the United States of America, right? Peace through strength. That's representative government and the rule of law. That's the speaker of the house. And he's, you know, he's kind of anyway, he's not the worst in terms of demagoguery. He's the worst in terms of helping enact all this horrible stuff. And he obviously had prepared that. That's not the kind of thing you think up at the moment.
Starting point is 00:16:54 So one of his clever staffers said, hey, Reagan, peace through strength. And you can say this is peace through strength at home. And no one had the wit to say, wait a second, you can't say what you do, who your policy towards the Soviet Union should be your policy towards people living in America, working in America, in Los Angeles and elsewhere. And Americans themselves. We'll close out with the protest. But before that, I want to talk about Elon Musk for a minute, because I think this is
Starting point is 00:17:18 one of those moments where, as it always seems to be, chance favors Trump. So I wrote when Trump and Musk had their breakup, I said the very first thing I wrote was this could wind up making Trump much stronger. And I had written like the week before, like it looks like Trump is sort of losing on a bunch of policy angles But he's winning on power like he's consolidating power the Justice Department no longer even makes the pretext that it might investigate Trump or any of his allies His use of the pardon power has been Way outside the bounds of normalcy and what hegseth has done as his remit at
Starting point is 00:18:05 the Department of Defense is create loyalty tests for military senior staff in ways that are normal. You might see in Egypt, right, or Pakistan, but not not in America. And I think that we can say pretty conclusively now that Trump has defeated Musk. He did it very quickly. It was not a mutual backing off. Elon Musk went and after 24 hours of hostilities, deleted a bunch of his tweets and made nice with Trump and said a bunch of conciliatory things on X in response to Bill Ackman and other actors who were trying to create some sort of peace. And Trump, for his part, did the opposite. He said, this guy, drug problem, everybody hated him,
Starting point is 00:18:55 you know, and if he starts giving money to Democrats, he's going to be in big trouble. I think that, again, we have a military parade in the nation's capital tanks in the streets of an American city, the National Guard being deployed all in the same week that Trump broke and subjugated the richest man in the world and did it in under 24 hours. This is just like a big red flashing light to me that the guy is amassing incredible amounts of power. Is that, again, I keep saying like, am I wrong or not? Because I feel like what I'm saying is incredibly alarmist. But I don't understand other ways to describe the reality we're seeing in front of us. So you wrote, I can't, it was a Thursday night, you had a special triad, which you sort of said, I
Starting point is 00:19:46 think you said, you thought the most likely outcome was trouble to feed bus, but you also thought there was a chance the other way, or a chance of a draw, and in any case, it might be an opportunity to cause disruption and backer wrong, which was a reasonable thing to think could happen. And you, Spike, you made clear this was a possibility. I went further on a limb, actually, partly prompted by your thing, was when I read your thing, I thought, you know what? The first is by far the most likely outcome. It's not just a little bit more likely.
Starting point is 00:20:10 And by Friday morning, when I wrote early Friday morning for the morning Shaz Newsletter, I sort of decided just to go on a limb and just assert it. Trump's going to be defeating Maas. He's defeating him. He's defeating him thoroughly. It's not even close. And this is going to strengthen Trump. It's not like, oh, he beat him, but he had to spend a lot of capital, and so he's a little weakened for now, the Democrats have a bit of an opportunity,
Starting point is 00:20:34 he's going to have to give up a few things. Quite the contrary, once you win this kind of victory, it is like Putin over, you know, with pre-Gorsi, once pre-Gorsi retreats on that, was that his name? On the march to Moscow, He's at Putin's mercy. And Trump's made pretty clear, as you say, I wouldn't say he's been belligerent. He's actually done it pretty cleverly in a kind of very calm way, almost just matter of fact way. But he's at my mercy. And he's, I don't need to worry about him much. I think he called three anchors Friday morning right after I think I wrote my morning shots, or as I was writing it, I guess,
Starting point is 00:21:08 and I was saying, just kind of showing that he wasn't worried, and signaling to everyone out there that he's the guy in charge. So, yeah, so you put that, I hadn't really put it together. So I think, A, I think that's the correct understanding of what's happened with Musk. B, I hadn't quite put it together with this, and it is somewhat accidental, I suppose,
Starting point is 00:21:27 that it's all happening at once. Again, it's happened so early. I just keep coming back to that. Four and a half months in, where are we four months later? Where are we four months after that? Where are we four months after that? Then we're one quarter of the way through the term. Now maybe it will reverse.
Starting point is 00:21:44 God knows things could happen. But yeah, the Republicans don't seem to be complaining much. We'll see if Wall Street Journal types too. We'll see even honestly if Democrats and liberals. I mean, I was on a couple of Zoom calls and stuff this afternoon, really good people trying to organize a lot of talk about court cases, Gavin Newsom's probably going to go to court tomorrow and stuff. I'm not against that.
Starting point is 00:22:06 They might get a favor of ruling from a federal district judge. Trump just announced that person and appealed to the Supreme Court. I don't believe, do you believe that the Supreme Court is going to stop Trump fundamentally on this? I mean, it's a murky, truthfully legal issue of how much power the president has here. It would require interpreting. It's unprecedented what Trump is doing. But almost for that reason, it's a little hard for the court to say, well, require interpreting it's unprecedented to what Trump is doing. But almost for that reason, it's a little hard for the court to say, well, you couldn't
Starting point is 00:22:27 conceivably do it. If they get into that business, if I'm not going to second guess exactly his motives or maybe they had findings that really was worrisome and I'm not going to stop the president from mobilizing the guard if it's necessary, I just find it hard to believe that the courts are much of a barrier. Congress. I just fight it hard to believe that the courts are much of a barrier. Congress, I mean, in the real world of American, in the history of American politics and the political science of the American political system, Congress is supposed to be the barrier to all of this. I always can, it's not, you know, but just on the Republican, the Wall Street
Starting point is 00:23:00 Journal thing, I bet they spend one tenth as much time worrying about this as they did about terrorists, which are incomparably less important in terms of our civil liberties and the nature of our society. They're not good. And the way he did it is arbitrary, and it's too much for a central power and all that. But it's not like what's happening here with the National Guard and the Army and the military and mass deportation. I bet these sort of establishment Republicans will maybe they'll demure a little, maybe they won't incidentally. Maybe they'll say, let the courts decide it and we're getting back to worrying about what's making sure the tax provisions of the big reconciliation bill are-
Starting point is 00:23:40 Yeah, I got to make sure the tax cuts get enacted get enacted if that you know, everything else is worth doing Alright, so let's talk about the protests I'm of like five different minds on the the protests and But I'd like to hear you first I Am somewhat of fixed minds I'm kind of anti anti-protest I am not with those people whose first reaction is, well, I don't approve what Trump's doing. We can't give him an excuse to do anything.
Starting point is 00:24:10 We can't be too vociferous. We can't have, God forbid, one human should wave a Mexican flag around in the streets of LA. I have never waved a Mexican flag. If someone asked me whether he or she should do it, I would say no. I think it's politically not great. And I also just think it's kind of pointless. I mean, they're presumably want to stay here in America and not be deported. So why are they waving a Mexican flag? But you know, you have the right to wave
Starting point is 00:24:32 flags from other countries. People do it all the time. And it's no excuse for anything that Trump's doing. So I'm anti those whose first instinct is to finger wag at people whose communities are being destroyed, you know, severely damaged, whose families are being broken up, who might know the neighbor or the cousin who's been just seized and is being deported. So I'm, I'm that's kind of where I am. But I'm having said all that, I don't know, could have played at the Trump's hands, I guess, but I'm sort of sick of the playing at the Trump's hands. Trump is doing all this without that. Let me come back to this. Have there been a lot of violent protests by immigrants. I don't think so I don't think so all the video we've seen is people being grabbed
Starting point is 00:25:12 You know shackled behind their hands behind their back Some of them got forbidden your seas and sent away to El Salvador others being held for much too long and bad conditions Others being sent away in a more normal way you might say but so we kept not treated very humanely or very considerably. The whole program is terrible. Is it in response to, you know, did anyone do anything to play into Trump's hands? As I say, not at all. So I guess now that I'm talking myself into a more even of a anti-anti, am I saying this right?
Starting point is 00:25:43 Anti-anti protests, yeah, position or pro-fot, you know. The idea that Trump needs, you know, he's helped a lot by people being too extreme on the other side. I mean, yes, conceivably, in some public opinion poll. But hey, what does that matter? No one's voting on anything for a year and a half. So I am for fighting this hard at every level, I guess.
Starting point is 00:26:03 Yeah, that's, I mean, so part of me, I said I'm of five minds on this, and one of them is the, we gotta fight on every level, and you see what works, see what sticks. Another of my levels that, there's 330 million people in America, and none of us gets to decide what other people do. Like if people are gonna protest,
Starting point is 00:26:24 because this is really, this is the most important thing to them, then they're going to do it. Regardless of what I write in the bulwark or, you know, anybody writes anywhere else. And that's their right. But on the other hand, part of me thinks that successful protest movements historically are highly organized and highly unified. And they're also pretty strategic. Successful protest movements like the Civil Rights Movement here, like the Color Revolutions recently in Eastern Europe, they tend to be, again, with a cohesive opposition that is
Starting point is 00:27:04 thinking very strategically about where to commit forces and what grounds to fight on. And they don't take a, like, well, let's just, you know, let a thousand flowers bloom approach to it. Should we should the opposition spend any political capital protesting lawful actions by the administration? I am all for documenting the excesses and documenting the lawful actions and making the case to people that they are immoral and that they shouldn't be taken. I mean, everybody ought to walk around with, you know, a GoPro strapped to their head every time they go out to the world and start documenting this stuff. In terms of like protesting and stopping ICEA, like, I don't know, like this is, America did vote for this.
Starting point is 00:27:58 49.8% of America voted for this. This is what they said. They said, we want mass deportations. Yeah, Trump didn't make a secret of that. I take that point. You know, on your third point, I do think to be fair, I've been on some of these calls
Starting point is 00:28:15 now that I'm hanging out with all these Dems and left wing, even some lefties in the Democratic Party. They've been trying to organize and actually try to insist on peaceful protests. And they did a pretty good job. There was a big protest day a month ago, and it was very peaceful. I think they're planning, for example, for the march on Saturday, the military march, they decided not to ask people to come to big protests in Washington.
Starting point is 00:28:38 This is too much of a risk of encounters and someone overstepping or also screaming anti-military things. They're asking people to waive American, to protest the main center's Philly and they're mostly dispersed all around the country. The idea is the whole country's protesting against Trump's grandiose march in the Capitol. They're asking people to bring American flags. I think it's a little better organized than people may realize and I think in a good way. I think they've tried to learn the lessons of the Civil Rights Movement and all the sort of obvious examples, so they're doing their best.
Starting point is 00:29:11 But it's also the case that someone somewhere is gonna scream something stupid. And- Yeah, yeah, it's a big country, right? There's no way to stop that. Yeah, yeah. And I do, yeah, on your last point, I don't know. I don't know, I mean, you're right. I do, yeah, on your last point, I don't know. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:29:25 I mean, you're right. I mean, certainly there's a distinction between lawful things that are bad, even cruel, and breaking the law. And I think there's plenty of things that Trump is doing that are manifestly either breaking the law or sort of nominally obeying the outer reaches of the law in order to basically ultimately break the law. And I think that's the case that needs to be made. The path that we're on, though, the slope is so, is very dangerous.
Starting point is 00:29:54 And in that respect, that's, I think, the main thing that has to be done. Don't you think? I mean, just step, try to step back a little and alert people to the big, where we're going. We're part way down a slope. We should scream and yell, because we already have come down that slope. And it's right wrong. It's bad to do that. But also, this is where we're going. If we don't put up the brakes now, who's the we in that sense? So Well, the way is the people who asked for this. I mean, this is I, you know, I'm sorry, his, his approval numbers are
Starting point is 00:30:26 incredibly robust for the actual day to day goings on of what is happening in America right now. For the economic reality, for the interest rates, for the high, all the it is, I just don't, I no longer think there's any way to look at Donald Trump and come up with a happy answer that is basically people, they didn't mean this. They just were angry about fill in the blank. They were angry about Hillary's emails. They were angry about inflation. They were angry about interest rates and mortgage payments and whatnot. I find it very, very hard eight years in with him doing now exactly what he said and still having a very robust approval rating. People wanted this. Not everyone. Like people wanted this, not everyone, you know, but but some very significant percentage of the American population.
Starting point is 00:31:30 This is affirmatively what they want and prefer. And as you know, I say this, Sarah, all the time doesn't have to be everybody. If you get to 35 percent of the country who wants this, who wants tanks in the streets, Who wants the Marines and National Guard deployed against American civilians? I don't know what a country is supposed to do about that. That's too big a critical mass in order to sustain this experiment, I think. Especially if the, let's say 30%, just to make it simple, and then 50% is a 45% approval now. So let's say 30% want it, 15% don't care enough to, don't object enough to it to have the break from him just because they're
Starting point is 00:32:12 Republican. They want the tax cuts or they want other, they care about other issues. But if that 15% won't break, if they really don't care about any of this, then it is 45%. And then as you say, then you're really in a very bad situation. And maybe you win the House. And I don't know. There's so much hope in the liberal circles among our friends that winning the House is going to make a huge difference.
Starting point is 00:32:34 And I've tried to think concretely, well, why actually is it going to make a huge difference? I mean, we're not talking about legislation or anything. They'll have oversight hearings. Trump's not going to, the administration just won't show up, or they'll show up and stiff arm them. Exactly. I mean, the degree to which people are sort of...I guess I've come back to a point you've made
Starting point is 00:32:52 many times that you were way ahead of the curve on, and I think many of us, the rest of us at the bulwark were too, to some degrees. It's very hard to come to grips with what's happening. It's very hard not to want to revert to politics as normal and start to think about it as if it's the 1994 cycle, the 2006 cycle or whatever and here are the obstacles. If only the Democrats were a little more moderate in some of their rhetoric and didn't say this. Some of the Harvard students would behave better. He wouldn't be trying to destroy Harvard University. I'm sort of beyond that in that respect.
Starting point is 00:33:27 Obviously, one should criticize the Harvard students for doing things that are stupid and wrong, and I'm happy to, but that's not. We're way beyond that. We're way beyond that. Not in a good way. Especially the immigrants. The Harvard students are entitled and will see well off, kids with great futures and they should behave better.
Starting point is 00:33:47 The idea that he's getting these immigrants who are showing up, where is he picking them up as Miller had told them when they came to the White House? Miller yelled at them, you're not arresting enough people. You can't just arrest certified criminals. You got to go to the 7-Elevens and the Home Depots and arrest them in the parking lots where they're waiting for their day shifts, their day labor. In fact, as I understand it, in Los Angeles and its environs, in Paramount, that's where
Starting point is 00:34:16 the actual big arrests were and actually where some of the disturbances began because some of those heavily Hispanic areas, Paramount is 80% Hispanic, I think. So yeah, I mean, Americans don't find that repulsive that these people are working and paying taxes, but mostly probably, and in any case, working hard and doing their best and they're being treated in this way. I don't know, I guess I just, the immigration, I think for some reason, gets at me more in a way, even more because of the,
Starting point is 00:34:50 some of this, because they do have some of the law on their side, obviously, it's these people who are documented, and some of them, and so many of them, and so forth, but I don't know, it's just the kind of stupidity and cruelty, and there I do think the nativism that's so strong that we've seen so much in the reaction to that. That's something I underestimated. Didn't you? I don't know. Did you think that America was full of people who really hated and resented and were willing, these people
Starting point is 00:35:16 who were here and who weren't bothering them? If anything, the only encounters people had with them was when they came and helped build the house next door, right? And maybe they had some encounter that was less pleasant. I don't mean to say that's impossible. And did we know that? Did I? I didn't know. I didn't understand that there was so much nativism to be tapped and exploited. I mean, it took me a while to find that out.
Starting point is 00:35:40 But I would say that I figured that out before yesterday. One of the hallmarks of the Republican Party has been people in Alabama whose children go to like the most conservative public school in the world getting upset that some community in San Francisco runs their school differently, right? This is, you know, like, what do you care, Cletus down in, you know, Bumblefuck, Alabama, what do you care if a bunch of hippies wanna rename their kids school and teach whatever, right? And, but that's the animating,
Starting point is 00:36:23 that's the animating principle of the right at this point. It's that somebody somewhere is doing something I don't like, and I'm going to stop them because I have the power now. Fair enough. But I would just, we shouldn't go on and let people go, but I would just say this is a little different because this isn't someone somewhere doing something I don't like. This is people whose color I don't like or whose national origin I don't like who are not literally are doing nothing that affects me.
Starting point is 00:36:50 They're not taking my job. They're not taking a place at Harvard from a place of my kid or whatever, all these excuses. They're living somewhere where they're working, helping to do what? Working in restaurants or building houses or something. In these cases, that's not all there is, of course. I am happy to see ICE agents showing up in masks and arresting them and humiliating them.
Starting point is 00:37:14 That part I find worse than stupid to dislike a school system a thousand miles away and there's a weird psychological thing of I don't want them doing that. Okay, it's a kind of bullying, it's a kind of overreach you might say. It doesn't understand how a free society works, decentralized society. But the immigrant stuff, the cruelty of the attitude towards the immigrants is I feel like it's greater.
Starting point is 00:37:39 That's an excellent point. All right, guys, I mean, I don't want to tell you most depressing, most depressing, it's a bullwork, bullwork podcast ever. Maybe, you know, yeah, it's gonna, I would just say this, I'm gonna write an emergency newsletter tonight, and I'm gonna get it out because I want people to be thinking about this when they wake up on Monday. This is, I believe, one of the more dangerous weeks in American history.
Starting point is 00:38:05 And there are a lot of things coming together in ways that are helpful to Trump and helpful to his project. And buckle up. Alright, Bill, thanks for coming out. Follow the feed. We will try to all get through this together somehow. Good luck, America.

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