Bulwark Takes - Trump’s “Peace” Presidency Keeps Threatening New Wars

Episode Date: November 4, 2025

JVL and Andrew Egger take on Trump’s threat to attack Nigeria over Christian persecution, and how genuine policy gets warped by his “guns blazing” posturing making it unclear what will happen ne...xt.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, everyone, JVL here with the bulwarks, Andrew Eger, and Andrew, we've got the peace president, Donald Trump, threatening some more war. Last Friday, he designated Nigeria a country of particular concern. Thank you for your attention to this matter, because there's some bad violence happening in Nigeria and Christians are being targeted by some Muslims. We get into the actual particulars this in a moment. But then the president tweeted the next day. If the Nigerian government continues to allow the killing of Christians, the USA will immediately stop all aid and assistance to Nigeria and may very well go into that now disgraced country, guns ablazing quotes, for some reason. To completely wipe out the Islamic terrorists who are committing these horrible atrocities, I am hereby instructing our department. of war to prepare for possible action.
Starting point is 00:01:01 If we attack, it will be fast, vicious, and sweet. Just like the terrorist thugs attack our cherished Christians. Warning, the Nigerian government better move fast. To which, the Secretary of Defense, not the Secretary of War, replied on Twitter, a little cross-platform action, Yes, sir. The killing of innocent Christians in Nigeria and anywhere must end immediately. So, Andrew, that's all happening.
Starting point is 00:01:38 What are your thoughts? I guess America first is now Christians first. Is that how it works? Are we the world's policeman again? Did I miss that? I like that. I'm a guy who likes America being interventionist and standing up for human rights across the country, across the globe.
Starting point is 00:01:54 I think that's a good thing. Is that back on? They turn it on and they turn it off kind of as as Donald Trump feels the need to do so. This is the way it's gone for a while. This is a story where you basically have like the old kind of normal way of doing things, smashing very quickly into Donald Trump's style of doing things and the two different styles bounce off of each other in very strange ways. It is true that for a while there's been a group of Republican senators who have been trying to get Donald
Starting point is 00:02:26 Trump's attention about Nigeria. And they've been saying that the U.S. government needs to declare that there are significant infringements on religious liberty happening in Nigeria. It's kind of a weird country. It's like 50-50, almost Christian and Muslim. There's, you know, different ethnic tensions and different religious tensions. And there have been flare-ups of violence increasingly, according to these senators. Obviously, people have probably heard of Boko Haram, which is an Islamist group that operates out of the north of Nigeria there. So all of that is like a real thing that's happening. And there's like real policy. And Nigeria is kind of an important country. People may not realize this, but Nigeria's got like 230 million people. I think it's the
Starting point is 00:03:05 sixth largest country in the world. It's actually one of the big economic powerhouses in Africa. Lagos has 20 million people, 21 million. I mean, Lagos is a really big city. Right. I mean, it's Nigeria's not just, it's not like just some backwater. Right. It's it's like a big important country whose stability is important to America, or at least used to be important to America, back when we cared about global stability. Yeah. And so, and so, like, all of that stuff is kind of like normal policy stuff, right? I mean, this list is perfectly wrong.
Starting point is 00:03:39 The countries of, you know, most concern there, like under the International Religious Freedom Act, that's kind of normal stuff. You know, Nigeria was on that list. In the first Trump term, came off during Biden. Now these senators are saying put it back on. But then, you know, Donald Trump, he, it catches his eye. You know, some people around him have been talking about this a lot. So somebody brings it up and he's like, you know, now we're in Trump world.
Starting point is 00:04:02 Now we're going to do Trump stuff. So he is going to negotiate the way that he negotiates. And that is by threatening to go in guns of blazing, which is, you know, very much not exactly what these guys had in mind. You know, they were, they were thinking, put them on this list, you know, we'll get some diplomatic pressure, some, some perhaps some sanctions or things like that. But now, now the threat is active troops on the ground, I guess, or at least, you know, missiles in the sky war against Islamist groups in Nigeria, which is like... Fast, vicious and sweet. Yeah, yeah. Vicious and sweet?
Starting point is 00:04:33 I know, right? The lingering over the, over that stuff is also always a weird part of this stuff. But the weird thing is, like, nobody knows whether to take it even a little bit seriously, right? I mean, here's the president. He's saying, here come the bombers, if you don't solve this, these long simmering ethnic tensions. immediately. But even like the Nigerian government is- The country where maybe some of the Christians require aid.
Starting point is 00:04:57 Well, yeah, and that's that is the other sort of like bizarre thing that's hanging over all of this, right? Is that we being the U.S. government, the American people, used to send quite a lot of aid to a lot of African countries and different countries all around the world. But, but, you know, Nigeria was previously getting about a billion dollars a year, at least recently, in various forms of humanitarian aid through USAID, some of that is still, obviously USAID is no more. We are still sending some humanitarian aid, but like different, different programs like, you know, HIV prevention and stabilization and treatment that we used to spend a lot of money on for a bunch of different, you know, population groups in Nigeria. That has been completely canceled by the Trump administration. And now what humanitarian aid continues to go into that country, that is part of the
Starting point is 00:05:46 threat here. I don't know if we, we kind of glossed. over that at the beginning. But that was the first thing he said. He's like, we're putting this country on this list. And if the government can't figure out how to stop, you know, these, these terror groups from doing what they're doing, we're going to cancel all aid to the country. And furthermore, we are threatening war. So like the threat of war is, is perhaps just like one of these Trump like negotiating, do I have your attention now of kind of tactics? Maybe. Who knows? But the threat of yanking the aid seems very real because that's, that is, you know, the, the way he has treated these sorts of situations is like, well, it's a win,
Starting point is 00:06:18 in for us like we will we will save a little money and we'll punish you for this thing that we think you ought to be doing more but but if the question is like how does the trump administration want to make sure that a any Nigerians but also be Christians in Nigeria are are like treated well and like our cherished Christians are doing well over there it's a completely incoherent and like like just just totally insane sort of approach to the whole thing that like well you look we're gonna we're going to cut every sort of like financial lifeline that you might have been relying on. That's all gone. But don't worry. If anybody comes and kills you, we're going to like drone strike them after the fact. You know, like that, that's kind of like the position that that is being
Starting point is 00:06:57 laid out here. And it's, it's just a very, very weird sort of diplomatic and foreign policy moment we're all living in. I, at this point, I raise a practical question. Do you think the president is aware that the Christians in Nigeria are black? stands to reason seems likelier than unlikely. Do you think he does understand that? Because I got to say, part of me thinks that this all reads like somebody got in his ear on Friday and was like, sir, sir, Christians being killed in Nigeria, really bad. You know, the Christians are your people. They voted for you very strongly.
Starting point is 00:07:36 Many of your strongest supporters are Christians. And Trump was just like, yeah, okay. Yeah, let's tweet about this. We got to make them stop. I'm not sure that he I feel like maybe he's thinking about Nigerian Christians as like the front row Joe's. Maybe not like
Starting point is 00:07:50 actually what Christians in the global South look like. Yeah. There is absolutely an element of like, you know, the our cherished Christians thing is very much like that. I mean, Donald Trump sees Christianity around the world as one of his groups because that's
Starting point is 00:08:06 been his experience in the United States is sort of like the evangelicals he has surrounded himself with being extremely gung-ho. my guess is that like that looms larger for him because that that's the biggest thing for him for any person or any people group is like how they are on like the maga question in his mind much more so even than you know the racial stuff or whatever i do think that donald trump has a pretty good sense of where the the few white people who live in africa are because he continues to give them preferential treatment for refugee policies over here also true yeah like the africanters in uh in south
Starting point is 00:08:38 Africa have been coming out pretty well under this administration. So my my understanding is that if you were to quiz him on that particular question, he would be able to answer it correctly. Okay. And that's just that's right. Maybe that's right. So the peace president, no more endless wars, Donald Trump, we are 11 months. No, 12 months. Well, no, I guess 12 months into his election. It's still like nine months into his term, right? So far he has threatened to invade and annexed, both Greenland and Canada, he said that having those two countries be part of the United States was vital to our national security interests
Starting point is 00:09:21 and has refused to take military force off the table. As far as I can tell, even though he doesn't talk about them often, he hasn't said that they are no longer vital to our national security interest. So, I mean, maybe they still are. I don't know. He has conducted a large-scale bombing strike against Iran. He is in the process of attacking boats off the coast of Venezuela, which from everything we can tell, they have alleged drug suppliers on board them, but they are unarmed and there isn't any proof or evidence that these people are narcotics traffickers. He has said that he wants to start testing nuclear weapons immediately, just start setting off nukes.
Starting point is 00:10:09 And now he has threatened to go into Nigeria guns ablazing in an attack that will be fast, vicious, and sweet. That's the peace president. No more endless wars. Are we still doing that? Or now are we on to the phase of consolidation of dictatorship where we don't. have to pretend to be the peace guy anymore, we can just run around rattling our savers and threatening people because now his people like that stuff. I'm very confused. I think they're both going to, I think both narratives will soldier on. I think we will still get, you know, him talking about
Starting point is 00:10:45 I'm serious, dead serious. I think he will continue to do the peacetime president thing. It was only just last week that there were all those tweets about the console wars. I don't even remember this, but like the White House was, was like throwing the Xbox for PlayStation thing on top of all of the, all of the wars he has prevented over the year. I mean, he's not going to stop ringing that bell until he gets his Nobel Peace Prize or dies. Like, that's, that is, he is dead set on getting that prize. And so he has to continue to make that argument. I think that it is somewhat difficult to do that while you are also sort of like repositioning,
Starting point is 00:11:16 uh, U.S. military units, uh, sort of, again, off the coast of Venezuela and like more openly than ever talking about regime change there, um, as well as all these other things. We didn't even talk about Yemen. I think in your list there was another. Oh, yeah, that's right. The Houthis. We've been hitting them pretty harder. We were back in the day.
Starting point is 00:11:31 Back in the day, maybe several weeks ago. Yeah, exactly. Yeah, last week is as distant to me as the burning of Rome, as they say on Twitter. But, but yeah, I think we're going to get them both for a little while yet, at least until we actually get into a real shooting war with somebody, at which point it might be time to stow that away and start ringing the your country needs you sort of bell again if we ever get there. We'll see. So let me, let me propose to you my lens through which I view this is that I think his base loves when he threatens to go blow up people who aren't white. That is real good for them. That makes a, you know, you know what I'm saying?
Starting point is 00:12:10 And so long as he chickens out and never does anything beyond like remote drone strikes, right? things that never involve a single person even getting shot at. He can always just declare victory and say, see, I rattled my saber, I pulled them, I was going to invade, and then they did what I want. Art of the deal. It's all art of the deal. And he gets to have it both ways. That part is absolutely true. I mean, I just think it works for him politically.
Starting point is 00:12:46 Yeah. And that has been Trump's superpower forever is the sort of over. promise, stop whenever you feel like it's time to, like, whenever you, whenever there's diminishing returns on like the moves that you're making in terms of just sort of like basic excitement and things like that. And yeah, and declare the problem solved, declare that, you know, your theatrical over-threatening or whatever was what brought them all to the table in the first place and got them where you needed them to be. And, and yes, a mission accomplished and move on and go home. I will say that there has been a certain amount of ethnic equal opportunity
Starting point is 00:13:15 in some of the saber-rattling because, I mean, you did mention Greenland and Canada before. famously home to quite a lot of fair-skinned, fair-haired types. But yeah, I mean, it's, it is sort of like the same song and dance everywhere here. The thing that is so fascinating about this particular one, just to circle around to me, like I don't want to minimize the stuff that is actually happening in Nigeria. It does seem like there's, like, real violence taking place on the ground. And, like, the policy move for one thing. Like, I, I, I'm, you know, I'm a humanitarian intervention guy.
Starting point is 00:13:43 Like, I, yeah, yeah, I'm not, I'm not clowning on him for, like, because I think, like, oh, we shouldn't do the nickname. these things happen all over the world, right? There are lots of things that are going on in Darfur right now. Horrible. Like horrific, horrific ethnic cleansing and genocide. I think they're not Christians, though. So I haven't seen a lot coming from the White House about that stuff.
Starting point is 00:14:05 Yeah, yeah. And it always is just sort of filtered through, like, his own personal lenses on this stuff, which is, you know, sometimes every once in a while that is not that bad. Every once in a while it, like, adds up to something good. Like, I don't know. Again, like we were just saying we don't mind that he is like trying to put the squeeze on the Nigerian government to do more about this stuff. That's the whole point of the law in the first place. But the problem is, of course, as you say, anytime he is called on to sort of extend the same sort of a magnanimity toward any group that doesn't immediately code to him as Trump loves. So yeah, it's a it's a bit of a problem. Great. Well, Andrew, this is all fantastic. Andrew, catch you on the other side. Everyone else. America.

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