Catalyst with Shayle Kann - Solving the cow burp problem

Episode Date: January 26, 2024

Agriculture in the U.S. produces more methane than the American oil and gas industry, and the biggest share of that agricultural methane is from enteric fermentation – essentially cow burps. Cows an...d other ruminant animals release methane because of the way they digest food. And as animal protein consumption rises, so will enteric emissions. It’s a problem for climate change, but also for farmers. Methane is wasted energy that could have been used for beef or dairy production – and so enteric methane production is a challenge that researchers have been trying to solve for years. Some promising solutions are starting to make it into practice. In this episode, Shayle talks to Charles Brooke, program manager for enteric methane at Spark Climate Solutions. Shayle and Charles cover topics like: Why most enteric methane comes from small-holder pasture-raised animals, instead of feed-lot-raised animals. The different solutions in the pipeline, such as better livestock management, feed additives, vaccines, and breeding. The challenges with feed additives that animals must eat everyday, like bromoform, Bovaer, and 3-NOP. How vaccines and breeding could shift global populations more permanently. The barriers to adoption, such as regulatory hurdles and public skepticism. Recommended Resources: Federation of American Scientists: Climate-Smart Cattle: US Research and Development Will Improve Animal Productivity, Address Greenhouse Gases, and Hasten Additional Market Solutions USAID: Endline Methane Assessment of KCDMS Dairy and Fodder Value Chain Activities in Kenya Food Climate Research Network: Grazed and Confused  American Society for Microbiology: The Role of microbes in Mediating Climate Change Environmental Defense Fund: Tackling Enteric Methane Catalyst is supported by Antenna Group. For 25 years, Antenna has partnered with leading clean-economy innovators to build their brands and accelerate business growth. If you’re a startup, investor, enterprise or innovation ecosystem that’s creating positive change, Antenna is ready to power your impact. Visit antennagroup.com to learn more.

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Starting point is 00:00:01 Latitude Media, podcast at the frontier of climate technology. I'm Shale Khan, and this is Catalyst. Ruminants, in general, cattle, sheep, goats, they eat really complex organic matter like grass, and they ferment it. So, you know, cattle are just giant fermentation vessels on legs. Listen, we've moved past the cow burp jokes, okay? Grow up. When utilities need flexible capacity they can count on,
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Starting point is 00:01:39 Apple, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Shail Khan. I invest in revolutionary climate technologies at energy impact partners. Welcome. So at this point, I think most climate conscious people know that cows and other ruminant animals are responsible for a pretty significant portion of greenhouse gas emissions. But what I think most people don't recognize yet is what a challenge it's going to be to eliminate these emissions or even significantly reduce them. Sure, there are alternative proteins and alternative diets, but even in a pretty ambitious success case, it would take a very long time to truly replace the world's currently growing consumption of meat and dairy. and absent basically getting rid of a significant portion of the world's billion and a half cows,
Starting point is 00:02:27 the other options are tricky, either because they only work on certain cattle, say those that are fed in a feedlot rather than pasture or grazing, or because they haven't been proven technically, or even because if they do work, they still might have something of a marginal impact on total emissions from any given cow. But it's a ripe area of research and innovation. It's undeniably unsolved. So let's talk through the state of affairs.
Starting point is 00:02:53 With me this week was Charles Brooke, who leads the interic methane program at Spark Climate Solutions. And as you will hear, Charles can tell you everything you need to know about cow burps. Charles, welcome. Hi, Shail, how are you? Thank you for having me today. I'm very excited to talk about interic methane emissions, starting with the mechanics, I guess.
Starting point is 00:03:13 So can you explain just what causes interic methane emissions? Like, where does it come from and why? Yeah, intermic methane emissions are really can be thought of as a waste process, right? This is the waste process for ruminant animals to get rid of the end process of their metabolisms. Ruminants in general, cattle, sheep, goats, they eat really complex organic matter like grass, which is a complex, you know, a substrate, and they ferment it. So, you know, cattle are just giant fermentation vessels on legs. And they break down this matter and generate CO2 and hydrogen and methanogens inside the
Starting point is 00:03:58 rumen, combine those to produce methane, which the cow burps out. And some of that methane is also absorbed into the bloodstream and breathed out their lungs. And that is the largest source of methane, anthropogenic source of methane globally. And can you just go a little bit more into the mechanics of that? Or maybe from evolutionary perspective. Like, why did ruminants evolve methanogens? What is happening in the rumin that makes it worthwhile to, you know, ingest grass and produce methane?
Starting point is 00:04:31 Right. Well, I mean, you have a lot of open forage. So you have how grass is available. The problem is it's bound in complex forms and the energy isn't available for the animal. So you need a complex mixture of organisms that are able to break down. that matter into smaller and smaller bites. And then they eventually generate volatile fatty acids and simple sugars that the animal can actually use.
Starting point is 00:04:57 And this is a mixture of anaerobic fungi, bacteria, protozoa, viruses even. And they all work in concert to deliver this. But in that process, if you have too much hydrogen buildup, the process will stop. And you'll get back up of this metabolic process. And so we need a good way to remove these waste processes in both CO2 and hydrogen. So by combining them and forming that gas and then liberating that via burps out of the system, you're able to effectively remove hydrogen from the system.
Starting point is 00:05:31 And how much, we're going to talk later about ways to mitigate interic methane emissions, including feed additives, but setting aside the sort of new feed additives that we humans are introducing. Like, how much variability is there in the amount of methane, that is produced by, let's just say, like apples to apples, the same cow eating one type of grass or one type of feed versus another type of feed. Is it a substantial variability or is it pretty consistent? Yeah, the diet can generate wild variability in how much methane and animal actually produces. So, for instance, the large discrepancy is dairy cows versus like beef cattle or beef cattle in a feed lot. So dairy cattle are fed of forage,
Starting point is 00:06:15 fashion, higher in fiber content. Overall, dry matter intakes increase. And that's really the number one indicator how much of methane and animals is going to create is how much dry matter they're actually intaking. But when it comes to like a beef feedlot, these animals are generally fed a higher ration of grain. These simpler sugars, easier to digest.
Starting point is 00:06:39 They pass through the rumen much faster. And they're not as metagenic. So beef animals produce significantly less at the feedlot state than, say, a dairy animal. Which is kind of interesting just because I feel like the general rhetoric on like climate conscious food consumption would assume that eating beef is much worse than drinking dairy, right? Yes. But from at the cow level, that's not necessarily true. Not necessarily at the cow level, but we're also, we need to think about volume, right? So how many cows are each one of these systems?
Starting point is 00:07:16 So we can take an example for like the U.S. we're talking about 90 million beef cattle, whereas we have about 12 million dairy cows. So the volume of animals necessary to produce products is significantly larger for the beef sector. But and the dairy animals live longer, right? They're not harvested at the intervals that beef animals are harvested. They're usually, you know, five, six years old,
Starting point is 00:07:40 have gone through multiple, lactation cycles, whereas beef animals, you know, they're raised for the end point of slaughtering meat. So, overall, their life span is shorter, and in the end per animal, yes, dairy might produce more, but it also depends on what stage of the beef cycle you're at. Let's talk about how big a problem this is and then get back down into the weeds of it. Like, in aggregate, how much methane emissions, and I guess translating that to, CO2 equivalent. Like how much of the world's greenhouse gas emissions is due to interric emissions from ruminants? Sure, yeah. So we can talk about it a couple of different ways. So in global
Starting point is 00:08:24 warming potential, when you look at the overall methane emissions globally, agriculture is about 40%. And 70% of that is interic methane. Now, on a warming standpoint, we're talking about half a degree C of warming effect is due to methane, and about a little over 0.1 degree C, about a fifth of the warming from methane, is resulted from interic methane. Yeah, and so to contextualize that, like, that's more than, I don't know, all trucks in the world.
Starting point is 00:08:56 Like, it's a big number. It's bigger than you might appreciate it if you hadn't really, like, you know, sliced and diced the greenhouse gas pie. Right. Yeah, in the U.S. specifically, the U.S. system is a little bit different than some others. we have a little bit more methane emissions from manure, for instance, for how we manage it. But between inter-fermentation and manure management in the U.S., that's more methane than our natural gas systems, petroleum systems, and coal mining combined.
Starting point is 00:09:25 It's a significant portion, and globally, it's a major portion of the methane emissions that we can try to address. Let's break that down a little bit more. You mentioned the U.S. I'm interested in both the regional perspective and the sort of animal-type perspective. So of the total and terra commissions globally, like, where is it coming from geographically, predominantly? Like, where are the ruminants? And then second, I know there are big differences. You already mentioned the differences, for example, between dairy cattle and beef cattle, but I know there's also big differences between, for example, feedlot animals and pasture animals. So can you just give me like a couple different slices of a breakdown of where these emissions come from. Absolutely. Yeah, you know, by country, region, the large proportions are from
Starting point is 00:10:14 the Americas, you know, the North, North and South Americas and Asia, with actually India being the largest concentration of cattle globally. About a fifth of the cattle population is in India. And that's followed by Brazil, you know, in South America. And then China, little over 100 million had, the U.S. is a little over 100 million animals. And globally, we're talking about 1.5 billion cattle. And it's not just the numbers, right? Because you could say, well, a fifth or in India, we should be focusing on where most of the head are.
Starting point is 00:10:55 It really has to do with their efficiency as well and how they're managed. Because how they're managed is directly related to how much method they're going to produce and how productive those animals are. So broken down, you know, we have kind of the five big one, and that's, you know, India, Brazil, China, U.S., Argentina, the EU. And most of that is cattle, so 77% of that is cattle. And then there's a, like a 15% is actually buffalo.
Starting point is 00:11:26 And then we have smaller ruminants, like sheeps and goats, which make up a much smaller section of the emissions. Buffalo, I would not have known. just, I don't know, where are there a lot of buffalo? India. There's actually a lot of water buffalo in India. They are quite a resilient, quite a resilient species. And, you know, they're also in, we kind of, you know, frame the context here. We often think about cattle raising and, you know, livestock production systems in a U.S. context. They're in a high-income country context.
Starting point is 00:11:59 And that's not the context that we're operating in in these systems. These are smallholder farms where these individual producers might have one to two acres of land and they might have three to four animals. But there's tens of millions of smallholder farmers in this instance. So these animals like these buffalo, for instance, are serving multiple purposes. They might be work animals. They might be status symbols in some instances. And they're also serving as a form of bank account for these. These are a form of resiliency for smallholder farmers.
Starting point is 00:12:36 And how they're, again, how they're managed plays into their emissions. So like an animal on pasture is going to produce significantly more methane than the animal on a feedlot, right? And that also will come back to this pasture versus feedlot question, I think, because when we talk about some of the solutions that are being proposed, like they are easier to implement in one case or another. overall, though, what portion of either, what portion of ruminants or what portion of emissions comes from sort of feedlot cattle versus pasture cattle? Yeah, so my projection is about over 80% of the emissions are from animals on pasture. Okay. So we'll keep that 80% in our heads and we get back to some of the potential solutions. I guess final question on the sort of state of affairs, like, what's the trajectory?
Starting point is 00:13:24 Is the world, you know, where you said 1.5 billion cattle today, Is that number steady, dramatically increasing? I mean, you'd imagine, right? Like, if the majority of it is in India, places Brazil, China, places with a lot of population growth, unless the diet is changing substantially, like these numbers are just going up. No, absolutely.
Starting point is 00:13:44 And all the models that we have indicate that exactly. And we're expecting animal protein consumption to increase by about 20% by mid-century, about 2050. And that's going to result, did it increase in emissions from livestock production by about 46%. And that's largely due to where this growth is going to be seen in a lot of these small-holder settings. All right.
Starting point is 00:14:09 So the obvious question is, what do you do about it? This is a lot of greenhouse gas emissions, and it's increasing. I guess the first point to make is that there's a non-greenhouse gas emissions-oriented argument to try to solve this problem in some ways, which is that, you know, in an ideal world, you don't want methane emissions, even setting aside the global warming potential of it, you don't want methane emissions from ruminants because it's basically wasted energy, right? Yeah, that is true. And there's been a lot of efforts in the space to try to harness that wasted energy. And a lot of people come into the field and they come into understanding interic methane
Starting point is 00:14:51 and they think it's a new field. But the reality is, we've been trying to solve this interic methane emissions problem on an efficiency standpoint for since the 1960s. And in the guise of if we can yield that energy that's going to methane into milk or meat, we can have far more productive animals. And so that's really been the focus of a lot of the research until the early 2000s. We really started to shift and it started to be this combination strategy of understanding the climate impacts of methane generally and inter-fermentation. and how we could couple that to efficiency improvements.
Starting point is 00:15:29 And so prior to the 2000s and when we started thinking about it from a greenhouse gas emissions perspective, what was the thrust of that research? What were the ideas people were proposing? A lot of it's similar to some of the early work we've seen today. Forage changes and tannins being delivered in feed rations. There certainly wasn't as strong of a push in finding individual inhibitors.
Starting point is 00:15:53 but you know there's some products that have been on the market i mean chloroform was used very early on to reduce methane emissions and catalysts just not very good for the animal you know it could reduce methane production but overall not really a sustainable strategy um but overall we measure methane on a regular basis for developing feed rations to ensure that we're not losing too much energy right this you know methane emissions is a regular uh measurement in respiration chamber studies to understand what our energy loss is and try to reduce that. So between 2 and 12 percent is generally thought to be what we could gain if we were able to redirect that energy into actual productive processes.
Starting point is 00:16:42 All right, so let's talk about the suite of proposed solutions as it stands today. Maybe starting with the, you know, I think about this similar to soil carbon and other sort of ag-related emissions categories where there's a suite of things that are just practice changes that generally have a pretty muted impact but are the easiest to implement. And then, you know, it gets more and more, I don't know, directly influential on the thing and harder to implement as you scale up. So let's think about it in that context, starting with just the operational changes. Like, what are the things that can be done by an individual farmer to produce methane emissions? So first I'd like to kind of put this in a smallholder context.
Starting point is 00:17:27 So in kind of the lower intensity systems, what could they do to decrease emissions? And it's a host of management changes and how we approach production. So a grazing animal, this is a real example at a Kenya. So a grazing animal supplemented with some low-quality byproducts, they're just foraging out on pasture, they're going to produce probably 180 liters of milk a year. That's probably a two to three month milking cycle. It's like two liters a day. It's not a lot of milk.
Starting point is 00:18:03 That animal is going to produce about 55 kilos of methane during that year. Now, if we're able to maximize that animal's productivity, if it was fed properly, it had the proper supplementation, we really dialed in its diet. We could change that dramatically. It would be fed more, so it would actually produce more methane. So if you put it on a full production ration, it would probably boost up to about 90 kilos of methane per year.
Starting point is 00:18:34 So almost double the methane per that animal. But that animal is going to milk longer. You could produce up to 4,600 liters a year from that 180, right? We're talking a 20-fold increase in milk production. And then, so if you compare that to how many animals were on, that basal diet, you could displace 25 animals. If as long as you, you know, if that met your demand, right? If you were able to meet your demand with less animals, that's really the goal of improving
Starting point is 00:19:05 the production systems in these smallholder contexts. And so that's an argument to provide better, that's an argument for economic development in some ways, right? It's just an argument to provide smallholder farmers with better access to cattle feed because those cattle will become way more efficient. And even if they individually produce more methane, it'll be way less methane per liter of milk produced, basically. Absolutely, yeah. This is the intensity argument, right?
Starting point is 00:19:31 It's the amount of methane produced per amount of product. So it's an opportunity for farmers to understand what feeds they have available to them regionally, what they can and should grow to maximize their production. and education, again, opportunity for them to maximize that production. But they also need markets, right, to sell that in. Because if you're one farmer and you're used to making, you know, you had five cows, you make 10 liters of milk a day, and now you're, you know, quadruple that, you can't drink all that milk.
Starting point is 00:20:01 So you need effective market systems to distribute that to people who do and those that can pay for it as well. So just so that we have a basis for comparison as we talk about some of these next things that people are, proposing. What is the total efficiency improvement that we think this might enable? The projections are about 20%. We can abate about 20% of the emissions that we're expected to increase by this improvement in efficiency. It's actually one of the largest sectors of marginal abatement that we've modeled.
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Starting point is 00:22:03 you get your podcasts. Okay, and now, so let's move up the chain of like more complex intervention, I guess, and talk about what I think has been, at least in the world of climate tech and like startups and innovations and financing activity, where most of the attention dollars have gone, which is to feed additives. Basically, feed the cattle something new, and that thing new prohibits some amount of methane emissions. You just talk about that category broadly and how you sort of break it down? Sure, yeah. So generally, there's a couple of different classes. of feed additives, based on how they work. There are additives that we consider alternative hydrogen sinks.
Starting point is 00:22:50 So these are compounds that keep hydrogen away from methanogens and decrease the amount that's actually formed in methane. And then there are methanogenesis inhibitors. So these are chemical or natural or synthetic compounds that directly inhibit enzymes in the methanogenesis pathway. And so those are the kind of the two. large classes that have been developed. And been several years of research behind them, the alternative hydrogen acceptors, things
Starting point is 00:23:21 like nitrate has been a common one, although its general efficacy is generally lower than 10%, and there's a limit to how much you can feed. There are compounds like lactate and fumarate, which are hydrogen acceptors and can lead into propionate production, which is a good volatile fatty acids, helps fat production in animals. But when you switch to methanogenesis inhibitors, some of the large ones are like three nitroxypropanol, which is sold under the trade name Beauvais. That was developed by DSM. And that is, and that was a direct effort. I mean, they went through the methanogenesis pathway and developed a compound to inhibit methanogenesis. And then there were natural compounds like those found in
Starting point is 00:24:07 the red seaweed aspyrogypso-taxiformis, the halogens, like brogents, like brookin. And so bromiform, I mentioned earlier that chloroform was a compound used to reduce methane early on, but it's not great to use chloroform. Bromiform has a similar mode of action, just not as toxic as chloroform. So, you know, it was just found in higher abundance in some of the tropical red seaweeds. And that has spurred quite a lot of innovation for growing asparagopsis for this purpose. Right. So these are the two, I think, best-known pathways here. As you said, DSM has its own product. That's that specific one. That's three-nop. The product name is Beauvais. And then there's a bunch of companies that are pursuing different ways to produce and feed bromiform, largely in the form of asperagopsis, asparagus being this red seaweed that happens to produce it. And then there's a bunch of different, formulations based on that. In both of those cases, I mean, you mentioned the efficacy of the first path, the hydrogen acceptors path, basically being sub 10%. What have we seen in terms of efficacy
Starting point is 00:25:20 on Bovare and the various formulations of bromiform? So we do find as efficacy is dependent on diet, in most cases, at least how much you have to feed. But generally, 3NOP can deliver, and it has very consistently delivered an average about 30% reduction, absolutely, across. the board. Whereas bromiform has had quite a bit of variability. We see that in beef cattle. So on a ration, like a beef feedlot ration, high grain, up to 90% reduction, massive reductions. But those animals are also producing less methane already.
Starting point is 00:25:59 Whereas in a dairy setting, that same compound is maybe going to achieve 40, maybe 60% in a dairy cow. So the variability is significant, and why that is isn't always clear. It takes a lot of animals to do these studies, and we also don't understand the adaptation to these products over time. And that's why we need these longer-term studies
Starting point is 00:26:29 to understand, is this product going to work for six months? Is it going to work for a year? Or throughout the life of this animal, can I just adopt this as a regular practice? Do I need to cycle these on and off? There's a lot of unknowns right now about the long-term efficacy of these products. And then, of course, there's the other challenge, which is these are feed additives, so you have to feed them to the cattle. And the question is, how often do you have to feed them to the cattle? And if you have to feed them to the cattle very often, that limits you to feed lot or feedlot-like animals,
Starting point is 00:26:59 which, as I said before, we'll come back to later because that is a very small minority of all cattle. in the world, right? So how do you think about the kind of scope and applicability of these feed additives in total? And is there any prospect of sort of solving that problem for pasture animals? So as far as pasture-based delivery, things like 3NOP, the actual size of the molecule is generally considered too large to be delivered in a smaller format. So one of the delivery formats that we've been entertaining is a bolus. Boluses are kind of standard practice for delivering minerals, you know, vitamins, nutrients, to cattle.
Starting point is 00:27:43 And really what it is is a really think about a large, hard-pressed pill that you would, you know, take in your vitamin mix every morning. It's like that. And it's inserted into the room, and it might be up 300 grams. And it sits there and slow releases over time. Now, obviously the size of that's going to be the limiting factor. and the mode of action. Three in OP, you have to feed that thing twice a day
Starting point is 00:28:07 because it metabolizes very quickly. It works very well, but it metabolizes very quickly. There have been some efforts to try to put Bromaphorm, much smaller molecule, into a slow-release bolus format. But this is really the next bastion of research that is needed. We understand, you know, the beachhead market that these high-income, you know, countries, their dairies, large, intensive dairy systems, and feedlots that we can deliver these products into,
Starting point is 00:28:36 but we need to be innovating for the pasture setting. And there are a couple of different approaches in that, you know, bolus included, that we're starting to see. And one of those is similar like vaccine development in this space, and then also breeding. Breeding can be a very, is a very interesting prospect in this area. So that's a good segue. So we've talked about the feed additive category.
Starting point is 00:29:02 Let's talk about vaccines. vaccines earlier in development, nothing really in the market yet, but there are some efforts to develop vaccines that might. You can imagine why vaccines are attractive here, by the way, like inherently lower cost structure. If they last long enough, you don't need a booster every day, then you've got a solution to your pasture problem as well. Also, cows are given lots of vaccines already. This is a mode of delivery that's not inherently disruptive. Where are we in the in the journey of trying to develop vaccines here. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:29:35 And similar question on efficacy. Like, what do we know about what the efficacy of a vaccine might be? Sure, yeah. I will say, we're talking early days. But some of the first efforts came out of New Zealand. We've been working on a vaccine out of New Zealand, I think, for over 10 years now.
Starting point is 00:29:52 But it hasn't really had the focus that it has and really in the overall climate perspective that we're seeing today. So that's ag research out of New Zealand. In the U.S., there's a company, Al-QA-Bio, which are actively trying to develop vaccines for this. And it is tricky because the rumin doesn't really have an immune system, right? It doesn't have an effective mechanism to deliver antibodies.
Starting point is 00:30:21 You know, you and I, we get a vaccine, and we have antigens that target a – or excuse me, antibodies that target an antigen. and we have cells that come in and clear those out. You don't have that in the rumin. So really you need to be able to deliver an antibody into the rumin, bind its target, and deactivate it via that binding. And the way we're approaching this right now is you'll get a mucousal antibody response and that antibody will be delivered from the saliva into the rumin.
Starting point is 00:30:52 And that's where the antibody is actually going to be delivered. And early days we're seeing it's probably going to be more than one shot, right? It's probably going to be an initial and a booster, at least. And we're also looking at early life. So if you can, similar to how we deliver scourer, so scour is like a diarrhea and calves, norovirus or even coronaviruses. But if you can vaccinate the broodice or the mother cow and it can deliver those antibodies early in life, it could be, it could set,
Starting point is 00:31:25 that animal up to have lower methane emissions its entire life. Because we see methanogens seed very early on. And if you can set up an environment where they can't seed within those first couple of days and weeks in life, you may be able to shift the rumen population of microorganisms to have lower methane potential in that instance. So a couple of doses seems reasonable. And if efficacy has been kind of all over the board, and again, we're talking really early, everything from in vitro to really early in vivo animal studies. But we're hoping, you know, above 20%. That would be a real win as far as a pasture-based application.
Starting point is 00:32:07 What am I stepping back for one second? One of my, as I've spent a bunch of time trying to understand the space and talking to all the companies in it and so on, one of the things that has surprised me is those efficacy numbers, with the exception of some, like, you know, feeding bromiform to dairy cattle type of applications, Like 20, 30% seems to be, maybe 40% seems to be, those are good numbers, right? Is there anything that's sufficiently disruptive to have, in your mind, a realistic prospect of a, if not 100%, then near complete reduction in methane emissions, apart from just less cows?
Starting point is 00:32:44 Yeah, so I think 100% is possible. I think it will take a combination of things to get there. And I think it's because it's not enough to just reduce methane, right? You reduce methane and now you have hydrogen liberated. So you need to do something with it. Right. So there may be an application there as a sub-feed additive to maximize that hydrogen as well, if the room it doesn't do it itself.
Starting point is 00:33:12 But also you could combine additives together with different modes of action to deliver more. Well, one thing I'm really excited about is the combination of feed additives or vaccines to a breeding program. And so we find that there are low methane and high methane phenotypes. And it's heritably tractable. We can breed for low methane phenotypes. And this could be 20 to 30 percent reductions while we maintain the same efficiency in these high-efficient genetics. And so recently it was demonstrated that these low-methane phenotypes responded the same to inhibitors as the high-methane phenotypes.
Starting point is 00:33:53 So you could get maybe 30% from a breeding program, and then you can stack a feed additive on top of that. And then now you're talking maybe 60, 70% reduction. And this is just based on low phenotype. There might be other genetic traits that we'd be able to select for that might change that prospect above 30%. And again, this is the early days of investigation that we need to really dive into to see how far can we go
Starting point is 00:34:22 towards 100%. Let's talk for a minute about the market for all this stuff. Obviously, reducing greenhouse gas emissions is great. How you monetize
Starting point is 00:34:32 the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions is another question and varies by market. Obviously, here we're talking about a variety of different things from operational changes
Starting point is 00:34:41 to, I think, what's more salient here, which is things that have a direct cost like feed additives, for example, and some of which are already in the market, right?
Starting point is 00:34:48 Beauvoir is a product being sold. So how is it being monetized? Is it that somewhere in the supply chain, somebody has an emissions reduction target and is willing to pay a premium for that dairy or that beef? Is it carbon credits? Is it based on the energy gain that, as you said, like reducing methane emissions can actually increase yield? What are we seeing in terms of early days of the market here? I would say early days in the market is pretty much driven by an inset or offsetting market.
Starting point is 00:35:21 So this is going to be corporate action in the supply chain to drive this change. They've set some sort of emissions reduction target, and they're trying to achieve that. Because of the expense that we've seen with doing these types of trials, we haven't had a lot of great representations of the reduction in methane leading to a increase in productivity. While that is possible, the number of animals you need for those studies is significant. And that's just sometimes you need to get to actual on-farm, like on-farm-level production numbers, to be able to demonstrate that type of production increase, you know, thousands of animals, which might not be tenable for an academic trial or a clinical practice trial.
Starting point is 00:36:10 So while it's often modeled, that efficiency gain can often be modeled in perspectives, and even people's economic analysis as far as, you know, what that cost is going to be. It's very difficult to demonstrate that, especially early on. So a lot of this is coming from, you know, just simply what's it cost to make? What's it cost to actually distribute and mix on farm? And then what incentives are available? And a lot of those incentives are coming directly from these insetting and offset marketplace right now.
Starting point is 00:36:40 We've seen a little bit of traction in California had some funding to deploy an adoption program and early adopters program during the recent. budget hit that seems to have gone away. But that's really what's driving it, is the corporate action in the supply chain, and also some pressure from some regulatory pressure. There is not wide regulatory pressure here to reduce interreg methane emissions. Just general talk right now. That's a good segue. Take us. My final question is, what are the barriers to adoption of these things, regulatory potentially being one of them, these new feed additives and vaccines, things like that, they need regulatory approval.
Starting point is 00:37:24 And so I'm interested in your perspective on how easy or challenging that is, and I know it's jurisdiction-specific, but broadly, what are we seeing there? And then any other issues, public perception, is that a big challenge, you know, consumer adoption, et cetera? Like, what are the things that are going to make it annoyingly slow to adopt these solutions? Yeah, the regulatory part is something we've been pretty actively trying to overcome. I actually have quite some time. these products are considered new animal drugs,
Starting point is 00:37:54 especially here in the U.S. Other countries have pathways for products that only act inside the GI tract. They can classify them under a different mechanism, they can approve them under a different mechanism. But here in the U.S., if you're going to make a claim about something, like it decreases methane emissions, you have to prove that. And that really pigeonholes you into,
Starting point is 00:38:18 a new animal drug pathway, which is quite extensive. We're talking average of upwards of eight years to get through the process. Whereas the efforts right now are to take what we have is called a feed additive petition process and amend that to have,
Starting point is 00:38:38 to show proof of efficacy. So a feed out of petition process could be like two years, significant fold reduction in the time frame for regulatory, but you still have to that it works. Right. And seemingly regulatory doesn't care how well it works,
Starting point is 00:38:54 just that you can demonstrate that there's a significant difference in the base case versus using your product on what you're measuring. So they don't care if it's 20% or 30% just long as it does or does not do its job. One product has been approved in this area for ammonia reduction, and that was a product called Expeirier from out of Alonco. But it's really the first product of its kind, to make an environmental claim on a drug platform. And then how about public perception?
Starting point is 00:39:24 So this is an area where we really need to do better in the development of these technologies and understanding how they fit in the marketplace because it's not just producers who are going to be adopting these products. It's also how consumers are going to feel about it. We saw backlash when we rolled out recombinant bovine somatochope and RBST, which could significantly increase milk production. But there was no education in the space
Starting point is 00:39:54 for people to understand how this technology worked and be comfortable with its safety. And now, ding, every milk gallon you see in the store says, from cows not treated with RBST. And that's not because of its safety. That was because of a fear and a lack of trust from these productivity-enhancing technologies. and we can really approach feed additives or anything else in the same light
Starting point is 00:40:20 and understand that we do need to have education in that space and we do need to have really conscious engagement with producers and consumers for these types of products that are developed. Okay, so if we're just getting up to speed on this space, what are the key takeaways from your perspective? How should we be thinking about in Terra Commissions? You know, it's a difficult challenge. It's a global challenge, but we can address emissions in this sector.
Starting point is 00:40:49 And it's really going to take a concerted effort and a coordinated effort on behalf of different governments, individual actors, corporate action, to drive effort into this space. There's funding for research is definitely needed, philanthropic support, policy support. But really, coordination, I think, is really key. here and making sure that everyone understands the goal so we can blend the different tracks. I mean, we talk about breeding, we talk about feed additive, we talk about ration improvement.
Starting point is 00:41:22 The reality is we need all of these. And unless we have a concerted and coordinated approach to reducing emissions across the board, we're not going to be able to maximize the reductions that we need. And so, yes, I would say that a coordinated approach to reducing interic methane on national levels is really the way forward. Charles, thank you so much. This was a lot of fun. Thank you, Shail. I appreciate it.
Starting point is 00:41:50 Charles Broke leads the interic methane program at Spark Climate Solutions. This show is a production of Latitude Media. You can head over to Latitude Media.com for links to today's topics. Latitude is supported by Prelude Ventures. Pralue Backs Visionaries, accelerating climate innovation
Starting point is 00:42:04 that will reshape the global economy for the betterment of people and planet. Learn more at preludeventures.com. This episode was produced by Daniel Waldorf, mixing by Roy Campan Ellen, Sean Marquan, theme song by Sean Marquan. I'm Shail Khan, and this is Catalyst.

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