Employee Survival Guide® - S6: Ep.142: Tom Hayes vs UBS AG: Inside The LIBOR Scapegoat Allegation & $400 Million lawsuit
Episode Date: October 29, 2025Comment on the Show by Sending Mark a Text Message.Tom Hayes v. UBS, Connecticut Superior Court case filed on October 27, 2025 seeking $400 Million (Read Complaint HERE): A tiny shift in an interest ...rate can move oceans of money. We follow that ripple to its breaking point, tracing how Tom Hayes became the public face of LIBOR manipulation, then—years later—won full vindication in both the United States and the United Kingdom. Along the way, we unpack the documents, emails, and internal spreadsheets that allegedly turned “commercially aware” rate submissions into an institutional practice, and the crisis‑era pivot that recast one trader as the perfect fall guy.We set the stage with a clear explanation of LIBOR’s design, why a bank’s submissions sit within a plausible range, and how that nuance became the hinge of subsequent court decisions. Then we walk through the complaint’s central claims: that UBS policy told staff to consider the bank’s trading positions, that management tracked exposures and directed desired outcomes, and that the bank later secured a non‑prosecution agreement by advancing a narrative of isolated misconduct. The result, according to the lawsuit, was a devastating chain reaction—selective disclosures, missing spreadsheets, and a jury instruction that erased the difference between choosing within a legitimate range and committing fraud.Hayes’ convictions collapsed after the U.S. Second Circuit and the UK Supreme Court clarified that profit‑motivated choices are not criminal if the submitted rate stays within a genuine range of estimated borrowing costs. With legal ground restored, Hayes now sues UBS for malicious prosecution and indemnification, seeking at least $400 million in damages. We examine the stakes: lifetime earnings lost, health and family fallout, and the broader question of who should bear responsibility when corporate incentives steer behavior and later demand a scapegoat.If you care about financial regulation, corporate accountability, and how legal narratives are built and unbuilt, this story matters. Listen, share your take, and help us bring more people into the conversation. If this resonated, subscribe, leave a review, and tell a friend what surprised you most. If you enjoyed this episode of the Employee Survival Guide please like us on Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. We would really appreciate if you could leave a review of this podcast on your favorite podcast player such as Apple Podcasts. Leaving a review will inform other listeners you found the content on this podcast is important in the area of employment law in the United States. For more information, please contact our employment attorneys at Carey & Associates, P.C. at 203-255-4150, www.capclaw.com.Disclaimer: For educational use only, not intended to be legal advice.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hey, it's Mark here, and welcome to the next edition of the Employee Survival Guide,
where I tell you, as always, what your employer does definitely not want you to know about, and a lot more.
Okay, let's unpack this.
We are diving deep into what is, well, arguably the most staggering financial and legal reversal of the decade.
Tom Hayes, you know, the former UBS trader, who basically became the global poster child for the LIBOR scandal, he's now suing his former employer.
And not for a small amount. We're talking not less than $400 million.
Yeah. And it's not just about seeking damages, is it? It's really like a forensic case study of, well, institutional betrayal. We've been pouring over the source material, primarily the detailed court complaint, Hayes v. UBS, and, you know, related news filings.
And what emerges is just this microscopic view of how a global bank could create a systemic practice profit massively from it.
And then when the regulators came knocking, aggressively sacrificed one, frankly, vulnerable individual to protect its senior leadership and, well, its entire franchise.
So our mission today is to trace this incredible trajectory.
I mean, how did Hayes convicted, imprisoned in the U.K. is the evil mastermind?
How did he manage to get his name completely cleared?
By the highest courts, no less.
in both the UK and the U.S.
And why does he now claim of the very conduct he was prosecuted for was not just known,
but explicitly directed by senior UBS management?
This complaint, it's just, it's a devastating counter-narrative to the one the public, you know,
consumed for over a decade.
It really is.
And what's fascinating here is that the sources,
they lay out this compelling document-back challenge to that official narrative,
a challenge that exposes the cavernous gap between UBS's internal written policy for
setting benchmark rates. And the, let's be frank, self-serving narrative, the bank later presented
to global authorities, all to save itself from potential financial ruin. Okay, so section one then,
setting the stage, the player in the game. Before we get into the whole corporate scapegoating thing,
we really have to establish the playing field. For those of you who might be newer to this topic,
what exactly was LIBOR and why was trying to influence it such a massive deal? Right,
LIBOR. It stands for the London Interbank offered rate. To simplify its role, it was the
world's most crucial benchmark interest rate, essentially. It was based on an estimate what the
panel banks, the big banks, believed they would pay to borrow short-term funds from each other.
Now, crucially, the seemingly simple estimate was the reference point for contracts valued in
the trillions, trillions of dollars go believe. Trillions. Yeah, we're talking everything from
really complex financial derivatives to, you know, everyday things like mortgages and student loans.
Wow, trillions. So the integrity of that rate was absolutely.
paramount because its movement, even by tiny fractions like basis points, it had monumental
implications everywhere. Exactly right. The integrity was built entirely on trust, the idea
that banks were submitting honest estimates of their true borrowing cost. And while LIBOR itself
was officially phased out as a standard benchmark in mid-20203, the consequences of its
manipulation back in the 2000s, they're still echoing in the courts today, loudly. Okay, now let's
look at the central figure in this lawsuit, Tom Hayes. He was, by all account,
an exceptionally high-achieving young trader, hired by UBS specifically for his genius
in mathematics and financial modeling, specifically for the Yen derivatives desk in Tokyo.
And he was young, barely 26 when he joined in 2006.
Yeah, and Hayes' profile is absolutely fundamental to the story of why he became, in UBS's eyes,
the perfect fall guy.
The complaint openly discusses his diagnosis with autism spectrum disorder, ASD.
His cognitive profile, you know, characterized by this highly-ly-lety,
linear, sometimes one-track thinking, and a deep reliance on explicit instruction on rule following.
It made him an incredibly effective trader, especially in a rules-based environment.
But ironically, it also made him vulnerable, easy to isolate when the bank decided it needed a villain.
And the sources detailed this truly disturbing, exclusionary workplace culture he faced,
which just reinforces how easily he was later isolated. This wasn't just like standard high-pressure trading source stuff.
The complaint notes colleagues routinely use derogatory nicknames, things like Rain Man,
and Kid Asperger's.
Terrible.
That kind of language,
it reflects a deeply exclusionary
and frankly toxic culture.
You have to wonder, right,
would they have tried to scapegoat him so easily
if he'd been, say, a smooth-talking,
socially adept manager type?
Probably not.
His difference, his focus on explicit rules
and structure the very thing
that made him $300 million for the bank
was later weaponized against him.
Used to portray him as this socially awkward
lone wolf who couldn't possibly be operating
under corporate direction. Okay, so this brings us neatly to the core claim of the lawsuit. The direct
refutation of that lone wolf narrative. The complaint states explicitly that the conduct
Hayes was later in prison for wasn't rogue behavior at all. It was institutional policy.
That's the absolute pivot point here. The lawsuit states very clearly that UBS policy explicitly
required LIBOR submiters, the rates traders, the sur-traders, to consider the bank's commercial
interests, specifically its trading positions when setting these estimated rates. And then
This policy wasn't hidden. It was known, established, and formally approved by senior managers,
including Sasha Prince, the global co-head of rates.
So, wait, this wasn't just some kind of nudge, nudge, wink-wing thing. It was an established,
possibly even written mandate. The bank was effectively saying, you must look at what benefits us
financially when you make this submission. That's precisely the allegation, which means the
conduct he was later prosecuted for was at the time he was doing it entirely consistent with
how UBS wanted its traders to operate.
It wasn't rogue. It was the job.
Wow. And how did they operationalize that? You mentioned tools.
Yes. I can trace this institutionalization right down to the internal tools they used.
UBS maintained these highly detailed daily internal spreadsheets.
Think of them almost like a central control panel for the really critical currencies.
Eurolibor, U.S.D. Libor, GbP.B.R.
These internal documents, which the complaint says were concealed from authorities for years,
tracked the bank's aggregated exposure across all these different currencies.
And these weren't just for reporting, like profit and loss statements.
No, no, far from it.
These spreadsheets were actively used to instruct the rates traders on how to influence the submissions.
The goal.
Maximize UBS's profit.
Can you give us a sense of how specific those instructions were?
Absolutely.
The updated internal LIBOR policy, and this is key, it was in place before Hayes even joined the firm, contained explicit illustrative instructions,
examples of how to influence fixings.
The source material highlights one specific example.
They track something called the negative delta.
So if the Eurolibre calculation for a specific term, let's say three months,
showed the bank was receiving a negative delta, meaning the current rate fixing would cause a loss for the bank because of its net positions.
Okay.
The policy explicitly detailed the required response, what the trader should do.
Which was.
They were instructed to increase the fixing by 25 basis points to ensure a positive outcome and increase profit.
Now, think about that for a second.
25 basis points a quarter of 1% multiplied across trillions of dollars in contracts.
That's a colossal movement of money.
And it was seemingly written into an internal policy document.
It shows senior management wasn't just like vaguely aware of the practice.
They had quantified the desired outcome.
So UBS senior management, particularly in London, was deeply entrenched in this systemic practice across its major trading desks.
That's the picture of the complaint paints, yes.
deeply entrenched.
Hashtag, hashtag, hashtag, touch, 1.3.
Hayes' work and management direction.
Okay, now let's narrow the focus back to Hayes himself.
In Tokyo, starting in 2006 on the yen derivatives desk, you mentioned the yen market was distinct.
Yeah, it was less mature, less formalized than the big euro or dollar markets.
And the yen LIBOR submissions were primarily handled by one senior STR trader back in London, a guy named Roger Darren.
And this is where the paper trail, the evidence showing direct management approval, becomes really crucial.
for the lawsuit, right?
Undeniable, according to the complaint,
Hayes, consistent with his ASD profile,
you know, needing explicit direction,
didn't communicate his requests
to influence YenLybor secretly.
He did it routinely.
These communications went directly
to a supervisor, Mike Peary,
often daily, often in writing,
asking for help to influence the rates
to benefit his desk's positions.
And the complaint alleges
Pieri didn't just passively receive this information.
He actively directed Hayes' actions.
And put pressure on the submiters.
Exactly. He exerted pressure to benefit the yen desk specifically, which, again, removes any claim that Hayes was somehow operating independently or, you know, outside the corporate structure. It was managed.
If there's specific evidence of that direction, like a smoking gun email.
Well, the complaint highlights several pieces, but one standout detail is the Christmas Day 2007 email. Yes, Christmas Day. A senior trader on the yen desk, someone named Naomiichi, sent an email directing Hayes to ensure lower life.
bore submissions for a specific rate. And crucially, that email was copied directly to
Peary, Hayes' supervisor. On Christmas Day? On Christmas Day. That's an explicit instruction
to manipulate the benchmark for the bank's profit, received and acknowledged by Haise's manager on a
major holiday. It shows the urgency and, well, the accepted nature of the practice.
Okay, let's talk about the money. Because that often feels like the ultimate proof of corporate
approval, doesn't it? Over three years, Hayes generated approximately $300 million in profit for UBS.
That kind of performance.
It doesn't go unnoticed.
Far from it.
And when Hayes started attracting offers from rivals, specifically Goldman Sachs,
who apparently offered him a staggering $5 million upfront bonus senior management at UBS,
went into damage control, they needed him to stay.
And their internal justification for retaining him is pure gold for this lawsuit.
They offered him a massive retention bonus themselves, right?
$2.5 million.
Although.
Oh, they only ended up paying him $250,000 of it before the same.
scandal broke, which is, you know, a significant piece of financial betrayal in its own
right. But the internal communication about why they needed him, that's the real evidence here.
What did it say? The internal email from Pierre, his supervisor, to Yvonder Crow, who was a global
co-head of rates trading. It's pretty damning. Pierre explicitly listed Hayes as strong connections
to LIBOR setters in London as information that was invaluable for the derivatives books and strategic
for the firm. Wow. Invalurable. Inval. That's direct, rich
and proof that management was aware of the mechanism, the connections he used to influence submissions,
and they explicitly valued and rewarded that mechanism. They were effectively rewarding the very
conduct they later told the DOJ and SFO was criminal and rogue. So management wasn't just
passively aware of his high profit margins. They understood how he achieved them, deemed it invaluable,
and put a multimillion dollar price tag on keeping that mechanism inside UBS. That's precisely the argument.
They knew. They valued it. They paid for it. Or at least they all.
offered to pay for it. Okay, so we've established that up to, say, 2008, UBS was fully aware,
implicitly approving, and handsomely profiting from these systemic practices. Practices codify
in their own internal rules potentially. The 2008 financial crisis hits. And the music stops.
This marks the beginning of the great corporate pivot, doesn't it? Oh, absolutely. The world
changed overnight. After the crisis, the global regulatory environment became incredibly aggressive,
hardened significantly. Authorities, especially the U.S. Department of Justice, the DOJ, and the UK's
serious fraud office, the SFO, launched these massive multi-year investigations into widespread
LIBOR manipulation across the industry. Suddenly, UBS faced existential ruin, potentially including
the loss of its crucial U.S. dollar clearing license, which, you know, would cripple its global
operations. Let's take a quick break.
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So cooperation wasn't really optional anymore. It was survival. But cooperation meant taking responsibility. And UBS wasn't willing to let its senior management or maybe its entire franchise take the fall for what was essentially historical corporate practice.
That seems to be the core of the argument, yes. They pivoted abruptly.
from defending their policy or at least tolerating it to condemning it,
and more importantly, finding a palatable, high-profile villain, someone to offer up.
And how do they choose that villain?
Well, the sources indicate UBS needed a very specific type of figure,
someone non-management, ideally distant from the Zurich headquarters,
and, crucially, someone who no longer worked for the bank.
Tom Hayes, with his distinct profile, his distance in Tokyo, and his recent resignation,
he fit the bill perfectly.
He was the ideal, politically expendable figure, the perfect fall guy.
And the lawsuit alleges that the internal investigation they conducted, the one led by
outside counsel Gibson Dunn, it wasn't a genuine search for truth.
The claim is it was what we might call investigation theater.
The goal was predefined.
Justify Hayes' eventual prosecution and pin all the significant issues exclusively on him.
And this is where the systematic deception allegedly began.
UBS had to conceal the truth about their bank-wide policy.
the one that factored commercial interests into submissions.
What specific information did they allegedly withhold things that would have helped Hayes?
According to the complaint, the most critical documents were those LIBOR spreadsheets we talked about earlier.
Those documents proved systematic manipulation across USD, Euro, and GBP fixings.
Showing the issue wasn't just confined to Hayes' relatively small yen desk in Tokyo.
It was much bigger.
The complaint says UBS hid these documents.
They also selectively disclosed information, ensuring the regulatory spotlight was diverted away from senior executives who had approved the underlying policies, people like Carston Kengetter, Sasha Prince, Yvonne DuCrow.
So the narrative they presented to prosecutors was effectively a fabrication.
Hayes is the evil mastermind.
The evil mastermind, the lone wolf, acting improperly and independently. That was the story.
Despite their own internal evidence, apparently showing his actions were directed by his manager, Pieri, and were consistent with.
with established UBS practice at the time.
And the sources quote that phrase, evil mastermind.
They do.
The bank's internal description allegedly used when dealing with authorities, it was instrumental.
By setting Hayes up as the singular villain, UBS successfully minimize the roles of their senior
leadership and created the necessary conditions to essentially facilitate his prosecution in both
the U.S. and the U.K., all to secure their own leniency, hashtag tag, hashtag 2.3, the non-prosecution
agreement and PA. And this whole strategy, it culminates in December 2012, right? UBS
enters into this sweeping non-prosecution agreement with the DOJ. Meanwhile, UBS Japan pleads
guilty to wire fraud in Connecticut. This was the massive quid pro quo, wasn't it?
leniency in protection for the parent company, UBSAG, and its senior management in exchange
for cooperation. Exactly. And the key document underpinning that deal is the statement of facts.
It was Exhibit 8 to the agreement. This document became the official sanitized history of the
scandal, at least as UBS presented it. And the complaint argues it drastically misrepresented the
scope of the misconduct, presented it as merely occasional and episodic acts confined mostly to
that less formalized yen market in Japan. So, portraying the systemic issue as just isolated bad
behavior by a few traders like Hayes. Pretty much. Despite, again, allegedly having internal
documents proving systemic manipulation across all major currencies originating from London and elsewhere.
And that false official narrative, it was carefully designed to protect the people at the very top, wasn't that?
No, absolutely.
The statement of facts, according to the analysis and the source material, was meticulously crafted to shield the highest levels of the bank.
Well, it might have mentioned senior manager awareness in certain footnotes.
It included crucial but subtle legal language.
It explicitly defined those generalized terms like manager and senior manager as not including members of the executive board or the board of directness.
Mario Clever. Pure sleight of hand, arguably. Designed to minimize the scope of the conspiracy, ensure accountability stopped far below the C-suite.
And the timing of this whole maneuver is just critical. The announcement of the NPA, the deal that protected the bank and its leadership, coincided precisely with Tom Hayes' arrest in the UK on December 11, 2012. He was the criminal scalp authorities needed to justify the massive deal they struck with UBS.
The timing certainly confirms the connection, doesn't it? The bank provided the authorities with their villain.
This ensured the narrative focused on individual criminality, not institutional failure, which
secured their corporate freedom, albeit at the cost of huge fines.
Okay, so the bank is protected. The narrative is set. And Tom Hayes is now facing simultaneous
prosecution in two major jurisdictions. What evidence did UBS continue to withhold, even after
the NPA? How did that prejudice his defense? Well, the lawsuit claims that even after securing
the NPA, UBS continued its strategy of obfuscation. Of how.
hiding key evidence. They failed to disclose crucial, potentially exculpatory evidence,
like those bank-wide LIBOR spreadsheets we keep mentioning. They demonstrated systematic manipulation
across all currencies, not just yen. They also allegedly failed to provide comprehensive
P&L statements, profit and loss. These would have shown Hayes' limited personal gain
compared to the bank's massive profits from the overall activity. Withholding that kind of
information severely crippled Hayes' ability to defend himself by proving he was just acting under
bank policy. And this leads us to the critical error in the UK trial in 2015, the trial where
Hayes was convicted. It all hinged on a specific instruction given to the jury by the judge, Justice
Cook. Yes, this is absolutely the crux of the judicial error, the error that destroyed Hayes' life
for years, but also, ultimately, led to his vindication. Justice Cook improperly instructed the jury,
according to the later Supreme Court ruling, he told them that considering a bank's commercial
interest, meaning factoring in their trading positions when submitting a LIBOR estimate was
necessarily wrongful, that it automatically constituted a conspiracy to defraud.
But wait, Hayes' entire defense was that his conduct was exactly that, consistent with a UBS policy,
consistent with longstanding industry practice, taught and condoned by senior management.
Precisely.
So by making commercial interest inherently criminal, the judge essentially just removed Hayes'
entire defense from the jury's consideration.
That's effectively what happened. Yes.
The judge's instruction essentially told the jury,
ignore the systemic context, ignore the bank policy arguments,
focus solely on the fact that Hayes intended to influence the rate to benefit the bank's positions.
By defining that intent alone as criminal, it pretty much prejudged the case,
made conviction almost inevitable.
Hashtag, shag, tag, hashtag 3.2.
The ruin of a life.
And the consequences of this wrongful conviction were just absolute devastation for him, weren't they?
Hayes served over five years in prison.
including time and high security facilities, sharing cells with violent offenders, suffering multiple
assaults.
Yeah, the detail in the complaint about the ruin of his life is genuinely difficult to read.
It's harrowing.
He didn't just lose his liberty.
He lost his entire standing in the world.
He was permanently branded by major media outlets as the global face of financial crime.
Because of all the negative press and the charges, he was debanked, kicked out by major financial
institutions like J.P. Morgan Chase couldn't even have a bank account. His assets were frozen. He was
forced to sell his family home simply to cover his defense costs, which, as the complaint states,
exceeded $1 million. And beyond the financial ruin, there's the physical and emotional toll,
this institutional betrayal. The sources note the extreme stress of this wrongful prosecution
caused severe mental, emotional, and physical trauma, including, tragically, the manifestation
of multiple sclerosis, MS during his UK trial. It's devastating. And think about the loss
potential. He was on a career trajectory back in 2010 that likely would have seen him earning,
you know, five to ten million dollars a year for decades given the path of high-level Wall Street
pay. Instead, he lost hundreds of millions in potential lifetime earnings. And beyond that,
the immense strain fractured his personal life. He and his wife separated in 2019, divorced in
2022. The consequences were just total. Hashtag tag tag tag 3.3. Exoneration and legal
precedent. But the long road towards vindication finally started to yield results years
later. It began really in January 2022. The U.S. Second Circuit Court of Appeals reversed the
conviction of another banker, Matthew Connolly. And that set a crucial legal precedent.
That precedent was huge. It fundamentally undermined the prosecution's core argument in these
LIBOR cases. The Second Circuit found no reasonable doses to believe that merely considering
treating positions in libel submissions constituted illegal wire fraud. Assuming the rate submitted
was still within a range of plausible borrowing costs.
This was the first major judicial blow
against that simplistic commercial interest
is automatically criminal argument
that had underpinned Hayes' conviction.
And following that precedent,
the U.S. DOJ was basically forced to act.
They were.
They formally dismissed the criminal case
against Hayes in October 2022,
acknowledging that there was simply no basis
to continue the prosecution
in light of the Second Circuit's ruling on Connolly,
one down.
But the really complete legal clearance
came much more recently, July 2025. The U.K. Supreme Court quashed Hayes' conviction entirely.
They confirmed that Justice Cook, the trial judge, had fundamentally misunderstood and misstated
the law. His instruction to the jury was wrong. Yes, comprehensively wrong.
Can you elaborate just a bit more on the precise legal distinction the Supreme Court made?
Because this feels like the absolute key to the whole thing. It really is. The Supreme Court
ruling validated Hayes' core defense, the one he tried to make back in 2015.
It established that while a bank could not submit a rate that was completely divorced from reality pure fiction,
it could legitimately submit a rate that fell within an acceptable range of its estimated borrowing costs.
And this is crucial, even if the bank chose a rate within that legitimate range,
specifically because it maximized its commercial interests and profits.
The key was the existence of a genuine range of acceptable, non-manipulated potential costs.
So Justice Cook's instruction was wrong because it eliminated that legitimate range entirely.
Exactly. By deeming any consideration of commercial interest as automatically criminal, it completely whiled out the possibility of operating legitimately within that range.
It made conviction inevitable if any commercial thought was present.
So in effect, the U.K. Supreme Court declared that the very act Hayes was imprisoned for operating within what he argued was an institutional mandate to choose a profitable rate within a genuine range was not, in fact,
fact, criminal under English law. Correct. And significantly, the U.K. authorities acknowledge they would
not seek a retrial, finally closing the criminal chapter after 13 long years of legal battles.
Vindication. So after complete exoneration in both the U.S. and the U.K., we arrive at the present
moment. The filing of this lawsuit in October 2025, Hayes is now seeking financial redress from
UBS for what he powerfully describes the complaint as their shameful wrong and morally unconscionable actions.
Yes, and the complaint centers on two very specific legal counts.
Count one is the really powerful claim of malicious prosecution.
Hayes alleges that UBS didn't just cooperate passively with authorities.
They actively initiated and perpetuated the criminal proceedings against him.
How?
By intentionally providing false and misleading information to prosecutors.
And the motive, according to lawsuit, was purely self-preservation for UBS.
Entirely, the suit alleges.
UBS's intent was to limit its own massive potential civil, criminal,
and regulatory liability.
And critically, to protect its senior management
the ones who had arguably approved
the systemic practices in the first place.
So the lawsuit argues UBS knew it had no probable cause.
No real basis to believe Hayes would be successfully
prosecuted for actual crimes based on their own internal documents.
That's the core of the malicious prosecution claim,
that UBS knew their internal documents
proved his actions were policy compliant,
or at least directed by management.
So by fabricating.
fabricating the lone wolf story by withholding the crucial spreadsheets and management emails showing
approval, they actively maliciously created the conditions for his prosecution. Okay, and count two.
That's the claim for indemnification. Yes, this is rooted in basic agency law. Hayes argues that he
acted as an agent for UBS. His LIBOR-related conduct, which, remember, generated $300 million in profit
for the bank, was clearly within the scope of his employment. And it was undertaken entirely for the
purpose of benefiting UBS. So, because the bank benefited directly and explicitly approved his actions
at the managerial level. Hayes claims UBS is legally obligated to reimburse him, to indemnify him for
the substantial legal expenses he incurred, defending himself against the consequences of actions
that were effectively bank policy. He's seeking repayment for that $1 million plus defense cost he had
to bear personally. Right. Let's talk about the damages sought. They are truly staggering,
not less than $400,000, plus exemplary damages and legal costs.
How does Hayes' claim even arrive at such a monumental figure?
Well, the $400 million figure, it's a calculation based primarily on lost potential
lifetime earnings, but it also clearly aims to encompass the severe trauma and suffering
inflicted over more than a decade.
As we discussed, a trader of his caliber, especially in that derivatives market, particularly
after the 2010 financial surge, he was realistically on track to potentially earn conservative
over $200 million across several decades, maybe much more.
But the lawsuit isn't just seeking compensation for lost income.
It's for the complete destruction of his professional future, coupled with the profound emotional
and physical injury, including the MS diagnosis allegedly caused by the prosecution
orchestrated by his former employer.
It's just, it's a powerful final chapter to this whole saga, isn't it?
The very conduct that was seemingly celebrated and rewarded internally, the ability to leverage
strong connections, influence rates, secure hundreds of millions in profit, was retroactively
redefined as illegal, and then dumb squarely onto the shoulders of the person deemed most easily
sacrificed. Hashtag tag atro. Yeah. So if we try to connect this to the bigger picture, this case
really forces a profound reevaluation of the entire LIBOR investigation narrative, doesn't it?
The ultimate legal reversal by the UK Supreme Court confirms that the conduct UBS presented to
regulators as evil and criminal was, in fact, potentially institutionalized and directed.
The focus shifts decisively and maybe permanently, from individual traitor misconduct to
systematic corporate practice and crucially alleged corporate deception during the investigation.
It really raises a critical question, I think, about the dynamics between immense corporate
power and regulatory compliance. When these massive corporate entities choose self-preservation
through cooperation with regulators, and that cooperation demonstrably seems to require the deliberate
fabrication of a narrative to pin blame on an individual, an individual who might have just been
following internal policy. How often does the system end up rewarding corporate deception?
And how do we truly measure the cost of that institutional betrayal on an individual's life?
I mean, UBS effectively purchased corporate leniency with $1.5 billion in fines and five years
of Tom Hayes' freedom?
And what's just fascinating here, going back to the sorts material, is the claim that UBS is
internal policy required traders to factor in profit when setting LIBOR rates. So if a global
financial system, or at least a major player within it, mandates self-interest, if it defines
standard practice as maximizing profit by submitting a rate at the high or low end of a supposedly
acceptable range, where does the ethical line and the legal line between that standard practice
and a conspiracy to defraud truly lie? And maybe more importantly, who is ultimately
responsible for defining that line, is it the bank, the regulators, the courts?
That's definitely something for you, our listeners, to mull over as this unprecedented $400 million lawsuit unfold.
A huge case to watch.
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