Fantasy Baseball Today - 04/05 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Buy Low, Sell High
Episode Date: April 5, 2018Talking trade for the first time this season and beginning the show with a Johnny Cueto debate (1:00)! Should you sell high or would that be a mistake? We'll also cover the SPs you can add and drop (8...:00). Should you drop Felix Hernandez for Mike Foltynewicz? Jake Odorizzi for Tyler Skaggs? ... Wednesday's standouts including Brian Dozier (20:00), Carlos Martinez (24:00), Patrick Corbin (24:20), Dylan Bundy (25:53) and Shohei Ohtani (31:20) ... Handcuffing Kenley Jansen (34:50) and more Buy Low (38:10) and Sell High (42:00) candidates before we look at today's matchups (54:28) ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
All right, for the first time this season, we're going to play a little bit of by-low and sell high
and talk about a ton of good pitching performances, more pitchers for you to consider adding on the waiver wire.
Welcome, everybody, the Thursday show, April 5th.
I am Adam Azer.
You can follow me on Twitter at Adam Azer, A-I-Z-E-R.
He is Scott White.
You can follow him at CBS Scott White.
Hello, at CBS Scott White.
Hello, Adam.
How you doing?
Oh, I am just wonderful.
Just wonderful, so good.
Feeling good about Dylan Bundy.
starting to feel a little good about Mike Fultenevich,
though I've been there before.
We have gone so well.
We have been there before.
Of course, I think Scott's just surprised at how good the Braves have been,
the highest scoring team in baseball, and they are four and two.
And Heath Cummings is here at Heath Cummings SR at Heathcoming Senior on Twitter.
Hello, Heath.
It was great to see Johnny Quo pitch like an ace last night.
I am looking forward when we get to the buy-low, sell high,
to read your ass-in-line tweet.
I have a tweet?
Yes, and it's ridiculous.
You probably have a few thousand.
Very ridiculous what you said.
Oh, what I said yesterday.
Oh, no, it's not.
You have 35,000 tweets, to be clear.
If Ace stands for, if Ace stands for awful, crappy, X good pitcher, like,
then yeah, he's an ace.
Burn.
So, yeah, I'm trying to sell high on.
Johnny Quato.
First of all, I mean, it looks, look, it's just obvious.
What does he have, six strikeouts and two starts?
Oh, you mean to read the tweet now?
Five strikes.
Yes, yes.
You know, he has 13 innings and he has five strikeouts.
So that's number one.
And yes, go ahead, read the tweet.
I hope Quito gets out of this jam so I can sell high.
I am not buying it at all.
I think he's going to be worth using at home and bad on the road.
Now, so far, I think reasonable people could disagree about these sentences and maybe you're
not completely wrong.
I'll try to turn him into a top 30 pitcher, maybe Sunny Gray.
So, like, did you mean Sunny Gray is a top 30 pitcher?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
And Johnny Quedo's not.
Correct.
And so you would rather have Sunny Gray who went, what, four innings in his first start?
Yeah, I would definitely rather have Sunny Gray than Quato.
And has been better than Johnny Quato, like, once?
Well, I don't think Johnny Quedo is Johnny Quato anymore.
I mean, he doesn't throw hard at all.
I mean, what we usually measure dominance by, gray has Quedo whipped the last two seasons.
It's not even close.
So, yeah, I would rather have Gray than Quato.
Yeah, no chance.
You might be able to start Sunny Gray on the road, as long as it's not on the road at, like, Fenway or something.
Why is he not start a bowl Yankee Stadium?
He's a ground ball pitcher.
He misses a lot of bats.
Like, he's, he's well-quipped to pitch there.
It misses a lot of bats thing at all.
It's been true.
It was definitely true in his first start, and it was true last year, too.
He was among top 20, I think, in swinging strike rate.
Well, he wasn't good at Yankee Stadium last year.
We weren't that many starts.
So I would like to aim higher.
I did make a Johnny Quedo trade offer, and you can tell me if this is an Azer trade.
And it got rejected.
So it probably was an Azer Trade.
What is an Azer Trade?
People think I make lopsided trade offers.
They're not necessarily wrong about that.
So in our Roto League, I offered Johnny Quedo and Elvis Andrews for Madison Bumgarner and Trey Turner.
That's an Azer offer.
Is it?
I mean, you got two months-
It might get accepted.
Trey Turner?
The person's first-round pick?
Yeah, that's true, but I am giving him Elvis Andrews and...
At best, your sixth-round pick.
So the best you're offering for a first-round pick is a sixth-round pick,
and you're asking for a second player in return.
who's probably going to be better than Quato in the long run.
I like the offer.
You know what?
I had a feeling it was...
I had a feeling it was going to be rejected.
I would...
Listen to this.
I would counter it, and I might do this.
Quato for Bumgarner straight up.
This is a Roto League.
So I just need the long-term production.
I'd rather a bum-garner, even with these going to miss two months.
Now, that seems feasible.
That seems like a reasonable offer.
Yeah, I mean, you're getting ripped off in that deal,
but in a Roto League, it makes a little bit more sense.
What do you like so much about Johnny Quato, he's?
Because it seems like you're...
I just don't think we need to say Johnny Quedo is done because of two starts at the beginning of the year.
Well, he wasn't very good last year.
That's true.
He had some blister issues.
Yeah, and if he was anybody we liked, we would just use the injury excuse for him.
And while the ERA has been good, these first two starts, all the underlying numbers are discouraging.
The control's been good, right?
Yeah, the controls been good.
Honestly, though, like, he was so lucky.
And he did get out of that jam because somebody rocketed a line drive right.
at Pablo Sandoval at third base.
He got hit really hard, but the ball stayed at the yard because it was kind of cool
and because that park is huge.
So I do think he'll be able to use Quato at home.
I don't think he's trash.
But the strikeout number is two swings and misses yesterday.
It does worry me for Quato, and I think this is an opportunity to sell high.
Fine, you want to aim higher than Sunny Gray?
Aim higher than Sunny Gray.
Make an offer of-
Wasn't Sunny Gray's ADP higher than Quato?
That's what I'm not understanding here.
It was.
It was.
Yeah, no, I agree.
He's just in a different stratosphere here, and I'm trying to understand it.
He just likes Queto more than a way.
He had that great strikeout year last year and struck out basically the same number of batters that Johnny Quito did.
8.5 per 9 is how many Quato had?
Queto was at 8.3.
Okay.
Look, you got to watch Johnny Queto.
The velocity was down last year.
He only averaged 90 on his fastball in this start, so even further down.
Guy with a lot of innings on his arm.
I just worry he's going the way of Felix Hernandez here.
Yeah, I just, like, Johnny Quato's dominant.
was never based on dominating in the way, like, striking a bunch of guys out.
He had one year where he almost struck out a batter per nine innings.
Yeah.
But if he's lower than what he used to be, he's going to get hit.
Like, he has five strikeouts and 13 innings with lower velocity.
Only had two swinging strikes yesterday.
Yeah, now Seattle has the second fee with strikeouts in baseball.
That's who he faced yesterday.
However, they've only played five games, so it's pretty hard to judge.
All right, we can move on.
But that is a guy.
I'm going to ask you who you're looking to sell high and or buy low on.
I don't really think there are that many obvious candidates right now
unless someone's, you know, dumb enough to give you a Joey Vado for nothing or something like that.
But other than the studs who we know are going to come around,
I don't know that there's a guy that really jumps off the page.
But Quato, to me, is a guy that I've watched, I watched yesterday.
I watched a little bit of his first start, which is really good against the Dodgers.
And, you know, I don't want to make too much of what I have observed,
but I have observed an overweight pitcher who doesn't look special at all,
who got really lucky yesterday.
And personally, I'm just very down on him.
It doesn't mean that you have to be.
I'm not saying this is a fact.
It's a risk to trade quado.
But if I can turn him into a guy that I like better to begin with, like Sunny Gray, I'll do it.
Yeah.
All right.
So that makes sense.
That sums it up.
And look, I don't mean to bury – I'm sorry, I'm getting back into it.
I don't mean to bury Quato either.
Like, it's two starts.
He could certainly turn things around.
I was giving him a pass for the blister issue last year.
But, like, I got to come strong just because Heath is being obtuse about this.
I'm not being obtuse.
Sunny Gray was one of the most over-drapted pitchers in the first place.
Okay, so, look, that's the thing, then.
You just think Sunny Gray is overrated, which is fair.
Right.
His ERA would suggest it.
Okay, then.
Any interesting ad drops for you guys last night or recently that you'd like to talk?
Well, like I said, Boltonevich is just somebody I'm going to think.
about adding now. First of all, is Corbyn somebody who could be added anywhere or is his ownership
already? He's in the 90s, 94%. All right. So we'll get to him later. But Mike Fultenevich, I'm sure,
is available enough to consider adding. And he's a guy who I've said a few times, I feel like,
is just a change up away. Obviously, has that high 90s fastball, a pretty good slider, but needs
a way to neutralize, you know, opposite-handed hitters. Yesterday,
against the nationals, who have some pretty good lefties in their lineup.
He threw his change up 21% of the time.
Only six times last year did he throw it even more than 10% of the time.
So obviously got a very good result with that.
The strike out rate was good.
The swinging strike rate number was acceptable.
And this is two good starts in a row.
If it becomes a regular part of his arsenal,
I think it could be what puts him over the top finally.
And I don't know that he has quite ace upside, but after two good starts, you know, a lot of people are going to be watching him.
And you might want to pick him up just in case there's a third good one here to begin the season.
And then you have no chance at him.
Fultenevich is 65% own.
And the change-up thing is really important because, you know, I kind of – I have a little bit of waiver wire fatigue right now going crazy, picking up scags, looking for Ronaldo Lopez, this and that.
I just, Fultenevich is a guy that has fooled us before.
He had a 281 ERA in April last year.
He had a 10-start stretch in July, or June to July, last year with a 330 ERA.
It still ended up having a kind of disappointing year.
But the change-up thing is interesting.
We're always looking for, you know, a reason behind newfound success.
So that could certainly help.
And again, he's 65% old.
Mike Fultenevich.
Heath, how about you?
Any interesting ad drops?
You know that I haven't, unfortunately.
I made some ad drops over the weekend, but we already talked about those on Monday.
I did not make any at all last night.
I was just looking through what happened in those games.
I assume, like really the things that I was excited about, Sean Mania's start, that was,
he's basically owned everywhere, I'm sure.
He's only 79% owned.
He's owned it all of our league, Sean Mania, but that ownership might need to go up a little bit.
Yeah, I would definitely say that it probably does need to go up just a little bit.
And it feels like there was some, I was just trying to think there was one.
one player that I wrote about in yesterday's waiver wire that was not 100% owned that needs to be.
And now I'm going to have to try to find it.
You will.
I trust you.
Well, I added Preston Tucker in a five outfielder league.
He homered.
He had a three-on-homer off Scherzerzer.
I prioritize him a little bit because I am the Acuna owner.
I don't know if it has anything to do with the other, but I feel like it's a little bit of Acuna
insurance that, you know, if maybe Preston Tucker hits so well.
that they delay Acuna's call-up.
But I don't know.
It didn't seem like a bad idea to have both,
and I didn't drop anybody good for him.
Yeah, I did pick up Ledmus Diaz yesterday in a couple leagues,
and he didn't actually play last night.
He's got a little back issue, as they say, is nothing.
But he'd had a big night.
And I just don't think as a shortstop playing half your games in the Rogers Center,
you have to be what he was in 2016 to be useful.
Okay, guys.
So, you know what?
Let's look at the fringy starting pitchers.
We usually do this in the middle of the show or later in the show,
but I think it's important because, you know, people are making the ad drops with these guys.
So the fringy starting pitchers, and I think the ownership percentages really need to change with some of these guys.
Felix Hernandez is 90% owned.
So, you know, he had an encouraging start against Cleveland, his first outing.
He was terrible yesterday at the Giants.
Felix Hernandez, 90% own.
Shawmaniah 79% own.
Jake Odorezi, 79% owned.
Yvonne Nova, 77% own.
Fultenevich, 65%.
And Tyler Skaggs, four and two thirds, five hits, two runs, two walks, five strikeouts against the Indians.
Coming off a great start against Oakland in his first start, he was okay yesterday.
Skaggs is the lowest owned of this group, 58%.
I will read the names one more time.
Felix Hernandez, Sean Mania, Jake Odarezi, Yvonne Nova, Mike Fultenevich, and Tyler Skaggs.
That is sorted by ownership percentage.
All right, what do you think about that group?
Who are your three favorites?
Scott, kick it off.
My three favorites are Manaya Fultenevich and Skaggs, who I thought was inefficient yesterday, but still dominant.
13 swinging strikes after, what, an 18 swinging strike game, his first time out.
No reason to drop him if you picked him up after that first start.
Still excited about him.
Shaw Manaya, you know, he didn't have the big swinging strike total in this start like he had in his first start,
but just seems to be a much better command of his arsenal this year.
and is somebody who both last year and this year has shown the ability to pitch a deep in the games.
So I think he might be on the verge of turning the corner too.
Yeah, Manaya is the only one on this list that I'm actually really like gun-ho about.
But Skaggs and Fultenevich, I agree with Scott, are two and three.
They're just a level below Mani.
In my opinion, closer probably to Oderizzi than they are to him.
Skaggs and Fultenevich really do have good stuff.
It's never been a question for Fultenevich.
Skaggs is someone who's been so hurt, but I've been, you know, I think everybody's pretty impressed with 95 mile per hour or lefty.
I don't know if he's quite that high consistently, but he's got very good stuff.
Yesterday was more what I expected from him, like the first game against the athletics.
And they've been pretty good offensively in a lot of games besides that one.
So maybe that's more impressive than I gave it credit for, but yesterday's performance where it's just going to be really tough for the Angels pitchers if they're not.
getting through six on a regular basis, and they're only pitching every six days to be
really useful in fantasy.
Okay, so the three favorites are Manaya, Fultenevich, and Skaggs, and just one thing on
Mania, what about the strikeouts?
I mean, the strikeouts were there on the first start, but throughout his career, he hasn't been
a strikeout guy.
You expect him to be a strikeout printing kind of guy, Manaya?
I don't.
I think he has the potential to be that, because he has shown it in stretches.
and his change-up in particular is a dominant pitch.
But do I expect it?
I don't expect it.
But I think it's one of those things where you can have the strikeouts
or you can have the innings.
And that trade-off may not necessarily be bad for him
in the environment we're in right now.
We're so pitchers, so few pitchers pitched deep into games.
Yeah, I would say I look at his upside more as like two guys we talked about before,
Ray and Quedo, where you're hoping he gets to eight and a half per nine.
And it's probably more realistic.
He's around eight.
All righty.
So that is Sean Minaya.
And then is Felix Hernandez, Odarezi, and Nova.
Would you guys have any issues dropping them for any one you liked?
No.
None at all.
Yeah.
And I think that's a change for you for Felix, right?
Yeah.
I mean, the first start was okay.
So I was like, go get him and do something like this against the Giants at San Francisco.
Yeah, nobody's going to pick them up if you drop them.
That's probably true.
All right, guys, let's get to some of the big news after I tell you about Seekek.
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And I wrote back, fantasy.
Would you believe that somebody who texted me was Chris Towers?
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Chris Towers.
Other standout, no, big news.
This guy does the big news.
Christian Yewitch left with oblique soreness.
They say it is precautionary.
we hope they are not lying to us liars Michael Brantley is 78% owned he is expected back on Friday
who wants to own Michael Brantley oh 100% I already do yeah same yep
must in points leagues because he never strikes out and that makes a big difference in that
format but even in Roto leagues the fact that he's going to in all likelihood be batting average
help because he doesn't strike out five out
fielder leagues usually.
Probably worth owning there.
Brantley has hit $2.99 or better in three of his last four seasons,
and the only time he didn't was when he played 11 games in 2016.
Michael Conforto is set to come off to DL today.
You obviously like Conforto better than Brantley, right?
Yes.
Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised if on a per-game basis,
Brantley's better in points, but yes.
All righty.
Colorado signed Charlie Blackman to a six-year deal.
According to Buster Only, it could be worth about a $100.
$116 million.
It's actually a four-year deal with two player options.
And that means for at least the next five years, we never have to talk about,
oh, well, the Rockies could trade him, and then what happens?
Right.
To his value.
Well, in three years, he would be in the last year where they actually control him.
The last two are player options.
Oh.
So I think we got like two and a half years.
All right.
You're right.
It'll happen against him, people.
All right.
What else we got?
Will Myers on the deal with Norve irritation in his arm, and Jake Lamb has a special.
Brained AC joint. Have you guys seen any timetables for Myers or Lamb?
Myers, I thought, was supposed to be the minimum.
Well, and I know they were hoping for the minimum for Lamb, too, but hopes are different from
reality sometimes. I haven't seen any update there.
And Arizona, so I just read it, it was kind of weird. Arizona looking to keep Paul
Goldschmidt fresh this year, play him in like the mid-150s, about 155 games or less this
year?
Fewer?
Like,
that, okay, I mean, that's a huge
total that very few players get to still, so I'm not sure.
Like, Paul Goldschmidt would be lucky to be in the mid-150s in games play.
It would mean he had perfect health all year.
That's true.
Well, he's been over 155 each the last three years, four of the last five.
I think that's been a nice string of luck for him, as it would be for any player who
doesn't have to miss time with injury ever.
The point of it was they were going to rest.
in more than normal, right, Adam?
Yes, but not less than like 150 games.
But yes, an occasional day off.
And I feel like managers say this and don't hold themselves to it.
But that is what was said.
Sounds meaningless.
Yes, right.
It's not going to lower Goldschmidt's value.
It's already been lowered.
It has already been humidor.
Zach Kozart hit the Angels' first extra inning walk-off home run since 2014.
That sounds like a long time to go without a.
an extra inning walk-off home run.
It does.
Congrats to the Angels.
Congrats to Zach Kozart.
Off to a really good start.
He is off to a pretty good start.
I was going to mention him as a standout.
I figured maybe I'd say it.
There was a lot on the show today,
but a guy you could be realistically skeptical about
because last year was such an outlier,
especially with batting average,
but he's off to a good start.
All right.
Standsouts from Wednesday's games.
Let's go.
Heath.
What do you got?
Yeah, I already talked about Johnny Quedo
So you want a different standout from yesterday's game
Why don't you go first?
Me?
I didn't know you're one there next.
Brian Dozier
Brian Dozier, look, this is a comparison that I will
Not necessarily make, but offer.
Joey Votto had, I believe, a two-year stretch
where he was pretty disappointing in the first half
And legendary in the second half
And then last year, he was great all year
and he had arguably his best season.
I don't know of his best season, but it was an amazing season for Votto.
Dozier is a career 225 hitter in April.
Last two years after the All-Star break, he slugged like 591 and 646.
He's now off to a great start with four home runs and a 318 batting average and a steal.
Only four RBIs on four home runs.
Three walks, three strikeouts.
Dozier's killing it.
So I guess I'm just going to throw that out there.
Maybe he has that full-season awesome year like Vado did last year,
but what do you think about Dozier right now?
Maybe he does, yeah.
I mean, I think two years ago
there was something going on with him health-wise
in the first half that helped make for that stark contrast.
I think it was a hip issue or something.
My memory could be wrong there.
So I don't know that he deserves to be pegged as that sort of player
who you can only count on in the second half.
I have talked about him being an uncomfortable choice in the early rounds before just because
I know in the past when I've owned him I've gotten frustrated with him and wondered if it was the end
and fortunately didn't make any bad decisions there but it was just kind of frustrating to own him
but the one league where I drafted him this year which was actually our podcast league 12 team
points league obviously very happy with what's happening I got an email yesterday as an interesting
email. I don't remember the full context of the
guys' teams, but he said,
would you trade Mike Trout? I believe it was
a 10-team league. Mike Trout
for Brian Dozier and Francisco
Lindor. Well, you know what, Adam? I have
a trade chart. Yeah.
The first trade chart of the season
is up, and while I would not
consider a gospel in these situations,
it's obviously a helpful guide.
I'm going to alternate between
head-to-head points and
rotisserie.
Which, you know, is helpful in head-to-head categories.
One week to the next.
I'm going to alternate between those two formats.
So the, what was it?
It was Lindor and who else?
Dozier for Trout.
Lindor and Dozier for Trout.
So I have Lindor at 31.
I have Dozier at 28.
That adds up to 59.
And I have Trout at 50.
So I, and my gut, just hearing the terms, was that's a big enough return.
That's two third round picks, basically, for a first rounder.
The only thing I'll say from doing the trade chart
most of last year is in doing it this way, you have to have some sort of factor when analyzing
two for one, three for one deals, because the side with multiple players will often have a
higher value when you don't actually agree with it.
Yeah.
So I actually wrote that in the introduction.
This is intended basically just for one for one and two for one deals because, yeah, if you
get into three for one, four for one, heaven forbid, the roster crunch that's going to result
from that trade makes it a no-go.
In a 10-team league, I don't think I'd do that.
In a 12-team, I definitely would.
Okay, you would give up chop for Dozier and then-door.
I just thought it was an interesting trade.
All right, so other standouts?
I'll go with the best starting pitcher yesterday.
Carlos Martinez at Miller Park, dominant.
Ten strikeouts, no reason for concern there.
It was great, yeah.
So far, he's been a little Carlos Martinez-e, right?
One pretty bad start and amazing start.
He was bad at Miller Park in three starts last year, so good stuff from him.
Scott, I think it's time to talk about Patrick Corbyn, 7 and a 3rd, one hit, no runs, one walk, 12 strikeouts,
21 swinging strikes for Corbyn coming off of a really good start with eight strikeouts and 5 and 2 thirds,
two runs against Colorado.
And, you know, he was actually better at home than on the road last year, so I don't know if he's a humidor kind of guy, but it doesn't hurt.
Anyway, Corbin, 94% own, 69% started.
It's time to start starting him in one-star weeks, I guess.
I think he's figured something out here
because you may remember over the last few months of last year,
the strikeouts really started to pick up for Corby.
I think he had a bumpy September as the endings began to accumulate.
But the couple months leading up to that,
the strikeouts really picked up,
and it corresponded to how often he used his slider.
He was throwing it more and more as the season went on.
And in this start yesterday against the Dodgers,
through his slider 54% of the time.
It was basically his primary pitch.
Of those 21 swinging strikes, he got half of them, I think 10, on the slider.
And, like, that's even taking it beyond what he was doing last year.
And you see the result, one hit 12 strikeouts against the Dodgers of all teams.
Very impressive.
I think there's a chance he could become sort of the...
2018 version of Brad Peacock, and what I mean by that is a guy who starts throwing his slider
ridiculously often and getting a lot more strikeouts because of it.
Who are you more impressed with right now? Patrick Corby or Dylan Bundy, who also is
crushing it with his slider, but his fastball, his four-seem fastball yesterday, Bundy's was better,
it was very good, got a lot of swifts with it. Corby or Bundy, who's more impressive for you right now?
Well, Bundy, this is what I thought Bundy could be if he featured his slider, like he did yesterday, like he has the first two games.
They're 25% of the time yesterday.
It's his best pitch.
He needs to lean on it.
But I knew he could do this if he did.
Corbyn, I did not.
I didn't really even know he was capable of this sort of thing, and it's kind of had my eyes open to there.
Yeah, both very impressive.
I do wonder, I think it's really good when pitchers make these types of changes to feature their best pitches.
I wonder if a month from now when the scouting report says he's throwing a slider 50% of the time, if that method becomes less effective.
Like right now, when the scouting report says he throws his slider about a quarter of the time, it's really, really good.
Watch for it.
And he throws it half of his pitches.
That could really be dominant.
You do wonder that.
But it's kind of rooted in analytics.
The Astros, I think, through the second fewest fastballs of any team last year.
and we know they're an analytics-heavy organization.
Basically, because high-90s fastballs have become the norm in baseball,
this generation of players has been so trained to key in on that velocity
that breaking balls are more effective than ever.
High-90s fastballs are most of the pitches they see.
If it's not most of the pitches they see, then it will become more effective.
I think it's a generation.
I don't know that they can adjust that quickly.
Maybe they can.
Bundy's really interesting because he doesn't throw hard.
And his fastball was very good yesterday, and that's not normally the case with him.
He throws about 92, which isn't great for a right-handed pitcher.
Now, he had a 293 ERA last year through his first 12 starts, but only 53 strikeouts in 76 and 2 thirds.
This year, Bundy had eight strikeouts at Houston, and what did he have in his first game?
Seven strikeouts in seven innings against Minnesota.
So he's over a strikeout per inning.
That's a great start.
And then down the stretch last year, in August, Bundy had a 2ERA.
He had 45 strikeouts in 36 innings and 16% swinging strikes.
Yeah, there was like a gap of 15 to 20 starts in the middle of the season
where he just kind of stop featuring the slider through it like 15% of the time instead of 25% of the time.
And that's when things went wrong for him.
So it's just such a close correlation.
And the scouting reports way back when he was considered the best prospect.
of baseball. It was all because of that one pitch, and he kind of got away from it,
rehabilitating from Tommy John and other injuries, but then started to feature it last year,
and in the starts where he actually featured it, he was dominant.
So this is Dylan Bundy we're talking about. In fantasy baseball, you know, there are players
that you feel you know what to expect from, players that you, you know, have conviction,
like kind of the way I feel about Quato.
Then there are players like Bundy and Corbyn where I don't know that any of us can really feel super confident and what's that.
We can say we're very encouraged and we can say we have a rosier outlook.
But I think we could all envision a scenario where things go south or it's a little up and down and consistent.
I think my point is when I have a player like that on my team, I'm not looking to buy or sell.
Those are just holds.
Just see what happens.
You guys feel that way, right?
Like, a lot of guys, just, I don't know what's going to happen with Dylan Bundy.
I don't know.
I'm not trying to trade for Bundy or Corbyn right now.
That does not seem like good timing.
Nor am I trying to sell high on them.
Yeah, I mean, if you're playing with novices, then you could, you could maybe convince somebody that Corbyn is, you know, going to be an ace now.
All of a sudden, look what he just did.
But I feel like if you play with experienced players, they're like.
They're not going to pay for the potential of Corbyn.
They're going to pay face value for Corbyn, which is basically what his draft value was after only two starts.
And I think you'd rather take a chance on the upside at that point.
I mean, obviously you liked him to draft him in the first place.
Yeah.
That's probably best to hold.
You could probably trade him for Blake Snell tomorrow if you wanted to.
Right.
I would do that.
Now, the question is, would I trade Quedo for Corbin?
Or Bundy.
I think I would.
It's not a sell high if you're doing that.
No.
No, but it might...
You're buying high and selling.
It might be for the Corbyn owner who looks at Quato and sees the ERA for the first two outings, says,
I'm going to turn Patrick Corbyn into Johnny Quato.
Take that.
I mean, I've made trades like that where there was an exciting player, but not necessarily one who was as highly regarded as the one I was giving up.
But when I was excited about one I believed in and I just was completely.
completely convinced that what I was giving up was no good anymore.
I've made those kinds of trades before, and it's worked out.
But I'm not sure I'm that convinced that Quedo's done that I'd be willing to do it in this situation.
Yeah, I certainly don't want to use the word done with him.
I do think he's going to struggle on the road, though.
Two more standouts real quick.
I already mentioned Preston Tucker.
He's now 10% owned.
But Shohei Otani is 50% owned in Yahoo Leagues.
Sohei Otani, the hitter, is 50% owned in Yahoo Leagues.
What do you think about it?
In CBS, he's just one guy.
But is he worth owning as a hitter?
I left him on waivers in my Yahoo League.
He's got a home run in two straight games.
He started three of seven games.
He's appeared in four of seven games.
I'm not really that interested in owning him to be quite honest as a hero.
Almost all Yahoo leagues are a daily lineup league, though.
That is a daily lineup league.
That makes a difference.
He's only going to start as a hitter three or four times a week.
That's the way it has to be because he has to be.
because he has to be ready to pitch.
So that takes him out of the discussion, I think, in weekly leagues,
unless it's a very deep format where everybody's starting part-timers anyway.
But Daily League, I mean, it's been impressive.
Homering off Josh Tomlin is one thing,
because that's like the easiest pitcher to homer off of.
But Corey Kluber, it's another matter entirely.
And he had, was it three hits again yesterday?
Two, two for five.
It's two for five, but three hits the day before.
like it's not an open-shut case, he's a great hitter now.
But like if you're encouraged about Preston Tucker,
I don't know how you're going to be encouraged about Otani,
even more encouraged about Otani's hitter potential based on the way he started out.
Yeah, I'm more excited about Otani as a hitter than I am Preston Tucker.
But it would have to be a unique situation for me in a Yahoo League
because as we've talked about often, generally in those types of leagues,
your bench spots are mostly pitchers.
and if the only place I'm going to be able to,
I don't know where he's eligible there,
but he's not going to be multi-position eligible.
So if I'm having to use him at utility mostly
on a two or three time a week basis,
that makes it really tough.
It'd be a unique situation.
If I had like Chris Taylor or Eduardo Nunez on my team
and I could plug Otani into utility
and move those guys around, then maybe.
Yeah, yeah, it depends on how much flexibility you have with Otani.
I think he was like 22% owned 24 hours ago.
And now he's up to 50.
I'm not sure about that, but I think that was the case.
I was going to mention it yesterday.
But I didn't.
So I mentioned it today.
All right, I'm also mentioning draft.
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I came in second last time.
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two on draft.
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today. I know you are going to really, really like it.
We didn't mention something that I think we need to.
If Kenley Jansen ends up on the DL and he's got diminished velocity and was rubbing his shoulder,
so we can't completely rule it out, who would you handcuff him with,
or who would you speculate on in the Dodgers bullpen?
I would speculate on Josh Fields. He's been the designated eighth inning guy so far this season.
I think he has the bat-missing ability you want from a closer.
Also a little homer prone, which is scary.
But there were times the Astros tried him in that role.
So that would be my first choice.
What I think will really happen, though, if the Dodgers had to remove Janssen.
And this is one organization where I feel like they would say this,
and I'd believe them because they're willing to do anything with pitchers, it seems like.
I think they'd go by committee.
I don't think there's a clear enough standout in that bullpen that they'd commit to any one guy.
I don't suspect if they removed Jansen, it would be like a rest of season thing anyway.
that makes it
me even less interested in picking up a guy.
But if I did have to pick up one guy, I'd be Fields.
Okay.
Heath, agree, disagree?
Because Baez is the other.
Pedro Baez and Josh Fields are probably the two
that you should really know about right now.
I mean, we have no indication that this is something that's
close to happening.
Sure.
But I wouldn't be overly excited about anyone.
I think Fields is the most likely.
I would expect it would be a committee situation.
George, our editor, one of our editors, George Maselli,
he floated the idea yesterday.
Maybe they try Walker Bueller, their top pitching prospect in that role.
And I don't think it was a crazy one.
But that seems to me like they'd only go that route
if they were convinced Jansen wasn't going to get right.
And like Heath said, I think we're a long way off from that.
Other bullpen news, Blake Parker pitched in the 10th in a non-save situation.
This was an extra inning his game.
Camberjoshan pits the seventh.
Kenan Middleton, the eighth and the ninth, and Parker the 10th.
Feels like Parker was being used as a closer typically would.
Yep.
Tyler Glass now is 26% owned.
He's five innings so far.
He's given up three hits, one run, seven strikeouts in five innings, but four walks.
So just keep that in mind.
Glass now, 26% owned.
How much stash ability is there with him?
How much do you think, or what's a better way to say?
How stascible is he?
I've been forced to drop him in the two leagues where I hoped to stash him,
which were both 15-team Roto League, so fairly deep.
And I've just been forced to drop him because even in those deeper leagues,
I've found options I like better.
It wouldn't surprise me at all if, you know, come June,
he's a regular part of the Pirates rotation and striking out 11 batters per nine.
Okay, that's Tyler Glass now.
And Soria got another save for the White Sox, and he is 37% owned.
and Nate Jones set him up.
Yeah, I think it's pretty clear that right now, Soria, is the closer.
And he wasn't very good the last two years in Kansas City in terms of ERA,
but he had a 223 FIPP in 2017.
If he's the guy, then that ownership needs to be like 75.
All right.
Soria, 37% own.
So let's do a little buy, low, sell high as best we can.
I haven't really been too inclined to,
look at the trade market right now.
Sort of everything's been fairly normal.
I mean, that's never completely true, but you know what I mean.
Nothing too outlandish so far.
What do you think?
Any buy low has come to mind?
Robbie Ray, I think, is somebody you could buy low on after a start where basically,
when things go wrong for Robbie Ray, that's what happens.
It was, you know, his worst-case scenario.
and he's the guy who had his share of detractors coming into the season.
So I could see how the Robbie Ray owner might be concerned right now,
and you'd be able to buy low.
Jose Ramirez, and it may be too late.
I think he had a good game yesterday,
but he had a 0.0-0-0-0-Bab-ip.
3.7% strikeout rate with an 0-43 average.
I think it was two days ago he hit a home run.
Okay, you know...
Should have two.
Each or robbed them of one.
Oh, that's true.
So how about this?
I think tomorrow we can talk about, or we can just not do the segment, any first or second round pick, top 24 pick, that's been struggling.
Vado, Machado, the Indians guys, even Aaron Judge a little bit, and whether or not there's anything to worry about, or if they're all just kind of like obvious bylaws.
But I guess today, let's try to look a little bit deeper.
There's nothing to worry about.
Yeah, there's nothing, right?
I'm preempting the segment.
Yeah, I don't know that we need to do much there.
Do you disagree?
I don't know.
There may be something to worry about.
I mean, Judge...
That's worried.
Judge, we were a little worried about to begin with.
But...
Well, some of us.
I mean, he's walked a lot.
He hit his first homer yesterday.
I think his batting average is fine, right?
He's like hitting 280 something?
I don't worry about him in an OVP league,
but in a batting average league, maybe.
Whatever.
But Blake Snell.
I said yesterday, if Blake Snell
pitches well against the Yankees, but has a bad line.
I'm going to make some by-low offers on Blake Snell.
But I'm a little concerned just because he has been a bit wild.
He's got five walks in nine innings thus far this season against the Yankees and the Red Sox.
And that is the bugaboo for Blake Snell.
So do you consider him a buy-low?
Bugging me, boo.
Yeah, I'd still buy low.
Sanchez-Homer specifically had no business being a home run yesterday.
He wasn't as bad as the stat line showed.
And he talked about, let's see, how did he phrase it?
He said, basically he got kind of psyched out by the lineup.
I'm totally paraphrasing here.
That's not the exact term he used.
But that's how I interpreted it.
Got psyched out by the lineup.
Said he was nitpicking with his pitches.
I didn't understand exactly what that meant,
but he said next time out against the White Sox,
I'm going to be ready.
I'm not going to be nitpicking.
So, I mean, it was a really tough lineup.
Only second start.
It looked pretty good first time out.
Let's give him a pass.
I'd buy low on Kintana if you could.
Okay.
What about Lester?
He's going to start today, so you don't have that much time.
But I guess we can revisit that tomorrow.
I think you can wait until after today because he's starting at Miller Park, right?
Yeah, yeah.
Okay, so maybe...
I just don't like him, so...
But if the amount I could buy him for was low enough,
let's hope he gets rocked at Miller Park, I guess.
All right.
See, I'm wondering if there's anyone else.
I mean, like, if you're in a five outfielder league,
Kevin Kiermeyer is just off to a terrible start, and people might want to drop him,
but he's got some value in categories.
Yeah, really nothing that jumps off.
But sell high, you know, Quedo was the lead for me.
I got some other guys that I'm not saying I want to sell high on,
but I want to see how you feel about them.
So you tell me.
Gregory Polanco, he is off to a very good start.
294 with a home run, a steel, and three doubles in five games.
But he only has, I believe, three played appearances against lefties.
and the pirates have the fourth few
as that bats against lefties.
So maybe we haven't seen
the Achilles heel of Polanco yet.
Would you want to sell high
or hold and see where this goes?
I don't think he's done enough
to really raise his value in a measurable way.
And maybe
maybe I'm just playing with the wrong people
and don't understand the way
the typical fantasy owner behaves.
But I don't think I could convince anybody
he's worth more than I drafted him for.
Fair enough.
With those numbers?
I think it depends on where you drafted him
because his ADP was like 13th, 14th, 15th round, wasn't it?
Yeah, he was good value.
Each of the past two years before last year,
it feels like we were drafting him quite a bit earlier.
So I think it's a possibility you could convince somebody
that he's worth what he was before.
The problem is I think he might be worth what he was before.
Right, that's the thing.
I'm bringing these guys up like Polanco,
but he might be really good.
That's why you'd have to sell him that high.
Like if you actually sell them six-round value or whatever we used to draft them at, there's really no downside to that.
It just seems implausible to me.
One guy that I was pretty high on that I'm still pretty high on, but I'm not quite as high as some people in my mention seem to be Paul DeYoung.
Three home runs already this year, but he's still not walking and striking out 30% of the time.
So I would very happily take a profit on Paul DeYoung and just move.
on.
And that's how I feel about Adam Eaton.
I think Adam Eaton's a very good player.
I don't think he's a star.
So if you could try to turn him into a star, you know, go for it.
And Justin Smoke, what do you guys think about Smoke?
He was the number nine first baseman in fantasy in both formats last year.
He had a really bad final two months.
He had just 213 with eight homers.
He did walk a lot, 27 walks, 47 strikeouts.
But Smoke's off to a great start.
he's been beaten up on White Sox pitching this week,
but he homered off Tommy Canely, I think, and David Robertson last week.
So, yeah, what do you think about Smoke?
Red Hot Star 385 with two home runs and five doubles in seven games.
If nobody bought it after last year, nobody's going to buy it after a week this year.
Well, that's a good point, but do you buy it with Smoke?
I think there's a good chance.
He could be a very good option for you again.
I wouldn't be opposed to selling high on him.
Just the thing, like any time we have this,
sell high conversation. What I'm always
leery of is
scaring people about
a player. Because when we talk cell high,
the emphasis is on the high, not on the
cell. Like, the point
is you're trying to get something really good
for something that maybe not quite as good.
It's not dumping a problem
player, you know?
So,
like Heath said, I'm not sure.
I'm not sure you're going to be able to turn Justin
Smoke into
Miguel Cabrera or whatever
Or maybe it would have to be at a different position
But you know what I'm saying
Like an obvious this is an upgrade
Would you do that though?
The smoke was a lot better than Cabrera last year
Would you make that trade?
Yeah, I mean Cabrera's off to a pretty good start himself
And I was obviously drafting him ahead of smoke
So I would do that
I would be
I'd be pretty happy to unload Marco Estrada
If I somehow drafted him
Which I never do
Okay
Like, he's not doing anything good.
Oh, you know, I might, I don't know if people are, no, it's ridiculous.
I'd buy low on Dallas Keikl if anybody is not sold.
I know, like, I know Chris doesn't really like Keikel that much compared to others.
So maybe the other analytics people don't buy him.
I still do.
Yesterday was pathetic.
Yesterday was pathetic.
Two runs, only one earned, neither should have been earned.
Big stupid pop-up, five feet behind second base falls for a hit because Al-Tubei lost it, and that's considered an earned run, because baseball is stupid.
All right, anything else in the cell highs?
Or the by lows?
Nope.
All right, let's move on.
News and notes.
Adam Wainwright's going to start today.
Did they mention anything about Flaherty?
He got sent down.
He got sent down.
He'll be back.
I mean, it wasn't a surprise.
Who else were they going to send down?
We knew Adam Wainwright was a day or two from returning.
He'll be back.
Like, from this point forward, we will just refer to him as Adam Egg Sucker, Wainwright.
It's fine with me.
He can go suck an egg.
Hunter Pence day to day with a thumb injury.
Angel starting pitcher Andrew Heaney expects to be back next week.
Any interest in Andrew Heaney?
No.
He has to do something first.
There's upside there, but I'm not...
I've already picked up too many upside pitchers to drop one for that speculative pickup.
Ian Kinsler expects to be back next week.
Aed-Miss Diaz could be back tomorrow,
and Baltimore outfielder Mark Trumbo is nearing
her return. I guess I could throw these guys in the
by lowish category. Two second basemen who are not living up to the hype so far after
Big Springs. Ian Hap, batting 125 with two walks and 10 strikeouts. And Ozzie Albies
batting 172 with no walks and six strikeouts and he has not stolen a base. Are you concerned
about Hap or Albies? Very concerned about Ian Hap.
because the playing time isn't there
and because the strikeouts have been super high.
Those were the downsides to Ian Hap.
And Heath was high on him from the beginning.
I was won over this spring by that talk.
He's going to be our primary center fielder and leadoff man.
And that's just not the way it's played out.
They lied.
Yeah, they lied.
And I think, I said it yesterday.
He's dropable on points leagues, I think,
where obviously the lineups are smaller.
There's a lot of second base alternatives.
and the strikeouts are going to hurt you there.
So I think he's right in that dropable range in that format,
obviously holding on to him tighter in roto leagues.
I am very concerned about Ian Hap.
There is no chance I'm dropping him after a week of baseball.
Yeah, I mean, this guy hit 24 homers in 115 games last year.
I know his walk strikeout ratio was bad.
But you're having to trust.
Just his strikeout ratio.
He walks plenty.
And again, Roto leagues, different animal.
You're just looking to compile stats however you can.
But points leagues, like hardly anybody who doesn't play every day is worth starting at a points league.
So you're really relying on Joe Madden changing his behaviors.
And I'm not –
He wasn't bad against lefties last year.
And you know who it was and is still going to be bad against lefties?
Kyle Schwabber.
And Schwerber has been playing every day, and he's a bad defender.
So it doesn't make any sense.
There's room there.
Yeah, put out Mora in center and move Hap to left against.
against lefties.
And it just doesn't make any sense.
I feel like they're going to wise it up.
But, yeah, it's concerning.
And I may eventually drop Ian Hap, but I just still think his upside is worth holding on to more than six days.
Okay.
Guys, tell me about these steals sources and what you think about their ownership percentage.
Michael Taylor has three steals and three attempts.
He stole 17 in 118.
He was like 3025 Homer's steals last year on P.
pace for that.
And he's 85% owned.
Jonathan VR is 58% owned.
He has no extra base hits, but he's batting 304 with two steals.
And Reese Hoskins has two steals, same as he had last year in 50 games.
That's what.
I don't expect Reese Hoskins to be a base stealer.
Speaking of Gabe Kapler.
I think the other two are pretty good base stealers.
Is that a thing?
How do we not have a segment of Gabe Kapler's follies from last night?
Do you do more?
What do you do?
I would say that he did.
Like, they,
tie game,
put in Drew Hutchison in the sixth inning for Aaron Nola when he was at 87 pitches and given up two runs.
And then did a fun defensive alignment where he put his right fielder basically at second base.
And Ahmed Rosario had a triple over his head to give this team a lead.
Anyway,
I think VR is appropriately owned.
58% is all of our roto leagues and in all only leagues and maybe a couple of points
leagues and that's probably about right.
Taylor should not be owned in points leagues.
Taylor's 85% ownership?
I know.
I couldn't believe it.
Is that for real? I couldn't believe it.
That's insane.
What was, like if Taylor is what he was last year, that's not ownable in a points league?
No, it's not.
It's because he strikes out so much that the,
Point per game average was pretty low.
I'll pull it up now just to verify what it was.
And it's a big, yeah, first of all, because the BABIP was high.
The guy strikes out a lot.
I don't think he's long for the role because eventually they're going to want to replace him with Victor Robles.
Now it's possible an injury could happen and open the door for Robles before that.
But that is not how I believe it's going to play out.
So basically, Michael Taylor averaged 2.46 points per game last year,
which was about the same as Max Kepler.
It was worse than Chris Owings and Trey Mancini,
Melky Cabrera.
Like, that's not very good player.
All right.
Oh, man, did not get to a lot of the stuff I wanted to get to today.
Is there anything major that I am missing?
Matt Chapman, people have been asking about him,
52% owned.
Matt Chapar.
Yeah, he's off to a good start, I think,
four of his last five games, multi-hits, multiple hits.
But here's the thing about Chapman.
He strikes out a pretty good amount, close to 30% of the time,
and only hit 2.30-something last year because of it.
Fairly ordinary Babbip.
He needs a high Babbat with that profile to hit for a respectable batting average,
and he just doesn't get the line drives to do that.
It was only 16% line drive rate last year.
It's only 11 early this season, and that's not enough.
So he's kind of all or nothing as a hitter who just happens to be off to a good start here.
I'm not investing a lot on him.
I think he's owned appropriately.
Like, he's in a roto league, I think he probably should be mostly owned.
Again, no room in points.
Matt Chapman, 52% owned.
Would you rather have Matt Chapman or Matt Davidson, who hit his fourth home run yesterday?
Chapman.
Yeah, Chapman's probably going to be more reliable for you.
All right.
I don't know there's anything major here.
John Gray was awesome.
Aaron Sanchez was good enough.
Seven strikeouts were nice.
Cinder guards off to kind of a,
by his standards, bad start.
Ten inning, six runs.
But I'm sure we're not worried.
Yeah, I did want to mention that Keikl
bad control yesterday, which is unusual for him,
and the runs were just stupid.
He didn't have his good stuff, apparently, yesterday.
according to the reports.
Eligibility.
Brad Miller is now eligible at first base and corner infield.
D. Gordon is now outfield eligible.
J.P. Crawford is now shortstop and middle infield eligible.
Albert Poulthes is a game away from first base eligibility.
Colin Moran is a game away from third base.
Eduardo Escobar is a game away from shortstop eligibility,
and Escobar is off to a good start, guys.
Sure. He's off to a fine start.
I don't think he's a very good player.
Let's see. Enrique Hernandez needs one game for second base.
Hanley needs one game for first base.
Matt Carpenter needs one game for third base eligibility and three games for second.
Neil Walker needs one game for first base.
Howie Kendrick needs two games for second base eligibility.
Cotel Marte needs two games for second base eligibility,
and Will Myers is on the DL.
When he gets back, he needs one game for outfield eligibility.
The starts and the sits today, I will just do the difficult ones.
Would you start?
Caleb Smith or Nick Povetta, Marlins at Phillies.
Neither.
Okay.
I might consider, I guess I should say, I am streaming Nick Povetta in a league.
So there are circumstances where that might happen.
Okay, Martin Perez, Daniel Mengden, I'm assuming no, right?
Tyler Anderson and, oh, I forgot to look up his name, Joey Luezzi.
No.
Nope.
Okay.
James Paxton, Kyle Gibson.
Obviously Paxton, and I would not do Gibson, despite his six-no-it hit innings the first time out.
Yeah, two guys who we thought completely different things about,
who we thought they were in their first start.
It's a good one to watch.
We don't want Jordan Zimmerman or James Shields.
We don't want Andrew Kastner.
We do want Masahiro Tanaka.
If I'm wrong, just jump in.
We don't want Homer Bailey or Stephen Brault.
We do want Robbie Ray.
We don't want Adam Wainwright, do we?
No.
No.
I will go back on Homer Bailey, though.
I think he could be interesting at Pittsburgh today.
Okay.
And John Lester at Brent Suter.
This is the interesting one.
Do we want Lester or Souter?
I'm probably going to start Lester if I drafted him.
I drafted him to be one of my top five pitchers,
and I'm not going to abandon that after one start.
Even though it's the top venue, I'd start him.
Okay.
So I'm not going to start Adam Wainwright,
especially since he hasn't pitched yet this year.
But each of the last two years, he's been terrible on the road and has had a low 3 ZRA at home.
Just keep that in mind.
This is a home start.
Maybe something to keep in mind going forward for his next home start.
Well, read some emails.
Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com.
Jamie from Baltimore-ish Maryland.
Dear Lucky, Dusty Ned and El Guapo.
The three amigos and their villain.
That's right.
Yeah.
I mean, I have to accept Rendon for Holland in a 10-team Rotel league, right?
It's a saves plus hold league.
I still have Wade Davis, Eglacius Boxburger, and Fernando Rodney.
I got to accept my Holland for his Rendon, right?
Sounds like RP heavy paying off early in the season to me.
Do it.
Yeah, yeah.
Matt from Poplar Bluff, Missouri.
A beautiful, beautiful place.
I was going to ask.
Yeah, sounds nice.
A lot of Poplars?
No.
Poplar Bluff.
They're just bluffing.
I notice that you are speaking a lot about swinging strikes.
Seems to me you should not discount.
strikes looking.
One could view the swinging strikes as a pitch that appears hitable that has late movement and has swung upon a miss, no doubt effective and impressive.
But some could be just plain old swings and misses.
One could also view the strikes looking as pitches that do not appear hitable that move into the strike zone.
Again, no doubt, effective as a strike, not swung upon, whatever.
I'm only guessing here, but assume the strike looking stats are higher upon control specialists.
I think that Matt can be right and a little bit wrong at the same time.
Swinging strikes are more important, and from everything I've seen more indicative than strike-looking,
I do think strikes-looking get a little bit of a bad name.
Yeah.
You know who are two good strike-looking pitchers before they became strike-swinging pitchers?
Well, only one actually has become that Aaron Nola was really known for a standout in terms of strikes-looking.
But Jake Junis may be following in his footsteps there.
So it's not like there's nothing there.
But yeah, swinging strikes are more indicative of dominance because the hitter was actually fooled as opposed to just working the count, you know?
If there's a guy who I'm going to be looking at the looking strikes column for, it's going to be Tyler Malley.
Because his control was unbelievable in his first start, and that's the only thing I've ever seen of his.
So I'm just going to keep an eye on that for Malley.
And Quato's always been a pretty good looking strikes guy, right?
I don't know, probably.
I'm not sure.
He won't be this year because he's terrible.
From Zach, how good will Daniel Murphy be when he comes back?
Hopefully the stud hitter he was the last two seasons.
It seems like they're taking his time with his rehabilitation,
which is helpful in that regard, getting him back to full strength.
If he does come in a matter of weeks before mid-May, let's say,
then I would say it was a good investment
and I would be not looking to sell him
when he comes back obviously
because I think he's going to be a top five second basement
from that point forward.
All right, it's Daniel Murphy,
and we got two trades from Eric, grade the trade.
My, I think, he gives up Turner and Grandal.
Trey Turner and Grandal.
He gets Gary Sanchez and Paul DeYoung.
It's pretty interesting.
Turner and Grandal for Gary Sanchez and DeYoung.
I don't think I like it.
I probably would.
good. Yeah, he's giving up, he's giving up Sanchez and DeYoung.
No, he's giving up Turner and Grandal for Sanchez and DeYoung. I like the Turner side better.
Definitely.
Yeah, C-minor D-plus. And finally, Chris from Edmonton is in a head-to-head points league.
He has been offered Brad Boxburger for Matt Harvey. Would you give up Harvey for Boxburger?
Quickly.
I don't know that I'd say. I don't think it's, like, it just depends on me.
Like if you have, what format is this?
Head to head points, but he does.
Head to head points.
He does need Boxberger.
He only has Giles as a closer.
Okay.
But, I mean, somebody else is going to appear soon enough.
Like, if Harvey becomes a reliable starter, again, that's going to be more valuable
than, you know, a back-end startable closer.
Oh, but he might not be in Points League.
Boxburger might be a top 10 closer.
All you got to do is get saves.
It's not a good team.
Yes.
But it's one of those things.
where like even if a guy is a top 10 closer on July 1st, like, saves are so random in their
distribution that like you don't necessarily feel good he's going to be a top 10 closer
going forward. You know, it's just kind of, I don't know, I always think of Danny Graves that one
year where he had like 30 saves in the first half and six in the second half or something stupid.
All right.
And in news that I don't know what it means, but I can confirm something I said earlier,
Johnny Quato has a 16% strike-looking rate this year.
He's had 14 and 15 strikes looking at his first two starts.
And back when he was a good pitcher, his strike-looking rate was 16 to 18%.
His swinging strike rate rate was right around 10.
Will you just make me an offer already in the Memorial League?
Oh, yes.
I will make you an offer.
Just get Quato off my team.
Absolutely.
Thank you, Heath.
It won't be a good offer.
All right.
You can only be a hitter, too, because I got some pitching depth.
We'll talk to you later, everybody.
We'll talk to you on Friday.
Bye.
