Fantasy Baseball Today - 04/07 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Week 1 Winners, Most Added, Week 2 Help

Episode Date: April 7, 2017

After less than a full week of baseball it's hard to come to any concrete conclusions, but we'll give you some winners (Brandon Finnegan, Yasiel Puig) and losers (Byron Buxton, Sam Dyson) to consider ... Thoughts on yesterday's standouts including Matt Harvey, Andrew Triggs, Gio Gonzalez and many more ... Two-start pitchers for Week 2, the Most Added list and the best and worst hitting matchups for the upcoming week ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Charlie Blackman, Sunny Gray, Matt Joe to Mangeo. All right, a busy Friday podcast here on April 7th. Welcome to the show. We're going to talk about Matt Harvey. We're going to talk about Yassau Pueig, some bullpen stuff, and get you ready for Fantasy Week 2. But are you hiring? If you are, ZipRecruiter.com, you can post your job to 200-plus job sites, including social media networks like Facebook and Twitter, all with a single click.

Try it for free at ziprecruiter.com slash strike. That's ziprecruiter.com slash strike. Adam Azer and Heath Cummings, we are waiting for Scott White to join us. Scott's in the bullpen right now. Scott just walked in. All right, we're going to tap our right arm and bring Scott in soon. But good morning, Heath. It's understandable.

Scott battling a little bit of a Hanigur over after Henniger hit his first home run. That's nice. I like that. Hanager over. I am very happy with Mitch Hanager. I'm encouraged by, even though the batting average is pretty low, you've got a steal, you've got a homer, and you've got him batting second in the Mariners order. I would say that Mitch Hanigar is a weak one riser.

A bunch of walks too, but also a bunch of strikeouts. He's struck out in about half of his batts, I think. So obviously dealing with the small sample and strikeouts weren't a big problem for him in the minors. But it's just worth pointing out. It hasn't been. hasn't been all roses it's not like he's been Travis Shaw or anything no well who has

to wait two walks for Travis Shaw yesterday yeah they really did a nice job adjusting they're obviously starting to pitch around Travis Shaw now and he's being patient and waiting for them to throw to him so more what do we have in greater number this year Travis Shaw walks or

Kansas City Royals wins definitely Travis Shaw walks and I would expect that will continue at least until Monday's podcast all right So email us at Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. We do have your emails to read. We'll look at two-star pitchers.

We'll take a look at the most added list. Yeah, a lot of good stuff from yesterday and looking into the future. All right, biggest week one riser. Let's start with that. And Heath Cummings, your biggest week one riser. And Heath, how about don't say Travis Shaw? Yeah. I'm going to say another. I'll say one of Scott's favorite guys.

I'll say Brandon. That's who I was going to say. Brandon Finnegan, and one of the reasons he's one of the biggest week-one risers, is because he was, even for Scott, way, way down in the rankings. So he's just got a lot of room to move up, and a lot of those pictures that were in front of him we weren't exceptionally excited about. Yeah, he's the one player who, well, maybe even if you include closer situations, because no closer has actually lost his job yet.

But, yeah, Finnegan's the one who is, gone from kind of a fringy, 50% owned guides, who I think must own now after that first start with the nine strikeouts, one hit against the Phillies, especially since there were reasons to believe he was on the verge of breakout late last year. I will say there's another pitcher that has had a similar transition, and that would be Greg Holland with three saves and four days, looked dominant again on Thursday. he was a guy that I in a two

like just a standard points league I wasn't even that excited about drafting him and now I'd say he's must start if I have to go if you want me to throw a new name for my biggest riser from the first week I'll take a Heath player

because I think it's Travis Shaw I think Travis Shaw is somebody who I'm making sure is owned at all my leagues and I'm not I'm not well no I mean Look at the way Travis Shaw started last year.

He started hot then, too. And the year before, and the year before. And then he was awful. And that's why I'm not fully buying in. Well, I know. It's not about fully buying in. This kind of ties into what you, I heard your segment yesterday about what you were saying about the waiver wire. And you and I are kind of on the same page about that, Adam, who players, everybody enters the season with players who aren't universally owned, their last couple picks.

they may not have like if if if if one of those guys who you drafted late who not everybody wanted in the first place doesn't get off to a great start you can drop them without worrying about losing them to somebody else and use that roster spot instead on a player with some breakout potential who's making tons of noise and is under the in with in view of everybody Travis shaw right now you're at risk of losing to somebody else I don't know if it's for real but I think there's a good enough chance it is that I'd rather devote a roster spot to him than, I don't know, some, who's a pitcher who was kind of drafted, but like, Michael Paneda. Actually, that was the first name that came to mind for me, too. Well, how about, like, I'll give you guys who are owned in about the same amount of leagues as Shaw. He's 59% owned. Jun Jun Riu is 50% owned.

Hasn't pitched yet. Yeah, I'd drop him for Shaw quickly. Um, Kendall Graven is 55% owned. Yep. Yep. Uh, some hitters. How about,

how about Randall Gritchick, 74% owned? Uh-uh. Nope. I would. I don't, I don't feel like Randall Gritchick's upside so high that,

um... I feel like they have the same upside. Yeah, so why not take the guy everybody, everybody else wants right now, as opposed to the one who, um, only,

he has a better chance of sneaking through, I think, It's shot. Only for me because there are like 35 third baseman that are off to a hot start and or elite already. So I probably am not at need at that position as I am in the outfield. All right. How about a week one faller? Actually, can I just go back to Finnegan real quick?

Sure. I agree. I mean, I'm very encouraged by Finnegan. He had an amazing start. I just want to mention that while Finnegan was really, really good at the end of last year, last 11th. starts. He had a, come on baseball reference, do the calculations. He had a 223 ERA, but he did walk 28 batters in 60 and 2 thirds. That was very encouraging in the first start that Finnegan did not have struggles with his control, but it is just something to watch with him. That is going to be

the big thing for Finnegan is the walks. And the Phillies might be the matchup that, you know, like Vince Velasquez had that Padre start last year. We'll see about the Phillies. I'm not disagreeing at all about Finnegan, I'm just saying. The Phillies really have one good right-handed hitter. The real clincher for Finnegan is that he has a two-star week coming up. And the second of those starts is against Milwaukee, the team that struck out more than any other last year. And two of its biggest hitters, Travis Shaw and Eric Thames, bat left-handed.

Okay. And you figure Thames might be out of the lineup for that one. Biggest week one, faller? I'm going to I didn't have this guy that high but it's one of the biggest week one issues I'm most concerned with and that's Byron Buxton

Yeah so Buxton is terrible right now He's one for 14 with seven strikeouts And he has a broken nose And he's no no That's Keon Broxon has a broken nose Oh sorry Buxton Broxton

Yeah he's And I had them both on my sleepers list Just been completely awful so far There's only three players that have struck out more than Buxton already this year. Do you know who they are? Players that people have more than seven strikeouts already? Three players have eight already this year. No, I don't.

Nick Markakis, weird. Yeah, that's weird. Jake Lamb, I think he faced two lefties already, so that makes a little bit more sense. And then Jonathan VR. Yeah, VR. Striking out a ton. Struck out half of his at bets. I don't like that.

Look, let's take it. just put the whole asterisk. It's early. We know it's early. We're not overreacting. But this is not what you wanted to see from Yassio Pueck. I'm not Pueg. Sorry, from Byron Buxton. I was looking ahead in the notes. Pueg has been awesome. Would you drop Buxton for Shaw? Yes. No, I want it. And that's, I mean, the difference between Buxton and like Gritchick, the upside, I don't think, compares. Yeah. At this point, Buxon's upside's all kind of theoretical. Sure. But everything's theoretical right now. All right, Scott, is there a week one faller for you? Has it even been a full week? It's been three or four games. Yeah, I mean, if I could go the obvious route and say Sam Dyson.

Yeah, sure. You can. That's your right. Yeah. I can't imagine if he has a third outing like his first two, that he will be getting the next save chance after that. Okay. We've talked about Matt Bush or somebody you want to speculate on. Yep. Let's look at Thursday's action. Double Dongs from four hitters. Can I just say this is my favorite new segment of the show?

Double Dongs? I figured it would be. All right, Yassio Pueig, he is now 5 for 12 with three home runs, five RBIs, five runs, one steal, four walks, and one strikeout, and a double. Pueig hit 19 home runs as a rookie in 104 games with 11 steals. And since then, he has not really come close to those rates. He had 16 home runs and 100. 48 games the following year with 11 steals, but again, that was in 44 more games.

That year, by the way, 2014, 37 doubles, 9 triples. So he stopped being a home run hitter. He was an extra base hitter. But Puege is off to a brilliant start. You know, he homered twice off Jared Weaver. They have faced pretty bad pitching so far, and they've dominated the Padres, except for Clayton Richard. But you didn't mention him as a riser. Clearly, Pueg is on people's minds, and he's off to a great start.

What's your take on it? have been Chris Towers riser if Chris was on a podcast today, except Chris already had him ranked like he was going to do this. Oh, Chris, Mr. Chris Towers, who went and picked up Alex Cobb yesterday. I'm an idiot, by the way. A real number one of the waiver wire is make sure you look at everybody who's available, because I'm sitting there deciding between Charlie Morton and Willie Peralta, didn't even realize Alex Cobb was available.

It's a bad job by you. It's a terrible job. Chris got him. I would say I am cautiously optimistic with Pueig. This could very well be a breakout. everything we hoped he was going to be, and that's a non-zero chance, as Scott would say. As I would say, my expression now. But it's also really early, and we've seen outstanding flashes from Puegg so many times in the past.

I mean, I'm encouraged. I have a lot of shares in Pueg. I may own him in, like, half my leagues, because I liked him as a sleeper coming in. I like some of the changes he made in September. I read more about the changes he was working on this spring, I think just two days ago. I was reading about it. He worked with their hitting coach Turner Ward and his teammate Justin Turner to make one of the changes Turner made a couple years ago, which is the change so many hitters are making in the game today, elevating the ball, hitting it in the air more. and to take better advantage of that raw power that it's visibly apparent he has. So that he's leading the majors in home runs already.

And I understand too came off Jared Weaver and Jared Weaver's terrible. But it's still hard not to be encouraged. All right, that's Yassio Puig. I guess I'll just ask, would you put the sell high tag on Yassil Puig? If you could get like top 20 outfield, top 25 outfield value for him, yes. I don't think you probably can't quite yet. Matt Kemp homered twice yesterday, both off Matt Harvey, and Harvey was really good yesterday, except when he faced Matt Kemp.

But Kemp is 6 for 13 with two home runs and four doubles already, one walk, three strikeouts. A reminder, he was the number 10 outfielder in points, number 15 in Roto last year, and with Atlanta, he actually had very good plate discipline, or it got better anyway, 20 walks in 56 games and an 885 OPS. So I don't know, there's much. to say here, but Matt Kemp is picking up where he left off.

Yeah, he is. He had those two home runs were two of only three hits. Matt Harvey gave up. Yeah, and they were shots, too. And it's also good for Freeman. People speculate that one of the reasons Freddie Freeman broke out late, I don't know if this is true, but Matt Kemp, protecting him in the order, can't be a bad thing. As somebody who was watching Braves games with some regularity, like it was, it was very apparent to me. The difference, just his presence, like a legit power hitter in the middle lineup versus having none made for the rest of the lineup up and down, just in terms of how opposing pitchers had to approach the Braves.

Like, that's the kind of stuff. Baseball being such an individual game, I don't think we have a great understanding. of how one player can impact an entire lineup. But it just really seemed that way once he came over. Can I just skip ahead to a segment called Baseball is dumb? Baseball is dumb because this whole, you can't assume the double play thing, it drives me crazy. I'm sure Heath, you saw it.

Jason Hamill, runners on first and third, one out. He already had a run in in the end. inning, Taylor made double play to Mondesee. Moncey boots, I think it was Monosy. It was Monty. It was as one out instead of two. It was as double playe as you can get, and you can't score in error because you can't assume a double play. So it was an earned run that event scored later in.

Oh, no, it should have been the end of the inning. So the runner from third scored, two runs in, should only have been one. They both were earned. I just baseball is dumb. Change the scoring. You're a Jason Hamel owner, huh? Yes, I am. I think the problem is, I mean, they're already so willy-nilly with errors.

And for the most part, like pitchers love errors because that helps their ERA. But nobody else likes them. The hitter loses a hit a lot of times. The fielder, it makes them look bad. I don't care. I don't care about hurting people's feelings. They change errors sometimes just because people call up to the scorer and complain about it. You can assume a double play.

Like, we know what a double play looks like. Well, how do you feel about a ground rule double, Adam? I'm fine with a ground rule double. Should we just assume it would only be a double? I mean, I know it's very frustrating. What about when it's an error and they only reward the runner one base when he's already rounding that base? Because the ball goes in the stands on the error. Well, actually, it happened in a game two days ago.

Oh, it was when Francisco Lindor threw the ball away, and I think it was Gallo. Yeah, Joey Gallo scored from second base. So, yeah, go ahead. I don't like judgment calls. It's not a judgment call. It was a double play. Your errors are already judgment goals. It was a double play.

They're already entirely judgment goals. That's purely scoring. I'm talking about the umpire. The umpire would make the call whether or not the double play could be. No, he's not saying it should have been an automatic double play. He's saying the it should have been an unearned run for Jason Hamilton. Yeah, you're right. We are just talking about scoring.

Let's go back to double dongs. We're better at that. Double don't care about this, right? Giovanni Soto and Daniel Nava combined for four home runs yesterday. In a two-catcher AL-only league, Giovanni Soto could be a guy to add if you're waiting on Wilson Ramos. All right, Thursday's standouts. Matt Harvey, let's start with him. Six and two-thirds, three hits, two runs, no walks, and four strikeouts, and he gave up those two solo home runs to Matt Kemp.

Harvey threw 77 pitches, 55 strikes, nine swinging strikes. You want to talk about best shape of your life. He really did lose weight. He looks a lot different now on the mound. I would say good first step for Matt Harvey. What would you guys say? I think that's a good way to categorize it. With the two-star week coming up,

I'm not afraid to use him in those two starts. And I have a lot of shares in Matt Harvey, too. I wasn't starting him anywhere, except I think a league with daily moves. Well, because he was pitching against the Braves. No, just because I didn't know what to expect. I mean, obviously, the velocity wasn't consistent this spring, and the results weren't always very good.

He was, what, around 94-95 most of the night here, so not all the way back. I still think, yeah, he's on the right track with velocity. I think a month from now he'll be basically the Matt Harvey, we all know and love. And in the meantime, he showed with this start that he could still be useful. I totally think your attitude on this start is dependent on, how much improvement you're projecting for Harvey throughout the season.

Well, I'll tell you what, I think you're going to start him next week, two starts at Philadelphia and at Miami. 100%, yes. And we'll go from there. But I watched a lot of the start, and I thought, put it this way, I didn't think there was anything to be discouraged by, you know? I didn't think the breaking pitches were great, but then I read this morning that he actually did very well with his slider.

So what do I know? I thought he mostly used his fastball until the later innings, but again, I could be wrong because I was flipping. And I don't really have much insightful things to say here. I just thought people asked me about it. I said, good first start, and, you know, we'll see what happens. We'll go from there. Is anybody encouraged by Gio Gonzalez, 72% owned?

He had one of the best starts of yesterday. Six innings, scoreless, seven hits, one walk, and seven strikeouts against Miami. Reading about it after the game, kind of talks. Matt Weider says a bad pitch framing reputation, Scott, or a good one? Bad, bad. That's why he didn't sign for so long. Yeah, I don't know. They talked about Weir's kind of calming Gio Gonzalez down, who I guess is, I don't really,

like a little kind of in his own head when he starts. But yeah, he's off to a good start just like he was last year, and then that didn't go well. Anyone care? I'm encouraged because I thought he was undervalued on draft. So it's a positive. I just like it if he could just pitch to his peripherals. He hasn't done that since 2013.

He used to do it pretty regularly. The last three years, his ERA has been about a half to three quarters of a run higher. If he could just pitch to his peripherals, he's going to be a very serviceable number three or four starter. All right, that's Gio Gonzalez. Would you rather have Gio or Alex Cop? Gio. I would rather have Alex Cobb And you know

Obviously this was a great start for Gio But after last year When he was already coming off a very disappointing season I'm Like Gio's kind of DTM And he can maybe be resuscitated But it'll take more than one start for that to happen I just think he's

The same concerns I have about Danny Salazar Control Efficiency is shoes, you could also apply to Gio Gonzalez, but with much worse strikeout potential. And Gonzalez had a 186 ERA. There was first eight starts last year and then a 550A RA rest of season. I thought about adding Andrew Triggs in our podcast points league because Triggs is RP eligible. Triggs gave up an unear run on four hits in five and two thirds. That's all great. But three walks, one strikeout, only three swinging strikes. But I went back, I looked last year, like, he was a strikeout printing, and he didn't walk a lot of batters at all. He didn't

make that many starts. Yeah, I didn't know. This start wasn't really anything like Triggs last year. What do you think about him at 23% owned? I think that's probably a little bit low, but he's not somebody I'm rushing out to add either. Are you only interested in Andrew Triggs in a SPARP league, SPARP situation? Absolutely. Okay. And Mark Reynolds, got to mention him again, because he homered. He's 17% owned. He's batting 467 with two home runs right now. I think it's doubled in the last two days, so that's something.

The ownership, yeah. Should it keep going? Mark Reynolds, 17% owned? Maybe a little bit farther. I think he maybe belongs more and where the Triggs range are a little bit higher, 25 to 30%. Okay. And in the bullpen, we'll get to the bullpen in just one second.

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promo code FBT for any premium suit for $3.89 with free shipping. All right. Blake Trine and blew a save. Can I say it wasn't really his fault? Came in with a runner on third and two outs, gave up a single. I'm not trying to blame him. All right. I don't think we should sound the alarms here. But he also did give up a run in his previous outing. So keep it in mind. Neftali Files makes me hate myself.

I just $3.5.5. What a stupid, stupid thing I did. I still think it's going to be fine at him. He's going to be their closer. He's going to strike out a lot of hitters. And, you know, he'll give up a home run on occasion. But it's not like he, it's not like this was a Sam Dyson level meltdown. No, it was. He was fine. He gave up a home run to Nolan Aronado and lost the game in a non-save situation. Ken Giles struggled in a non-save situation. Two runs on two hits with a walk and three strikeouts. He took the loss. It was Giles' third time. I'm pitching in four games. I'm sure we all like Giles, but this is a guy who has, if he struggles, a guy like Luke Gregerson that could fill in.

But I don't feel like this puts him in a situation where if he does it one more time, he's in trouble. It's just like the first little chink in the armor. And I would just say, like, as a Dyson, excuse me, as a Giles owner, if he has one more bad outing, I will pick up Gregerson. I don't know that I would do it if I were with a Giles owner, but. but I think it's worth ensuring yourself. Drew Storren got the save for the Reds,

and Reisville-Eglacius threw 21 pitches the day before. Scott, your quick take on the Reds bullpen? I don't think Brian Price is ready to go back-to-back days with Iglesias after he missed most of the second half of spring training. And then Michael Lorenzen, this is interesting. He had already been used in that game as a pinch hitter. And he hit a home run, the go-ahead home run, actually. So obviously he wasn't available for the save.

And do you know the last time how many years it's been since a pitcher hit a pinch hit home run? I saw it. I think it was, it was Mike Owings also for the Reds, right? It was Michael Owings, I'm pretty sure, yeah. And it was 2008, I think? It's been eight years, so it was 2009, I guess. Okay. Yeah, good job.

Pretty good. And Greg Holland got the save, as Heath mentioned. All right, we have a lot to talk about today. Let's do this quickly. I'll throw it to Scott because he wrote the column. Scott, here's our email of the day. It's from Curtis. 12-team Keeper League.

Which prospect is the best up to help me this year and going forward? Zimmer, Brinson, Bellinger. You want to add anyone else to that list? Scott, let's talk quickly about prospects. I would put Moncada ahead of him, but he's probably highly owned already. But my favorite after that, true prospect. Arias obviously is a minor leaguer, so obviously he needs to be stashed.

But True hasn't debuted yet. Prospect, Bradley Zimmer, would be my first choice after the spring he had. The fact he's 24. Indians, he's not exactly blocked with Lonnie Chisunhall being their primary right fielder. So power speed guy, I like Zimmer

a lot. All right, let's do the Worryometer then. And I'm going to give you some hitters who are off to bad starts. You tell me on a scale of zero to 10. How worried are? You, zero, not at all. Ten. So, zero to ten for Nelson Cruz, who's one for 15 with a double three walks and seven

strikeouts. He is 36 years old. I will go with 3.6. I thought he was 37. He will be 37 in just a couple months. Okay. But by then he might be dropped. No, I don't think so.

Cruz is battling the flu. He had battled it. He said it's not affecting him. Scott, where are you on Nelson? crew, zero to ten. Worryometer? Yeah. Zero.

All right. Chris Bryant, over 13 with six strikeouts. Zero. Yeah, zero. How to think about that? Well, sorry. I'm trying to help somebody on the media side of the site with a GIF issue they're having, getting a GIF in an article. Apparently, I'm now a GIF expert.

Yeah, nobody knows GIFs like Scott White now. You're handling different emails while talking on the podcast. It's not an email. It's G-chat. So there's kind of an... I try to give you my full attention. I just told him I was podcasting and I could walk him through it afterwards. You have my undivided attention now, everybody.

Sorry about that. He is on his cell phone. Like, you're always paying attention. There's never been a time where I catch you off guard. But there are times that I didn't know this until I was in the office last week. You're looking at that cell phone. What's good? Yeah.

I don't know what's going on. I'm looking for breaking news on Twitter. I feel like it's my job to keep up with what's happening. I know you are running the show doing a masterful job and don't have time to keep up with what's happening in baseball. And what if something happens during the podcast? I think it would be better for the listeners if we get it out right away. Could not agree more. Trey Turner, zero to ten, worryometer.

Turner's two for 13. No walks, four strikeouts. He does have two steals, though. Yeah, zero. I like that he has two steals having done nothing at the plate so far. I'm not going to give him a zero. But just because he was drafted so much higher than I thought he should have been, 2.13. Is he 21.3 years old?

No, he's 2 for 13. I think Heath's Worryometer is way too precise. You can just say zero on everyone. Yeah, well, look, it's three or four games. Carlos Gonzalez is 2 for 16 with a walk-in-four strikeouts. One Zero Carlos Beltron is 86%

Ode, he's 3 for 16 Looking for his first extra base hit No Walks, four strikeouts And Belchon had a 776 OPS with the Rangers Last year after it was Very patriotic

What do you mean? Oh, oh yeah After it was 890 with the Yankees So, you know, I remember at the time of the trade, Chris thought his value went down because he, because Beltron was like sort of just barely homering with the Yankees and he thought Yankee Stadium had a lot to do with that, the short wall. So, look, again, he's playing in a little bandbox now, but Beltron off to a bad start, zero to ten. I'll go five on him. Just because his age, he's kind of already exceeded my expectations the last couple years and the Astros have other ways to configure their lineup.

actually I got a tweet last night from somebody and this is maybe a perfect example of dropping a player who you drafted late doesn't really have upside for a player who's doing big things now like a Travis Shaw I advised a guy to go ahead and drop Beltron for Mitch Hanigar just because I feel like you're less likely to miss Beltron than you would the best version of Hanager

if Hanager becomes that. 3.9. 3.9 for Beltron? Is he 39? Yes. Okay. What is that scientific, like the term you learn in, like, physics class for, like, you know, obviously if you have this long decimal, you reduce it down to, and there's like a specific

scientific term for what the length of the decimal that you're supposed to show is, I can't think of what it is. I don't know. I was never good at science. Never good. And Uly Girlie L is one for 13 with no walks and two strikeouts. Nine. Yeah, I could see him getting dropped. Not that you have to, but I could see it happening.

News and notes, Keon Broxton, as we mentioned, he was hit by a pitch in the helmet. He has a slight broken nose, slightly broken nose, but apparently Broxton will not be placed on the DL. So, Broxton, like, you saw drop Belchon, whatever. Broxton, off to a bad start. How dropable is Keon Broxton? I still love the upside, but it's going to be one of those situations where if he starts to lose playing time, it could go south for him very quickly. The Brewers have so many, having so many alternatives.

But, you know, a week where he hasn't quite lived up to expectations, and now he has the broken nose. He's the one with the broken nose. Yeah. I'm going to give him a little longer. Yeah, I think he's too highly owned at 83%. All right. The Tigers move Jordan Zimmerman start back from Thursday to Saturday because he's been sick. So if you own Zimmerman and you can sit him, I don't know.

I think they're playing Boston, actually. So I don't think that's a little bit risky, a guy who's been sick. Yeah, I hate myself because in Tout Wars this week, I started Finnegut. I mean, I started Zimmerman over Finnegan. I can't imagine that's going to turn out too well for me. I started, is that worse than I started a two-star Patrick Corbyn over Carlos Carrasco? I think it's worse because Corbin still has a chance to redeem himself. Okay, I'll ask you on Monday then.

Okay. Garrett Richards is going to have an MRI on his biceps. The angels are saying it's precautionary, but that's never good. The Yankees reportedly, according to the Daily News, will not pursue Masahiro Tanaka if he opts out of his contract after this season because they are worried about his arm. So if they're worried, then, you know, that's not good. What are you going to do? Stephen Piscotti came in as a defensive replacement yesterday. The Red Sox moved their rotation around a little bit.

Eduardo Rodriguez is going to pitch Saturday at Detroit after yesterday's rain out. And I think Chris Sale is losing his second start. Is that true or no? Well, maybe not because they're moving Pomerans to Tuesday. So maybe not. Do we know if Garrett Cole lost his second start? Let me check. Looking at their schedule for next week, the Pirates play the Reds first thing.

and no, it looks like Cole still gets another start this week. Okay. Collin McHugh's rehab start did not go well. He's going to need another, so. Yeah, that might be understating it. He had to call the trainer out to the mound, I believe. Oh, is that what happened? He may need more than another one.

Well, thank you. I'm glad you see. Breaking news. Not that breaking, but thank you. I did see that on Twitter. All right, let's talk about some bopping third base. Ryan Healy, another homer. He's three for 14 with two homers, so walk in 5Ks.

Mike Mustakis, 59% owned, another homer. He's 4 for 13 with two home runs. And Jake Lamb, another homer. So all three of these guys, Ryan Healy, Mike Mustakis, Jake Lamb, they all have two home runs so far. And Mustakis is the least owned. He's 59% owned. Has anything changed with these three?

I am getting more confident in draft. drafting Healy is my primary third baseman in the podcast league. He's up to 86% ownership now, which is kind of surprising. But he's my favorite of these three. I actually do like him more than Jake Lamb because Lamb's clear limitations against left-handed pitchers. I would rank them Lamb, Healy, Mustakis, but this first week has kind of shown us the problem with Jake Lamb because they've faced a higher percentage of lefties than they will the rest of the year.

Well, yeah, I mean, right, they faced Bumgarnd, and Matt Moore, and he doubled off Matt Moore, so that's good. And he stayed in the lineup against both of them, so that's also good. Okay. I understand the concerns. Hey, are you hiring people? If you are, you need to learn about ziprecruiter.com, and you need to go to ziprecruiter.com slash strike for a free offer.

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Try it for free right now. I got in some feedback that we need to really remember the deep leagues. So I just wanted to mention that Tim Tebow, homered, in his first at bat, as a Mets minor league yesterday. I was going to let Scott bring that up in the prospect section. No, drop the ball. No, I'm running it. It's, uh, that's amazing. I mean, it's, it's just amazing that that happened, right? I mean, I can agree to that. He did strike out, I think, in his next three at bats.

The AP piece on it is pretty awesome. With a 15 mile per hour wind blowing out, Tebow hit a shot just over the 372 foot sign in left center field. opposite field. Oppo Bopo. Yeah. Yeah. Now, he, he's strong. He's going to, I guess, connect a few times, but he's going to disconnect many more times. Fine, you want to talk about Deep Leagues? I actually have a section in here for Deep Leagues. And other players that we need to talk about, Lance Lynn, Robbie Ray, Joe Musgrove, Blake Snell. But here are this Deep League guys. I talked about Triggs.

Matt Boyd had a terrible start. He's 23% owned. James Shields, I guess, had a good star for him. Ariel Miranda, not great. Rockies pitcher Antonio Senzatella had a good start at Milwaukee. Chase Anderson had a good start against the Rockies, and Marvin Gonzalez has two home runs for the Astros. I don't think there's anybody that's, like, super exciting in this little deep league section.

Like, Sinzatella is interesting in that we've never seen him before, and he could be a guy that, like so many pitchers on the Rocky staff, is actually good away from course. Maybe. I feel like the upside's pretty limited for him. and, you know, mostly he just got a job because he happened to have a good spring. Strikeout rate's not great in the minors. My favorites here are Andrew Triggs, who I think is probably 23% ownership.

I think he probably deserves to be owned in most head-to-head points leagues just because of the relief pitcher eligibility. Not that this was a brilliant starter or anything, only one strikeout, but it was, he did fine. and Matt Boyd, who was terrible yesterday, four walks. He had one walk all spring. And it's not like walks were an issue for him last year, so it seemed kind of like a fluky thing. He hadn't pitched in a long time because of, you know, obviously the start of the season and all the off days with that.

So he may have just been rusty. And if you're worried about Matt Boyd's job, Annabel Sanchez came in and did just as poorly. Yeah. He is still Annabal Sanchez. Yeah. All right, let's go back to yesterday's stuff. I think we should talk about pitchers.

Let's go to the rotation. All right, five pitchers who are widely owned, some good, some bad yesterday. Marcus Stroman, six and a third, six hits, one run, two walks, five strikeouts at Tampa Bay. John Lackey gave up three runs in the first inning, but had really bad defense behind him, and then he kind of cruised. He ended up giving six innings of four-run ball, three earned with seven strikeouts to two walks. That was at St. Louis. Revenge game.

Lance Lynn in that same game, I think it was fine. Five and a third, five hits, two runs, one walk, four strikeouts. Jeff Samarja got roughed up at Arizona, and Robbie Ray, 91% own. You know, there have been a few starts in this opening week. I'll give you two examples. Dallas Keikle had the bases loaded at one point, got a ground out to end the inning. And James and Tyone worked out of a couple, James. including a basis.

It might have been bases loaded nobody out at Boston. And it's just like, man, you give up a blooper, you give up a hit there. The line changes so much. Maybe our perception changes so much. Robbie Ray was pretty close to having a quality start. I think he walked his last batterer, which was his third walk of the game. And maybe I'm thinking of Joe Musgrove. Joe Musgrove, I think, walked his last batter and then they removed him.

But Ray was pretty close to having quality start. He ends up going five and two-thirds, gives up three. three runs with three walks and six strikeouts. We'll talk about Musgrove later. So, I don't know. The line, it could have looked a little bit better for Ray, but... It was, like, Stroman and Ray, specifically, this was just kind of who they are. It was very, a very Marcus Stroman starts on the good end, and a very normal Robbie

Ray start. I guess the encouraging thing is just six base runners and five and two-thirds, but that's just because he only gave up three hits. He still walked three, which isn't really good. was encouraged by Lance Lynn and his first start against probably the best offense in baseball. I want to mention Samarji here because he had nine strikeouts in five in a third innings, a couple home runs, including a three-run shot to Jake Lamb killed him. But there was some concern this spring about his velocity, high 80s he was throwing. He averaged like 95 yesterday, 94-95.

So it seems like You know, he's going to suffer from the normal Jeff Samarja inconsistencies Can be home run prone at times as we saw yesterday But it was interesting Actually with the comparison to Lance Lin Ray here I had the decision late in the podcast league draft Do I go Jeff Samarja? Do I go Lance Lin? And the reason I decided to go Samarja is because last season,

Not even Samarja's best season. In fact, a season people would call kind of underwhelming for Samarja. He still scored more points, more fantasy points than Lance Lynn ever has. So I kind of feel like Samarja is just all around underrated in fantasy, and he's not a guy I'd consider dropping after this first start. And I would say Samarja is, I don't know if I'd say overrated, but I feel like Samarja is going to lead your team in, Quality starts while on your bench.

That may be true. It can be frustrated. Unless you just start him at home because he was very good in San Francisco. Or you start him also at Corr's Field because Samarja, for some reason, destroys the Rockies every time he pitches against them, even in Coors. Yeah, so he frustrates me. Okay, how about, let's see. Who do you want to own in this group?

Gio Gonzalez, Blake Snell, gave up five walks and four runs and six and two-thirds. Tyler Skaggs, bad start, he's 65% on. That's pretty high. Joe Musgrove, two runs and five innings with three walks. Jason Hamel, Jaime Garcia, was okay. Really, the fringy starting pitchers did not do that well yesterday, except for Geo. Yeah, Snell's almost all the damage they did against him came in one inning. And I think he walked three straight guys and then gave up a grand slam.

So that's a bad. bad stretch, but also if you do that and then finish the game by giving up five runs or four four and runs and five and two-thirds, six-thirds, it's not that bad. He walked five, though. Yeah. Oh, like, there's still control concerns. Were you torn Heath when Kendris Morales was up with the bases loaded off Blake Snell? Big Ken.

Right. Versus Blake Snell. Who were you rooting for? I didn't have to root because I've got a bunch of both of them. So I just sit back and enjoy whatever happens. And it was a grand slam, by the way. Yes. All right.

So who's your favorite? Like, Gio, Snell, Skaggs, Musgrove, Hamel, Garcia. I would say Gio then Snell. Well, Gio's definitely my least favorite. Okay, Garcia is my least favorite. Ah, the Braves is my least favorite. But Gonzalez isn't very high for me. I would say Snell actually is my favorite.

As hard a time as I give Heath for liking him, just clearly the most upside of this group. Musgrove is probably my second favorite. Yeah, I think I like Musgrove the best. I liked what I saw from Musgrove. I was watching that game, but then we had some pretty important national news that broke last night, so I stopped watching that game. But that was a guy, like his final at bat was pretty interesting.

He was working at Nelson Cruz. He threw a pretty good pitch that was a strike, and then Cruz may have swung at it. They granted him time out on a 3-2 pitch very, very late, and then comes back and walks him, And I think they lifted him after that. Yeah, I just, it's, you walked three and struck out two in five innings. It's hard for me to get too excited about that first start of the season. No, I'm not that excited. But, you know, 16 walks, 55 strikeouts in 62 innings last year, kind of like Triggs.

Like, I don't think the walk-to-strikeout ratio yesterday means as much as the walk-to-strikeout ratio in 50-60 innings last year. Yeah, if you were making that argument over a guy that threw 180 or 200 innings last year, I think I would agree with you. It's just 50 or 60 innings. Oh, then let's go to the minor. Joe Musgrove had 41 walks and 320 strikeouts in 300. Well, I actually wanted to mention that. Musgrove with the walks is kind of, like, I'm not sure he's figured out,

he's figured out how much of a strike thrower he wants to be. Because his first few starts in the majors, he was walking nobody, and he got shelled a couple times. And he actually said after that last one, maybe I need to be off the plate a little more. Well, I don't think he has, maybe I'm wrong. You might disagree. I don't think he has a type of stuff to just be in the zone all the time.

Maybe he doesn't. He's going to have to get people to chase. And the only problem with that would be is if he doesn't have the type of stuff to make people chase either. All I'm saying is with the walks, he can quit whenever he wants. He doesn't have control over him. He can quit whenever he wants. It may not turn out well for him. He's still trying to figure out how to walk that five.

line. Of, let's say Snell and Musgrover are consensus favorites in some order. Finnegan, ahead of both of them? Yes. Yeah. Cobb ahead of both of them?

No. Right that same range. Very close. I'm going to put Cobb ahead of them, yeah. Charlie Morton ahead of either of them? No. I'm going to say no for now, too. but I'm pretty high on Morton. Okay, and did I have one more?

I thought I did. I guess I don't. All right then. Great stuff, Adam. Let's talk about week two. Scott, do we have any hitting advice, or is that going to be on the website? Oh, it's definitely going to be on the website. It's kind of half-baked right now. The Braves are the one team playing five games,

but their matchups are very favorable. Marlins and Padres pitching staff. So it probably cancels out the five-game impact. Some other good matchups that I've picked out so far.

I think the Mets have the best matchups. So, you know, you're as Drew Bull Cabrera, Jose Reyes, maybe even Curtis Granderson. Padres, Giants. This is in no particular order, by the way.

Blue Jays, Indians. Rockies matchups are... They got a three-game series against the Padres rotation at Coors Field, but then they go to San Francisco for four games. So, yeah, that's probably, I don't know that I call that a favorable match. Well, let me just jump in and you said the Padres have good matchups. Hunter Renfro is off to a nice start. He is 75% on, so for most of you probably can't get him.

But take a look in 10-team leagues, take a look in some 12-team leagues. Maybe Hunter Renfro is a guy you want to add. Yeah, I would agree with that. he'll probably be among my top 10 sleeper hitters for this week. And I want to say... I want to say Manuel Margoe, Manuel Margo, whatever. He just... Look, they face good pitching.

They face Kirchaw, they face Rich Hill, and McCarthy had a good game as well. Margot's off to a bad start, but I think it's nice that he is bad at either first or second for the Padres so far. He's 43% owned, and... I just thought I'd bring that up. Three that I've, well, four that I've designated bad matchups are, again, in no particular order.

The Diamondbacks, the Orioles, the Marlins, and the Phillies. So your fringies for those teams, you might think about sitting. Potentially, well, it looks like three lefties on the schedule for the Diamondbacks. So probably sit Jake Lamb. Definitely sit David Peralta. Yeah, Peralta, I was going to mention Peralta. They faced two lefties, as we kept talking about. Peralta started against one of them about at seventh, and he sat the second time they faced a lefty.

Okay, that's good to know. I might have to get a third basement in there instead of Jake Lamb, which, you know, that's a lot of work for me. I have a lot of Jake Lamb. Let's talk about pitchers then. Two start pitchers for next week. Don't see. No doubters. You got Sale, Areietta, DeGrom.

Ooh, DeGrom's going to have a nice week at Philadelphia, at Miami. You've got, ooh, Verlander. I know you're going to start them, but Boston and then at. Cleveland. It could be a fun week for him. We said start Harvey. Obviously, we're going to start Carrasco after that first start. Yeah, I'm not going to waste my time with the highly owned guys. Jeff Samarja, two home starts, Arizona and the team that he completely owns Colorado.

I'm starting him. Yeah? I don't even like him that much. Okay. I would definitely start him in a points league. Roto, I'd be kind of on the fence about it. All right, that's Samarja. Let's go to his teammate, Matt Moore, Arizona and Colorado at home.

Start or sit Matt Moore. He's kind of the left-handed version of Samarja, I feel like. So, yeah, I'd start him. If I had them both, I'd start Samarja over him. Adam Wainwright, at Washington and at the Yankees. No. No. Garrett Richards, I guess we should wait and see.

Texas and then at Kansas City. Yeah, we'll see. I'm not doing that even if he's starting. Oh, I would. I would. I don't know how you can expect more than five. I don't, but the fact you're getting two starts, you know, the total number of innings and the total number of strikeouts that goes with, it should be pretty good. Is the Rangers start in Texas or at home?

They're both, no, the Rangers start is at Los Angeles and then, yeah. Okay. And then at Kansas City. Michael Panetta, two home starts against Tampa Bay and St. Louis. Can't do it. Probably not. Can't do it. Tyone, we're going to start, even though one of the starts is at Chicago.

I think you've got to start him. Taiwan Walker, at San Francisco and at the Dodgers. These are tough calls this week, man. I lean yes on Walker. And I was probably too dismissive saying, can't do it on Paneda. There would probably be some instances where I would, but I would not feel comfortable about it. And I don't feel comfortable about Walker either.

It's just hard when it's hard to leave that two-star guy, particularly in a points league, on your bench because it's like if I can't even trust him in a two-star week, why is he here? Well, let's talk about that. Okay. Points League versus Roto League. And this will be, we get asked about this. If you've listened to the podcast for a while, I'm sure you've already heard this, but first time saying it this year. In a points league, it is hard. A pitcher has to be so bad to have a negative point total. So it's hard to leave a guy on your bench if he has two starts. Yeah. You really only need one of the starts to be good. And if they both happen to be good, that's

amazing. Yeah. In a roto league, when you're talking about ratios, ERA and WIP, especially, it's a much different ballgame. And then you don't want to just throw out guys who might hurt you in two ratios, even if you're going to get some strikeouts and maybe a win or two. It's a lot different. Like Paneda, you're going to be much more likely to start this week until we see something good from him, much more likely to start him if you own him in a points league than a roto league. Let me just pick out some guys who might be available. Jared Eichoff, Jarrell Cotton, and Brandon Finnegan are 70 to 80% owned. So, yeah, what do you think, Scott?

About those three. Finnegan is my favorite of the three. I think he should be started across the board. The matchups for the other two, for Eichoff, they're not so great, but he's a good enough pitcher that I'd lean towards starting him and Cotton. They're decent matchups at Kansas City and versus Houston. and not as excited about either of those two is Finnegan, but I think they're both worthy starts. Yeah, I'm definitely starting Ikoff.

I'm definitely starting Finnegan. I'm not excited about starting cotton. Other guys we could pick up that are owned in less than 70% of leagues. Alex Cobb at the Yankees and at Boston. So I actually, I'm not sure how I feel about this. As much as I like Cobb, I'm not sure this week. This might be a guy I leave on my bench for two starts. And then complain about it all week next week?

But that doesn't mean I'm going to bench him. I mean, that doesn't mean I'm going to drop him if he struggles. Don't bench Carlos Carrasco for him. No. Well, Carasco is two starts. Yeah, that's true. Dan Straeli. Two home starts against Atlanta and the Mets,

58% owned. It's not bad matchup. If you're really hurting for a two-star pitcher, I could get behind it. I'm not going out of my way to add him, though. I'd rather have Charlie Morton, who's 47% on than Staley. In fact, Morton, starting with ICOF, the ones owned in less than 80% of leagues, Morton might be my second favorite two-start option to Finnegan. Luis Severino is 50% owned.

Boy, that would be a huge risk starting him. Tampa Bay and St. Louis. I would not recommend it. Nope. Man, though, if you could start him as a SPARP with two starts? Yeah. No, I think SPARP. Probably have to do that.

Spark changes the game. Yeah. I don't know if you have to do that. I mean, like, this guy... You don't have to, but it would be the gutsy move that potentially makes all the difference. Hypothetically, if you were in auction and you had Neftali Feliz for $3 as one of your closers, I would rather start Severino over Feliz. In a roto league or a points league?

Points league. Yeah, probably. Yes, I agree. Because $3. Neftali Feliz is going to haunt me forever. Chatwood, Glass Now, Pomerans. Pomerans is kind of interesting. 64% owned, Baltimore and Tampa Bay

at home. I don't know how confident I feel in Palmerant's making two starts. He's supposed to start Tuesday. That's true. I think I'd rather start Glass Now, actually. Probably just in a points league, but that first matchup against Cincinnati's very tasty.

At Chicago Cubs, okay, that might be a problem. But again, you just need one of those two starts to be good. And maybe he'll surprise us against the Cubs. He certainly has the ability. All right, any of these guys in Deep League's, Boyd, Minnesota and at Cleveland, Cahill, James Shields, Hector Santiago, Rookie Davis, Willie Peralta, and Antonio Sanzatella.

I'd give half a thought to Boyd and Peralta in a deep league. Not saying it's automatic if it means you're having to sit a reliable ERA and whip one-star pitcher. Probably don't do it. But I could see it working out pretty well. Boyd has a matchup against the twins. Peralta has a matchup. At Cincinnati. I could see that going pretty well for them.

Scott, are you feeling Willie Peralta at all? Because Heath and Chris absolutely are not. I am. No, I am. His second half was, what, he had like a 240 ERA or something? I think it was like $290. Okay. After he got recalled, he had a 292, I think, ERA.

Willie Peralta. No, he was one of those pitchers who coming off of last season, I pegged as, I'm going to like this guy's a sleeper next. year and there was just way too many pitchers to like for him to even enter this discussion. Mike Fultenevich was kind of that way too. But, yeah, I think it would not surprise me at all if that 10% ownership is more like 50 or 60 by the end of the month. Okay.

Emails. This is from, oh, no name here, sorry. He says, Dear Rick, Ezekiel and Maggie. That is also The Walking Dead. I knew that. I knew I was going to say that. 10-te-mixed Dynasty League. Yeah, thanks, Scott.

Head-to-head categories. With promising stars from Brandon Finnegan and Dylan Bundy, would you add either or both in exchange for Jose Cantana or Michael Fulmer, rank the four pitchers in this Dynasty League? In a Dynasty League, it definitely changes the equation. If I was just ranking for this year, it'd still be Cantana, Fulmer, Bundy, Finnegan. Yeah, right?

Oh, man. But in a dynasty... I kind of want to go Bundy after Cantana. You're overthinking it. Cantana is not old enough to where you really expect him to get worse over the next three years. Yeah. So I'm not changing my dynasty rankings either. I'm sticking the same.

I think you start trying to project out five or six years from now, and that's stupid. Well, yeah. No, they're all great dynasty options. I go, I'll move Bundy ahead of Fulmer for Dynasty League purposes, though, and Finnegan still... bringing up the rear. Former's younger than Bundy, right? He may be, yeah, I just think Bundy's better. I should say this about Bundy.

Throwing the slider this year, they didn't let him throw the slider previously because they were worried about his arm. This is a guy with major injury history. That's probably the one thing that scares me the most with Bundy. You know, I feel like I don't want to forecast an injury, but, you know, of all the pitchers, of all the pitchers in baseball,

Dylan Bundy feels to be able. like one of the more likely ones to get hurt. So you're forecasting an injury? No. Yeah, maybe. No, maybe. That's probably fair. But I do want to point out that every injury Bundy suffered was related to Tommy John surgery and the recovery from it.

It like everything points back to that. So you could sum it up as just one career-altering injury. Okay. By the way, that email was from Lucille from Virginia. Yeah, I don't think that's really a person named Lucille. I think that is a Walking Dead reference. This is from Ginnik's, from Honolulu. Aloha.

First time, I think this is a, yeah, first time fantasy baseballer. I'm still learning the point system and how the starting lineup adjustments can be made per day as compared to the football season. I loaded up on aces. Help me compete and make my way to the playoffs at my inaugural season of fantasy baseball. Give Gneeks a quick rookie tip. So... You want to target your waiver wire money on hitters. If you spent that type of assets in the draft on starting pitching,

I'm going to assume your hitting is a little bit weaker than everyone else. And you may have to go with a little bit of the Scott White approach of chasing hot streaks. Also, don't sit any of Kershaw, Bumgarner, Archer, or Lester for a two-start pitcher. or like even like a two-star Brandon Finnegan or somebody like don't do it stick with the one-star guys but these are this is a league with daily lineup setting right yeah I'm sorry yeah this we don't have enough time for this question because we're running out of time this would take us the whole time so this is from Dale we bombed that so bad again is another one that's never he's gonna stop listening to I do think at least Dale's intro gives us fun names to guess

You have an outfielder on your bench, you have an infielder on your bench to mix in when your starters are having an off day, and then you have a lot of pitchers on your bench to mix in. And, you know, if they're not great ERA and whip starters on waiver wire, you mix in some middle relievers when your starting pitchers are off. I'm skipping Dale's email. This is from Ian. Sorry, Dale. Would you drop Blake Snell in a keeper league for Dylan Bundy? Yes. I probably would.

I don't know. Is it a points league? Does I get this spark-ball agility for Bundy for another year? Take it way too long. No. Okay. And last one is from Bernard in Dublin. Do you think J.T. Reamuto's hot start is worth a sell high,

or do you think he'll continue to produce? Team name Tuesday submission, a lead miss to reintroduce myself. Pretty good. Not bad. I would not count on him being a power hitter like he has looked so far. So, yeah, if you can get... I mean, what's selling high at catcher? Because I assume he's your primary and only catcher.

You'd pretty much have to trade him for, like, Wilson Contreras or higher, right? Maybe see what you have to include with him to get a good catcher. How about Gattis? Would you trade him for Gattis? I did I would not anymore I don't know I'd be a close call

in a points league it'd be a close call in a Roto I think I'd do that He should have been my biggest follower from earlier because I've been scared by the Astros' lineup situation

He started two of their four games I don't know If he starts half of their games It's going to be a bad bad year For Avengettus I don't know that that's true That's kind of He'll probably start a little more

If he starts 81 games He's going to be the biggest bust Of the year I don't know if that's true You can't be good at 81 games. I think he'd still hit around 20 homers. That's... With all the pinch hit appearances.

Then he's an AL-only catcher. No. Well, 20 home runs mixed-le catcher, but he's not going to be like the number six catchers, something like that. I think a worst-case... I mean, this is going way back, and maybe nobody's going to get it. But, like, I think a worst-case scenario for Gaddis is what Mike Napoli was for the Angels. Like, he was never the primary catcher, but he got enough at bats and was powerful enough hitter, that he was still plenty useful in fantasy.

That's it for the show, everybody. Have a great weekend. We will talk to you on Monday. I want to thank you for being with us for the preseason and for week one. Hope you're one and O. We talk to you on Monday. See you.