Fantasy Baseball Today - 04/10 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Weekend Roundup

Episode Date: April 10, 2017

In our first weekend roundup of the season we tell you who we added and dropped, wonder if Kendall Graveman can get by with one pitch, discuss some trending OFs like Manuel Margot and Gerardo Parra and give Gary Sanchez owners replacement options ... Miguel Sano, Michael Wacha, Zack Greinke and Chris Owings were among the weekend standouts. Who on this list is a sell high candidate? ... How worried are we about Masahiro Tanaka, Francisco Liriano and Gerrit Cole? Who do we like in the PHI bullpen? ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

All right, it's Monday. It is April 10th, and we are beginning fantasy week two of 26. We're almost done, Heath. Time flies. Football is right around the quarter. Football is always right around the quarter, it seems. NFL draft coming up soon. Heath is in some kind of Monday mood today, but not like the bad, like he is a case of the super unbelievable amazing Mondays.

I had a very good weekend, and baseball is awesome, and Salvador Perez is going to hit a home run every game and things are going good. Four home runs for Salvador Perez. You had a good weekend, huh? Yeah, yeah. My son had a basketball tournament and played very well, and now we're getting ready to head to a national qualifier. Oh, awesome. Excellent.

Who are you leading off your waiver wire column with her? I know you've already written it. Who'd you lead it off with? I am buying in one last time to Stephen Sousa, and I know what you're going to say about how Stephen Sousa started last year, But this year's different because he's not striking out. Now, he's not going to have a 6.7% K rate like he did in the first week of the season. He's not going to hit 417 either.

He's not going to walk three times as many times as he strikes out. But, man, if he could just get that strikeout rate down to 20 or 25% like he did in the minor leagues for the most part, he was only at 18% in AAA in 2014, if he just gets down to that range, you're looking at a 270, 280, 280 hitter with 25 plus home run. Okay, well, Sousa is now 33% owned. He's 27 years old, and he's got 10 hits and 24 of bats with a home run. He's got obvious power, Stephen Sousa, but yeah, it's been a disappointing career for him. This would be a big-time post-hype sleeper. Absolutely.

I think he's actually in my post-hype sleeper's column, which maybe gives me some confirmation bias as a reason to believe in this. But the thing is, like, he's 27. He'll be 28 relatively soon. And I've generally given up on guys improving a great deal at that point in their career, but he still has less than a thousand plate appearances. So I don't think there's any reason to think that he couldn't get that strikeout rate back down a little bit more under control. All right, I asked you off the air if you drop Keon Broxton for Stephen Sousa. Let me ask you, would you drop A, Broxton, Bxton, Bxton for Sousa?

I would drop Bxton for Sousa. I don't know what Buxton did yesterday, but I tweeted out before yesterday's game. Coming into yesterday's game, he had 175 career strikeouts, 173 career total bases. Well, first of all, he's been moved down in the order. He's been batting seventh and eighth over the weekend, and Buxton is two for 26 with 13 strikeouts in one walk.

He may need to be moved down in the organization again. Would you nickname your team Dr. Sousa? Are you ready to do that? I would – I don't dislike that. Okay. All right. I just want to see where you're at with Sue. How committed you are. Hey, let's talk about more players, Heath. And Scott's going to be joining us shortly as well. Stat of the day, according to ESPN, stats and info, teams that entered the ninth inning with a six-plus run lead had won 346 games in a row.

But that ended yesterday. Not a good day to be a Mariners fan. Not a good week to be a Mariners fan. They're off to a terrible start. The bullpen implosion yesterday, I guess. The only fantasy thing here. They gave up a seven-run lead. They lost, or they gave up a six-run lead. They lost on a seven-run ninth to the Angels on the road. Edwin Diaz, any worries here? No, not at all.

All right. I'm fine. Everybody else was bad, too. So listen, if you're new to the show or you just forgot, here's what we do on Monday. We recap a lot of what went on over the weekend. We talk about the pitchers and hitters that did well and those that did poorly. We talk about who we added on our rosters and give you a little context of how much we like the Waverwire guys. We'll look at the most added list and look at who you added to your rosters.

The weekend standouts and all that. I think big news should be coming in Philadelphia, not necessarily, but it does seem like Jean-Margomez, Jean-Margomez, as Pete McCannan calls him. I'm going to go with his pronunciation. It's probably going to lose his closers role. How could he not? If you don't lose your job now, what would you have to do? Although it was nice that he picked up a win. So good for people that started John Mar-Gomez.

Yeah, and I don't know if it's going to be Hector Nairus, it's probably going to be Naris or Joaquin Benoit. Because Nairus is a very good, valuable pitcher, and they don't want to lose his versatility necessarily. So get on that. Before you hear the announcement, if you need a closer, Nairus Benoit. That's how you'd rank it, right? Narris won Benoit, too. Yes, and Narris was in the waiver wire column today. He is still just 40% owned, so I would expect that will be rising throughout the week.

I don't know that he'll get the first shot, but. Yeah. I would sure like to see it. He's the best pitcher. And I don't, I didn't really make that many ad drops this weekend. I added Hunter Renfro in a 12-team three outfielder points. Actually, points like actually dropped. Okay, I drafted Hunter Renfro.

I dropped him for Carlos Gomez a few days ago. I added him again dropping Keon Broxton. So I'm playing a little outfielder roulette there. But I like to start that Renfro is off too. I added DeNard Span for zero dollars in a Roto League. Other than that, I really stood Pat over the weekend. I did not do much. How about you?

I added Alex Wood in one league. Is it just kind of a just-in-case going to keep him on the bench this week and see if he does something that makes him worth owning? I added two-start Tyler Chatwood in a league where I was really desperate at starting pitcher. Oh, wow. One of those starts is, of course, but it's against the Padres, so there's still some reason for hope there. He's not a bad pitcher.

I was able to get Travis Shaw in the one league that I didn't have him. He was available in the Wavers Wire, so I added him, I think, for 8% of my FAB budget. Okay. And then it seems like there was maybe one more ad. Scott, who did you add? The two most exciting additions I had, the ones I was excited to see when I woke up this morning, I got Greg Holland for $8 in a weekly Fab League. I don't know what his ownership percentage was up to, but I don't imagine in daily ad leagues.

He was available in too many still. No. And I was excited in Tout Wars, which is 15-te-Roto. I got Joaquin Bin-Wa for the equivalent. It's $1,000 fab, so like $1.6 if you're converting down to $100. I got him for $16. Naris was actually owned, and I think all of the leagues I'm in but one. He was already owned, I guess, you know, just...

You got Mitch Hanigar in our league. Speculating. Yeah, I did get Mitch Hanigur. You got Kendall Graveman, too. Are you excited about your Kendall Graveman ad? Which league did I get him in? The podcast points league. 12-team podcast points league.

Sure. Yeah, no, he was a player who I put a lot of bids out there on. I was normally prioritizing the closers over him, and I prioritized Mitch Hanigar in leagues where I didn't all. already own him. But Graveman, the velocity up this year and went back to back. Was it two-hit efforts in both? Just allowed two hits in each of them? Yeah, he's been great. The reason I didn't go after Graveman, I thought about it. One, there wasn't really anybody I really wanted to drop. I would have had a drop like Yvonne Nova, and he had a good enough start where I just stuck with him.

Graven is still throwing almost exclusively sinkers. I don't know how much success he can. I mean, I think he's throwing like 90% sinkers or something crazy like that. So I'm not saying he shouldn't be added. Just saying, I was thinking, man, I don't think so. 90%'s pretty absurd. You could check it out. He's basically a one-pitch guy right now.

Al added him in our head-to-head auction league and drops Gio Gonzalez. I would do that. I'm not sure if I would or not. Yeah, you're right, 80. This last start was 92.9% sinkers. Yeah. I mean, that ball has wicked movement on it, though. That's a good pitch.

It could work. I just, I don't know, probably limits the strikeout upside and we've seen. I don't matter how wicked the movement of a pitch is. If you throw it every time and everybody knows that it's coming, it becomes less wicked. But it looks like it moves differently. I won't say every time. probably only a limited number of movements it can make, but it doesn't follow the same motion every time he throws it.

And, I mean, a strikeout per inning so far this year, a strikeout per inning this spring, I don't know. Obviously, the reason he wasn't already considered a fantasy commodity is because he hasn't been a good strikeout pitcher in the past, and that's led to other issues. But I don't think his sinker's been as effective in the past as it looks like it is early this year. Very possible.

Now, let me update everybody on what nobody cares about. Team Scam and Team Kreeh took it on the chins this week. Oh, we got crushed. In the podcast Categories League, team scam went 1, 7, and 2, and team Kreeh went 2 and 8, and a new poll has been posted from Ryan McGarry, who will end up with a better record, scam or Kreeh?

I think I might vote for Kreeh because I'm so upset. No, I'll vote for scam. But it was a bad week for us. Actually, it was a pretty crappy week for me in general in fantasy of my five leagues. I only did well in one. But things will change. Yesterday in our auction league, in our Roto league, I had Marco Estrada, Garrett Cole, Daniel Norris, and Edwin Diaz pitching yesterday. So I had a 7ERA.

Yeah, I think I'm dead-lasting basically every pitching category. It's a good start. It's a good story. I had to go log on. I hadn't seen the poll yet, so I wanted to vote for Creece to make sure you guys didn't jump out ahead of us. We're ahead. What to nothing? Well, that's tied. Who stood out to you this weekend? Scott, why don't you start? Like, weekend standouts? Okay. Well, while I open up the email of 30 names I suggested for doing player update videos today, because that would probably be a good way to figure out who stood out to me,

this weekend. I want to mention that Brandon Webb, back when he was good through his sinker, about 75% to 80% of the time. And he was when he saw Young's and such. So... Look at that. The Kendall Graveman...

No, it's a good point, Scott. I didn't mean to dump all over Kendall Graveman. I didn't know what the answer would be when I was looking it up. I was just curious because I felt like he was somebody who... Okay, it's taking me too long to open this email, so I'm just going to go off the top of my head.

Why don't I go? Manuel Margoe having that two-homer game made me think about adding him in a couple leagues. Yeah, he's off to a nice start. Mitch Hanager, obviously. I mean, home runs on back-to-back days this weekend. I mean, and long ones to like center fields. But who do you like better, Hanigur or Margo? Hanager.

But I had them, I had a bid put in for them like, you know, I prioritized Hanigar just over Margo in. in a head-to-head points league. And it's, like, it's kind of interesting. Margot, we kind of build him as a steel specialist coming into the year. And, you know, maybe that's all he ends up being. But that would be, you'd think of him strictly as a roto guy in that sense. If he is one of these, you know, 12 to 15 homer guys with pretty good extra base pop, I think that kind of shifts his value more over to,

points leaves with as little as he strikes out he becomes like one of those sum is greater hole is greater than some of the parts guys like uh like a francisco lindor for instance and um and so maybe that makes it more valuable in that format i don't know i think it's worth a shot if you need outfield help um because i'm always willing to gamble on talent uh if if that talent then shows signs of getting some production to back it up heath would you rather have have Manuel Margot or Stephen Sousa? I will go with Susa. But I was excited about Margo.

I'm going to try, by the way, to read some emails later in the show at Fantasy Baseball at cbsi.com. All right, Heath, stand out for you? Well, I think you'd be hard pressed to find somebody that stood out as much as Francisco Liriano stood out. That was, uh, woof. Yeah, that was, uh, let me get the, let me get the numbers there. Liriano 77% owned. he did not get out of the first inning.

He gave up, I have his line completely messed. I think he gave up five runs with four walks on three hits in like a third of an inning or something like that. It was terrible at Tampa Bay. Yeah, 2016 with the Blue Jays, Liriano had a 2.92 ERA, a 1.18 whip, which is really good for him and a strikeout per inning. So, yeah, I certainly didn't drop him. Was anybody giving thought of dropping Luriano after this horrible start? There was one league where, you know, Finnegan, Brandon Finnegan was still available into the weekend,

and I think he was the only league where Finnegan was still available. So, you know, you're thinking fairly shallow league as far as pitching is concerned if he was even still out there. And I was willing to drop exchange Liriano for Finnegan in that case, just because, like, if nobody's picking up Finnegan after that start, nobody's picking up Liriano after that start, you know? Yeah, we'll have to watch Liriano and see what happens. He could turn into, like, he's up there in age,

and he's always kind of walked the tight rope. he could turn into like an Ovaldo Omenes who you drop him and then he has a really good start and you pick him up and then he's awful for three weeks and then you drop him and then he does the same thing again and then I would say I mentioned it earlier but Salvador Perez with four home runs just ride this for a little while and then you can sell him around the end of May. I am still optimistic about Liriano long term by the way that which is why I was holding on to him. I mean the thing with Salvador Perez is that we fantasy veterans know at this point he they wear they wear him out. Ned Yost doesn't rest them enough, and Perez, I think, has had three straight bad second halves. Well, I think his plan this year is just to hit more home runs so he doesn't have to run around the basis. He can just jog. Well, that's a great strategy.

Why did more people think about that? Yeah, so at some point you probably wanted to sell high on Salvador Perez. But if you're in a league where, like, everybody knows, you might have to do it sooner rather than later. But, yeah, he's off to a great start. It'd be hard to justify selling him to yourself, though, knowing the kind of catcher you're going to replace him with, right? Yeah, I certainly wouldn't trade him for, man. What you're hoping to do is just accept a little downgrade at catcher and get better somewhere else, I think, because then you're hoping that it's not actually a downgrade because Perez is just as bad as that guy in the same.

Yeah, yes. You know, there are two catchers that don't have a hit right now, by the way. Austin Hedges and Russell Martin. Your thoughts? A little bit worse Hedges, both of them are worrisome Martin's old And Hedges hasn't proven anything

But if it was I mean Jonathan Lucroy has what One hit Right but we think he's much better than those two So you're still just applying your Preseason ideas on these players Right I would just say that an older player Is more likely to have just lost it

And a younger player is more likely to get sent back down Russell Martin started last year Batting 172 172 with 45 strikeouts in his first 39 games And then he was pretty good At last 98 games he had 252 with 20 home runs So got off to a terrible start last year Sounds like he was not doing a very good job of preparing in the offseason

Yeah, I guess not I was sure he had lost it with that strikeout rate The first seven weeks last year And uh... Food you! Yeah, exactly I wanted to talk about a few pictures pitchers from the weekend. One, Michael Waka. Michael Waka is about 80% owned, and he was brilliant on

Saturday. Six innings, three hits, one run, one walk, six strikeouts. This happened to be one of the games that I watched, so maybe that's why he stood out to me. But even the Cardinals broadcaster was saying, like, he couldn't remember seeing Michael Waka pitch this well. He had 13 swinging strikes on only 83 pitches. Last year, Waka reached 13 swinging strikes twice, and he did that on 114 pitches and 97 pitches. He did it on 83 pitches on Saturday. So he's off to a good start. Let's keep an eye on that. And then two pitchers who are struggling right now that were drafted around the same range as high upside number threes or maybe solid number two starting pitchers.

Garrett Cole, I mean, look, the ERA wasn't terrible. Six-innings three runs. That's not good. But a lot of hits so far this year. And not that many strikeouts. And Masahiro Tanaka. Let's see if you guys agree. I am not panicking, but worried about Garrett Cole and really want to buy low on Tanaka, because his velocity is fine. I mean, I saw him hit like 94 on the gun, and it's just control, and he's never been a control problem. Tanaka has never walked more than 1.6 batters per night. He's all over the place.

The only thing I would say to that, and it was a good point that Scott made in the preseason when I wasn't worrying about wage. Dave Davis and he was, is that a lot of times when there's an injury issue, it's the control that goes and not the velocity. And there was that report that the Yankees weren't really interested in Tanaka after this year because they're not happy with his arm. So I'm concerned about both of these guys, but I'm not to the point to where I'm benching either one of them. Well, the report was, yeah, I mean, the report was like they, if he opted out, they're not going

to sign him to a new contract because of concerns about his arm. You know, he's got the partially torn UCL. And that did occur to me. But also, he was the most dominant starting pitcher in spring training. So it hasn't been an ongoing thing. Yeah. It was just spring training. That's worth bringing up any time we talk about contrasting performances.

But I agree more or less with your assessment, Adam. And, you know, I was kind of the low guy on Garrett Cole coming in because it seemed like his velocity was great last year, too. and even before he missed the time with the, what was the triceps, oblique, that time he missed with the injury for a good chunk middle portion of the season, the strikeout rate wasn't there. And it wasn't there this spring, and it hasn't been here through two games. So whatever went wrong for him last year, it seems like it's just continued so far. And I still don't know the answer to what it is, but it's worrisome.

I'd be interested in shopping him if I felt like I could get a good enough return. Obviously, don't want to take a low ball offer, but maybe Tanaka himself is somebody you can offer Cole up for. You know, Cole is a one-star pitcher at the Cubs this week. And as of now, I'm going to set my lineup again before the game start at one. As of now, I got him on the bench. I'm starting a two-star Alex Cobb in a points league over Garrett Cole. And I don't remember who I'm starting in the Roto League over Garrett Cole, but I got him on the bench for, again, Alex Cobb. And, yeah, I don't know.

I might start him over like Jason Hamill, but Hamill's facing Oakland. Cole's at the Cubs. I'm nervous. Yeah, I don't know that I necessarily disagree with the two-star Alex Cobb over him in a points league, but I just don't feel like I have four other starters on most teams that I'm going to start over Cole. I'm not starting one-start Jason Hamill over Garrett-Cole. Yeah, I don't think I'd go that far either. All righty, guys.

You know, last year, the first week of the season was really fun. We had mostly Trevor Story to thank for that. He was going nuts, and every day it was like, Trevor Story or this guy. Where are we putting him in our area? Is Trevor Story this guy? It was Aaron Sanchez, was dominant. Who is this year's Trevor Story? That's clearly Mitch Inager, right?

I don't think so. He's not doing, nobody's doing what Story did. Well, yeah, I mean, obviously that's, Story was doing historic. I was going to say, No more Mazarra, potentially being that guy. But Mazarra, we had a higher expectation for than, like, story kind of came out of nowhere.

Mazar is not coming out of nowhere. He was pretty decent last year, and he's 22 years old, and he's one of the top prospects in baseball a couple years ago. All right, so let's not take it too literally here. I mean, it might be, Graveman, right? Might be.

Like a guy who goes from complete afterthought and fantasy. And again, it's not apples to apples either because Story had a big spring last year and started to get drafted late in mixed leagues. But Graveman, yeah, I don't know that we can really

speculate what kind of pitcher he's going to be if this velocity gain is legit and sustainable. but I do know he's always a guy the athletics have valued greatly. Remember when they traded Josh Donaldson to the Blue Jays, and for what seemed like a bunch of non-prospects, their reasoning behind it was that the package was just too attractive to pass on, and it was mostly headlined by Graveman and Simeon. And it just seems like they've always,

since acquiring Graveman, they've always been high. higher on him than the rest of the baseball world has. And maybe it's starting to show now. Why? All right. So no necessarily Trevor's storywright. I think it's been sort of a tame week one. I mean, there are some storylines.

J.T. Rao, Muto, sitting 500. Yeah. Think about Mazar. Greg Holland's back. Yeah, he's been great. That's a big one. Let me just say something about Mazarre. Let me just say something about Mizarre real quick.

He's 0 for 3 against lefties so far. And he had only two extra base hits in 111. 11 at bats against lefties last year. So that's something to keep an eye on. Yeah. And if I could add something about Mitch Hanager, who, again, I made sure he was owned in every league. I had him in a lot already. But it could still go wrong for him, obviously.

A three-home-er week is great. It's encouraging. It's reason to pick him up everywhere. He also has 10 strikeouts and 28 at bats. Now, strikeouts weren't a big issue for him in the minor, so maybe it's just a... issue of small sample size, but if he is striking out one every three of bats all year, he becomes more like what Stephen Sousa was the first couple years of his career, and that's probably not going to be mixed league valuable.

I was curious when I was putting together the waiver wire column this morning, I did not put Mitch Hanigur in the column because he was up over 63% owned. I don't feel like Hanigur should be 100% owned. Probably not, but if he was only 60, I probably would have put him in 63. I use Cunney's 80 as the cutoff. Okay, yeah. I didn't have anybody over 60. So I guess it doesn't look like I excluded him. I just excluded those guys that were 60 to 80%.

Right, right. Because I'm sure there are a decent number of mixed leagues out there where he is still available. And I do think it probably needs to be up over 80, maybe close to 90 at this point. Yeah, I'm surprised Hanigers is in closer to 80% of leagues. All right, so, look, Yaso Pueeg's another guy who's been off to a good start. Herardo Parra's off to a really good start. He's 45% owned. So, you know, it's only been one week. Miguel Sanoe.

Miguel Sino, not really striking out much. That's a great sign. He's batting 350 with two home runs. He's striking out four walks, seven strikeouts. Another thing to pay attention to, and just so I can say his name again, because I feel like when I said his name the first time, we just skipped over it. Positional eligibility. We have gotten past the five game mark for a lot of teams,

so we're seeing guys that were not necessarily eligible at certain positions. John Hever Solarte is now second base eligible as well. Oh, and by the way, he's crushing the bowl. And Brandon Jury is as well, and he's also crushing the ball. Yes, Brandon Jury as well. Who's better, Jury or Solarte? I would rather have Solarte for sure in a points league, I think, in Roto 2. Okay.

Scott, jury or Solarte? Um, gosh, that's close. I think Drury. I think I like the upside overall upside a little more for Drury. Okay. One more hitter real quick here. And we'll talk about the injuries. Gary Sanchez on the D.L. We'll tell you to start or sit Greg Byrd, Jackie Bradley, Josh Donaldson, Trey Turner. But, you know, Chris mentioned during the preseason, spring training, that Y'alli, And Rondo was changing his swing, trying to do the flyball, loft, launch angle thing, whatever it is that the kids are doing these days. And I said, well, if it works for Yonder Alonzo, then I'll buy it, you know. And he's 6% owed, but he's batting 3.89 with a home run, three walks and three strikeouts and a double, and sitting against lefties.

But I just wanted to throw that out. I thought it was funny because I just had absolutely no faith in Alonzo being mixed league relevant. But off to a good start. Well, I will just say not to poo-poo yonder Alonzo, because the one home runs great. But hitting the ball in the air a lot more is not something that's supposed to help your bab-ip, and he's got a 4-30 bab-ip. So he's hit a lot of balls in play. That's good, but that's about it. All righty.

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Was there anything that happened in the bullpen other than... the Jean-Marc Gomez thing that we talked about. Other than that, that really stood out over the weekend, maybe Blake Trinan? You tell me. Go ahead. Well, Trinan had a shaky outing, like you said. Cota Glover followed it Sunday with a shaky outing of his own,

so I don't know that Trinan's any closer to losing his job than he was when he first got the job. I would also say Sam Dyson yesterday made his third appearance. finally after two disaster outings at the start of the week. Non-safe situation Sunday, but he, you know, it was a pretty clean inning. I think he maybe gave up a hit. So that extends the leash probably just a little bit for him. The Reds used their new two-inning save strategy with Ryssela Glacias, and he was very, very good, struck out three.

Did not give up a hit over those two innings. now has two saves. The only bad part about that is you know he's not going to pitch for at least one day, maybe two after he does that. By the way, also Scott, in that Sam Dyson outing, Matt Bush pitched the eighth inning, and he did strike out three batters, but he gave up two hits in a run. So it can't be a bad thing for Sam Dyson.

Yeah. It's a bad thing if you picked up Bush and are rooting for him. Yeah. We don't care about that. Dyson had a walk, actually, not a hit just to be clear. Yeah. Edwin Diaz, though, had the big meltdown of the weekend, right? That was just yesterday, Sunday.

Yeah, it was a bad situation. He came in after the momentum was already building. He couldn't stop it. It was a seven-run ninth, right? Seven runs. Three of them were his. Yeah, only three. But, you know, he'd look fine before that.

He hasn't been hitting 102 yet like he did last year. So I guess if we want to worry about something, we can worry about velocity. But I don't know. I would imagine it probably takes a little time to build up to 102, and if you're hitting 98 instead, it's probably not terrible, not a terrible thing. There was not a good week for injuries, not a good weekend. Now, hopefully none of these are too, too bad, but Trey Turner hurt his hamster. I'm going to say a name, you tell me, as of right now, as of 9.50 a.m. Eastern,

starter sit, Trey Turner, who has the hamstring injury. I plan to start him. I plan to start Josh Donaldson, too. sorry if I'm skipping ahead. That's fine. Both of them are... Their teams are saying they're not going on the DL or at least they themselves are saying it,

and the upside is just too high. Even if it ends up being only four or five games, they're four or five games I want to get credit for. Got to mention, though, with Donaldson, another calf injury, and he... Yeah, that's exactly what I was thinking. Yeah, he dealt with them last year. It is in a different spot than the one in spring training, I read.

Right, that's what John Gibbons says. said, but he dealt with calf injuries last year. He dealt with one in spring training. He played most of the year with calf injury last year and still was unbelievable. So that's good, but that's, you know, this is why I don't have any Donaldson on my team because I thought he was the riskiest of all those first round hitters. What is Turner's, like, I was trying to look to, is there off day on Monday this week? Is it on Tuesday? Because if I found out, if I knew he had an off day and six games max,

and then found out that he wasn't playing on Monday for sure. So then he's at five games max. I'm a little more skeptical of starting him if I've got any other decent options. They are playing on Monday and they are playing on Tuesday and Wednesday and they are off on Thursday. So if he's not in the lineup tonight, that lowers the standard for what I need out of a replacement for him, personally. Rich Hill is on the deal with a blister Big surprise They're hoping it'll be 10 days

And that's why Alex Wood is in the rotation, right? He's the replacement Yes, I'm guessing it'll just be for one start And he won't be a two-start option this week Why are you so optimistic about this blister After we just saw what happened last year with those blisters Like I'm not saying it's definite to be like that But I saw on Twitter that you were

Mostly optimistic about it Well, my initial reaction was pessimistic because the more I read about it, it's apparently just a minor thing. It's likely he just misses one start. I just think we're going to see teams. Abuse is such a negative word, but I can't think of another one at the moment.

Now that the DL's 10 days instead of 15, rather than have a guy just use up a roster spot for five days with the potential for it being more, a lot of day-to-day injuries are going to become DL stents just because 10, I mean, particularly for pitchers. If you plan it right, you can make it so they just miss a start. So I think we're going to see a lot of this.

All right, Garrett Richards is on the DL with a bicep strain. Gary Sanchez is on the DL, also with a bicep strain. And Austin Romine is going to take his place. If we look at catchers, I can look at some available catchers here. Let's see. We've got Sandy Leone, who's 64% owned. Let me go to the most owned catchers here. Guys who are owned in less than 70% of leagues.

We're talking Stephen Vote, Sandy Leon, Cameron Rupp. Who would you take out of those three? I'm still going with Rupp, although he's off to a bad start to the year. I went with Vote, actually, in a league where I'm replacing Sanchez. I went with Vote over Rup. A little bit deeper. We got Darno, Zunino, Sorvelli, and Hedges, and Jason Castro. Darno, Zanino, Cervelli, Hedges, and Castro.

I'd go, Darno. Me too. We got James McCann, Jan Goems, Tony Walters, Soto, some real garbage here in D.D.C. Walters. Yeah, although Soto's kind of interesting, I tried to add him in Tau Wars, 15 teams, two catchers, but somebody actually outbid me for him. He plays regularly for the White Sox. I can see him hitting between 15 and 20 homers. Okay, so Soto would be better than Austin Romine? Yes. Okay.

Greg Byrd could play today, but he's dealing with a foot injury and a stomach illness. I don't think I'd start Greg Byrd. I know they're home, but boy, he's been terrible. I have to think the foot has something to do with the ankle. And, yeah, I don't know. Yeah, it's a very different situation from Donaldson and Turner, I think. I'm mostly just relying on a big spring. That's where his value comes from.

Jackie Bradley has a sprained ligament in his knee. He might need to go on the DL. Adrian Belchray is eligible to come off the DL, but he was eligible yesterday. He didn't come off, and Jeff Bannister won't really give us any clues as to when Adrian Belchre will play. Start or sit Matt Kemp. I'm sitting him if he doesn't get in the lineup today.

Probably sit him in three outfield, but not five outfield. Roberto O'Suna could come off the DL tomorrow. Boston has the flu, although it seems like they're getting a little bit better. And Kyle McHugh is going to be shut down for six weeks due to elbow discomfort, no UCL damage. But that means fires and Musgroves stay in the rotation for a while. there's some other stuff that I don't care about. Most added list.

Let's get to some stuff that will help fantasy owners. The most added players in CBS Sports.com leagues are Mark Reynolds, 51% owned now. Brandon Finnegan, up to 88% owned, Sandy Leon, Travis Shaw, Santiago Casilla, 31% owned. Thoughts, he's the fifth most outed player. I was telling people most of last week that I thought Mark Reynolds was way under owned. We've surpassed my ownership desires for Mark Reynolds. We don't need to add him anymore. He's 51%. Why are people picking up Santiago Casillas?

Because they don't know who the A's closer is and they want to speculate on one of them. He is only 31% owned. I think him being at this high on the most added list is mostly a result of him beginning with 5% ownership. Like he's not getting that much traction in mixed leagues. And we got Kendall Graven, we have Manuel, we have Charlie Morton, 61% own and two starts this week, by the way. Let's see, Antonio Sensitella is 25% owned. Oh, Amir Garrett, the Red starting pitcher with a nice start over the weekend. He's 39% owned. Anybody motivated to pick him up?

Yes, he was the pitcher who, or really the player, who, when I was going to, and putting in my waiver claims this weekend. He was always just the one I had to leave out. Like, there wasn't quite enough players I was willing to drop to pick him up. I did put him towards the bottom of the waiver wire column today because I think he's a guy that you could speculate on one good start turning into a little bit of a trend. He had some potential a couple of years ago.

Last year, I mean, the AA last year at a sub-2ERA. Give me a shot. That's Amir Garrett of the Reds. and Jason Castro is 30% owned. He is the second most added catcher behind Sandy Leone. Do you guys make anything of this? The Twins catcher, Jason Castro? I mean, if you need a second catcher, you could do worse,

but he's not like there's real breakout potential here. No. How do you feel about Harardo Parra? Parra 45% own now. He is in seven games batting 440 with a home run, one walk, five strikeouts, no steals yet. I think he needs to be higher owned than that. He should be higher on than Mark Reynolds.

I feel With Reynolds There's really no hope That Mark Reynolds holds on to a job Unless there's more injuries Because as soon as Desmond comes back He's gone Yeah you'd think

I do wonder if maybe They might work out a timeshare Between the left-handed hitting Parra And the right-handed hitting Reynolds That's possible stays hot But even then Mara would get a lot more playing at fourth Yeah

Yeah Par only has two extra base hits Which is worth noting but, you know, he's worth playing until he cools off, I think. Also, as little as he strikes out, he could stay hot for a while. Also, Parra homered off Clayton Kershaw. He has, I think, the best OPS. I don't know if it's of lefties or of any hitter against Clayton Kershaw with the minimum of 30 at bats.

He's got like a thousand OPS against Kershaw. It's bizarre. That's weird. Yeah. I rank these outfielders. They are all on the most added list. Margot, Parra, Sousa, and Chris Owings, who's also shortstop eligible, but let's throw him in there, too. Suza, Margo, Parra, Owings.

Margo, Susa, Owings, Parra. People want us to talk about Owings, and they want us to talk about Archie Bradley. Okay. Bradley's made a couple nice relief appearances, and I did read an article on MLB.com, suggesting that maybe if Rodney falters, Bradley, is someone who could step in and take over the closer roll. But let's not put the cart before the horse. It is only two appearances. And that Diamondbacks are still saying they intend to move him to the rotation in the long run.

There's just no opening right now. Eventually someone will get hurt or just Shelby Miller or stink it up again or whatever. But right now he's in the bullpen and he's probably their best pure arm in the bullpen. We probably slept on Owings just a little bit as a late round source of steals. I don't expect that he's going to really hit for any power, but he's hitting in a decent spot in the order at times this year. He's off to a good start. He's got four stolen bases.

He stole 37 in 2015 and 16 combined. So I guess the big concern is... A is Ahmed Rosario, a great defensive shortstop, going to take a bat's from him, and eventually he could tell Marte coming up from the miners and doing that. He has to hit probably to stay a regular player for the diamondbacks. But four steals so far, and steals are hard to find, dual eligible player. I just see him as maybe like a strictly roto option right now. And I think people are looking at Archie Bradley.

That's Chris Owings they were talking about. People are looking at Archie Bradley is potentially the guy who's going to get you great whip in ERA. You know, Andrew Miller of the National League, maybe. I don't believe he's that. That's really putting the car before the horse. Okay, well, you know, it could be a role for him. Like you look at Luis Severino last year. Luis Severino ended up being one of the best relievers in baseball when he was a reliever.

He just stunk as a starter. Now, Bradley's doing more of a multi-inning role. But, you know, we've seen it. You move a guy to the bullpen. His stuff plays up much better. So, okay. I think what my hope, my realistic hope is for Bradley is that he goes the Danny Duffy route. That'd be nice.

That'd be very nice. Duffy had another good start over the weekend. So let's talk about stolen bases. Here are some guys who had big steel weekends. Brett Gardner stole two bags on Friday and another on Saturday. Kansas City second baseman Raul Monasey had a two-steel game at Houston on Friday. Gene Seguera stole three bases yesterday. Malick Smith stole two bases on Saturday for Tampa Bay.

Chris Owings had two steals on Sunday, and Mani Machado stole a base more than last year already. That was on Saturday. Anything jump out in the stolen base category? Well, Segura had one stolen base yesterday. It brought him to three. Oh, he had one? I'm sorry. I thought he stole three bags.

Sometimes it's... You see the number after his name in the box score, and sometimes you assume the wrong thing. My bad. I mean, Malick Smith reached base five times, I think, of that game Saturday. And then he went 0 for 4 Sunday, so maybe it's, you know, just a weird game that we can put behind us. But that's somebody who, on the lower end, you can look to get steals if he's able to get on base. And, you know, walks had a lot to do with it on Saturday. That would help his cause.

All right, and what else we got from the hitters? I think we more or less have covered the hitters. Michael Conforto started his first game of the season, and he homered. It doesn't seem like he's going to get any more playing time out of that. Not yet, anyway. Nope. And let's do pitchers then. All right, so here's how we do the pitchers.

We talk about the studs. We talk about the guys you might be able to pick up off waivers. Let's talk about studs being studs. And a stud, in this case, is defined. and this is definitely not a stud. I'm only doing it for the sake of rhyming. Defined as someone who is owned in more than 80% of leagues. So some of these guys are legit stud.

Some of them are Hesachia Yubukuma. Dallas Kichel was a stud again. Zach Granky had a great start against Cleveland, one run in six and two-thirds with six strikeouts. Lance McCuller struck out 10 with no walks, and that means two walks, 22 strikeouts, in two appearances. And both he and Kiko, by the way, have been much better at home than on the road in their career

since so far they have made two home starts. Felix Hernandez, I put him in the stud category. I'm not sure. He did give up 10 hits, three runs and six innings, no walks, six strikeouts at the Angels. Julio Turan is off to a good start. Michael Fulmer had a nice start against the Red Sox, but no bets, no Bogarts, no Hanley. And Hasashi Iwakuma is keeping runs off the board, but he has six walks for strikeouts on the year. Anybody I said,

Kiko, Granky, McCullors, Felix, Tehran, Fulmer, Iwakuma, that you want to talk about? I think we're obviously all in on Lance McCullors now, and he'll probably move up. We talked about Cole and Tanaka earlier. He probably will move up ahead of those guys in my rest of season rankings.

Because he wasn't too far behind them anyway. Can we, I just, I want to see more, I think I'd rather have Tanaka than McCullors. Well, yeah, I'm sure you would. You wouldn't? I don't know that I would. After two starts, I still, I'm not going to say that McCullors.

I had McCollors in my top 30 starting pitchers as it was, and I had Tanaka between 20 and 30, so it's not a huge leap. All right, first of all, McCullors has an injury history. Secondly, I'm not... It says, comparing him to the guy that's pitching with half a UCL. But he's stayed healthy with half the UCL, and he's pitched well. And I'm just saying, I think it might be a little hasty on McCullors. The walks could come back. I agree.

it's a little hasty to move him that far up. But 17 strikeouts to two walks itself relieves a lot of concern. It's mostly, in McCuller's case, will he be able to handle anywhere close to the workload we expect from Tanaka? So I want to clarify, if I have Mazahiro Tanaka in a league where you guys have Lance McCullors and I offer you Tanaka, you're going to accept it? Yes. I can't imagine turning that down now.

Unfortunately, I don't have any McCullors. The only league I got McCullors, this was one where you and Chris are not in a Heath. Granky, this might be a good opportunity to sell high on Granky because his velocity still isn't back up to even last year's level. So, you know, good start. But again, remember what selling high means. You're not dumping him. You're getting something really valuable in return. like, I don't know, Cole Hamels or Chris Archer.

Chris Archer might be tough to get in this sort of deal. But would you trade Grinky for Garrette Cole? No. No, I have even less faith than Garrett Cole than I do Granky. Yeah, I love Garrett Cole, and I think I'd... I probably wouldn't want... I don't know that I would trade Cole for Granky, but I certainly wouldn't trade Granky for Cole, if that makes any sense.

I have trouble parting with players sometimes. It's easier to say you would do a trade and to actually do it. When it's like two players that I feel are more or less equivalent, I'd rather just hold on to the one I have because I feel like I'm going to hate myself more if I trade for the guy who then falls apart. Let's talk about studs being duds. Tanaka, we talked about Carlos Martinez had a terrible start.

Garrett Cole, we talked about U. Darvish. You know, look, U. Darvish only gave up one run, but he's got eight walks and nine strikeouts in 12 and a third so far. And Rick Porcelo is giving up a lot of hits. Well, he did on Sunday. He's given up more hits than anyone in baseball this year. Really?

I was just looking at the league leaders. McCullors leads the league in strikeouts, and Porcelo leads the league and hits allowed. He has made two starts, and one of them was 11 hitter. That is a useless stat. But it's funny. Anybody concerning you here? other than the ones we mentioned earlier, Cole and, well, Tanaka doesn't even really concern me that much.

So just Cole for me. Yeah, I don't really have a lot of concern about these guys. All right. Studs being duds part two. These guys are owned in more than 80% of leagues. They're not quite studs yet. But they were duds. John Gray.

Well, you know, look, one run. I don't know if he was a dud. One run and a third, but three walks, one strikeout, three swinging strikes. It's weird. You go to, you pitch a home game and go five and a third, you have one run at course. I don't care about the rest. I do. I do.

Wow. That's, you didn't even get a party start. If you're a great owner, you survive one of the 15 core starts he's going to make, and his numbers didn't get a lot worse. Yeah, but if John Gray is going to remain as owned as he is, he's going to have to do more than survive at home. I understand the odds are against him, but that's, he's going to have to. Yeah. I'm going to be holding my breath every time he makes a home start. I'm like, please, five at a third, one inning, three walks, one strikeout?

Yes, he was rostering a pitcher that pitches for the Rock. Then he was overdrafted. That he was overdrafted. We hold our breath every time a visiting pitcher goes into course, whether they're good or not. Right. That's why I didn't draft him. We're talking half of Gray's starts. Like, yeah, I agree he's overdrafted if we can never trust him at home.

And that seems to be what you're suggesting. I'd feel better about the start of his first one at Milwaukee. was good. The fact that we haven't seen the John Gray we drafted in either of his first two starts, I think is definitely concerning. And yeah, the home park is the underlying concern to all of it. Is anybody on this list over-owned? They're all 89% owned or more. Is anybody on this list dropable for like a two-star pitcher or one of those red-hot outfielder's? Sean Maniah, Kevin Gossmann, Matt Shoemaker, Marco Estrada, Vince Velasquez. I'm about there with Shoemaker.

I'm about there. Just the strikeouts, the way we saw his strikeout drop over his final dozen starts or so last year and it hasn't turned around. It didn't turn around in spring training, and it hasn't turned around here in two starts. I'm just not sure. I'm not sure he's much better than like, Joe Musgrove. I've never believed in Marco Estrada,

so I'm a bad person to ask about him, but I don't feel like he's owned in every league kind of guy. I don't know that I'm ready to drop any of these guys, but Shoemaker definitely, I hear what you're saying, Scott. And Manaya, like, you can't, Mania was so dominant after giving up a three-run homer yesterday, but it's two bad starts now, you know, and I just don't know what to make of him.

So I feel like Mania is, This is just based on nothing prediction. He's going to get dropped. Yep. And then people are going to regret dropping him. He's going to turn it around at some point and have a good year, Manaya. Like, I understand he gave up a lot of runs in this. He gave up as many runs as he gave up base runners, which is just not something that's going to happen very often.

And he got 10 strikeouts in five and a third innings, which is awesome. So I'm not down on him based on the way he started the year. I wonder, and I'm not saying this is the case yet, But Manaya clearly has the ability to pitch like a must-own pitcher. But part of being a must-own pitcher is that consistency factor in not having the one or two mistakes per game. Yeah. And also, I think he's – he – Mania is so good against lefties and whether or not he'll be able to handle righties. Kind of like Carlos Rodan, you know.

And again, that's why I think like it might take him a little while this year. But we'll see. Like, after he gave up that three-on Homer, Mania just dominated a – we mentioned 10 strikeouts, so you couldn't drop him or anything. But I got my eye on him. All right, look, we've gone a little, as always happens with the Monday show, I've taken too long. So I'm going to read a whole bunch of names now, and I want you to tell me who you like in each group. Fringy starting pitchers part one.

They're owned in 65 to 79% of leagues. Yvonne Nova, Liriano, Kendall Graveman, Stephen Wright, Gisleman, Gazelman, Ervin, Santana, Helixen, Zimmerman, Zach Wheeler. Give me your favorite three in that group. My favorite three are Gazelman, Leriano, and Graveman, I guess, just edges out Irvin Santana. But I wasn't dropping Santana anywhere

where I picked them up initially for the two-star week. Yeah, I don't know about specific order, but I think I might go Santana, Graveman, and Nova. I kind of like everybody, just about everybody in this group. I feel like all of them have a case to be owned. Maybe not Wheeler. They all have the cases

Wheeler and Helixen, I think, and Wright, are probably the ones they'd be least likely to own. Yeah, I guess I'm not really in love with Jordan Zimmerman, but I see why people would own him. I mean, Zimmerman had a good start. It was against the Red Sox, but no bets, no Bogart, no Hanley, and Andrew Bennett-Tendee threw up during the game,

so keep that in mind. That's true, actually. I think he got like five swinging strikes, too. So I don't know. I don't know that we can really make anything of of this first start from Zimmerman. And I think their broadcaster, Dave O'Brien, also threw up during that game. He had to leave.

I don't know if he threw up, but he had to leave that game. That was the Saturday game. That's the one that he had to leave early. Fringy starting pitchers part two. 50 to 64% owned. Trevor Bauer, Daniel Norris, Severino, Eduardo Rodriguez, Junjin, Ryu. Bauer, Daniel Norris, Severino, Eduardo Rodriguez, Ryu. I dropped Eduardo Rodriguez in a league.

I think that one where I had to pick up. I need to drop him to pick up Greg Holland or Mitch Hanager, and he's still my favorite on this list. Okay. Ryu, I thought, you know, not bad. Four and two thirds, six hits, two runs, one walk, five strikeouts at Colorado. Yep. So, 51 percent.

Most of these guys are on the keep an eye on more than they, I want to have them on my roster. Yeah, okay. And Frimsy starting pitchers part three, 30 to 49 percent own. We got Sabathia, Corby Miller, and Clayton Richard. All pitched over the weekend. Sabathia, Corby, Miller, or Clayton, Richard. I had a move in the podcast league, or maybe it wasn't the one head-to-head points leagues,

where I was going to drop Corbin to pick up somebody. And then I saw Corbyn. Corbyn had his start for Arizona later that afternoon, and I took the bid out. I feel like you got to hold on to him. Certainly in leagues where the relief pitcher eligibility matters. Yeah, he pitched very well yesterday. Corbyn's six scoreless innings, three strikeouts against Cleveland. And deep leagues, I'm not even going to read the names, but you got them in front of you.

Is there anybody in these owned in less than 30% of leagues? We talked about Amir Garrett. He's 24% owned. Garrett. Is there anybody else that you think needs to be owned right now in more leagues? I'd like to have Garrett on my roster for his next start, just in case it's really good. Some of these did have some interesting starts over the weekend, but nobody who's really moving me to pick them up. Mike Leak had some interesting comments after his eight-inning gym against the Reds about how he feels like he feels like it wasn't a return to form from him after a miserable 2015.

He feels like he's 2016. He feels like he's just he's taking a step that he never even knew how to take before kind of thing. Like he feels like he's on the verge of a real breakout. It sounds like a rom-com Does it? He's taking a step He never, he seems like he's jumping into love Head first

Yeah, like a tagline for a rom-com I see where you're going with that I'm not adding league But I thought it was interesting And let's see what happens next All right And there are a couple guys here That could have good year

Like Jason Vargas could have a good year Right And yeah, good in like a In a deep league sense Like a streamer type of way. I can see Jason Vargas becoming a streamer. And I think Wei and Chen, like I don't understand how Wei and Chen was so bad last year with the Marlins. He was a solid mid-3s-R-A guy with Baltimore.

It went to a better park and he had a terrible year. So I'm hoping Chen can at least be, you know, a guy that should be owned in 20 to 30% of leagues. And maybe in deep leagues you keep an eye on Chen. I don't know. And emails. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. We'll finish with your emails. Real quick here.

This is from Ben. Ben said, I'm trying to sort out of my brother, ripped off his wife with a trade in our head-to-head points league. At his suggestion, she gave up Francisco Lindor for his Chris Archer and Dansby Swanson. Is that kosher? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, that seems like a reasonable trade.

I'd take the Lindor side eight times out of ten probably. but I mean Archer's borderline ace and Dansby Swanson is an upside shortstop so I don't think it's a bad trade I will say if this league is for money then you might have a watchful eye on those two all year long I will also say that I did manage to make a team with the name Danesby Samsonite as I promise this is from Chris oh this is an Archie Bradley question so we already answered it this is from Antoine 10 team head-to-head categories league it's uh oh and a 12 team head head Head Points League. He needs catcher replacements for Sanchez.

Cameron Rupp, Soto, McCann, Walters, Cervelli, or Norris? I assume that's James McCann. My choice would be Rupp. Mine would be Rupp as well. If it were Brian McCann, you would go with Brian, right? Yes. And, okay, good job. This is from Rich in St. Pete, Florida.

Dear Benny, Scott, Ham, and Hercules. That's the Sandlock. It is the sandlot. Who's Hercules in the sandlot? The dog. I'm having trouble making pitching decisions. I play in a weekly 14-team points league, and I can't decide whether or not I should drop a guy I like. For a guy I might not like, but has two starts.

Should I be content to start a one-start Jason Hamill or drop him for... For Joe... Willie Peralta, sorry. Should I drop Hamel, Eduardo Rodriguez, or Joe Musgrove for a two-start... Willie Peralta? I don't think so. No, I would not. I guess I'm the only one who likes Willie Peralta.

No, I could see how he could become good, but he's not there yet. And I think one of his two starts is against the Cubs, I think. No, Reds and Blue Jays on the road. Okay, Blue Jays is probably what I was thinking. It wasn't a good one. Yeah, and the Reds might not be a good start. Like, the Reds are hit or miss. They could really bop sometimes.

Robert in New Jersey, grade the trade. Eight team five-by-five league. Give A.J. Pollock. Get Danny Duffy. F. Man, you're so, you're so polar with your grades. There's a full spectrum of grades to hand out. Scott, it doesn't have to be A plus or F. This isn't a pass or fail course.

If I was grading your draft and you took Danny Duffy at the start of the third round, I'd give you an F for that too. I think that's a little harsh. But I'll go D plus. D plus. That's almost a C. It's almost a breaking deal. I have to save the F for even. I promise you will get worse deals than that. There can be more than 1F.

We're not grading on a curved where there's only 1F all year round. Yeah, like a 50s and so is a 10. I would be sitting an email to the commissioner saying, I'm sorry, I was drunk. Can we please take the trade? Like, okay, I mean, Danny Duffy's really good. I wouldn't take him next to where I took A.J. Pollock, but, you know, needs change. Even a week into the season needs change.

Sometimes you have to act in desperation. And Dave says... Oh, read the names. Hey, Jack, Chrissy, and Janet. Come and knock on my door We've been waiting for you Would you drop Devin Travis for you on Hervis Salarte? Yes

You have the singing Yes, I would do that also And John in Boston is in an OBP An Extra Base Hit League Who's better to roster, Josh Bell or Yuri Guriel? Bell, Bell Keep an eye on Bell He's doing a little bit better lately

He says he's coming out of it They seem to be a little optimistic in Pittsburgh Keep an eye on him, not quite ready to drop him yet Guriel, though. Gareal's not even playing every day. By the way, how amazing is Corey Seeger? First two years of his career. Just no spring training, and he rolls right into the season

like he's an MVP candidate. It's amazing. It's a guy's a natural. Yeah, he's quite good. I'd like to see him do it away from Cores. That's it for the show today. We're back tomorrow. Goodbye.