Fantasy Baseball Today - 04/13 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Hey, Real Quick; Struggling SPs
Episode Date: April 13, 2018Reviewing yesterday's major stories via a round of "Hey, Real Quick!" Ohtani vs. Polanco (5:30), LeMahieu vs. Merrifield (6:53), Gray vs Porcello (7:55) and Jose Martinez vs. Gallo (10:00) ... Quick t...houghts on Rafael Devers, Nick Castellanos and Paul DeJong (12:30), then we get into the surprisingly great SPs from Thursday's games (19:35) ... Should you be worried about some Top 30 SPs (29:05) such as Lance McCullers, Robbie Ray, Carlos Carrasco and Jon Lester? Should you add Ian Kennedy (43:10)? Be patient with Lucas Giolito? Also we've got the Dropometer (45:25) and a look at next week's two-start pitchers (54:45) ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Mazzar, Petano, Orbado,
boogie show for you on Friday the 13th.
Well, we don't really, but we'll try our best to spookify it.
What's up, everybody?
Making up words on Friday, April 13th, Adamazer, Scott White Heathcoming's Chris Towers.
We are not going to get Ronald O'Cunia today.
He's eligible to come up tomorrow, but he's probably not going to be up tomorrow.
But we'll talk about Ronald Ocuna and Nick Senzel, just for the fun of it.
We'll talk about week three or four, depending on your schedule,
and two-star pitchers you can stream.
I got some hay real quick and more reactions from yesterday and I don't know what's up guys
Yeah, how we doing?
You know it was spooky.
What?
Oh, Sunny Gray.
Sunny Gray's performance last night.
Oh, guys, it's going to be, we got that kind of, we got peacocking Heath.
He's just strutting his stuff today.
I regret calling Sunny Gray a top 30 pitcher Heath.
I really do.
And I was thinking about you last night as I was ready to smash my phone every time I
checked the box score.
That makes me very, very happy.
That brings a smile to my face.
It's already been a great podcast.
Okay, good.
So let's get to it.
Acuna and Senzel.
When do we think they will be up?
Acuna's own in just about every league.
Senzel is owned in 53% of leagues.
They can come up as early as Saturday,
and the team will retain a year of control.
But there are doubts that both actually will.
They're both off to slow starts and the minors,
and Senzel didn't have a good spring either.
Acuna obviously did.
I would not have questions about Acuna
except the two most predominant Braves beat writers,
David O'Brien for the Atlanta Journal Constitution
and Mark Bowman for MLB.com.
They both are thinking he won't be up until he gets hot in the minors,
which, you know, only six games into the season.
That could be two games worth of stats.
suddenly Acuna's numbers looks awesome again.
So I think it'll happen within the next week, but I'm not counting on Saturday.
Okay, and Scott, you have often compared Acuna to Chris Bryant.
And in 2015, Chris Bryant played 151 games.
He batted 275.
He slugged 488, 369 on base.
275 with 26 homers, 99 RBIs, and 13 steals.
Pretty good.
And that was, you know, three years ago.
He probably would hit more home runs based on today's environment.
Chris, how are you? How's it going?
Hello.
Hi, good to see you. Good to hear from you.
Nice to see you, too.
Let's get into two-star pitchers then.
So give me a two-star pitcher.
Everybody give me one two-star pitcher.
It can be the same guy that you want to stream for next week.
That's available.
Nick Povetta is available in like half of all leagues.
And the matchups aren't awesome or anything, but they're not scary either.
And after the way his last two starts have gone,
I think he's among the best options
who's owned in less than 75% of leagues, let's say,
because you got Fulte and you got a couple other
kind of obvious choices between 75 and 80.
Okay, so Nick Povetta seems to be the take.
I want to hear more from Chris.
Chris, you have anybody else that you're interested in?
Well, I obviously 100% agree with Nick Povetta.
I don't love the matchups for the two-start guys.
like, Kyle Gibson does get the Tampa Bay raise,
but he has to go through Cleveland first,
so it's hard to get too excited about that.
Yeah, I don't know.
Is Cleveland they're favorable or unfavorable matchup right now?
It's an, they score nine runs last night.
They're fine.
They're back again.
It's okay.
Heath, Junior Gera is the one you want to say?
No.
He's got Cincinnati and Miami.
Those are good matchups.
Shouldn't Chris Stratton be a two-star pitcher?
Yeah, but at Arizona.
And at the Angels.
The Humidor.
Yeah, but at the Angels, the Angels are, like, the best offensive baseball right now.
They don't strike out.
Do you think Chris Stratton's good?
I don't think Chris Stratton's good.
I do think Chris Stratton is two-start pitcher worthy.
The bar is really low in a points league.
But the bar is really low in a points league.
All right, we'll get into this a little bit more later.
Maybe two good parks.
He is park-dependent.
I think we can make a case for Brandon McCart.
I think we can make a case for Junior Gera, who's only 6% own, has the Reds and the Marlins.
We'll come back to that in a little bit.
All right, guys, here's today's show, right?
A lot of mailbag.
Got some email.
Only eight games yesterday, so not so much from yesterday.
We're going to review all those struggling pitchers that we wanted to talk about yesterday.
We're going to do that today.
We got the hay real quick.
It's a fast-paced show.
And if I think you're dragging, if I think you're holding us back,
I'm going to play some spooky, scary Friday the 13th theme of music for you to get you to move along.
to stop talking before Jason comes and murders you with his machete.
So we're not going to do which scary movie character would each of us be?
They did the monster.
Well, that's a really interesting question, and now I kind of want to do it, Heath.
Maybe later.
Maybe you have to recover the important things.
Hey, real quick.
Who would you rather have rest of season?
I love that song, by the way.
Shohei Otani or Gregory Polanco?
Well, I mean, Otoni.
hitter? O'Tani for the pitching he's going to do.
Yeah, I mean, if you're just talking about hitters, if you're talking to all the Yahoo users out there,
bunch of Yahoo's, then definitely Polanco.
I'm talking about Otani the pitcher versus Polanco the hitter, and I think it's a very question.
Otani, the pitcher, but Greger-Polanco is awesome.
It's close for me. It's really close.
But I think probably Otani.
Only eight at bats against lefties for Polanco.
He did Homer against a lefty yesterday. That was nice.
I want to buy in.
So we're all buying in enough where it's close between these two, Otani and Polanco?
It's close, yes.
The thing is, you're double buying in.
You're buying into O'Sani and you're buying into Polanco.
I mean, I don't know that I'd call it close just because I think Otani's that good.
But, I mean, Polanco's top 25 outfielder for me now.
I definitely have moved him up a lot since the season started.
And the quality of contact he's making now, it's, yeah, it's hard to be.
you know, skeptical.
Okay.
Hey, real quick, DJ LaMayhew or Whitmerfield?
Whitmerfield, although it is worth noting he was dropped to the number five spot in the order yesterday.
I don't know if that's a matchup thing or just them trying to figure out something.
But that's not a great sign for him.
Jorge Soler was in the two spot, and that's not going to last.
So I'm not too worried.
Yeah, it was not a good.
I think Soler struck out, what, three more times yesterday?
He's not hitting well.
So LeMayhew or Merrifield, Chris says Merrifield, he's got.
Maryfield, though, he is not doing much good for any of the roto teams where I have him.
One stolen base so far.
Not what I was counting on.
DJ Lemayhew's got to be a sell high, right?
He's got four home runs.
He's never hit more than 11.
Sure.
But, I mean, he's a sell high who, if you don't successfully sell high,
he's probably just going to be your starting second baseman the rest of the year.
year and that's not bad. Sure. Right. He's not like, he's not bad or anything. He always hits over 300. Hey, real quick,
Sunny Gray or Rick Porcelo? So I guess let's talk about the Rick Porcelo thing. Like, what is he doing
differently than he did last year that he also did in 2016 throwing his two seamer, his sinker,
about 40% of the time. He's gotten back to doing it then. And there was a, there was something I read in
spring training after a good start this spring where he was like, I basically didn't have that
two seamer last year and yeah, I've regained my confidence in it. And that's one of those lines that
at the time you can blow off. But when the dad is backing it up now, it's like, yeah, it kind of
makes sense. He shied away from it last year and is emphasizing it again this year. And, you know,
a lot of the batted ball stuff from two years ago look similar to what's happening now.
Two other things. He's not walking anyone. And he'll walk a few more.
hitters than he has so far. He's not going to have a 0.46 walk per nine. But that was one of the,
I think, understated things he did in 2016. He was one of the best control pitchers in baseball.
And then, and I don't know really which side of this to take, the strand rate.
All right. So, like, the guy he was in 2015 isn't that different from the guy he was in 2016
in terms of all of the things that we typically believe matter for pitchers.
Right? Correct. Yes. There is a thin line between good Rick Porcelo and bad Rick Porcelo, and some of it is just luck. I don't think he gets back to a 315. He had a 340 FIP. That's what I'm hoping he can get back.
Now, I would like to point out that we still have not answered the question, hey, real quick, Rick Porcelo or Sunny Gray?
Sunny Gray. Sunny Gray. Sunny Gray. Ooh, still. Okay. Yeah. Okay.
I mean, the thing, Sunny Gray, remember, through 10 starts last year, had a 485 ERA.
So let's not, let's not throw out the baby with the bathwater.
And he finished with a 355 ERA.
That was down in the low threes before September.
Let's not throw away any babies.
You just take away his beginning and his end.
He was awesome.
Yeah.
It was like an Oreo.
The outsides were bad.
The inside was good.
The outsides are bad?
You have to live with the baby.
You just want to take...
Even if you just want to take...
This is the worst take.
Every part of the Oreo is outstanding.
The outside is, like, better than the...
Chris.
That's...
Calm down.
Calm down.
Go to your court.
The outside is better than the inside.
Yes, agreed.
This is, wow.
Team scat-take.
Wrong.
All right, hey, real quick.
Jose Martinez,
the number three first basement in fantasy right now, or Joey Gallo.
And at points, like...
I'll take Martinez. So can we talk about Joey Gallo? Like, I don't know if we've talked about it on
this podcast, but like- You have to answer the question first. That's the rule. Joey Gallo, obviously, and it's not
him. He's not striking out. Well, Martinez. Right, but Jose Martinez doesn't have Joey Gallo's
wait a second. He's got 14 strikeouts. No, he's not striking out. He's got 14 strikeouts.
Like, relative to Joey Gallo, he is, he is Tony Gwyn right now. And it's continuing back to spring training.
If you take into account spring training and the start of the regular season,
he's at like 120 plate appearances with a 22% strikeout rate.
That's huge.
He's still hitting the ball hard.
He's second in the league in average launch angle.
I think he's 17th and average exit velocity.
I think Joey Gallo is about to explode.
If he can sustain these contact gains,
Joey Gallo is going to have a monster season.
Okay.
I'll allow that.
Scott, you will take Jose Martinez in points leagues, though,
with he's got more walks and strikeouts.
Yeah, I love the contact ability for Jose Martinez,
and I think it's well suited for that format.
And, you know, that's not to say he's not valuable in Roto leagues, too,
because he's a good chance he's a 300-hitter.
All righty, and you know what else is interesting about Jose Martinez's last thing here?
Last year, he slugged 847 against lefties,
like unbelievable against lefties, only 50s.
So far he's 0 for 4 against lefties.
Just hasn't faced that many.
So that's interesting.
I don't know if the splits will carry over, but it's a...
That's encouraging, I think.
Yeah.
Let's get some...
That was Hey Real Quick.
Let's get some rapid reaction.
A very different thing.
A very different thing.
Well, it's no comparison.
I hope it's faster than Hay real quick.
You know what?
I was okay with the pace of Hay real quick.
Rapid reaction to these notes.
Rafael Devers has a 715 OPS, and he's one for seven,
so far against lefties. Rafael Devers, 233 batting average, one home run, dare I say?
Softball slow.
Rafael Devers, rapid reaction.
Nope, not worried at all.
He'll be fine.
Okay.
Rapid reaction, Nick Castiano has not homered yet.
I like this thing that Nick Castiano does where the better his peripherals are and like
28% line drive rate right now, 55% hard contact rate.
the better the peripherals look, the worse he performs.
I really like this trend that he's got going on,
and I hope it continues because it makes trying to evaluate him for fantasy purpose
is such a joy.
So not worried about Castiano?
No.
I was worried about him living up to his draft stock before the season,
so I still am.
Yes, relative to his ADB, ADB, I am terrified.
Relative to...
It wasn't drafted that high.
He was in the double-digit round.
He was a top 100 guy, I think.
No, I don't think so.
It was right out 115.
He was a 10-round pick.
But he wasn't going that high in our drafts.
106 in 80s.
That is an 80p.
I mean, a 12-game homiless drought doesn't do much for me.
Yeah, plus, like I said earlier.
Not when you've got a track record like Nick Hestianx.
Well, we said earlier in the week that they've dealt with a lot of cold weather of the tigers.
So, I don't know.
Hopefully things warm up.
I think the Indians, too, right?
Things warm up a little bit and they start hitting.
And then how about this wrap?
Happy reaction.
You know, you look at Paul DeYoung and what he's done, I would have thought that he'd be ranked higher than this, but so far Paul DeYoung is the number 15 shortstop and points, which kind of makes sense, two walks, 21 strikeouts, but only number nine in Roto.
Paul DeYoung, number 15 in points, number nine in Roto.
It's early.
Everybody's very close together pretty much, but I was still a little surprised by that, guys.
Yeah, I noticed the points thing, too, when I was looking at this the other day, and it's not surprising because the plate discipline's so bad.
I don't think any of us was really giving him the time of day in that format.
But he is one of the better power hitting short stops,
and he's off to a good start power-wise.
So, I mean, I think that'll normalize the ninth-place spot in Roto.
I'm sure is Andrewton Simmons one who's ahead of him.
His batting average is just ridiculous right now.
Yeah, probably.
And there are probably other examples like that where it's obviously unsustainable.
Well, Tim Anderson, Andrewton Simmons, Javier Baez is Drewbel-Cabrera.
Those would be the ones that stand down.
out, would you take any of those four over Paul the Young, Tim Anderson, Angleton Simmons,
Hobby Baez, as Drobo Cabrera?
Nope.
Maybe Tim Anderson, maybe Javierz.
Maybe Anderson.
Okay.
Not bias.
All right.
And your rapid reaction to the Seatkey Gap?
Pretty great, right?
Yeah, it's good.
Yeah.
And what, so did you buy those tickets, Chris?
Yes.
I went last night.
I saw Lord with Run the Jewels opening for her.
It was a great.
great show. I'm not tired at all.
Cool. And you use Seekekek to get there. And that is awesome. And you used our promo code
Fantasy to save 20 bucks on your first Seekek purchase. Everybody, please download the Seek
app. Do what Chris did. Do what I do every time that I need to go to a game or a concert or
comedy or a theater. Get that Seekek app. You can go to Seekek.com as well. And once again,
our promo code is Fantasy. So why the Seekie Gap? Because you want to save time and you want to save
money and you don't want to be the one going on multiple websites and looking for tickets to your
event.
Seekek will do that for you.
Seekkeek brings in results from multiple sites, grades every ticket based on value.
You can immediately identify the best seats that fit your budget and every purchase is fully
guaranteed.
So legitimately, I always use Seekkeek that is the first and typically the only place I go
when I am looking for tickets.
Again, sports, comedy, concerts, theater.
Use that Seekie Gap and get 20 bucks off your first purchase.
Go to a game, man.
save 20 bucks.
Get a few hot dogs with that money.
And the promo code is fantasy on the Seeky app again.
Fantasy for 20 bucks off your first purchase.
All right, not a lot of news and notes.
Hanley Ramirez are calling him day to day.
He has a wrist contusion.
He was hit by a pitch on the wrist.
The X-rays were negative.
The Yankees are monsters.
They should be contracted.
Elvis Andrews is out six to eight weeks with a fractured elbow.
And so Joey Gow is going to play some outfield.
Ronald Guzman was called up.
He'll play a little first base.
Drew Robinson's going to play some second base,
and Jurekson ProFar will play shortstop.
That's going to be a bad lineup.
Yeah.
They have two or three good hitters still, but...
They're a terrible team.
I mean, Ronald Guzman's kind of interesting.
I don't think he's a bad hitter.
I think it's helpful that they're willing to relocate Gallo like that
to get somebody of moderate interest in fantasy in their lineup.
Guzman kind of reminds me a little of,
Jose Martinez in that he seems like a contact overpower first basement, but there's some pop there too.
We'll see.
Well, De Shields could be back in, he says about a week.
But let's say it's one to two weeks for DeShields.
Does Gallo still stay in the outfield?
I mean, they could.
I would.
No.
No?
Okay.
I guess I don't know the damage chart as well as I thought.
Ian Kinsler led off.
He's back.
He homered in his first at that.
Blake Parker pitched in a non-save situation.
So again, Keenan Middleton could be their closer.
I think we did the next Angels update would be something that shows us that Keenan
Middleton doesn't look like the closer.
Okay.
Blake Parker looks like he's not the closer.
Yeah.
Wait, why wouldn't, like, Gallo's not playing centerfield.
Why wouldn't DeShields and Gallo be in the outfield at the same time?
Right, that's kind of what I was thinking.
I think that's possible.
Okay.
Mark Balanson had stem cell surgery for his forearm.
He won't be able to throw for at least another two weeks.
So if he picked up Hunter Strickland, you got him for a little while.
It was an injection, not a surgery.
Surgery sounds much scarier.
It does.
Yeah, it was an injection.
Surgically injected stem cells.
Charlie Blackman could be back this weekend.
Two pitchers going to be making their season debuts.
Brandon Finnegan for the Reds, Andrew Heaney for the Angels.
Do you have interest in either one in mixed leagues?
I mean, they're both kind of interesting,
not so interesting that I'm going to go pick them up
before I see some results,
but there have been instances in the past
where we have gotten excited about them.
They both have some pedigree.
So we'll see.
Do you have a preference?
Heaney.
Heaney?
Heaney.
Yeah.
Joey Votto had started 202 straight games.
That is over.
And Washington signed a Mark Reynolds to a,
minor league deal.
And how about these starting pitchers from yesterday?
It's surprising us a little bit.
I can't say I was shocked by Chris Stratton.
I did start him in a Fanduil lineup.
He was facing the Padres without Will Myers.
But Trevor Williams for the Pirates, six innings one run and five strikeouts at the Cubs.
He now has a 156 ERA, but very few strikeouts.
Chris Stratton is 22% owned.
Seven scoreless, one hit for strikeouts at the Padres.
Stratten, just like Williams, has a good ERA.
It's 260, but very few strikeouts.
Nick Tropiano for the Angels, six and two-thirds scoreless with six strikeouts at the Kansas City Royals.
His first start after Tommy John surgery, wiped out all of 2017 for Tropiano.
And Chad Bettis had a good start at the Nationals.
And he, just like Trevor Williams and Chris Stratton, has a good ERA, but very few strikeouts.
They all have about 17 innings and about 10 to 12 strikeouts, except for Tropiano, who made his first start.
these guys are available, Trevor Williams, Chris Stratton, Nick Tropiano, Chad Bettis.
Anyone picking anyone up?
Not like a standard mixed league.
Particularly Williams and Stratton.
They're both the profile of pitcher that you're never going to quite trust in fantasy,
but they can have starts like this often enough that they'll be part of the streamer discussion.
I'll probably make a claim or two for Tropiano.
Oh, yeah, Troppiano.
He's my favorite of them.
You're right.
He's the best batmisser of the bunch.
And, you know, had a nine strikeout game in five in a third innings this spring.
His first minor league start, I think it was eight strikeouts in three in a third innings.
Well, the biggest thing, he threw 88 pitches in his first start.
I was worried he was going to have to be worked back a little bit more cautiously than that, I think.
Yeah, first year back from Tommy John.
I mean, Tropiano is 4% owned.
So would you rather have Tropiano or?
junior gara trubiano
chopiano
okay tropiano or
erman marquins were you correcting my pronunciation
subtly subtly it's not very subtle
it's not as subtle as you think you are
tropiano i like trappiano more
i feel like you were sort of halfway
in between
reminds me of orange juice
it does
you guys are floridians
are you an orange juice snob
because they have such great fresh squeeze
orange juice.
Like, I can't have
no tropicana.
I don't drink a lot of orange juice,
yeah, I don't drink much orange juice,
mostly just with mimosas.
But what I am,
when I'm having brunch,
I like to,
I like to pay up for a nice
bottle of Oge.
I do not remember
the last time I had orange juice
that didn't have alcohol in it.
Wow.
I mean, same.
So, but I would guess I have
what is that saying about you?
Last time I had them was Easter.
Okay.
That's more recently
that I was pretty recent.
I, I,
I'm not a snob when I drink it, though.
I like a lot of pulp in it.
That would be the biggest preference of mine.
Well, you should be a snob.
Get yourself some, like, legit, fresh squeezed orange juice, you know?
All right.
At the fresh market.
All right, hey, some more pitchers from yesterday.
Are these guys legit studs?
Gio Gonzalez.
Well, he wasn't so studly yesterday, but not terrible.
And he was the number 12 starting pitcher in points, number 15 in Roto last year.
Geo Gonzalez.
Jose Barrio.
seven innings, three hits, no runs or walks, and 11Ks against the White Sox.
And Trevor Bauer, kind of picking up where he left off.
225 ERA so far, seven walks, 21 strikeouts in 20 innings, and a 110 whip.
And he finished great.
He had 257 ERA in his last 12 appearances last year, which were 11 starts.
And that was with a 324 Babbitt for Bauer.
So with Gio Gonzalez, Jose Barrios, and Trevor Bauer, do we have any legit studs there?
too early to say that.
I think it's too early to say that.
I think Bauer and Boreos both have a chance to break into the studs category, but I don't
think either of them is there yet.
They're both pretty close for me.
Even Boreos.
You know what Boreos did in this start that I love?
Struck out 11.
17 swinging strikes.
He finally had a swinging strike total to back up the performance.
And he also threw his curb ball aton.
It was the pitch most responsible for the swinging strikes.
If that continues, that might be the game changer for him.
Y'all say Burrios is a stud.
Bauer could be a stud, and I expect regression from Gio.
Burrios faced the White Sox last night.
They do strike out the second most in baseball on a per game basis.
Number one right now is Baltimore, in terms of the most.
Fewest strikeouts per game, the Los Angeles Angels.
Of Anaheim of California in the United States of Earth.
All right.
So how would you rank these three?
Gio, Berrios, Bauer, Gio.
Correct.
Yeah, I agree.
And I think Bauer's closer to Boreos than Gio is to either of them.
Agreed.
I'm not disagreeing.
I just find it funny that we just don't seem to buy into, like, we never bought into Geo last year.
I'm pretty sure that last year, Gio was on at least one of our slides.
sleepers list. Yeah, but nobody bought into him as like a must-start guy.
And he's top 15.
Yeah, I mean, he's, like, I'm not down on geo.
Like, I don't, I don't think he's going to have this year of reckoning after the one he just had.
But he's going to have a mid-to-high 3s, R.A. He's going to win a bunch of games. He's going to be
probably about average in WIP, maybe a little bit worse. And he'll probably get an average in
strikeouts. Yeah, I'll get a decent amount of strikeouts.
He's just, he's, he's, he's,
His strongest points are he'll start every fifth day, probably go six innings consistently, and pitches for a good team.
And going six innings, I looked it up yesterday to back up our, I think, collective assumption.
Fewer than 40% of starts right now have ended with a starting pitcher going six innings.
Last year through the first 13 games of the season, it was like 50%.
The year before it was 56%.
It's actually making me...
I didn't look in 2015.
It's actually making me re-evaluate how I feel about wins.
Because it's just going to be harder and harder for guys to get wins at this rate.
We're reaching the point where both sides of the wins versus quality starts debate are wrong.
Which is fun?
I actually...
I know Scott has brought this up in the past.
I'm thinking we should just replace wins and quality stars with innings.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I feel like if there's a higher premium on wins,
if it's, you know, you're not going to just get some crummy pitcher
lucking into 18 wins.
In a way, that makes them more interesting to me.
I think that's probably going to happen.
Yeah.
I mean, what crappy pitcher is going to pitch
deep enough into games consistently in this environment?
I'm talking genuinely crappy.
I think we're reaching the point where like wins and quality starts are both,
You don't expect them in more than half of most pitcher starts.
Oh, you know what?
I was thinking like somebody like a Jason Vargas.
I'm just speaking of wins right now just to pivot.
Stupid Heath.
Heath won the draft contest that we did on the draft app on Sportsline.
Did you win the other one, too?
I don't believe so.
I don't think my team with the listeners was near as good.
Oh, okay.
No, it was terrible.
Good, hoootser.
Well, congratulations, Heath.
So, yeah, we did two drafts yesterday, one for the Sportsline DFS podcast, and one with the listeners.
And I came in second out of three and third out of five teams.
So I did not have a good day on the draft app.
That's fine.
I'll be back at it tonight to challenge you people.
I am big cane two on the draft app.
So what you need to do is get on the draft app right now or go to draft.com and start playing.
Start playing for free.
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I love it, man.
I really am having a good...
Isn't it great, Heath?
I mean, it's like really fun to do it.
It was a lot of fun to win last night.
And the contest we did for Sportsline was for free.
The contest that I've been doing for the listeners of FBT is a $1.
A contest where the winner takes home $4.50.
We actually had a tie yesterday.
So two people took home $2.25.
on their $1 entry fee.
But of course, you can play for a lot more than that.
You can play in 10-person drafts.
They go really quickly, 30 seconds on the clock.
You shouldn't need that much time.
The draft app itself gives you projections
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Download the draft app and use the promo code F-B today.
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That was confusing.
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All right, struggling, starting pitchers, sort of.
Let's go one by one.
And tell me quickly how you feel about them and if you're worried.
Lance McCullors, as I mentioned yesterday, terrible so far, third time through the order.
And this is something that continues over from last year where he struggled third time through the order.
Lance McCullors.
I mean, I drafted Lance McCullors expecting those innings limitations.
So I wouldn't say I'm worried this last start and the reason his season stats are skewed.
I mean, he just obviously lost the strike zone.
but that seems like a one-start phenomenon.
Okay.
No, I'm not worried.
Not worried.
Are you worried that McCullors,
and this is really more for probably Chris, maybe Heath, not Scott,
since you're the lowest on him, I think.
Are you worried that McCullors is not going to be able to take the next step into Acehood?
I think that's certainly a concern,
but I also still believe in the raw talent.
I still believe in the skill set.
Unless he's hurt, I'm not worried yet.
Yes.
Okay.
Robbie Ray.
Oh, I don't know how you could not be worried.
Relative to preseason expectations, I would say I'm more worried about Robbie Ray than I am Lance McCullors,
just because he was probably being drafted 80 spots ahead of Lance McCullors, and they're kind of the same guy.
Robbie Ray, I was listening to the Diamondbacks broadcast during his start against the Giants,
where he started out really well and then just absolutely fell apart.
He was throwing his curveball, kind of almost.
exclusively.
And they were talking about the fact that he doesn't,
he has said he doesn't have the feel for his fastball yet.
I mean,
I take that as good news or bad news.
Yeah.
His fastball velocity is down.
I think two miles per hour on average since last April.
It was up a little bit in the last start.
Yeah.
That did him.
He just doesn't,
he doesn't have command right now.
And that,
yeah.
But we haven't learned anything new about Robbie, right?
He's walking a tightrope with his.
control.
Well, we just, this is the thing.
If you liked Robbie Ray before the season, we haven't learned anything new about him.
We didn't learn anything new about him in spring training.
As someone who liked Robbie Ray before the season, I can agree with that.
You should not be clutching your pearls because Robbie Ray is walking people.
Right, right.
Yeah.
I mean, it's not going to be 6.3 per 9 all season.
That's...
It could be.
No, I mean, you made the exact same point about Blake Snell two days ago.
But it also, like, well, Blake Snell's not getting hit.
Well, Robbie Ray, I mean, his swinging strike rate is still among the best.
Despite the velocity drop, his swinging strike rate is still elite this year.
It's almost what it was last year, much higher than it was two years ago.
I think he's struggling with his commands, maybe a little with his basketball,
but there's still a lot to like about Robbie Ray.
Are you at the point where you're putting James Paxton ahead of Robbie Ray?
I'm not. No. No.
I mean, I've moved Garrett Cole ahead of Robbie Ray.
I moved Shohei Otani ahead of Robbie Ray,
but I'm not going to do that for Paxton.
I had them so close to each other at the beginning of the year.
I may when I move when I update rankings next week.
Do you think we're ever going to get a two-star week from Shoaheotani?
Yes.
Like it'd have to be a Monday and a Sunday, right?
Yeah.
Yeah.
It will happen.
I set the over at one and a half,
and Scott said, oh, I'll take the over,
and then Chuck Holden said I'd set it at two and a half.
So, between...
That's not over, right?
That's funny.
Okay.
Are you worried about Carlos Carrasco and his lower velocity and his 14 strikeouts in 20 and 2 thirds?
Not yet.
No, but I'm glad you brought that up because we've been freaking out about velocity guys who have had a bad start.
And because Carasco's last star was good, we haven't been.
Right.
Well, I mean, yeah, it's a little concerning, and the strikeouts haven't been there, like you said.
I'm a little concerned about him inasmuch as, like, I wasn't sold that he was part of the sub-tier of non-aces the way he was kind of thrown in this off-season.
But I'm not concerned about him being worse than I thought he would be.
Remember with Carrasco, his final start of spring training was terrible, his velocity was way down, right?
And they said, eh, he just doesn't care, he's kind of bored, ready for the season to start.
I'm sure the velocity is up from that point, but it's not where it needs to be.
But it is early and it is cold.
You definitely can run the risk of overreacting to velocity early in the year.
I feel like these discussions are going to be a lot more interesting toward the end of May,
because I feel like this is just a small percentage of, like, 10% of these pitcher season we've seen so forth.
Cold is a, it's just like a catch-off or whatever.
It's like the ultimate confirmation bias tool.
Oh, well, I think Carlos Carrasco is good.
So he's probably, his velocity's just down because he was cold.
I didn't say that.
I just suggested it.
I'm just saying that like it's a convenient excuse for anything that we want.
Like, oh, Miguel Cabrera is not hitting well.
It's cold.
Or like Matt Harvey's not pitching well.
And he was cold.
I know you can point to players who are their normal selves in cold weather.
Scott, I'm not criticizing anyone.
We're all doing.
it. I'm saying this is something that everyone is doing, and we just kind of pick and choose...
You're implying that they're wrong. No, I'm just, I'm saying it's not like that useful.
Like, they all could be right.
Change and velocity in cold weather is almost a full mile per hour, with the median change being 0.58 miles per hour.
It's really bad horror movie music, by the way. Like, Friday the 13th is a terrible movie.
I've decided which character you are, Adam.
Who am I?
Larry Talbot.
Who the hell was that?
The Wolfman.
Oh, screw you.
You're hairier than I am.
You've already decided.
Only one of us has won a hairy chess contest out of cruise.
I think he should have a speed contest growing up here.
Wouldn't Teen Wolf be more appropriate?
That's not a scary movie.
I mean, it was for the opposing defense.
Wait a second.
Scott, did you just say who's Teen Wolf?
Michael J. Fox.
I know who Teen Wolf.
I mean, the original.
teen wolf not this like m tv
show come on
that's always trending on twitter
all right who we worried about how about masahiro
tanaka after he got
tonnacca around by the
has anybody ever said that before that was terrific
by the red socks two nights ago
you're the first person ever say it
you're my masahiro
thank you
uh yeah so any concerns there
uh the same old same old
for masahiro tanaka
nope
like some days he just gives up a lot of home
runs and you scratch your head.
I'm just trying to think of the right way to take what Heath just said and put it into the Enrique Iglesias Hero song.
I am a muscle hero, baby!
There you go.
And that's the way we're going with.
You nailed it.
No, I'm not concerned about Snock at all.
I'm buying low.
Did that adequately express my lack of concern about him?
I guess so.
Alex Wood.
Alex Wood, well, this one we got into a little bit yesterday, but let's do it again.
Food poisoning over the weekend.
velocity way down against Oakland.
Scott doesn't seem as worried as Heath.
So, Chris, where are you on Alex Wood?
Scott is not worried at all.
I am on the opposite end.
Like, worried in as much as, again, I don't,
I didn't think he was worth the 93rd pick
or whatever you had to spend on him coming in.
Like, he's not, I don't think he's a strikeout guy.
I think he's probably more of a mid-to-high-3-ZRA guy.
And when that comes with a lack of strikeouts,
I think he's more like Gio Gonzalez without the safety.
I mean, if you look at his career numbers, that looks like a number three fantasy starter to me.
And that's all I was drafting him for.
I understood that in the first half last year when his velocity was up and he had like a 175 ERA or whatever,
that, none of that was going to last.
Velocity included.
But now he's throwing basically as hard as he has for the rest of his career.
and, you know, it's led to 320 ERA-120-WIP,
nearly a strikeout, or 8.3 strikeouts for nine innings, I think.
Yeah, but the second half last season, it was like 6.5 strikeouts per nine inning,
3.9 ERA, which was in line with what he did in 2015, 2016.
Don't you usually look at the career more than...
Given how up and down...
Most season statistics are generally more...
Sure.
Given how up and down he's been.
But let me just say this, Chris, because he has...
Alex Wood we're talking about.
He's only had one season in his career with less than a strikeout per inning,
or like really, really close to a strikeout per inning.
He's only had like three seasons, right?
Like three seasons where he's pitched a full season.
More than 77 innings, yes.
But in two of those three, he had a strikeout per inning.
All right, so Alex Wood.
His career is 8.2 as a starter.
Rank these three pitchers.
Tanaka, Alex Wood, Jose Burrios.
Tanaka Barrios would.
I would agree.
I mean, Berrios is catching up to Wood.
I'm still going to put Wood ahead of him for now.
Are none of you impressed that Wood hasn't walked a single batter this year?
That is impressive.
It's a very neat trick.
All right, you got to be worried about this next guy.
John Lester.
You have to be, or you're all show.
But I was already worried coming in.
That's kind of the distinction.
Heath, you weren't really that way.
You were optimistic for Lester preseason, right?
I thought that he was a very good bad.
value.
And he was being, I understood the concerns.
They were valid.
I thought they were influencing his ADP just a little bit too much.
As of right now, it looks like they were influencing them an appropriate amount.
Okay.
Luis Castillo, bounce back with a nice start.
Not a great start, but a nice quality start, six innings, five hits, three runs, no walks, four strikeouts at Philadelphia.
How concerned are you guys right now about Luis Castillo?
Not very.
Yeah.
I did notice one thing when I was researching him yesterday.
He's kind of flipped how often he uses his two-seamer versus his four-seamer.
His two-seamer is, as most two-seamers are, made for contact.
So that might explain the low strikeout total so far.
It was a pitch he kind of fell in love with last season,
but he didn't use it to near this extent.
So I don't think it's just all bad luck,
But I also think it's something that's imminently correctable.
I will just say it's a little bit strange that his best start so far against,
which was just a quality start against Philadelphia.
He only had nine swinging strikes.
I don't know that we should view that last start as, okay, he's all right.
Right.
Yeah, this is Luis Castillo we're talking about.
I never really said it, but I sort of felt like he was being anointed a little too soon in his career.
I thought he was being drafted a little early.
See, not very early.
His change-ups still ridiculous.
He's getting swings and misses on it a third of the time.
I didn't necessarily, like, his ADP was 138,
and that never felt like where he was actually being drafted.
Oh, no, we took him like seventh, eighth round.
138, I would have had no beef with that,
but he was never going that late in our drafts.
Maybe it was just my bias in our drafts.
Yeah, no, there's something weird going on with fan tracks data on ADP.
he was more like 111. So yeah, at that point in the draft, you know, that's the Jose
Borreus, Alex Wood range. I think I'd still rather have Castillo over Wood.
I like Weaver better than Castillo. What about you guys?
I don't. I don't. I think by the end of draft prep season, they were right next to each other
in my rankings, but Castillo ahead. And yeah, I still like Castillo more.
All right, these last three guys are kind of, well, I'll just say their names.
Danny Duffy, Michael Fulmer, Kyle Hendricks.
First of all, is Fulmer dropable?
No, not quite.
I mean, this was his first bad start.
Yeah, but, I mean, he's not striking anybody.
Five walks, nine strikeouts, is 16 and a third.
He never struck anybody out.
I know, he wasn't that great last year.
Okay.
I'd bring it up.
I think he has proven twice over that he can be an effective fantasy option even without strikeouts.
It's not going to be a stud, but.
I mean, maybe in a 10-team league, you could think about dropping him.
That's what I was going to follow.
See, I think I still like him more than I like Duffy.
Ooh.
Didn't Duffy kind of make some improvements?
His change-up was really good.
He had a bad first inning.
I thought he actually looked pretty good two days ago.
Each of his three starts has been better than the last.
And it's basically been the first inning that's been the source of all his problems.
Six of his eight walks have come in the first inning, including three in this last start.
That almost suggests there's something wrong with his pregame routine.
Yeah.
I forgot who.
That was a couple years ago.
There was a pitcher that was, it might have been Rick Porcelo, actually.
Oh, it'll come to me, I think.
So would you buy low on any of these guys?
Danny Duffy, Michael Fulmer, or Kyle Hendricks?
I don't know if Hendricks is really, he's got a 3-601.
What are we worried about with Hendricks?
He's allowing a lot of base runners.
147 whip.
His control hasn't been as great.
The strikeouts have been.
better though, right?
13 and 17 innings.
I just, he's
a guy that like,
he's another guy like
Robbie Ray in a different way is walking a tightrope
because he has to
work in the zone with kind of iffy stuff.
If his command isn't on,
he can get rocked.
Yeah, and, uh, yeah.
All right, so who's your favorite?
Hendrix, Duffy, or Fulmer?
Hendricks, Hendricks.
Hendricks.
Fringy starting pitchers.
three of them from yesterday's games
owned in less than 80% of leagues.
Ian Kennedy, well, actually,
I mean, Heath, it was a tough hitting environment, right?
Because wind blowing out.
Like, everything,
I don't understand Ian Kennedy's start to the season.
Because I kind of got excited
because the strikeouts were back a little bit,
and he'd had two good starts in a row,
and then you go and look at the batted ball data
that he's allowed this year.
And it's like 80% of the balls are hit in the year,
and 47% hard contact,
and he hadn't given up a home run yet.
Then he finally gave one up on the very first battery of the game,
but then settled in again.
I am less interested in Ian Kennedy than his numbers say I should be.
Okay, well, he also only struck out three angels,
but they are the best team in terms of,
they have the fewest strikeouts per game.
He has a 96.6% strand rate.
Ian Kennedy is clutch.
If you saw these three players on the,
waiver wire, who would you add? Ian Kennedy, Michael Waka, or Lucas Gialito? Gialito. Golito. And that's one
where I will continue to make the cold weather excuse. It was 47 degrees last night, so a little
better. Didn't bother Jose Poreos. No, it didn't, but, you know, it's going to affect different people
differently, I would imagine. He has hardly thrown his curveball, and I can't imagine it's by design.
Right, I'm looking at a story from the Chicago Sun-Times from the end of spring training. Quote,
But with the help of Sox pitching coach Don Cooper and class AAA pitching coach Steve McCatty,
Golito got his mind right, shaped up his curveball, and this spring rediscovered some lost velocity.
His velocity is not up so far.
He has not discovered his curveball.
I don't know what to make of him.
Like the guy that he was touted as coming up as a prospect and the guy that we were told
and we saw in spring training has not followed him to Chicago.
don't know what's going on there.
All right, so maybe this is a guy that if someone in your league drops Lucas Gialito
and you feel like you can stash him until he gets right, a good guy to take a flyer on Lucas Gialito
79% home, but that could be going down.
Speaking of which, here's the dropometer.
Going into Fantasy Week 3 or 4, we'll just say week 4, dropometer 4, Ian Hap.
He has started 7 of 12 games, 0 to 10.
3.
7.
3-1, 7.
I am on drop half islands.
Yassio Puig.
Zero.
For all the points leaguers out there, I'll give it a...
I'll give it a three.
Avi Garcia, 81% owned.
Seven, eight?
Yeah, like a seven.
Eddie Rosario, 97% owned.
One?
Five. Four.
Okay, so Scott's going to be a little bit more patient with Eddie Rosario.
How about Neil Walker?
Yeah.
Neil Walker, I mean, this guy, he's much less owned than the others, 36% owned.
Not surprised that he's off to a bad start.
I mean, you look at the guys who didn't really have spring training.
Mustakis has been awesome lately, but Lomo's been terrible.
Neil Walker's been terrible.
Greg Holland, terrible.
But five walks, five strikeouts, so I don't know.
So this is just in a, we're only considering leagues, I think, that have middle end futures for this dropometer.
Okay.
Well, I mean, I feel like Neil Walker needs to be 36% owned.
Yeah.
Like if you happen to own him in a 12-team mixed league, you know, dropability is probably an 8 or 9.
But I don't imagine he's owned in that many of those formats.
Okay.
So you think the ownership percentage is right for Walker about 36%.
I do.
Let's do a mailbag real quick.
then we will get into the two-start pitchers for Fantasy Week 4.
All right, so I'm trying to get a couple of our listeners to fight.
Two days ago, we had an email telling us about the use of Archie Bradley.
Now we have an email from Vincent who hated that email.
He said, the email you receive regarding Bradley always facing the opposing team's best hitters
was highly inaccurate and more likely just hopeful thinking by a Bradley owner.
In Boxburger's first save, he faced Colorado's two, three, four, five hitters.
His second save, he faced the top of the Dodgers order.
His third save, he faced Jose Martinez, Yadir Molina, and Paul DeYoung.
In his fourth save, Boxberger faced the Cardinals three, four, five hitters.
Directly contradicts this emailer's position.
Either way, and then he goes on a little bit, either way, that person's email was highly misleading.
Yeah, drop the hammer.
Fight!
I didn't fact-checked either email.
Fight, fight, fight, fight, fight, fight, so I don't even care.
What the hell is that?
An explosion.
Oh, it's a flex bomb.
Come on, guys.
Yeah.
Get them.
Is that the only music you clips?
Yeah, it's a Friday the 13th.
It's the Friday the 13th.
I don't know if you realized.
Well, you just said creepy music.
I thought maybe you'd have a wider selection.
Like, maybe the Halloween theme.
Which villain would Scott be?
Not Halloween.
Which villain would Scott be?
Oh, man.
That did the mesh.
All right, here's another email from John.
Is Nick Povetta a top 50 pitcher?
In my heart?
No.
And in the rankings.
Not quite.
No.
Pretty close.
I'll give him top 70.
He's got upside.
Maybe top 60.
I'd rather have him than Rick Porcelo.
Well, I would not.
Greg Martin is a Mets fan, and he thinks that we should not be concerned about Conforto sitting against lefties.
The Mets are just giving Conforto rest after the injury, making those rest days on days versus lefties, since he's obviously a little worse against them.
But he will not fall into the Jake Lamb trap.
He hits well against lefties, et cetera.
He did hit well against lefties last year.
once Terry Collins gave him the opportunity to.
But before that, he had not hit Lefties well.
So it is worth noting that the track record is mixed.
But as with anyone who has those platoon splits,
the bar is really low.
He just has to be decent against Lefties.
Next email is Scott from Phoenix.
Dear Bosque, Dengar, and Boba.
Those are bounty hunters within the Star Wars extended universe.
How many bounty hunters are there?
At least three people.
Miguel Cabrera was dropped in my 10-te-to-head categories league.
Is it worth spending my number one waiver wire priority on Miguel Cabrera?
Ten teams.
That's what's giving me some hesitation, but I think so.
I'm not a big preserve waiver priority guy.
How long are you going to handcuff yourself like that, waiting for the perfect drop?
It's hard to predict.
You'll be back high eventually.
Yeah.
And it's cold with Miggy.
Remember, it's cold.
So there are promising indicators.
I would do it.
From Zach, when will Daniel Murphy return from the DL?
And who would you rather have on that day?
Murphy or Ozzy Albies?
Murphy.
On that day, well, I think I want to see two or three weeks of Murphy play before I'm confident
moving him ahead of Albies again. He certainly has the upside to be better than Albies,
but it might be a little, a little touch and go at first.
Andy on Long Island has two team name Tuesdays on a Friday, one is specifically for Heath.
Paul Jeanne.
I like it a lot.
And his pal Jeff is getting snipped today in the man region.
All right, Jeff. Good luck.
TMI.
Barnes and Canable.
That's pretty good, actually.
That's not bad.
Oh, okay.
Yeah.
It took a while to process, but it's, I like that they're both in the same bullpen.
That's, makes it cool.
Oh, yeah.
I didn't even think about that.
I don't get it.
Barnes and Noble.
Barnes and Canable smelled, you know, similarly.
Well, not really.
Barnes & Noble is a bookstore.
Oh, I, okay.
So this wasn't related to the information he gave us before.
No.
Oh, no.
Okay.
No, no.
I was trying to make a connection there.
That's where I got tripping.
Vesectomy Jeff should have given us Paul's to dog.
Sign names.
All right.
John, the Cardinals fan, says, is Adam Adavino for real?
Who would you drop for Adivino?
Patancis, Marro, Neris, Bradley.
Adivino, by the way, no runs, eight innings, one hit, one walk, 16 strikeouts.
I wouldn't drop someone who gets saves.
No.
Right.
I think I'd drop Patanis for him.
Sure.
I think I'd rather have Patensis.
Yeah, I'd definitely rather have Morrow.
I'd definitely rather have Bradley.
Narris would be the one that I might.
I think Odaveno was one of the better, coming into last year,
I saw him as one of the better set of men in baseball,
and I don't know what happened then.
So I guess this year is more for real than last year was.
I think Scott might just be Dracula.
David and Eagle Rock wants to know who's going to hit the most home runs
when it's all said and done.
Conforto, Thames, Duval, Boer, or Jose Martinez?
Conforto, Thames, Duval, Boer, or Jose Martinez?
Conforto.
When it's all said and done, does that mean?
in career or 2018?
2018.
Conforto for both.
As long as we're not counting
Japanese or Korean League numbers.
I will take Conforto.
I think I will
too. I think Martinez is
in the discussion though.
From Dylan. Is Scooter Jeanette
dropable?
Not in the middle
infielder league
and
I mean if you drafted them to be your primary
second baseman, I doubt you've
found a better one on waivers to this point.
But if he was just another bench guy, sure.
Scooter Jeanette or Neil Walker.
Jeanette.
Jeanette.
And Josh from Florida, dear tuna, salmon, shrimp, and crab.
Sushi is the best food ever known to man.
And buy or sell.
Luke Weaver finishes as a top 10 starting pitcher.
Sell both of those crazy things.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I've never had sushi, so I don't want to be included in the sushi.
What?
But I've never had it.
Wow, we are staunchly anti-sushi on this show.
No, I'm not a post-ozy.
to sushi. I just don't want to eat. You're clearly opposed to sushi. That's where I am. Welcome to the club, Chris. It could be delicious. It could be delicious, but I just, I can't, I'm very, I'm very picky and anxious about the food that I eat. And I can't get over the eating raw fish thing. This is really upsetting because I was going to say that you were Chucky. Yeah. From the scary movies. And now I feel like that's mean. Because I'm happy to eat like sushi. Well, on yesterday's podcast, Eats was like, this is probably going to make Chris mad. I don't dislike sushi. Well, but you're not. But you're not. I don't dislike sushi. Well, but you're not. You're not. I don't. I don't dislike sushi. Well, but you're. But you're. Well, but you
refuse to eat it. I have no opinion about it. But there's lots of things. You have an opinion
you don't want to eat it. There's lots of things that I refuse to eat. Guys, just try a California
roll. It's pretty mild. Dip it in some soy sauce. I don't even know if it's raw fish. It's like...
Yeah, I mean, some sushi isn't actually raw. Yeah, I don't think it is. But I refuse to eat it, too,
just on principle. Agreed. You're committed at this point. All right. Yeah. So... I would eat it if it's not
raw.
Try California roll.
It's good.
It's like the beginners.
The introduction to sushi.
All right, let's do the two-star pitchers here.
And start with John Lester, home against St. Louis, at Colorado.
Nope.
What do you think?
In a points league?
I would have a hard time sitting them.
Not me, but it's fair.
Who is it?
John Lester.
Everybody pull out your list of two-star pitchers.
My mind lingers on the past conversation,
and I forget to keep up.
Okay.
John Lester, home against St. Louis, at Colorado.
Not in a two-star week, certainly not in a points league.
Sorry, my head's in the game now.
Here we go.
Two-star pitchers.
You said not in a two-star week, certainly not in a points league.
He was asking if you would bench.
Okay.
I think he's at starter.
No, I'm sorry.
Oh, you're starting Lester.
See?
That's what I thought.
One of those starts is that Colorado.
I would not sit John Lester, a two-star John Lester,
in a points league.
All right, I'll be in the minority, I guess.
Let's see.
Michael Fulmer, Baltimore and Kansas City at home.
I'll start him in a points league.
Yep, I think I'll start them in both.
I'm sorry, Scott.
Aaron Sanchez, Kansas City, and at the Yankees.
I'll start him.
I think I'll start him in both.
I will not start him in Roto for sure.
In points, he's at the bottom of the list so far.
All right, tough week maybe for Luis Castile.
Let's see what he's got.
At Milwaukee, at St. Louis.
You're in the lineup.
Yeah, I'll be starting.
I'd start him over Sanchez.
Tyler Skaggs.
I'm not convinced Skaggs is going to make two starts.
Boston.
Nor am I.
He was supposed to make two starts this week.
And if he's a one-star pitcher against Boston, I'm not sure I like him.
Yeah, I mean.
And his first starts Tuesday.
Right.
The margin for error is one day.
Yeah.
And that is tough because I would start him in a two-star week,
but the second start is supposed to be San Francisco.
But hopefully we'll know.
That is going to be a tough call for Skaggs.
They play seven games?
I don't know.
I'm going to tie those skags.
I'm not going to tie those skis.
Remember that?
Of course.
Oldie, buddy goody.
Yeah, I'm not going to tie.
He's done it like every episode this season.
Daddy Duffie.
Not that old.
Not that much.
Daddy Duffy at Toronto and at Detroit.
Sure.
He's below Aaron Sanchez for me.
Yeah, I might shy away from him in Roto, but points start up.
Marco Estrada, Kansas City and at the Yankees.
I'll start.
No.
Yeah.
Not in Roto, but I'll start him in place.
I would be worried because I'm not confident he's going to make two starts since he left last start with a back issue.
And then, you know, does he just make one start at New York?
Yeah, I'd rather know.
Mike Fultenevich, Phillies and Mets at home.
Yep.
That's fine.
Wasn't he supposed to be a team?
who start this guy this week?
He was.
I think that changed on Sunday, though.
We did talk about him on the podcast last week.
Yeah, and he's pitching Monday and Saturday,
so Fulte should be able to make those starts.
Ian Kennedy, at Toronto, and at Detroit.
That seems fine.
No.
He's just quietly rejecting everyone over here.
Points League, yes, rot or no.
Kevin Gossaman, at Detroit, home against Cleveland.
No.
No.
Really?
I think I would do it in both.
The splitters.
It's been more like 20% than 25,
but the last two starts,
results have been pretty good.
I'm encouraged, yeah.
And you got the Detroit start.
I think that's good.
Could be cold?
Tigers can't hit in cold weather?
Can he throw in cold weather?
I don't know.
Dick Povetta, at Atlanta and home against Pittsburgh,
aka Nick Povetta.
Okay, I was wondering if you were doing a thing, yeah.
I was doing it.
Legendary NBA referee, Scott.
Okay.
Dick Povetta.
Nick Povetta at Atlanta, home against Pittsburgh.
I mean, the pirates are hitting everything, but they can't hit Nick Povetta.
Is that a yes or no?
Nick Povetta is good.
This is the best thing.
It's the best you're going to do.
I probably wouldn't in Roto.
All right, then, who else would you consider?
Kyle Gibson, Trevor Williams, Hjongin Riu, Brandon McCarthy.
Who does Riu have?
At San Diego and versus Washington.
I think I would start him.
of points like.
Yeah.
Are we confident he's going to make two starts because it's a Monday Sunday,
so one game margin for error.
Let me tell you something, Scott White.
I just do weird things all the time.
I hope he doesn't.
I would rather start Junji and Ryu one start at San Diego than two starts at San Diego
and home against Washington.
I mean, that's a y'all play scared situation, but it's fine.
Is Brandon McCarthy's shoulder okay?
I'm...
Like, I saw he's expected to make his next start.
But, yeah, I'd have some doubts about that.
I would be interested in him against the Phillies and Mets.
I just, I'm worried about the show.
We've got some breaking injury news.
Uh-oh.
Kevin Plokeke broke his hand.
Oh, no.
Oh, my gosh.
I don't know who the Mets catcher is,
but if you got excited about Plokeke thinking he was going to play a lot more,
he's going to play a lot less.
Anyone else, guys, Cashner, Wainwright, Marquez, Stratton,
Cole
Carl's got awful matchups
I kind of like stretoning points
At Arizona at the Angels
Don't love the matchups
Right now we have to really think about the Angels
As one of the toughest matchups in baseball
Now you don't know if Otani's going to play
In fact
But that's still be trout
Kinsler, Cozard, Upton
That lineup is very improved
And they don't strike out
Brent Suter
Jordan Zimmerman
Yeah I like it
Chris, I like it.
Cincinnati and Miami.
Versus Cincinnati versus Miami.
I don't think Junior Garrar is very good,
but I'm willing to do that in a deeper league.
All right.
We're done here.
Check out the columns on the website.
CBSports.com slash fantasy.
CBSports.com slash fantasy.
And we got hitting advice and pitching advice and good stuff.
Have a great weekend, everybody.
Happy Friday the 13th.
Oh, yeah, I'll play it for you.
Here you.
Where is it?
I screwed it up, Scott.
I'm sorry.
I'll just do it.
Thank you.
Bye, everyone.
