Fantasy Baseball Today - 05/10: Buy or Sell, Prospects, Mazara (Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 10, 2018

We've got Buy or Sell from our listeners on today's show! Is Gerrit Cole the #1 SP in Fantasy (1:25)? Are we buying Maikel Franco, Nomar Mazara and Nick Markakis (2:30)? Will David Dahl become a trustworthy option (12:45)? ... Scott and Heath wonder if Eddie Rosario is a stud (21:00), if Jaime Barria is underowned (24:40), who is closing for TOR (29:40) and if Kenley Jansen is back (31:35). Then we talk prospects (33:08) as people are buzzing about Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alex Reyes ... Discussing struggling hitters and whether you should buy low or say goodbye (44:00) to Brett Gardner, Billy Hamilton, Michael Conforto and a few more. More from yesterday's games (49:50) including SPs with innings issues, a look at today's matchups (56:30) and more Buy or Sell (58:30) ... Your emails at [e-mail] This episode is sponsored by www.ZipRecruiter.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Happy Thursday, everybody. 14 games on the schedule yesterday. Let's talk about it. We've got buy or sell from me, your faithful host, and from the listeners, our faithful listeners. So, yeah, going to be a good show today. Talk about some standouts, some guys that you might want to drop, or maybe you think they're by lows. I will ask Keith and Scott. And prospects.

We are going to talk about prospects today. People are buzzing about Alex Reyes and Dustin Fowler. All right, Heath and Scott. Hello. First to Heath Cummings. Hello to you, sir. Hi, Adam. What a great night last night, Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference finals.

Yeah, so the bandwagon fan, Heath Cummings, is a Celtics fan. You should know. You should know this. How am I a bandwagon fan? Yeah, I've been a fan of the same team for 33 years. Because they were good. I mean, it started because you were a bandwagon fan. It started because I was a fan of basketball in the Midwest with no team within eight hours of me.

It is kind of crazy Missouri doesn't have a team, right? Right? Oh, very, very. All right, well, anyway, enough of that. Scott, hello to you. Let's get on with the show. Sure. Buy or sell.

Garrett Cole is the number one starting pitcher. He is currently number one, but by or sell that he, you know, will continue to be the number one starting pitcher in fantasy baseball. Garrett Cole. I don't know what upside there is to moving him ahead of Scherzer especially, but I would say cluber and sale as well just because like you have no reason for skepticism with those three

but like I could see him being number one for the most part I buy what he's doing the changes he's made to his arsenal and just the way the aster's mind the data to get the most out of him like they have so many others I think he's really this good but why

why would I move him ahead of Scherzer when there's no reason to doubt Scherzer you know what's the name of this game Adam Buy or sell. Oh, okay. So I sell. Heath, you sell? Yeah, I will sell.

I have Garrett Cole fourth in my starting pitcher rankings. I could not put him ahead of Shurzer for sure. I could possibly get him ahead of sale on Cluver. Buy or sell, number two. Buy or sell, Heath, Michael Franco is breaking out. Listen, anytime Mikel Franco or No Marizara does anything good at all, I'm going to buy it. So, yeah, I believe that Michael Franco may finally be living up to what it has looked like for a long time he could be. Yeah, Scott, by herself, Michael Franco is breaking out.

So I don't see any underlying changes to suggest he is. The one change to his batteball profile as he's pulling the ball more. You know, he's always been a guy with theoretical power who makes a lot of contact but doesn't hit the ball especially hard. He stopped popping out a lot more. Has that happened? That would help. His pop-out rate, over the first four years of his career, north of 15%, which is just sky high. He's at 8.3% this year.

Cut it in half. That's good. Well, that would help, but I'm still skeptical. I mean, he's had hot stretches like this in the past, and he's been a disappointment for several years. So I sell. Franco or Beltray? I will take Beltray. Yeah, I'll still take Beltr.

I don't know if we did this yesterday, but Frango or Seeger? I would take Seeger. Okay, buy or sell. Nomar Mazar is a top 30 outfielder. Buy it. It's just so rare for a player to be as good as he was, and it wasn't great in fantasy, but as good as he was, as good as he was, as he's hitting lefties, he's hitting for more power.

There's no reason not to buy it. So we found the one Mazarra believer of... of, you know, Chris Heath and I. Because I'm a skeptic. I'm a skeptic. I know he's young and has a lot of theoretical upside, but it doesn't make sense that he would be having this kind of power breakout with a fly ball percentage of 25.

Like, that's everything we've complained about, about Yelich and Hosmer over the years, except the difference for those two is they're good hitters apart from the home runs. They get on base a lot. They project a hit for a high average. Mazarra doesn't. Like, he needs to be a big home run. home run hitter to be a fantasy standout.

Now, 30 isn't a particularly high threshold, top 30 outfielder. So maybe he could be that. But I don't see this. I'm skeptical that the huge breakout season is happening. I don't think he's going to maintain a 38% home run to fly ball ratio. I would agree with that. But he doesn't have to. I think he does.

What else does he do? To be a top 30 outfielder? If he has a 40% hard contact rate. If he stays healthy, there's a good chance he's a top 30 outfielder. Yes. because that's true for most full-timers. Well, okay. Well, it hasn't been true for No Mar Mazar, but he's already halfway to his home run total from previous seasons.

He has 10 home runs. Mizarra hit two more yesterday. Heath is more willing to buy it. I'm just going to pull up the rankings now. I'm going to stall while I get the rankings up and take a look at guys who are at, you know, about 30th overall. And we're talking Michael Conforto, Ryan Braun, you know, and a set. Cespitus, Nick Castiano, guys like that. Do you think that Noamar Mazar is in that group with Castellanos and Cespitas and brawn, et cetera?

Yes. Certainly, Conforto. How is Conforto that high? Heath has Conforto 27. Oh, you're looking at our rankings as opposed to actual production. Yeah, yeah, rankings. Okay. All right.

Confordo, I have a good ways back from those others personally. So I would put Mazar on the same class as him. Well, you have Mazar at top 40. Heath has Mazarra right around 30th overall. I do wonder, though, I mean, I want to say maybe he's a cell high, but I don't know that that's true, because I'm not sure who is buying it right now. And I don't know what you...

Oh, I think a lot of people would. He's been a buzzable player since he broke through. And so I think the knee-jerk reaction is, oh, hey, he's breaking out. But I don't know, looking at the support. I'm skeptical. Would you sell Mazar a straight up for Gregory Polanco? Yes. I don't know.

That's really close. Who I got one. Would you sell him straight up for U. Darvish? Oh, yeah. I probably would, but I could not be more worried about you, Dharvish. I might be offered in a 13-team Roto League in which I need hit. I might be offered Ian Kinsler and Michael Brantley for you Darvish, and I hate myself for considering it. But I think that it's not that bad of a trade.

What is it? Kinsler and Brantley for you Darvish. Because I also am quite worried about you Darvish. Why would you not make that trade? I would be getting Kinsler. What are you guys worried about? I would be getting Kinsler and Brantley, Scott. Not getting Dorvish.

Oh, no. It's bad, right? Why are you so worried about Darvish? First of all, other than the fact that obviously he's off too bad. I'm worried about what Jim Bowden said about him on CBS Sports HQ. By the way, you should watch that on your Roku. That his elbow is, that his arm slot has changed. It might be a cause of a, might be a result of a shoulder injury.

However, I'm, if it's. I mean, he might be right, but he's not, you know, he's not a pitching coach. He's not a doctor. It is just one man's opinion. It's not, like, he's not even here to Darvish. So it's not just that, though. I mean, his swinging strike rate is way down from any point it's been in his career. His K-per-9 looks okay, but the K-percentage is also way down, and it was trending down last year,

and he's walking too many people at the same time. It's a really bad combination. Yeah, and Scott, just to finish on the Bowden thing, I also feel like if it's not, and he didn't say it's a shoulder injury said it might be they have to look into it. If it isn't, then that probably means that this is just a mechanical thing for Darvish, And if he can get that right, you know, I'm not going to do that train. I'm not going to do that trade. And seeing as he has a history of mechanical issues, both, like, each of the last two years, he had some really rough stretches.

And then it was like, oh, he tweaked his mechanics. And look, he's dominant again. Like, that's, I feel like that's the way it's going to play out for Darvers this year. Okay. I think we've convinced myself and you have convinced me, I will not accept that trade of Brantley and Kinsler. Brantley, though, I mean, like, Brantley's playing really well. All right, all right, moving on. Two more Byersels from me.

Then we'll get into the news and notes and the standouts. Carlos Carrasco with a complete game, 14 strikeouts. Do you need to add Jaime Barria? Tyler Clippard got a save. We will, of course, talk about that. 17% owned. All four of those save candidates pitched yesterday for the Blue Jays, and Clippard was the one who got the save.

Corey Canable pitch the seventh. So, yeah, we'll discuss it all. By herself, Nick Marcaquis is a top 30 outfielder. Currently, he's sixth and points in 10th in Roto. He homered again. Markeekis is batting 338. Scott White, Nick Markechakis, top 30 outfielder by herself. I mean, I think it's feasible in a points league.

I actually wrote about Nick Markechakas on Tuesday, and I feel like we've always viewed him as a high floor guy, but low-ceiling guy. And that's still true. But I feel like that's the sort of guy that plays up in a deep lineup. You know, he makes a lot of contact. He gets on base. if he can get back to being a 90 RBI 90 runs scored guy like he was early in his career with the Orioles, and he can maintain a fly ball rate that makes him capable of 15 home runs, 15 plus home runs, then I don't see why he could have been that.

Like, I'm, he's performing over his head so far. There's no doubt about that. But I don't think it's crazy to think he could be a fixture in your lineup all year. Like he could be that, you know, that, you know, that, that, that decent. And, like, I would take Nomar Mazar over him, so I understand I'm putting a positive spin on Markechus and a negative spin on Mazzara,

but the thing is we have much higher expectations for Mizarra coming in. Yeah, I... It's as simple as I think there's a pretty good chance that Markechakas finishes as a top 30 outfielder in a points league if he plays 150 games because of this start. I do not expect he'll be a top 30 outfielder for the rest of the year, especially in Roto. and you look at the batted ball profile for him,

his fly ball rate is 33.9%. His career fly ball rate is 33.4%. Yeah. The years it's been closer to 35, though, or the years he would hit, you know, around 15 home runs, as opposed to the eight he hit last year. The only thing that's really changed

is his home run to fly ball rate is double what it is for his career. It hasn't been over 10% since he played for the Orioles in 2012. I don't buy the increased power at all. I think he could hit close to 300, sure. But this is not going to last. Okay, and you, by the way, Heath, you have Nick Morkakis'iakas' 94th in your rankings.

I should probably move him up a little bit. He's another one of those guys that I don't buy it, so I haven't moved him up, but I'll move him up a little bit. In Roto, yuck. All right, all right. By herself, Mitch Morland is Mix League viable. And last five games, he's four home runs. He's 11 for 21. Morland. He has mixed league value. Heath. By or sell?

Not in a standard 12-team mixed league. I don't see it. No. All right. Last one. And where's he going to play? Yeah, well, they, you know, they play J.D. Martinez sometimes in the outfields. Like, Jackie Bradley might just be done. So that's a... Morlent has started half of the Red Sox games this year. So that's your answer right there. Yeah, but I think they might be fed up with Jackie Bradley's bat. Might be.

So that's the scenario. That's the scenario. Okay. I move Nick Marquake is up to 50 other points. Are you happy? Yeah, I'm very happy. By our cell. I'm 40th, so we're not really that far off.

By herself, David Dahl will become a must-start outfielder. I still buy that'll happen eventually. I'm not anywhere close to putting him in my lineup, but they have three hitters in there who are just weighing the whole thing down. And when it becomes time for them to turn the. page on those three completely, and I'm referring to Desmond Parra and Carlos Gonzalez. They don't even need to do it on all three, just one of them. Then I think we'll see Dahl shine. He's been really fortunate to start the year.

I'm not sure that he's doing anything that should earn him more playing time at this point. I mean, you've got a 304 average, but that's entirely bad-bip. He's striking out 35% of the time. I'm going to sell it. The weird thing about Dahl is that he's been terrible against Ruffalo. righties. He has one walk and 28 strikeouts in 79 at bats against righties. Against lefties, he's batting

261 with three homers and 46 at bats. And he sat against three straight left-handed starters. So, you know, that was He is not a big walk guy. You know what? I think I've got to stop doing this because I think

that's... Yeah, those numbers are not correct. Yeah, they're not right. He only has 49 plate appearance in the year. That's why it didn't make any sense to me. All right. So I will stop looking at the splits that I had been looking at. I think that is a caching issue. Okay, no. All right, ready? Ready for the real?

Ready for the real stats? Yes. David Dahl is one for 16 against lefties, and he is actually doing... With 10 strikeout. Quite well against Ritees. 433 batting average against Ritees. I apologize for that, so at least we got that sort of squared away.

All right, injuries, news, and notes. The Mets batted out of order. Clayton Kirshraw through from 60 feet, that's a good sign. David Price has carpal tunnel syndrome. Is David Price droppable, in your opinion? He might make his next start, and he also plays a lot of Fortnite, which could be blamed for the carpal tunnel syndrome in all seriousness. Yep.

That's kind of funny. Do you think David Price is dropable or no? No. Yeah, I mean, I wouldn't be dropping David Price if I owned him. I could see it in like a 10-team league where everybody streams the crap out. out of pitchers that he would get mixed up in that streaming cycle. But anything standard size or deeper, no. But the more pressing question, have either of you ever gotten carpal tunnel

or some sort of hand pain that lasted to the next day from playing video games? Never. You? Yeah, I haven't either. And I used to play a lot. Really? Yeah. Wow, that's pretty.

Like, what game? Oh, I've gotten it just for my phone book. for. Really? Yeah, no, maybe... Embarrassing. That is pretty dorky. But definitely Bond.

Oh, like the Golden Eye on N-65. I used to get blisters from those games that would have you, like, you'd have to cycle between the buttons. Okay, blister counts, Scott. To make a meter go up, you know, like the... And you basically, like, on the Sega Genesis, you'd rub the three A, B, and C buttons. Yeah. Oh, yeah. Super high impact.

The original Nintendo controller, the original Nintendo controller definitely could cause blisters. What was Golden Eye on? Was that Nintendo 64? Yes. Yeah. Oh, best game ever. Some players who are heating up. Chris Bryant, four homers in his last seven games, now six on the season and 100, I believe, for his career.

Chris Davis has homered in two straight games, Chris with a C. Still, you know, I think there was only two hits, but we know Chris Davis has the tendency to streak. Ender NCRte stole two more bases. He has 10 now on the year. Delino DeShields is 63% own. So that might be kind of a CBS thing because we have points leagues more so than the other sites. And I know he's got to be. Who cares?

I know. That's what I'm going to say. He's since coming off the DEL, DeShield's is 14th in points and 10th in Roto at Outfield in fantasy. 63% owned. Pretty underowned. I will say if Delano DeLi-Dishield and Nick Marquakes has played the same number of games for the rest of the year, Delano DeShild will score more fantasy points. Adam.

Yes. Encearte, you said he has 10 steals. He has 15 steals. What? Yeah. He's 15 for 17. Nuh. What the hell is it?

We had a new segment just called Fake News with Adam. I can't believe this. I mean, it makes a big difference. He's been the best stolen base guy in the majors. What the hell? He leads the majors and stolen bases. He is seven away from his career high. I'm going to...

heads are going to roll here. All right, I'm sorry about that. So this is an embarrassing day for me. I'm not enjoying it at all. I wonder if there's any other embarrassing stories I can tell now to just humiliate myself more. There's one that comes up to mind. I wonder if there's any incorrect stats here that I'm not going to catch. Where did you get your information, sir?

I don't think there are any other incorrect stats. Like Mitch Morland has homered in four of his last five games, right? Yes, that's what I have in my notes. I will agree with that. Okay. I will agree with your facts. Garrett Cole is the number one starting pitcher in fantasy, right? Wellington Castillo has gone four for eight in his last two games with two home runs and a double, so he's heating up.

Mike Trout somehow did not homer in his two games at Corres Field. That series is over. That sucks. Yaso Puig is back. Adam Eaton is getting a second opinion, so I don't even know if he's going to be back before Johnny Quedo, which is pretty pathetic. Oduble Herrera has reached base safely in 38 straight games. That is true. Wade Miley is on the D.

Why don't we play true or false? I'm going to give a note. You tell me if it's true or false. Wade Miley's on the DL. True. Darren O'Day is on the DL with a hyper-extended elbow. Ah, well, that would explain why. Brad Brock.

Brad Brock got the saves. Yep. Well, now I'm not sure that Dara D. He's actually on the DL if you didn't know that. I'm not sure. Well, you know. Yeah, he is. He's on the DL either.

Brad Brock is 30% owned and got the save yesterday, and O'Day is on the DL. Greg Bird will begin a rehab assignment today. Trevor Cahill's on the DL with an elbow impingement. That's a bummer. They say it's just basically sore, and he'll be back after the minimum 10 days. So if you are excited to add Cahill, I don't know that you need to drop them. Okay. Mark Moulanson could start a rehab assignment soon.

Do you think that we should stash Malanson, or do you think Strickland keeps the job? I would stash Malanson and leagues where savings are scarce, but I also want to rule out Strickland keeping the job. He's been good. I actually have a team where we have five DL spots. It's a Roto League where I've been stashing Mlanson since the beginning of the year, and it's getting really tight because I think I have seven players on the DL now. I'm going to try to hold on to him for a little while longer.

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He did have a big day on Tuesday and basically every other day recently. Eddie Rosario is number 14 in points, number 11 in Roto in outfield rankings, or standings. Rosario is batting 291 with seven home runs. He has been great at home, which is not December. from what he did last year. Is Eddie Rosario just hot right now, Heath, or is Eddie Rosario breaking out, legit, must-start outfielder? I'm caught somewhere in between because he was, like, he was really good last year as well. So I don't think this is all just a hot streak, but I think a lot of it is just a hard streak.

Last year, Rosario was 28th in points, 21 in Roto. And most of his production, 16 home runs in the final two-months. of the season. So he had a great second half. Scott, what do you think? Is Eddie Rosario legit? Or, you know, just it's good, but not great? I think he's legit. I think that was a breakthrough midway through last year that we saw. And he's, you know, kind of sluggish out of the gate this year, but he's basically gotten back to doing that. Most of the batted ball data looks the same as what he was doing last year, with the exception of he's hitting even more fly balls. So there There may be some power growth there.

I hate that he doesn't walk much. You know I like my walks, but he doesn't strike out much either, and it just seems like the quality of contact he makes is good enough to carry him. Would you rather have Eddie Rosario or Christian Yellich? Oh, Yelich. Yelich, yeah. Eddie Rosario or Conforto? I'll take Rosario there.

See, I think I'd still want Comforto's upside. Oh, okay. So let's get into the standout. Scott White, give me a standout from Wednesday. A standout from Wednesday. So just somebody who's popping out of my notes here, kind of randomly, is Zach Cozart. I doubt you had him in the notes. So let's talk about him a little.

Yeah, he batted meet off yesterday. And he hit his fifth home run. He's on pace for 23. He's also on pace for 41 doubles. And he's doing it with the 260 Babbitt. So I feel like the things we are most concerned about, Cossart continuing from last year, he's shown he's going to continue.

And any slowness there to his start is mostly Babbitt related. I think particularly if you need shortstop help, he's somebody you could be buying low on right now. Question, though, on Cozart. Sure. He's basically a 250 hitter almost every year of his career except for last season with the Reds. And I'll try to look up some accurate splits this time.

I feel like most of his batting average was at home last year. That was my concern. That was my concern. That's true. He would go back to being a 250 hitter moving away from Cincinnati and going to Los Angeles of Anaheim of California, of the United States of Earth. I mean, maybe he had a 312 Babbitt last year. You know what, to be fair, he has been a low-abab guy, but this is exceptional. low. And I would say the fact that he's hitting the ball harder than ever, I would not expect this to be one of his low years in terms of Babbitt.

All right. Heath, how about a standout from Wednesday? I think we have to talk about Jaime Baria. We do. Like, I know the Rockies don't have a very good lineup, but to go in two cores and hold the Rockies scoreless for five and a third innings, got his most swinging strikes that he's hadn't a start yet with 14, translated to seven strikeouts. He's made four starts now, and three of them have been very good starts. I don't expect he's going to be a high strikeout guy, but I do expect pretty good control. That's so I think he needs to at least move into the top, sheesh, top 80 starting pitchers, maybe 75. Hi, May Baria.

So he's 5% owned, and he's got maybe one start or two next week. You never know what the Angels rotation. But if he has one start, it's against a lot. Houston. If he has two starts, it's against Houston and Tampa Bay. Now granted, as he's mentioned, five and a third scoreless in the sittings at Colorado, pretty damn good yesterday. Only 13 strikeouts in 18 and a third. You're not saying must add everywhere, but Berea top 80 pitcher, so it might be under 5%. He deserves to be more

owned than 5%. Okay. Yeah, that's fair. That's fair. It would be hard for him to break into that group of pitchers. I've had trouble rostering all of them, like Domingo Hermann and Fernando Romero, but Yeah, I'm fine with it being outside that group closer to like the, I guess the Marco Estrada range of my rankings. Would you drop a guy who's 76% owned for a guy who's 5% owed? Would you drop Trevor Williams for Jaime Borea? I think that's six of one, half a dozen of the other.

Because they're both going to be like 7K per 9 guys probably with good enough supporting stats to be useful. Okay. Well, somebody has to say Carlos Carrasco is a standout, right? Carlos Carrasco, complete game, seven and a third innings, 33 hits, zero runs, and 28 strikeouts. Did I get those numbers right? Okay, no. It's L.O.L. This is a joke. Nine innings, five hits, two runs, one walk, 14 strikeouts at Milwaukee, 23 swinging strikes.

This has been such a Carlos Carasco season. Like, for some reason, awful starts. His last two, he gave up 10 runs at 8 in the 3rd, and then follows it up with a complete game with 14Ks and 23 striking strikes. Anything to say about Carlos Carrasco? He's awesome in a top 10 starting pitcher. Yeah, I have nothing but good things to say about him. I bet I can name 10 pitchers I'd rather have.

How many? 10. Oh, yeah, I mean, he's not in my top 10 either. He's in my top 15, though. The three that Heath has behind Carrasco, immediately behind, are Strasbourg, Cindergarten, Severino. And then Carlos Martinez, and then DeGrom. Carasco over Severino.

And DeGrom. They're both interesting, Heath. Well, I mean, DeGrom, if you wanted to be extra cautious with the injury, I could understand that. But Chris and I, on Tuesday, were talking about how Severino might be someone we trade Kershaw for. So that's, you know, sounds like he's a little lower on him. Yeah, I hate him. He's only 10th in my starting pitcher rankings. He's 11th in points.

10th and Roto. I have Strasbourg and Sendergarde ahead of Carasco in Roto. I have him 9th and Severino 10th. Okay. All right. Well, problem solved. We will take a look at the bullpen in just a second, but you out there, you listen to this podcast, hopefully every day. That means you love fantasy baseball.

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Do you think he gets the next save? Can I just say that, like, I can't believe Tyler Clippers is having this good of a year? I cannot believe it. He looked completely done last year. I don't know that you should believe it. For all of those Blue Jays pitchers, the FIP does not come close to the ERA. So, yeah, I don't know that there's a lot of job security here for Clippard, but I don't see why he wouldn't.

Like, his PIP is 430. I don't see why he wouldn't get the next save after converting this one. Okay. Corey Canable pitch the seventh with the Indians winning 4-0, Brewers trailing. Heath, what did you make of that? Just get him some action there? Just get him some action. Just get him acclimated to the roll.

Maybe pitch him two games in a row and then let him go back. I just wonder, like with all the success they've had with this Josh Hader finishing games off, pitching the eighth and the ninth inning, does that happen just a little bit more often? And Ding, Canable's value a little bit. Well, where do you guys have Canabel ranked? Because he was a top five closer preseason. What about now? Yeah, he was not a top five closer, I don't believe.

for me. I think he was closer to 9th or 10th. I had dropped him quite a bit, and I haven't moved him back up since he's returned. He's seventh for me. He was top, he was fourth at the beginning of the year. He's 7th

right now. I've got him 11th, and I could see moving him as high as 8th. Nate Jones got a save opportunity and blew it. Soria, Joachim Soria, pitched the 8th on Tuesday in a loss.

They haven't really used one guy in a solidified role, but if you had one guy in the White Sox bullpen, who would it be? I think it's still a story. Yep. Brad Brock did get his first save in nearly a month. O'Day's on the DL. Kenley Jansen, I think we should talk about him just because he's kind of turned it around in terms of run prevention.

He has two strikeouts in his last six appearances. Do you guys think that Kenley Jansen is back? Yeah. I don't think he's big. back, but I think, I mean, the velocity concerns have been pretty much put to bed. So that's, that doesn't seem to be the problem anymore. I've been tempted to drop him lower than third. I still have him, you know, bringing up the rear of that super elite closer trio.

But Edwin Diaz is kind of closing in on that group, and I've been tempted to drop Kenley Jansett behind him. For now, though, there's, there's enough signs of progress for me to still consider Kenley Jansson, one of the top closers in fantasy. Heath Ken Giles, two straight days with a save, and he has no walks and nine strikeouts this year, but nine strikeouts in 12 and a third. Ten of Giles' last 11 appearances have been scoreless. Of course, there was that one blow up against the Yankees. Do you think Ken Giles is the closer for the Astros?

I think he is the closest thing the Astros have to a closer, and I expect him to get the most saves. He's still a top 12 closer for me. I just, he's 12th. He doesn't go, and I don't really feel great about him being there. Okay, I don't think they play today. They don't. I was going to say, it wouldn't be shocking if they had a save chance today.

He didn't get it because he's pitched two straight days, but they don't play today. So let's talk about prospects, getting a lot of emails about Alex Reyes, a lot of people picking up Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Dustin Fowler was called up by the A's. Justice Sheffield for the Yankees is now their top pitch. prospect and he was promoted at AAA. There's other, there are others to talk about. Scott, what are you thinking right now about Alex Reyes? I'm thinking that there's no room in him for the rotation. Like if they haven't found a spot for

Jack Flaherty yet and they've been floating the idea of potentially using Reyes out of the bullpen, I think that scenario, the bullpen scenario is ultimately going to be what happens. Now it's not going to be a forever thing. I don't think he'll get stuck there like Josh Hader seems to have for the foreseeable future. But I do think he's not going to be a particularly useful option right away. Now, as I say that, I'm thinking about how Hater's been getting saves. And I'm thinking the Cardinals have had trouble finding somebody to do that with regularity, especially with Norris, dinged up. So maybe that's a way Reyes becomes valuable in fantasy,

just as that pitch the final two and the third innings get a save kind of way. But that's so speculative at this point. It would have to be a larger-sized roster, I think, for me to own him in a redraft league. Alex Reyes did make a rehab appearance yesterday, and he threw, well, just a minor league appearance. He threw three and a third, four hits, one walk, six strikeouts, did not give up a run. So that's why people were buzzing about Cardinals pitcher Alex Reyes. What about Vladimir Guerrero Jr? I mean, we talked about him yesterday, and he is, you know, as Chris said, probably now the best hitting prospect.

But he's very young. He's 19 years old. Scott, do you think we see Vlad this year? We were kind of not really too excited about picking him up yesterday. Yeah, this has actually changed for me this week. 19-year-old who hadn't played a game above Class A coming into the year, I thought there was no chance when I was doing my off-season prospect prep, but he is just owning AA.

And like, he's way too good for the level. He's monster home runs. He's hitting about 400 with great plate discipline. Like, how do they justify keeping him down all season if he continues to do that stuff in the upper minors? I don't think they can. I think he looks like the sort of the caliber of prospect that you absolutely see debuting as a teenager. So he is now in the latest prospect report among my top five prospects to stash.

I don't know how soon it'll be. It may not be until the second half, but at this point I'm pretty convinced it's going to happen. And in terms of impact, there's not a minor leaguer who could potentially make as big a one as him. Vladimir, Garrier, 50% owned now, Vladimir, Jr. and he's third base eligible. And he's only in AA. But, okay, I understand why. He can come straight from double A.

Or with a short layover at AAA. That's not a big stretch at all. Or just nonstop. Double A to the pros, sure. Right, exactly. Okay, Oakland called up Dustin Fowler. Heath, he's 22% owned. He's a lefty, but actually hit lefties pretty well in the minors.

The update I read on the site suggested that maybe he would sit against lefties. What do you think about? First of all, an email from a man. man named Scott who said, approve the move, drop Dexter Fowler for Dustin Fowler. I could see doing that in a roto league where I needed steals. That's what I think probably would be the biggest contribution that Dustin Fowler gives you. As far as sitting against lefties, I think that's always a concern for a young left-handed hitter you'd like for those guys to come up and have some success.

But there is also a school of thought that when you're a team like the A's that's not really playing for anything, why not let him figure out how to hit lefties? So that will ultimately determine how great his value is Because he's going to need to play pretty regularly to help you in steals Scott we've got Justice Sheffield for the Yankees and Sandy Alcantara Or Alcantara, I'm not sure, for the Marlins getting promoted to AAA Julio Arias is another guy just he's a guy you know He could be back in the second half

The bad injury he's coming back from But he used to be in the lead prospects So something to keep an eye on Are there pitching prospects you want to stash right now? Justice Sheffield would be pretty high on that list. He is one of those prospects who always received a lot of buzz, and I didn't totally get it because the minor league numbers were good, but not relative to the amount of hype he was getting.

But that's changed to this year. His strikeout rate is 12.4 per 9-90. Still some control issues, but it's looking similar to like a Blake Snell profile to me. and Sheffield probably deserves to be talked about in a similar light. But the best minor league pitchers to stash, and this probably isn't surprising at all, they're both in my top five to stash. The best two are Nick Kingham, who yes, is technically a minor league,

or now and in a way we're not completely sure he's going to be coming back when a fifth turn comes up because Joe Musgrove is going to be back in the mix by then. And Jack Flaherty. Okay. And Scott mentioned last week, Tampa Bay shortstop Willie Adomas. That could be a guy to stash. We had an email from Zach, and Zach wants to know about Frondmill Reyes. And why is nobody talking about this, man?

He is an outfielder in the Padres organization. He is destroying everything right now. He is. He is in this week's prospects report. He had three consecutive two homer games earlier this week. He had eight home runs in a span of five. five days. Wow.

He is absolutely destroying atop the minor league leaderboards all over. Like what's the combined home run total for Padreys outfielders in the minor leagues? They have a ton of guys that just crush baseballs in the minor leagues. And they have a ton of guys like Franchi Cordero is a perfect example

of this. Like not high on anyone's prospect radar really, but just remarkable tools that make you wonder like okay, I understand this guy isn't hype, but what's the upside really? And I feel like Fran Mill Reyes fits into that category. Like, terrible defender, so that's why he gets overlooked.

And, like, he hadn't been this good of a power hitter until this year, but he's six foot five, mid-200s, like, that huge frame where you expect this kind of power. And I could see him becoming somebody who surprises us. Among prospects to stash, he'd rank pretty low Because I don't see what the opening is for him And again, there are a lot of reasons to be skeptical of this performance But at the same time, he deserves to be mentioned It's too bad the Padres have like five of them Yeah, exactly

I've been pretty happy with Franchi Cordero In a five outfield of the Roto League You know, he went over four yesterday He's hands off for me in points Because his play discipline's so bad But he stole base yesterday And that's where he steals any homer No.

Yeah. Okay. Let's move on. We got about 20 minutes left. We got some buyer sell to get to. I do want to talk about Kintana, Alex Wood, Joe Gonzalez. Alex Wood and Joe Gonzalez are very interesting right now because in a quality start league, you know, I don't know what Alex Wood is doing for you. He just never gets to six innings or more than six innings, but not to say that you're dropping him.

But he's interesting. Tanaka was Tanaka last night. Porcelo was bad. His worst start of the year, I believe. The fringy starting pitchers we pitched yesterday, most of them are garbage, but Nick Povetta, 56% Owen, kind of stands out amongst that group. Rinaldo Lopez had a pretty interesting start yesterday. So a lot of these guys are two-star pitchers next week. Zach Wheeler rebounded yesterday.

Let's get to it with an unrelated email real quick. Email the day number one from TT, Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com, by the way, is the email address. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI, the letter I, dot com. T.T. says, Hannibal Lecter is the greatest villain of all time. Despite, you know, eating humans, isn't he oddly likable and still terrifying? Short and round in stature and still tucks his white t-shirt in his sweats like grandpa would. Yet we'll gut you like a fish with a side of fava beans and a nice kianty. That's a fine nomination. I mean, he wasn't the villain in Silence of the Lamps, right?

No, that was the interesting thing about him. He was not the villain. he helped catch the villain but he also like killed people at the end certainly villainous no doubt about that and then he was the villain in in like Hannibal

yeah I mean it's it gets into sticky that sticky terrain of what's a villain and you know like the Al-Swear engine conversation the other day but you know I'm fine with that I'll allow it yeah I think it's a good call

oh does Kathy Bates character from misery count? I am not terrifying with that one. I've seen, I saw it when I was a kid, but, you know,

he's a lot older than Scott and I are, like a lot older. All right, so I actually have a top five, five villain list that I posted on Facebook like a year ago.

All right, so I could just run through those if you want. Hey, real quick, Scott, who are your top five villains? So my top villain, Benjamin Linus from Lost,

followed by Light Yagami from Death Note, who's actually the protagonist of Death Note, but clearly a villain. Third is, Heath Ledger's Joker from the Dark Night. Fourth, I had the governor from The Walking Dead.

And fifth, I have Amy Dunn from Gone Girl. Okay, so that's a really bad list, especially the Gone Girl call, which is one of the most overrated movies I've ever seen. It's terrible. But you know what? I can't really comment because I don't know all those villains, and you have Heath Ledger on there. So I trust you, you're a smart man.

I will grade that list. I'll just give it a C. I'll give it an incomplete because I really need to do my homework on it. Email the day number two is from Scott. Chris Towers said something yesterday that implied Heath can dunk. Can he? If so, I've seriously underestimated him. No, we had a bet.

I lost $100. Wow. I think it was a year and a half ago, two years ago. I thought I could dunk again. I have dunk before. I got to the point of dunking a mini basketball and then increased the workout, pulled a groin, and never tried again. I'm sorry to hear that. Next segment is called buy, as in like, by low.

Or goodbye. So like B-U-I or goodbye. Brett Gardner, 79% own. Would you buy low or goodbye, get him off my roster? Brett Gardner. I would buy low in a roto league, I think. I mean, it's hard for him to make that three outfielder cut in a points league. But even there, I think he's going to get better.

And I think he's going to be a high-on-based guy at a top of a great lineup and probably be worth using eventually in all leagues. But, you know, those three outfielder leagues, you probably don't. It may be hard to fit him on your roster just because you need three guys you can use right now. Yeah, he's somewhere in the middle for me. I will buy him off the waiver wire of someone else says goodbye, but I'm not going to give up anything for him. Brett Gardner. Ian Kinsler, 73% owned, moved down in the order yesterday.

Zach Kozart was batting leadoff, as we mentioned. Kinsler batted sixth. Kinsler's batting 191. He does have three steals in 23 games. walks 10 strikeouts, that's good, but it's happening all over again for Kinsler. Good plate discipline, terrible results. 73% Ian Kinsler, Heath. Bilo or goodbye?

I think this one's goodbye. I think there's a chance that he looked like he was really unlucky last year because of the unreliable readings at the Tiger Stadium because he had a 37% hard contact rate last year and a 21% line drive rate. His card contact rate is down to 22%, right? now, 36 years old in another month and a half. Goodbye. Michael Conforto, buy low or goodbye?

He's 78% owned. Scott. It's kind of what I said about Brett Garner. I think better times are ahead, but it would depend on what kind of league you're playing. And can you afford to stash a bunch of hitters in your bench, and you just can't in every format. So in the league's where you can, sure, he's a buy low. It's Michael Conforto. And again, 78% owned.

bat at seventh yesterday. Evan Gaddis has barely been playing. He's 71% own. Heath, buy, lower, goodbye. Yeah, I was the Evan Gattis guy. Goodbye. Really? Wow.

I called him a by-lawful. I picked him up in a league yesterday in a 13-team rode a league. Actually, you don't even need to start a catcher. Whatever. Why would you roster a catcher when you don't need to start a catcher? He's still better than, like, Ben Zobrist, who's one of the best. hitters on the waiver wire. Like here's because Evan Gaddis, two years ago, started the season.

His first 20 games, he batted 203 with one home run in 70 played appearances. They demoted him. They brought him back up. He had an 869 OPS rest of season. So if he can, you know, have an 8-something OPS, he's still going to be worth rostering in that league. Okay, I'll clarify. All of my roto leagues are two catcher leagues. There is no chance I would let him go, and I would certainly buy low.

All of my blocks leagues are one catcher leagues, and I'm scared to death. Even in a one-catcher league, I mean, there's so much garbage starting a catcher, right? Like, yes. I mean, I understand he's not playing a lot right now, and you can't roster a second catcher, so if you just feel like you can't put him in your lineup with the inconsistent playing time, I can understand. But, like, if I get a single-digit number from my catcher in, like, a points league, I don't know that that's so unusual that I'd be unwilling to pass up the upside.

All righty. Next up. Let's see who we got here. How about Billy Hamilton, 69% own. He has one steal in a month. In the last month he has one steal, Billy Hamilton. By-low or goodbye? There's one use for Billy Hamilton.

And if you need bulk steals, I still suspect he's going to get. them when he starts hitting a little better. So, yeah, buy low in that scenario. Otherwise, don't waste your time. Heath, Ian Desmond, buy low or goodbye? Ian Desmond, 64% own. Whew. I would, I'll put him in the same category that I did with Gardner earlier.

I'm not giving up anything to acquire Ian Desmond. I'm not dropping him in a five outfielder league. Okay. And if somebody dropped him in a five outfield league, you might pick him up. I'd pick him up. All right. Ian Desmond. Five of his six home runs have come on the road.

That's an encouraging sign, I guess. Domingo Santana, 64% owned, buy low or goodbye, Scott? 5 outfielder, buy low, 3 outfielder. I don't know, then he makes the cut. Domingo Santana. Jason Kipnis, 48% own Heath, buy low, or goodbye, one for his last 20. Yeah, goodbye. Another second baseman that was not good last year.

He's not 36 years old almost like Ian Kinsler is, but he's hitting the ball like he is. Okay, Jason Kipness. And Scott, Matt Davidson, still top 16 third baseman, hasn't done all that much since opening day. He has one extra base hit in his last nine games. Matt Davidson, 71% own, buy low or a good buy? He's not a buy low. But, I mean, the line he has right now seems like it might be close to sustainable.

So if you're happy with the overall production, I don't know that you need to sell on him either. All right, Matt Davidson. So that basically means he's like a corner infield option. Yeah. All right. So I do want to get to our listener, buy, or sell. Let's talk about the rotation real quick and tell me if you have anything interesting to say about these seven or eight pitchers. Jose Cantana, Alex Wood, Gio Gonzalez, Patrick Corbyn.

How about ranking them? Kentana, Alex Wood, Gio, Corbin. Corbin, Kintana, Wood, Gio. Agreed. Why is Gio so low always on the list? He was the top 15 pitcher last year. He's got a 222 ERA and 50 strikeouts in 44 and two thirds. I'm not disagreeing.

I just think it's like there's something that holds us back from loving Gio. You were complaining about Alex Woods' inability to go six innings just a few minutes ago. Geo's only done it in three of eight starts this year. So it's the same sort of thing. But he has, like, he's a negative on whip, probably unlike Wood. And, I mean, the 220 ERAs put together so far as it's sustainable. I'm not saying he's bad, but he's performed over his head by that measure, for sure. He's performed over his head the entire year last year.

A lot of people said he can't do that again. So far, he's ridiculously doing it again. We just don't think he's going to keep it up. So you went Corbyn, Kentana, Wood, Geo? Is that what it was? Yeah. Yep. I mean, they're all in my top.

50, I think, at least top 60. So it's not like this is, it's not like any of these guys are duds that you need to, you know, consider dropping. And then where would you put Porcelo and Tanaka in that group? I would put Porcelo ahead of Gonzalez, so second to last, and I'd put Tanaka right in the middle, between Kentana and Wood. Porcelo is. So I'll just, do you want me to get them all again? Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Corbin, Kintana, Tanaka, Wood, Porcelo, and Geo. I'm going to move Geo ahead of Porcelo. Other than that, I'll agree. I want to be bold and be like, Rick Porcelo's number two on this list behind Corbyn. I really like Porcelo. And this is so weird, I never liked Porcelo. But I don't think I'd rank him second there.

I think I'd probably take him over Alex Wood. Alex Wood, you know how many times he threw 100 pitchers last year? One time. One time last year. He hasn't reached that. And that was exactly 100 pitches. He hasn't done it yet this year. I mean, I think Porcelo's upside is higher than Woods.

But Woods downside, I feel like, is awfully high. That's the main appeal about him for me is you can just put him in your lineup and you don't really have to worry about the ERA or whip from him. The fact he has zero wins so far, I think, is a product of just the Dodgers as a whole struggling. But I suspect they'll be in the mix in the long run. And I don't really worry so much about that. But Porcela, just by virtue of going seven innings reliably, the upside tire. I will say, Adam, that Wood is closer for me to Gio and Porcelo than he is to the Corbyn-Kintana-Tanacca group.

Okay, Julio Taran, another very good start. He's five good starts in a row except for one, which he left with an injury. And I was all set to drop Joey Lucasey, but he faced the Nationals without Bryce Harper. Did very well, five innings, one run, six strikeouts. Does tend to struggle third time through the order. So I think he started the fifth and then put a couple on, I think. But, you know, I haven't been very accurate today. Well, he's gone less than six innings in four straight, and in two of those.

The best two, where he went less than six innings, he threw fewer than 80 pitches. So clearly, there's a trust thing there with the Padres and letting him pitch deep. And that's going to hold him back. I mean, he's the last of this group for me. I think Tehran's clearly surpassed him at this point. He's at nearly a strikeout per inning, and his swinging strikes are way up. Secondary Arsenal's been much better this year. I think we're back to good Tehran.

good pretty much leave him in your lineup, Tehran. Yeah, I've moved Tehran up. I moved him up yesterday, and I'm making a special trip to the rankings tool to move him up today. Interesting debate here, Tehran or Sunny Gray? It is interesting. I think I'd go gray. Yeah, that's my initial inclination, too. I think the most likely scenario for both, based on what we've seen this year, is pretty close. I think Ray's, the whiff potential he showed last year puts them ahead, though.

Actually, I've already gone gray. 34 years old, almost. I got a lot of gray. It's really, it's weird. Fishing for new sponsors? All right, so the fringy starting pitchers, I think they're pretty uninspiring, you know, but they're available in some of these. Chris Stratton, Nick Pavetta, Trevor Williams, Rinaldo Lopez,

Tyler Anderson, Zach Wheeler, Junior Gera, Liriano. Again, we got Stratton, Povetta, Trevor Williams, Rinaldo Lopez, Tyler Anderson, Zach Wheeler, Junior Gera, Francisco, Liriano. Heath, if you saw these guys on your waiver wire, who were the two that you'd want to pick up? You had to put Povetta at the top just because he's flashed enough. When he's been bad, he's been awful, but he has flashed enough upside in his good starts

that he would be at the top for me. and I guess, like, I would, I've moved Ronaldo Lopez down several times recently, but he is still, with his pedigree, he has the most upside of this group. So I'd say Lopez next. Mr. Anderson would be my second choice. Oh, Tyler, after Povetta. Scott? Yes. By the way, Hugo Weaving's character.

What's his name for The Matrix? It's a pretty good, though, I'm not all that familiar with The Matrix. I am so stupid that they, like, sit down and explain what The Matrix is. They're like, this is what The Matrix is, and I do not get that movie at all. All right, so we're going to look at today's matchups here, and then we'll finish with By Ourself from our listeners. Oh, Tyler Anderson is at San Diego and at San Francisco next week.

So, yeah, that's good nice. That could be nice. Today's matchups, one o'clock game, Ty Blach and Vince Velasquez. I will not start either of them. Okay. Eduardo Rodriguez at C.C. Sabathia. I'll start. Actually, neither of them.

I kind of like Eduardo Rodriguez, but not with that match. Not with the way the Yankees are rolling right now. Yeah, I think I'd start E.R. Not Sabathia, huh? 139 ERA. Nope, that's for me. Yeah. I'm not starting either of them.

Kansas City at the Orioles, Ian Kennedy, Chris Tillman. I could see streaming Kennedy. I could see it. I'd lean against it. Boy, let's see if we can convince ourselves to start six pitchers tonight. Yeah, I'm sure we can. Mike Leak at J.Hap? Yes.

Are we going to take a leak tonight? No, not going to take a leak? We're both going for the pun there. That's inappropriate. We talked over each other. You said happily ever after I said take a league. All right, so start hapresent leak. Mike Voltenevich and Caleb Smith.

Both cease. Yeah, okay. Yuck. Come on. We'll be against the Marlins. You can't bring yourself to do that. I think the clock may strike midnight tonight on Caleb Smith. Oh.

All right. I think he's going to have a good start. We're not going to start Yelishasine or Armand Marquez tonight in Colorado. We are going to start Tanner Roark. Zach Granky, right? We are. Yes. Roark was the question, but yes. Jose Barrios at Garrett Richards.

Start them. I'll start them both. Miles Michaelis at Jordan Liles. Definitely, Michaelis, and that's it. Yep. Here's the fun one. Tyler Malley at Walker Bueller.

I could do both. I'll go for both. Yeah. All right. So bye. Orsell. From Eddie. Buy or sell, Rafael Devers.

Bye. As a stud, breakout stud this year, I'm to the point where I'm selling that. There are just too many other quality third basement to be that invested in him. Obviously, a lot of upside. But when you just give me the one name, and that's it, I am much more interested in buying Raphael Devers right now than I am selling him. Yeah, okay. Buy or sell, Cody Bellinger hits 30 home runs this season from Ryan.

Easy buy Bye From Kendall Buy or sell Adam Eaton is done for the season I mean I'll sell it But it's not crazy Shut up Pete

Bone bruises That has ended seasons before Shut up Scott Don't talk about Adam eating that way Okay sorry Bonus If a hot dog is a Sounds like Adam's eating crow

Yeah If a hot dog is a sandwich Is a soft-shell taco a sandwich This is a Chris question. Chris has like three categories of food, so I'm sure he'd say yes. Yes. From Richie, buy or sell.

Domingo Aram Pitches well enough to secure a rotation spot even when Jordan Montgomery is healthy. I will sell. No, he's bought. I sold. What do you know? From Hunter. Buy or sell. Hanley Ramirez is back.

Sell. Bye. Buy herself from Andrew. Zach Godley is a good buy low candidate. No. I buy it. I'm not super confident he's going to bounce back. But, like, I was looking at it yesterday.

This year is the aberration for him in terms of both walk rate and swinging strike rate on his curveball, which he's still throwing a ton. That was a big key to his success last year. It's just not getting to swings and misses. It had throughout the rest of his career. So the things we were most worried about Zach Godly sustaining, he has sustained. And that gives me hope. By herself from my best. Matt, Mike Clevenger's a top 30 starting pitcher.

Bye. I sell it, though. He's not missing by much. I think I even haven't ranked top 30 now. And finally, buy or sell. The Braves are good. Bye. I know.

I'll be a wild card hunt. I knew I could get you guys to disagree out one more thing. That's Scott and Heath. I'm Adam. Thank you for listening. We'll come back tomorrow. Get you ready for week. eight who knows i'm sure i'm wrong wrong about everything today uh two star pitchers and much more

see you later