Fantasy Baseball Today - 05/11: Thu. Recap, Week 8 Help, Dynasty Talk (Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 11, 2018

Starting the show with two things Adam is (jokingly) angry about (1:40)! Plus a quick look at our favorite two-start pitchers for Week 8 (6:00). And why do people want to sell high on Patrick Corbin (8:25)? ... Walker Buehler (10:50), Tyler Mahle (16:41) and more from Wednesday including a couple of standout Phillies. Is Odubel Herrera legit (21:50)? What about Andrelton Simmons (23:03)? Are we sitting Jose Berrios and J.A. Happ (26:00)?... Bullpen updates (32:45), dynasty talk (40:55), more from yesterday (48:00), a thorough look at two-start pitchers (52:50) and today's matchups (1:00:00) ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Domingo. Right, Walker Bueller, Tyler Malley, Kyle Seeger, and even a little Patrick Corbyn today on the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast. Happy Friday, happy Cocoa Friday. Chris and Scott, what's up? Domingo, Santana. You can't sing over, well, I guess you can. But the music's playing right yet. We can't actually hear it.

We just trust that you're playing it. It's playing. Yeah, the saxophone solo is going on. Blah! Right? Oh, God, that was... It's not the sex. Phone at plays.

No. Different sex. No, not that one. That's a good song, though. We're going to get you ready for fantasy week eight? Question mark? Is it week eight coming up? Yes.

It is definitely week eight. It might also be week seven. Yeah. For me, in my league, it's week seven. For some of you, it might be week eight. It doesn't matter. We'll get you ready for it. We got a good show.

We're going to talk Dynasty today for sure. Here, I want to start with, even though it's a Happy Friday, even though... Do you show? No, no. Dynasty Baseball. Even though it's a Happy Friday, Kokomo Friday, I want to tell you two things that make me sick to my stomach. Okay? Sick to my stomach.

Number one. Carlos Santana is currently the number two first baseman in points leagues. Sickening. I hate it. I mean, he's good. Okay. First base hasn't been good. He's batting one.

He's the number two first basement of Poison. He's number 12. Why he's good. 12 in Roto. 12 in Roto. Still 12 in Roto. Batting 191. Four homers in his last seven games.

And heating up a little bit earlier than I thought. I went back. I looked again today. Like, he's a slow starter. And this, I'm telling you, it's usually not until June or July that he gets going. But it's good to see Carlos Santana snapping out of his funk. Four homers in his last seven games. Anything to say or it is what it is?

He's good. Yeah. Like, first base has not been good this year, and that is interesting. I'm not sure we have a really good explanation for it. Offense was down overall league-wide early in the season, but I believe the league average points per game has actually matched, if not surpassed last year. So I will point out that, like, the best first base,

haven't been as good as they're supposed to be yet. But it's still, like, if you go far down in first base producers, you know, the list of first, what first baseman have done this year, like you get far further down at the position, and it still looks stronger than other positions. Okay. And another thing that makes me sick to my stomach, you know, people tell me, if you listen to the fantasy football podcast,

they tell me that I'm a jinx. I say Bonanza about a game and it ends up being like 10 to 6 and nobody does well. And I say, listen, I'm not a sorcerer. I don't have these powers. But this Adam Eaton situation is starting to make me reconsider that. And then more importantly, yesterday on the Fantasy Football Today podcast, for whatever reason, I just kept mentioning Brooklyn 9-9. I kept saying, it was the weirdest thing.

I was like, I was probably watching Brooklyn 9-9 because I've been watching it a lot lately. And it got... Very good. It's very good. And it's canceled. And it's over. And I think it's me. I think I did it.

I think I'm sick to my stomach. I jinxed. I mush Brooklyn 9-9. I'm sorry, everybody. Have you caught up? No, no, no. I never watched it. There is a Backstreet Boys joke in a recent episode that is one of the funniest things they've ever done,

and I think you will particularly enjoy it. All right, we'll get there. So I'm sorry to all the Brooklyn 9-9 fans. Let me ask you if this guy is a sneaky pickup for week eight. He just got destroyed last night. He has a 535 ERA and 19 walks in 38 and 2 thirds. But his name is Armand Marquez, and he's been a 196 ERA guy in four road starts, and he's at San Diego in a one-start week.

Next week is Armand Marquez at 19% own a sneaky pickup for week eight. So, like, this is not the first time that Armand Marquez has been mentioned. I don't think I've ever expressed an opinion about him, but I don't quite get what the appeal is supposed to be with him. Well, is he a sneaky pickup for week eight at San Diego? He has been really good on the road, like Adam's saying. And in theory, this stuff is good. You know, throws hard, good breaking ball.

I mean, I, like, he had a 419 erie on the road last year. For a guy, you feel like you're never going to use on the road for one star. Like, what must your pitching staff look like if you're going to have to get one start Hermann Marquez in there? There are two-star pitchers I like more than that. Yeah, okay. For sure. This is a really good week for two-star pitchers, actually. What if you have Dylan Bundy against Boston?

What if you have Jay Hap? I don't know his matchup off the top of my head. Like, do you not have any pitchers on your bench? You know what? Let's not get to. Let's not get to. I think we're kind of getting away. from the exercise, do you think Armand Marquez could help somebody next week, or are you just

not interested? Yes, but there are pitchers that I like more. Okay. Well, then let's talk about those pitchers. You're like, well, give me your favorite two-start pitcher for next week that is owned in less than 65% of leagues, or 65% of leagues or less, I guess. Scott, you may disagree. You've already started to do the research on it, but the one that points out to me is the

second highest owned under 65%. And that's Nick Povetta. I'm the Nick Povetta fanboy of the group, but Nick Povetta's good. Like, I'm pretty confident in just saying that Nick Povetta is a good pitcher now. He's changed up his repertoire. He's refined his breaking balls. He's throwing them with more confidence. He has a change-up that he can throw occasionally.

And he still throws 96-97 miles an hour. He's at Baltimore, at St. Louis next week. St. Louis, not a great matchup. But Baltimore is a pretty good one. I think Nick Povett is the top two-star pitcher. There are two who are even less owned than Povetta who have an even better singular matchup this week. I mean, Pfeveta is among the two-star sleepers, so I'm not disagreeing with you there. But Mike Miner at Seattle and at the White Sox, he's still less than 50% owned.

And Tyler Malley at San Francisco to begin the week and then versus the Cubs. I think especially the fact what I like about Malley is, all of these guys, I believe, are Tuesday, Sunday. And so you always have to worry when it's that situation. Rain out, is it going to cost the guy his second start? But in Malley's case, he's at San Francisco that first start. And one of his biggest problems is allowing home runs. His biggest problem is getting through a lineup a third time.

But when he runs into trouble there, it's because he's giving up home runs left and right. So I feel like if it ends up being just a one start for Malley, the fact it was at San Francisco, you can still live with that. I like the other Tyler as well. Great matchups for Tyler Anderson. At San Diego, at San Francisco. Yeah, that's a nice one. 42% on this is a better week for two-star pitchers than what we've seen recently.

And we'll get into it. Also, this is cheating, but Jake Faria is 71% owned at Kansas City and at the Angels. Could be good for Jake Ferrea. More two-star pitchers later on in the show. Here is email of the day number one. From Jack from London. Jack, thank you for pointing something out that I did not notice. So Jack says, is now the time to sell high on Patrick Corbyn.

The velocity has been down over the last two starts. If yes, who should the targets be? Is now the time to sell high on Patrick Corbyn? Let me see what he means by the velocity's been down. It's lower than it's ever been. The last two starts for him are the two lowest average fastball velocity starts. that Brooks baseball has ever tracked for Patrick Corp. So what does that mean?

Could be mechanical. Lower than it has ever been. He has never thrown his fastball less. Why did it suddenly go away? But also the swinging streak. He has been a very different pitcher over the last three starts. The results have been good, but the swinging strikes have been way down, and the ground balls have been way down, which is not a terrible thing,

because he's a big-time ground ball pitcher and is usually, a Babbitt victim. Not this year, though. But anyway, yeah, what do you think? Are you concerned? Should we so high? Two of his last three starts were also his lowest slider usage of the year, which would probably explain why the swinging strikes were down. I mean, if we're going to parse every pitcher's start-by-start record this way, I'm pretty sure we're going to have a hard time finding anyone we believe in. like all right well i don't know i thought it was interesting

the the velocity is is a concern i don't know like it's so hard to say with these things because sometimes guys lose velocity and it's fine sometimes guys lose velocity and it's an indication that there's an injury sometimes guys just lose velocity for a couple of starts and then get it back and it's just it's really hard to say which version of that this is and uh i wish i could give you better advice, but what we've seen from Patrick Corbyn this season is so intriguing that

it's pretty hard to say just sell high. Yeah, I mean, you'd have to get another like true trustworthy ace, I think, to justify. But that was true even before this three-star stretch. Like, you know, you could have sold high on him.

If it was a legitimate high, like, you're upgrading a pitcher. You could have done that even before this. Okay, then let's go to email the day number two, Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com is the email address, and that's the letter I. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. By or sell from Ryan, Walker Bueller stays in the rotation all year and is a top 30 starting pitcher. Rest of season.

Walker Bueller. I have a really hard time with him. I've stuck with incredible. The strikeer is very impressive. Yeah. He doesn't. get any swinging strikes. He got 12 last night. He hasn't yet. I mean, is, but he did, is his first. I'm pretty sure I saw Al Melchior tweet this last week that he didn't

really get a lot of swinging strikes in the minors either. Um, but he obviously still got a ton of strikeout. So it might not matter. Yeah. And this isn't like a Rick Porcelo where he has to get a bunch of called strikes because he's just getting by on Gile. Walker Bueller's got stuff. And so that's that's why it's just kind of hard to to pin down exactly who he is but he well to get to get back to the question like top 30 pitcher that that's

going to be tough for him to break into so I would I would sell that part him staying in the rotation all year for the most part I'd buy that like it wouldn't surprise me if you got a 10 day DLston in there somewhere to make it so he can pitch deeper into the season

into the post season yeah exactly at least one so if we're going to Did you just say postseason, L-O-L? Oh, come on. You know, I don't think that this version of the Dodgers is good, but I think getting Justin Turner back will really help. But no Turner, no Seeger, no Kershaw, that's not a playoff team. I don't think they've underachiev.

Well, I mean, they got to the World Series without Corey Seeger last year. Not real. I think they can navigate that. They played, like, he played the whole year. Right, but he played much of the year. Not the toughest part of the year. Okay, they played two-sigues. without Corey Seeger the postseason, right?

Didn't he come back for the World Series? He did come back for the World Series, yes. Okay, no, Justin Turner should be back next week. So, yeah, the Dodgers will prove. Walker Bueller or Dylan Bundy? I will still take Dylan Bundy. I have a suspicion he is dealing, like, we know he's dealing with a groin injury.

He's been getting treatment for it, and I have a feeling it's affecting his. the finish on his pitches. The breaking ball isn't breaking like it was early on, and that's why he's getting pounded. But that's something that'll get fixed, and he'll be fine. He'll be good.

Walker Bueller or John Gray? I would go with John Gray. All right, let's go down farther. Walker, Bueller, or Jamerson, Tyone? That's probably the right range. I would still lean Tyone as of today, but that could change quickly. We just got an email in our inbox, Paul from New Jersey.

I think it's kind of funny, so I'm going to read it. Email the day number three. Real quick story, totally baseball unrelated. While I was in the car yesterday dropping my kids off to school, I was contemplating picking up Vince Velasquez. Well, before I continue, you guys know who Vince Clortho is? That's Rick Moranis' character and Ghostbusters. Okay.

So he says, talking to myself out loud, I repeated, Hmm, should I pick up Vince or not? My curious six-year-old and nine-year-old both said, Who is Vince? Without thinking, I immediately blurted out, oh, that would be Vince Clortho, key master of gozer. You could have cut the confusion in my car with a knife.

Rick Moranis' character was Louis Tully. I guess when he's possessed. Yeah, yeah. Okay. Yeah, I think that's what it is. Yeah, yeah. No idea what you're talking about. Go rent Ghostbusters, you little millennial.

So, anyway. I think I've seen it, but it's the best. It's a great movie. Ghostbusters 2 is better. All right, so Thursday standouts. Let's get into it. Tyler Malley, we should talk about. It's a good transition from Walker Bueller.

What are you laughing at over there? So random. What, that story? Yeah. Yeah, I thought I liked it. It's good. Hey, before we get into that, though, I do want to give a quick shout out to someone to Frank. Frank, thank you so much for taking me to the Yankees game yesterday.

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Make it your go-to app for sports, concerts, comedy, and theater codes are fantasy and today. All right, Thursday standouts. So Tyler Malley opposed Walker Bueller And only struck out too But I think he actually had the same amount of swinging strikes As Bueller who struck out eight Malley Yeah I dropped him in a ton of leagues

And now I'm sort of regretting it But he's only 43% owned So people aren't quite buying into Four straight quality starts For Tyler Malley And he's got two starts Was this one a quality? No

He went five Three straight quality starts Yeah I think it was a good start You knew I was gonna mess up eventually Right I went almost like 17 minutes without a screw up, that's like a new record. No, I mean, they're right to be skeptical. I referred to it earlier.

Tyler Malley, the knock on him all along is that he's basically just a pitcher with a really good basketball and not much to go with it. And you see that come into play the third time through the lineup. He gets crushed the third time through. Is like lappable the numbers, especially compared to the first two times through. So getting quality starts is going to remain a challenge for him. Sounds like a good guy to start in two-star weeks. Yeah, exactly.

Two-star weeks, particularly one where he begins at San Francisco. I like him for that. I'll give you guys the floor for the standouts, but Kyle Seeger did Homer twice yesterday. Really in baseball, like a two-homer game, it just doesn't matter. So Seeger is now the number 16 third baseman in points, number 21 in Roto. He has hit five of six home runs on the road. last year he was splits were pretty even home road anything to say about Kyle Seeger

he's good you're going to be fine you're going to be fine with him but is he that good you know he's entirely unsexy yeah there are a lot of exciting third baseman in baseball and he is not one of them but like at the end of this season he's going to have his 26 homers

and his 93 RBI and his 273 batting average and there will be times when you're like oh I could do better than Kyle Seeger but it's probably not worth the effort. Okay. So, Chris Towers, standouts for you yesterday. Well, you know, I love my Philadelphia Phillies. And Vince Velazquez had a very interesting start.

He was really bad for about an inning and a third. And then he was the best pitcher in the history of baseball for like four and 30 things. I think like 12 of his final 13 outs or 12. of his final 14 outs came by strikeout. He's not great, but he's pretty good. I'm very, very intrigued by what we've seen from Vince Velasquez this season. He's looking like, I mean, the ERA's bad. He had one really bad start, but he's looking like the guy who was really interesting in 2016.

You know who he reminds me of? But it wasn't just one bad start, was it? Scott, go ahead. No, it wasn't just, I mean, there was one bad start, but he's had other. He's had two really bad starts. He's had one where he allowed six runs and four innings. He had another where he allowed four earned runs in two and two thirds. There was a lot of bad defense in that one, but the peripherals are all very strong.

He reminds me of Tyler Malley, and that he still doesn't have that quality second pitch to pair with a really good fastball. And so that's always going to limit his ceiling. it limits his swinging strikes. I think the end strikeout rate is going to be a little underwhelming. But, you know, he's not bad to round out a fantasy rotation. I just don't see the enormous ceiling that some people, and when he has starts like this, especially, some people project for him. In 2016, he struck out 10.4 per 9.

In 2018, he's striking out 10.98 per 9. That, like, so much in that one season. the one good season was the 16 strikeout effort. It wasn't so much. It had a lot to do with how good his line was that year. It was pretty ordinary, apart from that. He had like 160 strikeouts over the course of the season. I mean, 152 and 131 innings, even if you take that out,

that's 136 and 123 innings. That's still very good. This is Vince Velasquez, we're talking about. Velasquez and Pavetta are just, You see potential there, but something's holding them back from being consistent. They're kind of like Mike Fultenevich only owned in much fewer leagues. So they are interesting. Obviously, you guys like Pavetta more than Velasquez, right?

I do, but I think they're kind of in the same range for me. Like, I don't think there are going to be fixtures in my lineup in any team, but they're nice to have a round. They'll turn out starts like this occasionally. Scott, who stood out to you yesterday? We'll talk about the bullpen. We had some interesting save situations yesterday with both Keenan Middleton and Corey Canable

pitching in middle relief, but it's probably not that interesting. We'll explain it a bit. Scott, who stood out to you yesterday? So I'm going to go with the Philly also. I'm actually going to go with a couple players who are doing some impressive things with regard to batting average.

So Odubel Herrera entered yesterday's game batting 341. And you're like, well, obviously he has inflated Babbup if he's doing that. The Babbup was only 379 for a guy with a career 362 Babbitt. He was hitting 341 in a way that looked fairly sustainable. And now, you know, he had a four-hit game, I believe it was. And so now his batting averages up to 3.53. The Babbup is now 396, which is a little on.

the high side. But the bottom line is this is a high Babbib guy who's with... He's one of the highest babb hitters of all time. And he's 1,900 player pitches into his career. And he's, so he's a high Babbab guy and the Babbup doesn't look inflated when you consider what his batting

average looks like right now. So like Odubel Herrera, I think, is, he may be taking a stud turn here because there's some power, certainly extra base power. I'm impressed by him. He's definitely moving up my rankings. The other one I wanted to mention was Andrelton Simmons, who had a three-hit game to

bring his batting average to 351. He is on at pace for only 39 strikeouts. His line drive rate is his highest ever. His hard contact rate is his highest ever. He's still not going to hit, probably not even going to have 15 home runs or stolen bases. So there's, particularly in Roto leagues, that limits the appeal. But if he's going to be a guy who hits over 300, which certainly he looks like he is right now, then I think he probably must start even in Roto. He's already there, I think, in points leagues. I mean, he was the fourth best shortstop in points league last year, and it looks like he's

improved from there. So I'm starting to come around to Andrleton Simmons as a fantasy asset, too. Simmons is sixth in points, fifth in Roto right now. Yeah, the only thing I come back to with him is that he had a really, like, incredible stretch last year. And he finished his number four in points, as Scott mentioned, number 10 in Roto at shortstop. He had a 76 game stretch with a 926 OPS. The rest of his season, which was 70, which is 83, 82 games. So half the season, half the season, 926 OPS, half the season for Simmons, OPS under 600.

That concerns me, I guess, Scott. I get what you're saying. Must start right now for sure. Do you worry about that, though? That is just the hot streak? I worried that he could not finish. Well, I worried he couldn't finish that high in either of those formats again. Yes.

But I do think the skill set of making a lot of contact, I think that is certainly legitimate. And if he just continues to improve in those other ways, just a small amount, then that's going to play up at a weak position in a way that I think is going to make him must start. Angleton Simmons, okay, would you rather have Simmons or Paul DeYoung? The Young. I would rather have Simmons.

I feel like Paul DeYoung is a one-trick pony, which maybe offensively Simmons is too, but I don't know. The trick of hitting a lot of home runs just doesn't really stand out in today's game. And question, how many games in a row has Odubel Herrera reached base? 39. Scott, do you have a guess?

39 is the correct answer. Oh, you know what? You're no fun, Chris Towers. But yes, 39 is the correct answer. Congratulations. Scott should have known. I didn't know. He was on the podcast yesterday when you mentioned it had been 38.

I wasn't paying attention. I listen. Even I had forgot. I thought it was 39, but I had a good. All right. Oh, wait, wait. Jose Barrios and Jayhap. Dun, done, done.

Are they done, done, done, done? That's an exaggeration. But are they sit, sit, sit, Jose Barrios and Jayhap? I mean, this is four starts in a row for Barrios of four plus earned runs. A total of four strikeouts in his past three starts. That's combined, three starts, four strikeouts.

His swinging starts, strike rate for the season is still above what it was last year. I mean, the totality of his season still suggests he's taken a step forward this year. Maybe we shouldn't overreact to a four-star rough stretch. But at the same time, I wasn't totally buying him when he was at his best either. And so here's the one thing I want to point out is that the swinging strike rate is up. Yes, it's still a little bit below average. Yep.

But the contact rate, the rate of contact on swings is identical to last year. So really what's happening is he's inducing more swings, which is improving the swinging strike rate. But because he's not going to be a guy who limits contact an extremely high level, I don't necessarily know if getting more swings is a good thing for him. So Jose Burrios are talking about. Start or sit next week against St. Louis. I think the kind of stretch he's on right now, you said him if you can help it. I mean, in some deeper leagues you may not have a choice.

He's going, like, there were nowhere near, like, dropping, Bereo's to be clear. But he's going to be a fine option. It's just, is he going to be the big top 20 breakout pitcher we were hoping for, or many were hoping for at the start of the season? Would you take Walker Bueller or Jose Berrios? Berrios. Burios. Would you take Walker Bueller or Jay Hap?

Bueller. That's not to say I would drop Hap. I would hope I have somebody worse than Jay Hap to drop, but I would take Bueller over him. Hap pointed out, it was interesting because you don't often see pitchers do this, but I think he rightly pointed out that things kind of snowballed on him in an unfair way yesterday.

He had an inning where he gave up two ground balls in a walk and then a grand slam. So that obviously skewed. the line. Yeah, he did say that. But he didn't really get that much better after that. That was the first inning. He gave up three more runs and two and a third after that.

So this wasn't very good. It's two terrible starts in a row for Hap. He's at the Mets next week. And this was a guy who looked like he was making a huge jump. He's still, you know, strikeout rate is still incredible, 56 and 45 innings. But it has come back down to Earth over the last two starts. At the Mets next week, starter sit Jay Hap. I mean, I lean towards sitting him, too.

I don't think it's a must. Like, Dylan Bundy, there's no way you could possibly start Dylan Bundy. But I feel like we're not quite to the point where it's an absolute must-you-s-sit-Bri-os or half yet. I'll just save my Jose Barrios victory parade for a little later in the season. Wait, are you taking credit for Barrios now? I thought you were with me at the start of the season. I was the Jose Burrios isn't. that good guy from way back in like February.

What is with you these days? No, I was there too. He was in my first bus column. What's that? You've beaten your chest about Joey Gallo the other day. What else? Chris really likes to sing his own bridge. Here's what I realize. Does he? Because like this is not the Chris Hours I know. This job is so much easier when you don't actually have to do rankings and you can just identify a handful of things. Oh yeah. And like it's really, you just have your causes you get behind. You know, it's just ride the way. Yeah.

Yeah, no, it's great. Yeah, like me. I was right about Johnny Quedo being bad. I was right about Carlos Santana taking forever to heat up. I was right about Oduble Herrera not being that good. I was right when I called Angels and Simmons a cell high. I should not talk anymore. What's the next on the show, guys?

You want to know something that I looked like. A couple things I looked like I was wrong about, and now I'm starting to look like I was right about again. One of them, Whitmeryfield, five stolen bases. is in his past four games, he's suddenly on pace for more steals than he had last year, when for the first several weeks it was like, why isn't it with Maryfield running at all? So my premier steel source in so many drafts is finally coming through. The other, Scooter Jeanette has homered in three straight games.

We were like, what happened to Scooter Jeanette's power? You look at his bad at ball profile this year. It's basically exactly the same as last year, with one exception. He's hitting the ball even harder than he did a year ago. We're talking about things I was right now. I'm just saying, please respect the segment. I think I know it was wrong with Scooter Jeanette. He was dealing with a shoulder injury for spring training.

And they sat him down for a few days, and he's come back, gangbusters, I'd say. Gang busters. Good stuff. I hope you didn't drop Scooter Jeanette. If you did, you could probably pick it back up. I think it's worth doing. He's still pretty young. I think he's like 88% owner or something.

So let's talk about draft real quick, guys. Oh, we got an email about draft, actually. Pretty cool. Let me see if I can find it. Oh, it's from Matt. Matt says, I've been using the draft app for a month now, and I have to say it is absolutely the best. I get to enjoy the anticipation and excitement of drafting new teams each night. Draft is definitely the best DFS option for me because of my love of fantasy baseball.

That sounds like a testimonial that draft would have given me to read, but I swear that is a legit email that came in our inbox this morning or last night. And I agree. I love draft. I play all the time. You can play for $1 and up. You can play in big contests or smaller contests. You can play one-on-one against your friends. And you can follow me just by entering our promo code, FB Today, when you make your first deposit on draft.

Or you can look me up, Big Cain, too. FB Today, you'll see me post drafts. You can compete against me. But FB Today is that code. It's going to get you free entry into a real money baseball draft on the draft app. And again, it's not like the other sites. You get to do snake drafts, the best part of fantasy. play all the time. It's really fun.

PGA, MLB, NBA, NFL, there's bunch of stuff on the draft app. You are going to love it. Search draft in the app store or go to draft.com, and the promo code is FB Today. FB Today. Bowpen. I don't know that there's anything too significant here.

Louise Gohara got a three-inning save. Brad Ziegler was bad in a non-save situation. He hadn't pitched in four days. He's not good. Jeremy Jeffress. I was going to say, Drew, Stekin Rider was worse and that was the guy who was looking like, wow, the Marlins have this dominant reliever.

Yeah. Well, he still might be. He just had one bad day. Yeah. Well, bad day that inflated his R8 to 4. Yep. Steckin writer. Jeremy Jeffress, Jim Johnson, both got saves instead of Corey Knable and Keenan Middleton.

But did you interpret that as just threat their fresher off the DL? We're easing them back in. I certainly saw that for Knebel. Craig counsel without firmly saying he's going to be our closer again basically

in his many words said that was the case so yeah that's going to happen I would assume it's the same for Middleton I didn't see anything from Socha Socia never seems to comment on the closer all right he's kind of like to closers what Mike Shanahan was to running backs

but it was his first appearance I can't imagine Jim Johnson is somebody they're going to want to rely on their long term. Yeah, it's the first appearance for Middleton off the DL. Bud Norris, 68% owned got a save, his eighth save. Amazing year for him. Greg Holland is 56% owned and has gone scoreless in his last three appearances.

One hit, two walks, one strikeout. It doesn't look like Holland is completely back, but he is making some progress. But still, I mean, you know, Bud Norris at 68% owned, while he's the closer, should probably be owned in more leagues of this. that, I would think. Yep. Yeah. That reminds me. There was something you guys mentioned, I think, yesterday about Alex Reyes, potentially

working into that closer's situation as he returns. It does sound like he's going to be starting by the end of May for the St. Louis Cardinals. There were a couple of reports yesterday about that. Okay. Who was reporting that? Because I don't know how they could possibly know that. Like they haven't been able to fit Flaherty in? Who are they going to kick out to make room for Reyes?

I would have to check who it was who specifically reported it. Okay. So, guys, we are not making good time here to get to the Dynasty talk, but that's fine. That's my fault, not yours. So let me fly through the news and notes. David Price is going to start at Toronto on Saturday. Start or sit, David Price. I would rather play it safe instead of them.

Won't always have that option, I'm sure, but that's... That's my hope. And Johnny Quato's on the 60-day DL, so the latest he can come back is late June. Adam Eaton, it's probably going to be even longer than that. He's got a tear in his ankle. He's out indefinitely. How droppable is Adam Eaton? Oh, not at all.

I actually feel good about this after reading more about it last night. Oh, really? Yeah, I mean, because now they know what the problem was and the problem has been resolved. So now it's just a matter of he'll be immobilized for a week, then he'll be in a walking boot, and then he'll rehabilitate and come back. But they said, like, he might come back this season. Well, that was, yeah, people overreacted to that. It's since been confirmed that the Nationals expect him back this season.

And I would guess it's closer to like a four-to-six-week timetable than, you know, we'll see him after the All-Star break. Okay, all right. Thank you, Scott. Thank you for not going to bring Brooklyn Nine-Nine back, but that does something, Scott. I appreciate that. Matt Harvey's going to start against the Dodgers. I think today he'll be on a pitch count, whatever.

Cincinnati sent Brandon Finning into the minors. bum garner is going to start throwing off a mound next week. Greg Byrd began a rehab assignment. Is that somebody that you think should be added? I love Greg Bird, as you know. I don't know that he should be an everyday player at this point, just because of the injury history, but he's 61% owned. What do you think about Bird?

I actually wrote about Eaton in a new top 30 DL Stashes piece on the website. And in it, I also moved Greg Bird up. So the point he's close to the top 20 now. There's still a lot of upside there, especially in that lineup. I agree, they'll probably ease him back in. But if he has one of those stretches that he's had in the past, I don't think it'll take much for him to become an everyday player again. And there's a good chance he's a must start within, you know, a month or so.

So I would certainly in like the standard roto league where you have a lot of hitter spots to fill, He needs to be owned. Greg Bird. Justin Turner and Logan Forsyth will begin a rehab assignment this weekend. Matt Wheaters left with a leg injury. Miguel Sineau could be back next week. Carlos Martinez is probably only going to miss one start with a strained lat. D. Gordon should be back today from a foot injury.

Darren O'Day could be back when first eligible. Evan Longoria said the best decision for Tampa Bay could be moving the team. And Evan, I'm sorry to say at Tampa Bay fans, I agree. Just, yeah. Jung Hong Kong has started facing live pitching. Whitmerfield is outfield eligible and Chris Bryant is outfield eligible. Some hitting notes.

D.D. Gregorius is 0 for 21 with two walks, two strikeouts in his last five games. Only two strikeouts, that's encouraging. He'll snap out of it. Mitch Morland started again with Jackie Bradley Jr. Sitting. Just saying. And he started against a lefty too. Now, Bradley's also lefty, but...

Ender Nsiarte has 16 steals. He stole another base. Will he steal 40? I believe it's 11. It is 16. Will Indir and Ciarte steal 40 bases? He's on pace for 72 right now. No, he's not going to steal

40 bases, probably. Do I want to bet on that today? How the hell could we know, right? Isn't that the answer? I know you're looking for better. It's certainly possible. His career high is 22 or 23. You know what we do for a living, right?

No. he's obviously going to zoom past his career high. I don't think there's any doubt about that. He's been caught twice. I don't know why he would stop running if the Braves have decided he needs to be running this much. He's batting. We usually like the guy batting at the top of the lineup.

When a guy bats at the top of the lineup, we usually consider that the best case scenario for his fantasy outlook. But I actually think for his steals potential, what the Braves have been doing with Ender NCRTA recently, which is either bat him like sixth or seventh behind the big boppers or sometimes even ninth he doesn't there's no fear of him running into an out with

Albi's Acuna and especially Freeman coming up which was the case when he was batting leadoff so that he's in a spot where they want him manufacturing that's him batting ninth only one few are bad every game I hope they don't bat him ninth ninth is terrible six so I can deal with

but ninth is just bad all around. Billy Hamilton's batting ninth. If it means he gets more than 40 steals, though, I guess so. It's worth it. Yeah. Like, you'd rather him get 40 steals batting higher in the lineup. I get that.

Like, someone's trying to sell him to me, and I just don't want to make a huge mistake and sell a guy who's going to stop running. But even if he's... Okay, so Ender and C.R. They're coming into this year, if he just did what he normally does, it's probably about the 30th best outfielder in Roto.

Yeah, so boring but reliably competent fantasy asset. Right. And as Scott mentioned, Scooter Genet is homered in three straight games, and Justin Upton has four homers in his last five games. I was surprised. I was looking at the leaderboard yesterday. He's like the number 25 hitter or something. It's kind of crazy because I thought he was having a bad season.

Upton? Yeah. Yeah. Well, I'm sure he was way behind that five games ago. Four home runs will do the truth. All right, so let's try a dynasty segment here. I'll put three minutes on the clock, and then we'll get to everything else from yesterday and week eight help.

So I think Albies, which, by the way, it's Albies, isn't it? Not Albies. Yeah, that's going to take some retraining for me, but I think that's technically true. Albies and Acuna, to me, are arguably the two most interesting players in Dynasty League right now. What would you, how would you value them? significantly. Probably have to consider them both top 10 hitters in Dynasty.

Well, no, I don't know that I put that kind of blanket state. Like, it depends, obviously. I mean, we were talking about Albies as like a top 25 guy in redraft. I think hitter, hitter, not total, not overall. Right, right, hitter. So much of this conversation is going to depend on what exactly your keeper rules look like. Everybody being kept on equal terms. No, so let me, so we can't, that'll take us off.

That'll derail us, I think. So I think it's just sort of like long term. Well, I don't want to offer bad advice, you know. Yeah, no, but that never stopped me before. That's easy. If you have, if you've Ronald Acuna for like a last round pick or whatever, okay, that's, but I'm just saying, let's, we're starting a Dynasty League today and we're drafting. You know, have you seen enough from Albies and Acuna?

It's been 14 games for Acuna. No, they, they want to go in my first round. Because most of the hitters we were already treating his first rounders are in their 20s. So it's not like you don't have a long-term future with them, you know? But is Jose Ramirez a top 10 guy in Dynasty now? It might be. Yeah, he might be. Yeah, like...

But would you rather? Acuna Ramirez. Second or third round is probably what I think for Acuna or Alviz. How about Jose Ramirez versus those two braves? I would take Ramirez first, because he's, what, 25? Jose Ramirez is 25 years old with seven months and 24 days. But doesn't Acuna have the chance to be the number one pick in fantasy drafts?

Right, but you have to gauge that versus, like, what, in what way is Jose Ramirez going to disappoint you? Like, right now it seems like there's no way that could possibly have. Jose Ramirez is playing like a number one caliber pick. Yeah, right now he had 10 homers and five steals. in a 283, but yeah. I mean, last year he was a first round caliber hitter, too. So it's not like, like, we'd lowered him to the second round because there was some skepticism as to whether or not it was all legit,

but it's looking like it was all legit. So he's moved up in that packing order. I'm in on that. More walks and strikeouts this year for Jose Ramirez. AJ Pollock has to be someone who's improved his stock in Dynasty as well. It looked like he was someone who might be fading before this season, but he's retooled his swing. and he's doing it in ways that make me think it's sustainable for the long term.

He's 30. Yeah, he's older than I think a lot of people may realize, because it took him to, like, age 26. And he's really only had one good season. Yeah. So, yeah, I mean, he's obviously up to stock. I don't know that I see it from like a dynasty perspective that has improved it, more so in that format.

With dynasty leagues, I feel like you always have to talk about prospects. And right now, there is no prospect whose star is rising faster than Juan Soto, 19-year-old in the Nationals organization, who got 16 games at low-class-A, moved up to high-class-A, got 15 games there. And now all of a sudden he's at AA. Homer did in his first game at AA yesterday. Just looks like a player with ridiculous hitting ability. more walks than strikeouts. Missed a lot of last year with an injury,

but the plate discipline and all the numbers were great then, too. What's his name, Scott? Juan Soto. Juan Soto. I can remember that. Yeah. He, like, the way he's moving up the ladder, like, I'm not sure it's crazy to think he could make it all the way to the majors this year.

I don't think it's crazy to think he could make it all the majors by July. Like Acuna, we talk about how rapid his assent was in the minors last year, Soto's moving even faster than that. He is hitting 388 with... God, these numbers correct? Does he have 13 home runs in 32 games? That's... Jesus.

With 26 walks, 21 strikeouts, he is having... I'm going to wrap it up. That is good to know, Juan Soto. Two more things. D. Gordon is going to be second base eligible for the final time. Well, you never know what the future holds. but he's an outfielder right now, and next year he'll be an outfielder. So keep that in mind.

He is currently the number 23 outfielder in points, number 11 outfielder in Roto. And he's basically D. Gordon right now. He's got a 340 batting average with 15 steals and one home run. He's not going to stack up with the other outfielders. In fact, I wonder, would you rather have Starling Marte or D. Gordon in a Dynasty League? I would rather have Starling Marte, plus he's younger. And Gary Sanchez, you know, like there's no, I love Gary Sanchez, an amazing hitter. His defense has been so bad this year.

It's just awful. He cannot block a ball. I don't see how they move him off of catcher, but I, like, I just wonder if catching is, if he's going to be catching in three years. I just, three years is a really, really, even two years, because even if he's not catching in two years, he still has, eligibility a catcher for three years. Like you'll have eligibility beyond whatever. He'll still have eligibility the year he stops catching.

And so that's such a long time that I will worry about it when it happens. And even if it does, Gary Sanchez might be a top 25 hitter as a first basement. Yeah, I mean, it clearly didn't ruin Carlos Santana's value making a similar move. Sanchez is such an outlier, a catcher, that, like, he's, for dynasty purposes, he might be the only catcher I value.

Yeah. Well, just because there's a risk every catcher has to move off catcher. I mean, I'm thinking about it, Wilson Contreras, I would still value in that format. And maybe J.T. Romuto, who's not that young himself, actually. But otherwise, they're all very replaceable. Scott. Oh, yeah, Francisco Mejia, if you want to get into prospects. He's off to an awful start in the minors this year, but the track record speaks for itself.

Although he may end up playing it up a position. It's possible. Okay, so that was our dynasty segment. First time this year. We'll try to do more of that. People want it. So we will give it. I had some really fun segments queued up,

but we're going to have to sort of rearrange them. One of them was, hey, you know, it's been kind of awesome. And two people in there were Angleton Simmons. We talked about. The other is Tommy Fam? I mean, at this point, is there anything to doubt about Tommy Fam other than his vision issues might pop up again? Injuries.

he's had a very, very long history of injuries. But as far as the skill set, no, not really. Yeah, Tommy fan. Another one for me. Yes, Scott White. I don't know. I don't do my own horn very well, so maybe I should stop that.

That was great. That was great. Okay. Hey, you know, he's been kind of okay? Max Kepler. He does that, he's not had a 20 fantasy point week yet. He's played enough games where he's a 40th outfielder points, 42nd in Roto. I can't quite just blame it on the rainouts at this

point, Max Kepler, but 48% owned, seems a little low for Kepler. Scott, this is a guy you talked about as a potential sneaky breakout Max Kepler. He's been okay. No, I love him. I love him. What he's doing in terms of plate discipline, strikeout rate,

and still hitting for power. Like, he's combined the best of his minor league career with the best of his major league career so far. And one thing that I happened to notice yesterday, he's on pace for 69 RBI, 79 runs scored. And a lineup that we think is

pretty good, right? The twins? I feel like, I remember Eric Hosmer had to start to the season like this once, and then the run, the RBI totals ended up being fine. Like, he's definitely behind pace in those two areas, and if just those correct, I think you're talking about

potentially a must-start player. It's going to depend entirely on whether he can sustain his early season gains against lefties because he's always been able to hit righties. But he was the worst hitter in baseball against lefties in 2016 and 2017 combined, and it wasn't particularly close. He's off to a good start. He has two home runs against lefties, but it's like 29 plate appearances, I think, so it's way too early to say. Not just two home runs.

He's batting 357 against lefties. Okay, it's good stuff. The runs in RBS, because I was like, how is he only 40th in points in 42nd of Roto? The runs in RBI's would help explain it. Yeah, let's see if he can still keep this up against lefties. It's actually struggled a little bit against righties, so maybe that'll, a little bit. That'll come around. Max Kepler.

Hey, you know, it's been kind of bad. Actually, I shouldn't say bad, but bad for fantasy in points leagues? Kyle Schwabre. Kyle Schwaber, 96% owned, 73% started in points leagues. He's got good numbers. He doesn't play enough. I don't know that he should be 96% owned. I think he might be just a Roto guy, actually.

Yeah. I think so. Even if he gets a day off or two every week, I think he can still be valuable in Roto because of the improvements he's shown in his batting average skills, the plate discipline numbers especially, but the fact that he's hitting the ball really hard still. But points, volume matters a lot more.

Chris, since the two of us have harped on No Mar Mazarra for his fly ball rate, I think I need to point out Kyle Schwerber's is having that same issue this year, only 25% fly balls. Now, he has higher rates in his past, but obviously that needs to change for him to sustain his current home run pace. Yeah, although he is a 25% home run to fly ball rate guy for his career. No more or more so I was like 15%. Yeah. So that's a difference for me.

Sure. And let's save Christian Yewitz. Let's see what he does over the weekend. Christian Yellich. Yeah, and he has a 49.4% hard contact rate that is by far his best of his career. So, there was one other. Oh, and Merrifield. Maryfield has a hard contact rate that's 44.1%.

Yeah, Yelich, I think I'm going to put out some offers for Yelich. It's going to come around quickly, and he hasn't even been that bad. So, right, we all feel good about Yelich? Yep, yep. I haven't moved him in my ranking since the start of the year. I don't know that I'm going to get it. I don't know that anybody's all that worried, but I've seen a few, hey, what's going on with Christian Yewitch's. The breakout is not happening.

I will say that. It might. Like this thing where, like, oh, Christian Yelich is going to start hitting fly balls because he's not at Marlins Park anymore, that's clearly not. No, but he isn't. Well, that wasn't my stand. That was a thing that people were saying. Just his home run production was already much higher on the road without change. Yeah, yeah.

Yeah. Right. Right. But there's a ceiling still. But he's got a 900 OPS at home. So, you know, and he's only got. three home runs on the year. Yelich also missed some times when I think it was on the DL, right?

He played 26 games. So I'll be looking at Yelich. All right, I think we've got to get to two-star pitchers now. Here we go. Two-star pitchers for Fantasy Week 8. All right, Patrick Corbyn. We've got to start them. Yeah, forget that.

Miles Michaels is so good, by the way. He had his third walk yesterday. I don't know. Can I ask you, though? I don't think that there's any other pitcher really, unless it was like an extreme ground ball. guy like Kichel where you'd feel super confident in someone who had 35 strikeouts in 46 and 2 thirds.

Even without walk. Even without the walks, you know? And I think there is a point of diminishing returns. Like, when it comes to walk, right? You have to be willing to walk people. Like, remember, like, Ricky Nalasko is a really good example. Carlos Silva is probably the most extreme example of someone who had one really, really good season while never walking anyone.

Yeah, Carlos Silva also had like 4K per nine. Ty one Walker, relative to the league, what he's doing right now is not terribly impressive. I'm not saying he's bad. I just weirdly would, and I actually kind of feel this way about Jose Burrios, I would feel better about him if he was walking more people because I just don't buy the ability to consistently induce weak contact while pitching in the zone that often. Okay. So back to the two-star pitchers.

Obviously, you're starting Miles Michael's not the debate. Sean Mania, yeah, at Boston, at Toronto, we're still going to start him. Okay, let me stop asking stupid questions. Mike Fultenevich, Cubs and Marlins at home. Got to start him. Two-star week with the Marlins start in there? Absolutely. The one above him, Lucchasey, versus Colorado.

That's Colorado on the road at Pittsburgh. That's a good, you should probably start him. Colorado's. A good matchup on the road. How about Tyler Chatwood with two road starts at Atlanta at Cincinnati? Yeah, I don't... Amazingly, he has a 212 ERA. I don't think that number is accurate.

That's in his last three starts. Oh, last three starts. I didn't add him there. His walk, like, he has 27 walks to 32 strikeouts. I don't... The Reds aren't a bad match, or aren't a good matchup. Aren't a bad matchup, but... But a guy who puts that many guys on base pitching in a bandbox with a bad matchup against Atlanta before that?

Yeah, I wouldn't want. Tyler Trout was a sell high for me. At one point last night, I believe Eduardo Rodriguez had 35 strikes and 35 balls through 70 pitches. I know it was at least 36, 35 through 71. And he has Oakland and Baltimore at home next week, Starters said, Edwardo Rodriguez. I like those matchups for him. And I like how his strikeout rate is pretty absurd. I think after what he did against the Yankees yesterday, definitely got to start him.

Yeah, Yankees stuff. Jake Ferrea. I agree. Jake Faria at Kansas City and at the Angels, 71% owned. Yeah, probably. And Lucchese, we like Trevor Williams, White Sox, and Padres. Got to love those matchups. That's the scenario where you start Trevor Williams.

He is way over-owned. I don't know why this guy is 76% owned, but he should. be 76% owned for the upcoming week. Yep. And then drop. He did struggle at the White Sox two days ago. Yeah. All right, we don't care.

All right, Trevor Williams, you're in. Would you rather have Williams or Faria next week? Foria. He's a better pitcher. Yeah, I mean... That still matters more than... Right. I'd rather roster Faria.

If I'm choosing between them, I probably start Williams. But you need to start both. How many of these guys would you start? Odarezi, Rinaldo Lopez, Luriano, Chris Stratton. Odarezi, Renaldo Lopez, Liriano, Chris Stratton.

I think Ronaldo Lopez has kind of turned into a pumpkin again. Yeah, well, I mean, the last start was good,

but the results as far as the R.A have been not terrible lately, but the things that we saw early in the season that were promising,

the fact that he was starring a new curveball, the fact that he was getting more swinging strikes, the fact that he was getting strikeouts, those are kind of

Yep. Disappeared. Yep. So I think Oterizzi's the one of those that'd be most likely to start in a points league especially. Like he's just a serviceable pitcher who's going to give you a quality starter close to it. Liriano and I had to head points league. He's a two-start spark. Yes, you should start. As is Mike Minor. So the next group, Pivotta, Mike Minor, Ty Block, Tyler Anderson. We like three of those four, right? Povetta, Minor, and Anderson? Yeah, I like this group more than the last one. I don't know if something changed because I don't have Anderson. I didn't have Anderson my two-star sleepers video I'm going to shoot. I don't know if something changed since last night, but he's, yeah, at San Diego, San Francisco, Chris rightly pointed out,

that's a really good sleeper, only 42% owned. And Ty Block doesn't have terrible matchups either. Versus Cincinnati versus Colorado. That's not a terrible one if you need them for a head-to-head points league. This is a, this is a, and it's cyclical, obviously, but this is a better two-star streamers week than we've had in a while. Definitely. Definitely.

And Tyler Malley. I mean, we, Tyler Malley, we said is startable at San Francisco, Chicago, Cubs at Home. Junior Gera, Mike Leak. Yeah, this is actually like a lot better than usual. Mike Leak has two home starts. Now, his last two home starts were against Houston and the Angels, and they weren't very good. But before that, he had really good numbers at Safeco. It probably still does since the trade last year.

So Leak with the Rangers and the Tigers at home, start or sit. Are the Rangers a better match? match up for a pitcher than the Tigers now? I don't think so. I mean, I feel like the Rangers are getting... Well, first of all, no McGee. Yeah. The Shields is there, you know, I don't think so.

Okay. I think Leak is fine in a points league. Yeah, he's fine. Yeah, I think you'll have a... With all these other options, I think it'll... You'll have a hard time fitting him in, but... Okay. But he's fine.

Anyone in the deeper formats? So like here's the, I'm intrigued by Andrew Heaney, but he's got Houston on Monday. Yeah. And then Tampa Bay, I'm going to look it up, but I think they're at least top five in OPS against lefties. I don't buy it, but I think that's true. Daniel Mengden is somebody who I can get interested in in a two-star week, but at Boston, at Toronto. I mean, Blue Jays lineup isn't great, but Toronto is a tough place to pitch. I don't think Mengdon's in the car.

cards this week. I'm a dirty liar. The Razor 6th with OPS against lefties. They were second before Sean Nukum destroyed them. So anyway, Andrew Heaney, start or sit, two starts, Houston and Tampa Bay. No. Sit. All right.

All right, then. I think we're done. I think we are done here. I will take a look at the scoreboard for tonight and see if there are any questionable ones. I'm sure there are. Matt Harvey is not going to be started tonight. Let me kill time as we finish. up. Here we go.

Tyler Chattwood against the white. See, how is Tyler Chatwood pitching today and also a two-star pitcher? Something's got to be wrong there. It's probably not a two-star pitcher next week. If Chatwood is pitching today... Faria, you know what? Faria is not a two-star pitcher either. I noticed this last night. There's a double header happening this weekend

with the raise. I'm not sure the white sucks are part of it, but yeah, Faria is not among the two-star options. And Chatwood isn't either. Farias, though, is an interesting starter sit tonight. He's... Yes. What do you think? I might sit him at Baltimore.

I mean, who was it that Baltimore went off on yesterday? Ian Kennedy. Who was it? Ian Kennedy. Yeah, well, Ferea is better than Kennedy. I'd start Ferea. He struggled at Baltimore last time. I don't trust him in small parks.

You start him? I would. He's been on a nice run, and I get what you're saying, but I think it's a worthy gamble. I think yesterday was the Kennedy Day. They won two in a row of the Orioles. Be careful out there. Okay.

James and Tyone and Andrew Suarez. I'll start Taeone. Stephen Matt's Jake Areietta. Just so you know we are like super out of time, so this is going to be the quickest that. Okay. Arieta. Sunny Gray against the A's. Yep.

Aaron Sanchez against the Red Sox. Nope. Matt Boyd against the Mariners. Nope. Marco Gonzalez at Detroit. Yeah. Brandon McCarthy or Dan Straeli? I could roll the dice on McCarthy if I really wanted an extra start.

Cole Hamill's at the Astros. Yeah, I mean, obviously a terrible matchup, but Hamils has been good enough that I think I'd run him out with any matchup in a day league. Matt Cook against the Nationals? No. Lance Lynn, Tyler Skaggs. Skaggs, sure. Weaver at Eric Lauer.

Against the Padres, I'll gamble on Luke Weaver. Matt Harvey at Kenta Maeda's fine. Goodbye, everybody. Talk to you Monday. Wait. What? I just, you said we were out of time, so I just wanted to... He's being annoying. I just wanted to drag it out a little bit more.

Bye, everybody. I just like talking about.