Fantasy Baseball Today - 05/15: Heaney, Corbin, Fun With Fangraphs (Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 15, 2018

Recapping a fairly uneventful day around MLB, but a day that included Andrew Heaney's (2:00) emergence as a reliable SP, a peek at the LAA bullpen (5:00), some struggles for Ronald Acuna (7:05) and mo...re MVP production from Jose Ramirez (9:15). Would we rather have Ramirez or Paul Goldschmidt? ... Are we concerned about Jose Quintana and Patrick Corbin (12:30)? "Hey, Real Quick" comparing Rafael Devers vs. Mitch Haniger (17:00) and Alex Bregman vs. Trevor Story (18:30) ... Discussing A.J. Pollock's injury (22:26), yesterday's fringy SPs and deep league options (36:05), Rick Porcello's outlook (38:25) and Team Name Tuesday (43:53) before we have some fun with Fangraphs advanced stats (45:30) and Fantasy Regulators (56:30) ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, hello, everyone. Welcome to fantasy baseball today. Why am I speaking like this? Because undoubtedly yesterday was the most boring day in fantasy baseball history. True or false, Chris and Heath. That's who you are. Chris and what? I wasn't it Heath and Chris. Alphabetical order, hierarchical.
Starting point is 00:00:44 Yes, that's right. He's our boss. Just good. Yeah. Just ranking of good. Clearly not. Last night's game, games were awful.
Starting point is 00:00:55 So boring. So boring. There was nothing. Like Wade LeBlanc, LeBlanced the twins. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, but this is good, though. I'll tell you what,
Starting point is 00:01:04 because this lets us do some fun stuff on the show. Let's us talk about it. I don't know if you've taken a peek at the notes, but I have, I think a good chunk of the show is going to be fun with fan graphs, which I thought would be very exciting for the two of them. you. Fun with FanGraphs. Chris has evolved past FanGraphs.
Starting point is 00:01:21 He thinks Fangraphs is for Neanderthals now. Oh, really? He uses more advanced numbers than that. You're a baseball savant, Chris. Is that where, is that your site now, baseball savant? I don't know why we're besmirching the good folks at Fangraphs. Oh, I was. I was not at all.
Starting point is 00:01:38 To be clear, I was not. I was besmirching you. I don't. This is an odd start to the podcast, and I'm not sure what we're doing, and I'm not sure that I like it. We're doing a whole segment on Fangrens. I think we're going to have to restart. No, we're not. So, AJ Pollock is hurt, and we should talk about that.
Starting point is 00:01:54 And yesterday was really boring, except for the Angels. So let's start there. Andrew Heaney. I feel I'm a little annoyed because I liked Andrew Heaney. I didn't think this was going to be a good week for him. He had tough matchups, including Houston yesterday. He does have Tampa Bay, I think, this weekend. And he's at the Yankees next week, so that's no good.
Starting point is 00:02:14 But Heaney was awesome. He threw 100 pitches. He struck out 10 Astros and eight innings giving up one run on four hits with one walk. And all of a sudden, he's had one really bad start. But other than that, the numbers look pretty good. 393 ERA, 9 walks, 39 strikeouts, and 34 in a third. So the reason why I was annoyed was I wanted to pick him up everywhere as I was watching the game last night. But I think because he was a two-star pitcher, he was already owned in a lot of leagues.
Starting point is 00:02:39 And Hini is 42% owned. What do you guys think about Andrew Haney? We shouldn't be totally surprised that he's pitching well. I mean, the last couple of years have seen his career get derailed due to injuries. But before that, he was the top left-handed pitching prospect in baseball. He was the prize of the D. Gordon trade for the Dodgers. And he's very talented. There are flaws in his game.
Starting point is 00:03:08 He's not a hard thrower. He's getting a lot of swinging strikes, or at least a decent amount of swing strikes this season, but he's probably not going to profile as a more than a strikeout parading guy. But I think he can be good. And I think we should expect him to be pretty good moving. I wouldn't say he's like a soft thrower, though. I mean, he's a 92, 93 mile per hour lefty. He's got some VLO.
Starting point is 00:03:32 Yeah, I mean, that's about average. He's not a soft thrower, but he's not a hard throw. He's not James Paxton. He should be universally owned. You think so? I think so. saying that I think he'll stay that way for the rest of the season. But this is four consecutive starts with two runs or fewer allowed.
Starting point is 00:03:54 Yes, he should be owned everywhere. Yeah, I mean, how does Andrew Heaney stack up with Fernando Romero and Walker Bueller and a lot of really exciting pitchers to be picking up, Freddie Peralta, etc. I think he's probably below Bueller and ahead of Romero and probably ahead of Peralta. But I'd like to have. This is actually something I have run into in some of my leagues. Like, I wanted to add Freddie Peralta in a 10-team league the other day. And I just didn't have anyone to drop for him. So you may not have room for all these guys, but Bueller should probably be the priority and then Haney after him.
Starting point is 00:04:37 Yeah, I'm going to move him just like. You've got this big group of pitchers that were universally owned to start the year, and now it's kind of starting to feel questionable with guys like Chase Anderson, Danny Duffy, Michael Fulmer, Marco Estrada. I'm moving him just above that group of pitchers and right behind Sunny Gray. Okay, cool. Andrew Heaney got the, I don't know if he got the win. Yeah, he must have gotten the win yesterday.
Starting point is 00:05:06 Pitch great. Justin Anderson got the save. I also picked up Jim Johnson yesterday, and that was, I fell asleep before the end of this game, but Anderson's 5% owned. I wonder if Johnson just was unavailable. He threw 23 pitches the day before. So Keenan Middleton's going on the DL. You've got an opportunity now to get some saves on a really good team.
Starting point is 00:05:28 Hopefully it will be better than the Brewers situation when we did this exercise a month ago when Canable went on the DL. But who's the guy to own right now in the Angels bullpen? That's the thing, though, is it might just be like the Brewers. Like, I'm not sure they have that many good pitchers in their bullpen. And that's the thing when I look at it is, like, maybe you take a chance on Jim Johnson, but I'm not particularly excited about him. Maybe you take a chance on Justin Anderson, but again, not particularly excited about him. I don't know, Blake Parker, who's been pretty...
Starting point is 00:06:07 They've all been awful. Yeah, like that... There's just nobody really to get excited. about it's really just going to be a situation where I think someone someone has a chance to run away with it and that was probably the case in Milwaukee and we saw what happened. There's no Josh Hater in Los Angeles. Yeah, I wonder if Parker can just turn it around but he's he does not seem like a likely candidate at the moment. So yeah, Anderson got to save yesterday and did you get, I'm sorry if you gave an answer. Is there one
Starting point is 00:06:35 guy if you had to pick one? No. Probably Jim Johnson. I guess, but... You can't say no. Some people need to pick up... You asked, is there one guy? Well, there is... That is a yes or no question. Sam Bidrosion is healthy, right?
Starting point is 00:06:50 Yeah, yeah. I thought about picking him up, but... No, he just hasn't. See, the thing about Anderson, Anderson's been used for more than one inning in four of his ten appearances. That's kind of why I was leaning towards Johnson. And, uh...
Starting point is 00:07:01 All right. All right, I think we've given you our summary on this situation. Who stood out to you guys on Monday? And then we can end the show. You know, just really nothing happened. out to you guys on Monday other than Kevin Durant. So we're seeing the downside of Ronald Cunia. Over the last, I think, 13 games, he's striking out like 35% of the time.
Starting point is 00:07:27 He looked pretty bad on a couple of swings yesterday, struck out three times and five played appearances. I'm not worried about Ronald Cunia, but it's just a reminder that Major League Baseball is very difficult. Chris, and he's struggling just a little bit. Yeah, I traded him yesterday, Chris Towers, because I saw the same things you were seeing. Again, not worried about him, but I traded him basically for Anthony Rendon. I think that's a great trade, though.
Starting point is 00:07:55 Even before he started struggling, I think that's the kind of trade that you make, because Anthony Rendon was someone that we were viewing as a third or fourth round pick before the season. Yeah, and there were two other players. For me, it was Ronaldo Lopez and Ronald Acuna. Sonny Gray and Anthony Rendon. So I don't know how you feel about the pitchers. We can call them a wash. I mean, I think Gray has more of a track record and probably more upside, but he's been terrible.
Starting point is 00:08:19 So he's really about the hitters. I voted for the Lopez Ocuna side of that trade. You did? I lost the Twitter poll. I lost the Twitter poll. I think it's basically a C. Okay. Yeah, but no, I mean, I really like Acuna.
Starting point is 00:08:32 But if you can trade him for an established guy like Rendon, who's, I think, still has more walks and strikeouts. He's been a little under the radar because of the injury. Rendon is really having a nice year. Right, and it's not a knock against Ronald Acuna. It's just that, like, Bryce Harper is one of the best 19-year-old or 20-year-olds we've seen in recent years. And even he was just, like, pretty good. He was, like, outside of the top 50, his rookie season.
Starting point is 00:08:58 And that's, we get really excited about the upside and the upside is there. The best-case scenario is there. But there's just, there's at least a chance that he has more strong. struggles like this and this future. Wow, I got crushed in the Twitter poll. 68% Wanda Bernardo Lopez and Acuna. 32% Rendon and Sunny Gray. Thanks for contributing to that, Heath.
Starting point is 00:09:19 Heath, who stood out to you on Monday? Well, you're welcome, first off. Let's talk about Jose Ramirez, since he was the only Indian hitter that was actually good last night against Mike Fires. Hit his 13th home run, and I don't think that's sustainable. His hard contact really hasn't changed. His home run to fly ball rate has ballooned.
Starting point is 00:09:39 But we're basically a fourth of the way into the season now, and he's got a 12.5% walk rate and a 9.1% strikeout rate. He's only hitting 288, and that's still a very good batting average. But it's because his BABIP is 50 points lower than his career mark. Jose Ramirez might be moving into that borderline first-round pick territory. I have a hay real quick for you guys. Hey, real quick is coming up. I do want to point out with regards to the home run to fly ball, or the BABIP and the home run to fly ball rate, I guess. If he had, let's say, 10 home runs and what, how many doubles does he have? 14 doubles.
Starting point is 00:10:23 His Babbup would probably be a little higher. His batting average would be exactly the same, and his home run to fly ball rate would look exactly like we expected to. So I don't know how much bad luck we can say there is with Jose Ramirez, just because those two things are counteracting each other to a certain extent. Now, a 250 Babbat is lower than we would expect, but it's not like I think he's like a 340 hitter now. Well, no, but he has been a 312, 318 hitter the last two years.
Starting point is 00:10:50 Yeah, I think he's probably got 20 points of Babbat regression coming. So that's Jose Ramirez, who last year was the number nine hitter in fantasy in points and Roto. He had 56 doubles last year, which led, I'm almost positive, led baseball. Right now he's the number four hitter in points, number eight in Roto. 288, 13 homers, six deals, 22 walks, 16 strikeouts, 11 doubles. And look, in his last 10 games, Jose Ramirez has a 1393 OPS, so he certainly picked it up. Hey, real quick, Jose Ramirez or Paul Goldschmidt? Oh, Ram.
Starting point is 00:11:27 Pass. The problem is nobody is giving you Jose Ramirez for Paul Goldschmidt. No, probably not. Yeah, no, I'm just asking who you would take now if you were drafting. I'll take Jose. I agree, because I don't have any doubts about Jose Ramirez, and he was awesome last year, and he plays a more difficult position to fill. And he's running a little bit.
Starting point is 00:11:48 He's running. He'll probably steal more bases than Goldschmidt, right? Oh, for sure. Yeah, but that should have been the expectation. Not really. They were very close last year. He sold 17 last year, 22 the year before. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:12:01 Okay. Yeah, and they weren't that far apart. on draft day. Goldschmidt was an end of the first start of the second pick by the time we got through all of our Humidor panic, and Ramirez was an end of the second pick. So, yeah. Yeah, and it's pretty interesting. So Jose Ramirez, you are awesome.
Starting point is 00:12:20 And I also didn't realize how young he was, because we talked about this when we did Dynasty talk on Friday is, what, 26 years old. So if you have him at a Keeper League, Dynasty League, you are in good shape. He's still 25. 25. Wow. 26 so old. Monday standouts for me, two pitchers.
Starting point is 00:12:38 We got to talk about Patrick Corbyn because people are freaking out about Patrick Corbyn. But I want to talk about Jose Cantana first, guys. Four and two-thirds, nine hits, six runs. Now, this felt like it was over the weekend. It was the early game on Monday. Like, who cares? Monday night was so boring. But now, Jose Cantana, he's struggling.
Starting point is 00:12:54 He's got a 523 ERA. He, you know, he was actually pretty good in his previous three starts. But the overall number is not good. What do you think about Kentana? are you concerned about him? I think you probably have to be, just because he's been so mediocre, and the strikeout rate is below average now.
Starting point is 00:13:20 You know, he's back to the strikeout rates that he was running in his White Sox days after an apparent breakout last year, except that he's not inducing the kind of weak contact or limiting free passes the way he used to. it's hard to say, like, yes, you should be concerned just because I'm not, is there a physical issue? What's going on? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:13:44 There doesn't appear to be one. Like, his velocity's down a little bit, but not to a point where it's super concerning. His pitch mix hasn't changed all that much. It's just, well, the results are bad. He's throwing his fastball a lot more than he has the last couple of years. He's not throwing the breaking balls hardly at all. The change-ups stayed pretty normal. And if the one thing I noticed, because he's,
Starting point is 00:14:05 Like the walks are really weird And he's not doesn't seem to necessarily have a problem with control His percentage of pitches in the strike zone are pretty similar The percentage of pitches he's throwing outside of the strike zone That batters are swinging at though has plummeted So he is not getting people to chase pitches Which kind of makes sense if he's not throwing his slider in his curveball very much So this is Jose Cantana we're talking about
Starting point is 00:14:31 And the other guy I mean look Patrick Corbyn I did make a point to watch his start last night Watch most of it and he had six innings of two-run ball, and then he came out for the seventh, gave up a couple singles. They took him out of the game, both runs scored, so it ends up being four runs and six innings on six hits. It's a really good start with one walk and eight strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:14:49 16 swinging strikes. There's really nothing not to like. His slider looked great, and it is great. But I think the fastball is a real concern. I don't know what's going on with the velocity, but it's, I think three starts in a row now where it's down. I think it was a little bit better yesterday. could just be a mechanical thing.
Starting point is 00:15:06 We do see this sometimes. And for his velocity being down, the results are still pretty good. This is the most runs he's allowed all season. Four runs. 253 ERA. So Corbin or Cantana, who would you guys rather have?
Starting point is 00:15:22 I think it's Corbin, right? Corbin. Corbin. And do people want to know if they should sell high on Patrick Corbyn? What do you think? So what he's shown over the last, I think it's,
Starting point is 00:15:34 It is three starts in a row now. Should people sell high on Patrick Gordon? No. I would trade him for Chris Archer. That's an interesting one. I would trade him for Zach Grinky. I would trade him for Zach Grinky. I would not trade him for Chris Archer.
Starting point is 00:15:53 Is Zach Granky a buy low? No. I don't think so. Would you trade him for... I think his ERA's a little inflated, but... Would you trade him for U. Darvish? Corbin or Darvish? No.
Starting point is 00:16:03 No, no. I'm going to have to... I need to see U. Darvish. And I know Scott has really no concerns, and I think that's a valid take to have also. But the way I feel about you Darvish right now is I need to see something good. Yeah. Okay. All right.
Starting point is 00:16:18 So those would be Monday standouts. Coming up on the show, we do have team name Tuesday. We are going to be fantasy regulators a little bit later. If you want your league situation regulated, just mount up and write us an email. Fantasy baseball. at CBSI.com and put fantasy regulators in the subject line, fantasy regulators. We got the Pollock News. We got 10 emails in five minutes.
Starting point is 00:16:46 That's not coming up in five minutes. We will do that segment in five minutes. We'll talk about Lance McCullors. We'll talk about Carlos Carrasco. Sean Maniah, Rick Porcelo, Joey Lucchasee, some deep bleak stuff. Jose Baltista is doing okay. Fun with Fangraphs. And right now it's, hey, real quick.
Starting point is 00:17:02 So we're taking Ramirez over Goldschmidt. Hey, real quick. This is a weird one. Rafael Devers or Mitch Hanigur. I know they're not playing the same position or anything, but who's got more value? Raphael Devers or Mitch Hanager? Hanager.
Starting point is 00:17:15 Crushing the baseball. Yeah, it's probably Hanigar, and we just haven't seen anything special from Rafael Devers yet. Seven home runs isn't bad, but he homered yesterday for the first time in nine games. I mean, I agree. He's 21st in points. He's 15th in Roto.
Starting point is 00:17:32 He's got a ton of strikeouts, 47 strikeouts in 40 games. Are you at all worried that the hot start from Hanager was Fool's Gold? In his last 13 games, Hanager is batting 234 with only two extra base hits, both doubles. Still good plate discipline, though. What do you think about Hanager? I don't think I bought the Hanager thing as much as Heath or Scott. I think Scott moved him into his top 25 at Outfield. I don't, I'm not nearly that high.
Starting point is 00:18:03 So this is more about my concerns about Rafael Devers than really having bought into Mitch Hanover. Yeah, I think I definitely got Mitch Angear my first top 36 outfielders. I'm not sure if I got him quite to the top 25. Outfield is really messy after about 21. Would you rather have Michael Brantley or Mitch Hanigar? Brantley. I would definitely take Brantley in a points league. I think I'd take Hanigur and Roto.
Starting point is 00:18:32 I expect him to hit more home runs. Would you rather have Rafael Devers or Nick Castellanos? Still Devers. Castellanos. All right. Hey, real quick. I know what you're going to say here, but let's just think about it. Alex Bregman or Trevor Story?
Starting point is 00:18:47 Alex Bragman. Alex Bregman. Well, that was real quick. I will say in a league that has, that I can just start Trevor Story at home. And it's like a 10-team league. I have one of those, I would rather have Trevor Story. If there is like a game where your maximum, a league where your maximum games played for each position is 81, I would probably rather have Trevor Story.
Starting point is 00:19:14 I think Alex Breggman is going to be better than Trevor Story, but I do think in a 10-team daily transaction or daily lineups league, where you could have somebody like, I don't know, Andrewton Simmons or someone like that replacement level shortstop to start when he's on the road. Right, right. The stories could be more valuable. Trevor Story has so far been better than Bregman. Story's eighth and points, sixth and rhodo in shortstop. Bregman's 12th and points, 18th in Roto. And Story's got seven more home runs and four more steals.
Starting point is 00:19:46 So, you know, and this is the guy who had 27 home runs in 97 games two years ago. Like the 2016 version of Trevor Story is probably better. In fact, I would say definitely better than anything you're going to get from Bregman. But then again, he had 272 that year, Trevor's story. that's going to probably probably be hard for him. And he's just, he is entirely a product of course field. Like he, over the course of his career, we're seeing that he's just,
Starting point is 00:20:12 he's not good away from home. And yeah, I mean, the overall numbers might end up being pretty good anyway, but I'd still rather have Alex Bregman in that lineup. Story will help for more power, but I think Bregman's going to be better pretty much everywhere else. Who do you think steals more bases for, from this point forward because the seven steals are very nice surprise for Trevor's story.
Starting point is 00:20:36 And that was pretty, he hasn't had any in a while, right? Not as bad as I thought. I thought the same thing. Okay. You know, when you steal seven bases in 40 games, you could easily go, you know, six, seven games, 10 games without a steal. It hasn't been like one stealover's last 20 games or anything.
Starting point is 00:20:52 It hasn't been that bad. I would expect Bregman to steal more. Okay. Would you, hey, real quick, the draft app or any other? DFS app. A draft app, for sure. The draft app.
Starting point is 00:21:05 That's the truth. Hey, sign up on the draft app right now. I get tweets, I don't know, almost every day. Emails almost every day. People tell them they're signing up. Some people are asking me for the promo code, and that's fine. Feel free to reach out. You can email us, Fantasy Baseball at cbsi.com or tweet us.
Starting point is 00:21:21 I am at Adam Azer, A-Z-E-R. And I will give you that promo code if you forget. It is F-B-T-Day. Download the draft app and use the code F-B-T-day to get free entry into a real money baseball draft when you make your first deposit. Again, it's FB Today. You can also go on draft.com. It is a very easy site to use. It is a very easy game to play. It is incredibly fun. You get to do snake drafts. I absolutely love it. You do snake drafts as often as you want. You can play for a buck. You can do baseball, basketball, golf, football, hockey.
Starting point is 00:21:50 They've got a ton of sports on the draft app. They're all really, really fun. And you play for cold hard cash and get paid out the next day. And the drafts don't take a while either. I mean, it's like 30 seconds on the clock. You probably don't need it. The draft gives you projections for the players to help you along. You start one pitch or two hitters or two infielders and two outfielders. Real simple stuff. There are expert modes and things like that if you want to make it more complicated.
Starting point is 00:22:13 But download the draft app. Join me. Follow me. Big Kane 2. You can play against me. I will beat you. I promise FB Today is the promo code on the draft app, which is simply just the most fun way to play Daily Fantasy.
Starting point is 00:22:28 All right, the big news. Sorry for waiting so long, but, you know, he's hurt. Not much we can do about it. A.J. Pollack. Top five outfielder so far. Fifth in points, third in Roto. Batting 2.93 with 11 homers, and he's got 33 RBIs, 23 runs, 9 steals, 10 doubles. Yeah, he's having a great ear.
Starting point is 00:22:46 Sprang his thumb. And he's very injury prone. We know this, and, you know, it looked bad, I guess, whatever. I won't speculate. What's your reaction here? And I guess, first question, any interest in picking up Gerard Dyson, who is 7%? own and has stolen 26 to 36 bases in six straight seasons. Gerard Dyson.
Starting point is 00:23:08 I mean, yeah, there's not that much of a difference between him and Billy Hamilton at this point, right? And I've got, in the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, that's one league where I have Billy Hamilton and my team is good enough that I really only need him for steals. So if you have a team like that where you are confident enough, than the rest of your lineup. Yeah. Gerard Dyson can still be worth using as a steel specialist,
Starting point is 00:23:35 but if it turns out that A.J. Pollock's out for five days or one 10-day D.L. Stent, then it's probably not that valuable. Really excellent job working in how much success you're having in the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational right now. Thank you. Top 35.
Starting point is 00:23:49 That sounds very good, Chris. Can I just confess to something here? I have no idea what the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitationalists. It's a league of league. Experts. 15, 12, 15 team leagues? Well, if it's experts, there's no wonder I don't know what the... And I think most of the CBS sports fantasy analysts are doing very well.
Starting point is 00:24:17 I believe as of yesterday I was in 10th place out of like 150 teams. I think it was 9th. Good job, guys. Thank you. But anyway. Somebody there. Get in that league. Yeah, no.
Starting point is 00:24:29 Anyway. should we talk outfield replacements Let's see He is seeing a specialist today, I believe Which isn't a great sign No That he's going to see a specialist No I mean you usually don't go to a specialist
Starting point is 00:24:44 Just for them to say hey that's a good looking thumb They tough it up Well it never hurts to talk about outfielders Who are being added right now First of all you have Fran Mill Reyes And he is 34% own now He's the most added outfielder And he batted six and went over four with two strikeouts
Starting point is 00:25:00 you've got, we've done with Alex Gordon? That didn't work out well. As soon as I talked about him, he started looking like Alex Gordon from the last three years. How about? Yeah, go ahead. How about Domingo Santana? Oh, God, he's been so bad. He's waking up.
Starting point is 00:25:18 Yeah, they did say he started to swing the bat better. He did go to course. And Brian Braun missed yesterday's game with back issues. Oh, and obviously, obviously, Thames is on something. the deal. Okay, Domingo Santana. That's a good one. So he's not hitting for any power this season. He has a like 70 ISO, which
Starting point is 00:25:38 is D. Gordon-esque. But we know he hits the ball really hard and occasionally he even hits the ball on the air. His ground ball rate is up to like 55%. And that's, he's not going to hit for power that way. But I still think there's much more
Starting point is 00:25:54 upside than he's shown. There's another Diamondbacks outfielder that has been awful so far this year, but maybe he's starting to heat up. Steven Sousa, 58% owned. Also, we have to mention that Delano to Shields is still just 70% owned. Why? I know.
Starting point is 00:26:09 I'll tell you why. And it's a legit reason. Because on CBSports.com, a lot of leagues are points leagues. And he's not a must-own player in points leagues. I disagree. He's a should-own. I don't think he's a must-own. Yeah, he's been very good in points leagues this year.
Starting point is 00:26:22 He has been good. Last week wasn't a great week, but I think a lot of that had to do with the Astros' pitching staff. I owned Lionel de Shields in our points league. So I'm totally about it. 70% owned. I think if you're looking to replace steals and home runs, take a look at Franchie Cordero.
Starting point is 00:26:36 He's 42% owned. Sure. Yeah, I mean, there are gigantic holes in his game, but the power and the speed is real. Yeah. I think I'd rather have Jesse Winkert. Why? He doesn't play every day,
Starting point is 00:26:51 and he's got... What's his ISO? Like 100? I don't really think that Franchi Cordero is going to play every day the rest of the season. Oh. Well, I guess we have to wait and see. I mean, 17 outfielders.
Starting point is 00:27:05 Some version of Franchi Cordero will certainly play every day. Look, they don't, look. Janowski's not a thing. They have four outfielers. They like Janowski, though. And he is, like, the one guy that isn't a carbon copy of everyone else. He actually is good defensively. All right.
Starting point is 00:27:21 I mean, Perel is playing second base. So I hope that they go with... They need to get Margot. Well, they can't give up. on Margo. Okay, you're right, Heath. No, I think Margo, I, I, I am, I'm sorry that I'm not part of the Franchi Revolution. Joey Vottle left with back tightness.
Starting point is 00:27:40 He might sit today. It should be fine. Ryan Braun sat with back tightness. Seattle is putting Gordon at second base, but not D-Gordon. Gordon Beckham is at second base. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. A lot with Andrew Robine. Keenan Middleton is on the D.L.
Starting point is 00:27:55 UCL injury, we know that. Jammer Candelario is on the D.L. D.J. LaMahue is on the D. thumb injury, making that Rockies lineup even worse. Miguel Sino was running, but he's not close to 100%, according to Paul Molitor. You need a catcher. You are going to get four to six more weeks of Mitch Garver. Jason Castro is out four to six weeks.
Starting point is 00:28:15 Garvers, you know, he's been fine. 736 OPS is not that bad for a catcher. He's 4% own. And guys, Jameson-Tyon is considering urinating on his lacerated finger to heal it. So let me pose a hypothetical that I just... Well, no, that's not the... the whole story. He just tweeted it out. He just tweeted about it last night. That's not the whole story.
Starting point is 00:28:34 Let's tell the whole story. Okay. It's not just he's considering. He might set up a sign up sheet for his teammates. Well, that I don't believe. I think he was joking about that. I certainly hope. He tweeted about it last night. He said, I've got to clarify this whole pee on hand thing. People offer up their remedy
Starting point is 00:28:50 opinions. I jokingly said if peeing on it gets me on the field where I belong, I'll put up a sign-up sheet. Not my thing. Promise. Okay, but I don't, I mean, I wouldn't blame him doing it. My question to you is, let's say James and Tion, let's say you were in a Roto League, and you were down like one strikeout, and it was the last day of the season. And James and Tion was your pitcher, and if he started, you were going to win.
Starting point is 00:29:16 And if he didn't start, you were going to lose the Roto League. And it's winner take all. Would you pee on his hand to make sure that he made his start? Of course. Could I pee in a cup? No. Directly on his hand. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:29:29 On the mount. No, it could be a private. There is a long history of hand peeing in Major League Baseball. I don't know if you guys remember. I don't know if there's long history, but yeah, there's a history. Long history. Moises Salu famously peed on his hands in order to alleviate calluses. Jorge Posada peed on his hand.
Starting point is 00:29:52 Jorge Posada also, but, quote, in spring training only. You don't want to shake my hand in spring training before. the game. After the game, it's okay. Most people pee on their hands, and that's why you should always wash your hands after you go to the bathroom. What are you a child? I'm just saying, most people do. Most people pee on their hands.
Starting point is 00:30:13 That's why you're supposed to wash your hands. There's germs in the air. Oh, that's why you're supposed to wash your hands. A good thing. All right, let's do 10 emails in five minutes. I'm putting five minutes on the clock. Here we go. From Nick, uncertain about what to do with Mike Zanino. Should I stick with Zanino or drop
Starting point is 00:30:29 him four. Wellington Castillo, Suzuki, Flowers, Bardhart, Hicks, Hunley. It's a Categories League. I am considering in a two-category league just going with the Braves Catcher Friendship. A two Category League? Two Catcher League. What are the categories?
Starting point is 00:30:45 Catcher. Catcher and catcher. Ames caught. And I'm considering going with the Kurt Suzuki-Tiler-Flower's friendship strategy. Oh, the friendship. But I don't think I would drop Zanino for any of these guys.
Starting point is 00:30:59 I would probably drop him for beef willing. Since coming back, Wellington, or Mike Zanino, rather, since coming off to DL on April 20th, is the number 11 catcher in points and number 8 in Roto. This is a Categories League, so he's number 8 there. Yeah. So he's, you know. He's going to be pretty good. He's going to hurt your average, but every catcher's going to hurt your average. Six homers in 20 games.
Starting point is 00:31:20 Good for a catcher. All right. From John, Dear Gobo, Uncle Traveling Matt and Moki. I have no idea. So I took Grandal in the 24th round. That is all. John just wanted to brag. He's good.
Starting point is 00:31:36 He is good. He is not hitting fly balls, though. He's hitting a lot of ground balls. Does that mean that Yasmani Grandal is a good sell high candidate? Second question, would you rather have Grandal or Gaddis rest of the season? Oh, Grandal, for sure. Grundal. Oh, I don't think he's interesting because he was a fly ball revolution guy coming into the season.
Starting point is 00:31:58 Now, I think what's interesting is that maybe he's become less inconsistent with his launch angle, rather than just, oh, he's hitting more fly balls. Maybe it's he's hitting more line drives. And he is. That's what we're seeing. I think what he's doing is largely sustainable. He'll regress from here to a certain extent. All right, it's Grunda.
Starting point is 00:32:26 From Andrew, is Byron Bucson worth keeping in a lot? a 12-team four outfielder categories league. Yes. Oh. Yes. Okay. From Kevin. I bought low on Chris Archer, or did I?
Starting point is 00:32:38 I traded Lance McCullors for Archer, straight up. I would definitely do that in a point, sir. Yeah. I think I'd rather have McCullors than a Categories league. Yeah. All right. From Shane and Dallas, grade the trade. Oh, by the way, go-bo uncle traveling Matt and mokey or fragel rock.
Starting point is 00:32:59 Gray the trade, dear Mr. Sosa, Mr. Mr. Hagar, Mr. Davis Jr. Those are Sammys. Samis. Give Walker Bueller, get Chris Archer. B plus. Yeah, it's a nice. That's a good one.
Starting point is 00:33:10 Next question is from Thomas and New Jersey. With Jake Lamb coming off to D.L. soon. Oh, this is Brian in Philadelphia. Pardon me. Which bench player should I drop to activate Lamb? Ian Hap, Kyle Schwerber, or Jose Martinez? It's got to be half, right? It doesn't make me happy to say this.
Starting point is 00:33:27 Yeah. It's a good. And now this one is from Thomas and New Jersey. Hey, Ricky, Lou and Billy, all-time steals leaders. I have a log jam at second base. Who do you like rest of season? Jonathan V.R. or Scott Kingery? That's your loggerie.
Starting point is 00:33:43 I think it's probably got to be Kingery. There's nobody else available, huh? I'm not sure you have a log jam. Yeah, exactly. I think that's a different word that you're looking for. Kingery? Yeah. Yeah, I guess.
Starting point is 00:33:59 All right, this is from Anonymous Baseball fan. Would you drop Joey Lou Casey? in a quality start Roto League for Bettis, Duffy, Kingham, or Gohara. I think it's perfectly fine to drop him. I don't think I'd rather have any of those guys than him. No. And he's not of his fantasy baseball today fan. Oh, baseball today.
Starting point is 00:34:19 It doesn't actually like baseball. No, not real. From Blake, am I being too conservative by keeping you Darvish on the bench in my daily league today? They playing the Braves? No, I don't think you're being too conservative. I'm not starting them in my daily league. I might regret that, but I'm sitting Darvish against the Braves. You guys?
Starting point is 00:34:39 Use guys? What? I'm not sorting him. Darb. Yeah. Okay. That's my question. Sorry.
Starting point is 00:34:45 Use guys. It's not really a question, is it? Next question is Matt in Nashville. Matt in Nashville is basically just really fired up about Freddie Peralta. He wants to know how you feel. He is really interesting. He hides the ball very well. He has a little bit of like,
Starting point is 00:35:03 there was a fangraph piece yesterday. He's got a little bit of like the Carter Caps, Tin Linsicum in him. Like he jumps off the mound and it gives him a really good separation. I don't know what the word is. His fastball seems like it's coming in harder than it actually is. And he hides the ball really well, which makes him extremely deceptive. He's like a one pitch pitcher. I'm curious about what Matt actually said that he was actually throwing, because we talked about how he threw all fastballs, basically, and he said he was actually throwing two different fastballs. He's one of those pitchers who he has like one pitch, but he throws it four different ways. Yeah, this is Freddie Peralta we're talking about. Would you drop
Starting point is 00:35:50 Chase Anderson for Freddie Peralta? Yeah. Okay. Would you rather have Jake Ferreira or Freddie Peralta? Ferralta. Sure. Okay. Let's talk a little bit more. about yesterday, and then we'll get too fun with fan graphs, team name Tuesday, fantasy regulators. Jake Oterese, Junior Gera, and Tyler Anderson, where the fringe is starting pitchers from yesterday. Jake O'Darizie, 78% own, really good start against the Mariners, six scoreless with seven strikeouts, Oterese. Junior Gera has a 308 ERA and a strikeout per inning. A lot of walks. And Tyler Anderson, we liked him because of the matchups at San Diego and at San Francisco this week,
Starting point is 00:36:28 and he wasn't very good, but he got the win, and it was good in fantasy. Uh, do you think, um, what do you think about this group? Oteresee, Gera, and Anderson. Otorizi is, uh, worth owning. And that's pretty much it. I think the other guys are just streaming options. Yeah, I, I would agree. And I would throw in as a fringy starting pitcher, Yarpro.
Starting point is 00:36:51 He had been, uh, he's in the deep league section, but sure. Oh, deep league section. Okay. No, he's, uh, Yarbrose 8% owned. I was, uh, I was encouraged. He, he got, had too many walks. against the Royals, but other than that, a pretty solid outing. Yeah, and he only has 13 walks and 34 and a third Ryan Yarbrough.
Starting point is 00:37:07 So if we look at deep leagues, like Ryan Yarbrough, Mike fires, Eric Scogland, Wade LeBlanc are all owned in 8% of leagues or fewer. Yarbrough is the only one from that list I'm considering. Do we care about Nico Goodrum? No. He'd hovered twice for the Tigers yesterday in case you're curious. That's very nice. Do we care about Jose Batista, 22% owned?
Starting point is 00:37:32 No, that was a... That was a Wrigley Field special. That was a, he hit a home run yesterday that had a 16% hit probability, according to stat cast. He hit it at a 44-degree launch angle, which is usually a lazy fly ball. So a little bit of wind help there. All right, Dan, the bullpen, not much yesterday.
Starting point is 00:37:56 AJ Minter got a save, but Errodis Viscayano had pitched two days in a row. Josh Hayter, he pitched the seventh and the eighth. They were leading four to two. he threw 31 pitches. I don't know if he would have come out for the 9th, but it was still 4 to 2. By the time the Diamondbacks batted in the 9th, the Brewers were winning 7 to 2,
Starting point is 00:38:13 so Taylor Williams finished the game. Roberto Azuna's administrative leave was extended to May 21st. As we take a look at the rotation from yesterday, six pitchers who are highly owned, I'll lop off Joey Lucasey, because we sort of already talked about him. Like, I'm dropping Lucasey tonight in one of my Roto leagues. He gives you five innings every time.
Starting point is 00:38:33 He was pitching through an injury, yesterday. He had a glute issue yesterday. It messed up his mechanics. So I think that might explain the two strikeouts. He didn't pitch very well. I don't... We don't think Lucchese is a must-drop by any means. No. But he's droppable, right?
Starting point is 00:38:49 He's not a must-to-own. Yeah. All right. So the other guys in the rotation, Lance McCullors. Carlos. Disappointing yesterday, Carlos. Julio Tehran. Shawmaniah, Rick Porcelo. who is
Starting point is 00:39:03 this is actually a pretty interesting group what do you think about McCullors Carrasco, Tehran, Mania and Porcelo tell me who you're intrigued by Okay so McCullors and Carasco we know they're good We don't really need to spend much time talking about them
Starting point is 00:39:20 Taran and Porcelo I think are very interesting just because they've both been pretty huge surprises this season but we're starting to see Porcelo especially there's some cracks showing here. And I wasn't totally bought in
Starting point is 00:39:40 on the Rick Porcelo bounceback, so I don't know, maybe you missed your opportunity to sell high. I wonder if you could buy low at this point, if you'd even want to. Maybe people just aren't buying with Porcelo and you are, because I kind of am. I'm buying him as a good pitcher, not like a...
Starting point is 00:40:01 Like useful, like a Tanner Roark? Yeah, yeah. I'd say something like that. And it's just, I don't know if it's hard to find useful pitchers right now because we have had an influx of exciting pitchers. The question is, I don't know how good those pitchers are going to be, those rookies. Well, that's the thing about if you're going to try to go get Rick Porcelo, you're probably, like, I don't see why anyone would trade Rick Porcelo to you for someone like Tanner Roark?
Starting point is 00:40:26 Because they already have someone like Tanner Roark? I wouldn't, I wouldn't want. I wouldn't give Roar for Perce. So you're trying to buy Porcelo, are you going to give up one of these young starting pitchers that has a much lower floor, but a much higher ceiling? Well, that's the thing. In terms of innings, I don't know that they do have a higher ceiling because if these young starting pitchers get treated like Joey Lucasey, who's basically never going six innings, then I would rather have Rick Porcelo than those guys. I don't know who's going to get turned loose for seven-inning starts. I don't know if you're ever getting quality starts.
Starting point is 00:40:58 Ever, I shouldn't say ever. I don't know if you're frequently enough going to get. quality starts from the Walker Bueller's, the Joey Lucaseys of the world, and they're on different levels, I guess. But you know what I'm saying? Like those young pitchers, the innings are going to be a concern. I would, here's the one that makes a lot of sense to me. You're the Rick Porcelo owner. You send an offer right now to the Blake Snell owner. Blake Snell struggling a little bit. The R.A. is up to round four. Yeah. That's one that I would do. Oh, Snell and a heartbeat. We all really like Snell, right?
Starting point is 00:41:29 What's that? We all like Snell a lot, right? Oh, for sure. Oh, yeah, Snell's the man. Snell, by the way, has, like, a minor groin injury, and I think that probably explains. He's expected to make his next start, but I think that's probably some explanation
Starting point is 00:41:44 for his struggles against Baltimore on Sunday. And he's a pitcher who is going deep in games, when he's pitching well and up to. They're not, and they said that before the season, they're not worried about limiting him the third time through the order. Yeah, would you rather have Fernando Romero or Rick Porcelo? Porcelo. Yeah, definitely Porcelo in a points league.
Starting point is 00:42:05 Okay. News and notes. The Yankees sent Brandon jury to AAA. It's actually somewhat significant because that means Miguel Anduhar stays up. I don't know if that's a long-term thing, though. Andes haulsed off and they still like jury. But for now, Andrew Har's up. Nick Castellanos.
Starting point is 00:42:19 Yeah, go ahead. They're going to have to make a decision, I think, this week, they said, with Greg Byrd as well. I don't know if you guys talked about this yesterday, but I think they said at the end of this homestand on his minor league stint, he's not going to be with that minor least. Sorry. What happened? What is happening?
Starting point is 00:42:42 We've got major feedback slash echo. Yeah, I had to listen to my own voice. It was pretty awful. Now you see a flyer. Yeah, bad news. It's scary. Now you know why we have one-star reviews. All right.
Starting point is 00:42:55 So what were you saying, Chris, about Greg Burr? after the end of the minor league homestand that he's currently on? At the end of his minor league homestand, he's not going to be at his current spot. He's either going to be called back up. I was reading it yesterday, or they're going to send him, they're going to option him down to AAA. So that decision is coming soon, and this infield is packed. It's crowded.
Starting point is 00:43:19 Neil Walker's playing first base, so I think that they'll prefer Greg Bird there. Are you talking about jury or Bird? Bird. Interesting. Nick Castiano sat George Springer returned. Evan Gaddis went one for three with a double. He's 71% owned. I think that should be higher.
Starting point is 00:43:35 Trevor Cahill is going to start at Boston on Wednesday. Irvin Santana through live batting practice. Danny Etchavaria had an incredible slide at Kansas City. This was amazing. You should look up at Danny Etchavaria's slide at home plate. Lucas Duda is on the DL with Planner for Citis, and Nate Avaldi was scratched from a rehab start with a hip muscle strain. It is time for Team Name Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:43:56 For some reason, this is almost all. Braves themed. Ozzie Albis Oxenfree. Nope. And justice for allbies. Okay. I think it's because we discerned it was pronounced Albies. We're getting these.
Starting point is 00:44:15 All bees, things that I've done. Why not Al's Bees there for you? We've already had that one. We've had that one before, yeah. O-Sinocana UCC. Nope. Is that sure they have them? O'Day, Kana, UCC? That's better. That's better. A little.
Starting point is 00:44:35 Gohara or go home. Gohara, go home. I like that one. Yeah, it's an old one. Yeah, warmer. Juan Soto and Chubaka. Okay, that's, yeah, that's fine. We may have had this one before, but it's good. Glaber metrics.
Starting point is 00:44:49 Sure, very good. That's a good one. Neres Bueller's O'Day off. Okay. Yeah, good. Too much. This one, this one. Matt's Gio.
Starting point is 00:45:02 Okay, yeah. Yeah, with like an apostrophe? Yep. Oh, no, there should be an apostrophe. Yeah, there should be an apostrophe. Let's have fun with Fangraphs, and then we'll finish the show with the fantasy regulators and a look at today's games.
Starting point is 00:45:15 All right, first thing on Fangraphs. Jose Altovae has a career high, hard contact rate and a career low soft contact rate. So do we just expect him to start destroying the ball soon? Yes. And it being, you know, showing up in the numbers. All right, actually, so here's the thing. Since Kreeh is on the show today, I kind of want you guys to lead this segment.
Starting point is 00:45:34 I don't know. There are some categories that I would look up, but you tell me, like, should we look up hard contact rate, walk rate, fly ball rate? We do hitters first and then pitchers and see who the leaders are and what it means for fantasy. Where would you like to go with this? Let's go with hard contact rate. Okay. So let's hit the batted ball tab here. and maybe be better if you guys did this.
Starting point is 00:46:03 Well, I have, we haven't played the most fun game with fan graphs yet this season. Okay, what's that? Where I give you a name of a player that has played baseball this season, and you tell me who he plays for in what position he plays. I'll try it. Go ahead. We'll just, we'll just do like three or four. Eric Gonzalez, Eric with a cake.
Starting point is 00:46:23 Oh. Oh, he's a relief pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewer. Yeah, that's right. He pitched yesterday, didn't he? Oh, no, not yesterday. He is an infielder for the Cleveland Indians. Oh, you tricked me. I liked how sure Chris was about that one.
Starting point is 00:46:42 So, Gregorio Petit. Petit. Petit. Yeah, so he is, this shut up, Chris. He is an infielder for the Tigers. Right division, right position, but he's. He is an infielder for the Minnesota Twins. David.
Starting point is 00:47:02 I knew that one. Fritos. I have no idea. F-R-E-I-T-A-S. He has 46 plate appearances already this year. He is not a baseball player. He's actually 120-second ranked male tennis player in the world. Thank you very much.
Starting point is 00:47:20 Moving on. He leads Mariners catchers in batting average. Oh, how about that? He's a catcher for the Mariners. One more. Let's see. Let's make it a good one. This is, I think this is a pretty good one.
Starting point is 00:47:36 Let's go with Austin Slater. Oh, he's a football player. Bayside High. Yeah, he definitely, he put together the swimsuit calendar for Bayside High. He is close. He once got drunk. Where in California was Bayside High? are on the bay.
Starting point is 00:47:59 I don't know. So he could be because he now plays for the San Francisco Giants. He is an outfielder. All right. We're running at a time. That was a fun game. Here are your hard contact leaders. J.D. Martinez won.
Starting point is 00:48:11 Yohan Moncada, Matt Davidson, Matt Olson, two through four. Moncada, Matt Davidson, Olson. Freddie Freeman 5. Marcelo Zuna. Andrew McCutcheon. Yadier Malina, Brandon Belt, and Nick Castiano. That's your top 10. That's a crazy top 10.
Starting point is 00:48:29 The noteworthy names, hard contact. Moncada, Matt Davidson, Matt Olson, Ozuna, Andrew McCutcheon, and Belt and Castiana. So here's what I want to point out about that list is that Marcelo Zuna is hitting the ball really hard. But if you break it down on baseball savon, I know it's not a baseball side. This is not a baseball segment. Very, Chris. Well, there's some pertinent information about Marcelo Zuna here. And that's that you can break it up by ground ball, exit velocity, and then fly.
Starting point is 00:48:57 ball and line drive exit velocity. And he has like the 30th highest average exit velocity and he has the eighth highest average ground ball exit velocity, but he's like 170th online drives and flyballs. And that kind of tells you the story of Marcelo Zunas that he's hitting the ball hard, but he's just not hitting it in ways that are conducive to production. And maybe that'll change. He's also hitting a lot more ground balls than he usually does. But that explains why, despite the lofty hard.
Starting point is 00:49:27 hit rate, he's not producing. It's interesting. All right. So with Moncada, with Davidson, with Olson, McCutcheon, do you think better times are ahead for them? I mean, some of them are actually doing well, but not really, actually. Moncada, the only one. Are better times ahead for Moncada, Davidson, Olson, and McCutcheon?
Starting point is 00:49:46 I think Moncada, yes. I'm obviously very excited about him, and he's probably the most exciting name on the list. Chapman and Olson both don't make enough calls. contact to be great in points leagues, but, like, not Chapman, Davidson. We overlooked and overlooked and overlooked Matt Davidson. He did a good option in Roto. Yeah. Okay.
Starting point is 00:50:12 Chris still does not believe it. Well, let me move on. Sorry, Chris. Fly ball percentage. Your top 10 in fly ball percentage. We like fly balls. Fly balls mean home runs. Sometimes.
Starting point is 00:50:22 Gregory Polanco, Leonis Martine, Martinez, Cespitus. Reese Hoskins. Man, Reese Hoskins. Let's get that home run to fly ball ratio up, buddy. Joey Gallo. Trevor Story, Brandon Belt. So Brandon Belt's hitting the ball hard, and he's seventh in fly ball rate. Carlos Santana, Francisco Cervelli, and Didi Grigorous.
Starting point is 00:50:45 Gregory Polanco, Leonis, Martinez, Cespittes, Hoskins, Gallo, Story, Belt, Santana, Cervelli, Didi. Reactions? There's not a ton there. I think that is super noteworthy or unexpected. But I mean, Polanco, I guess this might be an argument for why the Babbitt may not correct all that much, but he's never been a super high Babbat anyway, and it's still way below that. So I still think there's a lot of room to grow there.
Starting point is 00:51:19 I think Joey Gallo is another guy who should also have better days coming. So, yeah, those are my thoughts. The interesting thing, you look at the column right next to that infield fly ball rate, Uranus Cespitus at 19% infield fly ball rate and a 33-Babbitt. That is unusual. Yeah. So what does that mean for Cespiteus? It's just really, like, you would not expect a player with a 17% line drive rate,
Starting point is 00:51:51 a 19% infield fly-ball rate, and a 33% hard contact rate to have a 33-3-Betbick. One of those, yeah, something's going to change. Right. You know, either the line drive rate and the infield fly ball rate are going to come down or the bad-bub's going to come down. Here are your leaders in home run to fly ball ratio. No more Mazarra 38.5%. What's a high, high home run to fly ball? 20% is high, right?
Starting point is 00:52:16 25, so. The highest career rate, I believe, is like 28%. No more Mazar's home run to fly ball rate in May as of, like, Friday was 140%. Which tells you one of the flaws with home run to fly ball rate. A line drive can be a home run. So it technically should be ground ball or fly ball plus line drive divided by home runs. But that's confusing. Okay.
Starting point is 00:52:41 Nomar Mazarra. Matt Davidson. This is Home Run to Fly Ball Rate winners. Uh, leaders. J.D. Martinez. Stanton, Harper, Pham, Schwabber, Aaron Judge, Desmond, Justin Bore I mean Desmond hits like so few fly balls
Starting point is 00:53:01 So when he hits the fly ball it goes out No Mar Mazar Matt Davidson Jaddy Martinez Stanton Harper fam Schwarber Judge this is kind of a boring list The Ler is the clear outlier A lot of those names you heard
Starting point is 00:53:14 On the hard contact rate leader board Which makes sense If you hit the ball hard You should have a higher home run to fly ball rate Especially if you hit your fly ball's hard Going just real quick If you flip this list on its head Jesse Winker, who we were all laughing about his ISO,
Starting point is 00:53:30 has a 37% hard contact rate this year and a 0% home run to fly ball rate. Jason Kipness, 37.3% hard contact rate and a 2% home run to fly ball rate. Yeah, I mean, Winker. So do you think Kipness is done, though? Because, like, no, it looks interesting. I know that you like Winker, and that's a compelling stat.
Starting point is 00:53:53 Can I point one thing out about Tommy Fam? Uh-huh. The home run to fly ball rate is really high. The fly ball rate is only 27.3%. That's really low. But he actually has a lower ground ball rate than he did last year because he has a 26% line drive rate. So the home run to fly ball rate actually isn't as high as it looks. It's kind of like Domingo Santana last year where his line drive rate was so high that some of those line drives were home runs and it inflates the home run to fly ball ratio in a way that is somewhat sustainable.
Starting point is 00:54:25 Now Tommy fan will regress somewhat, but he's hitting the ball in the air more. And I think what he's doing is sustainable. Speaking of Domingo Santana, because we talked about him early as maybe a waiver wire ad and talked about his ISO. He has a 37.7% hard contact rate, which is right about where he, I mean, he's been a guy that hits the ball really hard. He has a 5% home run to fly ball rate. Can you guys? Oh, wait, I think I finally got it. All right. Name the pitcher that leads baseball and ground ball percentage. He's on the Astros.
Starting point is 00:54:59 Dallas Caichael? Wrong. Charlie Morton. Wrong. Lance McCullors. Lance McCullors. Look at your top five ground ball pitchers. Lance McCullors, Jake Areetta, Charlie Morton, Ty Block, Dallas Keichel.
Starting point is 00:55:17 Three Astros. Amazing. And two of them are good. Alice Heigel's been good, Chris. Clayton Richard, Aaron Sanchez, Miles Michaelis. Didn't know that. No walks and a lot of ground balls. That's a good recipe.
Starting point is 00:55:32 You better do that if you don't strike anybody out. I guess so. Gio Gonzalez and Carlos Martinez. Jose Arrania is 11. Tyler Skaggs is 12. I like that. Tyler Skaggs is 12. I like Tyler Skaggs.
Starting point is 00:55:45 Is there a chance Tyler Skaggs just has a huge year? A good chance? I don't know if there's a good chance he has a huge year, because I don't know if there's a good chance he throws 160 innings. But there's a huge chance he has a good year. I think there's a good chance he has a good year. Okay. Okay, that was fun.
Starting point is 00:56:07 Was that fun with Fangraphs? I thought it was fun. I mean, I thought the part where you tried to guess where team players played on was playing. I think we need to have a segment at some point this year. Marlin or, like, Civil War General. I think we should have a Chris segment next Tuesday having a blast with Staccast Oh yeah, there we go.
Starting point is 00:56:28 All right, guys. Let's regulate. Shane in Dallas says dear Mr. De Niro, Mr. Pesci, and Mr. Leota. Yeah, we're regulated. Godfather. Nope. That was a joke, right? Casino.
Starting point is 00:56:43 Okay. I need you good fellas to settle a league dispute about our waiver wire. I just noticed my league's waiver wire is reset each week. based off our win-loss record. My commissioner just happens to have the worst record, so he's number one on waivers. We've played together for years and never has our waiver-wire process been reset after every week. Also, the commission has never been at the top of the waiver wire before this week because he picked first in the draft. We are playing for money, so there is incentive for him to cheat.
Starting point is 00:57:11 He has changed other rules without telling the league. For example, four points for a quality start instead of three. He keeps saying, read the rules. I did read the rules, and that's how I know about the quality start change. I can't prove him wrong because I didn't print out the league rules at the start of the year. Is there a way to prove his shenanigans? I, if it's a CBS Sports League, I would imagine you can contact customer service and they could look that up. I mean, if you really think the commissioner of your league is cheating, and that is what you're saying.
Starting point is 00:57:44 Yeah. You might have to do some investigatory work because this sounds like there may need to be a coup. bigger issue. I hate that rule. And it's a rule that comes... Yes. I believe it's a rule that actually comes from the professional sports leagues. I believe the waiver order is generally based on a team's record.
Starting point is 00:58:06 Yeah. I just really dislike it. Fab all the way. That'll solve all your problems. I think it's BS, though, and I think that, yeah, there should be a coup. If this commissioner is doing that and you can't prove it... You need to prove it. Yeah, that's bad.
Starting point is 00:58:23 All right. He's 0.6. Just make fun of him. If he's doing that, yeah. I mean, make fun of him for being own six despite cheating. Yeah. Okay. From David.
Starting point is 00:58:32 Please tell my league that when people make trades, you can't just veto because they think one team is winning a little. I mean, yeah. Can't do it. You can't do it. Hey, how about you tell your league that you can't veto at all because vetoes for trades are terrible? No, I disagree with it.
Starting point is 00:58:51 Grow up, guys. It's awful. Grow up. Stop vetoing trades. All right, let's take a look at today's games, and I've got to figure out a grade the trade song for tomorrow. I think I know what I'm going to do. All right, Rockies Padres. Armand Marquez at Jordan Liles. I would rather not start either of them, but I guess Marquez, if you need to. Yep. Rinaldo Lopez at Trevor Williams.
Starting point is 00:59:20 I could start both, yeah. Masahiro Tanaka. at Gio Gonzalez. Although I thought that maybe Scherzer was pitching tonight. But let's say it's Gonzalez. Tanaka at Gio. Start both. Start both.
Starting point is 00:59:31 You start both and you just pray like how bad Monster Hero doesn't show up. Nick Povetta at Andrew Cashner. Start Povetta. Yep. Josh Tomlin at Francisco Liriano. I will not. Liriano in a spark situation. Jaime Garcia at Noah Cindergarde.
Starting point is 00:59:51 Noah Cindergarde. Yep. Daniel Magnin at Edwark. Rodriguez. Stardy Rod. Alex Wood at Wei and Chen. Start would. Yep.
Starting point is 01:00:04 Udarvish at Mike Fultenevich. Start both, probably. I would rather not. Boy, the Cubs are hot right now, aren't they? They are slugging. Jack Flaherty on the mound against Jose Berrios. One good young pitcher here. I'm starting to both.
Starting point is 01:00:20 All right, start them both. Okay. Next. Come on. There we go. Anthony Banda at Ian Kennedy. I don't think Ian Kennedy is the worst start ever. I think he's a two-start pitcher this week, right?
Starting point is 01:00:36 He's definitely not the worst start ever. It's not even the worst start in this game. Excuse me. Yolese Chasine at Zach Granky. You neither lease Chasine nor buy him today. But you start at Grinke. You start Garik-Cole. How about Jaime Baria against the Astros?
Starting point is 01:00:56 No, thank you. How about Mike Miner at Mike Leak? There's a James and Tyone joke here. Probably neither. Okay, not Mike Minor, huh? All right. And Reds at Giants. Tyler Mallet, Ty Blach.
Starting point is 01:01:19 So the problem is nobody's going to get a win in this game. Start of both. Mallia Blach. You get it? Nobody's going to get a loss. Oh, a tie. They're going to tie. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:29 Nice, nice. Chris Towers, everybody. Chris Towers. And I am Adam. He is Heath. That other guy is Chris. We are the regulators. We'll talk to you tomorrow.

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