Fantasy Baseball Today - 05/19 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Teheran or Berrios? Week 8 Help, Worryometer

Episode Date: May 19, 2017

Did you see Jose Berrios' domination last night? Is now the time to sell high or are we looking at a rising star (1:00)? Berrios headlines yesterday's major stories that we recap on today's show ... After we discuss Freddie Freeman (7:50) and buy low first basemen (12:30) we're breaking out the Worryometer (21:00) for Trea Turner, Julio Teheran, Dylan Bundy and Tanner Roark ... Two-start pitchers for Fantasy Week 8 (52:00), streaking hitters you can add (39:30) and a thorough discussion of George Springer (46:00) ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

All right, Freddie Freeman owners, it's been a rough 24 hours for you. We're going to cheer you up. We'll give you some first base options, although we already did that yesterday, but we'll do it again for you. And Jose Barrios owners, you should be, like, doing the wave right now. You should be so excited. How great was that? I asked you off the Airman, Ashka, on the year.

Rank these three, Scott and Heath. Danny Salazar, Matt Harvey, Jose Burrios, go. I will say Salazar, Burrios, and then Harvey. And we did get some questions, I think mostly Chris and I last night. on Twitter saying, you were making fun of Scott for saying results don't matter with Harvey, when do results matter with Salazar? I guess the main difference for me is Salazar still has the elite K numbers, and we've seen him have stretches.

So I keep moving Salazar down, but I'm still more encouraged by him than Harvey. So Salazar, Berrios Harvey. I actually have them in the same order, and for all my optimism, about Harvey. The more difficult call between those three pitchers was could I justify moving burrios ahead of Salazar at this point? I'm not ready to

but we're still probably he's probably still in my top 40 already just because there's so much you know elasticity within that group that he quickly emerges

as one of the more trustworthy options. I think I'm going to settle on moving him to 38th, and I could see one more good start, and I could see Burrios my top 30. So 38th for you would be just the head of Madison Bumgarder and Noah Cinderguard. Right. And behind Velazquez, Nola, Robbie Ray. Man, it's tough. You don't want to overreact right now with Brrios, who's 83% owned. Yeah.

But you don't want to underreact. Yeah, well, that's the thing. Like, he's gone seven and two-thirds innings in both of his starts, which in it of itself, before you even get to the fact that it was two hits each time and 11 strikeouts in this most recent one. I mean, seven and two-thirds innings of back-to-back starts, how many pitchers have done that this year, just that? So, like, somebody asked me, you know,

when the internet was a buzz with Barrios fandom last night, it's now a good time to sell high on Barrios, and I was like, I don't know that I'd feel confident that I'm actually selling high. As hard as it's been to find a reliable pitchers, I feel like a high-end starting pitcher is the most valuable of commodities right now, and he could be that. Okay, what is the difference, though, between Barrios and, like, in Amir Garrett, who had that brilliant start against Baltimore and was pitching well, but you guys didn't like the peripherals.

I know that, and he didn't pitch well yesterday. But, I mean, look, I was fairly excited about Amir Garrett a month ago and not as excited as I am about Perrios. And the Rockies strike out a lot. I think they have the fifth most strikeouts in baseball or something, and he struck out 11 of them yesterday. But why should – you know, if you're not – you're afraid of selling right now because it might not be selling high. What's the difference between Barrios and another pitcher we've gotten excited about earlier this year? Well, part of it is a pedigree. Like, Garrett is a prospect or was a prospect, but he was not – you never really –

reached the levels that Jose Perrios did. At the time Barrios got called up last year, he was arguably the best pitching prospect in baseball, and he kind of backslid from there because the performance was so bad. And Garrett, other than that one good start, the strikeouts really haven't been there, and we've really never seen the strikeouts from Garrett. Maybe I shouldn't say never, but we largely haven't seen the strikeouts from Garrett in the minor leagues. Barrios has still, any time they've sent him back to the minors, looked like one of the best pitching prospects in baseball.

Yeah. So it was just, I feel like, and I talked about the mental part after his first start, I feel like at least part of it was mental, and his confidence is just going to continue to grow. I think that's a lot of what he needed. I heard it. I thought it. Like last year, he was nibbling too much. I heard a great explanation, actually, on the broadcast yesterday, and I've watched both of Briosa starts. Not all of it, but enough.

And anybody who's seen him pitch, I'm not breaking any news here. He's got really good stuff. He throws hard. He gets a lot of swings and misses. His curveball's really good. On his pitches. It's just absurd. The one issue with the movement on his pitches is his curveball moves a lot more to the side than it does down.

And that looks really cool, but it's not near as deceiving to better. Well, but that's what Ian Desmond was actually talking about that yesterday, and he said, Jose Barrios looked a lot like Jose Fernandez, in that he said something about like he's got this great curveball that he could sort of make into a slider as well because of the movement on it. I just wanted to mention one thing about Burrios that the broadcast had brought up, and I think Twins fans are aware of this. He started using a major league baseball when he was down in the minors during his side sessions. And I guess he had a lot of trouble adjusting to the major league baseball, which has higher seams than the minor league baseball.

And Berrios said this really helped him a lot now with the adjustment of using. Now, he obviously was pitching in minor league games with the minor league ball, but his side stuff, using the major league baseball for him made a very big difference. That's very interesting. I will correct myself. I think Perrios is going to be 36th because I'm also dropping Dylan Bundy and Julio Taran behind him. Oh, see, that's interesting. Like giving up Burios for Tehran, you know, who's got a nice track.

I would not trade Brrios for Toronto today. Scott, no, I definitely need to move Tehran down, though. I mean, look, it might not really matter because obviously he's going to make about half his starts there, but all eight of the home runs he's allowed have been at home. Yeah. Did you read any of the quotes? I mean, they just seems like a bad fit for him. They seem very unconcerned.

They're just like, this is weird with Julio Taranio. He and his manager, like, he felt good. He just doesn't understand why he's not getting the results. But he doesn't have the – He doesn't have the command right now, right? Yeah, he hasn't – or control. I mean, the walks are high, too. Like, the walks would be enough of a red flag on their own

before the venue changed. But I'd always felt this way about Julio Turan that looking at his peripherals, the home run rate and everything, like it was surprising he was as successful as he was at a neutral park like Turner Field. So you take him from a neutral park, put him in a hitter-friendly park, it's going to lead to trouble. It didn't bother me. It seemed weird that he was successful as he was at Turner Field,

but it had gone on long enough that I was to a point that I'm just not going to worry about it. But now I think it's time to worry about it. Correction. He's now 35th. I just moved Tanner Roark line up. These are all the guys that are all the Worryometer. I'm not even having to do anything. How about that?

All right. Berrios, great start for him. We'll talk more about yesterday's standouts. We'll get your lineup set for week eight as we look at the two-start pitchers. Let's do Freddie Freeman replacements now. We're also going to do the Woreometer for Trey-Turner. We kind of just did it for Julio Tehran, Dylan Bundy, and Tanner Roark. But we'll talk about those guys a little bit more.

Update you on some lineups. Prospects. We'll talk about prospects today. Read some emails at Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. So, look, every single day, it's like we can talk about First Baseman that are homering, Justin Boar and Tommy Joseph again yesterday. Justin Smoke. Yesterday, I asked you about Smoke, Logan Morrison, Justin Boer, and Tommy Joseph. Scott, you said your two favorites were Smoke and Joseph, right? Yes. One you didn't mention was Josh Bell. He would be second on that list behind smoke for me. And Heath, how do you feel about that group? Yeah,

I think I'd probably go with Joseph and Bell, just because I'm an ageist and smoke has failed for so much longer another two. But, Bohr, we didn't talk about Boer much yesterday. I was looking at him a little more after

last night's performance, where I guess he homered again yesterday's performance. He is, first of all, the K rate isn't bad, for a power hitter, it's like 20%. Walk rate's good. The left-handed, the stats against left-handers this year

because he was always a platoon player before this year. It's pretty close to an even split, so it's not like lefties have killed him yet. And he has the 10th best hard hit rate, according to fan graphs, up there with guys like Aaron Judge and Eric Thames. This is Justin Boer we're talking about.

Yeah, Justin. A lot of, He's up there with a lot of elite power hiters and hard hit rate. Miguel Seno's number one, of course, and Boers down there at 10. But most of those guys don't strike out a lot. They do strike out a lot more than Boer does. So he's hitting the ball hard and making contact with it more than some of the elite power hitters in the game. I don't know where exactly to slot him in with that group.

Maybe third for me ahead of Joseph still, but like, There are a lot of options that. None of them are going to perform like Freddie Freeman, but there are useful options highly available at first base. Well, and I think most, maybe not most, but I would guess half of Freddie Freeman owners probably have someone in their outfield that's first base eligible, just with all of the dual eligibility.

Ian Desmond got it recently, so he's first base eligible now. And so I think there's a good chance you can replace him with an outfielder as well and just move somebody to first base like Bellinger, like maybe it's Travis Shaw, maybe it's Jay Bruce, maybe it's Ian Desmond. There's a lot of those guys right now. If you're going to lose someone, a first basement is not a bad one to lose.

Now losing one of the best hitters in baseball for at least 10 weeks, that is a tough break. So let me ask you this about Freddie Freeman. It's a wrist injury. It's a broken wrist. Wrist injuries can really hamper people. I don't know if that's more of like a ligament issue rather than a bone, but do you think he's going to come back and be great, or are you concerned? Because I know some people are going to say, hey, should I buy low and just stash Freddie Freeman? It's a long, long time to wait. But to each his own,

are you concerned about the performance when Freeman comes back? My expectations for the remainder of 2017, once he's healthy, will be lower than they were. I think he'll be fine by next year. But my expectations for the rest of this year are lower than they were before he got hurt. Yes. Okay. It's not, I mean, and that's fair to expect less, but we've seen people, it's possible. Yeah, I mean, we've seen people come back from similar injuries and they're just exactly the same.

So, yeah, it's not like a 100% guarantee thing. Okay, 10 weeks, I mean, we're going into week eight. So a lot of people's, oh, did you tell Jamie to play like a practical joke on me yesterday, Heath? I did not. but I also will not confirm or deny whether I was getting a live play-by-play of the trade negotiations. Yeah, Jamie's like, let's make a by-low offer for Freddie Freeman. And in that particular league where we share the team, the playoffs start, I think, around week 18. They end early.

Right. And I said, I think he's going to come back, and the playoffs may already be underway. And he's like, let's give up Paul Goldschmidt and Sonny Gray. for Freddie Freeman and like two decent pitchers. And I'm like, are you out of... What? One of them was Arieta. Oh, what is Arieta?

Okay. But either way, I was like, are you out of your mind? We're giving you a Paul Goldschmidt at this deal? And he's like, Heath is cracking up right now. I guess you guys were fucking. Okay, good. So I said no to that trade. But, all right, there you go.

That's your Freddie Freeman update. Those are some first baseman you can use. Buy low first basement. If anybody wants to buy low on a first baseman, what would you recommend? Anybody come to mind? There are a lot of buy low options. position too. Miguel Cabrera, Edwin

and Carnacione, even Anthony Rizzo that might be the hardest one to get. I think Edwin and Carnacios and Miguel Cabrera's age and, you know, the fact that Miguel's a little dinged up right now, they're very good by-low

candidates. You missed your by-low opportunity on Chris Davis, unfortunately. You'll have another one in a month. You might. That's very possible. Is Carlos Santana still by low? Heath and I think it would be in a points league because he's for being, for not hitting

well, he's actually been pretty productive. Right. Yeah, Heath and I broke that down. He's not so good in April and May consistently. And then Santana always seems to finish strong. I love the Incarnacio and idea. I think that's the guy that you got to try to go after for the Freeman owner right now. Or really, anybody.

I would be more interested in doing that with him than I would, Cabrera, I think, just because career is not healthy. Yeah. Yeah, I got the oblique thing going on. I don't know that he's been healthy all year. All right, well, there's some first base options for you. Let's move on. We got to talk about from yesterday before we get to the week eight stuff.

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And they've got some stores as well around the country if you want to check those out. So Burrios is the number one standout. I'm going to give one more and then you guys can have the floor. Sunny Gray. Sunny Gray with his best start of the year with 16 swinging strikes. He recorded 23 swinging strikes over his first three starts and 16 last night against the Red Sox. Six innings, three runs, two runs in the first inning, only four hits, eight Ks. Very good stuff.

He said he used his change-up more than he had in the past. Yeah, so Sunny Gray is 79% owned, and I think clearly the most encouraging start so far for Sunny Gray. Yeah, I mean, the fact that he had a 450 ERA, you might gloss over it, but the 16 swinging strikes, I think, is the biggest deal from this performance, just a level of deception that we haven't seen from him in quite a long time. I'm looking at last year's game log. the most swinging strikes he had in any start last year was 11. Wow. So that shows you... Well, he's never been a huge swinging strike guy.

Sure, but he's obviously been more deceptive than he was last year when he was getting crushed. And it's not like the stuff ever went away. So I'm still trying to figure out what exactly went wrong for Gray last year, but they're already encouraging signs this year. He's going to be approaching my top 60 starting picture. Okay, yeah, so 79% O'd, and looking at the schedule, it seems like Gray is lined up to face the Marlins at home next week,

which would be a must start, right? Yep. Well, maybe is must start a little too strong? It's a little strong. Yeah, I think I overreacted. He's less than must start in any one star week right now, but you could certainly think about starting him with that match up. Maybe for you guys that invested a lot in starting pitching, that's true.

For my teams, that's a must start. And if he gets bumped for any reason and pitches on the sixth day, it would be at the Yankees, which would be a must sit, I would imagine, for Sunny Gray, right? A little strong, too. There's no way I'd start him at the Yankees. He's a ground ball pitcher. But like you hit a ground ball toward first base, it ends up going over the wall at Yankee Stadium, you know? All right, well, you do what you want out there.

Any other standouts for you, fellas? I think Danny Duffy. The stuff was back last night against the Yankees. The strikeouts were there. Duff stuff is tough, right? Yep, it's exactly right. Thank you, Rex. And, like, I hadn't moved Duffy down too much anyway,

but any concerns that I had looked like Velocity was back up just a little bit as well. Very, very encouraging. This is risky to say With Jason Hayward on the verge of returning from the DL So we're about to get some clarity one way or the other But Starting to think he and Hap's going to stick around Yeah

Starting to think he is They keep batting him clean up And he keeps producing Yeah And I saw There was an article on the Cubs official website About Javier Baez He hit a Grand Slam yesterday, whatever

and in it they talked about how they asked him about the prospect of him getting traded now that he enapsed up for some pitching help because apparently there's some buzz about that and you know he gave the typical baseball player answer when asked about the possibility of being traded but just the fact that that's like it's circulating to the point that it's getting back to the player

is interesting Ian Kennedy for Javier Baez, let's do it. The best thing that that might have going for him, I know it's early, but the Cubs, they're not in first place. They're not killing people. They're not dominating. They need a win. I'm not saying that the outlook long term is bad or anything, but they got to get things together here, and he's hitting, you know, so get him in the lineup. I thought about Javier Baez for Julio Tehran, so I was doing the same sort of exercise there.

Jordan Montgomery for Javier Baez. I'll get it out of the fun too. Why not? No, pass, hard pass. Paneda. So the lineup yesterday for the Cubs had Zobris leading off and in right field. Schwerber sat yesterday against a lefty. Mine just been a day of rest.

Zobris led off. Bryant was back at third base. Hat-batting clean up and played left field, and he doubled. He went two for four by the walk and a strikeout and a double. You had Russell at short. You had Baez at second. You had Albert Almora in center field. So, you know, as Scott has said, that could easily be Hayward in center field.

And then, you know, you get Schwerver back in the lineup. Let's just, yeah, let's get biased. Or let's get Addison Russell out of there. Let's get bias to short, get Addison Russell out of there. You know, to play devil's advocate here, an outfield of Kyle Schwerver and left, Jason Hayward and center, Ian Happen, right. Doesn't sound great? Defensively? Oh, yeah.

Yeah. Yeah. I think it's really interesting, because he's outfield eligible now. Yes. Has not played a game at what would be considered as natural position. Second base, right? Yeah. Yeah.

All right, that's HAP. I mean, as deep as outfield is, the two leagues where I own HAP, I can't get him in my lineup because I have a great second baseman. So I'm thankful he's eligible at outfield now, as I'm sure many of his owners are. So, Danny Duffy, by the way, he did strike out 10. He struck out five of the first six batters. He faced that. I don't know how much you watched. It must have been a very exciting night for you.

They finally got a win. Did lose velocity as the game went on, but it was still, like, he started out in 95. He was pitching like 92 in the 6th inning. He looked outstanding. And two horrible starts for Duffy against the White Sox. Everything else has been really good. But we should probably talk about Dylan Bundy and guys like that. We'll get to them in a second.

Yeah, no, let's do it now. Let's do the Wariometer. Okay, we're usually Wariometer is a Wednesday thing, but it's Friday, and I'm trying to upset people as they go into their weekend. That sounds like something you'd do. Yeah, Worryometer Friday. Can we calibrate the scale? Ten is I'm benching them for next week.

Is that right? Yeah. Okay. No. No. I think 10 needs to be worse than that. 10 is, let's forget about starting sitting benching right now. And let's just say, generally speaking, how worried are you about this player?

Okay, because I think that's all right. I hate it. I think it's all right, too. I want calibration. No, because in this case, they're all must-own. So nobody's dropping these guys, except maybe row arc. I said 10 should be benching them. But I don't want to just know about that.

I want to know more long-term, okay? I think I might give a lot of tens if we made 10. Okay, let's just do it. Trey Turner, away from Corse Field, is batting 188 this year with two home runs, five doubles, seven RBIs in 26 games. Trey Turner, Wuriometer. Look. Uh, worryometer for me is about a six. I have some concern here. The strikeout rate is up significantly from last year. And, uh, you know, obviously he's not, I don't think he's hitting the line drives at the same rate. I probably look that up before I just say it. But mainly the strikeout rate and the fact that we're this deep into the season and he hasn't really gotten hot yet. He just basically had a good series at Coors Field. I do think,

Well, you know what? That actually doesn't apply either. So, yeah, I'm a little concerned. Not to the point that I'm benching him or, you know, thinking about mailing it in on him, selling low on him, anything like that. It's just a little bit of concern. I'll say eight just because he was drafted in the second round in the majority of leagues. And I've gotten to the point to where it's going to be extremely difficult for him to deliver on that type of value.

Okay. So his line drive rate is where. way down, but his Babbup is only 289, even though he's hitting more balls to the opposite field. So he still profiles as a high Babbif guy, and he has a below average Babbitt right now. So just from that

strict perspective, and look, he's hitting 236. I think it probably goes without saying he's going to But if he hits 270, Trader... Yeah, let me... Okay, So, obviously we're concerned about Turner. I think we're lowering our expectations.

expectations. It's like, I think in this case, unless you think he's going to get sent down, you could be both worried and lowering your expectations about Turner and also looking to buy low, which I kind of am. Like, I don't think he's going to have a great ear necessarily, but I feel like if I could get him cheap, just because of the steals. He's still got some steals. And I'm hurting in steals. So, I mean, he'd be a tough player for his owner to give up because A, his owner expected him to carry him in steals. And B, he should. shortstop eligible. But it's worth a try, sure. Would you give up Eric Fames for Trey Turner? No, I don't think I would. I might. Because I think you might get somebody to take that deal. I think I would give up Aaron judge for Trey Turner.

Oh, yeah. Without a doubt. You would? Okay. I still have Turner in my top 10 outfielders. Yeah, I've dropped him. He's not in my top five-second basement or shortstop anymore. I mean, like, I do believe

not in every case, but I do believe in the sophomore slump. And I think like, you look at Michael Conforto, you look at Miguel Sino, they're great recent examples, and we could go back in time. There are many of them. And maybe this is the sophomore slump for Turner, and he's going to bounce back and have a great year next year. But I don't want to be sitting there like, yeah, I'd give up. I just said I'd give up judge, and I would.

But I think it's important to at least give the other perspective that you make a buy-low offer for Trey Turner and he just has a stinky year. I want to hear an Azer offer for Trey Turner. I'm a believer in Aaron Judge in like, you know, just kind of in a vacuum, a broad sense. But I have a hard time believing Trey Turner will be, if you give up Aaron Judge for Trey Turner and let's say Judge hits 40 home runs this year, I still think you're going to be satisfied with Turner. I don't think, like the ceiling is so much higher because of all the different things he does. And I think the floor is pretty high, too. Okay. All right, let's move on to our next guy.

An azer offer for Trey Turner, by the way, would be like Brett Gardner for Trey Turner. That, yeah, that would be an Azer offer. I might drive where you were, on you. Julio Terran, 0 to 10. Julio Teron on the Worryometer. He's not, nothing's going well. Like, there's not anything you can point to and say, well, at least he's doing this. Well, he's got a .71 ERA and four road starts.

Okay, there you go. Maybe they can just work it to where he always pitches on the road. The Braves aren't playing at Corse Field now. It's not like this is some bandbox of a ballpark. It's pretty small. Anytime you're 370 something in a gap, but that's a pretty small park, especially in right field there.

I do think it's one of the top 10, I don't know exactly where it ranks, but I would guess it's in the upper third of the, the league in terms of being hitter friendly. Instead of giving me a number on the Wariometer, how many more bad starts before you consider dropping Tehran in a 12-team league? Five.

Maybe like three. I'm going, I was going to say nine, but I don't know. Maybe it sounds like I'm more worried than he. Nine on the Wariometer, you mean? Like, if, when I say, bet you just said, okay, the way you phrased the question was how many more bad starts?

I'm assuming you mean consecutively. Yeah. If there's a couple of great starts mixed in there, obviously that buys him a longer leash. Right. If his next three starts are bad, yeah, I'm thinking about dropping. You're going to start Julio Taran and his next road start? Where is it?

Depends on the matchup. Can you look it up? I could. Yeah, why don't you do that? We'll move on to our next guy. Or I can look it up for you. Dylan Bundy. Dylan Bundy, you finally had a bad start, you know?

but the peripherals have always been a little scary. He's not striking guys out. Last start was a great start at Kansas City. But last night, six runs and six innings, three strikeouts, two homers at Detroit. Dylan Bundy, zero to ten on the worryometer. I will go eight on him. And it wasn't this start that causes me to worry. I have been suspicious of this performance anyway.

So, you know, two days. ago. I probably would have said eight as well. Yeah, I can't really disagree with any of that. All right, so that's Dylan Bundy. So you would take Barrios over Bundy? Yes. Yep. Would you take... Our next guy, Tanner Roark. Tanner Roark or

Dylan Bundy, who would you rather have? Roark and Rodo, because I think he's better, but Bundy, because of his FARP eligibility and points. Yeah. Oh, man, it sounds weird to say you'd prefer Roark and Rodo. anybody. Yeah.

Because he's such a points league guy. But I expect him to have better ratios than Bundy. I'd probably take Bundy in either case, actually. Just, like, I don't want to undersell Bundy. Like, if Barrios is on waivers right now, and he's probably, like, 85% owned or something now, so that's a small number of leagues. But just hypothetically, Berrios is on waivers. I sincerely doubt Bundy's going to be the one I'm dropping for him,

just because perceived value is so high, you know? Yeah. Like, if I'm forced to drop one of Roark and Bundy today, it's Roark. I feel like there's a better chance of them just going unclaimed. Give me an estimated ERA for Dylan Bundy rest of season. 3.85. That's pretty good. I was thinking 375, so yeah, we're on the same page.

Would you rather have Irvin Santana or Dylan Bundy? Bundy. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. Bundie. Julio Tarana is a two-start pitcher next week. He is home against Pittsburgh and at San Francisco.

Julio Taran. I'm starting him. Yeah, I think with that second matchup and the fact that, you know, there's two of them. Yeah, do it. And Pittsburgh's got like one and a half major league hitters. And Toronto just put up nine on him. They have one and a half major. So they have Adam Frazier and Josh Harrison, or Josh Bell, I get you, right?

but not that McCutcheon guy. All right, let's get to the big news. We did the big, big, big news with Freeman at the top of the show. Here's the rest of the big news. It's not that big. Adrian Gonzalez returned to the Dodgers lineup. They had Cody Bellinger in left field. I already told you about the Cubs lineup.

Toronto suspended Kevin Pilar two games for what he said, which was awful, and that two games began yesterday. Trevor Story is beginning a rehab assignment. He's recovering from a shoulder injury. Tyson Ross is making progress, if you are looking for a stat. Maybe Tyson Ross? What's your excitement o meter on Tyson Ross? It depends on how his stash looks.

Is it like one of those that curls up at the end? I can't see that. I can't see that with Tyson Ross. He's going to need a good start before he gets back into my top 100. Ooh, okay. Yonder Alonzo is a sore knee. He is expected to miss a few days. There's no structural damage.

Justin Turner is probably D.L bound. He heard of say, well, Well, maybe I'm jumping the gun, but it looked bad. Justin Turner hurting his hamstring. Who got picked up in our 16-team league? Chris Taylor, is that guy? Is that the... Yeah, he's been crushing it, and Forsy's supposed to come off the DL on Sunday or Tuesday next week.

So I think everybody probably expected him to stop playing very much, but I don't think he will. Who, Chris Taylor? Yeah, he should just play third base. Okay, Chris Taylor, not a terrible injury replacement, is that fair to say in a deep league? I mean, I don't have a lot of confidence in his ability just because he's been hot. But in a 16-team league, that's a hot hand you can write. In a vacuum, who do you like better as an injury replacement? Actually, this guy is not even an injury replacement, but Adam Frazier, who's hot, or Taylor, Chris Taylor?

I'll take Frazier. Yeah, long term I'd take Brazier, yeah Okay, dokey James Paxton could be back in two weeks And is James Pazos the Seattle closer? Yeah, Jerry Depoto, their GM Said Gave some indication that he would be

The most logical choice to fill in For Diaz, well Diaz is working on his mechanics Which was news to me I mean, good strikeout rate out of the bullpen but he's a left-hander, Pazos is. So, you know, every time they frame this situation, it's like while Diaz is working on his mechanics, so I don't know that you need to rush out and add Pazos everywhere.

But in those leagues where saves are scarce and anybody who could sniff saves needs to be owned, he's now a candidate. I don't know if we've ever talked about the trade that Scott and I made just before Edwin Diaz lost his job. Scott told me about it. Yeah, it's... It turned into an ather trade so far.

I guess so. Not my intention. I think it was very fair in the beginning, but Jose de Leon is moving up to AAA. What was the trade? It's a Dynasty League. And I traded Edwin Diaz for only $3. Very valuable. This is a salary contract league as well.

So Diaz is just on a $3 contract. I traded him to Scott for Jose de Leon and Mariners' top prospect, Tyler O'Neill. Okay. Yeah. I mean, I still feel good about the trade of Diaz reclaims the role, but if he doesn't, then it was just completely gave you two prospects for nothing. It was like 10 days before he lost his job. Always dangerous to trade for closers, especially in leagues with long-term ramifications like that. But I think the Mariners still believe Diaz is their most talented reliever, and I think so too.

So hopefully that will still prevail. Yeah, it might be a little while. Apparently, his mechanics are like really out of whack, but they're working on it with Edwin Diaz. And last night, Nick Vincent pitched in a tie game in the ninth inning at home, and he ended up getting the win. That's usually a spot that the closer pitches in. So even though Pazos was mentioned, it's not, I don't know that he's going to get every save chance or even... Are you saying that you should Pazos before you rush out? Probably. Probably. All right, so we have so much to talk about, but people always want to know about prospects. So Scott White, who's in the latest prospects report?

My top five to stash right now, and in the column, I don't just do top five to stash. I do five prospects who are doing big things in the minor leagues, but maybe not getting as much attention and fantasy. So you'll keep in on it. You'll want to check out the column, too. But the five to stash for right now are still Yon Magata, number one on the list. still have Ahmed Rosario. Don't totally buy the Met story that he's not a candidate to call up.

If they have any hope, if they have any ambitions of winning this year, they are going to need to make that change pretty soon. He's up to like 360 now at AAA. Okay, that's Ahmed Rosario. And you still have Moncada number one, but he's on the DL now. Does that change anything?

Oh, man, when did that happen? Last night, I believe he's on the seven-day DL with a thumb injury. Okay. Well, you're breaking news to me, so I don't know the extent of the injury. If it's just a minor day-to-day thing, no, it doesn't really change anything

because I don't think his arrival was around the corner anyway. But I'm talking on little information here. So, Rees Hoskins, which, you know, Tommy Joseph has gotten hot in the major leagues. We've talked about him as a potential pickup at first base for Freddie Freeman owners.

So Reese Hoskins has come into, run into a little bit of a roadblock there. But every week his numbers get better at AAA. And he just looks like a monster hitter in terms of power and plate discipline and hitting for average. Like, I just think he's going to be a stud in fantasy. I don't know when he's going to get called up. It'll be some point this year. I don't know what's going to take if it'll be a Joseph injury or another slump or whatever. but you want to keep him close by in leagues where any prospects are worth stashing, Reese Hoskins.

And then rounding out the list, I'll go with Lewis Brinson and Franklin Barreto, who have been on this list a lot and really haven't, there hasn't been a lot of signs that maybe they're on the verge of getting promoted, but there's not a lot of signs for any prospects right now. So I think they're still among the closest for me. All right, I have Moncada, Rosario, Reese Hoskins. Who else we got? Lewis Brinson and Franklin Burretto. Okay, and as far as I just didn't hear you because I was looking up the Yuan Moncada stuff.

So no structural damage or anything like that. The MRI was clean. It's been, I guess, a nagging injury, according to what I'm reading now for him. He's been struggling a little bit lately. So hopefully, you know, a week, two weeks or so of rest for Moncada will do the trick. So that doesn't really change anything. He had been in a three-day slump, something like two for 14 in the last three games. Man, worry city.

I think I had a request on Twitter to say something about how Munkata will not be coming up anytime soon, like I did with Bradley Zimmer, and then Zimmer came up the next day. So I would not expect to see Munkata until at least after the ultimate. I know. Zimmer was in my top five to stash for a while there, and then I had removed him, and that's when he gets called up. Yeah. No way we're seen been caught

until all the Ulster after the Ulster break and he probably won't be any good then. Sometimes there's just not a lot

of forewarning for these things even with big prospects just one day they're getting called up and you're like oh. Very often.

Very often I feel like that happens. All right we're going streaking guys. Get excited after I tell you a little bit about some more fantasy

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Okay, that's really great. Thank you, Heath. Victor Martinez, I'm just going to read all five of these names, and you tell me if anyone is moving the needle for you. Victor Martinez, who's about to go on paternity leave, is batting 3.39 with three home runs, six walk, six strikeouts, and five doubles in his last 16 games. Victor Martinez, 53% own. Tommy Joseph, we've talked about he homered again. That's four home runs in his last eight games. Hunter Renfro.

I think I mentioned him on Monday or Tuesday or something. He's made an adjustment. He's not swinging outside the zone. And in his last eight games, he has eight walks, seven strikeouts. He has three home runs. He's hitting well. Hunter Renfro. Tim Anderson.

Yeah. Yeah, there we go. All right. Last seven games for Tim Anderson. He's batting 464 with two home runs and a steel. And that's Tim Anderson, 34 percent own. And then really deep here, Milwaukee's second baseman, Eric Sogard, has been so good. 10 for his last 21 with two home runs since being called up.

V-Mart, Tommy Joseph, Hunter Renfro, Tim Anderson, Eric's So Good, So-Guard. Anything stand out? I think Joseph is the one I'd be most enthusiastic about adding. And then Martinez and Renfro probably next on that list, but it would be a pretty deep league before I look to them. I still can't get excited about Tim Anderson. to strikeout ratio is so bad. 33 to 4. 32 games.

If you're walking that little, you need to be an elite power hitter or base dealer, and he's neither. Yeah, I don't want to say that I think Tim Anderson can have more fantasy value than any of the other hitters, but those other hitters are eligible at positions where I'm not really searching for players.

So that's why I get more excited about Tim Anderson because it would be nice if we had a shortstop that actually did something. I mean, as a hot hand play, I could... Right. But I just, I don't think he's going to be a long-term solution for you, no matter how bad you are, it's your shortstop. I just worry that everybody gets healthy in Milwaukee and Eric Soghar has to play second base for Jonathan VR.

Don't even joke about that. But, no, I mean, like, you can't feel great about that if you're a VR owner, even if it's just like an occasional day off or something like that. But I, like, Sogarde's going to go through an O for 16 soon and be back down. So here comes Eric Sogarde MVP. Well, I'm going to try to skip around here in the notes. I want to read. He runs off Matt Harvey.

I just wanted to point that out. I thought you might like that. What was that stat? One of Sogarde's two home runs was off Matt Harvey. So it doesn't really count. He was used to trip. Oh, did you see the three hitters who homered off Julio Taran yesterday? One was Stroman, right?

One was the guy who heard his shoulder on a swing. Yep. Cossiliani or whatever. Like, Stroman might have been the best hitter. Daryl, Siciliani, Luke Bailey, and Marcus Strobin, Hobart, Holbrod off, Julio Terad yesterday. So, oops. Yeah, all right, let me read a few emails here.

And then after the emails, we're going to do two start pitchers and pick up any other scraps here from yesterday. By the way, John Heyman reporting says the nationals are looking at a, lot of closers to trade for. Calvin Herrera, Calamay, Malanson, A.J. Ramos, Roberto Ozuna. He mentioned David Robertson. So, you know, the nationals, I don't know how hard you want to chase the closers on their team because they're probably going to have someone on a different team close for them at some point. I guess I'll give up Herrera for Trey Turner. There you go. Looking on the bright side. Okay, so this email is from Chris, and the subject was, y'all play scared. And he says,

so funny that y'all, Scott and Chris, that's team crot. Yeah, team crot. Brought up that you'd rather shoot yourself in the foot with inaction rather than pro action. I was just talking to my buddy the night before about how y'all play scared. I flat dropped Alex Bregman in an ESPN 12 team mix league. I mean, CBS 12 team mixed league, no. Over three weeks ago, I dropped Breggman and shake my head every time y'all still bring up his name. Among others, he and Harvey have been sitting on my league's free agent pool for multiple weeks.

I'd love to play in the podcast league next year. Maybe I'll bench my entire team during July just to give y'all a chance to catch up once your players turn it around. Y'all play scared, guys. Email of the season? This is great. I had a little exchange with him. He loves the podcast. I think he said his buddies listened too. He was just kind of like joshing with us, but this was funny. Yeah. Okay. I mean, I don't even know where to begin with a reaction to this. Well, do you all play scared? Does deserve a reaction?

I'm just disappointed he didn't call you guys yellow, but I think of it, you know, the doctor, the oath that doctors take the, you know, above all, do no harm. Is that the Hippocratic oath? I don't know. I don't know, but it's a thing. Do no harm, right? I'm very careful when it comes to trading I want to feel confident that I'm winning the trading before I click accept

because I don't want to be responsible for my own demise You know obviously if you're Desperately trying to catch up Because you've gotten off to a bad start or whatever You do have to take riskier moves But normally I'm I don't often find myself in that position thankfully, so I can afford to play more conservatively.

I don't know that they call it playing scared. I mean, I drop a lot of players before. Yeah, Scott is actually the best at dropping players and stashing them on the waiver wire, which is what he likes to say. But as far as like a guy like Alex Spregman goes, if I were in your league, I'd pick him up right now. And he'd have to give you three weeks to catch up once he heats up. It's a long season.

It is a long season. So I don't think stashing guys that you believe in is playing scared. Great email, Chris. It was a good email. So thank you for that. Email today number two is Ben from Spokane. Happy Friday, Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, and Freddie Freeman. Those are the war leaders right now.

I recently had a trade offer come through of George Springer and Coda Glover for Cory Dickerson. So he would get Springer and Cota Glover. for Cory Dickerson, Charlie Morton, and Cody Allen. I instinctively went to click accept, but got to looking at it. I'm starting to question why Springer is regarded so highly, especially without him stealing bases. Is Springer really worth the price tag? Am I missing something obvious? Am I totally crazy for questioning if Dickerson could finish ahead of Springer this year?

Springer, by the way, right now is the number 25 outfielder in points, number 23 in Roto. Last year he was number six outfielder in points, number nine in Roto. and the OPS was very similar. Just things will normalize a little bit. But I think it's a great question. And he was one of the most fascinating guys to me going into the year because he basically, George Springer basically plate appearances his way to being elite. That's my take.

I'm having a crisis of confidence with George Springer, too. He remains high in my rankings because I feel like there's low risk with him. he's kind of I guess I guess J.D. Martinez is similar. In the past Adam Jones has been that kind of player but I don't think he has this

crazy high ceiling like I would guess he finishes outside the top five outfielders maybe even outside the top 10 outfielders but I'm going to rank him within my top 10 because I don't know that he's going to go wrong for you. Dickerson

could finish ahead of him. Yeah but there are a lot more built-up reasons for concern with Dickerson, reasons to be skeptical of this performance, than there are that Springer is at least a must-star player. Yeah, I don't think it's impossible for Dickerson to finish ahead of him, but it's like a 2015 percent chance, and I would just much rather have the guy that I do think there's a pretty decent chance Springer finishes in the top 10 outfielders, and I think there's very little chance diggers, this is Springer's OPS in four seasons, including this year. 804, 826, 815, 824.

If you want a little bit of optimism, he's not really hitting lefties that well this year, and the last two seasons he's had like a 940 OPS against lefties. Well, and he's kind of strikeout rate down just a little bit. The only reason is batting average isn't higher is because of the 280 Babbip, which he's got a 316 career, so give him a normal Babbup, and he's up around 280. He's not going to be a base dealer for you. He said that in the preseason, but I just felt like, Springer was one of the safest players because he leads off for a great lineup.

And like I said, he led the league in plate appearances last year. He's going to play the plate appearance himself to elite status. I think he's going to hit 35 home runs and score 100 runs, too. 35 home runs? That's his current pace. I would take the under on that. Well, the 100 runs are, I'm sort of factoring into that to the plate appearances. He is definitively high end, but he's a safe and boring version of high end, I think.

Yeah. But, I mean, I think anyone would have to take. Springer for Corey Dickerson. Yeah. All right. All right. Last email here, we'll then read

the two-start pitchers for Fantasy Week 8. From Doug and Johnstown, Johnston, Johnstown, Pennsylvania. Ten-team categories league. Someone dropped McCutcheon. Would you drop any of these guys

for McCutcheon? Trey Turner, Michael Conforto, Andrew Benintendi, Jose-Baltista, J.D. Martinez, Eric Thames. Oh, man.

Nope. what a joy this league is Yeah, I'd probably drop Batista. Three outfielder, a 10-team league. I don't think I'd drop Batista because he's like, this is the hottest he's been all year. He's making me regret that decision I had in the podcast league a couple years ago claiming Eric Hosmer.

A couple weeks ago, yeah. Instead of claiming Jose Batista because I was just worried with the escalated strikeout rate, Batista was just aging out of usefulness. But he's, you know, during this hot streak, he hasn't struck out that much. It looks like he's normalizing. And if McCutcheon has already slipped through, I don't know that I'd risk trying to slip

Batista through. Well, thank you for choosing Hosmer over Batista. I've been reaping the benefits, and I appreciate that. You're up. This is what – this here is the practical application of what I was saying about Andrew McCutcheon yesterday. He is replaceable because outfield is deep, especially in a three outfielder league, especially in a 10-team three outfielder league.

and McCutcheon is not going to be enough of a standout to justify dropping a hot hand like Conforto. Like if you even think McCutcheon's going to finish with better numbers than Conforto, fine. I get that. I don't agree, but I get it. But you cannot drop Michael Conforto, who is carrying your team right now for Stinky Andrew McCutcheon because he's replaceable. Stinky is a little harsh, but I get what you're saying.

It's so clear to me just from looking at the peripherals that McCutcheon is underperforming what he should be. even this year. So, you know, before you even get to the history of Andrew McCutcheon, it seems a little too dismissive what you're saying, but I agree outfield is the deepest position right now, and I agree that there's a good chance you have three outfielders on your roster who are more startable than McCutcheon right now.

10-team three outfielder league, I mean, waiver wire's got to be sick there. 10-team three outfielder league, what you should do is trade. like four guys for Mike Trout. You know? Well, who's going to accept that? Somebody might. You should, that doesn't have to be Mike Trout. It has to be the Mike Trout owner who would.

It doesn't have to be Mike. It doesn't have to be four outfielders. It doesn't have to be Mike Trout. But you should definitely, in a three outfielder, 10 team league, that's a consolidate type of situation. Go after, um, go after Klooper right now. He's about to come back. Okay.

Probably need pitching more. He's a pretty convinced. increasingly high-end pitcher. All right, let's look at two-star pitchers for Fantasy Week 8. Would you have any fear starting Garrett Cole at Coors Field, aka Atlanta? At Atlanta. No, I'm just kidding.

I just wanted to make a joke about, what's the new SunTrust Park? Trust Park. Okay. Because we trust the balls to hit the sun when they go by balls. Adam Jones hit the softest hit home run in baseball of the year. far yesterday. I just wanted to throw that out there to save me from that terrible joke. What a bad home run. Yeah, terrible home run.

All right, Jason Vargas, at the Yankees, at the Indians. Start or sit, Jason Vargas. Start him. And Duffy has the same matchup, so you'll start him. Boy, I just, like, Vargas got roughed up by the Yankees, and I totally, like, you're starting him. But couldn't you see this be the week that Jason Vargas destroys his owners? Very well could be. Yeah. It could be, but

Sometimes you just got to cross your fingers Alright, this is a tough one I think I'm going to say sit Lance Lynn at the Dodgers and at the Rockies Ooh Points League I definitely start him Roto I might play more conservatively there

I might play it scared Yeah, I'll play scared Don't make me lose my mind All righty What do we got? Who's next? Jake Oteresee. Yeah, you got to Angels and at the Twins.

Start them, right? Sure. Sure. And Alex Cobb? Same matchups, Angels at home, twins on the road? I'm not as trusting of Alex Cobb, but he's, I guess, has some sleeper appeal this week.

I'd start him. Shallower Leagues, Matt Shoemaker is at Tampa Bay and at Miami, and he's only 78% owned. Mustard. Jared Eichoff, Colorado and Cincinnati at home. Start him, right? Yep. 70% of him.

Matt Harvey, San Diego at home, Pittsburgh on the road. Jeez, I cop was supposed to be a two-star pitcher last week. This is so annoying. Sorry, who did you just ask about? Who did I ask about? I asked about Matt Harvey, Scott, at home against San Diego and at Pittsburgh. Oh, man, those are two good matchups. Oh, come on, Scott.

I'd probably do it in a points. No way. No way. Scott, yeah, I had you, Heath. Would you dare start Matt Harvey at a points league? I'm not scared of anything. I'll start him. No, that's not true.

You're lying. Yeah, I'm probably not starting. Jordan Montgomery, Kansas City, and Oakland at home. No. I would probably not. No. Patrick Corbyn, White Sox at Home, Milwaukee on the road. I would definitely.

Definitely? He's a spark. Well, okay, fine. But in her categories. Like points leagues, it's easy. You're starting a lot of two-star pitchers, but in any categories-type format, Patrick Corby, White Sox and Milwaukee. Milwaukee's on the road, White Sox at home. This is the level where I would be looking at where I am in the standings in certain categories.

I'm probably not going out of my way to pick up Corbyn for this two-star week. Let me down a lot, the last few weeks. Well, then one more guy. And then we'll more than one more guy, but one more guy for now. Amir Garrett, Cleveland at home, Philadelphia on the road. Yep. Philadelphia. It's a good matchup.

Yes. So no on Amir Garrett, at least for Scott. Is there anyone that you've seen that you like? I'm trying to look at the matchups here. I don't know. I like Armand Marquez on the road, but he's got a home start as well. He's at Philadelphia and home against St. Louis. I might give that.

a shot. I like Matt Garza, sort of, but Toronto at home, Arizona at home, he could get destroyed. I'm not giving that a shot. Daniel Norris, at Houston and at the White Sox. At Houston could be awful for him. I saw Miguel Gonzalez on waivers in one league at Arizona, home against Detroit, and I decided no. Yeah, I did the same exact thing. That's Miguel Gonzalez.

You know, every week it feels like the same thing where I just, I just, you know, I just, just can't get that excited about the two-star pitchers, which is not really a big surprise since I can't get excited about a lot of pitchers, which either means I need to lower my standards and start someone like Miguel Gonzalez, or I just need to just trust the same guys every week even in their one-star weeks. There's probably some truths to both of those, if that makes sense. Not really. Well, I think it makes sense.

I try to explain myself then. Like, it's probably a good year for accepting a lower number of starts in a given week, because the threshold for quality pitching is so low that anyone who's available is probably is at risk of doing a lot of damage. But at the same time, the threshold is so low that we are looking into some of these non-traditional, fantasy pitchers. I mean, the most obvious examples are Vargas and Santana, but I would say Miguel Gonzalez fits in that category too on like a lower end level of just a guy who's been very reliable

but not dominant, you know? Yeah. He doesn't have normal dominance numbers we look for in a trustworthy fantasy pitcher. He still might be one of your best bets if you do need an extra start. All right, good luck, everybody. Pitching's fun, huh?

Good luck. Is there anything fun to end the show with? I've got a few more emails we could read. I could always do that, right? Do I have emails? I thought I did. There are in the notes somewhere. Guys, a little help here?

Yeah, I don't see the emails. I got them. I got them. Here's a plug. Two plugs. One, go to sportsline.com right now and take advantage of a great offer, half off for outstanding advice. We have a great horse racing guy, sportsline.com.

He nails every derby. We got big races coming up, so you want to get on that. They got half off. It's like 50 bucks for a year's subscription for great advice on picks. And Scott writes a hitting planner where he gives sleeper hitters. It's actually helped me a lot each of the last two weeks. So even if there's only one hitter that you take out of that could really help your lineup. And I recommend checking that out.

That'll be up over the weekend on the website. We pretty much out of time, but we could go a little late today. Isaac wants to know, would you drop any of these guys for Matt Harvey? Sean Maniah, Drew Pomeran, Charlie Morton, Jared Eichoff. Pomeranz. Yep. Alex in Seattle. Says, Dear Aaron, Jermaine, and Scott.

I don't know who they are. White Sox outfielders when they won the World Series in 2005. Wow. Scott White's. Way to go. Scott knows every Scott. That's how he knew that. That's Pesednik.

Yes. Keeper League. Aaron Rowan. Okay. Oh, wow. Nice. All right, Keeper League. You have a separate category with players within the first three years.

Okay, whatever. Can you rank these four outfielers in terms of projected impact, A, this season, and B, long-term. Go White Sox. Oh, that probably, that was a good hint there if I had read the Go White Sox part. Rank these players. First this year, Ben Intendi, Domingo Santana, Aaron Altair, Bradley Zimmer. Ben Intendi, Altaire, Zimmer, Santana. And long-term.

Benton, Santana, Altair, Zimmer. How would you rank them long term? I'll move Zimmer ahead of Altair and go Benintendi, Zimmer, Altair, Santana. I'm not as quick to put Altair ahead of Santana. Long term or for this year? For this year. Okay, because I had Altair second and Santana fourth for this year. Yeah, you hate Domingo Santana.

You always have. Yeah, it's just kind of a one-no player. You like Domingo Santana. You always have you? No. I do want to add him in Roto. Grade this trade from Jim. Eduardo Nunez for Kevin Gosman.

I think I actually like the Nunez side more. I don't know which side Jim is getting. He's getting Gossman. So I'll say D-plus. I'd rather have... Is it in Roto, you said? I didn't say anything. It doesn't say.

In Roto, I would say, I'd agree with the D-plus. In points, I would say an even C. from Ben, would you drop Nick Castellanos for Travis Shaw? Yes. Yep. Okay. Everybody, thank you so much for listening. Have a great, great weekend.

We'll talk to you on Monday. I'm Adam for Keith and Scott and Chris. Why not? See you.