Fantasy Baseball Today - 05/31: Reyes, Stripling, Musgrove and More; Trade Talk (Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 31, 2018

A plethora of pitching performances stood out yesterday. Let's talk about Alex Reyes (1:05), Ross Stripling (5:25), Junior Guerra (7:23), Joe Musgrove (8:15), Nate Eovaldi (12:05) and more ... Should ...you add Shane Bieber before it's too late (17:06)? Is there a new closer in MIA (19:32)? Who is our #1 SP rest of season (22:40)? How concerned are we about the four SPs who had terrible starts yesterday (24:02) including Patrick Corbin and Sean Manaea? A little bit of Buy or Sell (31:15) and "Hey, Real Quick" (34:43) before we get into the trade talk. Buy low (36:41), sell high (39:45), buy high (41:52) and players we're actually concerned about (42:44). We also review yesterday's big storylines and preview today's matchups (55:20) ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the fantasy baseball today podcast from CBS Sports. One, one pitch, basketball, bold, and fast. Out of fantasy question? Email fantasy baseball at cbsi.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy! Now, here's Adam, Scott Heath and Chris. Well, yesterday, Alex Reyes Day.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Today, we've got Bieber, and he's arguably the most exciting pitcher coming back today. But there's also this guy Clayton Kershaw coming back today. Welcome, everybody, to the Fantasy Baseball today podcast. And what if I told you that I can get you a closer who has only allowed three hits in his last 15 appearances? Would you be interested in that, Kreef? I would guess you were lying. Oh, I'm not lying.
Starting point is 00:00:54 I mean, I'm kind of lying because he's not necessarily the closer, but you might want to go pick up. See, I know you. Kyle Bearclaw. Yeah, Brad Ziegler. Terrible. Don Mattingly not committing to Brad Ziegler anymore. How was your Alex Reyes day, guys? Disappointing.
Starting point is 00:01:11 It was a phenomenal start. That first inning, just making Lorenzo Cain look silly. And not a lot of people have done that this year. As the start went on, the velocity went down. The control got worse. The manager got concerned. They went out and talked to him. He said, I'm fine.
Starting point is 00:01:29 Nothing's wrong at all. I'm just throwing five miles per hour slower. came back in the dugout, and they decided, you know what, that's enough. Yeah, it was interesting. He struck out two and four scoreless innings. In the first inning, I mean, he really made them just look terrible. Just the awful swing. He's that good.
Starting point is 00:01:47 Yeah. Oh, I know. I think if he's healthy, and they might have to do some tests on Reyes just to make sure everything's okay. Because the velocity was down to, like, 93, and he's closer to 100 at his best. He looked great. He looked great. I don't think you're discouraged, are you, if you're out in Alex Reyes owner? Just disappointed.
Starting point is 00:02:07 I'm starting him next week as long as everything looks fine on Sunday. Yeah, and his final, his velocity did dip, but his final four fastballs were all in the 95 to 96 mile per hour range. They are planning to do some, I think they're having the training staff take a look at him, but not until, I think they said not until they get back to St. Louis, so that tells me that it's not a big concern. You know, Alex Reyes Day, as most days this season have been, ended up actually being Josh Hader Day again.
Starting point is 00:02:39 Oh, yeah, you were quite blown away by Josh Hater yesterday. That was ridiculous. His first inning, he threw nothing but fastballs and got 10 swinging strikes. I just... That's crazy. I keep wondering. With a pitcher as young as he is that has been a starter in the past, do you not see at some point what he looks like?
Starting point is 00:02:58 second time through the order? I think they... Not this year. They're going to go the whole year. I mean, that's what they talked about in spring training. They talked about in spring training, like he was bunking with the relievers. He was sitting at the reliever lunch table. Their starting rotation is awful.
Starting point is 00:03:13 I mean, it's complete trash. They've got a great lineup. Their bullpins really good. Their bullpins awesome. Great lineup. I just... Give us a second half of Josh Hader starting. I feel the same way.
Starting point is 00:03:26 I wanted them. I was watching the game on Facebook. Oh, people were not happy with Facebook. I love that so much. That people were complaining about it. The best part was Chris not being able to figure out how to work the game on Facebook. I couldn't get to it. Why?
Starting point is 00:03:41 How do you find it? I'm on Facebook. Like, it sounded like I was trying to show my grandpa how to use Facebook. It cut out a little bit, I guess, but whatever. Like, don't complain about it. No, Chris couldn't even get the game on. Well, I mean, that's just weird. In my defense, the only people who still use Facebook are grandparents.
Starting point is 00:04:03 Or people who want to post pictures of their kids. The Brewers are four and a half games up on the Cubs. And this year, I actually feel like they might be able to hold off the Cubs. What do you guys think? No. They need some pitching. I mean, I'm still going to pick the Cubs to win the division. And the Cardinals and Pirates are right there, too, behind the Cubs, all within a game and half of each other.
Starting point is 00:04:25 Pirates, six games back in Milwaukee, Pirates struggling lately. I'd still pick the Cubs to win, but the Brewers, they have a better lineup than the Cubs, I think, top to bottom. Yeah, I don't think that's necessarily unfair. I think that's true. Yeah, top to bottom. Yeah. And their bullpins better. Let's, yeah, I'm sorry.
Starting point is 00:04:46 I didn't mean to detour too much from fantasy. So today was supposed to be a buyer sell day. It still might be. But I think yesterday was so... We did all this work in preparation. Yeah, right. Sure. No, what you did do is trade work, and you're going to give us buy low, sell high, buy high,
Starting point is 00:05:05 and a player you're concerned about, which is becoming a Thursday staple. But I just thought yesterday was so fascinating, amazing pitching performances and terrible pitching performances that weren't a lot of discussion. So let's get right to it. Here's a segment called Fringy starting pitchers that I think Creeh will care about. Fringy starting pitchers that I think Chris and Heath will care about. Ross Stripling. He's not that fringy anymore.
Starting point is 00:05:27 I looked at all my leagues to make sure that he was not available, and in fact, he was not. I only own him in one. I had such a great fantasy night. I benched Ross Stripling this week for Fernando Romero, so you can imagine how I feel. But, guys, this guy's curveball is a weapon. He's throwing it harder. His pitching coach told him just to throw that curve ball as hard as you can. This is, I think, like, about 30 swinging strikes in his last two starts.
Starting point is 00:05:53 It's only two starts with good swinging strikes, I'll say. say that. But are you buying Ross Stripling, who's done it against two good opponents in his last three, and he's 76% own? I think, I guess it depends on what the are you buying it, what
Starting point is 00:06:09 it means in this scenario? Like, he has a 340 career ERA. I think he could probably be that moving forward, yeah. Well, if that's the case, he's going to be a must-one guy. Are you buying the strikeouts? He has 59 and 48 and a third, Ross Stripling. I buy him being better than a strikeout
Starting point is 00:06:25 are you buying ross tripling as a must-owned player yes are you buying that heath will jump in no is he just stroking his beard right now do you just that is what heath is doing i do that pretty regularly i was just enjoying the segment yeah i mean you got to get ross tripling would you drop zack godly for ross triply i would not you probably have a worse pitcher than Zach Godley. You'd think. Would you rather have Mike Fultenevich or Ross Stripling? Stripling, easily. Stripling, okay. Let's try to close the gap a little between pitcher 35 and pitcher 80 in the rankings. What do you mean? That feels a little too dismissive. Of Mike Fultenevich? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:14 I'm just going by ownership percentage. I know that Fulte's owned and more leagues than stripling. Yeah, I would rather have stripling than Fultonavich, for sure. All right. Now, now, Next picture that I think Kreef will care about. Junior Gera, question mark. 44% owned seven strikeouts and six scoreless innings against St. Louis. He now has 51 strikeouts and 54 and a third. Gera has a 1.12 whip. He's at Cleveland next week.
Starting point is 00:07:41 They are ridiculously good at home, so that's going to be a dangerous start. But what do you think about Junior Gera? 265 ERA for Gera. I like stripling more. I probably like Mike Voltenevich. Yeah, he's in the Fultenevich class for me. That it's just, I, I'm not going to be starting these guys in this way because they're going to be owned higher. But to me, they're still just guys that I'm completely starting based on matchup and based on what's, what they've done as of late.
Starting point is 00:08:13 And I don't have any problem dropping them when they have a bad matchup. All right, next guy is Joe Musgrove, who's 55% owned. He's owned in more leagues than Gera, fewer leagues than stripling. So how would you rank stripling, gara, and musgrove? I might go musgrove stripling gara. Musgrove is my favorite for sure. He was actually going to be my buy high. Because I do think this is an opportunity,
Starting point is 00:08:39 and you usually get made fun of when you pick somebody up off the waiver wire and then after a week you try to trade them for something. And the guy's like, I could have just picked him up last week. This is an opportunity where you can trade for the guy and not give much up that somebody just picked up off waivers and they feel like it's found money. I think in a points league, that's a pretty good strategy, because I expect if he stays healthy, he's probably going to be a top 12 closer rest of year. Right.
Starting point is 00:09:04 Musgrove is not a close up. Yeah, RP, right. He's RP eligible. So I guess if I could just throw a little skepticism on it, he doesn't throw particularly hard. He's not a soft tosser. That's the thing, though. He is throwing harder. He has...
Starting point is 00:09:17 But he's not throwing... I mean, I did watch the game last night. He's not blowing... He's not like a power pitcher. Right, but I mean, he's averaging 95.5 miles per hour with his fastball right now. Really? I mean, through two starts. Now, it was down a little bit, but last night he averaged 94.7 miles per hour with his fastball.
Starting point is 00:09:34 That would probably make him... That's pretty good. I would think one of the 20 hardest throwing starters in baseball. This is another situation, too, where we've got a little bit of a velocity discrepancy, I think, between the sites. Sure. I didn't see that. Fan graphs has him at 93.8, which is just one mile harder than he was last year. Go down to pitch info.
Starting point is 00:09:51 95.5. So there's, again... Yeah, that's the pitch effects system. So the other one, you do. I prefer to use pitch effect. All right, now tell me how often he threw his fastball. Because this is not a guy who was really, from what I saw, relying on the fastball. So I think what could, here's what could be causing the discrepancy.
Starting point is 00:10:12 We'll figure this out on air. All right. Maybe they're counting some of his cutters as fastballs because he's throwing his cutter more than he ever has. That's the biggest change besides the velocity jump. He has abandoned his curve ball. He's throwing his fastball. Actually, weirdly throwing his fastball a little less than he did last year, but throwing his cutter a lot more. And that would be a lower velocity pitch the cutter.
Starting point is 00:10:39 Yeah, he throws that. That one averages around 90, 91 miles per hour. Okay. So, you know, the bottom line is he did a great job changing speeds. Joe Musgrove yesterday. Really seemed to have the Cubs off balance. Struck out five, walked four. That's not a good ratio.
Starting point is 00:10:53 but the start before, no-walk seven strikeouts and seven-scoreless, seven-scorless innings against St. Louis. Musgrove's a two-star pitcher next week. Now, it's not the easiest match-ups. It's the Dodgers at home and the Cubs on the road. But I don't know that you're going to find two-star pitchers, 55% on that have as much promise right now as Joe Musgrove. But I guess the other thing is, like, he doesn't have, what was it? As a starter last year, he had a 612 VRA.
Starting point is 00:11:15 He was bad, yeah. So I'm not quite over the moon yet. How many starts do you make last year? He had 78 innings as a starter. He made 15 starts last season. He was bad. He was remarkable in the bullpen. And what makes me confident is, or excited, I guess,
Starting point is 00:11:36 is the fact that when he was pitching as a starter last year, he was averaging per pitch effects, 92 to 93 miles per hour with his fastball. It goes into the bullpen. He's averaging 95 to 96. So far this season, again, with that, system, he's averaging 94-95. So he appears to have been able to sustain the gains he made as a reliever.
Starting point is 00:12:02 Okay. So that's Joe Musgrove. Nate Avaldi and Brad Keller are two fringy pitchers that I think Kreeh will care about, but to a much lesser degree than Joe Musgrove and Ross Stripling and probably Junior Gera. But Avaldi threw six no-hit innings in his first start in a long time after two Tommy John surgeries. There's another guy who just wasn't very good. He's never had a whip below 1-3-1.
Starting point is 00:12:26 He's a ground ball pitcher, high whip. Evaldi's one of them. He's 16-0-Brand-Brand-Brand. Who only threw three innings because he's not stretched out yet, but he said, keep an eye on Brad Keller, and he gave up one run on three hits with three strikeouts against the twins. So what do you guys think about Avaldi and Keller? I think Avaldi could definitely get into that Fultenevich-Gyar a tier.
Starting point is 00:12:49 And he may already be there. He was faulty before faulty. He was a guy who always threw really hard and we always thought he should be better than he is. And that makes me a little concern that he's not going to be that good. But based on how well he pitched yesterday, you probably have to add him just because somebody's going to in your league. Keller's interesting. He's never really struck anybody out in the minor leagues and he hasn't struck anybody out yet in the major leagues. But he is a guy that throws pretty hard around 95.
Starting point is 00:13:21 miles per hour and his four-seem fastball. They were talking about it on the broadcast last night. It's not straight at all. And he apparently spent a lot of time in the minor league trying to figure out why he couldn't throw his fastball straight. And they eventually told him stop trying to throw it straight. And it's got a lot of downward movement. And I think he could be one of those guys that gets a ton of ground balls.
Starting point is 00:13:42 It's just going to depend on what have a contact he's giving up. So I own him in two leagues, but it's a 24-team dynasty league and a 12-team AL only. Okay. Brad Keller. So let's go back to Avaldi real quick. Would you rather have Mike Minor or Nate Avaldi? Hmm. Probably Avaldi.
Starting point is 00:13:59 I'll say minor. Would you rather have Shane Bieber or Nate Avaldi? Bebbs. Beb. All right. The Bebs is going to start tonight. Fringy starting pitchers that I think Kreeh will not care about. I'm just going to guess that you guys won't be looking at these guys on waivers.
Starting point is 00:14:15 Clayton Richard, Jose Arainia, Sam Gavillo, and David Hess. Clayton Richard, Jose Orania, Sam Gavillo, and David Hess. I think Jose Orania might be decent. Yeah, I'm waiting for Heath to kind of come on board because he's always like, he's not good. Well, like, that's the thing is that he was terrible last year, but had a 380 ERA, and now he's got a 398 FIP and like a 388 Sierra, both of which are better than average. He's getting more strikeouts than he did last year.
Starting point is 00:14:51 not giving up as many walks as he did last year. He might be starting to turn, because this is another guy who, you know, averages 95, 96 with his fastball, but's never been able to do anything with it. He appears to have found something, you know, like... Well, he hasn't found a win yet. He's 0.7. Well, Jose Arrania. He might not. But, and then that might... That'll keep him fringy just because wins are so important.
Starting point is 00:15:17 But I don't know. Like, you look at the strikeout rate, you look at the walk rate, And the ground ball rate. Like, everything is average or better right now. Okay, so that's Arania. Is he your favorite of this group? I'm not coming on board. I'm not saying, like, he's 20% owned. So I imagine he may be available in a league where he could be semi-useful. But I also, like, wins and strikeouts are pretty important.
Starting point is 00:15:46 I don't really expect, I think he's going to be below average in both and may struggle to get six wins this year. So even if he's an average pitcher without wins or strikeouts, it's going to be hard for him to be helpful in anything close to a standard league. Give me your quick thoughts on Gavillo, who's got a 332 IRA, four walks, 22 strikeouts and 21 and a third, had a respectable start at the Red Sox yesterday. He will face the Yankees next week,
Starting point is 00:16:13 and he's filling in for Marcus Stroman. But, you know, if they want to get him in, Estrada's been terrible. and Sanchez has been terrible. Sam Gavillo, guys, 6% of him. This is like the year of the Carlos Silva clones, because this is another guy like Miles Michaelis, and we'll see Shane Bieber,
Starting point is 00:16:34 who has the same kind of profile, and Daniel Mangdon guys who don't really get a lot of strikeouts. I know Gaviglio has been so far, but the track record's not there. He also just doesn't walk anyone. And I don't know, that's kind of interesting, but my assumption with those kind of guys is eventually it catches up to them, especially when they throw 88 miles an hour like Gavileo does.
Starting point is 00:16:57 And eventually working in the zone that much, you're going to give up too many home runs. Okay, there we go. Time for the big news. Shane Bieber will make his debut today at Minnesota. Bieber is 23% owned. Is it too late now to say ADME? No, it's not. He's only 23% owned.
Starting point is 00:17:19 Would you... Do you want him before this debut, before it's too late? Sure. This is... I wrote yesterday about just prospects who were having ridiculous statistical seasons, and Beaver was one of them. He had a 2.5% walk rate in the minors.
Starting point is 00:17:38 He had something like a 16-to-1 strike-out-to-walk ratio last season. We'll see. He's not like a huge... huge prospect, not a top 100 guy prospect people didn't like, didn't love his stuff, but at some point the results are so overwhelming that
Starting point is 00:17:56 I think I'm definitely interested in seeing what he does and I'm adding him where I can. Yeah, I don't necessarily feel like I have a lot of room for him in a lot of places. It's going to be more of a watch and see thing. I may be making some claims later tonight in leagues, but I'm not
Starting point is 00:18:13 adding him in any of my 12 team leagues. All right. That's Shane Bieber. Kentimae is on the DL, and the Dodgers have called up Dennis Santana who could make a start this week. What about Dennis Santana? Do you want to pick him up?
Starting point is 00:18:26 I think this is now four starting pitchers on the DL for the Dodgers, which, by the way, is important because Ross Stripling, I mean, it's probably the way he's pitching, he's solidifying a role, but, you know, they do have a lot of arms. But anyway, Dennis Santana, a prospect. Do you care about him for the Dodgers? So just in looking quickly, I guess he's a converted hitter. And so mediocre numbers last season in high A and double A,
Starting point is 00:18:57 but he's been very good so far this season appears to have gotten some control issues figured out. And his minor league numbers are pretty interesting, especially when you consider that the conversion from position player could have put Are you interested in Dennis Santana? I'd add him in an only. I'm interested in watching him. Okay. I'd add him in a dynasty league that was large.
Starting point is 00:19:23 Look at him. You asked us about a guy we've never heard. We've all heard of Dennis. I do appreciate you killing time so I can put you on the spot like that. Don Mattingly did not exactly commit to Brad Ziegler as the closer. It has been, I mean, just, they got to get him out of there. He's just been terrible. And Kyle Bearclaw, he's walking guys, but he has, like I said,
Starting point is 00:19:42 allowed three hits in his last 15 appearances. Baraclaw's 20% owned. Is that the guy to get in the Marlins' bullpen? It has to be the first guess. Yeah. Again, we talked about it with the White Sox when they were bouncing back and forth, and I guess still are. This could turn into one of those situations on a team that wins 60 games.
Starting point is 00:20:03 Yeah, and the problem is the Marlins have like three versions of Baraklaw with your second rider and Tyron Guerrero, but Baraklaw's been there the longest. He's been the best of them, so. He might be there the... He might get traded the quickest, though. Like, Bear Claus getting traded. Oh, he has a good month, yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:18 Yeah, yeah. That's why they've been so hesitant to go away from Ziegler. They just want him to have a good month as the closer, so maybe somebody will give up something. Excuse me, you uncompetitive person. They are trying to win games. How dare you imply that Derek Jeter is doing anything but trying to win the most baseball games he can in 2018. Sir. Derek Jeter is bad.
Starting point is 00:20:38 Just go home, Heath. Reese Hoskins is likely to go on the D.L. With a fractured jaw. So Nick Williams is homered in three of his last five games. Nick Williams hit 288 with 12 homers in 83 games last year. He strikes out a ton. But Nick Williams is 12% owned. How's that parage for Nick Williams?
Starting point is 00:20:55 Too high, too low or just right? It's a little bit too low if he's going to be playing every day. He should be owned in 14 team leagues that have five outfielders. He should be owned in NL only. So I would guess he should probably be owned in 20 to 25% of leagues. Adam Eaton's going to begin a rehab assignment on Friday. He is eligible to return on June 8th. Fingers crossed for Adam Eaton.
Starting point is 00:21:17 U. Darvish is triceps inflammation, but no structural damage. And Rob Manfred seemed open to an automated strike zone. Yes, robot ups. Now, I didn't even put that. I fixed baseball yesterday, and Chris got mad about it because of his, I guess because of the visually appealing aspect of baseball. But robot ups. Look, moving the mound back without moving the bases would look bad. It wouldn't.
Starting point is 00:21:43 It would. It wouldn't. It would. How many times do you look at a baseball field from a bird? Every single time. Every single time. I'm not paying for 100 level tickets, heat. But they don't even have seats open that give you that view.
Starting point is 00:21:58 You want to move the mound back? You move the mound back six inches probably. That takes care of the velocity problem. It's just going to lead to more injuries. You open the strike zone up and give the pitchers. the above the belt strike once again, and then you go back to the regular baseballs, and baseball is fixed.
Starting point is 00:22:17 I don't think that they are intentionally going away from the regular baseballs. That was the takeaway I got from that big research. Yeah, I don't think that they want us to believe they did. I mean, they can't figure out what's wrong with the baseball. They don't want this baseball. Frank Alangelo can't figure out what was going on to those Twitter accounts. I actually believe them, because it was an independent study.
Starting point is 00:22:39 It wasn't... I can't figure out what's going wrong with my baseball. diet. All right, I did a Twitter poll. If I could guarantee you the same amount of innings for all four of these starting pitchers rest of season, who would you take? If I could guarantee you the same amount of innings for all four of these starting pitchers rest of season, who would you take?
Starting point is 00:22:56 13, 1,350 votes. Scherzer, Kluber, Kershaw, Sale. Who would you take? Shurzer, Klob or Khrshaw sale? I'll take Scher. I'll take Klober. And I was looking this up yesterday. Klober.
Starting point is 00:23:09 Over the last 365 days. The Indians have the best position player and the best pitcher in baseball. Well, you, sir, are almost in last place with your vote. Okay, can I tell you? Can I tell you? 365 days. Corey Klooper, 176 ERA, 0.785 whip, 251 innings, 23 wins, 312 strikeouts. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:23:37 Well, I'm just saying the people, I mean, that's okay. The people wanted Scherzer. 52% said Scherzer, 25% Kershaw, 12% Cluber, 11% Chris Sale. So I was in third place. I said second of the last, second of the last, which sounds so much more harsh than third. I'm on the podium. Let's talk about the really bad pitchers from yesterday and tell me if you're worried. We'll do trade talk in, I don't know, about 10 minutes or so.
Starting point is 00:24:03 Sean Mania. Sean Mania had a great April, but in his last six starts, he has a 718 ERA. and only 19 strikeouts and 31 and a third. 6.7 strikeouts per 9. That's well below what we usually see from him, which is around 7.8 strikeouts per 9. Sean Maniah, awful yesterday. Pretty bad yesterday against the raise.
Starting point is 00:24:22 Patrick Corbyn. Struck out 10, had 16 swinging strikes and six innings, but he gave up six runs on eight hits against the Reds. One quality started in his last five for Corbyn. Fernando Romero and Ronaldo Lopez, I mean, just awful. I have so much Fernando Romero. This was bad for me. But let's start with Mania and Corbyn, guys.
Starting point is 00:24:47 They were the talk of the town for the first month of the season. What are you seeing from them and how concerned are you, Heath, about Mania and Corbyn. I am not really that concerned about Corbyn. He got the 10 strikeouts. He's going to have some good starts and some bad starts, but I still think he's a top 30 starting pitcher. This start really didn't do anything to change my mind about that. I wouldn't say that I'm concerned about Menna.
Starting point is 00:25:08 but I was pretty skeptical of what was going on anyway. So he still, to this day, has a 225 babb-up against. His K-per-9 is down to 6.7, and even if you want to look at K-percentage, 18.4%. I don't think I'm worried that I'm going to have to drop Sean Manaya, and I would have started him last night against the raise, even though they've actually been above average against Lefties this year. But I just, I don't think Sean Mania is, a
Starting point is 00:25:39 he's a low end middle of the rotation starter. The thing I struggle with with him is he's not getting any strikeouts, but he's still getting a decent number of swinging strikes. It's down from last year, but it's above average. So that's what's hard to reconcile. And it makes me think that maybe there's just some tweaks he needs to make
Starting point is 00:26:02 to the way he throws to unlock a little more potential. I still, I still, I'm definitely worried about the damage he's done to my season-long ERA over the last six weeks, but I still believe in him as a mid-to-high-3s-E-R-A guy. That's Maniah. Corbin, I do think the velocity, if he's throwing a 90-91 mile-per-hour fastball, I know the slider's great, so I think he's going to be able to get strikeouts, but I do worry about the results.
Starting point is 00:26:30 Not that, you know, I don't think he's going to be terrible, but I do worry about the results for Corbin if he's still, and it's been six starts in a row, or he's throwing about 90 miles per hour with the fastball. I think Patrick Corman will continue to be effective while he's throwing 91 miles an hour. The thing that I continue to go back to is just can he, is this a sign of a latent injury that just hasn't, like, manifested itself in a way that, like, forces him out yet. That's, this is the lowest fastball velocity month he's ever had. And it's not particularly close.
Starting point is 00:27:04 Yeah. Well, again, I say this every time. just be a mechanical thing, and maybe they tweak it and you get back to having a dominant pitcher. That's the hope with Corbyn. With Fernando Romero, 80% own and Ronaldo Lopez, 62% own, would you have any hesitation dropping them? I would not drop Fernando Romero.
Starting point is 00:27:20 I can give you the optimist's take on both of these starts. Oh, please. Romero's a young pitcher with a lot of talent, and I think he just got a little bit distracted last night. There was some pretty bad defense behind him. Things didn't go well. They were throwing the ball over the place for a couple of plays. And he just ran into some bad luck,
Starting point is 00:27:41 and then the Royals just hit the ball really hard. I'm not worried about one start with that happening. Lopez could be dropped. Probably should be dropped in some places. I'm holding on to him just because I'm hoping he can deliver on his upside. It's not because I want to start him on a regular basis. And the optimist take on this one was he gave up one extra race hit. Okay.
Starting point is 00:28:05 You walked one battering of one extra base hit. Chris is going to scoff at that. No, no. It's true. That, like, that is true. He did only give up one extra base head. I just think, like, we have 155 innings of evidence of him and the majors. He doesn't get strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:28:22 He doesn't have good control. He gives up a lot of fly balls. He throws hard. But that's kind of the only positive you can take out of Raynaldo Lopez Major League career so far. He has these, the difference between him and most guys that have a 6.19 K per 9 is that he has two or three starts this year where he looks like the strikeout pitcher we thought he was going to be. Well, we've talked about a lot of pitchers today. We talked about Musgrove. Stripling is an easy call.
Starting point is 00:28:52 And I guess Musgrove is too, but he's actually owned in fewer leagues than Ronaldo Lopez. You'd make that switch right now. Yes. Would you drop Fernando Romero for Musgrove? That would depend on my pitching staff. I would hope I have a worse, or a less. less interesting pitcher. I would rather have Fernando Romero on my bench than Joe Musgrove,
Starting point is 00:29:11 but if this is a points league where I can start Musgrove as a spark, I'd rather have Musgrove. Would you drop Renaldo Lopez for Nativaldi? No. No, but probably just because Nativaldi was, like, he's Joe Musk or, Ronaldo Lopez with ground balls. Well, he's Rayneldo Lopez four years later and never figured it out. He's had better seasons.
Starting point is 00:29:36 He has. But we don't have any hope. What I'm saying is there... When you look at the skill set, 150 innings is a big sample. But it's not a very big example. All right, let's wrap this up. We're done.
Starting point is 00:29:46 We're done here. Let's move on. I got to read an important email. It's from Jeff in Detroit. It's a great email. Jeff says, my wife purchased some great seats, the Tigers White Sox game last Friday,
Starting point is 00:29:55 using Seek. She used the code today to save $10. She was impressed on how easy it was to select seats and to purchase. She says the seat selections were better and cheaper than those other tickets. Thanks for the promo codes. Jeff, you're very welcome.
Starting point is 00:30:11 I am glad you got to go to the Tigers White Sox game. I don't remember who won, but I hope it was the Tigers for your sake. Now, that is Seekkeek, and that is one of two promo codes you can use. I will be using the promo code today next time I go to a baseball game for $10 off MLB tickets. But I've obviously already used Seatheek a bunch of times for concerts, for comedy, for games in particular. And if you haven't used Seatgeek, download the app. to seek geek.com and use the code fantasy for 20 bucks off your first seat geek purchase. Fantasy is the code.
Starting point is 00:30:44 And I'm telling you, what Jeff says, it's true that you just get better prices. Think about the difference. If you're talking about sites that just have one source for tickets or a site like Seatgeek that goes out and searches multiple sources, of course you're going to get the better deals. You get more competition. You get more choices. That's how you get better prices.
Starting point is 00:31:02 Fantasy is the code for 20 bucks off your first Seekkeek purchase. and today is the code for $10 off MLB tickets. Either use fantasy or today to save either 20 bucks or $10 on Seek. I do have a little bit of buyer sell. Buy or sell, Luis Severino is a top five starting pitcher. Sell. Probably sell, but he's like six. Who's ahead of him?
Starting point is 00:31:29 Just Verlander, Morton. Verlander, Cole. I'm not Morton. I meant Cole. Scher, Glover, Sale. The big four. The big four. Hopefully.
Starting point is 00:31:40 Yeah, actually, that's a good question. I mean, Kirchaw's back today, so. I will just barely sell Severino. So who's going to Severino over Kershaw? Anyone? No. I could very easily talk myself into it. Okay.
Starting point is 00:31:56 Severino, I think, is the number four pitcher points right now. Here's a buyer's sell from Kevin in SoCal. Dear Jim, Jules, and Charles, and Kevin adds, Brock Meyer is a fantastic show. And those greetings are from Brock Meyer. By or sell, Matt Kemp will make the All-Star team this year, and Matt Kemp will be top 10 in batting average at Year's End, currently leading the league with a 345 batting average.
Starting point is 00:32:20 Sell both. Yeah, I'll sell the All-Star team. The batting average will depend on whether he can hold off Nicholas Castellanos and Scooter Jeanette for the Babib title probably. He's at 405 right now. Yeah, this is a guy in Kemp who has not hit better than 287 in any of his previous five seasons. But he really, I mean, it's amazing. He's batting 345 with seven home runs. He's the number 48 outfielder in points leagues. Yeah, he must get pulled in the fifth inning of a lot of games,
Starting point is 00:32:49 because he's played 53 games and only has 180 played appearances. I think that's what it is. Kemp is 66% owned. I see who we could compare him to. Would you rather have Matt Kemp or Jay Bruce? Jay Bruce. I'm not as optimistic as Scott is about Jay Bruce figuring things out. but I would still take Bruce. Would you rather have Matt Kemp or David Dahl? Who, by the way, is dealing with a shin injury. That's why he hasn't been playing. I'll still take Dull.
Starting point is 00:33:15 One of the reasons. I'll take Kemp. All right, buy or sell. Mark Malanson will be San Francisco's closer at some point this season. Bye. I'm going to sell. You think they stick with Strickland? I think they'll stick with Strickland.
Starting point is 00:33:28 Strickland's got 11 saves. I think Malanthin may get a save this year, but I don't think there will be a month where he's getting more than Strickland. All right, Malanson's coming back. Possibly tomorrow. Buy or sell, John Gray should not be owned in 10 or 12 team leagues. Sell. Sell.
Starting point is 00:33:42 He got squeezed last night. Oh, that was the other thing. What was the game I was watching? I think it was the Dodgers game. The announcer said that the umpire in the Dodgers game had the smallest strike zone in baseball. So even more good stuff from Ross Tripling. If it was, in fact, a Dodgers game. No, it was, crap.
Starting point is 00:34:01 It was either the Dodgers of the Pirates. It was the Dodgers of the Pirates. It was one of the two pitchers that we've been talking about. Those are the games I watched yesterday. And I also watched the Yankees game. I'll ask you about Dallas Kiko in a second. Quick bullpen notes. J. Rees Familia pitched the eighth inning.
Starting point is 00:34:15 They wanted him to face the heart of the Braves lineup, because Zellman got a save. Corey Knable got a save, but Josh Hader could have had the save. He ran into a little bit of trouble in the ninth and got pulled, and Canable came in and had a one-out save, his fifth save, his fourth, in the last 10 days. And Ryan Tepera stunk yesterday in a non-save situation. so I was pretty excited about DePera.
Starting point is 00:34:37 I hope that doesn't remove him from the closer's role. We'll see. Blue Jays aren't winning much these days anyway. Hey, real quick. Dallas Kiko or Blake Snell? This seems like an easy call. I think it has to be Snell. Yeah, I think it's Snell.
Starting point is 00:34:53 In point, it's not an easy goal. Because I do expect that Kikl's going to throw a lot more endings than snow. I am the Kikl fan, and I'm a touch worried about Dallas Kikl. There was a quote from Austin Romai, the Yankees backup catcher. He said that they, you know, after you've seen a guy so much you pick up on his tendencies. And, okay, that's true for any pitcher. Kikele does rely a lot on, well, pounding the bottom edge of the zone. I just wonder if he's been figured out a little bit.
Starting point is 00:35:27 Well, how about this? Something that we've talked about a lot over the last couple of years is, How when pitchers get older, they have to stop relying on their fastball more. The fastball just loses effectiveness. You have to become a little less predictable. Dallas Keikl is not throwing his sinker as much. It's not a huge drop. It's from 53 to 45%.
Starting point is 00:35:47 He's throwing his cutter twice as often as he did last season. And that to me might be a sign that he's just, he's losing it a little bit. I think he might be pitching up in the zone a little bit more, Heath. We looked at that like a month ago. Yes. And his ground ball percentage is down to 54.8%. which the only time it was that even close to that low, it's never been that low,
Starting point is 00:36:07 but it was 56.7% in 2016, which wasn't a great year for him. Right, that was a bad year for him. So Keiko last night gave up four runs and five innings. Two of the runs were just kind of a joke. I mean, like, there was a blooper from Judge, and then there was a ground ball single through the, past the shift from Sanchez.
Starting point is 00:36:27 But when you don't miss bats, that stuff tends to happen. All right, hey, real quick from Kyle, sent this one in, Kyle and Grand Rapids. Scooter Jeanette or Daniel Murphy, rest of season? Murphy. Murphy, but Scooter Jeanette's very good. All right, let's do some trade talk here. Give me one of each.
Starting point is 00:36:44 Give me a buy low, a sell high, a buy high, and a player you're actually concerned about. Heath, start me off with a buy low. A buy low. I love the buy lows. I actually made a list this time, did some research to come up with guys that I wanted as buy lows and sell high.
Starting point is 00:37:02 and I wrote down all of the names except for the by-lo. Oh, man. John Gray. There you go. Thanks. I'll have it shortly. By John Gray. He's very good.
Starting point is 00:37:15 And he's been able to, in his career, John Gray has been able to navigate Corse Field. He's been better at home than on the road, I believe, in his career. So, okay, I like that. John Gray, by-low. I'm going to try to do that. And I think it's easier after last night when, again, I don't. I don't think he was as bad as last night's numbers looked like.
Starting point is 00:37:35 And they just yanked him because things weren't going well. He got a little frustrated with the strike zone. Would you rather have Fernando Romero or John Gray? John Gray. Yeah, I would too. The by-low that I was just offering as a suggestion that I'm not sure how I feel about this is Matt Olson. I mean, he's still crushing the ball. Matt Olson has a 52.2% hard contact rate.
Starting point is 00:38:03 It was 40.3 last year. his home run to fly ball ratio, we knew it would go down for Olson. It was 41.4% last year, but it's 14.5% this year. Now, he is hitting fewer fly balls, but they basically have been replaced by line drives, not ground balls. So Olson's been terrible. Do you think he's a by-low? 100%. I think that's a great call.
Starting point is 00:38:26 Well, I wouldn't say it was a call because I'm not committed to it, but thank you. Commit. No, I don't want to commit. I didn't draft any Matt Olson. I stayed away from him. I just was afraid of a guy. He was a first-round pick, right? I can't really say he came out of nowhere.
Starting point is 00:38:44 But we didn't mention Matt Olson at all last year until he got called up and homered every other at bat, basically. We knew that was going to fall a little bit, but it has fallen too far. All right, Heath. Do you got a by-low? Well, there's a couple of them. Anthony Rizzo, I think, is still a buy-low, and I think you should still be trying to do that.
Starting point is 00:39:03 but I talked about him last week, I think. I got some questions this week about Nelson Cruz, and yes, I would be happy to buy low on Nelson Cruz. He had a big game yesterday, right? Yes, he had a good game. He did not hit a home run yesterday. I know that. They did a home run.
Starting point is 00:39:18 Somebody shows him in dog chasers and no dice. He's hitting 239. He's got a 252. The strikeout rate is actually down from where it's been the last couple of years. The hard contact rate is almost exactly. what it's at for his career. So is the soft contact rate. Line drives are down a little bit, but that doesn't really worry me that much. Nelson Cruz, I think will be fine. All right, so that's Bylow on John Gray, Matt Olson, Nelson Cruz. Selhigh, Chris.
Starting point is 00:39:50 Ozzy Albies. He's been not great in May already, but I think there's still a perception that he is among the elite hitters in baseball. And I think he's still a top 10 overall in Roto. I was looking at that yesterday. He has a 7-10 OPS in the month of May. I love the talent, and I'm not doubting it at all, but I think the outrageously good April that has been coupled with a decline in plate discipline, I think that might have overstated the gains he's made. Okay, Ozzy Albies.
Starting point is 00:40:29 And you can still sell him really high. Right. Like, if I could get Brian Dozier for him right now, I would do that in a second. Okay, how about Heathay so high? I'm going to go back to Matt Boyd. I started to kind of question myself for a couple of starts, both against the Mariners, when he struck out 15 batters and 12 innings. I thought, you know, if he starts striking guys out,
Starting point is 00:40:51 he might be able to keep this up. He's got four strikeouts and seven walks in his last nine innings, and he's only given up two runs. I just, like, I don't, if he does what he's doing for the entire year, he will be one of the first pitchers ever. He's got a 31% ground ball rate, 7.1Ks per 9, not very good, or at least not elite control, but not really very good control.
Starting point is 00:41:16 I just think this is all going to blow up, and the best part is a lot of people will look at the FIP to see, well, has he been this good? He's got a 348 FIP. You look at the other peripherals, though, 4.93 XFIP. And a lot of that's just because he hasn't given up hardly any home runs, a 4% home run to fly ball ratio this year, and 4.67 Sierra,
Starting point is 00:41:39 if you can get anything for Matt Boyd, I would take it. Ozzie Albee's Matt Boyd. We also said John Lester and Jake Areeta are good sell high candidates. Bye high, Heath. Well, I already told you. I kind of gave this one away earlier in the show, but it's Joe Musgrove. In a Points League especially, I think you could possibly give away a bench hitter and get Joe Lesgrove.
Starting point is 00:42:03 You could definitely give away a third outfielder and get Joe Westgrove. And I expect he's going to be a top 12 reliever for the rest of the year in points leagues. Chris, buy high. I'm completely buying Jammer Candelario. I think he's really good. I think he's going to hit for a good average.
Starting point is 00:42:21 Probably not near 300, but I think there's room to grow from the 272 average he's at. I buy the power. I really like Jammer Candleger. Yeah, and I think I was going to, I've been meaning to bring up Candelario again, because every time we talk about him, it's usually like, well, he's going to be better in points, leagues, or OBP, but I almost feel like we've been selling him short. So, okay, good. Jammer Candelario. Player, you're actually concerned about Chris Towers. Tommy Fam. I think I mentioned it yesterday, but he has, I think it's like a 40% strikeout rate over the last 15 games. I didn't see what he did yesterday, but. He pinch hit. Yeah, so, and I'm not worried about him. losing playing time necessarily, but given his history, given the nature of what has held him back in the past, you know, a lot of injuries, yes, but also those vision issues. Yeah, he struck out 27 times in his last 70 plate appearances.
Starting point is 00:43:17 For most players, I'd be willing to write that off as just a bad couple of weeks, but it's harder to do that with him. With Tommy fam. And Heath, a player you're actually concerned about. I've got two for you, Adam. Gregory Polanco is the first He's not Playing against lefties right now He's not hitting like he deserves to
Starting point is 00:43:40 Austin Meadows is the future And playing out of his mind I'm very worried that Gregory Polanco In a couple of weeks we're asking Should we just drop him? Yeah totally And then the other one And I sent a tweet about this
Starting point is 00:43:55 That apparently you didn't see Adam I know you would have retweeted it Uh Dedy Gregorius over the last month he's basically been Al-Sidi's Escobar the walks
Starting point is 00:44:05 started to disappear and the thing that really like there's we worry about lefties that don't hit lefties very well so far this year he has a 670
Starting point is 00:44:15 OPS against them we talked about how last year we still had power on the road last year he's got a 674 OPS on the road this year if he isn't good at all against lefties
Starting point is 00:44:27 or on the road you're not going to have a lot of weeks where you feel great about starting. I mean, I still feel like D.D. could be a top 10 shortstop. I just don't know about top five anymore. But it's just been a terrible month. I mean, he's about he 1.51 this month. And five hits in his last three games. So hopefully he's snapping out of it a little bit.
Starting point is 00:44:50 It's been weird. This is the first time in three seasons, I think, that Gregorius has looked like this. Because he's had two good years in a row. part of the batting average part of this whole equation is just bad luck he's had just an atrocious babbip this month and his babbip for the year is not very good that's not the part that i'm really worried about like yes he should be he should have a better average but it's just it's the other struggles that i think could maybe stick yeah well i think the fact that he walks 16 times in april and four times in may you know all the walks kind of made it look like ddie was perhaps on his way to being like a true top, I don't know, 60 player. And now I feel like he might just be more like a top 100 to 120 player, which is kind of where he was drafted, right? So is that how you feel or do you think he's even worse than that?
Starting point is 00:45:43 I don't know. I was skeptical of him being a top 120 player coming into the year. I think he'll be better than he's been in the last month. But shortstop looks pretty awesome right now. Top 10 is a more difficult task than we thought it was. And I just, if we go back to a buy high, I mean, we kind of mentioned him indirectly, but Austin Meadows is a buy high? I can't. I don't think so, no.
Starting point is 00:46:09 I do share a heapsed concerns about Gregory Polanco, mostly because I just, I'm not sure he's going to play. But I still, I'll go down with the ship, I guess. And it's not so much that I don't, like, I think there is a much better chance than I thought a week ago and definitely two weeks ago that Austin Meadows is playing five days a week for the rest of the year. I didn't really even consider that a possibility two weeks ago. So he's done that. It's just even if he does, I don't know that he's better than a top 45, top 50 outfielder. And I think his price is probably higher than that right now.
Starting point is 00:46:44 Well, that's the thing. I mean, I feel like people might not be buying Austin Meadows because they just think he'll be a rotation player or something. And, you know, he has been. I would guess over 50% of people are not buying Austin Meadows. but I would guess well over 50% of Austin Meadows owners are buying... Yeah, I'm anticipating some you guys are idiots. You don't know what you're talking about. Tweets and emails about our Austin Meadows takes pretty soon.
Starting point is 00:47:09 So I would guess there are some people who are very bad. Nobody says you guys are idiots. I mean, I don't get that a lot, but... Oh, yeah. All right, let's do some news and notes. Colorado yesterday I mentioned, how's Colorado at home? Do we have to reevaluate that? They entered yesterday's game fourth in home OPS, so they are quite good at home.
Starting point is 00:47:30 That tells me that this is still a bad lineup. Because the Rocky should be far and a – Like, they should be a team that you just go out of your way to avoid at home, and they haven't been so far. Well, I mean, fourth in OPS, they should be. Right, fourth in home OPS, like, that's – whoa, I'm worried about it, but it's not like I'm benching a top 20 starter no matter what. That depends.
Starting point is 00:47:55 Like there are a couple offenses I give them a pass for being behind in home OPS. Who do you think they are? They have a 795 home OPS, which is like that's good, but it's not, that doesn't scream I need to avoid this offense. Well, I mean, it's essentially Boston's one, Cleveland is two, Yankees three, Rockies four. Yeah, I mean, like an 807 OPS doesn't really scream, I need to avoid this offense. That's what the Yankees have, but it's pretty, it's like a 795 OPS for a team is probably better than we think. Right. You're sitting the 30th best starter. You're sitting Zach Godley in Colorado, but you're probably not sitting. Zach Rankie?
Starting point is 00:48:33 Sure. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Urban Santana's rehab has been stopped due to a finger issue, which is why he's, you know, out to begin with. So that was bad news for Santana. Stephen Matz's day-to-day with a strained finger. Jeff Samarge is on the deal with shoulder inflammation. Zach Cozart was scratched with forearm tightness. David Dahl has a bruise shin. Joe Panic could return on Friday.
Starting point is 00:48:53 Byron Bucksons on the D.L. DJ of the Mayhew will be back on Friday. Austin Meadows started yesterday in center field. He batted second. Starling Marte had the day off. And Meadows drew his first two walks of the season. I think he now has two walks to three strikeouts. Juan Soto led off.
Starting point is 00:49:10 Probably tomorrow we should talk more about Juan Soto. He's been terrific. You know, I've been waiting to see if the Blue Jays were going to get Luke Maley in the lineup more. he has been in the lineup more. They've been moving Russell Martin all over the place. But Luke Maley has no hits lately. He's been bad, so I guess that doesn't really matter.
Starting point is 00:49:29 And for the Yankees, Brett Gardner and Greg Bird sat against a lefty. Personally, I don't expect that to be the case every lefty, but it will happen occasionally. And I'll be starting Greg Bird next week. He has pretty good matchups. Only one lefty on the schedule, and it's Stephen Mats, and we don't know that Mats will pitch.
Starting point is 00:49:47 But no games at Yankee Stadium. No games in Yankee Stadium, but at Toronto and at the Mets. All right, are these guys back to normal? Maybe we should wait for this for tomorrow for this. These are important segments. I want to look at Paul Goldschmidt and Carnacione. It was shocking. The sound that Chris made.
Starting point is 00:50:07 What's my shock sound? What was it? Can you replay it? There was a sudden inhalation. It was alarming. I was in an elevator over the weekend, the 99th. floor of the Willis Tower. It was all the way at the top.
Starting point is 00:50:20 Nope. And it started like dropping. Like, dropping. Nope. Nope. It probably was dropping just a few inches. Nope. But it was like, oh my God, this is terrifying.
Starting point is 00:50:31 Nope. So you're not an elevator guy? I'm not a heights person, no. So what would you have done if you had been invited to that rehearsal dinner in the Willis Tower on the 104? How good of a friend is it? Best friend? I would be really, I would really be upset with my, my friend for knowing my, my fear of heights and inviting me to that. Were there window seats?
Starting point is 00:50:59 I mean, that was the whole point. You could see how. I got, I got married on the roof of a skyscraper, the 42nd floor of a building. That's nice. And it was like, just low level anxiety throughout the entire night for me. and 99 is a lot higher than 42. I don't know if you guys know that. But at that point does it make a difference.
Starting point is 00:51:21 I think so. I don't think it does. You're splatting the same regardless. No, yeah, I skip the Let's Go to the Tall Building tourist experience. No, no. Yeah, well, the elevator thing was really scary. It was, no. We had to get, we were supposed to take it down to, like, the 67th floor.
Starting point is 00:51:37 We had to just press the highest button to get the hell out of the elevator. Yeah, to get to the top of the Willis Tower, you have to take one elevator. to the 66th floor. Yeah. Then you have to get off. You have to go to another bank, take an elevator to the 67th floor, one floor up.
Starting point is 00:51:52 Then you have to get off there, take another bank to the 99th floor, I think it was. All right, so we'll save Goldschmidt, Encarnacion, Hanager, Odubo Herrera, Yoamon Mokata for tomorrow. Let's do the Ono meter.
Starting point is 00:52:04 It was such a great segment yesterday. Zero to 10 on the Ono meter, and the numbers correspond with the percentages we think they should be owned. Miguel and Duhar, 68% owned since April 1st, which is when he played his first game. He is 20th in points, 18th in Roto at third base. That's despite 17 doubles, a pretty good number.
Starting point is 00:52:24 Miguel Ann Duhar. Four. Six. Okay. Mac Williamson, 29% owned. Four. Four. All right.
Starting point is 00:52:37 It could be a little more owned, Mac Williamson. Mac Williamson or Matt Kemp? Matt Kemp. Diamondbacks catcher John Ryan Murphy. He has four homers in his last six games. He's 5% owed. 2.5. Sure.
Starting point is 00:52:54 Harrison Bader, Cardinals' outfield. They're homered in two straight games. 5% on. Is he playing every day? I think he's played two games in a row. Yeah. Marcelo Zunas hurt. Dexter Fowler is terrible.
Starting point is 00:53:08 I would expect that either Bader or O'Neill is getting traded. I'll say two. I think O'Neill is the better fantasy prospect, so I would go one for Bader. And here's a segment called Let's Just Do Yesterday's Show Again. Brandon Nimmo, Fran Mill Reyes, Max Muncie, and Max Stassie, we're all good again. Oh, we're doing Onometer? I thought that was just a statement. I don't want to do the Onometer for these guys.
Starting point is 00:53:36 No, I don't either. I can't remember what exact number I said. O'Reis is homeward in three straight games now. And Nimmo's got 21 runs in 25 games as a lead-off hitter. And Max Muncie's been red-hot. And Max Stasi, Homer-Dov-Louis Severino, and he's 12% owned. Yeah, Stassie needs to definitely be owned in a lot more leagues because he's a catcher. But what happens when...
Starting point is 00:53:59 What happens when McCann comes back? You're going to have to find a second catcher. You drop Muntz. If I have... The thing is, in a lot of two-catchers leagues, especially with all the entries, there's four or five teams that are starting just awful catchers. Yeah, like I'm starting both Braves catchers right now in one league. It would be better for Chris to start Max Datsy over one of them for sure.
Starting point is 00:54:24 Okay. I think that's going to do it for that. Let's look at today's matchups, unless you have anything to say about like Paxton, Hendrix, O'Tani, Eduardo Rodriguez, or Julio Tehran. No. O'Tani was very good He's amazing He's incredible It's just
Starting point is 00:54:46 It's going to remain extremely frustrating Like this was frustrating Because his start got short Because of a rain delay The second one I think In the game I will say
Starting point is 00:54:58 In the one league I own him in It's a little bit frustrating But like It's been a win Yeah So let me actually see where Why do we do today's matchups, and I'll try to look up where Otani ranks among starting pitchers.
Starting point is 00:55:14 I'm going to guess it's in the 60s, but he might be up to the 50s, after the day after his most recent start. All right, today is Bieber Day. It is also Ryan Carpenter Day. He is starting for the Tigers. He is an 831 ERA. This is going to be his third start. I did not even know that Ryan Carpenter had made two starts.
Starting point is 00:55:34 Dang it. He was going to be on next week's segment of, who does this guy play for? No, I know. I'll probably forget by that. Andrew Heaney at Ryan Carpenter. Start Haney. Andrew Haney. All right.
Starting point is 00:55:46 The Rays are going bullpen. Daniel Mengden against the raise. Yeah, I'll start Menden. I'll start Mangdon. I feel like the wheels are going to fall off, but hopefully not. I feel like maybe it's just you get to the point where you own a player and you've expected to start him and you're just like, forget it, man. I drafted him. I'm starting him.
Starting point is 00:56:07 That's what I'm doing with Sunny Gray tonight at Baltimore against Andrew Kemp. Cashner and I will be sitting Cashner. Are you guys going to join me in starting Sunny Gray? If he's bad in this start, you should drop him. I'm kind of feeling the same way, yeah. But yes, I think the Orioles are awful against right-handed pitchers. So if he's not good against him, he's like Doug Fister. Kentana at Seth Lugo.
Starting point is 00:56:30 Start Kintana. I'm really interested to see what Seth Lugo does as a starter this time around. It's been good in the bullpen. Great, yeah. But we're not going to start him. Trevor Williams at Jack Flaherty I'll start Flaherty Yep
Starting point is 00:56:44 Billy's Dodgers Aaron Nola and Kershaw Tanner Roark and Sean Nukum You feel okay about Nukum Start both You start them both Shane Bieber at Jake Oteresee In a deeper league
Starting point is 00:56:58 You start Shane Bieber And a 10 team that you don't I'm not starting either one of them Otoriz's been really good All right but it is the end Oterizzi's been really lucky Okay He maybe should have been my cell high
Starting point is 00:57:10 if I can get more for him than Matt Boyd, because he's been pretty awful. Drew Pomerant's at Lance McCullors. I'll start McCullors. Yep. Way and Chen at Jordan Liles. I'll start Jordan Liles against the Marlins. Yeah, I think I would too. Mike Miner at Wade LeBlanc.
Starting point is 00:57:28 I'd start minor as a spark. Let's finish up with some emails. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. This email comes from Joe. Is it too early to have one eye on the playoffs? I'm wondering what to do with the following pitchers. Paxton, Nola, Snell, and Cole. Paxton, Nola, Snell, and Cole.
Starting point is 00:57:47 All have performed remarkably well so far, but Paxson is injury concerns. Snell and Nola, potential innings limits. That's news to me, by the way. I don't believe that. Yeah, I don't believe that to be the case. And Cole, this is uncharted territory. Should I be looking to try and sell?
Starting point is 00:58:01 Maybe a combination of Snell and Paxson for Chris Sale or Corey Klobber, or just enjoy the ride. I mean, I think that's just a good process. if you can sell them for Corey Klooper or Chris Sale or Max Scherzer Package 2 of them up and get it done. Is that a good trade? Paxton and Snell for a super race? Yeah, that's a lot to get.
Starting point is 00:58:20 You're giving up probably two top 20 guys to get. I mean, Paxton might be a top 10 guy. That's a lot to give up. I struggle to give up two good starting pitchers given how volatile starting pitcher is. I would do that trade. Okay. email from a person already in first place in the league says dear Pete, Kevin, Andre, and Jenny.
Starting point is 00:58:44 Is that the league? Head to head points, trying to trade Arieta. I already have an offer for Starling Marte, but I believe I could get D. Gordon instead. Should I do either? And which one would you take for Areeta, Marte or Gordon? I would rather have Marte. Solely because Gordon's coming back from a foot injury. That's the only case.
Starting point is 00:59:04 What injury is Marte coming back from? It was a side. Yeah, I believe he is back. He is back, though. He's back, though. He's back. He's playing. Yeah, I would take more, A.
Starting point is 00:59:16 Okay, Chris D'Amico in San Tan Valley, Arizona. Who should he add in a points league? Mitch Morland, Jorge Soler, or Brandon Nimmo? Horace Saler. Yeah, I believe in. Soler is getting back on track. Had a big night last night. Evan from Chicago.
Starting point is 00:59:33 Let's see. Who should I pick up? Nimmo, Stasi, or another hitter? And it's a daily league, so he'd be able to put in Stasi when Gary Sanchez sits, which isn't very often, by the way. I'd still probably go Nemo. Yeah. Scott in Oregon has a logjam in my outfield in a 14-team league. He wrote a 14-team to-do league.
Starting point is 00:59:52 That's probably an auto-correct for a Roto League. Who would you drop? Give me two to drop. Jake Lamb, Ian Desmond, Juan Soto, Pueig, Polanco, Billy Hamilton, Conforto. Desmond, for sure. I think Lamb. I feel like lamb, we haven't talked about him, but with the humidor, how good is lamb going to be? I mean, maybe you could drop Pueg instead of lamb.
Starting point is 01:00:19 I actually, and this one hurts. I think Polanco would be the guy to drop just because he says he needs Hamilton steals. Well, you probably need Desmond then. I think I, and Pueg will probably steal 15 bases. I think I would drop Polanco and Lamb. All right. Because of the concerns about playing time. Desmond. Don't drop Conforto or Soto. Put it that way.
Starting point is 01:00:42 And last one is Greg from Atlanta. Dear Adam, Dave, Paul, and Larry. The Beatles. Is that you too? That is you too. First, good luck on the new tour. Second, please help me to decide what to do with Jay Bruce and Domingo Santana. I could drop them for Brandon Nimmo or Gorky Fernandez.
Starting point is 01:01:03 I'm not to that point yet. I just hold on to them, but I am definitely less excited about them than I was. was at the beginning of the year. All right. Thank you for listening, everybody. Buy or sell tomorrow, although I did say that this time yesterday. For Creeth, I'm Adam. We'll talk to you then. See ya.

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