Fantasy Baseball Today - 06/12: Prospects, Bumgarner, Players Who Can Carry Your Team (Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: June 12, 2018

We've got Francisco Mejia and Willy Adames getting called up (4:40)! Which one should you add? And what do we make of Steven Wright's strong start (8:31) and what's behind Jose Martinez's recent home run binge (13:04)? ... Worryometer for Madison Bumgarner (16:43), Dee Gordon (19:02) and Andrew Heaney (21:10). We also discuss which current MLB players are destined for the Hall of Fame (24:00) before we grade your trades (31:00) ... Thoughts on the surging Teoscar Hernandez (33:15) and the slumping Yoan Moncada (37:32). We also look at yesterday's SPs (40:53) including Carlos Carrasco, Patrick Corbin and Joe Musgrove before Team Name Tuesday (46:20) and finding some players who could turn your Fantasy season around with an amazing stretch of baseball (48;00). Giancarlo Stanton? Kris Bryant? Michael Conforto? ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Are we worried about Madison Bumgarner? And have you realized just how bad Dee Gordon has been? Why am I starting today's show off on such a bad note? Welcome, everybody. We can talk about Stephen Wright. That'll make people happy. We can talk about Carlos Carrasco and another gem. And we can talk to Creeth.

I'm Adam Azer. Hello, Chris Towers and Heath Cummings. Before the show, we were talking about this is true, our favorite Disney songs. Chris, I'll let you go first since you had such a hot take on it. Gaston may be the best Disney song I'm not it's not a it's not with a bullet I'll make a man out of you is very good I won't say I'm in love from Hercules

also a banger lots of good songs in the Disney canon but Gaston it slaps for sure Okay Heath you have a favorite No could you name one Without Googling it right now I've already googled it

I don't, this is just... It was, look, it wasn't your time. Confession time for Heath. I've watched a lot of them. I don't, I like a lot of them. I don't really like movies where they just start singing in the middle with, like, people around them, and then the people around them all start singing, and then, and then, like, 30 seconds later, they all act like nobody was singing. Yeah, it's called a musical.

It's really not my thing. Okay. Yeah, it was... You're embarrassing yourself. Part of that world in Little Bermuda. Yeah, Mona. A part of that world in Little Bermade is the best Disney song. And let's move on.

So I want to start with the big news. And the Angels have denied a report that Shohei Otani needs Tommy John surgery. What should we do right now if we are the Otani owner? To be clear, the Angels have denied a report that they have decided that Showing Otisian is. He doesn't need Tommy John surgery right now. Right. Like, if you look back at the history of grade two UCL strains, a lot of them need Tommy John surgery. Some of them don't.

And, like, his two teammates are good examples. Andrew Heaney had a grade two Tommy John strain or UCL strain. He opted for the recover. And then two months later, they decided it wasn't happening. He needed Tommy John surgery. He was back in about 18 months. Garrett Richards didn't need Tommy John surgery. surgery. He has, of course, pitched like six more innings than Andrew Heaney over the last two seasons, so it's not like...

It kind of seems like an angels thing, because when Irvin Santana was with the Angels, he had the major partial tear, major strain. It's becoming more of a thing, and I think the Angels are probably one of the teams that tries to avoid Tommy John surgery if they can. I mean, I think there is an understanding that you don't necessarily always need Tommy John surgery, but it's the only way to truly fix it. Like, Gary Richards had basically a completely lost 2016 and 2017. It wouldn't have been that much different if he had actually had Tommy John surgery. All right, well, bottom line is wait and see with Shoahe Otani. And you probably don't need to stash Robinson Canoe because yesterday they said that he will not return as the full-time second baseman. Of course, injuries could change things. Yeah, I'm skeptical of that.

Like, they're not going to keep Robinson Canoe on the bench. Well, they said, you know, Dee Gordon's going to be their second baseman when they go into the playoffs. Canoa is not eligible to play in the postseason, so that's the justification behind it. Hot take, they won't be in the playoffs. I think they might be. They're very good. Look at the, regardless of that, who's going to overtake them? Well, the Astros.

There's like four good teams in the A.L. So, no, because, yeah, you mean they could be the second wild card? It would have to be the Angels. Yeah. It would have to be the Angels. Right. Who just lost their second best hitter. best pitcher. Or the Tigers

who are surprisingly good, but no, it won't be there. Yeah. And the, like, surprisingly good, they're 10 games back of Seattle. Are they really? Tigers, yeah. They're like 500, right? They're five games under. They're five games under. Oh, wow. I thought they were like, the only five games under. I think you were right at them. The Angels are the only team that might overtake them, and they just lost their best pitcher and second best hitter. So, yeah, it's... I'm still not convinced.

Chris Archer will not be back this weekend. The Cleveland Indians called up Francisco Mejia. He's 39% own. He's their top catching prospect. And the Reyes called up Willie Adamas. He's 31% owned and he is a shortstop. Who is a more exciting adieu? Francisco Mejia for the Indians.

Willie Adamas for the race. It's Adamas just because I'm not sure. Like they've tried Francisco Mejia in the outfield and at third base, I believe, in the minors and in spring training. But it just doesn't seem like there's going to be somewhere for him to play every day. See, I don't. I was thinking it might be Mejia just because he's catcher eligible. And if he can play, like, I really have a hard time believing.

And they may just call him up for a week because they need a fill-in. Like what the Reyes did with. Adomas, yes. But if he stays up, I think he'll be more valuable in fantasy. Mahia is clearly the more interesting long-term fantasy. He's a better hitter, right? I think so. And he's a catcher.

And he's a catcher. He's been bad in AAA, though, this year. And that's why I would, maybe it's a coach. Bellinger situation, he just gets hot and forces his way in the lineup. But he has a 605 OPS at AAA right now. I think he's been really hot. Yeah, he has been hot. Mahia's been hot lately.

They call them up. Catcher Roberto Perez may end up on the DL. They still have Yon Gomes. Adamus came up earlier, had a little cameo. He's been okay. You know, he's played, what, like four games or something in the majors. He had two RBIs and a walk and a strikeout yesterday. Yeah, so is Adamas here to stay?

Does he have more longevity than Mejia? theory? That's my assumption, yeah. Right. Once they called up Jake Bowers, that I think that's pretty much there. Who donned last night. He did. There you go. Would you rather have

Willie Adamas or long-term Paul DeYoung? Die young. Yeah, I mean, how far are we away from DeYoung returning, I guess is the question. I would think DeYoung's a better player. Something like two and three weeks, I believe.

Two or three weeks is that out about right, yeah. I mean, I'm worried that he might not be himself coming quick because he broke his hand, right? We've seen very mixed returns on guys like that. I can't remember his name. E. E. E. E. E. Haneo Suarez came back from a broken thumb, I believe, and has just not missed a beat. And then, you know, you look at like Justin Turner hasn't been able to find himself. And Euligariel broke his hand. Hasn't been very good, although he's heated up lately.

Would you rather have Willie Adomers or Jerksson pro far? Probably Adomis. I think I profar Jurexson. Mookie Betz is back, and Mike Trout foul the ball off his shin and X-rays were negative. Mookie Betz is back, and I wonder if I owned Dylan Bundy how I would have reacted to that, because I assumed Betz was not going to play, and I was going to start, but I probably would have started him anyway. Hypothetically, I would have made a great decision,

because Bundy had an outstanding stuff. start. So let's talk about Monday's standouts. I'm trying to look up some of Stephen Wright's funniest jokes. But as we know, you keep referencing this, and I don't know what you're referring. You don't know who Stephen Wright is? Is he funny? Oh, the comedian. Okay, there is a different Yes, okay. Yeah, the guy on the couch and I think. I thought you meant that the, like, Boston Red Sox pitcher, like, Moonlights as a comedian. No, so Stephen Wright makes these, like, very ironic one-liners. I'm going to get a tattoo over my whole body of me, but taller. They're just not that funny anymore.

Were they ever? Yeah, they were. I got a new dog. He's a paranoid retriever. He brings back everything because he's not sure what I threw him. It's very like Mitch Hedbergian. Yes, yes, but before Mitch Hedbert. So Stephen Wright, 60% own in two starts now.

He has gone 13 and 2 thirds, giving up six hits, no runs, six walks, and 11 strikeouts. Couldn't have asked for a much better matchup at Baltimore without Manny Machado last night, who had an illness, and he was against Detroit, who apparently had five games under 500, in his first start last week. He's pitched out of the bullpen this year, but he was, like, you know, Scott and Heath argued about him yesterday, I think. He was an all-star two years ago. He was terrible after the break, but Stephen Wright is 60% owned, and what do we think? Adam, leave him alone?

What do you think? I just, I have trouble analyzing knuckleballers because I, I'm sure there is something that Stephen Wright does when he's doing things well, that he does not when things are going poorly, that he intends to do. I cannot by watching him or by looking at his numbers say which is which. And so I, yeah, at him. He may be good moving forward. My guess is he won't be because he hasn't been good for the majority of his career. I am going to just – what I said yesterday was I think he's a random number generator, and he could give you three starts where he doesn't get up any runs, and he might give up eight runs the next start before he gets an out.

You can't – You cannot call him – How original that you come up with that. You can't call him a random number – I think that is Chris's thing. I think I actually called him a slot machine. I was trying to come up with a more analytical way to say. But let's just analyze him like a regular picture.

He has thrown 29 innings and has a 1-21 ERA. That sounds awesome. His ex-fip is 4.50. Why? We can't analyze, but that's the thing is we can't analyze him like a normal pitch. He's walked 4.8 batters per night. Yeah. He has struck out 7.5.

Right, but it's a knuckle baller. I mean... He has a 192 bad-bip against. Do you want to... Well, I mean, he's hard to hit, and his ball moves all over the place, so he's going to walk, guys. Do you want to add Stephen Wright? I don't.

No. No. All right. Then forget it. Anybody stand out to you guys yesterday? And I say that while acknowledging that he very well may have five great starts. All right, Monday standouts from you fellas? Yeah, I'll say Jack Flaherty.

We had a weird tweet last night. I don't know if you guys saw it. Like, in the first inning of that game, apparently he had a rough first inning and very mad about Jack Flaherty and his control. He walked back. One batterer in six and a third gave up three hits, struck out six. He's really good. Yeah, he is.

Would you rather have Flare? I'll give you some names. Flarity or Junis? Flarity. Flarity or Tyone? I think I'd rather have Flaherty. Flarity or a returning on Wednesday, Kenta Maeda. Flaredi.

Yeah, yeah. I really like Maeda, but there are limitations to his. usage that I think Flaherty will overcome. All right. I forgot to tell everybody what's coming up on today's show. I am looking, I got some leagues where I just kind of like, yeah, whatever. This team's not going anywhere.

Maybe we'll sneak into the playoffs, but we're not a championship caliber team. So I want some players that can carry my team for like two months, just absolutely dominate. So I've got a whole list of guys. I'm going to ask you, can they put a team on their back? and just crush it for fantasy. Would you like me to leave the room? Not a moment.

It's going to get real bad. I don't think so. I don't think so. You acknowledge that there are players that could get super hot and like go on a 1,200 OPS over a month and a half kind of binge. Tell us who they are, Chris.

Every single player. No. Not true. That's not true. You know that's not true. I do want to talk about a standout. Okay. Oh, we're also, we also have a little,

a little. So, create the trade today. I was really, every time you say we've got a little and then you start to play music, everyone gets excited and hopes it's the regulator's music. Yeah, well, it isn't. Yeah, that's disappointing. I'm sorry. It's the electric slide. Everybody, nobody likes the electric slide.

But what do you want to talk about, Chris? Jose Martinez. There are some really interesting things. going on with his game right now. And he's been the best hitter in the world since the start of June. He has an almost 1st,600 OPS since June 1st. But it's not just fluky. I don't know if it's sustainable.

I mean, I know a 1600 OPS is not sustainable. But his issue is that he hits the ball on the ground too often. And over the last 20 games, he has hit the ball on the ground, significantly less often than his career. 40.4% ground ball rate over the last 20 games, and it has been declining for about a month. His 20-game rolling ground ball percentage peaked on June 3rd with 56%. Ever since then, he has basically just stopped hitting the ball on the ground,

and that's a really good sign for a hitter this talented. We know he can, I mean, we know he has great plate discipline. He's had that even when things haven't been going well this season. The problem is he just didn't hit for power for like basically two months from the middle of April until the start of June. Now that he's hitting the ball in the air, I'm much more convinced that Jose Martinez can keep this up. There's no guarantee that it doesn't go back to the way it was before, but this is a very good sign for him moving forward. Do you think he's the type of player that could carry your team for two months? No, probably not.

Did you know he's the number two second baseman? Jose Martinez is the number two second basement in fantasy. It doesn't seem accurate. It's terrible. No, that doesn't seem accurate at all. I didn't know he was a second base eligible. Yeah. Oh, first.

He would be like the worst second baseman ever. I don't know where. You know what? I'll tell you what. He's the number two first baseman in fantasy. I'm going to see where he'd be at second base. He would be number six. Yeah.

Yeah, that sounds right. But he does, like, he has a 928 OPS on the season. Yeah, I know. He was bad for like a month and a half, or not bad. He was still hitting like $2.90. He just wasn't producing. But you look at the overall numbers, and it makes sense that he's the number two first base. He was bad.

I mean, so Jose Martinez had a 35 game stretch with a 698 OPS. He bet at $2.59 with two home runs. And, yeah, he's on fire right now. Five home runs in his last seven games, I believe, for Jose Martinez. I love the fly ball stat. That's really, really interesting. Still, you look at the point totals, I think he's only had three weeks with 20 or more fantasy points this year. His RBI and run totals are weirdly low for a guy who had like 18 RBI in the first 12 games or whatever it was.

Yes, actually, and we'll talk about Marcelo Zuna and an interesting stat about him. In fact, I'll just give it right now. Just give me one second. Marcelo Zuna, you think he's hot lately? Over the last 21 days, he's batting 400, but only four home runs. and nine runs scored. He's batting 421 days, and he scored nine runs. So that lineup just needs to get going a little bit.

I mean, you look at everything that's behind him in the lineup, and it's Yad Amalina and Jedjerko and Dexter Fowler and Yadiel Munoz, Yairouinios. And Malina just got back. All right, so we'll get into that a little bit later. We also have Team Name Tuesday coming up. Very, very good edition of Team Named Tuesday. a very musical edition.

I get to sing for everybody today. But let's do the Worryometer for three players, two pitchers. Madison Bumgarner. All right. Two starts, six strikeouts, and 11 and a third. And not exactly tough lineups. I mean, Arizona in his first start, they're not that great of a lineup without Pollock, to be quite honest. And at Miami yesterday, come on, man.

Madison Bumgarner, Wuriometer, zero to ten. Two. One. All right. It's two starts. I won't get into that then. He's fine. Yeah, like, he broke his hand, or his pinky, which is not even the most important of the digits. No, he barely needed it. And if he had just been pitching this whole time and then had a two-star stretch against Arizona and Miami where he had six strikeouts and 11 innings, we wouldn't even, like, mention it.

But he has it, but he doesn't have good starts. Unless we think that basically the only question is, did the shoulder injury last year diminish his talent? Well, I don't think the hand injury did. Look at the numbers last year after the shoulder injury. 343RA, 73 strikeouts, 15 homers and 84 innings, 10% swinging strike rate. As I mentioned on the last time we talked about Bum Gardner after his first start. So those overall numbers are not great. 343R. 73 strikeouts, 15 homers and 84 innings, 10% swinging strikes.

But it was really two awful starts, 11 earn runs and 11 innings that boosted the ERA. And a 343 ERA is within the range of reasonable outcomes for Madison, Baumgartner. Oh. Like, even the good version. What was the last time he had a 343ERA? He had a 337 and 2012. It was a long time ago. But, like, he was never like a low-2s-ZRA guy.

He had 298, 293, 27-4-1. That was barely even exist. I mean, like, you don't want a 343. It's not like, if Madison Bumgarner goes through a whole, like a 10-start stretch or a 12-start stretch, whatever it was, I'm sure there were 12-start stretches within 2016 when he had a 274 ERA, where he had a 340 ERA, probably worse. And so there may be signal there, but my default assumption, given how good we know Madison Bumgarner to be, is that that's mostly noise. D. Gordon, he's, boy, he's been really cold. So just before going on the DL, 11 games before going on the DL, he had a 156 batting average with one steal. Ten games coming off the DL, entering Monday, which was an ofer for him, I believe.

He's batting 171 with three steals. He's still stealing bases. And on the year, despite missing 10 games, D. Gordon is the number 12 second baseman in Roto, number 17 in points. I think you look at four walks of 36 strikeouts, though. Gosh, only four walks. I know he's not like a huge walk guy. Is this just a cold stretch for D. Gordon? We don't expect him to bat 2.75, which is what he's batting right now.

Or are we seeing some concerning signs for D. Gordon? What's the Worryometer, zero to ten? He does not walk. He doesn't really, like the 36 strikeouts is actually good. He's 14% strikeout. It's D. Gordon. We have seen this happen to him in the past. He is four batting average, kind of.

reliant because he doesn't have any home runs on having a very high babbip. And he is a guy that is really fast and his batted ball profile kind of lends itself towards having a higher babbib. Right now he's just got kind of a normal babb. So his batting average is struggling. If you look at his batted ball profile, he's got a 16% hard contact rate and that's also what he does. And that's actually like that's not a bad thing for him.

No. He Gordon's the kind of guy that like when he hits a ground ball, you want him to hit it soft. When he hits a line drive, you kind of want it to be. hit sock you want it to fall between the defender the problem might be and this is a low flyball percentage but it's at 26% this year that's not good for him he is kind of like william a say should have to drop into push-ups every time he hits a ball in the air did we give a number on the worryometer or we just for me at zero wasting time three i i don't i don't think there's much of a diminishment in skill the only concern i had with him really was the toe coming back from the

the injury, whether he'd run, and he has three steals, despite being on base, like, nine times. Okay. So basically zeroes for Madison Bumgarder, like zero to two or three for Bumgarner and D. Gordon. We're not really worried. And this guy is not really in the same category, but he is 88% owned, and he has had two bad starts in his last three. Andrew Heaney, Andrew Heaney, uh, Worryometer on Heaney. The other start in that three-star stretch was like a gem, right? Yes, it was a complete game shutout against the Royals.

The strikeouts haven't been there for him The last handful of starts Even during that really good start So I guess that's a little bit concerning Because he came out The first eight games of the year And was striking out well over a batterer per inning Not something he really profiled as

So I guess like a four or five There's a little like shamanaya here I wonder how much of that is schedule Dependent Because the Royals just really do not strike out I don't know what the Mariners strikeout

Raysh, Raydard is. The tigers, they don't really have anybody who strikes out much. The tigers before the royals do not strike out

much either. So, yeah, so. I'm not, we have to make this relative. If I was hoping at the beginning of the year that

Heaney was going to be as good as Madison Bumgarner, I'd be a 10. Yeah. But for what I want from Andrew Heaney, I'm probably somewhere around a three or a four.

I still think you should have him on your roster. I'm still looking to add him where he's available, I think. Yeah, it's few and far between. Heaney is 88% owned, but maybe if somebody drops Andrew Heaney, you go ahead and you pick him up.

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What the hell am I saying? Greeting. I grew up in the 80s. recently been going through my baseball card collection from the late 80s and early 90s. Looking back on these cards 30 years later and remembering who some of my favorite players and cards were, I also have a different perspective now that I know who was in the Hall of Fame and who was just someone that I liked watching. Back then we had a handful of guys that we knew were going to be in, like Schmidt, Boggs, Ripkin, and Gwyn. There were also guys we may not have been as sure about like Tomey and Frank Thomas that proved it over time.

Thinking about today's players, who do you think will be sure-fire, Hall of Famers. And who might be some of those peripheral guys that will develop a Hall of Fame career over longevity? The Surefire guys are like, Shurs or Kirchall Trout, Poo-Hulls.

Poo-Hulls. Biggie. Bel-Trey, Miguel Cabrera. Grinky. I think he's one of those guys who, like, I think Verlander's probably going to get in. Cory Klover will probably end up getting in. Granky, I think, should get in.

Verlander, probably. Verlander's, first ballot. Grinky is one year younger than Verlander and has a higher career war than Verlander. Yeah, but he didn't win an MVP. He doesn't have. Verlander has two Syungs and a World Series. Sure seems like he's going to get another one this year. Yeah, I think they're both in.

I, this is a philosophical thing to a certain extent. I'm a big hall guy. I think we should, we should celebrate the game and the best players. And I would be more willing than most people to put someone like, Chase Utley. I think Chase Utley should be a Hall of Famer. I think Bryce Harper will eventually get in. Ichero.

Junkarlastan will probably eventually get in. Enchiro is not a current player. What do you mean? He was... He's still kind of a current player. He's got an office now. He may come back. I have not seen an official retirement ceremony.

See, I'm a Hall of Fan snob. There would be like 10% of the current Hall of Fame will be in if I were the only voter. I wouldn't even put Adrian Beltrae. Oh, that's ridiculous. That is absolutely ridiculous. Was there ever a time... Log off, sir, log on.

Was there ever a time when Adrian Belchrey... Was there more than like one, maybe two seasons where he was one of the five best players in baseball? Yes. Yeah, I don't know if I agree with that. I'll tell you who wasn't. Who I wouldn't put in. Like the last decade. Raphael Palmero, I wouldn't put it in the whole thing.

I'd be fine with Raphael Parmere. Adrian Belgrade is a lot better than Raphael. Belcher, okay, Belchre, the defense is definitely a factor. Definitely. So fine. He's in. Palmyro's out. I think you have to be like...

Palmero won a gold glove, sir. Show some respect. Did he win a gold glove? They played like half the season. At first bit, yeah. Okay. Posey. Oh, Posey's a hall of favor.

Yaddy Amelina is probably going to get in. Salvatorez. I would put Joe Mower in, but I know I'm probably in the minority there. By the way, just so everybody doesn't hate me, Beltray's in. Palmero is out. And Cano. would have been in if not for the...

Is anyone on this Yankees team in? I think Stanton will probably get in. Sabathia probably gets in. That's a close one. Judge, it's hard to say, because he got a late start. Dini's probably going in the hall. Greg Byrd. As soon as Greg Berg is going to be in the hall.

I think it was a better prospect than all these other guys. I think a roll of this Chapman. That's what it's going to say on the plaque. Better prospect of marriage. Greg Byrd, 111 career home. runs 240 average, better prospect than Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez. Eric, uh, roll this Chapman. It'll have a nice case.

It's all said and done. All right, let's move on. News and notes. Baltimore's going to try to work Zach Britton back into the closer's role, sort of gradually. We'll see. Robbie Ray can make a rehab start on Thursday. Jeff Samarja is scheduled to make a rehab start on Friday.

Francisco Cervelli sat with a head injury. Still not clear if Cerville is going to go on the DL or not. Same with Edwin and Carnacione, who's missed three straight games with an ankle injury. Jason Kipnis sat. Machado had an illness. Johnny Quato threw a bullpen session. Wilson Condreras was robbed of a home run. It would have been nice.

Kevin Kiermire could be back in 10 days. What's your level of interest in Kevin Kiermeier? Seven. I'm pretty interested until the next time he gets hurt. Yeah, he does have the injury bug. And Avi Garcia will start a rehab assignment today. What's your level of interest in Avi Garcia? Four.

Four. Kenta Maeda is going to start Wednesday, and Angel's first baseman Jeffrey Marte left with a bruised. Jose Miguel Fernandez. Maybe it gets a little more playing time for you, A.L. Onlyers. How confident do you feel that you got the middle name right? Eight, eight.

Okay. Did I? Just eight. Okay. I don't know. I'm pretty sure I got. Jose Miguel Fernandez. Line-up stuff.

Austin Meadows has started eight of Pittsburgh's last nine games. He has batted second in all of them. this might partially be due to the fact that they've faced four lefties in their last six games, and Polanco has sat for three of those four. But Meadows is their number two hitter right now, and I wonder if he's under-owned. Of course, I don't know what his ownership percentage is. But he also, he hasn't done a whole lot, right?

You know, he's striking out more lately. I think he's doubled in two straight games. He hasn't done a whole lot, no. But he also hasn't been so bad where you ignore it, Austin. Meadows. So he's 9.434. Anybody want to do a quick math on that? That's just over 250. About 260. 265 with one home run and no stolen bases, two walks, seven strikeouts.

I just think when he's got 83 plate appearances, I don't know how instructive it is to break it up in smaller bits. I agree, but I would just like, with a player like this who came out red hot but wasn't, didn't have the, the track record to back it up. I'm going to be watching for signs that it was just a hot streak versus, you know, this is the new thing because it wouldn't surprise me if Austin Meadows is back in the minors in a month. Austin Meadows is 75% owned, so I will not say that he is underowned. Okay, Eric Thames sat against the lefty, and Alan Hanses started. Joe Panic sat.

That was against a lefty, and maybe that will continue to happen. Just panic is batting 189 with a 302 slugging percentage. against left-handed pitchers. All right, we got to make sure we get to the players who can carry your team. Let's grade some trades. Do you guys know the electric slide? Like, could you do it right now? Wooogie, wooge, wooge.

I think... I could just, like, step and, like, fake it for about three seconds. I could do it if I were watching somebody else do it, it would come back to me. I could definitely do it, but we're not allowed to drink at work. All right, this is from Ned. Grade the Trade the Trade. Dear Cody, Yassio, Walker, and Clayton, we know them, they're Dodgers. Ten team categories league.

Give up Eduardo Rodriguez. Get Josh Hater and Joe Musgrove. A. Yeah, I'll give it that in A as well. From Sunny, grade, Cade the Trade, Nails, Kid, and Mook. Mets, 86 Mets. Oh, okay. Give up John Lester, get Josh Hater.

Another Hater trade. Give up Lester, get Hater. This is a 10-team Roto League. B-minus. minus. That's not selling high enough on Lester. All right, Lester for Hader. From Anonymous, grade the trade, give Bryce Harper,

get George Springer. C minus. D plus. From no name. Grade the trade, Rocky Colton, Tum-Tum. Horses. Three ninjas. You don't know three ninjas? I don't know their names. How do you not know their names? Rocky loves Emily. I have seen that movie so many times. You have?

Oh my gosh. My 16-year-old. was like, I don't know when that movie came out, but around age 7, 8, 9, he just watched that movie over and over. I would guess I have not seen that movie since the first term of the Clinton administration. That's an old one. All right, here's the trade.

Give up Michael Waka, get Jose Abraeu in a Keeper League. A. A plus. P.S. Chris is awesome. F. All right, let's get through yesterday's stuff. I have a tendency to leave yesterday's action for too late in the show. Three up. Mike Trout, Nelson Cruz, and Teosker Hernandez.

They combine for five home runs. Mike Trout is now the number one hitter in fantasy, but that's because Moogie Betts went on the DL. Nelson Cruz is batting 375 with 372 with five homers in his last 12 games. He homered twice yesterday. And Teosker Hernandez is definitely the most interesting. he is red hot right now. In June, he's batting 3.42 with three home runs.

Only one walk to 10 strikeouts. He had a terrible May to Oscar Hernandez. He's 71% owned, batted 212 with a 404 slugging percentage. So, yeah, I don't know. All right, I don't know there's much to say about Trout. But question about Nelson Cruz, do you think he's, you know, Nelson Cruz, the guy we expected him to be? Yeah. Not quite.

But I still think he... I don't think you can sell him really because there's still enough question about that, so I think he's just a hold. Okay. Now, Tiaska Hernandez, 71% owned. Tell me how you evaluate him. This is a classic Blue Jays thing, right?

Like, he has appeared in 300, he has 309 played appearances for the Blue Jays with 18 homers. He's hitting 260 with an 860 OPS. Like, the minor league numbers don't necessarily, necessarily back this up, but the Blue Jays have enough of a track record of turning kind of fringy power hitters into performers that I kind of buy it. The improvement in strikeout rate this year is encouraging. That kind of reverted a little bit in May, I think. But if he can be a guy that strikes out less than a fourth of the time, then I think the power will play. I also think he, He has a tendency to be a little bit root-netto-dorish,

to where the bad can be really, really awful. There's not a lot there to help if he's not hitting old ones. All right, this is Teasca Hernandez. Hernandez or Meadows? Hernandez. Yeah. Hernandez or Polanco. I think Polanco's the better player.

I think Hernandez is the answer here. I'm going to stick with Polanco a little longer. He's not even playing. I mean, he sits against lefties. I just don't think that's going to be the case for the rest of the season. All right. By the way, I played on draft last night against the team that had Nelson Cruz and Mike Trout, so that didn't go very well.

In fact, yesterday was my lowest score in draft history. It wasn't entirely my fault. Played the Knight Slate, which was only two games, which was the Diamondbacks game and the Mariners Angels game. So there are only four teams that choose from. I played a three-person contest scored six points. The winner scored 98 points. Who was on your team?

I had Andrew Heaney, Paul Goldschmidt, Ian Kinsler, Mitch Hanager, and David Peralta. And how is that not exactly your fault? I mean, because there weren't that many players to choose from, you know? Because there was enough, like, one guy's word 98. Well, I didn't have a chance to draft. He had the same players to choose from. I would have drafted Mike Trout if I had the first pick, but I didn't. I had the third pick out of three.

So anyway, it was fun. And you can remember Ben Stein? You can just call me Ben Stein. There used to be that game win Benstein's money. Oh, yeah, I love that game. Yeah. You can win Adamazer's money on the draft app. Download the draft app or go to draft.com and use the promo code FB Today.

FB today is the promo code. You will get a free entry into a real money baseball draft when you make your first deposit. If you use that code FB Today. And you'll also automatically be following me, Big Cain 2, on the draft app, so you can compete against me. I play for a dollar just about every night. and yeah, I usually lose, although I had a pretty good week last week. So, again, I like taking hitters. Two-game slate can't really, no strategy there.

But bigger slate, I like hitters first. Just make sure that there aren't like one or two elite pitchers, then you might want to pay up or, you know, draft early for a pitcher. But anyway, don't take my advice. Just keep beating me and taking my money. Draft is the app. Draft.com is the website, and FB today is the promo code. back to the show.

One down today is Yohan Moncada. We can do an interesting little comparison this year versus last year for Yohan Moncada. He has played about the same amount of games, 56 games this year, 54 last year. And he has nearly identical batting average and slugging percentage, 231 and 412, within one point of each other, you know, batting average and slugging percentage. On base a little bit different because he walked more last year. He struck out less. last year. He has stolen four more bases this season, but eight home runs, 22RB, basically

almost identical numbers this year to last year through right around 55 games. I was hopeful because 17 games of four going on the DL in the 17 games leading up to his DL stint with hamstring tightness, Mokada seemed to turn it around. He was batting 323 with five homers, four steals, a fairly respectable nine walks at 25 strikeouts, 1057 OPS, and he's just been awful since coming back from the DL batting around 200. So is he just the same player that he was last year, which is really not rosterable, or is Munkata better than that?

He's an extremely weird player, and I think he's probably rosterable. I mean, I'll tell you the one thing he has in this year I say more doubles. He's a weird player, because you look at like, the strike rate is like 36%. And that's one of the worst in baseball.

And the swinging strike rate is 13.5%, which is not good by any means. it's worse than last year, but it's not Louis Brinson. It's not Joey Gallo. It's not Javi Baez. It's tough to make sense of him because then he's a player that you look at the peripheral parts. He's 40% hard contact rain, 25% line drive rate. He barely hits any infield fly balls, and he's really fast.

So the 341 Babbat, like the peripheral pieces all point to a really, really talented player. And I think the sum is just a little less than the total part. On the other hand, just combining 2017 and 2018, the 162 game pace is 24 homers, 15 steals, 91 runs, 66 RBI. Yeah, 234 batting average. That's bad, but that's probably rosterable in a roto league. I do feel like a little bit of this may just be growing pains. It's still a guy that didn't have a ton of plate appearances above AA 361 of them.

He's still 23 years old. He has shown a really good ability to walk in the past. That's gone down this year. I don't think he's going to strike out 35% of the time for the rest of the year. The other problem is I don't know if those growing pains are going to end this year or if he just improves next year. But I think he's going to be better than what. what his numbers have shown so far.

Wow, that was one of your, the two of you, just a dreadful stretch of not saying the players last name. Yoan Moncada. Thank you. Yoan Moncada is we were talking about last year. What he had like eight last year, 12 this year, something like that? Yes, the same. Yeah, so I know he's making fun of me for something that happened off the air,

which is very funny. It was very funny, but, yeah, inside jokes don't play well. Would you rather have, as a middle infielder, Yoamongata or Willie Adamas? Montcata, yeah. Let's look at the rotation. Carlos Carrasco I still want to know how much

Because I want again Seven scoreless hitting two hits One walk 11 strikeouts Oh my God So good over his last two starts 21 strikeouts Two walks and 14 innings Yeah he just

He does seem like a little bit Of a different pitcher lately He's throwing a lot of breaking balls A lot of changeups Fewer four seamers So I was I was listening to the podcast Where you were discussing Carlos Carrasco

Yeah And it was very confused confusing because you were insistent that he was Oh, it's true. Rowing softer and like we can check. No, we can't because I'm telling you it's a matter of how much he's using the pitches. Now the thing is, I haven't unfortunately watched the early innings of his starts. I've been picking it up kind of in the middle innings.

But I'm just telling you, this guy is pitching off his breaking balls. And I am so 100% sure of that. He is. He's using his slider more than his fastball. Yeah, I mean, that's interesting. That's something that he's done for, stretches in the past. You know, last,

um, last year, I think there were, there, like the second half of the season, he wasn't throwing his slider more than his fastball, but he was throwing it, you know,

27% of the time compared to like 32% of the time for his four seamer in the month of August. So there have been stretches like that. I, I think Carlos Carasco is a very good, high, high end number two starting pitch. Yeah. wine ace.

Okay. There's nothing. It was just interesting. That's the thing. I wasn't bringing it up like, like here's some hard hitting fantasy analysis. I was bringing it up like, this is interesting. He's changing, it seems. I don't love.

Yeah, that happens to pitchers when they age. Yeah, but I don't love pitchers who lose a dominant fastball. And I think you look at Patrick Corbin, who's still getting a lot of strikeouts. But, you know, the velocity was down. Now, his velocity is down considerably, and Carasco's really isn't. But Corbyn's got over, it's probably like a 4ERA over his last seven starts. I know it was 379 over six starts before he struggled yesterday. And still, like 45 strikeouts at 13 walks and 35 and 2 thirds,

it just, I hope Carrasco is not going the Masahiro Tanaka route, where he's got these really good breaking pitches but doesn't have a great fastball and gives up home runs and has bad starts, and the peripherals don't really support his final line. I'm not saying he is. I'm just saying like I hope that's not the game. case with Carrasco, and I don't think it is. But I can't say that thought is not entering my mind.

Can't you look, Chris, at how hitters are doing against his fastball this year? Sure. I could. But that would be interesting, because I wonder, and we talk a lot about how much guys are using certain pitches over certain stretches. And I just, I wonder if it was a situation where the fastball is getting crushed, then that would cause me a little bit more concerned than if Carlos Carrasco is just mixing things up over a month.

Same. Yeah, so let's find that out. And while you do that... His 4-Sea fastball is getting crushed. It's interesting. He has a 319 batting average and a 582 slugging percentage against. Last year, it was worse. Well, that's interesting.

Maybe he's kind of scrapping it. Because when I watch him, he's throwing like a lot of 92-93, which is probably his two-seamer. And not necessarily his four-seamer. All right, look, again, I'm not trying... I don't want to scare people off Carlos Carrasco. but it's just a thought that popped in my head. He's pitching a little bit differently now. Rank these pitchers.

Musgrove, Corby, Bundy, Flaherty. Corby, Bundy, Flaherty, Musgrove. Corby, Bundy, Flaherty, Musgrove. Chris? And three of those are in one tier, and Joe Musgrove is in a different tier. Man, I thought about putting Flaherty above Corbyn. Like, he hasn't,

Corbin hasn't turned back into a pumpkin necessarily, Unless, like, maybe pumpkins are good. But he's... They're not. Look, they're fine. They're gourds. They suck. Who has a strong opinion about a gourd? I like pumpkins. You would.

You're out of your gourd. I don't like pumpkin beer. I think there's a chance Flaherty's better than Corbyn. I'll give Corby the benefit of the doubt for now. But I'll go Corby, Flaherty, Bundy, and Musgrove. And I think Musgrove needs to be 100% owned at this point. He is 82% owned. Cruising along, no runs allowed through six, and then he retaliates, he hits a batter on purpose,

because, you know, he's got his teammates back, and the Diamondbacks go on to score five runs in the inning, two charged to Musgrove, two earned runs charged to Musgrove, and the Diamondbacks won the game. So don't put runners on when you don't have to. Fringy starting pitchers, how would you rank Junior Gera, Stephen Wright, Ryan Yarbrough, Wade LeBlanc, and Jordan Lyles? Ryan Yarbrough. Yeah, Yarbrough. Boy, things have taken a bad turn for Jordan Liles after he showed some good stuff.

Yeah, no, he's, no. Yarbro, Gera, Wright, Liles LeBlanc. Yarbrough, Gara, Wright, Liles, LeBlanc. But Norris got a save. Let's do some team name Tuesday. And then who can carry your team to a victory? A segment suggested by Chris Towers. All right, so.

Don't you put that evil on me. We've got, oh, I can't, I don't think I can single this one today. Valerie, call on me. That was terrible. Sorry, everybody. But I, that's call on me. The song's called Valerie. It's by Steve Winwood.

I've been singing that one for like five years, substituting, whenever Colome got relevant. Colomé's name for Call On Me in that song. We also have an Arrested Development reference, the band, not the TV show. Mr. Wendell. You know that song?

Mr. E. You don't know the song Mr. Wendell By Arrested Development? No. Really? It seems like you would love that song. You would love that song. Look, I don't know every song, Adam.

That's a pretty popular one. I don't know Valerie. You don't know Valerie by Stephen? I know the other Valerie. What's that? The Amy Winehouse one. Oh, yeah, that's a good one. Hand that rocks the Canable.

Sure. Don't Bogart's that squishy. Sure. Tommy Fam of the Opera. Garrett Garrett Coleman Yeah That's good

Max Muncie That funky Muncie Sure Yeah This one's really good there Yolisha Seen Oh I swear what he means That's good

That's very good One of the ten best songs ever Come on Eileen Yeah It's brilliant Absolutely brilliant The Long and Winding Rodon Yes.

Tell me how confident you are that if I trade for these guys right now, they're just going to go on a crazy tear and carry my team. Josh Donaldson. One. Really? He could do it. No, look. Chris, you got to acknowledge that guys get hot.

That guys are streaky, right? I think Chris is selling himself short here. That's the problem is Chris would like to not go out on a limb and say, this guy is getting ready to carry you to a championship. So like the the example you used when you texted us this AM. Email. Email. No, you texted us.

It was an email? It was an email. Tuesday morning. Come on I lead. Greatest song ever, ladies and gentlemen. Go ahead. Top ten. Your example was Andrew Benintending.

And he has carried your team for about a month and a half. And it's been awesome. Right, right. I think I called that. No, you didn't. Nobody did. But we're going to now. And we're writing that wrong.

But that's the thing is that at the time he had like a 20% hard contact. There was no reason to believe that. You're right. You're right. I didn't say like we could have predicted that. I was just giving an example of a guy who could give. Chris, he's not, he's not, this isn't asked like a segment called Ask Statcast. He's not asking statcast or fan graphs who's going to carry your team.

He's asking Chris. I'm just going to leave the room for the same. No, let me tell you where I'm coming from. and I sort of explained it. All right, so I've got one particular league in mind. I'm in a Roto League doing horribly. And I think I'm in 11th out of 13. You're going to ask the guy that's in 12th.

I need, no, no, different league. Different league. I need a player. The only chance I have to win is to make some type of by-low trade and get a guy who could be the best player in baseball like you could have done with Manny Machado or Josh Donaldson last year. So I'm trying to identify those players. Now Donaldson, he's saying a one, it almost encourages me because, you know, I don't want a guy that everybody thinks is going to go off.

Donaldson, I think a lot of people don't think he's going to go off. I think a lot of people think he's going to have a really bad year, and he might. But if I'm desperate, I might make a by-low play for Donaldson and just hope he repeats history and goes crazy like he did last year when he was showing similar signs of just having a really bad season. That's where I'm coming from on this. Who are guys that you would identify as, all right, I got to take a shot. I need a Hail Mary here. This player can get super hot and carry my team. Trey Turner.

I agree. Yes, he's batting 254. He's a better hitter than that. Seven. I don't know about Chris Bryant. I don't know if he has that upside right now. Chris Bryant is awesome. He is.

He's also bizarre. We can't. We cannot go. We can't. Like, he is an MVP caliber player, which is exactly what we expected him to be when he was coming up as a top prospect. He is not at all the player that we thought he would be. And it's really weird. I know, I know.

But do you think that you could trade for Chris Bryant right now and he could start hitting those home runs that we want to see? And his teammate Anthony Rizzo, both. I don't think you're getting enough of a discount on Chris Bryant for that. Fair. John Carlos Stanton. Sure. Yeah. He could go on a month-long tear where he only strikes out 22% of the time and carries your team for a month.

Yeah, he's the best player in fantasy. We've seen what happens when he, like, what was his strikeout rate last year? Like, 25%. We've seen what happens when he goes on an extended stretch where he doesn't strike out that much. And he, you know, wasn't the best player in fantasy, but he was pretty close. Okay. Jay Bruce. Now, look, Jay Bruce is not on the same level as Stanton.

I don't need him to be the best player in fantasy. Can he be a top five out? their top, you know, go one of those crazy stretches for a month. Sure. Yeah, we've seen that from him as well. I'm less confident in that. Yeah, I am too good. But you could get him for nothing.

I've like three weeks in a row almost dropped Jay Bruce. Yeah, I think maybe Cespittus is actually the better Mets outfieler to look at. I don't know when he's going to come back. Neither do the Mets. Yeah. You know somebody also might be on the waiver wire that, could do something like that is Rugnett Odor. I just...

Yeah, he could. Oh, he absolutely can. But isn't it... But you said it, like, he might not play when Andrews is back. I mean, Profar has earned it over Odor. I would rather take a chance on Moncada in that profile. I don't think you can... I don't...

Like, what's O'Dor's ownership right now? I could look. I would... Guess, I mean, what's Mercado's? 93. Yeah, that's surprising. How about a... I would guess in another week it will be a lot lower.

Odor is 59% own. How about another Mets outfielder, Michael Conforto? You still feel that way about him? Sure. Yeah, I mean, the issue with him is obviously the shoulder, and we assume that that's the reason. But this guy, I think he had an OPS north of 1,000, three out of five months last season.

he was a top 10 outfielder for most of the first four months of the season last year. Andrew McCutcheon. He's been hot. 100%. Yeah. Matt Olson? Might have missed the opportunity. You might have missed the opportunity.

You might have missed it with both of those guys. Joey Gallo? Sure. Yes. I mean, he's regressed from the early gains he made, but the batting ball profile is still elite. Ross Stripling as a by high? I feel like you probably have to give up too much for, you know, we've probably seen the best of Ross Stripling.

I'm having trouble thinking of a pitcher that could do this. How about Dallas Keikle? I was about to say, Dallas Geichael? You're just reading my note teacher? Yep. 100%. I saw that smirk. Madison Bumgarner.

Yeah. Oh, yeah, for sure. But, yes, I think that's a good example of it. Yeah, me too. I'm sorry. I think the guy who ate the two months where he wasn't pitching is probably not going to give him up for cheap. I was going to ask if you agreed about Dallas Keikle. I actually don't really – I'm not that confident in him right now.

I wouldn't be looking for him to turn my seat around. I would buy low in a points league for sure. John Gray, Masahiro Tanaka, Lance McCullors maybe with the 394 ERA. Tanaka. Tanaka's out a month, though. Oh, that's right. Yes. John Gray is a fun one.

I like John Gray. John Gray and Vince Velasquez are the two that I would identify. Vince Velasquez is 14th in the majors in strikeout rate. John Gray is 23rd. Both of them have been pretty good control pitchers this season. There are flaws in their games. Vince Velasquez gets hit a little bit too hard. John Gray pitches half his games at course field,

but for some reason can't pitch away from course field. field. But those are two guys who I think the overall numbers are better than what they've shown. And maybe Nick Povetta as well. See, we got a pretty good segment out of this. Louis Castillo. Yeah, I know you guys really like Luis Castillo. I mean, I just, the upside is super high still, even though he's been bad. Alex Wood. Yeah, you think so? Kevin Gosman. Oh, I don't agree.

I mean, we've, he's not, look, it's not carry your team levels, but we've seen the second half of last season. I'm pretty sure Kevin Gosman had like a 3-5 ERA. Yeah, I guess if you're lowering the threshold, sure. Okay, so let's look at today's matchups and end the show. Eduardo. Oh, wait, no, we more grade the trade. I forgot about to grade the trade. I haven't not done nearly enough grade the trade on the show this year.

I apologize. So let's get back to that. Grade the trade part two is from Curtis. I'd be giving up Aaron Nola and Matt Olson. Give up Nola and Olson. Get Lester and Goldschmidt. I think that's an A. C.

C. Really? Matt Olson is really good. He's not anywhere. He's not. Paul Goldschmidt. Paul Goldschmidt has largely bounced back, although not entirely, and I don't think he will be the player he was the past two years, three years.

I like Aranola a lot more than I like John Lester. From the Nuge, grade the trade, standard 5x5-12 Team Rodo, give U. Darvish get Reese Hoskins. B, B. From Joe, give Quato, Castillo, and Frankie Montas, Three pitchers, Queda, Luis Castillo, and Frankie Motas for Jose Barrios. That feels like too much. Not to me.

It's so league dependent. Yeah, that's true, right. Tell us how many teams are in your league. Because, like, the trade that Chris and I made in a 16-team league, I would have never made that trade in a 12-team league. Yeah. So I'm going to give it a C-minus. Yeah, I think it's probably a C-minus.

All right, from Keith, grade the trade in a shallow head-to-head points. League. Give up Bryce Harper and Eduardo Rodriguez. Bryce Harper and Eduardo Rodriguez. Get Blake Snell and Freddie Freeman. Hot take. A plus. Yeah. A plus. I love that. A plus? I'm not sure. I'm not sure Freddie Freeman isn't better than Bryce Harper. Yeah. I mean, it's... And Blake Snell is definitely better than Edward Rodriguez. Yes, he is. Okay. Thank you for letting us teach you teach you how to grade the trade yeah thank you Chris good job or make a trade

it should have been make a trade I'm sorry yeah you're right all right that's the grade the trade and are we starting John Gray at Philadelphia yes yeah are we starting Tanner Roark and C C C C C C Cabathia facing each other in Yankee Stadium tonight I would prefer not to start C C C C C C Agreed. Are we starting J. Go Derizzi at Detroit? Fine. Yes. Chris Stratton at Miami.

No. Let's see. Zach Wheeler and Mike Fultenevich tonight. Yes. Yeah, I will start both. I don't want to start Wheeler. I'm going to yell everybody to drop Chase Anderson after he gets crushed by the Cubs tonight, so don't start him. You should drop him before that.

Adam Plutko at the White Sox. No. No. James Shields against the Indians. No. Yes. No, you liar. What?

I think that we just skipped over Tyler Chattwood. Who's starting Tyler Chattwood, no way? Matt Strom at the Cardinals? No. No, he's going to throw about two and a third. Sal Romano at Ian Kennedy. No, no. Trevor Williams and Clay Buckholz.

Nope. I don't know what Clay Buckholz is doing. I don't like it. Yeah. I don't think I would start either. Daniel Magnet against the Astros. No, no, no. Jaime Maria at Mike Leak.

I think both are kind of interesting in deep leagues. Leak is a guy that you should be starting in a weekly league with a two-start pitcher, but individually, I'm not starting in that matchup. Bartolo Colon at Caleb Ferguson. No. Goodbye, everybody. Thank you for listening. We have the best segment ever today.

Thank you, Chris, for its first. Byron. See ya.