Fantasy Baseball Today - 06/18: Weekend Roundup - Finding Players to Add (Fantasy Baseball Today)

Episode Date: June 18, 2018

It was a fairly normal weekend of baseball but some hitters and pitchers have emerged that can help you this week and going forward. We start with standouts hitters (3:10) such as Ian Desmond and stan...douts SPs (6:55) such as Wade LeBlanc and Jonathan Loaisiga before telling you who we added and dropped (13:46) and looking at the Most Added list (18:00). Keep an eye on an underowned Tom Murphy ... More bullpen craziness (22:40) as we try to sort out the situation in HOU, PHI and TOR while wondering if two more closers could lose their jobs soon. Also, are we adding Freddy Peralta (30:45)? And which other hitters are catching our eye these days (33:33)? Randal Grichuk, Eric Thames, Jon Jay and of course Bryce Harper deserve a mention ... A lot of SP talk (39:15) late in the show as we discuss Julio Teheran's velocity, Patrick Corbin's fastball, Jon Gray's potential and SPs we want to add ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Now here's Adam, Scott Heath and Chris. All right, everybody, welcome back from your weekend. It is Monday, June 18th. What's going on?
Starting point is 00:00:29 We are ready for another week of fantasy baseball. Of course, we're going to talk about the weekend standouts, but I guess I have a question for Heath and Scott. In terms of weekend standouts, were there any? I mean, really? Well, Friday night starts the weekend. Yeah, I know. What happened Friday night?
Starting point is 00:00:48 That was so special. Are you kidding? A Yankees pitcher made his debut and it went well, and that was not the lead of the show? Well, okay, fine, here's the lead of the show. Do you guys know how to pronounce his name? Yes, obviously, low I seega. No, wrong.
Starting point is 00:01:04 I'm looking at baseball reference. Yeah, well, baseball reference is wrong. Scott? Baseball reference is often wrong on these matters. That's what I would have guessed, Loisiga. Loisiga, according to the broadcast. Loisiga, and he is the third most out of player. Who is the most added player in CBSports.com leagues?
Starting point is 00:01:23 I'm going to guess Domingo Armand. He should have been, Domingo Armand. He's fifth. Fifth? You guys are doing it wrong. Dylan Kobe, the cheater. He's definitely cheated. Heath.
Starting point is 00:01:34 Dylan Kovia is number one. He's a two-star pitcher. It wasn't a weekend full of ads and drops. But look, we had Wade LeBlanc. He was great. I get to talk about Ian Desmond soon. That was great. How was Father's Day, Scott and Heath?
Starting point is 00:01:49 Outstanding. It was great. It was great. I think, Adam, I had, since the start of baseball season, I think I had seen only one movie. And I'm not talking about going to see a movie. I think I had seen one movie in any form since the start of baseball season. I watched five this week because I was granted the permission to go see Infinity War for Father's Day, but I wanted to be prepared. There were some other movies leading up to it that I had missed.
Starting point is 00:02:17 So I watched a total of five movies. I'm not even sure how I did it. Congratulations. Probably made sacrifices I shouldn't have made, but I did it. Great. How was Infinity Wars? It was wonderful. It was heavy.
Starting point is 00:02:30 It was really good, but it was happy. Okay. And Heath, good stuff, good Father's Day? Oh, lots and lots of beer. Of course. Half of my family is out of town right now, so it was just me and my 16-year-old sons, I guess more than half the family. So, yeah, he had basketball.
Starting point is 00:02:48 I went around and watched high school basketball and drank beer. What a weekend. I had a fudgy the whale cake. Those are delicious. And I saw the movie The Big Sick, which is excellent. I recommend it. The Big Sick, very good. Yeah, that was good.
Starting point is 00:03:01 I saw that before baseball season out. Okay, good. Yeah, I've been waiting to watch that one. All right, let's talk about weekend standouts here. Heath, why don't you give me a standout hitter? Well, I was going to give you a standout pitcher. I'll give you a standout hitter. Delano De Shields might be finally doing what we'd hoped he would do. You know, it's really weird.
Starting point is 00:03:22 He missed three weeks on the disabled list, and he's mostly been just absolutely terrible as a hitter. And somehow he's still tied for fifth and stolen bases this year. Had three more over the weekend. Now has eight hits in his last six games, six walks over that same span. His on-base percentage is up to 3.30, despite the fact that he hasn't hit hardly anything all year. I am encouraged by this recent turn from Delano to Shields. Yeah, I'm glad I held on him in my categories league. 46% owned.
Starting point is 00:03:51 Not sure you have to own him in a points league. Because remember, we were saying even in a points league, you have to own Delano to Shields. But he just hasn't hit well enough to justify that. This was a great week for DeShields, though, 25 Fantasy Points. 17 the week before, which is solid, which is okay. And I think another thing, Heath, is that they moved him. They had a brief stint batting ninth. He's back up to second now in the order, so that's a good thing for the Shields.
Starting point is 00:04:14 Scott, you got a standout hitter? I do. And it's one I don't really love. But nonetheless, he has been really hot of late, and it's Ian Desmond, who homered twice Friday. He still has that crazy high ground ball rate that prevents him from taking advantage of course field fully. He's still batting, I think, like 205 for the year. 209. 209 for the year.
Starting point is 00:04:46 Yeah. So he's actually gotten hotter. But let me pull up my top 10 sleeper hitters here because there's a staff that's going to blow you away from Ian Desmond. Yeah. And it's this. Ian Desmond. over the past month, he is the 21st highing score
Starting point is 00:05:07 scoring hitter in standard CBS points leagues. 21st, among all hitters over the past month. And that's his worst format. So, yeah, last 28 days, Desmond is fifth and points, third in Roto at first base. And he's doing that with a 274 batting average, seven home runs, only one double. I mean, he really...
Starting point is 00:05:28 Look, Scott, I picked up Desmond because I saw your sleeper hitters calm. I read it every Friday or Saturday night when I'm making my claims. I picked up Desmond. I'm going to start him over Justin Smoke. He's got seven home games. Now, he's been much better actually on the road, but against lefties. He's been very good this year.
Starting point is 00:05:44 He's lugging 597. He's got some lefties on the schedule. After Jacob de Grom today, it's pretty easy stuff for him. So, yeah, Desmond is 76% owned and could have been. I hope, I hope for the sake of your team and Scott's Sleeper. hitter column that he is really good this week. And if he is, you should go get whatever you can for him. He has a 43% home run to fly ball ratio.
Starting point is 00:06:08 It's probably a bad sign for your future if your home run to fly ball rate is higher than your hard contact rate. And his is like 10 points higher. Yeah. No, he's just not that good anymore. But last 28 days, Desmond is a top five first baseman in both formats. So he's actually due for a cold streak. I mean, his whole season's been a cold streak.
Starting point is 00:06:28 Except for, I mean, you wouldn't expect $274 with 7-home runs. Because it's only 230. I mean, even last year as bad as he was, he had a 3-45 Babbitt, you know. He's been really bad at home. You've got to figure that should turn around a little bit. But all right, well, we'll take it week by week with Desmond. The bottom line is this sets up to be a good week for him if you need first base help. All right, how about standout pitchers?
Starting point is 00:06:48 Heath, I know you were ready to rock and roll with that. I was ready to rock and roll with hitters and pitchers, but they weren't really standouts from the weekend, although this one was. Shane Bieber. His outing looks good, like five and two thirds, giving up one run, striking out seven. That's very good performance. I think what makes it even more impressive, the twins put 19 balls in play yesterday, 10 of them turned into hits. A lot of them were just singles.
Starting point is 00:07:15 For a pitcher as young as he is, like a lot of times we see, especially with somebody like Vince Velasquez, things start to go bad and it just all goes haywire. He had some pretty bad luck yesterday and was able to dance around almost all of it. I think he gets at least one more start, and he may get several more. Carlos Carrasco is on the DL, and he, you know, Carrasco got crushed, actually. He gave up four runs in an inning, and then he got hit by a comebacker. So Beaver could definitely take a spot in the rotation, and Bieber's owned in hardly any least, like less than 20% owned. So let me just get his matchup, unless you have that. I don't.
Starting point is 00:07:52 Okay. I've got it. It is Shane Bieber versus Detroit. week at home. Start him. 16% owned. Yeah, my concern with Bieber is third time through the order. I watched him in his major league debut.
Starting point is 00:08:07 I didn't see his start yesterday, but he throws a ton of strikes. Remember he came up? He barely walked to anyone. And eventually, they were just swinging at the first pitch, and they were hitting him kind of hard. But let's start him this week against that terrible Detroit team. Scott, you got a standout pitcher? Yeah, let's talk about Jonathan Loisiga. Because beyond even the stat line, he was impressive.
Starting point is 00:08:28 swinging strikes. There were a few walks in that start Friday, but 17 swinging strikes in this Major League did debut. And beyond that, what impressed me is, of those 17 swinging strikes, five were on the fastball, seven on the slider, five on the change-up. It's sort
Starting point is 00:08:44 of the same thing I've been talking about with Domingo Hermann, where when these guys come up, usually they have one, maybe two pitches that can really get swinging strikes. And that he has three already, that bodes very well, I think. Now, is there a long-term opening form in this rotation?
Starting point is 00:09:06 I don't think so. Masahiro Tanaka supposed to miss weeks. That was the time table the Yankees gave with the hamstring injury. So there's probably at least a few starts here, and it's possible he could overtake Domingo's Hermann, frankly, as much as I like Herman and would not like to see it happen. or there's a chance of Bathy it gets hurt or whatever else. So definitely somebody I'm interested in picking up.
Starting point is 00:09:32 Loisoga has Seattle at home this week. That's a lot tougher than Tampa Bay at home. Start or sit, Loisaga? I mean, I don't know that I'd start him for a one-start week. I don't know that I would Bieber either. I just may have a different cutoff there than you guys, but I don't think it's crazy to start him either. I'd rather start Bieber than Loisica.
Starting point is 00:09:56 All right. How about this for Louisica? He walked four batterers in 45 innings in the minors this year. He walked four batters in five innings on Friday night. And the reason he walked the batters, Aaron Boone said it, he was missing just off the plate. And Boone said those are pitches that minor league hitters chase. Major league hitters don't.
Starting point is 00:10:13 But it still was a good start. Yeah, he actually throws 97 miles per hour. I was pretty surprised. I hadn't heard of him before the Tanaka injury. And he's got good stuff. But yeah, it's probably a short-term thing, as Scott mentioned. All right. I'll nominate Wade LeBlanc, guys.
Starting point is 00:10:27 I just want to know how you feel about him. He's at Boston this week. He can't do well against Boston, right? Oh, seven, two-thirds scoreless, two hits, nine strikeouts against Boston this past weekend. He's got a 263 ERA. This was his first start of more than six innings, but LeBlanc is 26 percent oh, and he was certainly a standout this weekend. Any interest in Wade LeBlanc?
Starting point is 00:10:47 I don't understand what's making him good. I know even before this start, Al-Milke, Our friend El Malkiore was expressing interest in him and was saying you need to pick him up and Casey has a good start against Boston, which he obviously did. But Al is the master at coming up with reasons to like players that I don't even see. I just wish I knew what the reasoning was because I don't see it. Yeah, the reasoning for his great start, you know, I think according to Scott Service, that his change-up was awesome.
Starting point is 00:11:24 This guy, he does not throw 90 miles per. hour. I think we're all going to have trouble trusting a righty who throws soft and doesn't get a lot of strikeouts, right? What if I told you he was actually a lefty? Oh, that makes a little bit of a difference actually to me. I mean, everything,
Starting point is 00:11:43 like all the non, you know, if you're not looking at the result stats, the traditional stats, that measure of pitchers, which are obviously better, is lower ERA, lower whip, all of that. But everything else,
Starting point is 00:11:58 looks basically like the pitcher he's always been. So I don't know. There has, I feel like there has to be some underlying change to explain the ERA and there isn't that I'm seeing. Okay. Maybe I'm not looking deep enough. I don't know. Well, I mean, a lot of it is he's stranded almost 90% of the runners that have reached base.
Starting point is 00:12:17 So, yeah, so look, I don't sense that anybody here is really gung-ho to go add Wade LeBlanc, right? No, no. All right. There are a ton of pitchers that I want to talk about today. So I think I'm going to make it a priority to talk about Madison Bumgarner and what he said after his latest start. Jake Junis, who's now giving up 18 home runs. Most of them have come in four starts.
Starting point is 00:12:39 I mean, just the tip of the iceberg. Luis Castillo, 76% on. I thought about picking up Zach Wheeler. Zach Wheeler, he's been very, very good over his last six starts. Walk to strikeout ratio is pretty good. We'll see if you have any interest in him. Kyle Gibson is 49% owned. Kyle Kemp says is a 327 ERA, and he's 49% own.
Starting point is 00:12:59 He has a strikeout printing. So a lot of advanced stats on him that I'd like to talk about. Are we ready to drop John Gray, another bad start in a good matchup on the road? We will get to all of that. I want to know who you guys added and dropped. I do want to tell you about Sportsline. Sportsline.com. Just go there, check it out.
Starting point is 00:13:18 There's some free stuff, but it's a pay site. And it's $10 a month, which is pretty low for a site that's going to give you great gambling advice. You can make up that money pretty quickly, but there's also some fantasy content on there. And if you just want to give it a shot for one buck for your first month, go to sportsline.com and use the code pitch when you join when you sign up. The code is pitch for $1 for your first month, and then it goes back to the normal rate. But the normal rate is still pretty inexpensive, just $10 a month. Sportsline.com and use the promo code pitch. I'll go through my ad drops real quick.
Starting point is 00:13:51 I dropped Ken Giles. I picked up Felipe Vasquez in our podcast. points league 12 team head dead points. Giles got the save, I think, on Monday, and Rondone got the save yesterday, and Giles pitched the eighth. So I don't know if that means that Rondone is the closer, but I know it means that in a shallow league, I can't keep starting Ken Giles. It's just, if I need to win now, I can't do it.
Starting point is 00:14:16 Yeah, I don't know that Hector Rondone is the closer. Like, I don't think there is a closer, frankly. I think them and the Phillies are legitimate. closer by committee right now. And basically, and it's been pretty much that all season. But obviously Giles and Hector Neris' inconsistencies have pushed him even more that direction. I added another guy on Scott's sleeper-hitter's list, Justin Boar. Dropping Jorge Solair is going to be out a while with a fractured foot.
Starting point is 00:14:44 That was a 14-team head-ed points league. If you just want a first baseman this week, do you like Justin Boar, who's at Colorado for four games, or Ian Desmond? I have Boer ranked higher. I'll take Boar. I have him second and I think Desmond's fourth or fifth on the top ten sleepers for this week. And I think I'm going to start Derek Rodriguez. We talked about this on Friday.
Starting point is 00:15:05 I'm going to give him a go in a two-star week against the Padres and the Marlins at home. Derek Rodriguez added him. I dropped Max Kepler in a 12-team Roto League. It's just not happening for Kepler right now. But all right, one week shot on Derek Rodriguez. Let's give it a shot. And guys, who else interesting ad drops, Scott White? Well, because I was busy watching Marvel movies this weekend.
Starting point is 00:15:28 I didn't do my usual, you know, I didn't go full bore with the ad drops this week. And I basically made sure Domingo Herman was zoned in all my leagues. And I think there was one where he wasn't. So that was really my only move. Okay. That explains why I was able to add Max Muncie in our head-to-head league that does weekly transactions. Ah. So I did add to him.
Starting point is 00:15:51 And then I added, I added Corey Dickerson in a spot just because I had to replace Miguel Cabrero. and didn't really see anybody else in the waiver I liked. We still have not, I did not add this guy, but we still haven't talked about the guy that I led WaverWire with today. Hit me with it, sir. Tom Murphy. Yes. He has caught, I believe, six of seven games, five of six games since coming up from the minor leagues. Are you sure?
Starting point is 00:16:18 I had him at four of six with a DH. DH one game. Okay, so he started. Yeah, five of six starts, caught four of six. I'll double check that for you. six of seven six of seven is what scott white says so five regardless it's whether it's five of six six seven five of six i'm sorry no it is yeah it's five of six the rockies in my opinion i expect him to be predominantly the
Starting point is 00:16:42 rocky starting catcher if you are the rocky starting catcher you are fantasy relevant and he's still he's 27 years old he is past all the hype that he ever had before 2016 but he hit a ton of home runs in the minor leagues this year i think He had 16 and 49 games. There's a big upside there. He's been a AAA monster for like three years in a row. And I guess it was defensive concerns why the Rockies didn't give him a chance. Or just the Rockies being the Rockies, as we've seen with other young, exciting players this year.
Starting point is 00:17:17 Apparently, they just don't like using those guys. But they've come around on Tom Murphy, it seems, finally. Right. I think that's a fine pickup. And so he has started five of six games. he has caught four of six games, he de-aged one. And I think what's encouraging is you look at three games at Texas. He was in the lineup all three games.
Starting point is 00:17:37 He started two of those three when they could have just deached him if they didn't want him to play catcher. And one of the games they de-hed Ianetta. So, yeah, Murphy, look, at the very least, maybe he gets a batting average, he's batting 300 right now. What would you expect him to contribute more in batting average or home runs, Tom Murphy? I would expect home runs.
Starting point is 00:17:54 Yeah. Okay. That's really all I expect him to be a good. contributor in, honestly. But a catcher, that's enough. Like, he could be another Avangattas. Would you rather have John Hicks or Tom Murphy? Hicks, still for now, but just barely.
Starting point is 00:18:10 Yeah. So the most added list is really not that interesting. Dylan Covey, Mike Montgomery, Jonathan Loisigga, John Hicks, Domingo Erman, Yolisha Seine is a two-star pitcher this week. Brian Anderson. Brian Anderson must have good matchups if Justin Borah's good matchups,
Starting point is 00:18:27 So he's 74% owned. Scott, Brian Anderson. He's on the top 10 sleeper hitter's list. I don't see a lot of sustainability to what he's doing. But over the last month, he's hitting 350. That's a very high Babbat, not a lot of power. I don't think you're going to want to hold on to him forever and ever. But he's seven games, four course field.
Starting point is 00:18:54 That's pretty good. That's Brian Anderson. Tyler Anderson. is also on the most out of this. And he has great matchups, but they're both at home for Tyler Anderson, for Colorado. He's got the Mets and the Marlins at home. He's 43% owned. Would you take a shot on Tyler Anderson this week?
Starting point is 00:19:09 I would be very, very hesitant, even with two starts, even in a points league, to go with two starts at Corse Field. I just, like, there's a chance one of them is really good and the second one doesn't to race it. But that's not the type of move that I'd want to make. Okay. More on the most out of this. Seth Lugo. So, yeah, I don't know about Seth Lugo. Cindergarde's making progress.
Starting point is 00:19:34 I'm assuming Lugo gets another turn. But I don't know how many. Yeah, Cindergarde hasn't even resumed a throwing program yet. So he's feeling better, but he's not doing anything yet, I don't think. Correct. And Cespitus is not as far along as Cindergarde. So there's that. Andrew Suarez, two good matchups this week.
Starting point is 00:19:53 Jaime Borea is on the most added list, and he is getting Arizona. Arizona and Toronto at home. Starters said Jaime Baria, Arizona and Toronto at home. I'll start him. Okay. Yep. Cattel Marte is on the most added list.
Starting point is 00:20:10 So this one, I don't know. I don't understand. Is he doing well lately? Chris Towers wrote about him, I think, on Thursday in Waverwire. He is hitting the ball in the air a lot more recently. He's hitting the ball hard. I don't know what the results have been recently, but they must have been something good or Chris wouldn't have written about them.
Starting point is 00:20:33 Last three weeks, right? We're only in week 12. We're only going into, yeah. Okay, this is one of those leagues where, officially we're in week 13, going into week 13 now. This is one of those leagues that combine the first week into it. Oh, one of those crazy weeks. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:52 So sorry, I got confused there. But basically, over the last three, Three weeks, Catelle Marte has 78 and a half fantasy points, so about 25 per week. That's great. That's very hot. Very hot, Ctele Marte. And I think that makes sense at shortstop that he'd be. Look, he's still less than 50% owned, but it makes sense that enough fantasy owners would have interested in him to put him on this list.
Starting point is 00:21:19 I've got to tell you something that Heath Cummings has been doing lately. He's been posting a lot of drafts on the draft app. How have they been going? Heath. You know, that's a good question. I should look at the results and see. I know the first night I placed in two of three. The only one I didn't was the one that you were in, but I didn't finish last because you were in it. That's true. We were both last. We were fourth and fifth. I believe, yeah. Looks like I won nine dollars. Hey.
Starting point is 00:21:49 First in one, second and another, and then last in the third on Friday. I'll post some more today. Good, good stuff. It's so fun. It's just really easy and fun. And if you like fantasy baseball and you like snake drafts, there's no reason not to play on the draft app. And there's no reason not to use the promo code F-B-t today. F-B-T-day when you sign up, when you do that, you get a free entry into a real money baseball draft so you can just kind of test the waters. And you can also follow me when you use that promo code F-B-B-T-A-T-E-2. So follow me. I am at Big C-A-N-E-2. Heath is is CBS Heath on the draft app. And look, we're really having a great time doing it.
Starting point is 00:22:29 It's pretty stress-free stuff. You can play for a lot of money if you want. I don't play for a lot of money. I play for a little bit of money. But you get your cold, hard cash. You get paid out the next day. And the draft start from just $1. No waiver wire, no trades, no vetoes, no annoying owners in your league, no annoying
Starting point is 00:22:44 commissioners. Just draft the team. Set a lineup, set it and forget it. And it's only five players. You know, you get a pitcher, two infielders, two outfielders. Simple stuff. Go on the draft app right. now everybody really, really fun. I know you're going to like it.
Starting point is 00:22:57 Or go to draft.com. Use the promo code FB today. Bullpen stuff. Scott kind of alluded to it with the Phillies. They don't have a set closer. Hector Neris got the save on Saturday. He was then terrible on Sunday when Jake Thompson came in and got a one-out save. But that's a fluid situation.
Starting point is 00:23:18 Certainly, Hector Neris is not a must-known. In fact, he got his first save since May 21st. I think the top reliever to own in the Phillies bullpen is Sir Anthony Dominguez. And I said it on one of the last week's show. I think he's going to end up leading to Phillies and saves. And I don't think that means he's going to be a traditional closer. I just think they'll use so many different pitchers in that traditional closer role that Sir Anthony Dominguez come in into eighth inning and finish out the game.
Starting point is 00:23:45 He'll collect more saves that way than any other reliever. And obviously he's good. I do think that Ryan Tepera has a little more security, even though Tyler Clippard, well, I guess I shouldn't say that because Clippard was having a good. Clipper got the first shot, and he blew it. And then he got a save on Saturday, Clippard, his third save, after Tepara got a save on Friday. But Clipper, but Tepard was available on Saturday. They went to Clippert instead.
Starting point is 00:24:12 And then, you know, I looked at Clippert's numbers. He was doing very well in June. And then he was terrible on Sunday. And Tepera came in in in relief of him and got the win. I do think Tepera has some security there. Yeah, I don't know what was up Saturday, because I was trying to figure that out, too. And Cleppard on Sunday when he was terrible, he wasn't being used. He was being used before the night inning, so clearly they weren't saving him for that closer appearance.
Starting point is 00:24:39 And Tepaer pitch the night. So I would say Tepaer, like, I'd rather have Tepaer than Hector and Aris right now, for sure. Okay, Robert Giselman got to save. Familia pitch the 8th, that was him coming off the DL. He gave up three runs in it, three hits and a run to Familia, but Familia's the closer there. Are you guys worried at all about Brad Boxburger or Wade Davis losing their jobs? You have to be a little concerned about Brad Boxburger because there's been two other relievers in that bullpen. We were both in the mix for saves in spring training, Archie Brad Lilly and.
Starting point is 00:25:22 the other guy. Yeah, Harano. What's his name again? Horano. Horano. Yes, thank you. They both and better than Boxburger has this season. But Boxburger hadn't been bad until this Sunday outing that was so bad, it completely blew up his ERA, raising it from 255 to 3991. I don't think this is the, like, he loses his job right now, but he's probably on thin ice now and better convert two or three saves in him. row here. And Archie Bradley has really been used more traditionally as a one-inning guy. So, Torano and Bradley, if you're, I guess, looking to speculate, but it's a little premature.
Starting point is 00:26:03 Heath, Blake Parker, came in on Sunday, leading five, three in the ninth, and he was bad. He gave up two runs in a third of an inning. What do you make of Blake Parker's struggles? It's like we kind of started to buy in Maybe Blake Parker is going to be good And I don't like I don't I still think he is going to be the primary closer For the Angels But he's now done enough recently
Starting point is 00:26:31 To where I don't feel comfortable with him getting a majority of the saves Sergio Romo got a save on Sunday We're not really You know We don't really care that much But he does have three of the last four saves for Tampa Bay So maybe we should care a little bit more Romo's not owned in a lot of leagues.
Starting point is 00:26:47 And Hunter Strickland got the save on Sunday. Mark Balanson pitched the eighth. And Hector Rondo, and we already talked about that situation there. All righty. News and notes. Carlos Carrasco on the deal with an elbow contusion. Did not see a timetable, but it's not a serious injury. So hopefully he's back soon.
Starting point is 00:27:07 But, I mean, I don't think we – I don't want to just overlook how bad Carrasco was. And I know everybody laughs at me for my theory. series on him. But four runs in a bad outing. But like the thing is he was so good in the previous two. Like, I think you just got to take the good with the bad. Well, that's not a... You can't understand how good he was in the previous two outings.
Starting point is 00:27:29 But you can't understand how bad he was in some of the outings before that. He's had like four or five terrible starts this year. He's a rich man's Vince Falesquez this year. He's a poor man's Moss. He's a rich man's Tanaka. Or maybe a rich man's Dylan Bundy. I guess. But Bundy.
Starting point is 00:27:44 He had like a three-star stretch in a row where he was just awful. And then other than that, he's been pretty good. Carrasco, you can't figure it out, you know? Well, I think you just always start him and stop trying to figure it out. You always start him, but is he just going to be one of those... I mean, every pitcher is going to have bad starts now, and then his have been a little more frequent. But, like, there are few pitchers. There are maybe two dozen, maybe not even that many pitchers who can do what he's capable of doing in his good starts.
Starting point is 00:28:14 He has had six terrible starts this year. That's amazing. You know, that's too many for Carasco. All right, back to the news and notes. Mike Fultenevich is on the DL. So actually, Mike Soroka is on the most added list, 72% owned. Do we know a timetable for Fultenevich, triceps tightness? No, I don't think it's – it wasn't considered serious at the time.
Starting point is 00:28:40 And with Tehran coming off the DL, they had a situation where they weren't sure who they were going or remove. So I think it was probably just an abundance of caution thing. Give them more time to figure out who's the odd man out in this rotation. Evan Longoria could miss six to eight weeks after hand surgery. So I was hoping that Alan Hansen would start at third base. I'm not sure it won't be Pablo Sandoval. He's actually hitting pretty well.
Starting point is 00:29:03 Hanson is not, but we will see. Jorge Soler fractured his toe. As I mentioned, it was his foot. The Angels got a rash of D.L stints now. Zach Cozart, Garrett Richards, Nick Troppiano. all on the DL. The Mariners have won 22 one-run games in their first 70 games of the year. That is an MLB record.
Starting point is 00:29:25 Like, Heath, does that stat, 22 one-run wins, and Edwin Diaz has like 26 saves or something like that. Do you want to try to trade Edwin Diaz? I just don't know what, like, I expect Edwin Diaz is going to be good. I don't think he'll be this good. I don't think the Mariners will continue winning one-run games at the, this clip because teams just don't do that. But at the same time, I don't know what you're trading Edwin Diaz for.
Starting point is 00:29:54 It's going to be a significant upgrade. I can't see a situation where you're trading him for another reliever straight up in a deal that makes sense for both teams. So I'm probably just holding him and accepting the fact that it's not going to be this good the rest of the year. You know what's crazy? I was looking at a team where I own... I was looking at one of my teams this weekend, and Edwin Diaz has it's a points league team, so not one where you think closers are as valuable normally. He's the highest scoring player on this team, which means he's scored more than mooky bets this year. Unbelievable.
Starting point is 00:30:35 Now, obviously, that can't last, like Keith was saying, but basically I co-signed everything Heath was saying. Okay, great. We got Freddie Peralta. Oh, Freddie Peralta is going to start for Milwaukee on Tuesday. He's actually listed as a two-star pitcher. What do we think about Freddie Peralta, guys? I hope he is a two-star pitcher. Yeah, I'm reluctant to use him even if he is,
Starting point is 00:31:00 just because after the great debut against, I think it was the Padres, right? No, it was the Rockies. It was in Colorado. Rockies. Okay, well, okay. A bad-hitting team and a good hitting part. Yeah, it was ugly the next two times.
Starting point is 00:31:15 He's got an opportunity, and he has a lot of control issues, and I'd just rather not. All righty, Freddie Peralta. We'd rather not. The Brave sent Luis Gohara down to AAA. He's going to be a starter there. Milwaukee reliever Adrian House barfed on the mound twice yesterday and still pitched through it. Good for you, Adrian House. Ernan Perez started for Orlando Arcia.
Starting point is 00:31:35 If you're in an NL-only league, you might see some more at bats for Arnaz. And there is a resumption of a suspended Yankees and Nationals game today. and I think the stats for that entire game are going to count this week? Or no, no, just the stats for the resumption. Yeah, they're not going to go back to the previous scoring period or anything. But they're playing like an extra four innings or something today. I don't even know what time that starts. I'm going to have to have to look that up.
Starting point is 00:32:03 All right, some day-to-day issues. Brett Gardner sat with knee-sortness. Brandon Crawford, you probably want to sit him. He's only going to get half a week for you. He's on paternity leave. Brandon Crawford's going to miss three days. Whitmerfield has a bruised knee. Javier Baez was hit by a pitch on the elbow.
Starting point is 00:32:18 None of these seemed too serious. And Matt Adams has missed two straight games with a hand injury. And Daniel Murphy started each of the last two games at first base. There's no DH this week for the Nationals. Are we avoiding Daniel Murphy? He's sitting him. I think you've got to sit him, right? He hasn't been very good.
Starting point is 00:32:39 Well, I mean, that probably gets into, do you have a middle infield spot to fill or not? I would imagine most people who had been without Daniel Murphy until last week have a pretty good alternative at second base. And in those cases, they'd probably want to set them. Okay. And we are going to say to... Welcome back to... Will Myers could be back this week. Anybody going to start Rich Hill this week at the Cubs?
Starting point is 00:33:14 No. No. And Elvis Andrews could be back today. exciting. That is very exciting. That's good. All right, so look, guys, I got a whole bunch of hitters that I listed here. Give you a few minutes.
Starting point is 00:33:26 Tell me if anybody has really stood out to you. The double-dongers were Castiano. Yon Herbis Salates are hitting very well lately. Ray Almuto, Randall Gritchick, Eric Thames, Justin Boar, we already mentioned. Ian Desmond. Yeah. Got a lot of hitters from over the weekend. Heath, you want to kick it off?
Starting point is 00:33:45 Anybody really stand out? You can go through the list? Yeah, I mean, I'm probably still low on Yonaira. He has been very good lately, and for the year he's been better than expected. Castiano's, I don't know. I can't move him into my top 12 third baseman, so he just kind of sits there in the 13 to 17 range and goes up or down, depending on who I've moved ahead of them or behind him. Okay. Yeah, I mean, those are all, the 13 to 17 range, third base is pretty good.
Starting point is 00:34:16 That's probably about where I have him to. I want to talk about Eric Thames and Randall Gritchick here because Gritchick seems like he's been coming around since coming off the deal. His number's still look horrible because the season got off to that slow start. And I don't know that there's really a chance for him to break as a worthy standard mixed league player.
Starting point is 00:34:41 But deeper categories leads where he need power help. He seems like he could be useful there. Eric Thames has started three of five games since returning, and one of the two that he sat was against a writing. So Aguilar seems to be getting priority over him. Ryan Braun still seems to be getting priority over both, but it's still very messy. I do think there's not much room for Domingo Santana to contribute to you.
Starting point is 00:35:13 Okay. And then some other hitters. is batting fifth now. They moved him down in the order. He homered on Friday, and they did nothing Saturday and Sunday. John Jay, Heath, John Jay, last 28 days, he is the number 12 outfielder in points leagues, number 16 in Roto. Jonathan J., leading off for the Diamondbacks.
Starting point is 00:35:35 Yeah, that's super exciting. Everybody should definitely go add John Jay. If you look at the last 28 days and you look at the top, like, 25 outfielders, John Jay is basically the only one that's available. Like I saw Derek Dietrich in a lot of leagues. Derek Dietrich might be available, but he's standing out in that regard. He's just a lot of batting average and a lot of runs. He scored 20 runs over the last 28 days.
Starting point is 00:36:01 That's among the league. I mean, this is what John Jay has always been, right? Like, if you haven't been interested in John Jay before, there's no reason to be interested in him now. And I think he have, then you should. Right. I still think he's a short-term fix as well. They've got several injured outfielders. I don't expect two months from now, or six weeks from now, he's an everyday player.
Starting point is 00:36:26 Okay. Sorry, John Jay. Nicest guy in baseball, but you're not going to be fantasy relevant. Michael Taylor stole four bases on Sunday. Eduardo Escobar hit three doubles on Sunday. Billy Hamilton stole two bases on Sunday. All good stuff. Somehow, Eduardo Escobar's extra base hit Pate, since we last talked about how he was on pace for more than Mike Trout has gone up.
Starting point is 00:36:50 So is the doubles pick. He's on pace for 71 doubles now. Oh, that's pretty good. Would that be an MLB record? I would imagine so. I don't know the record off the top of my head. Why not? I cannot recall a guy even having 60 in a season, much less 70.
Starting point is 00:37:07 And I don't think he's going to get 70, but he's going to have a ton, obviously. All right. I let something slip through the cracks earlier since you mentioned some. deeper league steals guys. With Jorge Soler going on the disabled list and probably missing two months, Alta Berto Mondesi is getting another shot with the Royals. He's still just 22 years old. He has 31 steals over his last 100 minor league games.
Starting point is 00:37:32 He's a deep league again. Okay. Thank you, Heath. And we, on this podcast, we are very pro-Roku. Roku is awesome. I watch Roku. I watch something on my Roku basically every single. day. Go to Roku.com to learn more and to start streaming today.
Starting point is 00:37:50 If you're tired of cable, Roku is your solution. Streaming players start at just $299 for the basic player, or you can spring for the higher end players with stream in 4K with HDR.R.com. Roku.com. And it's great for sports fans. Baseball fans, this is awesome. You can download any of the professional sports league apps if you have a subscription. They're all available on the Roku platform.
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Starting point is 00:38:31 So I have two Roku's. If you don't have one, you're missing out. Roku.com. Get a Roku, everybody. Just makes too much sense. All right. I got an update on the doubles. Yeah, I'm going to guess.
Starting point is 00:38:44 I'm going to guess there. There's more than, yeah, 72 would not be a record, whatever it was. 72 would be a record. Oh, wow. The record is 67 by Earl Webb in 1931. Six players have had 60 or more in this season. The total, the highest number that anybody might, who's listening to this podcast might remember, is Todd Helton. And Todd Helton had 59 in 2000 and Carlos Delgado had 57 also in 2000.
Starting point is 00:39:11 Ah, cool. So, yeah, I don't remember anybody's had six. pitchers pitchers here we go are you ready to drop john gray he gets the marlins at home this week i am not ready to drop john gray i don't think he's an easy start against the marlins as as good as that matchup is he's kind of in the same territory as louise castillo where you just see so much potential so much swing and missability that he's got to be so close to putting it together and you'd hate to allow somebody else in your league to benefit from that. Heath, are you ready to sit any of these guys?
Starting point is 00:39:54 Patrick Corbin at Pittsburgh, Jake Arenda against St. Louis, Carlos Martinez at Milwaukee. Patrick Corbin at Pittsburgh, Jake Arieta against St. Louis, and Carlos Martinez at Milwaukee. I guess I won't say that I'm definitely 100% starting all three of these guys this week, but I'm not actively looking to sit them either. Carlos Martinez, holy cow. 18 walks in 12 and 2 thirds since coming off the DL.
Starting point is 00:40:23 Against two cake matchups out of three. Miami at the Reds and the Cubs at home. At Milwaukee this week, I think I would start Derek Rodriguez over Carlos Martinez. I would not. Scott? I don't know. I don't know. I don't know if I'd go that far.
Starting point is 00:40:42 Obviously the matchups are good for Rodriguez. but I think I'm pretty close to saying Carlos Martinez is unstarredable this week. I don't know that I can start Jake Arietta. I mean, he's got a 790. Honestly, any pitcher with 49 strikeouts and 73 innings is someone that should not be owned. I mean, it's just pedigree for him. And I get that. I don't know that I'd have the guts to drop Arietta, but...
Starting point is 00:41:10 It's not just pedigree. I mean, obviously he had a great ERA until... these last three starts. He still does. Yeah, he's got a 333 ERA, but fair enough. My God, he's just not that good anymore. And you know, I've been predicting Doom for Jake Carrietta basically all season. It may be happening now.
Starting point is 00:41:29 Yeah. I don't think he's been such a disaster in his last three starts that he's unstartable, though. Yeah, the thing that, like, I don't think Jake Garrier was as good. I don't think he's in top 25 starting pitcher. But he is doing the things that you have to do if you're not going to have very many strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:41:49 His hard contact rate against is just 26%, which is right at his career norm. His ground ball rate this year is up to 56%. So I don't think with this low of a strikeout total, he can be an even probably top 35. But I also think he should be owned and started on a pretty regular basis because of those other numbers. Okay. So St. Louis at home this week for Arieta. Oh, are you ready to sit Bryce Harper? No.
Starting point is 00:42:18 Oh, no? Okay, well, let me tell you, over his last 35 games, Bryce Harper's batting 179. And if you look at his last 35 games, and no, I'm not ready to sit him either. I'd never sit him. But it's just a crazy stat. You look at his last 35 games and give him a 162 game pace. He hit 179 with 33 home runs, which is great.
Starting point is 00:42:41 223 strikeouts. And only 56 walks. He's not walking anymore. It's kind of, he's just in a deep funk. And actually, there's been a lot written about it. We had a good story on our website. He's grounding, he's hitting more ground balls, and he's pulling all of them. And he's being really victimized by the shifts right now.
Starting point is 00:43:00 So Harper's just, he's in a real funk. His ground ball rate is actually lower than, I think he's one year in his career. He's had a lower ground ball rate than this. The pull percentage is very much. Very high. The pull percentage, right, right. But, you know, pulling ground balls is something hitters often do when they're in a slump. I think the fact that Bryce Harper has a 212 Babbitt tells me everything I need to know about whether or not this is legit.
Starting point is 00:43:29 Well, no, because he's hitting into the shift a lot. 212 is pretty low, but. But when he homers, he homers so much, and if he's just going to ground the ball into the shift, he might be a low-babbit guy in that scenario. Yeah, he could be going to. But why? Why do you think he's going to do that all year? Oh, I don't. I don't. I don't want to. You know, it's just kind of interesting what's happening with him right now.
Starting point is 00:43:51 But no, nobody's sitting, Price Harper. I do think, Adam, like, the low Babbip thing could be a thing because of the shift. And we have evident, like, 2016, he had a 264 Babbip and only hit 243. So, but I'm like, there's no way. He's like a 360 Babbitt, you know? But you know what's so odd about Harper? I think we all see the talent, and he's one of the best players. But I don't think his career numbers really back that up.
Starting point is 00:44:20 In fact, I would say for sure his career numbers don't really back that up. He's only had one great season. I mean, he has an 896 career OPS. He walks. I would say he's had two great seasons. Last year was obviously shortened by injury, but that and his MVP 2015 were both close to best hitter and baseball type season. How does he have a 896? What did you say? 896 career opious.
Starting point is 00:44:47 He does? Last year it was over a thousand. Well, that does help. Yeah, I mean, like two years. He was awesome last year. Yeah. He's had, yeah, he, yeah. You know, the thing is, his OBP is so high.
Starting point is 00:45:01 So. Well, he had a 595 slug last year. He's had two, he's had one season with 30 home runs, which is surprising for someone who's considered the best hitter, one of the best players in baseball. He obviously would have exceeded that last year if he stayed healthy. I know, but... I do think that's all part of it, you know?
Starting point is 00:45:19 It's just... Yeah. Yeah, I mean, I totally get... Among the players we routinely draft in the first round. He's probably the most frustrating, although Clayton Kershaw probably has a case to be made there too now. I don't know that we're going to draft Clayton Kershaw in the first round after this year. But Harper, I think we still will. Okay, so here are some of the studs being studs.
Starting point is 00:45:45 That was Keikl Royals. Also 12 ground balls and one fly ball, I believe, for Keikl. In this start. Ross Stripling, another great star for Stripling. He's got a 176 ERA, 11 walks, and 78 strikeouts in 66 and a third. And he's had some pretty good matchups, but still, Stripling's been amazing. Jack Flaherty was good.
Starting point is 00:46:07 Eduardo Rodriguez has been good So how would you rank those top four? Keikl, Stripling, Flaherty, Eduardo Rodriguez Those first four in this group, not top four. Keikl, Flaherty, Stripling, Rodriguez. I think I would put Rodriguez second, but they're all good. Like, I actually think Keikl,
Starting point is 00:46:34 he needs to rank first in terms of rosterability, I mean, which is a weird way of putting it because they're almost down. But my point, The point is I think Kikel is the least startable right now, even though he probably has the best chance of scoring the most rest of season. He has the Royals again this week, right? He's extremely startable this week just because he's got the Royals. All right, more studs being said.
Starting point is 00:47:02 Julio Turan, he's well-rested. He was throwing harder. His velocity was up. 11 strikeouts against San Diego. He did not give up a hit in six innings. and Sean Newcomb also took advantage of San Diego. Tyler Skaggs was great. Tyler Skaggs is 281 ERA.
Starting point is 00:47:21 And Sean Mania was pretty good this week. And he said mentally he made some stride, Sean Mania. He's been fighting some mental issues in his latest starts. It's a confidence thing for him. Do with that what you will, but that's just what he said. Yeah, so what do you make of that group of Tehran, Newcomb, Skaggs, and Manaya? To Ron's been He's kind of been
Starting point is 00:47:45 He's been difficult to figure out this year Because he looked really good at times And really bad at others I think he was saying he When he went on the DL it was for a jammed thumb But he said at the time That there'd been some kind of shoulder thing Had been going on all year
Starting point is 00:48:00 I think it was shoulder or elbow Something with his arm had been bothering him all year And that kind of was explaining the drop in velocity And obviously like you said Adam's velocity Was much better after that little break. I'm sure San Diego, the match of contributed
Starting point is 00:48:15 to this outing, but if you take the combination of normal velocity from Tehran and add it into the improvements he made in the slider this season from past seasons, I think there's a chance he gets back to being
Starting point is 00:48:29 a top 40 type starting pitcher. So we'll see if you can keep velocity. Heath, do you think Tyler Skaggs is basically a must-start pitch? pitcher? Yeah, he probably is. The hard thing is, I think he's a must-start pitcher in daily leagues. I don't know as a one-start pitcher each and every week that I'm going to say he's must-start
Starting point is 00:48:55 because there are certain matchups that I wouldn't start him against. But he's been really good. All right, let's look at the studs being duds. Tell me if there's anyone here that concerns you. Geo Gonzalez, Aaron Nola, James Paxton, Tanner Roark, Charlie Morton, who has now walked 11 in 15 in his last three starts, Kyle Hendricks and Michael Waka. Again, the names are Gio, Nola, Paxton, Roark, Morton, Hendrix, Waka.
Starting point is 00:49:23 Heath, does anyone concern you there? I'm not going to say that anyone concerns me. I do think that Waka maybe doesn't necessarily belong in this group, and this is the type of outing that can happen to him. But I still think he's going to be more of like a Tanner Rourke, I guess. I still think he's going to be somebody who's. start more often than not. The rest of these guys, I'm not really that worried about. I think he got to be a little concerned about the walks for Morton. I'm not so concerned that I'm
Starting point is 00:49:49 benching him or anything, but that's, that is a really ugly trend that's developed here recently, and I could see it being something that either proves to be a precursor to injury or, you know, takes them down a peg. Okay. Career 3.4 walks per nine for Charlie Borden. He's at 3.6 right now. It was well below that before the three-star stretch. And I guess the guy I'm worried about is Gio Gonzalez, because you just wondered when his ERA was going to catch up with his whip. Well, Gio's had two really bad starts in a row,
Starting point is 00:50:24 and he's got a 135 whip this year. So he's always, like, last year was just like, guy, he's been so lucky, he's been so lucky, he's been so lucky. It continued the entire season. You wonder if the luck is running out for Gio. many base runners. All right, Studs being something in between studs and duds. Oh, let's talk about Madison Bumgarner, and Alex Wood, and Jose Cantana, and Zach Godley.
Starting point is 00:50:49 But Bumgarner, five walks, nine strikeouts, and 17 and a third. And he struck out 73 batters in 84 innings after coming off the DL last year with the shoulder injury. San Diego this week, so it could be a get-right week for Bumgarner. He says he's feeling better, the velocity's getting better. But are you concerned about Bum-Garner? Garner right now. This is a big start for him in terms of my perception because I was looking at it before this start. Since the start of the 2017 season, he is a 7.7 K per 9 and a 4.12 fit. Now, there's been a lot of extenuating circumstances, but I need to see Madison Bumgarner
Starting point is 00:51:31 go out and dominate a bad offense this week. I'm going to say he does it. You know, and you know You know who didn't dominate a bad offense? Was Zach Godly. In fact, it wasn't a bad start. I mean, six and two thirds, two runs, eight strikeouts, but he did walk three Mets. He may have had the worst start of all three Arizona pitchers this weekend. I don't remember who pitched on. Oh, no, Corbyn did.
Starting point is 00:51:57 Corbyn did. Yeah, Corbyn definitely did. Yeah. And Corbyn has his own issues that we may or may not want to get into. I think the interesting thing about, well, let's get to Corbyn first because that's where he's the first one who comes up in my notes here. He had 16 swinging strikes, 13 on a slider, so that's very good. But in his last nine starts, which is basically the point, his miles per hour on his basketball dropped a couple miles per hour. Nine starts. He has a 442 ERA.
Starting point is 00:52:33 So season ERA is up to 348. Now, during that same nine-star stretch where he has a 442 ERA, he has 62 strikeouts and 53 innings, which is still excellent. So I'm not really sure how to reconcile all that. I am, Scott. I've been trying to help you guys out, and you just don't want to listen to good old Uncle Adam. Okay. What is it, Adam? This is Carlos Carasco and Patrick Corbyn and Masahiro Tanaka.
Starting point is 00:52:59 They all have the same problems. They have a bad fastball. They have great breaking pitches. They get a ton of swinging strikes, swinging strikes. They have a low whip. The only thing they hurt you in is ERA because they have a bad fastball. Carlos Carrasco has a bad fastball? Carlos Carasco's four-seem fastball has been getting crushed each of the last two seasons,
Starting point is 00:53:21 according to our own Chris Towers, who is the most skeptical of the Atomazer theory to begin with. Carlos Carasco is not a fastball pitcher right now. He is a junk baller right now. I'm, wow. Nobody believes me, but this is what's been happening. 95 has averaged on his fastball. He does not throw it enough, and he does not, he does not average 95. Garb, that is absolute garbage.
Starting point is 00:53:43 He is, okay, here is not averaging 95 miles per hour. Adam, we can reconcile your theory with the facts. He is still throwing 95. We, like, we measure that. He's not. But I think what it looks like based on how people are hitting his fastball, is it may have straightened out a little bit. It's not as good as it has been in the past, and it hasn't been for the last year and a half.
Starting point is 00:54:07 I don't know that the Atomazer eye radar has accurately picked up in velocity. The radar gun is picking up his velocity, and he is not throwing – if he throws 95 miles per hour, it is on a fastball that he doesn't throw very often. He might be throwing his two steamer more, which would explain the difference in velocity. Bottom line is he's not pitching off of his fastball. He is pitching off of his breaking pitches lately. that is what I noticed. That is what caused me to have a little bit of concern. Everybody laughed at Uncle Adam.
Starting point is 00:54:36 I don't know why I keep calling myself that. He has allowed a slowing over 500 on his fastball. But that's four straight years where he's done that. That's not a new development. Well, it's catching up. That's a crushing blow for Uncle Adam. It is not a good thing. But what I'm saying is, when guys don't have a good fastball,
Starting point is 00:54:54 they can still get a ton of swinging strikes, but they can have some bad starts in there. because you just can't survive without the good fastball. And Carasco, I'm the least convinced about Carasco. I'm 100% convinced that's the case with Tanaka and Corbyn right now. Probably. I can buy that for those two more. And, I mean, look, the data shows the fastball has gotten some bad results for Carasco.
Starting point is 00:55:16 So you may have a point there, too. But at the same time, like Carasco, during those four years, Carasco's been consistently a top 15 pitcher on a per game basis. So I'm not really concerned about him. Okay, fair. So Corby, we'll see. What I liked about Godly in this start, even though I wish it was better, I wish he didn't have the three walks, obviously.
Starting point is 00:55:39 Nine swinging strikes on the curveball alone. So that's two straight starts where that pitch, the key to his breakout last year, has looked like an elite pitch again. I think that's a good thing. All right, I'm going to speed us up here. Do you see any fringy starting pitchers that you might want to pick up? I was pretty disappointed in Chase Anderson's start yesterday, although I did not check his velocity, but we've been keeping an eye on that. Well, I don't know how you would check it without watching the game.
Starting point is 00:56:04 You know what? It's a good – you know what? Let me just – we're 56 minutes into the podcast, so not as many people are going to hear this as I want. But I'm obviously not as – I really believe in data. I really – I'm not anti-data or anything like that. I would like a little bit – I would like people to recognize that we are in the – still the beginning. beginnings of the data era. And what did Chris say on Friday?
Starting point is 00:56:30 Everybody's hard contact rate is up. There might be a measuring problem. We just changed the way we measure velocity last year. You know, we're using a different system. At the early stages of statcast, they were having trouble measuring pop-ups because they were going too high and they couldn't be measured. Sometimes we see balls that are hit so damn far. Statcast measures it at 410 feet or something.
Starting point is 00:56:54 There's no way it was it was much bigger. You guys cannot just accept all the data that's given to you as 100% accurate. Now, it's better than anything else we have, but I know it, and you know it, everybody knows it. It's not 100% accurate. I am not going to be a slave to this data because it is still flawed and we are still getting better at it. But weren't you siding radar gun readings from the broadcast? Yeah, but also using my eyes, I'm not an idiot. If you watch Carlos Carrasco pitch, you see the guy is not using his fastball.
Starting point is 00:57:22 He is not pitching off his fastball. He is a junk baller right now. That's all I was trying to say. And I didn't watch every second, every pitch of the two starts that I saw recently. But that's what I noticed. And like I said, he's got six terrible starts this year. There's got to be a reason for that. Now, all I'm saying is like, don't – that's not fair.
Starting point is 00:57:40 For me to say that I noticed something with Carlos Carrasco, so let's not look at Chase Anderson's velocity. Like, come on, that's not fair. And that's just discrediting me for no reason. I wasn't saying that. You were kind of saying that without saying that either. I just said – Okay. So, yes.
Starting point is 00:57:57 Where did Chase Anderson come up? I was saying we were talking about his velocity at his last start, which was very good, and then he was terrible on Sunday, and I don't know what his velocity was. Lower velocity. Yeah. Was it slower on Sunday? Sorry. I missed the Chase Anderson connection here. That's okay.
Starting point is 00:58:14 No, Uncle Adam is just trying to help everybody. That's all. I was just saying my point was you just went on a rant about how we can't just be a slave and be. trust Carlos Carrasco's velocity from the data. We've got to watch. But then you said Chase Anderson was bad, but I haven't checked his velocity. Hey, look, if I could watch every game I would, but I can't. You can't trust that.
Starting point is 00:58:37 If I can watch every game, I would, but I can't. So, yes, the only thing I have to go off of is what Brooks baseball says. His velocity was down a little bit, but yeah, it was down a little bit. He wasn't good. Any pictures you guys want to pick up? Castillo's still out there. He's 76% O, and he continues to be bad. Yeah, he's shouldn't be.
Starting point is 00:58:56 I still own Louise Castillo everywhere. I invested in him. It's available in one of my leagues. I'd pick him up. Stephen Wright is 69% own. Thoughts? I mean, I think he's definitely usable. He's not to the point where I'm starting him in a one-start week,
Starting point is 00:59:14 so I don't know that 69 is too low. But I could see him continuing to contribute. Okay, I'll give out some more names. Kevin Gossman, 67% owned. He will be at Washington this week. I don't trust him in tough matchups. No, that's the problem. Matt Washington.
Starting point is 00:59:33 I think he's probably a little bit underowned. I think he should be owned in more leagues than Stephen Wright. But I can't say go grab him because you're going to play him this week. You can't start him this week. You know who I pre-dropped? I pre-dropped Fernando Romero. That means one more bad start and you're out of here, buddy. Okay.
Starting point is 00:59:52 So he's on thin ice? He's on thin ice. He's only at three quality starts and nine starts for Rana Romero. And you just, I don't know. I don't fully trust him. Yeah, no, that's fair. I don't think he's done enough to earn our trust. And, you know, the ERA is not great.
Starting point is 01:00:12 The FIPP's not great. It's not like he has Luis Castillo like swinging strike rate. So I think that's fair. And Danny Duffy was bad, but you weren't going to start him against Houston. So you're not going to start him against Houston. So you're not going to start him at Houston this week. Zach Wheeler. Zach Wheeler, one of the more interesting guys, Zach Eflin?
Starting point is 01:00:33 Do you want a Zach guys? I would rather have Zach Wheeler than Zach Eflin. For sure. How about Kyle Gibson and Clayton? Sorry, Scott. How about Kyle Gibson and Clayton Richard? I would own Kyle Gibson more than either of the Zaks and more than Clayton Richard. Clayton Richard and Zach and Richard and Zach are pretty close to me.
Starting point is 01:00:53 to be perfectly honest, which is meant to be a comment on both of them. Clayton Richards probably better than people think he is. Zach Wheeler is probably worse. Okay. And then I will just say Mike Minor with your RP eligibility, you're back on the radar. I am pre-adding Mike Minor. I think it's a good choice. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:15 I've been pretty underwhelmed with Mike Miner since that first month when it seemed like he was underachieve. It seems like his effectiveness Not talking about the actual results, but the numbers underlying them have kind of gone the wrong direction. And this start over the weekend was versus Colorado outside of course field, so bad lineup. And he only had nine swinging strikes. So I don't know.
Starting point is 01:01:44 I'm not, I mean, there are only so many sparse out there, but I'd rather have Joe Musgrove and I'd rather have Domingo Armand. And I, like every pitcher on that, list. I think I'd rather add Shane Bieber then. Aha. Okay. And what did we learn today, folks? You can't trust data unless you have no choice. There we go. All right, for Scott and Heath, I'm Adam. Uncle Adam is out of here. We'll talk to you tomorrow, everybody.

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