Fantasy Baseball Today - 06/23 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Surprising Stats, June Juggernauts, Week 13 Help

Episode Date: June 23, 2017

We start the show with some Hey Real Quick as we debate Matt Holliday vs. Matt Adams (3:20), Zack Godley vs. Chase Anderson (4:19) and Ian Happ vs. Rougned Odor (6:54) ... Much more from yesterday inc...luding Kyle Schwarber's demotion (18:03), encouraging starts from Aaron Nola and Andrew Moore (25:00), June juggernaut hitters (28:15) and a lack of swinging strikes from Jake Arrieta (39:30) ... Two-start pitchers for Week 13 (51:51) ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:02 Mazara and Parra projectu Machado Borgo Welcome to Kokomo Friday everybody. Hope you have a nice Kokomo weekend
Starting point is 00:00:33 but until then we're going to help you set your lineup for week 13, pick up some two-star pitchers and play a new game that was inspired
Starting point is 00:00:40 by Wednesday is Bellinger thing and what we just talked about off the air. New game, what is Scott fired up about? We had so much
Starting point is 00:00:48 fun with it on Wednesday. So Scott, what are you fired up about today? This morning? before the podcast? Yeah, today, yesterday, whatever you want. Well, we were just talking about you guys seem convinced the Patriots are going to the Super Bowl.
Starting point is 00:01:03 Like, you know it's going to happen. And I'm saying, the NFL I know, how could you possibly predict that before any team plays its first game? Have you seen that? Do you know they won the Super Bowl last year? I know they won the Super Bowl last year. And they are much better than they were last year? On paper, but I mean, it's the freaking NFL. So is Bill Belichick.
Starting point is 00:01:21 Yeah, and he's, what, 42? Yeah, I don't know. And look, they've been there for how long, and they haven't won every Super Bowl. They haven't been to every Super Bowl. They've been to an awful lot. It's very impressive. About half of them. This all started because of the idea that the NBA draft last night, I was saying,
Starting point is 00:01:39 why are these other teams even trying? They have no chance of winning the championship. And Heath was trying to make the case one. Nobody has a chance of beating the Patriots in football either. Plenty of teams have beaten the Patriots over the time that Belichick and Brady have been there. It's, nobody can say with any real certainty today who is going to the Super Bowl and certainly not who's winning the Warriors of won two of the last three, the Patriots have won two of the last three. Well, Braun James has been to seven finals in a row. There's two good teams in the NBA.
Starting point is 00:02:06 There's one in the NFL. Okay. There are a lot of good, there are at least a dozen teams in the NFL who could win the championship. That's the most ridiculous thing you've said this week. And that says a lot considering the Belliger. Did you think at the start of last year, oh, the Falcons could win the Super Bowl? They couldn't. They came very close to.
Starting point is 00:02:21 I mean, for three. fourths of that game, everybody in the world thought they were going to. And that concludes... We should not let this discussion distract us from the fact that Falcons blew it's 28 to 3. That concludes. That concludes what is Scott fired up about today? And that was a terrific round of our new favorite game. All right.
Starting point is 00:02:38 Today on the show, Kyle Schwaborber sent to AAA, do you still have to stash him? I have a crazy split to tell you about. We'll talk about yesterday's standouts, including Andrew Moore. We will read your emails at Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. We'll talk about some June juggernauts, Cameron Mabin. Carlos Gomez, Eric Sogard, Matt Davidson. Scott will update you on prospects. I like the emails that we got on today's show.
Starting point is 00:03:00 They should be helpful for everybody. Again, fantasy baseball at CBSI.com. And I've got a new segment called We Are 12 weeks into the season and, by golly. And then I tell you something that's happened in 12 weeks. So are you going to say buy golly on each one? I think I am to build the drama. I originally didn't have buy golly in the name of the segment. But I put it in after the fact.
Starting point is 00:03:22 So here's one that we do a lot now. Hey, real quick, Matt Holiday or Matt Adams? Matt? Holiday? Matt Holiday? Matt Holiday? Matt Holiday. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:03:40 Yeah, I'd probably stick with Holiday. I'm not a thousand percent sure this just isn't a hot streak from Matt Adams when Holiday's been, you know, force in the middle of the Yankees lineup all year. We think the most likely outcome is this just a hot streak for Matt Adams, right? Well, to some degree it has to be because it's what, how many home runs and how many games at an absurd pace that nobody could sustain over a full season. But just the idea that is he going to be a mixed league, a reliable mixed league option all season, somebody you want in your line of rest of season. I'm very much on the fence about that. All right.
Starting point is 00:04:16 So Matt Holliday wins the first round of Hey, Real Quick. Hey, real quick. Zach Godley or Chase Anderson? Oh man, I like both of them. I like both of them a lot. I'm going to guess I have Anderson higher in my rankings just because the strikeout rates higher. But I think they're both verging on not just must-own, but must-start status. I mean, Godley dominated at Coors Field yesterday, gosh-sakes.
Starting point is 00:04:45 By golly. Anderson for Heath and Anderson for Scott? Yes. I just want to, you know, I always look for stuff on Chase Anderson. I always do a Google search every day after he pitches and never find anything. I did find something on Zach Godley, though. So he worked on his curveball grip a couple seasons ago, and that has become a very good pitch for him. Opposing hitters have an 088 average and a 105 slugging against his curveball.
Starting point is 00:05:14 I read that in the Arizona Republic. I'm not sure if that was going into yesterday's start or after. It doesn't matter. but apparently that's a really good pitch for Zach Godley. Yep. A swing and miss pitch. And, I mean, the combination of that and the elite ground ball percentage, I think he's basically Marcus Stroman and maybe even a little better.
Starting point is 00:05:36 Wow. Whoa. So you think Chase Anderson's better than Marcus Strowman? Well, I mean, I think that about Godley. Obviously, he's not as proven as Marcus Strowman, so that factors into that ranking as well. but I think that's what he's on his way to... That's what Godley is on his way to becoming. And if you want answers on Anderson,
Starting point is 00:05:57 and you want an explanation for the breakthrough this year, I mean, he's... Anderson is A, throwing harder, and B, diversified his arsenal, introduced a cutter to it, used his curveball a lot more. When did Godley change his curveball grip? So he changed it, like,
Starting point is 00:06:13 I think it was two years ago. He was sitting on the bench with Jeremy Hellixon and Zach, oh no, I guess it was last year, because I think it was Granky. And he said he had a good curveball last year, but obviously the results weren't there. But now he's throwing it a little bit more this year. So I think it was last year he changed his curveball grip. He said he'd thrown it the same way since high school decided finally let's change the grip, and it's become a much better pitch for him.
Starting point is 00:06:36 I guess that's the key pitch for Zach Godley, the curve. So there you go. I was thought you were going to go into another thing about the trouble with the curve. No, I hate that movie. Oh, that movie was so. bad. I'm disappointed. Your Georgians throws a no-hitter. That's how bad the movie is.
Starting point is 00:06:52 Yeah, a terrible movie. Okay, real quick, I know you're going to laugh at me about this one, but hey, we're 12 weeks into the season. By golly, Ian Hap or Rugnett Odor? Oh. Oh, you're not going to laugh. I'm not going to laugh at you. I have Odor ranked higher still. I'm not sure how much longer that's going to last.
Starting point is 00:07:14 I'm more confidently ranking Odour ahead of HAP than that. I feel like his entire batted ball profile is almost identical to last year, and it's just a matter of time before he goes off. HAPS! Interesting, and obviously the Schwabber move clears up more regular playing time for him. But he's also striking out at pretty alarming rate. So just in terms of production, there are some questions. Hap still has to answer.
Starting point is 00:07:46 Yeah, Hap is a second baseman, though, who's owned in, like, 60% of leagues, and he's hot right now. He was cold, and I dropped him, of course, and, you know, now he's hot, but maybe you want to pick up Hap who's killing it. But the thing about Odor, Scott, you mentioned about a ball profile. He is popping up a lot this year, and there's more soft context. Yeah, I can just point that out, too, when I brought it up. Yeah, fan graphs wrote an article on it. I also noticed that this morning I was looking at his fan graphs profile. A lot of pop-ups for Ruehnet Odore.
Starting point is 00:08:14 I don't know. Here's my speculation that's completely unfounded, but he signed a big contract in the offseason. Home run hit her last year. Maybe he's trying a little bit too hard to hit the ball out of the park, and he's just popping it up too much. But that also seems like an adjustment that can be easily corrected, right? I mean, it's not like he's become this radically different player. He's just a little off. All right. Are we going to put the by-low tag on Ruegnet-Odor? I put it on him a month ago, and it's just, we're almost in July. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:08:49 Bye golly. Look how long it took Irvin Santana to regress. I'm just saying, like, there's no indication that Odor is going to snap out of it next week. And we're getting to the point to where if you buy low on him, the season might be over before he figured it out. Yeah, but is it so bad if he doesn't figure it out? I mean, assuming you're actually buying low. He's not startable the way he's performing. Well, let me...
Starting point is 00:09:17 No, he isn't. I mean, he's... Is Jed Jerko startable? Because he's barely outscored O'Dor this year. Is Brandon Drury startable? No, he's actually outscored. Nobody's starting either one of those guys. No, you shouldn't be.
Starting point is 00:09:28 In leagues, I'm... Look, I'm... What am I in the Memorial Magazine League? I've been starting Brandon Drury all year. Yeah, is he your middle infielder or you're starting second base? I'm sorry. Odor as a... I was thinking as a second baseman.
Starting point is 00:09:39 He's not startable in a points league. I mean, I think that's a little strong. He's killing me in my... He's been awful. He's killing me in my head-to-head categories league. I'm starting him. I don't want to start him, but he's startable. He's probably still better than what's on the waiver wire.
Starting point is 00:09:53 I mean, if I had a choice next week, when you ask me Odour or Hap, I'm thinking rest of season. But if I have to start somebody next week, I'm starting half and vinching O'Dore. Right. That's probably fair. And here's like another thing. Not everybody can roster both. That's exactly what I was going to say. Here's another thing, right?
Starting point is 00:10:08 So I have O'Dore. I'm going to say the same thing about Carlo. Santana. I did not pick up a bunch of... I didn't pick up Justin. I didn't pick up Justin Smoke. I didn't pick up these first baseman in our head-to-head points league because I had Carlos Santana. And of course, I was thinking, yeah, Santana's going to be better than these guys' rest of season. He's killing me. Odor, I haven't picked up second basement. I dropped Ian Hap after trading for Odor a couple weeks ago. And I bought Lo. I sold Coda Glover for him. So it's not like I say, I lost that trade.
Starting point is 00:10:36 But he's been in my lineup this week and he's killing me this week. And I could have had Ian Hap in my lineup. But when I have a guy like Odor, I'm not going to, I will now since we're, you know, 12 weeks into the season by golly, but I wasn't going to be aggressive in picking up a second basement in the two leagues that I own Odora in. I'm just going to ride him out and he's killing me. Carlos Santana is killing you in a points league. Yeah, everybody else has a great first baseman. I have Carlos Santana. Here's a list of players Carlos Santana's outscored this year. Matt Holliday, Matt Carpenter, Yonder Alonzo, Will Myers, Justin Boar, Eric Hosmer, Kendry, Chris Morales, Brandon Bells, Ryan Healy, I reject this argument.
Starting point is 00:11:13 Why? Because he hasn't. He hasn't outscored Ryan Zimmerman. He hasn't outscored Ryan Zimmerman. He hasn't outscored Logan Morrison or Mark Reynolds or Justin Smoke or Travis Shaw or Jay Bruce or Cody Bellinger or Encaron. But the point is, like, I just listed a bunch of starting caliber players. Players, we've been genuinely excited. Yonder Alonzo? You're not excited to start Yonder Alonzo.
Starting point is 00:11:36 You just picked out the one that's probably scored the most fantasy point of him. Justin Bore, Eric Hosmer? Yeah, but Justin Bore had a DL stint and got off to a slow start. And no, I'm never excited to start Eric Cosmer in a one first basement league. He's a jag. He scored 12 points. Do we want to look at a different position? Well, I'm just like...
Starting point is 00:11:53 He's outscored Brian Dozier. He's outscored DJ LaMay. You're just telling me that these other players have been disappointing. You're not telling me that Carlos Santana hasn't been killing my fantasy team. He's killing me. He's not killing you. He's not killing you. I'm sorry he's disappointed you.
Starting point is 00:12:07 That's fair to say. but he's still been a productive player. He should not be embarrassed to start him. He's the number 15 first baseman. Yeah, that's not bad. Scott. It's 12-team league. How many extra and plus he's eligible in the outfield?
Starting point is 00:12:18 Now I know what Scott is fired up about. You don't need Cody Bell and your, but Carlos Santana's fly. All right, no. Dude, Scott, I'm trying to win a fantasy league here. Having the number 15. So start Carlos Santana. I have been. And I'm five and six.
Starting point is 00:12:33 And Carlos said, sure he's not the problem. He's a big part of the problem. If you have the 15th best player at every position, your team sucks. Yeah, come on. If you have the 15 best player at every position, but if you have the 15 best first basement, it's probably still a really good hitter. No, he's not a really good hitter. In what world is Carlos Santana?
Starting point is 00:12:53 He's scored 212 fantasy points. Okay, first of all, first of all, he's only good in a points league. Let's get that out of the way. Is Michael Fordo good? Because he scored 215. Well, Santana's played 15 more games than him. Okay. And that's better.
Starting point is 00:13:07 Is Scott Shebler good? You are Mr. Fantasy points for a game in the offseason. Is Scott Shebler good because he scored 209? Yeah. It's Christian Yellich good because he scored 205. No. Who is happy with solid players? What the heck are you talking about?
Starting point is 00:13:22 Christian Yelich is not even slugging 400. I'm sorry, they're not all studs, Adam, but they still deserve to start. This is an absurd. No. Scott Shevler is a top 36 outfielder? I'd be happy to start Scott Shebler in any league. Okay. Great.
Starting point is 00:13:36 You picked up Scott Sheppler off waivers. I drafted Carlos Santana in, like, the eighth round. And the thing is, having Carlos Santana made me less aggressive in picking up first baseman off the waiver wire because I thought, oh, I have Carlos Santana. He's a really good player. I'm going to be set. I'm at a disadvantage. I'm starting the 15th best first baseman. That means there's a chance that every single team in the league is better than me at first base.
Starting point is 00:13:57 How is that not an issue? Well, I mean, you probably should have been more aggressive on the waiver wire. I don't, like, I don't necessarily. Just because I have a player occupying that position, if I think a hitter on the waiver wire is looking like a stud, that doesn't prevent me from picking him up. He still has value. I could trade my starter if this Johnny come lately proves to be a stud.
Starting point is 00:14:21 What are you going to tell the Christian Yelich owner that Christian Yelich is a good player that deserves to be starting? Christian Yelich absolutely deserves to be starting. He's batting 269 with a 390 slugging percentage. Like, he's having a terrible year. He's having a terrible year. He's having a terrible year. Absolutely dreadful year.
Starting point is 00:14:40 Just because he has 31 walks to 53 strikeouts, which is decent plate discipline, that is only relevant in points leagues. A lot of our listeners don't play in that league. Christian Yelich is having a dreadful year in a year where outfielders are unbelievable. Christian Yelich has – the way he has played, he shouldn't be rostered. I'm not saying – now, the way his track record says he should be rostered, but Yelich has not been worth starting. Well, first of all, don't go changing the format on me because I'm not as bullish about Carlos Santana in a Roto League. I didn't change the format. We're talking about the leagues that reward walks.
Starting point is 00:15:15 I know, but I said with Santana, he's only good in a points league. He's not even that good. He's killing me in my Roto League. He's been bad this year. We all expect he's going to be better in the second half than we've seen it before. Well, just the fact that he has seven steals and is on a 102 run pace in a five outfielded Roto League. That's must start. And he's 90% started.
Starting point is 00:15:35 Five out. Yeah, but those owners are disappointed with Christian Yellich. Like, he's been a bust. There's no getting around that. A bust is a little strong. He's been disappointing. What does he have to do to be a bus? Like, be Carlos Gonzalez?
Starting point is 00:15:48 I think Yelich has been a bust. He's, I think, I don't know. He's drafted in the top 20-off. If he finishes the year with a 742 OPS, then I will say he was a bus. Yeah. It was his OPS last year. 850? Okay.
Starting point is 00:16:02 It's a pretty big difference. All right, let's get into the rest of the new. Wow, we just lost a few segments there. But that's cool. That was therapeutic. I thought we ended what Scott fired up about segments. It's still going. He's just tired of people ragging on Carlos Santana, man.
Starting point is 00:16:19 He's so reliable. He's so reliable? In a Points League. He is so reliable. I know, but we can't just cater our arguments to Pointsley. Obviously. Okay, but this argument was catered to Poinsley. He has been bad in a points league this year.
Starting point is 00:16:34 Scott, yeah, he has been. Well, he hasn't. Yes, he has. He's the number 15 first baseman in a point. He scored 17.5 points already this week. He scored 17 last week. 17 is not good anymore. Then 7 the week before, that was bad.
Starting point is 00:16:46 But then 22, 22, 12, 19 and a half. Come on. Like, there have been a lot of good weeks in there. He's number 15 in points. Is 17 good at first base? No. It's fine. I mean...
Starting point is 00:16:59 We're not shooting for fine in today's hitting environment. Exactly. There's so many good hitters out there. But. You don't even need Carlos Santana. Like, if somebody made me a good enough offer for Carlos Santana, I'd obviously trade him. But, like, I don't know. All right.
Starting point is 00:17:16 He's, I'm just not that interested in upgrading if I have Carlos Santana. Neither was at him. That's the problem. He missed out on all these first baseman. I'm not even saying I did the wrong thing. You could play in the utility. You could play him in outfield. I mean, come on.
Starting point is 00:17:28 Yeah, but obviously I have, like, players I like at utility and outfield. I'm not even saying I did the wrong thing. I'm not saying I made a mistake. I'm just saying that Ruegnet Odor, Carlos Santana, their owners have held on, and let's face it. They've been disappointing for their fantasy owners, and they've put them in a bind in a lot of cases. Odor's been more of a bust than Santana. Yeah, absolutely. He's been a bust so far.
Starting point is 00:17:48 All right. The Cubs sent Kyle Schwabre to AAA. I will remind everybody that the Astros sent Evan Gaddis to AAA last year after he batted 203 in 20 games, not nearly as big of a sample size. He came back 10 days later. at an 869 OPS rest of the season with 31 home runs. Kyle Swarber to AAA, if he's not catcher eligible, are you dropping Kyle Schwerver? No.
Starting point is 00:18:11 Yeah, he's not catcher eligible. And, you know, a five outfielder league, probably not. But, I mean, three outfielder leagues, I was already, I had already dropped. I didn't actually own him anywhere, but I would have already dropped Kyle Schwerber because, you know, I'm having trouble making room for guys like Logan Morrison, who's among the major league leaders in home runs.
Starting point is 00:18:30 Yeah. So, yeah, that's, I mean, in yesterday's prospect column, since now Schwaber's a minor leaguer, he's my number one prospect to stash. So, you know, if you're in a league where you feel like you shouldn't stash Schwabber, but you're stashing you on Makata, maybe you should think about not stashing you on Makata. The only reason why I would consider stashing Schwerber in like a shallower league is in CBS leagues. He's got three appearances at catcher, two more, and he's catcher eligible. Maybe that's a really valuable player for you down the stretch. Yeah, I mean, I'm not dropping him just because he got sent down. If it comes to a point to where I need to add somebody,
Starting point is 00:19:10 I don't have to hold on to him either. That's how I would view it. Okay. I'm not just like help. I've got to go rid of Kyle Schwerper now. And they say he should be back, you know, fairly soon. He's got a tough schedule coming up with some lefties and good pitchers. Josh Donaldson missed yesterday's game with a sore knee,
Starting point is 00:19:24 but he hopes to play today. George Springer's day-to-day with a bruised hand. Matt Chapman's on the deal with a knee infection. and Stephen Vote got designated for assignment. The A's called up Matt Olson and Bruce Maxwell. Maxwell will be their primary catcher. Do you guys have any interest in Olson or Maxwell? No.
Starting point is 00:19:43 Just A.L. only. All right. Matt Kemp left with a hamstring injury. They're saying it was precautionary. I was watching the Mariners game last night to get a look at Andrew Moore. And it was the Tigers broadcast. And they broke down Miguel Cabrera's hitting mechanics. His mechanics to play it. It's way off from last year.
Starting point is 00:20:01 So, yeah, go ahead. This really kind of confuses me. Okay. Because in terms of, like, the peripherals, Miguel Cabrera has been awesome this year. He's just had a little bit of bad, bad badded ball luck. He's missed some time with injury, whatever. But he's got a 48% hard contact rate.
Starting point is 00:20:24 Well, what I would say. 29% line drive rate. The interesting thing. The interesting thing that I heard on the broadcast, when they were breaking down as mechanics, I think it's Kirk Gibson who does their color analysis. He said that, and this is only something you would know if you watch the tigers a lot, a lot of fly balls to right field are just not carrying for Cabrera. That you're used to seeing those balls go out of the park, and they're just not, they have no carry on them. So he thinks it's just a mechanical adjustment. I think the bottom line is we've seen so many things that seem to indicate Miguel Cabrera is not far from.
Starting point is 00:20:58 going on a tear, right? That's the way it looks. And he homered yesterday for what it's worth. Right. And I just hope that the injuries aren't holding him back. But if it's mechanics, I'm more excited about that. And David Ortiz got a street near Fenway Park named after him. David Ortiz Drive.
Starting point is 00:21:18 What would you like your street to be named if somebody named a street after you? I think Scott White, both being one-syllables. You need something long like Boulevard. Scott White Boulevard. I like the sound of that. Not Scott White Way? Scott White Way. Scott White Way.
Starting point is 00:21:41 I can't deny that. It is really cool. It is really cool. This is something with naming our children, since obviously, child's last name is going to be white. Like, I am opposed to having a one-syllable name for the child, because I feel like I just don't like the flow of the one-syllable. first name and the one syllable last name. I feel like there needs to be a little more, you know, kind of a musical element to it. So that's kind of what I was thinking going for Boulevard.
Starting point is 00:22:10 But Scott Whiteway. Yeah, it's nice. It's pretty cool. So I was just looking and Miguel Cabrera has a 448 ISO on fly balls to the opposite field this year. That's all it's... That's 30-bedded balls. I don't know, man. I'm just telling you what I heard.
Starting point is 00:22:33 Yeah, I know. I wasn't criticizing you. I'm just saying Kirk Gibson's eye may be betraying him. Okay. Banana split. What does this mean? Here's a split that's absolutely bananas. Jose Ibrahim has 13 home runs this year.
Starting point is 00:22:47 They have all come on the road. That is bananas. Yeah. Now, the White Sox have played 17 more road games and home games, which is also pretty bananas. But Jose Abrae, hopefully good times are ahead at home. never been a big home road split guy, but I just thought you all would find that interesting. Let's talk about Thursday standouts. Go ahead.
Starting point is 00:23:05 Yes. Heath's something you want to say to the class? The White Sox have played 17 more road games than home games? Bananas, right? That's the bananas part. Yeah. What the hell are they doing with their scheduling? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:23:19 They're 15 and 12 at home, which is a total of 27 games, and they have 27 losses on the road. They're 17 and 27. No. Yeah, it's weird. I'm going to lead the show here, just so we can try to get through a lot. And I will get to Thursday standouts. I also have to tell you about Indochino. Every Friday, I give you a great chance to look good, make that look great, actually.
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Starting point is 00:24:27 at checkout. That's 50% off the regular price for a made-to-measure premium suit. Shipping's free. Indochino.com promo code FBT for any premium suit for 379 with free shipping. All right. First standout is Aaron Nola, 75% owned. He said he felt like himself again. Pete McAnon said the same thing. I will say that's not the first time I've seen Pete McCannan say that and it hasn't held up. This is the third really good start for Nola in his last seven. He followed up the previous with two duds immediately after. Do you have any thoughts on a 75% own Aeronola? I mean, I like them more today than I did yesterday.
Starting point is 00:25:07 I don't have a clear explanation for what was different in this start other than the results. So, I mean, I know he threw a lot of strikes. He threw 74 of his 107 pitches for strikes. So I guess throw more strikes, Aaronola. Yeah, location. Obviously, commands are the key part of this success. Yeah, he said they were, he was painting the black.
Starting point is 00:25:28 The location was on yesterday, apparently. That's kind of the problem with him, and the thing that Chris was skeptical of coming into the year, was that he does seem like he needs to get more called strikes than your average top 30 or 40 pitcher would need to be that good. Now, Nola hasn't been a top 30 or 40 pitch of this year, but what I would say is he's 75% owned, and about 20% of those leagues, you should be going and getting him right now. Okay, yeah, it's definitely worth a shot. has Seattle on the road next week. Start or sit? I'll probably start him.
Starting point is 00:26:04 I'm going to start him in Tout Wars, which is 15-te-te-te-Roto, but I don't know that in 12-te-team would be an automatic start for me. All righty, and what do you think about Andrew Moore? Seattle's rookie starting pitcher, second round pick a few years ago, made his major league debut through 100 pitches, 69 strikes. That's great. Seven swinging strikes, but seven innings, three runs, no walks, four strikeouts against the Tigers. Andrew Moore, 8% owned.
Starting point is 00:26:30 I think when he's good, this is exactly the kind of pitcher he's going to be with, you know, control artist, but maybe underwhelming with the strikeouts. He might have like a Mike Leak profile. Right? That sounds like a pretty good comp. When he's good? Well, I mean, assuming he needs to be consistent as Leak, obviously, to live up to that profile. But I don't think, I don't think this is a burgeoning ace who everybody needs to. needs to rush out and add today.
Starting point is 00:27:00 Yeah, I did watch this game last night about four innings. He throws like 91 fastball, but he's got an 84-ish mile-per-hour slider and like a 75-ish mile-per-hour curveball. So it makes – I saw a lot of really late hacks on his 91 mile-per-hour fastball, and I think that's because he's so good at changing speeds. My issue with guys like that is I feel like they're going to struggle third time through the order, and he did struggle a little bit later in the game. But he's 8% on Andrew Moore.
Starting point is 00:27:27 Would you rather have Andrew Moore or Nick Povetta? Rather have Povetta because of the strikeout potential he's shown the last two starts. I did read with more, though, that you talked about how it looked late. They looked late on a few of those fastballs. He has like an unusually high spin rate on his fastball that makes the velocity seem higher than it actually is. So that might have something to do with your observation there. Scott, you owe me a thank you for. picking up Nick Povetta.
Starting point is 00:28:00 Uh, yes, you're welcome. Wait, thank you. Thank you. Did we want to do the... In a 16 team league, I should point out. The updated scoreboard or just tell us the same as it was yesterday? No, it's still 8 to 2. Okay, congratulations.
Starting point is 00:28:15 Uh, let's, uh, let's talk about some June juggernauts. These guys have had big time months. Cameron Mabin, 59% own. He's batting 3.89 with five homers. Okay, this is, since becoming a leadoff hitter, 24 games. 24 games, 389, 5 homers, 30 runs in 24 games, 13 steals in 24 games, and 17 walks to 16 strikeouts. How do you not own Cameron Maven? He's 59% owned.
Starting point is 00:28:42 You play in a points league? No, I picked them up. It's great in points leagues. I said, that's it. I'm done with this crap. Like, I'm not leaving him out there anymore. I picked him. I wish I had started him.
Starting point is 00:28:50 Yeah. Okay. To be clear. With the walk to strikeout ratio. He has been, like, he looks great in points leagues right now. What I am saying is. I expect his roto value to stick and him to be a valuable roto asset for the rest of the season. I do not think the power is legit at all.
Starting point is 00:29:08 I do not think he's going to be a top 50 outfielder in points. Fair enough. I don't think he's going to be a big power hitter, but I think the rate he's stealing bases with the Angels, which seems legit because they seem to be very aggressive on the base paths, and he's been highly successful. I think between that and the plate discipline, And there's going to be some serious pointage happening here for Cameron Mabin.
Starting point is 00:29:33 So do you think he is top 50 the rest of the season? Yes. Okay. Yeah. And honestly, I don't even care because I know right now he's as good as almost any outfielder in baseball right now. And, you know, that's what you do. And you want to talk about points leagues, which are typically the three outfielder leagues. That's a streaming spot.
Starting point is 00:29:51 Utility, outfield, like, you play the hot hand there. Yeah, I think it probably is. more for you than it is for me. I think that the ideal roster construction, this is my goal of trying to trade Cody Bellinger for an ace and the idea that I
Starting point is 00:30:09 quote unquote don't need Cody Bellinger is because I do think an outfield spot is a better option for streaming than a starting pitcher spot these days. Yeah, I yeah. Yeah, I feel that. I can't get on board
Starting point is 00:30:23 with that just because I don't I don't feel like last week's production is that indicative of next week's production? And that's what you're kind of counting on if you're streaming an outfielder. And when I'm streaming a pitcher, I'm doing it because they have two starts or a great matchup. I'm not necessarily talking about last week's production with streaming an outfielder. I mean, I do have the benefit of obviously, you know, going through the upcoming week's matchup and putting together a top 10 sleepers column. But everybody listening has the advantage of reading that column.
Starting point is 00:30:52 And, you know, obviously not all of those 10 sleepers hit every week. but I feel like half of them are usually, usually live up to my hopes, and they're all typically highly available on waivers. So a five outfielder league, maybe not, but three outfielder league. Right. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:11 Right. Carlos Gomez, 50% owned, and since coming off the DL, he's nine for 23 with five home runs, one walk, eight strikeouts. Carlos Gomez double donged yesterday. Is Carlos Gomez underowned? 50%.
Starting point is 00:31:26 Yeah, I would say so. Yeah, he doesn't need to be universally owned or owned on the level of like a Matt Holiday or whatever, but 50 seems a little low, 65 maybe. Eric Sogarde is 10% owned, and he has a 1020 OPS for the season. He's batting 366 and more walks and strikeouts and 12 doubles in 35 games leading off for a good lineup. Eric Sogarde is 10% owned. And has officially replaced Jonathan V.R. Or semi-officially?
Starting point is 00:31:59 I'm not sure about against lefties, but yeah, I think so. I still can't. Like, he's under-owned at 10%, but I'm not, if he was at 25, I probably wouldn't think he was. He has a crazy high-babit, but he also has a crazy high line-drive percentage. So, like, no power, and you need power. You need power, or you need, like, Cameron Maven's speed to really contend. at least from a mixed league perspective in this hitting environment. But he could be what we're hoping Joe Panic would be.
Starting point is 00:32:36 Right. That's Eric Sogard. I'm going to tell you about the Associated Press stealing from me just a second. But Matt Davidson in June, he homered again yesterday. In June, Matt Davidson is batting 281, seven home runs. Three walks, 28 strikeouts. If he doesn't homer, you're in trouble. But Davidson has eight doubles this year in 58 games.
Starting point is 00:32:56 but he's got 17 home runs and a 265 batting average. Now Matt Davidson is 26% own. He has been a June juggernaut. Yes. It's a hot hand play, but he's still striking out 40% of the time, right? Yes. Yeah. He's going to hit a lot of home runs.
Starting point is 00:33:12 He's going to have a Chris Carter-like season, they feel like, which means he's not going to hit 265 all year. Would you rather have Joey Gallo or Matt Davidson? Gallo. I think they're very similar, but probably Gallo. Okay. I just rather start Davidson right now. Everybody should know that I read today.
Starting point is 00:33:37 So the Associated Press, they write a very good recap of every game. And they have like little sections. They have like an injury section. And they have like a hot streak section sometimes. And this time they had a so guard, so good section. And I was like, hey, we've had that on fantasy baseball today several times. Also, thanks for listening. You're not as clever as you think you are, Adam.
Starting point is 00:33:58 Let me read you the first three, are they called graphs in a story? Yeah. Okay. I thought this was one of the weirdest starts to a story ever, not to pick on anonymous AP writer. But this is the recap of the Blue Jays Rangers game. Carlos Gomez was munching on a donut and a piece of watermelon simultaneously before the game when he predicted he would hit a home run. Then there was the recording of a Roald.
Starting point is 00:34:26 Hustercall, the Texas center fielder wanted played for one of his teammates. Turns out things went even better than he planned. That's outstanding. I read that like three times. Like, what the heck are they talking about? I'm not standing. I'm confused. It's so weird.
Starting point is 00:34:41 No need to tell me. I do like the visual of eating a donut and watermelon at the same time, though. Like, I'm not even sure. Does that mean he was putting a piece of each in his mouth at the same time? Or was he, like, alternating between the two? I don't know. But what he was trying to do with the rooster call Was have the PA announcer or the PA guy or girl
Starting point is 00:35:01 Play it for Joey Gallo Because Gayo is rooster in Spanish But he played it for Carlos Gomez instead So that was the whole thing about that Read on if you want to solve that Well he's going to have to do it Now on now, right? So there's some loosens that are tied up there
Starting point is 00:35:16 Yes In that story Yes It's like the way, you know Like a lot of dramas like to do now They show you a scene before the cold, it's like the cold open scene. And you're like, holy cow, this is weird and doesn't make any sense.
Starting point is 00:35:29 And then by the end of the episode, it makes perfect sense. I just got an email from Harry's. I just got an email right now from a member of the Harry's team, reaching out to say thank you for supporting Harry's. That is very nice. Everybody, go to harries.com slash FBT right now, h-r-r-R-Y-S-com slash F-B-T. I ordered three different Harry's Razor Shave kits for Father's Day, gave one to my dad, gave the other two to my future brothers-in-law. And they all loved it. When you order a Harry's shave kit, you open the box and you just see the presentation you're going to be impressed. Then you're
Starting point is 00:36:01 going to see how good the shave is. And then you're going to see how inexpensive the blades are when you need to order more blades. You're going to realize you're never using anything but a Harry's razor again. These are really awesome. And how much does this all cost? Well, right now you can try it for free. Just pay shipping. I'll tell you more on that in a moment. I use Harry's. I recommend it to my friends and family off the air. I'm recommending it to you now. Check out this deal. free trial offer from Harry's today, a $13 value for free. When you sign up, all you got to do is cover $3 in shipping. You get a weighted ergonomic razor handle.
Starting point is 00:36:34 Five, five precision engineered blades with a lubricating strip and trimmer blade, rich lathering shaved gel and a travel blade cover. You get all that for free. Three bucks for shipping. That's it. Harries.com slash FBT right now. Harries.com slash FBT. Scott, in like one minute, can you give us the prospects to stash?
Starting point is 00:36:57 Yes, Kyle Schorber's one, Yon Munkata's two, Ahmed Rosario's three, those last two should be pretty familiar by now. And then rounding out the list for me is Derek Fisher, who I think the George Springer scare when he left in the first inning after getting hit on the hand by a pitch. It served as a reminder that Derek Fisher's just one injury away from being a regular for the Astros again. He started against lefties and righties when he was here.
Starting point is 00:37:30 A.J. Hinch said it was bittersweet sending him down even though Josh Reddick was coming back. So, you know, an injury or Jake Mariznick slumping. And suddenly Derek Fisher is an everyday player again. And then rounding out the list is Blake Snell. who has walked, I think, 2.5 batters per nine in his last five starts in the minors, and, of course, is striking out everybody in sight. Cool.
Starting point is 00:37:58 Erasmus Ramirez has not been very good, and Matt Andres is going to be out for a while longer still. So I think sooner than not we're going to see Snell in the majors again. Hopefully it'll go better this time. Good. All right. That's good name. So we have Schwabre, Moncada, Rosario, Derek Fisher, and Blake Snell, as prospects to stash right now.
Starting point is 00:38:22 So, let's see. We're going to do two-star pitchers, obviously, at the end of the show. Why don't we knock out a few more things from yesterday? And again, let me stress speed a little bit here, guys, because we had a little bit of a detour earlier. Curtis Granderson, I'm going to guess the answer's no, but we know he can get hot. He's batting 313 with five home runs,
Starting point is 00:38:42 including a home run in two straight games in the month of June. Any interest in Curtis Granderson? Not really. Addison Russell, 77% owned. Is this just a hot streak? Remember, first 11 games of the season. He was batting 271 with a 4-79 slugging percentage. He's been better than that lately.
Starting point is 00:39:00 He's been killing it. Is this just a hot streak, or we're feeling really good about Addison Russell right now? I think there's some correction happening here. His babbip is only now up to 277. And with a pretty low fly ball rate, you would expect him not to be a bad. Bad, Babbip guy. It's kind of the same argument I made for him coming into the year because 277 also happened to be his exact same babbip last year. So I think it's the start of some correction and there's even more to come.
Starting point is 00:39:30 Let's look at the six-man rotation. Too good, too kind of bad, too ugly. Heath, I'll give you the good and the ugly, but first the good. Jake Arietta, only six swinging strikes. In fact, 8% swinging strike rate in his last four starts. Jake Arenda, though, one run over seven innings in Miami. Jose Cantana, great start at Minnesota. That's two pretty good ones in a row.
Starting point is 00:39:55 Any thoughts on Arieta or a Cantana? It's nice to get the good production out of Arieta. It's concerning that the swinging strikes are just almost completely not there at all. But I said a week ago that he was still a borderline top 10 pitcher for me, and this obviously isn't going to change that. This is one of his lowest velocity starts, too. I should point out, in addition to the lowest swinging strikes. Yeah, what do you say?
Starting point is 00:40:18 Kentata, I think we all thought there was some correction coming. It's just whether he's got enough coming to where he gets back to his career norms. I would expect he'll be pretty close to those for the rest of the season, though. Arieta said he had a low energy in this game, and he said that actually helped him. He was like sort of staying in his delivery because he had low energy, something like that. But I guess that explains the velocity issues. Yeah, I mean, it's still been a downer year for velocity overall. and this just happened to be one of the worst starts.
Starting point is 00:40:49 And he basically gives an excuse after every start now. He does. There are red flags here. I'm sorry. There are red flags with Jake Arrieta. There are. There are. But the fact that the overall strikeout rate this season is still good and, you know, the pitching landscape is so bad.
Starting point is 00:41:04 Like, I just, I'm not, like, it's hard to worry, you know, because, like, what are you going to do about it? I also like the walks with him. Only 25 walks for Areeta in 84 and two-thirds. All right, Scott, I'll give you the bad. The kind of bad. Stephen Mats, six innings, three runs, two homers at the Dodgers. They homer off everybody. Eight strikeouts, which was good to see, but five walks.
Starting point is 00:41:28 So he's got a 360 ERA, six walks, 14Ks, and 20 innings, and three starts. And Yvonne Nova gave up 11 hits. Yvonne Nova's got a 390 ERA in his last 10 starts, a ton of hits. Still great control. He's only 21st in baseball and ground ball percentage, which is good, but I feel like if you're going to strike out as few batters as Nova does, like I'd like for him to be better than 21st in groundball percentage. But Stephen Matz and Yvonne Nova, your thoughts?
Starting point is 00:41:57 Stephen Matz is the one who's swinging strike numbers concern me so far since his return, because even in this one where he got eight strikeouts, only eight swinging strikes. So he has yet to have a double-digit swinging strike start, and this was his best one. He's also somebody I've had to move up quite a bit recently because, like, even, If this is just what he is, I'm pretty excited about him as a top 45 starting pitcher. I can't tell you with great confidence whether he's better than Aranola, you know? So I'm not saying he needs to be dropped or whatever. I'm just not putting much stock into him right now.
Starting point is 00:42:37 He's just another pitcher on my team. Okay. I feel like this is Nova. More like a high 3 ZRA, good whip. Yeah, I think in this environment, just because he consistently gives you seven plus, you know, if there's going to be the occasional double-digit hit outing, you know, four earned runs, five-runs, every now and then, you know, you can accept a higher ERA from Nova than, and a lower strikeout rate from Nova than you, if you've been playing fantasy for four or five years, then you're used to accepting from a pitcher. And Marcus Stroman and Luis Severino are the ugly, Heath. Stroman and Severino, any concerns? I guess maybe a lot.
Starting point is 00:43:21 I've come to expect these types of starts for Marcus Stroman, I guess. I still think he's good, and I still think he's going to have a mid-3s-R-A, and he's got one year in the near future, whereas BabiP's great, and he has a so-called great season. But he just doesn't have the swing and miss stuff to avoid starts like this on a semi-referral. regular races. When the sinker ball ain't sinking. What's that?
Starting point is 00:43:47 When the sinker ball ain't sinking, it's what he said. Yeah, and then Severino, I'm probably not going to change my opinion too much on this one start. Okay. I thought I got a little unlucky last night, to be honest with you, Louis Severino, and got me very angry because, you know, Yankees suck. All right, before we do the two-star pitchers for Fantasy Week 13, and I do apologize to our emailers. It seems like I will be neglecting you today. Let's do the segment everybody's been waiting for as soon as I can find it. I hope you're ready.
Starting point is 00:44:21 It's going to be great. By golly? There it. I can't find it. Oh, we are 12 weeks into the season and by golly. Well, the first one was going to be Christian Yelich is hitting this, this, and this, but we already covered that. So how about we are 12 weeks into the season and by golly, Todd Frazier is batting 210 right now. he homered yesterday, but he entered yesterday outside the top 25 at third base.
Starting point is 00:44:48 Todd Frazier. I am shocked that he is still 89% owned. Yeah, that's pretty surprising. Yeah, yeah. I still keep waiting for him to get hot, and I like that it's like his best walk rate ever, best strikeout rate ever. I mean, in theory, this should be a better Todd Frazier. You just have to wonder if his... Like, are people are dropping him and others are picking him up?
Starting point is 00:45:10 or nobody's, everybody's just leaving him sitting on their bench? Well, let me tell you, Frazier. I guess, I don't know. Frazier did get hot from May 16th to June 11th. He batted 276 with seven home runs. He had a good month. He got hot and nobody noticed. He's cooled off since then.
Starting point is 00:45:26 I mean, it was hot with a 276 batting average. Like, normally corrections for really slow starts, I feel like, are much hotter than that. Like, slap you across the face hot. Yeah. And, uh, Cutchin. And, yeah,
Starting point is 00:45:43 exactly. And we're still not, we still have an, I keep waiting for that for Frazier, but, you know, the fact that he was not very good last year, combined with the fact that it's almost July,
Starting point is 00:45:54 and combined with the fact that third base, first base, the positions he's eligible are deep. Like, uh, outside of the standard, roto lineup, you know,
Starting point is 00:46:04 with all the different hitters started there. Um, it just don't see much incentive. There's, I don't have much incentive to hold on. All right, that's Todd Frazier. We are 12 weeks into the season, and by golly, Mark Trumbull has 10 home runs. Yuck.
Starting point is 00:46:20 Yeah. And he's striking out a lot more lately, too, so we can't even give him that compliment Mark Trambo. Yeah, I have more hope for him than Frasier, which, I mean, his ownership percentage is 98 versus Frasier's 89, so it sounds like most people do. It's just because Trumbo was been much better last year than Frasier was. And he's been better this year, too. I mean, he's been, he hasn't been unstartable this year, Trumbo. In a Roto League, no. In a points league, he probably has.
Starting point is 00:46:52 Like, you shouldn't have started him if you did. He's killed you. Okay. I'm worried. Yeah? Yes. I'm not dropping him, but. Not buying low necessarily on Trumbo.
Starting point is 00:47:07 Well, it's always relative. Yeah. But I'm not I'm not particularly motivated to, no. Who would you rather buy low on? Trumbo or cargo? I'll still say cargo. Yeah, the ceiling's higher.
Starting point is 00:47:22 The cost is probably lower, probably. Maybe not, but probably. Okay. Yeah. And we're 12 weeks into the season, and by golly, Dee Gordon and Trey Turner entered yesterday only four steals behind Billy Hamilton. Remember when Hamilton was going to steal 100 bases?
Starting point is 00:47:39 Well, he is on a 77 steel pace. Right. Turner 72, Gordon 63. He's played the most games. Yeah. Good. Good for them. I mean, Trey Turner has not been the hitter. I think most of us hoped he'd be this year. But it hasn't mattered, really. I mean, he's still a stud because he's all these steals. You know, Scott, I think Dee Gordon is really the one that he's done the same. same thing as Turner. He hasn't really hit that well, but all the steals, Gordon's still top 10 second baseman in points and obviously in Roto too. Yeah, he's been better than I thought he'd be for sure.
Starting point is 00:48:25 He doesn't have the, like Turner, there's some hope that he does start hitting better, and D. Gordon, I think, I mean, the fact he's hitting 292 already, you know, you know there's no power there. You know, this is the upside for D. Gordon. So, I don't know that we were doing a direct comparison between Gordon and Turner, but, I mean, Gordon, there's no ceiling. There's no ceiling to go here. Like, there's no more room to improve. I think there's 30 points of batting average. He's batting 292.
Starting point is 00:48:59 Right. He's at 333 before. I mean, I'm... I don't... I'm not going to expect anybody to do that. I don't think this is the very best D. Gordon could be. Let me just move it along, guys. I'm sorry, because I want to get to the two-star pitchers.
Starting point is 00:49:14 I'm going to pick one more. I was going to say something about Robinson Canoe because I did this segment yesterday, but then, of course, he didn't really having that good of a year. His power was way down. But he had two home runs, including a Grand Slam yesterday, and Cano is now seventh and points, ninth and roto at second base. So how about we are 12 weeks into the season, and by golly, by my count, seven teams have changed closers for non-injury reasons.
Starting point is 00:49:39 that does not include Oakland. I don't really remember what there's... I don't think they ever changed closers in Oakland. They just never officially declared anyone. Right. It does include Seattle, which changed for a week and went back to Diaz. Seven teams have changed closers for non-injury reasons. And I think I just want to give you guys credit,
Starting point is 00:49:59 because I think personally, I feel like we had a strategy for every position at the start of the season. I think we nailed it with relief pitcher. You really want one of those relationships. liable stud relief pitchers this year, in my opinion. And I think it's played out that way. That's less turnover than I feel like we've normally seen by this stage of the season. I don't know how many have changed for injury reasons. I don't know if it's like eight who have...
Starting point is 00:50:24 Britain. And half the league's closer pool has turned over. No, I mean, what is it? It's Britain. I don't feel like there have been that many. Chapman for a bit. Yeah, and he's back now. He's back.
Starting point is 00:50:33 I don't think there have been that many. Yeah. It's certainly stable. Why weren't the angels included here? Because that was injury Oh, okay Yeah, I forgot about that Another one that was injury
Starting point is 00:50:43 Yeah Okay Yeah Yeah Yeah, seven's a lot But expected It's always that It's always that
Starting point is 00:50:51 Yeah, we should have that Coming into the year Yeah By gully I think And you look at the You look at the seven though And
Starting point is 00:51:00 you got good ones this year It's not necessarily Just teams like the Phillies Like the Phillies Whatever You don't go into the season And be like Oh,
Starting point is 00:51:08 the fillers are going to change closures, I'll pick up their guy. No, but if you get Felipe Rivera, you're going to be happy. Whoever ends up closing in Washington, Detroit, not... I mean, Corey Kinebel might be a top five closer. He's been number two. He's on nobody's radar coming in. He's been number two since taking over. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:26 Amazing. He's fantastic. And he set the record yesterday, most consecutive appearances with a strikeout as a reliever. I mean, shoot, someone who else who's been fantastic, who... I mean, he was the frontrunner coming in, but there wasn't complete certainty. He was the closer as Reisel Oglacius. Yeah. Not as regular opportunities, I don't think is Kineppel.
Starting point is 00:51:50 All right, guys, two-star pitchers for Fantasy Week 13. Just throw this one out there. Jake Arrieta is at Washington and at Cincinnati. Yep, going to start him. Okay. You're going to start Verlander, Kansas City and Cleveland? You betcha. I don't see Paxton as a two-star pitcher.
Starting point is 00:52:10 He might only be a one-star pitcher. Okay, we've got, let me see. Trevor Bauer, Texas and at Detroit. Nope. In a points league, I think I would. I considered dropping him last night for Andrew, what's his last name, Andrew Moore? And opted not to since Bauer's two-star pitcher next week.
Starting point is 00:52:34 I think I'm going to roll with him. Okay. So you're going to go with the, Bower of Love over Give me, give me more. Sure. Thank you. Thank you.
Starting point is 00:52:44 It's my Britney Spears. Who sings power of love, Huey Lewis in the news? Yep. Yeah. Rich Hill, Angels and at the Padres. And that's not, the angels are actually hidden pretty well.
Starting point is 00:52:56 So Angels and at the Padres. I'm starting him. Absolutely. Taiwan Walker, Philadelphia, and Colorado. I mean, two starts for Rich Hill is almost like one start. Taiwan Walker are you going to start. Philadelphia and Colorado at home? Yep.
Starting point is 00:53:08 Right. How about Jeff Hoffman? He got lit up last time out. He's still 76% owned at San Francisco at Arizona. I'm probably going to start him at least in a points league. Yeah. Be on the fence in a Rotar League. Yeah, I'm starting him.
Starting point is 00:53:24 That at San Francisco start is good enough by itself almost. Yeah, Alex Cobb is at Pittsburgh and at Baltimore. We're starting him. Yep. Yeah, I like him. How about Mike fires Oakland and the Yankees at home? I would. I would.
Starting point is 00:53:37 I think the kind of run he's. on now. I mean, he has enough history of these three-month stretches where he pitches like an ace that, uh, yeah, I like him right now. Yeah, I would put him ahead of Bauer, but probably behind the rest of the guys
Starting point is 00:53:52 we've talked about. Which would be Rich Hill, Jeff Hoffman, Alex Cobb. So that's Mike Fires. Fires is 64% owned. Junior Gera, I don't like, I don't want to. 62% owned at Cincinnati and home against Miami. I probably am.
Starting point is 00:54:06 Not in a Roto League. Not in a Categories League, because there's not going to be enough strikeouts in the whip is almost certainly going to be on the high side. But in a points league, like, I don't think he's going to get pummeled. So that's reason enough to consider using him. Okay, it's a good point for Gera. Just so many walks. I just wanted to look up one thing. I feel like Cincinnati, they've scored the seventh most runs at home this year in Cincinnati.
Starting point is 00:54:31 They have the seventh best OPS. There are a much tougher matchup in Cincinnati, which is where it is. for Agara. Moving down on the list. Michael Waka, 70% owned. He's got the Reds at home and the Nationals at home. Michael Waka. I don't trust him for anything right now.
Starting point is 00:54:49 Scott, I believe you should lead your column with Sean Newcomb, 58% owned at San Diego at Oakland. How is he not hire-owned yet? Yeah, weird. I think just the fact he hasn't won a game, but that's not good reasoning. obviously you're not you're picking him up
Starting point is 00:55:08 for his future production and not how he may have gotten screwed out of wins in the past. Do you trust any of these guys in two-star weeks? Tyson Ross, Daniel Norris, Hyunjin Ryu, Kevin Gosman. Who does Gosman have? Toronto on the road, Tampa Bay at home.
Starting point is 00:55:26 No, no. It wouldn't matter me. He's even lower than Waka on the Trustometer right now. Do we trust any of these guys? Maybe Ryu. I mean, he has the same matchups that Rich Hill has, Angels and at the Padres. I mean, I don't think he's somebody I'd ever look at in a one-start week,
Starting point is 00:55:45 but he rarely gets pummeled, like I was saying about Gera. I think I'd like him even more than Gera this week, actually. What if I told you there was a pitcher owned in less than 25% of leagues? I know you're going to figure it out, but I'm going to build the suspense for the listeners. What if I told you? Who has an ERA. Under one at home and two home starts this week. Would you start Yolish Jasein?
Starting point is 00:56:15 How could that be? I think those splits are wrong. I thought it was under two. I know he's been good at home. I didn't think it was that good. He's got Atlanta and the Dodgers, Yolice Chasin, at home. Well, I don't know what source you're looking at. But, yeah.
Starting point is 00:56:31 No, probably not. Don't think so. All right. Anyone else? Gazelman, Adelman, Clevenger, Jesse Chavez, Joe Beijini, Nick Povetta,
Starting point is 00:56:42 at Arizona and at the Mets, 16% owned. Eddie Butler, Amir Garrett, Ricking Alaska, Matt Strump, must be a lot of games next week. Matt Strom, Martine Perez, Adaberto Mejia, Trevor Williams,
Starting point is 00:56:52 David Holmberg, Nick Turley. I think Nick Turley got sent down, actually. Anyone peak your interest? I mean, Povetta's the clear standout here, I'm not saying he's must start. I don't think we should start him at him in our 16 team, head-to-head categories league.
Starting point is 00:57:11 I think there's too much of a chance that he does us more harm than good in ERA and Webb. But particularly if it's a points league setting and you just want an extra start in there, he's shown potential lately, and these matchups aren't so bad. Well, at Arizona's kind of rough. It kind of stinks.
Starting point is 00:57:30 But what's the second one? At the Mets. At the Mets. Not so bad. Okay, guys. I think what we're going to do is read this email. Rob from Alabama in a Roto League. Would you drop Mats or Vargas to pick up Sean Holcomb?
Starting point is 00:57:53 I probably wouldn't. Yeah, I don't think I can bring myself to do it either, though. I'm not so sure Mats is actually better than Nukum. or you said Newcomb, right? Yeah. Yeah. Matt from Napa is in a 10-team Categories League. Should I drop Irvin Santana to pick up Starling Marte?
Starting point is 00:58:13 I would probably do that, yeah. I don't think I would. Ten teams? Categories League? I don't know that he's going to be a clear standout even when he does come back. I don't know that Santana's must own in a 10-team league. Yes. Maybe not.
Starting point is 00:58:30 I mean, he's probably dropped out of that category. but I do know starting pitchers much harder to replace than outfields. It depends. Maybe if you specifically need steals that might change it. Exactly. Last one. Tali emailed us and she said, I want to create my own rankings this season, but I'm not sure where to start.
Starting point is 00:58:49 Any advice? And then she just signed French fries. And she put like a little picture of French fries. Okay. I like French fries. Everybody likes French fries. Give her 10 seconds of advice on making rankings. Um, well, I would, I would go, I would start by looking at somebody.
Starting point is 00:59:11 10 seconds are up and you got zero words out. Zero words. I would. Start with last year's finish. Yeah. That don't make it much easier for you. Start with last year's finish. Sure.
Starting point is 00:59:21 Pick some breakouts. Pick some bust. Do what he did and look at the current standings and just rank them that way, like Ben Intendee. Yes. There you go. You're never wrong. All right. Hey, we got to go.
Starting point is 00:59:32 We got to go. I'm sorry, Scott. This is way too big of a question. Way too big. French fries are delicious, though, but I've been on the wedding diet, and I've been turning them down regularly lately. So thanks for bringing that up, Talley. For Scott White and for Heathcomings, I'm Adam Azer. Enjoy your weekend.
Starting point is 00:59:47 Talk to you Monday.

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