Fantasy Baseball Today - 07/07 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: HR Derby Curse? 2nd Half Bouncebacks
Episode Date: July 7, 2017Is there a HR Derby curse (1:00)? Find out what the research suggests. Then it's on to some "Hey, Real Quick" with Dinelson Lamet, Rich Hill and a few others, plus who to add from yesterday's games (1...0:15) ... Drop Dylan Bundy (13:40)? Add Anibal Sanchez (20:40)? Which prospects should you stash right now (29:30)? ... We discuss some first half duds and whether or not they can turn it around after the break. Is Ian Kinsler done (43:10)? What do we expect from Kyle Seager (45:50)? ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Welcome to Fantasy Baseball today, pre-All-Star Break Edition, and a Kokomo Friday, and a Buffalo Wild Wings Friday.
Sports trades are scary, everybody.
One person can be replaced by another exchange for money, given away for a hypothetical future person.
And once they leave your team, you can't like them anymore, even if you have their jersey, which you can't wear anymore, except at B-dubs.
They won't judge, but others might.
Buffalo Wild Wings, Wings, Wings, beer, sports.
Oh, big show today.
talk about the home run derby, is there a home run derby jinks?
Heath, is there a home run derby jinks?
You know the answer to this.
You're just trolling me.
Did you know that every single home run derby participant last year had a lower OPS in the second
half?
Every single one.
It's almost as if people get into the home run derby based on exceptional first halves,
and most players are not exceptional for entire years.
Okay, so let me see how many had a, what would be a big OPS drop for you?
Well, it's all relative.
If the guy had a 1,200 OPS before,
I can hear a judge is going to have a big OPS drop.
I can guarantee it.
The highest OPS was 924.
There were three players who had a 923 or a 924 OPS pre-all Star break last year
participated in the home run derby.
What would be a big drop for them?
Like, oh, wow, that was a big drop.
If they were below 800.
And they all were.
No, no, Kano wasn't.
Kano was 832.
Two of the three were Mark Trumbo and Carlos Gonzalez,
754 and 761.
Okay.
All right.
So we'll talk about that a little bit later.
We're waiting for Scott White to get in.
Anyone to add?
We should make that a part of the Kokomo theme song.
Where's Scott?
It sings the Kokomo song.
We're waiting for Scott White to get in.
Oh, there he is.
Yeah.
What's up, Scott White?
That would be funny.
That would be funny.
That would be keeping with.
the theme of you have to be listening very closely to know what's going on.
And did you hear my rantings and ravings about the home run derby?
Just that you don't like players participating in the home run derby?
It's a good guess.
He did not hear it.
But it's true.
I don't want any of my guys participating in the home run derby.
Actually, if you go back to the last two years, 16 participants, 14 of them had a lower OPS in the second half.
I would guess most of this year's participants will have a lower OPS in the second half than they had in the first half.
Last year was bad, though.
I mean, you had Mark Trumbo, Will Myers, Adam Duvall, Carlos Gonzalez,
half of the home run derby fell off a cliff in the second half.
The other four were Todd Frazier, who wasn't really that good first half or second half.
Corey Seeger, who had a two-point lower OPS in the second half.
So he was basically the same.
Robinson Canoe and John Carlos Stanton.
They did fine.
But half of them were underbius.
Yeah.
Yeah, four of eight.
None of them got better, though.
None of them got better.
So half got worse, half stayed the same.
No, no.
The thing is, the half you named that got worse,
except for Carlos Gonzalez,
fall into exactly what I was saying,
guys that aren't, are having uncharacteristically good first halves.
Yeah, I knew it.
I'm glad Chris isn't on,
because then we got really heated,
because he would dismiss this immediately.
Take your L.
Take by L.
All right, so to sum up 45 minutes of research,
you guys don't care about the Home Run Derby?
I think it's very fun for you to have these little numbers that you sprinkle in here.
It's good podcast fodder.
I don't have any problem with you bringing this to the podcast.
This is an entertainment podcast.
If you were writing an academic paper about it, then I would give you an F.
All right.
Scott, can I get it?
like a C plus, grade the term paper?
He's pretty harsh.
He's pretty harsh, got to say.
You know, I don't put much stock in it either, but whatever.
Okay.
That sounds like a C to me.
I mean, we're talking about predicting the future of something highly unpredictable.
I don't know that there's, I don't know that it's an incorrect take.
So let's predict the future again.
Who's going to win the home run derby?
Mike Mastakis, obviously
He's in the home run
It does seem like this
New
The new format
You know, the two-year-old format now
It makes
Fluke victories less likely
Because
Just give me a name, Scott White
I don't know why it would be a fluke
Just give me a name
The second most home runs in the American League
Who's the damn winner of the home run derby?
It's going to be Judge or Stanton
I would guess I'll say I'll say judge
I think Stanton and Boar both fold.
I really hope we get a judge.
They're not used to playing in front of more than 8,000 people.
Judge Stanton and the home run derby final would be awesome.
All right, welcome to fantasy baseball today.
A lot going on.
We'll talk about Dylan Bundy and his struggles.
We'll talk about Jacob Ferrea, who pitched very well against the Red Sox yesterday.
Heath had a funny Twitter poll that seems even more relevant now.
A lot of deep league guys, pitchers that are owned in less than 10% of leagues and one hitter that did well yesterday.
But let's do just a quick, a hey, real quick round of, hey real quick.
Hey, real quick.
Mike Fultonavich or Denelson Lemette?
Lament.
Ooh.
I am not sure.
You guys talked me into moving to Nelson Llamett up last week, just so you could look like that again.
Well, I just, I don't understand what your hang-up is with Denelson Lameh.
It's something about the 5ERA.
Yeah, but I think you usually go, like you're usually someone who values things like
strikeout rate, like whiff rate.
Right.
Before yesterday, he hadn't really had control issues.
I think yesterday was only the second time he had issued more than two walks in a start,
and usually had been one or fewer.
So the biggest issue he had in the minors hadn't even really manifested in the majors.
He just missed a lot of bats with the occasional meltdown,
which, you know, you would expect from any rookie.
I would generally say that if a pitcher has thrown 35 innings in the majors,
and his biggest issue from the miners hasn't manifested itself yet.
It's just a matter of time before it's probably going to.
But weren't you the high guy on Blake Snell coming into?
I was.
I was.
Like, why do you dismiss Denelson's...
Blake Snell was a bigger prospect than Denelson-Lam.
Very impressive strikeout potential.
He has a 5.93 ERA.
He has a 1.24 whip.
He's had three terrible starts and then very good starts as well, Denelson Lament.
I think he's right in that same range.
I'd probably take him over Fulte O.
but Fultenevich is pitching better right now.
See, Fultenevich kind of has the Stephen Matt's thing going on
where he's getting good results,
but in a way that's hard to trust.
He just, I mean, he throws very hard,
so you'd expect him to miss a lot of bats,
and he's not.
He's not.
The strikeout rate has been decent,
but the whiff rate even makes that look suspicious.
So, yeah, I don't have a lot of faith in Mike Fultonovich.
But you can't have any faith in Denelson-Lamette.
You just hope.
I have okay that's that's fair i have more hope for denelson lemette than mike fultenevich i don't
have much faith in either uh okay you don't wait you don't have much faith in either lamette or
faulty is that what you said right okay right like if you if so so they are not must own
they're not most own guys i i would i would consider it a um a scary proposition if you forced me
to stick one in my lineup and leave him there for the rest of the season that would be
very scary to me, so I don't have much faith in either.
All right. They're both pretty interesting.
I mean, Fulte's 60% owned, Lynette, 55% own, and different results last night, Fultenevich,
with a good start at Washington, LeMet got lit up at Cleveland, and apparently did not
have his velocity in this start. That's what his manager, Andy Green, said, about Denelson
LeMet. I guess I would say that if they were both available on waivers, I would be interested
in picking both up. I think they're about appropriately owned.
60 and 55%. All right. Hey, real quick, Rich Hill or might be.
Michael Fulmer, rest of season.
I'll go with Fulmer because I think it's a little more predictable,
and certainly the health concerns are lower than for Rich Hill.
That's exactly what I would say, too.
Start by start.
Rich Hill is back.
Buy herself.
He's back.
Buy it?
Buying it?
No, I totally buy it.
I mean, he...
It coincides, the turnaround coincides with the mechanical.
change he made and he went from being a guy who couldn't pitch beyond the fifth inning to now he's
going seven innings every time out and the Dodgers have the three best left-handers and at least the
National League right.
Kershaw, Wood, and Rich Hill.
Yeah, wow.
Is there a better one?
They're all pitching like Sy Young contenders right now and in a way that seems believable to me.
So Dodgers are freaking scary.
Heath? You're taking Fulmore over Hill, but do you think Rich Hill is back?
I think Rich Hill is back. I would not bet a penny on him making the rest of his starts this season.
But when he's like this, you just leave him in the starting lineup until he's hurt.
All righty, Rich Hill, congratulations.
Last three starts, 21 innings, 10 hits, four runs, three walks, 27 strikeouts.
Now two of them were against the Angels and the Dodgers and the Padres yesterday against the Diamondbacks.
Anybody to add?
So, you know, I think Fulte and Lamede are maybe worth taking a look at on waivers, but we've talked about them.
Anyone from yesterday's action or at all, and don't say Tommy fam because we talked about him a lot yesterday.
Anyone to add from the waiver wire, Scott White, you can go first.
Let's see here.
You know, I don't know how owned Michael Waka is right now.
Probably over 80%, so he might be a little too high end.
Seimgo Santana.
Sorry, Scott.
Waka is 77% on.
Oh, okay.
Okay.
I guess we can talk about him then.
Nine strikeouts, two starts in a row.
It really seemed to get a kick in a butt when the Cardinals were talking about removing him from the rotation.
But the shoulder checked out find it's not like it's been weakening the problem he's had over a couple times in his career.
And he's just done a good job of pitching down on the zone, throwing strikes,
as incorporated his change up more after kind of shying away from it during that rough patch,
and seems to be back on track.
So I think he's back to being must own.
I feel the same way about Gregory Polanco, who still less than 80% owns.
Really?
Four hits.
I never really hated Gregory Polanco.
He's never been the best outfielder on the Pirates.
Well, yeah.
We do have a segment coming up later about whether.
or not players can turn their season around, and he is in that segment.
I am putting in waiver claims for him where he's available.
Why, though?
Because he, not, and look, you know I want to agree, but this really was just sort of one good game.
He does have a six-game hitting streak, and the best walk-to-strike-out ratio of his career,
but usually Polanco was a guy who hit the ball really hard.
He is a 23.1 percent hard contact rate this year.
That's terrible.
I'm just, I never thought that at 25 years old he just forgot how to be a good.
good baseball player. Any sign that maybe whatever was bothering him is starting to go away
for a guy that I think has top 20, top 25 outfielder potential, I'm going to go get him.
All righty. So that is... Him or Swarber? Oh, him easily.
Him or Frazier?
I just almost had to drop Frazier for Polanco, but I had someone else I could drop on my
team, so I dropped Big Ken for him instead. Him or Stephen Sousa?
him.
Wow.
Palanco is him.
Some Greg Polanco.
All right. Good.
I hope you're right.
Let's look at some pitchers who pitched yesterday.
And three of them,
I don't know how to phrase this for the right way.
Two of them were bad.
Okay?
Let's put it that way.
Dylan Bundy and Lance McCullors.
Do you have any long-term concerns about Lance McCullors?
He has been scuffling a bit lately.
He has only pitched more than five in a third once in his last five starts.
I think they're going to limit his innings.
Yeah, I have that concern.
I don't have performance concerns, effectiveness concerns.
I mean, this isn't...
He had a couple starts kind of like this one in April, too.
It's, you know, they just happen for every pitcher,
except those three lefties on the Dodgers.
But, yeah, I think he's going to be fine.
I think he must start just may fall short of a quality start
because they remove him early to keep the innings down from time to time.
Okay, how about Dylan Bundy?
Are we ready to drop Dylan Bundy, Heath?
I'm not quite ready to drop him, but like yesterday when we were talking about whether we would start him or not,
I was wavering and don't know what he has to do for me to feel comfortable with starting him on a regular basis.
Because even when he was good this year, he wasn't like it was more luck than it was being good.
It was Mike Fultenevich good.
And then he's been bad ever since.
even though the swinging strikes have gone up.
It's weird.
Yeah.
It's a very weird season for Dylan Bundy.
I would probably, I'm going to keep a hold of them, especially in a points league,
but I'm not going to be starting him in the next week or two.
So Bundy, we have a lot of questions about Bundy.
We will get to that.
Jose Burrios is, I mean, look, he's been fine, but if we're nitpicking, he's been
a little rough lately, giving up a lot of hits in his last three starts.
Two starts were kind of bad at Boston and at Kansas City,
although I think the Boston start was pretty good.
You know, I watched a lot of that.
And I don't know.
Any concerns about Jose Barrios?
I'd slot him between McCullors and Bundy.
There's not enough starting pitchers to have concerns about a guy of his level.
He's a solid number three the rest of the way.
And finally, Jacob Ferrea.
Scott, I sat him.
I was worried about the Red Sox matchup.
All he had to do was hit Zander Bogart's with a pitch, get him out of the game.
And that helped.
But, yeah, no, he pitched six innings for Ria, one run.
four walks, two strikeouts, which was weird, because he has nine walks at 37 strikeouts in 38 and a third.
0.97 whip.
Ferea has been awesome.
Faria or Rich Hill, rest of season.
Hell.
Yeah.
Ferreya or Bundy?
I think at this point I'm going to say Faria.
I need to, I did a pretty thorough rankings overhaul yesterday, but I missed moving Bundy down.
I need to drop him behind Faria.
He needs to be outside of my top 40.
Yeah, I would say I'd probably go with Faria as well.
I think that, like, in this particular game, I said I would start Freire yesterday.
This was not a good start.
It was his worst start here.
It worked out okay.
He only gave up one run, but this was, if he does that on a regular basis, we'll be dropping him.
Well, okay, so just because he didn't strike guys out, but the Red Sox four in six innings.
Yeah, the Red Sox don't strike out, though, right?
And he gave up only four hits in six innings.
I mean, yes.
I mean, I put it, I put the positives.
been on it. This was the worst he's ever been and he still scored me 20 points or whatever it was.
Right, right. All right, Jacob Faria. Now, Heath, hooray for your Twitter poll.
Two days ago, you said, tonight you're tasked, this is, wow, this is fantasy baseball drama.
Tonight you're tasked with saving the world by winning a baseball game. You're in the ninth with a one-run lead and two arms in the pen.
Who do you call Fernando Rodney or Dellen Batanzas?
Now, probably, we have new data.
since you posted this.
Yes.
New data that.
And I love that because it just shows the ridiculousness of the question in my mind.
Yeah.
Because Scott thought it was pretty obviously Fernando Rodney yesterday.
And I think Patanus won the poll like 60 to 40.
69% to 31%.
Scott attributed that to some of my followers just being football followers and picking the name.
Well, if you haven't...
If you don't follow baseball in the granular way we do, you may not even...
even know Del and Patentis has been awful his last three outings or whatever.
But the biggest thing for me is that it really illustrates the difficulty that I have with the hot
hand approach. And I talk about it sometimes. I use it sometimes. But the hard thing is, when
you're talking about a very good pitcher that is struggling and a very mediocre pitcher that
is pitching well, those two things are going to end.
Yeah, Patens is a mess right now.
So do you just go with the true talent level?
You count on the recent performance?
I voted for Patensis, but that was a tough question.
It really was.
He is just awful.
His mechanics are all off, and he's 6'8-8, so it happens from time to time with him.
But Fernando Rodney is Fernando Rodney.
And Rodney gave up four runs on four walks without recording an out and two hits at the Dodgers.
And this is his second bad outing in a row.
And the previous 20 appearances, he gave him.
give up two hits and no earn runs in 19 and a third.
But two bad outings in a row for Roddy.
Now, he hadn't pitched in four days.
That never helps for a reliever.
But, yeah, I guess if you want to look at one thing in that 20-game stretch with no earn runs,
he did walk seven in 19 and a third.
I don't know.
Relievers do that.
And he walked four yesterday.
So I would say.
I mean, there was some regression coming for Rodney.
I think the bigger issue for me going back to the poll question was just I can't.
I can't trust the fate of humanity.
I can't put that on Del and Patensis right now.
It didn't even have so much to do with Rodney.
Like, I might take Tyler Clippard over Delin Patansis right now.
Wow.
But that was a crushing loss last night for the Diamondbacks.
They are now five and a half behind the Dodgers.
They came up four runs.
I think they were up three-nothing or four-to-one.
I think they were up four to one.
They got four runs in the ninth, and they have lost three straight
after being swept by the Dodgers who are running away right now.
58 and 29, 5.5-5 games up in the National League West.
And boy, the National League is boring this year.
The Brewers are 4.5 games up on the Cubs.
Who's going to win the NL Central?
The Cubs, at least five games.
Whoa.
Well, they're only a game up on the Cardinals.
Do you think they'll have five games in between the Cardinals?
I agree the Cubs are going to win the Central.
But I don't think the Brewers, like Chase Anderson going down,
hurt a lot, like a lot more than it's probably been discussed anywhere except maybe on local
Milwaukee radio.
He's a number two starter, probably, and not just for them, but for any team.
And I mean, they were looking like a very well-rounded club with him in the mix, and he'll be
back eventually.
But I just think the Cubs have more depth, more resources to go out and get somebody else
if they want to, more incentive to go out and get somebody else because it's clear that their nucleus is in place when the brewers are kind of an expedited rebuild job.
Yeah.
So I agree the Cubs are going to win ultimately.
All right.
Let's look at some deep leagues here.
You guys don't talk about deep leagues enough.
Nobody's really said that in a while, but I wanted to do a funny voice, so it did.
You know why?
Why?
Because fewer people playing deep league.
Yeah, there you go.
But I played a deep league, Scott White.
Yeah, we'll do a podcast just for you.
We'll Taylor make it for you, your own personal podcast.
And here it is.
Well, here's your own personal podcast segment.
Paul Blackburn, seven and two-thirds, one run, no strikeouts at Seattle.
Anibal Sanchez, excuse me.
Anabal Sanchez making my voice crack.
He has turned things around since my birthday, June 19th.
Ader runs in 23 and a third with four walks and 22 strikeouts since being recalled.
On my birthday.
Happy birthday, Annabal Sanchez.
Scott, for Sal Romano, who pitched yesterday for the Reds, what do you think about this?
And he pitched well at Corse Field in his second Major League Baseball start.
What do you think about this catchphrase?
Everybody loves Romano.
I mean, he's hardly the first Romano.
I don't know why we're applying it to him.
Heath, what do you think about that?
Everybody loves Romano.
I think it's outstanding.
I came up with it yesterday.
Yes, I stole it for me.
I stole it for me.
Oh.
So Paul Blackburn.
I expect better from you, Adam.
Come on.
Well, good, because it was Heath's.
Blackburn, Sanchez, and Romano,
any interest in these guys,
their own in 10% of leagues or less?
I mean, when you asked me about somebody
to pick up off waivers,
Anabal Sanchez's name kept jumping out to me.
I'm just, you know,
thinking more from a mixed league context.
I'm not ready to take that plunge.
with him, but he has looked really good since returning to the rotation.
The strikeouts have been up.
He's kind of changed his pitch selection.
Please, let's not do it.
Let's just not.
No?
Let's the couple.
Heath, are we doing this with Annabal Sanchez?
Well, look, you, you, you, I know, I know, I know.
It's out to be a deep league segment.
Why are you burying me?
I don't know.
I don't know, because he sucks.
Okay.
This is why we don't talk about deeper leagues.
You're not going to give any of them the time, any of the potential options the time of day.
All right, because you phrased it as when I asked you about Waverwire, you were thinking about Anabal Sanchez,
which means you sort of took it out of the deep league realm.
No, I said the reason I didn't is because we were talking about mixed leagues at the time.
I didn't think he was worth adding there.
Stop filling in gaps that are incorrect.
I agree, Adam.
Stop reading between lines that don't exist.
So would you pick up Anabel Sanchez in our 16?
team in our 16 team league.
That's a deep league.
Yes.
You would?
I would.
Is he on the waiver war?
He's 10% owns, so there's a good chance.
I think we should make this happen right now.
Who are you guys dropping for an hour?
Oh, our team's too good.
We can't drop anyone.
Okay.
No, you're right.
You're right.
We don't really have anyone to drop, so.
I guess more in a points league, I'd be more likely to do it.
I guess in theory, our hitting is sucks and our pitching is good.
But in theory, if our pitching
was bad and our hitting was good and we needed Anabal Sanchez, we could drop a guy like
Matt Davidson for Anabal Sanchez.
But I would really want to do that.
I think we kind of just talked about, like we just put Anabal Sanchez in perspective.
Yes, and I'm looking at his game log.
You're not willing to drop Matt Davidson for Anabal Sanchez.
Correct. And I'm looking at his game log from last year. He had a really good
stretch of four out of five starts really good in August last year. The other start was terrible,
but then he was awful. And he had a 557 ERA.
September after that.
What about Tommy Canely?
Tomy Canley.
Canley, actually, we were told.
Yep, it's Canely.
Yes, sorry.
What about Nick Povetta?
Oh, I'd rather have Povetta than Sanchez.
If you have a lot of good players on this team, I can understand why.
What about Brad Brock?
No, I'd rather have Pithetta.
Of course we'd rather have Brock.
I thought I'd have kind of assume Zach Britton was going to be the closer again.
He hasn't gotten a save yet, has he?
No, because they keep losing.
but Luke Voigt,
I'll go to Heath is 3% owned.
Luke Void is batting 333 with two home runs and four doubles and 11 games, Heath.
You interested in Luke Voight?
3% own.
Not particularly.
Okay, cool.
I was actually getting ready to talk about Paul Blackburn,
because we got some tweets about our dismissal of him on the podcast yesterday.
Oh, he sucks.
He's not any good at all.
He's like the tie block of the other side of the bay.
He strikes out six batters per nine in the minor league.
he is nothing special
and you should not be rushing out to add Paul Blackburn.
That's a great segment for deep leaguers.
I guess Annabal Sanchez is worth a look in deep leagues.
I mean, he's the most attractive of the names here.
You have to give me that, right?
Well, would you say he or Luke Voigt is?
I mean, if Voigt keeps playing,
he seems kind of like,
he seems kind of like the Cardinals' answer to Justin Bohr,
a guy who just tears it up in the PCL out of nowhere
and then suddenly he's starting for the major league club
so maybe if he keeps starting like he has been
Can I apologize to the listeners?
I am scatterbrain today and I think it's showing in the podcast.
I think you've done a fantastic job.
No, I'm scatterbrain and I'm getting married tomorrow
and things are happening right now.
Your head's spinning.
Yeah, well also like crazy stuff is happening.
I probably should have taken today off
But I didn't want to.
You probably should.
If you're getting married tomorrow?
Yeah.
I didn't want to take the day off because I'm out all week next week.
Right.
How many days off do you think you get for getting married?
People get married all the time.
Exactly.
It wasn't just that.
It's like I wanted to do the show.
I'm going to miss it.
I worked with a guy who got married during his lunch break.
No joke.
Are you serious?
Dead serious.
Holy cow.
I don't know who it is after the podcast.
I just set off Siri when I said, are you serious.
Injuries, news and notes.
Let's focus.
Justin Turner and Mike Bustakis are in the All-Star.
game. They won the final vote. The Cubs
have only one representative. It's Wade Davis,
the first team in baseball history
to not have a returning player in the
All-Star game after winning the World Series.
John Lackey should not miss any starts.
Kyle Schwerber is back. He's 83% own. He went
0 for 4 and he struck out twice.
Sound like he's back. He's back.
Now, they said, Theo Epstein said he was
encouraged by Schwerber's swing. Going
opposite field in the minor, Schwerber is
encouraged, so don't overreact to one game,
but not a good start. I do, trust. I do
trust Theo Epstein's opinion over my own.
I'll just put that out there. Fair enough.
Zander Bogart's left after being hit by a pitch on the hand.
Zuelan, I don't know if I'm pronouncing that right, but in theory, would probably play shortstop if Bogarts were out.
He would play more.
He's on my AL-only roster.
Okay.
He's hitting well.
Would you drop him for Annabal Sanchez?
On that team, I would not.
because I do not have enough bats to fill a lineup,
and I have extra pitchers.
Joe Mauer could end up on the DL due to back spasms.
Miguel Sino, I don't know when this happened.
He's now played six games at first base.
I know yesterday was the sixth,
but Miguel Sino is first base eligible now in CBS Sports Leaks.
You're going to probably want him at third,
but he's first base eligible.
Julio Tehran could be on the trade block,
which would be nice since he's so bad at home.
Charlie Morton and Aaron Sanchez are going to come off the DL
and face each other today.
Roberto Ozuna converted his 22nd consecutive save chance,
and Michael Taylor is going on the deal with a right oblique strain.
It's the nationals, man, they're beat up in the outfield.
Good thing.
They're so good.
A couple or four lineup notes.
Marcus Simian returned, then he stole the base.
We talked a lot about him yesterday.
If you need a short stop, drop.
Brandon Crawford for Marcus Simian.
Do it.
Eric Thames sat against the lefty.
Now, he started against the lefty on Wednesday,
but Thames sat against the previous lefty.
So I don't know if that's going to continue,
but he's batting 2-14 with a 5-14 slugging against left-handed pitchers.
Keep an eye on that with Eric Thames.
No one Aranada was out of the lineup yesterday.
Reimel Tapia led off.
Charlie Blackman batted third.
Tapia is 15% owned.
He's batting 315 with not much power,
three steals in 34 games,
and not good against lefties.
Not good on the road so far.
Anyway, Tapia, 15% owned.
Tapia are Annabal Sanchez?
Well, I'm trying to think.
So this is like a 30-team mixed league.
Sure.
Oh, right.
It's not top-ia.
Topia.
Okay.
And Carlos Correa returned to the lineup.
And, man, we got a lot to get to today.
What should we get to next?
Scott, give us five prospects, the stash.
Oh, gosh.
Well, I didn't write the normal column I do.
every week, but I did stay up very late last night,
ranking the top 25 mid-season prospects.
So not necessarily players were looking to stash for the second half,
just the best prospects who...
I limited to those who had yet to appear in the majors yet.
And topping that list is Ahmed Rosario,
rounding out the top...
Well, you know, maybe I shouldn't spoil the top five.
All right, just give us a few names to stash.
Um, well, Ozzy Albies is probably going to be up in the second half at some point.
Certainly if Brandon Phillips gets traded, which is possibility.
He's last year of his contract.
We'll see him.
And hopefully he could contribute in like a DJ LeMayie type way.
I wouldn't hold out hope for much more than that.
Chance Adams is still somebody who the Yankees could turn to in the second half.
One more.
Let me pull up the list.
here. All right. So far we have
Mets shortstop, Ahmed Rosario.
Braves infielder, Ozzy Albies.
Where is Albies eligible?
Second base. Second baseman,
Ozzy Albies. Yankee's starting
pitcher Chance Adams. Last week,
Scott said Clint Frazier
and one more.
Schwaber. They're both up.
So, yeah. Is there one other player
you'd like to give people to stash?
I mean, Reese Hoskins is
about 15th on this top
25 for me, so I still like him a lot.
Okay.
And it's got to get called up in the second half at some point, right?
They can't leave him in the minors all year with those numbers.
That's ridiculous.
He's 24 years old.
Tommy Joseph needs to step aside.
Tommy Joseph thing isn't working out.
I feel like he's actually been all right, Tommy Joseph.
He has been all right, but you need to be much more than all right at first base.
Okay, fellas, let's do a series of relevant emails and tweets.
And I want to do this quickly here, but I've got I think 12 in here.
I want to hear from the people.
This is what they want to know.
Tyler and Walnut Creek, California.
Is Dylan Bundy dropable in a 10-team categories league?
Yes.
Yeah.
Jason from San Diego.
How much faith do you guys have in Manny Machado?
100%.
I did drop him behind Carlos Correa finally, but he's still second in my shortstop rankings.
Chris in Omaha.
Would you drop Sean Newcomb for Kevin Gosman?
I wouldn't, but they're close.
I probably wouldn't.
It's another one of those moves where I'm not saying for sure I like Nook him better than Gosman.
I'd just be too lazy to do it.
Laisiness.
That's always good for fantasy owners.
He also says, Dear Monroe, Hank, and Nick, who the heck are they?
Monroe, Hank.
Is this the Brothers Grim or something like that?
Grim.
I have no idea.
Grim.
I don't know.
Too many Monroe's.
Oh, I haven't.
new show that I think could sponsor
you know what I'll leave it for the football podcast
it's the new stranger things Heath be excited
about that we'll talk about that next week or two weeks
wait to not watch it oh it's good I actually I think you'll like it
Paul in New Jersey
should I drop Mitch Hanager or Sean Newcombe
to activate Madison Bumgarner
Mitch Hanager or Newcomb
that depends on your team
yeah I think it really does depend on need
we got an encouraging performance
from Hanager last night
on my bench
What?
On my bench.
Well, yeah, I mean, which is, you know,
you'll take the long-term ramifications of that,
even if you missed out on this one game
where he doubled in Homer.
It was as many hits as his previous nine games combined.
His batting average had dropped from 318 to 267
during that stretch.
But I'm still thinking there's a lot of upside here.
Well, that brings me to my next question here from Rob,
Do I drop Hanager for FAM?
No.
I don't think you do.
I understand the temptation.
I'm not sure that Hanigers...
No, I don't have it ranked that way.
I'll just say no, but I'm really tempted.
This is from Brian.
Contreras or Contreras?
Contreras or Schwabor?
Contreras.
I'm assuming he's asking because Schwerber's catcher eligible in his league, and if that's the case,
I think I lean Schwerber.
Okay.
That's a tough one.
Yeah, like, Contreras has been a better hitter in the major leagues in his career, right?
That's technically true.
I mean, Schwerver's career averages down to 200 because he really didn't have much of a track record before this year.
Wow.
But it's not like Wilson Contreras has been a difference maker for you.
I think Schwerber has a better chance of being that.
All right, this is from Steve.
Rank these outfielders.
Why don't you give me your top three?
three, Hanager, Melke,
Granderson, FAM,
Sousa, Pueeg.
Hanager, Malkie, Granderson, FAMM,
Sousa Pueegger, FAM.
Sousa, Hanager, FAMM.
A lot of Hanager questions today.
Yeah, I agree those would...
You know what, I'm going to take Pueg over FAMS still.
I have questions about FAM's job security.
Really?
Yeah, I mean, he's 30s years old, basically.
I know he didn't really have a career to this point,
so it probably seems younger, but it's not like he's somebody that Cardinals can build around.
And with Gritchick, you know, back in the mix, Dexter Fowler, returning.
There's a crunch there, there's a playing time crunch.
Has Gritchick started, because I know Gritchick had a good game or two when he came back,
but then last I'd seen he was back in another funk.
He homered yesterday for what that.
Did he okay.
That doesn't mean he's out of the funk.
It just means he homered yesterday.
Right.
Back to emails and tweets in a second.
But look, whoever invented summer was obviously a sports fan.
They didn't even try to hide it.
They gave it playoff hockey, playoff basketball, the opening of both soccer and baseball, a clear display of favoritism, and the other seasons didn't stand a chance.
Also, my birthday in summer.
With three months—I actually think it's a spring.
With three months of clutch playoff drama and the awakening of new seasons, it's clearly the work of a sports fan.
It may as well have called it sports season.
In fact, at Buffalo Wild Wings, they do call it.
Sports season.
Don't ever call it summer because that's not what it is.
It's sports season.
They're just waiting on the legal change.
Buffalo Wild Wings, Wings, Beer, Sports.
Yeah, my birthday's two days before summer starts.
It's a summer birthday.
Like, give me a break.
It's hot as hell.
Would you drop Cole Hamels or Danny Duffy for John Gray?
No.
Nor would I.
From Joshua, would you drop Ian Kinsler for Whitmerfield?
No.
Would you drop Cameron Mabon for Tommy Fam?
I wouldn't.
Yes.
But it sounds like I am sensing a theme in this podcast.
Heath is higher on Tommy Fam than I did.
Scott hates Tommy Fam.
Which is sad.
No, it's not true at all.
I actually invested in Fam in a few leagues last year.
And obviously it didn't pan out.
But I just think there's a limit to what he can do for you.
I have him 54th in the outfield.
Okay.
Next up, how about from Andrew?
Can we drop Ian Desmond yet?
Trey Mancini is available?
Nope.
No, I wouldn't do.
You can drop Desmond.
I don't know that Mancini.
Like, how long is the castrain side lot of player?
Four to six weeks?
Yeah, probably.
But, okay, no, that is a long time to wait.
If you're in a Categories league, that's his better format anyway.
Desmond's stealing bases.
That's hard to find.
So keep that at mine.
But I guess...
You did drop him in a points league, right, Scott, Desmond?
Yeah, I did drop.
And that was even before the calf injury,
I dropped Desmond in a three outfielder points league.
But, you know, if you're talking about a Categories league,
I guess the only way I would drop Desmond is if I...
That was the only way I could get the production I needed
in my actual lineup, you know?
Yeah.
Like there's somebody else I can.
can't drop like, I don't know, like Carlos Gonzalez or something.
And, you know, I just need a bat.
Mancini's available.
Mancini's certainly startable.
That's the only scenario where I dropped Desmond in the Categories League.
Here's an email from Matt.
Lucroix or Ramos?
You guys answered this earlier this week and you said Lucroix.
Ramos with a home run against sale yesterday.
Luke Roy or Ramos?
I'm still going to say Luke Roy.
I'm still going to say Luke Roy, but I think I'm getting to the point to where they may be
back-to-back in my ranking. So it's...
It's really close.
It is pretty crazy to look at the stat provided by Matt in this email.
Lucroy, four home runs, 23 RBIs this season.
Ramos, three home runs, nine RBIs, and seven games.
That's incredible.
You know what else is incredible?
I was going through a roster of Heath's last night looking for trade possibilities.
He had Evan Gattis as his catcher.
I know Heath's not high on Evan Gattis.
Evan Gaddis hasn't played all that regularly.
We're all pretty disappointed in the season he's had.
In points leave, Lucroix's better format.
Gaddis is worst format.
Gaddis has outscored Lucroi.
Yeah, well, a lot of people have.
That blew your mind?
Yeah, that blue, like, Gaddis has hardly played.
Yeah.
He's having a nice year.
If you're not in Leroy, well, at least he doesn't strike out.
But Gaddis is outscar your mind.
Yeah, Lucre does do anything.
All right.
And finally from Brian, would you drop Quedo or Burrios for Rich Hill?
No.
I mean, somebody needs to own Rich Hill in your league, but those guys are too high-end-stri-drafts.
I'm assuming this is a 10-team league, maybe even an 8-team league.
Even in a 10- or 8-team league, somebody should own Richel.
No, I'm saying I would drop Burrios for Hill in that format.
Really?
In a 12-team league, I don't think I would.
But in a smaller format where I know that when Hill gets hurt, I can find another pitcher on the waiver wire.
Can you find another Barrios?
I don't know that Barrios.
He's just outside of that range of starting pitcher where I think he's special in fantasy this year now.
I have never had caused to bench him.
Like, he's pretty much a fixture.
I think he's a stud.
Burios.
Yeah, that would be taking him.
I think he's a little far for me.
I think he's a must start.
I think he's too...
In this pitcher landscape, he has that combination of just enough reliability to go along with upside that I'm hardly ever sitting him.
And I think that makes him undropable.
I know.
Let's wrap it up.
Wrap it up.
Okay, I'm sorry.
He's got to be a hitter you can drop.
Yeah, it's drop someone else.
Don't waste our time, Brian.
Drop someone else.
Get Rich Hill on your roster.
All right, let's see what else we got for today.
Obviously, no two-star pitchers to talk about.
Make week 15. What's next?
Week 15?
15, 16, 14?
Yeah.
15, I think.
Make week 15 a 10-day scoring period, please.
In other words, make scoring period 15, weeks 15 and 16, if that makes sense.
10-day period, don't do three.
Scott likes three.
It's very strange.
Well, I just don't understand why it's worth getting that worked up about.
I kind of took the compromise I took in the one league where people just wouldn't shut up about it
is I kept it two separate scoring periods but I made it Friday through Tuesday and then Wednesday through Sunday so two five game scoring periods oh that is so much more work how complicated
why it's you just go to the same schedule yeah actually the same drop-down menus it's probably the same amount of work
Disregard. Disregard.
You force people to set their lineups on a Wednesday, which they're not used to.
Oh, yeah, that would throw me off.
I don't want to lose that extra week.
You also have no two-star pitchers in your scenario, whereas in my scenario, you have pretty much nothing but two-star pitchers.
Yeah, well, if anything, it's an equalizer.
I'm not so sure every scoring period shouldn't be five games.
It's just, obviously, that's going to move the lineup set date around, and people will get confused.
Oh, revolutionary.
Yeah.
Okay, so then let's talk about these hitters and whether or not you think they're going to turn the beat around.
I was almost going to sing it, but then I was like, that would be so lame, not going to sing it.
Will they turn their season around?
Gloria Stefan style.
Gregory Polanco was the first guy on the list.
Heath is encouraged.
Scott, how do you feel about Polanco?
Turn it around?
No.
I am pretty much, I dropped them like a month ago in the points league, right?
I love to add Polanco.
and he's still available in that league.
I'm not saying he'll never be good.
It's just,
why do I need to wait for it this year?
You don't have to wait.
It just happened.
It was one game.
He's had other good games this year.
He has, yeah.
That is true.
How about Ian Kinsler?
Ian Kinsler, you know, we talked about him a couple of weeks ago.
Good plate discipline this year, better than normal.
But, boy, is he having a bad season, batting 239.
He had a nice June when he homered in three-strand.
straight games, I think that kind of boosted it.
But three for 22 with no extra base hits in July.
Ian Kinsler, is he going to turn the beat around?
I think he is.
Now, last year was too good to be true,
and he was at, Kinsler was on my bus list coming into the year.
But some of the age indicators, the signs that he may be aging,
haven't really manifested fully this year.
It's making contact at a very high rate still,
and that leads me to believe.
it's not a case of him just getting old.
I think he's going to turn it around.
You want me to help him turn it around at him?
Yeah.
D.T.M.
Oh, really? Kinsler's DT.M.
Done.
Wow.
Dead to me.
He sucks.
He sucks.
He sucks.
I said, you know, some people might not know what DTM means.
Oh, okay.
Dead to me.
Yeah.
Yes.
He is 35 years old, playing terribly.
Done.
Wow.
21 Babbitt.
Did you say you would drop him for Huit-Marryfield, or was that Kipness?
No, yeah, it was Joshua said, would you drop Kinsler for Huit?
I said that I would not drop him for Whitmerryfield, but I also said that I probably need to move Whitmeryfield up because I've just kind of disregarded him.
All right.
And she's been overlooking a Kansas City Royal.
I do that often.
I'm always, it's a small market Midwestern teams.
I just kind of ignore them because of my East Coast.
bias.
Yeah, yeah, that sounds right.
All right, next guy, next guy.
Trevor Story, 223 batting average in 73 games with 11 home runs and 10 doubles.
Will Trevor Story turn his season around?
Turn his season around.
I'm not banking, I'm not, you know, banking my season on it.
Like, Marcus Simeon just came off the DL, I'm the Trevor Story owner.
Not saying I'm dropping story for Simeon, but I'm taking a flyer on Simeon.
Ahmed Rosario gets called up.
I'm taking a flyer.
flyer on Rosario. I am not assuming
shortstop is settled for me as the story owner.
But you're not dropping a story for either one of those guys.
Correct. I can't bet against the power profile at Corres Field.
There's just the probability of it just clicking one day and him
going off the rest of the season is too high.
And the power is not the problem. It's like it's just difficult to generate power
without putting the bat on the ball.
Kyle Seeger.
Yeah. I don't know. I guess I'm starting to change my mind
little bit on Seeger, just because I'm wondering when he gets going, how good will he be?
And I know we've had this discussion, and I'm probably changing a previous stance.
That's okay.
But welcome to my side.
Yeah, I don't know.
Like last year, Seeger was, he adapted to the environment.
He had 30 home runs, 31, whatever, 30 home runs.
Before that, he's like a 24 home run guy, and he's got 10, but Seeger's been bad, like
252 batting average, 10 home runs.
I don't know.
Like, yeah, one is he going to turn it around and two, how much will it matter?
Like, I don't think there's a problem starting Seeger.
I don't.
I think he'll be better than this.
But will it be a modest improvement?
Yeah, probably.
I think that still makes him plenty startable in mixed leagues, though.
It's just the, he's not, he's having a hard time keeping up with the Joneses.
Kyle Seeger is having a year that is not all.
that far outside of his career norms.
He has a two, 52 batting average.
That's 13 points below his career average.
Yeah.
The home runs are down, though, even by his old standard.
But his slugging percentage is down 30 points, so that's a problem.
But Kyle Seeger will be a nice corner infielder.
There's too many good third baseman.
He's been terrible against lefties, and typically not good against lefties,
but one home run this year in 83 of bats against lefties.
I feel like Keith and I just said the exact same.
thing but with different words.
Like, we couldn't, like,
well, you said there's no problem with
If you were plagiarizing somebody, but trying
to avoid being called out for plagiarizing,
you would do it, Heath just did.
When you said there's no problem with starting him, did you mean
in a points league where corner infield is not available?
Yeah, I don't think there's a real problem.
I disagree.
I do not want to have the worst third baseman in my 12-team league.
Oh, guys.
You tell him to play.
Let's not go all Carlos Santana here.
The question is, will Kyle Seeger be worth
starting in that format, you know, one third baseman league going forward?
Yeah.
No.
Yeah.
See, I kind of feel like he will.
I feel like he'll be top 12.
I just don't know that he's going to be top eight again.
So you think he's going to be better than like Travis Shaw?
No, because I think Travis Shaw is definitely...
You think he'd be better than Mike Mastakis.
Maybe.
I think I rank him ahead of both still.
Yeah, he might be, but you're also talking about the two...
That's the bottom of the top 12.
Who else is in there?
But we're assuming Seeger is going to go.
get a little bit better, and we're assuming, I mean, why is Mike Mustakis in the home run derby?
He's had a very good first half, so he'll probably be a little worse than the second half.
Adrian Beltrade?
They're similar.
I think...
Justin Turner?
I would take Turner over everybody.
So you're talking about right around 12th, right?
Because...
Yeah.
So he's worth using there.
It's not going to make your team stand out.
Even if he's technically 14th, you know, he's not necessarily the reason you lose.
You can't start a team full of guys.
aren't ranked inside the top 12 with their position.
No, you can't start a team.
We're talking about just starting one guy.
We're not talking about a team.
If Seeger's the weak spot on your team, it's not that bad of a weak spot.
I'm sorry, it's just not.
Yeah, and also, you know, Santana at the time was 15th or 16th at first in points leagues,
but just terrible in categories.
And Seeger, there's really no difference, I don't think, at least, in categories and roadies.
So whatever.
Different conversation.
And all right, just real quick on these two pitchers.
Do you have faith in them turning their seasons around?
Johnny Quato, who had an inner ear infection, didn't pitch yesterday, and Rick Porcelo.
Yes, no.
Okay, okay.
That was fine, yeah.
Yes, Quito, no, Priscilla.
I just kind of keep up with the speed of that.
I had to process everything for a second there.
Do you have any interest in these pitchers?
They're owned in about 40% of leagues.
Mike Montgomery, Jeremy Hellickson, Francisco Leriano, and Zach Davies.
No, no, no, no.
Not in a mix league.
I think I said one too many knows.
How crazy is it?
Is it that Zach Davies is 10 and 4 on the year, though?
That is pretty crazy.
Wins and losses are dumb.
And in the bullpen,
Senuano and Alex Colomé both got saves yesterday.
There was one other segment that I had in the notes that I wanted to get to.
What the heck was it?
It was really awesome.
And, oh, I got it.
It was, what do you make of these stats?
Let me give you some stats.
You tell me what you make of them.
That's how this segment works.
Gene Seguura's ISO, his isolated power, which is slugging percentage minus batting average, is 132.
That's quite low.
It was 181 last year with Arizona.
Gene Sigurra's BABIP is 406.
It was 353 last year in a great, great season with Arizona.
His steals pace is also down.
Nine steals in 57 games.
He stole 33 bases.
in 153 games last season.
So you look at Seguera, I don't think anybody can be disappointed,
but is it mostly just batting average?
He's betting 354?
Does that mean that Segura is a cell high?
You tell me, what do you make of all this stuff?
He's not as good as he was last year.
That's the starting point for me.
I do think he's going to remain an asset in batting average.
This is where he is right now is too good to be true.
I mean, he's had three, four-hit games in his last five,
so that kind of comes with the territory.
you're going to have an inflated batting average after doing that.
But things he's doing better than last year, the hard contact percentage is higher.
He's still hitting the ball to all fields like he did last year.
He profiles as, like you could see him having a high babbip like he currently does.
A little lower than where it is going to be high.
And I think since he's shortstop eligible, that's going to keep a must start,
even if he's not who he was last year.
Andrews or Seguerra?
Andrews.
A Segura.
How about this trade offer in the podcast for the People League?
Keith, you tell me which side do you think is better?
Okay.
16 team head head categories.
Right.
Jose Altuvae, Ahmed Rosario, and Alex Wood.
Altuvae, Rosario, and Wood.
Okay.
Or Dozier, Sigura, and Klobur.
I would rather have the Altube side.
Scott, how about you?
Which side would you rather have?
Altuvae, Rosario and Wood.
We need to talk about this, Adam, because I looked at it this morning.
Pitching is the strength of our team.
I mean, having Kluber along with Kershaw and who else do we have, Samarja and Faria.
We're basically winning all the starting pitcher categories every week.
I guess as the commissioner, I need to first make sure that you guys haven't been mathematically eliminated yet.
Absolutely not.
No.
And I think, are we killing it again this week?
You're five and five.
Damn it.
We don't allow people who have been mathematically eliminated.
to make trades?
I was just making a joke
to highlight your team's struggles.
Oh.
Like, no, we're turning the beat around.
Like, we had a better record
than you two weeks ago.
What are you doing?
I don't remember that.
It's true.
Before our head-to-head matchup,
we had the better record.
The only week this season.
Oh, okay.
We're turning the beat around,
bottle of it.
It's an interesting trade here.
It is very interesting.
I was leaning toward no.
Just because I don't know
what to expect from Ahmed Rosario,
but we have
Addison Russell on our bench.
Like, if we give up Gene Segaron
and the,
The Mets decide Rosario's not ready for some reason.
We still have a decent shortstop.
Yeah.
Kluber to Wood is probably a pretty big downgrade, even though it hasn't been.
It's probably a pretty big.
I mean, it may be, but it may not be either.
You know what I'm afraid of it is?
There it is.
I think Alex Wood is legitimately a great pitcher.
It's just, you know, waiting for the other shoe to drop with him, whether it's an injury or
something else. You know what I'm afraid with with this trade? We'd be giving up Dojur,
Kluber, and Seguer for Altovae, Rosario, and Wood. I'm afraid
that we trade Brian Dozier and he hits like 25 home runs in the second half.
I don't see it happening. No? I think that was a once in a career
aberration for Brian Dozier and he's back to being who we
Brian Dozier is who we thought he was. Yeah, I don't think you'll like 25, probably
just 20. All right. More stats.
to consider.
Domingo Santana, 74% owned.
He started his hot streak on May 28th.
About a month and a half now.
Since then, he's the number nine outfielder in points and roto.
Santana's batting 314 with eight home runs and five steals.
Not a ton of walks in that stretch, 18 walks to 43 strikeouts, but for the year,
Santana's got a 288 batting average, 380 on base, 488 slugging.
But, you know, about a month and a half, he's a top 10 outfielder in both.
both formats and he's only 74% own. What do you make of that for Domingo Santana?
He should be, his ownership should be in the 90s. If not 100, then the mid-upor 90s.
Okay. I am a Domingo Santana believer. Has some Freddie Freeman-like tendencies.
He hits the ball really hard, right? He hits the ball really hard and hits a lot of line drives
and just needed to get a strikeout rate down below 30%. And he's done it.
What do you think about this? Jake Lamb hit 200.
home runs yesterday, both of them off of lefties.
He's now batting 153 with four home runs and nine RBIs against lefties this year.
And it doesn't really matter because he's what the second best third baseman in fantasy?
It changes every day, I think.
First or second?
Yeah.
Okay.
Well, he's got like a 1050 OPS against riders or something.
And finally, Robbie Ray.
Robbie Ray with 13 strikeouts at the Dodgers yesterday.
But what do you make of this?
Five straight starts with five or more walks.
And he's only given up 77 hits in 106 innings.
I don't know how many pitchers can pull that off.
Does that mean – and we've actually called Robbie Ray a Selle-high candidate.
Does that mean Robbie Ray is –
Chris has called Robbie Ray a Sall High candidate.
Yeah, we as in this podcast.
But SEL-high for like a stud, not that he's bad or anything.
But the low hits, and I'm assuming a low Babbip and all the walks lately,
what does that mean for you with Robbie Ray?
Walks make me uneasy for sure.
I don't know that he's really been a lot different than he was last year.
He was terribly unlucky last year.
He's been really pretty lucky this year.
I don't expect he will be as good in the second half as he was in the first half.
So by that measure, I guess he would be a cell high.
But again, you have to get a top, I think, 15 starting pitcher for him.
I don't know that he's really been that lucky this year.
He was very unlucky last year, which was part of the reason some of us liked him as a breakout.
But the BAPBs 275.
It's not crazy low.
Well, that's 50 points lower than his career mark,
and that's helped lead to an 85% strand rate,
which is absurdly high.
But the career marks inflated by last year.
I don't think he profiles as a high Babbat pitcher.
He profiles as, if anything, a low Babbat pitcher
because it doesn't give up many line drives,
doesn't give him any ground balls.
He's got a 37% hard contact rate against 41% this year,
which has got to be the highest.
baseball.
Yeah, it's weird.
I mean, I knew that stat, because you had mentioned that before that Robbie Ray's giving up a ton of hard contact.
And he always has.
Right.
I question hard contact numbers in relation to pitchers, but in this case, it's four straight years in a row above 34 point, or three straight years in a row above 35%.
If he hadn't had the walks, the last five starts, would you still have these concerns?
If you
To a certain extent
If the wall curdle is something, he clears
Yes, in fact, he talked about the hard contacts that
Prior to all these
I mean, he'd always walked guys
But prior to this stretch
The hard context that is not as troubling
If you're not putting that many guys on base all the time
And no humidor either
And that was actually gonna help him
Worse than last year
Would you sell Robbie Ray for Justin Verlander or Jake Arietta?
I'd probably sell them for Rietta.
Scott?
We have those guys clustered together.
Very realistic trade.
I probably won it.
I'd probably hold on to Robbie Ray.
Okay, very realistic trade.
I mean, in it, like, we're so strapped for pitching we can rely on, you know?
We're so, everybody's hurting for that so much.
Like, I just have a hard time nitpicking anybody who's showing this kind of potential.
Would you start Nick Povetta today against the Padres?
Probably, yeah.
Yep.
Would you start Ricking Alaska at Texas?
Nope.
Would you start Cole Hamels in that game against the Angels?
Yes.
Yep.
Kevin Gosman at the Twins.
Sure.
Yeah.
We got DeGron Mertinas tonight.
Metz at Cardinals.
That should be a good one.
How about, I think that's probably all the questionable ones.
James Paxon against the A's?
Yeah.
Yeah.
And then Jason Hamill and Kenta Maeda.
I'd go from Maeda
Yeah
I probably would too
Would you rather start
Mya is actually an email or ask this
Maida or Povetta today
Povetta's got the Padres at home
Maeda has the Royals at home
Maida
When in doubt go with the better pitcher
Okay I said Pivotta but I didn't feel good about it
Listen to Scott
Thank you everybody
I'm going to go get married
Congratulations
In advance
Thank you I appreciate
I have a mess.
I have a nervous, scatterbrained mess, and I apologize if this podcast sucked.
I hope you enjoyed it.
Have a great, great weekend.
Chris Towers is going to be running the show next week.
He's got great guests lined up, All-Star Talk, second-half talk.
It's going to be really a lot of fun and very informative.
For Heath Cummings and Scott White, I'm Adam Azer.
Talk to you.
I'll talk to you in a week.
