Fantasy Baseball Today - 07/19 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Trades, Homers and Prospects!

Episode Date: July 19, 2017

The Yankees and White Sox pulled off a major trade that gives us new RPs to chase and Yoan Moncada in Chicago! We react to all angles of that trade (2:00), plus Arizona's acquisition of J.D. Martinez and Carlos Correa replacements (15:00) ... Sean Doolittle got a save (20:00)! We also talk Mike Clevinger, Brad Peacock and the rest of Monday's standouts (22:18) ... Double dongs (28:33), Worryometer Wednesday with Josh Donaldson (36:21), Miguel Cabrera (46:26) and more. And we're grading your trades (56:10)! ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Biggest show of the year? I don't know. I mean, it's pretty big show. We had some traits to talk about. We have some prospects to talk about. And we have, what's our band in again? Non-zero chance. Not-zero chances here.

Welcome to the show, everybody. He's Scott, Chris. Hello. Good morning. It's great to be here. Yo! It was definitely the biggest news day of the year. I don't know.

We could call this the biggest show of the year compared to some of the, you know, March shows we had. Yeah. Damn it. This is going to be the biggest show of the year. Come on, Scott. Yeah, nobody cares about March.

You know, that's nonsense. It's preseason stuff. And there were some sports trades yesterday. Sports trades are scary. One person can be replaced by another exchange for money or given away for a hypothetical future person or Todd Frazier. And once they leave your team, you can't like them anymore, even if you have their jersey, which you can't wear anymore. Except at B-dubs. They won't judge, but others might.

Buffalo Wild Wings, Wings, Beard, Sports. I can wear my Tyler Clipper jersey to Buffalo Wild Wings. And people actually might judge me for having a Tyler Clipper jersey, which of course I don't have. But he is on the move. And that doesn't really matter. Todd Frazier, David Robertson, Tommy Canley to the Yankees, Tyler Clippard and three prospects to the White Sox. J.D. Martinez to the Diamondbacks. Sean Doolittle got a save.

Brad Peacock trying to stay in that rotation. He had a brilliant start. and much more from yesterday. Should we start with the... Of course we should start with the Yanke. Of course we should start. They're the Yankees, right? There were a ton of ramifications to this trade

for fantasy purposes. Like, Frazier was the biggest name traded, and he's kind of fringy in fantasy these days. But just the trickle effect of everything else that resulted from this is a pretty big deal. I mean, it was one of those scary sports trades that Buffalo Wild Wings talks about for the owners of both David Robertson and Tommy Canley. I did not imagine that Canley would be following out Robertson out the door whenever Robertson was traded. I thought we were going

to wind up with both as closers in the majors for the trade deadline, and now neither are closers. So that's very disappointing. Yeah, and they're not going to be closers either. Right. You know, so we are going to actually, this is Worryometer Wednesday, by the way, and our oldest Chapman is on the Wuriameter. And also, we have grade the trade later on in the show. But I feel like Chris has barely spoken today. So, Chris, give me your thoughts on Todd Frazier. Let's talk about Todd Frazier. He's still 89% owned.

He's not even a top 23rd baseman, batting 207 with 16 home runs. It has been terrible at home this year. 142 batting average, 299 slugging. whereas pretty darn good on the road 267, 368, 555 slash line on the road and he was better on the road last year hit 24 of his 40 home runs. Value up down to the same Chris Towers for Todd Frazier.

I would say he's probably one of the few guys who could get traded to the Yankees and not have an upgrade in park. Guaranteed rate field, which is the worst sports stadium name in sports, is a very good one. plays for power hitters and the fact that he hasn't hit well there this season i think is mostly due to randomness i wouldn't chalk that up to anything uh significant i think he's just

he looks like a guy who if you just showed me todd fraser's stats over the last five years and then highlighted the last two and i didn't know who it was or how old he was i would think todd fraser was like 36 years old he's like followed the albert poohol's aging curve except Albert Poole is six or seven years older than him. And that he just, you know, the batting average has sunk. The Babbib has sunk. I think that's a sign that he's never, he's not going to beat out any infield hits, obviously. But also he just, the bat speed has slowed down and he's had to sell out for power.

So you're seeing that huge increase in infield fly ball. Value up down or the same for Todd Frazier. Wow. You wanted me to talk at him. I know, but I just, you got to answer the question first. I did. Same. Same. You said, okay, you basically said same, right?

Same, but I, you know, I know I'm alone in this. I feel like he's a buy-low candidate. I feel like the Yankees bought low on him. I feel like if he really was, if it really was an age thing, we would see the strikeout rate escalating and it's only going down. So I think better times are ahead for Todd Frazier. Okay. Sorry, Chris. I feel bad. I feel bad now.

I won't talk anymore. How's your car? It's fine. Okay. Okay, good. Did you have breakfast today, Chris? Yes. What was it? I got a croissantwich from Burger King.

Oh, come on, man. It's delicious. It is, they are actually, they're amazing. It's horrible. But it's delicious. Okay, so who's closing for the White Sox? I got to tell you, in like a mixed league, I really, like, I feel like they might get five saves the rest of the year. But who knows?

Well, maybe more than five. David Robertson is 12 saves this year. The question is, does somebody become instantly the man? Or is it a month of multiple guys doing the job? And then it might be five saves because they've only got a month and a half left to be a closer. Anthony Swarzek has far and away the best numbers in that bullpen this year. His breakthrough has kind of gotten overshadowed because Tommy Canley's was so dramatic. Right.

So he's the guy I'm pursuing here. Oh, Scott. Swarzak himself gets traded. What about Clippers? I think there's a chance they move Clippert in the role. You know, I'd put the chances of that at about 15 to 20% versus Canely. Swarzac. Swarzac, yeah.

Swarzak, yeah. But if they're trying to market him for the next trade, Clippert, I mean, then it would make sense for him to put them to put him in that role. But we haven't even mentioned the biggest news tangential. Oh, Yoha Monkawai. Tangential is. Yeah. Yon Mukata is getting called up.

Yeah. The prospect we've been waiting all year for. This is the impetus for his arrival. That's a big deal. What are your expectations? Munkata is 76% on. He's currently only eligible at third base. Is that right?

Yes. He'll be eligible at second very soon. Okay. Is it for sure they're playing him at second? That's all he played at AAA. Okay. So I would say it's for sure. All right.

So Munkata's coming up. He's got some speed. I read, I read, yeah, he's got speed. I read Scott's little write-up on him on the website. You didn't read my write-up? Wasn't your write-up? I thought it was Scots. No.

I wrote about him in waiver-wired today, though. Why do you only read Scots? It went up 20 minutes. Give me a break. That's brand new material. Scott mentioned that Mankata has the same strikeout rate as Cody Bellinger in the minor. So anyway, why don't you guys take it away? What are your expectations for your Amacata?

What I wrote about today was how much fab I would spend on him, because he is still available in 24% of leagues. I do believe you spend more on him in Roto than you do in a points league for a couple of reasons. One, Roto should be his more valuable format with the power speed combo and the strikeout rate issue. Two, there's generally deeper, more hitter positions available in a Roto lineup. In a points league, I'm not sure that he's necessarily a difference maker. He could be, but he could also just be useless. So I would go 10, maybe 15% of my fab in a points league. I'd go as high as 33% in Roto.

Okay. One thing to keep in mind with any player that gets called up these days is that, as we've seen with Cody Ballinger, as we've seen with Aaron Judge, players are hitting for more power in the majors than they did in the minors, pretty much across the board. Yep. he was a pretty good power hitter in the minors 12 homers but only 9 doubles so not quite as good as the 12 homers would suggest but i think he's someone that you can look at as like a 25 homer guy if he if he hits yep and i just think like regardless of projecting a stat a specific stat line for moncata he has many publications number one prospect the number one prospect gets called up you put him on your roster and see what happens it's it you don't have to think about it harder than that. And it really, the main value here might be the stolen bases initially. He struck out

29.4% of the time in AA and AAA combined. 60% in the majors. Okay. Technically true. Yeah, he was bad last year, Molkata, no doubt. Would you rather have Scooter Jeanette or Montcada? Montcada. Yeah. Would you rather have DJ LaMayhew or Montcada? LeMayu. Yeah, if I'm going to rank LaMayhew higher. If my league is shallow enough that I could honestly consider dropping LeMayhew, I'd chase the upside of Moncada. I could just talk about a points league, though, where LeMayhew is your only second baseman, is your starting second baseman.

I don't think you can drop LaMayhew from Rancata at a point league. Well, you wouldn't have to anyway because Montcada's not eligible at second base yet, so you'd be dropping somebody else. Yeah, I'm just comparing him to second baseman. He's going to be more valuable there. Are you going to rank him ahead of Huit? Maryfield. Yes, yes. Yep.

Okay. I want to give real quick thoughts on Blake Rutherford and Tito Polo, two outfielders, and a starting pitcher Ian Clarkin. Going to the White Sox, Rutherford was the first round pick of the Yankees. He's a good prospect, but he's young. None of these guys are making an impact all too soon, right? Right. And Rutherford is the only one I see having potentially a big impact for the White Sox.

Ian Clarkin is kind of a prospect, but it doesn't strike out anybody in the minors. And I just, I don't see him having a particularly bright future. And like you said, Rutherford's so far away. There's still a lot of potential outcomes for him. Great job, Yankees. Great job. You know what? Red Sox getting Frasier inevitable?

I don't think so. It's a big move for the Yankees. They're now only a first baseman and three starting pitchers away from being contenders. By the way, Frazier's, it's either going to be him or Headley, but Frasier's probably going to play some first base and pick up eligibility there, which doesn't really matter, but... Yeah. We haven't mentioned

maybe the biggest news piece that came out yesterday. And also, there was a trade this morning. Did you see that at him? No. According to Peter Gammon's as Drew Bled Cabrera, going to the rat socks.

Whoa! A lot of huge deal on its own, but could eventually lead to... Ahmed. Alved Rosario? Maybe. He's not going to be ready for two or three more years, just what the Mets is what it's good saying.

There is some theory floated around that they were keeping Ahmed Rosario down to avoid the negative influence of Zerba Cabrera. Well, there you go. Yeah, I don't know how that's, I mean, that seems pretty crazy, but, um, all right, so that actually happened. So is he, is this Drubal Cabrera going to play third base for the Red Sox or are they worried about Zander Bogart's hand?

I would assume he's probably just a part-time player for them. Well, he'd be their best third baseman. For now. I can't imagine that a team with World Series aspirations is going to go in. with, especially with a team with World Series aspirations who's led by Dave Dumbrowski is not going to go into the trade, out of the trade deadline with as Drewbilt Cabrera as their biggest acquisition. I did wonder though, you know, since obviously it was supposed to be inevitable,

the Red Sox would acquire Frazier, like Adam said. Prado had been mentioned, but now he's on the DL. Like, there's a clearer path than ever for Raphael Devers now, and they may just be holding out to see how he takes to AAA. was recently promoted there. Hit a homer in his first game, right? Yeah, I think it's gone pretty well so far. Yeah, had four hits in a homer in his first game.

It's been three games total. And we still haven't mentioned arguably the biggest news that happened yesterday. What? Carlos Correa's season is basically over for fantasy. Yeah, I know. That sucks. And they called up Colin Moran. Anybody interested in Colin Moran?

I added him in our AL-only Roto League, where most teams have one or two players that aren't actually playing, starting for them. been really good in AAA this season, but it's the PCL. He has a 918 OPS. And he was really, really bad at AAA last season in the PCL as well. So overall, he's got like a 780 OPS at AAA, which seems like a pretty, he's got a good, good play discipline. Doesn't strike out much. So maybe he's a guy who could tap into 20 homers. I just don't think he's going to play is the thing. Yeah, because Marwin Gonzalez, seems like he's going to get most of the playing time at shortstop.

If anything, it might actually be good news for Derek Fisher, because Marwin Gonzalez playing so much outfield was a big reason why Fisher had to go back down. Maybe Moran's up for a couple days, and then we see the asteros swap him out for Fisher. Yeah, okay, so we're kind of bouncing all over the place. Marwin Gonzalez, is he a top 10 shortstop for you rest of season now? No. Not quite. I need to move him up, though. He probably needs to be top.

I think I have him 14th. Yeah, I don't have him that high. And part of it's, like, I could have him higher if I didn't feel like I had to put Trevor's story in front of him. I'd rather be starting Gonzales's story, right? I think I'll move more when Gonzalez's ahead of Jonathan VR. Yeah. He's going to fall a little bit more. Yeah, like, would you rather have Zach Cozart or Marvin

Gonzalez. Cozart? Marwin. Moving Marwin above him. I've moved Marwin to number 12. Why are we not buying, and I'm not saying you should, I'm just curious, why are you not buying Marvin Gonzalez? Because, you know, he's been elite this year when he's played. He's been a top 10. He's number, he was number eight in points as of yesterday and like number six in Roto or something like that. So yes, he's been top eight going into yesterday. He's been awesome. He's got OPS, I think, is over 900 for Marvin Gonzalez. I can vouch for his awesomeness because I was He's like 90% owned now. I was fortunate enough to add him in a points league after I lost Trey Turner.

I've gone 3-0 since. All right. So the arguments against Marwin Gonzalez start with the 347 Babbip. He's a 308 career babbip guy. And then it moves on to the 24.6% home run to fly ball rate. Combine that with a 30% hard hit rate. And it just doesn't add up a lot of what he's. doing, you look at it and think

he can probably still be pretty good and pretty good is very valuable at short stuff, but he's not going to be this. He's a lot like A.L. Chris Taylor. Okay, we'll come back. He's a lot better than Chris Taylor. We'll come back. Well, no, tomorrow we're talking Chris Taylor because all this guy does is produce. And I wanted to throw him in today's show, but we just, we're jam-packed today. So let's go back to

J.D. Martinez real quick. Value up down to the same for J.D. Martinez in Arizona. Up slightly. Yep. Better part, better lineup. All right. And shortstop replacements for Carlos Correa. It's going to take me a second here to pull up the list.

They're not great. No. Paul DeYoung, yeah, Paul de Young is like 55% owned. We talked about Jose Reyes, not really a huge fan of him. Reyes is, but really, like, he's been hitting well for what a month now. A little more than that. He has a strikeout rate of 12%. Good for him.

And he has a little pop, he has a little speed. He's probably at the top of the list as far as shortstop replacement. I would take DeYoung over him. And, you know, like Addison. Okay, go ahead. Addison Russell is only 77% on, so that's the chance he's out there. I don't think we should sell short the idea that some players in, like, it's not like your league follows ownership percentages so closely that every single shortstop

who's more than 80% owned is for sure going to be unavailable. So sort by ownership percentages first because there may be an obvious, like in my case picking up Marwin Gonzalez when Trey Turner went down. There could be somebody may have randomly drops that Cozart in your league or whatever. But among those scarcely owned like less than 60%, Reyes is probably second behind DeYoung for me. Well, I guess I'm at a result. I was going to say.

Yeah, would you rather have Reyes or Omba? Ahmed Rosario. Ahmed Rizario. Yeah. We talked about this yesterday, so I don't want to belabor the point too much. But, like, I think Adam, you said he was 12th over the last 28 days. Yeah. Like, if that's the best stretch of your season and your overall mark is still horrible.

What's a horrible? He's not horrible. Right. I'm saying, but your overall mark is bad. He's a 690 OPS. What? He had his season long. His overall mark.

stealing that many bases. Like, about 11 steals. But we're talking about a replacement shortstop. We're talking about a replacement shortstop. Would you rather have, would you rather have Marcus Simeon? I'd rather have Marcus Simeon than Jose Reyes, yes. You know, I think... That's really close.

I mean, I think, I categorize both of them, Reyes, Simeon, Diyong, like, all three of them. I don't know that you have to commit to anyone. I think you just play the hot hand. If you're forced to resort to that low level of a shortstop, I think you just swap them out based on

matchups and streaks and try and cobbled together a halfway respectable shortstop that way. Preferably you could make a trade, or you'd be the guy who picks up Ahmed Rosario and he lives up to his potential right away, sort of like Lindor did a couple years ago, Francisco Lindor.

But those are obviously not things everybody can do. Right. And I think Orlando RSI is only 50,000. 34% owed right now, by the way. I'd much rather have him than Jose. No, he's not doing anything legitimate. That's fine.

He's completely legitimate. He did have a random three steel game, Arcea did on Monday, but those have not been a regular part of his... I would rather have him than Jose Ray. I think that, yeah, okay, I'm at Rosario. I'm at Rosario, certainly going to be someone that people look at, but also Trevor's story, like, you need a replacement for Correa. You might want to just try to buy low on Trevor's story.

He's been so bad, but that's somebody who actually makes. might be able to, for a month, duplicate Karea. I'll go out of story than all those guys. Sure. I would, too, but I don't feel like he's the solution. Like, if you go from having Karea in your lineup to Story, it's going to be, you know, there's the hope that a couple weeks from now, story figures things out and takes off. But I still feel like you need a temporary replacement of shortstop, even if you are able to acquire story.

Well, I mean, let's see what happens with this, Drewball Cabrera. If he's playing third base every day for the Red Sox, it might not be such a bad option as well. All right. So there's that. There's your trade stuff. And vote for us, nominate us, please, at podcastawards.com.

Podcastawards.com. There was a lot that happened on the field, not just trades in Tuesday's games. Sean Doolittle got to say, I am so mad. Because I was really proud of myself. Like, I thought it was such a G for picking up Ryan Madsen in three leagues.

at very cheap cost. I thought I had the Nationals closer. I'm not a G. I suck. Little maybe help here. Anytime you utter the words, I thought I was such a G, you definitely were not a G. Yeah, no. I get that.

You know what? I screwed us up, Adam, because that's the league where we co-manage. I was parked at my computer from basically 10 p.m. on just waiting for this Fraser trade to go through. had every opportunity to pick up Swarzac and didn't think to do it until like midnight. Somebody picked him up at 11. I don't think I want him.

Oh, come on. Well, I mean, in a 16-team league, I guess, but I don't know. Swarzac has been a pretty bad pitcher for most of his career, and that is, the White Sox might be, well, the worst team in the A.L. Now, I mean, they're just awful. I'd say they're probably the worst team of baseball. Yeah, the Giants are quite bad. All they really had removed from their lineup was Frasier.

But they just... They're replacing them with me. They lost their two best bullpen pieces. That's actually a really big deal. And Kentana, yeah, like they suck. Oh, I don't know. The Padres are still worse. The players are so worse.

They are above average at first base. Yeah. There we go. Melky. Melkees fine. Melchis average. Yeah, obviously, yeah. Okay.

All right. Anyway, you got to pick up Swarzek when you're in leagues where you're desperate for save. Sure. I'm not going to argue about that. He's 8% owned. I also think it could be. Clippard, but we already talked about that.

So, Doolittle, do you think he's the closer, or do you think it could be Madsen next time? Doolittle, gave up a run. He got the save. Madsen threw a scoreless eighth. Real quick, Heath. Everybody gets a shot. We won't know who the closer is for two weeks. Hold on to both of these guys.

It's going to be a wild ride. So I could still end up being a G. You will never be a G. Okay. Zero percent chance. Brad Peacock. He could lose his rotation spot, but he had a brilliant start against the Mariners. He walked one and struck out nine and seven innings of one-run ball.

And Peacock, as a starter, has a 292 ERA. Look, two of his previous three starts, he walked five or more batters. So we know that's going to be an issue. But I guess it's wait and see because McHugh is going to start this weekend. Kiko will be back soon. I'd like to see them bump Charlie Borden instead of Peacock. But, yeah, wait and see. What do you think?

Wait and see. Yeah, I'm hanging on them. Yeah, for sure. Is it far-fetched to say Brad Peacock's a right-handed Robbie Ray? No? It's maybe a little early for that, but that's the thing that I struggle with with Brad Peacock

is that this just has come out of nowhere. Well, yeah, but if you, I mean, you probably watched him pitch. He's nasty. It looks pretty legit. He is filthy. He's gone full with colors with that slider, throwing it like 50% of the time. Only 13 swinging strikes over his last two starts.

It's worth noting. Really? Yeah, I believe he only had seven last night. Well, he struck out nine, but seven swinging strikes. Chris hates looking strikes. So maybe he's just the new Aaronola. I guess. He hates the backwards cake. Michael Waka, 17 swinging strikes in a complete game shutout at the Mets.

And his previous three starts were great. 153 ERA. So now that's probably like around one over his last four starts, the baseball reference that didn't update this morning in case you're wondering. The six starts before that, had an 817 ERA. What do you think? He's 87% owned.

Is Michael Waka a must-owned pitcher? Yes. Yes. Is he a must-start? He seems to have figured out that the Cutter is one of his best pitches. And, you know, three straight games with eight strikeouts or more. Yeah. 1.47 ERA over the last five starts with 34 strikeouts and 30 and a third and two-thirds

innings. I would still, like, this is great. He must start next week because of the stretch he's on right now. If I could sell Michael Waka, I would be happy to do it. Now, what was I going to say? Oh, yeah, I needed to go back to Moncada because I forgot we have team name Tuesday on a Wednesday. It's from Sam. Monekardania nuts.

No. No, no, no. That sounds like a team name you'd come up with, Heath. No, not at all. What do you mean? Sounds strained. You have some unnecessary syllables. Moana Cata?

Mine would be like, you want to put me down, but you can't. That just doesn't make sense. Yeah, that's a Heath team name. Okay. I'm going with Moana Cata as my Moncada. I don't even get that. The Disney animated movie, Moana.

Oh, everybody goes to... Starring Dwayne the Rock Johnson. Everybody goes Akuna Moncata. You went with a different Disney movie. Yes. Interesting. Mike Clevenger is 78% owned. In Clevenger's last four starts, he's thrown six innings each time,

giving up just two runs in 24 innings with 11 walks, 27 strikeouts. So he's been great in his last four starts. Five of those 11 walks came in one start at Detroit, two each and the other three. What do you think about Clevenger at 78 percent? You know, he, I think he's giving up no more than three hits in any of those four starts either, which, you know, you could take as a sign that maybe there's, he's benefited from some luck. I know his season-long lines suggest he's had some good luck, but at the same time, I think this stuff is pretty good. The strikeout rate is high.

Very high. I trust him, I'll put it this way. I trust him more than I trust Mike Fultenevich to sustain something close to this level. I would agree with that. And just to Scott's point, and we don't talk about BABIP on a game-by-game basis, but his BABIP for each of the last four games, 111-154-188-214 so he's pitching well and having some good luck this is mike clevenger we're talking about of cleveland and you figure if anybody loses a spoil they have they have somebody who's leaving the rotation it would be tomlin if any i wouldn't be surprised with the way they've talked about danny salazar is going to make his next start in cleveland if they want to maybe skip cori cluber once in the rotation maybe they take advantage of the 10 d l yeah he has a little

neck issue. Yeah, right. They've also got guys if they want to take them out of the rotation to remove. Well, you got Klooper, Koresko, Clevenger, Tomlin. Tomlin has to go. Or Bauer's been awful. Okay. Fower has a 591 ERA.

One or the other. Yeah, okay. It won't be Clevenger. I think we can all agree. If Clevenger were available in any of our leagues, we'd snatch them, right? Sure. Snatch him up, like a G. Like a G.

Clevenger or Waka? Waka. Waka. Yep. All right, can I talk to you guys about my face real quick? No. Look at my face. Like, I have sometimes pretty embarrassing face.

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Three of them last night. Three hitters went yard twice. Chris Davis, who was one for 14 since coming off the deal. but took advantage of some bad Rangers pitching last night and Homer twice with six ribbies. Nick Castiano's, believe it or not, Nick Castellanos is the number 12 third baseman in points leagues, number 16 in Roto.

For a year? Yeah. Ooh. He has 14 home runs. He's really not having that grade of a year, but we talked about third basement a little disappointing. Castellanos is 55% owned. He is Homer three times in four, no, four times in his last four games.

Yep. And then Evan Gattis is the number eight catcher in points, number seven in Roto. And he doesn't play that much, but in July he's got an OPS near 1,500 with five homers. That's good. Yeah. Look at, sorry, look at Brian McCann's player page. Brian McCann has scored less than eight fantasy points in eight of his last 10 weeks entering this week. I mean, he's been terrible.

More like Brian McCant. Yeah. And I get he may be better defensively than Gattis, but Gattis is better than Belchon. Gaddis is better than McCann. Play Evan Gaddis more. I don't understand. Well, A.J. Hinch basically said after this game that he needs to play Gaddis more and that his talent levels higher than his playing time has reflected to this point. And already that's been happening.

He and McCann have basically alternated starts for the last two weeks. McCann would sometimes start two games in a row. So I think Gaddis is back to being one of the top 12 clubs. one of the top 12 catchers who needs to be started, maybe even one of the top 10 who needs to be started, which basically means start of everywhere. Okay. Now, anything to say about Chris Davis or Nick Castellanos, how about this? Who would you rather own? I know they play different positions, but in a vacuum, in a corner infield vacuum.

Chris Davis, it's not even close. Really? Nope. I agree with that, but I'm glad to see Nicholas Castellanos starting to turn things around. Chris was the one who really kept the faith on Nick Castellanos. based on some of the batted ball data there. Turns out being top five and hard hit rate is a good thing. Hopefully.

Maybe it'll work for Miguel Cabrero. Right, that's where I was going to say. Yeah. Oh, he's on Wariometer Wednesday. That's coming up. So it's not even close for Chris Davis, who's batting like 220 and had a pretty bad year last year. A pretty bad year where he hit.

How many home runs? But he was like the number 16 first basement or something like that. His pretty bad year was Nick Castiannis's career year. All right, This is like trying to compare Andrew McCutcheon to Gregory Palonca or something. All right, injuries, news, and notes. Colin McHugh will start on Saturday.

Stephen Vote is out at least a month with a sprained MCL. Zander Bogart stayed a day with a sprained hand. He did pinch run in a 15- inning game last night. Cameron Mabin is out two to four weeks with a knee injury. Starling Marte returned to the Pirates lineup. He let off. He played left field. He went one for three with a run,

scored and a walk, and Marte was also picked off. Carlos Gonzalez just filed this under something to look at. Two hitters that kind of changed their approach a little bit. Carlos Gonzalez making some minor tweaks to his swing, and he's avoiding over-swinging. He had a good game yesterday. All the Rockies did. This is totally going to happen, right? I finally pulled a plug on Carlos Gonzalez, and that's when he's going to click, and he's

going to take off. Could be. That sounds about right. They're not getting J.D. Martinez. No. But, oh, David Dahl, I should mention this, the Rockies GM. I don't know if it's an honest to goodness disagreement with his manager, but he said that Bud Black's comment about David Dahl not getting called up, potentially not getting called up this year, was taken out of context. Yeah. What was the context? Rosters expand in September. Well, that's... You go back and actually read the quote from Bud Black.

It was not as crystal clear as I think some writers, some aggregators out there made it out to be. Okay. It was kind of vague. And the other guy that made a minor adjustment was Michael Franco. So, again, we'll see what happens. He had a good game. Tommy Fam stole a base.

Steven Susa Homer and Hararopara had another big game. Three guys that we talked about a lot yesterday. and Sousa's 80% own Fam and Parra much more available. Kyle Hendricks, his next start will be with the Cubs, Austin Hedges on the 7-8 concussion D.L. We had, in the Diamondbacks Reds game,

we had a Ray Romano pitching matchup. And everybody loved it on Twitter. Oh, I get it. I get it. Dabra! That was my Ray Romano impression. That was pretty good. Anytime you have to say

that was my so-and-so impression after doing it. He has kind of a Kermit the Frog voice, right? Chris? No, Ray Romano. He does. He has that thing going. Corey Klober, as we mentioned, Sorenek, may not be able to make his next start,

and Danny Salazar's next start will be with Cleveland. Time for a round of, hey, real quick. Hey, real quick, guys, Wilson Contreras or Salvador Perez? Salvador Perez. But Wilson Contreras is very good. Yeah, I might go with Contreras. Contreras has basically been the everyday catcher since Montereo was booted. That's an understatement.

He's taken off. He's been... He never sits. Yeah. They're going to kill him. He's been a monster. Yeah, he's young. It's fine.

I moved him up. He's just behind Perez in my rankings now. He's like my fourth catcher. I don't know if I ever really dropped him, which was probably partially my bad. And also now it looks like my good. I will take Contreras over Perez rest of season. We've got enough of a track record of what happens in the second half. Okay, that's fair.

It's fair. He hasn't been used as much. But at the same time, I think Wilson Contreras, like I'll take Perez over him, but I think Wilson Contreras has separated him from that glut of catchers who, I guess I'll start them because there's nobody better versus now he's a standout at the position again. Yeah, and Salvador Perez, two for a 15, since the year. All-Star break. It's happening.

It's happening. Almost as bad as Aaron Judge. Oh, Judge. Shut up. Buffalo Wildlings wants you to come and watch Aaron Judge because it's summertime. It is sports season. Whoever invented summer was obviously a sports fan. They didn't even try to hide it.

They gave it playoff hockey, playoff basketball, and the opening of both soccer and baseball. A clear display of favoritism. The other seasons didn't stand a chance. With three months of clutch playoff drama and the awakening of new seasons, it's clearly the work of a sports. fan. They may as well have called it sports season. In fact, at Buffalo Wild Wings, they do

call it sports season. So don't ever call it summer. That's not what it is. It's sports season. They're just waiting on the legal change. Buffalo Wild Wings, Wings, Wings, beer, sports. Worryometer Wednesday, everybody. Got a lot of guys. Zero to 10 on the Wariometer.

Mostly July strugglers here. Jake Lamb, batting 179 in July. He had a two-homer game. Other than that, he's been pretty bad, except yesterday he was fine. And all season long, he's batting 141 against lefties. Your Wariometer on Jake Lamb, 0 to 10.

Three? Yeah, pretty low. 3.5. Youruriometer on Josh Donaldson, who has a 178 batting average with one home run in his last 26 games. Josh Donaldson. Five.

Not that I think that Lamb is better than Donaldson, but Donaldson's expectations are so much higher. I think is less likely he's going to live up to them this year. He just got off to the slow start, the injury. Don't feel like he's ever caught up. He is older than... Dirt. No.

Dirt. Not quite. No, I... But he's 31 or 32, and he's been so consistent over the last few years, and he got such a late start to his career, that I think we probably view him as someone who's maybe 28, 29, and, you know, this is...

He's not. It happens sometimes, yeah. You know, I'm going to say, I think he's going to freaking tear it up soon. Like, you know what? I'm putting in some Donaldson offers. With which team? With the Blue Jays. First of all, in this stretch where he's batting 178, he has 20 walks or 26 strikeouts.

So that's encouraging. I don't know. Like, he's going to go Machado on us and he's going to tear it up. Because when he first came off the DL, Donaldson's first 15 games off the DL, he had an 1135 OPS and six home runs. He's been cold since then. but I think he's fine. Yeah, I'll put it at three. I'll put it at one.

Oh. Yeah. Good for you. Somebody's got to be bold on this show. Like what I say yesterday, that who's... Oh, John Carlos Stanton's going to play through a hand injury in August. That is very specific, and it's boldness. Wariometer, Andrew Ben and Tendi.

Number 24 outfielder in points. Number 33 in Roto. Andrew Ben and Tendi He's got a 722 OPS Since like the fifth week of the season Benintendi I put him in the same lamb range As around a 3 3 yeah I think he's pretty good

I'll go a little higher Then I went with the third basement I'll go 4 Because Like I'm not sure I'm not sure he's good enough to be a must start outfielder yet But I think the floor is so high high. Like the floor is Nick Markekechis and Markechis has always been somebody who could always fall back

on if you needed an extra outfielder. So I think he's fine. All right, that's Benintendi. How about Christian Yellich, who is slightly worse than Benintendi this year? Benintendi's 24th in points, Yelich is 27th at outfield. Benintendi's 33rd in Roto, Yelich is 37th. And they're similar. I mean, like, you know, some of the underlying stats are making them look a little better than the category stats, but what's your worryometer on Yelich? Zero. Yeah, one. I will go to.

Okay, he has been fairly hot. Like, you look at the last 32 games for Yelich, not including yesterday. He's batting 326, but he has one home run. I just don't know what this guy is doing for you in a five-by-five league. He's giving you batting average. That's very good. A little bit of help in a couple of categories and a lot of help in batting average and runs scored. I think what I'm trying to do here that you guys never let me do, which is you're right,

is bitch about Benintendi and Yelich. I mean, I just, I don't know what, like, I guess it depends on what you think they are. Like, we talked up Benintendi and we talked up Christian Yelich, and they're actually both fairly similar players. But, like, neither one of them was going to be, like, a superstar. The value here is that they're both very safe players. because of the skill set, because their approach at the plate is so solid that they have very high floors.

I think it's too early to say Benintendi won't be a super star. Sure, but this year. This was most publications, number one prospects, even ahead of Moncada coming into the year. Yeah, no, this year maybe he won't be. Yeah, I think he's already shown that. And, like, he's still on pace for, like, a 2015, 20-holmer's 15-steal season. But I get your point about categories leagues, Adam.

That's what I was trying to vocalize coming into the year when I was prioritizing VR over Lendor in those formats. Not a roto format where you have all those lineup spots to fill, but where you have just nine hitter spots to fill and you have to balance all those categories. These players like Yelich and Ben Intendi, who don't really stand out in either home runs or stolen bases, they're kind of just filling a spot in a way that's not going to help that much.

Yeah. All right. And look, Worryometer, like, Yelich is a one. It doesn't mean we like him more than Donaldson, who is a three. You know, it's all relative to our expectations. How about Adam Duval? Adam Duval is actually a top 16 outfielder in both formats, 16th in points, 15th in Roto. Last year, he was really bad after the All-Star break.

and so far Duval has a 200 batting average with one walk, 19 strikeouts and one home run in July. You're aometer on Duval? Three, four? Six. I'll go two, actually. I'm down with Duval. Not down on Duval, but down with Duval.

It's not so much that we haven't really had anybody that, we haven't really had anybody that I was that worried about it all. And Duvall, while he has had a very nice year and a half, I still think, like, he had 241 last year with a 297 on base, and if he falls to that type of production again, then he's really just a one or two category contributor. Okay. Corey Dickerson.

Corey Dickerson is batting 188 in July with two, walk 16 strikeouts. He does have six doubles. Corey Dickerson, Worryometer. Six. Yeah. I'll go three. That's not worried about anybody. I think Dickerson was owed

some regression, and we're seeing that regression play out, but I think there's going to be a leveling off here soon, and he'll still level off as a must-start outfielder. Okay. Yuenna Cespitus. The Mets are a little bit worried about him.

Cespitous. I understand the injury concerns, but unless they shut him down, I would go with a one. So I'll say three for injury concerns. Four. Four. Would you rather have Cespitus or brawn? Brought. Cespitous.

Braun. Would you rather have Cespitus or Chris Davis with a K? Cespitus. I believe I have Chris Davis. One spot higher. Okay. Chris Davis, Chris is really high on Chris Davis.

He's good. I love Chris Davis. He's good. He's good. And he's safer. I think most players are safer than Cespitus. The guy seems to have a leg issue. Where do you have?

Every day. Like Chris Davis, 12th? Yep. Both of them are top 12 for me. Wow. I've got Chris Davis in the teens. I'm not like down on Chris Davis.

He is, Chris Davis is the 13th best outfielder so far this year in points leagues. I am exactly one. spot too high. 6, 7, 8, 9. It's not about what they've been. It's about what they're going to be. 10th and Rota.

Right, but nothing that Chris Davis is doing is unsustainable in any way. But there are players behind him who you would agree are better. Sure, there might be players above him who I think are worse. Maybe. Marcelo Zuna is above him.

Cody Bellin. Yeah, I think Marcelo Zuna's not as good as Chris Davis. Can we do the worryometer on Aaron Judge? Sure. He is 3-425 since. the home run derby. Wow. Home run derby ruined him.

Month of July, he's batting 245 with a 34% strikeout rate. Wow. His ISO since the All-Star break is zero. I can't believe he did the home run derby. You know, you act like there has never been a person in the history of baseball who has said, the home run derby screwed up my swing,

which would be completely inaccurate because it absolutely has happened. Absolutely has. But he was struggling a little bit before the home run. Well, look, I kept bringing up the stat that you look at like the top 50 hitters in strike. out last year and this year, there are almost no 300 hitters. Last year there was Freddie Freeman.

Yes. This year there were a couple of Rockies, and there was Blackmun and Reynolds for a while, and then there was Aaron Judge. So I don't think any of us thought he was a 300 hitter. What's he hitting now, like 313? Yeah, I think what I said at the break was that I expected him to hit 270 the rest of the year. Was like a best-case scenario? They're going to rest him today.

Like, you know. He needs to clear his head. Need a day off. Yes. Get that home run derby out of his head. Well, they shouldn't have played them both games of a doublehead or, like, I don't know. They might be run them into the ground just a touch, but no, I don't think they're like big. Well, he's always struggled in the second half, right?

Well, honestly, like, Aaron Judge was the number one outfielder in the first half. Where is he in your outfield rankings? Where do you expect him to be in the second half? I've got him run 10. I've got him 6th, but he's right in front of John Carlos Stanton. If you want to flip Giancarlo Stanton ahead of him because John Carlos Stanton's hot, totally on board with that. Yeah, I have him somewhere in that 6 to 10 range, too. I have him.

I have six, like Chris does. But, yeah, Springer, Stanton, Judge, I don't see a big difference between the three. Even Nelson Cruz, who's number nine for me, I think he's right there with those guys. I've got Springer Cruz in points. I've got J.D. Martinez ahead of him. Jenny Martinez is 10th for me. So, yeah, these guys are all in the same range. All righty, fellas.

Chris Davis. And two more worryometers. Miguel Cabrera, he still has 12 home runs in 79 games. No player has a bigger disparity between what his peripheral numbers say he should be and what he's actually been. Zero. I don't, I can't say zero, though. I can't say zero either. I can.

If I'm going to do the Nicholas Castellanos thing and clap when he's the number 13-third basement and believe that the peripheral are going to predict his future success. I can't be inconsistent on that. Miguel Cabrera's peripheral. I don't think you are. There's a difference. I think expressing some concern over Miguel Cabrera's lack of production to this point. Okay, but the concern would be that he's old and that the bat has slowed down.

And there is the strikeout rates a little bit higher. No, I've got a different concern. He's battled nagging injuries the last four or five years. Right. And he's on a team that's getting ready to sit, that's selling hard. And he just may not have a lot of motivation to play through those injuries in the second half. Okay. I don't think, like, there are tendencies with batted ball data that often play out,

but I don't think it's linear the relation between how hard a player hits the ball and what kind of production he has. And to be fair, Nick Castellanos might be the number 12th third basement in fantasy, but he's batting 255 with 14 home runs. He's not having a good year. And he also had a stretch last month with three home runs and four games. I don't want to make it out to be. like, I think Miguel Cabrera's done.

I think the chances are better than not that he has a huge second half. Like, there, I feel like, I feel like whenever I try to inject nuance in some of these discussions, sometimes I get like, you know, put on one side of the line versus the other. For me, if I'm going to be wrong on Miguel Cabrera, I'm going to be wrong believing in what I believe. That's fair. But I'm going to give him a five on my Wuriometer. I'd still like to buy low on him. Like, for me, it's just everything points to him being an elite hitter, except the results that have come when he's, when the ball's been in play.

I can't disagree with that. And so if I believe that Nicholas Castionis is going to be good, if I believe Manny Machado is going to have a huge second half. Like, all of, I have to be consistent. And if I'm going to be wrong, but you can't believe those things and still have that seat of doubt in your mind, can't you? Yeah, I think zero is a little strong. No, like, I just, I think if he had a 40% hard hit rate or if he had a 25% strikeout rate or like there, there are, like, Edwin and Carnacian is someone that I'm more worried about than Miguel Cabrera, even though Edwin and Carnacian might have actually been a little better than him so far, but the peripherals for Miguel Cabrera are so strong that I just, maybe it's a one because of age. Maybe it's a one because of injury. Maybe it's a one because they might just sit him out in September.

Injury is the big thing. of production, I expect him to be just as good as he's been the last five years moving forward. But the nagging injuries are definitely worth considering because there have been those this year for Miguel Cabrera, as Heath mentioned. All right, so that's McGee. Finally, a roll this Chapman. Worryometer on a roll this Chapman who is just not, not himself. He is not getting the swinging strikes. And I read last week that he went on the DL for about a month with an arm issue.

and he's not all the way back since then. He's still throwing hard, but not getting the swings and misses and does not have good command right now. Where are you on a roll this Chapman? Does anyone remember what the arm injury was? I think it was like a shoulder spray, like maybe AC joint or something? We can look that up, right?

I mean, the velocity's fine. I don't know. I'm going to give them, like, I could actually see benching him in like a points league for right now until he gets back on track because it has been pretty shaky but well I don't know there's been enough good inning I looked at the game log recently for Chapman

and realized that I kind of was having selective memory with his performances and there's been a lot of clean innings but I can but you know when you watch a team all the time you just know. Like, he's just not pitching nearly as well. Like, for example, you know, he gave up like a walk. Got a save against the Red Sox the other day. He gave up a walk, and then Moogie Betts grounded out the second.

Hit the ball really hard. And he got in, what was the stat I had for Chapman? His three appearances before last night, one swinging strike in 56 pitches. That's unheard of. By the way, he had brisitis and inflammation in his shoulder. Yeah, his swinging strike rate is down to 12.5%, which is by far the worst that's ever been in his career.

He's been in the 18 to 20% range over the last couple of years. I'm a four. Yeah, I think he'll get it back. But right now, it's a little strange. Reliever performance just fluctuates so much. That's the main takeaway here, I think. Well, they signed up to a five-year deal, so that sucks. I'll go three.

All right, Heath, I don't really need a number from you. You never gave, nobody ever gave a number for Aaron Judge, so I'm not participating anymore. More bullpen stuff. Zach Britton gave up two hits with two strikeouts in a non-save situation. Cody Allen, he, you know, okay, look, it wasn't really that bad. He came on in the ninth, in a jam, got out of a ninth inning jam with a strikeout and a flyout. Then he pitched the 10th, gave up a double, then like a bunt single. I don't know.

He struggled, though. People want to know, should we bench, drop. All right? What do you think? No. Maybe Bench. He's not like a must start. He's a number two closer, but no.

Okay. Roberto Ozuna, Luke Gregerson. Roberto O'Suna and Santiago Cascia blue saves last night. No concerns with Ozuna. Do you think Ryan Madsen or Sean Doolittle could take Cassia's job in Oakland? No. Yeah, I don't either. And Luke Gregerson got a four-out save.

Ken Giles had pitched each of the previous two games. Giles has not pitched three straight days. yet this year. So we've talked about most guys. How do you feel about Dylan Bundy? Would you rather own Dylan Bundy or Michael Waka? I'd rather own Bundy, but even when he's good, he's not good. I have really no level of excitement about Dylan Bundy whatsoever left.

So why would you rather own him than Waka? He's just sparp. Okay, fine. What if he's not? What if no sparp? And Roto, I can't see myself dropping him. I mean, I can see myself dropping him. I could see a situation where he's the worst pitcher on my team, and I drop him for Mancada.

I think I'm ready to move him behind Waka. I don't think I would drop him for Waka. Okay. That's Dylan Bundy. Do you want to own any of these guys? We talked about Mike Clevenger, 78%. John Lacky, 69%. Sean Newcomb, 54%.

De Nelsso Lament, 43%. Vince Velasquez, 40%. And Junior Garra, 33%. Craig Counsel said this was the best we've seen of Garra and something positive to build on. I am. Sorry, Heath, Lackey, Newcomb, Lamette, Velasquez, Gara. I'm interested in adding Velasquez.

I wrote about him in Waver Wire today. The six innings on 79 pitches, pretty impressive. If he could just be efficient, I think he's good enough to be a Michael Walker type of guy. And he has so much more upside. I want to be, oh, oh, man. I don't know. This is from, okay, sorry. Baseball reference doesn't have his data in yet, so I'm relying on a different source for this. I only saw four swinging strikes for Vince Velazquez. So, you know, my effort to be consistent, if I was going to be down on Stephen Matz when he first came back and wasn't missing a lot of bats, and that caught up to him. It's only one star for Velasquez, so it's kind of unfair to just say, I'm worried. But if this becomes a pattern for him, it'll be a problem.

Matt's was more actionable, if only because we had an explanation for why he didn't have any swinging strikes. And it was that he wasn't throwing his slider. I don't know if we have the same explanation for Vince Velasquez yet. He didn't throw his slider or his change up much yesterday. Only seven of them combined. But like, it's one start. Yeah, he only has 79 pitches. Right.

If we get to the next start and he doesn't throw the slider again, maybe then I'll get concerned. Are there any of these guys, though, that you'd rather have than Velasquez? Yeah, for me. I'd rather have Nukem. So disappointing. He's faced three brutal lineups in a row now. Is he had one good start this year? Yeah.

Has Dukeham had one good start? No, I'm saying one, is that the number? He's had four good starts. His first four starts were good. And then his last three have been awful. Yeah, I'd rather have him. I still, I am still interested in Denelson Lamet, but I can't, in good conscious, tell you to own him right now.

He's just too inconsistent. He's the flyballs especially. He gives up too many home runs. You have Clevenger here in the nose. Did you mention him? Is he part of this group? No, well. The one I want most.

Right. No, I figured that. Yeah. And then I don't know. I guess I'd probably take Velasquez over Newcomb right now because I feel like if I dropped Nukem for Velasquez, nobody would pick up Newcomb.

Yeah. Can I get to grade the trade now? Sure. All right. No. Let's do this. Let's do this. James and Georgia, give up Sanoe, get Stroman and Waka. And he's got backups for Sano.

Sano for Strowman and Waka? So dependent on your team, but... You give it an A, Chris? Yes. Wow. Wow. Yeah, I love that trade. Okay.

I'd rather have the pitchers, too, but I'll give it a... No, I'll give it a B-plus. I'll give it a B and points and a C minus in Roto. From Brian, give up Corey Canable, get Victor Martinez. Ugh. Yeah, I don't love it. Well, you're making a big mistake, Brian, because he says I have Britain, Ozuna, and Reed.

There's a chance that in a week you're going to have one closer. Britain and Reed are on the market right now. Yeah. And Britain, I'm not sure it's healthy. D. I don't see any job. justification for this. It's a 12-team league. What is Victor Martinez worth in a 12-team league? V-Mart's hot right now. Yeah, I mean, he's another guy whose peripherals are very good.

No. And he's breaking out of it, isn't he? This is a Y for yuck. Do not do this trade. Yeah, I think it's an F. Okay, from Pete, points league, everybody, get your pens and papers out, or just your memory. A lot of, it is an eight-player blockbuster. Give up. Daniel Murphy. Corey Seeger You know what? I'm going to skip this. I'm going to skip this because Carlos Correa is in this trade. So I just know

I put this in the notes before the news. Sorry, Pete. Sorry, Pete. Well, you got screwed, Pete. Because you traded for Correa, so that sucks. Oh, okay. From Dustin, 12 team head-to-head, I need steals.

Give up Braun and scope. Braun and scope for D. Gordon and and Billy Hamilton. Definitely getting some steels. I bet you need something else after this trade, though. I don't know. He's lived a long time without Braun, so that's kind of the good thing about owning Bra. If you've old Braun all year, you already understand what life like him will, life without him will be like.

And I think it makes it easier to do this sort of trade. I give it a C plus. I think it's a B. Yeah, I give it a B minus. All right, this is from Dan in Massachusetts. it's give Verlander get Starling Marte. A plus plus plus. Really?

B minus. I think I'd rather have Verlander. Yuck. It makes a big difference categories versus points. Like if it's points, I'll give it a C minus. If it's categories, I'll give it a B minus. If it's points, I'm only going to give it an A plus plus plus. If it's categories A plus plus plus plus.

This is from Stephen. Give up in a Dynasty League. You Darvish and Yvonne Nova get Carlos Martinez. I think it's fine. I think it's a C. C plus. I think it's totally fair trade. Darvish for Nova and Martinez?

No, Darvish and Nova for Martinez. Darvish and Nova for Martinez. No. I'll give it a C-minus. I'm not sure Darvish isn't better than Martinez. I think I have Darvish ranked ahead of it. I do this year, but Darvish is a couple years older, isn't he? I would think so.

Not really old. But it's only three keepers. Eric, Eric's question is Categories League. Give up Thames, get Tommy Fam. Give up Thames, get Fam. See, I'm... New Darvish is almost 31, by the way. He turns 31 this month.

I'm close to dropping Eric Thames. I've considered it. In my one 12-team categories league, I finally dropped Hanley Ramirez last week, and I'm thinking about going to get Hanley Ramirez and dropping Eric Thames. That would be a terrible idea. It wouldn't be. So give up Thames, get Fam.

What's the grade? C-minus. I love these over-the-top unsubstantiated comments for me. I don't know what was unsubstantiated. I think you agree with me that dropping Eric Thames for Hanley-O-Mirers would be a terrible idea. Why? I would rather have Thames. But I don't know that I could attach terrible.

Like, Hanley's been a lot better over the last month. Hanley's hitting like 290 with a 560 slugging percent. He's showing some signs and he's maybe getting a little bit healthier because I think he played first base yesterday and his shoulders have been too. That's a terrible idea. He's playing first base. He had a walk off home run yesterday. He did.

Yeah, he only took 15 innings, but yeah. All right, that's it for the show today. A lot going on. Let's hope for some more trades because those are fun for Heath, Scott and Chris. I'm Adam. We are non-zero chance. See ya.