Fantasy Baseball Today - 07/26: Dropometer, Regulators, Bauer over Kershaw? (Fantasy Baseball Today)

Episode Date: July 26, 2018

Nate Eovaldi has been much better at home than on the road this year, but we're not sure that matters as he goes to the Red Sox. We break down the trade before discussing how droppable Dylan Bundy is, if Trevor Bauer is better than Clayton Kershaw and what we expect from Jon Gray and Jameson Taillon going forward ... Giving you some Gary Sanchez replacements before we get into Wednesday's standouts. Are we ready to trust Robbie Ray? Do we have a closer controversy in Cleveland? Also, it's been a rough week for rookie pitchers like Walker Buehler, Freddy Peralta and more ... Dropometer! Are we ready to give up on Andrew McCutchen, Eric Hosmer, Paul DeJong and a few others? We also get into a few rankings debates and the Fantasy Regulators are back to lay down the law ... Your emails at [e-mail] To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Another day, another trade. You can pretty much expect most of our shows up until the deadline to begin that way. Native Aldi to the Red Sox. We'll talk about that. Speaking of the Red Sox, very unlucky. I feel bad for you if you had Moogie Betts or J.D. Martinez or Andrew Benetendentendi in your lineup yesterday. All right. We got a lot for you on today's show, including some Steven Strasbourg news, some Jose Altovae news, some hey real quick.

And we have the comedic styling of Scott White and Heath Cummings. Say something funny, guys. Oh, goodness. That was funny. I like that. You like that? That worked? I got a question.

Is Twitter supposed to be a perfect reflection of who you are? Or especially our positions in life, is it a little bit performance art? Probably a little bit performance art. I mean, that's entirely up to you, how authentic and really. revealing you want to be. I mean, like, it goes without saying. It's not a stream of consciousness thing. You don't

just have a thought and it gets translated word for word on Twitter. You put some thought into it, you make it look nice or funny or whatever. I'm pretty sure Chris Towers has that technology. Where it just goes straight from his brain to Twitter. Oh, yeah. Absolutely. Maybe. Maybe he does. He is a prolific. Where did this

come from, Heath? Just a thought. All right. Okay, well, we'll look further into that. Let's get into the big trade. Nate Avaldi going to the Red Sox for Jalen Beeks. Evaldi, 79% owned, eight walks, 53 strikeouts, and 57 innings. What do you make of this stat? In three home starts with the raise, Evaldi has a 212 ERA. In seven road starts, a 518 ERA. Obviously, a park decrease, you know, a worse park for Evaldi. You know, I think it's a little bit to receiving because he said he had one terrible start at the twins two starts ago that's boosting that rodei r a but scott what do you make of that for avaldi now going to fenway park instead of

tropicana well tampa's a great place to pitch fenway isn't a terrible place to pitch but it's worse um you know it it's hard to tell because the sample is so small uh wow avaldi's ownership is back up 79 that's actually better than i thought i guess his last start after the terrible start was pretty good. And you've seen good signs from him. He's changed his secondary pitch. It's now a cutter. Previously, I think it was a curb ball. There was something different. And anyway, the smaller chain difference in velocity between his primary pitch and his secondary pitch seems to be making him a better swing and miss pitcher than ever before. But I think overall this trade is good news. Obviously, he goes to the best team win loss-wise in baseball.

but we hadn't really gotten to a point where we were totally sure Avaldi was worthwhile in the first place so it's hard to get too excited about him. Heath? Yeah, I think this trade is good news for one statistic. That's wins. It's probably bad news for ERA. It's maybe, I don't know in terms of how it's going to affect WIPP or anything,

but I don't like it for his chances of getting a ZRA back below 4 or getting it below 4. He's always been kind of a mediocre type guy. I don't think he should be as owned as highly as he is. And I'm probably only interested in using him if he has a great matchup or if he's in a pitcher's park or if he's a two-start pitcher. And he's going to pitch, of all he's going to pitch this weekend. He was supposed to pitch yesterday, which would have lined him up for two starts next week,

I believe. I haven't checked the race schedule, but usually that's the case with Wednesday pitchers. and that will not be the case. Valdi will not be a two-star pitcher next week. A couple of other trades. Arizona acquired Matt Andresne from Tampa Bay for two minor leaguers. And Colorado is acquiring Sen Juan O from the Toronto Blue Jays. Heath are these fantasy relevant trades?

Matt Andres to the Diamondback, Sen Juan O, to the Rockies. No. I think there's a, like, maybe there's a chance that you might want to add one of these guys in a deep, which all Roto. league-specific leagues are deep. So maybe in a full roto-n-l-only league, you're interested in somebody like Andres. He does have some strikeout upside.

But for the most part, no. All righty. So how you guys doing today? How are we feeling? Is it good? Yeah, doing pretty good. How about you? Did you get a good night's sleep?

Actually, yeah, it wasn't bad. Two nights in a row. He's been pretty good. I need to know, though, I need to know if you feel like laying down the law today. You feel like bringing it, telling people what to do? I always feel like laying down the law. We are three dads, so yes.

Oh, there you go. It's time to regulate. Not yet, not yet. But today we're going to regulate. It's been a while since we've done some fantasy regulation. If you have a league dispute, send an email to Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com, fantasy baseball at CBSI.com and put fantasy regulators in the subject line. And we'll groove.

Now, I would like for you to keep it sort of simple. You write like five paragraph essays, and it's a little bit challenging. So just keep that in mind. But fantasy regulators put that in the subject line. As I mentioned, the Red Sox are winning 5-0-0 in the second inning yesterday. Betts hit a three-run homer, Martinez and Benintendi homered. It was Bundy on the mound, right? It was Bundy.

Yep. He was getting throttled again. Yeah. Well, none of it counts. It's all disappearing. The game has been postponed due to weather. So that's a good thing, but, you know. And since it was three-fittance.

inning, it just gets wiped out. It's not like that situation where he had earlier where Juan Soto homered, ended up homering prior to his major league debut because they resumed a game. It's not got to be resumed. It's just gone. It is gone. But Dylan Bundy, I actually didn't put him in the notes, just, you know, thinking about that now because he didn't have any stats, but he's 87% owned.

Are we just about done with him? Because his previous three starts, he has given up a total of 15 earn runs in 12 and a third. Scott, should we ditch Dylan Bundy? We actually had a pretty big argument about this when you were gone. Chris Towers is fully on board with that idea. Dylan Bundy is what his numbers say he is, according to Chris. I think it's more complicated than that because there have been such extreme highs and lows from Dylan Bundy this year.

There was a seven-start stretch prior to this three-start stretch. You could call it a four-start stretch, if you want to include yesterday, but obviously that's not going to count for anything. So I'll call it a three-start stretch still. There was a seven-start stretch immediately before that where he was, I mean, he was basically ace. Like he was going seven, eight innings. He had a 14 strikeout start in there. I don't know why he loses it so suddenly and so dramatically.

But even last year, there was some of that in his game. I think, I think in terms of. terms of career development, he's trending up in like a big picture sense. But obviously, he's not in the circle of trust right now. His supporting cast doesn't help his cause at all. And I could see how you might drop him in a deeper league. I want to drop them in any of my leagues, which are all 12 teams are deeper. Wait, wait, wait.

And a shallow league. In a shallow league. Scott, where were you on the, because, Chris and I had a fight over Sean Newcomb and dropping him or holding him. Well, I brought up that Sean Newcomb's numbers are actually pretty discouraging. But I wasn't on the one of the dropping on that. I was taking it before. I mean, anytime you're talking about a league that 10 teams are fewer,

like that's so shallow that all but star-level players are susceptible to being dropped. But I don't think most people play in leagues that shallow, and I know I don't. Yeah, I have those two back-to-back of my rankings, is why I asked. And where are they in your rankings? They're dropping, but they're right in the 50s. Are they ahead of Nativaldi? We're talking about Dylan Bundy and Sean. Oh, yeah.

I'd much rather have them than Nativaldi. Because there's a chance that they are good, like really good starting pitchers. I don't really believe there's a chance that Nativaldi over the rest of the season puts together a 3-5 ERA and strikes out more than a bad inning. By the way, we are going to get into your rankings today. I picked out four kind of interesting things that I noticed in the rankings, including big disagreement on where to rank Alex Wood, Scott in the 50s, Heath in the 30s. Oh, really? Yeah. J.T. Rayamuto.

That's new. Yeah, weird. J.T. Rayamuto, Scott has him number one. Heath has Rayamuto top five, certainly, but Rayamuto number one for Scott. We'll talk Cody Ballinger and Glaver Torres and where they're ranked as well. moving on let's do some hey real quick hey real quick Trevor Bauer or Clayton Kershaw Sure

Oh Look what I was about to do there I know my ranking say Kershaw And I almost instinctively Said Trevor Bauer Yeah Maybe you should My head says Kershaw

My stomach is a little queasy Heath Kirshall I will still say Kershaw Yeah. Bauer has 192 strikeouts. He is the second most strikeouts in baseball behind Chris Sale.

He's the number seven starting pitcher in points, number six in Roto. Kershaw is three and five. He's got a 264 ERA. He's got 83 strikeouts in 81 and two thirds. He's got a 109 whip. That's all great. But it's not as good as Bauer.

Well, and it's not as good as what we come to know Kershaw to be. But that's, I mean, that's part of the issue is okay, Kershaw's velocity is down, his strikeout rate, his swinging strike rate. Like, there are a lot of numbers for Kershaw that scream decline. Right. And yet his base numbers are still really good.

So they're not otherworldly good like they used to be, but they're still good. I think the biggest concern for me is that he's being limited to like six innings at a time now. and maybe that's just because the Dodgers are being extra careful with him with the DL time he's already had. But to be that top 15-20 pitcher that Bauer certainly is, but you need to have seven-inning starts sometimes. Yeah, and I think it's interesting because if you just look at six starts since he came back, and this kind of surprises me, he has a 240-80RA, less than a strikeout per inning, but his FIP is still 2.76.

This is Kershaw. Yeah, Kershaw. So, like, he has not been Clayton Kershaw since he came back. His numbers still look pretty phenomenal. Is it mostly a control thing, or has he not? Like, how many home runs is he allowed during that stretch? Because even dating back to two home runs. Yeah, let me, let me, look, Kershaw, obviously, you know,

Scott's got a Math, he has him fourth. Bauer is the story, though. Bauer is truly breaking out. He has been exceptional. Buy, sell, hold, Trevor Bauer. Like, we're not selling. We buy it, right? No. You're not selling.

Okay. All right, next up. Hey, real quick. Chris Davis or Christian Yewitch? Chris Davis, with two home runs yesterday that gives him six in his last four games. In those four games, he has gone from being the number 20 outfielder in fantasy to the number 10 outfielder in fantasy. He did have a brief. He had a D.L stint earlier this year?

Davis or just missed a little bit of time. He's only played 93 games. Anyway, Chris Davis or Christian Yewitch, Heath, real quick. I'll say Christian Yellich still. Now, listen, the way Chris Davis hits home runs in bunches, if you're asking me who do I want to play tonight, assuming both of them play, I would rather play Chris Davis because I think he made another home run.

But if you're asking me over the rest of the season, who's going to be better, I'll still say Yelich. Yeah, I agree. Chris Davis is known to have these powers. surges, and it's unfair to rank him while he's in the midst of one of those. And Yelich has been pretty hot, too, by the boy. Yeah, oh, yeah, that's why I put him in. And Yelich, I mean, he's got a 500 slugging percentage.

He's doing, it took him a little while, I think, but he's doing what we hope. His home numbers, Christian Yelich is batting 316 with a 397 OBP, 569, nine home runs at home in 47 games. So he's taking advantage of the park shift, and he's been great. You get more average, you get more steals from Yowich, but you're going to get more home runs from Chris Davis. You know what? The point is Chris Davis is being Chris Davis, right? He's batting 253.

He's going to probably hit 40 home runs. He's Chris Davis. Did you see the piece on the consistency of his batting average? I think it was on 538 or something? No. It's absolutely amazing. If you look at his batting average over the last, I think it's five years now, 244, 247, 247, 247, 247, 247, 253.

Chris Davis is one of the most predictable players in fantasy, which is I love. I love it. John Gray or James and Tyone. They both pitched last night. They both pitched very well. They're both showing some encouraging stuff. Ray real quick, Scott, John Gray or James and Tyone?

I will say John Gray. Obviously, that's me. Shooting for the stars, aiming for upside. But he's looked good in his two starts back for the minors and the underlying numbers are still phenomenal, even if the ERA is inflated. Heath, John Gray or Jameson Tion? I have them ranked very similarly.

I do have Gray ranked just a little bit higher. I do think there's more upside there, but it's certainly looking like Chris Towers was right about James and Tion and the breakout. Yeah, and Tion now 11 straight starts allowing three earn runs or fewer. He just has that one problem. He threw seven innings yesterday.

That was great, but he only threw 86. pitches, I believe. 89. Just they don't, he's had bad numbers third time through the order. But, yeah,

it's really, yeah, I mean, that's the thing. Like, he had a good start going deep yesterday, but,

um, I don't know. I'm still, like, he still has just kind of an average strikeout rate, an average whip,

an average ERA, and a pretty short leash. I, I just ran it since June 1st. He's made 10 starts. Three of them have gone at least seven innings. That's pretty good.

It is good, yeah. And he's got a 2970 RA and a three-fib over those 10 starts. Yeah, it's pretty good. It's pretty good. Like, he's a top 40 type pitcher, but I think John Gray has the potential to be like top 20. All right, news and notes. Injuries, news and notes. Steven Strassberg is back on the DL.

This is pretty late breaking as we record this about 9.30 a.m. right now, Eastern Time. So I don't know the specifics. It probably, you know, Roto World speculating shoulder because, you know, that's what he's had in previously this year. But Strasbourg is back on the DL. Unbelievable. The man cannot stay healthy. Jose Altube left with knee discomfort.

They say it's minor. Chris Bryant, this may not be minor. He could go back on the D.L with his shoulder injury. And I asked Chris Towers yesterday about Chris Bryant, different spelling and no relation. You know, if he's concerned about Bryant, rest of season. And he said yes. And I think it's valid for sure. All right, Gary Sanchez is going to miss about a month, guys.

He's going to be out until at least late August. So I came up with some surprisingly good cat. I came up with it like it was so hard. I just looked at the last 28 days. Some guys that have been surprisingly good. Mitch Garver, a lot of it the last two days for Garver. Robinson Cherinos, only batting 231, but slugging 481 over his last 28 days. And we talked about him over the All-Star break,

because Chorinos looked like a guy who could have some positive regression. Austin Hedges is batting 316 with three homers. I think he homered yesterday over his last 28 days, 316, 3 homers. Alias Diaz for the Pirates has been pretty good. Austin Romine will get pretty regular at bats, I would think, for the Yankees. He wasn't very good when Sanchez went on the DL last month. Garver, Chorinos, Hedges, Diaz, Romine. Feel free to throw some other names in there.

Guys, are any catchers that stand out as Sanchez replacements? Sherinos is by far in a way my favorite of that group. And I think he'll be pretty serviceable the rest of the year of borderline top 12 catcher. Robinson Sherinos, all right. Cool. Scott, you wouldn't say anything about Mitch Garver? That would be high on my list, too. You do one thing well, at catcher.

It's pretty much enough to set you apart. And that's what we're seeing with Cherinos now and the power. Yohanna Cespitus is having surgery on both heels. Do you think Cespitous will ever be a fantasy must-start player again? Yeah. I think it will be. I don't know. I'm hedging as I say it.

I think he will be. How old will he be? I'm not super confident. I'm trying to figure out how old he will be when he leaves the Mets. Like 35 or six. I mean, the best stretch of his career is with the Mets. I don't know that that's fair. He's 30.

he's 32 right now. And what does he have? Three more years after this? Yeah. Is that right? Two or three? Two more years after this. After this?

Okay. So he'll be 33 in October. That means he'll be 35 when he leaves the Mets. If he gets back to full health in the second half next year, I think there's a good chance that he's a must start fantasy option in the second half. I'm not sure. I'm not sure where slash if he's going to be drafted next year. Moving on.

Brandon Belt left with a hyper-extended knee and we'll miss a few games. I meant to ask this yesterday, but what do you think about dropping Brandon Belt? He has 93% owned. He has been dreadful since coming off the DL. Before yesterday, in 31 games since coming off the DL, Bell was batting 229 with a 668 OPS. 15 walks, 21 strikeout, so maybe it was just bad luck. At least the plate discipline was still there.

But Brandon Bell looked like a breakout player. It's finally putting together average and power. not anymore. Now he's hyper-extended knee. He's 93% owned Scott. What would you say to the Brandon Belt owner? So it's 231 now since the DL with a 258 Babbitt. So I would say there's definitely some bad luck contributing there. And I mean, a lot of it's been recent. A lot of what's really brought his batting average down is just the fact that he's won for two for 32 over his past eight. games. It's an 063 mark right there. I think he's fine. I think he's lumping. I want to drop him. I don't have any problem with dropping him, but I'm not actively trying to do it. There are first basemen out there that I think you could drop him for, and you know the name that I would say.

Jake Bowers. Okay, and Zach Davies had a setback in his rehab. Corey Dickerson sat with a hamstring strain. Starling Marte was hit by a pitch. They're downplaying that. Brandon Maro will not come off the deal when he's first eligible. We've seen Pedro Strope get two saves since tomorrow went on the DL. U. Darvish is going to throw a bullpen session this weekend. Sergio Romo became the first pitcher to play third base in a game since 1971. And Albert Pooleholz passed Ken Griffey Jr. for sixth place on the all-time home run list. Who stood out to you on Wednesday, Heath Cummings? Well, I think Robbie Ray is the most obvious answer.

Seven innings against the Cubs just gave up one run. I would love it if he could go on another stretch where he's not giving up four or five runs or walking too many hitters. I don't know that I can buy into this being a sign that that's going to happen, but it's an encouraging sign that maybe he can move in the right direction. Robbie Ray, two starts next week, Texas and San Francisco. He's starting him. Must start. Ooh.

Ooh. He's earned that. Yeah, but that's. That was more emphatically than I was going to say it. Yeah, wow. Must that. Must that. Two starts against the Rangers and Giants, I'm in.

Well, I know, but this was the only start since the D.L stint that was decent. And it was, like, I don't know. Maybe it was just because he only walked one guy, and that makes enough of a difference on his own. It was his second worst swinging strike rate, swinging strike start of the year. So it's not like he went out there and dominated. Oh, he dominated. Seven innings, one run, six strikeouts? You can't worry about the swinging strikes with Robbie, right?

He's got 81 strikeouts and 60 and two-thirds. You know, I am all four, and I think Scott May get on board with this. I've been trying to kill the win for at least two years now. What if we replace the win in fantasy baseball with swinging strikes? You just get a point for every swinging strike and no points for wins. No. Come on. Stop it.

Figure out a way to have a uniform. recording of swinging strikes. That would help. All right, so a good step in the right direction for Robbie Ray. Scott, stand out for you from Wednesday's games. Tanner Roark, who in his previous six starts was an 831 ERA. We talked about it a little yesterday.

There's no way you could use him right now. He'd been terrible. But he legitimately did dominate yesterday. Eight shutout innings with 11 strikeouts on 15 swinging strikes. You feel like those numbers, the 11th strike, as the 15th swinging strikes, are pretty rare for Roark, but that's kind of what he was doing earlier this year.

His first 10 starts, remember, he looked like a fixture in your lineup, had a 317 ERA back then with similar dominance metrics going on there. I don't know what changed in this start. He said he had been being too quick to the plate and tried to slow down his delivery. in the past he seemed like a guy

who's really susceptible to shifting mechanics maybe he's about to go on another run I'd be willing to take a flyer on him again because he's barely owned right now 66% 66% he's not as widely owned as I

presumed he was probably a better way to say it the Mets and the Reds at home next week this is Tanna Roark we're talking about Mets and Reds at Home Would you rather would you drop Dylan Bundy for Tanner Roark I wouldn't.

I would not. I don't think I would either, but I don't think they're that far apart. Would you rather have Roark or Nativaldi? Roark. Yeah, Roark. The standouts to me really have been the rookie starting pitchers. They are having a really tough week, and we're going to talk about them in a second.

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Quick bullpen notes. Anthony Swarzak got a two-out, two-inning, did it again, two-inning save for the Mets. Robert Gazellman pitched the eighth, or two-outs in the eighth anyway. Pitch the seventh. You're right, Scott. Because when you pitch-a-off. That was a two-in-same. I was really trying to do the math on that.

I was like, how did Swarzac get a save if you pitched the ninth and ten? That's, wow. Well, you know what? Sergio Romo, since he appeared at third base, he got a save even though he isn't the last pitcher in the line score. That's weird, because he was in, and then pitcher came in after him, and then obviously switched back in and got the save. So that was, I didn't even know saves could work that way, frankly. Right.

So Romo pitched a lot, I think, an out of the game. the 8th, then I think the first batter of the 9th was a lefty, so they brought in a lefty, they moved Roma to 3rd. Romo came back and finished out the game with two more outs. And if you look at the box score, the last pitcher listed is not Sergio Romo, as Scott mentioned.

Even though Roma was the last pitcher to pitch, it's so weird. Okay, well, anyway, Swarzak is 3% owned. Do we care? I mean, obviously, if this leads to more saves, we care, but he's been so bad that I don't trust it will. Yeah, Swarzak has a 675

ERA for the Mets. Sir Anthony Dominguez got his 10th save. Victor O'Anno pitched the seventh in that game. They really did pitch the seventh, I promise. Brad Hand got a save for the Indians, and Cody Allen threw only 12 pitches the day before. Heath, do we have a controversy here? It's too early to drop

Brad Hand who's now 80% owned. You know, I think 80% own doesn't sound, sounds a little high still, but I think it's too early to drop him in a lot of leagues. See, he entered the game in the 8th when it was still a safe situation, and then the Indians got another run, so it wouldn't have been a safe situation if they brought in Cody Allen, but because Hand entered when it was, he got a safe.

All right, well, that makes more sense. But, you know, it is worth mentioning. Cody Allen is not having a good year. He has a 483 already. And I still, when Andrew Miller comes back, I feel like Hand and him are kind of going to be redundant and it makes more sense to turn the righty into a situational guy. But I don't know. I don't know if that's the way Frank Conan is going to think of it.

Jose LeClerc blew a save against the A's. He gave up a two-run homer to Chris Davis. Keanukeena was unavailable. Leclerc is having a nice year. 245 ERA, 19 walks, 53 strikeouts and 36 and two-thirds. So we might have gotten a peak of what could happen if Keller gets traded. Jose LeClerc got the chance and blew it. And Pedro Strope, like I mentioned, he's gotten two saves since Brandon Morrow went on the DL.

Guys, it's been a rough week for rookie starting pitchers. It's a hitting environment these days. You know, you worry a little bit about these pitchers. They're not finished products. Walker Bueller has not had a quality start in his last five starts. And that's dating back to May 27th because he's been up and down. He's been on hurt. Jack Flaherty, like he's pitching fine, but he's not pitching deep into games anymore.

Shane Bieber got rocked two days ago and Freddie Peralta gave up seven runs yesterday. So do you, in general, we look at rookie starting pitchers. Scott, do you have lowered expectations for them? At this point, if a rookie came up, sorry. If a rookie came up, I would expect a rookie hitter in this environment of baseball to do better than a rookie pitcher. Yeah, absolutely.

I feel like I am much more excited. in whenever a top-hitting prospect gets called up than a top-pitching prospect. Because even if the top-pitching prospect performs at the peak of his ability, he's probably not going to get the leeway to pitch as many innings as he'd need to to compete with the established guys. That being said, I mean, Flaherty has obviously proven that he deserves our trust and our confidence. even though the end results have been kind of shaky recently

eight total hits in his past three starts he was done in by two home runs yesterday he always seems to have just something little that goes wrong that you know the underlying number still look great and there just something happens to kind of yeah to kind of turn things on its side but he's

he's fine he's really good and of the ones you mentioned here, he's the one I have by far the most confidence in. You're talking about Jack Flaherty. The other ones I mentioned were Bueller, Bieber, and Peralta. And Heath, these guys are all owned in 80% of leagues or more, Bieber, 79%. What's your take on these rookie pitchers?

And I still want to own them, all of them. So I can't tell anybody that's too high of ownership. I think Flaherty, for me, is on a different level. I feel much more confidence in him, and I'm starting him pretty much always. Um, Beaver, his next start's going to be very important in terms of the perception of his fantasy value, but I would rank the next three, Mueller, Bieber, Peralta. Yeah, you know, I'm not so sure I want to own anymore to be perfectly honest.

I don't think there's a problem with it with the upside, but he's three of his last four starts have been pretty ugly. And the walks are back, right? Yeah. 22 walks now in 43 and a third for Peralta. Now, all of these guys are listed as two star pitchers. Peralta at the Dodgers and home against Colorado. Bieber at Minnesota and home against the Angels. Bueller has Milwaukee and Houston at home.

And Flaherty has Colorado and at Pittsburgh. None of them have great matchups. You know, I'll say this about Bueller. I love his stuff. I think he's going to be really good. But I'm a little concerned that they just have so many guys. I mean, we talk about it all the time. The Dodgers could easily remove him from the rotation,

if not permanently, just temporarily. It could be very frustrating. So I don't know. I might be willing to drop, I don't know, most willing to drop him from this list, but I might be willing to drop Walker Buehler because I'm not sure I trust him to get consistent starts.

What do you guys think? I don't think trust is the right word to use for him, but in a points league, I'm not going to drop him because I want to be able to use him as a spark. And I do think he has the most upside of everyone not named Flaherty on this list. Yeah. All right. Well, let's talk about who we are going to drop.

The dropometer. Well, are we going to drop any of these? these guys. Zero to ten. Yeah, we did the ownometer yesterday. We're switching it up. We're doing the dropometer today. Ten is absolutely dropping this guy. No question. Zero is Adam. You haven't gotten any sleep. You have a newborn. You're an idiot. Why would you even ask? Not dropping him. Andrew McCutcheon, 98% owned in his last 33 games. He has a 649 OPS. Andrew McCutcheon, zero to 10, Heath. 0.0.0.0. I want to add another 0 in there just to make sure that you get the point.

Andrew McCutche. I thought you're going to have one eventually. Might have the next Matt Carpenter stretch coming. Oh, okay. Well, he already did. The 18 games before this bad stretch of 33 games, he had a 1052 OPS with five homers. And I thought that he would, you know, that the streak would be prolonged. But, yeah, he's. He got cold again. Like, there's not anything to look at with Andrew McCutcheon. Yes, I'll clarify. He is striking out a little bit more often than he did last year or he has over his career.

But it's 21.8%. I'm not worried about that. He's crushing the baseball. He's got a 26% line drive rate. He's cut his ground balls from last year and it's below his career average. There's no reason for Andrew McCutcheon not be having success. He has a low soft contact percentage, a very high, hard contact percentage. I'm still starting

so I'm not dropping them Scott zero to 10 for you on the dropometer from McCutcheon I'll give it like a two because I feel like in categories leagues I'm not sure like in three outfielder categories leagues which aren't that common

they are on other websites yeah I mean I'm not sure he's going to have quite the power to measure up now the points leagues he walks so much that he obviously needs to be owned there and standard rotor leagues with five outfielders you just have too many outfield spots to fill. So it would, I don't think it's unthinkable though

in shallow three outfielder five by five leagues. Just looking at the splits for McCutcheon, better batting average at home, 270 to 245, more power on the road, not surprising. All right, next step on the dropometer, Eric Hosmer, 92% owned. It really jumped off the page to me. He has a 697 OPS.

That's awful. Eric Hosmer, 0 to 10 on the dropometer. He might be up to like a 6 now for me. In standard size leagues, I could totally understand how he might be the worst player on your roster. And maybe you want to go for Jake Bowers over Hosmer at that point. I'm totally fine with it. He's not, he's striking out a lot more than he has.

really at any point in his career, so I'm not hopeful of a lot of batting average correction here. And if he's not hitting for average, his entire career has shown. If he doesn't hit for average, if he's not right around 300, he's just another guy at first base. I might even go as high as eight.

I kind of thought maybe the strikeouts were a result of, because Eric Cosmer talked about fly balls a little bit in the preseason. He's got a 60% ground ball rate now. His ground ball rate has gone up. His fly ball rate is 17%. All right, so would you rather have Hasmer or Jose Martinez? I think I'd rather have Jose Martinez and just hope that the Cardinals don't go back to Jed Jerko whenever he's over this illness.

I just hope that they trade him to an American League team for something that they need right now. Would you rather have Hosmer or Justin Boer? I'll still say Hosmer, but yeah, that's a close call. All right. I'll go Hosmer too, but I don't. I don't care that much to argue with somebody who says four. Next up on the dropometer, we have Paul DeYoung, 82% own. Paul DeYoung since coming off the DL on July 6th is batting 219 with one home run.

Four walks of 10 strikeouts. Yeah, he's really not having a great year. Paul D. Young, except I will say this about DeYoung. He has 20 walks this year in 57 games. Last year, he had 21 walks in 108 games, so that's nice. But drop-o meter from a young. A lot of good it's doing him, huh? A lot of good.

I don't feel like shortstop is in such a sorry state that we have to hold on to DeYoung just because, oh, I have to have somebody at the position who might give me some power. I think there's enough to go around that we're not in that place. So, you know, standard roto league where you have an middle infield spot to fill, you know, you probably want to hold on to him there. But considering the spectrum of all leagues, I'll give him like a seven for dropability. I'm going to give him a four. I still have a little bit more hope that he's just struggled a little bit coming off the disabled list.

Adam, you mentioned that the lock numbers are up. The strikeout numbers are actually down just a little bit, and the swinging strike rate has dropped by 2%. So I think there's some reason for hope. Scott's right about shortstop, but he does have that second base shortstop dual eligibility, so that helps him a little too. This DeYoung, we're talking about. Heath, do you think we should get fantasy points for a decrease in swinging strike rate for hitters?

Well, we don't have a stat that we count for hitters. it's as stupid as wins, so I don't know if there's room for it. What about RBI? RBI's pretty bad. Oh, God. RBI's bad? If we want to start

rewarding tendencies that reflect production, what game are we playing at that point? It's like giving a pitcher a Cy Young award for his tip. I said RBI is pretty bad. It's not on the spectrum of wins or losses. RBIs are not bad.

RBI is a great, that. Love RBI's. Kyle Tucker. Our things teams do that you get fantasy points for. Oh, wait, no, I have a few more. All right, real quick. Juris and ProFar, 80% O, and dropometer, profar.

I really like Jerksson ProFar and think he has the potential to have a huge second half. So I'm going to give that a... I'm going to give him a four on the dropometer. Yeah, I would probably be more likely to drop him, then I would...

Well, he's eligible at every single position, though. That helps. Really? Every position but pitcher and catcher. Yeah. I'll say a four just like DeYoung. Kyle Tucker, 70% own, batting 154, has sat three of the last six games. All three of them were against lefties. Kyle Tucker, 70% own, dropometer.

Trying to keep this calibrated. I think he's probably where Eric Cosmer is a six, maybe six point four. He could get hot and live up to all our hopes and dreams for him. But you'll probably have another shot at him if that happens if he dropped him now. I doubt there's going to be a rush to the waiver wire to add him if somebody sees that you dropped him. Are we late enough in the season to say that this is dependent on where your team's at? I feel like we are. Yeah, we're late in the season.

We're not really in the second half. we're, what, 105 games into the season or something like that. So, yeah, we're getting there. Roughly two-thirds of the way. So as long as the Astros have him on the roster and have not sent him back down because they think he's just not ready yet, I don't really want to drop Kyle Tucker,

and I will just use another Astro as an example of why, and it's Alex Brickman. And it's George Springer. George Springer, in his first month in 2014, batted 182 with two extra base hits, both doubles. So, yeah, they have a history of being patient. I just, yeah, he has sat three of the last six games. All right, last one is Brandon Nimmo, 65% own.

Drop-O-meter for Nimmo, who by the way has batted seventh, three straight games. All seven, excuse me, all three of those games in which Nimmo's batted seventh were against lefties, so he might lead off against righties, we don't know. But he's been demoted a little bit. 65-per-owned Brandon Nimmo, drop-a-meter. Four. I might go just a little bit higher. Who would you rather own Tucker or Nimmo?

That's Nemo. entirely for me dependent upon where my team is at. And what my roster looks like. If I have a spot on the bench and I'm firmly in the playoffs, I'd rather have Tucker. All right, cool. Let's do some rankings talk. Haven't done enough of this this year.

I apologize. Regulators coming up in a little bit. Also, John Lester, Jake Arieta were good yesterday. Tyler Skaggs was awesome. And Danny Duffy was terrible, so we'll try to get to all of that. and today's matchups as well. All right. So Alex Wood.

Scott has Alex Wood 54th in both formats, points in Roto. Heath has Alex Wood 39th in points and 28th in Roto. Heath, you're the high guy on Alex Wood. Discuss. And I don't know that my perception of Alex Wood has changed a lot. So this is probably more reflective of Scott hating Alex Wood's guts. What? But, like, it is true that his swinging strike rate has dropped by a point from last year.

It's also higher than any year other than last year. His control has been phenomenal. His ERA is a little higher than what it should be. He's had a little bit of bad luck. It's been really bad with runners on base, 68% strand rate. But I, I, like, if Alex Wood is starting a baseball game, I am starting Alex Wood. So, Scott, 50, it's not just a swinging strike break. I'm sure Scott's going to point out the strikeouts themselves are way down for Wood.

Is that what's bothering you? Well, I want, this is a good point to say, like, they are down. He's still an average strikeout pitcher by K percentage. It's just that he's not walking anyone. His whip is, he's just, I'm not worried about it. Scott, 50s for Scott, for Alex Wood. So I, I like Alex Wood. written a number of pieces over the year,

years basically just praising Alex Wood. So to say I don't like him, I think is erroneous on all accounts. But he's kind of boring. He doesn't have the upside of Vince Velasquez or Nick Povetta or Zach Godlady. These are some of the pitchers I rank just a little ahead of him. So I'd rather own them.

That being said, like, there's a chance they're going to slide behind him if they don't turn their ERAs around. I feel like Wood is going to stay right there in basically must-own territory, 54th overall. And there's not a lot of leagues where a top 60 pitcher isn't being owned.

I feel like he is very trustworthy, especially in categories leagues, because you know the whip's going to be low, you know the ERA is going to be respectable. So he's clearly not that guy we saw in the first half last year, but I think he's a fine pitcher. All right. And his innings have been better lately.

Six straight starts with at least six innings. Six straight quality starts for Alex Wood. J.T. Rayamuto, Scott's got him as his number one overall catcher. Heath has him fourth in points, fifth in Roto. Scott, make the case, J.T. Realmuto is better than all the rest. He's simply the best. I mean, just look at the numbers. I don't know.

I don't know what more to say other than that. He has been by far the best catcher on a per game basis this year. The only, the only, the only, only one who I think was blocking him from that top spot was Gary Sanchez in the hopes he'd come back and be the Gary Sanchez we know him to be but now that he's missing another month there's no reason to have him ahead of Rio Muto anymore I mean Buster Posey doesn't have Real Muto's power Wilson Contreras hasn't been nearly as reliable at the plate this year as Real Muto has who else would be in that discussion gattis I guess but he's he's not as

well-rounded of a hitter You know, Heath just ruined this argument because he just updated his rankings five minutes ago and now, Ray. I had not updated my rankings since Gary Sanchez went on the DL. Like, I didn't think it made sense to have that discussion. Why, do you move Real Muto number one? No, he moved him to third.

So you just move them up one spot ahead of Sanchez? I just, no, I didn't move him at all. I just moved Sanchez down below all these guys. And I'm open to the possibility that Rial Moto will be the best catcher for the rest of. of the season. I don't think some of the stuff he's doing is completely sustainable. I don't

necessarily buy that he's had a big increase in power. Like, he's probably going to hit 20. But his home run to fly ball ratio is well outside of his career norms. And there's not a ton of data to suggest that's real.

All right, guys, pick one more. We'll pick one out of these two. Cody Bellinger or Glaber Torres? Bellinger. Bellinger. All right. Scott likes Bellinger more than Heath does, I believe. No, no, I'm wrong. Heath likes Bellinger more than Scott does. Scott has Bellinger 12th in points, 11th in Roto. Heath has Bellinger, eighth in points, ninth in Roto at first base. So, Heath, tell me why you still have faith and you have Cody Bellinger as a top 10 first baseman.

Sorry, I started preparing my argument for why Cody Bellinger wasn't good, and now I have to make an argument for why Cody Bellinger is good. So I'm just trying to shift gears here. I think he's good, too, so I don't even know that it's fair to categorize it in those terms. Yeah. Like, he's a top 75 overall player for me. I'm trying to pull up my latest trade chart. But go ahead. So I would be curious who the first baseman that Scott has ahead of Cody Bellinger, that I don't.

All right. Because I think that may be the bigger difference. Working backwards, J.T. Real Muto, which, you know, Obviously, I'm factoring in catcher eligibility there. I'm not sure that you are. Jesus Aguilar. Carlos Santana in a points league. Only in a points league.

Reese Hoskins, Jose Abray, Matt Carpenter, Max Muncie. Matt Carpenter. No, Heath does not have Matt Carpenter ahead of Bellinger in Rota. I think that's the only one that's really interesting. Because Real Motto, it's the catcher thing. Aguilar, I had some questions about how completely real that hot streak was and now he's on a cold streak. I should probably move Matt Carpenter ahead of Bellinger in Road O2.

I already had him well ahead of him in points. So there, debate solved. Okay, well, Bellinger, I mean, is really not doing very well. Do you guys think there's a by-low player here? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, I think there is. First of all, he's been more productive than you would think

by looking at the raw numbers in points leagues. Secondly, all the underlying numbers say he's basically the player he was last year. And he's not doing great in terms of BABIP. His home run to fly ball rate is suspiciously low, considering he's still hitting the ball hard and elevating it plenty. And those stupid RBI. He has 44 RBI and 101 games. that's there it is

stupid RBI Cody Bellinger is the number 12 first baseman of points number 13 in Roto I'm going to give you guys a bunch of names and I just want you to give me like one sentence on them up to three sentences

I'll give you some leeway Max Kepler Max Kepler is 35% owned he has been better lately Scott I know you were a Kepler guy earlier are you a Kepler guy now not so much anymore

I do like that I don't have the percentages in front of me. I haven't looked at them in a while. That's way more than three sentences. It's like a run-on sentence. I know, I know, I know. The Babbin is super low,

but so is the line drive rate. So I'm not super confident he's going to see a big direction there. That's three sentences. If you had just done that, cool. Pitchers. Heath, John Lester, six innings, one run, seven strikeouts.

His first quality start in six starts, but he has a 306 ERA. Lester. He was due for regression. He had regression. I think he'll be a serviceable starting pitcher. You don't buy him, you don't sell him, you just hold him and start him most of the time. That was like six sentences.

No, those were commas, not periods. They were kind of like rapid fire sentences there at the end. Yeah. A lot of really short ones. Jake Arieta Scott, six innings, five hits, three runs, two earned, six strikeouts against the Dodgers. Been a little bit better, ladies. He's got a 318 ERA in his last five start. Two starts for Areetta next week.

One of them is at Boston. The other is home against Miami. Can't get much different than that. What do you think about Arieta? He's still not great, but he's been too trustworthy to drop. So go ahead and use him. That was exactly three sentences. Is he the second, third, fourth, or fifth best Phillies pitcher?

He, you know, that's a good question. I think I have him ranked second. I can totally understand the argument that he is the fifth most upside of it. Yeah. Tyler Skaggs, Heath. Is he a stud? Is he a must-start guy? Well, he's got to be a must-star guy.

Is he a stud, though, Tyler Skaggs? He's a top 30 starting pitcher. I would only say the top 20 are studs. He's a quasi-stud. Fringy starting pitchers. Who's your favorite in this group? Roark, Duffy, Mike Leak, and Urban Santana.

Well, I would have definitely said Duffy before yesterday, it's still, like, his last seven starts, he's allowed 13 earn runs in two of them, and he's allowed to combine two earn runs in the other five. So that is super annoying. And obviously he had a great matchup yesterday. I think because of that, I'm still going to have him number one. I'm not ready to totally move Rhearck ahead of him just because one really good start. Duffy's had good strikeouts during the stretch.

I still pretty much like him. It's Duffy and here's Heath's wild, wacky theory on Danny Duffy's bad start yesterday. He does not want to be traded. No, he tanked. He threw the game. He did not. He said over and over he doesn't want to be traded. And maybe he threw the game.

Maybe it was just nerves thinking this could be his last start for the Royals, but he's fine. I mean, look, that really bothers me. Okay, if that's the case with Danny Duffy, then he should be. suspended from baseball for at least three months. It is absolutely unacceptable to throw a game. And quite frankly, I am regulating on Danny Duffy. And regulating commission issues. Here we go.

The fantasy regulators are back. This is from Derek in Poseyville. This is a funny one. All right, check it out. Derek says, tell me how Bush League my idea is. Season-long Roto League with weekly lineups. There are no. limits on the number of roster moves for the season or the week.

So guys like Jordan Hicks are free agents right now, and Hicks would be picked up the minute that Bud Norris gets traded if that were to hypothetically happen. I have the number one priority on the waiver wire that only helps me pick up guys who are on waivers, not free agents like Hicks. So, you know, in a lot of leagues, guys only on waivers if he gets dropped recently. However, with some shenanigans, I could move all of these guys to the waiver. wire. On July 29th, I could drop my worst player and add Jordan Hicks. Then immediately drop Hicks and add Kirby Hates. Then immediately drop Yates for someone else and so on until every potential

speculative trade deadline warrior is on waivers. And I would still have the number one waiver wire priority. Am I a complete butthole for even thinking of this? Yes. Yeah, this is clearly abusing that rule. And as a commissioner, I mean, I haven't encountered this since like we were all high schoolers and much more capable of being total jerks like this. But I shut that down stuff, that stuff down right away. Because, you know, it's one thing if you make a transaction and be like, oops, I meant to pick up this other guy instead. And so one guy ends up on waivers like that. Okay, whatever. But if you see somebody make five root moves in a row like this, you got to shut that stuff down. Derek, this is a complete jerk move. Yeah, it's pretty bad. But,

no. No. You want to go back to an earlier stage? There are no limits on the number of roster moves. You are way to. You are way to. If you want to stop this, make a rule. Okay, but you shouldn't have to, like, you shouldn't have to. There is no rule. Right.

Okay. If you're the commissioner, Eric, win. You shouldn't have to over-legislate. Yeah, I agree. I agree with Scott. You know what? You know what over-legislating is enforcing rules that don't exist. You know, I just think that, practically, practically speaking, if you're the commissioner

or creating a league, you can't think of these things. You can't think, oh, someone might do this. better write a rule about it. I did this in a football league last year. You're a jerk. You're a butt hole. And a guy that lost his quarterback. That's so, that's such a jerk move to do. I think I remember you left the quarterbacks on your roster, right? You didn't just immediately drop them. That's a different situation. Like if you, if you're wanting to block somebody from picking up a replacement in a position and you're willing to sacrifice your own roster space to do it, I think that's totally legit.

All right. Next up. If you're just exploiting the waiver process. You don't want this to happen. change the rule. And it's very easy to change the rule. Everybody's always on waivers. Let's keep regulating. This is from Scott Schmidt from Arlington Heights, Illinois. Dear Lou, Bob, Stan, and Red. Lou Bob, Stan, and Red. Heath, those are Cardinals Hall of Famers. That's got to make you very happy. All right. Our 10-team League, our 10-team Roto League voted to have trading this year.

So the commissioner has already made 19 trades. Eight of them are with the same team. My complaint is with the eight trades with the same team. team, they've traded 51 players with some of the same players going back and forth. Both teams have benefited from these trades and are currently in first and fourth place. My argument with the commissioner, who's my friend and I share a team in another league with, is that when you make this many trades with another team, you're working together. At what point does trading with another team become collusion? I'm thinking maybe we should limit the amount of trades one team

can make with another team and the total amount of trades one team can make. What do you think? collusion is when you're combining your assets to benefit one team because the other person's in on it, they don't mind creating this shell of a team that's not going to compete because they're going to split the pot for this one team or whatever. That's collusion. If trades are helping both teams be competitive, that's exactly what trading's for. So you're cool with this? Picking up and dropping six guys, not cool. Trading 51 players.

There's no rule against it. That's perfectly fine. It's fine, just like the first one was. It's fine. The first one is not fine. Absolutely not fine. This is from Steve. It was brought to my attention.

One of the managers in my league has been leaving his catcher spot empty and is carrying an extra pitcher. On Yahoo, it's technically allowed. Several managers complained about this, and I reached out to this manager via text. I said he was, quote, bending the rules by doing this. Here is his response. He's leaving his catcher spot empty in case you all have forgotten. That's not a rule or an advantage.

I've been wanting a catcher, but the free agents of catchers is crap right now. It's a 12-te-by-5-5-headed Categories League, and Daily roster moves one catcher spot. So this guy finally picked up a catcher briefly, but another manager noticed his catcher spot was still empty. I took it to a league vote via email, and the league voted overwhelmingly that this should not be allowed. Here is his email response.

How are you planning to enforce this made-up in the middle-level? of the season rule. This manager is an excellent fantasy baseball player who's won this league multiple times. He's a good guy. I'm very surprised at his response. Even though he's not technically breaking any rules, I think that in the spirit of good sportsmanship, he should be rostering a full team of batters.

Do the fantasy regulators agree that this is a made-up rule that should not be imposed at mid-season? Or should we make this guy have a catcher? What's your answer, Heath? 100% yes. I agree with the manager who is not carrying a catcher. If it's not, like, I don't know how. it is on, he plays on a different side. He doesn't play on CBS. I know on CBS, you can set it up so that

person is required to have every line of spot spot filled or it's an illegal lineup or they can not do this. You could, it's just all in the setup. So, uh, you could set up the league so that this is illegal and he doesn't get credit if he doesn't have that catcher spot filled. But if it's not, then I think it is legal. And you can't change that in the middle of the season. And the other thing is, you know, there might be a disadvantage to not having a catcher. It's not necessarily benefiting you. You're missing out on some catching stats, some counting stats, excuse me. I used to do this sometimes more in football, actually.

Like if my starting tight end was on wave, it was on by for the week or something. I just, rather than cut somebody who I didn't want to cut, I'd just go without a tight end that week. Yeah, but you would at least be Rossing a tight end. and not using that last of spot on someone else. I think I've even done it before where I just didn't have a good tight end and I couldn't decide who to drop and so I might just not start a tight in that week. And I don't know that it worked how well for me, but it's something I've tried before. I got to get out of here, guys.

So let's do the today's matchup super quick. Zach Godley at Tyler Chatwood. Start Godlin. Dylan Covey at Nick Troppiano. Neither. Stephen Matt's at Nick Kingham. Neither. Neither.

King. Maybe Kingham. Yeah. Kingham, I think, has earned it. Who is this guy? Oh, it's a raised reliever against Alex Cobb, no thanks. Jake Junis at Sunny Gray. Neither. Oh, I'm starting Sunny Gray. But it's at Yankee Stadium, right?

I know, but it's the Royals. But it's at Yankee Stadium. He just did well against the Mets at Yankee Stadium. I don't trust them. Yeah, I mean, it's late enough in the week. If you're making daily lineup decisions, then it's just for me, comes down, whether you need the counting stats or the ratios more.

Ranger Suarez at Tyler Malley. I'm fine with Malley. I'm not saying he's must start, but I'd be okay with that. Tommy Malone for the Nationals at Dan Straeli. No. Tommy Malone? Yeah, I know. Yep.

Kyle Gibson and Brian Johnson. No, we're not starting Gibson at the Red Sox. I might. I'm not. He's like, I might. He's a. Legitimately top 40 type pitcher, I think. Hot take that I'm not sure I believe.

I probably don't believe I'm going to say it anyway. At the Red Sox is worse than at the Rockies. Dodgers at Braves, Rich Hill at Annabal Sanchez. I would start both. Trevor Cahill at Bartolo Cologne. Neither, no. Wade Miley at Derek Rodriguez. Derek's fine.

All right, I got my eye on Trevor Cahill. He's 41% owned. He had a pretty good start last time out, not great. Got an eye eye on him. He might be a little underone. All right, guys, that's it for today's show. Thank you very much. For Scott Verheath, I'm Adam.

We'll talk to you on Friday. We'll take ahead a sneak peek at next week. I have no idea what scoring period that's going to be. But we'll talk about it on tomorrow show. See you later.