Fantasy Baseball Today - 08/02 Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Judge, Albies, Tue. Recap

Episode Date: August 2, 2017

Ozzie Albies is up! How much will he help your team (4:44)? And which other call-ups are worth monitoring (7:10)? ... We discuss the recent struggles of Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger and why this was... somewhat predictable (14:25). Plus what do we expect from Manny Machado going forward (25:00)? ... Some "Hey Real Quick" (23:30) and Michael Jackson-themed segments in the last 20 minutes of the show. We also look at today's matchups (55:45) and grade your trades (58:30) ... Your emails at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Grade the Trade Day today on the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast. It said the word day a lot. It might be one of our final grade the trade days of the 2017 season as the deadlines are approaching. We welcome me to the show. This is the Wednesday show. It's Hump Day. And we're going to get you over the hump with get ready for this, a Michael Jackson themed fantasy baseball podcast. Who's pumped?
Starting point is 00:00:37 Sure. Yeah, let's do it. Yeah. Let's do it. We have three segments that are Michael Jackson themed. I won't tell you all of them now, but one of them is beat it, and that would be about players we might be willing to drop right now. Obviously.
Starting point is 00:00:49 Right. Makes sense. And Buffalo Wildlings makes sense. Sports trades are scary. One person can be replaced by another. Exchange for money, you're given away for a hypothetical future person. And once they leave your team, you can't like them anymore, even if you have their jersey, which you can't wear anymore, except at B-dubs.
Starting point is 00:01:07 They won't judge, but others might. Buffalo Wild Wings, Wings, Beard Sports. Oh, good morning, guys. Fill in the blank for me, if you would. Evan Longoria is the number blank third baseman in points leagues and number blank in Roto, Evan Longoria. Hmm. I will go with number 13 in points leagues and 14 in Roto.
Starting point is 00:01:35 I believe he is seventh in points, and I will say eighth in Roto. Okay, I think Chris cheated. He is seventh in points. I was looking it up this morning. He's 11th in Roto. But, man, I mean, Evan Longoria, he hit for the cycle yesterday. He hasn't had that good of a year. What right does he have to be seventh in points?
Starting point is 00:01:58 He's like a point and a half ahead of Mike Mastakis, I think. Really? And I don't think anybody, like, Mike Mastakis is having a good year, but I don't think we've ever had him in our top 12. And I think that's probably the same for Evan Longerner. Well, Musco is a lot better in Rodo. Mustakis is the number 32 overall player in Rodo, and Longoria is 64th. So what is Longoria getting in points? Doubles.
Starting point is 00:02:28 Because it's not like he's a great plate discipline guys. Pretty average as far as that goes. He's 11 more doubles than Mustacca. So Musacus is 17 walks this year. How many more home runs does Mustakis have than? Probably 10. 13? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:02:43 13. He has 13 more home runs in LaGuardia? 30 to 17. He's at 30, Mustakis. He's at 30 already? Yeah, he's one of the leaders. He's going to set the Royals record. Well, I knew he was one of the leaders, but already to 30.
Starting point is 00:02:58 Wow, that, man. Yeah, I'd rather have Mustakis. I mean, there's nothing like... Evan Lagoria is one of those hitters who, if you're starting him, it's not a real problem, but he's not the one setting you apart. I'm sure the fact that he's hitting 355 over his last 24 games has something to do with where he ranks among third baseman. He's just one of the hotter ones right now. So among that cluster, he's moved toward the front.
Starting point is 00:03:27 It's been a weird season at third base. Yeah, yeah, it hasn't been a great year. Is Longoria a jag? Just the guy? He's maybe a little bit above that, but I think that's probably. Like, he ranks higher in Roto at third base than Freddie Freeman, Mani Machado. Justin Turner. I don't think there's any he's ranked higher than Matt Carpenter, but I don't think
Starting point is 00:03:47 there's any question. You'd rather have all of those guys ahead of him. And there are just various reasons. Manny Machado has been a little bit unlucky. Justin Turner missed some time. Matt Carpenter has been up and down, but like, you'd definitely rather have those guys
Starting point is 00:04:03 than I have a Longoria. Okay. Yeah. You know, I probably could have done a, it ain't too much for me to JAG segment for Michael Jackson, but I didn't do that, regrets. Regrets. Yeah, so listen, Ozzy Albies is up. Lucas Sims is up.
Starting point is 00:04:19 Keon Broxen's up. Bad news for Lewis Brinston. Byron Buxson's back. We'll talk about all that stuff. We'll talk about Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger, the rookie of the year candidates and what they've been doing lately. Bellinger was a good game yesterday. A lot to get to today. And your emails at Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com, and we'll get to today's matchups also at the end of the show. Gray, the trade will be at the end of the show.
Starting point is 00:04:41 Let's go to the call-ups. And Ozzy Albi's second baseman for Atlanta. He started at second base yesterday. Albies is 30% owned. He played second base when O for two with a walk and a run. And they also called up Lucas Sims who started and threw six innings of three-run ball with three strikeouts against the Dodgers. Is Ozzy Al-B is going to give you anything other than steals this year, guys?
Starting point is 00:05:06 Dun it. Dun it. Dun-it. Steals, steals, steals. Yeah, that would be what I would expect from him. He kind of has a bit of a Francisco Lindor profile in the minors. His numbers are just okay. Nine home runs this season, eight triples, 21 steals.
Starting point is 00:05:27 Hit 285, but not the best strikeout rate for a guy who doesn't have a lot of power. But he's not even 21 yet. He won't be 21 until next January. He's the youngest player in baseball. as the first ever major league are born in 1997. God. And this, like, yeah, the power numbers
Starting point is 00:05:48 haven't been very good for the miners. I don't know that he doesn't profile as a power hitter. But I think in today's environment, when you have the kind of hitting skills that Ozzy Albe's has always been a very good contact hitter, you know, this isn't,
Starting point is 00:06:03 this isn't like a Jorge Mateo prospect we were talking about yesterday, where he's just strictly a burner. This is a guy who's hit for an average a high average throughout his minor league career. And over his last 45 games in the minors, or 46 games rather,
Starting point is 00:06:25 he had nine doubles, five triples, seven homers, slugged 508 with like a 203 ISO. So considering his youth and the, just the base hitting talent he has, entering what's now an extremely hitter-friendly environment more so than AAA. I don't know that he'll be just steals. That's all I would really count on from him. But, you know, if he gets off to a really good start here, I think he's going to be must-add everywhere.
Starting point is 00:06:54 Is Ozzy Albi's going to give you, we got about about 58, 60 games, I don't know, something like that left. Will you get 15 steals from Albies? That's probably on the high side. Yeah, I'd take the under. Okay. All right. And do you care about Lucas Sims? Starting pitcher for the Braves. Again, six innings, three runs, three strikeouts against the Dodgers in his major league debut last night, 12% owned. I mean, he's not the talent Albies is, but he did have a very high strikeout rate at AAA. It was a former first round pick who had some serious control issues last year and corrected those this year. Did allow a lot of home runs at AAA and I think allowed the one in his major league debut. Obviously, quality start in major league debut is. a good thing, but he'll need to maintain that high strikeout rate from AAA with some of the
Starting point is 00:07:45 vulnerability he has to home runs to really factor in fantasy. So I'm not rushing out to add him, but he's definitely on the radar. Lucas Sims. Here are some other call-ups. Tell me if you care about them. Detroit recalled first baseman John Hicks who homered yesterday. John Hicks. I do not care except in A-L-only leagues. Cincinnati. Sorry, Cincinnati recalled Jesse Winker with Scott Shebler on the D.O. With a shoulder strain and he homered and was robbed actually of a second homer yesterday, Jesse Winker. Which is fun because he had two home runs in AAA this year.
Starting point is 00:08:19 And he nearly... Yeah. I get the sense with Jesse Winker because... I think he maybe had a 15 homer season in the minors once, but he's one of those prospects who... Great plate discipline, great hitting skills. They keep saying, oh, the power is eventually going to develop.
Starting point is 00:08:34 And if anything, it's gotten worse over the last couple years. I have a feeling he's going to be one of those players, though, who doesn't show his best as a power hitter until reaching the majors. And the fact he has five walks to two strikeouts already as a major leaguer, I think no hurry to add him, but definitely somebody to keep an eye on. Yeah, he has seven home runs over his last 195 games in the minors. In 2015, he had 13 homers. In 2014, he had 15 and 74 games.
Starting point is 00:09:05 Yeah, I mean... Is there an explanation for why the power just disappeared like that? I looked into it when I was, you know, doing some of the pre-season prospect stuff, because Winker's been on the prospect, you know, been in the prospect discussion for a while now, and it was weird the big drop in home runs. I couldn't, there was a wrist injury, I think, that wasn't directly attributed to the problem, to the drop in home runs. The fact that it continued into this year, though, makes me think it probably wasn't directly related.
Starting point is 00:09:43 I honestly don't know, but I mean, his home runs yesterday, or the actual home run was to center field. The near home run was opposite way. It's pretty clear there's power here. I don't know why he wasn't hitting home runs in the minors, but I do expect him to hit more in the majors. Maybe not be like a 20 homer guy, but double digits with good plate discipline. know what's going to happen. Could be a Christian Yelich type. We don't know what's going to happen when Scott Chebler comes back, but Jesse Winker, would you drop Lewis Brinson for him right now? I don't think so. I might, just because is Lewis Brinson going to play? They called Keon
Starting point is 00:10:20 Brockston back up. Right. Yeah. Yeah, I don't know, but, you know, Winker has playing time questions, too. So I think Lewis is the more talented player. Winker has to do more than hit one home run for me to prioritize him over Brent. First name basis there, Scott. Oh, he's a local boy. For instance, Fort Lauderdale kid. Scott might have run into him at the grocery store. I like it. All right, Ahmed Rosario, about at 7th at Colorado.
Starting point is 00:10:49 Jose Reyes sat. We actually didn't talk about that angle, but if you care. I mean, they didn't trade Cabrera or Walker or Reyes. So they've got a little bit of a surplus. Reyes said yesterday. Walker's going to play second and first. I would assume Reyes. Is he just going to play third?
Starting point is 00:11:05 Third and second. Occasionally second, they said. Yeah, so I would guess Rosario is probably the only everyday player in that group, although, of course, I'm blanking on the Mets manager's name. Terry Collins. Terry Collins. You'll have to learn a new name soon. As is his trend. I'm struggling right now.
Starting point is 00:11:30 What's going on, Chris? I don't know. I'm struggling with my—I woke up extra early today, so maybe that's it. I don't know. But either way. He started giving us some Michael Conforto hints yesterday that Ahmed Rosario will get some time off as he adjusts to the major league's schedule. So, sounds like they're giving a little bit of runway potentially for the two days off randomly every week that Terry Collins seems to give every young player. All right.
Starting point is 00:12:00 I would still say Rosari is the most exciting of all these call-ups though, right? I mean, we talked about him a good beat yesterday. Yes. But he's the one you want. He's the only one I would say is really, for sure, mixed league relevant. Out of Albi's, Sims, Winker, John Hicks, Rosario. Byron Buxton's back. He's 32% owned.
Starting point is 00:12:22 All he's going to do is steal, but he has 17 steals now. And as we mentioned, Milwaukee recalled Keon Broxton and Louis Brinson did sit yesterday. All right, getting into the Tuesday stuff. Tuesday standouts. And, you know, I don't know if anybody saw the Red Sox Indians game. I only caught the ninth inning. Whoa. That was a thriller.
Starting point is 00:12:44 That was a really fun game. Yeah, thriller, you know. Okay, can we just, home run or not? No, no. If you fall into the bullpen, if you fall into home run territory, that should be a home run. So actually, yes, yes, that should be a home run. That's actually in the notes, Chris. I'm glad you brought that up.
Starting point is 00:13:01 I don't get how that's a catch. Austin Jackson It's a strange rule He goes flying into the bullpen Makes an amazing catch Goes over the bullpen wall Which is pretty low I'll give him that
Starting point is 00:13:13 But you end up in home run territory Like that's a home run I don't get it I don't get it Yeah so So forgive me Because I didn't actually see the play But he actually
Starting point is 00:13:24 Cleared the fence Yeah And then caught it on the other side of the fence It wasn't leaping And reaching over the fence Caught it reaching over the fence landed with like his legs on the fence, flipped over into foul territory.
Starting point is 00:13:37 How's that different from robbing any other home run? Because he landed in the bullpen. He ends up in the bullpen. I mean, the ball is in the bullpen. And the bullpen is home run. I'm sure plenty of other catches where you're leaping at the fence would send you over the wall if the wall would lower. Right.
Starting point is 00:13:52 But you know what? A lot of fly balls would hit the wall. But at Fenway Park, the wall is low. They go into the bullpen. It's a home run. If the ball ends up... He caught it. He caught it.
Starting point is 00:14:01 before it landed on the other side of the fence. I don't actually have an opinion on this. I mean, you catch a ball at the one-yard line, and then you get hit and you fall into the end zone. It's a touchdown. You catch a ball at the wall, you fall under the bullpen. It should be a home run.
Starting point is 00:14:15 Where did the ball end up? Apples to oranges, totally. Yeah, I guess. And now I'm hungry. Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger. Let's take a look at Judge first. O'4 with a strikeout, a deep funk. The quote,
Starting point is 00:14:31 to the game yesterday from Aaron Judge. Quote, Chris Towers was wrong. The home run derby screwed me up. I regret ever participating, end quote. I don't know how he knew about you, Chris. Really interesting. No, he hadn't said anything about the derby. But since the All-Star break, Judge is batting 159 with four home runs.
Starting point is 00:14:51 In 18 games, he does have 15 walks, but 27 strikeouts. That is a pretty similar strikeout rate to what we saw last year when he batted 179 in 27 games. with 42 strikeouts. He's batting 159 since the All-Star break in 18 games with a very similar K-rate. The big difference is nine walks and 27 games last year, 15 walks and 18 games since the All-Star break, not to mention an amazing first half. How concerned are you right now about Aaron Judge? Well, I posted on Twitter yesterday just saying that he had 235 with like an 840 OPS in the month of July. And there's at least a chance that that's who he is. Like, I'm not. I'm not. not saying that is who he is, but we have to consider the possibility that within the wide range of outcomes that come with, you know, a six foot eight player who strikes out 30 plus percent of the time, that he might be a 240 hitter.
Starting point is 00:15:45 I don't think it's any fairer to say, you know, the low month for judge is actual judge versus the high month. Yeah, I didn't say that. Okay. I mean, like, that seemed to be what you were suggesting. No, no, I said we have to take into account the possibility that is. What were you taking into account the possibility that he could be... Right, yeah. That's what I'm saying, is that there's a wide range of outcomes, and we're seeing the low end now.
Starting point is 00:16:13 I think Aaron Judge is basically John Carlos Stanton. Sure. And John Carlos Stanton's like a 900 OPS bat. Yeah. All right. And Cody Bellinger. Scott, did you trade Cody Bellinger? I know you traded him on June 25th.
Starting point is 00:16:27 He hit two home runs that day. Did you trade him after the home runs? or before? I traded him before the home runs. All right. Since that two-homer game, Cody Bellinger, there's 28 games since Scott traded him. I guess like the day after Scott traded him. 247 with four home runs, 788 OPS, number 30 outfielder in points leagues, number 31 in Roto in the last 28 games.
Starting point is 00:16:52 Hit a home run last night, though. So I thought that was interesting. You did a good job. You got Francisco Lindor, right? Yeah, how was Francisco Lendor done during that stretch? What was the date that the starting point? June 25th. June 25th.
Starting point is 00:17:05 Although I think it's June 26th. But I think the point to take away from both Judge and Bellinger is, okay, Judge is hitting 159 since the All-Star Break. Obviously, that's not ideal. But even if Judge hits 240, he's still a very useful player. And I think that's the same thing with Cody Bellinger. I've got Cody Bellinger in one league where I'm using him as an outfielder, Rotta League and I haven't really, there's been no point where I've thought about sitting.
Starting point is 00:17:34 Same, same. But man, I really hope Aaron Judge is not a 240 hitter. Like, that would suck. I mean, I don't think he is. I think it's for like 260, too 60. He's going to strike out like 32% of the time. It's going to be really hard for him to hit much better than like 260. Yeah. No, well, like he needs to be like a, he hits the ball. Right, but he needs to be like a 350, bad bit guy to hit 270. I, yeah, I think he, I think he can be. I think he probably is. Well, his Babbitt might be a little low because so many of his hits are home runs. No, his Babbup's still like 380. No, no, no, no.
Starting point is 00:18:08 I mean, going forward. Yeah. A guy who hits a lot of home runs wouldn't have a great Babbitt because those don't count. Well, but I think, you know, both of these guys are, they strike out a ton. Most of their value is home runs, which, I mean, if you could, if you could, if you, like, home runs are going to be one of the more variable stats over the course. the season. You're not going to have a steady... You'll hit five in one
Starting point is 00:18:34 week and go three weeks without one. So, I mean, this is, this just comes with the territory. That's why, that's why it was easy to say sell high for both of these players because, you know, when they're, when they're homering at a rate that would put them on an 80 homer pace,
Starting point is 00:18:50 like, duh, they're not going to sustain that. And usually this is how it corrects with a, with a drastic, it's drastic and really frustrating. So, yeah, I mean, I don't think there's anything wrong with either. I think both are still, both Judge and Bellinger are still high-end must-start fantasy players. You just, you have to accept the, you know, the downslope along with the good moments. They're both really
Starting point is 00:19:18 good players. They're not as good as, the thing is, they both had maybe their best runs right at the beginning of their careers or in Aaron Judge's case, the real beginning of his career. We don't count last year, although we probably should. We don't. And so when that happens, we haven't seen the worst of them. And so it skews your perceptions because maybe the best of them could be the baseline, but it's probably not. No, well, the best of, no. Okay.
Starting point is 00:19:47 I get you. So during that same stretch, Lindorra's hit 318 with three homers, four steals, and an 833 OPS. That's been a little better. That's pretty good. Okay. And I'm sure much better plate discipline. Also, another standout from yesterday was Kenta Maeda, and Scott talked about how the Darvish trade might make Maeda a loser. He openly admitted the trade got his attention, lit a fire under him a little bit, and he had one of his best starts of the year.
Starting point is 00:20:12 Maeda did not give up a run, two hits in seven innings, only through 94 pitches. That's the annoying thing. Is that, like, okay, he got through seven innings on 94 pitches. He's not going to do that regularly. So if he's still only throwing 94 pitches, it was basically the same number of pitches he had been throwing. in those five innings starts. Yeah. Right.
Starting point is 00:20:31 And so that's the thing is like, typically a pitcher who throws a really, really good start like this, you'll leave him in for 105, 105, 110 pitches, and he can get through the eighth, maybe pitch a complete game. If this is like the absolute best we're going to get from Kenta Maeda seven innings, I think he's worth owning. I think he's a very good pitcher. But I think there's real concerns about his ability to handle full workload.
Starting point is 00:20:58 Man, this sounds so much like Mike Intamaida take before the season, doesn't it? Yes. Chris is seeing the light. Yeah, but you just like last week said you thought they were going to start turning Maida loose and letting him pitch deeper into games. Yeah. And that's my hope. That was my hope.
Starting point is 00:21:16 Before the season, my hope was that a year in the majors, a year pitching in a five-man rotation would get him used to the workloads. And instead, he's pitched in a five-man rotation. like three times all year. Yeah, let me, okay, let me try and sum it up this way because there's what I think should happen and what I want to happen versus what's actually going to happen.
Starting point is 00:21:39 And that's, Kenta Maeda, those two different positions couldn't be more opposite. Like, I feel like Kinta Maeda is one of, even when Clayton Kershaw is healthy, Kinta Maeda is one of the Dodgers' four best pitchers. Forget five. But I don't know that they're going to see that that way, When McCarthy comes back, Kershaw comes back, they're still going to have Hyun Jin Ryu around.
Starting point is 00:22:03 And the fact that they've already bumped my head of the bullpen that they're so careful with his innings, I'm still skeptical he's going to be the one who stays in the rotation. So I think he should, but I question whether he will, even after this start. He's also skeptical, so I don't blame you. Now, you shouldn't be skeptical, guys, about Harry's Razors. I've got a URL for every guy out there to remember. It's not hard. harries.com slash F-B-T.
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Starting point is 00:23:20 It's a great gift for yourself or for someone else. So again, get your free trial set. go to harries.com slash fbt right now that's harries dot com slash fbt ready for some hey real quick sure yes okay let's do it real quick hey real quick i asked this one a few months ago and we said vato anthony rizzo or joey vato i think we're unanimous in vado when we did our first two-round mock draft for next season. I think Votto went 9th or 10th, and Rizzo went in like the 14-15 range.
Starting point is 00:23:58 All right. Now, Chris, Anthony Rizzo's OPS is 9-16. Been right around there for straight years, including this year. But over the last 67 games, it's 9-91. So this is kind of what I was talking about
Starting point is 00:24:14 when I thought he was going to have a big hot streak to make up for being kind of bad for like five weeks. So now you think he's going to have like a 915 OPS the rest of the way. Like now that he's gotten that hot streak out, we can just pencil them in for 915. I don't know. Maybe that's what you would say. You always say that he's going to... Just like one hit, one walk, a home run every two games. Isn't that what you would say that he's just going to be himself now? Because he always is. No. What would you say? What would you
Starting point is 00:24:42 expect? Well, yeah, I would say I expect him to perform to his talent level, but that doesn't mean there won't be ebbs and flows. You were saying that because there was an ab, there would be a flow. Well, there just has to be flow. Yeah, that's how I felt about Anthony Rizzo. I don't feel that way about every hitter, but a guy like Rizzo, I did feel that way. Yeah, Anthony Rizzo's
Starting point is 00:25:03 really good. Yeah, but can't we just expect that from every really good hitter that when they have their ebb, they're going to flow? I think it often works out that way. There's a lot of I mean, we were kind of, just saying the opposites happened for and Judge and Cody Bellinger. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:25:20 But I'm not saying that it had to happen. Oh, I am. It was very, it was, I don't know, I just, and maybe this isn't the most mathematically sound way of viewing it, but just based on observation. It's kind of amazing how players numbers over the course of 162 games just kind of end up where they belong. Yeah. And, you know, a lot of times that's, if they have a two-month stretch where they start drastically on the wrong side of that, then a lot of times it's a two-month stretch that makes up for it. Can I ask you? All right.
Starting point is 00:26:03 So what do you expect for Anthony Rendon the rest of the way? He's got a 1,05 OPS. He's got like a 1,200 OPS since the end of April, something like that. But this is a guy who's been like a high 700s, low 800. It's kind of OPS guy for his career. So do you think he's going to be a thousand OPS guy moving forward because his talent level has improved? Do you think he's going to be an 800 OPS guy because that's where his talent level has been more? Or do you think he's going to be like a 500 OPS guy to balance that out?
Starting point is 00:26:33 I think this is a legitimate breakthrough for Rendon because all the peripheral support what he's doing. Walk rate up, strike out rate down, bad bit normal. So I think Anthony Rendon is just, if not a 1,000 OPM, guy close to it and he's it's it's a different situation yeah like rendon wouldn't rizzo and belliger right rendon wouldn't have applied to my riso argument from a couple months ago because he's been or okay i'm just in smoke or josh donaldson the other way well donaldson yeah and i think the argument for you chris to say you're wrong adam would be manny machado we've been waiting and waiting is he coming around maybe a little bit but you know he's he's got not but my thing is i'm
Starting point is 00:27:15 I'm not expecting Mani Machado to be Uber Mani Machado. And I kind of am. I expect Mani Machado to be Mani Machado. I kind of am expecting Mani Machado to be Uber Mani Machado, but I've been expecting that for a while. Then you should trade whatever it costs to get him. I did. What did you trade? It was a fairly even trade.
Starting point is 00:27:33 It was... Right. But that's the thing is that using your logic, putting your logic into action, if we're going to give actionable advice to people who are listening, you should say, don't make a fair trade for Mani Machado. overpay because he has to be better than Mani Machado in order to get his numbers to where it like that's what you're saying it too literally yeah yeah that's the argument that they're making no i don't think so it's the level of assurance you have with this expectation i mean you
Starting point is 00:28:01 can you can have a a fleeting expectation of something that you don't necessarily want to act on to the degree you're talking about but at the same time it wouldn't surprise you if it happens It's like the fairest way to approach man. Like I see Mani Machado. I know he's better than this. I think he's going to be better. What exactly that looks like? I'm not willing to get into the specifics of that.
Starting point is 00:28:23 I just think he's going to be better and at worse. And my worst expectation of what better Mani Machado looks like is last year's Mani Machado. If it's even better than that, though, I wouldn't be terribly surprised. So, Chris, I mean, I don't think that's, hold on. I don't think what you just said about overpaying for Machado because I thought Machado was going to be awesome. Actually, that's like a terrible way to play fantasy. What we were telling people was to be made. But that's the argument that you're making.
Starting point is 00:28:48 No, no. The argument is by low on Machado. Because, no, you're saying there's a cause and effect here. You're saying because Mani Machado has not played like Mani Machado. He needs to play like a better version of Mani Machado to get to Mani Machado. No, no. That is the argument that you're making. Wait, I don't, I, first of all.
Starting point is 00:29:06 You should expect that moreover. First of all, I'm confused. Secondly, if you want to talk about it. just from fantasy perspective, you know, from a trade perspective, you buy low on Machado because you don't give up that, but you don't overpay for a guy who's been slumping. You buy low on him because you expect him to bounce back. But hold on. And I think I expect, when I made the trade, and I still feel this way, I expected Mani Machado to go on a tear. I've been wrong. It hasn't really happened. It might be happening now. He's starting to come around. I'd like to see some more
Starting point is 00:29:37 home runs. But yeah, I expect him to go on a tear because I can't imagine. a season where Manny Machado doesn't have an extended hot streak. But that happens all the time. I know, exactly. And it hasn't happened yet. So I'm thinking it will happen. Guys have disappointing full season lines all the time. But I don't think Machado is going to be that guy. I'm going to bet on. He definitely is. There's no way he has a non-disappointing end of season line this year. Okay, that's fine. But I still think from here on out he's going to perform very well. Be Nani Machado. Yeah, or probably better than Manny Machado. I think he's going to go on his hot streak where he has like an 1100 OPS over 20 days, something like that. I would say
Starting point is 00:30:12 there's just as good a chance of that as the opposite. Yeah, I just feel like, you know, you look at a normal Manny Machado season, I would guess that there are, you know, at least two really hot stretches. And I'm waiting for that. That's those stretches, but your argument is that those stretches happen because a cold stretch happened before. Yeah, kind of. I mean, they happen because they haven't happen yet. So then you shouldn't buy low on Manny Machado because there's a chance you might not pay enough to get him. If you think that the
Starting point is 00:30:43 cold streak begets a hot streak, then you should pay whatever the price you need. But you don't have to, Chris, or else you're not giving actionable advice. No, you don't have to. My actionable advice is, I think Manny Machado is going to have a great stretch. His owner might not.
Starting point is 00:31:00 So buy low and rip off the owner that has Machado. That's my advice. You don't always pay market value i mean that's not like a good way to play fantasy you buy low and you sell high like that's just evaluating a stock or a or a player i i don't really get where you're coming from i just i'm just i'm trying to take your your argument to its logical conclusion my logical conclusion is buy low by low if you believe that a cold streak leads to a hot streak no that's not the way to put it a cold streak does not lead to a hot streak a hot streak will happen because it
Starting point is 00:31:32 hasn't happened yet and he's one of the best hitters in baseball that is the argument. You know, twisting it to say a cold streak leads to a hot streak is not what I'm saying. That is not accurate. Okay. Do you buy the age-old idea that, you know, everything evens out? I mean, because that's all Adam and I are arguing. I think in the long run it does. Yeah. But that doesn't mean that just because he hasn't been hot yet means he will be hot moving forward. There are entire seasons that guys have throughout their careers where that just doesn't happen. Right. It may not happen. And so I'm saying that you should expect
Starting point is 00:32:09 Mani Machado to be Mani Machado. I'm saying you should expect Mani Machado to be Mani Machado. You should expect Anthony Rizzo to be Anthony Rizzo. Absent new information like Anthony Rizzo, like you said. There is information that leads us to believe that Anthony Rizzo is a different player. There's information that leads us to believe that Josh Donaldson isn't the same guy he's been.
Starting point is 00:32:28 So you shouldn't necessarily expect Josh Donaldson to be that guy. I'm saying you should acquire, you should trade for, acquire players based on the talent level you think they have. Yeah, exactly. Moving forward. And that's what I feel about Machado. I don't think the talent level for Machado has gone down at all. So if I were acquiring-
Starting point is 00:32:46 I don't either. So I expect Manny Machado moving forward. You expect better Manny Machado. I expect better Manny Machado. Yeah, I do. Because I think that's how it works with studs. Like you catch them. That's why you buy low.
Starting point is 00:32:59 Because if worst-case scenario, I get what you think. Well, no. Worst case scenario is he. he underperforms. But maybe Chris's most likely scenario, I trade for Manny Machado now. I get normal Manny Machado. I'm fine with that. Right.
Starting point is 00:33:14 And I think you should trade for the most likely scenario. But I don't know that that's the most likely. Like I think players go in ebbs and flows, Chris, and he's going to flow. I think we're getting stuck on this word expect because I don't know, I don't know that my expectations are ever that specific. You shouldn't expect one thing. You should expect a range. Right.
Starting point is 00:33:33 That's, that's exactly. But the high end of the. range and the low end of the range are both in there. It's not like Mani Machado because he's hit the low end of his range so far. That doesn't mean he can't hit the low end of his range at some point I don't know anything for a fact, Chris, but I personally am going to bet on Mani Machado, and I think that the high end of the range is coming. I know for a fact you're a fool. Hey, real quick, Logan Morrison or Eric Thames? Lomo, I think. I think. I think.
Starting point is 00:34:05 I feel not very excited about either of these fellas at this point. Yeah, so what's the answer, Guy? I think Eric Daynes is a more talented player. All right. And from Brian, real quick, Burrios or Castillo, rest of season? Burios. Yeah, yeah, Burrios. Okay, we got a concerning stat about Jose Burrios.
Starting point is 00:34:31 We'll get to that in a second. I'm sure we do. Yeah, we got some big news for you. Luckily, it doesn't seem too serious for Max Scher. but we'll talk about that. Buffalo Wild Wings, look, whoever invented Summer was obviously a sports fan. They didn't even try to hide it. They gave it playoff hockey, playoff basketball, the opening of both soccer and baseball. It's a clear display of favoritism in the other seasons didn't stand a chance. With three months of clutch playoff drama and the awakening of new seasons, it's clearly the work of a sports fan.
Starting point is 00:34:57 They might as well have called it sports season. And at Buffalo Wild Wings, they do call it sports season. Don't ever call it summer. That's not what it is. It's sports season. They're just waiting on the legal change. Buffalo Wild Wings Wings Beer Sports Max Jures are left with neck spasms
Starting point is 00:35:13 So you know You see him saying I can't go In the middle of the game You get worried I think we can Be comforted It's not an arm injury
Starting point is 00:35:21 Yeah He hurray He hit a dong He did That takes a lot out of you He was gazing at it He hurt his neck Yeah imagine if he
Starting point is 00:35:30 Was in the home run derby Forget it Johnny Quato Has a mild flexor strain No timetable That's a concern. You might not get Quato this year. Yep.
Starting point is 00:35:40 U. Darvish is going to start at the Mets on Friday. Sunny Gray is going to start at Cleveland on Thursday. Jordan Montgomery is going to stick in the rotation for one more start. They're going six-man just temporarily. Quite possible. This would be the last start for Montgomery. Make it count, Jordan. They should leave him in to throw 156 pitches.
Starting point is 00:35:57 There you go. Like Mel Clark and Angels in the Alpio. Dustin Padroya on the DL. Boston GM Dave Dombrowski said they're going to have to monitor Padroia's knee for the rest of his. career. Jonathan Lucroy sat with a stomach illness. Billy Hamilton left with an ankle injury. Paul Moliter did not name a closer. Somebody just tweeted me, Glenn Perkins? I don't have no, I haven't heard a thing about his... I think he's coming. I think he might be a few weeks away. He might be
Starting point is 00:36:25 on his rehab assignment or about to go out. But I mean, yeah, he's on his rehab assignment right now. So, I don't know, we've heard that a lot over the last two years. Austin Jackson's catch should be a home run. That's my last big news item. And some milestones yesterday, Max Scherzer and John Lester hit their first career homers. And Gerard Dyson stole his 200th base. And this is from the AP. Dyson now has a successful steel rate of 85.1%.
Starting point is 00:36:57 Second in baseball history behind Carlos Belchon for players with a minimum of 225. attempts. Pretty cool. Famer Carlos Beltron. Yeah. And Gerard Dyson, probably. Hopefully. Trade deadlines are coming up. If they haven't gotten here already, guys. Do you have any final moves that you would recommend, buys, sells for the trade deadline? I would still trade for Miguel Cabrera. And I'm still, I'm trying to move Stephen Matt. He had a good start last night. Hopefully I can turn him into something. He did?
Starting point is 00:37:35 Yeah. I don't know that. I mean, It was better than you'd expect for Cores Field, but it was five innings, two strikeouts. Okay, I thought he wants six. Yeah, five innings, three runs, two strikeouts. Yeah. Yeah. Stephen Mats is...
Starting point is 00:37:50 I think he's probably dropable already. Pretty close to... Yeah, I think he's pretty close to replacement level. Beat it! Yeah. I think, you know, it might be a good idea to make a play for, like, Chase Anderson. who was looking like a legit number two before getting hurt and should be coming back within the next couple weeks.
Starting point is 00:38:19 I just feel like it's been long enough without him and it was such a short time where we thought of him as anything worthwhile in fantasy that you may be able to get him for... He might not even be owned that highly. Well, let's find out. I still think Zach Godley is only... 85% owner. I swear this guy's a case. I'm tired. I'm tired of people dismissing Zach Godley is less than what he is. Just look at the numbers, first of all. That should tell you something right there.
Starting point is 00:38:49 And then when you factor in the fact he's top 10 in ground ball rate, top 10 in swinging strike rate, all Zach Godley, if a pitcher's avoiding home runs and missing bats like that, all he can do to bring himself down is walk batters. And that's not really a problem for Godley. I think he's an ace. And I think he needs to be owned everywhere, and you can probably get him for less than he's worth in a trade. Yep. I picked him up last week in a 14-team league. Unbelievable. With RP eligibility, mind you.
Starting point is 00:39:18 In a Keeper League yesterday, I just traded Jonathan Lou Croy and... Who's the other guy I traded? I just traded Jonathan Lou Croy and Mitch Hanigar for Zach Godley, because I think Zach Godley is a better long-term option than either of those individually or both combined. Interesting. Is Luke Roy a free agent, or is he going to be with the Rockies next year? Oh, he is. Okay.
Starting point is 00:39:46 Okay, never mind. Hey, let's get our Michael Jackson on. All right, I got a few categories for you here. Oh, oh, wait, wait, one more trade deadline thing. Would you try to buy low on Mike Fires thinking that people just, you know, think he's done now? Two bad starts in a row? I'm afraid he's gone the way of Marco Estrada. I think they're very similar
Starting point is 00:40:08 that they can be dominant when they are spotting their pitches perfectly, but it's hard to sustain that over a... Their margin for error is so, so slim. Right, that 88 mile per hour fastball. Like, you just, you can't miss. Like, this is, if you have overpowering stuff, you can miss your spot by six inches.
Starting point is 00:40:28 If you have Mike Fire stuff, you can't miss. Want to be starting something? I'm going to give you some players who are heating up right now. Is it the start of something? Or is it, you know, just a little hot streak? Albert Pujol, 6 for 9 in his last two games with three home runs and 9 RBIs. 73% owned. Albert Pujol is starting something?
Starting point is 00:40:50 I, no. I mean, he's like not even a top 30 first baseman in either format. He's so over-old. And that's with 68 RBI. He's so over-owned. 70%. His home run pace has been decent all year, but he has a sub-700 OPS. Yeah, he's just, he's a, at this point, given how easy it is to find home runs.
Starting point is 00:41:11 17 homers on August 2nd is nothing special. No. That's replaceable. There are a second baseman who can give you that. Yeah, and Pujolos doesn't walk anymore. So the 68 RBI are what he gives you, but like, when you're talking about you need thousands of RBI to win a category, I just, I don't think he helps you that much. Roodette Odore, the number 13.
Starting point is 00:41:31 second baseman in both points and Roto. Routonet Odor has seven home runs in his last nine games. Yeah, baby. Is this the start of something? That's really been going on for about a month now. I think things are evening out. Yeah, they might be. He hit 266 in the month of July, which is higher than his season long on-base percentage.
Starting point is 00:41:54 13 walks, 16 walks, 102 strikeouts for Odora this year. I mean, I would like, I would, would actually like to see some hits that aren't home runs. And he does have six during this same stretch that he has seven home runs. He has six non-home runs. So he's pretty good. You know, if you replaced all the home runs without, that wouldn't be a very good batting average.
Starting point is 00:42:17 But I don't know that that's the fair way to look at it either. He's been really hot, Brugnett-Odor. And I think it was inevitable that he was going to turn his season around to be a must-start second basement again. Alex Bregman, since July 1st, Breggman has a 1033 OPS. He's batting 324 with four home runs, 11 walks, 12 strikeouts, and 11 doubles in 24 games. Is this the start of something for Alex Breggman?
Starting point is 00:42:45 Yes, I think so. And his production hasn't been just home runs. I think, isn't it funny how, like, in 2017, home runs have become so ubiquitous that like it's almost like somebody applied a cheat code and it doesn't really count as a hit.
Starting point is 00:43:06 Like the only reason they got a hit out of it is because they hit it where nobody could catch it. Well and it's also like for me I look at it and unless you're like truly like everybody hits a baseline at home runs at this point like there are very few players
Starting point is 00:43:22 who can't hit 15 home runs at this point. So the replacement level has gotten so high at home run that you start looking at the other things. And Alex Bregman does a lot of the other things well right now. And I think has the profile to continue to do them well. Bregman or Ahmed Rosario rest of the season? Bregman. I would rather have Rosario.
Starting point is 00:43:47 Bregman or another guy who's in the Wannabe Starting Something category, Eduardo Nunez. He is 11 for 22 with two homers, two steals, four doubles in five games with Boston. Whoa. And he has 20 steals in 81 games, so he is now on a 40 steel pace. Bregman or Nunes? Bregman. Bregman, okay. Manny Machado is batting 3.43, but with a 100 ISO since the All-Star break.
Starting point is 00:44:19 He's got seven doubles, that's good, but no homer since the All-Star break with 3-43 batting average. That's Machado. Josh Donaldson is 8 for 22 with three home runs. in seven strikeouts, unfortunately, in his last six games, and the Ks have been a problem for Donaldson. Are Machado or Donaldson starting something? I think Donaldson is, and Chris has brought Donaldson up as an example of a player who has underperformed, and, you know, based on the peripherals, it may be legitimate, the underperformance.
Starting point is 00:44:52 But I just am not, I wasn't ready to go there that soon for a player who, who had been MVP caliber for, what, four straight seasons, especially the last two. And I'm glad I didn't it because it seems like he's heating up now. Yeah, I'm not saying Josh Donaldson's through. I just think he's a diminished version of Josh Donaldson. But I think both will be better than they have been so far. He and Machado. And finally, Carlos Santana, five home runs in his last nine games.
Starting point is 00:45:25 Red hot. What are you laughing at? Another guy Wait a second Will be better Than he has been so far Because the peripherals are Like he just had a fluky low home run total
Starting point is 00:45:38 In the first half You do understand Scott That as we argued about Carlos Santana I always agreed That the best was yet to come And that we were going to see better production From Santana That was never the argument
Starting point is 00:45:52 Uh huh Uh huh No it's that you could check the tape I remember saying it No no no I believe you I believe you. And I just think if that was the worst, Carlos Santana could be, what we saw the first three-and-a-half months,
Starting point is 00:46:12 and he was still a top 20 first baseman in points leagues. In this first base landscape, he's still a really good player. And I'm sure all the Carlos Santana owners are patting themselves on the back right now. Yeah, but he's helping me out in my roto league right? now. I always expect the walk to strikeout ratio to be great, but killing it. It's like he's the most difficult player to, you know, assign value to across formats. Probably the singular most difficult player. Starlin Castro's up there too because, you know, he's slanted more toward Rhodo than points. But my, my, my, the discussion about Santana always
Starting point is 00:46:54 centered around points leagues to me, right now he's helpful in both. Yes. When he's going good and Santana is a slow starter and a second half guy. He's absolutely going to help you out in Categories leagues, no question. All right, so that's good. All right, next category, that was want to be starting something. Next category is asking him to change his ways. I'm looking at Carlos Martinez, and I'm asking him to change his ways because Carlos Martinez has a 540 ERA
Starting point is 00:47:19 with 16 walks to 30 strikeouts over his last six starts, 9% swinging strike rate. giving up a lot of fly balls and home runs this season compared to years past. I'm asking Carlos Martinez to change his ways. And no message could have been in a clear-ro. Yeah. Guy, this guy is a gospel singer. I would like him to change his ways too.
Starting point is 00:47:48 And it's interesting you point out the fly ball thing because, yeah, ground balls had always been a big part of his profile. Home run prevention is an important thing. There had also been some walk issues recently. he had, I think, five in this start. Yeah. But that's always, he's always had below average control. Yeah, it's been one week. You know, six starts, last six starts were all kind of shaky.
Starting point is 00:48:13 But he has, he's been having an issue in the first inning that the Cardinals are looking into for the year. He has a 655 ERA in the first inning. I don't, ultimately, I don't think it's that big of a deal. I just think it's a rough patch for a pitcher who's, who's going to struggle with control at times and who's still finding his... I will point out, last year, Carlos Martinez, overperformed his peripherals by a little bit. He had a 304 ERA and a 361 FIP. He's got a 359 ERA right now.
Starting point is 00:48:44 If you are good at preventing home runs, does that mean you would overperform your FIPP? Well, the thing with Carlos Martinez is he's never really shown... an ability to prevent home runs at a better pace than a typical pitcher. But his home run at flight ball rate in 2015 and 2016 was right around 10 to 11%. That's pretty much perfectly average. But just help me understand FIPP, would that factor in? Sure. If, like, Robbie Ray or Michael Panetta, guys who tend to give up more hits in general and more
Starting point is 00:49:23 home runs relative to their fly ball rate than your typical pitcher, yes, they will underpillar. perform their their fit. All right, so here are the four guys that I'm looking at in the mirror and I'm at,
Starting point is 00:49:34 well, not in the mirror. Well, I'm looking at an angle in the mirror so I am seeing them. Wait, wait, wait. Hang on a second. Is that right about FIP? Because FIPP just,
Starting point is 00:49:44 FIP is just measuring strikeouts per nine, walks per nine, home runs per nine, right? It's not taking into account fly ball rate. Right, but you would expect
Starting point is 00:49:54 most pitchers, the, the, the, the, the, understanding or assumption for a lot of these, especially like X-FIP and Sierra, is that most pitchers are going to give up home runs at roughly the same rate relative to their fly ball
Starting point is 00:50:08 rate. And so if you overperform your home run to fly ball rate expectation, you'll have a better fit. But FIP isn't even taking into account just home run rate, but your home run rate would be higher or lower if you have a specific skill in that regard. A particular set of skills. All right. So here are the four players that, I'm asking to change their ways. Carlos Martinez, Jose Berrios, who only had six swinging strikes yesterday at the Padres and has a 7% swinging strike rate, which is in his last five starts. Jamison Tyone, oh, terrible.
Starting point is 00:50:43 And Zander Bogarts, last 28 games, Zander Bogart's batting 170 with a 459 OPS. He's a little banged up. Who is going to change their ways? Carlos Martinez, you guys say will. Barrios-Tayone Bogart's, will they change their ways? the one who I have the most concern about well I mean you have to have the most concern about Tyone just because the last two starts have been so ugly
Starting point is 00:51:08 he's allowed 40% of his season runs in the last two starts yeah and I think I don't know he's he's a difficult pitcher to figure out because I want him to strike out more hitters than he does but at the same time the BABIP was kind of high even before this stretch 368 now yeah I think I think it's a reminder that Tyone is still kind of fringy in mixed leagues.
Starting point is 00:51:35 And that's fine. I mean, you're going to, you know, you're going to want to play matchups with him. You're not going to want to start them every single week. So that's really my takeaway from that. I do worry about Barrio some, you know, the lack of dominance we've seen from him lately. But, you know, looking through the game log to see if it's maybe like one particular pitch that he's started throwing more or less than he was before, or maybe that pitch has lost some effectiveness,
Starting point is 00:52:01 and nothing really stood out along those lines. So I take from it that either he's a rookie who's just kind of wearing down in August, or it's nothing. The one thing I do look at with both Tyone and Burrios is, you know, the scouting report on both these guys coming out was that, They don't necessarily have ace level stuff. And I think that- Tyone and Burrios, you said?
Starting point is 00:52:34 Yeah. Burios doesn't have ace-level stuff? I mean, that was the scouting report. Really? That's interesting. I think that shows up in a... I know some... I don't think that was a universally
Starting point is 00:52:46 believed scouting report. Universally shared scouting report. But he, like, compared to, like, you look at, like, Lucas Gialito and Jim and He doesn't throw 98. Right. And he was, but he, and he was a guy who there were some concerns, maybe not everyone, but
Starting point is 00:53:03 some people had concerns. And Tyone actually does throw hard. He throws harder than Brillos. Yeah. But looking at both of them, you know, neither one of them gets a ton of swinging strikes. And that's not necessarily a death knell, but you have to be really good at getting called strikes and avoiding hard contact. And, you know, it just, it, it potentially.
Starting point is 00:53:25 lowers your ceiling. All right. And finally, beat it. Are you willing to drop any of these three guys? Dylan Bundy coming off a really good start. Ian Hap, coming off a home run. And Alex Claudio coming off another non-save appearance. I was willing to drop Dylan Bundy before this. One start's not going to change my mind. But I guess if you hadn't dropped him before this,
Starting point is 00:53:50 it would be kind of weird to do it after he had a good start. Yeah, but, I mean, that's the thing. owned. I understand if you have Bundy because he's your relief pitcher, but he's 85% owned. He had a 593 ERA in June. He had an 841 ERA in July, his peripheral stink. I don't know why he's 85% owned. Ian Hap, you know, just doesn't play regularly now. He's been a little streaky, so maybe he'll come out of this funk, but before this home run, 222 with one home run since the All-Star break. It's been really surprising how much, even when things were going well, struck out in the majors because that wasn't a big concern for him coming up and he's got a 29%
Starting point is 00:54:31 strikeout rate um he's beat it or no would you drop him sure yep beat it and claudio yeah who would you guess gets the rangers next save opportunity i had no idea eventually it'll be keone kella he picks the seventh but i don't know that he's ready like there's been no evidence that he's going to get that next chance Yeah, I have no idea. In leagues where everyone who gets saves is owned, I think Claudio still needs to be among them. Now, there are a lot of highly available closers that I'd prioritize over him, like Blik Trinen, probably Erodus Viscayino, who we haven't actually seen get a save in place of Jim Johnson yet, but he's the obvious guy in Atlanta. Shane Green, we saw him get his first save. I'd rather have him than Claudio.
Starting point is 00:55:23 All right, guys, there is a lot from yesterday that we're not going to be able to. to get to, unfortunately, including Joey Gallo's Double Dong Day, John Lester, and Carlos Carrasco struggling. I'm pretty much dumb with C.C. Sabathia. You just had to get me started on Anthony Rizzot, didn't you? Yeah, and Mani Machado, apparently. But let's finish off with today's matchups and some grade the trade. All right, Jordan Zimmerman at Tanaka.
Starting point is 00:55:51 I'm definitely starting Tanaka. Jay Hap and Derek Holland. Would you start HAP? I'm okay with starting Hap. Yeah, I am too. Would you start Irvin Santana and or Luis Pardomo? Santana, but not Pardomo. Yep.
Starting point is 00:56:06 Robert Stevenson, Trevor Williams. Neither. Yeah. Jason Vargas, Jeremy Hellixon, Kansas City at Baltimore. Vargas at Helixson. Well, I'll go Vargas. I'll go Vargas. I know.
Starting point is 00:56:20 He's perfectly fine, but don't be surprised if he gets absolutely sure. by the Orioles. Trevor Bauer at Rick Porcelo. I'd prefer to start neither. Yeah, I mean, Porcelo, I think, is really difficult to start in any categories-based format now because he just gives up so many hits, and it's been consistent all year.
Starting point is 00:56:42 The whips going to be high, even when he pitches well. How about Vance Worley hosting AJ Cole, Nationals at Marlins, Cole and Worley? I don't want either. Yeah. Brock Stewart at Julio Tehran. I don't think I want to start either. I mean, Stewart probably goes without saying,
Starting point is 00:57:05 but Tehran against the Dodgers after he just got shelled by... In his last start, I forget who was against the... Taran's just a matchups guy right now, and the Dodgers are one of the worst matchups you can have. Zach Godley and Jake Areietta. Well, we know. Zach God is definitely starting Zach Gott. I think you're starting both.
Starting point is 00:57:24 Ariel Miranda. Ariel Miranda, Andrew Cashner. I will start neither. Yeah, yeah, neither. Luke Weaver and Brent Souter. I'm going to say neither. I know Souter's been pretty good, but don't totally trust him. I wish Luke Weaver was a closer.
Starting point is 00:57:46 Luke Weaver, I believe you can get me through the nine. Yeah. We've got Austin Pruitt for the raise. Dallas Kichel for the eight for the Stroes. More like Austin blew it, Dallas Kichel for sure. Yeah. And we're not going to start Flexen or Chatwood and Coors.
Starting point is 00:58:05 We're not going to start Jake Thompson or Jose Ramirez, are we? This is an awful knife for starting pitching. And we're not going to start Daniel Gossett. Are we going to start Matt Moore at our home against the A's? If you are absolutely desperate, that is one
Starting point is 00:58:21 of the best matchups Matt Moore's ever going to have. But He's bad. Then let's read some emails and grade some trades. Jack from Los Angeles. Give up Jimmy James Nelson. Get Verlander and Louis Brinson. I still have Verlander ranked a little bit ahead of Jimmy Nelson,
Starting point is 00:58:43 so I guess I have to give this a B-minus. This is making me want to move Nelson ahead of Verlander. I think Brinson's a complete throw, and we're taking him out of the equation. It's Verlander versus Nelson here. I know I have Verlander ranked ahead. I know he's been better lately. I just have no real concerns over Jimmy Nelson. I think it's a toss-up.
Starting point is 00:59:03 I think that's pretty much a coin flip. I'm going to, okay, we'll give it a C. Okay, then. And also, Adam, you mentioned you like sprinkles on ice cream, but are they rainbow or chocolate, and are sprinkles better on ice cream or on donuts? They are clearly rainbow. I actually don't really like chocolate sprinkles,
Starting point is 00:59:18 and I would say sprinkles are better on ice cream slightly ahead of donuts. That is an excellent question. I agree with both of those. Thank you. From Kenwall, trade Matt Carpenter, get Dallas Kichel, Points League. Love it. I'll give it a...
Starting point is 00:59:36 A minus. A minus B plus. It's C plus for Chris. Brian in New Jersey, give up Devers and Hamels in a Roto League. Devers and Hamels, get Alex Wood. Yeah, if it's non-keeper, I think this is great. I think that's a B-plus. Yep.
Starting point is 00:59:50 Nice. From Peter, Roto League, 10 teams. Should I drop Carlos Gonzalez and add Derek Fisher? In 10 team, maybe. Yeah. Just because you're probably not going to miss Carlos Gonzalez. I still think there's a chance he goes on a tear, but I'm not expecting it. Okay.
Starting point is 01:00:10 Yeah. I think I'm willing to rank Fisher ahead of cargo. So I would do that. From that, 10-team Categories League, give Ryan Zimmerman or Miguel Seno. Who do you guys like better? Zimmerman. I'd rather In categories, I guess I'd rather give up snow.
Starting point is 01:00:32 All right, so give up Sano, get Salvador Perez. I have Votto at first. I need a catcher. Give up Sano. Get Perez. It really sounded like you said snow there, as opposed to Sano. Informa. Is that what you meant?
Starting point is 01:00:45 B-plus. You know, you're going to get Salvador Perez. I'll give you B-Pla. This is from Bill in California. Conforto or Cordy Dickerson? Conforto. Dickerson. Ooh.
Starting point is 01:00:57 Ah, sorry. Phil from Chicago, 10-team Dynasty Points League. Give up Jake Lamb. Get Elvis Andrews. I think that's perfectly fine. I think that is a C. Does the dynasty change things at all? Like, do we expect Elvis Andrews to be this again next year?
Starting point is 01:01:20 I... This might be a dumb question, but is Elvis Andrews older than... Jake Lamb? I think a little. I think he's like 27. Okay, Elvis Andrews is almost 29, and Jake Lamb's almost 27. So the gap is not as big as
Starting point is 01:01:36 I think most people would think because Elvis Andrews has been around forever. Wrap it up. Wrap it up. Give me a grade. Give me a grade. I'll give it a C. I said C.
Starting point is 01:01:48 And Auburn, grade the trade. Give up. Ready? You Darvish. Ryan Braun. And Sean Minia. Darvish, Braun, and Mania. Get Carlos Carasco,
Starting point is 01:02:01 Marcus Stroman, and Alex Bregman. It's a Dynasty League. Give up Darvish, Braun, Mania. Get Carasco, Stromen, Bregman. In a Dynasty League, it's probably a B. And yearly, it's probably a C. Yeah, I would agree with that. In yearly, I might actually prefer the Darvish-Bron Mania side.
Starting point is 01:02:25 but you know you add the fact that in a dynasty league you're swapping out brawn for stroman I think that clearly puts it over the top there so in a dynasty league I take it I'll give it a beat back tomorrow with some buyer's sell see ya

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