Fantasy Baseball Today - 09/16: Weekend Roundup - Trout is Out :( (Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: September 16, 2019

Trout out for the season. Rizzo got hurt Sunday. Mookie is missing games. Who can we count on? Nick Pollack aka @PitcherList joins the show to talk about hitter adds, which young bats like Kyle Lewis ...and Nico Hoerner to trust and some in-depth breakdowns on the two-start and one-start pitcher adds for a championship week run. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. One, one pitch, basketball pulled and fast. Alborated, toward him. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your lead. Well, fantasy. Now, here's Adam, Scott, Heath, and Chris.
Starting point is 00:00:24 This is Fantasy Baseball today. I am Chris Welsh. He is Scott White? No. Is Adam Azer? No, is he? Chris Towers. They left me alone.
Starting point is 00:00:36 I'm all alone. I'm the kid that was left home alone. So I called one of my friends to come join me. I know it is a very, very important week. So I brought in the big guns, everybody. Don't you fret one bit. I know it's championship week or the week prior to it. And joining me today is one of the best in the industry.
Starting point is 00:00:54 One of my dear friends, he is Nick Pollock, aka pitcher list on Twitter. So many more followers than me. It's ridiculous because he's a smart, smart guy. Nick, what's up, buddy? What is that happening? Those are some incredibly kind words. Thanks so much for having me today.
Starting point is 00:01:09 Absolutely, my friend. You guys can follow him at Pitcher List on Twitter. It's a really, really great follow. PitcherList.com is also a website that you guys do some killer stuff. We're going to be talking in this episode a lot about two-start pitchers. So obviously, the handle Pitcher list, you know you're going to be in good hands. You guys do the same thing over there. You've got lots of podcasts.
Starting point is 00:01:29 You've got lots of killer stuff. But mainly people should be locked into your Twitter handle to find out everything that's going on, right? Because you're helping them through the rest of this run here. Oh, 100%. We even sell a shirt that says fantasy football is stupid. So we focus on baseball. That's what we care about. And yeah, we obviously have all our normal articles actually have a massive sitting start coming out Monday afternoon about every single matchup the rest of the way and who I'd be starting, who would be sitting there. All right, that's killer stuff. All right. So like I said, Scott White, he's out like wedding crashing. I don't know what he's doing. He was out at a wedding.
Starting point is 00:02:02 You know Adam is deep in the stuff. Funny thing, too, on the Friday episode, anybody that was listening, just a little inside baseball, I did the episode. And all the people you've been locked in for the last, like, the last like two months since I've been here, I did the episode. I sent it off.
Starting point is 00:02:18 And then I went, oh no, I didn't put Kokomo on it. And I re-edited the episode with the Kokomo open because I was not about to listen to anybody yell at me. And then I get an email from Adam and he goes, not so easy to remember Kokomo, huh? Because Adam got all the stuff from everybody on the internet. One of my favorite opens, but
Starting point is 00:02:37 we don't have to worry about that here. Scott White will be back in the next episode and he will be here for a Kokomo Friday. We've got all of that going on. But here is what is important and here is what is essentially breaking in your world. You might be stepping into a championship week like I am in one of my leagues.
Starting point is 00:02:54 You might be setting up. Maybe you've even got two weeks for your championship week. It doesn't matter. Here is what matters and here is who you will be without. Mike Trout. Oh, undergoing season ending surgery later in the week. He's going to remove that neuroma from his right foot. We thought we might get him during the week. We then didn't get him Friday when he was going to come. They said he was going to DH on Sunday. I had him in my lineup. I had him in my lineup. And I got to tell you, I'm not sure it would have quite put me over, but I was within like point 10 of OBP.
Starting point is 00:03:30 I put somebody else and it could have been the determining factor. All that matters, Mike Trout is out for the season, season ending surgery, and you got to get him out of every single lineups, Nick. Yeah, it's terrible. I just hopefully you can still win the AL MVP, honestly. I know it's not fantasy related, but I see something like that. And all I want is Trout just to get every MVP award possible forever. It's actually interesting.
Starting point is 00:03:52 You say that because think about the Yelich thing where Yelich might have been running away with it in the NL and then and then him going and getting hurt opened the field up to guys like Cody Bellinger and I mean who I think I think who might take it at the end of the day is Ronald Acuna I don't know if there's enough time for I mean who do you think is the person that vise for that against Trout with him not having the next I mean essentially three weeks of the season out there really isn't a definitive option and that's really the problem I I would still personally give it to Trout it doesn't it doesn't seem like anyone like a Bregman or bets I mean but you can't really
Starting point is 00:04:25 give it to Betts. We did Bregman, honestly. I don't really want to do that. I don't think he's having such an incredible over-the-top year that you give it to me. Trout has nine more on home run, some of them. I don't think Brighman's going to get nine in the next week. I don't think he's going to get five in the next two weeks. So I think you still have to give it a trout.
Starting point is 00:04:41 Yeah, and bets would have been one of those guys. But here's what you can do. Redraft, you can obviously go cut. You can do whatever you need to do, not put him in your lineup because he is not going to be out there. And I know we want to jump right into two-start pitching. But what I do think is important here is the massive amount of injuries that hit us Speaking of Mookie Betts, he is going to be having his foot examined on his ailing left foot by the Red Sox team doctors right now on Monday because he was out of the lineup for the second straight day on Sunday.
Starting point is 00:05:08 There is a hope that he's going to be out there Tuesday. You weekly lineup guys, you know, I think you got to put him out there. But I think there's more trepidation maybe than we had, you know, a month ago because Scott White and I, we stepped in, I think, last week where we were looking at Harper and Trout and saying, boy, you know, Trout's Trout. I think he'll be good, but Harper can't grip a bat. And then it got completely inversed on us. Anybody that had a weekly lineup, you lost Trout for the entire week. So I sit here and tell you, hey, I think Betts is going to be okay. You can put him in there. But there's no guarantees. I'm still going to go with it. Yeah, I would go with it too. I mean, it's just such a massive impact
Starting point is 00:05:43 and whatever you get off the wire instead of Betts. Is it really going to be that much of a difference maker? I'd rather roll the dice with bets. Well, and we'll talk about a few guys that might be out there if you were in that situation. Hopefully you're in a daily. A couple of the other injuries. This one looks scary on Sunday. Anthony Rizzo was pulled from the game versus the pirates after he injured his right ankle.
Starting point is 00:06:01 He was charging into the field on a bun, rolled the ankle, went down and was screaming in pain. And people know, like, I don't do injuries. So if there's anything gross, I would never see it.
Starting point is 00:06:12 And if it got tweeted to me, they would be instantly blocked because that stuff is just brutal. Here is the positive because the thought process was it was serious. but x-rays came back already negative for any fractures. There's going to be an MRI that's going to tell us some more news or bigger news. But I have to imagine there's a high propensity that we are not going to see him the rest of the season. I mean, maybe it'll be positive, but I would assume I'm not seeing him this week. No, I would definitely agree with that.
Starting point is 00:06:39 They definitely want him to be ready to go at least to battle for that wild card. Because remember, right now, they have that wild card in the NL, and they want to make sure that Rizzo is ready for that. Obviously, it's going to be tough holding off. the brewers, but they don't have Yelich. So hopefully they'll be healthy for that. And yeah, I would expect Rizzo to be out for this week. I will say the Cubs lineup as a whole.
Starting point is 00:07:01 I've been treating them personally as this tough lineup for a while. If it's without Rizzo, then, and it's without Baez and Bryant is not necessarily 100%. I mean, he did it to home runs. He had a weekend. I'm going to mention the weekend he got here in a little bit. But you have to maybe consider now without Rizzo. is that a scary lineup to face as a pitcher or not? It does add a little bit of intrigue there.
Starting point is 00:07:26 Oh, that's interesting. You know what? I've got a questionable pitcher I want to throw at you here in just a little bit that does have the Cubs next week that we can talk about. The one thing I would also throw out, I'm doing like all this teasing and not talking about anything. But like another thing is the Cubs have so many players that provide flexibility that when you take another guy out, you know, I'm not saying they're going to put
Starting point is 00:07:45 Ben Zobrist over at first or something like that, but there's so many guys with flexibility. what it does is it starts to create these better opportunities if you had questions about a guy like Nico Horner. Nico Horner has been out there, but he would continue to stay out there as they lose players. A couple other quick injury notes. Chris Archer, not that you cared or wanted him in your lineup, shut down for the season. Good riddins. Jason Kipnis, or as Scott White would say, Joe Kipness, exited Sunday's game versus the twins due to right wrist discomfort. He's missed like, I'll think, two weeks with the same injury. So be on the lookout for that.
Starting point is 00:08:16 And then if you had your hopes on it, I probably wouldn't have them too high. But Craig Kimberle did throw a 20 pitch bullpen session on Sunday. If he's good on Monday, the thought process is that he's going to get into a simulated game. Maybe you could get him if you play through the final week of the season. But I would not hold out hopes for anybody that's still just clamoring for that one save they can get from Kimball, right? I just have complete sympathy for everybody that endured him through free agency. That was me. And then I did too.
Starting point is 00:08:44 and then all of a sudden in September when you finally need him he's not there. No, I think you're completely right holding out for Kimball here this week specifically is just not something that's going to work out in your favor. All right, let's get right into kind of your wheelhouse here on Friday, Scott White and I talked about the two-start pitchers. So I want to recalibrate
Starting point is 00:09:01 because right off the top here one guy that I felt really good about, not a big Scott White guy, but he was near kind of the top of the list of my two starters here was Zach Plissack. And it looks like he's been completely taken off. They've got a TBD, I believe, on Friday, which I'm assuming maybe that's where he's going to pitch. I haven't even actually seen the news on what exactly it was, but Zach Plesack out of a two-starter.
Starting point is 00:09:25 So real quick, do you have any thoughts on Zach Plissac as far as or any news? Break it to me? Well, we'll say this. Since last start, his velocity was down a bit. It was the first time we saw him all year under 93 miles per hour normally. He's around like 93 to 95 even at times. And he seemed under 93 was a little concerning. He got through that.
Starting point is 00:09:42 He's not really one of those high ceiling pitchers. He doesn't have secondary stuff that really blows you away. He kind of throws across his body a bit to get a little more deception on that fastball. He's able to kind of go through start sometimes with it. But if he doesn't have that fastball, there's nothing really there to save him. So he's not really my favorite guy. But if he does get favorable matchups, like that last one against Angels without trout, he can do well. And that's what he did there.
Starting point is 00:10:04 It was just like the potential of the Detroit matchup and then Philly on the back end was something that you could go with. But he wasn't the best two-start pitch. And that was kind of the big takeaway from it. I'm going to drop two guys on here that were at the top of my list. One of them was Scott White's favorite. And I went over and perused over at Pitcherlist.com. And I looked at your guys as two starting pitchers. And you guys had him, obviously not the top tier,
Starting point is 00:10:28 but it was like the next tier of guys that weren't the elite of two starters. So talk to me about your confidence on two guys. John Means Business, my dude, who he's got Detroit and Seattle this week, 65% on CBS leagues. And Martine Perez, who was actually over on ITL, this is somebody that I was trying to pinpoint that I really love the matchups here. He's not sexy on what we would quote call counting stats for pitchers, you know, lots of strikeouts and stuff, but 55% owned.
Starting point is 00:10:54 He's got the White So, what do you think? And do you believe of the obtainable two starters that are probably out there right now, that those guys are kind of at the top of the list? Yeah, I would definitely agree with that. John Means against the Tigers and the Mariners, that is so good. Is he the number one? He's up there for.
Starting point is 00:11:14 me of like especially the obtainable ones that's what i mean i mean i mean like obviously we're going to go and look and be like verland or strasburg but of like guys that are actually obtainable in leagues i've gotten so many questions that have involved like who should i pick up you know stephen mats i see john means i don't see any of the other you don't see guys like robbie ray and i look at john means and i felt like for a week and a half now we've been saying this is the mat i mean he might not be the greatest pitcher of all time and you can break down what you were just about to say about who he is he's close he's close but his matchups are so ideal this week that this is the one if you're going to take the risk you go down
Starting point is 00:11:49 with based on the matchups. 100%. It actually, his last five starts, not one of them is above two-run runs. And that includes his last start, which was against the Dodgers of 6.1 innings of 2nd runs and 6 strikeouts. And he has a fantastic change-up. That's really everything to him, 206 batting average on the season with that change-up. Absolutely fantastic.
Starting point is 00:12:08 It's the Tigers and Mariners. That should be a cakewalk for him. And especially in a quality start league, too, the Orioles will love. let him fly and he has that stuff with 91.92 heater up, change her down. That's all he needs. It doesn't really matter what his secondary stuff does. Actually, well, his breakers do you want a given day with those two pitches, the fastball changeup, John Means should have a good week here.
Starting point is 00:12:27 But what about versus Martin Perez? I mean, I always would love to avoid, you know, anybody in Baltimore, you know, just for, you know, if things get crazy, I'd like to not be in Baltimore. So that first start against Detroit is so great because it's at Detroit. But then the Seattle game, it is in Baltimore, but still the matchup is just so ideal. What if you were comparing versus Martin Bryce? Like how much of a level above is means over Perez? And do you have any concerns, even though the matchups are so good on him?
Starting point is 00:12:55 Definitely. You're totally right about the whole Orioles thing. I even had a shirt. You can't spell win with Tillman because of that. And I felt so bad, but at the same time we put out this shirt, he didn't get another win for 11 months. but with Martin Perez, it's annoying to see that his last start was five-run runs against the nationals.
Starting point is 00:13:15 Then two stars before that was at Detroit, and he still allowed 700 runs. He's a very volatile pitcher. A lot safer with John Means. Again, going on the good stretch, really feeling that change up lately. With Perez, its velocity is also not what it was in the spring. We got really excited for a moment because it was 94, 95, all of a sudden.
Starting point is 00:13:34 We used to see 93 from Perez. And now with that velocity, that's great. but now it's 93 in change. We don't know when to give a night. Is he going to have that velocity? Is this cutter going to be a great pitch? It doesn't really have much else outside of that. Against the White Sox and Royals, I'm still in for the two-start week,
Starting point is 00:13:50 but there is a sizable gap. I want to go to John Means. I feel the floor is a lot safer, especially in quality start leagues too, because the last three starts, five innings, six innings, two point two for Martin Perez. It's not a guarantee he goes all six. Do you have any other guys as far as two starters?
Starting point is 00:14:05 You could be digging a little bit deeper. A big thing we've been talking. about, you know, here on this show for a while now has been just how not great the situation of two starters has been on the season, especially as of recent, you know, quality over quantity sometimes. But regardless of that comment that we get into where, you know, like I'll press on here, you know, press Scott about getting through and talking about like, all right, you know, these guys are down to 20% own, where do you feel it? And Scott will be like, well, you know, this is not the guys that we obviously want to get down with. But do you see anybody that I don't care
Starting point is 00:14:35 if it's down at the very bottom of percentages? I've got. got a couple questionable guys to get at, but are there any guys that you just love the matchup and you just say, hey, listen, I think I Eovaldi can actually get to the fifth inning. Or Adam Plutko, who now is taking over for a guy like Zach Pleasak, he's actually a better option with those two matchups. Anybody lower that you want to pinpoint as a two starter? You, okay, you can just do this on your own because I'm Eovaldi going against the Giants in the race. I'm so in, 100% in. But is he going to qualify for a win?
Starting point is 00:15:04 91 pitches last time out. Yeah. That's the thing, though. We were wondering, is he going to get past 80? And then all of a sudden he went past 91. Yes, it was 4.1 innings, but whatever. That's just circumstance for that. I think he has the ability, also the velocities backup.
Starting point is 00:15:19 And if you remember last year, what made Evaldi so successful was high fastballs, cutters coming down. He's still doing that again. I really think, especially for that start against the Giants, Evaldi can excel there and be fine and good enough against the race. If you really want to go deep, this is, okay, well, there are two guys. guys, not as deep as the other, Mitch Keller, I'm in on. Really? And I know that's going to be upsetting to a lot of people because the first innings
Starting point is 00:15:45 I've just been atrocious with him. But Mitch Keller, if you really need that home run play, I mean, his stuff is fantastic. That's interesting because I had some people pairing, like, I had a couple of questions where people were like, which, you know, which two would you want? And I would see, you know, means in there. I'd see police sack. I'm trying to remember who else. Maybe Renalda Lopez.
Starting point is 00:16:03 And then I saw Mitch Keller in there. And I was like, I'm on a firm, no Keller diet for the rest of. rest of the years. So I don't know. I get that. And I mean, I have Lopez, even though he is gaining the twins. I still have him above Keller personally as well. But if you really are thinking, you know what, I needed some volume guys. I need to collect strikeouts with two star guys. This is it. Keller is someone who can pump 97 miles per hour with two good secondary pitches in there. That's really, that's something you don't see often that this unowned annual leagues with two starts against the Mariners and the Brewers, Brewers without Yelich. Kane isn't what he used to.
Starting point is 00:16:38 be. That's not that strong of a lineup either. I could see two really good starts here from Keller and even when it gets super deep. I mean, I'm not going to say Garrett Richards because I don't expect Garrett Richards to actually go long at any of these starts. But Trent Thornton actually pitched pretty dang while against the Red Sox last time out. Missing bats with his curveball, good fastballs as well, he gets the Orioles first. That could be good enough that however well he does against the Yankees is is nullified by that start just something to consider there Pablo Lopez also even though he's going against the diamondbacks and the nationals he has he had better stuff last time out that could be something that that could be an impact for your
Starting point is 00:17:24 leagues I'm going to come back here to tackle Ievaldi and Keller versus a few more things but it is seek geek time seek geek promo code fantasy searching sporting events live music comedy and more has never been easier than with Seat Geek. Seat Geek has the tickets you're looking for all in one place. Why is Seat Geek better than the rest? Well, a quick look at the app is going to show 50,000 five-star reviews. How that for customer satisfaction. And Seat Geek displays them on an interactive seat map.
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Starting point is 00:18:35 Iovaldi, I want you to tell me, me what part of the sandwich he is between Perez and John Means. I would, okay, I would still favor John Means. I think that's a much safer play. And if you're just looking to get your points and not try and shoot for the moon, you go John Means. You should be happy with that, especially with the run that he has been on for his last five starts and that change of, et cetera.
Starting point is 00:18:57 I like him more than Perez. I think Perez is a little more volatile while E. E. Voli, I know it was 4.1 innings. I know that, but I trust the skill set of him. I trust that the Red Sox are letting him go deeper. I think I would take that for his two starts over, Perez. Okay, so then now, coming back to Mitch Keller, I've got a couple pitchers to add for this week. I've got one guy who's not on any two starter, but now let's take Mitch Keller and let's verse him against a couple of the popular pitchers that were added as of recent.
Starting point is 00:19:26 Zach Davies, who's got the Padres and the Pirates, Rinaldo Lopez, who is at Minnesota, and it looks like he's lined up against Burrios, but then he's at. Detroit, but lined up against Matthew Boy. So two road games were right now to Lopez. So now Davies versus Lopez versus Keller, give me that order. Okay, I don't want anything to do with Zach Davies. This is, okay, the Brewers last week had a four-game series in Miami. Not one starter lasted through a full five innings. Okay, and this is, this is Jordan Liles, this is Chase Anderson, this is Zach Davis,
Starting point is 00:20:05 is Joe Gonzalez. They were pulled under 80 pitches often here. The idea that Zach Davis is going to go deep in any way to make a significant impact for your team, I just don't see it. I don't see it. And if I'm making these plays, it's not to essentially get a, what I call a false starter, like your four-inning reliever that comes in like a Trino's used to do or Yarbrough in the past. I don't want that. I'm going for someone that actually makes a difference for the week. Zach Davies, I just don't see him doing that.
Starting point is 00:20:34 I would rather go after Mitch Keller. I would have Davies at the bottom of this list. Okay, what about Reynaldo versus him? Because Reinaldo is interesting, though, you know, 10% more, less owned than Dave. I feel like Davies' only big grab here is it's based on the matchups. That's what everybody is trying to play, as they're looking at the matchups. So when I go look at Most Added for the week, I was giving you the percentages of where they were. This might surprise everybody.
Starting point is 00:20:59 Zach Davies, if you take away Johnny Quedo, because I'm not going to count Johnny Quedo, who's at the top of the list of most added because Quedo was going to be a two-starter. I mean, we went back and forth. Me and Scott White did all week. And I even believe, you know, you guys were talking about it too. He's Sunday. He went Sunday, was solid, went five, three hits. But he's not a two-start pitcher.
Starting point is 00:21:19 So Johnny Quato is at the very top, the most added player over the last week in anticipation of a multitude of things. But the next highest-percentaged pitcher added. So, you know, CBS does it by the percentage change. of ownership, Zach Davies was the number one, not counting quito, the number one added pitcher who's up to 62%.
Starting point is 00:21:41 So that probably has a lot to do with A, the Brewer's offensive lineup behind him, and B, the matchups that he had, and he's more than your guy, Nathan Yovaldi, who is actually number two after that, and then Reynaldo Lopez,
Starting point is 00:21:56 who I believe is number five. Interesting. I think if you just look at last week, you look at the matchups, Oh, yeah, against the Marlins. And how did that go? I don't see any reason why it's going to be any different this week. I would not go after Zach Davies.
Starting point is 00:22:12 And Radona Lopez, I know he just faced the Royals and gave it four home runs. And it was so disappointing because the previous start, he went out and killed it. And he'd think, oh, yeah, against the Royals, no problem. I'm actually somewhat excited because he showed up with 97 miles per hour again. This is something that we saw in the beginning of August and he had an incredible run because of that increased velocity, before he was throwing about 95 and change him, you know, 95.3. And all of a sudden, averaging 97, ridiculous. And I'm so happy we saw it last time.
Starting point is 00:22:43 And then essentially three run home or ruined the whole thing. I'm going with this. It's very matchup independent often with Renauda Lopez. And against the twins, Detroit, sure, that sounds good with me. I think he can excel on both of these. I guess the floor The floor honestly is similar to Zach Davies The overall impact of what they would do
Starting point is 00:23:07 Similar, I think it's very clear to see that the ceiling is higher though With Lopez Okay, so this is one last one I really wanted to hit for everybody And I hope you guys appreciate this Hit a lot of pitching here Nick is a fantastic person to do this with And I know this is your guys's biggest grab for this week
Starting point is 00:23:22 You guys are, you know, the hitting questions are one thing But the desperation and pitching is super important So I feel like we have have set a really good groundwork here of what to start pitching looks like this week. John Means is kind of like in a little tier of his own. There's some other viable options. Here is one pitcher that I think ownership dictates that he is out there in a lot of spots. And I know a lot of big, heavy competitive leagues he might be.
Starting point is 00:23:46 But because of his last start, he might be back out here. And I think he's in a good matchup. So keep in the back of your mind some of those guys you've been talking about, the Renauda Lopez's, the Davies, the Kellers, whatever. and go and look at a one-start matchup for Alex Young. Alex Young, who's up to about 56% owned, he got shellacked a bit, only went two-and-two-thirds in his last outing versus the Mets,
Starting point is 00:24:09 but he had been pretty good as of recent. Would you take a one-start Alex Young versus a multitude of these two starters? Like, would you value that start over, let's say, Renato Lopez or even Mitch Keller? I would say that, I mean, we're talking about a weekly lock league. I think I would go points wise over over Zach Davies. I would still go Alex Young.
Starting point is 00:24:35 But I would still probably go Raynail Lopez and Mitch Keller above that Alex Young star. I really do like that start against Miami. Is it all formats too? Is it like, um, because like point is a little different. Okay, because I feel like points is like obvious. Points you want to get, you just don't want the negatives here. But if you're getting into like head to head and stuff like that, I guess I feel like I'm valuing this Alex Young start. over a relative multitude of these guys. Yeah, I understand why. I mean, it's not to mention that 2.2 inning started against the Mets,
Starting point is 00:25:06 it was 500 runs. And that really set him back. And he should have, you know, he got a bit unlucky in that regard. It was really only one-ard run in that, but he had to get an early hook because of it. And he had 12 strikeouts in eight frames against the Reds in the preview start, right? So I can see him doing very well in Miami, especially in head-to-leagues. It's so important, I'm sure you'll agree with this,
Starting point is 00:25:25 understand the matchups that you have ahead. Are you targeting for both ratios and volume? Are you only targeting volume? Know your opponent. Know how many guys he has who he's going to be confident with. Is he ace heavy? Is he going to be streaming heavy? And you have to plan around that.
Starting point is 00:25:42 So if you feel that you're going up against aces, 100%. Go for Renano Lopez twice. You need to do that because you have to collect that volume. But if you feel like you can actually maybe do a balance between it all, then I would rather go with Alex Young because I think that would keep that seesaw level for you and make you make it so that you know that first start against the twins you're not just all of a sudden in a hole necessarily but Alex Young keep the boat steady and allow other players to excel fantastic breakdown of that that's what I think that was really really good
Starting point is 00:26:09 stuff good key stuff for people to hone in on when you're making your decisions now last thing with this little front of pitchers because I do want to get to some hitters but we're done with pitchers probably overall how about two guys that have two starts this week I'm curious if they are questions one is Miles Michaelis who is got the Nationals and the Cubs, who we talked about. Maybe their lineup is a little less powerful. But, you know, he's been kind of, I mean, he had a good start against Colorado. I didn't start him in one of my leagues just because it was at Colorado.
Starting point is 00:26:37 And I was like, no thanks. And then how about Luis Severino, who is actually lined up for two starts? I don't know if it's actually going to happen, but he's lined up for two starts this week, making his return. He's got the Angels and the Blue Jays. Is there anything in question whether it's weekly lineup not putting them in? do you think any of the starts warrant major eyes for people to potentially sit? So what do you think about Michaelis and Severino? Well, okay.
Starting point is 00:27:01 So with Severino, it's about 70 pitches is what I'm hearing, 70 to 75 or so against the Jay's on. I think it's on Tuesday. I'm sorry, the angels on Tuesday. Boy, the troutless angels too. Right, right. So that could be a good start to have. I do question if he is going to get that second start just because the Yankees might want to say,
Starting point is 00:27:20 all right, we're going to give you a little more breath. You know, we could give some more time, give Jordan Montgomery, of course, this start in there. We could just do a bullpen game. Just give you more time. Maybe there's something that they wanted to tweak and give him that extra day of rest. So I don't know if he is going to get that Sunday start against the Js. If he does, if he does do that, I am in for both because it would be 70, 75. They want to get him playoff ready.
Starting point is 00:27:45 So then it would be closer to 90, so 85, 90 after that. And then it would be up to, of course, 95. And there you go. You're set. So in general, if you're locking leagues, I'm going to say yes, so they are going to start him on Sunday. It's not the question that they do hold him back. So you don't have concerns about putting him out there. Like I think I said it earlier, maybe it was on ITL where I was like, you know, I went out and started Quato.
Starting point is 00:28:08 So you go and look at Severino. You just, you're not going to have those same questions. Do you have the sever? You obviously, I guess you're kind of saying you don't have the Severino. What about Blake Snell? Blake Snell looks like he is actually lined up to start on Tuesday. And who is that going to be against? That is going to be against, I believe, the Dodgers in L.A.
Starting point is 00:28:26 I'm a, I'm good. No thanks, dog, on Blake Snell at L.A. Severino or Blake Snell this week. Right. So I have a phrase called DLH, which is disabled list hangover, where you generally don't start someone on the first day back from any sort of extended disabled list center. Now it's IL, so I guess we go to Still Ill, but that's fine.
Starting point is 00:28:49 But with Severino, I'm pushing it away because, he is an elite talent. And you would think I would say the same about Blake Snell, but there are two things going against him here. One, of course, that's the Dodgers, not that, as you said, the troutless angels. The second is the pitch count is going to be much more limited. The race of, I understand they're trying to get him playoff ready, but I wouldn't expect more than three innings out of this.
Starting point is 00:29:10 They're definitely on the slower side of ramping up Blake's. Now, not to mention, we've seen over the years, they baby him a little bit. They don't let him go deep into games like other guys like Severino has. And I would not be surprised if we see maybe even two in change in the start against the Dodgers. I don't see the ceiling here for Snell in this first start. And even the second one, you'd be lucky if you get four. Maybe, maybe on a very good day he gets five in that second start.
Starting point is 00:29:42 I'd be very shocked. I am not touching Blake's now this week. I'd actually be kind of surprised if he really makes a big impact for you by the end of the year. Did you say Michaelis? Were you starting him against Washington? Michaelis is a coin flip. That's the problem with him. He is as much of a coin flip as there is out there.
Starting point is 00:30:00 Nationals, it just doesn't seem right. At the same time, it didn't seem right against the Dodgers, and he did well with his worst velocity and worst slider of the year. But who cares, right? It's Michaelis. It's a coin flip. Maybe it's one of those things like you talked about. If you're going up against aces and you just kind of,
Starting point is 00:30:12 you know you're going to be in a streaming battle because you can't catch up, that it's one of those you just put him out there. Exactly. If you're playing your ratio is tight, maybe the Nationals won as you hold back. Obviously, you cringe if he has a good start. And then maybe you feel better about a Cubs matchup that potentially is going to be Rizzo-Liss. And we don't know what it'll look like at the end of the week. Right.
Starting point is 00:30:31 A lot of the times if you own Mek-Loss, you kind of just have to start them because then you're essentially, it's him or whatever's on the wire. And we already talked about a lot of the options in the wire. If you don't have those and you're looking for others to replace with Mek-Lost, then just know you just have to go with Mek-A-Lost. All right. All right. Let's take a quick break right here on fantasy baseball today. When we come back, we're going to answer some emails. We're going to hit a whole bunch of more hitting ads.
Starting point is 00:30:52 And then if we have time, I feel like I've been saying this for like a week. If we have time, we've got a good load of 20, 20 questions that are sitting in the hopper. And I'm kind of chomping at the bit to answer them. So quick break, fantasy baseball today. Not quite a hey real quick or anything like that. But these emails, they are targeted for you guys all around your championship week. So we've got a good theme here. First up, dear chick, chick, happy, shoeless, and sway.
Starting point is 00:31:15 I tried to do this. I think it might be Joe's. They have a bit here, Nick, where people will email in, you know, goofy names and you got to try to figure out, like, what the stick is. So the only thing I can figure out is, like, Shulish Joe. I typed in all those names and I got Joe's in. So I don't know if that's what he was getting at. Let me know if you figure it out. Have a question on championship strategy for points leagues.
Starting point is 00:31:36 I've been writing my strong pitching all season for top 20 pitchers, five when Woodruff was healthy. Caleb Smith has been my worst rostered pitcher all season. hater and relief. But I look to be dead on arrival because my opponent has added seemingly every two-start pitcher. I'll be down two to one in starts the final week. Is the best strategy having best rotation or come playoffs? Do you think I need to change thinking volume winning out? So volume winning out. In any event, thanks for your time and for helping me out. So what do you think here? Is it having best rotation or volume? It's kind of actually what you were saying before. You were talking about it and how to react to it. But what is your
Starting point is 00:32:12 approach walking in where this guy is studded out, but this other guy has gone out and volumed him to death. Right. So, yeah, so that stuff before was about head-to-head league specifically with points leagues. The real rule of thumb is you better have a good lineup because, right, you can brute force your way with pitching, especially if you don't have to save your bench for bats. If you have a good enough lineup, then you can just go after as many two-star guys.
Starting point is 00:32:39 That's generally my approach in points leagues is not to. to go for three, four aces or whatever to be top loaded. Because right, come playoff time, guys are just going to out muscle you with too many starts. And I think that is more important just having the volume than it is having the pristine guys at the top. Because remember, even if they are great normally, it's just about probability that we're going after studs. You know, even every stud has a bad day. So it's not a guarantee even that the guys you pick up are going to be worse than the studs you already have. So it is about volume, very much so, in points leagues, come playoff time.
Starting point is 00:33:15 This is kind of a similar-ish question. Anthony in Minneapolis email, he said, Hey, guys, I want to thank you both. I think he's talking to me and Scott White as well as Heath, Adam, and Chris Towers for all your help. I was in five leagues this year and I'm going to finish top five in my Roto League and made the playoffs and four others. Good job on you. Curious, he says, though, and this is where it ties in.
Starting point is 00:33:31 What's your strategy for playoff weeks in head-to-head or points leagues? There's a lot of conversation about streaming, you know, buying early. he says, thanks again for all your help. This is my favorite podcast, and you helped me successful now for two years in a row. So just kind of piggybacking on, you were talking about how to approach strictly your pitching. Do you have any other playoff week strategies that you are taking?
Starting point is 00:33:52 And I know a big popular one is going and looking, you know, at games played through the playoffs. That's one that people are going to do. But head to head and points, what differential type of strategies might you take come to playoffs? Yeah, it's really important to understand your options. I come February, sorry February, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. If you are planning to make it take a risk on Tuesday and Wednesday with the stream, know who the backup is.
Starting point is 00:34:18 Know who, okay, if that doesn't go the right way, then who am I dropping to get for Friday and Saturday? And do that a day in advance. Trust me, you do not want to be the one on Thursday night, praying that your waiver bid was higher than the other guy for Friday. Just get it one day in advance. But it's so important. It's so important to just map it out, understand what risks you're already going to take. before the day of because then it all just goes just goes terribly and then you get yourself in a hole early or you don't you find yourself like oh i don't actually have enough volume and i thought
Starting point is 00:34:49 was going to i don't only have x y and z so that that's my biggest suggestion is really understand the weekend options and who you're targeting who you're not this next one we kind of already answered but i i like his tag and then i love his first sentence by the way he says hello my legion of doom please allow me to start by saying how awesome and funny you guys are and i love the new host and all of the stats. So he's talking about me. But we've already answered his question. So I really, I just did that for myself.
Starting point is 00:35:14 He wanted to know about Blake Snell. He was on, he had a heavy lead, but he was intrigued. And I feel like we've curbed enough of the enthusiasm to put Blake Snell out there. Yeah. Don't do it. I love Blake Snell. If you don't know, I have his poster on my wall that is a strike zone plot that I call the Blake's Nell blueprint of fastballs up and sliders and curb balls down.
Starting point is 00:35:37 It's gorgeous. It's how you succeed pitching the majors these days. It's on my wall. How have you in Spor not done? Because if people don't know, Nick will do the fireside chat, fireside chats on Sundays over at fan graphs with one of my besties. It's Paul.
Starting point is 00:35:54 I love Paul. And Paul has a relationship with Blake Snow where Blake Snow likes to Twitch and he'll jump on his Twitch. How have the three of you not done a podcast yet? That's a fantastic question. I would love to do that. We'll find some time. Paul is way too,
Starting point is 00:36:07 I don't have shame. Like the Arizona Fall League for everybody, Arizona Fall League starts up this week. If you guys want some prospect coverage, you know, a funny one, I saw a lot of people tweeting, hey man,
Starting point is 00:36:17 you know, Mike Trout's out for the year. They got to get Joe Adele. Why is it Joe Adele coming up? You want to know why? Because I'm going to be talking to him this week because he's here in Arizona. On Tuesdays,
Starting point is 00:36:25 the practices start up. The Angels have already committed to it. But all I'm getting at is the Arizona Fall League is kicking off essentially Tuesday, games on Wednesday. And I am just going to shamelessly be out there on the field. grabbing guys when they come off of BP. Hey, let's talk, recorder, put it on my podcast.
Starting point is 00:36:41 So make sure you're locked into my Twitter for it. But you guys get on that. You, Blake, Stell and Paul Spor is a must listen to. We should. Actually, also, I think Joe even told me that he wasn't going to come up because he had to talk to the Welsh. So I just want to let you know that. It's common. It's a common thing.
Starting point is 00:36:57 Don't worry. We hear that a lot. All right. Getting to some hitters, because I know you guys are reeling a little bit, the most viewed hitter. I think the second most viewed player after. Johnny Quato, Kyle Lewis, and wouldn't you know it, my boy, Kyle Lewis hit his fourth home run on Sunday. It's crazy.
Starting point is 00:37:16 Coming off of three straight games with a home run, went two for five. He had three RBIs, two, four homers in six games, ten RBIs now in six games. He is on an absolute heater. So what I want to bring to the table are the prospects. I want to talk about them in a tiny little capsule here for a minute. And then I'll pit them up against a couple other players because I am getting a lot of questions about do I start this veteran hitter who's reeling a little bit? Or do I go with these lowly, oh, I think people literally go and look at and see guys like Horner and stuff and they see them available and they question themselves. But Kyle Lewis, absolute monster right now.
Starting point is 00:37:57 Nico Horner was the second most viewed player, six hits and two home runs over the weekend. You've got Nick Solac, who Solac is interesting because, you know, He's calmed a little bit. He only had one hit over the weekend. And everyone knows that was Scott White's guy. 27% owned the most owned of these prospects right now. Didn't have a great weekend. Well, Ruegan O'Dore had a pretty good one.
Starting point is 00:38:18 I'm going to bring him up here shortly. And then you've also got Sean Murray, who is going to be relatively high in catcher rankings. 22%, two for four on Sunday, three for four with four runs on Friday. Three homers before that. He's been a beast. So, Kyle Lewis, Niko. Horner, Solac Murphy. Talk to me about those guys.
Starting point is 00:38:40 And do you have a preference of who you would be putting out this week? Well, I mean, I will say Sean Murphy is someone that I would be considering. Just because, I mean, he was killing it in AAA anyway. In 31 games, 10 home runs, 308 average over 1 OPS. I understand the PCL and everything like that. But this isn't necessarily surprised that this guy has power. And a power hitting catcher to me, there's got to be so many leagues where you your catcher just isn't doing anything.
Starting point is 00:39:09 It's just normal. It's just whatever. You want to know it killed me? Might as well. You might have killed me. On Saturday night, on Saturday night, I knew Carson Kelly. I just had a feeling he was going to get benched on Sunday.
Starting point is 00:39:22 Sean Murphy was just sitting there on the wire. And I thought about picking him up and I didn't pick him up. He got two hits on Sunday. And I'm telling you, I barely lost in this one league. It could have been the factor. It could have been the small factor between it. And I know catchers aren't super enticing to pick up, especially if the thought process here is not putting them at catcher. Some of you guys are sitting out there with some incredible options.
Starting point is 00:39:45 But I don't know. He's a guy when his matchups are in play and he's getting more playing time. He's a good pickup. But he's the obvious guy if you have a catcher need where Kyle Lewis versus Horner versus Solac, I think is increasingly becoming maybe the most fascinating one. I press Bogman to consider a guy like Nico Horner, even over a guy like Tim Anderson for the coming week here and get Nico Horner in more starts. I know, you know, Scott White doesn't love him to death because the power has been in question for him. I'm a huge fan of Nico Horner. I think his bat presence is, I don't want to call it elite, but I think it's top notch.
Starting point is 00:40:20 His power kicked up this weekend. He's getting a bunch of hits and the Cubs will rely on him even more. Maybe, just maybe, he gets pushed up in the lineup because Rizzo's hurt too. I was about to suggest that because, I mean, his OVP has been 41 this far. I understand 27 plate appearances or so, but it's not like he's been a bad OVP guy. 11% walk rate thus far for Nico. That's impressive. He's been batting eighth typically. And I totally agree.
Starting point is 00:40:45 With the Rizzo out, I think you might actually see him jump up a ton. You know what? Rizzo's been a leadoff guy. Why not put Nico in there for one game or two? He could do it. We'll see what happens. I think he can do it. I will say if there's someone, one of these guys that would consider the most,
Starting point is 00:41:02 it probably would be Solac, not because he has a fantastic first. name, but more so that he's in the middle of that lineup. He's batting fourth. And generally, when it comes to production, it's just about where you hit in the lineup. He's consistently in there. That's a good thing. Willie Calhoun is obviously killing the ball. So having him right in front of him, getting on base, I think that gives you the nicest floor out of all these guys. Obviously, there's Kyle Lewis who just hit his fourth home run too. If you want to try that for a day or two, I do not blame you. You were mentioning about veterans. Do I stick my veteran to a guy after Kyle Lewis, you stick with your veteran.
Starting point is 00:41:38 That's how I personally go with it. These are the guys they got you here. This is who they are. Don't forget about what they can do after one week. That just seems silly to me. While this is clearly a hitter who's taking advantage of things right off the bat, but it's not like Kyle Lewis, he had 11 home runs in 122 games this year, 500 plus played appearances in double A. This isn't who he is.
Starting point is 00:42:01 And sometimes we do see that, but he's not, you know, 263 hitter in that time. 741 OPS. It's a nice run, but trust your utility guy that you've had all year. That's most likely going to be the safer play. And that's what I would go with. It's very Aristides Aquino to me with Kyle Lewis. The problem, and what I mean by that is one part, which I want to talk about him shortly, is, you know, he is cooling down. And I've never fully believed that the power was going to maintain because he strike out heavy. Kyle Lewis is very similar in that, the touted pedigree a little bit higher. The question, though, in all of that,
Starting point is 00:42:37 is Kyle Lewis done? Or are we going to get the rest of this through the season, or is he going to start to tick down? That's where it becomes difficult. All right, so veterans here. I've got three to pit up. Now, one is a little bit highly owned, but I want to get your take and see if I can press you enough
Starting point is 00:42:49 that this might mark a pickup for somebody. First up is Ryan McMahon. I want to talk about him because he hit two homers, double-donged here on Sunday night, went three for five, two homers, four RBIs. But he had been hitless since September 7th, and this coming week he has no Thursday game, but he is home
Starting point is 00:43:06 Monday through Wednesday. So there's McMahon who is highly owned, maybe even sitting on people's benches, versus two very, very popular players, one in Will Myers, who is now up to 67% owned, two for three, with his 18th homer on Sunday, hitting 400 in the month coming into Sunday.
Starting point is 00:43:23 And Mark Kana, who on Saturday went one for five with his 24th homer. He's had hits in four of his last six games, 62% owned. So McMahon, is decently owned over him. Who, if you had the option to pick up, are you picking up? And do you like Myers or Kana maybe over a guy like Ryan McMahon this coming week?
Starting point is 00:43:43 Just talk to me about these vets. Sure. Canna is the guy I'm going with. He's going to Texas now. I'm down with that. They don't have that dome yet unless they dropped it over at night. I'm definitely going that. And by the way, she said double dong.
Starting point is 00:43:57 I don't know if you've done this before. I think I was talking about baseball to somewhat. and someone's listening in that doesn't follow baseball whatsoever and heard me say dong and they were so confused and I didn't realize what I was saying I didn't shout out to Heath Cummings shout out to our boy Heath Cummings who he's even got the shirt so we're all in celebration sure
Starting point is 00:44:20 I know that it's a great shirt I oh man it just it just threw me for a loop like don't you understand what I'm saying I think a lot of baseball isms throw people for loops you know home run hits and an egg Line emoji comes out and everybody loses their mind. So I agree. All right. So Mark Kana over all these guys. Yes, because he is in the middle of that lineup again.
Starting point is 00:44:40 I love being thrust right there at number four. That's great. Good matchups the rest of the week. Myers is someone. I know that he's hot. I just never like dealing with Myers. It's so boring. 17 home runs, 15 stone bases this year.
Starting point is 00:44:55 If you need something to really push you this week, you might get one of them. You might not. You know, the average, honestly, is under one per week for each through the full season. I'm not a huge fan of that. McMahon, that could work you there in Cors, at least to start the week. I personally would go with the safer option of Kana. Do you view any of those guys? Okay, how about, this question might have come to me.
Starting point is 00:45:19 What about Kana versus a guy like Solac or Horner? I guess I probably know the answer to this, but did any of the rookies jump over any of the veterans? Maybe that's a better way to put it. Yeah, that is, no, not for me. There isn't something right now that's just you have to. This is the next coming of X. And no, I'm going to go with Kana. All right.
Starting point is 00:45:40 Well, X's going to bring it to you right here. Kyle Tucker, who's 54% on six hits over the weekend. That's Friday through Sunday with home run number two on Sunday. And Gavin Lux, who is going right now as we're doing this about 10 p.m. Eastern it is right now. It's in the ninth inning of this game all tied up. But Gavin Lux is two for four. and he went two for four with a homer on Friday. So highly owned in the 55 to 65% range of Kyle Tucker, Gavin Lux.
Starting point is 00:46:08 And you know what it was? I think it was Tucker versus Kana that I would ask. So those prospects, Tucker and Lux versus Myers, Kana McMahon, how does it sort out? All right, because I'm on my bike because I'm definitely back paddling a little bit here. Kyle Tucker is definitely someone that's a massive impact play. I mean, 34 home runs, 30 stolen bases. in 125 games, 900 plus OPS and AAA. He's going to bring it to you.
Starting point is 00:46:35 He's something that we've been waiting so long for it to show up. You know, and I will say, I don't know if I necessarily put him up Canada, but I will, I do see it like on your utility spot. If you have some boring guys, legitimately boring players there that just haven't really done much. Yeah, I would go with Tucker there. Gavin Lux, I could see if you have, I believe he has eligibility at second base, if that's correct, with, with Gavin Lux.
Starting point is 00:47:00 I, yeah, second base. I would be slotting him in there if I didn't really have a strong option. Lux or Myers? I will say this about Lux. Well, I have a phrase called Dodger-R-Ritus. It refers to the pitching staff mostly for the Dodgers
Starting point is 00:47:16 where you just never know how many innings they're going to get. Is Maya going to stay in the rotation? Is he not? Who's next? And it does apply to hitters slightly too. We don't really know what they're going to do with Lux.
Starting point is 00:47:28 We know what we're going to do with Will Myers. If you're in a weekly league, I think you still have to go with Will Myers. In a daily, I would be looking to slot in Lux every time he's confirmed as a starter. Okay, I like that. How about some championship bats? I've got four names for you, and I want you to pick one. Randall Gritchick, two for four, with a double dong, 27 and 28th homers here on Sunday. Eight game hit streak.
Starting point is 00:47:53 He's got no game on Monday, but Baltimore and New York, and he's at both of those places next week. Miguel Sanoe, and the reason I'm bringing him up, even though he's highly percent owned, I think a lot of people out here, you know, you're playing in not just CBS, a lot of different places. He's not as owned everywhere else because I got so many Miguel Sanoe questions this week. Miguel Sanoe, who is 72 percent on CBS, was two per five with his 29th homer on Sunday. He's got, looks like a full slate so far. Two more.
Starting point is 00:48:20 Kevin Newman, who 63 percent own, on a 10-game hit streak, seven hits over the weekend, and Rugi. We talked about Rugi a little bit. But he hit 56% own. He hit Homer on Saturday, which is 27th of the year. He's now got six homers in September, 33 with two stolen bases and the six homers coming into Sunday's game. So championship bat that you're adding, Suno, Gritchick, Newman, O'Dore. Well, obviously it does depend a little bit about what you need.
Starting point is 00:48:48 Newman 318 average for the year. You know what you're going to get. You're getting kind of the boring, some stolen bases in here, some runs plus RBI production. But if you're an OBP League, it's a lot. It's 365 for Newman versus 340 for Sineau thus far. That's something to consider. If you need a home run this week, he could go with Gritchie. You could go with Sano.
Starting point is 00:49:08 I bet it's a bit of a coin flip there. The thing is Sino does get the White Sox and the Royals. I could very well see Junis or Montgomery leave a ball over the plane. He swats one or two of those out. I could see the White Sox as well, not necessarily doing great things like Dylan Covey. And I say, don't covey thy Dylan. because you don't want anything to do with him, but unless your name is to know,
Starting point is 00:49:31 who couldn't launch one out as well. Odor is an interesting mix to me. I don't ever want to do anything with Odor personally. He's just not something that I want to touch. Would you cut bait on Aristides Aquino, who was one for four on Sunday, but coming in to Sunday, hitting 163 in the month of September, one homer in the month, and that was on the second,
Starting point is 00:50:00 and he only has nine total hits through this month. I've been telling people, feel free to cut bait, but the highly owned percentage in what he did is making people grip for their life to keep him in there. Are you cutting Aristides for Gritchick, Sano, Newman, or Odor? Yes. Or all of the above. Yeah, I pretty much would, yeah. Even though I don't want anything to do with Houtaer, yes.
Starting point is 00:50:27 I think so. If you look at his mechanics as a hitter, it's just not something that seems sustainable. It's very much of a feel of seeing the ball like a watermelon on a given day. And then the way that it's just so violent almost and wild, it doesn't surprise me that's falling off tremendously. I think you're safer trying to get that home run or two this week. with the other guys. Would you even go like, because I'll tell people this right now, I would go pick up Nico Horner, Nick Solac or Kyle Lewis, and I would play them all over Aristides right now. 100%. I'm with you. Okay, yeah. He's a straight up cut right now for me. I don't need it. Maybe he goes
Starting point is 00:51:09 off. I just don't. I'm not anticipating it with how atrocious September has been. And what it does is it does make a fascinating conversation about 2020 and where he goes, but we're not having that today. A couple more pitcher things here. This is a great one for you. Do you trust me? I've got couple pairs on here. Wade Miley, who had given up 12 earned runs in his last two starts, but went out on Sunday and was pretty good six, uh, inning seven hits, two earned runs with four strikeouts. He's got the Angels next. Max Fried, not so good, who had been two and one third, five earned runs with, uh, three walks and two strikeouts. His last start was also blah, five with five runs and five strikeouts. He's got the Giants next. And Jose Quintana did the two one again, just like
Starting point is 00:51:52 Freed gave up five earned runs with one strikeout, 13 earned runs given up over his last three, and he's got St. Louis next. So Miley, Keentana, do you trust me? I trust Wade Miley, definitely. I mean, the first one that he had was six batters. That's just the worst sample you could think of. And then if you watch the second one, we're talking about the two starts where he allowed. The one where he didn't go through an inning. Yeah. Yeah, it was essentially reminded me of his playoff appearance last year with four pitches. With Miley, even that second one, He just got what I call singled out where it was just so many singles. There were so many through the shift that was hit straight at a second basement,
Starting point is 00:52:31 but there was no second basement there are things up the middle. And he didn't even pitch poorly. It just happened to go not into gloves. It's weird to see that twice in a row. That's really what raised eyebrows for, I think, a lot of people. But this is who he is. Exactly what you saw here. And now I guess the angels?
Starting point is 00:52:48 100%. I won't be surprised if he gets incredibly. added after this. All you need to see is say, hey, he's not broken. He's not hurt. This is still Wade Miley. And everything is fine. We're just going to completely forget and laugh. With Freed, I think you're okay against the Giants. The Nationals are a really tough team. He's been battling a bit with command on all of his pitches this entire year. Sometimes it was his slider. It wasn't really there. Sometimes it's a curable getting down. Sometimes it was his fastball, not finding the edges as it normally does. In this one, I don't think he's pitched that
Starting point is 00:53:20 poorly honestly things just didn't go to his way with his heater. I would be starting freed against the Giants. It's a much better matchup. That's swinging the pendulum the other way. I would do that. Kintana had like this stretch where he did the blueprint I described before. Blake Snell going up with fastballs and then
Starting point is 00:53:38 curveballs down. You want to see separation of pitches. That means they're coming out the same tunnel and then just the movement is separating them. That's a great thing. We saw that a lot before. And then lately we just haven't. And now he gets burned. And the Cardinals are hitting much better than they were in the middle of the summer. I would hate to have to go with Kintana.
Starting point is 00:53:56 I wouldn't be, I actually would really consider streaming instead. It really does depend on the matchups that you're getting. But something like Alex Young, as we mentioned before, against the Marlins, much better than that start of Kintana. I agree. Do you trust me, Ryan Yarbrough, who went five, gave up six, only three strikeouts. He's got Boston next. Trevor Bauer had a good start. I told you, it's the revenge start against the Diamondbacks, went eight, struck out nine with one earned run, two straight
Starting point is 00:54:20 quality starts. Both he, I believe, had eight strikeouts. He's got the Mets next. And Johnny Quato, who got moved off the two start, went five, three hits, no earned runs, two strikeouts, but he's got the brave. So what do you think on a quick hit here? Yarborough, Bauer, Quedo. Who do you not trust, if any? I mean, Bauer's a coin flip. That's, oh man. If you have points league, yes, you just do it because the strikeouts will still be there. That's a complete coin flip. I'm leaning yes to that if I do have Bauer. Yarborough, I call him the Friday Pirates, because Yarbra. He has Boston.
Starting point is 00:54:53 I'm going to start him there. We've seen him do well against the Astros. We actually seen him do well, and it gets a lot of good offenses before. Even with a start, I think you're safe with that. Johnny Quito is an interesting one because he only threw 71 pitches today. I honestly would not start him against the Braves. I was
Starting point is 00:55:09 hoping he would get the Rockies on the road, and he's not getting that. So, at Atlanta, not so much. That's a good offense. He only had 18 over 71 CSW that's uh call strikes over west normally want to see percentage closer to 30 this is underneath that not really a strong start just had his change it working slider was pretty meh kerbal was just thrown once not enough for me to really think that he can go a full six and then those five i wouldn't be surprised at three on runs and that kind of kills you yeah i'm not i wouldn't start him either
Starting point is 00:55:39 because the league that i had him in i got eliminated and i won't be in the championship so i'm so sorry uh how about a couple great plays here animal sanchez who went seven struck out three no earned runs. His previous start, 64% on, by the way, went seven, two and runs with five strikeouts, got Miami. It looks like next weekend, like that one. Sean Mania continues to do the beautiful things he does, six innings, no earned runs, six strikeouts. He's got Texas next. And interestingly, they piggybacked him with Jesus Lazzardo. And Lazzardo went three, gave up one and run with four strikeouts, and he ended up getting a three-inning save. So anybody that was holding on, you got one of those just cheap category.
Starting point is 00:56:19 from Hazis Lozardo, I wonder if that continues and you see it in that Texas start, which would be great. And I just wanted to point this one out, not that you really wouldn't. Zach Gallin is still an absolute beast. Five and two-thirds, three earned runs, five strikeouts. He did give up three homers, but he's got San Diego next. And then give me your thoughts on this one. And by the way, if you disagree with Sanchez or Mania, you can tell me.
Starting point is 00:56:41 But what about Dylan Cease, who went five with one earned run with five strikeouts versus Seattle? he's got Detroit next. I don't want to rely on rookie starting pitchers, especially in the playoffs if I don't have to. But you were talking about Keller as a home run play. Dylan Sees is under 50% owned on CBS, and he's got Detroit next. He feels like one of those preemptive great plays
Starting point is 00:57:04 if you are just trying to go for it. You're trying to get a start like this, but maybe 10 strikeouts. Dylan Seas has that potential. Definitely. No, he definitely does have that. The one major concern I have with Dylan Seas, well, he threw over 100 pitches yesterday to get through just about five innings.
Starting point is 00:57:21 That's not a great thing. And he's not really finding his secondary stuff. His slider was good. He found the zone a bit with that, but his fastball also is not finding the zone. And the slider's fine, but it's not overwhelming. It's not one of those overpowering secondary pitches
Starting point is 00:57:36 that we saw from someone like Griffin Canning even that we saw, obviously, from Shane Bieber last year. We wanted to see something like that out of CIS that we haven't gone there. It's supposed to be the heater, you know, 96 plus. but it's not finding the zone and guys are taking it that's why you have to throw over 100 pitches to get through five okay innings.
Starting point is 00:57:52 I don't know if you can do that effectively against the Tigers. I know it's the Tigers, but that might, if you talk about home run play, Keller is more polished if you can believe it than ceases. I think Keller is still much better play there. Just a really quick hits
Starting point is 00:58:08 on the other three guys. Annabel Sanchez, super strange start today. Didn't throw his cutter at all. And that's kind of the pitch that has made him's money over the past years. Slightly scared about that Miami start, but I think he still start him there. Sean Manaya, he looks so good. J-J-D was fantastic.
Starting point is 00:58:25 It's really exciting. I wonder if his fuel will still be there for 2020, but that's really cool. And he got 95 pitches too. So he'll go deep. Don't worry about him getting short. Short and in his starts because of Luzardo. No, the L. I'll go 95 today.
Starting point is 00:58:38 Everything is fine there. And I just have a question. Zach Gallin, how excited were you when they traded for him? I mean, no, you know what? I was excited. I shouldn't say that. I was about to discount it because everybody knows how I was with Goldie in that trade. And on my show, Prospect 1, I poked a lot about Zach Gallen just because, you know, he wasn't a big stuff guy who was having incredible results.
Starting point is 00:58:59 So I was just trying to poke out a lot. When he got traded, I immediately went to Twitter and I was like, well, got to turn my takes on Zach Gallen around. He has been incredible. I mean, the stuff he's doing this year, I legitimately think, I mean, I'm not looking at my ranks. I'm not Scott White or anything like that as far as those things go. But, I mean, the top 30 range of an SP seems like the relative spot you could consider him, especially over, there's a lot of veterans that are going to dump out that you're going to see their name value. And you're going to be like, oh, man, you know, David Price, blah, blah, blah.
Starting point is 00:59:29 But a guy like Zach Allen, who's been so consistent with the offense behind the Diamondbacks, I just think we haven't appreciated who he truly is and we probably will next year. I can't agree more. I could talk a long time about Zach Allen. But actually, one of the very first times I got to see him was that, against the Cardinals, and I did a brief video about an about against your Paul Goldschmidt or your former Paul Goldschmidt. Not mine anymore.
Starting point is 00:59:52 And how he just completely dominated him and got in Goldschmidt's head to do a three-two change up under the zone that Goldschmidt thought would be a fastball because he's just waiting for one and didn't give in to him. His stuff is fantastic. And he actually is going higher than David Price in the very early mock drafts. Oh, yeah. Justin Mason is hosting. So we're doing an ITOL one right now.
Starting point is 01:00:14 I just got David Price around 200. So, well, you're going to do one with me, hopefully. Yeah, let's do it. You're going to spell my name right? You're going to spell my name right? Yes, maybe. I think I'm just going to call you. It's Chuck, right?
Starting point is 01:00:26 Yeah. People don't know. Last year, Bogman did one with Nick and Nick wrote Steve Bogman. And we didn't really, like, we had never done a bunch of pods. And that's what built our relationship. And now we're, we're just great buddies now. Best mistake I ever made, but that was so mortified. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:41 It's okay. It's okay. Here's what I would suggest to everybody, though. Make sure you go follow Nick on Twitter. picture list. Check out pitcher list.com. He's a great resource out there. Lots of picture gifts that you can go and check out. Great dude. He's on a whole bunch of stuff. And he's an up and coming name in the industry. I promise you. If you don't already know, I don't want to short sell. This is a guy that has like 30,000 more followers than me because, you know, look at me.
Starting point is 01:01:04 But I'm just saying like, you know, to the CBS audience, Nick is an absolute dude. And seriously, my friend, thank you for jumping on the podcast here. I promised everybody that we were in good hands. I know, you know, Scott is our guy, but I knew we were in good hands with Scott White out if I brought you on. And I'm glad you came on and you dropped some great knowledge, my friend. Man, this has been an absolute blast. And I'm honored to be a part of this. So really, thank you so much for bringing me on today. All right. So I know we have the 2020 questions. We do not have the time. But I want everyone to know that I am collecting the 2020 emails about all the value stuff that you're bringing in. I'm not deleting them. You guys can keep sending
Starting point is 01:01:41 and all your questions to fantasy baseball at cbsi.com. We will be doing, you know, I mean, obviously the main focus is going to be what's going on during the week. Scott White's going to be back with me again for the Wednesday episode and any of the 2020 stuff you guys sent. I'll hold on and Scott and I will try to prioritize to make sure that we're covering some of that stuff. That is the episode, Friendos. You know you can follow him at pitcher list. Follow me online at Is It the Welsh. Until next time, Scott White will be back and the kid will no longer have the house to himself.
Starting point is 01:02:11 the parents will be back. Have a good one, guys.

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