Fantasy Baseball Today - 12-team H2H Points Mock Draft Part 1! Rounds 1-11 Picks & Analysis (2/26 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: February 26, 2025

Frank Stampfl, Scott White and Chris Towers are doing their first live mock draft of the offseason! First up, a 12-team H2H points league. In Part 1, we run through the first 11 rounds of this draft, ...with analysis on some of the interesting picks. See time codes below: (3:23)- First round (8:08)- Second round (14:51)- Third round (18:40)- Fourth round (25:17)- Fifth round (29:45)- Sixth round (37:17)- Seventh round (42:42)- Eighth round (48:30)- Ninth round (54:23)- Tenth round (59:51)- Eleventh round Fantasy Baseball Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday Download and Follow Fantasy Baseball Today on Spotify: https://sptfy.com/QiKv Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi Follow FBT on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1 Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CPTowers @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. And first pitch, got a fantasy question, email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy. Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris. Let's go. First live mock draft of the offseason.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Wednesday, February 26th. I am Frank Stamphill, joined by Scott White and Chris Towers. the show, live 12 team head to head points mock draft. We have done lots of mock drafts this off season. This is the first one we are doing here on the podcast, here on YouTube. Thanks for everyone for hanging out. Are you guys ready to draft?
Starting point is 00:00:50 So ready. So ready. Beyond ready. I've been ready for five minutes. That's the time we said the pot, the draft was going to start. Chris, ready to go? I'm ready. Let's go.
Starting point is 00:01:02 Chris is drafting second in this draft, by the way. I am drafting second in this draft, by the way. I am drafting 8th. Scott is drafting 12th overall. And yesterday on our head-to-head strategy podcast, we went over the CBS point scoring format, so I'm not going to do that again. But the lineups in case you want to know
Starting point is 00:01:17 are a little bit shallower than the roto format, one of each infield position, three outfielders, one utility, and then five starting pitchers, two relievers, and five bench spots. I think with that, Scott, we are ready to go. I will pull up the draft board for those watching on YouTube. You can follow along.
Starting point is 00:01:38 I will put this little tab by round so you can see who is being drafted. Switch it on over to my rankings, which I updated today. Make sure I got everything in order. Sure there is still going to be things that pop up along the way. But here we are. We're off and running first of all. No surprise in a head-to-head points league, Aaron Judge, with the top pick. Is that our top player in this format across the board?
Starting point is 00:02:03 I believe that is. It is for me, yep. Yep, that would make sense. I will pull up the rankings just to be sure of that, but yes, I do think so. Yeah. And I'm going to be honest. I'd rather pick third than second, I think. I did that to torture you, Chris.
Starting point is 00:02:18 I wanted to see if you'd take Shoahe Otani. Otani is my number two player in this format. I just don't really want to do it. You don't really want to. Well, I just have my concerns about playing, making the number two pick a guy coming back from shoulder surgery. and I did it. It's fine. I'll live with it.
Starting point is 00:02:37 But yeah, it's not the favorite-ist pick that I've ever made. On the other hand, I can't complain too much about a guy who had what, 600 and the top 700? He had almost 800 points. He averaged five points per game. I'll tell you that much.
Starting point is 00:02:53 And Judge was the second highest at 4.65. I don't think Otani's going to average five again, but. Yeah, I mean, obviously, if not for the shoulder concern there, I think he'd be my number one, even at the format. I do think it's defensible to take Bobby Witt second if you just wanted to play it safe. I mean, Bobby Witt was still over four fantasy points per game last year. And he went third overall, by the way. It was Judge Otani, Bobby Witt to start.
Starting point is 00:03:19 No surprises there. And then Juan Soto, fourth overall. I think sees a little bit of a boost here in the head-ted points format, followed by Jose Ramirez, Mookie Betts, L.A. De LaCruz, and I am on the clock. So, Scott, you can talk while I make a pick. Yeah, we're moving pretty fast here. Everybody was geared up for round one. I think it's followed my rankings almost exactly so far.
Starting point is 00:03:42 Judge Otani Witt, Soto, Jose Ramirez, Muki Betz. He is better in this format, I would say, because you don't worry about maybe the potential fluctuation and batting average, and his strikeout rate is always low, which helps. But I don't think I have him as high as six. Ellie De La Cruz 7th. I know we all have him as a second rounder in this format.
Starting point is 00:04:05 Not that it's insane to draft me. No, I mean, he was a, I think like 550 points is kind of the, the first round bar. And he cleared it. It was 556 last year. It's just like for him, if other players who are still available meet their baseline. Yeah. They'll probably outperform De La Cruz.
Starting point is 00:04:27 If De La Cruz takes a step forward, though, you know, he might, he might be a top five play regardless of format. Yeah, like just for some context, Kyle Tucker and Mookie Betts were both on basically a 600 point pace. And Tucker, that was a new level for him. So we don't know exactly whether that's sustainable. But that's the context, right?
Starting point is 00:04:47 Ellie was 556. The other guys are more like 600 if everything goes right. Ellie has that upside. I just, I think it's less likely. Yeah, and in this format, losing points for strikeouts. Obviously, Ellie De LaCruz, over 31% strikeout rate last year. I wound up taking Kyle Tucker.
Starting point is 00:05:08 Tucker versus Gunner, I think that's a pretty close call. You know, first year in Chicago, will he be as good as he was last year? Maybe it takes a little bit of a step back, but it's also a contract year. I wound up going with Kyle Tucker, followed by Yordaun Alvarez, Gunner Henderson, Terek Scoubel, and Scott, you are up for two. Yeah, it's nice that the first pitcher even in this format doesn't go. till pick 11, Terrick Scoobool. And I think at the higher end of the pitching ranks
Starting point is 00:05:35 is where Roto Leagues outpaced points leagues. Because normally the higher end pitchers, you're seeing superior ratios, you're seeing bigger strikeout numbers. Those stats don't matter as much in points leagues as they do in Roto. You want depth in this format. You want pitching depth.
Starting point is 00:05:53 And so it's more the mid-range of starting pitcher where we might see, at least we should, see in theory. Maybe the prices go up a bit for pitchers. I would think you probably get a similar number of pitchers taken in a head-to-head points league, even though the player pool is a little bit smaller. So that just because ideally, I think you want more pitchers on your bench in a head-to-head
Starting point is 00:06:18 points league than necessarily in a row. So I took Corbyn Carroll here with pick 12. He averaged 4.07 points per game from June 6th on when he turned his season around, which is certainly elite production. And so I'm hoping that's more the player he is season round. We saw that more in his rookie season, of course. And I'm going to pair him with Vladimir Guerrero here, just because I haven't had a chance to do it yet.
Starting point is 00:06:43 Guerrero obviously had the second best year of his career, 3.57 points per game. Next, in my rankings, was Francisco Lindor, who was last year in a pretty typical Lindor season 3.72. So he actually was better than Guerrero on a per game basis with Guerrero having, performing closer probably to his maximum extent. But I've talked before about how first base is maybe the one position where I do feel a little bit of urgency. And I haven't had a chance to get Guerrero yet.
Starting point is 00:07:16 So I just want to see how it goes. Maybe I'll be regretting it when Vinnie Pasquantino is out there in round eight. I don't know. Yeah, we are into the second round. Scott let it off with Vlad Jr., as he just said, followed by Paul Skeen. I want to come back to this team later and see how it turns out because Bidon for, Rassball started pocket aces, Terrick Scobel, and Paul Skeens.
Starting point is 00:07:33 Will he get enough offense? That is the question. Next up was Freddie Freeman. 15th overall, and I am on deck here. Got a few names that I am looking at. And I thought about taking Gunner Henderson over Kyle Tucker just because I didn't want to fill up my outfield spots too early by taking Tucker and then if the best player in round two is also an outfielder,
Starting point is 00:07:56 you know, that would have messed things up. But that's not the case because Zach Wheeler goes with the next pick and I am up. I will take Francisco Lindor that worked out pretty well. Start with Kyle Tucker and Lindor here and those are my first two picks. Feel pretty good about that.
Starting point is 00:08:11 Yeah, but yeah, I mean I thought Lindor was the next best hitter so I'm on board with you there. The Freddie Freeman pick is a little surprising to me, him going 15th overall. This is a format where he can be as good as he is in Rodo. He can be even better
Starting point is 00:08:27 in this format because he still gets points for the doubles and and I think he was the number two in 2023 wasn't he that sounds right yeah in 2023 obviously 2024 was a down year for freddie freeman and he's getting older so it may just be the norm but 3.28 is what he average so if he just if he does that again if he just repeats his 2024 it'll be kind of an underwhelming choice there at 15th overall but certainly he has the upside to perform up to it but just for some context Fernando tatis I think was at 3.15 Acuna was right around there last year. Obviously, that was a down year for him.
Starting point is 00:09:05 Harper probably wasn't much better because he didn't get to 500 points last year. 3-3-1. Yeah, it was pretty close between him and Freeman. Also a down year for Harper. I would guess Marte was ahead of those guys. I would guess Jaron Duran was ahead of those guys. Marte was significantly. Duran was also.
Starting point is 00:09:23 Yeah, 3.68 for Marte 3.48 for Duran. I don't know if we're citing those numbers too much. It's like number overload, but hopefully that helps to contextualize things. After Francisco Lendor, Julio Rodriguez, Rafael Devers, Fernando Tatis, Logan Gilbert, Bryce Harper, Chris, you are up. Do you just want to quickly mention some of these picks. Rafael Devers, I think we normally see go at the two, three turn, maybe third round pick has not appeared in spring games yet. Still working his way back from those shoulder injuries from last season, but sounds like he will be playing in games as soon as next week. I think
Starting point is 00:09:58 ADP dropped at all. I mean, obviously he didn't fall in this draft going 19th. But it has it? I know you looked at that recently, Chris Devers. I don't think his price has dropped.
Starting point is 00:10:11 I did drop him a little bit. I dropped him basically to the bottom of that tier at third base with Mani Machado, Austin Riley, Jazz Chisholm. But, you know,
Starting point is 00:10:24 if he gets into games and has no limitations, he may rise back up. And just, it's a little concerning that he didn't have structural damage, didn't have surgery, and wasn't 100% by the start of spring training, right? Like that was clearly impeding his performance the last two months. So, yeah, it's, it's, I'm just kind of surprised there hasn't been more of a pushback to it. And I don't know that this is his best format anyway. That like most of the third base crop suffers in this format, Jose Ramirez doesn't.
Starting point is 00:10:53 But Devers does, Riley does. Jazz. Chisholm does. To answer your question, Scott, the last two weeks over at the NFBC, looking at just 12 team leagues, Raphael Devers, the ADP is 32.9. So that does feel like maybe he has been slipping down a little bit into the middle of the third round. Is he below Riley now?
Starting point is 00:11:12 He is below Riley, but still ahead of Machado. After Devers went, mentioned Tatez, Logan Gilbert, Bryce Harper, Chris took Cattel Marte. Then there was Trey Turner. That finishes out round two. to kick off round three. We have Austin Riley, Corbyn-Burnes, and Ronald Acuna. So, Chris, you did jump in with a starting pitcher there.
Starting point is 00:11:34 Let's take a quick break. When we return, we'll get your thoughts on that pick. Catch everyone up on round three right after this. Welcome back in. We are in round three of our 12 team, Headshead points mock draft. We were doing it live here on YouTube. Thanks to everyone for hanging out. Make sure to hit that like button, subscribe to the channel if you haven't already. And latest pick, Jaron Duran, went at 28th overall just after Ronald Acuna. Chris threw three picks.
Starting point is 00:11:56 you have Otani, Catelle Marte, and Corbin Burns. How do you like it? I think it's fine. It's not like the sexiest group of players ever outside of Shohei Otani. But I think it's, Cotel Marte excels in this format when he's healthy. There's just some risk between Otani, Marte, and Burns.
Starting point is 00:12:20 But at least in this format, reports of Burns' demise have been greatly exaggerated. I think. He was still a 521 point player last season. His career high is 560. He's been a little bit worse, but I'm optimistic that strikeouts will tick back up. And yeah, I'm fine with Corbyn Burns there.
Starting point is 00:12:43 Had a pretty shocking pick here a minute ago, Frank. Yes, that was my reaction. The, whoa, Cody Bellinger, 31st overall. A couple other picks after Duran, Jackson, Churio, Corey Seeger, then Bellinger and I went ahead and took Manny Machado. So, I mean, maybe if this was coming off Cody Bellinger's MVP season a couple of years ago, I mean, third round, that is far and away the highest that we've seen and something we would not recommend doing. I mean, there's a chance he lives up to it.
Starting point is 00:13:14 Even though last year was disappointing relative to 2023, because a strikeout rate is so low, he averaged an even three points per game. It's just similar to Jose Altuve, for instance. And that was in what we think, given Cody Bellinger's new environment, Yankee Stadium, Short Porch, all of that, we think 2024 is worse than what he's going to be this year. It's just, I don't know that anybody else was thinking about taking Cody Bellinger even in the next three rounds. Yeah, I mean, that's what you do have to battle at times is being higher on a player and wanting to get their player on your team. So being aggressive and knowing when to take them. but if Bellinger's ADP is around 100,
Starting point is 00:13:58 you still could have taken him in round six. I mean, five if you really want to be aggressive. So, yeah, round three, I think is really pushing it. I was debating Manny Machado or Jackson Meryl at my pick, but again, something we talk about with the three outfielders in this format. I don't want to fill up my outfield spots too fast. I do have Jackson Meryl one spot ahead of Machado, but I think there is a drop off at third base,
Starting point is 00:14:20 and I think they're close enough, so I wound up going with Machado. and so far I have Machado, Lindor, and Kyle Tucker. I feel really good about that start. And after I took him, there was Matt Olson, Jackson, Merrill, Pete Alonzo. Yeah, I mean, Belanger going ahead of Olson and Alonzo. That's hard to justify, but. But Scott, you were up at the three-four turn.
Starting point is 00:14:43 Your first two picks were Vlad and... Corbyn Carroll. Corbyn Care was the first pick, yeah. I think it's a gimmie here. I love when this happens. The top two players on my draft board are they're each the last remaining player in their tier and both at positions I need. Like that. One is Jazz Chisholm, who yeah, isn't as good in a points league because he tends to strike out a lot.
Starting point is 00:15:12 But after joining the Yankees, 3.58 points per game, I'll take that in round three. You know, he'll probably be closer to like 3 to 5, 3.3, but still, it's fine here. He's got the dual eligible. be triple eligible. It seems like picking up second base too. So that'll be useful. All three of those positions I need, outfield third base and second.
Starting point is 00:15:32 So Jazz Chesim is who I'm taking with the 36th overall pick in 37th. I've said it before on the podcast. If William Contreras is there in round four, I'm probably going to take him. He's there with the first pick in round four. So I'm taking him. And I prefer it to take elite catchers. If there's any format where I'm going to take an elite catcher,
Starting point is 00:15:52 it's this one because you have only those nine. hitter spots to work with. I want impact from every single one. Yep. I think that makes sense. We are here into the fourth round and just to give people some context on William Contreras. He scored 495 fantasy points last season. The next closest catcher was Salvador Perez at 421. So nearly a 75 point difference between the two. Yes, you definitely do separate yourself with the number one catcher in fantasy. And then the next pick, James Wood, Jose Al Tuve. I am on deck. We will see what happens here. Have an idea of what I want to do.
Starting point is 00:16:30 James Wood, hoping to get back into game action by Thursday of this week. He's dealing with left quad tendonitis. Just went 38th overall, which is probably a little bit aggressive in this format. Yeah, particularly this format. It's certainly he has the upside to live up to it. But, you know, the one thing about James Wood is for all the talk about, how many strikeouts are going they're going to be and yes he was on close to a 200 strikeout pace which is a detriment in this league he should be a pretty good on base
Starting point is 00:17:06 source and he did walk 39 times it's 79 games last year that comes out to about an 80 80 walk pace over a full season so the nice thing about james woods rookie season is it was 79 games so you can just double everything for a full season pace it makes you makes it sound like you're good at math. But what it actually came out to, James Wood's production as a rookie, 2.82 points per game. So I'm going to guess he's the first hitter taken
Starting point is 00:17:36 who averaged less than three points per game. No, actually Pete Alonzo did last year in a down year, less than three. But Alonzo has that 130 RBI upside. Sure. It's line. Yeah. We expect Alonzo to,
Starting point is 00:17:53 outperform what he did last year. And what could take a step forward in year two. I think it's more likely than not he does. But it will take him improving in some areas particularly the way the angle the ball takes off his bat.
Starting point is 00:18:09 After Jose Altuve went, we saw Cole Regens go 40th overall. I took Kyle Schwerber at 41 than Garrett Cole and George Kirby. So some starting pitchers starting to go off the board here in round four. Kyle Schwabber, I've mentioned this before, I like getting one of the utility only bats if I can, you know, after, usually it's after pick 50, like in the fifth round.
Starting point is 00:18:30 But in a points league, Kyle Schwerber excels in this format. 3.4 fantasy points per game last year. Great on base percentage. Sounds like he could hit in the middle of the lineup, maybe clean up the season for the Phillies. But, you know, I just think that'll wind up being more RBI instead of maybe run scored for Schwerber. But on base percentage machine. It also might not be a permanent arrangement. They've obviously had good success.
Starting point is 00:18:53 test with Schwerber in the leadoff spot. It's kind of surprising they're changing it, but, you know, they can very quickly change back. Yep. Are you guys good with Kyle Swarber in round four of a points league? Yeah. I prefer him to James Wood and, uh, and obviously Cody Bounder. So several the players who went before him.
Starting point is 00:19:14 I will just say, I think you can make a case for Brent Rooker ahead of him. He obviously doesn't have as long of a track record, but the per game production, was very, very similar. Rooker might have actually been a little bit ahead of him in this format. And obviously, we think Rooker has a better chance of getting outfield eligibility earlier. Although with J.T. Rale Muto expected to get more time at D.H. this year, Schwerber should be outfield eligible at some point.
Starting point is 00:19:43 Yeah, they were both right at 3.4 fantasy points per game last year, Rooker and Schwerber. And I, yeah, I just think the track record, I'll probably lean towards Schwerber. Yeah, that's what I was going to say. Like I think Rooker is probably mostly who he showed he was last year, but I do expect a little bit of a step back. We just got a grasp, a gasp, grasp, gasp, and a mustache feeling from Chris. I'm not happy with where I am right now.
Starting point is 00:20:11 There's a bit of a pitcher run right now. So we got one, two, three, four, five, six pitchers in a row. Garrett Cole, George Kirby, Chris Sale, Logan Webb, Framber Valdez. And then Chris, you took Dylan C. perhaps to your dismay. Well, it's not so much, Dillon. C's Dillan C's is fine. He never misses a start.
Starting point is 00:20:31 He hasn't missed a start since like the miners, if anything. He doesn't really go deep into games because he's super inefficient, but he throws a lot of innings and gets a lot of strikeouts. And he's fine in a vacuum. This price is fine for him. It's just that I'm kind of boxed out of the best hitters available right now. Oh, I see why. because my top two hitters left are Marcelo Zun and Brent Rooker.
Starting point is 00:20:56 And I thought about just saying screw it. Let's take Brent Rooker. But like what if he doesn't get outfield eligibility until May? No, you couldn't do it, Chris. I can. And but then like the next best hitter was Ozzy Albies, who I believe just went. And he's second base. I already have Catel Marte.
Starting point is 00:21:18 And Marcus Simeon is one of my top remaining hitters. So I mean, this is the danger, I guess, for people drafting. Drafting Otani in the first round. I mean, this is the danger of things that could happen. Do you wish you'd take a Bobby Witt instead of Otani with the second pick? The way it worked out, I probably would feel better with, you know, Bobby Witt and Brent Rooker instead of O'Toney and Wyatt Lankford, which is who I ended up taking with my fifth pick.
Starting point is 00:21:48 I just I've been the we're taking White Lank for too high but this is like eight picks later than his NPC ADP in February so it's fine I'll take the chance on the upside there but yeah I don't I don't love the
Starting point is 00:22:04 start here I'm going to be honest yeah let's catch us up on the picks Frank yeah so after Frambervaldez Chris took Dylan cease and then the end of round four was Ozzy Albies the start of round five Garrett Croix Wyatt Langford went to Chris and then Marcus Semyon.
Starting point is 00:22:23 It is, I would say Wyatt Langford making it to 50 in this draft. Oh, that's, you know, that's a reaction to him having a little bit of an oblique thing early on. It sounds like it's not a big deal, but maybe that's why he fell to pick 50. But this is one of the few mock drafts we've done this preseason without Doc Eisenhower.
Starting point is 00:22:44 And he tried to get in at the last minute. I'm like, oh, sorry, we're full. I was kind of glad we could do one without him to see where Langford legitimately goes because he never lets Langford get past him in round three. And in theory, Langford should be good in this format. Obviously last year he just wasn't all that good in general. But his plate discipline should be pretty good. He should walk 60 times.
Starting point is 00:23:07 He won't strike out 150 times. I've been sort of like grappling with Wyatt Langford and the rookie season he had and what it means for him and trying to find some comps for him. because he is treated like he has gigantic, gigantic upside. And we saw a glimpse of it in September. He had a very good September. He was the AL player of the month, I believe, in the month of September. But when you look into the data, there aren't any like super standout skills.
Starting point is 00:23:38 White Lankford looks more at this point like a guy without any obvious weaknesses. And that can be its own version of a superpower. Like Francisco Indoor is another guy where it's just he's not necessarily like exemplary at any one skill as a hitter, but there's just nothing he doesn't do well. And that could be what a Wyatt Langford turns into. Yeah, I mean, I think it's too early to tell. If you just look at his September data, you'll get, you'll come away with a different impression. I did want to say, because you mentioned this might be a good format for Langford, believe it or not, is one of the more shocking stats. as underwhelming as Langford's rookie season was compared to the Jackson's,
Starting point is 00:24:19 Churrio and Merrill, he averaged the most head-to-head points per game of the three for the entire season. I would guess he walked more and struck out less than both of them. He might have had as many walks as Churio and Merrill combined, and he only had 51. But that like if he takes the step forward so many of us are expecting, he's going to get drafted after Churio and Maryland in any league without. Doc Eisenhower, but considering he already outperformed them last year in this format,
Starting point is 00:24:49 it could be a great bargain at pick 50 where you took him, Chris. So Jackson Merrill had 29 walks last year, Torio had 39. It was an exaggeration, but yeah. And Langford had 51, but he did have more walks than, not combined, but he had more walks than each of them. Catching people up on picks, we did see some of those Util-only guys go. There was way back at Marcus Semyon at 51st overall, followed that up with Brent Rooker, then Marcel Ozuna,
Starting point is 00:25:14 Pablo Lopez, Blake Snell. I took Adley Rutchman, 56th overall. Thank you. Thank you for doing that. I might have had some remorse with William Contreras. If Rushman was still there. Michael Harris was the next pick. Then Alex Bregman and C.J. Abrams.
Starting point is 00:25:31 Scott, you were up. I will just quickly mention why I took Adley Ruchman. And I think this is his better format. Lots of doubles. Good plate discipline typically. Gets on base a lot. And he's going to play a bunch, get D.H. opportunities and lots of volume there.
Starting point is 00:25:44 Michael King was the top pitcher on my board. I think he takes a hit in this format. He only had 14 quality starts last year. Could be a bit inefficient at times. The walks were up. So I really did want to push the envelope with waiting on pitching in this mock draft and see how it turned out too.
Starting point is 00:26:00 So it's five pitchers to start my draft. And then Scott, we're over to you who, I know you already have three hitters. Will you make it five as well? I have four hitters. I have Corby Carroll, Jazz, Chishol. Will you make it five and six? What will you do?
Starting point is 00:26:15 Yeah, yeah. I'm taking two pitchers here. So I think, and this happened a little earlier in this draft than it often does, but I think we have crossed the threshold of all the elite hitters being off the board at this point, judging by my own rankings. I got to my pick here at the end of round five and the top eight players on my board. We're all starting pitchers. So I'm going to take Michael King, who I have a tier above the rest.
Starting point is 00:26:43 but I'm also going to take Aeronola, who I think is especially good in this format because you know he's going to give you a ton of volume. It's going to work deep into games consistently. He's going to start every fifth game, which you can't say for like a show to Imanaga. And you don't have to really worry so much about the ERA like you would in a Roto League.
Starting point is 00:27:03 I think that makes a lot of sense, yep, being a workload. And shout out to everyone else who's drafting in this room because normally there are other pitchers that I feel like I could wait on, the Logan Webb's of the world and he went round four. So I do think Nola and Logan Webb and guys like that for Amber Valdez, they do get pushed up a little bit in this format because obviously they just provide so many innings.
Starting point is 00:27:25 After Aaron Nola, there was O'Neill Cruz. I believe Bidon from Razball has gone four straight hitters since starting with pocket aces will be... Which is what you have to do. Interested to see what his team will look like at the end. After O'Neill Cruz, there was Max Fried. and I think the way things are shaping out, I probably will take my first starting pitcher here.
Starting point is 00:27:48 Scott, do you agree with my assessment that Michael King takes a bit of a hit in this format just because he didn't complete six innings as much as other quote-unquote aces? Do you think maybe he takes a hit in this format? He completed six innings a lot. Let's see, he got to seven, one, two, three, four, five. you got to six
Starting point is 00:28:10 about less than half the time I think but six times he got to seven and he made it he made it 173 innings at all in his first year as a full time starter I get it I just it's not something
Starting point is 00:28:25 I personally worry about with him I think they're going to treat him like a like a workhorse all right after Max freed there was Yoshinobu Yamamoto I took Shota Imanaga as my SP1 and typically I wouldn't love that being my SP1, but we'll see how the pitching staff turns out. After that pick,
Starting point is 00:28:43 there was Josh Naylor 66 overall. I think that's maybe a little bit earlier than he goes, but makes a lot of contact, doesn't strike out, which is good in this format. And then Luis Castillo is the next pick. I think we're seeing what I said at the top of the show. The mid-range at starting pitcher are going to get pushed up because I feel like we're not used to seeing Max Scherzer and Luis Castillo go as early as really as well. around six this year. But only nine hitter spots to fill. You said lots of pitching depth.
Starting point is 00:29:13 You said Max Scherzer's. Max Fried, sorry. Max Scherzorzor on the mind. We're not used to seeing Max Fried and Louise Cassidy. I'm making a salient point, but I just say the wrong names. And that's all anybody hears. They completely lose the point.
Starting point is 00:29:28 Max Scherzer may be on the brain because he made his Blue Jays debut here on Tuesday. Two innings, one run, four strikeouts. He had eight whiffs on 34 pitches. So he looked pretty good. I think he could still be effective when he does pitch this season, Max Scherzer, which I know we're kind of going off on a tangent now, but it's just a matter of how many starts is he going to make. I think that's probably the biggest question for him at this point.
Starting point is 00:29:51 He'll get drafted in this league. Only 252 players, but he'll be one of them. I think as a bench pitcher in this format, that does make sense. And when he's healthy, I think he'll just have free reign to go six plus innings as long as he is effective, which, again, I think that will be the case when he's healthy. After Luis Castillo, Tyler Glassnow, who I debated taking with my pick. I think taking Glass Now is more defensible in this format just because the replacement value is better.
Starting point is 00:30:21 I mean, I know a lot of pitchers get drafted, but, you know, if he gets hurt in a 12-team points league, it's just a shallower format. So it's easier to replace than, let's say, in a 12-team or 15-team Roto League where, you know, more players are being drafted. And he went, he averaged six innings per start last. year. There are a lot of pitchers who did. Like he just let him go. Like he was a workforce for them. Yeah. He's not going to throw a ton of innings in terms of the overall volume. But in terms of how deep he goes, how good he is when he's on the mound. I don't think there's any question that Tyler Glass now is an ace.
Starting point is 00:30:56 It's just you know there there are limitations to how valuable he will be. After Glass now, there was Matt McLean and Jordan Westberg. Chris, you are up. Let's check in on the team, see how it's going so far. You have Catele-Marte, Wyatt Langford, Shohei Otani, and then Dylan Sees and Corbin Burns. You just selected Teasca Hernandez. Yeah, I'm fine. It's fine. Are you tilting, Chris? No, I don't tilt. I don't. That's not. That's not your style. That's uncouth, frankly. It would be embarrassing to tilt. But I'm not. I'm not. I'm not super. thrilled with how this draft has gone for me so far. And I feel like I'm going to have to take some swings at hitter. And Wyatt Langford is one of them. Teoska Hernandez, probably not really a swing there. But we'll see.
Starting point is 00:31:53 Do you wish you could focus on pitchers right now instead of hitters? I generally think the best players on the board right now are pitchers. You know, we've hit the good glob. and there are plenty of options left. It's just that because I had to Pat, like because I had to take Dylan Sees when Brent Rooker and Marcelo Zuna and, you know, Marcus Simeon were still on the board,
Starting point is 00:32:18 it kind of just makes it a little more narrow for me, I think. All right, after you took TASCA Hernandez, we got Vinnie Pee, baby. Vinny Pass Quantino to finish out round six. Let's take a... So he didn't make it to round eight. No, he did not. I almost took him there.
Starting point is 00:32:35 Another break, and we'll be back right after this. Welcome back in Fantasy Baseball today. It's a live 12-team head-to-head points mock draft, and after Vinnie P, we are into round seven. The first pick of round seven was Anthony Santander, followed by Chris Towers, who took... Did you mean to make that pick, Chris? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:32:55 Oh, okay. I said we're going to take some swings. Jacob de Grom is a swing. And it's similar to what we talked about with Tyler Glass. now where I don't expect Jacob deGrom to make it through the whole season. But when he's upright, I don't think there's any question that he's going to have a target of six innings every time out.
Starting point is 00:33:14 He's going to get eight or nine strikeouts in every single start. He's going to be really good when he's up there. It's just, do I get five starts or do I get 25 starts? That's the question. But typically he goes higher than they get 10 starts. Hey, hey, hey, it could be 15. Okay. It's definitely going to be a factor of five, though.
Starting point is 00:33:38 I think we can all agree on that. He does usually go earlier than 74th. So I still want to take him 74th, but it is relative to ADP of value here. And there we go. 75th overall Bobichette. So I hope both do you guys have a shortstop already. He's gone. I'm sorry.
Starting point is 00:33:53 The one thing about Boba Shett, I think we're about to say the same point. So, Scott, you can say it. Well, I was going to make this point about Boba Chet here at 75. and actually the same draft or took Jordan Westberg last round 70. Those are players we talk about a lot on this podcast and we like a lot. Definitely better in Roto. Definitely better. So to pay the upcharge because Scott and Chris are in this draft,
Starting point is 00:34:19 to pay the upcharge for Jordan Westberg and Bo Bichette, I don't know that that's an upcharge I want to pay. Even Beau Bichette's good years, you know, he's barely getting to three points per game. because the lack of walks really hurts both of them, Westberg and Bichette. Fair enough. After Bo Bichette, we saw Bryce Miller, Christian Walker, Tristan Kosses,
Starting point is 00:34:41 and Emmanuel Clausego. And I am up. There was a pitcher down here somewhere. Yes. Bailey Ober. So my team will probably lead the league in home runs aloud. I've got Bailey Ober and showed to Imanaga, but my first two pitchers,
Starting point is 00:34:56 after starting with five hitters, I think it's okay. We'll see how it turns out. And I do want to make one more point about Jordan Westberg because I wrote a piece today. We love him. He was, was he one of the players one of us loved? Yes. I believe it was you, Chris. Yeah, sure.
Starting point is 00:35:14 Who's keeping track of these things? I'm a big fan for all the reasons we've talked about. But it is a little concerning to be as invested as we are in a guy who has really bad plate discipline. He, like he hits the ball hard and he's a good athlete and all the things that we like about Jordan Westberg are all true. But we also just saw him put up a sub 5% walk rate, which is one of the worst marks for a regular player in baseball. And he chases a decent amount. And he tends to make damage when he does make contact. So it usually works for him, or at least it did last year.
Starting point is 00:35:59 but remember when Jordan Westberg got called up, he was not like the be-all end-all prospect like Gunner Henderson or Jackson Holiday or Kobe Mayo. He was definitely a little bit of a forgotten man among this Orioles crop. And we love the rookie season he put together. We thought he was great. All that stuff is true. But I, you know, I put together a this year's blank for tomorrow's newsletter.
Starting point is 00:36:26 and for this year's Nolan Jones, I picked Jordan Westberg as one of the candidates because I could see it going wrong for sure. So you love him, but you're acknowledging he could be a bust. I mean, he could break our hearts, yeah. People you love break your heart all the time. I looked into that a little bit more with the plate discipline. In the minors, Westberg walked a lot more.
Starting point is 00:36:52 Look, obviously things change. You can't just translate numbers from the minors, but he posted good OBPs in the minors, and it was a 7% walk rate in 2023 when he first got called up. So I think there's room for him to walk a little bit more. I don't think he's ever going to walk like 10, 12% of the time, but I think he can get up to that like 6, 7, 8% walk rate. I think that's totally reasonable, yeah.
Starting point is 00:37:13 Yep. After I took Bailey Ober, Spencer Schwellenbach, maybe I should have taken him because now my heart is broken. After Schwellenbach, Mike Trout, Jr. Camerero, wait, junior Caminero, Junior Caminero. Caminero! Ha! Comonero! Scott, I hope you weren't going to take Junior Camerro.
Starting point is 00:37:38 I was not. I already have a third baseman. All right, there you go. I was thinking about Trout. It might be the point to take him, so I'm glad when Judah spared me from doing that. I am going to fill out my outfield here, though. A couple of outfielders. I feel like I'm ahead of where I normally am at starting pitcher with Aaron Nola and Michael King, my last two picks, but I want to make sure I have a star-studded lineup.
Starting point is 00:38:02 So I'm going to take the chance on Lawrence Butler, who from that magical date, July 1st on, average 3.9 points per game last year. And I'm going to take Christian Yelich, who's, of course,
Starting point is 00:38:14 risky coming back from back surgery, but it sounds like he'll be ready for the start of the season. He's scheduled to play in a game, I think, March 5th I saw, spring game. And last,
Starting point is 00:38:26 last year for the time he was healthy, more points per game than mooky bets. So this is definitely his format, a good Walker, filling out my outfield, Lawrence Butler, Christian Yelich to go with Corbyn Carroll. And if I can backtrack here for a second and mention, I was unsure whether I wanted to take Vladimir Guerrero with my second pick because this isn't his best format. And I feel like in points leagues, you know, Guerrero loses some value at the top. And then in the middle, Josh Naylor, Vinipas, Guantino,
Starting point is 00:39:02 gained some value, both averaged more than three points per game last year. But they both went in round six. So I wouldn't have realistically have had a shot at them. So I think if I do think it, let's put it this way. If you're on the fence early about whether to take first base or another position and you're torn between them, I'd probably lean first base. That's what I did there with Guerrero and Lendor. and I think at this point I could say I'm happy with my choice.
Starting point is 00:39:28 You know, Scott, I am missing a first and second baseman right now, and I just looked at those positions. Not great. Don't feel great about not having a first or second basement. And I feel like whenever I take a catcher early in a one catcher league, I end up regretting it just because there are so many good catchers that just kind of fall through the cracks. So we'll see. They're good in the sense that they're bad.
Starting point is 00:39:54 better than we expect to catcher to be, but they don't compare to William Contreras and they don't compare to a normal Adley Rushman. No. Right. No, I mean, Adley Rushman was viewed as a legitimate difference maker in this format, more so even than a Roto league. And he was until the injury last year. So I expect Adley Ruchman to have 450 points at least in this format.
Starting point is 00:40:23 Yeah. And I am on the clock. The last couple picks, Strider, Sayas Suzuki, Luis Robert. I wondered if Strider would go about here. Yeah. And he did. 86th overall. That's what about 40 points higher than ADP.
Starting point is 00:40:39 But of course, I'm talking Roto ADP. And I think we're, I think starting pitchers are going earlier in general at this point in the draft. Yeah. So. And it's fine. A strider was like my second or third highest ranked pitcher left. I'm higher on them than the consensus, though. My highest rated hitter was Brian Reynolds.
Starting point is 00:40:58 I could use an outfielder. He just doesn't feel like a difference maker, and maybe he'll last a little bit longer. Nope, he went with the very next pick. So that's fine. But I looked at the outfield position. There's other players that are really good in this format. So I chose to keep building out my pitching staff,
Starting point is 00:41:14 and so far I've got Chotee Imanaga, Bailey Obera, and Sunny Gray. I don't take you for a Sunny Gray guy. You just, you like them more. this format specifically? Because I feel like there are a lot of similar range targets out there that I can see you going for instead. No, I mean, I think you could probably argue maybe he's a little bit worse in this format. I just don't know that he's super efficient, but I like what we saw last year from a skills perspective. So like as my SP3 in this range of, of the pitcher rankings, I'm fine with taking him this year. I really like what we saw from him last season. I don't know that the skills will be
Starting point is 00:41:50 as good because he really was, you know, by all accounts, perform like a top 12, top 15 starting pitcher. But yeah, I'm totally fine with him as like a SP3 this upcoming season. After Sunny Gray, Brian Reynolds, Salvador Perez, and Willie Adomas. Yes, we need more catchers to be drafted so that other positions can fall for me. We are here in round eight. Willie Adamas, I think the ADP is in like the 60-70 range and he falls to 90 second here, which in a points league probably makes sense.
Starting point is 00:42:22 That's just much more palatable to take Adamas in round eight than the round six I think he normally goes in. Then Mark Vientos who obviously... Probably worse in this format, yeah. Yeah, made a huge impact last season. Was great in the playoffs. He's going to hit for a lot of power. But he strikes out a lot. 8. 2.8 points per game for Viantos last year. And I know I have him as a bust anyway. I don't expect him to live up to that.
Starting point is 00:42:48 I don't know if you guys do too. Yeah. Or if it's just me. I didn't write him up as a bus, but he's kind of in a void. I guess I'm not as a vehement as calling him a bust, but yeah, he's not really someone I've been targeting. Yeah, I did a kind of the all boomer bust team for Wednesday, Tuesdays, today's Tuesday's newsletter. And Viantos was, is like the boom or bust third baseman. and I tried to come up with like a little clever way to explain like what the upside and downside for each one was.
Starting point is 00:43:21 And with Viantos, I just kind of went with the good A. Eugenio Suarez years versus the bad Aohenio Suarez years. And we've seen like things can get pretty ugly for Aohenio Suarez. And I think that's like Viantos has real frightening plate discipline metrics. He overperformed his expected stats by quite a bit. I think around here is where he should. go around, but I don't know if I've drafted him yet. After Vientos, there was Justin Steele. Chris, you selected Zach Gallen,
Starting point is 00:43:55 and then Hunter Green and Grayson Rodriguez. We are here into round nine, and Chris, you are back on the clock. I believe you already have four starting pitchers. Was that four? Yeah, you have Grom, Sees, Burns, and Zach Gallen. It's a great picture. That was a great choice, Zach Gallen for this format.
Starting point is 00:44:14 He had been my highest ranked pitcher for a while. Yeah. Sort of like Aaronnola, you know, he's going to give you volume. And so I think we're not regarding Gallin as an ace anymore in five by five leagues, but he's still kind of a borderline ace in this format, I think. He wasn't last year, but that was, there was some weird control things. There was the hamstring entry that he dealt with. But 537 and 553 points in the previous two seasons is absolutely ace level production.
Starting point is 00:44:42 So even if you just split the difference, it, it gets him, it makes him one of the better values here. With the next pick, Chris, you selected Royce Lewis. Are you back in on Royce Lewis is here? Oh yeah. I think I'm significantly higher on Royce Lewis than you guys are. And I think the problem with Royce Lewis and the problem with the, the discourse around Royce Lewis is there's so much focus on like the good stretch and then the bad stretch.
Starting point is 00:45:15 and he's played 152 major league games. He's hit 268 with 33 homers, 81 runs, 104 RBI, and six steals. I kind of just take that at face value. Like maybe there's a path to more upside. Maybe there's a little bit of risk. But on the whole, that's more or less what I expect from a full season of Royce Lewis, which obviously should you expect a full season from Lawrence Lewis? No.
Starting point is 00:45:43 Well, it's on problem, yeah. But the other problem is that full season of stats, he compiled over three seasons with three interruptions. I mean, for the most part, over two. You know, it was all in 2020. I just want to point that out. Let's be fair to my guy Royce. Normally, we wouldn't consider, you know, full season, a data enough to evaluate a player. And the fact that it was spread over that length of time, I just don't really know what Royce Lewis is.
Starting point is 00:46:11 He's probably better than the 58 game stretch we saw. He's almost certainly better than the 58 games stretch he saw. But I don't know that I'm totally sure he's as good as his career numbers. It could be. I just don't know. At pick 98, is it worth taking the shot? Yeah, that's about where I rank him. But yeah, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:46:30 I wanted to say. I get it. But look, it's, I'm not 100% sure how good any player is. There is variance for every player. Obviously, with Royce Lewis, it's wider. but I my point is more that I don't I don't think it's helpful to look at 2023 and say God, imagine what could be because it was 58 games. I also don't think it's all that helpful to look at the final 58 games or whatever
Starting point is 00:47:01 it was you said from last year and say, ah, that's who he is. I think if I'm working from a baseline, it's more or less what he's been overall. And that should be a very good player in this format. It's not a superstar probably. I think it comes out to like a right around 450 points over 152 games. Obviously, the injury concerns are what they are. But this is a format where if I really need to, I would guess Ryan McMahon or Josh Young will be available on waivers to start the season.
Starting point is 00:47:37 And if something happens, I can go add somebody. So I'm more willing to take those kind of chances aiming for upside in this format. After Chris selected Royce Lewis, there was Riley Green, Stephen Kwan, Joe Ryan, Brandon Nimmo, Freddie Peralta, I selected Hunter Brown, and then Cal Raleigh, Jack Flaherty, and Roki Sasaki. I mean, leading up to my pick, all the players I was looking at, I just got cleaned out. That was brutal. And Scott, with that, we are over to you at the 9-10 turn. Yeah, so Brandon Nimmo was somebody I hoped to grab for my utility spot at some point. Obviously, that won't be an option, but he is great in this format.
Starting point is 00:48:18 He's underrated in this format, even for going 100 second. Trying to pull up the number, 2.95 points per game. And remember that was in an awful season by Nimmo standards. A lot of pitchers have gone off the board since my last pair of picks, what you'll remember was Lawrence Butler and Christian Yelich. So I'm starting, we're almost out of the Good Glob here. So I want to take a couple of those pictures. I'm trying to focus on ones that are best for this format specifically,
Starting point is 00:48:52 because here at the end of the Good Glob, we have a lot of high variance types, like Kodi-Singa, Jack Flaherty. I think Flaherty's still out there, right? He hasn't been taken. Yeah, he's there. No, no, he actually just got taken. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Brian Wu, another,
Starting point is 00:49:12 injury-prone players specifically. And I don't think for this format specifically, what they provide on a per-start basis is enough for me to pass up Seth Lugo. I think Lugo is, you're going to appreciate his floor a lot more in this format. We talk about his lack of ceiling, how he'll never reach what he's,
Starting point is 00:49:36 He did last year again, and that's probably true. But he's a workhorse on what should be a pretty good team. And I think he'll keep his ERA in the mid-3s at least. So I think he'll be fine here. As my fourth starter, I'm pairing him with Tanner Bybee, who maybe has a little untapped upside, but mainly I'm targeting him because I see him as durable, relative to some of the others here.
Starting point is 00:50:02 Seth Lugo, second in baseball innings pitch last season. He was also tied for second with, 22 quality starts. He was the SP5 in total head-to-head points. Again, that was Seth Lugo. We were into round 10, and Scott let it off with Tanner Bybee, as he mentioned. Bybee to this
Starting point is 00:50:18 point, his career has been inefficient. I think there's a chance that he just gets better and they give him more of a leash and let him go deeper into games, but that is the hope that moving forward, we can start to get more six, seven inning outings from Tanner Bybee. After that, we saw Devin Williams
Starting point is 00:50:34 go 110th overall. I believe Is that the RP2? It's the second closer drafted, right? Because Emmanuel Class A, I believe, went in round seven. So this is a good, just a reminder, I guess, for people who maybe play in this format on CBS, where relievers don't get as many fantasy points. They do fall, typically.
Starting point is 00:50:53 Devin Williams here in round 10, Emmanuel Class A didn't go to round seven. Whereas typically in a roto draft, those guys will go in round four, round five, round six, something like that. So they do fall. Maybe that's why it seems like some of the start. pitching pitchers and some of the hitters like Nimmo are getting pushed up because
Starting point is 00:51:10 everybody's had the discipline to avoid closers through nine rounds. Yep. And after Devin Williams, we got Kodi Senga, the last remaining starting pitcher in the Mets rotation. Hopefully knock on Wib. We need him to stay healthy. But yep, I believe the debut, spring debut for Senga should be coming soon. I believe that I read that somewhere. But so far, it sounds like all systems go for.
Starting point is 00:51:36 Kodai Sena here and the New York Mets. I am on deck. I've got to this point four starting pitchers and two, four, five hitters. I'm just gonna wait at first and second because there's not really anything that seems like a difference maker at those positions. I passed up on outfield early on
Starting point is 00:51:56 because I said, oh, I don't wanna fill it too soon and now it's starting to dwindle a little bit. But I will take Ian Hap, someone I think is a little bit better in this format. averaged three fantasy points per game last season. And, you know, I was talking about Brian Reynolds, I think, in round six or seven. Ian Hap averaged more fantasy points than him.
Starting point is 00:52:14 And I just got him, you know, three or four rounds later. So happy to do that. And that is consistent for him, Ian Hap, sort of like Brandon Nemo. Very underrated in this format. Those walks make a big difference. Yeah. So I would have loved to take him as my utility player. I just, I was feeling the urgency to take pitchers.
Starting point is 00:52:33 No, I think that makes sense. And Ian Hap, also the leadoff hitter. for what should be a pretty good Chicago Cubs lineup this season. After Ian Hap, we see JT Areal Muto come off the board. And Chris, you are up in four picks. Four picks. Let's check in on your team. See what you got going on. You've got Cotell Marte at second, Royce Lewis at third.
Starting point is 00:52:56 Teoscar Hernandez and Wyatt Langford in your outfield, Shohei Otani at Utility. And then four starting pitchers, Jacob deGrom, Dylan, Seas, Corbyn, and Zach Allen. you will be hard pressed to find a better rotation than that in this league. Yeah, I mean, there are a few other teams that have four starters. Scott has four, but he waited longer. I have four, but I also waited so.
Starting point is 00:53:19 I do. We'll see, let's screw it. We'll have the conversation now because it was something I was thinking of earlier. And I'm going to take this guy if he's still there in one pick. And it's Jiner Diaz, who we view as one of the. catchers who's likely to give you a big playing time edge. This isn't his best format, but I think this price would be fine if he goes here. But what I want to ask you guys is, with all the talk of Yordon Alvarez, trying to stick as
Starting point is 00:53:49 much as possible to the DH this year and Christian Walker signing and being obviously a big upgrade over what they got out of the first base position last year, are we overrating Yonner Diaz? I'm not sure he's going to get as much volume as the names that are going right around him. You know, Salvador Perez and even the name that went just before him, Wilson Contreras, if he's healthy, I would project more played appearances for him than I think, Yiner Diaz. Yeah, Jynar Diaz got 619 last year. That was, I believe, 107, 102 starts at catcher, 11 at first base, and the rest of D.H. So, you know, maybe he catches more, but that. that's not necessarily a good thing because it's more wear and tear.
Starting point is 00:54:35 It's something that I hadn't really thought about before I was reading something today about Yordon Alvarez. And it's just, it's something to keep in mind when we're talking about Yiner Diaz moving forward. I think especially in a points league where you need the volume more. And he's not as good in points leagues anyway because the walk rate is non-existent for Yainer Diaz. but yeah, in Roto, it's a different story because he's obviously such a specialist for batting average at that position, just kind of a one-of-one type player.
Starting point is 00:55:10 But, you know, if you're debating Yiner Diaz or Salvador Perez or maybe even Cal Rale in that group, yeah, I mean, it's something to think about even in Roto. We are into round 11, and the last pick of round 10 was Brian Wu, and then kicked off round 11 with Spencer Stier, who I was monitoring because I don't have a first baseman. Yeah, he had been bouncing around the top of the queue for a long time.
Starting point is 00:55:37 And I thought about it there. And it's one of those ones where like, we don't view him as a good choice for this league, this format, but he has actually gotten to 450 points each of his first two years. He has good play discipline, really. He's a good starter. It's just how much safety do we think there is? Probably not very much.
Starting point is 00:55:56 Yeah, I mean, the fact that he could play so many positions, I feel pretty safe. I think the playing time is safe. It's just the skill set, like, especially if they decided to trade him, I think things could go really south. And there are no rumors right now, but it just, it seems like something that could very easily happen. Yeah. After Spencer Steered, jerks and pro far, Sandy Alcansara, Yan DiDiaz, and Brenton Doyle, I was wondering when the slide for Brenton Doyle would. And he does show. strike out quite a bit. The home road splits. There's going to be inconsistency in a head-to-head format. We actually spoke about that on yesterday's podcast, but he's someone we usually see Goez's
Starting point is 00:56:36 like a top 75 pick in a Roto or Categories League, and here he lasts till 125. He's probably one of the players with the biggest gap in what you should expect from him in points versus Roto because he was a top 40 player
Starting point is 00:56:52 in Roto overall last season. And he didn't come close to three points per game last year looking at it. 2.8.4s, higher than I thought. But the thing is, it's a head-to-head leak. And so when there's a full week on the road for the Rockies, do you even want to start him?
Starting point is 00:57:11 Yeah, probably not, no. Do you think this is an okay range to draft him, 125th? Yeah. Yeah. Sandy Alcounter just wanted to quickly mention with him, you know, when he is at his best, he is a workhorse.
Starting point is 00:57:23 There was some talk that he could be limited it early on in the season. He's coming back from Tommy John surgery, obviously. But again, when he's at his best, I mean, this would be a pretty good format for somebody like Sandy Alcantara. I am on the clock. I don't know exactly what I want to do. I still need to first and a second baseman and like Jake Berger's there, but he's got terrible plate discipline. This is a bad, bad format for him, even if you expect the RBI to go up this year. Luis Garcia is the top of the queue at bad format for him unless you think he's going to play every day. you know what I'm going to go ahead and take Carlos Horda on this this feels a little bit later than usual for him he's not somebody I typically target but last year when healthy the Yankees let him go I mean he regularly went six innings when he wasn't giving up a ton of home runs but as long as he was able to get through the first yeah so at this point you know and he won 15 games which is important 16 games was important in this format yeah I just feel like these are just pictures that I don't wind up draft
Starting point is 00:58:23 And it's just, it feels weird to have them on my team. After I took Carlos Ford on, ESOC Paredes Will Smith. Scott, I'm going to assume that was a, an ESOC Paredes. I was warming up to take Paredes. I checked.
Starting point is 00:58:36 I bothered to look up what he at, because obviously he was bad last year with the time in Chicago. In 2023, his time in Tampa, 3.06 points per game. And I expect him to be at least that good in Houston. So he would have been a great, pick now. I don't have a second basement yet. I could have planned to move
Starting point is 00:58:56 Jazz Chisholm there and have Perretis as my third basement. It was all going to work out great till Devin Milligan had to go and take him instead. So, so now what? I could do the same thing with Matt Chapman. I don't like it as much, particularly in this format, but I think I will do it. He was 2.9 last year. And I... Matt Chapman. 2.99 points.
Starting point is 00:59:30 So three points per game last year. And I don't expect much of a step back. I know you guys do. I like Matt Chapman. I don't have a problem with it. Okay. I know Chris does. Chris, you have a problem with it. Don't tell me otherwise.
Starting point is 00:59:46 Don't lie and tell me otherwise. All right. So for my next trick... I don't know. Pitching's starting to look pretty bad. I took a couple of safe options last time, especially Seth Lugo. Maybe not safe is the best word, but floor options. I'm going to take an upside option here.
Starting point is 01:00:08 Still in the good glob, there's only a couple pitchers left. I'm going to take Jared Jones, who just made his first spring start on Tuesday. Yep. And he had talked about working on a two-seamer to pair with the four-seamer. he threw it, I believe, 19% of the time. So he legitimately used it, had a nice whiff rate. His swinging strike rate was something that collapsed over the course of last year. So I was encouraged by the little bit we saw from him in his first spring start.
Starting point is 01:00:37 And I think everybody knows Jared Jones has a lot of upside. So it's my fifth starter, an upside pick there in Jared Jones. All right. That is the end of round 11. We are into round 12. Here is what we are going to do. We're going to wrap up part one of the. this mock draft on the audio side.
Starting point is 01:00:54 This will be a two-part podcast. Should have mentioned that up at the top. But be sure to join us for part two so you can hear the second half of the draft and our team recaps. Paramount Podcasts.

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