Fantasy Baseball Today - 7 Undervalued Targets Based On Early ADP! (12/25 Fantasy Baseball podcast)
Episode Date: December 25, 2025Kyle Bradish could finally have that huge breakout in 2026! Maikel Garcia seems primed for another step forward. Could Geraldo Perdomo back up his breakout season? Why isn't there more enthusiasm for ...Trey Yesavage and Kris Bubic? Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday Download and Follow Fantasy Baseball Today on Spotify: https://sptfy.com/QiKv Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi Follow FBT on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1 Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CPTowers @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Let's talk undervalue players based on early ADP.
Up next on Fantasy Baseball Today Express.
Welcome into FBT Express and Merry Christmas,
happy holidays to all.
I am, for example, joined by Chris Towers.
Let's hand out some ADP gifts,
some undervalue players based on early NFBC ADP.
And up first for you, Chris, is Kyle Brannish.
His ADP is 89.
Some people might think that's a little bit high,
but the upside is massive for Kyle Braddick.
Yeah, the last time we saw a full healthy season for Kyle Bradd is she went 168 and two-thirds innings with a 283 ERA.
So already, we have established that he can be a very good major league pitcher.
What's happened in the two years since then is obviously a Tommy John surgery in 2024, came back from that in 2025.
In between or I guess sandwiched around that surgery is 71 innings with a 264 ERA and like a 35%.
strikeout rate. That is basically what Garrett Crochet did last season. I don't necessarily think
Kyle Bradish is as good as Garrett Crochet, but when you look at the underlying skill set, you've got
two fast balls that he can miss bats with. You have historically a pretty good ground ball pitcher.
You have multiple swing and miss secondaries and then the slider and curve ball. I just think there's a
world where Kyle Bradish throws 160 innings this season and is a top 10 starting pitcher. Now,
everything's got to go right to hit that level if he's only throwing 160 innings.
But I will point out, Yoshinobi Yamamoto is the number four consensus starting pitcher
off the board right now.
He's probably only going to throw about 170, 175 innings.
So it's a different paradigm than the one we're used to if you've been playing for a long time.
160 innings is kind of the new 180.
And so I think of Kyle Bradis stays healthy for 160 innings.
SP21, whatever the ADP is, is going to be a discount for him.
I agree completely on Kyle Bradish.
Next name up for me is Michael Garcia.
And this is another one that might surprise people.
You're buying off the breakout.
His ADP is right around 90.
But he just finishes the 61st overall player in Roto.
He was the fifth best third baseman in Head-Tead Points Leagues.
And at 26 years old, I think that there is a chance that he gets even better.
I think the Royals might believe that as well.
They gave him an extension this offseason.
Michael Garcia makes a lot of contact.
He hits the ball hard.
He improved the launch angle.
He's an amazing defender so you know he's going to stay on the field as well.
There is a chance, especially playing in Kansas City, that the power comes back a little bit.
But I think if Michael Garcia has moved up to the lead off spot, I think the steals could bounce back a little bit.
A good batting average here, 12 to 15 homers, 30 plus steals, 90 plus runs scored.
I think there's a lot to like here with Mike Elgar.
See ya. Someone else who's coming off a huge breakout season, Chris, is Geraldo Perdomo.
The ADP all the way down at 80. Why are you in on Geraldo Perdomo?
So 80 feels high for a guy who's ADP last season was, I think, 400 or so.
And generally speaking, I think being skeptical of one-year breakouts is the right policy.
The thing with Geraldo Perdoma, though, is he was the number 15 player last season.
even if you're skeptical, even if you think there will be a lot of regression, there's a lot of room between 15 and 80.
Yes, he doesn't hit the ball particularly hard.
That's an issue.
Although, I will point out, his quality of contact got better last season.
His average bat speed was up about 1.4 miles per hour from the previous year.
He's never going to be a true power hitter.
He's never going to be someone who crushes a ton of home runs, you know, deep over the fence.
But I'll point out two things.
One, I forgot to mention in the actual podcast, and that's on me because there, it was of the like nine home runs over 400 feet that Harold or Pardomo has hit in his career, I think seven of them came after June of last year.
So he did start to tap into some legit power.
And two, I think Michael Garcia is a good comp here where Michael Garcia, the physical tools are better.
he hits the ball harder.
What Heraldo Pardomo does is he hits the ball to the right spots.
He had a 20% pulled air rate last season.
He hits a lot of line drives.
He's got phenomenal bat control.
He's got a great approach at the plate.
So I just, I think Heraldi Pardomo is one of those guys who's going to get the most out of his below average power.
It's a solid all around skill set.
I think 12 to 15 homers, 20 plus steals, really good counting stats.
And like a 275 batting average is really, really really.
for Heraldo Perdome.
All right, let's take a quick break
and we'll be back right after this.
Welcome back in Fantasy Baseball.
Today we're taking a look at undervalued players
based on early ADP.
And Chris, I am shocked.
There is not more enthusiasm for Traia Savage
based on everything we just saw from him.
Yes, there were some inconsistencies.
He was a rookie pitcher,
but starting his season at low A,
making it all the way to the majors,
and then having just two ridiculous
outings in the postseason, double-digit strikeouts against both the Yankees and the Dodgers
flashing that massive strikeout upside. I believe there's a legit three-pitch mix here. He's got this
over-the-top delivery, deceptive fastball. He gets whiffs on the fastball. He has this kind of
backdoor slider that he throws, an amazing splitter with a 50 plus percent whiff rate. So I believe
in the pitch mix, he's not going to be limited next season in terms of workload. They already
come out and said, you know, we could get 150,
160 plus innings out of Treyas Savage.
And the ADP is right around 150.
So at that point, you can get him as your SP3 or SP4,
maybe in a shallower league.
I think there's a bunch of upside for Treyas Savage.
And I'm pretty shocked that his ADP isn't a little bit higher
this offseason already.
Let's move over to another name for you.
That is Luke Kishel.
The ADP is 141 in the early going.
I have a lot of,
faith in two skills for Lucchusel. His ability to get on base and his ability to make things happen
when he gets on base. It was a 382 OBP last season. I'm not expecting that to repeat. But even if he's not
a true 300 hitter and he's more like a 270 hitter like his expected stats, well, that still gets you to
around a 350 OBP. That's very good. I think he's going to hit at or near the top of the lineup for the
twins and they just let him run so much. Combined between the AAA and the majors, it was 25 stolen
basis over 77 games. It's about a 50 steel pace. I think expecting 50 steals is probably too much,
but 40 with a good OVP and a passable batting average and a lot of runs. I think that's a pretty
decent expectation for Luke Kishel. He's going to score a bunch of runs. I think there's double-digit
homer power there at least. I don't think it's 20 homers necessarily, but with everything else he does,
I think Luke Kishel's a a bargain around 140. Next demo for me is going to be Krisp.
Bubich, who is an injury wildcard, he's coming off of a rotator cuff strain, but that is
baked into his ADP right now, which is 213 as the 60 second starting pitcher off the board.
If he made it through the season healthy with a sub 3 ERA, a sub 1.2 whip, we'd probably be talking
about Chris Bubich as a top 30 starting pitcher drafted, maybe top 20 starting pitcher drafted,
and again, he's going outside the top 60 starting pitchers right now.
So yes, there is risk.
Any pitcher coming off a shoulder injury, I totally get that.
But he flashed the upside.
It's a great part to pitch in.
Assuming he stays there, there have been some trade rumors.
And he's entering a contract year.
So I think barring health, we can get a big, big season here out of Chris Bubich.
Chris, I'll throw over to you for your last name here.
Yvonne Herrera, who's a bit of a cheat code early on with an ADP of 190.
Well, he could be.
And he hopefully should be.
because the problem with Yvonne Herrera is he's not catcher eligible right now.
And it's just a question of does he gain catcher eligibility in early April?
Yes, he's a cheat code.
Absolutely.
If it's more like May, probably still a pretty big cheat code because Yvonne Herrera is,
I think a legitimate DH caliber bat who like would work as a DH for fantasy,
except he should gain catcher eligibility at some point.
Everything that I've seen from the Cardinals suggests that they expect him to be part of their catcher rotation next season.
If not their primary guy, he's coming off elbow surgery.
That was why he didn't catch last year.
If he's healthy and he's ready to catch early on,
I hope they give him five games at catcher and then are at 10.
We'll say 10 because I know some other leagues, CBS is five games to gain eligibility.
NFBC, it's 10.
Let's get him 10.
Let's start 10 straight games of catcher and the rest at DH for the rest of the season.
Because if Yvonne Herrera was catcher eligible, I think he'd be a top five guy for me.
I think he'd be right there with Ben Rice and Shay Langaleers.
He is such a good hitter.
The expected Wobo was a top 25 mark in all of baseball.
It backed up what he did last season, which was 284, 19 homers, eight steals, and 107 games.
That's close to a 30-homer 15 stolen base pace.
over a full season.
And there's nothing fluky about it.
He was pretty much that good in 2024.
The batting average should be very good as well.
Yvonne Herrera, man.
He could be an absolute difference maker once he gains catcher eligibility.
All right.
Merry Christmas once again.
Happy holidays to all for more extensive fantasy baseball coverage.
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