Fantasy Baseball Today - Add Tommy Pham, Worry-O-Meter & Evaluating Jazz Chisholm (5/4 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 4, 2022

Chris is back! May the fourth be with you. Carlos Carrasco bounced back in a big way (2:08)! Is Tommy Pham a must-add outfielder? ... Charlie Morton puts up another clunker (9:53). ... WORRY-O-METER (...16:00): Trevor Rogers, Marcus Semien, Tyler Mahle and more. ... Should you add Bruce Zimmernann, Cristian Javier or Jameson Taillon (33:16)? ... News and notes (38:36): Jo Adell was demoted. ... Is Jazz Chisholm legitimately awesome (44:20)? ... Should Aaron Hicks and Sheldon Neuse be rostered in more leagues (51:06)? ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpens and streamers (55:41). Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Get 20% off Fantasy Baseball Today merch: https://store.cbssports.com/collections/fantasy-baseball-today?utm_source=podcast-apple-com&utm_medium=web&utm_campaign=buy-our-merch&utm_content=fantasy-baseball-collection Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. With fantasy! Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris. What's up, and welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Wednesday, May 4th. Frank Stamphill, joined by Scott White and the returning Chris Towers.
Starting point is 00:00:36 Chris, may the fourth be with you. Oh, yeah. That's today. I love Star Wars. Yeah, I'm a fraud. I didn't even think about that. I haven't even, there's like three movies I haven't seen. I'm a fraud. I just, I wanted to say it.
Starting point is 00:00:50 So I've seen all. I mean, I don't think, I think Azer finally saw them within the last couple of years. But for a long time, he hadn't seen any of the Star Wars movies. So I guess you're, you're doing better than the previous host of this podcast in that regard. I saw the seventh movie, which I guess was the most recent. The first of the most recent trilogy, and then I didn't watch the two after that, or however many movies came out. I did a three-hour podcast with Nick Pollock of Pitcher List about the second movie in the new trilogy. If you ever want to check that out, it's longer than the movie itself. Maybe I'll do that.
Starting point is 00:01:29 That was a good time. Just watch the original trilogy. Everything else is derivative. Oh, I've seen the original trilogy, Scott. That's great, but. Oh, okay. Yeah. I've seen the first six movies and then the seventh movie and then nothing after. Clone Wars, rebels. There's a lot of good stuff out there in the Star Wars extended universe.
Starting point is 00:01:49 Chris, you know, I've got a long, long list of things to watch. Anyway, today on the show, we're not going to talk about Star Wars for the entire podcast. We are going to have maybe our most extensive Worryometer yet. Is Jazz Chisholm awesome? And another weird start for Charlie Morton, of course. We'll talk about all that. But first, take it away, Susan. Oh my goodness gracious.
Starting point is 00:02:11 11. 11 in a row. Anyway, Chris, what do you got? Oh, my goodness gracious. Oh, 11 Yankees wins in a row. Yeah. That's right. I've been doing this for a while, Chris.
Starting point is 00:02:23 I know we haven't seen you in a while, but yeah. It's getting, it's getting old. Yeah. Nobody likes that. Carlos Carrasco. Nice, nice bounce back start from him. He got rocked in his previous outing. Ader runs in three and two thirds,
Starting point is 00:02:37 but he came back with eight shutout against a Braves lineup that has not been hitting the ball particularly well. But still, you like to see it, 18 swinging strikes, I believe, for Carlos Carrasco in this one. Let me make sure 17 of them. Eight on the fastball, nine on the slider. And overall, I mean, only five strikeouts today, but overall, he's been very good this season. And it was nice to see him bounce back like that in case you had any concerns. For sure. Yeah, this was his second start.
Starting point is 00:03:07 of at least seven and two-thirds innings pitch. He did that earlier in the season as well. The fastball and slider accounted for 83% of Carrasco's pitches in this start. Changeup took a bit of a backseat, but it didn't really matter because the fastball on the slider,
Starting point is 00:03:23 they really had it working in this one. The ERA is 3.30. The whip is 1.00 for Carlos Carrasco. I'll point out too, his changeup had been his best swing and miss pitch this year. So for him to just ditch it and still get 17 whiffs, Pretty good.
Starting point is 00:03:39 Yeah, and based on those 17 swinging strikes, I would imagine he probably deserved more than five strikeouts. So, again, if you're worried about the strikeout total at all in this one, you should not be Carlos Carrasco. It's awesome. Just stay healthy. Scott, who do you have? Oh, my goodness gracious from Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:03:56 I'm going to go with a guy who's widely available, and that is Tommy Fam. Had a big game, three hits, including a home run and a double. He's been hot, too. The overall numbers, you know, you can understand why he's so widely available, because like many other hitters, he was off to a dreadful start in April, but his last eight games, now he's batting 400 with two home runs and four doubles. And what's most impressive about Tommy Fam is that even excluding what he did today
Starting point is 00:04:30 with the home run and the double and the three hits, 98th percentile in average exit velocity basically the top of the heap he's hitting the ball as hard as anyone on average is Tommy fam low line drive rate
Starting point is 00:04:47 so you know you can understand why maybe the batting average is suffering but I'm not I don't think that's going to be a long-standing issue I just think that's early season noise and the quality of contact is the bigger deal to me especially since he's starting to heat up.
Starting point is 00:05:04 Obviously playing in Cincinnati, it's going to help those numbers play up. He has some stolen base potential, only one so far, but we've seen him steal lots of bases in the past. So I think this is somebody who needs to be picked up in all 5 by 5 leagues. And really anywhere you need outfield help
Starting point is 00:05:24 because there's a chance he's just going to be, there's a chance I think he just takes off and becomes a must-star play rest of the way. Scott, I'll do you one further. I think that he is a must-add player regardless of format. Three outfielder leagues, points leagues, category leagues. Tommy Fam right now, you mentioned the quality of contact. His batting average, his actual batting average is a 240.
Starting point is 00:05:45 His XBA is 262. His ex-slug is 482. He's in the 80th percentile in sprint speed, according to Stackcast. He walks a bunch. He's got a 12% walk rate. 25% strikeout rate is more than manageable. He's only 38% rostered. on CBS, which to me makes him the most under-roastered player right now in fantasy baseball league.
Starting point is 00:06:10 So I am willing to make that claim. Chris, you weren't as on board before we started. What's wrong with adding Tommy Fam? Well, no, it's not so much that you shouldn't add Tommy Fam. I think it's fine to add Tommy Fam. He's a hitter who's hitting well right now, and there aren't many of those. So, yeah, add him. I just like the most under-roastered player, his numbers coming in.
Starting point is 00:06:30 this season or into this game were like 703 OPS, three home runs and a steel. So like that sounds like a guy who's rostered in 38% of leagues playing in a bad lineup, coming off a bad season. Right. Coming off a bad season prior to that. The interesting thing is he's been underperforming his expected stats three years in a row now. Um, he's actually, his expected Wobah has actually remained relatively constant. 360 in 2020, 3.504 and 2021, 359 entering today. It was 380 and 2018, so not that far off, 359 and 2019. So I don't know if it's just been bad luck over the past couple of seasons and maybe where maybe he's due for a little good luck or at least maybe he won't have such bad luck
Starting point is 00:07:15 this season. But I also wonder if there's something in his approach that makes him prone to underperforming. You know, when we think about guys who tend to overperform expected stats, the kind of player that you would think it would be a fast player would help. which Tommy Fam is, but, you know, I think there's also like guys who spray the ball all over the field, guys who tend to hit the ball in the air to the pull side. And Tommy Fam does not do the latter. He's pretty pull heavy when he hits the ball on the ground.
Starting point is 00:07:46 He is not at all when he hits the ball in the air. Last season, I think his, his pull rate on fly balls was 15%. And on line drives, it was like 18%. So, you know, if you were looking for 18,000, type of player who might underperform their expects stats, that might be what it would look like. So that's one thing to, you know, keep an eye on with Tommy fan.
Starting point is 00:08:10 But yeah, I agree at him. I've got, there are so few good hitters right now. Yeah, I mean, that's the main takeaway is like, anyone that's hitting should be rostered. And that's why I just find it interesting that Tommy Pham is as low, as low rostered as he is right now. Would you guys drop? There's three names I'm looking at here.
Starting point is 00:08:30 Dylan Carlson, Avisael Garcia, Jared Kelnick. Would you drop all three for Tommy Fam? Definitely the first two. I would try not to with Kellanick, but... Right. There's an upside issue with Kelnick that I'm not quite ready to pass up that.
Starting point is 00:08:48 Not knowing how May is going to play out across the league. I'm hopeful that offense improves quite a bit. I don't think... I think it's going to be a bad year for home runs, specifically. but in terms of how balls in play perform, strikeout rate is actually improved this year for the first time in like decades.
Starting point is 00:09:12 So I'm hoping we'll see something similar to last May where there was just terrible numbers from high-end players and then they took off basically from May 1st on. I would drop Joe Adele for him. Yeah. Yeah, that makes sense. Joe Adele sent down, of course, to AAA on Tuesday, and his roster rate is still 67%.
Starting point is 00:09:37 So that is a move that you can make, and that's a good call, Chris. Unfortunately, our guy, Joe Adele, we're not going to see him for, I don't know, at least the foreseeable future. At least 10 days. At least 10 days. That is correct.
Starting point is 00:09:49 Oh my goodness gracious for me, and this will take us right into Wuriometer for today. Charlie Morton, another, I'm not going to say rough start. I'm going to say weird start. On paper, it's not a good one. Five and two-thirds, six hits, five runs. Four of those were earned.
Starting point is 00:10:04 Three walks, three strikeouts. He only had five swinging strikes in this start. That is now four straight starts where Charlie Morton has three-plus walks in a start. And that is, he didn't even do that last year over a three-start stretch, three-plus walks. He's now done that four starts in a row, four of his first five starts to open the season.
Starting point is 00:10:23 He only had first pitch strikes to 14 of 28 batters in this one. And the same issue that we talked about last week, Chris, could not get his fastball or his sinker over for strikes. And of course, that's just going to lead to a bunch of problems because you fall behind in the count. Then people are not going to chase the curveball later on in the count. Curbball hasn't looked great either. But also in this start, he was just unlucky. There were some soft hits early on in this game, some bad defense. And then he settled down. He retired nine. He got burned by the shift a few times. It only gave up six hits. So you get burned by the shift at a few. few times. He retired nine of the final 12 batters he faced two. He was much more efficient over those really three, four final endings for Charlie Morton. So that's why I say it's a weird start. It's overall, I don't know, there's some good, there's some bad. Scott will start with you, the Wauriometer level for our guy, Charlie Morton. It's still pretty low, to be honest. I'll go four. There's, there are a lot of people trying to convince me I should not be backing Charlie Morton anymore.
Starting point is 00:11:30 And I don't know why. I don't know what they stand to gain by convincing me. I think maybe they're just looking for me to talk them out of their stance, hopefully, because, you know, what good does it do to convince me not to buy Charlie Morton? I don't know. I don't really quite understand what their motivation is. But in any case, you know, you broke it down pretty well. I'll also point out the average exit velocity against Tim
Starting point is 00:11:57 in this game was 82.2. So very low. Wasn't getting hit hard on average. He still only had five swinging strikes, so it's not like his stuff was playing up. He's clearly fighting it right now. You mentioned the location. That's a part of it. But velocity
Starting point is 00:12:12 looks good. That's been rated. It's still 3,000 RPM on the curveball. It's not like there's obvious skills erosion happening here. I think he's just you know, Paul, Paul Byrd, who's part of the Braves broadcast team, was pointing out how he had a mechanical issue early on last season
Starting point is 00:12:33 that was contributing to some struggles, and he feels like he's seeing more mechanical problems for Morton here and the early going. That's something that could be fixed very suddenly. And so, you know, I just want to point out it's a long season, and about halfway through last season, he had a 450 ERA did Morton, and obviously ended up with,
Starting point is 00:12:54 with ace-like numbers. So I was to the point after his last start where I said, okay, obviously you can't drop him, but you can sit him if you want to. Kind of backed off that when I saw he had two starts. The temptation there was too strong for the two-star week. But, you know, I'll reiterate that. I still buy him long term if you want to sit until he gets things right. I don't blame you. I did see this tweet from, sorry Chris, I saw a tweet from David Adler. He does work with stat cast. Apparently the break on Charlie Martin's curveball isn't the same this year. It's like just not as good. But it's not off by some crazy margin, but it's, it is not as good. So I just wanted to get that in there. Chris, two questions for you. Do you bench him for now? Do you look to buy low?
Starting point is 00:13:38 I do want to buy low. It reminds me of Luis Castillo at a similar point last season. And the thing with Castillo was he didn't turn it around immediately. You know, it did take until around June before we really started to see the results. But the thing there was, you know, the thing there was, you know, was you looked at the underlying numbers. And when we say underlying numbers, there's a couple different ways that we can mean it. We can mean like strikeout rate and walk rate and the
Starting point is 00:14:01 peripheral stats. And you know, in those regards, Trellumorne's not pitching well. And he's just not. The 17% strikeout rate, 13% walk rate, like that's terrible. And if he continues pitching like this, he's going to be terrible. He hasn't been unlucky. But the
Starting point is 00:14:18 underlying physical factors, like Scott said, the velocity, the spin rate, the release point. That stuff mostly looks right. I'm not going to say it looks all the way right. You know, the extension that he's getting on his pitches from the pitcher pitchies mound is not the same as it has been last year. And that could point to a mechanical issue. But it just, it's one of those situations where it seems like Charlie Morton's probably just off. And that makes me think that he'll probably just get on at some point. You know, not to over simplify or to express too much faith
Starting point is 00:14:55 because there's no guarantee that he gets there, but it'd be one thing if he was throwing 92 miles and out or if he just didn't have the feel for his curveball at all and he just couldn't spin it the way he has in the past. But neither of those seem to be the case. It kind of just seems like he just needs to pitch better. And I have faith that he will. Okay, I believe the next start for Morton is this weekend at Milwaukee.
Starting point is 00:15:20 If you're playing a daily lineup league, Scott kudos to you, you said to bench Charlie Morton in daily lineup leagues yesterday. So I would say, stick with that. No, he's at home against the Brewers this weekend.
Starting point is 00:15:30 I'm, yeah, I'm fine benching him until he figures it out, but definitely not dropping him, which I'm sure there are some people out there who want to. And I wouldn't be trying to like
Starting point is 00:15:43 spite trade him either. Like, I don't think this is a get whatever you can for him. I think it's like Louis Castillo last year. And it's going to be, it's frustrating. when you're in it, but I just, I have faith that he's going to figure it out. It doesn't seem like he's that far off.
Starting point is 00:15:58 All right. Let's move over to a few other players on the Wuriometer. Trevor Rogers, with his second rough start of the season. This one up against the Diamondbacks, four and a third inning, six hits, five runs. Four of those were earned. He only had seven swinging strikes on 78 pitches. Scott, the ERA for Trevor Rogers, 6.14. His whip is 1.50. What is the worryometer level on Trevor Rogers?
Starting point is 00:16:25 So, based on my priors, it's going to be higher than for Morton because I was worried about Trevor Rogers coming in. I had him on my preseason bust list. I don't know why I'm not getting, why people aren't trying, I'm not getting any questions about dropping Trevor Rogers. He has an ERA over six. He has a one and four record. I don't know why those questions aren't coming in.
Starting point is 00:16:47 It's because he's not 38 years old, Scott. That's why. I'm not saying, broken leg, yeah. I'm not saying anybody should drop him. But, yeah, it's kind of a weird double standard there. Anyway, he looks a lot like the guy we saw the final two months of last season. His swinging strike rate is just over 10%.
Starting point is 00:17:05 It's not very good. And so I am worried about the same things I was worried coming into the season, where he just, I don't know if he caught the league by surprise, those first two months last year, if his stuff was just playing up in a way it never has before and then returned to know what happened to cause his effectiveness to drop off midseason last year. But it seems to have carried over into this year. And if that's the case, he might be kind of a borderline mix league guy.
Starting point is 00:17:36 The change-up is what has really stood out to me for Trevor Rogers. The swinging strike rate on that pitch last year was 19%. So far this year, 9.7% on Trevor Rogers' change. change up. Yeah, that's where I would push back on the, he looks like he did the last two months last season because he still had a swinging strike rate with the change up of it, or a whiff rate with the change above at least 30% every month last season, including 29.3% in July of 2021. I know I said 30%, but we'll round up.
Starting point is 00:18:06 And then 35% in September. So far this year, it's 18%. Well, it's 18% coming into this start. And he had three whiffs on eight. swings on 25 pitches. So still not great. So that's the biggest thing. It's just his best pitch last season he doesn't seem to have right now in a way that wasn't true at the end of last season. He's getting a decent amount of whiffs on his slider. He's getting a decent amount of wiffs on his fastball. Fastball swing and strike rate is actually up. And so I don't know what that,
Starting point is 00:18:43 what's going on there. I don't know if that's something to be concerned about. But, it does suggest to me that there's a relatively straightforward fix. I don't want to say there's an easy fix because I don't know what's going on. I've seen a success. It does seem like it's just get the changeup back. I've seen a suggest because the changeup is playing so poorly
Starting point is 00:19:05 that maybe he's tipping the pitch, which would be a quick fix. But yeah, I mean, obviously, since I came in with some skepticism, I'm going to be a little more worried than somebody who didn't. All right, let's move over to a hitter. Marcus Semyon.
Starting point is 00:19:22 He actually went two for five on Tuesday. It was his third multi-hit game of the season. He is now batting 165 with zero home runs. His expected batting average is 174. Marcus Semyon's average exit velocity is 84.8 miles per hour. That is seventh lowest among qualified hitters. Chris, your Wuriamometer level for Marcus Semyon. Yeah, I realized neither Scott nor I.
Starting point is 00:19:47 actually answered the wariometer portion of the questions so far. So I'm going to go ahead and put... I think it's a fix, didn't I for Rogers? I didn't hear a number. I'm going to say two on Morton, three on Rogers, four on Simian. So whoever's next gets a five, I guess. Wow.
Starting point is 00:20:02 Your is this calibrated lower than mine. Well, the thing with Simian is, I don't know. Like, this is still a hard time of the year for me because I tend to react slowly. And it's entirely possible that Marcus, Simian just for whatever reason has just lost it. And we were skeptical that he was going to repeat last season. I don't think any of us expected him to, but, you know, we still all expected him to.
Starting point is 00:20:27 And maybe he's just going to stink all season long. He's 31. That happens. But he's still running fast. And his max ex of Velo is right in the same range as it was last season, 108.1 so far, 109.5. Last season, it's usually. right around 108.
Starting point is 00:20:49 He's not striking out a ton. He's not swinging and missing at an abnormally high rate. He's not chasing at an abnormally high rate. Like, it mostly just seems like he's not hitting the ball well right now. And maybe that will continue. Maybe there's something broken with Marcus Simeon that won't be fixed. But I don't think the underlying numbers suggest that Marcus Simeon has just collapsed in terms of his skill set. And so I generally believe he will be roughly as good as I expected him to be coming into the season,
Starting point is 00:21:25 which is significantly worse than he was last season, but better than he has been so far. I don't know that anything will have had to break for Marcus Simeon for him to no longer work in this league context, because he was one of those fringier exit velocity guys who somehow still managed to get a lot of home run power out of it. And now we're seeing specifically the way that numbers have declined from last April, yes, batting average and offenses down as a whole. But those numbers are batting average bad, but they're actually similar to last April right in line with last April.
Starting point is 00:22:03 It's really the home run to fly ball rate that has dropped the most from last April, which would affect the first. fringy exit velocity guy. But that's not really what we're seeing with Marcus Simi. It's not like he's hitting the ball as hard as he did last season. No, he's not. He's not at the warning track. He's like,
Starting point is 00:22:23 but you're saying, 41% hard hit rate last season. He has a 23% hard hit rate this season. So like you're saying his max exit velocity is similar to last year. His fly, he's a guy who puts the ball in the air a ton. So he needs those fly balls going over the fence. And yeah, I mean, he's,
Starting point is 00:22:37 he's also cold. But I'm, I'm, I'm saying that. that it could be a combination of the two, that yes, he will be better than a 163 batting average, but will he be someone who produces like a must-star player in fantasy? And I'll put my worryometer. I'll put him at a five on the worryometer.
Starting point is 00:23:00 The contrasting argument that I'm going to make, I'm going to argue against myself here, Marcus Simeon hit 211 with a 658 OPS, Last April. He was one of those hitters who, one of the many, many hitters who looked like he was dead last April, too, and then suddenly came to life. And that could happen again. But the odds are even longer this year, I think particularly for a hitter with his bat-a-ball profile. All right, let's move back over to the pitching side of things. Scott, your boy, Ranger Suarez. He's been quite blah through his first five starts. 4.63 ERA, a 1.63 whip.
Starting point is 00:23:41 He was pitching again. On Tuesday, he allowed five runs. Three of those were earned over five innings pitched against the Texas Rangers. The swinging strike rate is down this year. The ground ball rate is down. Sinker hasn't been as effective. What is your Wuriometer level on Ranger Suarez? It's a five, but,
Starting point is 00:24:00 less because of what he's doing right now and more because there just isn't much of a track record to fall back. Obviously, he was great last year. And I think because he was so good last year, he deserves a longer leash. People are asking me if they should drop him. Well, I mean, he's more droppable than Charlie Morton, but me personally, I wouldn't drop Ranger Suarez because I think if you have groundball skills as good as his, that is the sort of outlier skill set that is worth betting on over the long haul.
Starting point is 00:24:36 It's worth pointing out he basically didn't have a spring training. Mainly command has been his issue. And command is the sort of thing where it can influence. If you're struggling with command, it can have wholesale impact on your stats. It could explain the drop in strikeouts too. but the pure stuff metrics like with Charlie Morton looks pretty similar to last year
Starting point is 00:25:01 and so yeah I want to hold on to Ranger Suarez but I'll put him right in the middle of the Wariometer at a five are you good with keeping him on the bench for now Scott I don't think it's as automatic as as with Morton he hasn't been bad in the same way Charlie Morton has
Starting point is 00:25:21 he just hasn't been good he's been underwhelming his previous outing was a quality start. But yeah, the whip and ERA are both higher than you'd like. I think in a points league especially, I'm not going to flatly say Sitts Suarez because obviously he's relief pitcher eligible. All right. Somebody who has been quite bad, just straight up bad, is Tyler Malley.
Starting point is 00:25:41 He leads all qualified starting pitchers with a 7.01 ERA. And on Tuesday, he allowed five runs for those who were earned over three and a third innings pitch. I've noticed the control is way off this year. The walks are up for him. him, three more walks in this start. He has 14 total, and he's averaging 4.9 walks per 9. Chris, your Wuriameter level on Tyler Malley.
Starting point is 00:26:04 I would say on like a six. I mean, the thing with Tyler Malley that's tough is he's a tinkerer. He's always been a tinkerer. He likes to tinker. And that has manifested itself in his career in various ways. Sometimes he just won't throw one pitch from one start to the next. Sometimes he'll have a completely different. repertoire from one month to the next, one season to the next. Right now, he has stopped throwing
Starting point is 00:26:30 his slider to left-handed hitters. He's yet to throw one. So far this season, he's throwing only cutters and then splitters and fastballs. And the slider whiff rate is really high, but everything else is pretty mediocre. And so I generally think that what's going wrong with Tyler Mallee is probably that he's just trying to figure things out right now because he doesn't have overwhelming stuff. And he's never had great command. So he's always had to kind of figure out what's working for him at any given time. And when that's the case, I think things can get pretty ugly. You know, that there can be a lack of cohesion and a lack of confidence in the way that he pitches sometimes. But I generally think he'll figure it out. But yeah, I'm not so confident in Tyler Malley
Starting point is 00:27:16 and his skill set and his background that I'm willing to overlook these kind of struggles. So So yeah, I'm more worried about him than anyone else we've discussed so far. All right. We'll get to WaverWire pitchers in just a little bit, and I'll bring Tyler Malley's name back up then. Scott, we're getting a lot of questions about catchers right now as well. So I'm going to lump these three together. How would you rank them in terms of how worried you are to least worried? Does that make sense?
Starting point is 00:27:43 Which one are you most worried about? Salvador Perez, Yasmani Grandal, Mitch Garber. They're all batting below 200 right now. I'm not worried about any of them, to be honest. I guess I would say I'm most worried about Grandal because he's old and because he is making weak contact, like much weaker than we're used to seeing from him. And so I guess there's some percentage chance.
Starting point is 00:28:11 This is just the beginning of the end for him. But I would still bet against that this early in the year, coming off the year he just had. I'm least worried about Salvador Perez. I mean, he's the most established, obviously, and his quality of contact is still very high. He's not making enough of it right now, but, you know, in the long run, I think he's going to be fine.
Starting point is 00:28:33 I still have, you know, I have them all ranked basically the same way I had them rank coming into the year. So my opinion on them has a change. For Garver, I've been encouraged by how much he's been playing even more than I hoped he would. and I'll point out for him last April, like I did the same thing for Simeon, last April,
Starting point is 00:28:53 Mitch Garver hit 172 with the 644 OPS. The rest of the way, he hit 289 with a 957 OPS. If this year played out similarly, wouldn't it all surprise me. All right, Salvador Perez, by the way, his average exit velocity is nearly in line with where it was last year. It seems like he's just kind of selling out for power. His fly ball rate on the season was 53.6%
Starting point is 00:29:16 entering Tuesday. That was 40% last year and 40% for his career. His line drive rate is way down, which has affected the BABIP and, of course, the batting average for Salvador Perez. So I think as he hopefully distributes these batted ball events or equally, you know, you can't always bank on that happening, but we have a pretty big sample size with Salvador Perez. Go ahead. I haven't been moved to drop any of these guys in the rankings in any way. Um, and I haven't really been, moved to move anyone ahead of them. So in the immortal words of
Starting point is 00:29:52 the Reds owner, where are you going to go? You know, like let's say you have any of these guys on your team. What do you, like, who, who are you supposed to add? Like, Alejandro Kirk just had his first extra base hit of the season. There are like 10 catchers hitting over
Starting point is 00:30:08 200 right now. It's as bad as it's ever been. It's not like you have opportunities. Even for someone like Mitch Garver, who's relatively low end relative to the other guys, but I still think is a must roster player, a must start player. Like, I'm not, there's nobody that I'm, I'm looking at and saying, well, I'm glad I have that. Like, there are 27 catchers with 50 plate appearances this season. Would you like to know how many of them are hitting better than 267?
Starting point is 00:30:43 Hmm, that's a very specific number. I will say two. I know the number one and number two. This was coming into to die. I know Travis Darno is batting well over 300. That's the only one I know. Over 267, I'll say, yeah, two seems like a goodie. I'll go three.
Starting point is 00:31:02 You guys are way over. Travis Darno is the only catcher hitting better than 267. Elias Diaz is hitting 267. He is number two at catcher. six catchers are hitting better are hitting 250 or better let's see three catchers have more
Starting point is 00:31:20 than two home runs I believe three catchers have more than 9 RBI 4 catchers have more than you can see where I'm going with this yeah it's a struggle it's definitely even more so than it normally is the catcher is always kind of a wasteland
Starting point is 00:31:35 but it's been really bad we were talking beforehand second base I was updating my rankings on Tuesday it's a wasteland right now. Trevor's story has done nothing. Whitmerryfield dropped in the lineup. Jose Altuve just came back from injury. Marcus Semyon has been awful. Kutel Marte has been awful. It's possible that those two positions would be more impacted by a, an offensive environment where the ball's not traveling as far, and the offensive results are down because those would be the two places where you would expect the most marginal offensive production. So it's possible that that's what we're
Starting point is 00:32:10 seeing, but Grundahl, Garver, and Perez have all been guys who've hit the ball really, really hard, even relative to baseball players, not just catchers. So you wouldn't think they would be impacted. If anything, if they were doing well, you might expect them to be better relative to the position than they would normally be. So I can't bring myself to be worried about any of those guys. Plus, I'm going to say this again. I feel like we were having these exact same conversation. at the end of last April.
Starting point is 00:32:43 The one thing I will say is they're all 31 or older and catchers. So like, like Scott said with Yosmani Grandaul, it's possible that this is just it. You know, that the end comes quicker than you expect. And sometimes you don't get warning signs, but like,
Starting point is 00:32:59 I need more than 70 some odd plate appearances. Okay. So you guys would be looking to buy on all three if you could. Yes. Well, I guess you don't want three catchers on your team, but you know what I'm saying. One's enough for me. Buy one on in three different leagues.
Starting point is 00:33:15 There you go. We were wire pitchers. I wanted to mention some of these names that popped up on Tuesday. Bruce Zimmerman has now allowed two earned runs or less in all five of his starts. Chris Flexson now has three starts in a row allowing two earned runs or fewer. Brad Keller makes it four quality starts in five tries. This one was up against the Cardinals. Christian Javier, two solid starts in a row.
Starting point is 00:33:36 Five and a third shutout innings against the Mariners. Michael Waka has now allowed to earn runs or fewer in all five of his starts this season and then James and Tionne turns in his first quality start it was at the Blue Jays and I noticed he threw his cutter as season high 28% of the time it's a pitcher he just started throwing two starts ago
Starting point is 00:33:56 so I found that kind of interesting Scott any names that stand out here for you Tyone Walker uh Waka I kind of I just read Javier and then I combined Waka and Javier together and it made Walker Waka, Javier, Brad Keller, flexing, Bruce Zimmerman. We were just talking about how crazy it is
Starting point is 00:34:17 the way certain hitters batting averages look right now. It's wild looking at some of the pitchers, the like just lame pitchers, what some of their ERAs look like right now. Waka's ERA for the year is 138. Jameson Tione's ERA is 284 and Bruce Zimmerman's ERA is 148. It's like how?
Starting point is 00:34:46 That's just that's just bonkers. That's just bonkers. And like I don't think it's a reflection of how good these pitchers are in any way. The one who kind of is capturing my imagination a little bit is is Bruce Zimmerman, who I've talked about before. his swinging strike rate excluding this game hasn't been updated yet
Starting point is 00:35:10 but it's 12.3% which is good his ex-fip is 284 which is good I mean these are a lot of the numbers I normally rely on to evaluate pitchers
Starting point is 00:35:25 Bruce Zimmerman is is showing up high in them as well as having that low ERA he hasn't pitched particularly deep into games yet only once has he gone six innings. But it's possible it's possible he's going to be halfway decent for the long haul.
Starting point is 00:35:46 And I would say of these three, he'd be the one I'd most likely to pick up. I'm still not especially motivated to do it. But Tyone and Waka, I don't see a lot of, I don't see a lot of encouraging signs there projection-wise. Yeah, I think the top three for me on this list, Zimmerman, Christian Javier, and then Tyone after,
Starting point is 00:36:12 just because I don't really trust Flex in Keller or Waka very much, Chris, would you drop Tyler Malley for any of those names? I don't think so. Like, I'm interested in Zimmerman, you know, the changes that he's made to his pitch mix are sort of interesting during more changeups in particular. but his fastball is so bad that it's just like it's hard to it's just it's really hard to be good with a fastball as bad as his I mean I'm the swinging strike rate entering today's start was like seven percent with the fastball I think his woba allowed with the pitch last season was almost 500 let me see 470 491 woba allowed last season 711 slugging percentage with his fastball. So I just, you can only go so far and he's throwing it 33% of the time right now.
Starting point is 00:37:09 And even that might be hard to get away from. So I think there's a fairly low ceiling on what Bruce Zimmerman can be. But what he's shown so far is somewhat interesting. All right. Before we hit the break, I want to remind everyone, you can leave a five-star rating on Spotify. This is something that's just popped up over the last couple of months. So if you do listen to us on Spotify, please feel free. to leave us a five-star rating there.
Starting point is 00:37:32 We really do appreciate it. We'll take a quick break and we'll return right after this. The news and notes, we've already mentioned it, but Joe Adele has been demoted to AAA while Jose Rojas was recalled, and I assume that Adele could be dropped in all redraft leagues. Well, I don't know that you need to drop them in all those five outfielder leagues.
Starting point is 00:37:50 He becomes one of the better prospect stashes out there, I would say. So if you're in a league where it's obvious you need to be stashing O'Neill Cruz or Nolan or whoever, and you probably need to be stashing Adele as well. And frankly, if they're not going to play him every day, it's better that he's in AAA for his development. There are still things to be positive about, even as bad as things have been.
Starting point is 00:38:15 I don't know why his defense is so bad. That's baffling. I don't remember that being a scouting thing. But 531 expected Wobon contact. Like, he was crushing the ball, so I still have hope. but yeah the Reds activated catcher
Starting point is 00:38:36 Tyler Stevenson and they placed Joey Votto on the COVID IL it's unclear how much time Avato might miss Lou Trevino Did you guys see his tweet yesterday?
Starting point is 00:38:46 Yes Do we talk about that on yesterday's podcast? No I didn't mention it but yeah feel free to mention quote tweeted a piece from fan graphs like is this the end for Joey Votto
Starting point is 00:38:54 what was it something like I'll see you in five months or something I think he said five months months to go. Five months to go. He's like, I don't know, get ready or something like that. I'm enjoying Joey Votto's time and social media. Yeah, and then the next day he's placed on the COVID IL. Here we go. He said five months to go, enjoy the show. And then I saw that, uh, Amir Garrett quote tweeted it and he's like, I know Joe Votto. This man's about to go off. So hopefully that's the case, because I have a, I have a few Joey Votto shares myself. Lou Trevino was reinstated from the COVID IL on
Starting point is 00:39:29 day and I just saw that he... Real bad. Pitched in that game. So Danny Jimenez pitched in the eighth inning of a... They had a two-run lead at the time and he faced the top of the lineup against the raise. Kirby Sneed came in for the save.
Starting point is 00:39:45 He blew it. He gave up two runs so we got a tie game. Going into extra endings, Lutrovino gives up five runs, four of them earned on four hits, a walk. Just looked absolutely terrible. So if you picked up Danny Jimenez in the meantime, I think there's a chance that he might just stick as the closer for now because he's been
Starting point is 00:40:04 really, really good. Shohay Otani was back in the lineup as the DH on Tuesday. Love to see that. Tigers pitching prospect, Alex Fayetteau, will make his debut on Wednesday, starting one of the doubleheader games against the Pirates. My guess is that he'll be optioned back after this start. Former first round pick in 2017. He missed all of last season due to Tommy John surgery. Scott is just a name to watch for now, Alex Fayetteau with the Tigers. He got off to a really good start in the miners this year, but he's kind of been off the prospect radar for a while and much higher end tiger prospects have all pretty much flopped so far. So I'm not especially motivated to pick up Fayato or anything, but sure, keep an eye
Starting point is 00:40:49 on it. Luke Voigt began a rehab assignment at AAA on Tuesday. He's on the IL with a biceps injury. Kyle Lewis will begin his rehab assignment at AAA as well on Tuesday. He is 46% rostered. And if Jared Kelnick just continues to play this bad, I think he's probably going to be the one that loses out on playing time. But Kyle Lewis is coming back soon. Natchanager is out for a while now, so is it still...
Starting point is 00:41:17 I don't know that anybody needs to lose playing time. Fair. M.J. Melendez made his debut at the at DH while batting seventh in the lineup on Tuesday. He went one for three. I was really impressed. I saw some of his plate appearances. He was taking close pitches. His pitch recognition looked solid. He had a walk as well. Two hard hit balls, including one that went 375 feet. It was 102 miles per hour off the bat. Would have been a home run in nine of 30 ballparks. So a nice little debut there for MJ. Maybe last season. I don't have to have updated that yet. Yep. And Mundo So Sosa was placed on the COVID-IL by the Cardinals, and as a result, prospect, Juan
Starting point is 00:41:56 I Pez was recalled. He was hitting 279 with nine home runs and a 974 OPS at AAA this season. Scott, should we add Juan Yippez anywhere, or just see if he plays in the meantime? Yeah, I mean, we got to see how much he plays. He was, he had some deep sleeper appeal back in spring training when it looked like he might win the DH job. Pretty good hitter. So let's see how much he plays and react to it then. Miguel Seno will undergo surgery later this week to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee. Wade Miley is set to begin a minor league rehab assignment on Thursday. Carlos Santana was scratched Tuesday due to right ankle soreness,
Starting point is 00:42:39 and this is especially interesting because Royal's first base prospect, Nick Prado has been coming around recently in the minor. So if there's any extended time missed for Santana, just remember the name, Nick Prado. Josh Winder is expected to make another start this Friday in Oakland. He was great in his previous start. Wilson Contreras was not in the lineup Tuesday with an undisclosed injury. He is day-to-day. Sunny Gray will make a second rehab start at AAA later this week.
Starting point is 00:43:07 He's on the IL with a hamstring injury. And Nelson Cruz exited Tuesday's game with back stiffness. So if you were hoping for Corse Field to get him back on. track. You might have just missed out on it. Unfortunately. Is Jazz Chisholm awesome? Let's talk about it. He went two for five with a double two. All right, fair enough. Let's move on. He went two for five with a double two RBI and he is now batting 318 on the season. Has four homers, three triples, five doubles total, four steals, and OPS over a thousand. I noticed he's dropped the ground ball rate quite a bit this year.
Starting point is 00:43:42 Line drives, fly balls are up. The pull rate is up. And Earlier in the season, the stackass numbers didn't really back it up. All of a sudden, the expected batting average and expected slug, they look really good for Jazz Chisholm. Chris, what do you think? Is Jazz Chisholm awesome? Yes. Now, is he this good for fantasy? That's a different question. Jazz Chisholm is indeed awesome.
Starting point is 00:44:07 But I'm skeptical that this just represents some new baseline level of expected production from Jazz Chisholm. He's still striking out quite a bit, not an alarming amount, but 27% is not so far from 29% that you can just say it represents a new skill set. I think that's probably if he struck out once, maybe twice more so far this season. He would have the exact same strikeout percentage. So not really ready to make any sweeping declarations there. He's hitting the ball really well, but that's the kind of thing Jazz Chisholm can do from time to time. You know, we saw it last April.
Starting point is 00:44:47 He was one of the best hitters in fantasy. Now, I'm not exactly sure whether the underlying numbers were the same, whether he was hitting the ball as hard consistently as he is now. You know, a 27% line drive rate, a 31% hard hit rate based on fan graphs splits page. I'm not sure how that compares, but I'm looking it up right now. Let's see. Try to kill time. 26% line drive rate, 35.
Starting point is 00:45:15 percent hard hit rate. There's differences there. But for the most part, this looks like just a locked in version of Jazz Chisholm. And it's entirely possible that he's just locked in now, that this is just the light switch flipped on and Jazz Chism is just going to be an amazing player moving forward. But I'm not prepared to say that yet because we saw him be streaky last season. And the thing about streaks is they come and they go. They ebb and they flow. And so I want to see what it looks like for jazz chisholm when he's not hot before I make a call. And maybe that's a cop out. But I guess it's all to say that I wouldn't recommend going to try to buy Jazz Chisholm right now. Fair enough. So I guess the flip side of that's not to say sell Jazz Chisholm.
Starting point is 00:46:08 Yes, that was my next question. Scott, obviously you were one of the more skeptical people on Jazz Chisholm coming into the season. What have you seen? Would you look to sell high on Jazz based on what he's done this far? I am a little skeptical too. I mean, it's possible it's a breakout. The talent, you know, he has a great tool set. And a lot of times those guys do break through and become studs. So that was always on the table. But like Chris said, I mean, the biggest changes in the underlying numbers are line drive rate. It's just ridiculously high right now, obviously unsustainably high. The barrel rate is about twice what it was last year. Not that that isn't a number he could sustain,
Starting point is 00:46:51 but as I pointed out a number of times, barrel rate this early in the season could just be an indicator of streakiness. And then those are just two incredibly noisy stats. And when you talk about barrel rate, like his barrel rate is twice as high as it was last season. It was 9% last year. It's 15.6%, so almost twice as high. what that means is through, what is it, 18 games, something like that.
Starting point is 00:47:19 He's got three extra barrels, 19 games. So he's got one barrel per every six games. Line drive rate, probably a somewhat similar number. You've probably got like 10 line drives right now. And so if he had eight, it would be the same rate as last season. So true. That's not to say he's not, like he is playing well and he's capable of continuing to play well. and there aren't a lot of guys
Starting point is 00:47:43 who are capable of four home runs and four steals in the month. Just flat out just that part of it makes it so that you probably shouldn't be selling jazz chishol. And just to fit in with the theme of the show, as Chris mentioned it. I mean, Jazz Chisholm was
Starting point is 00:47:59 one of the few players who was awesome last April as well. And then he wasn't basically any month thereafter. He was kind of the opposite of so many studs around the game. And that's not to say this year is going to repeat last year for all of these players, but it's just to point out how abruptly and how drastically things can change
Starting point is 00:48:20 as it did for these very players last year. I know last year, I think it was mid-May, he got hit with a hamstring injury, and then he had a COVID situation later on in the season. I'm making excuses for the guy, but, you know, there was some stuff that he was going through last year. The pull rate, I've mentioned this for a lot of basically any hitters that are playing well right now. the pull rate is up. It is up tremendously for jazzism. So that is something I have noticed for him. I would look to sell high, I think, in a points league, just because I don't think the plate discipline will ever be great. He looks, he's this good, like, he's just going to be good in that
Starting point is 00:48:55 format regardless. But I would look to sell high maybe in that format, but in Roto, I would not. And I'll stress high. Like, I mean, obviously you don't, the upside is evident. And you don't want to, just out of fear pass up one of the biggest breakout players of the year. Like, you don't want to do that. But given how desperately most people need hitting right now,
Starting point is 00:49:20 you could probably get a heck of a lot for Jazz Chisholm, and it might be worth pursuing. I've been reluctant to move him up at, you mentioned second base, Frank. So many of the great hitters at that position are just off to dreadful starts. And I've been reluctant to move Chisholm ahead of them
Starting point is 00:49:35 because I don't feel like they'll perform that way, season long and I'm skeptical he'll sustain this pace all season long. Fair enough. Yeah, I mean, I actually did move him up quite a bit in Rota. I moved him up to my fifth rank second basement. So he's behind story. He's behind Merrifield. He's just ahead of Altuve, Semian, Cotel Marte. Altuve, it's close with because if he does what we all expected to, he should still be very good. But yeah, he's top five now for me. We'll see if he can keep it up. Weaver wire hitters I wanted to mention. We have already talked.
Starting point is 00:50:08 talked about Tommy fam. Aaron Hicks went two for three with two walks, two runs scored. He attempted a steal, but was caught. He has attempted four steals in 20 games played. Find it interesting. He's 23% rostered.
Starting point is 00:50:21 Again, that's Aaron Hicks. Sheldon Noisy, another strong game. Three for five. He's batting 329. 50% rostered. He has second and third base eligibility. Chris, Aaron Hicks at 23% and Sheldon Noisy at 50%.
Starting point is 00:50:33 Do you think those roster rates need to be higher for either? No, Hicks is one of those players that's really tough because like, I mean, look, if he continues to attempt a stolen base every five games, that would be, I don't know, 25 over the course of a full season, maybe 30. That would be notable. And he would probably be a must roster player in roto leagues. But I'm not necessarily convinced that that's something you should buy into just yet. His sprint speed is still pretty mediocre right now. and he's two for two, two for two and two on four attempts.
Starting point is 00:51:08 So I'm not sure how much he'll keep running. And he's one of those difficult players who is probably more valuable in points leagues where for the most part you have only 36 outfielders. He's not going to be one of the best 36 outfielders. So I think it's pretty fringing in every format. All right. In deeper leagues, a few names stood out. Yadiel Hernandez, three for four with a double and two RBI.
Starting point is 00:51:32 he's batting 429 over his last seven games. Mike Moustakis is back with the Reds. He went two for four. He hit his first home run of the season. He's got six hits over five games since returning from the IL. Edward Olavaris, four for five with two doubles. And he was leading off in this game.
Starting point is 00:51:49 He's batting 379. Christian Walker went two for five. He hit his sixth home run of the season. The expected numbers look much better for Christian Walker right now. And the last name on this list, Chad Pinder, he went two for four. He has eight hits in first.
Starting point is 00:52:02 five games since returning from the IL. Scott, any standout here, Yadiel Hernandez, Mustakis, Olivares, Christian Walker, Chad Pinder. I'm kind of interested in several of these guys actually. We talked about Yadiel Hernandez before, just a really interesting profile. Not going to be a power guy because he puts the ball on the ground too much, but he's, it's, like the shift can't stop him because he just hits the ball everywhere and he doesn't strike out much. So it's probably a pretty safe source of batting average. I don't think he's going to play quite every day, so that might
Starting point is 00:52:37 knock him out from standard mixed league consideration. But it's an interesting Michael Brantleyish profile there for Yadio Hernandez. Christian Walker, you mentioned he is impacting the ball
Starting point is 00:52:53 very hard, putting it in the air a ton. And maybe as the as the environment conditions improve, as the weather warms up, that's going to translate to a better success rate on those balls he's putting in the air. I'll also note his line drive rate
Starting point is 00:53:15 is virtually non-existent to this point, which basically means he hasn't hit any line drives yet. He hasn't gotten those sure-fire hits on all the balls. So that explains why he's batting. average is so low relative to the way he's hitting the ball. But if he keeps hitting the ball like he's hit it, I think his numbers are going to be pretty solid, much improved from last year when it looked like he had nothing left.
Starting point is 00:53:42 So Christian Walker is kind of an interesting pickup. And there was a third one. Edward Olivares. Yes. Yes, that's the guy. He is often... It's finally happening, maybe. Maybe.
Starting point is 00:53:54 I've been touting Edward Olivares for like three years, I'm pretty sure, as a deep sleeper. And, yeah. Some interesting stuff there. Chris, no, he just had a great game. That means the Royals are going to send him down after this one, of course. He's been the beneficiary of Adelberto Mondecy going down. They've had, they've had Whitmeryfield moved back to the infield.
Starting point is 00:54:17 Olivares has played almost every day since then. Already two stolen bases. Got the four hits today. He showed some power in the miners as well. And- He's got four stolen bases on the season now. All right? Or is it just the two? Just the two. Sorry. No, just the two. Just the two.
Starting point is 00:54:34 Yeah, but it could finally be happening. He could finally have some Rodo appeal. All right, a few other hitting standouts. I wanted to mention. Alec Bome was moved up to number two in the lineup for the Phillies. He went two for four. He's now betting 32, 75% rostered. So might be out there in some 10 team leagues. Definitely should be added. And in deeper leagues, I might even be looking to buy high on Alec Bome. I really like what I've seen there. JD Martinez, back-to-back games with a home run. He has five hits over these last two games.
Starting point is 00:55:05 Carlos Correa slowly coming around. He went two for five. He has 13 hits over his last six games. The batting average is up to 264. Aaron Judge is absolutely on fire. He went two for five with his ninth home run. Ties him for the league lead with Anthony Rizzo and C.J. C.J. Cron, who also hit his ninth home run on Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:55:24 John Carlos... A kid a child cry today. Who is that? C.J. C. C. C. C. Aaron Judge made a child cry. That's not true. Of joy. Okay, yes.
Starting point is 00:55:34 I saw it. That was actually really cool. The Blue Jays fan. He was very cute. Caught the home run and he gave it over to a young Aaron Judge fan. That was awesome. John Carlos Stanton went one for four with his fifth home run. He now has an eight game hitting streak, three homers during that span.
Starting point is 00:55:47 Bo Bichette slowly coming around as well. He went two for four. He has seven hits, including a home run and a steal over his last four games. Sayas Suzuki, all of a sudden going the other way, went 0 for 4 with two strikeouts. He is batting 2.04 over his last 15 games. Strikeout rate is up. Fly ball rate is 55%.
Starting point is 00:56:06 So I think Suzuki might be selling out just a little bit too much right now. Frankie 2 hits. Bud, what's going on? One for four with two strikeouts. He is betting 2.13. He's still 76% rostered. Scott, is it okay to drop Frank Schwendell?
Starting point is 00:56:23 Yeah, I would be okay with that in most context if there was somebody worth picking up instead. I'd drop him for like Tommy Fam, for instance. I wouldn't drop him for like an Edward Olivares, but that's, you know, it's a position where you need to be getting production and he's not providing it right now. Definitely dropping him for league leading batting average, Eric Hosmer. Eric Hosmer.
Starting point is 00:56:48 I would drop him for Olivarez, honestly. I guess it depends what you need, but if you need stolen bases, Alvarez has a lot more potential there. Hosmer's now 80% roster. All right, someone's listening. Willie Adamas went one for four with his sixth home run. He has five homers over his last eight games.
Starting point is 00:57:09 Luis Arias made his season debut on Tuesday. He was betting ninth. He went one for three with a walk, run scored RBI and caught stealing. At least he was trying to run, I guess. Bobby Witt, Jr., two for three, hit his first home run of his career. He's betting three, four,
Starting point is 00:57:25 since he was dropped in the lineup. And the Nationals enjoyed their... 11-game hit streak for Witt. Yeah, awesome. Love to see it. The Nationals enjoyed their first game in Cores. Five players with multiple hits, including Josh Bell went three-for-five
Starting point is 00:57:39 with his third home run. Cabr-R-R-R-R-B-Wan. Juan Soto also hit his fifth homer of the season. There was a few pitching standouts that we probably should mention. I don't know if there's anything actionable with any of them, but we'll do it quickly. Alec Menoa makes it five for five in quality starts to open the season.
Starting point is 00:57:59 Brandon Woodruff, season high, 12 strikeouts against the Reds. Carlos Rodon has now allowed two earn runs or fewer in each of his starts. Julio Arreus, back-to-back quality starts. He has allowed one earn run or fewer in four straight. And then Kyle Wright, not really an ace-like performance in this one. It's still pretty good, but he was much more human. Seven innings, nine hits, three runs, three strikeouts. Chris, anything you'd like to add on.
Starting point is 00:58:25 Kyle Wright, Julio Arias, Rodan, Woodruff, Alec Manoa. Yeah, I mean, I think it's, you know, both Rodon and Wright. I think it's a good sign that they got good results, despite not necessarily either having their best stuff or pitching at their best. They both had three strikeouts, didn't get a bunch of swinging misses like we've gotten used to. And obviously, Carlos Rodon is both much higher end and more proven than Kyle. I didn't have more confidence in him. but it's good to see both of them have that kind of outing
Starting point is 00:58:56 when their stuff wasn't at their best. And then Brandon Woodruff, there's been some concerns this season. He hasn't pitched super well, but there had been some stuff with his fastball not playing up quite as much. The swinging strike rate hadn't been where we'd seen it. Woodruff is a guy who, unlike a lot of pitchers,
Starting point is 00:59:13 really relies on his four-seem fastball, especially to get strikeouts, and he has a very high swing strike rate on it. He got a ton of swinging strikes today, eight of them on the fastball. overall. So that's a very good sign. He's fine. He's, he's an ace. Scott, this guy is not necessarily an ace. He once was considered an ace. Noah Cindergarde, a seven-ending quality start at the Boston Red Sox. He, I can't figure him out right now. He's, he's like pitching to contact. His
Starting point is 00:59:42 control has been awesome. Only five walks through his first, I believe it's five starts here. He's got a 2.63 ERA. His ex-fip is up over four. If you can cash in on Noah Cindergard, Would you look to sell high on him? Yeah, I consider him a pretty obvious sell high candidate. I was surprised to see, though, at least coming into this start, his swinging strike rate is basically what it's been throughout his career. It hasn't translated to strikeouts, obviously, and the velocity is way down. So you would expect the swinging strikes to be down, too, but it hasn't been.
Starting point is 01:00:14 So that, you know, that got me thinking. But I still think that the more reasonable take is that he's due to regress here. All right. The call to the bullpen. Edwin Diaz picked up his fifth save of the season. Liam Hendricks pitched a clean ninth inning for his sixth save and second in as many days. Joe Barlow pitched a clean ninth for the Rangers picked up his second save. He's still 62% rostered if you need a if you need a safe source out there. For the Red Sox, Jake Deekman was used to record four outs across the sixth and the seventh innings. Ryan Brazier pitched in the 8th, and Hansel Robles was warming up to pitch in the ninth inning. They had a
Starting point is 01:00:58 3-0 lead at the time, and then J.D. Martinez hit a solo home run in the ninth that made a four-zip, and then they went with Sawamora in the ninth inning. So, unfortunately, no save for Hansel Robles. For the Brewers, Devin Williams, got his second save. Josh Hader was unavailable due to back spasms. The Diamondbacks, Joe Mantiply, picked up his second save with Ian Kennedy pitching three of the last four days. And we already mentioned everything that went on with Oakland. It's just Lutrovino made his return. He got blown up.
Starting point is 01:01:29 So Danny Jimenez looks like maybe he will get more save opportunities moving forward. To stream or not to stream, let's start with Wednesday. Madison Bumgarner at the Marlins. Eliezer Hernandez versus the Diamondbacks. Jose Cantana at the Tigers. Martine Perez at the Phillies. Dylan Bundy at the Orioles. Kyle Bradish versus the Twins.
Starting point is 01:01:50 Garrett Whitlock versus the Angels. Michael Paneda and Alex Fayetteau are both going up against the Pirates. So I think yesterday I said Bundy, Eliezer Hernandez, Madison, Bumgarner, not that I like any of them, but if you're forcing me to pick three, I might move Jose Cantana ahead, maybe to the top of that list. But I'm, you know, you'd rather not start any of these guys. In a Roto League, I might just have Garrett Willock at the top. top, although Madison Baumgartner, the Marlins have been aggressive with platooning.
Starting point is 01:02:26 They've sat jazz Chisholm and Hazu Sanchez against some lefties. I would be surprised that they sat jazz tomorrow, but, or today, but it wouldn't surprise me if Sanchez was out, but Marlins are like 26th and Wobah against lefties. So that may not be the worst outcome. Yeah, Madbom, much like Brad Keller and Chris Flexen, who we mentioned earlier, the ERA looks good, but the underlying numbers do not. Yeah, they're not someone you want on your team long term, I don't think. For sure.
Starting point is 01:02:57 For Thursday, we've got Rich Hill versus the Angels, Adrian Houser versus the Reds, Taiwan Walker at the Phillies, and Nick Martinez going up against the Marlins. I think Houser might be the only one that I'd want to go with. Yeah. Yep. Nick Martinez is okay, but I don't know. Adrian Houser? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:03:18 Let's do that. All right. We're going to wrap there for Scott. I am Frank. Thank you all for listening and watching. Fantasy Baseball today. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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