Fantasy Baseball Today - Andrew Abbott Shutout, Brewers Promote Misiorowski & BUY OR SELL! (6/11 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: June 11, 2025

Andrew Abbott might just be great (2:45)! ... Where did this Jose Soriano start come from (9:45)?? ... The Rangers offense finally came alive (14:10). ... The Brewers are promoting pitching prospect J...acob Misiorowski (20:26)! ... News (26:48): Bryce Miller is headed back on the IL. ... Alejandro Kirk or Gabriel Moreno (33:43)? ... Shane Smith turned in a quality start (40:18). ... Let's do a little BUY OR SELL (42:59). ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpen updates and streamers (58:45). Fantasy Baseball Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Download and Follow Fantasy Baseball Today on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://sptfy.com/QiKv⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow FBT on TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow our FBT team on Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@FBTPod⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@CPTowers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@CBSScottWhite⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@Roto_Frank⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Join our Facebook group at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy. Now here's Frank Scott and Chris. Hello, welcome into fantasy baseball today on Wednesday, June 11th. I am Frank Stamphill, joined by Chris Towers.
Starting point is 00:00:31 Today on the show, let's do a little buy or sell. are calling up a pitching prospect not named Logan Henderson. Andrew Abbott is awesome. Might just be awesome. I don't know. And much more. But let's jump in. Oh my goodness. Holy cow. Do you believe it?
Starting point is 00:00:50 Do you believe it? Thanks again, by the way, Chris, for holding things down while I was gone. Did a great job. I do appreciate it once again. But you are up. Player of the Night. Yeah, I hope you enjoyed Puerto Rico. It's the literal motherland, the land my mother's from.
Starting point is 00:01:08 So I hope you had a good time. It's always a beautiful place. And now let's talk some baseball. It's good to have you back. And I'm going to talk about Andrew Abbott, who I have spent a lot of time over the last couple of years fretting and worrying about and just not being sure what his deal is. And he's a weird pitcher. And today was a weird start. but it was an awesome start amidst a string of awesome starts.
Starting point is 00:01:39 He complete first complete game of his career, shut out the guardians over his nine innings, gave up three hits, one walk, only five strikeouts, which I suppose contributes to the weirdness of Andrew Abbott. But he had 16 whiffs on 110 pitches also contributing to the weirdness, 16 whiffs, but only strikeouts, but here's the thing about Andrew Abbott. He just continues to generate a ton of weak contact. He gave up 25 balls in play in this start. 11 of them had an average XIV velocity or an edge of velocity over 90
Starting point is 00:02:20 miles per hour. That's a really low number. I think it was 8 over 95, so that's a 32% hard hit rate. That's super low. only five of the 25 balls in play against Andrew Abbott had an expected batting average over 500 today. He is just really, really good at limiting hard contact and has been really at every step of his career. What's been weird about him in the past has been, you know, his rookie season, I think the walk rate was like 10%. The last couple of seasons, he's cut that to about 9%.
Starting point is 00:02:59 But then last year, the strikeout rate was under 20%. Well, this year coming into today's start, he had a 28% strikeout rate. That'll go down because of the five strikeouts today. But continuing to generate a lot of weak contact, XERA is down to 323 before this start. I wrote a piece last week for the newsletter. And the conclusion was basically how I learned to stop worrying and love Andrew Abbott. And that's kind of where I'm at. He's a weird pitcher.
Starting point is 00:03:33 He gives up a lot of fly balls in Cincinnati, but he misses bats with all five of his pitches. He limits hard contact with pretty much all of them. The cutter's got some mediocre results, but he only throws it like 4% of the time, so it's not really that big of a concern anyway. Yeah, I don't think he's an ace. I certainly don't think Andrew Abbott's a sub-2ERA pitcher.
Starting point is 00:03:56 and if anybody thinks he's a sub 2ERA. You should trade Andrew Abbott to them. But I certainly think his ERA is going to be closer to three than to four the rest of the way. And I kind of think he's just like, I haven't moved him into my top 40, but it wouldn't be tough to, you know, that 40 to 50 range. I had Ryan Wethers there before his injury. That's where Bryce Miller was sitting before his latest setback. I think I'd rather have Andrew Abbott than. Shane Baws. I think I'd rather have him than Gavin Williams.
Starting point is 00:04:30 Kodi Senga is a tough one, but I think I'd rather have Abbott. I think I have a little more faith in his unsustainable run. Andrew Abbott might just be a top 40 pitcher for me the rest of the season. So I don't know if you looked at the rundown or you just randomly came up with the number top 40, but I did not look. One of my buyer sells was Andrew Abbott is a top 40 pitch of rest of season. Yeah, I mean, I'm really like I'm, I had him 49 in my roto rankings before. this start. I updated it last week. I'm going to be honest, I don't know if I'm going to be able to do my
Starting point is 00:05:01 normal update this week because I've got my nieces here. Everything is a mess in my apartment. I've just got like children's coloring equipment. Everyone, it's a disaster right now. I don't know how people are parents full time because I do it two weeks every year and I need to sleep for a month afterwards. But I am thinking the next time I update my rankings, which hopefully will be Thursday, but we'll see. I think he's going to be top 40. Yeah. I, I, there is more to be optimistic about with Andrew Abbott than Zach Gallen. Yeah. At the point, I think Luis Castillo, I think is a toss-up. Yeah, my 35 through 39 in the SP rankings. Bailey Ober, Luis Castillo, Kodai Senga, Tanner, Bibi, Kevin Gosman. You can't tell me that Andrew Abbott at least deserves to be in that mix.
Starting point is 00:05:55 Yeah, no, I like, even like, Jesus Lazzardo after the last two starts. Oh, I don't, I don't know. Like, I think I would rather have Lazzardo, but I'm not a hundred percent sure. Like Logan Gilbert's still in that range, but obviously he's coming back from an elbow injury. I don't know what to make of that. Blake Snell and Tyler Glass now coming back from their injuries. He's like, yeah, I think Andrew Abbott's got to be a top 40 pitcher. And look, this could be famous last words because he is such a unique pitcher. And, you know, the margin for error here could be really slim because he doesn't have overwhelming stuff.
Starting point is 00:06:33 He is a fly ball, an extreme fly ball pitcher in Cincinnati. Like, it's still possible to see how things go wrong for Andrew Abbott. But his approach as a. FD is weird. And weird is good, I think. Like, he's got unique movement profiles on most of his pitches, and he generates a lot of weak contact.
Starting point is 00:06:55 And the fly balls that he gets tend to be hit really high, which actually isn't a bad thing because it's going to lower that batting average. And you hit the ball high enough at a certain point, it can't go out. So, yeah, I don't know. I'm, like, hesitant to buy in fully. but I think I'm there with Andrew Avidant
Starting point is 00:07:17 as a top 40 starting pitcher. Yeah, I think we should be. I think confidence is growing and our belief in Andrew Abbott, the pitcher is growing as well. Best Reds pitcher at this point, rest of season? Well, his main competition right now is...
Starting point is 00:07:33 Hunter Green's hurt and Nick Ludolo's been... Ludolo's pitched well, but I don't really buy it. Yeah, I mean, like if green is healthy, well, here's the crazy thing. like if we get Chase Burns by the middle of June, is he the best Reds pitcher rest of season? He might be. He has that upside, but you'd certainly rather have Andrew Abbott.
Starting point is 00:07:53 Yeah. I mean, I just said middle of June, it's June 11th, right? So I don't think we're getting Chase Burns in the next like five days or so. But July 1st, I mean, that's not crazy that we can get Chase Burns by July 1st. So I think among the healthy pitchers right now, yeah, I mean, Andrew Abbott is, yeah, the best best Reds pitcher to have right now. Let's stick with the pitching and go over to Jose Soriano. Where did this come from?
Starting point is 00:08:18 Against the athletics, seven innings, two hits, one run, 12 strikeouts to just two walks, the 12 strikeouts. First career start with even double-digit strikeouts, let alone 12 for Jose Soriano. He had 22 whiffs on 110 pitches, 16 of those on his sinker, four on the curve. Really just leaned on those two pitches, and they were awesome. I mean sinker, 16 whiffs.
Starting point is 00:08:43 It's just kind of feels like an aberration here because it's, you know, how often are you going to get 16 whiffs on your sinker? It's just, you know, coming into this start, he had a 15% whiff rate on that pitch. But we were talking beforehand, like the tools are here. The pieces are here for Jose Soriano. But he throws the sinker so much that he typically doesn't generate whiffs. He almost wants to pitch to contact, wants to get ground balls.
Starting point is 00:09:08 and he has really bad control. So you couple those two things together, that's how even after the start, he has a 151 whip on the season. So I think that obviously this is an awesome start and I hope that he can build off of it. Again, he has that potential. But I personally still need to see more.
Starting point is 00:09:28 Looks like he might line up for the Astros and the Yankees next week. I mean, even that is a two-star week. That's pretty scary for a pitcher that's as volatile as Jose Soriano. So I don't want to be a Debbie Downer, here, Chris. Great start, but I think I need to see more. Yeah. So when I saw the 12 strikeouts in seven innings for Jose Soriano, my first thought was must have had a great start with the curveball
Starting point is 00:09:51 and splitter because those are his best swing and miss pitches. They're good pitches, both of them. And no, that that's not what happened. It was the 16% whiff rate or the 16 whiffs on the sinker. And that's where it's like, I want to believe that there's something here that Jose Soriano can take this and build on it. And maybe he can't. But I do think he probably just ran hot in a way that won't prove sustainable. It was really good. Like he was throwing that sinker like pounded the inside corner, inside lower corner to right-handed hitters. It was like that pitch with the way it moves, man. If he can do that consistently, he's going to be really tough. You know, that, like, sinker coming back over the plate,
Starting point is 00:10:46 it's going to be really hard to do anything with. But I just, yeah, I don't look at, you know, a 70% sinker rate, I think it was, 61% sinker rate, 16 whiffs on it. And that's just, it doesn't feel sustainable, even though I do think, like you said, the pieces are there for Jose Soriano to be pretty good. I will say that the current most added starting pitchers on CBS are not the most exciting group. It's Chad Patrick, Luis Ortiz, Bryce Elder, Mick Abel, who looked good in his first two starts, and then had a clunker here on Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:11:25 Zach Lattel, Quinn Priester. If you want to tell me that Jose Soriano is at the top of that list, I won't push back too hard. especially with a two start next week. In Roto leagues, that's a little tougher just because... The whip, man. Yeah, the whip could be really bad. And, like, the Yankees could just bomb him. Like, that's entirely possible.
Starting point is 00:11:45 The Astros are a good matchup at this point, but the Yankees are really tough. In a points league, I think it's defensible. Like, you can go ahead and if you need the starts, you could start them there, but... But I do think the combination of... He generates really weak contact. That's one thing host of Soriano.
Starting point is 00:12:03 He's the exact. opposite of Andrew Rabbit. Everything Jose Soriana does gives up is on the ground. He has a 67% ground ball rate according to baseball savant right now. He has a negative 3.5 degree average launch angle. So I do think there's going to be like a useful high three's ERA. It's just can he get the whip back down to like 125 even? I would. would hope so, but I don't know yet. All right, again, that was Jose Soriano. I want to quickly run through the Rangers' offense that came alive here, and much needed,
Starting point is 00:12:43 obviously. They put up 16 runs on 17 hits. Wyatt Langford, two for six with his 12th home run, and he needed that. I mean, previous 38 games before this for Langford, a 177 batting average 567 OPS. Wonder if the two, the double oblique injuries have kind of wrecked him a little bit. What's interesting is that he's still hitting the ball hard during that time. 92 average exit velocity, 12% barrel rate. It also comes with a 29% strikeout rate.
Starting point is 00:13:12 I still think I would lean more on trying to buy Wyatt Langford now than just being overall worried about this. Just not sure if it's the superstar outcome we were hoping for. Not that we thought we were getting early on in the season especially. Not yet. I mean, maybe, you know, in years to come, he's still so young. But I could still see him winding up with like 25, 25, maybe a lower batting average than we thought. 240, 250, something like that.
Starting point is 00:13:43 Josh Young, 2 for 4 with 4 RBI in this game. Adolios Garcia 2 for 4 with 2 RBI and his 7th stolen base. Nice game here. We still need to see a lot more for Garcia, who is down to 75% rostered. Chris, is that defensible? Are you okay dropping Adoli? Garcia or would you hold on to him at this point?
Starting point is 00:14:03 I mean, it's been what, a year and a half, basically now the sub 700 OPS. The underlying numbers are maybe a little bit better, but they don't suggest stardom is there. So I do think at this point, you know, Garcia's on the wrong side of 30. I think he's not a must roster player, certainly in points leagues. I would guess that's mostly where he's been dropped. And I think that's probably totally defensive. in a points league. Kyle Higashoko went two for five with five RBI.
Starting point is 00:14:35 Doesn't really matter much for fantasy. And Evan Carter here, three for five with his third home run. That's back-to-back games with three hits and a home run in each. He has played 17 games a season where he's batting 255. Three homers, three steals, a 772 OPS. Does not play against lefties. 32% rostered. That feels a little low to me, Chris.
Starting point is 00:14:55 I feel like in five outfielder roto leagues, like somebody probably probably has a need for a fifth outfielder or a utility hitter. So, I mean, even being a strong side platoon bat, I think Carter the rest of the way could have like 15, 15 potential. Well, the problem is he had like a 470 OPS two, three days ago. Yeah, but it's much higher now, though. No, look, I, I am inclined to give Evan Carter the benefit of the doubt and to take a positive sign like the last two games where he's had six hits and two home runs and say this is something to build on because I do want to believe in him and I believe in the talent and look 15 months ago we were talking about this guy as a potential star and I will give him that benefit of the
Starting point is 00:15:45 doubt if all it costs is some fab because you know that that's fine that that's there's no real downside to it I'm just it's a very small sample size of success. is the thing I want to stress with Carter. And on the whole, he has not hit the ball well, which he had a sub 500 OPS three games ago. So, of course, he hasn't hit the ball well. I would take Parker Meadows over Evan Carter with all the good that I just said. I do like Parker Meadows more.
Starting point is 00:16:17 And Scott and I were kind of gushing about Joe Adele yesterday, and he's hot right now. I think I would take Adele over Carter too. Adel's expected stats are really good. Like 275, 280 batting average plays every day. Defense is really bad, but the angels don't seem to care all that much about it. Yeah, I think I would take Adele if you're talking about starting someone right now. If you're talking about like a long-term upside thing, if you don't need a starter, I could see the case for Carter or over Adele. I do think there's probably more upside there, at least a broader skill set because it's.
Starting point is 00:16:57 I think batting average is probably going to be a concern. Not going to steal many bases. Carter, the athletic system still looks pretty good. All right, before we hit our first break, just a reminder to sign up for the FBT newsletter. If you haven't already, you can head to CBSports.com slash newsletters to sign up for free. And big thanks to those watching us live. Make sure to hit the like button and subscribe on YouTube as well. Let's take a break and we'll be back right after this.
Starting point is 00:17:23 Welcome back in fantasy baseball today. we have ourselves another prospect promotion. It has been a pretty busy time. Just yesterday we got Roman Anthony. And today we got Jacob Miziarowski from the Brewers. They're calling up one of their top pitching prospects who is set to make his major league debut this Thursday against the Cardinals. He is 23 years old, a second round pick back in 2022.
Starting point is 00:17:48 And this season at AAA, a 213-ERA 109 whip, 11.4K per 9. He throws very hard, 100 miles per hour. He's got a nasty breaking ball. 51% rostered. Chris, we mentioned earlier that the most added pitchers right now, not really great. Do you think Ms. Ziarowski jumps to the top of the list? Is he a must add? Does he stick around?
Starting point is 00:18:13 Okay, that's a lot of questions. Take him however you want him. Does he stick around? Well, we've seen Logan Henderson look like a difference. maker for four starts for the Brewers and then get sent down twice. So I certainly cannot say with any confidence that Jacob Mizorowski is going to hang around. But I do think he is pretty close to a must roster player right now. If you're in a weekly league, obviously you don't need to add him right now because you can't.
Starting point is 00:18:42 But the nice thing is we will get a start out of him and we can see what it looks like. And whether the control is good enough to work against major league pitchers or major league hit but I mean, the stuff is bonkers. You know, you said he throws 100. You're underselling him. He hit 103 in a start recently. It's one of the highest velocity pitches we've ever seen from a starting pitcher. He's got a good curveball, good slider.
Starting point is 00:19:11 The change up has come along really nicely this season. That's a new pitch for him. So I think there's a ton of potential here. We are talking about someone with a, I think, 11.6% walk rate. this season at AAA and I looked up from 2021 to 2024, how many pitchers qualified for the ERA title with an ER with a walk rate over 10, which is lower than his. And I think there were eight names on there.
Starting point is 00:19:41 Blake Snell definitely one of them. Blake Snell, Dylan Sees has done it twice. The thing is those eight pitchers walk rate over 10. That's really high. They combined to have a 324 ERA. Now there's some, like Dylan Cs, one really good season in there, one really bad season in there. There was a Johann Oviedo season where he had like a 17% strikeout rate, but somehow managed like a 380 ERA or something.
Starting point is 00:20:12 There was the Dylan Cis Siyang season. The thing about this type of pitcher is if they hang around, if they are good enough to pitch 160 innings in a season or whatever the cutoff is, they're going to have outlier traits. They're going to limit hard contact. They're going to miss a lot of bats because that's the only way you can survive with a walk rate that high. And so there's a little bit of survivorship bias in that group.
Starting point is 00:20:40 But Miseraski has that kind of stuff. He's very fastball dependent, but it looks like a fastball that should give hitters fits. And like he's got this crazy extension. Like I think among major leaguers, it would be 98th percentile extension. He's huge. He's six foot seven. Like this seems like a tough player, a pitcher to face.
Starting point is 00:21:07 Partially because his control is so bad, you don't know where the ball is going to end up. But he's going to sit on top of you. He throws super hard. It comes in harder than it seems to come in harder than it is because of how big he is. The likeliest outcome is he probably doesn't. and throw enough strikes. And he's super frustrating and shows him upside and get sent down at some point. But the tail end outcome here is a huge difference maker for fantasy.
Starting point is 00:21:33 He could be a 30% strikeout rate guy, a 10% walk rate guy, and be a must start pitcher. So I'm going to reuse a joke that I made in my write-up when he got promoted. I'm in the business of Mizzi Rowski. So do you know what I'm referring to? Is that a misery business thing? Yeah, that's a misery business. There you go. That might be the first time I ever got a reference on this podcast.
Starting point is 00:22:01 Look at that. Well, the, I guess flip side of this is, you know, I tweeted about Mizirowski. I'm excited he's getting called up. Everyone's asking me, what about Logan Henderson? What does this mean? Why isn't Logan Henderson getting called up instead? And to be honest, I'm not sure that anyone has the exact answer, but my speculation would be that he is kind of on an innings limit this season
Starting point is 00:22:24 and maybe it just didn't line up with his spot in the rotation. So that's what I came up with. You were asking through 97 innings last season. I think Henderson was like 79 last year, something like that. 81 and a third, I think. But yeah, right around there. Pretty close. So there's just, I think, a little more wiggle room with Mizzy Rowski.
Starting point is 00:22:44 Look, it's possible this is just a spot start. I haven't seen anybody confirm that he's up for. good. Yeah, the brewers have five other starters already. So. Now, I think most of them aren't very good. I mean, Quinn Priester,
Starting point is 00:22:58 Quinn Priester keeps finding away. I mean, Chad Patrick keeps finding away. Jose cantona keeps finding away. Freddie Peralta's good. That's the one good one. But like, if they wanted to get Aaron Savali out of here, like I don't think anybody would shed a tear except for, you know,
Starting point is 00:23:11 Aaron Savali's got a guaranteed contract, I guess, so he'll be okay. But yeah, this could just be a spot start. He could strike out eight and get sent back down. We've seen that before from the Brewers with a young pitcher. So it's entirely possible that we add him in daily waiver wire leagues. And then by the time waivers run on Sunday, he's not even a top target because they send him right back down.
Starting point is 00:23:36 That's possible. But I think the upside is such that you should be chasing it, especially at a time when there just really is not much upside on the wire at pitcher. All right. Let's move on to the rest of the news and notes. notes, Bryce Miller went back on the IL with right elbow inflammation the second time that's happened this season. And he's just been way off. A 573 ERA, a 152 whip. Logan Evans took his spot in the rotation. I think we can drop Bryce Miller in most leagues, honestly. Yeah. Justin Martinez was placing the IL due to a sprained UCL in his right elbow.
Starting point is 00:24:08 And he'll go for a second opinion, which is always pretty ominous. I guess Shelby Miller will return to the closers role. while AJ Puck works his way back from injury, I saw he's been throwing, and he's eligible to return, I think, on July 1st. So a name to watch there with AJ Puck. Aaron Olo will be shut down for at least two more weeks after an MRI showed a stress reaction in his right rib cage.
Starting point is 00:24:34 He could be out until after the All-Star break, which is good news for Mick Abel, who should stick around as long as he pitches well because his first two starts were good, then here on Tuesday four innings, six hits, three runs, three walks, three strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:24:50 three homers allowed. Very tough matchup against the Cubs. Did actually throw 63% of his pitches for strikes. So I mean, it's obviously a bad start on paper, but, you know, there was still some okay parts here.
Starting point is 00:25:05 Even that second start, though, only two strikeouts. I think it was only five whiffs in that one. So I've cooled on Mick Abel, unfortunately. I still think there's some talent there, but yeah, not as excited as I hoped I would be after his return from the minors. Jazz Chisholm left Tuesday with neck tightness, and I saw him steal third base and his head kind of like rammed into the third basement. So I think that's probably what happened.
Starting point is 00:25:35 They had a big lead too. So hopefully he's all right and in the lineup on Wednesday. Logan Gilbert recorded six strikeouts over five scoreless innings in a. rehab start at AAA on Tuesday. Kind of feels like he's ready to go. So hopefully... Velocity was back for him in that one as well. It had been down in his previous rehab start.
Starting point is 00:25:53 So that's a good sign. Let's see over the next couple of days is how his body and his arm response to this outing. But, you know, if it's all good, then I think we should see Logan Gilbert pretty soon. Shota Imanaga will need a couple more rehab starts before rejoining the Cubs. Matt Chapman was placed in the aisle due to right-hand inflammation.
Starting point is 00:26:10 And I've got replacements here for all different sizes of leagues. In shallower leagues, you've got Addison Barger, Miguel Vargas, Jake Berger. In medium-sized leagues, you have Jonathan India, Javier Baez, Ryan McMahon, Brett Beatty, Connor Norby, and in deeper leagues, Otto Kemp, Eric Waggerman, DJ Lemayhew, and Abraham Toro. Brendan Donovan left early with left-toe discomfort. The Orioles activated Jordan Westberg and Cedric Mullins, while Heston Kirstad was optioned back to AAA, Emmanuel Revenge.
Starting point is 00:26:44 was designated for assignment. Westberg actually did hit a home run in that game, his fifth home run of the season. Show Hey Otani faced hitters in a 44-pitch three-inning live batting practice, and he could be back to pitching with the Dodgers after the All-Star break, if all goes well. Jacob Wilson was scratched from the lineup with hamstring tightness. John Carlos Stanton started a rehab assignment at AA,
Starting point is 00:27:08 and he went two-for-three with three RBI and is expected to play again on Wednesday. 42% rostered for Stanton, Chris. Any interest in adding him now before he's back? I just don't see any way he's going to play every day, right? Like anywhere close. They're not going to put him in the outfield, are they? No, but I still think in a six-game week, I still think he'll play four to five games a week.
Starting point is 00:27:35 Then Ben Rice is just done? Well, I was going to bring this up later, but Ben Rice made his fifth appearance at catcher, meaning he now has eligibility on CBS. Okay, so it matters a lot less now. Yeah. I saw a video recently of Paul Goldsmith taking grounders at second base. Yeah, I saw that one as well.
Starting point is 00:27:54 I don't know. I don't know if they would actually do it. Like, DJ LaMayhew's actually starting to hit a little bit now. He's up around like a 270 batting average. Yeah. I don't, I mean, I guess they can just, they can scrap J.C. Ascara as their backup catcher and just leave Ben Rice there as their backup catcher
Starting point is 00:28:12 and I don't know, kind of mix him in a couple of different places throughout. I don't know exactly how it's going to play out. So I will say the fact that Rice is now catcher eligible lowers the threshold considerably. Gosh, is he going to be like just eyeballing? Is he going to be a top 10 catcher for sure? Is he going to be top six, top seven?
Starting point is 00:28:38 Might be. I didn't, I mean, my first read was not to put him that high. Just, I mean, for the reasons that we're talking about it, I don't know how much he's going to play. Like, I would still rather have, I think. Would you rather have Salvador Perez than Ben Rice? Yeah. I was going to put him around like 15 or 16. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:29:01 Just because, like, I have no idea. Austin Wells, Tyler Stevenson, Hunter Goodman, Augustine Ramirez. I think all those guys are just going to play more than Ben Rice. I think they're all going to play more. I think Ben Rice is a better header than any of them, though. I agree with that. So if he's playing four games a week and they're playing five or six, it's a more interesting question in Roto, which are two catcher leagues, I think,
Starting point is 00:29:24 head to head. Even at catcher, he's probably pretty fringy. But that does definitely make the, it makes me stress out a little bit less about the playing time. But that being said, Stan, if he's only playing. playing four games a week, I don't think you need to add Stanton before he, like, let's see him get up and look like Giancarlo Stanton and produce. Okay. But yeah, anything else beyond that, yeah. Cody Bradford will throw a bullpen on Wednesday. He's recovering from a sprained UCL in his left elbow, 13% rostered, a name that you can look to stash, I think, in just deeper leagues for
Starting point is 00:30:03 now. Craig Kimberl signed a minor league contract with the Rangers, which is not really a bad, landing spot for a team that, you know, hasn't really had a great closer all season. Not that not that Kimbril could be a great closer anymore, but they have looked for seemingly every excuse not to give Chris Martin the closer's job. So why not Craig Kimbril? Yeah, as well. With his 91 mile per hour fastball at this point. Jorge Mateo was placing the aisle with left elbow inflammation retroactive to June 7th. And I also saw that Jack Caglione now has outfield eligibility. So you can play him both at first or outfield. Let's talk some Waverwire hitters here from Tuesday's action.
Starting point is 00:30:44 Alejandro Kirk just keeps on crushing it. Three for five with his fifth home run. And over his last 35 games, Alejandro Kirk is hitting 387 with four homers, 25 RBI, and OPS around 950. He is crushing the ball right now. 37% rostered. And the other name here is Gabriel Moreno, who I wanted to bring up. I got to do some quick math here.
Starting point is 00:31:08 because he went one for four with his fifth home run. He added three RBI. All five of those home runs have come in like the last 20 games or something for him, right? Yeah, so last 21 games he is hitting 329 with five home runs and 15 RBI and OPS over 950s. So two names here, similar skill sets, both hitting well. Chris, who do you like more, Alejandro Kirk or Gabriel Moreno? Kirk, I think. What's tough about Kirk is before the season,
Starting point is 00:31:44 if you told me Alejandro Kirk would have an 800 OPS by mid-June, I would have said Alejandro Kirk was definitely a top 12 catcher. Now I don't think I can get him all that close just because the position is just so good. I'd rather have Ben Rice than Alejandro Kirk in a two-catcher league. I think they're significantly more upside. And here's the other problem. How many RBI is Alejandro Kirk up to, 31?
Starting point is 00:32:12 He had two more today. Yeah, he has 31 total. Yep. That's cool. He is now, I think, tied for sixth among all catchers in RBI. He is, oh, let's see. He is tied for 26th in runs scored with 14 and 53 games. he has scored as many runs in 54 games as Miguel Amaya in 27 games.
Starting point is 00:32:44 He has fewer runs scored than luminaries such as Elias Diaz and Patrick Bailey and Dylan Dingler. I actually like Dylan Dinger. I think he's pretty good. It's just five home runs. The batting average is great. The RBI are okay. Everything else is bad. So I, yeah, I'd rather have him than Moreno, I think.
Starting point is 00:33:12 But I don't think either of them is certainly not a top 15 catcher. And I'm not even sure either of them is like, they're probably top 18-ish. Like, I think you'd rather have them than Francisco Alvarez at this point or Cabert Ruiz. Yep. But like, would you, if Kyle Teal was available in a two-catcher league. Kirk's a more likely contributor but I think Teal has more upside
Starting point is 00:33:41 I'd probably go Teal over both but then I think he's right yeah I think like in that 16 to 20 range yeah I think that's but like that just speaks to the strength of the position right now because Kirk is doing what we always hoped he would do yeah I think I would lean Kirk over Moreno
Starting point is 00:34:02 I think both are obviously very solid and usable in two catcher leagues. One catcher leagues, probably not, unless you play in a very deep league there. Some middle infielder's, Anders Jimenez, had himself a big game, two for five with his fourth home run for RBI. Jose Cabiero is running wild. He has six steals in his past five games. He also leads all of baseball with 25 steals this season. He has more steals than runs.
Starting point is 00:34:27 He has more steals than RBI. Just a weird season for Jose Cabi. And Trevor's story, who's picking things back up. Last 11 games, he's hitting 310 with 3 homers, 13 RBI, 1 steel, OPS over 900, and hitting the ball really hard. So, Chris, do any of those names stand out to you? Jimenez, Caballero, Trevor's story. I mean, Caballero, we know exactly what this is.
Starting point is 00:34:52 He is, he should be 100% rostered in roto leagues and 0% rostered in points leagues. because he is just giving you stolen. Like that is literally the only thing he does is steel bases. And that has value. Doesn't have that much value. So I think that one's a fairly easy one. Jimenez, I mean, we know what he is.
Starting point is 00:35:19 And he's like usually the 12th best second baseman in fantasy at the end of the season because other guys pop up and aren't as good for as long. But yeah. I don't think any of these guys really needs to be rostered anywhere more than they are. That's what I'm saying. All right, let's take our final break. And when we return, we'll hit the Waverwire pitchers, do a little buy or sell, and we'll do all of that right after this.
Starting point is 00:35:46 Welcome back in Fantasy Baseball Day. Quick look at the Waverwire pitchers from Tuesday's action. Shane Smith turned in a quality start at the Astros, six innings, one run, four strikeouts. Seems like he was a little fortunate here because he did allow 1,400. hard hits in this game. But overall, it's been a very strong season for Shane Smith. Lucas Gilito turned in a quality start against the raise, six innings, one uneard run, four strikeouts, 13 whiffs, you like to see that, but also gave up some hard contact.
Starting point is 00:36:15 He's just been so volatile, I mean, for years now, but especially this season so far. Slade Cicone, a solid start against the Reds, five innings, one run with eight strikeouts for him. Quinn Priester was great up against the Braves, six innings, one run. Seven strikeouts to zero walks here. Chris, anyone stand out from this group? Quinn Priester, Slade Cicone, Lucas Gielito, and Shane Smith.
Starting point is 00:36:40 Priester, I want to believe that there's something there because there's been upside at times, but his last four starts, the strikeouts look like this. 7047. The cutter, he threw the cutter more in this one. maybe that's an answer during that more than the sinker. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:37:03 I think he's interesting, but I don't think he's must roster. I think the same for Slate Sikoni. There's some interesting skills here, but it's been five innings basically every time for Sikoni. It's been, I think, two good starts and then three pretty mediocre ones. Gileo, I,
Starting point is 00:37:21 even with two decent matchups in a two-start week next week, I'm not. particularly interested in chasing it. So Smith is certainly the most interesting. He's also by far the most rostered of this group. So that's not super helpful. But it's two starts. No, not two starts this week.
Starting point is 00:37:41 Next week. It's two starts this week, right? Yeah, at Texas later this week at Toronto next week. So hard to get too on board with adding him. I think he's pretty good. I kind of wish Scott was here because I know Scott actually does like Shane Smith quite a bit. I think he's like a high 3-ZRA pitcher.
Starting point is 00:38:00 And that's useful, especially with that Spark eligibility. His strikeout rate's low enough. He doesn't pitch deep into games consistently enough that I think Shane Smith is probably 70% is probably right for him. Do you like him more or Jose Soriano? Smith. I think there's more upside with Soriano, but Smith. And you would take Mizirowski over both just for the wild card, right?
Starting point is 00:38:26 Just in case, yeah. Yep. All right, let's do a little buy or sell. And first up, Bryce Terang, 0 for three with three strikeouts here. And in his first 25 games, he looked great. He hit 350, three home runs, eight steals, 8 45 OPS. And in his next 40 games, Bryce Terang is hitting 199 with one homer and an OPS below 600. So, Chris, buy or sell, we got duped by Bryce Terang two years in a row.
Starting point is 00:38:56 I sell this one, actually. I'm kind of surprised, but I do. He has, baseball savon has the ability to look at rolling ex-woba over X number of plate appearances. So you can look at it over the last 250. His ex-Woba over his past 250 plate appearances is 348. Over his last 100, it's 369.
Starting point is 00:39:22 Over his last 50, it's 381. Based on the underlying number, Bryce string's actually been better. Now, there's been a drop in his axis of velocities in that time, but still significantly better than last year. Strike-out rates up a little bit, but not in a concerning way. I think he's fine. Not like a $290 hitter,
Starting point is 00:39:47 but I think his current 261 batting average, that feels pretty good, maybe a little higher, $270 even. A lot of stolen bases. I know that's been a little disappointing. You know, we were expecting more like last year's 50. He's on more of like a 35 steel pace. But I don't know. I think Bryce Terang is certainly a must-raster player in any Roto League
Starting point is 00:40:10 and probably pretty close to that and head-to-head points. So, yeah, I like it. I hope you're right because I traded for him in NL labor last week. And, man, I need steals and batting average in the worst way. So please, please be right. And let's get Bryce Serang back on track. correct. Wilson Contreras, one for five with his eighth home run. He added three RBI. And you know what? Not really having the season that we thought he would here for Wilson Catreras, but buy or sell,
Starting point is 00:40:40 you should still be trying to buy Wilson Contreras. Yeah, I think so. Um, so he was hitless in the first five games of the season. This is another one of those. I think he struck out eight times in the first five games, nine times in the first five games. Nine times in the first five games. There was a lot of that going around. Since then, he's basically been like a 780 OPS hitter. I don't know if we should have expected that much more than that. Obviously, that would be a little bit disappointing. If he was hitting 260 with, if he finished the season with 260, 20 homers,
Starting point is 00:41:19 I don't know, 90 RBI, I think is what the pace is, roughly. That'd be a little bit disappointing. That's still really good. think he's still the number six catcher in Roto, at least he was at the end of last week when I looked. I don't know. He's been a little bit disappointing, but yeah, I buy that you should be trying to buy him.
Starting point is 00:41:40 Yeah. I agree. The expected stats for what it's worth, 282XBA 512 X-SLG. And I don't know if you've noticed this, Chris. And maybe it's just the players that I'm looking at and the order that I'm looking at them. It feels like there are more hitters
Starting point is 00:41:56 underperforming their expected. stats this season than in previous years. I don't even know how I would look that up or find it. It sounds like maybe a research project that you would be able to figure out, but not many other people. But I don't know. It just, well, it just feels that way. We can just do it by setting some arbitrary parameters.
Starting point is 00:42:17 So let's do under or overperforming their expected Woba by 10 points either direction. There are 58 players over. overperforming their expected Woba by at least 10 points. And there are a lot more. 125 underperforming by at least 10 points. Let's do the same thing for last year. Last year there were 74 who overperformed their expected Woba by at least 10 points. And there were 79, 81, who overreform.
Starting point is 00:42:57 underperformed by at least 10 points. So, boom. Yeah, it feels a little off balance. And that's one of those things that those expected stats are, you know, they typically have to be adjusted for the offensive environment in any given year. And the offensive environment this year hasn't been that different. But I do think there's something to that where, you know, the players who are underperforming maybe aren't underperforming by quite as much as it seems.
Starting point is 00:43:24 Yeah, there's something there. I don't really know what to make of it. I don't know if that just means that these players. Take them with a little bit of a more of a grain of salt. That if someone's underperforming by 15 points of expected Woba, I think you probably look at that and say, well, maybe they're not. If they're underperforming by 40,
Starting point is 00:43:44 I don't know if that's exactly what Wilson Contreras is, but that feels like it's probably in the ballpark. Yeah. Specifically the catcher position. I mean, it's Yiner Diaz and Salvador Perez and Adelaide, Rushman. They all still have good. They all still have good expected numbers, but.
Starting point is 00:44:03 Wilson Contreras is underperforming by 49 points. So I, that still feels like there's plenty of room for growth. And over his last 100 played appearances, he has a 397 expected Woba. That is an elite mark. Yeah. Even if he's not that, he's still clearly an above average hitter. And like I said, I think he's still been a top. six catcher in Roto. So I, if this is the floor, that's pretty good. All right, we got some signs of
Starting point is 00:44:34 life from Luis Robert, two for four with his sixth home run, his first home run since May 2nd, over a month for Luis Robert there. Buy or sell that Luis Robert is more of a buy than a drop. Oh, you want me to answer that. That's why you get paid, Chris. Oh, man. Gosh, imagine if that was actually like what my like my paycheck depended on Luis Robert and being able to predict what he was going to do. That would be terrifying. I genuinely do not know. I am inclined to believe in him, but I don't know.
Starting point is 00:45:17 We're what, six seasons, seven seasons into Luis Roberts career? Five. This is his sixth. he's had two good years and one of them was 68 games he's had one good year one good full season that season was incredible and he's obviously incredibly talented um but i i really don't have a strong read on this one i'm inclined to buy just because i think the the price cannot get any lower and even if he's just like a 235 hitter with 20 plus homers and a bunch of steals, I think that's still a very useful player.
Starting point is 00:46:00 But I cannot say I have any confidence in that. Even that relatively low bar. Like I was I was on board with the narrative that, oh, he was just bad last year. But now he's got he's going to be motivated to get traded. He was, and like, I don't know, maybe that's still it. Maybe he's just like in a funk because that situation is so bad. But I don't know, you can only give the benefit of doubt for so long on these things. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:46:31 And he really hasn't earned it. I'm hoping that he gets traded and just kind of change of scenery gets him going. I hope so too, but. I don't know how much of a market there is for Luis Robert right now. I think someone, a reporter asked him earlier in the season. and like, do you think you're going to get traded or how do you feel about that? Like, whatever.
Starting point is 00:46:53 And he said, why would anybody want to trade for me right now? It's like, he even acknowledged that he wasn't playing well. So it's, yeah, it's definitely been a weird season for him. And it's not like the underlying numbers are great. No, no. They're better, but they're still pretty bad. Yeah, his expected stats are actually bad too for Luis Robert. At least one Oreo got the memo to show up the season, Chris.
Starting point is 00:47:13 That is Jackson Holiday. Maybe not the one that everyone was expecting, but he went two for four with his six stolen base. He is batting 267. His 150 game pace is 20 homers and 15 steals, which would be a very fine season for Jackson Holiday. Buy or sell that he will be a top two Orioles hitter in fantasy rest of season. Sell, I think he's closer to five than two.
Starting point is 00:47:39 I would still absolutely take Gunther Henderson over him, no doubt about it. I assume that's the one that I would still take. Jordan Henson, Jordan Westberg. I know he's been disappointing, but he's barely played. Adley Rutchman's expected stats are still very, very good. I would take Adley Ruchman over Jackson Holiday the rest of the way. I think Cedric Mullins is a really interesting one. And even Colton Couser, I'm not sure Jackson Holiday is better than Colton Couser.
Starting point is 00:48:12 What Jackson Holiday is doing right now isn't better than what Colton Couser. Kouser did last year, is it? Like, more steals, but it's like the pace is, I think, six more steals than Kouser had, but six fewer homers. Batting average is similar. I would guess it's in Holiday's favor. I can't remember exactly Kouser hit like
Starting point is 00:48:30 250 last year. Yeah, I think it's kind of similar to last, to Kouser last year. Yeah, I expect the rest of those guys to be better than they have so far. That's not to say I expect Jackson Hall to be worse, but I think the underlying skills are stronger for most of those guys.
Starting point is 00:48:49 You mentioned Cedric Mullins. I think he's a pretty good lock to get traded at some point. I mean, he's in the final year of his contract. That might not necessarily be a bad thing for his value, because he might go somewhere where he plays every day. True. Let's talk about Sandial O'Connor, who makes it two quality starts in a row this time against the Pirates,
Starting point is 00:49:08 six shutout innings, six strikeouts. He had 10 whiffs on 85 pitches. Both of these quality starts, amazing matchups, Pirates and Rockies, obviously. You know, trending in the right direction here, Chris. Buy or sell that after two quality starts, you can start Sandy in a two-start week next week against the Phillies and Braves.
Starting point is 00:49:29 Seven days ago, it's probably when before he made these most two recent starts. So that feels okay. Sandy O'Connor didn't look like a guy you could trust against any lineups, let alone even the two worst lineups in baseball, which he's faced and done very well against the last two starts. So look, I will grant that I am inclined to give Sandy Alcantra the benefit of the doubt because I believe he's good. And when I see evidence that he is good, I will choose to believe that that is more important and relevant than the copious evidence that he was bad for the first two months of the season.
Starting point is 00:50:05 I might just be wrong. My bias there might be wrong. My belief in Sandy Alcantra's talent might just be wrong at this point. But the thing that I want to be clear, I rank Spencer Strider ahead of Sandy Alcantra. But I have had more faith in Sandy Alcantra turning things around than Spencer Strider because with Sandy, it's just been the command. Like the stuff is there. He's throwing almost as hard as he did before the injury. He's been like, what, half a mile per hour down, something like that.
Starting point is 00:50:40 The stuff still looks good. it's just that the command just goes away for three innings at a time. And with Strider, the command has not been good and the stuff is not where it's been in the past. So while I think Strider's upside is higher, I think Sandy's floor is higher. And so I am not going to say you can start Sandy Alcounter against the Phillies and Braves next week. But low-key, the Phillies lineup kind of stinks right now. No Bryce Harper either. No Bryce Harper.
Starting point is 00:51:19 At least yesterday, I don't, you know, Alec Bohm had a good game, so I think he's over 700 OPS. But yesterday, before today's game, there were only three hitters in their lineup with a 700 OPS. Alec Boe has a 700 OPS now, so they have four hitters with a 700 OPS. only one of them is above 800, and that's Kyle Schwerver. He's awesome. He's great. This is kind of a mediocre lineup right now.
Starting point is 00:51:48 I expect Bryson Stop to be better. I expect J.T. Romuto be better. I even expect Max Kepler to be better than he has been. Or for someone to take his spot and be better than a 6-69 OPS. But it's not a terrible matchup. The Braves also not a terrible matchup. I think in a points list, league. Sandy's okay.
Starting point is 00:52:10 Sandy's an okay start next week. I'm selling it. I still can't do it yet, man. And if I miss out on it next week, I don't have Sandy anywhere, but I would not start. Maybe in a points league, maybe in a points league, but anywhere else, I think I'd be still playing it cautious. And if he has two good starts, then I'll feel, you know, confident to start him the week after that. Let's wrap this up with McKenzie Gore, who turned in a quality, another quality start this one at the Mets, 6th.
Starting point is 00:52:38 innings, two runs, six strikeouts, 10 whiffs on 89 pitches, and he has gone six plus innings in 11 of 14 starts, two walks or fewer in 10 of 14 starts. McKenzie Gore is having an awesome season. Chris, Byersel, that Gore is a top 20 starting pitcher rest of season. I already have it ranked that way. Boom! Well, then I got to make moves because I haven't met 24, so. Did you know? McKenzie Gore leads the majors in strikeouts right now. I did. Yep.
Starting point is 00:53:11 Him and Gerec Crochet have been gone back and forth over their last like four starts over who's leading the league in strikeouts. But McKenzie Gore was the first pitcher to get to 100 strikeouts. I think he's the first to 115 now or 110, something like that. And we've seen stretches of good pitching from McKenzie Gore and he's falling apart. But I think the things that are different this time are, one, this is the lowest, 14 start stretch for an ERA that he's ever had. 288.
Starting point is 00:53:42 So already there. It's by far the best FIPP stretch. He had a similar ERA stretch last season, but the FIPP was like four. It did not back it up at all because the control was bad. This is the best version of McKenzie Gore we've seen by far. That new slider is just destroying lefties. That's been a problem for him. Yeah, I would have a harder time making a case for McKenzie Gore not being a top 12 starting
Starting point is 00:54:07 pitcher at this point than not being top 24. All right. Let's get into some leftovers here and some hitters that are picking things up. Juan Soto over his last 11 games is hitting 378 with four home runs and an OPS over 1,300. Jackson Tureo last 19 is hitting 309 with four homers, five steals, and Lordus Grielle, who I was supposed to add the numbers in here. and ha ha those late games chris you know they get you every time let's see what lordis gruel did
Starting point is 00:54:41 he went two for four so that would be 52 divided by 171 it's something like over 300 six homers 26 uh seven homers excuse me uh 27 rbi three steals and ops over 850 so uh guriel slow start but obviously has picked things up anything to add on those three i just think with garyel we know what he is and it's not uh... an 850 OPS bat. It's a high 700s OPS bat usually. So he's been good. I don't expect this to last.
Starting point is 00:55:16 That's all it is. And then Soto and Truro are awesome. They're superstars. I never really had very, very many concerns about either of them. All right. Some other hitting leftovers here. Aaron Judge destroyed a baseball. Home run that was hit 11.9,
Starting point is 00:55:35 exit velocity, 469 feet. He has three home runs in his past two games. He is amazing. O'Neill Cruz, one for four with his 13th home run. Batting average, though, kind of a problem. And that's because of the strikeouts. 33 and a half percent strikeout rate for O'Neill Cruz. That's not going to get it done.
Starting point is 00:55:54 Roman Anthony is on the board, one for four with a two-run double. That was his first career hit. Spencer Torkelson continues his resurgence, one-for-four with his 16th home run. Ian Hap had himself a big game. two for three with two walks and two homers. Powered down a little bit this season.
Starting point is 00:56:09 The quality of contact is down. Ian Hap got off to a slow start last year and he always winds up with the same numbers. So not really concerned about that. CJ Abrams three for four with his ninth home run and he was pretty cold before this game. Hitting 143, I think in his past like 20 games or so. So Abrams, we know Abrams is like a super streaky player.
Starting point is 00:56:33 Yeah. And Austin Wells had himself a big game. Three for four with his 11th home run, five RBI. 41 RBI, second among catchers this season. How about that? Anything to add on those names? I think I had just kind of assumed that Aaron Judge had slowed down without actually having any evidence of it.
Starting point is 00:56:54 Watching the games, I feel like there was a two-week stretch where he was not hitting well. But that's not true. He's still hitting 396. Like he hasn't gone more than I think his longest stretch without a home run is six games And in that stretch he had a two hit game and a three hit game The RBI had have slowed down I think He only had 18 RBI in May that that counts as slow I guess but no he he has at least an 1159 OPS in every month this season
Starting point is 00:57:26 Aaron judge His expected woebo over the past 100 played appearances is down to 423, which would still be one of the best marks in baseball. He's ridiculous. This is enjoy it. This does not happen often. If you weren't old enough to see Barry Bonds, like this is what it was like. And I don't say that lightly.
Starting point is 00:57:53 And then this has nothing to do with fantasy baseball. I just think it's delightful. Do you know what Roman Anthony's dad is named? No. Roman Anthony's dad is named Anthony Anthony. Do you know what Roman Anthony's brother is named? I hope it's not Anthony Anthony. Roman Anthony's brother is named Anthony Anthony Anthony.
Starting point is 00:58:21 Do you know what Roman Anthony's grandfather's name is? Anthony Anthony Anthony. Three generations in a row. You can't go wrong with that. That is just incredible. I love that. So much. I don't have anything to add other than that. That is incredible. That is one of the most delightful things I've ever heard. It's just amazing. How did you even find that out?
Starting point is 00:58:48 Razball tweeted it out earlier. And it just made me think of if you've ever seen the movie Pop Star, never stop, never stopping. One of the funniest movies of all time, Tim Meadows' character was the fictitious fourth member of the band Tony, Tony, Tony. And his is Tony with a question mark. Tony, Tony, Tony, Tony. And that's what that made me think of. That's all. I loved it.
Starting point is 00:59:14 I'm pretty sure Ruegnet O'Dore had a brother named Ruegneed O'Dore. His brother was named Rugnett O'Dore. There was also the Marlins Prospects Victor Mesa Jr. Obviously, their father was named Victor Mesa. and then the one, the other one, I believe, was Victor, Victor Mesa. Love that. Love, love these baseball names. You gotta love it.
Starting point is 00:59:37 Pitching leftovers, Max Free just keeps racking up quality starts. This one at the Royal seven innings, two runs, four strikeouts for him. Dylan Sees, a great outing, maybe his best of the season against the Dodgers. Seven shutout with 11 strikeouts. That was a season high. 24 whiffs on 103 pitches. Ryan Pepio, a solid outing at the Red Sox. five and two thirds, three runs, nine strikeouts, 19 whiffs,
Starting point is 01:00:03 14 of those on the fastball, okay, that's pretty good. Kind of like where these strikeouts are trending recently for Ryan Pepio, and Grant Holmes had himself a mixed outing at the Brewers, five and a third, three runs, three walks, don't love that, nine strikeouts, 20 whiffs on 100 pitches, kind of like that. So anything to add, Chris, on Grant Holmes, Ryan Pepio, Dylan Sees, or Maxfried?
Starting point is 01:00:28 Dylan cease, you're not going to often see a pitcher give up three hits and seven innings and have a whip over one. Kind of the platonic ideal of a Dylan C's start. He was unhittable but also walked five and seven innings. He did tell Enosaris in an interview last week that he feels like he's about to get hot. And, you know, maybe we're seeing that here. Pepio is interesting because the biggest problem for him this season has been the lack of wiffs on the four seamer.
Starting point is 01:00:59 He's gone from an elite whiff rate on the four seamer to a pretty average one, maybe slightly above average. Well, last two starts, it's way up. 14 whiffs in this one with the four seamer. If he gets that back, that kind of changes the whole outlook for Ryan Pepea.
Starting point is 01:01:16 So that is something to keep an eye on. Yeah. All right, the call to the bullpen for the Marlins. Calvin Fosha got the ninth inning with a one run lead. He gave up a hit, but picked up his fifth save. And I have.
Starting point is 01:01:28 hesitate to say this, but he has the last three saves for the Marlins. Pretty sure we said that for Jesus Tanoko at some point this season, but yeah, Calvin Foshae is 11% rostered. For those in deeper leagues, I do think that he could be a save source. For the Tigers, Will Vest got the ninth inning with a three-run lead. He gave up a solo homer but picked up his 11th save for the Red Sox. The Rolled his chatman. It was unavailable. Greg Weissert picked up his first save. For the Brewers, Trevor McGill. got the ninth inning with a three-run lead. He struck out two for his 13th save.
Starting point is 01:02:02 For the White Sox, lefty Brandon Isert got the ninth with a two-run lead. He struck out one for his second save. For the Blue Jays, Jeff Hoffman entered with two outs in the ninth inning, two runners on, a four-run lead. He promptly gave up a three-run homer to Wilson Contreras and then got the final out for his 17th save. For the Rockies, in only Rockies fashion. Zach Agnos started the ninth inning with a three-run lead.
Starting point is 01:02:28 charged with four runs on three walks and a hit. Victor Vodnik relieved Agnos. He also gave up two hits. And on the other side, Camilo Duval shut it down for his 10th save of the season. To stream or not stream on Wednesday, we have Clark Schmidt at the Royals. Bailey Falter gets the Marlins,
Starting point is 01:02:47 Ben Brown at the Phillies, Eduardo Rodriguez against the Mariners, Jake Irvin at the Mets, Zach Lattel at the Red Sox, David Festa against the Rangers. any of those stand out? I did want to check the Bailey Fulter one because the Marlins have either been surprisingly good
Starting point is 01:03:10 or terrible against lefties. They've been surprisingly okay against lefties. You know, that ever happened to you or you remember there was something here. I have no idea if it was good or bad. The Marlins are 17th in Wobah against lefties. It's not like they're good, but they are not a total pushover against lefties.
Starting point is 01:03:28 lefties. And if I remember correctly, Bailey Fultor is a lefty. Yeah, he is. Okay. I'm tired, you know. So I don't think Fulter is as good of a streamer as you might think. I would go Schmidt. I would go Brown with how good he's looked lately. And, man, I don't want to trust Litell against the Red Sox. So I'll go Logan Allen as my third there. Okay. And then on Thursday we have Mike Soroka at the Mets, Patrick Corbyn at the Twins, Will Warren at the Royals.
Starting point is 01:04:11 Is there anybody else? I don't love this group. Davis Martin's been okay and the Astros are a pretty good matchup right now. Will Warren, it's just been three or four bad starts in a row after he looked like he was starting to figure it out. I don't think I could trust it. I kind of think Mike Soroka might be figuring something out.
Starting point is 01:04:32 He changed that change up grip. It looked really good in his most recent start. I'm not going to find out against the Mets, though. That's just not going to do that one. Yeah. Will Warren, let's see. Yeah, last time out against the Red Sox, not good. Dodgers, he got clobbered.
Starting point is 01:04:50 Yeah. At Colorado, four innings, two run, seven strikeouts. Not terrible, but I think I'd be okay with him at the Royals, I think I'd get behind that one. I don't want to pound the table for it, but it could. He's certainly talented and it's a good matchup. Yeah, smaller slate on Thursday. So I, you know,
Starting point is 01:05:08 little warrant to me is probably the best one out there. All right, we're going to rat there for Chris. I am Frank. Thanks as always for tuning into fantasy baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five-star rating on Apple or Spotify. And we will be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye. Paramount Podcasts.

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