Fantasy Baseball Today - ANOTHER NO-HITTER! Ohtani Velocity & Early-Round Hitter Struggles (5/20 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 20, 2021

Why are all of these no-hitters happening in baseball (2:28)? ... Should you try and sell-high on Corey Kluber (8:30)? ... What was up with Shohei Ohtani's velocity (15:15)!? ... News and notes (20:5...6)! Fernando Tatis was back with a bang, Ketel Marte was activated, we have updates on deGrom and Syndergaard and more. ... Lucas Giolito, Joe Musgrove, Charlie Morton and a few other starting pitchers bounced back on Wednesday (28:57). ... What's going on Trevor Story, Juan Soto, Manny Machado, and Francisco Lindor (35:30)? ... We had a few double dongs plus waiver options and should you consider dropping Logan Gilbert (48:55)? ... We wrap up with bullpen updates and streamers (54:55). ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com.  'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank, @AdamAizer Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive. Center Field. What is magnificent? Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality.
Starting point is 00:00:25 Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam. And just like that, we have a no-hitter on consecutive nights in baseball for the first time since April 30th and May 1st, way back in. in 1969. This time, my Bronx Bombers, baby. Welcome into fantasy. Sorry, what was the,
Starting point is 00:00:43 I'm confused at what, what was the, what was the stat? That was the first time consecutive no-hitter's had been pitched since April 30th and May 1st back in 1960.
Starting point is 00:00:54 I thought you were doing a bit about how long it's been since the most recent no-hitter. No, no, because it's been, I mean, a whopping 20 hours.
Starting point is 00:01:05 We'll get into it. Between no-hit. We'll talk about that on more of a macro level too because I don't want to take anything away from Cory Kluber The guy has been through a lot the past couple of seasons and you know we were kind of dismissive of it last night with Spencer Turnbull So I you know I apologize you Spencer Turnbull we should give you more credit because I still think it is something that is tough to do to throw a no hitter Is it easier now than ever before sure but it still is an achievement and and we should look at it that way So welcome into fantasy baseball today. It's Thursday May 20th Frank Stanful joined by Chris Towers A few other things we have to talk about today.
Starting point is 00:01:38 Starting pitchers who bounced back. Early round hitters who have struggled. We have to talk about Chohei Otani because, duh, he was on the mound. Velocity was down. We'll talk about that. Some more bullpen updates. Is Chris worried about a manual class A? Hmm, we're going to find out.
Starting point is 00:01:52 Chris, you're in a good mood. You came in here today singing some Rick Astley. They were going to give you up? Yeah, yeah. I was playing Warzone right before the game started. And that's one of the songs that plays when you're in a car in that game. So it just stuck in my head. Never gonna get, never gonna get.
Starting point is 00:02:10 That is awesome. Reminds me of my Grand Theft Auto Vice City days. Way back in the day when you're driving around and they're playing the all-time soundtrack. 80s music or whatever they're playing. I should have been this age in the 80s, Chris. But we'll save that for another day. Let's talk about Corey Kluba, the Klubod. He throws the sixth no-hitter in baseball this season.
Starting point is 00:02:32 Only reason I say six, Chris, is because the MLB is not recognizing Madison Bumgartner's seven inning no hitters. So you can argue it, but... There have been seven no hitters this season. Sure. And the second one in two nights, of course. But before we get into Cory Kluber, specifically, let's just talk about no hitters in general, because I saw an awesome stat that you put out last night, Chris.
Starting point is 00:02:53 So let's talk about it from just like a macro level. Like what's going on in baseball right now? Obviously, we know there are more shifts than ever before. Babbup is down. There's more strikeouts. And that's why we're seeing more no hitters. But what was that awesome stat you had? yesterday on Twitter. Yeah, so this was yesterday, I believe.
Starting point is 00:03:11 The stat was, if you count Madison, bumgarner's, no-hitter as a no-hitter. There have been as many no-hitters thrown by pitchers in Major League Baseball this season as there have been five-hit games by hitters. In the past five seasons, there had been 11-no-hitters and 113 five-hit games. That's insane. I mean, look, some of this is just random. anytime you're talking about, I mean,
Starting point is 00:03:39 obviously, like the results of baseball games are not random individually. You know, each game is the result of the performance of the two separate teams and other factors involved. It's not random.
Starting point is 00:03:51 There is, you know, human, you know, human involvement in them. But when you're talking about as a whole, the outcome of every, any given game is pretty random.
Starting point is 00:04:01 And so anytime you're talking about effectively randomly distributed events, especially like a no hitter, which is very rare. Occasionally you will have a stretch where they cluster. And it doesn't necessarily mean anything. Sometimes things just happen. Last year during fantasy football season,
Starting point is 00:04:19 I remember there was a point where Ezekiel Elliott had like four fumbles in five games or something like that. And he had, I did like a random distribution thing on Excel, and I put his career fumble rate in there. And I just did like, here's what it would look like over a thousand carries. And at one point, it was a totally random thing. At one point, there was a stretch of about 60 carries where he would have fumbled four times,
Starting point is 00:04:47 just with a completely random distribution. So these kinds of things can happen and not mean anything. They mean something right now. These are remarkable achievements. They are like Corey Klobber pitched extremely well tonight. Spencer Turnbull pitched extremely well last night. But what's happening is games that, you know, there's always been pitchers pitching extremely well. There's nothing new about that.
Starting point is 00:05:15 No hitters seem to be happening more often because hits are happening less often, which is, you know, very natural conclusion. But the weird thing is they've been clustered around three teams. Cleveland, Texas, and Seattle have all been no hit twice now. That is also very weird. And that means that if you pitch against Cleveland, Seattle, or Texas, based on the results so far, you have a 5% chance of throwing a no hitter. There is something random about that, but I don't think it is meaningless. And I don't want to say it's not impressive and I don't want to say, I don't want to take anything away from it. But what I will say is, I was watching Lost tonight with my wife, we're almost through season six.
Starting point is 00:06:00 I got the notification. Corey Klober has a no-hitter through eight innings. And we just kept watching the episode. And... Well, that's just because you're a Yankees hater, but... Exactly. I'm also famously biased against Spencer Turnbull because I did the same thing last night. And it's just because, like,
Starting point is 00:06:18 I don't want to say they've lost their novelty for me, but it's... I don't think it's crazy to say that, or there's anything wrong about saying that, Chris. I mean, when it happened this often, it's... It's okay to say that. That it's, it's novelty. If it was happening this often, but it was just because, like,
Starting point is 00:06:38 six different pitchers had just been so freaking locked in. But it's happening this often, at least in part because of changes to the offensive environment around baseball. And unless Major League Baseball introduces a new ball in July, which wouldn't surprise me. They've done before. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:00 I think it would be a really bad look if they did that midseason since we're seeing some pretty extreme changes. This is the offensive environment we have to play with moving forward. And so it's kind of created at an environment where there are more viable pitchers. And streaming is a more viable option. I feel like it's been, you know, I don't know if we tagged Spencer Turnbull as one of the streamers for that night. I was trying to think back to Tuesday's podcast if we had. or Monday's podcast if we had. I'm not sure either.
Starting point is 00:07:34 But it definitely feels like, you know, kind of every night there's a streamer or two who just has like a random great performance in a way that hasn't necessarily been true. And maybe that's just what we're dealing with now is that there's just more options at pitching. Yeah, I mean, one of my biggest takeaways there is which you mentioned,
Starting point is 00:07:54 the three teams that have been no hit twice already, Cleveland, Seattle, and Texas. Those are teams that you should be streaming your pitch pitchers against. If, you know, not everybody has got off to a great start in pitching this year in terms of if you play in a roto league or if you're struggling in a points league, you know, it's very likely that you have a rotation that includes Luis Castillo and Charlie Morton and Kentimaida and Kyle Hendricks. And if that's the case, then you're struggling at pitcher. And also if that's the case, then you want to be streaming against those teams. So I think that
Starting point is 00:08:22 is a big takeaway from all of this. Let's talk about Corey Klobler more in depth here. We're just going to make him the joint, oh my goodness gracious player of the night. Oh my goodness gracious. He finishes with nine strikeouts to just one walk, and he did go off to an extremely slow start this year, but as we kind of cautioned people while it was happening, April has been the worst month of his career consistently. He is a slow starter,
Starting point is 00:08:47 and I don't think that would have been any different this year coming off a year where he pitched one inning with the Texas Rangers last season, and he was limited by injury the year before as well. So over the last five starts for Corey Kluber, including tonight, a 1.79 ERA, which has coincided with his change-up usage going up. So that pitch has been great for him. So what do you think about Cory Kluber just in general, Chris?
Starting point is 00:09:10 Right now, he is obviously rising up the rankings, and rightfully so. Should you consider selling high, given his injury history? And for some reason, even after the start, he has a 4.17 X-fit, which when I dive into the numbers, I really don't see it. The walks are kind of high, but he gets an over. okay amount of ground balls. The swinging strikes are very high. If you're just looking at performance, I don't think you should sell high, but tell me what you think about Kluber. My guess would be, and this is only a guess, but my guess would be that X-FIP is either they haven't updated the, there's a constant number in X-FIP for one league ERA and then for
Starting point is 00:09:50 X-FIP, you have, you know, it attempts to normalize home run to fly ball ratio. And so if it's normalizing 40 2019 home run to fly ball ratio, which is 15%, he's got an 8.3 home run to fly ball ratio, it's going to overstate what his expected ERA
Starting point is 00:10:13 should be. It's worth noting the league XFIP is 4.07. So, right in line with the league ERA, which is 4.07. So does also tell you that like there used to be a time when if a guy had an ERA around 4, but he was getting a bunch
Starting point is 00:10:29 strikeouts, you'd be like, eh, he's a fine fantasy option. Not this year. 4 ERA is not good for fantasy anymore. 3.5 ERA is just pretty good. It's not going to get you anywhere close to first place, at least so far. So I'm a little less bullish. You know, it's hard for me to get as excited about a version of Corey Kluber who's at. You know, he's probably around 9% walk rate right now.
Starting point is 00:10:59 But, you know, he's, I think I had him, yeah, I need to move him up. I had him in 82nd at starting pitcher, and that's obviously too low. I can move him up to. Whoa there. I haven't met SP 45. Scott hasn't met SP 49. Yeah, that's too high for me. I just look at that range, and it's, Eduardo Rodriguez has slowed down, though the underlying
Starting point is 00:11:23 numbers are still very good for him. Sean Mania has slowed down a little bit. Montas has been just. just, he's been mad. Not good. Zach Eflin is fine. He's okay. Like, Robbie Ray.
Starting point is 00:11:35 Robbie Ray has been pretty good. I like Robbie Ray a lot more. I think Robbie Ray has made some real changes that are benefiting him. Sure, sure. No, that's fine. But I just think that if Cluber is healthy, which he's shown to this point, he's, you know, he's not Cy Young Kluber from two, three, four years ago. But can he be 80% of that, 85% of that?
Starting point is 00:11:58 that's that's a top 50 maybe even a borderline top 40 starting pitcher so yeah i'm slotting a minute 57 but i could be i could be talked into higher i could you know it's the kind of thing i feel like a broken record at this point but the specific ranking doesn't matter so much to me right now because we're still adjusting to this new offense environment and what it means and so it's a lot harder for me to it's a lot harder for me to have a strong a opinion about where anybody fits in right now. Just because I don't know how much of what we've seen is for real. I don't know how much of guys who are struggling is just they're getting used to a
Starting point is 00:12:41 different ball with different seam heights or whatever. You know, it's, it's really hard. It's too early to say in the season anything definitively really, especially because, like, with Kluber, he's changed his approach so much this season. You said he's throwing his change up a ton more. that hasn't historically been a great thing for him. Yeah, he's kind of reinventing himself, which we've seen. And anytime that happens, my concern is always, what does it look like?
Starting point is 00:13:09 Like, he's made the counter. He wasn't being effective. Early hitters were hitting him hard. He's made a counter now. What does the counter to that counter look like? So far, you know, tonight was great. He gave up, what, four-run runs in his last start? I'm still inclined to be pretty skeptical of him.
Starting point is 00:13:26 Yeah, he had, uh, foreign runs in his most recent start and six strikeouts three walks and the one before that. So it's like two really good starts in his last four. One pretty mad one. One that was okay. I think he's good. You know, my concerns about him just being finished, those are mostly gone now. But, you know, we've seen really good stuff from Zach Eflin.
Starting point is 00:13:50 We've seen really good stuff from Marcus Schroeman. We've seen really good stuff from, you know, I don't really know where to put Zach Allen. now, but he's above, uh, clover for now. We've seen really good stuff from James and Tyone. We've seen really good stuff from a lot of pitchers this season that makes it really, really hard to say any one guy is better than any other guy outside of, you know, the handful of really, really good proven guys. So you would be all right trading him for one of these slow starting middling hitters, Lordeus Gerell. someone who you like a lot.
Starting point is 00:14:28 You would make that swap. Klueber for Gorell. I have a hard time seeing Kluber being so instrumental to my success moving forward that I can't move him for a need. Guriel, he did go 0 for 4 on Wednesday,
Starting point is 00:14:44 but I believe he had four multi-hit games in a row before this one. So slowly coming on and I pointed out yesterday, his best month in his career is June. So it looks like Gareel could be ready to take off. How about someone like Charlie? Blackman.
Starting point is 00:14:58 Did you be right with that? I think I probably would, but I wouldn't feel great about it. Last one, Josh Donaldson, spoke about him the other day. Yeah, I would rather have Donaldson. All right, so look, some people need offensive help in fantasy baseball right now. There is no doubt about that. Before we get to
Starting point is 00:15:15 news and notes, just want to fire up the the thurreometer. What is that? Well, it's the worryometer on a Thursday, duh. It's Shohei Otani was pitching. He was on the mound. He was up against Cleveland, four and two thirds, two earned, two walks, five strikeouts. So the command, the control was not terrible in this one. He finished with 11
Starting point is 00:15:32 swinging strikes. However, 91.3 miles per hour, he averaged on the fastball. Coming into Wednesday's start, he averaged 96.6.6 on the pitch. I do have some quotes. First from Joe Madden said there is nothing wrong with Otani. He said the decreased velocity was just because, quote, he wasn't feeling his fastball tonight.
Starting point is 00:15:54 Also added, you can see the velocity. And when that happens, coaches and managers and trainers start looking in his face to see if there's any winting any pain. There wasn't any of that. He came in and there was no indicators other than the gun on the scoreboard. Otani went on to say, quote, I'm not worried about any injuries. I think my body was just feeling really heavy and sluggish. So, worryometer, thurriometer, Chris, on Otani in this start. I have no idea how to answer that. This is scary, man. I mean, a guy being down five miles per hour. And this is, kind of what I meant.
Starting point is 00:16:29 A couple of weeks ago, Chris, we spoke about how I don't want Otani to pitch. And it's not, he's awesome to watch. There's no doubt about it when he's on, yes, I want to see him do both. But based on the contributions he gives you as a hitter,
Starting point is 00:16:45 he runs into more injury risk than the average player because he's on the field more. Yes. Like that's just, he has more opportunities to get hurt. Even if you don't think he is more likely to get hurt than any other player per opportunity.
Starting point is 00:17:02 Yeah. The fact that they are seemingly pretty adamant, there was nothing wrong. I'll be a coward and say it's a five. And that's just, it could be really, really concerning or it could be nothing. And so I'll just, I'll average the two out and say it's a five. Because he was still really effective. And, you know, given the control problems we've seen him have,
Starting point is 00:17:28 it's not out of the question that like if he threw a little less hard, maybe he could be a more effective pitcher, you know, be less reliant on the fastball. Maybe there's something to that. But it sounds like this was just a weird game. And as long as, you know, he's feeling fine and he, you know, goes out on his bullpen day in three days or whatever it is.
Starting point is 00:17:52 And, you know, there's no, oh, he, he, he, he, you know, felt a twitch or whatever, I guess I have to not be concerned. Yeah, I think this is just a reminder to keep everybody grounded a little bit on Otani as awesome as he is. And again, we talk about the guy seemingly every day on this podcast, and rightfully so.
Starting point is 00:18:13 But this is, you know, this is part of the downside with Shohei Otani. So just keep that in mind. I wouldn't be going out and sending any, trying to trade him just because I'm scared of the situation. I still want to keep Otani on my team for what it's worth. was one interesting thing. He threw his cutter
Starting point is 00:18:29 32 times out of, or 23 times out of 72 pitches. That's a 32% rate. Coming into this, started with 6%. That is interesting. I don't think he even had a cutter before this season. I'm not sure, you know,
Starting point is 00:18:43 he didn't throw any curve balls. So I wonder if maybe the, you know, he does throw a slower slider. It's like 80 miles an hour. Tonight it was 78. maybe the cutter is replacing the slider, maybe the slider's replacing the curveball. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:19:00 It's interesting. It's something to watch. We're watching every single, like, editor, English teacher, journalism advisor I've ever had in my life is going to cringe if they hear me say, the most unique player in Major League Baseball history. And he's still figuring things out. you know, we're watching in real time, this guy with, you know,
Starting point is 00:19:26 a level of talent we've never seen before, figure out what he is. And he had one start previously where he threw the cutter 24% of the time. And otherwise, it's been like 5%. That was back on April 20th. So this is interesting. I'm not sure what to make of it,
Starting point is 00:19:49 but it speaks to, how absurdly talented he is that he seems to have just added a new pitch that he can work in and out of his repertoire. The only good news, honestly, that came out of this was he was moved to right field after he pitched, which means he now has three appearances in the outfield. So if you play in a five-game position eligibility league like we do on CBS, that means he is two pitchers starts away, because I assume they're going to continue to do this from getting outfield eligibility, which would be awesome. The PGA Championship is back at the ocean course
Starting point is 00:20:24 at Kiowa Island Golf Resort in South Carolina and you won't want to miss any of the action to keep up with all of the drama. Watch the PGA Championship for free on the CBS Sports app by visiting cbsports.com slash PGA Championship via your Paramount Plus or TV login on a connected TV. Big weekend in the golf world so make sure to check it out.
Starting point is 00:20:47 Chris, we are 25 minutes in and we've talked about two players. So we're really going to have to. keep, we're going to have to be short on the rest of our analysis for the rest of the night, so keep that in mind. News and notes, Fernando Tatis returned off to COVID IL on Wednesday, and he reminded everybody of his stardom. He finished four for four with his 10th home run of the season, two doubles, and his eighth
Starting point is 00:21:07 steal. Maybe the time away helped with the shoulder, obviously something he dealt with earlier, but either way, he looks perfectly fine, and I think he's the number one shortstop in fantasy. There you go, hot take. Ketel Marte was activated from the IL, but did not start. on Wednesday against the Dodgers, which Chris and I were talking before was kind of weird. I didn't really see a reason for it, but okay. Jacob de Grom played catch on Wednesday and will make a rehab start for low A St.
Starting point is 00:21:33 Lucy on Thursday, which means he will not start for the Mets at all this week. Noah Sinderguard allowed one hit with no walks while striking out five in four in four innings during his rehab start for low A St. Lucy. Apparently he was sitting 93 to 95 miles per hour. he averaged 97.7 miles per hour on his fastball back in 2019. It's his first start coming off Tommy John's surgery. So, yeah, I'm not freaking out, but it's probably going to tick up, I would assume, for Cindergarde.
Starting point is 00:22:02 Pete Alonzo was out of the lineup due to a sore left wrist. Framber Valdez will make another rehab start on Saturday for Triple A Sugarland. I love the name of that team. That is just delioling. The Sugarland Skeeters, right? Is that, is that their mascot name? The Skeeters? Am I thinking of a different team?
Starting point is 00:22:21 I don't know. I think you're right. Yep, that sure is. The Sugar Land Skeeters. Sugar Land Skeeters. That's one of my favorite. I mean, so many great minor league team names. But yeah.
Starting point is 00:22:30 Sugar Land Skeeters is a great one. What is that? Following when... It's a skeeter. Oh. Do most people know that... Or Doug Funney's best friend. Following Wednesday's game,
Starting point is 00:22:44 the Rockies option infielder, Alan Trejo, to AAA. This sounds like Brendan Rogers will be called up on Friday. He is 29%
Starting point is 00:22:52 rostered. Only has second base eligibility as of now for the Rockies. Chris, what leagues should
Starting point is 00:22:58 Brennan Rogers be rostered in right now? 12 Team Roto leagues for sure. Yep. And yeah, I think that's probably
Starting point is 00:23:07 it. I'm not so sure about points leagues or you know, a shallower categories-based roster like a
Starting point is 00:23:14 Yahoo League where you're not necessarily using a middle infielder, but he is second base eligible only right now, I believe. And that alone
Starting point is 00:23:27 could make him a viable starting option. I mean, shortstop's been a little worse than we expected too, but that's true of every position. But, you know, second base might be the position where I've certainly had the hardest time finding guys. And, you know, hopefully he plays regularly. He should be, I mean,
Starting point is 00:23:44 the best case scenario, Mario is not, maybe not, I don't want to make the Trevor Story comparison, but, you know, a good batting average, good power, good speed guy. He has all of those tools. He's, he's someone who, coming up as a prospect, there was talk, you know, he could be a future batting average, batting, batting title contender with course field as his whole park. So, you know, he could be a very, very good player. Yeah, let's say he plays, this is optimistic because he would need to remain healthy. But if he plays 100 games the rest of the way, if he can hit 280 with 10 to 12 homers, 6 to 8 steel, something like that,
Starting point is 00:24:23 I think that is doable for Brendan Rogers. So just to give you some kind of idea of what we are expecting, he does have shortstop eligibility on Yahoo. So there you go. Alex Kirolov began a rehab assignment at AAA on Wednesday. Twins manager Rocco Baldelli said Ken Tamayda should be good to go in their upcoming series against Cleveland. Eric Fetty and Tanner Rainey were placed on the COVID-Ovod. IEL for the Nationals. Chris, your boy, Eric Fettyman in the Scott White Dynasty League.
Starting point is 00:24:50 He was carrying your team. I think you really need to make a trade for multiple starting pitchers. I'm just going to talk about them out. Things are really falling apart right now because I just lost Mike Trout too. I think Chris Taylor. Chris Taylor might be out for a long time, right? Yeah, this, uh, Chris, it's, things could be taking a real negative turn for, for your guy, Chris. It sounds like you can really use Jose Barrios, Drew Smiley, and, Lordis Gurriel. Just going to throw it out there. I've sent an offer that's currently pending, but it sounds like you can really use those guys. Alex Cobb will be activated and start Thursday against the Twins. Dylan Moore was placed on the aisle. There's no way you would do
Starting point is 00:25:26 Pablo Lopez instead of your smiley, right? It's, I think it's just too much for me to give up, man. I know that was your original offer, but it's just, it's a lot. It's too much. Miles Michael is set to make his season debut on Saturday against the Cubs as he returns from a shoulder injury. He's 23% rostered. He has not pitched in a regular season game. since 2019. Chris, any interest in Miles Michaels? Given how many starting pitchers there are who are viable right now, he's pretty low on the totem pole. Fair enough. Taiwan Walker was placed in the aisle with left side tightness. Michael Paneda was placed on the aisle after having that procedure on his thigh yesterday. Will Myers could return from the COVID aisle this weekend. Glauber Torres
Starting point is 00:26:06 returned on Wednesday and was batting fifth for the Yankees. The Braves demoted. I don't get this one. I picked up Tucker Davidson in a few leagues, but the Braves demoted him back to AAA after his quality start on Tuesday. Yeah, I don't know, maybe he'll be back. The race placed Luis Pitino on the aisle with a right middle finger laceration, and for those in Dynasty leagues,
Starting point is 00:26:29 the Orioles first round pick from last year, Heston Kirstad is gradually getting back into shape and remains without a clear timetable to make his professional debut. He was diagnosed with a heart condition last fall. So anyone, If you have them in Dynasty, that is the latest news on Heston Kirstad. What we're going to do is take a quick break,
Starting point is 00:26:48 but when we return, some starting pitchers who had some big bounce back performances on Wednesday. We'll do it next on Fantasy Baseball today. Let's start off with Lucas. Frank, you got yourself a gosh darn deal. We did? It went through? Oh.
Starting point is 00:27:03 Whatever. Whatever. Who needs prospects? Who needs Trevor Rogers? All right. I could be dead before the 2022 season. I don't even know what Austin Hendrick looks like. People are probably wondering what, what just happened?
Starting point is 00:27:18 So in the Scott White Dynasty League, there's a 24-team head-to-head points league. I traded Chris a $15 Jose Berrios, a I think $7 or $8, Drew Smiley, and a $5 Lordeus Guerrille for a $1-dollar Trevor Rogers and Austin Hendrick. Austin Hendrick and Brett Beatty. And Brett Beatty, who both have their minor league status still. in this league. So it's a very complicated Dynasty League. It's deep, 2014, head to points. My team is terrible. That's all you need to know.
Starting point is 00:27:47 It's a rebuilding team. I have Wander Franco, so I'm waiting on that. But Chris is kind of in the thick of things. So, nice. I mean, I'm in like third place right now. Yeah, no, you're getting it done, dude. Let's go into Lucas G. Alito. He had his best start of the season on Wednesday at the Twins. Eight innings pitch, two hits,
Starting point is 00:28:03 one run, three walks, 11 strikeouts, 17 swinging strikes on 11 pitches. And it was a huge bounceback for his change-up. I know that you recently wrote about starting pitchers and their main pitches, basically, that are struggling. So you can talk a little bit
Starting point is 00:28:19 more about that, Chris, but he threw the change-up a season high, 41% of the time. 13 of his 17 swinging strikes came on that pitch for Lucas Gilito. Yeah, and you know, the key thing that has really held him back so far has been his slider.
Starting point is 00:28:35 He had a 53% whiff rate with that pitch in 2020. It was just 31% entering this game and he had been getting crushed by Ritees. 866 OPS allowed compared to a 670 OPS allowed in the previous two seasons. So that had been a real issue for him. You know, the slider, it wasn't like a knockout pitch. He only got three whiffs on 20 pitches, but three whiffs on eight strikes or swings is a
Starting point is 00:29:07 38% whiff rate and 65 mile per hour average average. eggs of velocity, only two balls in play. So, you know, it's still too small a sample size to say that he's figured something out. But given the track record, I'm pretty confident he's going to be very, very good moving forward. Yep. It looks like the by-low window has closed for G-Lito. The walks have been the biggest issue for him this year. He's giving up some home runs as well.
Starting point is 00:29:32 So it still had three walks in this game. I would like to see him short of those things up. But the fact that they let him throw 111 pitches, he looked like that Ace Workhorse that we were all hoping for coming into the season. Again, Lucas G. Lito there. Big Joe, Joe Musgrove, baby. He's back against the Colorado Rockies. They were on the road. Okay. It was in Petco Park. Sure. Seven shutout. Two hits. Zero walks. 11 strikeouts. 18 Sweney strikes on 93 pitches for Joe Musgrove. It was his first quality start since April 19th. And I think we needed this one, Chris, because some people, their confidence in him was starting to waver a little bit. Yeah. Yeah. I think,
Starting point is 00:30:08 you know, kind of rightly so, given, uh, You know, how mediocre he had been really kind of since that no hitter. You know, when he threw 114 pitches, I think. And given how much of an outlier, this start to the season was. But this was a very good start, even accounting for the fact that the Rockies, I'll just say, I'm surprised the Rockies haven't been no hit on the road yet. We're getting close. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:30:37 But no, this is, this was a very good start. he's had a bit of bad luck being four and four. That'll hurt you in a points league. But all in all, a very promising start that should make you feel better about him, even if you shouldn't have necessarily felt that much worse about him. Same thing could be said for Charlie Morton, who we have been waiting and waiting,
Starting point is 00:30:58 much like Luis Castillo to see something. And we saw it against the Mets. A Mets lineup that is, again, it's barren, lots of injuries, lots of underperformance. Francisco Linder will talk about him a little bit, but he's been, just awful this season.
Starting point is 00:31:12 Anyway, Charlie Morton finished with eight strikeouts over six innings of one-run ball, zero walks. It was his first quality start since April 20th. He had 14 swinging strikes. On only 79 pitches, which I found a little interesting, nine of those swinging strikes
Starting point is 00:31:28 did come on the curve. The underlying numbers all along, they've looked great for Charlie Morton, so that's kind of why we've been pounding the table for him as a by-low, Chris. But after this start, the ERA still stands at 4.60, the FIP 3.89, the X-FIP 3.46. So I stand by it. I think more starts like this are coming for Charlie Morton. I haven't moved him outside of like my top 25 or 26. There have been a couple of guys
Starting point is 00:31:53 who've moved ahead of him, but for the most part, I haven't really touched him yet. I'm almost positive. He's still in my top 30. So I'm very confident in Charlie Morton moving forward. Two other pitchers who bounce back on Wednesday, Aaron Savali at the Angels. No Mike Trout in the lineup anymore. So maybe this is a more favorable line. lineup to pitch against, but he went seven. He allowed two runs, one walk, eight strikeouts. That was a season high in strikeouts, and a season high with 16 swinging strikes for Aaron Savale in this one. He has gone six plus in seven of nine starts. Zach Eflin bounced back against the Marlins. He allowed two runs over six with six strikeouts. Anything you'd like to add, Chris,
Starting point is 00:32:32 on Savale or Eflin? No, I think Savale is probably pitching over his head with the 330 ERA, and I think but I think he'll be a solid starter moving forward. He's him and Zach Pleasak still right next to each other in my rankings and forever linked they will be right around the 45 range. And Eflin, I'm pretty sure his peripherals are even better than his 377 ERA. I know that wouldn't be necessary and elite or even very good ERA this season, but 3.00 FIP, 313 X FIP. I would imagine the XERA is in that same range
Starting point is 00:33:11 because it was coming into the start. All in all very encouraging. I think we have not given Efflin his due on this podcast. I have him 49th. I'm not sure why he shouldn't at least be, you know, where Savala and Plizac are. I feel like we had, we mentioned him recently in a conversation and there's a little bit of dismissiveness,
Starting point is 00:33:35 but he's just really solid, man. He's been weirdly inconsistent as a pitcher, as in like we don't know what kind of pitcher he is because he kind of keeps changing every year, but I think he's good. I think that's fair, yeah. We probably have not given Eflin enough due this year. He has not really changed up the pitch mix much.
Starting point is 00:33:57 He's throwing the change up a little bit more this year. But he does have, it looks like he throws five different pitches at least 10% of the time. So the Arsenal is a little bit deeper this year than ever before for Eflin. And the biggest key for him, 57 strikeouts to five walks. This is by far the best control we've ever seen from him.
Starting point is 00:34:16 Not that he's ever been a bad control pitcher, but 0.78 walks per nine after this start. Last year, that was at 2.3. The year before, was at 2.6. So just stellar control from Zach Eflin so far this season. Chris, let's take a look at some struggling
Starting point is 00:34:31 early round hitters. We've got some emails recently. asking about some of these guys. So I felt like it was time to just bunch them all together and kind of talk about what our confidence level is in these guys getting back on track. And we'll start with Trevor Story, who went 0 for 4 on Wednesday.
Starting point is 00:34:46 The counting stats, they still look fine. 24 run score, 21 RBI, four home runs. I think that's a little bit low for Trevor Story. But he still has seven steals, so he's helped you out there. Only batting 258. So the batting average and the power in particular, Chris, down a little bit.
Starting point is 00:35:00 Doesn't have as much protection in the lineup. Nolan Aronado, no longer there. One of the biggest things I noticed for him, he's got a 776 OPS at Cores field this season. Yeah. He's got a 978 career OPS in Cores. So it seems like that's been down so far this season. What's your confidence level in Trevor Story
Starting point is 00:35:20 getting back on track? On a scale of 1 to 10, I would say I'm a 9. He doesn't really, like, nothing looks different. He's actually got an identical Ex-WOBA to what he did last season. It's 10 points behind. 2019 and his actual Wobah is nearly 50 points lower than 2020 and over 50 points lower than 2019. He's the kind of like you should expect him to outperform his ex-Woba because of course,
Starting point is 00:35:46 field. So I think he'll be fine. His strikeout rate is not alarming. His walk rate's where it should be. He's hitting the ball about as hard as ever. I don't have any concerns about Trevor's story. The only other thing that stood out to me for story is that his ground ball rate is up a tad. it's 36% but that is not agreed just by any means. Yeah. It affects the overall numbers a little bit. I think if those turned into... Yeah.
Starting point is 00:36:10 If those... It was 30% last year. It was 34% the year before. So that's one of those like I was talking about earlier. That can happen randomly without any actual change. And I think it was a good point that you brought up about Rocky's hitters. When you look at their statcast page, if you do, baseball savant.com, some people actually ask, That's the website if you want to look up statcast numbers.
Starting point is 00:36:33 Yeah. But they're always going to, the expected numbers are always going to be worse for Rockies hitters because I guess the stat cast algorithm just doesn't really factor in Correst Field. It's, you know, it's a unique place. It's a unique place. I mean, there's just no doubt about it.
Starting point is 00:36:48 There's such a bump. That specifically impacts the way the ball moves. You know, that is one of the specific ways in which Corse field. And I think it has the largest outfield in baseball, which is probably also pretty hard. to account for when you're talking about hit probability. Let's take a look at Juan Soto, Chris.
Starting point is 00:37:06 He had three hits, including his fourth home run on Wednesday. He is batting 290, but we have received some emails asking if the shoulder might still be an issue. And maybe it is because he usually hits too many ground balls, Juan Soto. But this year, it's all the way up to 59%. And not every shoulder injury is created equal, but we have seen shoulder injuries set power and cause something like this to happen. So what is your worryometer on Juan Soto, Chris? I think it's got to be like a one just because, like,
Starting point is 00:37:41 if they came out and said, yeah, his shoulder's bothering him, it's going to be an issue all the rest of the season. I would probably have to be a little higher. But, you know, one, you would think the left shoulder for a left-handed hitter would be less important for their swing. You know, obviously that is something that you could see, affecting a hitter's launch angle. But, you know, and just thinking about how you swing,
Starting point is 00:38:03 I feel like that would be more, I guess it could, your back shoulder could impact your ability to get loft. I could see, I guess I could see that. But I don't know, he's mostly still hitting the ball as hard as he ever has. He was never going to be as good as he was last season. That was, you know, a really, really ridiculously good 40-something games for him. But there's no reason to think he won't continue to be one of the best hitters in baseball moving forward. all of his underlying numbers suggest that.
Starting point is 00:38:30 Yep. His expected batting average is 315. His expected slug is 545. This is Juan Soto that we're talking about here. And something that I say all the time, Chris, about a hitter who hits too many ground balls is they need to maintain a very high exit velocity on fly balls and line drives, in particular. And this season, Juan Soto has a 100.4 mile per hour average exit velocity on those batted balls, which is actually better than it was last year. So I do think more power is coming for his second in baseball. He doesn't qualify for the leaderboard, but he would be just ahead of Raphael Devers if he did at what John Carlis Stan obviously number one. My boy, Mani Machado, he went over four on Wednesday, but he is batting 225 with a 716 OPS. He has saved his
Starting point is 00:39:19 season by running more. He has six steals already in just 43 games now it is. Uh, He has six home runs. Counting stats still look fine. It's a great lineup, so I don't think those things are going to go away. It's expected numbers, not nearly as good. And I think Chris,
Starting point is 00:39:34 he's gone back to hitting more fly balls than he did last year. Last year, 22% line drive rate. That was by far a career high. He's got back to hitting a few more ground balls and a few more fly balls. He's always hit a lot of fly balls. That helped him in Camden.
Starting point is 00:39:50 And with that ball that we continuously talk about, I just think that those are kind of turning into lazy fly ball outs. So I'm not as confident in the batting average now for Machado moving forward than I was coming into the season. It's something we talk about a lot in this modern era when we have the baseball savant page open is like launch angle. And his launch angle slightly down from last year, but it's 15.6 degrees in 20, 14.2 right now.
Starting point is 00:40:22 The thing about an average is it's a collection of a bunch of different numbers. and then you divide by the numerator or whatever. If you hit a bunch of batted balls at 20 degrees of launch angle, that's really, really good. If you hit a third of them at 20, a third of them at 8 and a third of them at 32, you're going to have the same average, but the consistency isn't going to be there.
Starting point is 00:40:49 And so that's what we're seeing from him, I think. It's just he's, like you said, a few more ground balls. a few more fly balls, and they're coming out of that line drive bucket. And that's what you don't want to see. But he's also like, he's gotten 11.5% homerun to fly ball rate. Even accounting for the new ball, that's just bad luck.
Starting point is 00:41:09 Mani Machado should be at least 15%. So he's lost a couple of homers like that. All in all, I think there's very little reason to be too concerned about him. And I would be trying to make some buy low offers if anybody's worried. I could see final numbers similar to what he did in 2019, Chris. 256, 32 homers, 81 runs. Actually, no, the counting stats are going to be better. I could see him approaching 200 runs plus RBIs, maybe even exceeding that.
Starting point is 00:41:36 He only had five steals in that 2019 season. He already has more than that. So he's probably going to wind up in somewhere in that 12 to 15 range, maybe a little bit more. But I do think in 250 to 260 is probably where we settle in for Manny Machado on the batting average this year. Francisco Lindor, We've been waiting and waiting and waiting.
Starting point is 00:41:56 He went 0 for 4 on Wednesday. He's batting 189 with a 582 OPS. In 96 games since the start of 2019, he's batting 236 with a 696 OPS. Now, there is nothing right now in the underlying numbers, Chris, that says Lindor is going to be much better. He's going to be better because he's just, he's not going to hit 189.
Starting point is 00:42:19 But there's nothing there. But he also has... There's nothing in the underlying, well, and there's nothing in the underlying numbers that said, that necessarily says, wow, he looks broken. You know, like, he's not striking out all that much, his average ex of velocity, right around where it should be, his hard hit rate, actually a little higher, but that's normal given the, the ball that we're playing with. I'm not saying that there's no reason to be concerned.
Starting point is 00:42:48 And I'm not dismissing his struggle so far. And I'm not saying there are specific, I can't point to something and say that right there. That is how Francisco Lindor is going to turn this around. It's kind of like Luis Castillo, where the pitcher, not the former Marlins, Mets, and twins' second basement. Where like it just kind of looks like he's not playing well. And his own swing. The bad at ball data is, it's weird, Chris. it's weird.
Starting point is 00:43:21 13% line drive rate that's by far a career low last year was 25%. 49% ground ball rate that's high 12% in field fly ball rate it's not the highest mark
Starting point is 00:43:32 of his career but it's three times as much as it was last year. I'm just saying based on what he did in 2019 we might just still be holding on to that season kind of what we said about Blake Snell
Starting point is 00:43:44 recently we might just be holding onto that with Francis Gulenor I still think he's a fantastic player I'm not taking anything away from him. But 32 home runs that came in a season with the juiced ball. I just think that we're probably not going to come anywhere close to that again. He's not a 195 hitter for sure. But he also used to hit like a, well, not even a decent amount of fly balls.
Starting point is 00:44:07 I don't know. The bat at ball date is weird. He will bounce back, but my confidence level is not as high as it was a month ago. He's kind of always been a player who's been a little hard to figure out. and it could be a situation where he was maximizing his home run potential with a with a juiced ball in a way that can't be sustained now because it's not like he has you know massive raw power where he's blasting 420 foot shots but like I said it reminds me of Luis Castillo where it just kind of looks like he's just a little off he's swinging at fewer pitches inside the strike zone but he's also swinging a fewer pitches outside of the strike zone so that that's that's hard to to make sense of my sense is he'll be fine. Maybe if we redrafted, I wouldn't rank him as a top 25 player anymore, but I wouldn't be selling him for like seventh round value right now. I would still, I think if you have Luis Castillo, or Francisco Lindor, your only option is to hold.
Starting point is 00:45:09 For sure, you have to hold him because you're not going to get anything close to the investment that you paid. And I don't think that he's going to return an investment. anywhere close to the second or third round pick that you used on him. What is the highest ranked? Say you have just a ton of starting pitchers on your team, Chris, and a bunch of depth there. Who is the highest ranked starting pitcher that you would offer for Francisco Lindor that is realistic to acquire him?
Starting point is 00:45:34 My rankings are very different from everyone else's, so that's a little bit of a hard exercise to do. Do you think, so like Kevin Gosman had another great start on Wednesday, and he's got a sub-2 ERA. Do you think Kevin Gosman gets it done for Lin-Santis? If you sent that trade offer, would you do it? I think so. I think you could, you could absolutely do that.
Starting point is 00:45:53 And I'm not sure that I would do that. You wouldn't give up your Gosman to get Lindor. No, but I don't think I would need to. I think Lindor moving forward would be the more valuable player. But I think, and looking at my trade chart, like, I do have Lindor ahead of Gosman. So, you know, if you want to go by that, I'm a liar. Lyer. But there is a difference between my sober, rational, you know,
Starting point is 00:46:21 attempt at valuing players and saying this is what I think they will be worth moving forward. That's how I do my trade chart. I do it like my auction values in the preseason. Conception is very, very different from what I'm trying to do. And so I don't think you have, I would, I think Lindor will be better than God's the rest of the season, but I wouldn't necessarily do that trade unless I really, really, if I got off to do an awful start with my hitting and I needed a spark, that is the kind of thing that if Lindor does hit, I mean, that could go a long way to turning your season around.
Starting point is 00:47:01 But, you know, I'm struggling with this question. Would you give up John Means? Again, I would hope I wouldn't have to. I'm thinking more like if I could get him for I don't think I would do that either oh man but I'm saying that
Starting point is 00:47:23 is in like I would rather like I would think I could do Aaron Savali for him and I would definitely do that I agree with you but I don't think I don't think and even a Lindoror fantasy manager who is struggling in pitching I don't think that they would accept Savali
Starting point is 00:47:40 that's just I think that's, yeah, it's really hard. Yeah. Freddie Peralta, like, would you do that? I would do that, yes, because I do have questions about, one, how sustainable what Peralta is doing, and two, how many innings he's going to do while, while throw while doing it.
Starting point is 00:47:56 All right, let's move on. We had a pair of double dongs on Wednesday. Trey Mancini had three hits, and he now leads baseball with 38 RBI. So shout out to Mancini. Got off to a bit of a slow start, but he's really coming along. I moved them inside my top 15 first base.
Starting point is 00:48:10 been inside my top. Same. 35 outfielders and 100% deserved. Trey Mancini looks a lot like the player he was back in 2019. Randy Rosarena also had a double dong. He's now up to six home runs. So he's lagging a little bit there. But he's coming around.
Starting point is 00:48:28 And just a reminder, spoke about this the other day. He has lowered his ground ball rate from 67% in April to 41% in May. We hadn't seen that come to fruition yet, but on Wednesday it did. And it helps playing in Camden Yards, of course. So there you go. Some nice double dongs from Trey Mancini and Randy Arroserana. A few names that might be available on your waiver wire.
Starting point is 00:48:52 Do you want them? Kiki Hernandez had three hits with his fifth home run of the season. He returned on Tuesday and has let off both games for the Red Sox as expected. 33% rostered. Chris, I don't think Kike Hernandez is like a great player. I just think his lineup context is great, man. If you're leading off for the Red Sox, I kind of feel like his roster rate needs to be higher than 33%.
Starting point is 00:49:14 He needs to hit better than he has so far is what it comes down to. In an ideal world, yeah, like the lead-off hitter for the Red Sox should be an incredibly valuable player. But that hasn't really been the case for him so far. If he can be a high 700s OPS bat, which I think he's at 767 right now. So if he can be a little higher than that, especially in the OBP, that's where you would really want him to be better. Because 308 OBP, you're not going to get to take advantage.
Starting point is 00:49:47 If anything, that might be a worse spot for him to be hitting it. You'd rather him hitting fifth if he's going to be a 300 OBP 460 slug guy. For some reason? He's not going to, yeah. Go ahead. Finish your point. Oh, he's just, he's not going to score as many runs as he, quote, unquote, should from that spot. For some reason, Alex Cora just has so much confidence in him and loyalty.
Starting point is 00:50:12 As long as Kike Hernandez has been healthy this year, he's been in that spot. So worth mentioning the Red Sox only play five games next week. So if you're someone who likes to chase volume, that's not the case for Hernandez. These two hitters could be available in deeper leagues. Are you interested, Chris? Jonathan VR has three home runs and two steals over his last seven games. He is triple eligible on CBS. Second, third, and shortstop.
Starting point is 00:50:36 28% rostered. Gregory Polanco went two for three on Wednesday, hit his fourth home run, added three RBI. He now has eight hits over his last seven games, and he even picked up his first hit against a lefty. He is now one for 21 against lefties this season. But he has four homers and four steals in just 32 games. Polanco's kind of coming around, Chris.
Starting point is 00:50:57 Any interest in VR or Polanco? VR should probably be rostered in any Roto league that's deeper than 12 teams or 12 teams or deeper, just because of the stolen base potential on the fact he is playing so much now and likely will moving forward given all the injuries on the Mets, at least for the next couple of weeks you would think. So yeah, I mean, the stolen base potential, he could swipe six or seven bags in the next two weeks. And it doesn't matter what else he does.
Starting point is 00:51:24 That's going to have value. Polanco, I've got a lot of outfield problems in a lot of leagues. I'm currently starting Enrique Hernandez after I just added him while we were talking. and I'm Ed Rosario in one league where I'm somehow competitive. I love how I brought up Enrique Hernandez, and you kind of poo-pooed it, and then you added him. Well, you know, that's what? Situations being what they are.
Starting point is 00:51:56 Actually, yeah, I would prefer not to have to rely to add Gregory Polanco in that league, and I'm not going to do it right now. But, you know, a couple more good games. maybe. I want to talk about Garrett Richards. He was at the Blue Jays, six and two-thirds, seven hits, two runs, four walks, five strikeouts. He now has allowed two runs or less in four of his last five starts. This is Garrett Richards. 35% rostered. Chris, any interest in Garrett Richards? He's kind of been pretty good all year, but not great at any points, really. So it would have to be probably deeper than 12 teams for me to be run.
Starting point is 00:52:37 out to get him unless it's a two-star week next week, which it might be. Oh, they only play five times, so it probably won't be. No, it won't be. He is a one-star pitcher against the Braves next week. Could be a two-star pitcher the following week. Yeah, don't love the matchup there for Garrett Richards, but if you want to stash in advance. Logan Gilbert, oh man, we waited 58 minutes to talk about Logan Gilbert, but he wasn't really good. Again, his second start of the season against the Detroit Tigers.
Starting point is 00:53:03 He has had two prime matchups against Cleveland and against. against Detroit. He allowed three runs over two and two thirds. He only threw 43 strikes out of his 74 pitches. We've got a hold here, right? Chris, we have to be patient with Logan Gilbert. Yeah, I think you want to give him some time. It, the command wasn't there today. You know, from what I saw, he was having a lot of trouble with his breaking balls, especially. He's got that slider in the knuckle curve. You know, the fastball's, you know, a little harder than I think we expected it to be coming in. It wasn't quite. quite as hard this start as it was last time, only 93.8 miles per hour, but I would still be
Starting point is 00:53:43 holding. You know, he's outside of my top 60 at starting pitcher right now, whereas he was someone who probably could have moved up really quickly if he had gotten off to a good start. Let's quickly wrap up with the call to the pen. Some very interesting bullpen updates on Wednesday for the Giants in a one-zero game. Jake McGee pitched in the eighth inning. Then the Giants scored three runs in the ninth, so it was no longer a save opportunity. But clearly, they were saving Taylor Rogers, Tyler Rogers, rather, for the ninth to face the top of the order. So, do you think we are closer to Tyler Rogers as being the guy, Chris, or do you think this is still a matchup-based situation because it's Gabe Caplar, yada, yada, yada. I think he is the
Starting point is 00:54:27 most likely person to get the next save for the Giants. Tyler Rogers. Tyler Rogers, yes. Okay. For the Tampa Bay raised, Diego Castillo recently returned from injury. He was used in the eighth with a three-run lead to face the 5, 6, and 7 in the lineup. Pete Fairbanks was used in the 9th. He converted the save, but did allow a run. Pete Fairbanks is only 17%
Starting point is 00:54:48 rostered, Chris. Diego Castillo's usage has kind of been weird since he's returned from the aisle. Do you think they're just slowly ramping him up? Who do you think it's the next save opportunity there? Castillo or Fairbanks? I think it's probably Castillo. You know, I'm not, did Fairbanks even get half of the save when Castillo was out?
Starting point is 00:55:08 No, he didn't get a single one. Yeah, so I think Castillo's got to be the choice. I mean, he might not be, you know, maybe you take the field over him for the first one. But I would say he's most likely to get most more of the next five or ten. I would not be dropping Diego Castillo, but I think with his injury, the time. of his injury, they've kind of fallen back into like Tampa Bay Rays ways. So, but it could just be like, he could go out and strike out three in his next outing and they're like, all right, we're going back to him.
Starting point is 00:55:43 Yeah, definitely. Or it could be, uh, we're going to have five different saves from five different relievers over the next two weeks for the Tampa Bay Rays. For Cleveland, I don't know, Chris. I don't know. Is it happening? Emmanuel Class A, he was used in the eighth in a three to two game to face the bottom of the lineup, 8, 9 and 1 in the order.
Starting point is 00:56:04 James Carincheck used in the 9th for the save, his second save in as many days, and Emmanuel Class A was not used last night, and he hadn't pitched for like four days before that. So he was available. Is it happening? Is Karenchak
Starting point is 00:56:19 becoming the closer here? Seems like it might be. I can't say for sure, and after the game Terry Francona did give Emmanuel Class A the vote of confidence. He did say, you know, he is our closer, but there was something about like there were lefties coming up or something.
Starting point is 00:56:37 I don't know exactly. I don't know which one of them is better against lefties. This is an amazing problem for the Cleveland Indians to have. I think Brian Shaw has also been really good for them, kind of out of nowhere. They've got a really good bullpen. Yeah, Brian Shaw has an ERA below two. It's a pretty terrible situation for fantasy players,
Starting point is 00:57:00 unless they're willing to just give Karen Chack the job. That would be bad for me with all of my shares of Emmanuel Class A. But Class A has walked six in his previous three appearances before this. So, you know, that could be playing a part in their thinking. And maybe it's just if he settles down, they'll be, they'll go back to him. I don't know. Let's wrap up here, Chris. We hit to stream or not to stream.
Starting point is 00:57:25 We'll start with Thursday, Dane Dunning versus the Yankees, Johnny Quato at the Reds, Drew Smiley versus. the Pirates, Vince Velasquez versus the Marlins, Luis Garcia at Oakland, and Cole Irvin versus the Astros. Garcia and Smiley stand above the pack, I think, for this group of pitchers. And then famous last words,
Starting point is 00:57:50 I'll take Vince Velasquez. I knew it was coming. And it's... That has never worked out well. Yeah, it's hard to blame you, right? It's, you know, the Marlins are... Another team you want to stream against. But yeah, I mean, it's Vince Velasquez.
Starting point is 00:58:05 Like, if there is one pitcher who specifically has never worked out for me in fantasy, it might be Vince Velasquez. Let's take a look forward to Friday to stream or not to stream. And, man, I am looking through. This is not a great group. Let's see. James Caprillion at the Angels. Jose Urania.
Starting point is 00:58:27 At the Royals. Mike Minor versus the Tigers. Tyler Anderson at the Braves Adrian Houser at the Reds Jeff Hoffman versus the Brewers Tristan McKenzie versus the twins this is a very bad group Chris Yeah my
Starting point is 00:58:49 I kind of like undecided against the Orioles He could be pretty good Yeah that's the thing is there's so many Undecided versus the Marlins also could have a van Undecided versus the Twint, the Indians. We have a lot of all those guys. We have a lot of TBDs as of now. Undecided is going to have a great day on Friday.
Starting point is 00:59:11 Gosh, I really want to say Tyler Anderson. He's been really good. I actually have him in a bunch of leagues. Braves have not been good against Ritees this season, but... Tyler Anderson's lefty, Chris. Oh. Yeah. Not that, I mean, I'm sure you don't watch like every Tyler Anderson start.
Starting point is 00:59:31 Was I thinking of Chase Anderson? I think I was thinking of Chase Anderson. In my head. They're kind of similar. Tyler Anderson has been good. His peripherals are actually better than I think he's gotten credit for. I guess I would go with him against the Braves as my top one. Miner had a good start his last time out.
Starting point is 00:59:50 He's going up against Detroit. I don't think Mike Minard's good, but I'd probably go with him. Yeah. I like what I saw from James Caprillion. He's probably not going to give you a lot of volume, but I would put him third on that list. Yeah, angels with no trout. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:04 That's not a bad place to be. All right. For Chris, I am Frank. Thank you all for listening and watching fantasy baseball today. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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