Fantasy Baseball Today - Cam Smith Breakout Game, Rough Pitcher Outings & More! (6/18 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)
Episode Date: June 18, 2025Cam Smith just had his breakout game (3:30). ... The Rockies blasted seven homers against the Nats (9:04). ... News (17:39): Rafael Devers might play first base with the Giants. ... Xavier Edwards is ...hitting well but not running enough (27:29). ... Will Warren keeps racking up strikeouts but remains inconsistent (38:32). ... What to do with Jesus Luzardo, Matthew Liberatore and other questionable pitchers (42:33)? ... Have you thought about these five big topics (49:38)? ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpen updates and streamers (1:00:51). Fantasy Baseball Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday Download and Follow Fantasy Baseball Today on Spotify: https://sptfy.com/QiKv Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi Follow FBT on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1 Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CPTowers @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports.
Got a fantasy question?
Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com.
Get ready to win your league.
Now here's Frank Scott and Chris.
What's up and welcome in Tough Fantasy Baseball today on Wednesday, June 18th.
I am Frank Sample joined by Chris Towers today on the show.
Kind of a rough night for pitching, not all around,
but just some bad ones tonight.
We got Cam Smith's breakout game,
Rafi Devers' Giants debut, and much more.
But Chris, congrats to you and your Florida Panthers.
Donning the Jersey.
Back to back, man, Dynasty?
It's a dynasty.
Sunrise, Florida, Title Town, USA, baby.
They're going crazy at the Grand Lux Cafe.
They're tipping over.
They're lighten couches on fire.
Sunrise Boulevard.
It's the most boring suburb in America
where the Panthers have their arena.
It's very funny to me.
I am pretty sure that's where Scott took me out for dinner
when we met up in Florida.
It was great.
I enjoyed it.
They're banging pots and pans
outside of the Flanagan's on Flamingo Road.
Flanigans, I also went to.
Oh, Flanagan.
Nando de Pino's recommendation.
It was awesome.
It's great.
I loved it.
The real Stanley Cup is the green
plastic Flanagan's Cup that every single person in South Florida has in their cupboard somewhere.
Yes, so congrats to you. Honestly, I don't know a lick about hockey. It's like the only sport
I've never been able to get into. I never played it. So maybe that's part of it, but I saw that they
won. So congrats to you, Chris. Let's jump in. Can you believe it? Wow. All right, let's get into
players of the night. And Chris, I think that game finally went final here. Cam Smith. Breakout game.
Smith, yeah, two home runs. First home runs in, I think it was almost exactly two months for Cam Smith. He went four for five, three RBI, a double, four hard hit balls. And I do wonder if it's just taking him a little while to catch up. You know, like he came out of the gates and really struggled. Then in May, he started hitting for a really high batting average, but he was sacrificing power.
for it. And then maybe this is what it starts to look like when he, when the game slows down and,
you know, he starts to figure it out. Like it's one game. He hadn't had many multi-hit games in the last
couple of weeks before this. But this is a big game. And because Cam Smith is such a talented
young player with so much upside, I think it's worth treating it as if this is the start of him
figuring it out just because if it is, this is your last chance to get him. And I think,
you know, this was someone number eight pick in last year's draft, only played 32 games as a
professional before making his major league debut. A slow start would make sense. So I'm willing to
treat this as if it's the start of a breakout just because if it is, it could be huge.
If you look at over his last 30 games for Cam Smith.
He is batting 308 now with two home runs because of tonight.
15 RBI, 14 runs, two steals, and in 813 OPS.
So he has been hitting well.
He's been hitting the ball hard.
I mean, during that stretch, it is a 91.9 average exit velocity.
The problem for Cam Smith is a lot of it is line drives and ground balls.
So launch angle, and I think we heard that.
I think someone made the comp of like Alec Bome coming into the season.
And so launch angle is something that he's going to have to work on here.
But man, if he can ever tap into any type of pullside playing his home games in Houston,
obviously there is a lot of potential there.
I did see this tweet from Chandler Rome, who covers the Astros.
Cam Smith is the fourth youngest player in Astros history to have a four-hit two-homer game,
the three who were younger, Carlos Correa, Joe Morgan, and Russie.
Stobb. So yeah,
a huge game there for Cam Smith
who is 56%
rostered, has third base and
outfield eligibility.
Do you think a game like this
requires a must-add tag
for Cam Smith? Yeah,
I think so. Look, there are
leagues like
jerks and pro far is coming back
in two weeks. He's going to be the number two hitter
for the Braves and he's only 28% rostered.
I think it's likelyer that Jerks
and Profar is more useful than Cam Smith.
So if they're both available and you're looking for an upside play,
I might prioritize jerks and pro far.
But I think Cam Smith, it's entirely possible that he just takes off and becomes a star.
Like we've thought that was within the realm of possibility for him all along.
And like I said, I think you should treat this as if it's the breakout because if it's not, whatever.
Most players you pick up on June 18th aren't going to be useful for the.
the whole season. He has the potential to be not just useful, but must start. So I would treat it as
if he's a must add player right now. And what's especially interesting about it, if you think back to
last year, this is around the time that Jackson Merrill and Jackson Churio really started to take off
as well. And look, I'm not sure Cam Smith is the same level prospect as those guys, but he was a
highly regarded prospect coming into the season. So perhaps he did just take some time here. I think
an interesting either or here is Addison Barger, who's also been hitting well and a fun way for
the Blue Jays to walk it off here on Tuesday night.
Bo Bichette comes up game-tying home run in the ninth inning.
Boom, back to back with Addison Barger who walked it off here.
And he's hitting 264, eight home runs, 819 OPS, hitting the ball hard, expected stats look good.
Also right around 60% rostered.
So, I mean, that might just be a decision, a decision straight up.
Who would you rather have, Chris?
Addison Barger or Cam Smith?
I'd rather have Camp Smith.
I think he's the more talented player.
There's less of a platoon concern there.
I think it's more likely we've already seen the best of Addison Barger.
And I don't think that's the case with Camp Smith.
Yeah, I hear what you're saying, man.
And I know that Cam Smith was the better prospect,
but Barger's data is so good, man.
93.5 average X-Exiv velocity, barrel rate is great.
285XBA, 520x slug.
I would go with Barger,
but I totally understand
we were saying that this might be your last chance
to go ahead and grab Cam Smith.
Barger's got to be more rostered already, right?
No, he's right around 60%.
Oh, okay, that's surprising.
Yeah, so they're both in a similar range
and you might have to make that decision.
So I say Barger, Chris is Cam Smith.
If you're listening, go with your heart,
or whoever you like more on the podcast.
Just ask Scott.
Yeah, there you go.
Go tweet at him.
Let's talk about my players of the night
I keep doing this, I'm kind of cheating
But I'm just gonna go with all the Rockies
And get it out of the way because it was a big game
Much needed, they blasted seven home runs as a team
On the road no less here
And just gonna run down the line
Hunter Goodman, we keep talking about him
One for five with his 14th home run
Now has seven home runs in June
Hitting 285, 14 homers
848 OPS on the season
I'm gonna update the rankings on
Wednesday
trying to figure out how high to get Hunter Goodman in the catcher rankings.
It's an interesting talking point.
I could definitely move him ahead of Logan O'Hoppy,
but then you get some...
Yeah, he's gotten cold, yeah.
Herrera, Jainer Diaz, Salvador Perez,
like, are you ready to move Goodman ahead of any of those names?
Not really, no, I don't think so.
I understand if you want to.
I understand if you have him ahead of Augustine Ramirez as well.
I think that's perfectly reasonable.
I haven't done it yet.
Mm-hmm.
All right, so yeah, I'm going to move Goodman up to 9th at least.
There's an argument for him to be higher,
but obviously being a top 10 catcher in this current environment
is a pretty good thing right now.
Yeah.
Let's talk about Ryan McMahon, who went two for four with a walk
in his 11th home run and got off to a very slow start
since the beginning of May, 42 games.
He's hitting 274 with nine home runs, 22 runs, 20 RBI,
and an OPS around 900.
overall, Ryan McMahon has a 94.7 average exit velocity.
He is crushing the ball.
He's down to 52% rostered.
I don't think he really matters in points leads, Chris,
just because he strikes out so much,
it's like a 30% strikeout rate.
But if he was dropped in any Roto leagues for sure,
but even category leagues where you could stream him when he's at home,
I think that's fine.
Yeah, I think fine is the word for Ryan.
Ryan McMahon. We've been doing this long enough with him where he has these stretches where he
looks really good. It always ends up being a low to mid-700s OPS bat. It always ends up being
20 to 23 home runs. It's actually not even 20 to 23. It's been exactly 20 or 23 for for
Ryan McMahon. So that's that is one where yes, he's hitting the ball hard. I don't know how much
I care about that just because the track record's so long for Ryan McMahon.
I think he is what he is.
Yeah, he just got off to such a slow start that if he gets the numbers to where they should
be and where they usually are, that means he's probably going to be pretty good the rest of the
way to get those numbers to where they should be.
Again, he's 52% rostered.
I would very clearly take Cam Smith over him.
I would take Addison Barger.
But if those guys are gone, you're in a Categories League.
I would take a look at Ryan McMahon.
Tyro Ischrada is on the board with his first home run of the season, and he's,
He's been hitting well lately.
He's up to a 288 batting average.
A problem here he left after getting hit by a pitch on his fingers.
So it sucks because the timing not so great here.
Again, he was hitting well, picking things up.
17% rostered.
Deeper league name, I think you can look at leagues with middle infield spots.
Again, he's kind of playing him in the right matchups when he's at home,
but also got to make sure he's healthy after getting hit by that pitch.
Welcome back to Michael Tolia, who returned on Monday.
He went three for five with a double don.
here, three RBI, and he was hitting well in the miners, and I just want to remind people
of what Michael Tolia is capable of. Last year, from June 1st on, he hit 21 home runs with
10 steals and an 800 OPS. So there still is some upside here. He's very streaky. There's
lots of strikeouts, 17% rostered. But Chris, if he was dropped in like a 15-team Roto League,
which is pretty likely, I'd probably take a second look here at Michael
Tolio. Look, I was wrong on Michael Tobler coming into the season. I thought he was going to have a
breakout season. He had a 358 expected Wobah last year and underperformed it by one of the biggest
margins we've ever seen from Iraqi. The upside is clearly here. I think he could hit 245 with
a 30 homer pace the rest of the way. Of course, I thought that coming into the season and it didn't happen.
So I think he's worth adding.
I did add him in one league on Sunday night.
And it's possible that he's just a super streaky hitter or a super volatile hitter.
And when he's not hot, he is incredibly cold.
But when he's hot, he gets really hot.
So I'm willing to buy in.
Yeah, at least in the deeper leagues.
Anything shallower than a 15-teamer and only leagues, no, we need to see.
a lot more, but, you know, in leagues that deep, it's, you're almost looking for anyone
as a pulse. So, uh, especially someone who has an ounce of upside. Yeah, I would, I would have
some interest in Tolia just in those deeper formats. And in even deeper leagues, Mickey Moniac is
picking things up. We talked about him yesterday. One for four with a sock and a shoe in this
game. Last seven, he's hitting 429 with four homers and a stolen base. I know he hasn't been playing
every day, but these are the Rockies we're talking about. They need talent on the field. And Mickey
Moniac is producing.
So I think he's going to get a chance to play here.
Very, very deep league stuff.
And only 15 team roller leagues with five outfielders,
Mickey Moniac.
Just a name to look at there as well.
Before we hit our first break,
reminder two, sign up for the FBT newsletter.
If you haven't already, if you're watching on YouTube,
you can scan the QR code.
That will take you right to the website
where you can sign up for free.
Chris, get people sell it a little bit.
What do you got going on?
What should people expect from the FBT newsletter?
Oh, well, every single,
day you get about 3,000 to 4,000 words sent to you, recapping the previous day, looking at the top
waiver wire targets, the biggest standout, it's all the news you need to know. Sometimes I'll
throw in just kind of a random feature if it's a slow day, you know, something I've been batting
around. So tomorrow it's, you know, just making the case for why Juerks and Profar is a must
ad player. He made his rehab debut on Tuesday. He's going to hit second for the Braves on July 2nd.
And I had some concerns coming into the season or after the suspension, excuse me, that like,
if they knew he wasn't going to be there for the postseason, would they really play him every
day? Well, there's seven games under 500 right now. They just need to get to the playoffs before
they worry about that. And their left fielders have like a 500 OPS combined. So, yeah, Jerks and Prophers
going to play every single day at the top of what should be a pretty good lineup. I think he needs
to be basically universally rostered. All right. And big thanks to those watching live. Make sure to
hit the like button and subscribe on YouTube as well. Let's take a break and we'll be back right after
this. Welcome back in Fantasy Baseball today. News and Notes and in Raphael Devers's introductory
press conference with the Giants, he said he is willing to play defensively wherever they want him to,
which is objectively hilarious, Chris,
after declining to play first base with the Red Sox.
He was in the lineup as the DH batting third.
In his Giants debut, he went two for five with an RBI double.
But apparently, we'll field ground balls at first base,
which opens up the possibility of playing there at some point this season,
which would be welcome.
I don't really want Devers to be util only for fantasy next season.
So get us those 20 games at first base if you can.
Yeah, and I've seen.
people who, I don't know, are pretending like they're confused about this.
Like, oh, he was willing to, he wasn't willing to do it for the Red Sox. And it's like, yeah,
he wasn't willing to do it for the Red Sox. He made that perfectly clear that I went back and
found multiple instances of Alex Cora saying one thing in the offseason. It was he's our third
basement. I think the talk about moving him has been overblown. We have no plans of moving him.
And then they signed Alex Bregman and immediately want him to move. And then the
day Tristan Kossas got hurt, Alex Kora went out and said, we have no plans to ask him to play first base.
I don't know why we would even ask him. He's gotten comfortable. Why would we do that? And the next day,
Craig Bresel asks him to play first base. So like, I just, I think it was, I don't, I will not play the field for you, the Boston Red Sox after the way they handled the situation.
And look, man, maybe Craig Breslo will end up being a very good president of baseball operations or whatever title he has.
Maybe he's got a really great eye for talent.
I don't know.
He's probably a smart dude.
I think he has a lot of work to do on the managing people part of this.
And I think he clearly mishandled this situation.
And I am not at all surprised that Raphael Devers is willing to switch positions for a team that actually wants him.
the Red Sox just didn't seem like they wanted him.
And I think that's the bigger problem.
Yeah.
And I know some people were asking about Giants prospect,
Bryce Eldridge, what's going to happen there?
Giants Brass already came out and said that he's going to continue to focus on first base as well.
And that's something they've already talked to Raphael Devers about.
So perhaps in the future it's a situation where, you know,
if Eldridge makes it and he's a legit major league player,
you know, maybe they share first base in DH, something like,
that, but it does sound like Eldridge will continue to focus on first base.
Communication. Who knew?
Yeah. It's key. It's vital.
Tyler Glass now threw two innings and about 40 pitches in a live batting practice on Tuesday.
He's slowly working his way back.
Will Vest passed all tests and has been declared ready to pitch.
He suffered a finger injury on Sunday, but seems all good for now.
Luke Weaver threw a 20-pitch live batting practice on Tuesday.
first time facing hitters since suffering that hamstring injury.
We'll be interesting to see who the closer is for the Yankees once Luke Weaver is back.
You have references a few times already, Chris, but jerks and pro far will begin a rehab assignment with AAA on Tuesday, which, you know, is already in the past.
So I don't know why I said it like that.
He went he went two for four with a walk, I believe.
He has started a rehab assignment currently suspended for PEDs, but is eligible to return on July 2nd.
8% rostered is
Jerks and ProFar
Is he someone you would call a must
add all formats, even three
outfieler leagues?
Yeah, I think so. Yeah, I mean, that he
certainly was last year.
He may not be that good again,
but I think the upside's absolutely there. I mean, I saw
like Chase Burns is already 60%
roster. It's the same situation.
Right? Like,
you're just stashing someone with the
hope that they will figure it out.
Nick Hertz, Jack Haggleyone, those
guys were getting up to like 60, 70%
rostered, I think Jurekson
ProFar at least has to be at
that range. And I'd say
100. Yeah.
You might have answered this earlier, but
would you rather pick up Cam Smith or
stash Profar?
Because ProFar's
roster rate is low right now and it's not
like he's not going to have a big
game at the Major League level that convinces
everyone to add him. So I think
you can make Smith more of a priority, but
I think Profar has
well, certainly a higher floor.
So, yeah, I think it's close, but I would prioritize Smith.
These are the most added outfielder's right now.
Evan Carter's at the top.
Would you take pro far over Carter?
I think I would, yeah.
What about Joe Adele?
Yes.
Jeff McNeil.
McNeil does have second base eligibility, but I'd still go pro far.
You love you. You love Jeff McNeil.
I love that.
He's been really good for, like,
almost a year now.
Yeah, he has.
And Willie Castro, who
does have an OPS over
1050.
We'll talk about that in just a second.
He is eligible everywhere, right?
Like four different eligibility.
Second, third, shortstop outfield.
Yeah.
That's probably team dependent,
but I think pro far is a better player.
Yeah, let me address this now.
So, Fantasy feud last night,
there is a bit of a scandal involved here
because I asked you guys for
players with an OPS over 1050 in the month of June. You said Willie Castro, Scott said Ronald
Ocuna, I said no to both of those. It turns out that was a lie because, and I don't know why,
but I was using MLB.com to look at stats, you know, leaders in June, and their qualifications
must be different because when I looked at Fangraphs, Ocunia and Willie Castro were both qualified
and had OPSs over 1050. So I apologize. I clearly, I think,
what this means is that I actually won.
There you go. Double or nothing, triple or nothing. It goes to Chris.
Emmett Sheehan will return and start Wednesday against the Padres in 11 and a third
innings in the minors this season. It was a 397 ERA.97 whip. 21 strikeouts to one walk
with a 23% swinging trite. Incredibly small sample size. Want to get that out of the way.
But this is someone who had sleeper appeal a couple years ago. 24% rostered. What size
leagues, if any, Chris, would you be looking to add Emmett Sheehan?
I think 12-team Roto Leagues, it's okay to add him.
And I will say it's especially, it was especially worth adding him this week before he
debuted and you would still potentially have that opportunity because if your lineup
locks for the week, you can stash him in an IL spot for this week, get a look at him
this week when he makes his debut and then decide whether you want to activate him next week
or not. It's tougher to say that in a daily
transactions league, but yeah, I
think it's worth taking a shot. I don't expect I'm at Sheehan to go
six innings tomorrow or anytime soon really because it's the Dodgers and he's
coming back from Tommy John surgery. But the stuff is really good. It's been there
on the minor league rehab assignment. He's averaging like 96.4
with his fastball is actually up from 2023. So there's plenty of
upside here. It's just the floor.
is in the basement here.
Yeah. And in his final rehab start, he threw 63 pitches.
So I would expect 65 to 70.
I don't think the Dodgers will push him past 70 pitches here on Wednesday.
Again, that's Emmett Sheehan.
AJ Puck will visit Dr. Neil E.Troge after experiencing more left elbow discomfort.
Max Scherzer is aiming to throw 70 to 75 pitches in his second rehab start at AAA on Wednesday.
If all goes well, his next start would come with the Blue Jays.
Tyler McGill was placed on the IL with a right elbow sprain,
and I know Sean Mania is getting close,
so he could be a fill-in as soon as next week, I feel like, for the Mets.
Frankie Montas has been a disaster on his rehab assignment.
And they were going to be working on his mechanics anyway,
so I'm not surprised that there's been some shakiness there.
Sean Mania is 66% rostered, so still out there in some leagues.
Yeah, no, I think Shamanai is a very fine stash.
Gabriel Moreno was scratched from the lineup due to right hand soreness.
Luis Heel is scheduled to throw against batters on Saturday, his first time doing so,
since suffering the lat injury.
They're hoping that he returns after the All-Star break.
Bryson Stott was back in the lineup after hyper-extending his elbow on Monday.
Trevor Rogers has been added to the Orioles taxi squad
and is expected to start Wednesday against the raise.
The numbers in the minors this season have been terrible.
But he did make one star with the Orioles earlier this season
and he pitched really well.
Six and a third shutout with five strikeouts.
So I don't think you should add Trevor Rogers
anywhere outside of AL-only leagues,
but it's a name to watch.
And Adam Mazur, who I still wish his name was Adam Mazer,
would be much better.
It's Adam Major.
He is expected to start to make a start with the Marlins at some point this week.
And in the minors, he's been okay this season 362 ERA 122 whip, 8.3K per 9.
He's 1% rostered, similar to Rogers and only league sure.
Name to watch, but let's see where it goes from here.
Let's take a look at some waiver wire hitters outside of the ones we already talked about.
And Addison Barger, we already mentioned him.
Xavier Edwards, with his first stolen base since returning from the high.
He went three for five with his 12th steal.
He's hitting 396 since returning,
but Chris, we need more steals.
I mean, he doesn't really provide anything else.
This is his first start in 14 games since coming back.
He also has two caught stealing, so, I mean, he's tried,
but hasn't been very successful.
69% rostered for Xavier Edwards,
that kind of sounds right.
Yeah, I don't think there's any reason to roster him in a points league,
and he's on pace for like 75 runs
and he's been batting lead off pretty much all season.
That's really bad.
And that's, by the way,
giving,
that's just the 56 games he's played.
That's not like the overall pace.
You know,
that's giving him the benefit of the doubt for the games he's played.
He has 25 runs in 56 games.
And the problem with Xavier Edwards is he stole 31 bases and 35 attempts last year.
And he's been a good base dealer in the month.
miners. He is not very fast. I was just looking at his sprint speed. I can't believe how low it is.
Well, it was only 78th percentile last year, which is obviously better than it is now. It's
62nd percent of, but like he has not had elite speed. And you see that on defense especially. He's a
really poor defender at shortstop. So like, he needs to be a lot better as a base steeler to really
matter for fantasy. The batting average is good. It's kind of like a one and a half category profile
right now. Like if he's a 35 stolen base guy like his pace, okay, that's fine, but it's not
particularly impactful anymore when he doesn't do anything else. So I don't think he needs to
be any more rostered than he currently is. Let's move over to Alec Berluson, who has been hitting
well three for five with his sixth home run and two RBI. Last 26 games, he's hitting
3.59, four homers
in OPS over 900.
Exit velocity, 91.6
miles per hour during that time.
And he has started every
game except one since
May 30th.
So, I don't know how Scott did this
yesterday. I'm going to have to ask him.
I don't know how to see
quickly how many lefties he's faced
like in a time period.
But, I mean, if you know how to look it up, go for it.
But yeah, Burleson has played every game
except one since
May 30th. So he's either playing against some
lefties or they have faced
no lefties recently.
And even with that, Brolinson's been hitting really
well. So 57%
rostered, it's
tough, Chris, because I think this profile
plays well in a points league, but we
really kind of need assurance that he's going to play every
day for him to matter in that format.
Yeah, he has started
seven games against
lefties all season.
He's nine for 30,
batting 300 against lefties for what it's
So perhaps they're gaining confidence in using him.
Maybe.
You know, they've had a few injuries lately.
Newpar had missed a couple days, right?
Jordan Walker was on the aisle.
So maybe that was clearing up some opportunities.
But yeah, he's only started seven of 25 against lefties overall.
So maybe those seven have come lately.
I don't know how to check that.
My guess is he's just not really playing a ton of
against lefties and it's just the schedules worked out in his favor so far.
Yeah.
I like the skill set here, man.
I made this comp in the off season.
He kind of reminds me of Josh Naler.
I don't think there's as much power, but just how much contact he makes.
And again, his average exit velocity is 91 miles per hour.
You know, if he ever optimized the launch angle a little bit, like, you know, we just saw
21 homer nine steel season out of him last year.
So I still like the skill set.
57% rostered.
I think that's probably fine for now for Burlinson,
but I mean,
if we start to see him play against lefties
and play every day,
then I think,
you know,
maybe he's a name that can matter
in points leagues as well.
Javier Baez continues his Renaissance season three
for four with a double dong,
and so far in June,
he's hitting 340 with a 937 OPS.
He's third base shortstop
and outfield eligible.
Problem here is he still sits out some games every now
and then Chris,
this kind of feels like a better story
for real,
life than it is for fantasy. Javier Bias. Yeah. Yeah, there was a like a really good week in there where he
was doing a lot, but maybe it was two weeks, but it had been pretty cold since then. I
don't think there's much reason to buy into it. The underlying numbers don't really back it up.
It's a great story, but not something you really need to buy into for fantasy.
What about Luis Rehnhefo who's picking things up?
Two for four with a run and RBI last seven games.
He's hitting 346, two homers, one steel, 923 OPS.
And mentioned him yesterday as one of the biggest underachievers,
according to expected stats so far of the season.
He was really good last year.
Wouldn't surprise me if he kind of takes off here.
22% rostered, second and third base eligible.
Kind of a deep league name here, but, you know, Renhifo is someone,
I think he was like a top 175 pick in all draft.
So if he was dropped, would you look back at Luis Renhifo?
The thing that's really tough about Renhifo is last year was a big outlier,
both in terms of batting average and steals.
He had 24 steals on 31 attempts.
He had 300.
He's a 250 hitter for his career and like a 65% stolen base guy.
And he's pretty slow.
38th percentile in sprint speed this year.
It was 37th percentile last year.
And he hasn't really been running.
So, like, I think he can be useful, Luis Renhifo, like that 275 batting average.
Okay, that can be pretty useful.
Maybe he pushes it to 280.
I just don't know if he's going to do him a lot else, you know?
Yeah, it's not like he has good, like, raw power.
Yeah.
The biggest thing going for him last year was that Ron Washington was just so aggressive on the base
pass.
Not he himself, because I don't think Ron Washington is very fast at this point in his life.
You know, the team was aggressive,
and I did want to quickly pull up where they rank.
I feel like they haven't stolen many bases this season.
Yeah, I don't think that it doesn't feel like,
because, like, Adele's pace has been down.
It doesn't feel like we're getting a ton from,
well, we're not getting a ton from Renhifa.
Netto has been running a decent amount.
Wow, the Angels are 29th in steals this season.
This is basically just Netto.
And last year, they were 12th.
Okay, I thought they were better, but I mean, still, 12th.
You know, they had 133 steals of the team last year.
Everybody had the green light.
This year, their second of last, it's still the same manager,
so kind of surprising that they haven't been as aggressive so far this season.
Some names in the deepest of leagues.
Wenzel Perez has quietly been solid for the Tigers.
Two for four with his fifth homer.
He has homered in back-to-back games.
He's hitting 316.
He has an OPS over 1,000.
And Dylan Carlson, who is now on the Orioles,
is he a thing?
I don't know,
three for four with his second steal.
He's played almost every day
since May 24th,
which is a 21 game span,
where he's hitting 33 with four homers,
two steals,
an OPS over 900.
Chris, do either of these matter
in deeper leagues?
Wenzell Perez and Dylan Carlson.
So I'll admit
I have not looked at Dylan Carlson.
The underlying numbers
don't really suggest
that there's much going on here.
even like the last 50 plate appearances,
the ex-Wobos 3-41.
Okay, that's useful.
But when your hot streak is like a slightly above average hitter,
that's not really, I think, worth getting excited about.
Perez is potentially really interesting.
His quality of contact metrics are phenomenal.
91.2 mile per hour average exit velocity,
expected batting average 332, X slug 588.
like the expected stats
suggest one Seale Perez
is one of the best hitter in baseball right now.
He had a 291 X-Woba last year.
That's 115 points lower than his current one
in a much larger sample size.
He was not an especially special player in the minors.
I think
one Sele Perez is just hot
and it's not really worth
chasing.
If you're the type of person
who wants to play the hot hand,
his is sizzling right.
now. That's the best I can say right now, though. Yeah, and he's just a name for deeper leagues.
I will point out the pull-the-air percentage for Wenzell Perez, 36%. Yeah. So, even if you don't fully
buy into the quality of contact, him keeping that up, I mean, if he's pulling the ball in the
air that much, you know, he might be able to make it work. All right, let's take our final break.
When we return, we'll talk some waiver-wire pitchers, some rough pitcher outings and a couple
other things. We'll do all of that right after this. Welcome back in fantasy baseball today. Let's take a look
at Waverwire pitchers. The first name in the shallowest of leagues, Will Warren, 77% rostered, and he
had an interesting start against the Angels. It was a quality start, six innings three runs with a career
high, 11 strikeouts, had 14 whiffs on 93 pitches. Obviously, it's a great matchup here against the Angels.
They strike out a lot. The ERA and WIP just remain kind of untenable here, Chris, but, but,
But the strikeouts and the underlying numbers,
like everything seems to love Will Warren.
I just,
I don't know if it's all going to come together.
Like maybe at some point,
but I don't know,
he's still so,
so inconsistent this early in his career.
Well,
and the problem is that's kind of been the Will Warren problem
the last couple years,
even in the minors.
He had a 591 ERA in 2024.
I know pitching in the International League
is not easy anymore.
It's become a really tough place to pitch,
but,
it's been a long time since Will Warren has had a low ERA.
You got to go back to 2023.
So I like this skill set.
I think there's some interesting stuff going on.
The underlying numbers are much better.
And I think Will Warren is certainly a hold.
At 77% rostered, I think you just hold him.
It's a two-start week.
You probably added him.
I would guess he was lower than that before this week.
Hang on to him.
See if he can start to turn it around.
But the inflated ERA is, yeah, tough to stomach right now.
Are you buying into any of these three?
Ben Brown with an okay start against the Brewers, five innings, two runs, five strikeouts.
The whiffs were down in this one.
Michael Soroka, quality start against the Rockies.
Chris add another one to the checklist.
Quality start against the Rockies.
Six innings, three runs with a season high, nine strikeouts for Soroka.
And Slate Cicconi, a solid outing at the Giants.
Five innings, two runs, six strikeouts, 14.
on 82 pitches continues to do some interesting things here with Slate Cicconi.
Any interest in him, Michael Soroka or Ben Brown?
I think Ben Brown and Michael Sorroca are very similar.
Really, really have two pitches.
Yeah, really, really good breaking ball.
And they have both very rarely thrown a new kick change.
I think they both in the last like two weeks have introduced a kick change.
And that's worth watching.
but it has not been a good particularly good pitch for either of them yet.
So that's the one thing that is holding them back.
They've both got an elite breaking ball, though.
Michael Soroka Slurv has been really good.
I just don't know if that's enough.
And both are right around 40 to 50% rostered.
I don't think that needs to be higher.
I will say Soroka.
You don't want to start him against the Dodgers later this week.
He does get the Angels next week.
I think that could be pretty useful.
I think Soroka as a streamer for next week is pretty interesting.
All right.
And just wanted to mention Kyle Hendricks, party like it's 2016, I guess.
He owned the Yankees, six shutout innings with nine strikeouts,
13 whiffs on 98 pitches.
Nine strikeouts, the most in a start for Kyle Hendricks,
since September 18th of 2020.
So I don't really think this matters much for fantasy,
but I mean, the Yankees are just in a rut right now.
The Yankees are cold right now and Kyle Hendricks caught them at a good time.
Aaron Judge is really slumping.
I don't expect that to continue, but good for Cal Hendricks.
He did it.
I have no interest in that in Kyle Hendricks.
Aaron Judge, 0 for 4 with three strikeouts in this game.
41% strikeout rate in June leads all qualified hitters.
The Yankees haven't scored in 29 innings,
and they have lost five in a row.
So, ha, Bronx, bombers, who?
What's going on here?
What do we do with these pitchers, Chris?
Jesus Lozardo, we thought he was back.
And then he had another bad one, this time against the Marlins.
Five plus innings, six hits, four runs, four walks, four strikeouts.
The whiffs were there, but struggled to throw strikes.
57% of his pitches for strikes, four walks, a season high here.
He's just kind of going through it.
He's nowhere close to a drop.
but I think he's just a start.
I get using him in a two-star week because I used him anywhere I had him,
but I don't know.
I might think twice about using him next week.
I mean, come on, man.
It's against the Marlins, you know?
Well, sure.
One start ago, he had 12 strikeouts against the Cubs.
I kind of just think you start Jesus Lazzardo and you just hope he pulls out of this.
I think the start to start upside is too high.
And like this was a bad start.
It was nowhere near as concerning as the the two bad starts prior.
This if if not for the two bad starts, the really, really bad starts where he gave up 21 runs, we don't even think about this.
We don't give this start a second thought.
Yeah.
It was bad, but it was a run-of-the-mill bad start, not something that I'm like I think dropping Hazel's Lazzardo would be a huge mistake.
I agree with that completely.
Like, I'm nowhere near that level.
But at the Braves next week, I don't know, their lineup hasn't been that great.
They still have talented guys, but it's...
I'm starting them.
What about Chris Bassett who had a quality start here and, you know, pretty okay, pretty solid start.
I don't really, you know, but I'm going to talk about them in a negative way, basically here.
Because if you think about the start that he got off to, now his last 11 starts for Bassett,
486 ERA and a 138 whip under a strikeout per inning.
Still doing a good job, limiting walks, limiting hard contact, and getting ground balls.
So I think he's kind of in that Jose Barrios range, Chris,
but is he, he's not just like a must start every time out, right?
It's kind of more based on matchup, I think, at this point.
Yeah, I mean, look, the problem is I don't know if would you have said coming into this start,
yeah, Arizona, good matchup, start Chris Bassett.
No.
I don't know how much.
the matchup matters. And the other problem with Chris Bassett is, even when things are going well right now, it's a lot of base runners. It's been a 130 whip all season, 138 over the last 11 starts. That makes it tough. I think he's probably just a matchup's play, probably starting him more than not, but certainly not a must start guy. Is he a definite hold? He's 96% rostered. I think he's out.
there, you know, like, I think I'd rather take the flyer on Jacob Reziorowski, but you missed
the boat on that one already. I don't know if anybody else is out there. There might be someone
in the, you know, in a handful of leagues, but there's nobody obvious coming to mind to drop
Chris Bassett for. But that's not to say I'm opposed to dropping Chris Bassett.
What about Matthew Liberator, who bounced back with a quality start against the White Sox,
six innings, two runs, four strikeouts, zero walks, but he had just four.
four swinging strikes on 86 pitches in this one.
He had allowed 11 hard hits, 95.7 average exit velocity.
So feels pretty fortunate to come away with a quality start here.
And his previous three starts before this one,
it was an ear ray over 10, a 193 whip.
Just kind of feels like he's hitting a wall here, Chris.
What are we doing with Matthew Libertor?
I'm holding him in head-to-head points league because he's a spark.
I think in Roto, I'm totally fine.
looking for something else more interesting.
I don't know what that is right now.
But I don't think he's someone
you can be open to dropping.
What about Shane Smith who had a clunker
on the other side?
Four and a third inning, six runs.
Five of those earned,
three walks to two strikeouts.
And actually,
this was his first time allowing
more than three earned runs all season
for Shane Smith.
Overall, it's still a 285 ERA,
a 122 whip.
But two of his last four starts have been pretty rough.
79% rostered, also a SPARP.
So is this just a hold in a points league?
What do we do in category leagues?
Yeah, holding points.
I wish Scott was on.
I know he's been more impressed by Shane Smith.
I...
The Arsenal still looks pretty interesting to me overall.
I think he's interesting.
I don't think he's nearly as good as his ERA.
That I agree with.
I think he's more like a kind of like a three, five to three,
370-R-A guy?
Yeah, I would say closer to four even.
And part of the problem is he's just continued to struggle
holding his velocity deep into starts.
You know, he'll start out 96-97.
And by the fourth, fifth, sixth inning,
when he gets to the sixth inning,
it's more like 93, 94, 95.
He's got good extension.
The overall arsenal, like you said, looks pretty good.
But I just, I don't know if it's all there yet.
Yeah, he has at least.
four pitches that look good to pretty good.
He gets whiffs on his fastball,
25% whiff rate on that pitch.
The change-up and curb ball
have whiff rates over 35%.
So I definitely think the White Sox found
something here with Shane Smith.
I also don't think he threw many
innings last season in the minors.
So he's another one that maybe
as the season goes on, we kind of see a little
bit of fatigue. So 94 in a third
innings. So he's up to 72 and two-thirds. You know, once we get up over a hundred, you know,
maybe we start to see a little bit more fatigue here. Maybe some shorter starts from Shane Smith as well.
What do we do with Jack Leiter, who had a good matchup here against the Royals, and he crashed and
burned. Five and two-thirds, eight hits, six runs allowed, three homers allowed in this one. Twelve hard
hits, 95.4, average exit velocity, a 4-40 ERA, a 129 whip. He's kind of been,
able to like fake his way through it
Chris like there have been some good outcome starts
here but the walks are trending up
the strikeouts are down I think
Jacklighters are drop I have no idea
why he is 83% rostered
that that doesn't make any sense
I think it's name value honestly
yeah I
he showed some interesting stuff
early on I still think there
are skills here
that are worth chasing
but he has not shown
nearly enough this season to be
83% rostered. I don't understand that at all. Yeah, out of all the names we just talked about,
I think he's probably the most dropable. Yes, I think Jack Leiter should be 35% rostered at best.
All right, Chris, have you thought about any of these things. I have five little topics here
that we're going to quickly run through. P. Crow Armstrong did it again, one for two with a walk
and his 19th home run, a bomb. 452 feet hit off the scoreboard in right field and it actually came
against the lefty as well.
He entered Tuesday as the third overall player in Roto,
the fourth best hitter in head's head points.
Still lots of season left,
but I'm crazy.
I've at least kind of thought about it.
He's kind of tracking towards being a first or second round pick
for fantasy next season, right?
I mean, look, as that...
Sorry, I just caught myself.
You know how we all have like our verbal crutches that we...
I mean, look, I think I've said it like six times.
today. I'm going to try to not say it again.
Pete Kerr Armstrong,
I have been very skeptical
of what he's done this season, and I don't think
he's nearly as good as he has been so far.
I don't think he's a top five player
in fantasy, but...
You just earned at least five mentions from Cubs fans.
Yeah, that's fine.
Nobody really yells at me on Blue Sky. It's nice.
I have Peaker Armstrong at 40
in my overall rankings right now.
So that's not that far from being a second round pick.
And like in the trade values chart that's probably going up tomorrow,
I have him one spot behind Wyatt Langford.
I have him five spots behind Brent Rooker,
seven spots behind Jaron Duran.
That's basically a coin flip across the board.
So if you want to take,
him over any of those guys, I have no problem with that.
It gets a little more confusing when you have like Jackson Merrill who had a full season that
was really, really good, although Peek Armstrong's been better this season than Merrill was last
season. I don't know if maybe Merrill had a three-month stretch that was as good. It's possible,
but I'm not sure. But yeah, I don't, Pete Chromstrung already is not far off from being at that
point anyway. So yeah, I think it's absolutely worth having the discussion. I have him as my
14th ranked outfielder right now. I have him behind Jazz, behind Jaron Duran. I think I'm going to
move PCA above both of those guys. Duran has been fine this season. He hasn't lived up to
what he did last year or I think what we were expecting. Then you get into Truro and O'Neill
Cruz and James Wood and there's an argument for it. I don't think I'm ready to move him ahead of
those guys. But yeah, I think PCA is bordering on a top 12 outfielder right now. And look,
the longer he does it, the more we have to buy in
and we'll have discussions
about what that's going to look like for next season.
I mean, look,
Jesus,
I did it again.
He's 17
in my outfield rankings.
It's a little lower than it would have been last week
because Kyle Schwerber's outfit eligible now.
Oh, yeah.
He's not far from being top 12.
I have no problem with that.
I don't think he's
this good, but I'm not going to just keep being stubborn for the sake of being stubborn either.
I'm willing to have that conversation.
If you want me to say he's definitely a second round pick next year right now, I'm not going to.
There's so much season left.
Yeah, there's 90 games left.
Yeah.
And look, if he does this for the rest of the season, then he's a first round pick.
He's a bona fide first round pick.
So, yeah, there's still a lot that going to happen, but it's tracking that way right now.
Speaking of tracking, Cal Raleigh continues his insane season.
Three for six with a sock in a shoe, including six RBI.
He's up to 27 homers and eight steals.
It is June 18th.
And I think we are tracking towards one of maybe the best fantasy season we have ever seen from a catcher here.
Yeah.
If he keeps anything, I mean, the last calendar year is something like four.
49 homers and 15 steals.
Jeez.
Already you're talking about one of the best stretches by a catcher of all time.
Like you have Mike Piazza hitting 360 one year and Joe Tori hit 361 year and Roy Campanella had a 40 homer.
There's been some pretty good seasons out there by catchers.
But if Cowrally actually has a 40 homer 15 steel season like he's on pace for,
yeah, you're on the short list of best seasons ever by a catcher.
in fantasy. So I don't think he's this good, but it's been going on for a really long time now.
Let's talk about Andy Paez. Breakout, kind of looks like it's for real. Four for four with a double
dong, three runs, three RBI, and he is now up to a 293 batting average with 15 homers,
49 RBI, six steals, and an 845 OPS. He has lowered the strikeout rate this season. He's down to
18%. Andy Paas, someone who had legitimate prospect pedigree. The expect, the expect
expected stats continue to creep up.
You know, Chris, when this hot stretch started,
the statcast data did not back it up.
And so I heard what you were saying,
and I was a little bit skeptical as well.
Expected stats are there now.
They look great.
So I think he entered today as a top 30 player in Roto.
I'm not ready to say he's, you know,
he's that level of breakout.
You know, he's a top 30 player rest of season,
but, I mean, he's at least a top 36 outfielder, right?
and like a top 150 player, something like that, I would imagine.
I have been very skeptical of Pahas, but he turned the expected stats around really quickly,
way quicker than I expected.
That was, like you said, the expected stats were not backing up the actual production for a long time.
And all of a sudden, it's a 344X Wobah and a 348 Wobah coming into today's game.
Strikeout rates way down.
He's, I believe he pulled.
pulls the ball a lot.
Yeah,
pulls the ball in the air,
a decent amount.
So I'm significantly less skeptical today than I was two weeks ago.
And certainly less so than a month ago.
I'm not,
I don't know if top 36 is something I'm willing to do yet,
but top 50.
In the outfield,
by the way.
Yeah, yeah,
outfield.
That's a conversation worth having.
Sure.
Yeah, I already have them at 46 in the outfield.
And if I'm just eyeballing it, right around the back end of the top 36,
I have a Rosa Rana, Ian Hap, Brian Reynolds, Michael Garcia, Tommy Edmund.
I think Pahas is in that mix, man.
Yeah, so I'm looking at it and a jungholy.
who has slowed down quite a bit.
He's slowed down quite a bit, yeah.
I would put Pajas ahead of him.
And I have, I have Jungle Lee at 38, so.
Breton Doyle, he's been bad all season,
but the quality, the expected stats are much better.
He still plays a course field.
We've seen a full elite outfield season from him.
I would take Pahas ahead of him.
Tyler Soderstrom has slowed down.
Mikel Garcia has still been pretty good.
Yeah, right around that range, though.
I think that's the right range.
Yeah, I think that's the right range.
like 150-ish overall.
30 to 36 in the outfield ranks, something like that.
Yeah, it's more like 44 for me looking at it,
but I think it's sort of splitting hairs.
A couple others here, Vlad Jr. hit a mammoth home run,
three-for-four with his ninth homer,
112.1, exit velocity, 448 feet,
his first home run since May 29th.
And he's just been a letdown thus far.
I'm always hesitant to kind of like,
flat off because we saw from the middle of June on last year he just took off and had an amazing
season so he's capable of doing that again it's just it's frustrating that he goes through these
stretches when we know what he's capable of you know chris a hundred percent it's i don't know
you know we can say oh just elevate the ball but clearly it's not that easy and it's basically
what six full seasons worth of plate appearances at this point
He's up to 3,800.
Yeah, that's about six full seasons.
And one elite season,
four months of elite production in 2024.
And then other than that,
it's been right around a high 700s, low 800s OPS
every other stretch of his career.
And he's at an 814 OPS right now.
Yeah, it's frustrating because the power especially
should be much better.
And this is another guy who,
The expected Wobah right now for Vlad is what it was last year.
Now, we talked down on yesterday's podcast.
Take that with a grain of salt.
The ball's not traveling as far,
and they haven't updated the expected stats formula yet.
Even so, I think he's been better than a 350 Wobah.
But he's also underperformed his expected Wobah more often than not in his career.
And so if he, if, you know, just eyeballing it,
if it's a 370 expected Wobah is what he actually should have.
and he has a 349 actual mark now.
You know, maybe he's not that far off
and he's just bound to frustrate us.
I don't know.
Entering Tuesday, Vlad Jr. was on pace
for 18 homers and 71 RBI.
I mean, he was a borderline first round pick.
You know, it's just, it's not enough.
Marcel Ozuna, two for four,
with a clutch, bases clearing double here on Monday,
and we learned about that hip issue on June 2nd,
and it's been a rough month so far.
182 batting average two homers 573 OPS so far here in June.
I don't really think there's anything we can do, right, Chris?
I mean, I think it's just a hold.
Maybe, I mean, do you think about benching Ozuna while he's dealing with this hip thing?
No, I don't know.
I'm thinking I have one league where I have Ozuna as my DH and I think the only hitter on my bench in that league is Ozzy Albies.
Well, I'm not benching Ozuna for Ozzy Albies.
It's not like he's been much.
better. So how many leagues do you realistically have a better DH than Marcelo Zuna,
even if you think he is a lesser hitter than he has been in previous years? I'm going to guess
not that many do. Sure, you can bench him, but what if he goes out and has three home runs
that week, which he's absolutely capable of? I don't really think about it that way. I tend to,
I tend to just start my guys like Marcelo's in, you know?
Fair enough. Let's get into the leftovers here.
And two names that you might want to try and buy on while you still can.
Jordan Westberg, he's been doing his thing since returning.
He's in seven games since coming back.
He's sitting 385 with three home runs and a 1275 OPS.
But the overall numbers are still lagging.
So I think there's still a buy window here on Jordan Westberg.
And then a big game for Sal Perez, who went three for four with a double dung,
having a big June so far,
but another one where the overall numbers
are still lagging.
People who are paying attention,
they might realize,
all right, these guys have already kind of came,
like, they're coming around,
it's already starting up,
they might not want to sell.
But if someone just looks at the overall numbers
on either one, Chris,
I would still be looking to buy
Jordan Westberg or Sal Perez.
Yeah, I'm obviously I think more
concerned about Perez than Westberg
just because he's 35 years old
and he's a catcher.
And this is the kind of profile
where when the end comes, it will probably come really quickly.
He's still hitting the ball hard.
There's not really anything in the underlying numbers that you can point to
that suggests that Salvador Perez won't be an impact hitter moving forward.
So I'm absolutely buying.
I'm buying even harder on Jordan Westberg if there's an opportunity
because he's been awesome since coming off the IL and I expect him to be great moving forward.
I haven't moved Sal Perez outside of my.
top 10 catchers, I don't think.
And I don't think I've moved him really.
I think he's still like a top eight guy at the position.
So I'm still mostly bought in on Sal Perez.
I haven't really changed my view on him that much.
You have him at eight and Scott,
I have him at six.
Okay.
There you go.
I hate Sal Perez, I guess.
A couple of their hitting leftover as Trey Turner did it again.
Back-to-back games with a home run.
He is having a big June as well.
Riley Green, two for four with his feet.
15th home run and 51 RBI tied for fifth most among outfield eligible players in fantasy.
Brendan Donovan, a big game, which is nice to see after the recent injury scare,
four for five with a double and two runs.
He's now leading off for the Cardinals with Lars Nupar slumping.
He's batting seventh.
Sayas Suzuki continues his huge season, one for four with his 18th home run.
Three more RBI brings him to 61.
That is second behind only Pete Alonzo.
So Juan Soto two for three with a walk and his 14th home run.
His June has just been bananas.
It's a 1222 OPS with five home runs so far.
Chris, anything to add on those names?
Brendan Donovan just, it feels like he should either
hit for a little more power or steel bases, right?
Like the whole profile would be so much more interesting
if it wasn't just batting average and kind of nothing else.
it's he's kind of doing his best louisa rise's impression this season yeah he's i don't think his
strikeout rate's quite that low um but he's hitting 323 and at at least one last i checked the
expected stats were very good for brendan donovan but it's just that's kind of all it is yeah it's a
14% k rate and a 305 xb a yeah i do think there's a cell window here just because it's such a
one dimensional profile and that one dimension is probably not as good as it's been so far
but he's fine.
And then I do just want to,
I kind of,
did you see one Soto get thrown out at first base on the Ronald Acuna?
Yeah,
that was a sick catch,
by the way.
It kind of felt like Ronald Acuna was deeking him.
I don't know if you want,
like,
it kind of felt like he was like playing it as if he didn't know where the ball was.
Soto was like yelling.
He was yelling at somebody when he was running back.
He didn't seem to think that Akuna caught it.
It was a great play by Akunia.
I don't know if that's,
actually what happened, but that was the first thing I thought was he was making it seem like
he wasn't going to be able to catch it in order to double Soto off. That was, that was fun.
Some pitching leftovers, Brian Wu was awesome up against the Red Sox. Seven shutout innings with
six strikeouts here. 16 whiffs on 86 pitches. And he has gone six plus innings in all 14
starts this season. Seth Lugo, a great outing at the Rangers. Six innings, one run with a
season high, nine strikeouts.
And David Peterson turned in another quality start.
Seven innings, three runs with three strikeouts.
He has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all 14 starts.
Two earned runs or fewer in 11 of those.
And he has gone seven plus innings in four of his last five.
Anything to add on Peterson, Lugo, and Brian Wu.
Still think Peterson's a sell high candidate.
Really thinks Seth Lugo is a sell high candidate,
but I've been saying that for a year and a half
and he keeps making me look dumb.
So if you don't want to listen to me about that,
I think that is perfectly reasonable
because I've been very wrong about Seth Lugo
for 15 months.
And what's to say that's going to stop anytime soon?
I don't know.
But I mean, it's even more extreme than it was last season.
Last season he was outperforming his expected stats,
but the expected stats were pretty good.
said lugo's peripherals right now are bad 453 FIP 404 X FIP 534XERA
like that all suggests that Seth Lugo just hasn't pitched well and yet the RIS 305
the whip is 1.11 he's pitching deep into games I don't know I can't make sense of it
there there that I just can't make sense of I I don't know maybe I should just never
have an opinion about Seth Lugo again I I genuinely
have no idea what to make of that.
Everything about what we typically
view pitching value
through in 2025
says he's bad
right now and the results
don't. A couple of their
pitching leftovers, Casey Mines, a quality start
against the Pirates, six innings, three runs
two earned with four strikeouts
to zero walks. Zach Lattel
a quality start against the Orioles, six
innings, three runs with three
strikeouts and
he has gone six plus innings and
12 of 15 starts.
That is Zach Lattel's standout skill
is pretty much just going deep into starts.
And Spencer Schwellenbach,
a little more human against the Mets.
Seven innings, four runs,
two homers allowed,
still had eight strikeouts and 22 whiffs
on 97 pitches.
Gave up 10 hard hits in the start.
So, you know, there's a little bit of given take here
with Spencer Schwellenbach.
He has eight plus strikeouts in four of his last five.
He's gone seven plus in five of his last seven.
But, look, he's generating whiffs with the best of them, Chris.
He also pitches in the zone so much.
He is the sixth highest zone percentage
that he's just going to be prone to getting hit
and giving up home runs.
I think it's going to continue to happen
unless he just nibbles or throws pitches out of the zone more often.
It reminds me a little of early career Aeronola.
I thought you were going to say Shane Bieber.
Sure, Shane Bieber, a little bit of that.
It's a much wider arsenal.
Then Bebers, and wider are some of the Nolas as well.
But I think on the whole, he's pitching right to around what he should be.
I think the recent uptick and strikeouts makes me think, okay, the 8.6K per 9,
bump that to 9. Yeah, it's an even strikeout per inning at least moving forward.
I think that's pretty reasonable.
Low 3ZRA, excellent whip.
There will just be some headaches along the way.
And I think that might just be the case for Spencer Schwellenbach.
But the thing with him is the stuff has taken a jump, both from last season and then in season.
His fastball velocity is, he's sitting like 97 now.
And so you can live in the zone that often if you're going to sit 97 instead of 95 or 96.
So that's a big deal.
and I think he just mostly stopped worrying about Schwalembourg.
He's just, he's an ace.
Call to the bullpen for the D-backs.
Shelby Miller got the ninth inning with a one-run lead.
He gave a back-to-back homers,
took his fourth-blown save and second loss of the season.
For the Reds, Emilio Pagan, got the ninth with a one-run lead.
He walked two, but picked up his 17th save.
For the Cubs, Daniel Palencia, got the ninth inning with a two-run lead.
He allowed a hit, but picked up his seventh save.
and that Ryan Presley saved from last week
kind of looks like the outlier.
I still just think Palencia is the guy.
The only thing I will say is I think
Porter Hodge is about to start a rehab assignment.
So that's something to keep an eye on.
For the Guardians, Emmanuel Claude,
got the ninth with a one-run lead.
He allowed three base runners,
but did pick up his 15th save.
And for the Dodgers, Tanner Scott got the ninth inning
with a two-run lead and picked up his 14th save of the season.
To stream or not to stream on Wednesday,
we have Ryan Yarbrough
against the Angels
Andrew Heaney at the Tigers
Mitchell Parker facing the Rockies
Eduardo Rodriguez at the Blue Jays
Furlander making his return
against the Guardians
Sheehan's season debut against the Padres
I don't love it
Severino against the Astros
Heaney's been good
Yarbrough I could see a good start
but I don't want to trust it
I think Parker and
Andrew Heaney are probably the best options here
Yeah, I did want to
Just quickly look up how the Blue Jays have been against lefties this season
And they are
I can't find them
Let's see
Toronto
They are sixth in Wobah against lefties
All right, so we're not going to try to do the Eduardo
They got a lot of platoon guys there, so
Yeah
And then on Thursday we have Nick Martinez is facing the twins
Chris Paddock is at the Reds.
Eric Fetty is at the White Sox.
Adrian Houser gets the Cardinals.
Kate Horton faces the Brewers.
Edward Cabrera, excuse me, against the Phillies.
Charlie Morton at Tampa Bay.
Jacob Lopez gets the Ashros.
What do you think?
Didn't Kate Horton have a good start
against the Brewers?
No, he has not faced the Brewers yet.
Kate Horton has been solid.
He's been okay.
Yeah, not terrible.
impressive.
I think I would put Fetty at the top of the list
against the White Sox. Yeah, against
the White Sox, that's okay. Colton Gordon
and Jacob Loaf has against the
on opposite sides against each other are okay,
but could go really wrong
for both of them. Charlie Morton's been really good for
like a month and a half now.
It is at Tampa Bay, though.
That could go south really quickly.
I don't really love
any of these options, but
Fetty, Morton, Gordon
are, if you need one,
We got a couple of revenge games on the slate.
Put me down for Fetty, Kate Horton, and Nick Martinez there on Thursday.
That's fine, yeah.
We're going to wrap there for Chris. I am Frank.
Thanks as always for tuning into fantasy baseball today.
Please make sure to follow and leave a five-star rating on Apple or Spotify.
And we will be back again tomorrow.
Bye-bye.
Paramount Podcasts.
