Fantasy Baseball Today - Early Season Trends & Buy-Low/Sell-High! Is Danny Duffy Legit? (4/20 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: April 20, 2021

Who's hyped for MLB The Show!? What happened to Lucas Giolito on Monday (2:32)? Joe Musgrove is awesome but is Danny Duffy legit? ... News and notes (12:05)! Starling Marte is headed to the IL, Dinels...on Lamet is returning Wednesday, Ronald Acuña is day-to-day and more. ... Some waiver names for deeper leagues emerged on Monday (20:02). Any love for Austin Slater? How about Josh Fleming or Kohei Arihara? ... What do the statistical trends say this early in the season (26:56)? Will the league batting average improve? ... We have buy-low and sell-high candidates for both dynasty and redraft leagues (36:50)! Is Kris Bryant a buy-high? Is now the time to sell Justin Turner? ... We finish up the pod recapping the rest of Monday, 'To Stream or Not To Stream' and Team Name Tuesday (48:27)! ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com. 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank, @AdamAizer Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive, center field, and swing. This is magnificent. Got a fantasy question, email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank Scott, Chris, and Adam. Howdy, everybody, and welcome into Fantasy Baseball today.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Frank Sample, joined by Scott White and Chris Towers, the hashtag Squad is all back together. Today on the show, it's kind of a light day of baseball. Only seven games on Monday. We'll recap all of it. We've got some early season trends that we want to talk about and some trade candidates as well. But before we get to all that, guys, I am pumped.
Starting point is 00:00:48 MLB the show, back to Xbox, releasing on, we're recording this Monday. It's almost midnight. Actually, in five minutes, I could technically download it on my Xbox. So I'm pretty excited. Chris, do you have any interest or you're just going to keep playing MVP baseball, what is it, 05, 06? Yeah, I only
Starting point is 00:01:04 game on my computer at this point. So, um, if they want to release one for PC, I'm all, I'm all here for it. But until then, I'm stuck with MVP baseball 05 and super mega baseball three.
Starting point is 00:01:17 It's not, those aren't bad games to be stuck with. Oh, they're amazing games. They're amazing games. You're right about that. Scott, you are wearing an NES shirt. And, um,
Starting point is 00:01:26 I assume that you probably haven't played a baseball game since then, so. I have since then, yes. But I think the last baseball game I, that wasn't a pure simulator. The last baseball game that I purchased knew was probably MLB, the show, 06, maybe 07, the one I had David Wright on the cover. So we're talking, talking a long time ago. Yeah. Talking a long time ago.
Starting point is 00:01:53 Look, if someone wants to send me an Xbox 1 or a PS5, I'll get the show. It was, I got to put that out there in the world, you know. I got to a point where with that version of the show I bought, I only ever simulated games. So it's like, this is stupid. Why not just buy a simulator that?
Starting point is 00:02:11 So out of the park became my go to for a while. Then I got married and have kids. And who was the time for that, honestly? And there goes that. Yeah, David Wright. It was MLB-07,
Starting point is 00:02:21 the show. So that was the last one. Scott was playing. If anyone wants to hit me up on Xbox, tweet at me at Roado-U-Nerscore Frank. send me your username. We're a gamer tag. We'll figure something out. But let's jump right into the oh my goodness gracious players from Monday. Oh my goodness gracious. Chris, you haven't been around for a while. Why don't you get us started here? Oh my goodness gracious. I was really hoping you weren't going to go to me because my mind just went blank on who I said I was going to do before the game, before the show.
Starting point is 00:02:49 Lucas G. Alito, I think. Yeah. Bad star for Lucas G. Leto. Not sure what was up with that. It's, it's, you know, it's not really. There's nothing there. There's no reason to worry about Lucas Gielito. Just a really, really, really awful start for him. Through 54 pitches, got five whiffs. He threw 54 pitches and recorded three outs. That was a weird game. Tony Larissa decided to have Yermine Mercedes pitch in the seventh inning of a game.
Starting point is 00:03:19 They were only down by six runs. So yeah, not a great start for our guy, Lucas Gialito. But, you know, obviously. So I agree there's nothing. thing to worry about, but there actually may have been like a quasi explanation for it because it was it was the one game of the year that starts at 11 a.m. Right. That's the only game, the Red Sox have a game on a Patriots Day that starts at 11 a.m.
Starting point is 00:03:47 So, you know, much earlier, I don't know what time you have to get up in the morning to be ready to pitch an 11 a.m. game. I imagine it's pretty early. But anyway, Darrell Van Schewen. I'm going to say that's how you pronounce his name. He is a White Sucks beat writer for the Chicago Sun Times. And he tweeted this out right before 10 a.m. Lucas G. Lido is one of those, I'm not a morning person, people. He's that guy in spring training, hair askew, eyes half shut, coffee in hand, walking through Clubhouse at 8.30 a.m.
Starting point is 00:04:22 Kind of funny, he's the one getting the ball for 11 a.m. start. he does have a 322 career ERA in day games. I just want to point that out. But that's usually two hours later. Yeah, I guess that two hours makes all the difference. I would think, yeah, two hours is a long time when you're talking about waking up. Go to sleep a little earlier, Lucas. I can relate because we record this podcast every night around midnight.
Starting point is 00:04:46 I guess we have the option to wake up and record in the morning if we wanted to, but who wants to wake up at 7 or 8 a.m.? It's, I mean, that's an Adamazer thing. That's fine. Good for him, but... We're going to get so many angry emails from people about this discussion. All right. Well, the last thing I wanted to add about Lucas Julito,
Starting point is 00:05:05 no, you should not be worried about him. His ERA after the game was 5.79. Stackcast has already factored in this start, and his expected ERA is 2.90. So, do not freak out. I know it's rough, because if you're playing a points league on CBS, he gave you negative 17 fantasy points. You hate to see it from your ace.
Starting point is 00:05:23 Scott, oh, my goodness. gracious for Monday. So I think I'm actually going to go with Danny Duffy here. It was amazing. You stole my guy. Did I? No, that's fine. Maybe I left, because I was originally going to go with who's really your guy.
Starting point is 00:05:38 So maybe I left him for you. Yeah, that's fine. I'm cool with it. Danny Duffy against the raise, six innings, zero earned runs. There were two unearned runs. Eight strikeouts, 18 whiffs. 10 on his fastball. Now, his fastball wasn't quite as hard as last time out.
Starting point is 00:05:54 It was like he averaged 94.5 or so in that last outing. And that was about, that's as hard as he threw, well, you have to go back to like 2016 to a time he threw that hard over a full season. And that was, yeah, he was borderline stud in fantasy back in those days. So it was eye-opening. It was down a mile per hour in this data. It was 93.5. But that's still what he averaged in like 2017,
Starting point is 00:06:23 2018, you're still going back to better days for Danny Duffy when he was throwing that hard. And his fastball has been a really good pitch at times, a surprisingly high whiff rate for that pitch. And, you know, again, 10 of the 18 wifts came on it.
Starting point is 00:06:41 I don't know. Maybe he's rediscovered something because he's been pretty dominant so far. And with the velocity going up and his history of being successful when his velocity is higher. I think it's to the point where
Starting point is 00:06:58 might have to take a flyer on him. Somebody in your league could use him. And just for context, the 93.5 miles per hour he averaged with the fastball today was his highest in a start since my... Last time it was higher. Last time out it was high.
Starting point is 00:07:16 Right, right. But yeah, before the most recent start before this one was August 5th, 2018. Okay. That's pretty encouraging stuff for Danny Duffy. So, I mean, Scott, he's 68% roster. I assume a lot of people picked him up for a two-star week. So if you did that, you probably just want to hold on to him
Starting point is 00:07:33 because, again, there's a lot to buy into here with Duffy between the Wifts and added velocity on his fastball. But how far are you moving him up? How much are you actually buying into this? Because you have him currently as your 90-second starting pitcher. I have him 95th, so we clearly weren't buying in, but I guess we have more reason to do so now. Yeah, I was intrigued after the last one, but, you know, with each passing start where he exceeds your expectations, then obviously you got to move him up a little more. I don't know. I got to have to look and see who I need to move him ahead of here.
Starting point is 00:08:08 So you have, you have Marco Gonzalez at 66, Dallas Kikell at 65, so are we thinking that many spots, like 25 to 30 spots for Duffy? I mean, potentially, there's a lot of, there's a lot of maneuverability. in that range of starting pitchers. I can see him being in the top 70, for sure. All right. So on the print that, you know, I got like Drew Smiley in that range, Marco Gonzalez,
Starting point is 00:08:32 Griffin, I think he belongs in that range. Here's one I just saw. What about him versus Dylan Cease? Yeah, I'd rather have Duffy for sure. I would take the shot on Duffy the way he's pitching right now. Sees has yet to go five innings in a start.
Starting point is 00:08:45 I agree. All righty. So we are, it seems like we are, at least for now, buying it on Danny Duffy. We'll see if he turns back into Danny Duffy at some point. Hopefully not. Let's highlight Joe Musgrove, who is currently
Starting point is 00:08:58 pitching right now on the West Coast in San Diego, and he's probably going to come out for another inning, I would assume. But through six, he has 11 strikeouts. He has allowed three hits. Two of those are solo home runs. But Joe Musgrove once again using his breaking pitches a ton. Pretty much every start he's had with the Padres thus far. Of course, there were no hitter with them earlier in the season. three whiffs on 82 pitches. Look, this is not a great Brewers lineup. I get it.
Starting point is 00:09:28 Christian Yellish out of the lineup. It's a very pedestrian lineup, and that's probably giving it too much credit. But, man, throwing his slider 28% of the time, cutter 24% curb ball 22. That's exactly what we see in every start. Those three pitches being his main pitches and using his fastball less than ever before.
Starting point is 00:09:45 And this is something I think that's being influenced by U. Darvish and Victor Karatini as his catcher, and I've highlighted that before. It might be happening. guys, it might actually be happening for Joe Musgrove. Anything you'd like to add? I mean, the whiff rate has slowed down a little from where it was earlier, but for a while it looked like he was going to have the highest whiff total of any pitchers
Starting point is 00:10:05 so far this season, which is pretty amazing when you consider how consistently high Jacob de Groms are. And even now, 23, I mean, that's going to put him in the running on 82 pitches. Yeah, I mean, this might be, I know nobody likes to, nobody likes the next Shane Bieber comparison, but I feel like Musgrove has a lot going for him if we're making Shane Bieber comps. Now, I could get behind that, Scott, the next Shane Bieber. Not there yet, but I mean, the thing you, the thing is there has never been at any point in Joe Musgrove's career, a stretch of three or four starts where he's looked really good and then struggled afterwards. So,
Starting point is 00:10:47 I think you got to anoint him now. That's sarcasm if you don't. Oh, no, no, no. Oh, Chris, why, why must you crush my soul? And the souls of many Joe Musgrove managers out there. We're riding roller coasters here. There wasn't a no-hitter. There wasn't a 23 with outing. I mean, this is different.
Starting point is 00:11:10 Chris, I would agree with you. Anyone can throw a no-hitter. Well, I guess theoretically, that is a factual statement, but not many people do do it. He's made tangible changes. That's the biggest thing for Joe Musgrove. So it's, you know... I'm just being a wet blanket.
Starting point is 00:11:27 I have him... He's currently inside of my top 30 starting pitchers. I don't know that there's anything else we need to add about that outside of... It might actually be happening for Joe Muskrove. Quickly promote what does a World Series winning executive do after running a major league baseball team for 18 years?
Starting point is 00:11:44 They start a podcast. David Samson hosts nothing personal with David Samson, a daily podcast dedicated to giving you the truth about sports, business, and entertainment. Step inside the front office and really get to know sports. Nothing personal with David Samson is available. Every weekday, wherever you listen to a podcast, and remember, it's just business, it's nothing personal.
Starting point is 00:12:05 Some news and notes, Starling Marte will be placed on the 10-day IL after an MRI revealed a fractured rib. He'll be re-evaluated in five to seven days. So hopefully this is not a long-term thing. Starling Marte was off to a fantastic start with the Miami Marlins as well. an offense that is about to get a lot worse. So if you're streaming your starting pitchers against him, sorry, Chris.
Starting point is 00:12:28 Denelson Lemette will make his season debut on either Tuesday or Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers. It's a pretty good lineup to make your season debut against. Obviously, Denelson Lamet dealing with the right biceps injury last year, which actually turned out to be an elbow injury on the same arm that he's had Tommy John surgery. So we're closely monitoring that. situation, but he was awesome last year again, the name De Nelsen Lemette. Ronald de Cunia is considered
Starting point is 00:12:55 day to day after an MRI revealed a mild abdominal strain. You can, I believe, still bench him because he hasn't played yet. The Braves will play the Yankees on Tuesday. Would you guys actually bench a Kunia knowing this information? I think in a shallower league, if I had a pretty good alternative, I'd play it safe in bench him because day to day could mean five days, you know? Yeah, I mean, a whole week. We've seen. I think Anthony Rendon was day to day for four days in a row until he went on the aisle.
Starting point is 00:13:26 You know, that's the kind of... Maybe it wasn't him, but there was someone... Yellich. Yeah, yeah. That happens all the time where, like, you miss three or four days and then they're just like,
Starting point is 00:13:35 we might as well just take six extra days. Yeah, it's gonna be tough to do it in a roto league with five outfielders, but yeah, maybe in a points league, you might have enough good options to get Ronald Lucuna on your bench if you are worried about that, but pay attention to see if he's in the Braves lineup on Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:13:53 The Twins' latest round of COVID tests all came back negative, so it looks like their scheduled double header with the A's on Tuesday will be good to go. Nick Castellanos, appeal for his two-game suspension has been denied. He will miss Tuesday and Wednesday against the debacks. You know what that means, Scott? It's Tyler Naquin time. That's true. That's true.
Starting point is 00:14:16 More reason to hold on to him. Wonderful. I just want a resolution to the Tyler Naikwin saga. I mean, I think we have a resolution to the Tyler Naquin saga. Not when he's back to playing again and he just hit another Homer and I don't know. I wish I had your level of assurance, I guess. But just it's Tyler Naquin. I feel like this is a problem that's going to solve itself.
Starting point is 00:14:45 Potentially. If given enough time. I would say the odds are heavily in its favor. the stackass page is it looks pretty nice of course it's whatever 20 25 batted balls so it's take it with a grain of salt and like the little thing with all the sliders on stackass
Starting point is 00:15:00 like it you know I like to look at it it's very pretty when it's got a bunch of red but like of the like 11 things that it shows like seven of them are all like related to batted ball exit velocity somehow so like you know yeah if you hit the ball hard a lot of double counting going on is what I'm saying
Starting point is 00:15:17 right for the Astros Alex Bregman, Yordaun Alvarez, Martin Maldonado, and Robel Garcia are tentatively expected to rejoin the Astros on Tuesday in Colorado. Jose Altuvae was not mentioned, so perhaps he needs more time. Yurdan Alvarez, I just, I realize this today. He probably will not play because they are in a National League park in Cors Field, unless they want to throw them at first base or outfield, but I feel like the Astros are not going to do that. So, don't start Yuron Alvarez, unless he's in the lineup. Lance McCullors will not make his scheduled start on Tuesday against the Rockies as he's dealing with a non-COVID-related illness.
Starting point is 00:15:55 The Phillies are dealing with a COVID situation of their own. Three players, Jose Alvarado, Matt Moore and Ronald's Reyes were placed on the COVID-IL. Five coaches were also placed in the protocol. D.D. Gregorius was held out of the lineup on Monday, not COVID-related. He is dealing with an elbow issue. Colton Wong dealing with that oblique strain. He's on the IL as of now. He's expected to be activated this upcoming weekend against the Chicago Cubs.
Starting point is 00:16:22 Adelberto Mondesie still has yet to be cleared to swing a bat. He's dealing with an oblique strain. Spoke about this last week, Scott, about the, he might be wiggling his toes. We don't know what's going on. They said he's making movement, but apparently not enough movement to swing a bat. There's some movement. What he said, Kill Bill reference? That exactly what it was.
Starting point is 00:16:39 Another movie that I haven't seen, Chris. So add it to the list. Come on, man. Yankees GM, Brian Cashman said, Luke, Voight is expected back around mid-May. He's returning from surgery to repair a partially torn meniscus. Padres manager, Jace Tingler, said that Austin Nola, who is returning from a fractured finger,
Starting point is 00:16:57 should resume playing in games at the team's alternate training site in the next, quote, two or three days. So maybe we see Austinola back within the next week or so. Spencer Turnbull will make his season debut for the Tigers against the Pirates. This Wednesday, he was in the COVID protocols to this point. point in the season. He is 11% rostered. Any interest in the bull? Spencer Turnbull. I can't imagine a league where I'm so desperate for a starting pitcher than I'm picking up Spencer
Starting point is 00:17:28 Turnbull. I guess an AL only league, but no, I don't think the upside's particularly high. And it's kind of a crowded situation. Wow. No love for the 3.97 ERA 1.34 whip from Spencer Turnbull last year. Tough crowd here. No, but I actually agree. A.L. only used to look at him. Maybe in some deeper roto leagues. But outside of that, Turnbull, getting ready to return. Email the day, this one's from Chris in Indianapolis.
Starting point is 00:17:56 On yesterday's podcast, Scott mentioned that he wouldn't make the same ridiculous promise that Frank did when he ate his hat. But I seem to remember one Scott White being so certain that Hyunjin Ryu would end the year with a sub 4.16 ERA this year, that he would eat his hat if that didn't happen. Normally, we could let that slide, but after the lecture Scott gave Frank for his hyperbolic promise, I say it's time for accountability. I think it's important Scott gets a taste of his own medicine, a medicine made by New Era or 5950 Pharmaceuticals. I think Chris in Indianapolis needs to get his ears checked, because that's not what I said.
Starting point is 00:18:36 I said that I'm sure at some point I made the same claim that I would eat my hat, but I didn't do it for something that had such a short. timetable that anybody remembered it when the time came, you know? Oh, okay. Broken promises don't count as long as, you know, people forget about them. Yeah, well, exactly. Bon Appetit, Scotty. Maybe Ryu is going to age very rapidly this year and have an ERA over four. I would be shocked if his ERA said I, I would eat my hat if Young Jin Ryu has a 416 ERA.
Starting point is 00:19:13 How about that? I will ship you this hat, Scott, and you can eat it live on the air. Did you actually actually eat any of it? No, I started off the podcast yesterday. Thanks for listening and watching, Chris. No, I listened. I just, you know. No, I didn't.
Starting point is 00:19:28 You know, I started the podcast mumbling because I had a hat in my mouth. And somebody pointed out on Twitter that I should have to eat some kind of nasty candy out of my hat for an entire podcast. Yeah, you got to, no, I just think you cut a swatch off and swallow it. Well, I know. I really like this hat. So I don't. Then you shouldn't have made the bet. It's just an expression for goodness sakes.
Starting point is 00:19:50 No, he meant it literally. So Scott, if Ryu winds up with the area over 4.16, I'll ship you whatever had I was talking about, apparently. I don't think it's going to happen. He's been awesome anyway. Do you have any interest in these waiver candidates from Monday night? I mean, honestly, these are names only in the deepest leagues, but hey, there's only seven games going on. So we have to talk about what's happening. Austin Slater, I saw you pumping him up on. Twitter, Scott. He went two for four with his second steal of the season. Last year, in only 31 games. Austin Slater had a 282 batting average with five homers and eight steals. He has started four of the last
Starting point is 00:20:26 five games for San Francisco. He has 12% rostered. Yeah, really impressive numbers last year before he got hurt. He reached base at a 408 clip, had five homers, eight steals in 104 plate appearances, and was doing similar things this spring. So, you know, I kind of hoped they would figure out a way to get them at bats against Ritey's. It seems like they're just kind of done with Maricio Dubon and are going with Slater and center field even against Ritey's. So is dragout rate during the regular season since it's switched from spring to the regular season? It's way too high. And obviously, if he keeps striking out of the 35% clip, you know, that's going to keep them from making a real impact.
Starting point is 00:21:09 But I like the on base skills. I like the power. I like the speed. I think there may be something here. He's only 12% rostered. I think if you're chasing upside, and he's somebody to look into. Five outfielder leagues, 15-team Roto,
Starting point is 00:21:25 something we talk about often. Not that many people listening to this podcast play in those formats, but if you do, if you're in a deeper league, awesome slater. I don't even know that you have to be in anything that deep. I think if you want a Steel's, like if you're in a Categories League,
Starting point is 00:21:39 you want steals, but not from like a one category specialist that's going to be really hard to get in your lineup in a shallow league. You're just chasing upside, you know? Just chasing upside. I could see dropping just kind of a boring outfielder for a 12-team league for Slater. I can see doing that. AJ Pollack, I bring up his name every time.
Starting point is 00:22:01 I feel like he's the face of boring outfielders. Yeah. Is that... Would you make... Somebody mentioned Aaron Hicks. Now, rest of season, I'm going to predict Aaron Hicks will have better numbers than Austin Slater, but it's a chasing upside kind of move. The Yankees stink, man.
Starting point is 00:22:19 I don't want to talk about them. A few other names here, some hitters in deeper formats, do they matter? Justin Williams went two for three with a home run and a walk for the St. Louis Cardinals. In his minor league career, he was a 296 hitter with a 778 OPS. Luis Arias mentioned Joe Musgrove gave up two home runs. One of them was to Arias in his return to San Luis. San Diego, the revenge game. Arias does have exactly one hit in five of his last six games, which includes two home runs.
Starting point is 00:22:48 And he is playing every day now. He's 13% rostered on CBS. Adolis Garcia from the Texas Rangers had, he currently has two hits. And including a double and a home run off of Dylan Bundy, he's an outfielder from Cuba. He's been with the Rangers since December 2019. And back at 2019 in the PCL, he had 32. home runs and 13 steals. So maybe there's something there.
Starting point is 00:23:14 Garcia-O-Reas, Justin Williams, Chris. Anything? Deeper leaks? I mean, I've always had a thing for Ereis. I don't really, like, he hit a home run today. Off Joe Musgrove. And then for some reason was pulled from the game in like the fifth inning. I'm not sure if it was just, I think it was a defensive replacement.
Starting point is 00:23:32 So that's not a great sign. It's not great. I think the likelihood of any of these guys mattering much for Fantasy is pretty low. I think, like Garcia, because he doesn't have, you know, the track ride to fall back on, maybe you can kind of look at him and dream a little bit. But his batted ball data isn't necessarily terribly impressive, even though he has been hitting well. Luis Arias was removed from Monday's game with a right calf cramps.
Starting point is 00:24:04 Oh, okay. There goes that. A few pitchers that were on the mound on Monday, who, are rostered in less than 35% of CBS leagues. Kohei Arijara was at the Angels, 5 and 2 3rd shutout, two hits, two walks, six strikeouts, seven whiffs on 77 pitches.
Starting point is 00:24:21 He has allowed zero runs over his last two starts. And if stackass is correct, Arihara threw seven different types of pitches in this start against the Angels. Josh Fleming, the other name that I noticed was at the Royals, five and one third shutout, two hits, zero walks,
Starting point is 00:24:39 three strikeouts, pitches to contact, not going to get a lot of strikeouts. 34% rostered, Scott, any interest in Arijara or Josh Fleming? No, I feel like the upside's pretty limited for both. Like, I could see Arihara being just kind of a stable streamer guy. Marco Gonzalez type. Yeah, if he can go 7 plus with the consistency,
Starting point is 00:25:06 Marco Gonzalez. is known to do. It hasn't so much this year because he's getting pummeled, but is known to do. Then I think R-HR-R, maybe it could be that kind of pitcher, but he hasn't been given that kind of leash yet.
Starting point is 00:25:22 So we'll see. I mean, obviously he comes with a bit of a track record from Japan, not really as a batmiss or, and he hasn't shown that kind of ability over here either. But when you have that many pitches to work with, it just seems like probably going to be pretty good keeping hitters off balance and he should throw a lot of strikes, which also helps.
Starting point is 00:25:42 So I don't think I'll be useless. I just think it'll be kind of boring. Again, the name there, Koha Arihara with the Texas Rangers. We're going to take a quick break, but when we return, we have early season trends that we'll talk about here on fantasy baseball today. Let's start things off with the league batting average, which currently sits at 233. It's absolutely brutal. I guess that is lowered by the 286 Babbit thus far, batting average on balls in play, which is currently the lowest since 1992.
Starting point is 00:26:14 And speaking of batting average, I mentioned 233. The lowest ever was 237 back in 1968. Strikeouts are up its had this year as well to 24.6%. Chris, any takeaways with this? I know you mentioned before we started, you know, bad up is always lower in April, so hopefully we see some regression here. But with a strikeout rate that high, you know, I feel like. it might make guys like DJ LaMayhew once he gets going and Alex Verdugo and Michael Brantley,
Starting point is 00:26:43 it will make them even more valuable because their batting average will stick out even more so if the league batting averages is low. Yeah, I mean, you would think so. It obviously depends on you know, how weather and how they're affected by this kind of change. But yeah, I think you would assume a guy with a high batting average could have even more value. And conversely, a guy with an especially low batting average might hurt you a little less. You know, this is, um, strikeout rate continues to go up. And I think that's the biggest thing is that even if you take out pitchers, the strikeout rate has gone up again this year.
Starting point is 00:27:20 So, you know, obviously pitchers weren't hitting last year. So you think the numbers might be skewed. The non-pitcher strikeout rate this year is 24%. That would be the, the highest ever even including pitchers. And so I think what we're seeing and I think the early returns on the new baseball, are that it comes off the bat higher, harder, or at a higher velocity, and you're seeing that with a 0.06 leap in average exit velocity
Starting point is 00:27:47 from last season. And the ball does not travel as far. But I believe, yeah, through April 14th, the home run to fly ball ratio. I'm looking at a story from Rob Arthur on baseball perspective today. Through April 14th, the home run to fly ball ratio is almost a dead match for 2019 and with warmer weather in the latter half of the month,
Starting point is 00:28:06 that should produce even more round-trippers. And obviously, there's more that goes into it besides just the ball itself. Weather plays a big factor, and it's possible that there could be some kind of weather pattern around the country that has created these conditions in a way that wasn't there in 2019. I don't know. I'm not smart enough to know that. But it does seem like the long and short of it is,
Starting point is 00:28:33 the early season trends indicate that, we're seeing a more extreme version of the very extreme version of baseball that we've seen the last couple of years. Some more strikeouts, lower batting averages, fewer balls in play, and, you know, home run rates that should still be fairly high. One thing I've wondered about is one effect that the kind of the loosening of the stitching on the new ball has is that it raises the seam height. because remember when the ball changed, the pitchers talked about how it was slicker and felt like an ice cube and they had an adjustment there. With the seams being higher and being,
Starting point is 00:29:16 I presume that would mean easier to grip. Are they able to manipulate the ball more, thus creating the big jump in strikeout rate? I mean, strikeout rates have been going up for a while, but it's up significantly this year. Maybe that's kind of an April thing too, but... No, that... It's actually spring, spring training strikeout rates,
Starting point is 00:29:36 league-wide actually tend to be very predictive. And the strikeout rate was about 25% this spring. So I think it's, that's just, I think this is real. Yeah. So, I mean, if you got players selling out with the fly balls for home runs, you know, and you've got a higher strikeout rate, the batting average might be, I don't know, this might be something that that lingers.
Starting point is 00:30:02 We talked about this yesterday, Frank, that I feel like my teams that are doing well offensively just happen to have hit a lot of home runs so far. Not necessarily even they have a bunch of home run hitters. They just happen to have hit a bunch of home runs and like how much more offense this year is going to come from home runs, which Chris was saying it being going even more the way of a three true outcomes game that kind of fits into that as well.
Starting point is 00:30:28 Yeah, the one question that I have that I don't think I've seen a good, answer for is whether this ball, like you mentioned, does have more drag. Because one of the things that in this Rob Arthur article, which if you have a baseball prospectus subscription, you should check out is a lighter ball could look as if it has more drag because it wouldn't carry as far. And it is possible. M. MLB did say they were lightening the ball slightly.
Starting point is 00:30:57 And so there's a lot of things at play that we still don't have great answers to. but one of the things that I've been thinking a lot about is maybe there is more drag on the ball, maybe for some reason there's more, you know, the impact of the spin would create more drag based on certain factors. Maybe it's because it is lighter. Maybe those seams are higher, whatever the case may be. That could lead to more movement on pitches, which I think we've seen early on. I think there's been some league-wide trends of increased movement on various pitch types.
Starting point is 00:31:27 And also, and this is just my kind of personal theory. I don't actually have any evidence for this, and I don't think there would be any way to check whether this is accurate, but if someone does know, stolen base percentage is higher than it's ever been so far this season. And obviously we're dealing with small sample sizes, but it's 77.4%, something like that. It's usually 70 to 72%.
Starting point is 00:31:51 I think last year was 73. The previous high is like 75. So that could be a result of the changed ball as well. maybe catchers are having a harder time throwing accurately. I don't know. That's kind of a theory that I've been kicking around. I have no idea how to test it. But if that trend does continue,
Starting point is 00:32:13 maybe we will see more stolen bases eventually. Well, I'm thinking of it the other way, Kurtz, because if that regresses closer to where it's been recently, then we're going to get even less deals. And I looked this up before we started here, and so far this season, we are getting one stolen base every 82.7 played appearances.
Starting point is 00:32:36 Back in 2019, that was one stolen base every 81.8 played appearances. So obviously, you want that number to be lower, so stolen bases happen more frequently. But that was also... Yeah. That was one of the lowest, you know,
Starting point is 00:32:50 seasons in terms of steals over the course of a full 162 game season, I think, ever. So... But that would also be related to like the lower league-wide OBP there's another piece on baseball perspective I'm giving them a lot of shoutouts today
Starting point is 00:33:04 there have been 5,768 opportunities to steal through Saturday's games although that sounds like a lot remember that an opportunity is defined simply as whether a player is on first or second with a base open ahead of them the league-wide rate on stolen bases is 4.3%.
Starting point is 00:33:20 So that's it's not like startlingly lower or higher than usual so I don't know I'm not sure if there's that much there yet but yeah it's a question of whether that league-wide stolen base rate does regress or not
Starting point is 00:33:41 and historically it's not that's not something that has gone down it's not like April usually has higher stolen base rates it's usually pretty stay and I just want to go back to the power for a second and highlight a few players who have a fly ball rate over 50% yet their home run to fly ball ratio is below 10%.
Starting point is 00:34:03 So if you assume that it's going to regress towards league average, then league average is usually, what, 10 to 12% I think in terms of home run to fly ball ratio? 14% the last few years. Okay, so yeah, it's gone up even more. A few names, Randall Gritchick, he has a 5% home run to fly ball ratio. He's actually hitting the ball really hard again this year. Brendan Lau, so we'd like to see him get going. He has a 50% fly ball rate, a 6.3% home run to fly ball ratio.
Starting point is 00:34:28 ratio. Jack Peterson, another one, to 6.7%. Home run to fly ball rate. Dede Grigorious, he's 9.1. Ryan Mountcastle, 4.5%, especially in Camden Yards. I could see him one where the power does come around for Ryan Mountcastle. And those are the main names. Mike Musacus at 11.8%. So that's probably going to go up as the weather heats up a little bit in Cincinnati. I think your point about the weather, Chris, is a good one because obviously the ball flies better as the season goes on because the weather heats up a little bit. So hopefully a few of those names who are off to slow starts, starts a hit for some more power. Now going back to steals, just wanted to highlight a few players that had three plus steals entering Monday night. There were 19 players who have hit that threshold,
Starting point is 00:35:13 three or more steals, and a few you might not expect thus far. Andrew Benintendi, Jerks and Pro Far, Max Kepler, Miguel Rojas, they each have three. Mani Machado and Eddie Rosario each have four. Really like to see that from Mani Machado this early in the season. and Jace Tengler and the San Diego Padres, they love to run, and so far Manny Machado is doing just that. Javier Baez, we haven't talked about this. He has five steals in 15 games.
Starting point is 00:35:38 His career high was 21 back in 2018, and that was in 160 games. So obviously he's pacing well over that, and no, I don't think he's going to steal, whatever, 50 or 60 bases, whatever he's on pace for. But I think this is a really good sign. Javier Baez is playing for a contract, and the past couple of years he's been caught stealing more,
Starting point is 00:35:55 and, you know, he was kind of, he was slow in. down. He wasn't running as much. But I think if you have Bayez in a Roto league, you feel really good about that steel total this early. It's the one thing you feel okay about. And just yeah, to highlight that, like, he's got five steel attempts on 16 stolen base opportunities because he's been on base so infrequently, whereas Mani Machado has five attempts on 34 opportunities. So just to highlight how often Baez is running right now. The K rate, K per nine so far, 9.4 K per 9 for all pitchers this year, which makes sense. We've highlighted that
Starting point is 00:36:28 strikeouts are up in general. That is 9.2 for only starting pitchers. So, you know, I'm sure it's helped out by Shane Bieber and Jacob Graham and these aces. And that was something we kind of suspected towards the end of spring training that the aces might be even better than they usually are. And
Starting point is 00:36:44 so far, I think that's been the case. Just furthering themselves away from the pack. Someone emailed in asking for more dynasty content, considering it's such a light day of action. I figured we could start there, Scott. So, one player that you're looking to buy, one that you are looking to sell
Starting point is 00:36:59 in a dynasty setting right now. So I was kind of thinking along the lines of buying low and selling high. I have trouble usually, I have more trouble with the sell high usually because I think the obvious ones are obvious. But one that I think you could successfully sell high on is Aaron Savale,
Starting point is 00:37:20 who is young enough and hyped enough that a lot of people are going to look at what his numbers look like right now, three great starts, ERA very low, and think he's a budding ace or something close to it. I'm still highly skeptical because of all the talk of him reinventing himself, this spring, shorter arm action, a new kind of cut change up, right?
Starting point is 00:37:50 The numbers under the hood don't really look all that different. He's still not getting a lot of whiffs. he's still not getting a lot of ground balls. He's still vulnerable in enough areas that I'm skeptical. I'm skeptical. ERA is going to remain a plus for him. I think he'll be useful, but I don't think he'll be anywhere
Starting point is 00:38:08 in the discussion of a stud. So he seems like a good sell high right now. Was that Zach Plex? No, that was Aaron Savali. Were you... Chris has this devious looker on his face right now. Well, sorry, I did get distracted. and because Albert Pujol's stole a base,
Starting point is 00:38:27 so maybe there is something happening right now because Aber Pujol's just stole a base. But yes, I was making, I was being jocular. Jocular. Fair enough. I mean, there's so many guys you could call buy low candidates. Trevor's story strikes me as one that you could be successful with
Starting point is 00:38:43 because there's concern of him leaving Colorado and he's done basically nothing this year. So maybe you could pry him away for 75 cents on a dollar. I think it'll be worth that. Kind of a buy high I was looking at though is Jared Walsh who's not as young as you might think he is he's
Starting point is 00:38:58 28 years old but it's been so encouraging to see him pick up where he left off last September the strikeout rate way down the power production's still been there he hasn't he hasn't been somebody they've needed to sit against lefties
Starting point is 00:39:13 I think Jared Walsh is somebody I'd want to invest in in dynasty leagues at this point I'm not saying you should pay out the nose form or anything But I think there's enough lingering skepticism about him that you might be able to get him, particularly in a long-term-term-focused league like that,
Starting point is 00:39:33 for an okay price. I like that concept, too, Scott, because I think there's, you know, there's a lot of people who play Dynasty, and everyone's always trying to get younger, and they're not necessarily looking for a not middling-aged person, but whatever, Jared Walsh is 27 years old. So, I mean, he might just be entering his prime.
Starting point is 00:39:51 There's the first opportunity he's had to really play every single day, and he's crushing it. Another name that comes to mind if people are not buying in on the small sample size, it might be a buy high, it might turn out that he's a stud for the next couple of years.
Starting point is 00:40:04 You're mean Mercedes, the Yerminator. So far this year, he's been awesome. Four home runs, 415 batting average. Obviously, we're not expecting to keep that up,
Starting point is 00:40:13 but just watching him play, the guy seems like a professional hitter, and I think there's a chance that he actually might be able to stick around. So they have things to figure out with Eli-Hemez once he comes back. I don't think he's going to be a good fielder. Andrew Vaughn, obviously, they still have very high hopes for him
Starting point is 00:40:30 after drafting him as high as they did. But I think Mercedes kind of fits that same mold as Jared Walsh. He's not young, he's not old, but he might be really good and you can get him at a cheaper price in a dynasty or keeper league. Chris, a player that you are looking to,
Starting point is 00:40:46 one player that you're looking to buy, one player that you're looking to sell right now. So I'll start with a player I'm looking to sell, and that would be, Roman Luriano, who eight stolen bases so far. It's been an incredible start. It's been really, really nice for my Tout Wars team, the one league where I think I have him.
Starting point is 00:41:06 He has eight stolen bases. He's only been caught once. Again, there was a piece on baseball perspective, talking about it's called Need for Speed, and it's from Darius Austin. And he went through and looked at all of Ramon Luriano's stolen base attempts, and no throw was made on half of the stolen bases. Two of them were completely uncontested.
Starting point is 00:41:30 One was they were both in like games where the A's were trailing by enough runs late. The defense didn't seem to be too concerned about that. So I'm not necessarily thinking Ramon Loretna is going to lead the majors in stolen bases. So I would be looking to sell high on him. but you know not a not a must sell because I think he can still be a 2020 guy fair enough a player that you were looking to buy Chris Bryant I get the feeling
Starting point is 00:42:02 that the other two people on this podcast are probably pretty skeptical about his slow start or about his hot start and I would guess most people in fantasy baseball are but I pretty much believe in it you know I think like his stack has numbers don't don't jump off the page Well, they never have. But they look better than they have in a while. Granted, there's, you know, his ex-Wob is 366. That's his best since 2017.
Starting point is 00:42:31 Obviously, given the new ball, I don't know if ex-Wobos been properly calibrated yet to the new environment. But he's still hitting better so far than I think most people expected. And I think a lot of people think he's a sell high candidate. I would say he's a buy high candidate. So far, Chris Bryant. I don't have the concerns about Bryant that I did coming into the season anymore. He just, it looks like he's bouncing back fine.
Starting point is 00:42:57 So, yeah, I don't know that I'd be looking to sell high on him if I had him. I don't have him anywhere for what it's worth. But yeah, I want to be looking to sell him. Yeah, look, I'm always going to be willing to admit when I was wrong about someone. And so far, Chris Bryant has made me look like a fool. He's betting 265 with five home runs and an OPS over 1,000. He's hitting a lot of fly ball. So especially once the weather heats up in Wrigley, that's something that can only help someone like Chris Bryant.
Starting point is 00:43:25 And again, it's been 37 batted balls, but so far the returns, according to stat cast, have been much better than they have been in a long time. So if he keeps this up, part of my concern was can he stay healthy? But I believe it's a contract year. Does that sound right for Chris Bryant? So look, this happens all the time. It was part of the reason I like Correa as well where guys in a contract year, they just somehow manage. to stay healthy all of a sudden. So if Chris Bryan can do that, then yeah, you might actually be
Starting point is 00:43:54 on to something here. So I am going to be following this closely, but yeah, willing to admit that I was wrong so far. A player that I'm looking to buy Charlie Morton, who has a 4.76 ERA, but under the hood, a 2.97 X-FIP, a 3.13 Sierra, and all the skill indicators,
Starting point is 00:44:15 12.7% swinging strike rate. Basically, everything's in line. with where he was in 2019, when he was a top 10 starting pitcher for both Roto and four head-toe points. I don't currently rank him as a top 10 starting pitcher, but I'm saying there is a good chance that he can get back to that level.
Starting point is 00:44:31 He's getting a ton of ground balls, a lot of whiffs, a lot of strikeouts, the velocity for Charlie Morton, 94.3 miles per hour on the fastball. Where was that back in 2019? 94.4.4. So Charlie Morton has, I think, bounced back, and I don't really have many concerns over him.
Starting point is 00:44:47 if anyone is concerned at all about his surface numbers, I would definitely be looking to buy Charlie Morton. A few names that you might be able to offer straight up. We'll talk about him in a little bit. But Kevin Gosman, maybe a bit of a sell-high situation right now. Marcus Stroman, we spoke about yesterday, Scott. This is an interesting one. Would you guys trade away Trevor Rogers for Charlie Morton if you could right now?
Starting point is 00:45:09 I'd rather have Morton. Scott? As much as I like Rogers. Yeah, I agree. You might be able to pull. it off the way that Rogers has pitched less far. Carlos Rodon was another name, Michael Paneda. Mitch Hanager, as much as I love the guy
Starting point is 00:45:23 and I'm rooting for him, I hope he just stays awesome all season long. He has dealt with a lot of injuries as well, and he's older than you would think. So I think he's just a classic sell-high situation right now. If you can get someone like Charlie Morton in return for Mitch Hanager, and in that same
Starting point is 00:45:39 regard, Justin Turner, is the player that I would be looking to sell high. Don't just sell for the sake of selling him. I think he, is there a chance he could be a top 10 third basement when he's on the field this year for sure no doubt about it he's one of the best lineups in baseball and that's without cody belliger right now Justin Turner looks revitalized he's in great shape saw them comparing some side by side he's like slim down or whatever so good for him if you can sell him for someone that we expected to be a top 10 at a position
Starting point is 00:46:07 that you need coming into the season sure a top 20 outfielder a top 25 top 30 starting pitcher I would try to do something like that for Justin Turner right now. You might have wound up with him as a bench bat coming into the season. He might be expendable for your team. He's the number three hitter in points leagues right now behind Acuna and J.D. Martinez. So, I mean, obviously at his age, as much as he sits out, that's not going to last. You know, he's hitting over 400. Yeah, I agree.
Starting point is 00:46:39 If you can sell Justin Turner like a stud, I think you should because it's going to be, Difficult for him to live up to that over the course of a full season. I do have an update here from the late games. Kendall Graveman is in for the Mariners in the seventh inning. Yikes. Well, this is the biggest spot in the game, right? Yeah. It was first and second in a one-run game with one out at the time,
Starting point is 00:47:08 and he actually, oddly enough, just struck out Justin Turner. So he's currently facing Will Smith. biggest spot in the game, it looks like Kendall Graveman is that guy right now for them. And the Rangers and Angels are in a close game. Ian Kennedy is in for the save in the bottom of the night. So if anything happens there, we will update you on that. How about the rest of Monday's action? Tim Anderson recently returned from his hamstring injury.
Starting point is 00:47:31 He went three for four with two steals and two runs scored on Monday, really one of the only bright spots for the Chicago White Sox. Nathan Avaldi, the final line doesn't look good. But six and a third, nine hits four earned. zero walks, 10 strikeouts. 19 whiffs for Avaldi on 100 pitches. He had a 14% swinging strike rate entering Monday's start.
Starting point is 00:47:53 He threw five different pitches at least 12 times in this game against the White Sox. And I'm kind of excited about Nathan Ovaldi. I think he just might be a bona fide top 50 starting pitcher as long as he could say healthy. It looks really good. He does, yeah.
Starting point is 00:48:10 I mean, this was his... The 19 whiffs were the most he's this season, but he entered with a 14% swinging strike rate, which is elite on its own. It's only gone up, obviously. Yeah, really, the fact he has both a curveball and slider now when he didn't
Starting point is 00:48:25 really have a breaking ball, like they're both been effective. He threw that, that was the second and third most thrown pitch in this start. And he's pairing them up, and it's making that you know, just pure heat that he has more effective.
Starting point is 00:48:41 Because there's enough to to vary it with. And that's for his whole career, that's been what he's lacking. So he may be having a nice mid-to-late career breakout here. The Red Sox 1-5 in their lineup
Starting point is 00:48:57 each had two or more hits. And just like that, Alex Verdugo is on fire. He has 11 hits, including two home runs over his last six games. The Cardinals, they blew up for 12 runs on Monday. Paul de Yang, more like Paul de D'Dong,
Starting point is 00:49:13 because he hit two home runs, including a grand slam. Tommy Edmund, very quietly off to a great start this year. Went two for five, hit his second home run. He is batting 2.94. He also has three steals on the season. How did the Cardinals score all these runs? Well, it was a Joe Ross regression game. Four in a third innings pitched.
Starting point is 00:49:31 Eight hits, ten earned. Three walks, the ERA now up to 5.87. Hope you didn't pick him up in a points league and use them as a spark like Adam Azer and I did this week in the podcast leagues. So not great, Bob. Is this an auto drop for Joe Ross? I'm fine with it.
Starting point is 00:49:49 I was skeptical in the first place. This kind of confirms my skepticism. If the Joe Ross advocate, Chris Towers, is okay dropping him. Then you should be okay dropping Joe Ross. Jack Flaherty, six innings pitch, six hits, five runs. Two of those were earned. Five strikeouts. Only eight whiffs on 107 pitches.
Starting point is 00:50:08 Anything to see here with Jack Flaherty? I feel like he's been pretty underwhelming so far this year. is down. It's been down between one and one and a half miles per hour, basically every start. So I'm not panicked about Jack Flaherty, but I'm a little concerned. I'm a little concerned. He's not going to deliver that ace outcome. He's getting hit hard.
Starting point is 00:50:29 His curveball especially has gotten hit really hard. That hasn't been a good pitch for him so far this season. But he's mostly just throwing fastballs and sliders. I know the last two starts. It's, you know. Yeah, his curveball usage rate is 12%. Actually, yeah, his overall. used to trade is his fastball usage rate is up. That's the biggest thing.
Starting point is 00:50:47 And historically, that's not a great thing for him because his fastball does tend to get harder than everything else. But yeah, no, I agree. He's been certainly underwhelming so far. Somebody offered me Nolan Aronado for Jack Flaherty in a 15-team Roto League where I desperately need every hitting category not called steals. Would you guys, would you guys accept that trade, would you take Aronado for Jack Flaherty? I mean, it would depend how much pitching depth I had because that's still going to be difficult to replace, I think, especially after some of these early, these Johnny Come Lately's. Some of them are going to wash out, obviously.
Starting point is 00:51:29 Well, Scott, I have this team open right now. So I will let you know that I have Trevor Bauer, Jordan Montgomery, Aaron Savali, Dane Dunning, Michael Fulmer, Chris Paddock, Carlos Rodon, and Mike Soroka on the IL. So no, you do not have the depth to train. It's a 15 team league. What are you going to do? I think you got to hold on to, I mean,
Starting point is 00:51:51 you can't count on anything from Paddock at this point. Right. So, like, if you did it, I think it would be fine. Yeah. It's probably a fair deal,
Starting point is 00:52:00 but I'm trying to sell high in like Savale or Rodon instead, but no one's biting because they're smart, smart players. Kevin Galsman was at the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, six shutout, six hits,
Starting point is 00:52:12 four walks, five strikeouts, 14 whiffs on 108 pitches, fine. The fastball velocity, however, 93.4 miles per hour in this start. It was 94.5 entering this start, and it was 95.1 last season. So, any cause for concern with Kevin Gossman,
Starting point is 00:52:33 although he was good. Yeah, he gave up eight hard hit balls in this one. He walked four. It kind of seems like a got lucky, had good sequencing. luck kind of thing, but I remain pretty unconvinced about Kevin Gosman. And so if someone saw his pretty 2.45 ERA and wanted to trade for him, I would be happy to do that. Would you trade him for Charlie Morton if you could, Chris?
Starting point is 00:53:03 Oh my God, yes. How about for Jesus Lazardo? Yeah. How about Ian Anderson? Oh, yeah. How about Zach Plysack? Yeah, I know that Plyzac. Okay.
Starting point is 00:53:16 Wow. Wow. It's choosing to having to choose between two players he has no taste for. The thing about Gosman, I mean, historically, he's going to get better as the season goes on. It's kind of amazing looking at his month-by-month career breakdown, how like every month gets better. I wanted to do some bullpen updates, but there's currently. games going on right now. Josh Hader is in the bottom of the ninth
Starting point is 00:53:44 in a three to one game against the Padres. Ian Kennedy has first and third. Yeah, he's trying to blow this one. He is trying his best. He has a two-run lead against the Angels. The only other bullpen situation I noticed on Monday, Wondie Peralta picked up a save for the Giants with
Starting point is 00:54:01 Jake McGee on the COVID-I-L. To stream or not to stream. And I think what we need to do from now on is we do it for the day of and for the next day, so we'll just try to help everybody out. To stream or not to stream for Tuesday, would you guys actually start Chris Paddock
Starting point is 00:54:18 versus the Brewers? I'd really rather not. Even with no Christian Yelish? But like, yeah, the thing is like compared to the other guys we're talking about on these two lists, he's going to be pretty high up. So I'll have to remind, I'll have to remind myself that I'm judging him
Starting point is 00:54:36 by that standard. So yes, I would stream Chris Paddock. He's not. I mean, it's okay to say, know to everybody, right? Yeah, it's all right. I don't know. I mean, part of the problem is I don't really know how to calibrate this because
Starting point is 00:54:47 because Scott has the best pitch. It's not my favorite part of the show. Scott, there are people who love this segment, so we've got to help the people. So you tell me. Shohei Otani versus the Texas Rangers would you use him as a hitter or a pitcher? Hitter. Fair enough. Matt Shoemaker at the Oakland A's.
Starting point is 00:55:08 No. I'd rather start paddock Tyler Anderson at the Tigers I'd rather start paddock Me and Kennedy got the save Michael Fulmer versus the Pirates I'd like him over paddock Oh you said you'd rather start paddock okay
Starting point is 00:55:24 I would rather start paddock but I will start both I like Michael Fulmer against the pirates Adam Wayne Wright at the Nationals Yeah Logan Webb at the Phillies Yeah Yeah. I'm not sure how deep they'll let him go after he's missed his last term, basically. Taiwan Walker at the Cubs.
Starting point is 00:55:48 It's okay. I'd put Palmer and Paddock ahead of him. Jake Arenda on the other side versus the Mets? No. No. Brad Keller versus Tampa Bay? That's pretty good. Yeah, maybe. Their offense is brutal right now.
Starting point is 00:56:07 We have such tepid responses. Yeah, it's... Give me yes or no, guys. Do we ever, do we ever, like, say yes with gusto? You have to start this guy. No, I mean, either Matt or... I'm not asking about Shane Bieber. Luis Garcia at the Rockies.
Starting point is 00:56:27 No. Only as a spark. John Gray versus the Astros on the other side. No. Jordan Liles at the Angels. Nope. Matt Harvey at the Marlins. Come on.
Starting point is 00:56:40 No. So I'm not even going to ask about the last name on this list. If you are looking to add a pitcher and treat them the next day for Wednesday, would you... All right, these guys are not free agents, I get that, but people might actually be scared to start them.
Starting point is 00:56:52 Would you start either of Corey Kluber or Ian Anderson who face each other? Oh, I would start Anderson. I wouldn't start Klooper. No, if I could help it. Klober... Klooper took some steps in the right direction in his last start at the velocity.
Starting point is 00:57:06 was up. He got a lot of whiffs. I don't think all hope is lost there, but I'm not ready to activate him yet. Yeah, I don't know, maybe it's a little take lock, but I don't really, I'm not sitting in Anderson yet at all. Yeah, you probably don't need to against the Yankees right now, the way that they're playing, and he dominated them last year in his first career start. Anthony DeScliffeani at the Phillies for Wednesday. Maybe.
Starting point is 00:57:34 Okay. Bruce Zimmerman at the Marlins. No. No Starling Marte? I kind of like it. It's sneaky. Come on, Frank. They have to be a decent pitcher.
Starting point is 00:57:47 Yeah, all right. Jahb at the Oakland A's. I would rather not. Yeah, no, let's not do that. Carlos Martinez at the Nationals. Nope. Mike Fultenevich at the Angels. Nope.
Starting point is 00:57:59 Jose Cantana versus the Rangers. He's been so bad. I can't, no. Let's not do that. Adrian Houser at the Padres. No. Merrill Kelly at the Reds. Mitch Keller at the Tigers.
Starting point is 00:58:16 Not a definite, no. I don't think it's a guess. We'll go with in deeper leagues. Spencer Turnbull making a season debut against the Pirates. No. I mean, streaming a pitcher in deeper leagues is probably a bad idea anyway.
Starting point is 00:58:33 I guess you might have to in a points league. but in a Categories league, if you're, rather than stream a starter, start a reliever, right? I guess. I mean,
Starting point is 00:58:43 if you do want to stream a pitcher, it's going to be against the Tigers or Pirates, right? Those are... Oh, there's an exciting one coming up. Let's keep going. There's an exciting one coming up. Oh, it's got to be David Peterson
Starting point is 00:58:52 at the Cubs. No. It's got to be Zach Davies against the Mets. I don't hate that, actually, but better off not doing that. All right, well, no way. It's Jake Tunis versus the race.
Starting point is 00:59:05 is it? It is. He's kind of interesting, yeah. Let's wrap up with some team name Tuesday. We got a lot. From Michael, E. Noah, what you did last summer. Yep. From Joseph, sexy and E. Noah it.
Starting point is 00:59:19 Yep. If you hap and E. Noah it, clap your hands. Yep. Like, Chris just says, yeah. Enoa. Enoa love you, but I'm playing for peeps. Yeah. This one was for you, apparently, Chris.
Starting point is 00:59:37 I don't, is it a Genesis song or something? Is that what that is? I don't recognize it. All right. These are from COS. Apparently, I've been miscast. From COS. Tate's too bad for you.
Starting point is 00:59:48 Al's the big Genesis guy. Yeah, I don't get that one. Me neither. This one going Soto. Oh, yeah, sure. Leave it to Bieber. I love Chris's reactions. From Jack Boyce,
Starting point is 00:59:59 yabadabadoo. Oh, yeah. From Daniel, the Trevor ending, Story. Classic. Classic team name right there. Turn around. From Tim,
Starting point is 01:00:13 My Girl wants to... Oh, this is good. From Tim. My girl wants to Marte all the time. Marte all the time. That's a good one. I love it. Last finale's.
Starting point is 01:00:26 From Justin Dexie's Midnight Runners in Scoring position. Fantastic. That is really good. I had no idea what it was until I looked it up. Rule 5 Rejects. I don't, I don't, I feel like it's something, but I can't get it.
Starting point is 01:00:40 Last but at least, fully torched. Sure. All right, for Scott and Chris, I'm Frank. Thank you all for listening and watching a great rendition of Team Name Tuesday. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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