Fantasy Baseball Today - Eury Perez Promotion, Eduardo Rodriguez Hype & Waiver Wire Adds (5/11 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 11, 2023

Marlins top pitching prospect Eury Perez will make his debut this Friday (1:27)! ... Eduardo Rodriguez is pitching like an ace thus far (10:00). ... Lance Lynn has been the opposite (14:40). ... Juan ...Sucko is coming around (18:02)! ... Max Fried and Kyle Wright are out for at least the next two months (21:12). ... Julio Rodriguez has been dropped in the Mariners lineup (24:50). ... Jarren Duran needs to be rostered in all leagues (27:12). What about Christopher Morel? ... News (37:24): Max Scherzer is still dealing with neck spasms. ... Add Josiah Gray and Brayan Bello (42:04)? ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpen updates and streamers (49:50). Fantasy Baseball Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, Stitcher and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi Follow FBT on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1 Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Where fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris. Yuri Perez, welcome to the show. And welcome to Fantasy Baseball today.
Starting point is 00:00:31 On Thursday, May 11th, I am Frank Sample, joined by Chris Towers. Unfortunately, the Welsh is dealing with an issue, so he's not going to be on the podcast today, but we're still here. And here's what we've got. We're going to recap Wednesday's action. Another huge prospect promotion. What do we do with...
Starting point is 00:00:48 Literally. Yes. Good point. I like that. What do we do with Eduardo Rodriguez and Lance Lynn, trending in complete opposite directions right now, and much more. Before we get started,
Starting point is 00:01:00 please like this video and subscribe on YouTube if you haven't already. And if you're listening on the audio side, download, follow, and leave a five-star rating. we really appreciate it. Thank you very much. And for those in the YouTube chat, I do apologize.
Starting point is 00:01:13 I always have it set up for a certain time, and then I'm usually 10 to 15 minutes late. It has nothing to do with Chris. It's completely my fault. I'm just kind of like reorganizing the rundown and getting everything ready to go. So I do apologize. But Chris, we're here,
Starting point is 00:01:26 and let's talk about Yuri Perez, who will make his Marlins debut this Friday, arguably a top three pitching prospect entering the season. You mentioned literally. He is huge. 6 foot 8, 20 years old with a massive fastball, potential plus changeup and slider as well. In six starts at AA this season, at 232 ERA, 0.81 whip,
Starting point is 00:01:49 42 strikeouts, over 31 innings pitched. And I think most people are going to say, well, look what just happened to Brandon fought, right? We've got to keep our expectations in check. And I think that's a fair point. But I also want to point out that Yuri Perez is, he's in a different stratosphere. Again, like, of all the prospect promotions,
Starting point is 00:02:10 the season, of all the pitchers that have been promoted, Yuri Perez, well, outside of Grayson Rodriguez, Yuri Perez has the highest prospect pedigree. He is coming into the season, he was ranked higher than Tanner Bybee and Bryce Miller and Logan Allen and all those other names. Chris, what are you expecting from Yuri Perez? And do you think he's a must-add player?
Starting point is 00:02:29 37% rostered. Yeah, you mentioned he's 20. It's worth pointing out. he turned 20, 26 days ago. Yeah. He started the season at AA after being pretty good at AA last year. He started the season at AA as a 19-year-old. He's 6 foot 8, 220 pounds, throws in the high 90s with good shape.
Starting point is 00:02:52 And the thing that you always see when you read the scouting reports for Yuri Perez is the command is just unnaturally good for someone who's that big. You know, pitch, hitters feel like he's on top of them because he's so big, he's so long. But 2.9 walks per nine for his career, also in AA. This is not necessary. I mean, we don't know what he's going to look like in the majors, obviously, but this is not necessarily an Edward Cabrera situation where walks are likely to be an issue. He has very good command. I do think Yuri Perez is, okay, maybe not a must roster player.
Starting point is 00:03:31 You know, we don't know how long he's going to be up. This could just be until Trevor Rogers is ready or Johnny Quato. Quato did. He restarted his rehab assignment, but he's been off and on. I think he was bad in his most recent rehab start. But like, this is a situation where it's entirely possible. He gets one, maybe two starts, doesn't do well and get sent down. Or it's a situation where the Marlins are pretty desperate to make a playoff run.
Starting point is 00:03:57 They are three games over 500 right now, I believe, despite being 12 and 0 in one run games. This is the definition of playing with House Money. I think they have the worst run differential in the National League right now. Wow. So this is a team that pretty desperately needs to get better in order to stay afloat. And if Uri Perez comes out and looks as good as we think he can, I think he has a very good chance to stay.
Starting point is 00:04:24 So yeah, I think he's someone that I would drop Edward Cabrera for, certainly. I would probably be okay dropping Lance Lynn for him. I think I would drop the likes of Tyler Anderson for him. Now, none of those are slam dunks to be worse than Yuri Perez the rest of the way. It's possible he makes two starts. Isn't great. And then we don't see him again until next season. That's entirely possible.
Starting point is 00:04:50 But the upside here is significant. It's worth chasing. One thing I will point out, and I don't know, apologies if you guys talked about this last week on the show. but he does pitch in the Southern League at AA, and the Southern League has been the proving grounds for a new type of baseball that Major League Baseball is developing that is more like the baseball that they use in Japan. It's pre-tact would be the way to say it, I guess. It's just a stickier ball.
Starting point is 00:05:21 And so making the leap from double A to the majors already is asking a ton of a 20-year-old. We've talked about how the transition to the major. majors might be more difficult now than it has been in recent years, and this is an even bigger jump. And he's using a different baseball. So it could be a situation where the transition is even more difficult here. But Yuri Perez is the type of blue chip prospect that I think is worth betting on. I think it's a fantastic point that you bring up. And yes, the Welsh and I spoke about how they are using that pre-tech ball at AA. And specifically we brought it up because Andrew Abbott, who is a pitching prospect with the Reds, recently got promoted from double A to AAA.
Starting point is 00:05:59 and in AA, his numbers were out of this world. We're talking a 20K per 9, 22% swinging strike rate, and he recently got promoted to AAA, and he's still pitching very well, 14.4K per 9, but a 13% swinging strike rate, right? So some of those numbers have taken a bit of a step back, and Abbott is still pitching well, but I think it's a really good point that you bring up
Starting point is 00:06:21 about Yuri Perez was using a different ball, so maybe it inflated some of those strikeout numbers a little bit. I really like what you had to say about the control as well. something really interesting about if you go to Fangraphs.com and you search a player specifically a prospect, they have the prospect's report on top.
Starting point is 00:06:36 And they have grades. And it'll be, for example, his fastball is a 60 out of 70. 60 out of 80. The way that works is it's present and future grade. Correct.
Starting point is 00:06:49 Yeah. Well, I see 70. Am I looking at the wrong Uri Perez? No, no. Yeah. It's on the 80 to 20 to 80 grade. Right. Scale.
Starting point is 00:06:58 But the way that, that works is he has a 60 present grade, 70 future grade. Yes, that's exactly what I wanted to point out. And his command right now is 50 with a 70 future grade. So they are projecting his command to be really, really good. Again, that's Yuri Perez we're talking about. He's 37% rostered. I moved him up to SP 69 in my rankings, which is just ahead of Logan Allen,
Starting point is 00:07:20 the Guardians Logan Allen. It's just ahead of Tosh Bradley, ahead of Mason Miller. But it's behind Tanner Bybee and it's behind Bryce Miller. Chris, what do you think about just where he ranks among the other pitching prospects? Because I don't know when we're going to see Taj Bradley again. Obviously, I want to hold on to him. This Mason Miller injury situation is kind of up in the air. I think Logan Allen is good and he's proven himself and he's pitched well.
Starting point is 00:07:44 I just think Uri Perez's upside is higher. Frankly, I just really like what I've seen so far from Bybee and Bryce Miller. Yeah, I think that's reasonable. Miller, I think I would have Perez over Miller, but I could not. I couldn't look you in the eye and tell you, yeah, you should drop Bryce Miller after the way he's pitched in his first two starts. I have some doubts about how sustainable it is during a fastball 70% of the time, specifically, not getting a ton of swings and misses overall from what I remember. But like, you can't drop him even for a guy like Yuri Perez right now after what he's shown. So, you know, I think I think that's about right.
Starting point is 00:08:24 like he's as talented as arguably any pitcher that we've seen make the leap, but we've also seen with Grayson Rodriguez, who we thought was the most talented and the most ready, that, you know, he's still, it's tough to make that leap. So I'm very excited to see Yuri Perez pitch. He's no, by no means a sure thing. The Marlins have earned the benefit of the doubt, I think, in terms of the development of pitchers,
Starting point is 00:08:50 but we're also seeing with Edward Cabrera. It's not always linear. That is correct. So yeah, I think that's about the right range. I apologize to anyone who's looking at the rankings, by the way. I was on vacation last week, which I knew about, and I was out for five days. So I haven't updated them since then. And then I got selected for jury duty.
Starting point is 00:09:10 So I'm basically only doing the podcast and the FBT newsletter right now. And I really don't have time for anything else. Hopefully I'll be able to update my rankings in earnest next week. But I apologize. there will probably not be any rankings updates from me this week. No trade values chart either. I'm so sorry. And if you're ever... Things are kind of hectic right now. I can see that. If you're ever looking for our rankings, by the way, you can find them on the website, CBSports.com slash fantasy slash baseball slash rankings. And Scott and my rankings are,
Starting point is 00:09:43 we're recently updated here on Thursday. Yuri Perez is in there and made a whole bunch of changes to starting pitcher and all the positions. So you can go and check those out on the site. All right, Chris, let's get into the rest of Wednesday's action. Oh, my goodness gracious. Atta girl, Susan. All right, where do we want to start? I said Edward Rodriguez, right? Yes.
Starting point is 00:10:04 He's probably the olive garden breadstick of the day. And he's just been really awesome. I think his last five starts in particular have been uniformly excellent. He's gone, yeah, at least, let me see. Okay, last six starts, he's gone at least five and two thirds innings in each with no more than one. earned run allowed. He has one double-digit strikeout effort in that stretch, three with at least eight strikeouts. And today his velocity was up. He had eight strikeouts over seven shutout innings. His velocity on his four-seam fastball was up. One point one mile per hour. It's about a
Starting point is 00:10:40 mile per hour up on everything. And that's really encouraging because his velocity has been down the last couple of seasons. And remember, it's been a really difficult and weird couple of years for Edward or Rodriguez. I've mentioned this the last few times. We've talked about him, but it's worth mentioning that in 2020, we weren't sure he was ever going to pitch in the majors again. He had myocarditis as a result, as a side effect of having COVID. It was a heart condition.
Starting point is 00:11:10 We weren't sure we were ever going to see him again. Came back in 2021 was not great, but the peripherals were very, very good. 332 FIP despite a 474 ERA. Last season, again, just really, we. He had that situation where he was away from the team. We didn't really know it was going on. And, you know, his overall numbers weren't great. But coming off that 2021 season, myself and a lot of people thought that he was a potential
Starting point is 00:11:37 breakout candidate. And maybe that's what we're seeing. It's just a little bit of a delayed breakout situation for Eduardo Rodriguez. I'm very encouraged by what we've seen. Yeah, he has been fantastic. Eduardo Rodriguez has a seven shutout with eight more. strikeouts at the Guardians, 14 swinging strikes. And if you look at, if you're trying to figure out what is he doing differently this year,
Starting point is 00:12:01 he's limiting hard contact and the control has been amazing. 1.7 walks per 9 so far this season. He's right around three for his career. So my assumption here, Chris, is that there will be some regression in terms of the walks and the control. But we've seen Eduardo Rodriguez, even with that bad control, have fantasy viable seasons in the past. So it's not just like, oh my God, panic sell Eduardo Rodriguez,
Starting point is 00:12:26 but I think it's a conversation worth having. I moved them up to SP 55. Scott has him at SP 50. And I think you could try to sell high on Eduardo Rodriguez right now. Again, it's that term, sell high. But I don't know who are you buying long. Like, if you could flip Erod for Alec Manoa right now. Absolutely would do that.
Starting point is 00:12:48 You would do it. Okay, what about Lidolo? I feel like that we're getting a little bit closer. I think I would, just the strikeout upside, I would like to see how the CAF issue that got him pushed back in recent days. I'd like to see how that works out because that is potentially an explanation for why he hasn't been as good as we hoped for. I would trade. I think I would do Reed Detmer's, but that one's a little worry, a little more worrisome. Just mostly for me, I actually really still believe in the talent.
Starting point is 00:13:22 I think he's going to be much better moving forward, but there's a cap on how valuable he can be because of that six-man rotation. You know, he's only met six starts so far. So that's a complicating factor. But yeah, I think like 55th overall, that's a good range for him. And yeah.
Starting point is 00:13:42 I think it would have to be Reddembers plus another piece, like a starter, a hitting starter that you can, you know, play on your team. Two outfielders at Sandout, Chris, that are off to slow start. Starling Marte and Teasca Hernandez. Sure. You would do it for either one. Yeah, if you're looking for someone to add to Reed Detmer's,
Starting point is 00:13:59 maybe Stephen Kwan, who's been a little underwhelming, that might be enough to get it done. But it's to say that, like, I want guys who are must-start players in return. And I think that's what I'm looking for with if I'm trading E-Rod. Again, this isn't an indictment on E-Rod. If you're not getting fair value for him right now, If someone's not offering you a trade for him as if he were a top, you know, 25 or top 30 ranked pitcher, then just hold and see where it goes.
Starting point is 00:14:28 I mean, the way he's pitching right now, I think he's in line for two more starts next week. So, all right, if no one overwhelms you, just hold on to Erod and, you know, hope that he continues to pitch well. He's done it in the past. Somebody on the opposite end of the spectrum, Chris, is Lance Lynn, who, frankly, I was very bullish on coming into the year. And he's let me down. He's let me down quite a bit. got rocked once again this time at the Royals, who again, I will point out,
Starting point is 00:14:55 if they don't have the most home runs in May, then they are close to it. I think they lead the American League in home runs in the month of May. So their offense has been better, but no excuses. Lance Lynn was bad. Five innings, seven runs, two more home runs allowed in this one, eight hard hits,
Starting point is 00:15:11 90.8 mile per hour average exit velocity this season. He has allowed 11 home runs. That is the fourth most in baseball so far. He's got a 751 ERA, a 1.6 whip. Still getting tons of strikeouts. I mean, we're talking about an 11K per 9. What has gone wrong? Well, obviously, I just ran through the home runs and the exit velocity.
Starting point is 00:15:31 The control has been a problem. Three and a half walks per 9 so far this year for Lanselin. He's getting up there in age. Who's to say, you know, this isn't just, all right, he's starting to fall off the cliff. Frankly, I don't really see enough in the numbers to say that's actually what's happening here, Chris. And I know most people who have. have Lanselin won't want to hear this, I would still be looking to buy dirt cheap if I can.
Starting point is 00:15:53 I mean, he got off to a brutal start last year. Look at his first, I think it was seven or eight starts last year versus his final like 15. He was amazing over his final 15 starts. And sometimes guys just get off to a slow start like this. It's frustrating, but I would still be looking to buy really, really cheap if you can on Lanslain. Yeah, I think that's fair. I do, I wonder if there's something mechanically going wrong. You know, you look at some of the release and extension data and he's a little off there relative to where he's been. So it could be, you know, some mechanical tweaks could be all he needs. But, you know, it's also a 35, 36 year old.
Starting point is 00:16:35 So it's possible that we're seeing he's 35, he turns 36. It's also possible that we're just seeing the end of the line. I will point out he's getting a lot of width. He's got a 30% whiff rate on his four seam, his cutter, his curveball, and his changeup. So that's a good sign. He's getting a ton of strikeouts, 29% would be the highest of his career. So there are still some reasons to be, I don't want to say optimistic, but maybe hopeful that things can get better for Lance Lynn. I would prefer not to drop him, but I would if Yuri Perez was out there.
Starting point is 00:17:13 and that was the worst pitcher on my staff. And yeah, I think buying low is still a viable option. Yeah, I mean, that last part you said, like earlier, you mentioned that you would drop Lynn for Yuri Perez. If he's the worst pitcher on my team, okay, and it's a shallow league. Like, someone else is probably not going to pick up Lance Lynn. That's fine. But in a deeper league, you probably have a pitcher worse, right?
Starting point is 00:17:37 So in a vacuum, I don't think I would want to drop Lance Lynn. Next week, he's going up against the Guardians who are, struggling offensively and the Royals once again. So it's, you know, it's one tougher matchup, I guess you could say, and one easier matchup. Would you start or sit him for two starts next week? Start in points. I would have trouble in a Rotelique starting him.
Starting point is 00:18:00 Yep, I think that's fair. Shout out to our favorite hitter here on this podcast, Chris. Juan Soto, who went one for three with two walks, a sock and two shoes. That's right. A homer and two steals. He's now up to six home runs, three steals on the season. And over his last 11 games, he is betting 400 with six doubles, two homers, two steals, and a 95 mile per hour average exit velocity.
Starting point is 00:18:27 Patience. I know. It's good. It's been going for over a year now. I know. It's been a long time now that Juan Soto has not been himself. But he's coming around. I will point out.
Starting point is 00:18:38 If you look at, this was something that I looked at today because I, you know, one, Our friend Chris, who emails the show and came up with the Wan Succo nickname, has upgraded him to Juan Soso. So that's an important update. And the other thing I want to point out is just like a bigger picture thing with Wonsato. I know he's been bad for basically a full year. If you look at baseball reference, like the most comparable players to Wonsotto, the top guy is pretty much Mel Ott,
Starting point is 00:19:09 who member of the Major League Baseball Hall of Fame, 500 home run guy, one of the best young hitters of all time, which is what we always say about one set up. Mel Ott through his age 23 season, 985 OPS for his career. He played in the 1920s, 1930s and 40s. Then his age 24 season struggled,
Starting point is 00:19:29 834 OPS, struggled being a relative term. In this instance, his next like 10 seasons or something, his OPS was back up above 950. So like these things can happen, even to Hall of Fame players. And I know that the stats, Backass page and all that.
Starting point is 00:19:45 Like he's pulling the ball too much. He hasn't been right. All of those things are true. It's also just to remind everyone that this is a Hall of Fame caliber player. This is a 24-year-old who you can fairly say is a likely Hall of Fame. There are like eight of those dudes you've ever been able to say about that in Major League Baseball history. Bet on those guys figuring it out. Yes, his mechanics were screwed up and his swing hasn't been perfect.
Starting point is 00:20:13 and he's still pulling the ball too much, and all those things are true. Bet on Hall of Famers figuring it out. That's my rant. Juan Soso, I love it. It gave me a real chuckle today. That is good. All right, let's take our first break when we get back.
Starting point is 00:20:27 I want to talk about some injury updates to the Braves pitchers, some rough news. Julio Rodriguez dropped to sixth in the Mariners lineup. We'll break it all down here on Fantasy Baseball today. Quick reminder to sign up for our Fantasy Baseball Today newsletter. Head to CBSports.com slash newsletters, punch in your email address, and hit sign up.
Starting point is 00:20:47 It's easy as that, and it's free. You get the latest news and articles delivered right to your inbox. If you're watching us live on YouTube, then you can scan the QR code. That will also take you to the website where you can sign up. Dan Schneier usually does a great job
Starting point is 00:21:02 with it. He's actually out right now, so you can get Chris's thoughts who has been writing the newsletter this week. So make sure to check it out and sign up for free. Braves pitcher updates Chris this is a rough one. Max Fried and Kyle Wright are both expected to miss at least,
Starting point is 00:21:18 at least the next two months. And I was updating the rankings and I have an idea of, give you an idea of where I moved them down to. Max Fried to SP45. He is part of a trio right now, which includes Luis Severino, Tristan McKenzie, and then Max Fried is at the bottom of that. And then I move Kyle Wright.
Starting point is 00:21:37 Tyler Glassnow higher? I moved Tyler Glass now higher. up into like another trio of injuries. So SP 28, 29, and 30 is Glassnow, Woodruff, and Carlos Rodon. That makes sense. Yep. And then I move Kyle Wright all the way down to SP 74. Obviously, he's not the same skill level as Max Fried and he's not as proven.
Starting point is 00:21:58 And frankly, he could miss even more time than Max Fried. I don't ever want to like try to predict injuries. I'm not a doctor and I don't have access to his medicals. this just feels like a lost season. And I'm kicking myself that I wasn't more skeptical of him coming into the season because of the, you know, the shoulder issue and the like, oh, his shoulder feels better than it has in years. And it's like, I feel dumb. I feel like I wasn't really on him, but I should have just been out on Max Free or on Kyle.
Starting point is 00:22:37 right. Max Fried is an example of like why we do when we do the like I told you this guy was going to get hurt. It's like, well, okay. Yeah. Guys also just get hurt sometimes. Yeah. I mean, for the most part in his career, Max Fried has been relatively healthy. So it's, it's just, it's pretty random, but adds to the theme, I guess so far of this season, lots of starting pitcher injuries. Where do the Braves go from here? It sounds like Jared Schuster will occupy at least one of those spots in the time being. And there was a rumor that Mike Soroka could start this weekend. However, he is also attempting to come back from a crazy injury. He's, you know, torn his Achilles twice now. Yeah. And five starts in the minors, he's got a 523 ERA, a 1-60 whip,
Starting point is 00:23:20 about a strikeout per inning. He's got beat up his last two starts. I'm not holding anything against him, Chris, because again, what he's attempting to come back from is like catastrophic. So I just don't think that there's going to be much fantasy value there. Maybe I'm wrong. Even a decade ago, Achilles injuries were basically career enders across most sports. Now it's gotten better, but it's still arguably the toughest injury to come back from. Maybe not for pitchers. Shoulder injuries tend to be a little scarier, especially when you have surgery.
Starting point is 00:23:50 But you should expect nothing from Mike Soroka is what I would say. He struggled at AAA in his rehab assignment. Anything you get for him from him is a bonus at this point. I'm rooting for him. I hope that he's good, but the odds are against him. And I would certainly much rather have Yuri Perez than Mike Soroka, for instance. And I would assume Soroka's roster rate is probably higher at this point. I don't know about that.
Starting point is 00:24:24 Let's look that up real quick. Mike Soroka is, wow, you're right. 40%. That is crazy. A bit higher. So there aren't probably many leagues where drop Mike Soroka for Yuri Perez is a thing, but drop Mike Soroka for Yuri Perez. Yeah, I'd imagine a lot of those are, I don't know,
Starting point is 00:24:40 keeper dynasty leagues or something. People are just holding on to the name value. Again, I'm rude for the guy, but the odds are very clearly stacked against Mike Soroka right now. Julio Rodriguez dropped to sixth in the Mariners lineup, and I think I saw this is the first time he's batted anywhere outside of Leof since last August. So that, you know, he's basically just been entrenched in that spot.
Starting point is 00:25:02 What is the problem this season? Julio Rodriguez is currently batting 205, 270, 384. Still has six home runs and six steals, so he's giving you power and speed. The strikeout rate is up a little bit to 29%, which again is, it's on the higher side. It's not great. You don't love that.
Starting point is 00:25:20 Quality of contact is down a touch across the board, Chris. There's not really anything that stands out in a major way. I mean, the expected stats are basically the same as they were last year. They weren't very good last season, So maybe that's something we should have paid attention to more during draft season. His Babbitt has dropped nearly 100 points compared to last year. So I think he's been unlucky. He also dealt with some backstorness earlier on in the season.
Starting point is 00:25:47 So maybe he's like still kind of struggling with that right now. Overall, I mean, I'm like slightly worried, but not completely. What do you think? The nice thing about having invested a first round pick in Julio Rodriguez is one, it means you didn't draft Tri-Turner. So you got that going for you. But, you know, a more serious thing is like, oh no, Julio Rodriguez has been so bad. He's on a 25, 25 pace still. That batting average is a killer.
Starting point is 00:26:15 Oh, yeah, yeah. He's been bad. There's no question about it. It's just like, this is the caliber of player we're talking about here. And like I would think that, like you said, there's some bad luck there, has expected batting average is a still not great 251. that is obviously much better than 205. So I think better days are ahead.
Starting point is 00:26:37 If you get an opportunity to buy low on Julio Rodriguez, I would absolutely do that. But yeah, he might be more like a Randy, a Rosarena, or Adolice Garcia type than a first rounder. But that's, I think, kind of the nice thing about him is like, that's still a pretty high floor. Yeah. All right, so if you have the opportunity,
Starting point is 00:27:03 by low on Julio Rodriguez, I think that goes without saying, just hope that he's healthy. I don't know if this back thing is lingering for him, but there is a chance that it is. Let's move into some Waverwire hitters, Chris, and Jaron Duran, to my surprise,
Starting point is 00:27:17 he's still just 71% rostered. I think he is a must roster player at this point. Two more hits on Wednesday, a walk, a double, picked up his sixth steal of the season. He is now ranked inside of my top 40 outfielers on the season and he's batting near 400 is giving you power and speed. He's hitting the ball extremely hard.
Starting point is 00:27:37 I think Jaron's roster rate, Chris, needs to be 100%. Yeah, it's always tough the further you get into the season for players to become 100% rostered because people fall off and all that stuff. But yeah, I mostly agree. Jaron Duran, he's doing what we hoped he would. This is not sustainable. He's probably more like a 250 hitter than. you know, shocking, he's not a 370 hitter.
Starting point is 00:28:04 I don't think that. I think that goes without saying. But like he's probably more like a 250, 260 hitter, but that's still useful when he's going to steal a bunch of bases. And he's hitting the ball hard enough that it's not unreasonable to expect him to hit for some power. That park's going to hold him back in that regard. That's a tough place for lefties to hit home runs. But yeah, all the underlying stats of Jandaran are very positive.
Starting point is 00:28:28 He's still produced very well at AAA, even when he, was struggling to make an impact in the majors. So I'm with you on him being worth rostering in all formats. All right. How about let's see. I'm going to let's put a few players up against each other. Harrison Bader, I brought him up yesterday. Scott was pretty dismissive of him.
Starting point is 00:28:47 And I look, Harrison Bader has a very weird track record where one year he steals bases, one year he hits for power. He's had trouble staying on the field. He went one for four with his third home run in just eight games since returning. this was a Yankee Stadium special if I've ever seen one too so I'll just throw it out there but he's batting 429 with three home runs
Starting point is 00:29:07 only two strikeouts in eight games so far 68% roster he's got seven games next week including either three or four in Cincinnati so obviously it's a great place to hit Andrew McCutcheon went three for three with a walk and his seventh home run quietly just solid 255 seven homers four steals nearly as many walks his strikeouts
Starting point is 00:29:27 Chris who would you rather have Harrison Bader or Andrew McCutcheon. I would rather have Andrew McCutcheon. I'm just not a Harrison-Bader fan. I just, he's got three home runs now. Three home runs and eight games. And it's probably like, what, 11 and 50 games with the Yankees or something? I kind of wonder if he figured something out in the postseason where he had that big
Starting point is 00:29:50 power surge and maybe it's just kind of carried over into this season. I don't know. Maybe. But he has a 26% of, hard hit rate. And look, we're talking about 23 bat at balls so far. So there's not a ton of evidence one way or the other here, but
Starting point is 00:30:06 I'm just not a Harrison Bader believer. There are people who think he's good. I am not one of them. And so you're asking the wrong guy if you want the optimistic take on Harrison Bader. I'm just I've never been a believer in his skill set. And yeah, that's that's a big no from me.
Starting point is 00:30:27 Hey, all we can do is tell you what the data says. and 83.7 mile per hour average exit velocity. I'm sure it would rank among the worst in baseball. Yeah, eight home runs in 30 games with the Yankees, by the way. Yeah. So this is one where I'm willing to be wrong. If I'm missing something on Harrison Bader, so be it. But I just, I don't believe in him.
Starting point is 00:30:51 Fair enough. How about these two? Lamont Wade went one for four with a walk and his seventh home run. He's batting 260. More walks and strikeouts. He's got a 13% barrel rate. And Max Kepler went two for five with his sixth home run in 22 games since returning from the aisle. He's batting 244 with five homers and a 93 mile per hour average exit velocity, nearly 10 miles per hour more than Harrison Bader.
Starting point is 00:31:14 Chris, who would you rather have Lamont Wade or Max Kepler? They're actually pretty similar players. What do you think? Kepler, there's always like some interesting things about Kepler and then he kind of just underwhelms across the board. I think that's probably because he's so fly ball and pull heavy that it's just like he hits a lot of infield fly balls and it's just always dragged his batting average down. I think I would go with Wade,
Starting point is 00:31:40 but they're like you said, they're very similar and you can make a case that because Kepler plays on a team that's likely going to play him more consistently and in a better home park, you can make a case for him over Lamont Wade. I think that's fine. Yeah, I just kind of trust the Giants, the way that they've kind of worked their magic with
Starting point is 00:31:58 hitters the past couple of years and that barrel rate is interesting, the plate discipline is good. It's such a double-edged sword, the Giants thing. Yeah. Because they're really, really good at playing matchups and figuring out not just platoon stuff, but they take a lot of like a vertical approach
Starting point is 00:32:15 angle into account and like they really match up players based on what types of pitchers they're good against but that also can lead to playing time concerns. Although I do, I will give Max Kepler credit. He has not had a pop-up rate
Starting point is 00:32:31 over 10% since 2020. And it's down to around 6% over the past season and, you know, change. So he's been better in that regard than I gave him credit for. I apologize to Max Kepler. Lamont Wade, I'm just kind of looking at his game log now. I didn't realize this. He has started
Starting point is 00:32:48 11 of their past 12 games. So he is just, pretty good. Unless all of those games are against right-handed pitchers. Yeah. It seems like he's mostly in everyday player. I'll take Lamont Wade, but I think both guys are kind of interesting right now. This last group includes Christopher Morel, who went two for four with a double and two RBI. Two batted balls over 109 exit velocity. One of them was 112.1. Just amazing stuff there. Eddie Rosario went two for four with a double in an RBI over his last 14 games. He's betting
Starting point is 00:33:20 3.46 with two home runs. Lots of hard contact as well. And Lane Thomas stays hot. He went two for with his fourth home run. He's betting 281 with four homers and three steals overall on the season. Chris Morel, Eddie Rosario, Lane Thomas. How do you rank those three? So this is not what you asked, but I would take Christopher Morel over every player that we've talked about in this section except for Jaron Duran.
Starting point is 00:33:46 I just... I think I would too. I just, I think he's a real... I mean, I made the comp yesterday to sub-peak Javier Baez. You look at what he's done at the highest levels of the market. Niners, double A and AAA, 168 games. He's had 36 home runs,
Starting point is 00:34:02 25 stolen bases. A lot of strikeouts, that's going to be a problem for him. He's going to strike out close to 30% of the time. But as long as he strikes out like 29% of the time, rather than 33% of the time, I think Chris Morel is going to be pretty useful for fantasy, especially in Roto.
Starting point is 00:34:18 I think points leagues, it might be harder, although he's eligible for positions. I think it's just second base in outfield. Is it just second base now? I thought he, okay, I thought he got more third base last season.
Starting point is 00:34:32 But yeah, he, only nine games last year. No, sorry. Anyway, no, he's third base eligible as well.
Starting point is 00:34:37 Nope, he's not. It's 20 games, isn't it? Yeah, it's 20. Yep. He had 18 games last year.
Starting point is 00:34:42 That's where I got tripped up. Either way. I think he's good. I think he is going to force the Cubs to play him consistently. And I think he has much more upside than anyone we've talked about so far. Yep.
Starting point is 00:34:56 Yeah, I'd agree with that. Maybe in a points league, you'd take like a McCutcheon or a Lamont Wade just because of the plate discipline. Sure. In category leagues, I think just go out and get Morel on your team. I still kind of worry about the playing time long term. But life finds away, Chris. If this guy keeps hitting the ball as hard as he is and he's running around and stealing bases, they will find a place for Christopher Morel to play.
Starting point is 00:35:18 So just get him on your leagues and get him on your teams in category leagues and figure out the rest later. In deeper leagues, a few names that stood out, Casey Schmerell. who we mentioned yesterday hit a home run in his very first game. He's a prospect with the Giants. He had two more hits on Wednesday and two batted balls over 105 miles per hour. J.J. Bladay went two for five with his third home run. Only eight games so far with the A's, but batting 379 with those three home runs, just a 16% strikeout rate.
Starting point is 00:35:47 Nick Prado, I keep bringing him up because he just keeps hitting. I just don't know if it's real, if there's anything to it. but he went two for four with his second home run. He's betting 362 with a 32% strikeout rate. I just don't really get it. And Michael Massey went three for four with his first home run. He's betting 340 over his last 14 games. We're talking 15 teamers and deeper here, Chris.
Starting point is 00:36:12 Any interest in these, Casey Schmidt, JJ Bladay, Nick Prado, and Michael Massey. I don't think I'm telling any tales out of school. And I say that Nick Prado is unlikely to continue hitting 362. He actually does have a 291 XBA, which is weird because his average exit velocity is only 87 miles per hour. I don't really understand. It's a lot of line drives apparently. Yeah, his line driver rate is 41%. It's a tiny, tiny sample size.
Starting point is 00:36:38 But yeah, that'll do it. That's not sustainable. But remember, he had 36 home runs two years ago in the miners was part of that big Royals, like Northwest Arkansas team with M.J. Melendez. I think he's probably second or third on this list, though. I think Casey Schmidt is probably the most interesting of the three. I want to give JJ Bladay some credit because his AAA numbers especially are very good. 893 OPS, 27 homers in 110 games with decent plate discipline. But the quality of contact in the majors, even with the three home runs in eight games,
Starting point is 00:37:15 is pretty middling. So I'm not too enthused there. So yeah, I like Casey Schmidt best out of this group. All right, let's hit some news and notes. And we'll start with Max Scherzer, who attempted to play catch on Wednesday, but cut it short because he was still feeling neck spasms, which... Yeah. I have a bad feeling here, Chris.
Starting point is 00:37:35 It's just the writing is on the wall. I think we probably get an I L stint or at least skip another start or something. I would be shocked if this doesn't end in an IL stint. After that, yeah. Yeah, not looking good for Max Scherzer. Potentially not looking good for Tyler Glass now either, who was. was removed from his rehab start on Wednesday after just one inning. And apparently he left with general left side tightness.
Starting point is 00:37:57 And guess what? He is attempting to return from an oblique injury. So obviously that's pretty rough news there. Jose Alvarado was placed on the aisle with left elbow inflammation. The MRI didn't show anything structurally wrong. So glass half full there. Who do you think gets the save opportunities for the Phillies moving forward, Chris? There's Craig Kimball and his ERA, which is over seven.
Starting point is 00:38:19 Well, that's the problem, right? Is you got Craig Kimbril. You got Sir Anthony Dominguez. You got Gregory Soto all have closing experience on that team. And they've all been dreadful this season. I think Soto has the best ERA out of the three at 4-5-0. Strom is, strong is interesting. He's been really good this season.
Starting point is 00:38:44 I think it's 40 strikeouts and 28 innings or something like that. Two relief appearances that have both been. pretty good. I think he's a dark horse. I'm not saying add him, but it's something to keep an eye on just because I can't handicap the other three. They've all been so bad that I just,
Starting point is 00:39:01 I can't really get a sense of it. I would guess Kimberl gets a shot, but there can't be any kind of leash there. I have Strom in a few leagues, and for some reason, it looks like he's projected to start, at least on CBS. So I don't know if.
Starting point is 00:39:18 But isn't, Ranger Suarez is coming back. Ranger Suarez is coming back. Yeah, that's so that I wouldn't, I don't know. Yeah. I don't think that's going to happen. So I agree with you. I think Matt Strom is a dark horse right now to potentially earn some saves in the meantime for the Phillies.
Starting point is 00:39:36 Jose Miranda, this is big news too. I mean, option back to AAA on Wednesday with Kyle Farmer being reinstated from the IL. Chris, are you okay dropping Miranda in redraft leagues? Absolutely. I would drop him for morale in a heartbeat. All right. Nico Horner has missed two straight with that mild left hamstring strain.
Starting point is 00:39:55 Corey Seeger is expected to return early during the Rangers upcoming homestand, which spans May 15th through the 21st, and he'll begin a rehab assignment at AA on Thursday. Liam Hendricks has at least three rehab outings left. The schedule calls for back-to-back outings over the next few days. I did see that he made an appearance on Wednesday, and he threw another scoreless outings. Velocity's been way down. I think he averaged like 93.5 with his fastball on this one, which is about three and a half miles per hour down.
Starting point is 00:40:25 But all things considered, you know, it might lead to some struggles in his return. We saw that with Carlos Carrasco when he returned mid-season after his cancer diagnosis and then going through treatment. It's entirely possible that Liam Hendricks struggles, but I still think he's very much worth stashing. Luis Severino through 49 pitches in his first first.
Starting point is 00:40:48 rehab start Wednesday, he allowed one run over three and a third innings. Dodgers manager, Dave Roberts, said that a decision on whether Noah Cindergarde will be placed on the IL won't come before Friday. Cinderguard is dealing with a cut on his right index finger. Drop him. Hazu Sanchez exited early. Yeah, drop him for a Yuri Perez. Hesu Sanchez exited early with a right hamstring injury, which is so unfortunate because he's just coming around, right? And he had a mammoth home run in this game. I think it was 440 feet to straightaway center field. So I hope it's nothing serious, but yeah, Hazer Sanchez has looked really good recently.
Starting point is 00:41:24 Jan Goams was activated from the Concussion IL and the Cubs option prospect Miguel Amaya back to AAA. Goemes went three for three with his sixth home run and is batting 324 this season. If anybody dropped Jan Gohms in a two-catcher league, please go pick him up because he's quietly been very, very good for the Cubs this year. Let's take our final break.
Starting point is 00:41:45 And when we return, I've got a few pitching performances to talk about right after this. Big thanks to those watching us live on YouTube right now. It's past 1 a.m. Eastern Time. We've got 575 people watching us. So if you're here, thank you, and please hit that like button. We really appreciate it.
Starting point is 00:42:02 Some waiver wire pitchers from Wednesday's action. Seth Lugo turned in another quality start. This one at the Twins. Six innings, two runs, five strikeouts in that one. He's got a 318 ERA-129 whip so far on the season, and looks like he's in line for two starts next week. week up against the Royals and Red Sox. Josiah Gray had another strong start at Giants seven innings two runs four walks so three strikeouts he's got a 296
Starting point is 00:42:29 ERA 134 whip those things don't really line up so I think there will be some regression on the ERA but right now it looks like he's in line for two starts against the Tigers and the Marlins next week so yeah at him he's 59% rostered is is too low that those are just great match Brian Beow, Chris, we were talking beforehand. Turns in his first quality start of the season at the Braves. Really tough matchup, obviously. Six innings, two runs, five strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:42:58 18 swinging strikes on 100 pitches, and he was electric. His velocity was up across the board, his slider up nearly two miles per hour. He was throwing the four-scene fastball up, and he was throwing everything else down in the zone. He was just working it. He looked fantastic.
Starting point is 00:43:13 Again, that's Brian Beow. And then Dane Dunning, his first two starts filling in for Jacob de Grom, have been very solid. And Dean Kramer, back-to-back quality starts against the Braves and the Tampa Bay Rays. I don't know, really know where this is coming from, but he pits very well. Six shot out, four strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:43:30 allowed a lot of hard contact, but his velocity was up across the board as well. Chris, how would you rank this group? Josiah Gray, Seth Lugo, Brian Beow, Dane Dunning, and Dean Kramer. Gray, Beyo, Lugo, Dunning, Kramer, although Kramer
Starting point is 00:43:49 mostly just kind of depends I think on where his next start is if his next start is at home maybe I'll rank him higher than Dane Dunning but I think both of those two are clearly in the streaming only conversation Yeah anything else you'd like to add on Brian Beow and what he did in this one against the race
Starting point is 00:44:08 I mean look we One of the things I think Scott said this verbatim in a recent episode but you know if you get four straight or if you get four swings of misses on four different pitches. That's, that's noteworthy. And that's what Brian Bayo did. His changeup was really good tonight, four swings and misses on 18 pitches.
Starting point is 00:44:27 We know he has upside. He's been pretty bad early in his career, but it was very nice to see a sign at the upside. I think there are still going to be, there's still going to be some rocky outings in the future. He still had, what, nine hard hit balls allowed in this one. So I'm not, ready to declare that he's just arrived, but there's enough upside here that if, if Yuri Perez isn't available, Ryan Bayo is pretty interesting. Yeah, I think I would take both of the twins guys over him over and Barland, but it's, it's not far off from that. Like, that's kind of the range where Bayo could be. Beio probably has more upset than Ober, at least.
Starting point is 00:45:11 I actually do think Varland, you know, in talking about him recently and then talking about him the other I do think there's a decent amount of upside there. I'm actually pretty excited to see him continue to pitch. Chris, every time I say the name Bayo or I read it, I always think of Bayo Wolf. Did you read the short story or, I don't know, watch the animated film back in the day? I think I slept through a class reading of that in high school.
Starting point is 00:45:38 That sounds about right. I had English class first period, you know. It was tough. Yeah. Every time I read his name, I just want to say, like, I am Bayo Wolfe. but I don't know, we'll save that for, if he becomes a thing, maybe I'll get the sound drop
Starting point is 00:45:52 and we'll make it a thing. Edward Cabrera, Chris, you mentioned the name earlier on, and the strikeouts are awesome, but he has just one quality start in eight outings so far this year. He was at the Diamondbacks. I was watching this start. First three innings, cruised.
Starting point is 00:46:07 Looked amazing. Fourth inning, everything fell apart. Four walks within the inning. He walked the bases loaded, and then walked the next thing. He walked a run in. There was just something fundamentally wrong. I don't know what it is.
Starting point is 00:46:22 I can't explain it. The broadcasters couldn't explain it. He just completely fell apart. That's not the first time he's done that, I'm pretty sure. No, it's a mess too. His velocity was up across the board. I wonder if, like, maybe he was trying to throw too hard. But this has been an issue all year.
Starting point is 00:46:38 It's not like it was just this start. You know, 7.6 walks per 9. He's still 66% rostered. What do you think about Edward Cabrera? are we dropping him. His next start is against the national. So on paper, it's a good matchup. It's kind of one of those situations
Starting point is 00:46:55 where my preference would be to hang on to him because I still think there's a ton of upside. But like, I'm viewing him right now sort of how I would view like a top prospect getting called up. Where I, there's upside, there's downside. He's a huge risk moving forward. and I don't have any.
Starting point is 00:47:16 You can't start him. You just can't. 7.6 walks per 9, 1.7 whip. There's just no way you can start Edward Cabrera right now. So I would rather have Yuri Perez, as I said earlier. I'd rather have both twins guys. I do think there could be a point where Edward Cabrera figures it out, figures out the inconsistency,
Starting point is 00:47:34 and it's just a really, really good pitcher. But he's not there right now. And there are just too many of these innings where he just doesn't know where the ball is going. I think in standard size points leagues, you know, shallower four match is five-man bench. There has to be someone with more upside out there.
Starting point is 00:47:53 I would drop him for Yuri Perez, as you mentioned, the twins guys, any of those top three that we just talked about, Lugo, Josiah Gray. I would even do it for Brian Beow. I really liked what I saw from Brian Beow in this start too. And they're kind of similar in that they both had prospect pedigree. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:48:09 I think Beio's just trending in the right direction right now. Yeah, I think that's fine. You know, obviously, Cabrera had 20 strikeouts in his previous two starts. So there's strikeouts are not an issue, Chris. Yeah. We know that. Yeah. It's everything else right now.
Starting point is 00:48:25 Yeah. So I think that's fine. A name, man, this is an interest. Sorry, I'm going off topic a little bit. But someone in the chat asked if we would drop Graham Ashcraft for Yuri Perez. I would do it. I think I would, especially now that Graham Ashcraft doesn't have the really pretty ERA. and it's probably going to be harder to trade him.
Starting point is 00:48:46 I think I'd rather have Yuri Perez. Yeah, look, don't just drop Graham Ashcraft. Like, you can hold on to him. Don't just drop him for anybody. But yeah, for the upside of a Yuri Perez, you know, Scott a couple of weeks ago did come on here and say, look, try to try and sell high on Graham Ashcraft while you can. And, you know, it seems at least for now,
Starting point is 00:49:04 he was right about that one. Let's get into some leftovers, Chris. And we had a pitchers duel, good old-fashioned pitchers duel between Kevin Gosman and Zach Wheeler. Gosman went six shutout with nine strikeouts. Zach Wheeler, seven innings, one run, seven strikeouts for him. He's throwing this new sweeper 15% this year. One note on Gosman, the velocity was way up.
Starting point is 00:49:28 Fastball velocity of 2.6 miles per hour. The splitter was up 2.4 miles per hour. And I thought I read somewhere that he's been fluctuating his velocity on purpose, but I couldn't find a source. I feel like maybe I read a tweet somewhere or something, but I couldn't actually find a source to back it up. Do you know anything about this? Like velocity going up and down recently for Kevin Gosman?
Starting point is 00:49:51 I haven't seen anything specific. I know Jack Flaherty got kind of mad about being asked why his velocity was down yesterday, and he said something similar that that's what he was doing. So it's a thing that pitchers do, certainly. But I think Kevin Gosman's really, really good. And I'm very, very happy to see that this is happening for him. obviously the overall ERA still not quite as pretty as it could be, but I think it will get there.
Starting point is 00:50:19 And 3.38's not so bad when you're striking out 12 per 9 or whatever it is right now. So I kind of had like Robbie Ray or Kevin Gosman as my SP2 strategy. And I think I drafted more Robbie Ray than Kevin Gosman. Not working out. Yeah. Unlikely to work out. moving forward. You know,
Starting point is 00:50:43 Gossman's such an interesting case, too, because his Babbup is sky high again this year. It's $3.50. And last year it was $3.62. He led all starting pitchers in Babbitt last year. And frankly, I think he's probably closer to remain in that mid-3s ERA range. Because of how much hard contact he gives up,
Starting point is 00:51:02 that is not going away. So there will be some frustrating performances, but of course, you know, you'll get amazing ones like you did here on Wednesday as well. He is a pitcher where XERA probably tells a better story than FIP and XFIP. Because FIP and XFIP largely assume that pitchers don't have much control over the quality of contact they allow. We know that's mostly not true and he does get hit pretty hard when he gets hit. So, yeah, there will be blowups for Kevin Gossman for sure.
Starting point is 00:51:32 But I think he'll be dominant more often than not. Some pitching standouts, studs being studs. Clayton Kershaw just put together another awesome start. seven innings, one run, eight strikeouts to zero walks at the Brewers. Christian Javier put up a season high, 11 strikeouts at the Angels on a season high, 24 swinging strikes. Seems like he's coming around. 17 of those, by the way, came on his four-seem fastball, which...
Starting point is 00:51:57 That's pretty impressive. Just awesome stuff. Justin Verlander was great in his second start. He was at the red, seven innings, one run, seven strikeouts for him. And Pablo Lopez continues his breakout season up against the Padres, six and a third, one run, eight strikeouts. The walks were high, four walks in this one, but 17 more swinging strikes on 98 pitches.
Starting point is 00:52:18 Chris, anything to add on Pablo Lopez, Verlander, Javier, and Clayton Kirchall? Verlander's velocity was down just a tad. 0.6 miles per hour. Not too concerning, given that he's coming back from the injury and he only had, what, the one rehab start, but I think he's going to be just. just fine moving forward, Pablo Lopez. He's awesome. He had the little tiny hiccup, the two starts where you give up 10 or 11 earned runs, but he, like you said, I think the breakout is for real here. And yeah, that's it.
Starting point is 00:52:53 I saw someone tweet you. Actually, I think they tweeted all of us asking about Clayton Kershaw. And you responded. And ranking Kershaw is really tough because we know that more likely than not, he's going to miss time at some point, you know, given the injury history and the age. and the Dodgers of it all. Right. And I have him at SP 22, but on a per start basis, I think you could expect SP1 numbers from Clayton Kirshaw.
Starting point is 00:53:21 We just can't rank him that way because of his injury history. It's a lot like DeGrom where, if I knew he was going to make every start, he's the SP1, right? That's where I'm ranking him. But coming into the year, I ranked him at SP12
Starting point is 00:53:33 because it was with the assumption he's going to miss time. So I think Clayton Kirshaw is similar. Yeah, Clayton Kirchall has made 30 starts since the start of the 2022 season. He's got a 234 ERA. Actually, it's probably lower than that after tonight's start. 185 strikeouts and 169 innings before tonight. Like you said, I think he's an SP1 when he's healthy.
Starting point is 00:53:54 It's just I am more, I'm not particularly confident that any specific players ever going to go on the IL. I am pretty confident Clayton Kirchall is going to go on the aisle at some point. That's just he doesn't make 30 starts anymore. He hasn't made 30 starts since. 2019. Actually, he hasn't made 30 starts since 2015. He hasn't made 29 starts since 2019. So it's like where I would rank him today and where I would rank him for the rest of the season are very different. But yeah, he's top 25 rest of season top 10 right now. A few hitting leftovers. Andy Volpe went one for four with his first career grand slam, his fourth home run of the season.
Starting point is 00:54:36 Miguel Vargas went one for five with his fourth home run. The batting average isn't there in the month of May, but as I mentioned yesterday, lots of extra base hits so far in the month, three doubles, one triple, and three home runs for Miguel Vargas. Marcus Semyon went two for five with his sixth home run and is off to a great start. Last year, it was the opposite.
Starting point is 00:54:55 The first, you know, two months of the year, he was one of the worst hitters in baseball. So far, he's batting 290 with six homers, 30 runs, 30 RBI, and five seals. Yeah, it might just be like we do all these like, oh, we're investigating the baseball and we're pulling it apart thread by thread and we're looking
Starting point is 00:55:12 maybe it's just like is Marcus Simeon hitting well in April? If he's not, it's a dead ball. If he is, it's a live ball. Maybe that's it. Maybe Marcus Semyon's just the juiced ball canary and the coal mine for us.
Starting point is 00:55:26 I can't say enough about what the Rangers have done so far. The fact that they are playing this well and their offense has been this great without Corey Seeger and without Jacob deGromh recently just overall for their pitching staff It's, man, it's such a testament
Starting point is 00:55:39 and great job by Bruce Bochy, right? Like, he's done a really good job so far with the Rangers. Love to see a team going for it and being rewarded. That's also a good thing. Hunter Renfro has quietly had a very solid season himself. He went two for two with his 10th home run of the year. Wander Franco continues his breakout when one for three with a walk, an RBI, and added two more steals.
Starting point is 00:56:01 He's now up to 11 steals on the season. Pete Alonzo has been struggling recently, but went one for three with his league leading 13th home run. Slap hitter, Ronald Acuna. That's right, that guy. He went two for four with a 470 foot home run. His seventh of the season. He is batting 347 with seven homers, 15 steals.
Starting point is 00:56:22 He is the number one player in Roto so far. But he's a slap hitter, so keep that of mind. Patrick Wisdom went one for four with a walk and his 12th home run. And Vinnie Pee, do I still have it? Baby! Yeah, Vinnie Passed Bontino went three for five with a double. double and two run scored, he now has three straight multi-hit games and is approaching a 300 batting average. Some bullpen updates for the Rockies, Pierce Johnson allowed a hit and walk, but
Starting point is 00:56:48 struck out two for his sixth save of the season. Daniel Bard continues to work in lower leverage. Pierce Johnson, 25% rostered if you do need saves. For the Rangers, Will Smith struck out two for his sixth save. For the Marlins, AJ Puck struck out two for his sixth save. for the Blue Jays. How does A.J. Puck only have six saves. I think he has three wins or something. Something crazy.
Starting point is 00:57:14 Because nobody else on the Marlins has multiple saves, right? They, I'm guessing. Tanner Scott has two. I'm guessing they had, yeah, because they had a bunch of like one run. Well,
Starting point is 00:57:28 they're 12 and a run run, one run games. Yeah. So I think some of those games, AJ Puck. Yeah, they must have some walkoffs. He was unavailable.
Starting point is 00:57:35 So, um, yeah, that's why they got. Tanner Scott involved. For the Blue Jays, Jordan Romano got the ninth with a one-run lead. He gave up three hits, a run, and took the blown save. And he's been a little shaky recently. He's got a 3-60 ERA and a 1-27 whip. But I looked into the numbers and there's nothing there. He like, yeah, actually, he's pitching better than, frankly, he ever has. So at least the underlying
Starting point is 00:57:58 number say that for Jordan Romano. For the Astros, Ryan Presley entered the ninth with a three-run lead. He gave up two runs and did escape with his sixth save of the season. For the Orioles, Felix Bautista was not available because he threw 29 pitches on Tuesday. Yaneer Canoe got the ninth with a one-run lead. You'll never guess. He didn't allow a base runner. He didn't allow a run.
Starting point is 00:58:20 Continues to have a zero ERA on the season. His third save, 35% rostered. Chris, I just think that this guy needs to be rostered in all category leagues at this point. Yenir Cano. Yeah, yeah. I think that's that's reasonable. 35% rostered probably a little bit low, but you can't really use them in points leagues right now.
Starting point is 00:58:40 And he he needs a Felix Battista injury. That is the long and short of it. Don't you? Yeah. Don't even speak. Yeah. That's the thing is I don't want Yanir, Yankee Kano to have value in those points league.
Starting point is 00:58:54 So it's like, you know, saves plus holds, must roster. You know, he's in that, you know, a high, high end. non-closer situation, and he'll get a couple of saves. Yeah. Felix Batista is probably my most rostered relief pitcher this season, so it makes me a little bit nervous that,
Starting point is 00:59:14 frankly, there is a reliever pitching even better than him in the same bullpen. For the Mets, a one-run game, Adamadovino got the eighth, and David Robertson got the ninth for his seventh save. For the Red Sox, Kenley Jansen allowed a hit, but picked up his ninth save and the 400th save of his career. Chris is Kenley Jansen a Hall of Famer? I kind of feel like no one talks about it, but if we bring it up about Craig Kimberl,
Starting point is 00:59:37 then I feel like we should also bring it up for Kenley Jansen. You know, despite the sort of loud protestations from the fantasy community over the last like six years, he's aging better than Craig Kimbril. I mean, there's been like a concerted movement among the fantasy community to like get Kenley Jansen out of the closer role basically every year since like 2018, but he's remained pretty good.
Starting point is 01:00:02 You know, it's, I don't know if he's a Hall of Famer, 400 saves. It's quite a bit. I believe it's the active leader. I'll say fringe guy for now. We'll see how the next couple of seasons go. Okay. Heck of a career, though. Converted catcher getting to 400 saves.
Starting point is 01:00:21 He was playing for the Netherlands in like the 2008 World Baseball Classic as a catcher, I'm pretty sure. Yeah, that sounds about right. It's been an awesome career for Kenley Jansen. I was kind of stalling here because I wanted to write. I forgot to write in to stream or not to stream, so I was trying to figure out. I just abruptly started to stop talking. I'm sorry. That's totally fine.
Starting point is 01:00:48 You had no idea that I was unprepared. It's just, it's on me. All right. Well, anyhow, let's get into it. To stream or not to stream, we'll start with Thursday. I think Bailey Ober against the Padres is the obvious one. And a big old maybe for DeVille. Mingo Hermann versus Tampa Bay.
Starting point is 01:01:04 Yeah, I mean, Baylor over, I don't want to get ahead of ourselves. I would not be surprised if he struggled. San Diego is a very good team. But yeah, he's the clear. He barely counts for this. I think he's not just a streamer. He should be added for longer term as well. Correct.
Starting point is 01:01:20 And then on Friday, okay, here's. Let's throw Yuri Perez out there. Yes. He's the Reds. I think so. It's at home. Yeah. Let's do it.
Starting point is 01:01:30 Absolutely. Let's do that. Logan Allen, if he's still available in your league, he should not be up against the Angels. Tougher matchup, but I'm alright using Logan Allen. Who else do we have here? Drew Smiley, same conversation. I'm pretty, I think the twins have been bad against lefties,
Starting point is 01:01:46 and Drew Smiley has pitched really well, so I'm good with that one. I know the last three starts have really soured us on him, and rightly so, but Johan Oviedo at Baltimore. I don't hate that one. and Kyle Bradish versus Pittsburgh I don't hate
Starting point is 01:02:03 Yeah going up against each other there Wow lots of names Tyler McGill at the National is not bad either So and Logan Allen against the Angels If you mentioned that one I think you did Yeah Again that's one that I think is less of a Streamer and more just someone I want on my roster
Starting point is 01:02:19 All right so use the prospects Yuri Perez and Logan Allen And then if I'm just putting a bow on this I'll say Bradish up against the pirates Tyler McGill at the Nationals and Drew Smiley at the Twins. We're going to wrap there for Chris. I am Frank.
Starting point is 01:02:33 Thanks as always for tuning into fantasy baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five-star rating on Apple or Spotify. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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