Fantasy Baseball Today - FBT Express - Corbin Carroll Replacements & Chandler Simpson Rejoining the Rays! (6/24 Fantasy Baseball podcast)

Starting point is 00:00:00 Corbyn Carroll is out. You need replacements. Let's discuss on Fantasy Baseball Today Express. Welcome in to FPT Express on Tuesday, June 24th. I am Frank Stamphle, joined by Chris Sowers, and unfortunately, Corbyn Carroll has been diagnosed with a chip fracture in his left wrist. It's unclear how long he'll be out, but Aaron Judge had a similar injury back in 2018. He missed 49 days. the average time missed is 60 days, the median is 50. So I think he's probably going to be out until at least August. That's for all wrist fractures, by the way. Not this specific type. I couldn't find a lot of information specifically about this one,

Starting point is 00:00:43 but all wrist fractures for hitters miss 50 to 60 days on average. And it is a tough loss. Corbyn Carroll was the 19th overall player in Rodo, the 12th best hitter in Hethead Points League. So we cannot replace him one for one, but we will try our best to find some waiver wire replacements. And some names in shallower leagues. Alec Berluson is up to 78%.

Starting point is 00:01:03 Cam Smith at 72%. Josh Lowe at 71, Addison Barger at 65, Joe Adele at 62, Jerksson ProFar at 59%, and he's due back on July 2nd. So some interesting names here, Chris. Who would you say your top three are from that group? Before I get to that, I do want to just say with Corbyn Carroll,

Starting point is 00:01:24 part of the problem is even when he comes back, is he going to be the same guy? That's always a big concern when you're talking about a wrist injury. So, you know, that is something to also think about. As for the debacks fall out of it too, they might not have a rush to bring him back. Yeah, I mean, they've already lost Corbyn Carroll. There was, Eohenio Suarez and Josh Naylor

Starting point is 00:01:44 both left Monday's games with injuries as well. It doesn't sound like they're as serious, although we don't know for sure on Naylor, I guess. So that's concerning. But yeah, as for the carer replacements, you mentioned Burleson, Cam Smith, Addison Barger, Joe Adel, and Jerks and Profar. If you're actually, I'll say this,

Starting point is 00:02:05 if you're in a weekly lineup lock league, so you can't do anything about losing Corbyn Carroll until Sunday anyway. I think I'd just go ahead and make Jerks and ProFar my top priority on waivers. He is 59% rostered, will not be back until next Wednesday, July 2nd, at the earliest.

Starting point is 00:02:22 If the Braves have a rain out, that would push it back a day. But he's currently projected to come back on July 2nd from his suspension. And he was a top 20 outfielder last season in both head to head points and Roto. If he is at all what he was last year, which is a huge question mark. Last year was a big outlier for his career. Obviously, as the PED suspension,

Starting point is 00:02:43 how will that affect him? How will just the energy and all that affect him? These are unknowable things. but if he's 90% of what he was last season, hitting second for the Braves behind Ronald Ocuna and ahead of Matt Olson, it's a really good spot to be in. So I think Juerks and ProFar is a potential difference maker among this crew. I'll also say that as a barger,

Starting point is 00:03:07 what we've seen from him over the last month and a half or so has been really, really impressive. He's putting up just absolutely massive quality of contact metrics, like 94, 95 mile per hour average exit velocities. Um, not striking out too much. Still only playing like 55 to 60% of the time against lefties. I think it started four out of seven in the month of June for Addison Barger. So not quite every day.

Starting point is 00:03:34 Um, but he's been so good that I've got to put him at two. And then I think I would give Cam Smith the edge. He had two big games last week, seven hits over those two games, two homers. Then he went two for 16. So not, didn't quite break out the way we're. we're hoping for coming out of that one, but I still think the upside is super high. He's incredibly young, still developing. There's a lot of upside there.

Starting point is 00:03:58 And the thing about losing a guy like Corby and Carroll is, you're going to take a hit either way. I actually prefer chasing upside with a higher variance player because that's the only chance you're going to have of getting anywhere close to replacing Corby and Carroll, you know? Yeah, makes sense. Let's take a quick break. And when we return, I have a few other replacements here. We'll talk about those right after this. Welcome back in the FBT Express. Again, the big news, Corbyn Carroll,

Starting point is 00:04:25 is out with a chip fracture in his left wrist. He could be out as far as August. So a big injury here, a big loss in fantasy. Two other names in the outfield that are returning soon. The rays are expected to recall Chandler Simpson from AAA on Tuesday. We know the deal here. It's great batting average, great speed, not much else from Chandler Simpson,

Starting point is 00:04:48 but a very exciting player. And Austin Hayes will be getting a rehab assignment at AA on Tuesday. Could return this weekend. And in the games he's played this season with the Reds, he has looked awesome. So, Chris, any interest in those two? Chandler Simpson and Austin Hayes. A lot of interest in both. They've been really useful fantasy players when healthy this season or when active, I guess.

Starting point is 00:05:12 Simpson, it was like 19 steals and 35 games. He is 10th in the majors and stolen bases. despite not starting the season on the roster and getting sent back down. It is like, I don't know if another player in baseball has higher stolen base potential than Chandler Simpson. And it's not just because his speed, although he might be the fastest player in baseball, but he's a super efficient base runner.

Starting point is 00:05:35 He's very aggressive. And he's going to get on base. He hit 285 in his first stint in the majors. The actual problem for Chandler Simpson is, one, he's a better real life hitter than fantasy. hitter than real-life hitter. There's very little power. He doesn't walk a ton. He's also just a bad defensive player. And that was why he got sent down in the first place for for the most part. So, hopefully he can hold his own and left field become an everyday player. I think there's a lot of

Starting point is 00:06:02 upside there. Austin Hayes, it's just a perfect fit in Cincinnati. He wasn't healthy last year. When he's been on the field this season, he's been outstanding. I think he's been a must-start player in basically any format when healthy. I'll also throw Tyler O'Neill. out there. He's 45% rostered. So I would put him below those three, those two, but he's in the same range in terms of roster rate. He's coming back from his own shoulder surgery or shoulder injury, excuse me, and he hit 31 home runs in 110 games last year or something. So clearly difference making upside there for Tyler O'Neill. I think it, like we say for many things, it comes down to what you need, right?

Starting point is 00:06:40 And if you drafted Carroll for speed and he really hasn't given you much of that, it's only 10 steals this season. Obviously, he did so many other great things. but if it's speed that you need, obviously Chandler Simpson goes to the top of that list. If it's power that you need, I think Addison Barger makes sense. If you're just looking for maybe the best all-around player, I think that'll probably be either

Starting point is 00:06:59 ProFar or Austin Hayes, and I agree. I do like those two names in a headset points league as well. Some names in deeper five outfielder leagues. Again, if you lost Corby and Carol, Mickey Moniac, Tyler Freeman, Wenzel Perez, Luke Ralee and Dominic Canzone. They both homered for the Mariners here on Monday

Starting point is 00:07:15 night, and the underlying data looks pretty good. And Jake McCarthy set to be recalled to take Corbyn Carroll's place in the D-BACs lineup. He had 12 steals in the minors this season, 25 steals last year. So another speed play. But Chris, do any of these deep league names stand out to you and some of those 15 teamers? For the most part, not really. But I do think Perez has showed some interesting stuff. The quality contact metrics are actually surprisingly very good for him. So far this season when he's been healthy. So that's a name to keep in mind once he'll Perez. I'm going to throw Parker Meadows. He's 33% rostered, so a little higher than this group, but he's widely available.

Starting point is 00:07:51 He's been very bad since coming back from the IL, but the underlying numbers are much better. It's like a 350x Wobah. That would be a very good mark for a guy with his athleticism. So I would love to see him get going and I think it's going to happen. And then I'll just throw a name out there to stash for some upside. Chase the Lodder of the Cleveland Guardians. He is one of the most talented hitting prospects in baseball. He's also played like, I think it's like 70 games in three seasons since.

Starting point is 00:08:17 getting drafted. He missed the start of this season with a herni injury that required surgery, but he has played 19 games at AAA this season and he's just crushed it. It's like 286 average OPS almost 900. I kind of think the guardians just need to call him up while he's healthy because he hasn't been able to stay healthy in the past. Why not get those games at the major league level, especially when they have the second lowest Wobah in baseball from their right fielders. So might as well call Chase the Lodder up and see what he can. can do. I think that could be coming for a team that desperately needs some juice in their lineup. That is a very sneaky one too. And I will add with DeLotter, if anyone out there plays in a deeper

Starting point is 00:08:57 head dead points league or a deeper OBP format, he has more walks and strikeouts in the minors, 22 walks to 16 strikeouts, his average exit velocity, 92.2 miles per hour. So yeah, very sneaky name there with Chase the Lodder. For more extensive fantasy baseball coverage, listen to our full-lane podcast, Fantasy Baseball today on spot. Apple Podcasts or anywhere else podcasts are found. Thanks for listening to Fantasy Baseball Today Express, and we will be back again on Thursday. Bye-bye.

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Fantasy Baseball Today - FBT Express - Corbin Carroll Replacements & Chandler Simpson Rejoining the Rays! (6/24 Fantasy Baseball podcast)

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